Cause-specific excess mortality among dialysis patients: comparison with the general population in Japan

All-Cause Standardized Mortality Ratio in Hemodialysis and Peritoneal Dialysis Patients: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at a higher mortality risk compared with the general population. Previous studies have described a relationship between mortality and patients with ESRD, but the data on standardized mortality ratio (SMR) corresponding to different causes of death in patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) are limited. This study was designed as a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study. Incident dialysis patients between January 2000 and December 2015 in Taiwan were included. Using data acquired from the Taiwan Death Registry, SMR values were calculated and compared with the overall survival. The results showed there were a total of 128,966 patients enrolled, including 117,376 incident HD patients and 11,590 incident PD patients. It was found that 75,297 patients (58.4%) died during the period of 2000-2017. The overall SMR was 5.21. The neoplasms SMR was 2.11; the endocrine, nutritional, metabolic, and immunity disorders SMR was 13.53; the circulatory system SMR was 4.31; the respiratory system SMR was 2.59; the digestive system SMR was 6.1; and the genitourinary system SMR was 27.22. Therefore, more attention should be paid to these diseases in clinical care.

Prefecture-specific prevalence of overweight/obesity is associated with regional variation in the incidence of treated ESKD in Japan

BACKGROUND

Overweight/obesity is a significant risk factor for chronic kidney disease and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in the general population. This study evaluated the impact of sex- and prefecture-specific prevalence of overweight/obesity on standardized incidence rates (SIRs) of treated ESKD in Japan.

METHODS

We conducted an ecological study of all prefectures in Japan (n = 47) using data from the Japanese Society of Dialysis Therapy, national census, the NDB Open Data, and the Statistics of Physicians, Dentists and Pharmacists. We calculated the prevalence of overweight/obesity and proteinuria, standardized mortality ratio, and ratio of nephrology specialists for each prefecture, and explored associations of these variables with sex- and prefecture-specific SIRs of treated ESKD using bivariate association analysis, multiple regression analysis, and structural equation modeling (SEM).

RESULTS

Prefecture-specific SIRs ranged from 0.72 to 1.24 for men and 0.69-1.41 for women. Prefecture-specific SIRs were significantly correlated with both the prevalence of overweight/obesity and prevalence of proteinuria. The prevalence of overweight/obesity showed direct, positive, and significant associations with prefecture-specific SIRs in men (standardized estimate (β) = 0.43, p < 0.001) and women (β = 0.40, p < 0.001). The prevalence of proteinuria showed a significant association with prefecture-specific SIRs only in women (β = 0.33, p = 0.01). The SEM models explained 26% of the variance in SIR for men and 28% for women.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide evidence that the prefecture-specific prevalence of overweight/obesity in Japan can explain regional variation in prefecture-specific SIRs of treated ESKD in both sexes.

Utility of a modified Controlling Nutritional Status score in mortality risk assessment of patients on hemodialysis

PURPOSE

Malnutrition is common among hemodialysis patients. A nutritional index may be important for their prognosis prediction. We examined the use of a modified version of the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score as a predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients and investigated whether statin use modified the association.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in 1130 adults (mean age 67.7 years, 35.0% women) on maintenance hemodialysis at four outpatient dialysis clinics in Japan. The exposure of interest was modified CONUT scores calculated by one-time data of serum albumin and total cholesterol at baseline, or mean data of these measures using multiple blood test results. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. We examined the association between modified CONUT groups (low-risk, middle-risk, and high-risk) and mortality using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression and logistic regression models in overall patients and by statin use.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 6.6 years, 525 (46.5%) patients died. Analysis using both one-time and mean data showed increased mortality risk in the high-risk modified CONUT score group as compared to the low-risk group (mean data: HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.96, 3.24); when stratified by statin use, the effect appeared stronger among users (mean data: HR 5.84, 95% CI 2.98, 11.44). Strong predictive ability was observed, particularly for mortality risk at 5 year follow-up using mean data (AUC = 0.842).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the modified CONUT score may be useful in helping clinicians quickly identify hemodialysis patients with poorer prognosis who may benefit from close monitoring and interventions.

Sex Differences in Cause-specific Mortality in Japanese Dialysis Patients

Objective The survival advantage of females over males is lost in dialysis patients in many countries. Japanese female hemodialysis patients, however, have a survival advantage over their male counterparts. This study explored causes of death that contribute to sex differences in all-cause mortality in Japanese dialysis patients. Methods Data from the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy registry and National Vital Statistics from 2017 and 2018 were used. Standardized mortality ratios, male-to-female mortality rate ratios, and age-adjusted differences between sexes were calculated for all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality, as well as cause-specific mortality, in dialysis patients and the general population. Results During the 2-year study period, 41,006 and 21,254 deaths occurred in 417,740 and 225,292 patient-years in male and female dialysis patients, respectively. The age-standardized all-cause mortality ratio was 1.21 (95% confidence interval, 1.20-1.23) for male patients compared to female patients. The male-to-female mortality rate ratio for cardiovascular disease was about 1.4 in younger age categories but closer to 1.0 in older age categories. Conversely, the ratio for non-cardiovascular disease was about 1.3 in older age categories but closer to 1.0 in younger age categories. Death from infectious disease, malignancy, and heart failure contributed to 38.4%, 22.7%, and 12.1%, respectively, of the male-to-female difference in all-cause mortality of dialysis patients. Conclusion Low cardiovascular mortality in younger age categories and low non-cardiovascular mortality in older age categories contributed to the survival advantage of female Japanese dialysis patients. Infectious disease was the greatest contributor to sex differences in all-cause mortality.

Cancer Mortality in People Receiving Dialysis for Kidney Failure: An Australian and New Zealand Cohort Study, 1980-2013

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Cancer is a significant cause of morbidity in the population with kidney failure; however, cancer mortality in people undergoing dialysis has not been well described. We sought to compare cancer mortality in people on dialysis for kidney failure with cancer mortality in the general population.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study using linked health-administrative and dialysis registry data.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

All people receiving dialysis represented in the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplantation Registry, 1980-2013.

EXPOSURE

Dialysis; hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD).

OUTCOME

Death and underlying cause of death ascertained using health administrative data and classified using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) codes.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Indirect standardization on age at death, sex, year, and country to estimate standardized mortality ratios (SMR).

RESULTS

Over 269,598 person years of observation, 34,100 deaths occurred among 59,648 people on dialysis, including 3,677 cancer deaths. The relative risk of all-site cancer death in dialysis was twice (SMR, 2.4 [95% CI, 2.33-2.49]) that of the general population and highest for oral and pharynx cancers (SMR, 24.3 [95% CI, 18.0-31.5]) and multiple myeloma (SMR, 22.5 [95% CI, 20.3-23.9]). Women on dialysis had a significantly higher risk of all-site cancer mortality (SMR, 2.7 [95% CI, 2.59-2.89]) compared with men (SMR, 2.3 [95% CI, 2.17-2.36]) (P < 0.001). People on HD (SMR, 2.2 [95% CI, 2.11-2.30]) experienced greater excess deaths from all-site cancer compared with people on PD (SMR, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.23-1.44]). Excess deaths have gradually decreased over time for all-site, multiple myeloma, and kidney cancers (P < 0.001) but have not kept up with improvements in the general population. By contrast, among people receiving dialysis, excess deaths increased for colorectal and lung cancers (P < 0.001).

LIMITATIONS

Confirmation of cancer diagnoses and population incidence data were not available; inability to exclude pre-existing cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

People on dialysis experience excess all-site and site-specific cancer mortality compared with the general population. Mortality differs by modality type, age, and sex. Understanding the role of kidney failure and other morbidities in the treatment of cancer is important for shared decision-making regarding cancer treatments and identifying potential approaches to improve outcomes.

Impact of adherence to CKD-MBD guidelines on mortality among Japanese dialysis patients: an ecological study

INTRODUCTION

This study evaluated the association between prefecture-level achievement of chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) parameter targets and mortality in Japanese dialysis patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted an ecological study of all prefectures in Japan using data from the Japanese Society of Dialysis Therapy and National Vital Statistics between 2016 and 2017. We calculated adherence rates to recommend target ranges for CKD-MBD parameters, including phosphate, corrected calcium, and parathyroid hormone (PTH), and explored associations of these rates with prefecture-specific standardized mortality rates (SMRs) among the general population and among prevalent dialysis patients using bivariate association analysis and structural equation modeling.

RESULTS

Prefecture-level adherence to the target phosphate range was significantly and negatively associated with prefecture-specific SMRs in men (standardized estimate (β) = - 0.61, p < 0.001) and women (β = - 0.41, p < 0.001). However, prefecture-level adherence to the target corrected calcium range was significantly and negatively associated with prefecture-specific SMRs only in men (β = - 0.28, p = 0.01). Meanwhile, prefecture-level adherence to the target PTH range was significantly and positively associated with prefecture-specific SMRs in men (β = 0.23, p = 0.04). Prefecture-level SMRs of females in the general population had a significant impact on prefecture-level SMRs of female dialysis patients (β = 0.27, p = 0.03). The models explained 52% of variance in SMR for men and 33% for women.

CONCLUSION

A higher prefecture-level achievement rate of the target phosphate range recommended by the Japanese CKD-MBD guidelines was associated with a lower prefecture-specific SMR in the Japanese dialysis population.

Statin Therapy for Hyperlipidemic Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease and End-Stage Renal Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study Based on 925,418 Adults in Taiwan

Background: For non-dialysis patients with hyperlipidemia, statins may provide clinical benefits in reducing mortality risk; however, the optimal treatment for dialysis patients with hyperlipidemia remains debatable. We evaluated the mortality risks for hyperlipidemic patients with renal disorders associated with statin therapy (ST), using the insurance claims data of Taiwan.

Methods: From hyperlipidemic patients diagnosed in 2000–2011, we identified 555,153 patients receiving statin treatment for at least 90 days continuously and 1,141,901 non-statin users, and then randomly selected, from both groups, the propensity score-matched subcohorts of statin users and nonusers in a 1:1 pair by renal function: 415,453 pairs with normal renal function , 43,632 pairs with chronic kidney disease (CKD), and 3,624 pairs with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). We compared the mortalities, by the end of 2016, from all causes, cancer, heart disease, and septicemia between statin users and non-users and between hydrophilic-statin users and lipophilic-statin users. The Cox method estimated ST users to non-user hazard ratios. The time-dependent model was also conducted as sensitivity analysis.

Results: The mean ages were 58.7 ± 10.7, 64.2 ± 10.7, and 62.2 ± 10.8 years in normal renal function, CKD, and ESRD groups, respectively. Compared with non-users, statin users had reduced mortality risks from all causes for 32%–38%, from cancer for 37%–46%, from heart disease for 6%–24%, and from septicemia for 17%–21% in all three renal groups. The hydrophilic statin therapy was superior than the lipophilic statin therapy, particularly for reducing deaths from all-causes and cancer. The results under the time-dependent model were similar.

Conclusion: Statin therapy is associated with reduced all-causes and non-cardiovascular mortality in ESRD patients.

Sex differences in the 10-year survival of patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis in the Q-Cohort Study

Women have a longer life expectancy than men in the general population. However, it has remained unclear whether this advantage is maintained in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis. The aim of this study was to compare the risk of mortality, especially infection-related mortality, between male and female hemodialysis patients. A total of 3065 Japanese hemodialysis patients aged ≥ 18 years old were followed up for 10 years. The primary outcomes were all-cause and infection-related mortality. The associations between sex and these outcomes were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. During the median follow-up of 8.8 years, 1498 patients died of any cause, 387 of whom died of infection. Compared with men, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for all-cause and infection-related mortality in women were 0.51 (0.45–0.58, P < 0.05) and 0.36 (0.27–0.47, P < 0.05), respectively. These findings remained significant even when propensity score-matching or inverse probability of treatment weighting adjustment methods were employed. Furthermore, even when the non-infection-related mortality was considered a competing risk, the infection-related mortality rate in women was still significantly lower than that in men. Regarding all-cause and infection-related deaths, women have a survival advantage compared with men among Japanese patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis.

Comparisons of postoperative outcomes after breast cancer surgery in patients with and without renal replacement therapy: a matched-pair cohort study using a Japanese nationwide inpatient database

BACKGROUND

Although patients receiving renal replacement therapy (RRT) have more comorbidities and higher mortality and morbidity risks than the general population, surgery during breast cancer treatment is crucial because of limitations in anticancer agents for patients with renal insufficiency. We aimed to compare the short-term postoperative outcomes between patients with and without RRT.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgery for stages 0-III breast cancer between July 2010 and March 2017 were retrospectively identified in a Japanese nationwide inpatient database and divided into those with RRT (RRT group, n = 1547) and those without RRT (control group, n = 364,047). We generated a 1:4 matched-pair cohort matched for age, institution, and fiscal year at admission. We conducted multivariable regression analyses to compare postoperative complications, 30-day readmission, and anesthesia duration between the two groups.

RESULTS

The RRT group was more likely to have comorbidities (95.0% vs. 24.1%) and undergo total mastectomy (64.2% vs. 47.0%) than the control group. The RRT group was not significantly associated with complications (odds ratio 1.18; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89-1.56) and 30-day readmission (odds ratio 0.88; 95% CI 0.65-1.18), but was associated with shorter anesthesia duration (difference, - 6.8 min; 95% CI - 10.7 to - 3.0 min) compared with the control group.

CONCLUSIONS

The matched-pair cohort analyses revealed no significant differences in postoperative complications after breast cancer surgery between patients with and without RRT. Breast cancer surgery in patients with RRT may be as safe as that in patients without RRT, if comorbidities other than chronic renal failure are adequately addressed.

Quantifying Regional and Health Care Variations to Identify Ways to Improve Hemodialysis Service Quality and Survival Outcomes

The authors examined variations in hemodialysis care and quantified the effect of these variations on all-cause mortality. Insurance claims data from April 1, 2017 to March 30, 2018 were reviewed. In total, 2895 hospital patients were identified, among whom 398 died from various causes. Controlling effects of the facility and secondary medical care areas, all-cause mortality was associated with older age, heart failure, malignancy, cerebral stroke, severe comorbidity, and the first and ninth centile of physician density. Multilevel analyses indicated a significant variation at facility level (σ22 0.27, 95% confidence interval: 0.09-0.49). Inclusion of all covariates in the final model significantly reduced facility-level variance. Physician density emerged as an important factor affecting survival outcome; thus, a review of workforce and resource allocation policies is needed. Better clinical management and standardized work processes are necessary to attenuate differences in hospital practice patterns.

Prognosis of acute myocardial infarction in patients on hemodialysis stratified by Killip classification in the modern interventional era (focus on the prognosis of Killip class 1)

Cardiovascular events and death are more prevalent in hemodialysis (HD) patients than in the general population. However, a detailed prognostic risk stratification of HD patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has not yet been performed in the modern interventional era. We examined 4509 AMI patients (89 AMI/HD and 4420 AMI/non-HD) from the Mie ACS registry and detailed prognostic analyses based on the Killip classification were performed (Cohort A). In addition, prognosis of Killip class1 AMI/HD was compared with those of 313 non-AMI/HD patients from the MIE-CARE HD study using propensity score-matching method (Cohort B). Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality for up to 2 years. All-cause death occurred in 13.0% of AMI/non-HD and 35.8% of AMI/HD during follow-up, and patients with Killip class 1 had lower 30-day and 2-year mortality than those with Killip class ≥ 2 in both AMI/non-HD and AMI/HD. Cox regression analyses identified that Killip class ≥ 2 was the strongest independent prognostic factor of 30-day mortality with a hazard ratio of 7.44 (p < 0.001), whereas both presence of HD and Killip class ≥ 2 were the independent prognostic factors of mortality for up to 2 years. In Cohort B, a propensity score-matching analysis revealed similar all-cause mortality rates between Killip class 1 AMI/HD and non-AMI/HD. In HD patients with Killip class 1 AMI, 30-day mortality was around 6%, and long-term mortality among 30-day survivors after AMI was comparable with the natural course of HD patients in the modern interventional era. Clinical trial registration: URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index-j.htm . UMIN000036020 and UMIN000008128.

Elucidating variations in outcomes among older end-stage renal disease patients on hemodialysis in Fukuoka Prefecture, Japan

Variations in health care outcomes and services potentially indicate resource allocation inefficiency. Therefore, this study was conducted to examine variations in mortality and hospitalization cases among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients receiving hemodialysis (HD) care from medical facilities located in 13 secondary medical care areas (SMAs) of Fukuoka prefecture, Japan. The research was designed as a retrospective, cross-sectional study using insurance claims data. The subjects of the study were older patients (over 65 years old) insured by the Fukuoka prefecture’s Latter-Stage Elderly Healthcare Insurance. Using an electronic claims database, we identified patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who had received HD care from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018. The CKD status was identified using International Classification of Disease, 10th revision code, and HD maintenance status was ascertained using specific insurance procedure codes. A total of 5,243 patients met our inclusion criteria and their records were subsequently reviewed. About 73% (n = 3,809) of patients had admission records during the period studied. Thus, the data regarding hospital length of stay (LOS) and admission costs were analyzed separately. Significant differences in terms of increased risks in hospitalization were evident in a number of SMAs. An increase in mortality risk due to heart failure and malignancy was observed in two separate SMAs. Also, analyzed LOS, total hospitalization cost, and cost per day according to SMAs showed statistically significant variations. The findings highlight the magnitude of the burden of CKD and ESRD in the community. The high prevalence of ESRD, associated mortality, and hospitalized HD patients signal the need for clinicians to assume broader roles in measures against chronic kidney disease through involvement in community awareness programs. To improve patient outcomes, improvement of regional health care provision, the level of medical care, and the development of existing human resources are needed.

Prognosis of hemodialysis patients undergoing surgery for gastric cancer: Results of a multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the survival outcomes of and predictive factors for survival in hemodialysis patients undergoing surgery for gastric cancer.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter retrospective study from 9 institutions to investigate the survival outcomes of 75 hemodialysis patients with gastric cancer. Patient characteristics included demographic data, hemodialysis- and gastric cancer-related variables. Multivariate Cox hazards models were applied to determine independent predictors of poor overall survival and non-gastric cancer related death.

RESULTS

Stage I disease was predominant (58.7%) in our series. The overall morbidity and the 30-day mortality rates were 25.3% and 1.3%, respectively. The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with pStages I, II, III, and IV disease were 59.2%, 42.9%, 32.3%, and 0%, respectively. Eleven (14.7%) patients died of gastric cancer, whereas many more (40.0%) died owing to causes other than gastric cancer. Non-gastric cancer-related death was especially prevalent in patients with pStages I (95.2%) and II (75.0%) disease. Multivariable analysis revealed advanced age, long duration of hemodialysis (> 5 years), total gastrectomy, and pStage IV disease to be independently associated with poor overall survival. Notably, advanced age, long duration of hemodialysis, and the presence of cardiovascular disease were all independent predictors of non-gastric cancer-related death. Patients with all 3 factors had very poor survival outcomes (3-year overall survival; 14.3%).

CONCLUSION

The survival outcomes of hemodialysis patients with gastric cancer, especially those with early-stage gastric cancer, were clearly poor, largely owing to the increased risk of non-gastric cancer-related death. Preoperative comorbidities and hemodialytic features were useful for predicting long-term outcomes of this vulnerable population.

Long-term excess mortality after hip fracture in hemodialysis patients: a nationwide cohort study in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Fracture dialysis patients have a higher risk of 1-year mortality compared with non-fracture dialysis patients. However, it is unclear whether excess mortality persists for more than a year.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a nationwide cohort study in 162,360 hemodialysis patients in Japan. Study outcomes were 5-year all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between hip fracture and mortality in two cohorts: the full cohort, which included potential confounders as covariates in multivariable-adjusted regression models, and the propensity score-matched cohort.

RESULTS

Crude mortality rates for fracture patients were double those of non-fracture patients and persisted during the 5-year period. The association between hip fracture and mortality was significant even after adjusting for premorbid conditions (hazard ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.32). Similar findings were observed in the propensity score-matched cohort of 2410 patients (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.36). While cause-specific mortality rates for all categories, with the exception of sudden deaths, were higher for fracture patients relative to non-fracture patients in the full unmatched cohort, only the mortality rate for heart disease was significantly higher for fracture patients relative to non-fracture patients in the propensity score-matched cohort.

CONCLUSION

Excess mortality persisted for many years after hip fracture in hemodialysis patients, and was still present after adjusting for several premorbid conditions and propensity score matching.

Statin Therapy Before Transition to End-Stage Renal Disease With Posttransition Outcomes

Background Although studies have shown that statin therapy in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease was associated with a lower risk of death, this was not observed in dialysis patients newly initiated on statins. It is unclear if statin therapy benefits administered during the predialysis period persist after transitioning to end-stage renal disease. Methods and Results In 47 720 veterans who transitioned to end-stage renal disease during 2007 to 2014, we examined the association of statin therapy use 1 year before transition with posttransition all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and hospitalization incidence rates over the first 12 months of follow-up. Associations were examined using multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazard models and negative binomial regressions. Sensitivity analyses included propensity score and subgroup analyses. The cohort's mean± SD age was 71±11 years, and the cohort included 4% women, 23% blacks, and 66% diabetics. Over 12 months of follow-up, there were 13 411 deaths, with an incidence rate of 35.3 (95% CI , 34.7-35.8) deaths per 100 person-years. In adjusted models, statin therapy compared with no statin therapy was associated with lower risks of 12-month all-cause (hazard ratio [95% CI], 0.79 [0.76-0.82]) and cardiovascular (hazard ratio [95% CI ], 0.83 [0.78-0.88]) mortality, as well as with a lower rate of hospitalizations (incidence rate ratio [95% CI ], 0.89 [0.87-0.92]) after initiating dialysis. These lower outcome risks persisted across strata of clinical characteristics, and in propensity score analyses. Conclusions Among veterans with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease, treatment with statin therapy within the 1 year before transitioning to end-stage renal disease is associated with favorable early end-stage renal disease outcomes.

Lifetime and age-conditional risk estimates of end-stage kidney disease requiring maintenance dialysis in Japan

Background

Lifetime risk is an epidemiologic measure that expresses the probability of disease in the remaining lifetime for an index age. It is also an easily understandable statistical measure used to communicate the absolute risk of disease to the lay population. The lifetime risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) has never been reported for the Japanese population. Here, we used data from the Japanese Society of Dialysis Therapy (JSDT) to estimate the lifetime risk of ESKD by sex in Japan.

Methods

The lifetime risk of ESKD was estimated using life-table methods. We defined an incident case of ESKD as a patient with loss of kidney function that resulted in maintenance dialysis therapy. The number of incident cases of ESKD and number of ESKD deaths in 2017 were obtained from data published by the JSDT. The population and total number of deaths in Japan for the same year were obtained from National Vital Statistics. By including all-cause mortality, risks were adjusted for competing causes of death.

Results

The cumulative incidence of ESKD from birth until age 95 years was 3.14% [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.10–3.18] for men and 1.42% (1.39–1.44) for women. These probabilities illustrate that approximately 1 in 32 men and 1 in 71 women in Japan will develop ESKD that results in maintenance dialysis therapy in their lifetime.

Conclusions

Considerable sex differences were found in the lifetime risk of ESKD in Japan. This easily understandable information could be used to assist in public health education and planning.

Effects of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers on all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, and cardiovascular events among peritoneal dialysis patients: A protocol for systematic review

BACKGROUND

Based on the International Society for peritoneal dialysis (PD) recommendations, blockade of renin-angiotensin systems with an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) improves residual kidney function in PD patients. However, the long-term effectiveness of ACEI/ARB use in PD patients has not been fully elucidated. We, therefore, intend to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize the effects of ACEI/ARB use on long-term mortality, cardiovascular outcomes, and adverse events among PD patients.

METHODS

This systematic review will include both randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies in adult PD patients. We also plan to incorporate data from our cohort study in Thai PD population into this review. We will search PubMed, Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL, and grey literature from inception to February 29, 2019, with no language restrictions. The process of study screening, selection, data extraction, risk of bias assessment, and grading the strength of evidence will be performed independently by a pair of reviewers. Any discrepancy will be resolved through a team discussion and/or consultation with the third reviewer. The pooled effects estimate and 95% confidence intervals will be estimated using DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models. Heterogeneity will be assessed by the Cochran Q test, I index and tau-squared statistics. The funnel plots along with the Begg and Egger test and trim and fill method will be performed to investigate any evidence of publication bias. Preplanned subgroup analyses and random-effects univariate meta-regressions will be performed to quantify the potential sources of heterogeneity based on studies- and patient-characteristics.

RESULTS

This will be the first systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize the long-term effectiveness of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors in PD populations.

CONCLUSION

In summary, this systematic review and meta-analysis will summarize the effectiveness of ACEI/ARB on long-term mortality, cardiovascular outcomes, and adverse events among adult PD patients by integrated all available evidences.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Based on the existing published data, an ethical approval is not required. The findings will be disseminated through scientific meetings and publications in peer-reviewed journals.PROSPERO registration number: CRD42019129492.

The Association between Earlobe Creases and Cardiovascular Events in Japanese Hemodialysis Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study

Objective The earlobe crease, a wrinkle extending from the tragus to the outer border of the earlobe, is a well-known surrogate marker for a high risk of cardiovascular disease. However, information is lacking about its association with cardiovascular events among hemodialysis patients, who already have an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. We tested the hypothesis that earlobe creases are independently associated with the risk of cardiovascular events among Japanese hemodialysis patients. Methods This prospective cohort study followed 247 adult hemodialysis patients with no history of cardiovascular disease for 4 years. The presence of earlobe creases was defined by two researchers using photos of patients' earlobes on both sides while blinded to one another's assessments and clinical data. The primary outcome was defined as the first fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular event (myocardial infarction, ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, or peripheral vascular disease requiring aortic or peripheral vascular bypass surgery or below- or above-the-knee amputation). A Fine-Gray competing risks regression model was used to examine the association between earlobe creases and cardiovascular events. Results During the 4-year follow-up period, 43 patients suffered cardiovascular events. After the competing risk of non-cardiovascular death was accounted for, patients with earlobe creases had an increased cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events compared to those without earlobe creases (subhazard ratio =2.04, 95% confidence interval: 1.09 to 3.82). This association was no longer significant after adjusting for age. Conclusion Earlobe creases were not independently associated with cardiovascular events among Japanese hemodialysis patients, suggesting that these marks are simply indicative of advanced age.

Functional impairment attenuates the association between high serum phosphate and mortality in dialysis patients: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Both functional impairment and abnormalities in mineral and bone disorder (MBD) parameters are well-known predictors of mortality in dialysis patients. However, previous studies have not evaluated whether functional impairment modifies the association between MBD parameters and mortality.

METHODS

A nationwide prospective cohort study was conducted using data from the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy Renal Data Registry collected at the end of 2009 and 2010. The Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) was used to assess functional status. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations of baseline functional status, serum phosphate, albumin-corrected calcium and intact parathyroid hormone (PTH) with 1-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

By 31 December 2010, 18 447 of 220 054 prevalent dialysis patients (8.4%) had died. Mortality significantly increased with worsening PS grade. PS grade modified the association of serum phosphate levels with mortality (Pinteraction = 0.001). Worsening PS grade attenuated the association of hyperphosphatemia (≥7.4 mg/dL) with mortality, and hyperphosphatemia was no longer significant on mortality among patients with the worst PS grade (hazard ratio = 1.1, 95% confidence interval 0.88-1.39), compared with the level between 3.5 and 4.7 mg/dL. In contrast, hypophosphatemia (<3.5 mg/dL) had a greater adjusted risk of mortality irrespective of PS grade. Serum-corrected calcium (Pinteraction = 0.26) and intact PTH (Pinteraction = 0.17) showed consistent associations with mortality irrespective of PS grade. Findings were robust in several sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Functional impairment was significantly associated with 1-year mortality and attenuated the effect of hyperphosphatemia on mortality among prevalent dialysis patients.

Seasonal variations in cause-specific mortality and transition to renal replacement therapy among patients with end-stage renal disease

Despite some studies showing seasonal variations in mortality and the transition to renal replacement therapy in patients with end-stage renal disease, detailed evidence is still scarce. We investigated seasonal variations in patients with end-stage renal disease using a large Japanese database for dialysis patients. We compared the fractions of all-cause and cause-specific mortality and the transition to renal replacement therapy among seasons and performed a mixed-effects Poisson regression analysis to compare the mortality among seasons after adjustment for some variables. The initiation of hemodialysis was highest in winter and lowest in summer. Seasonality in the initiation of peritoneal dialysis and transition to kidney transplantation differed from hemodialysis. All-cause mortality was highest in the winter and lowest in the summer. Death from coronary artery disease, heart failure, cerebral hemorrhage, and infectious pneumonia had similar seasonality, but death from cerebral infarction, septicemia, or malignant tumor did not have similar seasonality. In conclusion, the initiation of hemodialysis, all-cause mortality, and mortality from coronary heart disease, heart failure, cerebral hemorrhage, and infectious pneumonia were significantly highest in winter and lowest in summer. However, the initiation of peritoneal dialysis, transition to kidney transplantation, or mortality from cerebral infarction, septicemia, or malignant tumor did not have similar seasonal variations.

Epidemiology investigation and analysis of patients with hemodialysis in Sichuan province of China

Objectives: To investigate the incidence, pathogenesis, as well as mortality rate and causes of end-stage renal disease patients with hemodialysis (ESRD-HD) in Sichuan province of China. Methods: In this retrospective descriptive study, all the data were exported from the Chinese National Renal Data System (CNRDS). The demographic and pathogenic information from 01 January 2011 to 31 December 2016 were statistically analyzed. Results: According to the data from CNRDS, the incidence of ESRD-HD was high in Sichuan province. From 2011 to 2016, the annual incidence rate of ESRD-HD was 61.84, 73.75, 78.04, 66.04, 72.61, and 60.98 per million population (pmp). Male ESRD-HD patients were higher than female patients (1.5:1). The major causes of ESRD-HD in Sichuan province from 2011 to 2016 were chronic glomerulonephritis and diabetic nephropathy. The annual mortality rate of ESRD-HD was 113.20, 91.25, 73.02, 68.56, 68.57, and 58.39 per 1000 person-years. The descending rate of mortality was parallel in both males and females. The mortality rate was observed to be higher in the elderly group (age ≥ 60). The major cause of mortality was cardiovascular diseases (24.48%). Conclusions: In Sichuan province, the incidence of ESRD-HD annually was gradually descending. The elderly and male patients had higher incidence of ESRD-HD. The annual mortality rate of ESRD-HD was declining year by year, and elderly patients aged ≥ 60 contributed to the highest mortality rates. The major cause of death was cardiovascular diseases. This could contribute to a better understanding of ESRD-HD in southwest of China, thus providing better treatment for ESRD in the future.

Nationwide in-hospital mortality following major fractures among hemodialysis patients and the general population: An observational cohort study

BACKGROUNDS

End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is associated with increased risk of fracture and subsequent morbidity and mortality. However, fracture site-specific mortality in ESKD patients have yet to be elucidated in comparison with the general population.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort derived from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database of Japan from 2012 to 2014, we included 9320 ESKD patients undergoing hemodialysis and 547,726 patients without ESKD who were hospitalized for five major fractures, including hip (proximal femur), spine, forearm, upper arm, and leg (distal femur and proximal tibia). Overall and site-specific risks of in-hospital death were determined by logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates were 4.91% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.46-5.37) and 1.02% (95% CI, 0.99-1.06) in the hemodialysis and general population groups, respectively. The multivariate odds ratio (OR) of death in hemodialysis patients versus the general population was 2.48 (95% CI, 2.25-2.74) for overall fractures, and was particularly high for a subgroup of upper arm fracture (OR 4.82, 95% CI, 3.19-7.28). The site-specific odds of death (95% CI) among hip, spine, forearm, upper arm, and leg (reference) fractures were 1.77 (0.98-3.18), 1.48 (0.79-2.75), 0.19 (0.04-0.86), and 2.01 (1.01-4.01) in hemodialysis patients, and 1.28 (1.13-1.45), 1.00 (0.88-1.14), 0.13 (0.10-0.17), and 0.83 (0.70-0.97) in the general population, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Hemodialysis patients experienced a 4.8-fold higher mortality rate after fractures than the general population. Mortality after upper arm fracture was specifically high in patients on hemodialysis, likely due to the involvement of vascular access located on the fractured arm.

Distribution and association of cancer with mortality in end-stage renal disease patients receiving dialysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cancer in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients is an important comorbidity to be taken into consideration while planning for renal replacement therapy (RRT) options due to its associated increased mortality. This study aims to investigate the natural history and association of cancer with all-cause mortality in an ESRD population receiving dialysis.

METHOD

The study was conducted on 1271 ESRD patients receiving dialysis between January 2012 and December 2017. A comparative analysis was carried out between 119 patients with and 1152 without cancer history at entry into this study (baseline). A 1:2 (119 cancer: 238 no cancer) propensity score matched sample of 357 patients was also used for analysis. Cox-regression analysis was used to study the strength of the association between cancer and all-cause mortality. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis was used to demonstrate the difference in cumulative survival between the groups. A competing risk analysis was also carried out to calculate the probability of competing events (death, transplant and incident cancer).

RESULTS

At baseline, 10.1% of the cohort had a history of cancer (current and past) with the annual incident rate being 1.3%. Urological cancers were the leading site of cancer. The median age of our cohort was 63 years with a predominance of males (63%) and Caucasians (79%). The majority (69%) of the cohort were receiving haemodialysis. 47% had a history of diabetes with 88% being hypertensive. During a median follow-up of 28 months, the proportion of deaths observed was similar between the groups in the matched sample (cancer 49.6 versus no-cancer 52.1%, p value 0.77). In a univariable Cox-regression model, there was no significant association between cancer and all-cause mortality (HR 1.28; 95% CI 0.97-1.67; p = 0.07). The KM estimates showed similar observations in the cumulative survival between the groups (matched sample log-rank, p value 0.85). In competing risk analysis, the cumulative probability of death at 5 years was non-significantly higher in the cancer group (cancer group 64% vs no cancer group 51%, p value 0.16).

CONCLUSIONS

In our real-world multi-morbid dialysis cohort of 119 cancer patients, baseline cancer history did not prove to be an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in the first 5 years of follow-up, suggesting the need for a case-by-case approach in provision of RRT options, including transplantation.

Fruit and Vegetable Intake and Mortality in Adults undergoing Maintenance Hemodialysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Higher fruit and vegetable intake is associated with lower cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the general population. It is unclear whether this association occurs in patients on hemodialysis, in whom high fruit and vegetable intake is generally discouraged because of a potential risk of hyperkalemia. We aimed to evaluate the association between fruit and vegetable intake and mortality in hemodialysis.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

Fruit and vegetable intake was ascertained by the Global Allergy and Asthma European Network food frequency questionnaire within the Dietary Intake, Death and Hospitalization in Adults with ESKD Treated with Hemodialysis study, a multinational cohort study of 9757 adults on hemodialysis, of whom 8078 (83%) had analyzable dietary data. Adjusted Cox regression analyses clustered by country were conducted to evaluate the association between tertiles of fruit and vegetable intake with all-cause, cardiovascular, and noncardiovascular mortality. Estimates were calculated as hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

RESULTS

During a median follow up of 2.7 years (18,586 person-years), there were 2082 deaths (954 cardiovascular). The median (interquartile range) number of servings of fruit and vegetables was 8 (4-14) per week; only 4% of the study population consumed at least four servings per day as recommended in the general population. Compared with the lowest tertile of servings per week (0-5.5, median 2), the adjusted hazard ratios for the middle (5.6-10, median 8) and highest (>10, median 17) tertiles were 0.90 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.00) and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.71 to 0.91) for all-cause mortality, 0.88 (95% CI, 0.76 to 1.02) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.66 to 0.91) for noncardiovascular mortality and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.11) and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.70 to 1.00) for cardiovascular mortality, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Fruit and vegetable intake in the hemodialysis population is low and a higher consumption is associated with lower all-cause and noncardiovascular death.

Mortality and morbidity after pancreatoduodenectomy in patients undergoing hemodialysis: Analysis using a national inpatient database

BACKGROUND

Whether patients undergoing hemodialysis have greater risks of mortality and morbidity after pancreatoduodenectomy remains unknown.

METHODS

We used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a national Japanese inpatient database, to identify patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy from July 2010 to March 2015. We conducted propensity-score-matching analyses to compare the outcomes, including postoperative complications and 30- and 90-day mortality after pancreatoduodenectomy between patients with and without hemodialysis.

RESULTS

Of 30,495 eligible patients, 307 (1.0%) received hemodialysis. In the unmatched cohort, the proportions of male sex, younger age, pancreatic cancer, ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension were greater in patients with hemodialysis than those without hemodialysis. A 1-to-4 propensity score matching created a total of 1,535 patients, including 307 with hemodialysis and 1,228 without hemodialysis. Patients undergoing hemodialysis had greater proportions of postoperative complications, including peritonitis (8.8% vs 4.8%, P = .012), sepsis or disseminated intravascular coagulation (3.6% vs 0.7%, P = .001), intra-abdominal bleeding (4.9% vs 0.7%, P < .001), and acute coronary event (4.2% vs 1.7%, P = .015). Propensity score matching showed that patients undergoing hemodialysis had an increased risk of postoperative complications (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.23-2.14; P = .001), 30-day mortality (OR, 7.45; 95% CI, 3.26-17.0; P < .001), and 90-day mortality (OR, 10.9; 95% CI, 6.58-18.2; P < .001) than those not undergoing hemodialysis.

CONCLUSION

Patients undergoing hemodialysis had a significantly increased risk of postoperative complications and death after pancreatoduodenectomy. In particular, surgeons should consider the increased risk of intra-abdominal bleeding, peritonitis, sepsis or disseminated intravascular coagulation, and acute coronary event in patients with hemodialysis.

Biological variation of procalcitonin levels in hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

There is no obvious evidence regarding biological variation of procalcitonin (PCT) levels in hemodialysis (HD) patients without infections. The aim of this study was to determine the within- and between-person biological variation of PCT levels in HD patients without infections.

METHODS

A multicenter, prospective, cohort study enrolled 123 HD patients without any signs of infectious disease. Baseline PCT levels were determined pre- and post-HD, and then repeated pre-HD PCT measurements were performed at 2, 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, and 24 weeks after baseline blood-sampling, regardless of the presence or absence of infectious disease. Analytical variation (CVa), the within-person biological variation (CVi), between-person biological variation (CVb), individual index (II), and the reference change value (RCV) were calculated.

RESULTS

The mean age was 62.4 years, 76.4% were male, and 32.5% had diabetes. The mean duration of HD was 87 months. The median value for baseline pre-HD PCT was 0.23 ng/mL, which is much higher than the reference level for healthy individuals. PCT levels decreased of 46.6% after a single HD session. CVi was 24.9%, CVb was 54.2%, II was 0.46, and RCV was calculated as 96.4% with 99% probability.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCT level was significantly higher in stable HD patients without manifest bacterial infection. CVb was more variable than CVi in HD patients, which indicates that relative change is more important than absolute PCT levels for diagnosing bacterial infection, and doubling or more of the baseline PCT level may imply the presence of a bacterial infection in HD patients.

Mortality and morbidity after hepatic resection in patients undergoing hemodialysis: analysis of a national inpatient database in Japan

BACKGROUND

Whether patients undergoing hemodialysis have greater risks of mortality and morbidity after hepatic resection remains unclear.

METHODS

We used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a national inpatient database in Japan, to identify patients who underwent hepatic resection from July 2010 to March 2014. Propensity scorematching analysis was performed to compare morbidity and mortality between patients with and without hemodialysis.

RESULTS

Of 53,651 eligible patients, 498 (0.93%) underwent hemodialysis. Propensity score-matching analysis indicated greater in-hospital mortality in patients with than without hemodialysis (8.6% vs 2.0%; P < .001). Patients undergoing hemodialysis had more postoperative major complications than did patients not undergoing hemodialysis (18.1% vs 7.4%; P < .001). In the subgroup analyses for in-hospital mortality, the odds ratio of hemodialysis was 2.36 (95% confidence interval, 0.78-6.59; P = .067) in limited resection, 4.61 (95% confidence interval, 1.90-11.2; P < .001) in segmentectomy or sectoriectomy, and 5.58 (95% confidence interval, 3.40-14.9; P < .001) in bisectoriectomy or trisectoriectomy. In the age subgroup analyses, the odds ratio of hemodialysis was 4.38 (95% confidence interval, 2.66-7.21; P < .001) in patients aged <80 years and 7.20 (95% confidence interval, 1.55-36.7; P = .0011) in those aged ≥80 years.

CONCLUSION

Patients undergoing hemodialysis had a substantially increased risk of mortality and morbidity after hepatic resection. Surgical indications for major hepatectomy in patients undergoing hemodialysis who are ≥80 years of age may be limited and require careful scrutiny.

Emotional disturbance assessed by the Self-Rating Depression Scale test is associated with mortality among Japanese Hemodialysis patients

Emotional disturbance including depression is associated with increased mortality among dialysis patients. The Self-Rating Depression Scale (SDS) is a simple tool for assessing emotional disturbance. This study investigated the relationship between emotional conditions as assessed with the SDS test and mortality among 491 hemodialysis patients. At baseline, 183 (37.3%), 180 (36.7%), 108 (22.0%), and 20 (4.1%) were classified as normal, borderline depression, depression, and severe depression, respectively. During the two years of observation period, 57 of 491 (11.6%) died. The SDS scores in the non-survivors were significantly higher than those in the survivors (p<0.0001). Logistic analyses showed that the diagnoses made by the SDS test were associated with significantly greater risks for all-cause mortality (99%CI: 1.905-3.698 for that without adjustment, 1.999-4.382 for that with full adjustment). When the SDS score = 50 was selected as the cut off value, the test screened two-year all cause death with sensitivity = 57.9% and the specificity = 78.1%. In conclusion, hemodialysis patients had high prevalence of emotional disturbance assessed by the SDS test, and high SDS score was significantly associated with all-cause mortality. These findings underscore the importance of screening for emotional conditions using the SDS test among hemodialysis patients.

Suicide deaths among patients with end-stage renal disease receiving dialysis: A population-based retrospective cohort study of 64,000 patients in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) who receive dialysis may experience increased distress and risk of suicide.

METHODS

This population-based retrospective cohort study linked Taiwan's national register of ESRD patients on dialysis and the cause-of-death mortality data file. A separate multiple-cause-of-death data file was used to investigate the detailed suicide methods used. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for the overall patient group and by sex, age, year of initiating dialysis, method of suicide, and time since initiation of dialysis.

RESULTS

Among 63,854 ESRD patients on dialysis, 133 died by suicide in Taiwan in 2006-2012; the suicide rate was 76.3 per 100,000 patient-years. The SMR for suicide was 2.38 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.99-2.82) in this patient group. Suicide risk was highest in the first year of dialysis (SMR = 3.15, 95% CI 2.39-4.08). The risk of suicide by cutting was nearly 20 times (SMR = 19.91, 95% CI 12.88-29.39) that of the general population. Detailed information on death certificates indicated that three quarters of patients who killed themselves by cutting cut vascular accesses used for hemodialysis.

LIMITATIONS

Information on risk factors such as socioeconomic position and mental disorders was unavailable.

CONCLUSION

In a country where the national health insurance program covers most expenses associated with dialysis treatment, the suicide risk in ESRD patients on dialysis still increased nearly 140%. Adequate support for ESRD patients initiating dialysis and the assessment of risk of cutting vascular access as a potential means of suicide could be important strategies for suicide prevention.

Nursing educational intervention for the identification of Adverse Events in hemodialysis

ABSTRACT Objective: To develop an educational program aimed at the qualification of the nursing technicians that makes possible the understanding of Adverse Events (AE), aiming to adapt the data records; to elaborate tools for the records of the AE in hemodialysis patients; and to assess the knowledge before and after the educational program. Method: An educational intervention was conducted through a classroom and online course on how to recognize and record AE in hemodialysis. The effectiveness of the program was assessed through the gain of knowledge measured through online record of the AE in fictitious problem cases before and after the course. Result: Sixteen nursing technicians participated in the study. In the initial test, the mean score was 3.7 ± 0.3 points and in the final assessment was 4.2 ± 0.3 points (p=0.0002). Conclusion: It was possible to verify that the educational intervention contributed to increase the knowledge of the participants and that the training of these can be achieved with classroom and online learning courses.

Prevalence of Earlobe Creases and Their Association With History of Cardiovascular Disease in Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis: A Cross-Sectional Study

Earlobe creases are surrogate markers for high risk of cardiovascular disease. There is no data concerning earlobe creases among hemodialysis patients, who have an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. A cross-sectional study was conducted to determine the prevalence of earlobe creases and their association with prevalent cardiovascular disease among hemodialysis patients. Patients undergoing hemodialysis were recruited from five outpatient hemodialysis centers. Both earlobes were photographed during a dialysis session with the patient in a supine position and the photos evaluated independently by two experienced nephrologists blinded to the participants' clinical characteristics. Prevalent cardiovascular diseases were defined as a history of myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular accident, or peripheral vascular disease. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for detection of prevalent cardiovascular disease were calculated. Logistic analysis was used to examine the association between earlobe creases and prevalent cardiovascular disease. Earlobe creases were identified in 24.5% of 330 hemodialysis patients (200 men; mean age, 67.8 years). The prevalence of earlobe creases increased with age for men (P for trend <0.0001), but not for women (P for trend = 0.07). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 30.9% (95% confidence interval, 21.9-41.6), 77.5% (71.9-82.3), 30.9% (21.9-41.6), and 77.5% (71.9-82.3), respectively. Multivariate logistic analyses indicated the prevalence of earlobe crease was not associated with prevalent cardiovascular diseases. The prevalence is similar to that previously reported for Japanese individuals not undergoing dialysis. No association between earlobe creases and prevalent cardiovascular diseases was identified.

The cardiothoracic ratio and all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis: results of the MBD-5D study

BACKGROUND

The cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is a non-invasive left ventricular hypertrophy index. However, whether CTR associates with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in hemodialysis (HD) populations is unclear.

METHODS

Using a Mineral and Bone disorder Outcomes Study for Japanese CKD Stage 5D Patients (MBD-5D Study) subcohort, 2266 prevalent HD patients (age 62.8 years, female 38.0%, HD duration 9.4 years) with secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) whose baseline CTR had been recorded were selected. We evaluated associations between CTR and all-cause death, CVD death, or composite events in HD patients.

RESULTS

CTR was associated significantly with various background and laboratory characteristics. All-cause death, CVD-related death, and composite events increased across the CTR quartiles (Q). Adjusted hazard risk (HR) for all-cause death was 1.4 (95% confidential interval, 0.9-2.1) in Q2, 1.9 (1.3-2.9) in Q3, and 2.6 (1.7-4.0) in Q4, respectively (Q1 as a reference). The corresponding adjusted HR for CVD-related death was 1.8 (0.8-4.2), 3.1 (1.4-6.8), and 3.5 (1.6-7.9), and that for composite outcome was 1.2 (1.0-1.6), 1.7 (1.3-2.2), and 1.8 (1.5-2.3), respectively. Exploratory analysis revealed that there were relationships between CTR and age, sex, body mass index, comorbidity of CVD, dialysis duration and intact parathyroid hormone, phosphorus, hemoglobin, and usage of phosphate binder [corrected].

CONCLUSION

CTR correlated with all-cause death, CVD death, and composite events in HD patients with SHPT.

Premature mortality due to nephrotic syndrome and the trend in nephrotic syndrome mortality in Japan, 1995-2014

BACKGROUND

This study analysed the trend in mortality from nephrotic syndrome in Japan from 1995 to 2013. Moreover, to better understand premature death from nephrotic syndrome, the average years of life lost due to nephrotic syndrome were estimated.

METHODS

National death certificate data were evaluated. Age-standardised mortality rates from nephrotic syndrome were calculated by direct standardisation using the World Standard Population. Trends for average annual changes in percentages were determined by joinpoint regression analysis. Average years of life lost were estimated by dividing total years of life lost by the number of deaths from nephrotic syndrome. Years of life lost were estimated by the constant end-point method, with 65 years as the endpoint. Average years of life lost due to malignant neoplasms, the leading cause of death in Japan, were estimated for comparison.

RESULTS

There were 9945 deaths (4872 men and 5073 women) during the study period. The numbers of deaths and crude overall mortality rates increased, while age-standardised mortality rates continuously decreased, for both sexes. The annual percentage changes were -1.9% [95% confidence interval (CI), -2.3 to -1.4%] for men and -3.5% (95% CI -4.1 to -2.9%) for women. The average years of life lost due to nephrotic syndrome decreased during the study period, but were greater than for patients who died of malignant neoplasm.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality and premature mortality rates from nephrotic syndrome significantly decreased in Japan between 1995 and 2014. Despite these improvements, nephrotic syndrome patients ≤65 years of age still have a poor prognosis.

Effect of Predialysis Recombinant Human Erythropoietin on Early Survival After Hemodialysis Initiation in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease: Co-JET Study

Progression of anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with an increased risk of death and hospitalization. It is not sufficiently clear whether treating renal anemia with recombinant human erythropoietin (rHuEPO) has a beneficial effect on early survival after hemodialysis (HD) initiation in patients with CKD. The study was an open-label multicenter retrospective cohort study to evaluate the relationship between rHuEPO treatment and early survival after HD initiation in patients with CKD. Predialysis patients with CKD were divided into two groups: an rHuEPO-treated group (rHuEPO group) and a non-treatment group. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality in the year after HD initiation. A total of 3261 patients were enrolled (2275 in the rHuEPO group and 986 in the non-treatment group). One-year survival was 95.36% in the rHuEPO group and 90.36% in the non-treatment group. The survival rate was significantly higher in the rHuEPO group (P < 0.0001). The results of multivariate analysis confirmed that predialysis treatment with rHuEPO is a predictor for reduced mortality risk (hazard ratio = 0.61, 95% confidence interval: 0.42-0.87, P = 0.006). Risk for the composite event of death/hospitalization was also lower in the rHuEPO group (hazard ratio = 0.88, 95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.98, P = 0.026). The results of this study suggest that treatment with rHuEPO can decrease early mortality risk after initiation of HD in patients with CKD. A prospective study is needed to further investigate early survival after HD initiation.

Mortality trends among Japanese dialysis patients, 1988-2013: a joinpoint regression analysis

BACKGROUND

Evaluation of mortality trends in dialysis patients is important for improving their prognoses. The present study aimed to examine temporal trends in deaths (all-cause, cardiovascular, noncardiovascular and the five leading causes) among Japanese dialysis patients.

METHODS

Mortality data were extracted from the Japanese Society of Dialysis Therapy registry. Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated by direct standardization against the 2013 dialysis population. The average annual percentage of change (APC) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed for trends using joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 469 324 deaths occurred, of which 25.9% were from cardiac failure, 17.5% from infectious disease, 10.2% from cerebrovascular disorders, 8.6% from malignant tumors and 5.6% from cardiac infarction. The joinpoint trend for all-cause mortality decreased significantly, by -3.7% (95% CI -4.2 to -3.2) per year from 1988 through 2000, then decreased more gradually, by -1.4% (95% CI -1.7 to -1.2) per year during 2000-13. The improved mortality rates were mainly due to decreased deaths from cardiovascular disease, with mortality rates due to noncardiovascular disease outnumbering those of cardiovascular disease in the last decade. Among the top five causes of death, cardiac failure has shown a marked decrease in mortality rate. However, the rates due to infectious disease have remained stable during the study period [APC 0.1 (95% CI -0.2-0.3)].

CONCLUSIONS

Significant progress has been made, particularly with regard to the decrease in age-standardized mortality rates. The risk of cardiovascular death has decreased, while the risk of death from infection has remained unchanged for 25 years.

Serum Creatinine Modifies Associations between Body Mass Index and Mortality and Morbidity in Prevalent Hemodialysis Patients

Background

High body mass index (BMI) is paradoxically associated with better outcomes in hemodialysis (HD) patients. This study aimed to examine whether serum creatinine (Cr), a marker of muscle mass, could modify the association between BMI, and mortality and morbidity in prevalent HD patients.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted using a nationwide database from the registry of the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy. A total of 119,099 patients were selected (age: 65±12 years; median time on HD: 5.6 years; male: 62%), and we examined the association of basal BMI with mortality and morbidity after a 1-year period. Patients were stratified either by BMI into 4 groups or by serum Cr levels into 3 tertiles. Odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval] was calculated by multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Results

Higher BMI did not predict a higher 1-year total mortality. However, when we stratified the patients by serum Cr levels, the risk of cardiac death became significantly higher in obese patients with the lowest Cr levels, in both males (OR 2.82 [1.51–5.27], p<0.01) and females (OR 2.00 [1.03–3.90], p<0.05). The risk of new cerebral infarction was also higher in obese male patients within the lowest Cr tertile. In contrast, there was a significantly lower risk of cardiac, cerebrovascular, and infection-related death in non-obese patients with higher levels of Cr. Higher serum Cr was also related to a lower risk of cardiovascular events and hip fracture in non-obese HD patients.

Conclusions

The obesity paradox was found to be present in HD patients only when obesity was defined by BMI. Decreased serum Cr levels were found to be positively associated with clinical poor outcomes in all BMI groups. Thus, irrespective of BMI, the evaluation of serum Cr levels is important to predict mortality and morbidity in patients receiving regular HD.

Causes of death in patients with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes receiving dialysis in Japan: Diabetes Epidemiology Research International (DERI) Mortality Study

AIMS

To investigate the causes of death and how they changed over time in patients with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes who were receiving dialysis.

METHODS

Of the 1384 patients who were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes at<18 years of age between 1965 and 1979, 113 who were subsequently confirmed as having received dialysis and having died as of January 1, 2008 were found eligible for the study. The cause of death trends were expressed according to the duration of dialysis.

RESULTS

The leading causes of death were end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (36.3%), cardiovascular disease (CVD) (31.9%), and infections (20.3%). Among CVD, cerebral hemorrhage was the most frequent (38.9%) and showed a significant trend for an increase in the duration of dialysis (P=0.01, the Cochran-Armitage trend test). The mortality from ESRD concentrated within 5 years of dialysis and that from CVD increased after 10 years of dialysis, while the mortality from infections peaked during 5 to 10 years from initiation of dialysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The leading causes of death in dialysis patients with type 1 diabetes were ESRD, CVD, and infections. As the duration of dialysis increased, however, CVD contributed more to mortality. Special attention should be paid to CVD, particularly cerebral hemorrhage, to improve the long-term prognosis of patients.

Mortality from infections and malignancies in patients treated with renal replacement therapy: data from the ERA-EDTA registry

BACKGROUND

Infections and malignancies are the most common non-cardiovascular causes of death in patients on chronic renal replacement therapy (RRT). Here, we aimed to quantify the mortality risk attributed to infections and malignancies in dialysis patients and kidney transplant recipients when compared with the general population by age group and sex.

METHODS

We followed 168 156 patients included in the ERA-EDTA registry who started RRT in 1993-2007 until 1 January 2012. Age- and cause-specific mortality rates per 1000 person-years (py) and mortality rate ratios (MRRs) compared with the European general population (WHO) were calculated. To identify risk factors, we used Cox regression.

RESULTS

Infection-related mortality was increased 82-fold in dialysis patients and 32-fold in transplant recipients compared with the general population. Female sex, diabetes, cancer and multisystem disease were associated with an increased risk of infection-related mortality. The sex difference was most pronounced for dialysis patients aged 0-39 years, with women having a 32% (adjusted HR 1.32 95% CI 1.09-1.60) higher risk of infection-related mortality than men. Mortality from malignancies was 2.9 times higher in dialysis patients and 1.7 times higher in transplant recipients than in the general population. Cancer and multisystem disease as primary causes of end-stage renal disease were associated with higher mortality from malignancies.

CONCLUSION

Infection-related mortality is highly increased in dialysis and kidney transplant patients, while the risk of malignancy-related death is moderately increased. Young women on dialysis may deserve special attention because of their high excess risk of infection-related mortality. Further research into the mechanisms, prevention and optimal treatment of infections in this vulnerable population is required.

Anticipated increase in the number of patients who require dialysis treatment among the aging population of Japan

The aging population is anticipated to have a large impact on the number of incident dialysis patients, as the risk of end-stage kidney disease increases with age. This study aimed to examine trends in the sex- and age-specific incidence rates of dialysis between 2008 and 2012, and to assess the impact of population aging on the number of incident dialysis patients over the next decade in Japan. Incidence was calculated using published data and Japan's population statistics. The 2012 incidence was extrapolated, and projected future demographic changes within the Japanese population were used to estimate the number of incident dialysis patients in 2020 and 2025. As a general trend, the sex- and age-specific incidence rates of dialysis decreased gradually between 2008 and 2012, except among men aged ≥80 years. The total number of incident dialysis patients was projected to increase by 12.8% from 36 590 in 2012 to 41 270 in 2025. Greater increases were observed in the oldest age group (≥85 years). In 2025, the number of incident dialysis patients in this group was projected to increase by 92.6% in men and 62.2% in women. This study shows the number of patients who initiate dialysis treatment is projected to increase over the next decade in Japan due to aging of the population. Effective strategies are needed to offset the challenges faced by the aging population, with a particular focus on octogenarians and older, given the notable proportion of patients requiring dialysis treatment in the future.

Higher mortality due to intracerebral hemorrhage in dialysis patients: a comparison with the general population in Japan

Cerebrovascular diseases, including intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral infarction, and subarachnoid hemorrhage, remain prevalent causes of morbidity and mortality among dialysis patients. Their mortality rate for cerebrovascular diseases is roughly three times higher than that in the general population. However, whether mortality rates for all subtypes of cerebrovascular diseases are equally higher has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to determine the mortality rate for each stroke subtype, comparing dialysis patients and the general population in Japan. We used mortality data reported by the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy and national Vital Statistics data between 2008 and 2009. We calculated standardized mortality ratios and compared the mortality rates for stroke subtypes including intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral infarction, and subarachnoid hemorrhage. During the 2-year study period, 51 994 and 933 deaths from intracerebral hemorrhage, 79 124 and 511 deaths from cerebral infarction, and 24 957 and 147 deaths from subarachnoid hemorrhage were recorded per 252 million person-years and per 546 474 dialysis patient-years, respectively. Standardized mortality ratios among dialysis patients relative to the general population were 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.1), 1.3 (1.2-1.4), and 1.3 (1.1-1.6) for intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral infarction, and subarachnoid hemorrhage, respectively. Intracerebral hemorrhage was the highest cause of mortality in the dialysis population, although cerebral infarction was the highest in the general population. Relative to the general population in Japan, Japanese dialysis patients had higher mortality rates, especially for intracerebral hemorrhage.

Excess mortality among patients on dialysis: Comparison with the general population in Korea

Background: Although patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) experience excess mortality compared with the general population, the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for Korean patients on dialysis has not yet been investigated. In this study, we evaluated the SMR among all Korean ESRD patients on maintenance dialysis in 2009 and 2010, and compared it according to age categories, sex, and dialysis modality.

Methods

We used data from all patients on maintenance dialysis between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2010 in Korea using the database of the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service, and the SMR was determined by calculating of the ratio between the number of actual deaths and expected deaths.

Results

A total of 45,568 patients in 2009 and 48,170 patients in 2010 were included in the analysis. The overall age- and sex-adjusted SMR was 10.3 [95% confidence interval (CI), 10.0–10.6] in 2009 and 10.9 (95% CI, 10.7–11.2) in 2010. The SMR for females was much higher than for males. The SMR gradually decreased with increasing age groups. The overall SMR for maintenance hemodialysis patients was lower than that of peritoneal dialysis patients.

Conclusion

The SMR among Korean ESRD patients is likely to be higher than in other countries. Further evaluation is needed to attempt to improve the outcomes.