Recommendations for neoadjuvant pathologic staging (ypTNM) of cancer of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction for the 8th edition AJCC/UICC staging manuals

Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy is the standard treatment for resectable advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in Japan. Triplet chemotherapy is the standard neoadjuvant regimen. Inflammatory markers such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are well-known prognostic factors for esophageal cancer. However, their usefulness in patients with resectable advanced disease undergoing esophagectomy after neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy is unknown.

METHOD

We examined 144 ESCC patients who underwent neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy between January 2015 and December 2020 to investigate the relationship between inflammatory markers and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Optimal marker cutoff values for RFS were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Patients were divided into high and low NLR groups (NLR cutoff, 3.0).

RESULTS

NLR was high in 61 patients and low in 83. Univariate analyses demonstrated that low NLR was significantly associated with worse RFS (p = 0.049). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that high NLR was an independent predictor of RFS (odds ratio, 1.911; 95% confidence interval, 1.098-3.327; p = 0.022). RFS significantly differed between the low and high NLR groups. RFS did not significantly differ between the patients when stratified according to the other inflammatory markers.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative NLR is an easily obtained and useful predictor of RFS in patients with resectable advanced ESCC treated with neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy.

Development of a novel staging classification for Siewert II adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Stage classification for Siewert II adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has not been established.

AIM

To investigate the optimal stage classification for Siewert II AEG with NAC.

METHODS

A nomogram was established based on Cox regression model that analyzed variables associated with overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). The nomogram performance in terms of discrimination and calibration ability was evaluated using the likelihood-ratio test, Akaike information criterion, Harrell concordance index, time-receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Data from 725 patients with Siewert type II AEG who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and gastrectomy were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that sex, marital status, race, ypT stage, and ypN stage were independent prognostic factors of OS, whereas sex, race, ypT stage, and ypN stage were independent prognostic factors for DSS. These factors were incorporated into the OS and DSS nomograms. Our novel nomogram model performed better in terms of OS and DSS prediction compared to the 8^th American Joint Committee of Cancer pathological staging system for esophageal and gastric cancer. Finally, a user-friendly web application was developed for clinical use.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram established specifically for patients with Siewert type II AEG receiving NAC demonstrated good prognostic performance. Validation using external data is warranted before its widespread clinical application.

Development of a novel staging classification for Siewert II adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Stage classification for Siewert II adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has not been established.

AIM

To investigate the optimal stage classification for Siewert II AEG with NAC.

METHODS

A nomogram was established based on Cox regression model that analyzed variables associated with overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). The nomogram performance in terms of discrimination and calibration ability was evaluated using the likelihood-ratio test, Akaike information criterion, Harrell concordance index, time-receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Data from 725 patients with Siewert type II AEG who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and gastrectomy were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that sex, marital status, race, ypT stage, and ypN stage were independent prognostic factors of OS, whereas sex, race, ypT stage, and ypN stage were independent prognostic factors for DSS. These factors were incorporated into the OS and DSS nomograms. Our novel nomogram model performed better in terms of OS and DSS prediction compared to the 8^th American Joint Committee of Cancer pathological staging system for esophageal and gastric cancer. Finally, a user-friendly web application was developed for clinical use.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram established specifically for patients with Siewert type II AEG receiving NAC demonstrated good prognostic performance. Validation using external data is warranted before its widespread clinical application.

Clinical and Pathologic Supraclavicular Lymph Node Metastases in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Treated by Esophagectomy with Three-Field Lymph Node Dissection

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the survival outcomes for surgically treated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients based on clinically suspicious supraclavicular lymph node (SCN) metastasis (cSCN+) and pathologically confirmed SCN metastasis (pSCN+).

METHODS

Using an institutional registry between 1994 and 2018, this study retrospectively analyzed 611 patients who received curative-intent esophagectomy with 3-field lymph node dissection for ESCC. The study used computed tomography and positron emission tomography to define cSCN+.

RESULTS

Among 611 patients, 24.4% had cSCN+ and 12.2% had pSCN+. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 68.2% for cN0, 43.5% for cN+ without cSCN+, and 30.3% for cN+ with cSCN+ (p = 0.018). Although the univariable analysis showed that cSCN+ was associated with poorer survival than cN0 or cN+ with cSCN- (hazard ratio [HR], 1.818; p < 0.001), the multivariable analysis did not support this finding (HR, 1.281; p = 0.681). The 5-year OS rates were 64.2% for pN0, 41.5% for pN+ without pSCN+, and 25.6% for pN+ with pSCN+ (p = 0.054). Univariable analysis showed an association of pSCN+ with poor OS (HR, 1.830; p < 0.001), but the difference in the multivariable analysis was not significant (HR, 0.912; p = 0.587).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of SCN metastasis did not have a significant impact on the OS of ESCC patients with 3-field lymph node dissection regardless of clinical suspicion or pathologic confirmation.

Online tools to predict individualised survival for primary oesophageal cancer patients with and without pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy followed by oesophagectomy: development and external validation of two independent nomograms

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop and validate robust predictive models for patients with oesophageal cancer who achieved a pathological complete response (pCR) and those who did not (non-pCR) after neoadjuvant therapy and oesophagectomy.

DESIGN

Clinicopathological data of 6517 primary oesophageal cancer patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and oesophagectomy were obtained from the National Cancer Database for the training cohort. An independent cohort of 444 Chinese patients served as the validation set. Two distinct multivariable Cox models of overall survival (OS) were constructed for pCR and non-pCR patients, respectively, and were presented using web-based dynamic nomograms (graphical representation of predicted OS based on the clinical characteristics that a patient could input into the website). The calibration plot, concordance index and decision curve analysis were employed to assess calibration, discrimination and clinical usefulness of the predictive models.

RESULTS

In total, 13 and 15 variables were used to predict OS for pCR and non-pCR patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy followed by oesophagectomy, respectively. Key predictors included demographic characteristics, pretreatment clinical stage, surgical approach, pathological information and postoperative treatments. The predictive models for pCR and non-pCR patients demonstrated good calibration and clinical utility, with acceptable discrimination that surpassed that of the current tumour, node, metastases staging system.

CONCLUSIONS

The web-based dynamic nomograms for pCR (https://predict-survival.shinyapps.io/pCR-eso/) and non-pCR patients (https://predict-survival.shinyapps.io/non-pCR-eso/) developed in this study can facilitate the calculation of OS probability for individual patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy and radical oesophagectomy, aiding clinicians and patients in making personalised treatment decisions.

Correlation between morphological parameters and dosimetric parameters of the heart and spinal cord in the intermediate- and advanced-stage esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Radiation therapy plays a pivotal role as the primary adjuvant treatment for esophageal cancer (EPC), emphasizing the critical importance of carefully balancing radiation doses to the target area and organs at risk in the radiotherapeutic management of esophageal cancer.

AIMS

This study aimed to explore the correlation between morphological parameters and dosimetric parameters of the heart and spinal cord in intermediate- and advanced-stage esophagus cancer to provide a reference for clinical treatment.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 105 patients with intermediate- and advanced-stage EPC, who received treatment in our hospital from 2019 to 2021, were included. The morphological parameters were calculated by imaging. Intensity-modulated radiation therapy plan was executed at Raystation4.7. The PTV-G stood for the externally expanded planning target volume (PTV) of the gross tumor volume (GTV) and PTV-C for the externally expanded volume of the clinical target volume (CTV). The prescription dose of PTV-G and PTV-C was set as 60Gy/30F and 54Gy/30F, respectively. The linear regression model was used to analyze the correlation between morphologic parameters of EPC and dosimetric parameters of the heart and spinal cord. In 105 cases, the total lung length was correlated with the spinal cord maximum dose (D2 ). The heart mean doses (Dmean ) and heart V40 (the relative volume that receives 40 Gy or more) was correlated with PTV-G volume, PTV-G length; In middle- and upper-segment EPC cases, only the total lung volume was correlated with the spinal cord Dmean , spinal cord D2 , heart Dmean , and heart V40 ; In middle-stage EPC cases, the heart Dmean was correlated with the PTV-G volume, PTV-G length. The total lung length was correlated with the spinal cord D2 ; In middle- and lower-segment EPC, only the PTV-G volume and PTV-G length were correlated with the heart Dmean . All the aforementioned values were statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Combined with the unsegmented tumor and different locations, the organ at risk dose was comprehensively considered.

Identification of Optimal Parameters for Assessing Lymph Node Status of Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to compare the prognostic discrimination power of pretreatment pathologic N stage (prepN), lymph node tumor regression grade (LNTRG), and posttreatment pathologic N (ypN) category for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plus surgery.

METHODS

The study reviewed 187 ESCC patients from two medical centers who underwent nCRT plus surgery. Pathologic LNTRG was defined by the proportion of viable tumor area within the tumor bed in lymph nodes (LNs). An average LNTRG then was calculated by averaging the tumor regression grade (TRG) score of all resected LNs. Lymph nodes containing regression changes or vital tumor cells were used for interpretation of the prepN stage, which reflects the estimated number of originally involved LNs.

RESULTS

The ypN, prepN, and LNTRG categories had significant prognostic stratification power (p < 0.001, log-rank test). Multivariable cox regression showed that all three categories were independent prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS) (p < 0.05). The LNTRG category showed a better prognostic value for DFS prediction than the ypN and prepN categories (Akaike information criterion [AIC]: LNTRG [933.69], ypN [937.56], prepN [937.45]). Additionally, the superior predictive capacity of the LNTRG category was demonstrated by decision curve analysis. Similar results were discovered for patients with remaining diseased LNs.

CONCLUSIONS

The three staging categories had prognostic relevance for DFS, with the LNTRG category seeming to have better prognostic indication power. Comprehensive consideration of the ypN status, prepN status, and LN regression may allow for better prognostic stratification of patients.

Does the ypTNM-stage adequately predict long-term survival rates in gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by radical resection?

BACKGROUND

Following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for resectable gastric cancer, the prognostic adequacy of the UICC staging system needs to be investigated. In particular to explore whether the ypTNM curves for radically resected gastric cancer patients receiving NAC follow the stage-matched survival curves of radically resected chemo-naïve patients (pTNM). Further, to disclose any interaction between the TNM-response mode to NAC and stage-specific survival rates, i.e., whether survival for a particular pathological disease stage was dependent on whether this was reached through a downstaging or as stable disease following NAC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective study on radically resected patients ≤ 75 years of age with gastric adenocarcinoma stages I-III diagnosed during 2001-2016. The patients constitute two population-based cohorts; the SURG-group with n = 121 patients treated before 2007 when NAC was introduced, and the NAC-group with n = 126 patients diagnosed since early 2007, receiving NAC and subsequent radical resection.

RESULTS

Long-term survival rates were similar when specific ypTNM-stages were compared to their corresponding pTNM chemo-naïve counterparts. The dichotomised N0 vs. N + had a substantial impact on the long-term survival rates in both groups, however, no discrepancy in long-term survival rates between pN0 vs. ypN0, and pN + vs. ypN + was found. The pathological stage determined long-term survival rates irrespective of the baseline disease stage, as no interaction between the response mode and stage-specific survival rates was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival curves for specific ypTNM-stages following NAC did not differ from the corresponding survival curves of their chemo-naïve pTNM counterparts. The interpretation is that NAC affected the gastric cancer, lymph nodes, and micrometastases, in such a way that the final ypTNM-stage provided similar prognostic information as the chemo-naïve pTNM-stages. Survival rates were contingent on the final ypTNM-stages alone, and not influenced by the response mode to reach that particular disease stage, or predetermined by the original clinical TNM-stage.

Application of spectral CT in diagnosis, classification and prognostic monitoring of gastrointestinal cancers: progress, limitations and prospects

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Computed tomography (CT) is an important auxiliary tool for the diagnosis, evaluation, and prognosis prediction of gastrointestinal tumors. Spectral CT is another major CT revolution after spiral CT and multidetector CT. Compared to traditional CT which only provides single-parameter anatomical diagnostic mode imaging, spectral CT can achieve multi-parameter imaging and provide a wealth of image information to optimize disease diagnosis. In recent years, with the rapid development and application of spectral CT, more and more studies on the application of spectral CT in the characterization of GI tumors have been published. For this review, we obtained a substantial volume of literature, focusing on spectral CT imaging of gastrointestinal cancers, including esophageal, stomach, colorectal, liver, and pancreatic cancers. We found that spectral CT can not only accurately stage gastrointestinal tumors before operation but also distinguish benign and malignant GI tumors with improved image quality, and effectively evaluate the therapeutic response and prognosis of the lesions. In addition, this paper also discusses the limitations and prospects of using spectral CT in GI cancer diagnosis and treatment.

Milestones in the History of Esophagectomy: From Torek to Minimally Invasive Approaches

The history of esophagectomy reflects a journey of dedication, collaboration, and technical innovation, with ongoing endeavors aimed at optimizing outcomes and reducing complications. From its early attempts to modern minimally invasive approaches, the journey has been marked by perseverance and innovation. Franz J. A. Torek's 1913 successful esophageal resection marked a milestone, demonstrating the feasibility of transthoracic esophagectomy and the potential for esophageal cancer cure. However, its high mortality rate posed challenges, and it took almost two decades for similar successes to emerge. Surgical techniques evolved with the left thoracotomy, right thoracotomy, and transhiatal approaches, expanding the indications for resection. Mechanical staplers introduced in the early 20th century transformed anastomosis, reducing complications. The advent of minimally invasive techniques in the 1990s aimed to minimize complications while maintaining oncological efficacy. Robot-assisted esophagectomy further pushed the boundaries of minimally invasive surgery. Collaborative efforts, particularly from the Worldwide Esophageal Cancer Collaboration and the Esophageal Complications Consensus Group, standardized reporting and advanced the understanding of outcomes. The introduction of risk prediction models aids in making informed decisions. Despite significant improvements in survival rates and postoperative mortality, anastomotic leaks remain a concern, with recent rates showing an increase. Prevention strategies include microvascular anastomosis and ischemic preconditioning, yet challenges persist.

Integrative analysis of tertiary lymphoid structures and immune microenvironment in patients with esophageal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is one of the most common upper gastrointestinal malignancies worldwide. Tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS) are tumor-infiltrating immune cells aggregates coupled with stromal cells which are similar to secondary lymphoid organs. The objective of this study is to explore the predictive effects of two common genes associated with TLS models on prognosis and immunotherapy effects in ESCC patients.

METHODS

Clinical information for ESCC patients in the TCGA(The Cancer Genome Altas) cohort and GSE 53625 were collected. All of the samples were classified as either high score group or low score group based on two TLS signatures, and the association between TLS signatures and survival, clinical indicators, genomic burden, stemness indices analysis, tumor microenvironment and immunotherapy response were performed. Furthermore, the mature TLS was also assessed in ESCC tissue microarray.

RESULTS

In our study, we quantified the score of TLS_9 and TLS_12, respectively, reflecting the different statuses of TLS (TLS_9 = B and T cells in TLSs; TLS_12 = neogenesis of TLSs). Subsequently, we explored the effect of TLS score on ESCC tumor microenvironment quantified by multiple algorithms. We found that a correlation analysis indicated that TLS_9 and TLS_12 were all positively correlated with CD8+ T cell, NK cells, CD4+ T cells, M1 macrophages and so on. Meanwhile, some cells present a different correlation pattern of TLS_9 and TLS_12, including activated CD4+ memory T cells and Tgd cells. Immune-related analysis revealed that the TLS_12 and TLS_9 scores were all positively correlated with immune dysfunction, yet negatively correlated with immune exclusion. Following this, the biological roles of TLS_9 and TLS_12 scores were investigated. Also, we noticed that the TLS score could significantly affect the CAFs infiltration and be associated with the genomic burden and tumor stemness. In addition, we explored the prognostic value of mature TLS through tissue microarray (TMA). Our result displayed ESCC patients with the presence of mature TLS had a better prognosis than ESCC patients without it.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicated that ESCC patients with the presence of TLS had better outcomes and an inflamed immune microenvironment. In addition, both TLS-9 and TLS-12 gene signatures could be used as potential biomarkers for the immunotherapy of ESCC patients.

The Role of Adjuvant Chemotherapy after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Surgery in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CCRTx) followed by surgery in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data from 382 patients who received neoadjuvant CCRTx and esophagectomy for ESCC between 2003 and 2018.

RESULTS

This study included 357 (93.4%) men, and the years median patient age was 63 (range, 40 to 84 years). Overall, 69 patients (18.1%) received adjuvant chemotherapy, whereas 313 patients (81.9%) did not. The median follow-up period was 28.07 months (interquartile range, 15.50 to 62.59). The 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival were 47.1% and 42.6%, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy did not improve OS in all patients, but subgroup analysis revealed that adjuvant chemotherapy improved the 5-year OS in patients with ypT+N+ (24.8% vs. 29.9%, p=0.048), whereas the survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy was not observed in patients with ypT0N0, ypT+N0, or ypT0N+. Multivariable analysis revealed that ypStage and adjuvant chemotherapy (hazard ratio, 0.601; p=0.046) were associated with OS in patients with ypT+N+. Freedom from distant metastasis was marginally different according to the adjuvant chemotherapy (48.3% vs. 41.3%, p=0.141).

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant chemotherapy after neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery reduces the distant metastasis in ypT+N+ ESCC patients, thereby improving the OS. The consideration could be given to administration of adjuvant chemotherapy to ypT+N+ ESCC patients with tolerable conditions.

Adjuvant Therapy After Neoadjuvant Therapy for Esophageal Cancer: Who Needs It?

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that, on average, patients do not benefit from additional adjuvant therapy after neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer, although subsets of patients might. Therefore, we sought to identify profiles of patients predicted to receive the most survival benefit or greatest detriment from adding adjuvant therapy.

BACKGROUND

Although neoadjuvant therapy has become the treatment of choice for locally advanced esophageal cancer, the value of adding adjuvant therapy is unknown.

METHODS

From 1970 to 2014, 22,123 patients were treated for esophageal cancer at 33 centers on 6 continents (Worldwide Esophageal Cancer Collaboration), of whom 7731 with adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma received neoadjuvant therapy; 1348 received additional adjuvant therapy. Random forests for survival and virtual-twin analyses were performed for all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Patients received a small survival benefit from adjuvant therapy (3.2±10 months over the subsequent 10 years for adenocarcinoma, 1.8±11 for squamous cell carcinoma). Consistent benefit occurred in ypT3-4 patients without nodal involvement and those with ypN2-3 disease. The small subset of patients receiving most benefit had high nodal burden, ypT4, and positive margins. Patients with ypT1-2N0 cancers had either no benefit or a detriment in survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant therapy after neoadjuvant therapy has value primarily for patients with more advanced esophageal cancer. Because the benefit is often small, patients considering adjuvant therapy should be counseled on benefits versus morbidity. In addition, given that the overall benefit was meaningful in a small number of patients, emerging modalities such as immunotherapy may hold more promise in the adjuvant setting.

Lymph Node Ratio Improves Prediction of Overall Survival in Esophageal Cancer Patients Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: A National Cancer Database Analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to propose a revised ypN (r-ypN) classification based on lymph node ratio (LNR) and to examine its prognostic value in postneoadjuvant esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND

A new postneoadjuvant pathologic (ypTNM) staging classification has been introduced for esophageal cancer. However, the ypN classification currently defined by the number of positive lymph nodes is influenced by the extent of lymphadenectomy.

METHODS

Data on 7195 esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiation were extracted from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). Four r-ypN stages were defined by 3 LNR thresholds (0%, 10%, and 20% using X-tile software). A revised ypTNM (r-ypTNM) classification was developed by solely changing N categories. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used for survival analyses. Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's concordance index ( C -index) were used to compare the predictive performance of the current and the revised classification. External validation was performed using an independent cohort from the NEOCRTEC5010 clinical trial.

RESULTS

Both ypN ( P <0.001) and r-ypN ( P <0.001) were independent prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) for esophageal cancer patients. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a better discrimination with r-ypN than ypN categories. Within each ypN category (except ypN3), OS was significantly different comparing r-ypN strata; however, there were no differences between ypN strata within each r-ypN category (except r-ypN3). r-ypN (AIC: 60752 vs 60782; C -index: 0.591 vs 0.587) and r-ypTNM (AIC: 60623 vs 60628; C -index: 0.613 vs 0.610) showed better predictive performance than the current staging system, with a lower AIC (better calibration) and higher C -index (improved discrimination). This advantage was also confirmed by external validation using the NEOCRTEC5010 cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

LNR showed better performance than ypN in predicting OS of esophageal cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and may be an improvement on the current staging system.

SLC1A5, unrelated to prognosis, was associated with CD8+ T-cell exclusion in the tumor microenvironment of squamous cell carcinoma

SLC1A5, short for solute carrier family 1 member 5, is a neutral amino acid transporter whose expression has been reported to be upregulated in various cancers, including esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Despite this, little has been described regarding the immunological involvement of SLC1A5 expression in the tumor microenvironment of ESCC. Given this, we adopted in silico analyses together with a wet lab strategy to investigate the prognostic and clinicopathological meaning of SLC1A5 expression in ESCC. In silico analyses of SLC1A5 expression data available from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database revealed that SLC1A5 expression was unrelated to the prognosis of ESCC, which holds true when extended to other types of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), including head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSC) and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC). Further analyses revealed that SLC1A5 expression correlated markedly with the infiltration density of effector CD8⁺ T cells in ESCC, and the same was true for HNSC and LUSC when extrapolated. As experimental confirmation, multiplexed immunofluorescent staining was undertaken to verify the correlation between SLC1A5 expression and infiltration of CD8⁺ T cells in a tissue microarray prepared from ESCC and matched normal control tissues. Our data confirmed that SLC1A5 expression was not associated with prognosis but was associated with the exclusion of CD8⁺ T cells. Taken together, all the data we curated strongly support the notion that SLC1A5 expression is associated with CD8⁺ T-cell exclusion in the tumor microenvironment of SCC.

Prognostic impact of examined lymph-node count for patients with esophageal cancer: development and validation prediction model

Esophageal cancer (EC) is a malignant tumor with high mortality. We aimed to find the optimal examined lymph node (ELN) count threshold and develop a model to predict survival of patients after radical esophagectomy. Two cohorts were analyzed: the training cohort which included 734 EC patients from the Chinese registry and the external testing cohort which included 3208 EC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to determine the prognostic value of ELNs. The cut-off point of the ELNs count was determined using R-statistical software. The prediction model was developed using random survival forest (RSF) algorithm. Higher ELNs count was significantly associated with better survival in both cohorts (training cohort: HR = 0.98, CI = 0.97-0.99, P < 0.01; testing cohort: HR = 0.98, CI = 0.98-0.99, P < 0.01) and the cut-off point was 18 (training cohort: P < 0.01; testing cohort: P < 0.01). We developed the RSF model with high prediction accuracy (AUC: training cohort: 87.5; testing cohort: 79.3) and low Brier Score (training cohort: 0.122; testing cohort: 0.152). The ELNs count beyond 18 is associated with better overall survival. The RSF model has preferable clinical capability in terms of individual prognosis assessment in patients after radical esophagectomy.

Surveillance Strategy after Curative Resection for Oesophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Using the Hazard Function

Background

The optimal surveillance period and frequency after curative resection for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) remain unclear, and current guidelines are mainly based on traditional Kaplan–Meier analyses of cumulative incidence rather than risk analysis. The aim of this study was to determine a suitable follow-up surveillance program following oesophagectomy for OSCC using the hazard function.

Methods

A total of 1187 patients who underwent curative resection for OSCC between 2000 and 2014 were retrospectively analyzed. The changes in the estimated hazard rates (HRs) of recurrence over time were analyzed according to tumour-node-metastasis stage.

Results

Four hundred seventy-eight (40.2%) patients experienced recurrence during the follow-up period (median, 116.5 months). The risk of recurrence peaked at 9.2 months after treatment (HR = 0.0219) and then decreased to half the peak value at 24 months post-surgery. The HRs for Stage I and II patients were low (< 0.007) post-treatment. The HR for Stage III patients peaked at 9.9 months (HR = 0.031) and the hazard curve declined to a plateau at 30 months. Furthermore, the HR peaked at 10.8 months (HR = 0.052) in Stage IV patients and then gradually declined from 50 months.

Conclusions

According to tumour-node-metastasis stage, changes in the HRs of postoperative recurrence in OSCC varied significantly. Intensive surveillance should be undertaken for 3 years in Stage III patients and for 4 years in Stage IV patients, followed by annual screening. For Stage I OSCC patients, a reduction in the surveillance intensity could be taken into consideration.

Applying post-neoadjuvant pathologic stage as prognostic tool in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

It is still uncertain whether the newly released eighth American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) post-neoadjuvant pathologic (yp) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage for esophageal carcinoma can perform well regarding patient stratification. The current study aimed to assess the prognostication ability of the eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system and attempted to explore how to facilitate the staging system for more effective evaluation of prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 486 patients treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy (nRT/CRT) were enrolled. ypN stage was reclassified by recursive partitioning. Prognostic performance, monotonicity, homogeneity, and discriminatory of yp and modified yp (myp) staging systems were assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), linear trend log-rank test, likelihood ratio χ2 test, Harrell's c statistic, and Akaike information criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

The ypT stage, ypN stage, and pathologic response were significant prognostic factors of overall survival. Survival was not discriminated well using the eighth AJCC ypN stage and ypTNM stage. Recursive partitioning reclassified mypN0-N2 as metastasis in 0, 1-2, and ≥3 regional lymph nodes. Applying the ypT stage, mypN stage, and pathologic response to construct the myp staging system, the myp stage performed better in time-dependent ROC, linear trend log-rank test, likelihood ratio χ2 test, Harrell's c statistic, and AIC.

CONCLUSIONS

The eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system performed well in differentiating prognosis to some extent. By reclassifying the ypN stage and enrolling pathologic response as a staging element, the myp staging system holds significant potential for prognostic discrimination.

Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Pathological Node-Positive Disease in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Esophagus after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Plus Surgery

Purpose: The purpose of the present study is to determine the impact on survival using adjuvant chemotherapy on patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer. Materials and Methods: From 2007 to 2016, we enrolled 127 locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with combined neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and surgery. For patients with the pathological residual primary disease (pT+) and/or residual node disease (pN+) after nCRT, adjuvant chemotherapy was also given after consideration of the toxicity of nCRT, patient performance, and/or comorbidity. The regimen of adjuvant chemotherapy was cisplatin 20 mg/m²/day and 5-fluorouracil 800 mg/m²/day on days 1 through 4 and 22 through 25. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Results: From a total of 127 patients, 26 of them (20.5%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. In the multivariate analysis, pN+ diseases were independently associated with poor OS (hazard ratio (HR): 4.117, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.366–12.404; p = 0.012). For those with pN+ diseases, their 5-year OS was 36.4% in the follow-up arm compared with 45.8% in the adjuvant chemotherapy arm (p = 0.094). Conclusions: Pathologic node-positive disease is associated with poor OS in locally advanced esophagus cancer patients after combined treatments with nCRT and surgery. Adjuvant chemotherapy appeared to have improved OS in pathologic node-positive diseases.

Tumor size predicts worse prognosis in esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma

Adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEGJ) has an increasing incidence and is associated with limited overall survival. Several studies have tried to identify prognostic factors for AEGJ, although few have described relationships between prognosis and the tumor's size or anatomical location. Thus, this retrospective study evaluated 188 patients with resected locally advanced AEGJ. Tumor location was determined using upper endoscopy, and the following groups were created: E&E + EGJ (distal esophagus, esophagogastric junction, and distal esophagus), EGJ (esophagogastric junction), EGJ + G (esophagogastric junction and proximal stomach), G (proximal stomach), and E + EGJ + G (esophagus to the proximal stomach, including the esophagogastric junction). Other variables of interest were tumor size and differentiation, TNM stage, comorbidities, surgery type, and survival outcomes. Among 188 patients included, 163 were men (86.7%), and the mean age was 64.9 years. Forty-eight (25.6%) patients underwent total gastrectomy and distal esophagectomy, while 140 (74.4%) subtotal esophagectomy with proximal gastrectomy. Presence of comorbidities, tumor size, angiolymphatic and perineural invasion, and pTNM status were different between groups according to tumor location. The mean follow-up period was 47.4 months. The disease-free survival (DFS) rates were as follows: 72.7% (G), 68.0% (E&E + EGJ), 63.4% (EGJ), 57.1% (EGJ + G), and 44.4% (E + EGJ + G), while the overall survival (OS) rates were 81.0% (EGJ + G), 78.8% (G), 64.0% (E&E + EGJ), 54.9% (EGJ), and 48.1% (E + EGJ + G). Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size of < 5 cm, and tumor location G subgroups were associated with better DFS. High histological grade and advanced pT status were independent factors related to worse OS. In conclusion, the prognosis of AEGJ may be preoperatively predicted by a tumor size of ≥ 5 cm and its anatomical location.

Novel pathological staging for patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery

BACKGROUND

The aim of the present study was to clarify an appropriate staging system for patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LAESCC) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) prior to surgery.

METHODS

A total of 388 patients with clinical stage II or III LAESCC who had undergone NAC followed by an esophagectomy with three-field lymphadenectomy were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

The relapse-free survival (RFS) curves plotted using ypN grading and ypTNM staging both monotonically decreased as the classification number increased, and the groups were more clearly separated than when the Japanese Classification (JC) was applied. A multivariate analysis of relapse free survival (RFS) suggested that ypN (HR = 2.911, P < 0.001), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (HR = 2.608, P < 0.001) were independent factors associated with OS. The LVI+/ypN+ group had a significantly poorer outcome than the other groups (P < 0.001). The 5-year RFS rates for patients with ypStage IIIA or higher among the LVI-negative cases and ypStage II or higher among the LVI-positive cases were around 0.6 or under. The novel pathological staging which was based on the present results was proposed and RFS curves of each novel stage suggested the suitability of these staging for our cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The present results suggest that a novel pathological staging system using the ypTNM classification, in which the supraclavicular lymph node was regarded as a regional lymph node and the presence of LVI was included as a category, was appropriate for patients with LAESCC after NAC prior to surgery.

OUP accepted manuscript

Introduction

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are effective in the treatment of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC); however, their efficacy in locally advanced resectable ESCC and the potential predictive biomarkers have limited data.

Methods

In this study, locally advanced resectable ESCC patients were enrolled and received neoadjuvant toripalimab (240 mg, day 1) plus paclitaxel (135 mg/m², day 1) and carboplatin (area under the curve 5 mg/mL per min, day 1) in each 3-week cycle for 2 cycles, followed by esophagectomy planned 4-6 weeks after preoperative therapy. The primary endpoints were safety, feasibility, and the major pathological response (MPR) rate; the secondary endpoints were the pathological complete response (pCR) rate, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). Association between molecular signatures/tumor immune microenvironment and treatment response was also explored.

Results

Twenty resectable ESCC patients were enrolled. Treatment-related adverse events (AEs) occurred in all patients (100%), and 4 patients (22.2%) experienced grade 3 or higher treatment-related AEs. Sixteen patients underwent surgery without treatment-related surgical delay, and the R0 resection rate was 87.5% (14/16). Among the 16 patients, the MPR rate was 43.8% (7/16) and the pCR rate was 18.8% (3/16). The abundance of CD8⁺ T cells in surgical specimens increased (P = .0093), accompanied by a decreased proportion of M2-type tumor-associated macrophages (P = .036) in responders upon neoadjuvant therapy. Responders were associated with higher baseline gene expression levels of CXCL5 (P = .03) and lower baseline levels of CCL19 (P = .017) and UMODL1 (P = .03).

Conclusions

The combination of toripalimab plus paclitaxel and carboplatin is safe, feasible, and effective in locally advanced resectable ESCC, indicating its potential as a neoadjuvant treatment for ESCC.

Clinical Trial registration

NCT04177797

Comparative analysis of long-term oncologic outcomes for minimally invasive and open Ivor Lewis esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiation: a propensity score matched observational study

BACKGROUND

Locally advanced esophageal carcinoma is typically treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy (trimodality therapy). We compared the long-term oncologic outcomes of minimally invasive Ivor Lewis esophagectomy (M-ILE) cohort with a propensity score weighted cohort of open Ivor Lewis esophagectomy (O-ILE) cases after trimodality therapy.

METHODS

This is a retrospective review of 223 patients diagnosed with esophageal carcinoma who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by M-ILE or O-ILE from April 2009 to February 2019. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) adjustment was used to balance the baseline characteristics between study groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were calculated for overall survival and recurrence-free survival comparing the two groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to determine predictive variables for overall and recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

The IPTW cohort included patients with esophageal carcinoma who underwent M-ILE (n = 142) or O-ILE (n = 68). The overall rate of postoperative adverse events was not significantly different after IPTW adjustment between the O-ILE and M-ILE trimodality groups (53.4% vs. 39.2%, p = 0.089). The 3-year overall survival (OS) for the M-ILE group was 59.4% (95% CI: 49.8-67.8) compared to 55.7% (95% CI: 39.2-69.4) for the O-ILE group (p = 0.670). The 3-year recurrence-free survival for the M-ILE group was 59.9% (95% CI: 50.2-68.2) compared to 61.6% (95% CI: 41.9-76.3) for the O-ILE group (p = 0.357). A complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation was significantly predictive of improved OS and RFS.

CONCLUSION

The overall and recurrence-free survival rates for M-ILE were not significantly different from O-ILE for esophageal carcinoma after trimodality therapy. Complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation was predictive of improved overall and recurrence- free survival.

Value of Lymphadenectomy in Patients Receiving Neoadjuvant Therapy for Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the effect on survival of extent of lymphadenectomy during esophagectomy for patients undergoing multimodality (neoadjuvant) therapy for adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction using Worldwide Esophageal Cancer Collaboration data.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Previous worldwide data demonstrated that optimum lymphadenectomy during esophagectomy alone for esophageal cancer provides accurate staging and maximum survival. However, for patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced adenocarcinoma, its value is unclear, leading to wide practice variability.

METHODS

A total of 3859 patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or esophagogastric junction received neoadjuvant therapy. The endpoint was all-cause mortality, reported as gain or loss of lifetime within 10 years. Lifetime predicted for each regional lymph node resected used quantile survival random forest methodology.

RESULTS

Across all post-neoadjuvant ypTNM cancer categories, some degree of lymphadenectomy was associated with longer lifetime, but in a nonlinear fashion. For patients with ypN0 cancers, there was a modest gain in lifetime up to 25 lymph nodes resected and an incremental loss in lifetime as >25 were resected. For patients with ypN+ cancers, there was a robust gain in lifetime up to 30 lymph nodes resected and then an incremental loss in lifetime.

CONCLUSIONS

Worldwide data for adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction demonstrate that lymphadenectomy during esophagectomy is a valuable component of neoadjuvant therapy. Survival is maximized when an optimum range of nodes is resected.

Prognostic impact of sterilized lymph nodes in esophageal squamous cell carcinomas after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

The prognostic importance of sterilized lymph nodes (SLN) remains unclear in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinomas (ESCC) treated by neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). This study aimed to determine whether SLN predicted disease-free survival (DFS) in ESCC.

METHODS

We enrolled 246 eligible patients who were divided into SLN (+) and SLN (-) group according to the presence or absence of fibrosis, necrosis, calcifications and/or foreign body giant cell reactions in the negative lymph nodes specimens. The prognostic value of SLN was determined using univariate and multivariate analyses. The prognostic strength of counting SLN as positive lymph nodes was evaluated using the difference of Akaike information criterion (ΔAIC).

RESULTS

A total of 61 SLN were identified in 38 (15.4%) patients. There was no significant difference in baseline characteristics between SLN (+) and SLN (-) group. The most frequently detected SLN in the thoracic cavity and abdominal cavity were those along bilateral recurrent laryngeal nerve (21/38,55.3%) and left gastric artery (13/24,60.9%), respectively. The univariate and multivariate analyses showed SLN was an independent prognostic factor for worse DFS in the whole cohort (HR = 2.05, 95%CI = 1.08-3.90, P = 0.029). The SLN (+) group additionally correlated with worse 5-year DFS than SLN (-) group in the ypT0, ypN0 and pCR subgroups. Counting SLN as positive lymph nodes showed better prognostic strength than ignoring them.

CONCLUSION

SLN was of prognostic significance for worse DFS in patients with ESCC, particularly in patients with good response to nCRT.

A validated nomogram integrating hematological indicators to predict response to neoadjuvant therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

The prognoses for advanced Esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) was very poor. Neoadjuvant therapy was shown to improve overall survival of ESCC patients. However, there is still no effective indicator to predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy. The present study intended to investigate the correlation between hematological parameters and the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy so as to provide a reference for the prediction of cancer response to neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

This study included 197 ESCC patients in our center from January 2010 to December 2018. Response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) criteria were used for the treatment evaluation. The results of univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to select independent factors for construction of the prediction model. The concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve were used to evaluate the robustness of the model, while the bootstrap method was used for internal validation.

RESULTS

Among the 197 included ESCC patients, 94 patients achieved partial remission, 80 patients were in stable condition, and 23 patients had disease progression, 123 of whom underwent surgery. The comparisons of the dynamic hematological test results before and after treatment show that pre-PLT, pre-MONO%, post-Hb, △WBC, and the option of undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiation were the potential predictors for the effectiveness of neoadjuvant therapy. The model in which the C-index was 0.803 (95% confidence interval: 0.742-0.864) showed good prediction performance, and still reach a C-index of 0.764 when internally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

For the neoadjuvant treatment of ESCC, hematological indexes are closely related to the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy. The nomogram can be used to easily predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy in patients.

Importance of Lymph Node Response After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Tumor response and lymph node involvement are the most important prognosticators in resected patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). We hypothesize that lymph node response (LNR) is also a valuable prognosticator in these patients, potentially revealing the added effect of nCRT.

METHODS

Hematoxylin and eosin slides of 193 esophageal adenocarcinoma patients with clinical suspicion of lymph node involvement (cN+) and treated with nCRT between 2008 and 2015 were assessed. Lymph nodes containing viable tumor cells were considered ypN+, and those negative for viable tumor were ypN0. LNR was also described according to an earlier defined method. Three groups were obtained: ypN0/LNR-, ypN0/LNR+, and ypN+. They were compared with 188 cN+ patients being pN0 (n = 45) or pN+ (n = 143) after upfront esophageal resection.

RESULTS

Forty-four patients were ypN0/LNR-, 55 were ypN0/LNR+, and 94 were ypN+. Median overall survival was 96.4, 31.2, and 20.6 months, respectively, and was significantly different between ypN0/LNR- and ypN0/LNR+ groups (P = .020). Survival was comparable between ypN0/LNR- and pN0 (104.2 months) groups (P = .519) and between ypN+ and pN+ (21.6 months) groups (P = .966). In ypN0 patients, risk of death in LNR+ patients was tripled compared with LNR- patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In cN+ esophageal adenocarcinoma patients treated with nCRT with postoperative final pathology being ypN0, median overall survival is tripled when no signs of LNR were found and comparable to cN+/pN0 upfront esophagectomy patients, suggesting that 23% of patients treated with nCRT were in fact true N0 and overtreated by nCRT. ypN+ patients have no survival benefit compared with pN+ patients.

Nomograms for predicting overall and recurrence-free survival after trimodality therapy for esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Locally advanced esophageal carcinoma is treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy. Patients may still experience recurrence and death despite undergoing potentially curative trimodality therapy. This study describes predictive nomograms for recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after the completion of trimodality therapy.

METHODS

A total of 215 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma underwent trimodality therapy from September 2010 to April 2018. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to create nomograms for OS and RFS. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were calculated for OS and RFS comparing high-risk and low-risk cohorts.

RESULTS

On multivariate analysis, clinical N-stage, tumor differentiation, tumor regression grade, anastomotic leak, body mass index, age, and number of lymph nodes removed were predictive variables for overall survival. Clinical N-stage, tumor differentiation, tumor regression grade, anastomotic leak, age, and positive lymph nodes were significant predictors of RFS in a multivariate model. The nomogram for OS had good predictive ability (Harrell's Concordance index [C-index]: 0.71 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 0.66-0.76]). The nomogram for RFS also performed well (C-index: 0.70 [95% CI: 0.65-0.74]).

CONCLUSION

Our nomograms can accurately predict OS and RFS after trimodality therapy and may provide guidance regarding adjuvant therapy and surveillance.

Prognostic factors for survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with a complete regression of the primary tumor (ypT0) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery

Background

There are also differences in survival prognosis among esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with a complete regression of the primary tumor (ypT0) after Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery. And the purpose of this study was to investigate influencing factors from these different prognostic outcomes and their possible causes.

Methods

The clinical data of 88 cases of ESCC patients with ypT0 after NCRT followed by surgery between 2011 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The clinical and pathological prognostic factors that affect the survival were analyzed.

Results

Sex, number of lymph nodes dissected, and pathologic positivity of lymph nodes may be significant in univariate analysis (P<0.1). Further multivariate analysis suggested that the pathologic positivity of the lymph nodes was an independent factor affecting prognosis (HR: 4.757, 95% CI: 2.195–10.313, P=0.000). Subsequently, the whole group was divided into a positive lymph node group (group LN+) and a negative lymph node group (group LN−) for comparison. The overall survival (OS) of group LN+ was significantly worse (HR: 0.211, 95% CI: 0.0336–0.239; P<0.0001), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was significantly poorer in the LN+ group (HR: 0.0679, 95% CI: 0.0239–0.1923, P<0.0001). There were 14 cases of recurrence and metastasis in the LN+ group (14/21, 66.7%) and 10 cases in the group LN− (10/67, 14.9%). Among the sites of recurrence and metastasis, there were 10 (10/14, 71.4%) and 4 (4/14, 28.6%) cases of distant metastasis, respectively, and 4 (4/14, 28.6%) cases of local metastasis in the LN+ group; meanwhile, there were 8 (8/10, 80.0%) cases of distant metastasis and 2 (2/10, 20.0%) cases of local metastasis in the LN− group.

Conclusions

The independent risk factor for survival prognosis in ESCC patients with ypT0 after NCRT followed by surgery was positive postoperative pathological lymph nodes. The reason for the shortened survival time associated with this group of patients was their susceptibility to recurrence and metastasis.

Value of spectral detector CT for pretherapeutic, locoregional assessment of esophageal cancer

PURPOSE

To investigate the diagnostic value of spectral detector dual-energy CT-derived low-keV virtual monoenergetic images (VMI) and iodine overlays (IO) for locoregional, pretherapeutic assessment of esophageal cancer.

METHOD

74 patients with biopsy-proven esophageal cancer who underwent pre-therapeutic, portal-venous-phase staging examinations of the chest and abdomen were retrospectively included. Quantitative image analysis was performed ROI-based within the tumor, healthy esophageal wall, peri-esophageal lymph nodes, azygos vein, aorta, liver, diaphragm, and mediastinal fat. Two radiologists evaluated delineation of the primary tumor and locoregional lymph nodes, assessment of the celiac trunk and diagnostic certainty regarding tumor infiltration in conventional images (CI), VMI from 40 to 70 keV and IO. Moreover, presence/absence of advanced tumor infiltration (T3/T4) was determined binary using all available images.

RESULTS

VMI_40-60keV showed significantly higher attenuation and signal-to-noise ratio compared to CI for all assessed ROIs, peaking at VMI_40keV (p < 0.05). Contrast-to-noise ratio of tumor/esophagus (VMI_40keV/CI: 7.7 ± 4.7 vs. 2.3 ± 1.5), tumor/diaphragm (VMI_40keV/CI: 9.0 ± 5.5 vs. 2.2 ± 1.7) and tumor/liver (4.3 ± 5.5 vs. 1.9 ± 2.1) were all significantly higher compared to CI (p < 0.05). Qualitatively, lymph node delineation and diagnostic certainty regarding tumor infiltration received highest ratings both in IO and VMI_40keV, whereas vascular assessment was rated highest in VMI_40keV and primary tumor delineation in IO. Sensitivity/Specificity/Accuracy for detecting advanced tumor infiltration using the combination of CI, VMI_40-70keV and IO was 42.4 %/82.0 %/56.3 %.

CONCLUSIONS

IO and VMI_40-60keV improve qualitative assessment of the primary tumor and depiction of lymph nodes and vessels at pretherapeutic SDCT of esophageal cancer patients yet do not mitigate the limitations of CT in determining tumor infiltration.

The feasibility and safety of radical esophagectomy in patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy with pembrolizumab for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitors have been tried for several thoracic malignancies; however, their application as a neoadjuvant therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has not been studied. We evaluated the feasibility and safety of esophagectomy and total lymphadenectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy with pembrolizumab.

Methods

Between 2017 and 2018, 38 patients who received the neoadjuvant therapy followed by radical esophagectomy and total lymphadenectomy for ESCC were analyzed. Twenty-two patients received conventional neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (Group 1), and sixteen patients received neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy with pembrolizumab in clinical trial (Group 2). Two groups were compared retrospectively.

Results

The basic characteristics of age, clinical stage, location and methods of operation were not different between the two groups. The pathologic stages were higher in Group 2, but the difference was not statistically significant. The operative outcomes, i.e., operation time, blood loss, and numbers of dissected lymph nodes in the thorax, neck, and abdomen were comparable. Complications, including pulmonary complications and anastomotic leakage, were also comparable. The rate of recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy was also comparable between the two groups (31.8% vs. 18.8%, P=0.469). Operative mortalities developed in 2 patients [0 vs. 2 (12.5%), P=0.171] due to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).

Conclusions

Radical esophagectomy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy with pembrolizumab may not increase the operative risk or reduce the quality of radical dissection including lymphadenectomy. The risk of ARDS after neoadjuvant neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy with pembrolizumab has to be studied in the further analysis.

Validation of the post-neoadjuvant staging system of the American joint committee on cancer, 8th edition, in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by curative esophagectomy for localized esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition staging system presents separate classifications for pTNM and post-neoadjuvant ypTNM (ypTNM-8th) to enhance prognostic prediction after neoadjuvant therapy and surgery. We aimed to validate the ypTNM-8th staging system and to compare the prognostication performance of ypTNM-8th with that of pTNM-7th and pTNM-8th in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

METHODS

We reviewed 207 ESCC patients treated with nCRT between January 2007 and December 2014 and compared the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's C-index to determine the prognostic performance of each TNM system.

RESULTS

Survival curve analysis of pTNM-7th and -8th showed a stepwise drop in survival from ypT0N0 to advanced stages, whereas the survival outcome of ypStage III showed a better prognosis than that of ypStage II according to ypTNM-8th. Lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and tumor regression grade were significantly associated with overall survival on univariate analysis. Each TNM system showed significant p-values for trend (p < 0.0001 each), but after adjusting for prognostic factors, ypTNM-8th did not significantly predict survival (p = 0.15), whereas pTNM-7th remained significant (p < 0.001). pTNM-7th incorporating ypT0N0M0 and ypT0 (is)N + M0 as separate groups was superior in prognostication as its AIC was smaller and its C-index was higher than those of pTNM-8th and ypTNM-8th, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Because ypTNM-8th did not provide sufficient prognostication for patients with ESCC treated with nCRT followed by esophagectomy, more sophisticated prognostic classification should be developed for the ypTNM staging system in these patients.

Clinical Utility of ypTNM Stage Grouping in the 8th Edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM Staging System for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system provided a specific 'ypTNM' stage grouping for patients with esophageal cancer.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the clinical utility of the AJCC 8th edition ypTNM stage grouping for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

We enrolled 152 patients with ESCC who underwent surgery after neoadjuvant cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (CF) therapy between June 2005 and December 2011. ypStage was evaluated according to the AJCC 7th and 8th editions. Predictive performance for disease-specific survival (DSS) and overall survival (OS) was compared between both editions. The prognostic significance of ypTNM stage grouping was evaluated using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Revision of the AJCC 7th edition to the 8th edition was associated with a change in ypStage in 96 patients (63.2%). The AJCC 8th edition revealed a better predictive performance than the 7th edition in terms of DSS (Akaike's information criterion [AIC] 499 vs. 513; Bayesian information criterion [BIC] 505 versus 519; concordance index [C-index] 0.725 versus 0.679) and OS (AIC 662 vs. 674; BIC 669 vs. 681; C-index 0.662 vs. 0.622). On univariate and multivariate analyses, ypStage in the 8th edition was an independent prognostic factor for both DSS and OS.

CONCLUSIONS

ypTNM stage grouping in the AJCC 8th edition provided a better predictive performance for DSS and OS than that in the 7th edition. ypStage in the 8th edition was the most reliable prognostic factor for ESCC patients who underwent surgery after neoadjuvant CF therapy.

Updates in the 8th edition of the TNM staging system for esophagus and esophagogastric junction cancer

The tumor-node metastasis (TNM) classification, originally developed in 1943 and subsequently adopted by the Union for International Cancer Control and the American Joint Committee on Cancer, is regularly updated based on new information and developments. The TNM classification system is the main tool used for both clinical and pathological staging of cancers worldwide. The 8th edition of the TNM classification for esophageal and esophagogastric junction (EGJ) cancer, released in 2017, was updated from the 7th edition based on additional data supplied by the Worldwide Esophageal Cancer Collaboration group. We summarize the main changes between the 7th and 8th editions of this TNM classification. Notable changes included separate clinical, pathological and pathological prognostic staging for adenocarcinomas and squamous cell carcinomas. Pathological prognostic staging was also improved by updating the T- and N-factors regarding histopathological differentiation and tumor location, respectively. The definition of EGJ cancer was changed from tumors centered within 5 cm to tumors within 2 cm of the EGJ. These updates to the TNM classification will help to improve the personalized management and treatment of patients with esophageal and EGJ cancers.

Role of Imaging in Esophageal Cancer Management in 2020: Update for Radiologists

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article is to discuss the role of imaging in the management of esophageal cancer. CONCLUSION. A multimodality-based approach to imaging is essential in clinical practice to achieve the best possible outcome for patients with esophageal cancer. Radiologists must be aware of the strengths and limitations of different imaging modalities in various clinical settings. The role of a radiologist is to combine information from anatomic and functional imaging, assess metastatic disease and changes in the primary tumor during treatment, and identify anatomic complications after treatment.

Cricopharyngeal myotomy for cricopharyngeus muscle dysfunction after esophagectomy

Background

Pharyngoesophageal dysphagia sometimes develops after esophagectomy. However, severe dysphagia after esophagectomy due to cricopharyngeus muscle dysfunction is a rare complication. There are no recommended clinical treatments for cricopharyngeus muscle dysfunction after esophagectomy. We report a case of myotomy for cricopharyngeus muscle dysfunction after esophagectomy.

Case presentation

A 75-year-old man with mild dysphagia diagnosed with advanced esophageal cancer by esophagogastroduodenoscopy at a clinic was admitted to our hospital. He had occasional mild dysphagia when he swallowed solid foods. After chemotherapy, the patient underwent minimally invasive esophagectomy with regional lymph node dissection and was reconstructed with a gastric conduit and cervical anastomosis by the retrosternal route. Aspiration pneumonia developed after esophagectomy without paralysis of the vocal cords. In esophagoscopy, there was no stricture around the anastomosis. However, severe pharyngoesophageal dysphagia with cricopharyngeus muscle dysfunction was revealed by videofluoroscopic examination. Bilateral cricopharyngeal myotomy was performed because balloon dilations had failed. The histological findings revealed atrophy and fibrosis of the cricopharyngeus muscle fibers. Pharyngoesophageal dysphagia improved immediately after myotomy. The patient swallowed solid food easily without dysphagia 12 months after myotomy.

Conclusion

Dysphagia after esophagectomy was worsened by cricopharyngeus muscle dysfunction. Cricopharyngeus myotomy may lead to long improvement of pharyngo-oesophageal dysphagia after esophagetomy.

Locoregional Residual Esophageal Cancer after Neo-adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and Surgery Regarding Anatomic Site and Radiation Target Fields: A Histopathologic Evaluation Study

OBJECTIVE

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery establishes a considerable pathologic complete response (pCR) in EC. The aim was to determine site of residual tumor and its prognostic impact.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

High rates of residual tumor in the adventitial region even inside the radiation fields will influence current decision-making.

METHODS

We evaluated resection specimens with marked target fields from 151 consecutive EC patients treated with carboplatin/paclitaxel and 41.4Gy between 2009 and 2018.

RESULTS

In radically resected (R0) specimens 19.8% (27/136) had a pCR (ypT0N0) and 14% nearly no response (tumor regression grade: tumor regression grade 4-5). Residual tumor commonly extended in or restricted to the adventitia (43.1%; 47/109), whereas 7.3% was in the mucosa (ypT1a), 16.5% in the submucosa (ypT1b) and 6.4% only in lymph nodes (ypT0N+). Macroscopic residues in R0-specimens of partial responders (tumor regression grade 2-3: N = 90) were found in- and outside the gross tumor volume (GTV) in 33.3% and 8.9%, and only microscopic in- and outside the clinical target volume in 58.9% and 1.1%, respectively. Residual nodal disease was observed proximally and distally to the clinical target volume in 2 and 5 patients, respectively. Disease Free Survival decreased significantly if macroscopic tumor was outside the GTV and in ypT2-4aN+.

CONCLUSIONS

After neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, pCR and ypT1aN0 were seen in a limited number of R0 resected specimens (19.8% and 7.3%, respectively), whereas 6.4% had only nodal disease (yT0N+). Disease Free Survival decreased significantly if macroscopic residue was outside the GTV and in responders with only nodal disease. Therefore, we should be cautious in applying wait and see strategies.

Nodal Downstaging of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: Survival Analysis if ypN0 Is Achieved

BACKGROUND

It is known that ypN0 status after induction treatment can be divided into "natural" N0 (cN0/ypN0) and "downstaged" N0 (cN+/ypN0). Whether natural N0 patients and downstaged N0 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after neoadjvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) have similar prognosis is unknown.

METHODS

An institutional database was reviewed to identify ESCC patients after nCRT, whose CT scans were retrieved and reviewed to reclassify nodal status. The patients were divided into 3 groups based on node status: natural N0, downstaged N0, and ypN+. Impact of nodal status on survival and associations with survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

We identified 110 patients, and 25 had natural N0 disease, 52 had downstaged N0 disease, and 33 had ypN+ disease. The 3-year OS was 76.7%, 79.5%, and 49% in natural N0, downstaged N0 and ypN+ group, respectively, and, correspondingly, the 3-year DFS was 77%, 73.9%, and 36.3%. In multivariable analysis, OS (P = 0.794) and DFS (P = 0.957) did not differ between natural N0 and downstaged N0 groups, but it was significantly shorter in ypN+ group (OS, P = 0.032; DFS, P = 0.021). In subgroups with "poor response" of primary tumor, the prognosis of natural N0 and downstaged N0 paitents was poor almost identical to ypN+ in both OS (P = 0.721; P = 0.252) and DFS (P = 0.694; P = 0.114).

CONCLUSIONS

The ypN0 status is an important hallmark demonstrating the effectiveness of nCRT for ESCC, regardless of cN status. Additionally, the survival of natural N0 and downstaged N0 patients with bad response at primary site may be poor, similar to ypN+ patients.

Evaluating the eighth edition TNM staging system for esophageal cancer among patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy: A SEER study

BACKGROUND

The evaluation of the eighth edition of ypTNM staging system for patients with esophageal cancer was limited in the setting of neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

A total of 2324 patients with esophageal cancer receiving radio(chemo)therapy prior to surgery from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2013 were eligible for the analysis. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate overall survivals.

RESULTS

Among patients with preoperative therapy, both the seventh edition TNM grouping and the eighth edition ypTNM grouping could significantly stratify the overall survival (both log-rank P < .001). There was not significant difference in the C-index of the seventh edition TNM grouping (0.575; 95%CI, 0.558-0.593) and the eighth edition ypTNM grouping (0.569; 95%CI, 0.551-0.587) (P = .098). In multivariable Cox analysis, ypN category was the strongest predictor of overall survival (P < .001), followed by tumor grade (HR, 1.33; 95%CI, 1.12-1.56; P = .001). The combination of ypT, ypN, and ypG categories yielded significantly higher C-index (0.591; 95%CI, 0.573-0.609) than that of the seventh edition TNM staging (P = .024).

CONCLUSION

Tumor grade remained an independent predictor of overall survival in the setting of neoadjuvant therapy, and could improve the performance of ypTNM staging system.

Validation and proposed modification of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for patients with esophageal neuroendocrine neoplasms: Evaluation of a revised lymph node classification

There is currently no universally accepted staging system for esophageal neuroendocrine neoplasms (ENENs). In the present study, patients with ENENs, identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry (SEER) (n=191 patients) and the multicentric series (n=51 patients), were stratified to assess the validity of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems, particularly for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and esophageal adenocarcinoma. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess disease-specific survival (DSS), according to the Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) status, and the Cox model was applied to evaluate differences in prognosis after adjustment for potential confounders. For the 8th AJCC staging classifications, only the pathological stage groups (pTNM) conferred increased hazard ratios from stage I to stage IV, with overlaps between adjacent stages. According to the current findings, the regional lymph nodes involvement status other than the current N classification was a significant predictor of DSS. Consequently, a revised N(Nr) classification was proposed and therefore a new TNrM staging system was adopted, for which progressively poorer DSS associated with increasing stage was observed. Moreover, the concordance index with the modified staging system was slightly higher in patients with ENENs from the SEER registry compared with that of the 8th pTNM system. In conclusion, lymph node status, rather than the number of positive lymph nodes, was a marker of poorer DSS and the modified staging system provided an easier and more accurate staging tool. The present results indicate that revisions to the current staging classifications may be improve the assessment of patient prognosis.

The Significance of Negative Lymph Nodes in Esophageal Cancer After Curative Resection: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective

The impact of negative lymph nodes (NLNs) count on prognosis in esophageal cancer (EC) was analyzed using two institutions surgical database.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study of 768 EC patients treated by surgical resection between January 2010 and December 2012. The effects of the NLNs count on prognosis was analyzed. Cox regression model was conducted to determine the significant prognostic elements.

Results

The number of NLNs was studied as a categorical variable based on the quartiles (Q1: ≤15, Q2: 16–21, Q3: 22–30, Q4: ≥31). And a better overall survival (OS) was observed with increasing number of NLNs (HR= 0.762; 95% CI, 0.596–0.974 for Q2, HR= 0.666; 95% CI, 0.516–0.860 for Q3 and HR= 0.588; 95% CI, 0.450–0.768 for Q4) (all P<0.05). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that the NLNs count was an independent prognostic factor. Besides, for patients in T2 or T3 stage, a high number of NLNs was found to be significantly associated with a favorable OS (log rank P<0.001).

Conclusion

A higher number of NLNs is independently related to the better OS in EC patients after surgical resection.

Comparison of the prognostic difference between ypTNM and equivalent pTNM stages in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma based on the 8th edition of AJCC classification

Objective: With the separate ypTNM stage groupings established in the 8th edition of AJCC staging system for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC), we aimed to evaluate the prognostic difference between ypTNM stage and equivalent pTNM stage.

Methods: ESCC patients with surgery alone (cohort 1) and patients with neoadjuvant therapy plus surgery (cohort 2) were enrolled in the study.

Results: In p0, pIb, pIIa, pIIb, pIIIa, pIIIb and pIVa stages of cohort 1, the 5-year DFS and OS rates were 100/100%, 80.5/86.2%, 58.9/57.8%, 51.1/52.7%, 36.3/35.8%, 21.5/22.6% and 11.9/18.0%. In ypI, ypII, ypIII and ypIVa stages of cohort 2, the 5-year DFS and OS rates were 60.9/67.0%, 44.3/52.1%, 48.4/43.2% and 0. Patients in ypI stage had a tendency of poorer survival compared with those in pI stage (P=0.024 for DFS, P=0.067 for OS). There was no significant difference in terms of DFS (P=0.335) or OS (P=0.903) between ypII and pII. Patients in ypIII stage had a tendency of better survival compared with those in pIII stage (P=0.015 for DFS, P=0.059 for OS). Patients in ypIVa stage exhibited a significantly poorer OS compared with those in pIVa stage (P=0.038).

Conclusions: With down-staged tumor after neoadjuvant therapy, survival of ypI was closed but not reached to the prognosis of equivalent pI, prognosis of ypII was similar to equivalent pII, and survival of ypIII tended to be better compared with equivalent pIII. However, without down-staged ypIVa tumor, the prognosis was worse compared with equivalent pIVa, indicating those patients were primary resistant to prescribed neoadjuvant therapy.

Precision Surgical Therapy for Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagus and Esophagogastric Junction

INTRODUCTION

To facilitate the initial clinical decision regarding whether to use esophagectomy alone or neoadjuvant therapy in surgical care for individual patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction-information not available from randomized trials-a machine-learning analysis was performed using worldwide real-world data on patients undergoing different therapies for this rare adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

Using random forest technology in a sequential analysis, we (1) identified eligibility for each of four therapies among 13,365 patients: esophagectomy alone (n = 6649), neoadjuvant therapy (n = 4706), esophagectomy and adjuvant therapy (n = 998), and neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy (n = 1022); (2) performed survival analyses incorporating interactions of patient and cancer characteristics with therapy; (3) determined optimal therapy as that predicted to maximize lifetime within 10 years (restricted mean survival time; RMST) for each patient; and (4) compared lifetime gained from optimal versus actual therapies.

RESULTS

Actual therapy was optimal in 61% of those receiving esophagectomy alone; neoadjuvant therapy was optimal for 36% receiving neoadjuvant therapy. Many patients were predicted to benefit from postoperative adjuvant therapy. Total RMST for actual therapy received was 58,825 years. Had patients received optimal therapy, total RMST was predicted to be 62,982 years, a 7% gain.

CONCLUSIONS

Average treatment effect for adenocarcinoma of the esophagus yields only crude evidence-based therapy guidelines. However, patient response to therapy is widely variable, and survival after data-driven predicted optimal therapy often differs from actual therapy received. Therapy must address an individual patient's cancer and clinical characteristics to provide precision surgical therapy for adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction.

Texture analysis of computed tomography data using morphologic and metabolic delineation of esophageal cancer-relation to tumor type and neoadjuvant therapy response

The prognostic values of image-based tumor texture analysis based on computed tomography (CT) and of limiting the segmented tumor volume to metabolically active regions using fludeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) were studied in 25 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma and 11 patients with squamous cell carcinoma. The aims of this study are to describe their CT-image-based texture characteristics before and after neoadjuvant therapy and to evaluate whether limiting the examined tumor volume to metabolically active regions detected with FDG-PET image data would further improve their value. Textural parameters (homogeneity, energy, entropy, contrast, and correlation) based on gray-level co-occurrence matrices (GLCM) were calculated for 3D volumes of segmented esophageal tumors before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy or radiochemotherapy. Histopathological data after surgical resection and textural parameters before and after neoadjuvant treatment were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Significant differences in the textural parameters were observed between adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma for homogeneity, energy, inertia, and correlation. The use of contrast media during scanning resulted in significant differences in homogeneity, energy, entropy, and inertia for adenocarcinoma but not squamous cell carcinoma. There was also a significant difference in all textural parameters between pathological T status for ypT0-ypT2 and ypT3-ypT4 adenocarcinomas, but not in squamous cell carcinoma patients. No additional value was found from using PET image data to aid segmentation of CT images.

Proposed revision of N categories to the 8th edition of the AJCC-TNM staging system for non-surgical esophageal squamous cell cancer

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumor‐Node‐Metastasis (AJCC‐TNM) staging system for esophageal cancer (EC) retained the definition of N categories based on the number of metastatic lymph nodes (LN). However, it is difficult to accurately determine the number of metastatic LN without surgery. This study aimed to propose a revision to the N categories of the 8th edition AJCC‐TNM staging system that makes staging easier to perform and better represents the prognosis of non‐surgical esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC). We retrospectively reviewed the data of 336 patients with ESCC. The revised N categories were based on the anatomic regions of LN metastasis (cervix, thorax and abdomen). Survival was analyzed using the Kaplan‐Meier method and compared using the log‐rank test. Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model. Survival differences were adequately discriminated when the revised N categories were used. Subgroup analyses by T stage showed significant difference in overall survival between the revised N categories. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that T stage, revised N category, age, sex and treatment modality were independent risk factors, with the revised N category being the most significant variable. The revised N categories determined in this study can be used to fill gaps in the staging system for patients with non‐surgical ESCC, which can help clinicians to make better treatment decisions and more effectively predict patient prognoses. Future large‐scale studies are required to validate these results.

Recurrence and prognostic model for identifying patients at risk for esophageal cancer after surgery

Objective

The aim of this study was to construct a risk model to assess overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) after surgery.

Patients and methods

A total of 872 consecutive EC patients who had undergone surgery between February 2009 and October 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. The cutoff for risk value (RV) was inferred by receiver operating characteristic curves and the Youden index. A log-rank test was used to compare the survival curves, and a Cox regression analysis was performed to clarify the significant prognostic factors.

Results

The area under the curve was 0.688 for OS and 0.645 for DFS. The survival rates were 69.4% (259/373) and 39.1% (195/499), and the rates of recurrence were 19.2% (70/364) and 27.6% (132/479), respectively, for RV<0.218 and RV≥0.218 (c²=78.83, P<0.001; c²=9.07, P=0.003; respectively). A multivariate Cox regression analysis identified cases suffering from higher overall mortalities with RV≥0.218 compared to RV<0.218 (HR=1.45; 95% CI, 1.21–2.02; P=0.015); similar results were also found for DFS (HR=1.38; 95% CI, 1.03–1.86; P=0.033). Kaplan–Meier survival curves showed that cases with RV<0.218 had better OS and DFS than cases with RV≥0.218 (log rank = 75.80, P<0.001; log rank = 24.78, P<0.001).

Conclusion

This model could be applied to an integrated assessment of recurrence and prognostic risk after the surgical treatment of EC.