Post-treatment levels of α-fetoprotein predict long-term hepatocellular carcinoma development after sustained virological response in patients with hepatitis C

Lysyl oxidase-like 2 as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus after sustained virological response

Lysyl oxidase-like 2 (LOXL2) mediates the crosslinking of extracellular collagen, reflecting qualitative changes in liver fibrosis. This study aimed to validate the utility of serum LOXL2 levels as a predictive biomarker for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). This retrospective study included 137 patients with chronic HCV infection without history of HCC development and who achieved SVR via direct-acting antiviral therapy. Median LOXL2 levels decreased significantly after SVR achievement (pre-Tx, 2.33 ng/mL; post-Tx, 1.31 ng/mL, p < 0.001). Post-Tx LOXL2 levels, fibrosis-4 index, platelet counts, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein levels, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were identified as independent predictive factors for post-SVR HCC development in the univariate analysis. The incidence of post-SVR HCC development was significantly higher in patients with post-Tx LOXL2 levels ≥ 2.08 ng/mL and AFP levels ≥ 5.0 ng/mL than in patients with elevated levels of either marker or with lower marker levels. Serum LOXL2 levels can serve as a predictive biomarker for HCC development after achieving SVR. The combination of serum LOXL2 and AFP levels provides robust risk stratification for HCC development after SVR, suggesting an enhanced surveillance strategy.

VFMAP predicted hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis C who were treated with direct-acting antiviral and achieved sustained virologic response

PURPOSE

Risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unclear in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) who achieve sustained virological response (SVR) after direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. This study investigated the usefulness of the VFMAP scoring system for predicting the development of HCC in these patients.

METHODS

This study included 358 patients with HCV who achieved SVR after DAA treatment. The VFMAP system defines and scores cutoff values for virtual touch quantification (VTQ), fasting plasma glucose, sex, age, and alpha-fetoprotein values. All patients were grouped according to their VFMAP scores as follows: 0 or 1 point, low-score group; 2 or 3 points, intermediate-score group; and 4 or 5 points, high-score group.

RESULTS

Nineteen patients developed HCC. The median follow-up duration was 3.2 (1.5-4.0) years. The respective cumulative incidence rates of HCC at 12, 24, and 36 months were as follows in different subgroups: all study patients, 3.0%, 4.8%, and 6.6%; low-score group, 0.96%, 0.96%, and 0.96%; intermediate-score group, 2.6%, 4.5%, and 6.8%; and high-score group, 10.0%, 15.3%, and 18.5%. The cumulative incidence rates of HCC in the high-score group were significantly higher than those in the low- and intermediate-score groups (p < 0.001 and < 0.05, respectively).

CONCLUSION

VFMAP accurately predicted the development of HCC in HCV patients who achieved SVR following treatment with DAAs.

FIB‑4 index and serum α‑fetoprotein are useful predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in hepatitis B patients with nucleos(t)ide analogs therapy

Current antiviral therapies cannot achieve eradication of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and can reduce but not eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic HBV infection. The present study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development by analyzing nucleoside analogue (NA)-treated patients as a retrospective cohort using fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4 index) as a non-invasive fibrosis marker. A total of 260 patients with HBV receiving NAs without a history of HCC between January 2001 and January 2021 were included in the present study. The incidence of HCC in patients with HBV during NA therapy and the factors contributing to HCC occurrence were identified using clinical characteristics and blood test results. Among the 260 patients, 40 patients (15.4%) developed HCC. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that age [hazard ratio (HR), 1.03; P=0.045], male sex (HR, 3.14; P<0.01) and FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment <1.95 (HR, 4.35; P<0.01) correlated with the incidence of HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC in patients with FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment >1.95 was significantly higher compared with that in patients with FIB-4 index ≤1.95 (P<0.01). Multivariate analysis in patients in which serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level at 6 months after NA treatment was measured showed that FIB-4 index >1.95 (HR, 8.27; P=0.014) and serum AFP level >4 ng/ml (HR, 4.26; P=0.033) contributed to HCC occurrence. FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment and serum AFP levels at 6 months after NA treatment were predictors for the development of HCC in patients with HBV during NA treatment. Further study of hepatocarcinogenesis during NA with a longer follow-up period and larger numbers of participants is required.

Characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus who received direct‐acting antiviral therapy and achieved sustained virological response: The impact of a hepatologist on surveillance

Background and Aim

The relationship between the characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosed after sustained virological response (SVR) with direct‐acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and surveillance status has not been sufficiently investigated. This study investigated the clinical risk factors for HCC development and HCC characteristics according to which type of physician performed follow‐up after SVR.

Methods

A total of 1070 patients in whom hepatitis C virus (HCV) was eradicated with DAA therapy were evaluated.

Results

There were 458 patients followed by hepatologists (specialist group) and 612 followed by non‐hepatologists (non‐specialist group) after SVR. During the follow‐up period, 54 patients developed HCC. The 1‐, 2‐, 3‐, 4‐, and 5‐year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1.8, 4.1, 6.9, 10.5, and 17.2%, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 3.139; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.732–5.690), α‐fetoprotein level (HR, 1.056; 95% CI, 1.035–1.077), and fibrosis‐4 (FIB‐4) index (HR, 1.051; 95% CI, 1.017–1.085) were significantly associated with HCC development, while the follow‐up physician type after SVR was not. There were 25 patients with stage I HCC, 17 with stage II, 9 with stage III, and 3 with stage IV. Multivariate ordinal logistic regression showed that follow‐up physician type (non‐specialist) (HR, 39.100; 95% CI, 9.350–224.00) was independently associated with HCC stage, while α‐fetoprotein level and FIB‐4 index were not.

Conclusion

When patients have more risk factors for HCC development after SVR (i.e., male sex, elevated α‐fetoprotein, or elevated FIB‐4 index), they should be followed by a hepatologist for HCC surveillance.

Incidence and risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C who achieved a sustained virological response through direct‐acting antiviral agents among the working population in Japan

Background and Aim

The development of hepatocarcinogenesis after a sustained virological response (SVR) remains an important issue affecting the balance between treatment and occupational life of workers with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Japan. Here, we aimed to evaluate the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) reducing effect and risk factors for developing HCC after SVR in patients treated with direct‐acting antiviral agents (DAAs) among the working population.

Methods

We studied 2579 working patients with chronic HCV infection who achieved SVR after antiviral treatment. We compared the difference in the cumulative incidence of post‐SVR HCC between the interferon (IFN)‐based n = 1615 and DAA (n = 964) groups. The risk factors for post‐SVR HCC development were determined in the DAA group.

Results

After propensity score matching (n = 644 in each group), the HCC development rates were not significantly different between the groups (P = 0.186). Multivariate Cox regression and the cutoff values determined by the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses revealed that age ≥61 years, diabetes, lower serum albumin levels <4.0 g/dL at 24 weeks after the end of treatment (EOT), and higher serum α‐fetoprotein levels ≥4.1 ng/mL at 24 weeks after the EOT were associated with the development of HCC.

Conclusion

The HCC suppressing effect after SVR through DAA treatment is equivalent to that of IFN treatment in patients in the working population. Intensive follow‐up is required after SVR with DAA treatment in Japanese workers with these risk factors to ensure the promotion of health and employment support.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma using age and liver stiffness on transient elastography after hepatitis C virus eradication

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a useful tool for assessing advanced liver fibrosis, an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatitis C (HCV) eradication. This study aimed to clarify the non-invasive factors associated with HCC following sustained virological response (SVR) and to identify the low-risk group. 567 patients without history of HCC who achieved SVR at 24 weeks (SVR24) after IFN-free treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The cumulative incidence of HCC and the risk factors were examined using pre-treatment and SVR24 data. The median observation period was 50.2 months. Thirty cases of HCC were observed, and the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 5.9%. In multivariate analysis, significant pre-treatment factors were age ≥ 71 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.402) and LSM ≥ 9.2 kPa (HR: 6.328); SVR24 factors were age ≥ 71 years (HR: 2.689) and LSM ≥ 8.4 kPa (HR: 6.642). In cases with age < 71 years and LSM < 8.4 kPa at the time of SVR24, the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was as low as 1.1%. Both pre-treatment LSM (≥ 9.2 kPa) and SVR24 LSM (≥ 8.4 kPa) and age (≥ 71 years) are useful in predicting the risk of HCC after SVR with IFN-free treatment. Identification of low-risk individuals may improve the efficiency of follow-up.

Serum α-fetoprotein level at treatment completion is a useful predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence more than one year after hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antiviral treatment

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have recently been developed to treat hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, and interferon-free DAA treatment has improved liver function of HCV patients. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence following HCV eradication has been previously reported, but HCC may have been missed following imaging diagnosis before DAA administration in previous studies. Therefore, the present study aimed to identify definite predictors of HCC occurrence ≥1 year after DAA treatment. Among 956 patients receiving DAAs for HCV infection, 567 patients who achieved sustained virologic response with no history of HCC treatment were enrolled in this study between September 2014 and July 2021. The incidence of HCC in HCV-infected patients ≥1 year following DAA treatment, and the predictors contributing to HCC occurrence were identified using clinical characteristics and blood test results. In the present study, 25 patients developed HCC. The incidence of HCC was 1.4%, 3.2%, 4.9% and 6.8% at 2, 3, 4 and 5 years, respectively, from the end of treatment with DAAs. Multivariate logistic analysis revealed serum α-fetoprotein level at end of treatment (EOT-AFP) >3.8 ng/ml ≥1 year following treatment with DAAs (HR, 9.7; p < .0001) as an independent factor that may contribute to HCC occurrence following DAA treatment. In conclusion, serum EOT-AFP level may serve an important role in determining the risk of HCC occurrence ≥1 year after DAA treatment. Regular examinations are required even if serum EOT-AFP level is low at treatment completion.

Association of liver stiffness and steatosis with hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with hepatitis C virus infection who received direct-acting antiviral therapy and achieved sustained virological response

AIM

The pathogenic process underlying the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not yet clear in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus who receive direct-acting antiviral therapy and achieve sustained virological response. This study investigated two risk factors for HCC in these patients; specifically, hepatic fibrosis and steatosis.

METHODS

A total of 355 patients in whom hepatitis C virus was eradicated by direct-acting antiviral were evaluated. Fibrosis and steatosis were assessed using transient elastography (TE) and the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). Inverse probability weighting was applied to patient age, sex, albumin-bilirubin, α-fetoprotein, history of HCC, TE, or CAP.

RESULTS

The 12-, 24-, and 36-month cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0.9%, 2.4%, and 4.1%, respectively. Univariate analysis with the Cox proportional hazards model showed that whereas a high TE value (≥10 kPa) was significantly associated with HCC development (HR 7.861, 95% CI 2.126-29.070; p = 0.002), CAP was not. Additionally, univariate analysis with the Cox proportional hazards model adjusted by inverse probability weighting showed that a high TE value was significantly associated with HCC development (HR 3.980, 95% CI, 1.036-15.290; p = 0.044), whereas CAP was not. The cumulative inverse probability weighting-adjusted incidence of HCC rates at 12, 24, and 36 months were 0.0%, 0.5%, and 1.7%, respectively, in patients with a low TE value, and 2.5%, 5.1%, and 7.6%, respectively, in those with a high TE value.

CONCLUSION

A high TE value was a risk factor for HCC in hepatitis C virus patients who received direct-acting antiviral therapy and achieved sustained virological response.

Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with diabetes mellitus

OBJECTIVES

Diabetes mellitus is a risk factor for non-B, non-C hepatocellular carcinoma (NBNC-HCC); however, the number of diabetes mellitus patients is too large to examine tumor occurrence with periodic imaging modalities. Thus, the aim of this study was to develop a novel strategy for early detection of NBNC-HCC in diabetes mellitus patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Ninety-three diabetes mellitus patients who had a single NBNC-HCC tumor less than 2 cm in diameter were selected from 6789 HCC patients. As controls, 172 tumor-free diabetes mellitus patients were enrolled. Characteristics were compared between groups. Furthermore, the efficacy of FIB4A, a new integrated score with FIB4 and alpha-fetoprotein, was analyzed as a marker for the early diagnosis of NBNC-HCC.

RESULTS

Age, percentage of males, alcohol consumption, total bilirubin, transaminases, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, FIB4 index, alpha-fetoprotein, and des-gamma-carboxy-prothrombin were higher in NBNC-HCC patients, whereas albumin and platelet counts were higher in the diabetes mellitus control group. Among these factors, the FIB4 index showed the highest odds ratio [OR: 20.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 9.60-41.7] followed by alpha-fetoprotein (OR: 12.8, 95% CI: 6.53-25.4). A newly developed score, FIB4A, showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.959) among the factors examined. The sensitivity was 86.2% at a Youden index cutoff (3.5) and it increased to 95.4%, while keeping high specificity (70.9%) when a cutoff of 2.5 was used.

CONCLUSION

FIB4A is a potential marker for early detection of NBNC-HCC in patients with diabetes mellitus. However, further studies are needed to confirm these findings.

JSH Guidelines for the Management of Hepatitis C Virus Infection, 2019 Update; Protective Effect of Antiviral Therapy against Hepatocarcinogenesis

The Drafting Committee for Hepatitis Management Guidelines established by the Japan Society of Hepatology (JSH) drafted the first version of the clinical practice guidelines for the management of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in 2012. Since then, we have been publishing updates as new drugs for hepatitis C become available and new indications for existing drugs are added. The new approval of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir prompted us to publish the seventh version of the guidelines in Japanese in March 2019. We also published the first English-language version of the JSH guidelines in 2013 and English versions of updates made to the Japanese-language guidelines in 2014 and 2016. In 2020, the committee has decided to publish a new English version, covering general information about treatment for hepatitis C, drugs used, recommended treatments for chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis, and special populations, such as patients who have renal impairment, are on dialysis, or have developed recurrence of hepatitis C after liver transplantation. Furthermore, the committee has released a separate publication covering the protective effect of antiviral therapy against hepatocarcinogenesis.

Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein but not α-fetoprotein as a Long-Term Hepatocellular Carcinoma Predictor

Identification of high-risk patients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virological responses (SVR) is necessary to define candidates for long-term surveillance. In this study, we examined whether serum markers after 1 year of SVR could predict subsequent HCC development. Total 734 chronic hepatitis C patients without a history of HCC who achieved SVR with direct-acting antivirals were included. The regular surveillance for HCC started from 24 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR24). Factors at SVR24 and 1 year after SVR24 were analyzed for predicting HCC development. During the mean observation period of 19.7 ± 10 months, 24 patients developed HCC. At SVR24, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein (WFA±M2BP) ≥ 1.85 and α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 6.0 ng/mL were independent factors of HCC development. However, at 1 year after SVR24, WFA±M2BP ≥ 1.85 was associated with subsequent HCC development (hazard ratio: 23.5, 95% confidence interval: 2.68-205) but not AFP. Among patients with WFA±M2BP ≥ 1.85 at SVR24, 42% had WFA±M2BP < 1.85 at 1 year after SVR24 (WFA±M2BP declined group). Subsequent HCC development was significantly lower in the declined group than in the non-declined group (1 year HCC rate: 0% vs. 9.4%, p = 0.04). In conclusion, WFA±M2BP but not AFP could identify high and no-risk cases of HCC at 1 year after SVR. Therefore, it was useful as a real-time monitoring tool to identify the candidates for continuous surveillance for HCC.

Direct-acting antivirals and interferon-based therapy on hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis-C patients

Aim: It was controversial whether direct-acting antiviral (DAA) is better than interferon-based therapy (IBT) in preventing HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, we accomplished this large, stepwise meta-analysis. Materials & methods: The PubMed, Cochrane and ScienceDirect were searched for studies published during January 2009-March 2019. Antiviral type, number of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients, number of HCC cases from CHC patients, sustained virological response (SVR) status and important covariate data were extracted from each study. Results & conclusion: It is demonstrated that antiviral treatment reduces the occurrence of HCC in patients with CHC; achieving SVR to antiviral treatment reduces HCC; DAA treatment is not better than IBT in the prophylaxis of HCC; DAA treatment and cirrhosis are independently associated with a higher incidence of HCC than IBT in middle-aged CHC patients who achieve SVR.

Changing Patterns of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Treatment with Direct Antiviral Agents

Introduction

The impact of direct antiviral agents (DAAs) on the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is controversial. One important aspect of this controversy is the changing pattern of HCC.

Objective

In this study, we attempted to assess the changes in the pattern of HCC after treatment with DAAs.

Methods

A total of 51 HCC patients after DAA treatment and 54 HCC patients without DAA treatment were included. The diagnosis of HCC was based on typical dynamic CT and/or MRI criteria in both groups. Liver status was assessed by means of the fibrosis 4 index (Fib-4), Child-Pugh classification, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD). HCC infiltrative pattern, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), local and distant metastases, and α-fetoprotein (AFP) level were compared in the 2 groups. The staging of HCC and treatment decisions were made in both groups following the Milan criteria, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging, tumor-node-metastasis staging, and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program categorization.

Results

The mean age of the HCC patients after DAA treatment (59.1± 7.4 years) was older than that of the HCC patients without DAA treatment. There was no significant difference between groups regarding sex distribution. The mean Fib-4 score (4.84 ± 3.53) was significantly lower in HCC patients after DAA treatment than in those without DAA treatment. The frequency of the infiltrative HCC pattern, PVT, and regional lymph node metastasis was significantly higher in HCC patients after DAA treatment than in those without DAA treatment (p ≤ 0.05); mean AFP level (5,085.2 ± 11,883.2 ng/mL) was also significantly higher. HCC patients after DAA treatment had significantly advanced stages and limited treatment options (p ≤ 0.05).

Conclusion

The changing HCC pattern after DAA treatment may suggest the need for new HCC staging and treatment protocols.

A continuous-time hidden Markov model for cancer surveillance using serum biomarkers with application to hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth most common cause of cancer deaths worldwide, and its early detection is a critical determinant of whether curative treatment is achievable. Early stage HCC is typically asymptomatic. Thus, screening programmes are used for cancer detection in patients at risk of tumour development. Radiological screening methods are limited by imperfect data, cost and associated risks, and additionally are unable to detect lesions until they have grown to a certain size. Therefore, some screening programmes use additional blood/serum biomarkers to help identify individuals in whom to target diagnostic cancer investigations. The GALAD score, combining the levels of several blood biomarkers, age and sex, has been developed to identify patients with early HCC. Here we propose a Bayesian hierarchical model for an individual's longitudinal GALAD scores whilst in HCC surveillance to identify potentially significant changes in the trend of the GALAD score, indicating the development of HCC, aiming to improve early detection compared to standard methods. An absorbent two-state continuous-time hidden Markov model is developed for the individual level longitudinal data where the states correspond to the presence/absence of HCC. The model is additionally informed by the information on the diagnosis by standard clinical practice, taking into account that HCC can be present before the actual diagnosis so that there may be false negatives within the diagnosis data. We fit the model to a Japanese cohort of patients undergoing HCC surveillance and show that the detection capability of this proposal is greater than using a fixed cut-point.

Incidence and risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma change over time in patients with hepatitis C virus infection who achieved sustained virologic response

AIM

In patients with chronic hepatitis C, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs at a certain frequency, even if a sustained virologic response (SVR) is achieved by antiviral treatment. Old age, liver fibrosis, and high post-treatment α-fetoprotein (AFP) level are typical risk factors of post-SVR HCC. We examined whether the frequencies and factors of HCC in patients with an SVR achieved from interferon treatment changed. Methods Among patients prospectively registered for pegylated interferon and ribavirin treatment, 2021 with an SVR without HCC development during the treatment period were followed up. The mean observation period was 49.5 ± 26.2 months.

RESULTS

The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that older age, diabetes mellitus, advanced liver disease, and higher post-treatment AFP level were the independent risk factors throughout the observation period. The annual occurrence rate of HCC was 0.74% in the third year, 0.54% in the fourth year, and 0.40% in the fifth year; it gradually decreased from the third year. Because the time course hazards for HCC changed at 48 months, we separately analyzed its risk factors before and after this change point. The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that the four above-mentioned factors were significantly related to HCC development within 4 years. Conversely, the univariable Cox regression analysis only identified diabetes mellitus as a significant factor for HCC development after 4 years.

CONCLUSION

The frequency of HCC in hepatitis C patients who achieved an SVR from interferon treatment decreased during the observation period, and its risk factors changed between the early and late periods.

Predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence associated with the use of direct-acting antiviral agent therapy for hepatitis C virus after curative treatment: A prospective multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have suggested an association between the use of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for treating hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and the resulting decrease in the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, it is unclear whether DAAs prevent the recurrence of HCC after curative treatment for HCC. This study aimed to prospectively investigate HCC recurrence and its predictors after curative treatment for HCC.

METHODS

A total of 3012 patients with chronic HCV infection, with or without cirrhosis, who were treated with DAAs were enrolled between January 1, 2015 and January 31, 2017 as per the institutional review board approved study protocol at 15 institutions, including 10 university hospitals and five high-volume centers in the Kyusyu area of Japan. Of the 3012 patients, 459 patients who had HCC but were cured with surgery or ablation therapy (curative treatment) before the use of DAAs were included in the analysis.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 29.4 months, 217 (47.2%) patients developed HCC recurrence. The median time to recurrence was 34.0 months, and the 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative HCC recurrence rates were 27.1%, 43.4%, and 50.8%, respectively. The risk factors for HCC recurrence were the α-fetoprotein (AFP) level before DAA therapy (P = 0.0047) and the number of curative treatments for HCC before DAA therapy (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A high AFP level and multiple occurrences of HCC before DAA therapy are associated with a high risk for HCC recurrence after curative treatment. Follow-up after DAA therapy should include special attention to the abovementioned risk factors.

Proposed a simple score for recommendation of scheduled ultrasonography surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma after Direct Acting Antivirals: multicenter analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

To develop a scoring method using with common clinical data for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after sustained virological response at 24 weeks (SVR24) after treatment with direct acting antivirals (DAAs), we retrospectively evaluated clinical features of patients who obtained SVR24.

METHODS

From October 2014 to December 2017, 1069 hepatitis C virus patients without a past history of HCC, who obtained SVR24 by DAAs at two different areas, were enrolled (the training [n = 484, ChuShikoku-group] and validation [n = 585, Chubu-group] sets). All were examined by ultrasonography as surveillance for HCC at the time of starting DAAs and twice a year after SVR24. We identified three parameters at SVR24, male gender, FIB-4 index > 3.25, and α-fetoprotein level > 5.0 ng/mL, as risk factors for HCC development and gave them point values, with the sum used as After DAAs Recommendation for Surveillance (ADRES) score.

RESULTS

In the ChuShikoku-group, the respective 1-/2-year rates for HCC incidence rates ADRES score 0 were 0.0%/0.0%, for a score 1 were 1.1%/2.1%, score 2 were 8.8%/15.9%, and score 3 were 17.1%/28.1%. On the other hand, those respective scores for the Chubu-group were 0.0%/0.0%, 0.0%/0.7%, 7.9%/10.6%, and 19.5%/not available. The c-index of the predictive value for HCC development in the training set after SVR24 was 0.835 while 0.899 in the validation set. Finally, those of the entire cohort were 0.0%/0.0%, 0.5%/1.6%, 8.4%/13.4%, and 18.0%/32.8%.

CONCLUSION

The present ADRES score was simple and easy to use and may be useful for predicting risk of HCC development in short term after reaching SVR24 by DAAs.

Real-world efficacy and safety of ledipasvir and sofosbuvir in patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1 infection: a nationwide multicenter study by the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group

BACKGROUND

We aimed to describe the real-world efficacy and safety of combination therapy with ledipasvir and sofosbuvir (LDV/SOF) for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 (GT1) infection.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis of a prospective, nationwide, multicenter registry included GT1-infected patients treated with LDV/SOF for 12 weeks. We assessed the rate of sustained virological response at 12 weeks post-treatment (SVR12), incidence of adverse events, and serum markers of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

Among the 1461 patients included (mean age, 69 years; 29.5% aged > 75 years; cirrhosis, 23.8%; history of treatment for HCC, 10.9%), the overall SVR12 rate was 98.4% (1438/1461). Factors associated with treatment failure were cirrhosis (odds ratio, 4.19; p = 0.014) and resistance-associated substitutions (RASs) in NS5A at baseline (odds ratio, 7.78; p = 0.0004). The SVR12 rate in patients with cirrhosis and NS5A RASs was 93.0% compared to 100% in patients without cirrhosis or NS5A RASs. In patients with SVR, the levels of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP-L3, and Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) decreased from baseline to end of treatment (from 13.4 ± 37.6 to 6.0 ± 10.6 ng/mL, p < 0.0001; from 2.2 ± 4.9 to 1.5 ± 6.3%, p < 0.005; and from 3.6 ± 3.7 to 2.0 ± 3.5 cut-off index, p < 0.0001; respectively). Adverse events were rare and not associated with age. No decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate was observed in patients with baseline chronic kidney disease stage 3.

CONCLUSIONS

LDV/SOF therapy is highly effective and safe in elderly Japanese patients with HCV GT1, even in the presence of cirrhosis or NS5A RASs. Patients with SVR may have a lower risk of HCC.

Potent viral suppression and improvements in alpha-fetoprotein and measures of fibrosis in Japanese patients receiving a daclatasvir/asunaprevir/beclabuvir fixed-dose combination for the treatment of HCV genotype-1 infection

BACKGROUND

In the UNITY-3 study, 96% sustained virologic response (SVR12) rate was observed in Japanese patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype (GT)-1 infection treated for 12 weeks with fixed-dose daclatasvir, asunaprevir, and beclabuvir (DCV-TRIO). As HCV clearance may improve liver outcomes, we assessed hepatic fibrosis and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), a hepatocellular carcinoma risk marker, pre- and post-treatment in UNITY-3.

METHODS

Treatment-naive or interferon-experienced UNITY-3 patients with HCV GT-1 who received twice-daily DCV-TRIO were assessed for fibrosis [FibroTest; FibroScan; fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), aspartate-aminotransferase-to-platelet-ratio index] and AFP at baseline and Weeks 4 (FIB-4 only), 12 or 24 post-treatment.

RESULTS

Of 217 patients, 99% had GT-1b infection, 46% were aged > 65 years, 21% had compensated cirrhosis, and 26% baseline HCV-RNA > 10⁷ IU/mL. All GT-1b patients treated ≥ 4 weeks achieved SVR12 with (n = 54) or without (n = 144) baseline NS5A polymorphisms associated with DCV resistance (positions 28/30/31/93). Statistically significant post-treatment reductions from baseline were observed for all fibrosis measures and AFP, with numerically greater reductions in cirrhotic patients. FibroTest category improved in 44%, remained stable in 50%, and worsened in 6% of patients; 98% with baseline AFP < 6 μg/L remained < 6 μg/L and 51% with baseline AFP ≥ 6 μg/L were < 6 μg/L post-treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

DCV-TRIO administered for 12 weeks to Japanese patients with primarily GT-1b infection achieved a high SVR12 rate and resulted in improved measures of hepatic fibrosis and serum AFP that may reduce the risk of future liver disease progression and hepatocellular carcinoma, particularly in those with compensated cirrhosis.

Shear wave elastography predicts hepatocellular carcinoma risk in hepatitis C patients after sustained virological response

AIM

To evaluate the relationship between fibrosis and HCC after sustained virological response (SVR) to treatment for chronic hepatitis C (HCV).

METHODS

This single-center study retrospectively evaluated 196 patients who achieved SVR after HCV infection. The associations of risk factors with HCC development after HCV eradication were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

Among the 196 patients, 8 patients (4.1%) developed HCC after SVR during a median follow-up of 26 months. Multivariate analyses revealed that HCC development was independently associated with age of ≥75 years (risk ratio [RR] = 35.16), α- fetoprotein levels of ≥6 ng/mL (RR = 40.30), and SWE results of ≥11 kPa (RR = 28.71).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that SWE may facilitate HCC surveillance after SVR and the identification of patients who have an increased risk of HCC after HCV clearance.

Impact of sustained virologic response on short-term clinical outcomes in hepatitis C-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a common cause of cirrhosis, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. Treatment of the underlying etiology has been shown to improve fibrosis and cirrhosis.

AIM

We sought to evaluate the impact of a sustained virologic response on liver chemistries, model for end stage liver disease (MELD) score, Child-Pugh-Turcotte score (CPT), and fibrosis 4 score (FIB4) in patients with liver cirrhosis secondary to HCV with portal hypertension, with or without decompensation.

METHODS

Patients with HCV seen in our transplant clinic between June 2013 and September 2015 were identified using ICD-9 code 573.3. Charts were reviewed retrospectively.

RESULTS

We collected data from 92 patients with a mean pretreatment MELD score of 9.16±2.98. The most common genotype was Ia, n=79 (86%). The mean duration of follow-up was 7.52±2.25 months. Transaminitis improved significantly at follow-up versus pretreatment [mean aspartate transaminase from 81.2±62.9 to 32.4±12.0 (P<0.0001); alanine transaminase 74.7±77.8 to 27.7±19.4 (P<0.0001)]. Albumin, bilirubin, and α-fetoprotein improved significantly. MELD scores improved in patients with pretreatment scores greater than 10 (P<0.0003), but not in patients with pretreatment scores less than 10 (P=0.501). The CPT score decreased from 6.1±0.9 to 5.8±0.9 (P<0.0024). The FIB4 score improved significantly in patients with baseline FIB4 more than 3.24, but not with higher baseline FIB4.

CONCLUSION

Use of direct antivirals in patients with decompensated cirrhosis because of HCV leads to improved MELD, FIB4, and CPT scores.

Post-treatment alpha fetoprotein and platelets predict hepatocellular carcinoma development in dual-infected hepatitis B and C patients after eradication of hepatitis C

We investigated the long-term risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in dual-infected hepatitis B and C patients after eradication of hepatitis C virus (HCV). A total of 164 (62% male, median age, 50.5 years) hepatitis B and C dual-infected patients who achieved HCV sustained virological response were recruited. Half the patients were HCV genotype 1 with a median viral load of 5.5 log10 IU/mL, and 22.6%had an HBV DNA level ≥ 2000 IU/mL before therapy. HCC developed in 14 patients (8.5%), with an annual incidence of 1.38% per person-year. The 3-year, 5-year, 10-year, and 15-year cumulative probabilities were 2.5%, 5.1%, 12.6%, and 22.7%, respectively. Six months after treatment, a Cox regression hazard analysis revealed platelet level (HR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.957–0.999, P = 0.038) and AFP level (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.031–1.400, P = 0.019) to be independent factors in HCC. A higher 10-year cumulative risk of HCC was detected in patients with 6-month post-treatment AFP levels > 5.0 ng/mL and platelet levels < 130 x1000/µL (54.9%), compared to patients with neither (8.6%). Although the risk of HCC is low, surveillance of HCC is encouraged in dual-infected patients after eradication of HCV. Post-treatment AFP and platelet levels predict HCC development.

Hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of new generation antivirals

Hepatitis C virus infection is a major cause of hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide. Interferon has been the major antiviral treatment, yielding viral clearance in approximately half of patients. New direct-acting antivirals substantially improved the cure rate to above 90%. However, access to therapies remains limited due to the high costs and under-diagnosis of infection in specific subpopulations, e.g., baby boomers, inmates, and injection drug users, and therefore, hepatocellular carcinoma incidence is predicted to increase in the next decades even in high-resource countries. Moreover, cancer risk persists even after 10 years of viral cure, and thus a clinical strategy for its monitoring is urgently needed. Several risk-predictive host factors, e.g., advanced liver fibrosis, older age, accompanying metabolic diseases such as diabetes, persisting hepatic inflammation, and elevated alpha-fetoprotein, as well as viral factors, e.g., core protein variants and genotype 3, have been reported. Indeed, a molecular signature in the liver has been associated with cancer risk even after viral cure. Direct-acting antivirals may affect cancer development and recurrence, which needs to be determined in further investigation.