Non-invasive fibrosis markers are associated with mortality risk in both general populations and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients

Aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio at admission can predict the prognosis of patients with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

Early indicators are needed to predict the prognosis of patients with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS). Aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) has been shown to be related to mortality risk of patients with various diseases. This study evaluated the prognostic value of APRI and other inflammatory scores in HFRS patients. Data of hospitalized HFRS patients from a tertiary hospital in northwest China were collected and the inflammatory scores such as APRI and neutrophil to lymphocyte count ratio (NLR) were calculated at the day of patient admission. Independent factors related to the survival of patients were determined by multivariate logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to analyze the predictive value, and area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for quantification. Of the 317 HFRS patients included in study, 15 patients died. Age (OR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.16, p = 0.001), NLR (OR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.19, p = 0.01), and APRI (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.03-1.10, p = 0.001) were quantitative objective factors independently associated with the survival of patients. APRI had an AUC of 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91-1.00, p < 0.001) for predicting the prognosis of patients, with a sensitivity of 93.3% and a specificity of 86.8%. The performance of APRI was better than that of age or NLR. Patients with an APRI ≥ 6.15 had significantly decreased survival compared with those with an APRI < 6.15. In conclusion, this simple index APRI calculated at admission can serve as a biomarker to identify HFRS patients at risk of poor prognosis.

Liver fibrosis score is associated with the mortality of traumatic brain injury patients

The fibrosis-4 score is a marker of liver fibrosis and has been confirmed to be associated with the prognosis of various diseases. There is no study exploring the prognostic value of the fibrosis-4 score in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. We design this study to explore the association between the fibrosis-4 score and mortality from TBI. TBI patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database were extracted for the study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were sequentially performed to analyze the association between fibrosis-4 and mortality in TBI. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of fibrosis-4 and other scores. A total of 1018 TBI patients were included, with a 30-day mortality of 24.2%. Non-survivors had older age, lower Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and higher injury severity score (ISS) than survivors. The aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 score were significantly higher in non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression showed that age, GCS, ISS, white blood cell, hemoglobin, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants were associated with the mortality of TBI patients. Multivariate logistic regression presented that age, GCS, ISS, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants were independent risk factors of mortality in TBI patients after adjusting for confounding effects. The AUC of the GCS, ISS, APRI, and fibrosis-4 score for predicting mortality was 0.711, 0.625, 0.592, and 0.627, respectively. Composed of age, GCS, ISS, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants, the predictive model had the highest AUC value of 0.790. The fibrosis-4 score is an independent risk factor for mortality in TBI. The model incorporating fibrosis-4 performs well in predicting the prognosis of TBI patients.

Impact of Evolutionary Changes in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease on Lung Function Decline

Background/Aims

A relationship between fatty liver and lung function impairment has been identified, and both are independently associated with metabolic dysfunction. However, the temporal relationship between changes in fatty liver status and lung function and their genome-wide association remain unclear.

Methods

This longitudinal cohort consisted of subjects who received serial health check-ups, including liver ultrasonography and spirometry, for ≥3 years between 2003 and 2015. Lung function decline rates were classified as "slow" and "accelerated" and compared among four different sonographic changes in steatosis status: "normal," "improved," "worsened," and "persistent." A genome-wide association study was conducted between the two groups: normal/improved steatosis with a slow decline in lung function versus worsened/persistent steatosis with an accelerated decline in lung function.

Results

Among 6,149 individuals, the annual rates of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) and forced expiratory volume measured in the first second of exhalation (FEV₁) were higher in the worsened/persistent steatosis group than in the normal/improved steatosis group. In multivariable analysis, persistent or worsened status of fatty liver was significantly associated with accelerated declines in FVC (persistent status, odds ratio [OR]=1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.04-1.44; worsened status, OR=1.30, 95% CI=1.12-1.50), while improved status of fatty liver was significantly associated with slow declines in FEV₁ (OR=0.77, 95% CI=0.64-0.92). The PNPLA3 risk gene was most strongly associated with steatosis status change and accelerated declines in FVC (rs12483959, p=2.61×10^-7) and FEV₁ (rs2294433, p=3.69×10^-8).

Conclusions

Regression of fatty liver is related to lung function decline. Continuing efforts to improve fatty liver may preserve lung function, especially for subjects with a high genetic risk.

Validation of magnetic resonance elastography plus fibrosis-4 for significant fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

MEFIB (the combination of magnetic resonance elastography [MRE] ≥ 3.3 kPa and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) ≥ 1.6) is useful for detecting patients with significant fibrosis (fibrosis stage ≥ 2) having nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, age-dependent thresholds of FIB-4 have been proposed, and it remains unclear whether MEFIB could be applied with the same FIB-4 threshold in a different cohort. Therefore, in this study, we examined the best threshold of FIB-4 and validated the utility of MEFIB.

METHODS

This study included 105 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients with contemporaneous MRE assessment. The primary outcome was a diagnostic accuracy for significant fibrosis.

RESULTS

The median (interquartile range) age was 65 (58-72) years, and significant fibrosis was 76.2% (80/105). FIB-4 of 2.1 was defined as the best threshold for significant fibrosis in the cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs) of the combination of MRE and FIB-4 (MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 1.6: 0.80, MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 2.1: 0.84) were higher than those of each index alone (MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa: 0.76, FIB-4 ≥ 1.6: 0.72, and FIB-4 ≥ 2.1: 0.77), but AUROCs of MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 1.6 and MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 2.1 were equivalent (P = 0.3).

CONCLUSIONS

MEFIB is useful for detecting patients with significant fibrosis and could be utilized in a different cohort without changing the threshold of FIB-4, and it may then be used as a two-step screening strategy.

Thyroid Stimulating Hormone Levels Are Associated With Genetically Predicted Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

CONTEXT

Findings from observational studies indicate an association of thyroid hormone levels with the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD); however, conflicting results remain and reverse causality may be a possibility.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the associations between NAFLD and both plasma thyroxine (T4) and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) at the phenotypic and genetic levels.

METHODS

We included 14 797 participants, aged 20 to 74 years who had undergone abdominal ultrasonography during the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to examine the observational associations of TSH and T4 with NAFLD. Mediation analyses were performed to study whether the relationship between NAFLD and TSH levels was mediated via potential confounders. A bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was used to determine the potential causal relationship.

RESULTS

Multivariable logistic regression model suggested a "dose-response" relationship between TSH (Q4 vs Q1: OR = 1.29; 95% CI, 1.10-1.52; Ptrend = 0.001) and NAFLD. BMI and ALT partially mediated the association between TSH and NAFLD, while the proportion of the mediation effects of BMI and ALT were 39.1% and 22.3%, respectively. In MR analyses, the inverse-variance weighted method was selected as primary method and suggested a putative causal effect of NAFLD on serum TSH levels (OR = 1.022; 95% CI, 1.002-1.043). The result was further validated in the sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Circulating TSH levels were associated with the risk of NAFLD. MR analysis suggested a putative causal effect of NAFLD on TSH levels.

MAFLD: Renovation of clinical practice and disease awareness of fatty liver

Recently, international expert panels have proposed a new definition of fatty liver: metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). MAFLD is not just a simple renaming of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The unique feature of MAFLD is the inclusion of metabolic dysfunctions, which are high-risk factors for events. In addition, MAFLD is independent of alcohol intake and the co-existing causes of liver disease. This new concept of MAFLD may have a widespread impact on patients, medical doctors, medical staff, and various stakeholders regarding fatty liver. Thus, MAFLD may renovate clinical practice and disease awareness of fatty liver. In this review, we introduce the definition of and rationale for MAFLD. We further describe representative cases showing how the diagnostic processes differ between MAFLD and NAFLD. We also summarize recent studies comparing MAFLD with NAFLD and discuss the impact of MAFLD on clinical trials, Japanese populations, and disease awareness.

Associations of liver volume and other markers of hepatic steatosis with all-cause mortality in the general population

AIMS

We examined the associations between liver volume and other quantitative and qualitative markers of hepatic steatosis with all-cause mortality in the general population.

METHODS

We included 2769 German middle-aged individuals with a median follow-up of 8.9 years (23,898 person-years). Quantitative markers used were serum liver enzymes and FIB-4 score, while qualitative markers of hepatic steatosis included magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measurements of liver fat content and total liver volume. Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for confounding factors, were undertaken to investigate the associations of liver volume and other markers of hepatic steatosis with all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A larger MRI-assessed liver volume was associated with a nearly three-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio = 3.16; 95% confidence interval 1.88; 5.30), independent of age, sex, body mass index, food frequency score, alcohol consumption and education level. This association was consistent in all subgroups considered (men vs. women; presence or absence of overweight/obesity, metabolic syndrome or diabetes). Higher serum liver enzyme levels and FIB-4 score were also significantly associated with higher all-cause mortality in the total population and in all subgroups. No independent associations were found between other quantitative and qualitative markers of hepatic steatosis and the risk of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed for the first time that larger liver volume was associated with a three-fold increase in long-term risk of all-cause mortality. This association remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, alcohol consumption, obesity and other coexisting metabolic disorders.

Liver Fibrosis Scores and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With COVID-19

Background and Aims

We investigated the association between liver fibrosis scores and clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19.

Methods

We performed a post-hoc analysis among patients with COVID-19 from the trial study Outcomes Related to COVID-19 treated with Hydroxychloroquine among Inpatients with symptomatic Disease (ORCHID) trial. The relationship between aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and discharge and death during the 28-days of hospitalization was investigated.

Results

During the 28 days after randomization, 237 (80.6%) patients were discharged while 31 (10.5%) died among the 294 patients with COVID-19. The prevalence for advanced fibrosis was estimated to be 34, 21.8, and 37.8% for FIB-4 (>2.67), APRI (>1), and NFS (>0.676), respectively. In multivariate analysis, FIB-4 >2.67 [28-days discharge: hazard ratio (HR): 0.62; 95% CI: 0.46-0.84; 28-days mortality: HR: 5.13; 95% CI: 2.18-12.07], APRI >1 (28-days discharge: HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.44-0.87; 28-days mortality: HR: 2.85, 95% CI: 1.35-6.03), and NFS >0.676 (28-days discharge: HR: 0.5; 95% CI: 0.35-0.69; 28-days mortality: HR: 4.17; 95% CI: 1.62-10.72) was found to significantly reduce the discharge rate and increase the risk of death. Additionally, FIB-4, APRI, and NFS were found to have good predictive ability and calibration performance for 28-day death (C-index: 0.74 for FIB-4, 0.657 for APRI, and 0.745 for NFS) and discharge (C-index: 0.649 for FIB-4, 0.605 for APRI, and 0.685 for NFS).

Conclusion

In hospitalized patients with COVID-19, FIB-4, APRI, and NFS may be good predictors for death and discharge within 28 days. The link between liver fibrosis and the natural history of COVID-19 should be further investigated.

Association of FIB-4 index and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a cohort study

Background

The relationship between fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and clinical outcomes in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between FIB-4 index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI.

Methods

We used data from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database (v1.4). The FIB-4 score was calculated using the existing formulas. logistic regression model, and Cox proportional hazards model were used to assessed the relationship between the FIB-4 index and in-hospital,28-day and 90-day mortality, respectively.

Results

A total of 3592 patients with AKI included in the data analysis. 395 (10.99%) patients died during hospitalization and 458 (12.74%) patients died in 28-day. During the 90-day follow-up, 893 (22.54%) patients were dead. An elevated FIB-4 value was significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality when used as a continuous variable (odds ratio [OR] 1.183, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.072–1.305, P = 0.002) and as a quartile variable (OR of Q2 to Q4 1.216–1.744, with Q1 as reference). FIB-4 was positively associated with 28-day mortality of AKI patients with hazard ratio (HR) of 1.097 (95% CI 1.008, 1.194) and 1.098 (95% 1.032, 1.167) for 90-day mortality, respectively.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated the FIB-4 index is associated with clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-021-02071-2.

Liver fibrosis indices associated with substantial hematoma expansion in Chinese patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage

Background

Whether liver fibrosis is associated with increased risk for substantial hematoma expansion (HE) after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is still uncertain. We evaluated the association between various liver fibrosis indices and substantial HE in a Chinese population with primary ICH.

Methods

Primary ICH patients admitted to West China Hospital within 24 h of onset between January 2015 and June 2018 were consecutively enrolled. Six liver fibrosis indices were calculated, including aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-platelet ratio index (APRI), AST/alanine aminotransferase ratio-platelet ratio index (AARPRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), modified fibrosis-4 (mFIB-4), fibrosis quotient (FibroQ) and Forns index. Substantial HE was defined as an increase of more than 33% or 6 mL from baseline ICH volume. The association of each fibrosis index with substantial HE was analyzed using binary logistic regression.

Results

Of 436 patients enrolled, about 85% showed largely normal results on standard hepatic assays and coagulation parameters. Substantial HE occurred in 115 (26.4%) patients. After adjustment, AARPRI (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.00-1.57) and FIB-4 (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.02-1.30) were independently associated with substantial HE in ICH patients within 24 h of onset, respectively. In ICH patients within 6 h of onset, each of the following indices was independently associated with substantial HE: APRI (OR 2.64, 95% CI 1.30-5,36), AARPRI (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.09-2.21), FIB-4 (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.08-1.68), mFIB-4 (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01-1.18), FibroQ (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.00-1.16) and Forns index (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.10-1.69).

Conclusions

Liver fibrosis indices are independently associated with higher risk of substantial HE in Chinese patients with primary ICH, which suggesting that subclinical liver fibrosis could be routinely assessed in such patients to identify those at high risk of substantial HE.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12883-021-02494-0.

Association between the severity of liver fibrosis and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the principal cause of death in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). In this study, we assessed whether liver fibrosis predicted the risk of CVD in patients with T2D.

METHODS

A total of 1481 patients who had commenced oral antidiabetic drugs to treat newly diagnosed T2D between 2006 and 2010 were recruited. The fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and BARD score were used to assess fibrotic burden at the time of T2D diagnosis.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period (median 88.1 [interquartile range 36.6-113.6] months), 242 (16.3%) patients developed CVD. CVD occurred frequently in older patients and was associated with hypertension; metabolic syndrome; obesity; smoking; administration of statin, which is an antihyperlipidemic drug; lower platelet counts; lower alanine aminotransferase, total cholesterol, and HbA1c levels; higher C-peptide and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance levels; and higher FIB-4, NFS, and BARD score (all P < 0.05). FIB-4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.163), NFS (HR = 1.322), BARD score (HR = 1.564), metabolic syndrome (HR = 1.556), smoking (HR = 2.829), and statin use (HR = 0.603) independently predicted the risk of CVD (all P < 0.05). The cumulative incidence of CVD was significantly different among groups stratified by liver fibrotic burden (all P < 0.05, log-rank test). Competing risk analysis showed a significant association between the severity of liver fibrosis and CVD development (all P < 0.001, Gray's test).

CONCLUSIONS

The severity of liver fibrosis independently predicted CVD in patients with T2D. Thus, assessment of liver fibrosis might allow physicians to optimize the timing of appropriate cardiovascular interventions in such patients.