Prognostic value of pathological lymph node status and primary tumour regression grading following neoadjuvant chemotherapy - results from the MRC OE02 oesophageal cancer trial

Interleukin-6 as a Predictive Factor of Pathological Response to FLOT Regimen Systemic Treatment in Locally Advanced Gastroesophageal Junction or Gastric Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Perioperative treatment is a gold standard in locally advanced gastric cancer or GEJ cancer in the Western population. Unfortunately, the response rate after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) remains limited. Moreover, there are currently no biomarkers enabling an individual prediction of therapeutic efficacy. The aim of this study was the identification of serum biomarkers of early response to NAC.

METHODS

We conducted this prospective study in the MSCNRIO in Warsaw, Poland. A total of 71 patients and 15 healthy volunteers gave informed consent. Complete blood count, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carcinoma antigen 125 (CA125), carcinoma antigen 19.9 (CA19.9), and fibrinogen (F) were measured at baseline and before every cycle. Circulating tumour cells (CTCs) and interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) were measured in a pilot group of 40 patients at baseline and before cycle two (C2) and cycle three (C3).

RESULTS

Of all the measured parameters, only the IL-6 serum level was statistically significant. The IL-6 level before C2 of chemotherapy was significantly decreased in the complete pathological response (pCR) vs. the non-pCR group (3.71 pg/mL vs. 7.63 pg/mL, p = 0.004). In all patients with an IL-6 level below 5.0 pg/mL in C2, tumour regression TRG1a/1b according to the Becker classification and ypN0 were detected in postoperative histopathological specimens. The IL-6 level before C1 of chemotherapy was significantly elevated in ypN+ vs. ypN0 (7.69 pg/mL vs. 2.89 pg/mL, p = 0.022).

CONCLUSIONS

The trial showed that an elevated level of IL-6 prior to treatment and C2 might be a predictor of pathological response to NAC.

Equivalent prognosis with no lymph node metastasis to pathological complete remission in patients with localized advanced esophageal cancer after neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy with docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil followed by curative surgery: a single-center retrospective cohort study

Background

Adjuvant nivolumab therapy has become the standard therapy for patients with localized advanced esophageal cancer with non-pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by curative surgery. However, the necessity of this therapy for patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) with docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (DCF) regimen followed by surgery is unclear, and the prognosis of grouping based on the presence or absence of pathological tumor and lymph node findings has not been analyzed. Therefore, our study aimed to address these questions.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients with cT1N1-3M0 and cT2-3N0-3M0 esophageal cancer according to the Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer, 11th edition, who received NAC with DCF followed by curative surgery between 2008 and 2020 at Jichi Medical University Hospital. We divided patients with ypT0-3N0-3M0 into four histological groups, namely ypT0N0, ypT+N0, ypT0N+, and ypT+N+, and we evaluated overall survival as the primary outcome and the prognostic relationship of lymph node metastasis as the secondary outcome.

Results

A total of 101 patients were included in this study. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the curves of the ypT0N0 and ypT+N0 groups were almost identical, while they differed from the other two groups. The hazard ratio of ypN+ was 4.44 (95% confidence interval: 2.03-9.71; P<0.001).

Conclusions

The prognosis of the ypT+N0 group after NAC with DCF followed by surgery was similar to that of pathological complete remission. Grouping patients according to pathological lymph node status is a reasonable predictor of prognosis.

Neoadjuvant PD-1 Plus Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Clinical studies have shown that programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors can activate T cells and inhibit cancer growth. Therefore, the use of a PD-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy as neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer is worth further exploration.

METHODS

Patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma were enrolled in this study to receive two cycles of a preoperative combination of toripalimab, paclitaxel, and cisplatin. Efficacy was evaluated after two treatment cycles. The patients' postoperative pathological staging was analyzed and compared. Surgery was performed within 42 days of the start date of the last chemotherapy cycle.

RESULTS

Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy achieved a high pathologic complete response (pCR) rate (29.0%), major pathological response rate (41.9%), and objective response rate (80.6%) and demonstrated statistically significant downstaging after neoadjuvant therapy (P < .05) with manageable treatment-related adverse effects. No significant association was found between PD-L1 level and pCR (P = .365). In addition, R0 resection was achieved in all 31 (100%) patients during surgery. For all the included patients, the one-year progression-free survival rate was 87.1% (95% CI: 75.3%-98.9%), the one-year overall survival (OS) rate was 96.8% (95% CI: 79.8%-95.9%), and the two-year OS rate was 83.9% (95% CI: 71.6%-92.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that this combination may be a potential neoadjuvant therapy regimen in this setting.

Total neoadjuvant therapy in oesophageal and gastro-oesophageal junctional adenocarcinoma

Adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus and gastro-oesophageal junction represent a large burden of cancer death in the Western World with an increasing incidence. In the past two decades, the overall survival of patients on a potentially curative treatment pathway has more than doubled due to the addition of perioperative oncological therapies to surgery. However, patients often fail to respond to oncological treatment or struggle to complete their treatment after surgery. In this review, we discuss the current evidence for total neoadjuvant therapy and options for assessment of treatment response.

Combined regression score predicts outcome after neoadjuvant treatment of oesophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Histopathologic regression following neoadjuvant treatment (NT) of oesophageal cancer is a prognostic factor of survival, but the nodal status is not considered. Here, a score combining both to improve prediction of survival after neoadjuvant therapy is developed.

METHODS

Seven hundred and fifteen patients with oesophageal squamous cell (SCC) or adenocarcinoma (AC) undergoing NT and esophagectomy were analysed. Histopathologic response was classified according to percentage of vital residual tumour cells (VRTC): complete response (CR) without VRTC, major response with <10% VRTC, minor response with >10% VRTC. Nodal stage was classified as ypN0 and ypN+. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

Survival analysis identified three groups with significantly different mortality risks: (1) low-risk group for CR (ypT0N0) with 72% 5-year overall survival (5y-OS), (2) intermediate-risk group for minor/major responders and ypN0 with 59% 5y-OS, and (3) high-risk group for minor/major responders and ypN+ with 20% 5y-OS (p < 0.001). Median survival in AC and SCC cohorts were comparable (3.8 (CI 95%: 3.1, 5.3) vs. 4.6 years (CI 95%: 3.3, not reached), p = 0.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Histopathologic regression and nodal status should be combined for estimating AC and SCC prognosis. Poor survival in the high-risk group highlights need for adjuvant therapy.

Pathological regression of primary tumour and metastatic lymph nodes following chemotherapy in resectable OG cancer: pooled analysis of two trials

BACKGROUND

No definitive largescale data exist evaluating the role of pathologically defined regression changes within the primary tumour and lymph nodes (LN) of resected oesophagogastric (OG) adenocarcinoma following neoadjuvant chemotherapy and the impact on survival.

METHODS

Data and samples from two large prospective randomised trials (UK MRC OE05 and ST03) were pooled. Stained slides were available for central pathology review from 1619 patients. Mandard tumour regression grade (TRG) and regression of tumour within LNs (LNR: scored as present/absent) were assessed and correlated with overall survival (OS) using a Cox regression model. An exploratory analysis to define subgroups with distinct prognoses was conducted using a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis.

RESULTS

Neither trial demonstrated a relationship between TRG score and the presence or absence of LNR. In univariable analysis, lower TRG, lower ypN stage, lower ypT stage, presence of LNR, presence of well/moderate tumour differentiation, and absence of tumour at resection margin were all associated with better OS. However, the multivariable analysis demonstrated that only ypN, ypT, grade of differentiation and resection margin (R0) were independent indicators of prognosis. Exploratory CART analysis identified six subgroups with 3-year OS ranging from 83% to 22%; with ypN stage being the most important single prognostic variable.

CONCLUSIONS

Pathological LN stage within the resection specimen was the single most important determiner of survival. Our results suggest that the assessment of regression changes within the primary tumour or LNs may not be necessary to define the prognosis further.

Outcome and prognostic factors in patients undergoing salvage therapy for recurrent esophagogastric cancer after multimodal treatment

PURPOSE

Perioperative systemic treatment has significantly improved the outcome in locally advanced esophagogastric cancer. However, still the majority of patients relapse and die. Data on the optimal treatment after relapse are limited, and clinical and biological prognostic factors are lacking.

METHODS

Patients with a relapse after neoadjuvant/perioperative treatment and surgery for esophagogastric cancer were analyzed using a prospective database. Applied treatment regimens, clinical prognostic factors and biomarkers were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 246 patients 119 relapsed. Among patients with a relapse event, those with an early relapse (< 6 months) had an inferior overall survival (OS 6.3 vs. 13.8 months, p < 0.001) after relapse than those with a late relapse (> 6 months). OS after relapse was longer in patients with a microsatellite-unstable (MSI) tumor. Systemic treatment was initiated in 87 patients (73% of relapsed pat.); among those OS from the start of first-line treatment was inferior in patients with an early relapse with 6.9 vs. 10.0 months (p = 0.037). In 27 patients (23% of relapsed pat.), local therapy (irradiation or surgical intervention) was performed due to oligometastatic relapse, resulting in a prolonged OS in comparison to patients without local therapy (median OS 35.2 months vs. 7.8 months, p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis confirmed the prognostic benefit of the MSI status and a local intervention.

CONCLUSION

Patients relapsing after multimodal treatment have a heterogeneous prognosis depending on the relapse-free interval (if systemic treatment applied), extent of metastatic disease as well as MSI status. The benefit of additional local intervention after relapse should be addressed in a randomized trial.

Distribution of residual tumors in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade combined with chemotherapy

Aims

The distribution of residual esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in the esophageal wall and resected lymph nodes was evaluated after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy (nICT).

Methods and results

Clinical data were collected from 137 ESCC patients who underwent anti-programmed death 1 therapy and esophagectomy. Ninety (65.7%) achieved an major pathological response (MPR) in the esophageal wall, and 27 (19.7%) achieved an MPR in the lymph nodes. Pathologically complete response (pCR, ypT0N0) was observed in 26 patients (19%). Residual tumors located in the mucosa and/or submucosa were found in 94.6% of nonpCR patients. In the minor responders, 97.8% had residual tumor >10% in the mucosa or submucosa. A preferential regression direction toward the lumen was found in 76.4% of prepT2 nonpCR patients, or 60.7% of prepT3-4a nonpCR patients. The correlation between pCR in the esophageal wall and in lymph nodes was not significant (P=0.143). Among 19 patients with pCR in resected recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) lymph nodes, 31.6% had residual tumor cells in other resected lymph nodes. A significant correlation was found between ypT/ypN downstaging and tumor regression grade (P<0.05).

Conclusions

After nICT for ESCC, residual tumors were frequently found in the mucosa or submucosa, with relatively high responsiveness of the invasive front and a significant correlation with downstaging, which may help clinicians make appropriate decisions about postoperative treatment and surveillance. The differences in pCR status in primary tumors, resected lymph nodes, and RLN lymph nodes indicated the importance of assessing regression changes in all resected lymph nodes during clinical practice.

Prognostic Significance of Negative Lymph Node Long Axis in Esophageal Cancer: Results From the Randomized Controlled UK MRC OE02 Trial

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the relationship between negative lymph node (LNneg) size as a possible surrogate marker of the host antitumor immune response and overall survival (OS) in esophageal cancer (EC) patients.

BACKGROUND

Lymph node (LN) status is a well-established prognostic factor in EC patients. An increased number of LNnegs is related to better survival in EC. Follicular hyperplasia in LNneg is associated with better survival in cancer-bearing mice and might explain increased LN size.

METHODS

The long axis of 304 LNnegs was measured in hematoxylin-eosin stained sections from resection specimens of 367 OE02 trial patients (188 treated with surgery alone (S), 179 with neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus surgery (C+S)) as a surrogate of LN size. The relationship between LNneg size, LNneg microarchitecture, clinicopathological variables, and OS was analyzed.

RESULTS

Large LNneg size was related to lower pN category ( P = 0.01) and lower frequency of lymphatic invasion ( P = 0.02) in S patients only. Irrespective of treatment, (y)pN0 patients with large LNneg had the best OS. (y)pN1 patients had the poorest OS irrespective of LNneg size ( P < 0.001). Large LNneg contained less lymphocytes ( P = 0.02) and had a higher germinal centers/lymphocyte ratio ( P = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to investigate LNneg size in EC patients randomized to neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery or surgery alone. Our pilot study suggests that LNneg size is a surrogate marker of the host antitumor immune response and a potentially clinically useful new prognostic biomarker for (y)pN0 EC patients. Future studies need to confirm our results and explore underlying biological mechanisms.

Automated detection and delineation of lymph nodes in haematoxylin & eosin stained digitised slides

Treatment of patients with oesophageal and gastric cancer (OeGC) is guided by disease stage, patient performance status and preferences. Lymph node (LN) status is one of the strongest prognostic factors for OeGC patients. However, survival varies between patients with the same disease stage and LN status. We recently showed that LN size from patients with OeGC might also have prognostic value, thus making delineations of LNs essential for size estimation and the extraction of other imaging biomarkers. We hypothesized that a machine learning workflow is able to: (1) find digital H&E stained slides containing LNs, (2) create a scoring system providing degrees of certainty for the results, and (3) delineate LNs in those images. To train and validate the pipeline, we used 1695 H&E slides from the OE02 trial. The dataset was divided into training (80%) and validation (20%). The model was tested on an external dataset of 826 H&E slides from the OE05 trial. U-Net architecture was used to generate prediction maps from which predefined features were extracted. These features were subsequently used to train an XGBoost model to determine if a region truly contained a LN. With our innovative method, the balanced accuracies of the LN detection were 0.93 on the validation dataset (0.83 on the test dataset) compared to 0.81 (0.81) on the validation (test) datasets when using the standard method of thresholding U-Net predictions to arrive at a binary mask. Our method allowed for the creation of an "uncertain" category, and partly limited false-positive predictions on the external dataset. The mean Dice score was 0.73 (0.60) per-image and 0.66 (0.48) per-LN for the validation (test) datasets. Our pipeline detects images with LNs more accurately than conventional methods, and high-throughput delineation of LNs can facilitate future LN content analyses of large datasets.

PET-directed combined modality therapy for gastroesophageal junction cancer: Results of the multicentre prospective MEMORI trial of the German Cancer Consortium (DKTK)

BACKGROUND

Positron emission tomography (PET) may differentiate responding and non-responding tumours early in the treatment of locally advanced gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinomas. Early PET non-responders (P-NR) after induction CTX might benefit from changing to chemoradiation (CRT).

METHODS

Patients underwent baseline ¹⁸F-FDG PET followed by 1 cycle of CTX. PET was repeated at day 14-21 and responders (P-R), defined as ≥35% decrease in SUV_mean from baseline, continued with CTX. P-NR switched to CRT (CROSS). Patients underwent surgery 4-6 weeks post-CTX/CRT. The primary objective was an improvement in R0 resection rates in P-NR above a proportion of 70%.

RESULTS

In total, 160 patients with resectable gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinomas were prospectively investigated by PET scanning. Eighty-five patients (53%) were excluded. Seventy-five eligible patients were enrolled in the study. Based on PET criteria, 50 (67.6%)/24 (32.4%) were P-R and P-NR, respectively. Resection was performed on 46 responders, including one patient who withdrew the ICF, and 22 non-responders (per-protocol population). R0 resection rates were 95.6% (43/45) for P-R and 86.4% (19/22) for P-NR. No treatment related deaths occurred. With a median follow-up time of 24.5 months, estimated 18 months DFS was 75.4%/64.2% for P-R/P-NR, respectively. The estimated 18 months OS was 95.5% for P-R and 68.2% for P-NR.

CONCLUSION

The primary endpoint of the study to increase the R0 resection rate in metabolic NR was not met. PET response after induction CTX is prognostic for outcome with a prolonged OS and DFS in PET responders.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT00002014-000860-16.

Prognostic relevance of lymph node regression on survival in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The prognostic value of histomorphologic regression in primary esophageal cancer has been previously established, however the impact of lymph node (LN) response on survival still remains unclear. The aim of this review was to assess the prognostic significance of LN regression or downstaging following neoadjuvant therapy for esophageal cancer.

METHODS

An electronic search was performed to identify articles evaluating LN regression or downstaging after neoadjuvant therapy. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to assess the influence of regression in the LNs and nodal downstaging on overall survival. Histomorphologic tumor regression in LNs was defined by the absence of viable cells or degree of fibrosis on histopathologic examination. Downstaged LNs were defined as pN0 nodes by the tumor, node, and metastasis classification, which were positive prior to treatment neoadjuvant.

RESULTS

Eight articles were included, three of which assessed tumor regression (number of patients = 292) and five assessed downstaging (number of patients = 1368). Complete tumor regression (average rate of 29.1%) in the LNs was associated with improved survival, although not statistically significant (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.26-1.06; P = 0.17). LNs downstaging (average rate of 32.2%) was associated with improved survival compared to node positivity after neoadjuvant treatment (HR = 0.41, 95%CI = 0.22-0.77; P = 0.005).

DISCUSSION

The findings of this meta-analysis have shown a survival benefit in patients with LN downstaging and are suggestive for considering LN downstaging to ypN0 as an additional prognostic marker in staging and in the comparative evaluation of differing neoadjuvant regimens in clinical trials. No statistically significant effect of histopathologic regression in the LNs on long-term survival was seen.

Impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on nodal regression and survival in oesophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of lymph node regression (LNR) following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (nCT) for oesophageal and gastro-oeosphageal adenocarcinoma remains unclear. This study aimed to characterise the long-term survival outcomes of LNR in patients having resectional surgery after nCT.

METHODS

This study included patients undergoing oesophagectomy or extended total gastrectomy for oesophageal and junctional tumours (Siewert types 1,2,3) at the Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham from 2012 to 2018. Lymph nodes retrieved at surgery were examined for evidence of a response to chemotherapy. Patients were classified as lymph node-negative (either negative nodes with no evidence of previous tumour involvement or negative with evidence of complete regression) or positive with either partial or no response.

RESULTS

This study identified 183 patients who received nCT, of which 71% (130/183) had positive lymph nodes. Of these 130 patients, 44% (57/130) had a lymph node response and 56% (73/130) did not. The remaining 53 patients (29.0%) had negative lymph nodes with no evidence of tumour. Lymph node responders had a significant survival benefit compared to patients without lymph node response, but shorter than those with negative lymph nodes (median: 27 vs 18 vs NR months, p < 0·001). On multivariable analysis, lymph node responders had an improved overall (Hazard ratio (HR): 0.86, 95% CI: 0.80-0.92, p < 0.001) and recurrence-free (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.82-0.98, p = 0.030) survival.

CONCLUSION

Lymph node regression is an important prognostic factor, warranting closer evaluation over primary tumour response to help with planning further adjuvant therapy in these patients.

Metabolic tumor constitution is superior to tumor regression grading for evaluating response to neoadjuvant therapy of esophageal adenocarcinoma patients

The response to neoadjuvant therapy can vary widely between individual patients. Histopathological tumor regression grading (TRG) is a strong factor for treatment response and survival prognosis of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) patients following neoadjuvant treatment and surgery. However, TRG systems are usually based on the estimation of residual tumor but do not consider stromal or metabolic changes after treatment. Spatial metabolomics analysis is a powerful tool for molecular tissue phenotyping but has not been used so far in the context of neoadjuvant treatment of esophageal cancer. We used imaging mass spectrometry to assess the potential of spatial metabolomics on tumor and stroma tissue for evaluating therapy response of neoadjuvant-treated EAC patients. With an accuracy of 89.7%, the binary classifier trained on spatial tumor metabolite data proved to be superior for stratifying patients when compared to histopathological response assessment which had an accuracy of 70.5%. Sensitivities and specificities for the poor and favorable survival patient groups ranged from 84.9 to 93.3% using the metabolic classifier and from 62.2 to 78.1% using TRG. The tumor classifier was the only significant prognostic factor (HR 3.38, 95% CI = 1.40-8.12, P = 0.007) when adjusted for clinicopathological parameters such as TRG (HR 1.01, 95% CI = 0.67-1.53, P = 0.968) or stromal classifier (HR 1.856, 95% CI = 0.81-4.25, P = 0.143). The classifier even allowed to further stratify patients within the TRG1-3 categories. The underlying mechanisms of response to treatment has been figured out through network analysis. In summary, metabolic response evaluation outperformed histopathological response evaluation in our study with regard to prognostic stratification. This finding indicates that the metabolic constitution of tumor may have a greater impact on patient survival than the quantity of residual tumor cells or the stroma. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Guiding significance of intraoperative frozen section for range of judging incisal edge of Esophageal Carcinoma

Objective:

To explore guiding significance of intraoperative frozen section for judging incisal edge range of esophageal carcinoma.

Methods:

A retrospective descriptive research design was used to collect the clinical and pathological data of 205 patients with esophageal cancer who were treated in Huaihe Hospital of Henan University from March 2012 to July 2015. Among them, 46 patients’ esophageal margins were made into intraoperative frozen sections.

Results:

In the 205 cases, nine cases were diagnoses with upper incisal edge cancerization, accounting for 4.39%, and five cases were diagnosed with lower incisal edge cancerization, accounting for 2.4%. There were 14 cases in total, accounting for 6.83%. four cases showed positive residual end of intraoperative frozen section.

Conclusion:

The cancerous focus residue of incisal edge in esophageal carcinoma is not uncommon. Intraoperative frozen section is helpful to judge the proper excision length of esophageal carcinoma.

Positron emission tomography complete metabolic response as a favorable prognostic predictor in esophageal cancer following neoadjuvant chemotherapy with docetaxel/cisplatin/5-fluorouracil

BACKGROUND

¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography is useful in diagnosing lymph node and distant metastases of esophageal cancer. However, its value for predicting survival is controversial.

AIM

To evaluate the value of PET complete metabolic response (CMR) as a prognostic predictor for esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Between June 2013 and December 2017, 58 patients with squamous cell esophageal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in Oita University were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Tumors were clinically staged using fluorodeoxyglucose-PET/computed tomography before and after NAC. After NAC, maximal standardized uptake value ≤ 2.5 was defined as PET-CMR, and maximal standardized uptake value > 2.5 was defined as non-PET-CMR. We compared short-term outcomes between the PET-CMR group and non-PET-CMR group and evaluated prognostic factors by univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The PET-CMR group included 22 patients, and the non-PET-CMR group included 36 patients. There were no significant differences in intraoperative and postoperative complications between the two groups. Five-year relapse-free survival and overall survival in the PET-CMR group were significantly more favorable than those in the non-PET-CMR group (38.6 mo vs 20.8 mo, P = 0.021; 42.8 mo vs 25.1 mo, P = 0.011, respectively). PET-CMR was a significant prognostic factor in terms of relapse-free survival by univariate analysis (hazard ratio: 2.523; 95% confidence interval: 1.034–7.063; P < 0.041). Particularly, PET-computed tomography negative N was an independent prognostic factor of relapse-free survival and overall survival by multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

PET-CMR after NAC is considered a favorable prognostic factor for esophageal cancer. Evaluation by PET-computed tomography could be useful in clinical decision making for esophageal cancer.

Moderately differentiated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has a poor prognosis after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) plus surgery is the standard treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC); however, further analysis is needed to detail the histopathological characteristics of ESCC and their clinical significance after NCRT. This study aimed to present the pathological characteristics of ESCC and their association with prognosis after NCRT.

Methods

All patients with ESCC who underwent NCRT followed by surgical resection at Sichuan Cancer Hospital (China) from January 2018 to December 2019 were included. Resection specimens of both the primary disease and lymph nodes were re-evaluated by an experienced pathologist. After NCRT, the pathological characteristics of the residual tumor were evaluated based on the Japanese residual tumor pattern, Mandard tumor regression grade (Mandard-TRG), local inflammatory infiltration classification, and lymph node status.

Results

Among the 103 patients with ESCC included in this study, the pathological complete response (pCR) rate was 34% (35/103). The pCR rate of patients with poorly differentiated tumors (31/72) was higher (43.1%) than that of patients with well or moderately differentiated tumors (P<0.05). The residual tumor rate was 66% (68/103). A positive correlation was noted between the Japanese residual tumor pattern and Mandard-TRG (Kendall’s tau-b =0.857, P<0.001). Tumor infiltration depth, lymph node positivity, moderate differentiation, and tumor recurrence were associated with poor oncological outcomes (P<0.05).

Conclusions

Patients with poorly differentiated tumors can obtain an excellent short-term response; however, they have extremely poor long-term survival. For patients with moderately differentiated tumors, both the short- and long-term outcomes are poor. Lymph node status after NCRT is a prognostic factor for ESCC treated with NCRT.

Lymph node response to chemoradiotherapy in oesophageal cancer patients: relationship with radiotherapy fields

BACKGROUND

The presence of lymph node metastasis (LNmets) is a poor prognostic factor in oesophageal cancer (OeC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by surgery. Tumour regression grade (TRG) in LNmets has been suggested as a predictor for survival. The aim of this study was to investigate whether TRG in LNmets is related to their location within the radiotherapy (RT) field.

METHODS

Histopathological TRG was retrospectively classified in 2565 lymph nodes (LNs) from 117 OeC patients treated with nCRT and surgery as: (A) no tumour, no signs of regression; (B) tumour without regression; (C) viable tumour and regression; and (D) complete response. Multivariate survival analysis was used to investigate the relationship between LN location within the RT field, pathological TRG of the LN and TRG of the primary tumour.

RESULTS

In 63 (54%) patients, viable tumour cells or signs of regression were seen in 264 (10.2%) LNs which were classified as TRG-B (n = 56), C (n = 104) or D (n = 104) LNs. 73% of B, C and D LNs were located within the RT field. There was a trend towards a relationship between LN response and anatomical LN location with respect to the RT field (p = 0.052). Multivariate analysis showed that only the presence of LNmets within the RT field with TRG-B is related to poor overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Patients have the best survival if all LNmets show tumour regression, even if LNmets are located outside the RT field. Response in LNmets to nCRT is heterogeneous which warrants further studies to better understand underlying mechanisms.

Tumor Regression Grade Predicts Survival in Locally Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients with Lymph Node Metastasis

Background

Tumor regression grade (TRG) is widely used in gastrointestinal carcinoma to evaluate pathological responses to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT), but whether it is an independent prognostic factor is still controversial. The aim of this study is to investigate the value of TRG in locally advanced gastric adenocarcinoma patients who underwent NCT and curative resection.

Methods

Pathological regression was reevaluated according to the Mandard TRG. Survival curves were obtained by the Kaplan–Meier method, and differences in overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses for survival were based on the Cox proportional hazards method.

Results

In total, 290 patients were identified in our electronic database. In univariable analysis, TRG was associated with OS (HR = 3.822, P ≤ 0.001) and DFS (HR = 3.374, P ≤ 0.001). However, in multivariable analysis, TRG was not an independent factor for OS (P = 0.231) or DFS (P = 0.191). In the stratified analysis, TRG retrieved prognostic significance in patients with the metastasis of lymph node (HR = 2.034, P = 0.035 for OS; HR = 2.220, P = 0.016 for DFS), while not in patients with negative lymph node (P = 0.296 for OS; P = 0.172 for DFS).

Conclusions

TRG was not an independent predictor for survival, but the system regained its predicting significance in patients with lymph node metastasis.

Significance of tumour regression in lymph node metastases of gastric and gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinomas

The presence of lymph node (LN) metastases is one of the most important negative prognostic factors in upper gastrointestinal carcinomas. Tumour regression similar to that in primary tumours can be observed in LN metastases after neoadjuvant therapy. We evaluated the prognostic impact of histological regression in LNs in 480 adenocarcinomas of the stomach and gastro‐oesophageal junction after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Regressive changes in LNs (nodular and/or hyaline fibrosis, sheets of foamy histiocytes or acellular mucin) were assessed by histology. In total, regressive changes were observed in 128 of 480 patients. LNs were categorised according to the absence or presence of both residual tumour and regressive changes (LN−/+ and Reg−/+). 139 cases were LN−/Reg−, 28 cases without viable LN metastases revealed regressive changes (LN−/Reg+), 100 of 313 cases with LN metastases showed regressive changes (LN+/Reg+), and 213 of 313 metastatic LN had no signs of regression (LN+/Reg−). Overall, LN/Reg categorisation correlated with overall survival with the best prognosis for LN−/Reg− and the worst prognosis for LN+/Reg− (p < 0.001). LN−/Reg+ cases had a nearly significant better outcome than LN+/Reg+ (p = 0.054) and the latter had a significantly better prognosis than LN+/Reg− (p = 0.01). The LN/Reg categorisation was also an independent prognostic factor in multivariate analysis (HR = 1.23; 95% CI 1.1–1.38; p < 0.001). We conclude that the presence of regressive changes after neoadjuvant treatment in LNs and LN metastases of gastric and gastro‐oesophageal junction cancers is a relevant prognostic factor.

Clinical significance of evaluating endoscopic response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Clinical significance of endoscopic response (ER) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for esophageal cancer has not been fully understood. Thus, the present study aimed to investigate the association between ER to NAC and its clinicopathological outcomes in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

In total, 141 patients who underwent NAC and subsequent esophagectomy for ESCC were included. ER to NAC was retrospectively evaluated based on macroscopic findings of the primary tumor, which was classified into three categories: endoscopic no response (eNR), endoscopic partial response (ePR), and endoscopic good response (eGR). An endoscopic responder was defined as patients with eGR/ePR.

RESULTS

Approximately 89.4% of patients had cStage II-III disease, and 7.1% had pathological complete response. Upon ER evaluation, eNR, ePR, and eGR were observed in 46 (32.6%), 54 (38.3%), and 41 (29.1%) patients, respectively. Pathological responders significantly increased as the ER grade became better. Among preoperative clinical factors, only ER significantly correlated with pathological response in univariate and multivariate analysis. Endoscopic responders showed a significantly better prognosis than did eNR patients (P < 0.001), although the overall survival (OS) of the patients with eGR and ePR was equivalent. Endoscopic responder, ypT, ypN, and pathological responder were significant predictors of OS in the univariate analysis, and endoscopic responder, ypN, and pathological responder were independent predictors in the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that ER can be a simple and important tool to predict the pathological response and survival of patients who undergo NAC for ESCC.

Association between time interval from neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy to surgery and complete histological tumor response in esophageal and gastroesophageal junction cancer: a national cohort study

The optimal time interval from neoadjuvant therapy to surgery in the treatment of esophageal cancer is not known. The aim of this study was to investigate if a prolonged interval between completed neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery was associated with improved histological response rates and survival in a population-based national register cohort. The population-based cohort study included patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and esophagectomy due to cancer in the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction. Patients were divided into two groups based on the median time from completed neoadjuvant treatment to surgery. The primary outcome was complete histological response. Secondary outcomes were lymph node tumor response, postoperative complications, R0 resection rate, 90-day mortality, and overall survival. In total, 643 patients were included, 344 (54%) patients underwent surgery within 49 days, and 299 (47%) after 50 days or longer. The groups were similar concerning baseline characteristics except for a higher clinical tumor stage (P = 0.009) in the prolonged time to surgery group. There were no significant differences in complete histological response, R0 resection rate, postoperative complications, 90-day mortality, or overall survival. Adjusted odds ratio for ypT0 in the prolonged time to surgery group was 0.99 (95% confidence interval: 0.64-1.53). Complete histological response in the primary tumor (ypT0) was associated with significantly higher overall survival: adjusted hazard ratio: 0.55 (95% CI 0.41-0.76). If lymph node metastases were present in these patients, the survival was, however, significantly lower: adjusted hazard ratio for ypT0N1: 2.30 (95% CI 1.21-4.35). In this prospectively collected, nationwide cohort study of esophageal and junctional type 1 and 2 cancer patients, there were no associations between time to surgery and histological complete response, postoperative outcomes, or overall survival. The results suggest that it is safe for patients to postpone surgery at least 7 to 10 weeks after completed chemoradiotherapy, but no evidence was seen in favor of recommending a prolonged time to surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer. A definitive answer to this question requires a randomized controlled trial of standard vs. prolonged time to surgery.

DNA epigenetic signature predictive of benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy in oesophageal adenocarcinoma: results from the MRC OE02 trial

BACKGROUND

DNA methylation signatures describing distinct histological subtypes of oesophageal cancer have been reported. We studied DNA methylation in samples from the MRC OE02 phase III trial, which randomised patients with resectable oesophageal cancer to surgery alone (S) or neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery (CS).

AIM

The aim of the study was to identify epigenetic signatures predictive of chemotherapy benefit in patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) from the OE02 trial and validate the findings in an independent cohort.

METHODS

DNA methylation was analysed using the Illumina GoldenGate platform on surgically resected OAC specimens from patients in the OE02 trial. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to select probes predictive of survival in the CS arm. Non-negative matrix factorisation was used to perform clustering and delineate DNA methylation signatures. The findings were validated in an independent cohort of patients with gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

A total of 229 patients with OAC were analysed from the OE02 trial (118 in the CS arm and 111 in the S arm). There was no difference in DNA methylation status between the CS and S arms. A metagene signature was created by dichotomising samples into two clusters. In cluster 1, patients in the CS arm had significant overall survival (OS) benefit (median OS CS: 931 days vs. S: 536 days [HR: 1.54, P = 0.031]). In cluster 2, patients in the CS arm had similar (or worse) OS compared with patients in the S arm (CS: 348 days vs. S: 472 days [HR: 0.70, P = 0.1], and test of interaction was significant (p = 0.005). In the validation cohort (n = 13), there was no difference in DNA methylation status in paired pre- and post-treatment samples. When the epigenetic signature was applied, cluster 1 samples had better OS (median OS, cluster 1: 1174 days vs. cluster 2: 392 days, HR: 3.47, p = 0.059) CONCLUSIONS: This is the first and largest study of DNA methylation in patients with OAC uniformly treated in a randomised phase III trial. We identified an epigenetic signature that may serve as a predictive biomarker for chemotherapy benefit in OAC.

Predicting lymph node metastases with endoscopic resection in cT2N0M0 oesophageal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Despite modern imaging modalities, staging of clinically staged T2N0M0 (cT2N0M0) oesophageal cancer is suboptimal, often leading to overtreatment. Endoscopic resection – the first-line therapy for early localised tumours – could be used to improve staging and to attain predictors of nodal upstaging enabling more stage-guided treatment decisions.

Objective

A systematic literature review and a meta-analysis were conducted to assess the prevalence and the pathological risk factors of lymph node metastases in cT2N0M0 oesophageal cancer.

Methods

Databases of PUBMED, EMBASE and Cochrane were searched for literature. The primary outcome was lymph node metastases determined after primary surgical resection.

Results

Nine studies with a total of 1650 cT2N0M0 patients were included. The prevalence of lymph node metastases was 43% (95% confidence interval: 35–50%) with heterogeneity being high across studies (I² = 0.86, p < 0.001). Factors potentially attainable by endoscopic resection and having a significant association with lymph node metastases were invasion depth, differentiation grade, tumour size, depth of invasion in the muscularis propria and lymphovascular invasion.

Conclusions

Clinical lymph node staging is inaccurate in almost half of cT2N0M0 oesophageal cancer. Endoscopic resection is a promising diagnostic modality that might even be a valid alternative to surgery in selected patients without high-risk features, but further evidence is warranted.

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation for patients with advanced oesophageal cancer - which response grading system best impacts prognostic discrimination?

AIMS

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation reduces tumour volume and improves the R0 resection rate, followed by extended survival for patients with advanced oesophageal cancer. The degree of tumour regression has high prognostic relevance. To date, there is still no generally accepted tumour regression grading system. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic discrimination power of different histological regression grading systems: (i) the fibrosis/tumour ratio within the primary tumour (Mandard classification), (ii) the percentage of residual vital tumour cells (VTC) compared to the original primary tumour (Cologne Regression) and (iii) the ypT category, in patients with cT3 carcinoma of the oesophagus after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included 216 patients with oesophageal cancer clinically staged as cT3NxM0 and treated from 2009 to 2012 with standardised chemoradiation followed by oesophagectomy [median age 62 years, 176 (81%) male and 138 (64%) adenocarcinoma patients]. The subgroup frequencies of the three classification systems were ypT category: ypT0 = 18%, ypT1 = 14%, ypT2 = 23%, ypT3 = 44%, ypT4 = 1%; Mandard classification: TRG1 = 18%, TRG2 = 26%, TRG3 = 24%, TRG4 = 30%, TRG5 = 2%; and Cologne Regression Scale: no tumour = 18%, 1-10% VTC = 27%, 10-50% VTC = 26% and >50% VTC = 29%. The Mandard and Cologne Regression classifications showed better prognostic differentiation for the subgroups than the ypT category. The four-tiered Cologne Regression system had a good prognostic relevance. Comparing results of the re-evaluated Cologne Regression classification with the classification by routine pathological report showed very good inter-rater agreement, with kappa value 0.891.

CONCLUSION

Compared to the original primary tumour, the tumour regression grading system using the percentage of residual vital tumour has prognostic relevance.

Meta-analysis of the influence of a positive circumferential resection margin in oesophageal cancer

Background

The evidence regarding the prognostic impact of a positive circumferential resection margin (CRM) in oesophageal cancer is conflicting, and there is global variability in the definition of a positive CRM. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of a positive CRM on survival in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer.

Methods

A systematic review and meta‐analysis was performed. PubMed and Embase databases were searched for articles to May 2018 examining the effect of a positive CRM on survival. Cohort studies written in English were included. Meta‐analyses of univariable and multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were performed using both Royal College of Pathologists (RCP) and College of American Pathologists (CAP) criteria. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. Egger regression, and Duval and Tweedie trim‐and‐fill statistics were used to assess publication bias.

Results

Of 133 studies screened, 29 incorporating 6142 patients were finally included for analysis. Pooled univariable HRs for overall survival in patients with a positive CRM were 1·68 (95 per cent c.i. 1·48 to 1·91; P < 0·001) and 2·18 (1·84 to 2·60; P < 0·001) using RCP and CAP criteria respectively. Subgroup analyses demonstrated similar results for patients by T category, neoadjuvant therapy and tumour type. Pooled HRs from multivariable analyses suggested that a positive CRM was independently predictive of a worse overall survival (RCP: 1·41, 1·21 to 1·64, P < 0·001; CAP: 2·37, 1·60 to 3·51, P < 0·001).

Conclusion

A positive CRM is associated with a worse prognosis regardless of classification system, T category, tumour type or neoadjuvant therapy.

Prognostic and Predictive Factors for the Curative Treatment of Esophageal and Gastric Cancer in Randomized Controlled Trials: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

An overview of promising prognostic variables and predictive subgroups concerning the curative treatment of esophageal and gastric cancer from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is lacking. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and ASCO/ESMO conferences were searched up to March 2019 for RCTs on the curative treatment of esophageal or gastric cancer with data on prognostic and/or predictive factors for overall survival. Prognostic factors were deemed potentially clinically relevant according to the following criteria; (1) statistically significant (p < 0.05) in a multivariate analysis, (2) reported in at least 250 patients, and (3) p < 0.05, in ≥ 33% of the total number of patients in RCTs reporting this factor. Predictive factors were potentially clinically-relevant if (1) the p-value for interaction between subgroups was <0.20 and (2) the hazard ratio in one of the subgroups was significant (p < 0.05).

RESULTS

For gastric cancer, 39 RCTs were identified (n = 13,530 patients) and, for esophageal cancer, 33 RCTs were identified (n = 8618 patients). In total, we identified 23 potentially clinically relevant prognostic factors for gastric cancer and 16 for esophageal cancer. There were 15 potentially clinically relevant predictive factors for gastric cancer and 10 for esophageal cancer.

CONCLUSION

The identified prognostic and predictive factors can be included and analyzed in future RCTs and be of guidance for nomograms. Further validation should be performed in large patient cohorts.

Chemotherapy and novel targeted therapies for operable esophageal and gastroesophageal junctional cancer

During the past decades, several treatment strategies such as neoadjuvant chemotherapy, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and perioperative chemotherapy have been shown to improve the prognosis of resectable esophageal cancer. Patients with squamous cell tumors respond better to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy compared to adenocarcinoma. Therefore, in squamous tumors neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is the preferred strategy. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and perioperative chemotherapy are both effective in patients with adenocarcinoma. Chemoradiotherapy trials have shown higher rates of pCR, pN0 and R0 resection rates compared to neoadjuvant chemotherapy trials. Nonetheless, it is still unclear whether one strategy should be preferred over the other in terms of overall survival for adenocarcinoma. Based on the currently available evidence, the addition of targeted agents, such as VEGF and EGFR inhibitors, to the aforementioned strategies does not lead to survival benefit. Novel targeted treatment strategies that are currently being investigated include inhibition of HER2, PD-1 or the PD-1 ligand. Molecular subgroup analysis can contribute to better understanding of disease pathogenesis and prediction of response to treatment.

Prognostic value of pathological lymph node status and primary tumour regression grading following neoadjuvant chemotherapy - results from the MRC OE02 oesophageal cancer trial

AIMS

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) remains an important therapeutic option for advanced oesophageal cancer (OC). Pathological tumour regression grade (TRG) may offer additional information by directing adjuvant treatment and/or follow-up but its clinical value remains unclear. We analysed the prognostic value of TRG and associated pathological factors in OC patients enrolled in the Medical Research Council (MRC) OE02 trial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Histopathology was reviewed in 497 resections from OE02 trial participants randomised to surgery (S group; n = 244) or NAC followed by surgery [chemotherapy plus surgery (CS) group; n = 253]. The association between TRG groups [responders (TRG1-3) versus non-responders (TRG4-5)], pathological lymph node (LN) status and overall survival (OS) was analysed. One hundred and ninety-five of 253 (77%) CS patients were classified as 'non-responders', with a significantly higher mortality risk compared to responders [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.05-2.24, P = 0.026]. OS was significantly better in patients without LN metastases irrespective of TRG [non-responders HR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.33-2.63, P < 0.001 versus responders HR = 2.21, 95% CI = 1.11-4.10, P = 0.024]. In multivariate analyses, LN status was the only independent factor predictive of OS in CS patients (HR = 1.93, 95% CI = 1.42-2.62, P < 0.001). Exploratory subgroup analyses excluding radiotherapy-exposed patients (n = 48) showed similar prognostic outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Lymph node status post-NAC is the most important prognostic factor in patients with resectable oesophageal cancer, irrespective of TRG. Potential clinical implications, e.g. adjuvant treatment or intensified follow-up, reinforce the importance of LN dissection for staging and prognostication.