Predictors of active cancer thromboembolic outcomes: validation of the Khorana score among patients with lung cancer

Development and Validation of a Modified Khorana Score for Predicting Venous Thromboembolism in Newly Diagnosed Stage IV Lung Cancer

We aimed to establish an effective model to identify metastatic lung cancer patients at high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Patients diagnosed with stage IV lung cancer from January 2011 to June 2019 were included in the development cohort; those recruited from July 2019 to June 2021 were included in the validation cohort. Univariable and multivariable analyses determined the risk factors for VTE. Then we assessed the value for predicting VTE of the Khorana score and modified Khorana score in these two cohorts; 575 patients were included in the development cohort, and 202 patients in the validation cohort. Adenocarcinoma, D-dimer, and the Khorana score were independent risk factors for VTE. In the development cohort, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the Khorana score in patients with newly diagnosed stage IV lung cancer was 0.598 (95% CI, 0.512-0.684). The AUC of the modified Khorana score was 0.747 (95% CI, 0.689-0.805). The difference was statistically significant (P <.001). The AUC of the modified Khorana score in the validation cohort was 0.763 (95% CI, 0.661-0.865). The modified Khorana score is more able to accurately predict VTE in patients with newly diagnosed stage IV lung cancer than the Khorana score.

Prospective assessment of venous thromboembolism in lung cancer patients using a standardized screening protocol

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is highly prevalent in cancer patients. While its actual incidence remains disparate among studies, specific subpopulations, such as lung cancer patients, might be at an increased risk. We aimed to assess the impact of a screening protocol in determining both the incidence and risk factors for VTE and evaluate the usefulness of predictive biomarkers and risk stratification tools in lung cancer patients. For this purpose, we designed a prospective cohort study including all consecutive, newly diagnosed lung cancer patients between October 2023 and April 2024 in a tertiary center and assessed each patient using a standardized screening protocol. VTE screening included baseline and 3-month reassessment of coagulation tests, D-dimer levels, and imaging (duplex ultrasound of the lower limbs for deep vein thrombosis screening and contrast-enhanced thoracic computed tomography for pulmonary embolism screening). A total of 102 patients were included, of which 16 (15.7%) were diagnosed with VTE. VTE was more frequent in males (p=0.031), patients with COPD (p=0.004), and patients with metastatic disease (p=0.038), particularly those under immunotherapy (p=0.026). Patients with VTE presented a D-dimer concentration more than three times higher at baseline and fivefold the levels observed in non-VTE patients at 3 months (p=0.002). Paired with Khorana scores, D-dimer concentration 4.5 mg/L at 3 months improved the predictive capacity of this VTE risk assessment tool in patients under active treatment. Active VTE screening yielded a significant increase in diagnosis, suggesting the incidence of this complication in newly diagnosed lung cancer patients is underestimated. Risk assessment tools can be enhanced by the addition of D-dimer-based parameters.

Circulating Blood Biomarkers and Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

 Cancer patients have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Currently, the availability of highly discriminatory prediction models for VTE in cancer patients is limited. The implementation of biomarkers in prediction models might lead to refined VTE risk prediction. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate candidate biomarkers and their association with cancer-associated VTE.

METHODS

 We searched Medline, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central for studies that evaluated biomarkers in adult cancer patients from inception to September 2022. We included studies reporting on VTE after a cancer diagnosis with biomarker measurements performed at a defined time point. Median/mean differences (for continuous measures) and odds ratios (for dichotomous measures) with 95% confidence intervals were estimated and pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

 We included 113 studies in the systematic review. Of these, 50 studies were included in the meta-analysis. We identified two biomarkers at cancer diagnosis (factor VIII and time to peak thrombin), three biomarkers pre-chemotherapy (D-dimer, fibrinogen, and mean platelet volume), and one biomarker preoperatively (platelet count) that had significant median or mean differences. Additionally, we found that hemoglobin <100 g/L and white blood count >11 × 109/L were significantly associated with future VTE risk only when measured at cancer diagnosis. Pre-chemotherapy neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥3 and preoperative platelet count ≥400 × 109/L were also found to be associated with future VTE risk.

CONCLUSION

 In conclusion, this study identified nine candidate blood biomarkers that may help in optimizing VTE prediction in cancer patients that should be further explored in future studies.

Validation of risk assessment scores in predicting venous thromboembolism in patients with lung cancer receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors

INTRODUCTION

Several risk scores have been proposed to predict venous thromboembolism (VTE) in hospitalized patients. However, their predictive performances in lung cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is unclear. We aimed to validate and compare their performances of the Caprini, Padua and Khorana risk scores in lung cancer patients receiving ICIs.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with lung cancer treated with ICIs at West China Hospital between January 2018 and March 2022. The primary outcome was VTE during 12 months of follow-up from the first day of treatment with ICIs. The predictive performances of risk scores was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 1115 eligible patients with lung cancer who received ICIs, 105 patients (9.4%) experienced VTE during the 12-month follow-up period. There was a statistically significant difference in the cumulative incidence of VTE between the different risk levels as determined by Caprini and Padua scores (all P < 0.001). However, no significant difference was observed for the Khorana score (P = 0.488). The Caprini and Padua scores demonstrated good discriminative performances (AUC 0.743, 95% CI 0.688-0.799 for Caprini score; AUC 0.745, 95% CI 0.687-0.803 for Padua score), which were significantly better than that of the Khorana score (AUC 0.553, 95% CI, 0.493-0.613) (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In our study, the Caprini and Padua risk scores had better discriminative ability than the Khorana score to identify lung cancer patients treated with ICIs who were at high risk of VTE.

Accuracy of the COMPASS-CAT thrombosis risk assessment scale in predicting venous thromboembolism in cancer patients: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review aims to assess the accuracy of the COMPASS-CAT tool in predicting venous thromboembolism (VTE) among cancer patients.

METHODS

Relevant studies were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library, Embase, CINAHL, OVID, CBM, CNKI, WanFang Data, and VIP database from their inception up to April 19, 2023. The quality of studies was appraised using the diagnostic test accuracy study bias assessment tool (QUADAS-2). Quantitative analysis was performed using Stata MP 17.0.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies involving 8,665 patients were included. Meta-analysis indicated that the COMPASS-CAT score had a pooled sensitivity of 0.76 [95%CI (0.61, 0.86)], specificity of 0.67 [95%CI (0.52, 0.79)], positive likelihood ratio of 2.3 [95%CI (1.7, 3.1)], negative likelihood ratio of 0.36 [95%CI (0.23, 0.54)], diagnostic odds ratio of 6 [95%CI (4, 10)], and an area under the Summary Receiver Operating Characteristic (SROC) curve (AUC) of 0.77 [95%CI (0.74, 0.81)]. Funnel plots indicated no publication bias. Meta-regression and subgroup analysis suggested that country and diagnostic setting might be potential sources of heterogeneity. The sensitivity of the COMPASS-CAT assessment tool in international outpatient settings was 0.94 with an AUC of 0.86, while in domestic inpatient settings, the sensitivity was 0.65 with an AUC of 0.78.

CONCLUSION

The COMPASS-CAT score had a certain diagnostic value for VTE in cancer patients and can effectively identify patients at risk of VTE. Most studies focus on patients with lung cancer. Future research should investigate more tumor types, and high-quality, large-sample, multi-center prospective studies on larger populations with cancers are warranted.

DNA liquid biopsy-based prediction of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism

Cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major source of oncologic cost, morbidity and mortality. Identifying high-risk patients for prophylactic anticoagulation is challenging and adds to clinician burden. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) sequencing assays ('liquid biopsies') are widely implemented, but their utility for VTE prognostication is unknown. Here we analyzed three plasma sequencing cohorts: a pan-cancer discovery cohort of 4,141 patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) or breast, pancreatic and other cancers; a prospective validation cohort consisting of 1,426 patients with the same cancer types; and an international generalizability cohort of 463 patients with advanced NSCLC. ctDNA detection was associated with VTE independent of clinical and radiographic features. A machine learning model trained on liquid biopsy data outperformed previous risk scores (discovery, validation and generalizability c-indices 0.74, 0.73 and 0.67, respectively, versus 0.57, 0.61 and 0.54 for the Khorana score). In real-world data, anticoagulation was associated with lower VTE rates if ctDNA was detected (n = 2,522, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 0.50, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.30-0.81); ctDNA- patients (n = 1,619) did not benefit from anticoagulation (adjusted HR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.40-2.0). These results provide preliminary evidence that liquid biopsies may improve VTE risk stratification in addition to clinical parameters. Interventional, randomized prospective studies are needed to confirm the clinical utility of liquid biopsies for guiding anticoagulation in patients with cancer.

The Alfalfa-inpatient-CAT assessment model: a thrombotic risk assessment model for inpatient cancer patients

PURPOSE

To construct a venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk assessment model specifically for inpatients with cancer.

METHOD

Patients were included according to the inclusion criteria. Univariate and multivariate analyses of all variables were included to develop a VTE risk assessment model applicable to the derivation cohort. Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to test the fit degree and identification validity of the model. The patient data from separate validation cohorts verified the external population.

RESULT

A total of 944 cancer patients were included in this study. Alfalfa-inpatient-CAT model, a risk assessment model for VTE in hospitalized cancer patients, was established, which mainly includes hypertension, surgical history (nearly one month), history of VTE, peripherally inserted central venous catheters (PICC), chemotherapy, PT < 12.85 s, D-dimer ≥ 1.805 μg/mL, hemoglobin ≤ 114.5 g/L, CRP ≥ 7.575 mg/L. Hosmer-Lemeshow test results showed P = 0.353 > 0.05, (χ2 = 8.872, Df = 8). The area under ROC curve was 0.906 [95%CI (0.881-0.930), P < 0.001]. The authenticity evaluation in the model database showed that the risk of thrombosis in the high-risk group (score ≥ 3) was 72.63%, significantly higher than that in the low-risk group (score 0-2) (27.37%) [χ2 = 144.00, Df = 1, P < 0.001].

CONCLUSION

This study developed a new VTE risk assessment model - Alfalfa-inpatient-CAT model - for hospitalized cancer patients at high risk of thrombosis. This model has a good fitting degree and discriminant validity. It is expected to provide some reference for the clinical treatment of inpatients with cancer through continuous optimization.

Platelet Parameters as Biomarkers for Thrombosis Risk in Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is a major cause of both morbidity and mortality in cancer patients. Platelet count has been investigated as a predictor of CAT in various settings while knowledge on platelet activation parameters is sparse. This report provides a systematic review and meta-analysis on available literature on associations between platelet count and/or function and arterial and venous thrombosis in adult cancer patients. The review was performed according to the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) statement. PubMed and Embase were searched up to March 2022. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's tools were used for quality assessment. In total, 100 studies were included which investigated the association between CAT and platelet count (n = 90), platelet indices (n = 19), and platelet function/activation markers (n = 13) in patients with solid cancers (n = 61), hematological cancers (n = 17), or mixed cancer types (n = 22). Eighty-one studies had venous thrombosis as their outcome measure, while 4 had arterial thrombosis and 15 studies had both. We found significantly elevated odds ratio of 1.50 (95% confidence interval: 1.19-1.88) for thrombosis with higher platelet counts. We saw a tendency toward an association between markers of platelet activation in forms of mean platelet volume and soluble P selectin and both arterial and venous thrombosis. Only one study investigated dynamic platelet function using flow cytometry. In conclusion, platelet count is associated with CAT across different cancer types and settings. Platelet function or activation marker analysis may be valuable in assisting thrombosis risk assessment in cancer patients but is sparsely investigated so far.

Plasma tissue factor activity in lung cancer patients predicts venous thromboembolism and poor overall survival

Background

Biomarkers to identify lung cancer (LC) patients with high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are needed.

Objectives

To evaluate the usefulness of plasma tissue factor activity (TFA) and D-dimer levels for the prediction of VTE and overall survival in patients with LC.

Methods

In a prospective multicenter observational cohort of consecutive LC patients, TFA and D-dimer levels were measured at diagnosis before any cancer treatment (V1) and between 8 and 12 weeks after diagnosis (V2).

Results

Among 302 patients, 38 (12.6%) experienced VTE within the first year after diagnosis. V1-TFA and V1-D-dimer levels were significantly (P = .02) higher in patients who presented VTE within 3 months than in patients without VTE: V1-TFA was 2.02 (25th-75th percentiles, 0.20-4.01) vs 0.49 (0.20-3.09) ng/mL and V1-D-dimer was 1.42 (0.64-4.40) vs 0.69 (0.39-1.53) μg/mL, respectively. Cutoffs of 1.92 ng/mL for TFA and 1.26 μg/mL for D-dimer could discriminate both groups of patients. In multivariate analysis, V1-TFA > 1.92 ng/mL was the only significant predictor of VTE risk at 1 year (hazard ratio, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.06-4.16; P = .03). V2-TFA, quantified in 251 patients, decreased significantly compared with V1-TFA (0.20 vs 0.56 ng/mL, P < .05), but a V2-TFA level > 0.77 ng/mL could predict VTE in the following 3 months. Median overall survival was worse for patients with V1-TFA > 1.92 ng/mL (14.6 vs 23.8 months) and V1-D-dimer > 1.26 μg/mL (13.8 vs 24 months, P < .001).

Conclusion

High plasma TFA levels are associated with the occurrence of VTE within the next 3 months after each visit (V1 or V2) and poor survival.

Models for predicting venous thromboembolism in ambulatory patients with lung cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

The incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with lung cancer is relatively high, and risk stratification models are vital for the targeted application of thromboprophylaxis. We aimed to review VTE risk prediction models that have been developed in patients with lung cancer and evaluated their performance.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Twenty-four eligible studies involving 123,493 patients were included. The pooled incidence of VTE within 12 months was 11 % (95 % CI 8 %-14 %). With the identified four VTE risk assessment tools, meta-analyses did not show a significant discriminatory capability of stratifying VTE risk for Khorana, PROTECHT and CONKO scores. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of the Khorana score were 24 % (95 % CI 11 %-44 %) and 84 % (95 % CI 73 %-91 %) at the 3-point cut-off, and 43 % (95 % CI 35 %-52 %) and 61 % (95 % CI 52 %-69 %) at the 2-point cut-off. However, a COMPASS-CAT score of ≥ 7 points indicated a significantly high VTE risk, with a RR of 4.68 (95 % CI 1.05-20.80).

CONCLUSIONS

The Khorana score lacked discriminatory capability in identifying patients with lung cancer at high VTE risk, regardless of the cut-off value. The COMPASS-CAT score had better performance, but further validation is needed. The results indicate the need for robust VTE risk assessment tools specifically designed and validated for lung cancer patients. Future research should include relevant biomarkers as important predictors and consider the combined use of risk tools. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42021245907.

Novel Insights in Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment Methods in Ambulatory Cancer Patients: From the Guidelines to Clinical Practice

Many cancer patients will experience venous thromboembolism (VTE) at some stage, with the highest rate in the initial period following diagnosis. Novel cancer therapies may further enhance the risk. VTE in a cancer setting is associated with poor prognostic, a decreased quality of life, and high healthcare costs. If thromboprophylaxis in hospitalized cancer patients and perioperative settings is widely accepted in clinical practice and supported by the guidelines, it is not the same situation in ambulatory cancer patient settings. The guidelines do not recommend primary thromboprophylaxis, except in high-risk cases. However, nowadays, risk stratification is still challenging, although many tools have been developed. The Khrorana score remains the most used method, but it has many limits. This narrative review aims to present the current relevant knowledge of VTE risk assessment in ambulatory cancer patients, starting from the guideline recommendations and continuing with the specific risk assessment methods and machine learning models approaches. Biomarkers, genetic, and clinical features were tested alone or in groups. Old and new models used in VTE risk assessment are exposed, underlining their clinical utility. Imaging and biomolecular approaches to VTE screening of outpatients with cancer are also presented, which could help clinical decisions.

The Application of Existing Risk Assessment Models (RAMS) to Predict the Occurrence of Venous Thromboembolic Events among Patients with Classic Hodgkin Lymphoma

Background: A majority of patients included in risk assessment models (RAMs) developed to predict venous thromboembolic events (VTE) in lymphoma were non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Our study aims to evaluate the incidence and predictors of VTE, utilizing different RAMs, in patients with classic Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) treated with adriamycin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine (ABVD). Methods: Adult patients with cHL, treated and followed at our center, were included. Correlations between different variables, Khorana score, and thrombosis in lymphoma (ThroLy) RAMs with VTE were examined using Fisher's exact test and logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 321 patients were included, with a median age of 29 (range: 18-83) years. Of them, 169 (52.6%) had advanced-stage disease. Combined modality treatment was given to 169 (52.6%) patients. A total of 52 (16.2%) patients had relapsed or refractory disease. VTE were reported in 15 (4.7%) patients and were mostly during the administration of first-line (n = 8, 53.3%), or salvage chemotherapy (n = 6, 40.0%). There was no correlation between a Khorana score > 2 (p = 0.689) or ThroLy score > 3 (p = 0.335) and VTE. Older age (p = 0.014) and relapsed or refractory disease (p = 0.003) significantly correlated with VTE. Conclusions: VTE are uncommon in cHL. The commonly used RAMs failed to predict VTE. However, older age and relapsed or refractory disease significantly increased this risk.

A Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Associated Venous Thromboembolism in Hospitalized Patients Receiving Chemoradiotherapy for Cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to develop a novel nomogram to predict cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (CAT) in hospitalized patients with cancer who receive chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of hospitalized patients with cancer who received chemoradiotherapy between January 2010 and December 2022. Predictive factors for CAT were determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, and a risk prediction model based on the nomogram was constructed and validated internally. Nomogram performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 778 patients were eligible for inclusion in this study. The nomogram incorporated 5 independent risk factors: age, cancer stage, use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, D-dimer levels, and history of diabetes mellitus. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram for the training and validation cohorts was 0.816 and 0.781, respectively, with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 0.770-0.861 and 0.703-0.860, respectively. The calibration and DCA curves also displayed good agreement and clinical applicability of the nomogram model.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of CAT was relatively high among patients with cancer receiving chemoradiotherapy. The nomogram risk model developed in this study has good prediction efficiency and can provide a reference for the clinical evaluation of the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with cancer receiving chemoradiotherapy.

Lung cancer mortality and associated predictors: systematic review using 32 scientific research findings

Background

Cancer is a chronic disease brought on by mutations to the genes that control our cells' functions and become the most common cause of mortality and comorbidities. Thus, this study aimed to assess the comprehensive and common mortality-related risk factors of lung cancer using more than thirty scientific research papers.

Methods

Possible risk factors contributing to lung cancer mortality were assessed across 201 studies sourced from electronic databases, including Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Web of Science (WOS), EMBASE, Medline/PubMed, the Lung Cancer Open Research Dataset Challenge, and Scopus. Out of these, 32 studies meeting the eligibility criteria for meta-analysis were included. Due to the heterogeneous nature of the studies, a random-effects model was applied to estimate the pooled effects of covariates.

Results

The overall prevalence of mortality rate was 10% with a 95% confidence interval of 6 and 16%. Twenty studies (62.50%) studies included in this study considered the ages of lung cancer patients as the risk factors for mortality. Whereas, eighteen (56.25%) and thirteen (40.63%) studies incorporated the gender and smoking status of patients respectively. The comorbidities of lung cancer mortality such as cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, and pneumonia were also involved in 7 (21.90%), 6 (18.75%), 5 (15.63%), and 2 (6.25%) studies, respectively. Patients of older age are more likely to die as compared to patients of younger age. Similarly, lung patients who had smoking practice were more likely to die as compared to patients who hadn't practiced smoking.

Conclusion

The mortality rate of lung cancer patients is considerably high. Older age, gender, stage, and comorbidities such as cardiovascular, hypertension, and diabetes have a significant positive effect on lung cancer mortality. The study results will contribute to future research, management, and prevention strategies for lung cancer.

Risk-Directed Ambulatory Thromboprophylaxis in Lung and Gastrointestinal Cancers: The TARGET-TP Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Thromboprophylaxis for individuals receiving systemic anticancer therapies has proven to be effective. Potential to maximize benefits relies on improved risk-directed strategies, but existing risk models underperform in cohorts with lung and gastrointestinal cancers.

Objective

To assess clinical benefits and safety of biomarker-driven thromboprophylaxis and to externally validate a biomarker thrombosis risk assessment model for individuals with lung and gastrointestinal cancers.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This open-label, phase 3 randomized clinical trial (Targeted Thromboprophylaxis in Ambulatory Patients Receiving Anticancer Therapies [TARGET-TP]) conducted from June 2018 to July 2021 (with 6-month primary follow-up) included adults aged 18 years or older commencing systemic anticancer therapies for lung or gastrointestinal cancers at 1 metropolitan and 4 regional hospitals in Australia. Thromboembolism risk assessment based on fibrinogen and d-dimer levels stratified individuals into low-risk (observation) and high-risk (randomized) cohorts.

Interventions

High-risk patients were randomized 1:1 to receive enoxaparin, 40 mg, subcutaneously daily for 90 days (extending up to 180 days according to ongoing risk) or no thromboprophylaxis (control).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was objectively confirmed thromboembolism at 180 days. Key secondary outcomes included bleeding, survival, and risk model validation.

Results

Of 782 eligible adults, 328 (42%) were enrolled in the trial (median age, 65 years [range, 30-88 years]; 176 male [54%]). Of these participants, 201 (61%) had gastrointestinal cancer, 127 (39%) had lung cancer, and 132 (40%) had metastatic disease; 200 (61%) were high risk (100 in each group), and 128 (39%) were low risk. In the high-risk cohort, thromboembolism occurred in 8 individuals randomized to enoxaparin (8%) and 23 control individuals (23%) (hazard ratio [HR], 0.31; 95% CI, 0.15-0.70; P = .005; number needed to treat, 6.7). Thromboembolism occurred in 10 low-risk individuals (8%) (high-risk control vs low risk: HR, 3.33; 95% CI, 1.58-6.99; P = .002). Risk model sensitivity was 70%, and specificity was 61%. The rate of major bleeding was low, occurring in 1 participant randomized to enoxaparin (1%), 2 in the high-risk control group (2%), and 3 in the low-risk group (2%) (P = .88). Six-month mortality was 13% in the enoxaparin group vs 26% in the high-risk control group (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-0.93; P = .03) and 7% in the low-risk group (vs high-risk control: HR, 4.71; 95% CI, 2.13-10.42; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this randomized clinical trial of individuals with lung and gastrointestinal cancers who were stratified by risk score according to thrombosis risk, risk-directed thromboprophylaxis reduced thromboembolism with a desirable number needed to treat, without safety concerns, and with reduced mortality. Individuals at low risk avoided unnecessary intervention. The findings suggest that biomarker-driven, risk-directed primary thromboprophylaxis is an appropriate approach in this population.

Trial Registration

ANZCTR Identifier: ACTRN12618000811202.

Association between the Khorana risk score and all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The Khorana risk score (KRS) has poor predictive value for cancer-associated thrombosis in a single tumor type but is associated with early all-cause mortality from cancer. Evidence for the association between KRS and all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer is limited.

AIM

To investigate whether KRS was independently related to all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer after adjusting for other covariates and to shed light on its temporal validity.

METHODS

Data from Dryad database were used in this study. Patients in the Gastroenterology Department of Sapporo General Hospital, Sapporo, Japan, were enrolled. The starting and ending dates of the enrollment were January 1, 2008 and January 5, 2015, respectively. The cutoff date for follow-up was May 31, 2016. The independent and dependent (target) variables were the baseline measured using the KRS and final all-cause mortality, respectively. The KRS was categorized into three groups: Low-risk group (= 0 score), intermediate-risk group (1-2 score), and high-risk group (≥ 3 score).

RESULTS

Men and patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) ≥ 2 displayed a higher 2-year risk of death than women and those with ECOG PS 0-1 in the intermediate/high risk group for KRS. The higher the score, the higher the risk of early death; however, the relevance of this independent prediction decreased with longer survival. The overall survival of each patient was recorded via real-world follow-up and retrospective observations, and this study yielded the overall relationship between KRS and all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

The prechemotherapy baseline of KRS was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 2 years; however, this independent predictive relationship weakened as survival time increased.

Comparison among three predictive models for cancer-associated thromboembolism in a hispanic population

In this study we aimed to evaluate and compare the overall performance of the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores as predictive scores for the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among ambulatory Hispanic patients with solid tumors. We included all outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumors receiving systemic chemotherapy in Hospital San Juan Dios, San José, Costa Rica, from January to December 2021. For each patient the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores were calculated at the beginning of treatment. The sixth-month cumulative incidence of VTE was estimated using the Fine & Gray competing risk model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the performance of each predictive tool through the analysis of the c-statistic, sensitivity, and specificity. A total of 708 patients were included in the research. After a median follow-up of 8.13 months, the cumulative VTE incidence at six months was 4.45% (95%CI: 3.25-6.91%) for the overall population. At the conventional positivity threshold of 3 points, these scores classified from 17.7 to 32.5% of all patients as high-risk for VTE. Patients belonging to the high-risk category of the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores had significantly higher risk of VTE in comparison to low-risk patients (Khorana score: Hazard Ratio (HR): 2.66; 95%CI:1.20-5.89; p = 0.042; PROTECHT score: HR: 3.44; 95%CI:1.63-7.21; p = 0.001; CONKO score HR: 3.68; 95%CI:1.72-7.85; p = 0.001). The c-statistic of the ROC curve was: 0.62 (95%CI: 0.52-0.72), 0.62 (95%CI: 0.52-0.73), and 0.65 (95%CI: 0.56-0.76) for the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores, respectively; with similar sensitivity (range: 67-70%) and specificity (range: 52-62%) among them. For Hispanic patients with solid tumors the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores accurately categorize their risk of VTE. However, the overall discriminatory performance of these models remains poor (c-statistic from 0.62 to 0.65) for predicting all patients at risk for thromboembolic events.

COMPASS-CAT versus Khorana risk assessment model for predicting venous thromboembolic events in patients with non-small cell lung cancer on active treatment with chemotherapy and/or immunotherapy, the CK-RAM study

Cancer patients are at higher risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Several risk assessment models (RAM), including the Khorana and COMPASS-CAT, were developed to help predict the occurrence of VTE in cancer patients on active anti-cancer therapy. We aim to study the prevalence and predictors of VTE among patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and compare both RAMs in predicting VTE in patients with NSCLC were retrospectively reviewed. Variables known to increase the risk of VTE were collected and risk of VTE was assessed using both Khorana and COMPASS-CAT RAM. A total of 508 patients (mean age ± SD, 58.4 ± 12.2 years) were enrolled. Most (n = 357, 70.3%) patients had adenocarcinoma, and 333 (65.6%) patients had metastatic disease. VTE were confirmed in 76 (15.0%) patients. Rates were higher among patients with metastatic disease (19.8%, p < 0.001), adenocarcinoma (17.4%, p = 0.01) and those treated with immunotherapy (23.5%, p = 0.014). VTE rates were 21.2%, 14.1% and 13.9% among those with high (n = 66), intermediate (n = 341) and low (n = 101) Khorana risk scores, respectively (p = 0.126). On the other hand, 190 (37.4%) were classified as high risk by the COMPASS-CAT RAM; 52 (27.4%) of them had VTE compared to 24 (7.5%) of the remaining 318 (62.6%) classified as Low/Intermediate risk level, p < 0.001. In conclusion, patients with NSCLC are at high risk for VTE, especially those with adenocarcinoma, metastatic disease and when treated with immunotherapy. Compared to Khorana RAM, COMPASS-CAT RAM was better in identifying more patients in high-risk group, with higher VTE rate.

A New Risk Prediction Model for Venous Thromboembolism and Death in Ambulatory Lung Cancer Patients

(1) Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a frequent complication in ambulatory lung cancer patients during chemotherapy and is associated with increased mortality. (2) Methods: We analyzed 568 newly diagnosed metastatic lung cancer patients prospectively enrolled in the HYPERCAN study. Blood samples collected before chemotherapy were tested for thrombin generation (TG) and a panel of hemostatic biomarkers. The Khorana risk score (KRS), new-Vienna CATS, PROTECHT, and CONKO risk assessment models (RAMs) were applied. (3) Results: Within 6 months, the cumulative incidences of VTE and mortality were 12% and 29%, respectively. Patients with VTE showed significantly increased levels of D-dimer, FVIII, prothrombin fragment 1 + 2, and TG. D-dimer and ECOG performance status were identified as independent risk factors for VTE and mortality by multivariable analysis and utilized to generate a risk score that provided a cumulative incidence of VTE of 6% vs. 25%, death of 19% vs. 55%, and in the low- vs. high-risk group, respectively (p < 0.001). While all published RAMs significantly stratified patients for risk of death, only the CATS and CONKO were able to stratify patients for VTE. (4) Conclusions: A new prediction model was generated to stratify lung cancer patients for VTE and mortality risk, where other published RAMs failed.

Early identification of lung cancer patients with venous thromboembolism: development and validation of a risk prediction model

INTRODUCTION

Venous thromboembolism(VTE) is a leading cause of death in patients with lung cancer. Furthermore, hospitalization of patients with advanced lung cancer for VTE treatment represents a major economic burden on the national public health resources. Therefore, we performed this prospective study to identify clinical biomarkers for the early identification of VTE in lung cancer patients.

METHODS

This prospective study enrolled 158 patients with confirmed lung cancer, including 27 who were diagnosed with VTE within six months of the follow-up after lung cancer diagnosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic performancese of all the relevant clinical features and laboratory indicators in identifying lung cancer patients with a higher risk of VTE. A novel risk prediction model was constructed consisting of five clinical variables with the best diagnostic performances and was validated using the receiver operation characteristic(ROC) curves. The diagnostic performances of the new risk prediction model was also compared with the Khorana risk score (KRS) and the Padua risk score (PRS).

RESULTS

The VTE group of lung cancer patients (n = 27) showed significantly higher serum levels of fibrin degradation products (FDP), D-dimer, thrombomodulin (TM), thrombin-antithrombin-complex (TAT), α2-plasmin inhibitor-plasmin Complex (PIC), and tissue plasminogen activator-plasminogen activator inhibitor complex (t-PAIC) compared to those in the non-VTE group (n = 131). ROC curve analyses showed that the diagnostic efficacy of the new VTE risk prediction model with TM ≥ 9.75 TU/ml, TAT ≥ 2.25ng/ml, t-PAIC ≥ 7.35ng/ml, history of VTE, and ECOG PS score ≥ 2 was superior than the KRS and the PRS in the early identification of lung cancer patients with a higher risk of VTE.

CONCLUSIONS

The new risk prediction model showed significantly high diagnostic efficacy in the early identification of lung cancer patients with a high risk of VTE. The diagnostic efficacy of the new risk prediction model was higher than the KRS and the PRS in this cohort of lung cancer patients.

Ambulatory cancer patients: who should definitely receive antithrombotic prophylaxis and who should never receive

Up to 15-20% of cancer patients experience one or more episodes of venous thromboembolism during cancer disease. Approximately 80% of all cancer-associated venous thromboembolic events occur in non-hospitalized patients. Routine thromboprophylaxis for outpatients with cancer who start new anticancer treatment is currently not recommended by the international guidelines due to the high heterogeneity of these patients in terms of VTE or bleeding risks, the difficulties in selecting patients at high risk, and the uncertainty of duration of prophylaxis. Although the international guidelines endorsed the Khorana score for estimating the thrombotic risk in ambulatory cancer patients, the discriminatory performance of this score is not completely convincing and varies according to the cancer type. Consequently, a minority of ambulatory patients with cancer receive an accurate screening for primary prophylaxis of VTE. The aim of this review is to provide support to physicians in identifying those ambulatory patients with cancer for whom thromboprophylaxis should be prescribed and those that should not be candidate to thromboprophylaxis. In absence of high bleeding risk, primary thromboprophylaxis should be recommended in patients with pancreatic cancer and, probably, in patients with lung cancer harboring ALK/ROS1 translocations. Patients with upper gastrointestinal cancers are at high risk of VTE, but a careful assessment of bleeding risk should be made before deciding on antithrombotic prophylaxis. Primary prevention of VTE is not recommended in cancer patients at increased risk of bleeding as patients with brain cancer, with moderate-to-severe thrombocytopenia or severe renal impairment.

Stratification of Risk Factors of Lung Cancer-Associated Venous Thromboembolism and Determining the Critical Point for Preemptive Intervention: A Systematic Review With Meta-analysis

Background

Several biomarkers or risk factors have been identified and several prediction models exist. The major limitations inherent in these models include cost-ineffectiveness and lack of systematic stratification of risk factors resulting in the inclusion of clinically insignificant biomarkers in the models. This review aimed to systematically stratify the risk factors of lung cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) and determine the critical point for preemptive intervention.

Methods

This systematic review was structured as per the Preferred Reporting Item for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses. We searched MEDLINE, PubMed, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, Academic Search Complete, and PsycINFO from the onset to June 2022. We included studies that reported the risk factors of lung cancer-associated VTE and corresponding risk estimates, irrespective of treatment status but studies were excluded if patients were on anti-VTE medications. We employed random effects models of meta-analysis and computed risk stability index and risk weight (Rw) to achieve the review objectives. The review protocol is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022336476).

Results

The clinically significant risk factors of VTE in lung cancer patients were D-dimer (odds ratio [OR] = 5.510, 95% CI = 2.6-11.7; Rw = 5.0), albumin (OR = 2.2, 95% CI = 1.0-4.8; Rw = 1.79), leukocyte (OR = 2.48, 95% CI = 1.9-3.2; Rw = 1.77), histological type (OR = 1.69 , 95% CI = 1.2-2.4; Rw = 1.3), age (OR = 1.56; Rw = 0.99), and hemoglobin (OR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.3-2.6; Rw = 0.92). Based on the distribution of Rw across risk factors, the critical point (upper third of the upper quartile class) was 4.5 and may mark the point at which preemptive intervention should be commenced.

Conclusions

Targeted screening for VTE in lung cancer patients could be patient-specific and should be based on a combination of the most significant risk factors required to meet the critical point, provided that such a combination is affordable as illustrated in the ALBAH model.

Registration

The review protocol is registered with PROSPERO (ID: CRD42022336476).

Direct oral anticoagulant (DOACs) prescribing practices of members of the Society of Gynecologic Oncology and American Society of Clinical Oncology

BACKGROUND

Cancer associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have emerged as alternatives to injectable medications for both thromboprophylaxis and treatment of VTE. Several recent clinical trials have demonstrated safety and efficacy of DOACs in high risk patients receiving systemic chemotherapy as well as postoperative prophylaxis after surgery for gynecologic cancer. Major consensus guidelines from multiple organizations support the use of DOACs for these indications but prescription practices are not well characterized.

METHODS

A survey study was sent concurrently to members of the Society of Gynecologic Oncology (SGO) and American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Research Survey Pool between May and June of 2021. The study was designed to assess DOAC prescription practices amongst members of these societies who routinely prescribe chemotherapy. Bivariate analyses comparing responses from ASCO participants and SGO participants were compared using chi-squared and Fisher exact tests.

RESULTS

A total of 103 physicians were included in the ASCO group and 139 in the SGO group. A majority of participants in both groups reported familiarity with prescribing DOACs (99% of ASCO and 96% of SGO respondents). ASCO respondents were more likely to consider DOACs as first line therapy for treatment of cancer-associated VTE than SGO members (82% vs 63%, p < 0.01) and SGO members were more likely to consider low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) the standard of care treatment (66% vs 25% p < 0.01). Most respondents in both groups (75%) felt DOACs were equally safe and effective compared to LMWH but more ASCO members felt DOACs were cost effective (70% vs 49%, p < 0.01). More SGO respondents reported having prescribed prophylactic anticoagulation during chemotherapy than ASCO members (53% vs 35%, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

ASCO respondents were more likely to prescribe DOACs for both treatment and prophylaxis of cancer-associated VTE than SGO members. However, SGO members were more likely to prescribe prophylactic anticoagulation to high risk patients initiating chemotherapy compared to ASCO members.

Management of venous thromboembolism in patients with lung cancer: a state-of-the-art review

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is common and life-threatening in patients with lung cancer. Management of VTE is critical for patients with lung cancer. Risk assessment, thromboprophylaxis and treatment of VTE constitute the core issues of VTE management in patients with lung cancer. Although its overall principles should follow recommendations in authoritative guidelines, VTE management in patients with lung cancer may be slightly special in some specific aspects. Despite the extensive validation of Khorana score for patients with all cancer types, its value in VTE risk assessment of patients with lung cancer is controversial. It is important to determine the VTE risk assessment score that can accurately and specifically assess the VTE risk of patients with lung cancer. Clinical practice patterns of thromboprophylaxis may vary by cancer types, since different sites of cancer may have different levels of VTE risk. To understand the thromboprophylaxis specific for lung cancer is of vital importance for patients with lung cancer. Although it is essential to comply with authoritative guidelines, the duration and timing of initiation of thromboprophylaxis in surgical patients with lung cancer may need further study. Taken together, the purpose of this review is to provide an overview of state-of-the-art VTE stewardship specific for patients with lung cancer.

The Kagoshima-DVT Score Is a Useful Predictive Model for Cancer-Associated Thrombosis in Patients With Gastrointestinal Cancer

Background: Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is a common complication of cancer and has received increasing attention; the Khorana Risk Score (KRS) is a recommended but insufficient risk assessment model for CAT. We propose a novel Kagoshima-DVT score (KDS) to predict preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT). This scoring method scores D-dimer ≥1.5 μg/mL, age ≥60 years, female sex, ongoing glucocorticoids, cancer with high risk of DVT, and prolonged immobility. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of the KDS and KRS in predicting CAT in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. Methods and Results: In all, 250 patients without a history of thrombosis who received their first chemotherapy for gastrointestinal cancer were divided into low- (48.0%), intermediate- (38.8%), and high-risk (13.2%) groups for CAT development by the KDS. The patients' median age was 67 years and 63.2% were men. In all, 61 (27.1%) patients developed CAT (17.6%, 35.3%, and 36.4% of patients in the low-, intermediate, and high-risk groups, respectively; log-rank P=0.006). The area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve for CAT occurrence within 1 year was larger for the KDS than KRS (0.653 vs. 0.494). Conclusions: A high KDS at the start of first chemotherapy is a risk indicator for CAT development during chemotherapy. Moreover, the KDS is more useful than the KRS in predicting CAT risk.

A review of venous thromboembolism risk assessment models for different patient populations: What we know and don't!

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients. Globally, it is also the third leading vascular disease, after myocardial infarction and stroke. The incidence of VTE is reportedly higher in Western countries than in Asian countries. However, recent reports suggest an increasing incidence of VTE in Asian countries, including India. Since VTE is largely a preventable disease, early identification of risk factors can lead to disease prevention or the adoption of appropriate prophylactic measures. To this end, several VTE risk assessment models (RAMs) have been developed and validated for different populations who are at risk of developing VTE, such as hospitalized patients with medical illness/surgical indication, patients with cancer, and pregnant women. Evidence indicates that the systematic use of RAMs improves prophylaxis rates and lowers the burden of VTE. Given the increasing burden of VTE in the Indian population and poor prophylaxis rates, the implementation of systematic RAMs in routine clinical practice might ameliorate the disease burden in the country. We have assessed the evidence-based utilities of available RAMs and have delineated the most common and suitable RAMs for different populations including coronavirus disease 2019 affected patients. This review depicts the current status of implementation and validation of RAMs in the Indian scenario. It also highlights the need for additional validation studies, improved awareness, and implementation of RAMs in clinical practice for lowering the burden of VTE.

Identification of risk factors for venous thromboembolism and validation of the Khorana score in patients with advanced lung cancer: based on the multicenter, prospective Rising-VTE/NEJ037 study data

BACKGROUND

Management of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is essential in cancer treatment selection and prognosis. However, currently, no method exists for assessing VTE risk associated with advanced lung cancer. Therefore, we assessed VTE risk, including driver gene mutation, in advanced lung cancer and performed a Khorana score validation.

METHODS

The Rising-VTE/NEJ037 study was a multicenter prospective observational study that included patients with advanced lung cancer. In the Rising-VTE/NEJ037 study, the Khorana score was calculated for enrolled patients with available data on all Khorana score components. The modified Khorana score was based on the body mass index of ≥ 25 kg/m², according to the Japanese obesity standard. A multivariate logistic regression analysis, including patient background characteristics, was performed to evaluate the presence of VTE 2 years after the lung cancer diagnosis.

RESULTS

This study included 1008 patients with lung cancer, of whom 100 (9.9%) developed VTE. From the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, VTE risk could not be determined because both the Khorana score (0.518) and modified Khorana score (0.516) showed very low areas under the curve. The risk factors for VTE in the multivariate analysis included female sex, adenocarcinoma, performance status, N factor, lymphocyte count, platelet count, prothrombin fragment 1 + 2 and diastolic blood pressure.

CONCLUSION

The Khorana score, which is widely used in cancer-VTE risk assessment, was less useful for Japanese patients with advanced lung cancer. Prothrombin fragment 1 + 2, a serum marker involved in coagulation, was more suitable for risk identification.

CLINICAL TRIAL INFORMATION

jRCTs061180025.

Using the Khorana risk score to predict venous thromboembolism and overall survival in a cohort of Hispanic patients with solid malignancies

Background

The Khorana risk score (KRS) for prognosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been rarely explored in Hispanic populations.

Objective

To determine the value of the KRS for prediction of VTE and overall survival (OS) among Hispanic individuals with cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated all outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumours receiving systemic chemotherapy in Hospital San Juan Dios, San José, Costa Rica, from January to December 2021. The 6-month cumulative VTE incidence according to the KRS categories was estimated using the Fine & Gray competing risk model. A Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare OS among KRS categories. The Cox regression analysis was performed to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to identify the optimal cutoff value to predict VTE during follow-up.

Results

A total of 708 patients were included in the analysis. After a median follow-up of 8.13 months, the cumulative incidence of VTE at 6 months was 1.56% (95% CI: 0.83%-6.82%), 4.83% (95% CI: 2.81%-7.66%) and 8.84% (95% CI: 4.30%-15.42%) for low-, intermediate- and high-risk Khorana score categories, respectively (Gray's p value: 0.0178). The optimal cutoff for the KRS to predict VTE was 2 (area under the ROC curve: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.55-0.756). The KRS was independently associated with overall mortality (HR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.46-2.29; p < 0.001, for the comparison of 'high-risk' and 'low-risk' KRS).

Conclusions

The KRS is a valid tool to predict VTE and mortality in a cohort of Hispanic outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumours.

Incidence, risk factors, and evolution of venous thromboembolic events in patients diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma and treated with chemotherapy on an outpatient basis

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic carcinoma is one of the tumors associated with a higher risk for thromboembolic events, with incidence rates ranging from 5% to 41% in previous retrospective series.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study in eleven Spanish hospitals that included 666 patients diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma (any stage) between 2008 and 2011 and treated with chemotherapy. The main objective was to evaluate the incidence of venous thromboembolic events (VTE) in this population, as well as potential risk factors for thrombosis. The impact of VTE on mortality was also assessed.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 9.3 months, the incidence of VTE was 22.1%; 52% were diagnosed incidentally. Our study was unable to confirm the ability of the Khorana score to discriminate between patients in the intermediate or high risk category for thrombosis. The presence of VTE proved to be an independent prognostic factor associated with increased risk of death (HR 2.39, 95% CI 1.96-2.92). Symptomatic events correlated with higher mortality than asymptomatic events (HR 1.72; 95% CI, 1.21-2.45; p = 0.002), but incidental VTE, including visceral vein thrombosis (VVT), negatively affected survival compared to patients without VTE. Subjects who developed VTE within the first 3 months of diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma had lower survival rates than those with VTE after 3 months (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.30-2.84; p&lt;0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreatic carcinoma is associated with a high incidence of VTE, which, when present, correlates with worse survival, even when thrombosis is incidental. Early onset VTE has a particularly negative impact.

Multidisciplinary Care for the Prevention and Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with Cancer-Associated Thrombosis (CAT): Impact of Educational Interventions on CAT-Related Events and on Patients' and Clinicians' Awareness

Cancer is a leading cause of death. Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is an often-overlooked cause of morbidity and mortality in cancer patients that can be readily prevented and treated. Actions are needed to reduce the morbidity and mortality of patients with cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT). There is a need to increase awareness of the impact of CAT on cancer patients' morbidity and mortality, on their quality of life and to understand the importance of more effective preventions and treatments of VTE in cancer patients. Moreover, it is of great importance to systematically assess the risk of VTE in regard to patients, cancer and treatment-related factors. Unfortunately, there are unmet clinical needs in the prevention and treatment of cancer-associated VTE. In this review, we discuss an action plan to ensure an increased awareness of and education on the issues that need to be addressed in order to improve the provision of appropriate prevention, early diagnosis and effective and safe treatment of VTE to all cancer patients and, ultimately, to reduce morbidity and mortality.

Mitigating acute chemotherapy-associated adverse events in patients with cancer

Despite the enthusiasm surrounding novel targeted agents and immunotherapies, chemotherapy remains the mainstay treatment for most human malignancies, either alone or in combination. Yet, the burden of chemotherapy-associated adverse events (CAAEs) remains high and, importantly, is associated with considerable morbidity, mortality and costs that affect patients across multiple dimensions, including physical, emotional and social functioning. CAAEs can directly affect patient outcomes and indirectly increase the risk of cancer recurrence by compromising treatment intensity and continuity. Systematic efforts to identify and critically summarize the evidence on management approaches for CAAEs remain limited. Herein, we review the most common acute CAAEs having a major effect on survival, quality of life, function and/or continuation of optimal therapy. We focus on selected acute toxicities that occur during treatment, summarizing their underlying pathophysiology, multifactorial aetiologies, evidenced-based treatments, prevention strategies and management recommendations. We also summarize the available evidence on risk factors, validated risk assessment tools and other efforts to optimize symptom control in patients most likely to benefit in order to personalize the prevention and treatment of acute CAAEs. Finally, we discuss innovative symptom monitoring and supportive care interventions that are under development to further improve the outcomes of patients with cancer.

The Diagnostic Value of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index for Venous Thromboembolism in Lung Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Study

Background

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is considered a common complication in lung cancer patients. Despite its widespread use, the Khorana score performed moderately in predicting VTE risk. This study aimed to determine the diagnostic utility of the Systemic Immunoinflammatory Index (SII) and to create a novel nomogram for predicting VTE in patients with pulmonary carcinoma.

Materials and Methods

The data, like clinical features and laboratory indicators, of inpatients diagnosed with lung cancer from March 2019 to March 2020 were collected and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were performed to confirm the risk factors and then construct a nomogram model. The calibration curve and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the model's fitting performance. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the diagnostic value of SII and the nomogram.

Results

This study enrolled 369 lung patients with a VTE morbidity rate of 23.33%. The patients with VTE had higher SII levels than the non-VTE group (1441.47 ± 146.28 vs. 626.76 ± 26.04, P < 0.001). SII is the stronger correlator for VTE among inflammatory markers, of which the optimal cut-off value was 851.51. Univariate and multivariate analysis revealed that the age, metastasis, antitumor treatment, hemoglobin<100 g/L, SII>851.51 × 10⁹/L, and D-dimer>2 folds were independent risk factors for lung cancer-related VTE, and a new prediction nomogram model was constructed based on them. ROC curve analysis showed the AUC of the new model and Khorana score were 0.708 (0.643-0.772) and 0.600 (0.531-0.699).

Conclusion

The SII was a simple and valuable biomarker for VTE, and the new nomogram model based on it can accurately forecast the occurrence of VTE. They can be utilized in clinical practice to identify those at high risk of VTE in lung cancer patients.

Patterns of Thromboembolism in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Undergoing First-Line Chemotherapy with FOLFIRINOX or Gemcitabine/nab-Paclitaxel

INTRODUCTION

Recent advances in prophylactic anticoagulation and antineoplastic treatment for advanced pancreatic cancer (aPC) warrant an updated reassessment of thromboembolic risk in this population. This multicenter retrospective cohort study aims to comprehensively characterize incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of venous (VTE) and arterial thromboembolism (ATE) in homogenously treated patients with aPC.

METHODS

Four hundred and fifty-five patients with aPC undergoing palliative first-line chemotherapy (Gemcitabine/nab-Paclitaxel (GN) or FOLIRINOX) were included. Primary outcomes were objectively confirmed VTE and/or ATE.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 26 months, 86 VTE (cumulative incidence: 20.0%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 16.3-24.0) and 11 ATE events (cumulative incidence: 2.8%; 95% CI: 1.5-4.9) were observed. VTE diagnosis was associated with increased mortality (transition hazard ratio [THR]: 1.59 [95% CI: 1.21-2.09]) and increased risk of cancer progression (THR: 1.47 [95% CI: 1.08-2.01]), while the impact of ATE on mortality was numerically but not statistically significant (THR: 1.85 [95% CI: 0.87-3.94]). The strongest predictor of increased VTE risk was history of cancer-associated VTE (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 3.29 [95% CI: 2.09-5.18]), while the Khorana score (SHR: 0.78 [0.57-1.06]) failed to predict VTE risk. A history of cerebrovascular disease was associated with markedly increased ATE risk (SHR: 22.05 [95% CI: 6.83-71.22], p < 0.001), especially ischemic stroke. Risk of VTE/ATE did not significantly differ according to type of first-line chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

Patients with aPC undergoing palliative first-line chemotherapy with FOLFIRINOX or GN face a high risk for VTE/ATE and its diagnosis is linked to worse clinical outcomes. VTE-risk prediction models have limited ability to sub-stratify thrombotic events in this high-risk scenario.

Prediction models for venous thromboembolism in ambulatory adults with pancreatic and gastro-oesophageal cancer: protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication of cancer. Pancreatic and gastro-oesophageal cancers are among malignancies that have the highest rates of VTE occurrence. VTE can increase cancer-related morbidity and mortality and disrupt cancer treatment. The risk of VTE can be managed with measures such as using anticoagulant drugs, although the risk of bleeding may be an impeding factor. Therefore, a VTE risk assessment should be performed before the start of anticoagulation in individual patients. Several prediction models have been published, but most of them have low sensitivity and unknown clinical applicability in pancreatic or gastro-oesphageal cancers. We intend to do this systematic review to identify all applicable published predictive models and compare their performance in those types of cancer.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

All studies in which a prediction model for VTE have been developed, validated or compared using adult ambulatory patients with pancreatic or gastro-oesphageal cancers will be identified and the reported predictive performance indicators will be extracted. Full text peer-reviewed journal articles of observational or experimental studies published in English will be included. Five databases (Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL and Cochrane) will be searched. Two reviewers will independently undertake each of the phases of screening, data extraction and risk of bias assessment. The quality of the selected studies will be assessed using Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. The results from the review will be used for a narrative information synthesis, and if the same models have been validated in multiple studies, meta-analyses will be done to pool the predictive performance measures.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

There is no need for ethics approval because the review will use previously peer-reviewed articles. The results will be published.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021253887.

Public awareness on cancer associated thrombosis (CAT) among the Greek population. First findings from the ROADMAP-CAT Awareness study

Background  Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is the second cause of mortality after cancer itself. CAT is underestimated as a health challenge among oncologists, whereas the levels of awareness among patients and the public have not been systematically assessed and followed in the European Union countries.

Aim  The Prospective Risk Assessment and Management of Patient with CAT (ROADMAP-CAT) Awareness study is an investigator-initiated, descriptive and nonexperimental study with a cross-sectional design and it explores CAT risk awareness among cancer patients and the general public in Greece to provide an impetus for health policy interventions and a benchmark against which impact of any future interventions may be assessed.

Methods  A total of 1,003 participants aged above 18 years were contacted by phone after random selection from the national telephone catalogue. Participation was voluntary and completely anonymous, and a structured questionnaire was used to elicit responses. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS version 25.

Results  Among respondents, almost one-third (32.3%) reported CAT awareness, while only one in five (21.7%) were aware of the signs and symptoms of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Among patients with a personal history of cancer or of VTE, 47 and 58%, respectively, were aware of CAT risk. Of those aware of the association, 35.2% identified their treating physician as the main source of information. The level of awareness did not significantly differ by responders' demographics.

Conclusion  The ROADMAP-CAT Awareness study revealed very low levels of awareness on CAT and VTE risk both among the general public and cancer patients in Greece. Awareness of the signs and symptoms of VTE was also particularly low. Treating physicians are not actively engaging in educating their patients about CAT. Public awareness of the increased risk of VTE among cancer patients is critical to prevent and diagnose the disease early. It is imperative that a structured campaign supports medical professionals to take the time to increase awareness and educate their patients on this matter if to improve morbidity and mortality of cancer patients.

Evaluating the Khorana risk score of gastrointestinal cancer patients during initial chemotherapy as a predictor of patient mortality: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The Khorana risk score (KRS) has been recommended for predicting the incidence of cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT). However, it has been reported KRS was not useful in predicting CAT, but rather in predicting death by setting high scores for the primary tumor site or a low prevalence of severe obesity.

METHODS

A total of 260 consecutive patients with no history of thrombosis and who started initial chemotherapy for gastrointestinal cancer from January 2017 to December 2018 at our hospital were divided into three groups according to KRS; they were observed until December 2019 [122 patients (46.9%) in the low-risk group, 114 patients (43.8%) in the intermediate-risk group, and 24 patients (9.2%) in the high-risk group]. The incidence of CAT and all-cause death were compared among the three groups.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 67 years; 63.5% were men. CAT was observed in 61 patients (26.1%); 84 patients (37.9%) died during the observation period. The incidence rate of CAT was similar among the three groups (log-rank p = 0.4); but all-cause death showed a significant difference among the three groups (high-risk group: 58.2%, intermediate-risk group: 44.6%, low-risk group: 27.5%, log-rank p = 0.002). In the multivariate analysis, the high-risk KRS group remained at increased risk for all-cause death (HR, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.37-5.83; p = 0.005), but not with CAT.

CONCLUSIONS

The KRS at the start of chemotherapy for gastrointestinal cancer is not effective in predicting CAT, but it is effective in predicting prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

Optimal authoritative risk assessment score of Cancer-associated venous thromboembolism for hospitalized medical patients with lung Cancer

Background

Cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is common in patients with primary lung cancer. It has been understudied which authoritative risk assessment score of cancer-associated VTE is optimal for the assessment of VTE development in hospitalized medical patients with lung cancer.

Methods

Patients with lung cancer who had undergone computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA), compression ultrasonography (CUS) of lower and upper extremities, and/or planar ventilation/perfusion (V/Q) scan to confirm the presence or absence of VTE during a medical hospitalization were retrospectively reviewed. Based on the actual prevalence of VTE among all patients, the possibility of VTE were reassessed with the Khorana score, the PROTECHT score, the CONKO score, the ONKOTEV score, the COMPASS-CAT score, and the CATS/MICA score, to compare their assessment accuracy for VTE development.

Results

A total of 1263 patients with lung cancer were incorporated into the final analysis. With respect to assessment efficiency for VTE occurrence, the scores with adjusted agreement from highest to lowest were the ONKOTEV score (78.6%), the PROTECHT score (73.4%), the CONKO score (72.1%), the COMPASS-CAT score (71.7%), the Khorana score (70.9%), and the CATS/MICA score (60.3%). The ONKOTEV score had the highest Youden index which was 0.68, followed by the PROTECHT score (0.58), the COMPASS-CAT score (0.56), the CONKO score (0.55), the Khorana score (0.53), and the CATS/MICA score (0.23).

Conclusions

Among the Khorana score, the PROTECHT score, the CONKO score, the ONKOTEV score, the COMPASS-CAT score, and the CATS/MICA score which are approved by authoritative guidelines, the ONKOTEV score is optimal for the assessment of VTE development in hospitalized medical patients with lung cancer.

Models for predicting venous thromboembolism in ambulatory patients with lung cancer: a systematic review protocol

INTRODUCTION

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication in patients with cancer and has a determining role in the disease prognosis. The risk is significantly increased with certain types of cancer, such as lung cancer. Partly due to difficulties in managing haemorrhage in outpatient settings, anticoagulant prophylaxis is only recommended for ambulatory patients at high risk of VTE. This requires a precise VTE risk assessment in individual patients. Although VTE risk assessment models have been developed and updated in recent years, there are conflicting reports on the effectiveness of such risk prediction models in patient management. The aim of this systematic review is to gain a better understanding of the available VTE risk assessment tools for ambulatory patients with lung cancer and compare their predictive performance.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A systematic review will be conducted using MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, Scopus and Web of Science databases from inception to 30 September 2021, to identify all reports published in English describing VTE risk prediction models which have included adult ambulatory patients with primary lung cancer for model development and/or validation. Two independent reviewers will conduct article screening, study selection, data extraction and quality assessment of the primary studies. Any disagreements will be referred to a third researcher to resolve. The included studies will be assessed for risk of bias and applicability. The Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies will be used for data extraction and appraisal. Data from similar studies will be used for meta-analysis to determine the incidence of VTE and the performance of the risk models.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval is not required. We will disseminate the results in a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021245907.

Advances in the Prediction and Risk Assessment of Lung Cancer-Associated Venous Thromboembolism

According to the most recent data from the National Cancer Center, venous thromboembolism (VTE) has unsurprisingly become one of the most common complications in lung cancer. VTE not only interferes with the equilibrium of the clotting system but it also affects tumor progression and prognosis. For the identification of high-risk patients, many clinical risk assessment models have been developed and validated based on the risk factors found in previous studies. In this review, we will summarize advances in prediction and risk assessment of VTE, with a focus on early diagnosis and therapy, reduction of mortality, and the burden of medical costs in lung cancer patients.

Venous thromboembolism incidence and risk factors in non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving first-line systemic therapy

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on venous thromboembolism (VTE) incidence and predictive factors in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) across first-line therapies.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate VTE incidence rates and identify predictive factors in NSCLC patients receiving first-line systemic therapies, including immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

PATIENTS/METHODS

This is a single institution retrospective study of adult NSCLC patients who received first-line treatment, including chemotherapy, ICIs (pembrolizumab, nivolumab, atezolizumab, avelumab, and durvalumab), and/or targeted therapies (TTs) (erlotinib, gefitinib, afatinib, osimertinib, crizotinib, alectinib, ceritinib). Risk factors included Khorana score, cancer stage, central venous catheter, pacemaker, comorbidities, and prior VTE. The primary objective - cumulative incidence of VTE at 6- and 12-months by treatment group - was compared using Gray's test. Univariable and multivariable competing risk analyses were used to identify predictors.

RESULTS

Of 1587 evaluable patients, 53% were male, 79% white, 18% black, median age was 66; 58% had adenocarcinoma, 32% squamous cell carcinoma, and 47% metastatic disease; 1043 received chemotherapy, 171 ICIs, 157 chemotherapy plus concomitant ICI, 107 chemotherapy and durvalumab maintenance, and 109 TTs. The 6-month cumulative incidence of VTE by treatment type was 5.0%, 7.6%, 9.9%, 9.4%, and 11.1%; 12-month incidence was 6.5%, 9.0%, 12.8%, 12.2%, and 13.1% per arm, respectively (p = 0.01). Treatment type (p = 0.034) and nicotine dependence (p = 0.048) were significantly associated with time to VTE in multivariable analyses.

CONCLUSION

Treatment type and smoking status were predictive of time to VTE in NSCLC patients receiving various first-line therapies. Cumulative incidence was highest in those receiving TTs and combination chemotherapy plus ICI.

Cancer-Associated Thrombosis: A Clinical Scoping Review of the Risk Assessment Models Across Solid Tumours and Haematological Malignancies

Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is a leading cause of death in cancer patients receiving outpatient chemotherapy. The latest guidelines emphasize stratifying the patients in terms of CAT risks periodically. Multiple risk assessment models (RAMs) were developed to classify patients and guide thromboprophylaxis to high-risk patients. This study aimed to discuss and highlight different RAMs across various malignancy types with their related advantages and disadvantages. A scoping review was conducted using predefined search terms in three scientific databases, including Google Scholar, Science Direct, and PubMed. The search for studies was restricted to original research articles that reported risk assessment models published in the last thirteen years (between 2008 and 2021) to cover the most recently published evidence following the development of the principal risk assessment score in 2008. Data charting of the relevant trials, scores, advantages, and disadvantages were done iteratively considering the malignancy type. Of the initially identified 1115 studies, 39 studies with over 67,680 patients were included in the review. In solid organ malignancy, nine risk assessment scores were generated. The first and most known Khorana risk score still offers the best available risk assessment model when used for high-risk populations with a threshold of 2 and above. However, KRS has a limitation of failure to stratify low-risk patients. The COMPASS-CAT score showed the best performance in the lung carcinoma patients who have a higher prevalence of thrombosis than other malignancy subtypes. In testicular germ cell tumours, Bezan et al RAM is a validated good discriminatory RAM for this malignancy subtype. CAT in haematological malignancy seems to be under-investigated and has multiple disease-related, and treatment-related confounding factors. AL-Ani et al score performed efficiently in acute leukemia. In multiple myeloma, both SAVED and IMPEDED VTE scores showed good performance. Despite the availability of different disease-specific scores in lymphoma-related thrombosis, the standard of care needs to be redefined.

[Predicting the Incidence of Venous Thromboembolism Using the Khorana Score: A Literature Review]

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths globally. The Khorana score, a VTE prediction model, is calculated using the site of cancer, white blood cell count, hemoglobin level, platelet count, and body mass index. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of the Khorana score, using data available in the literature. On July 28, 2020, we collected papers using the following keywords: "cancer", "venous thromboembolism", "deep vein thrombosis", "pulmonary embolism", and "Khorana score" on PubMed. Papers published after 2016 were eligible. The selection criteria were as follows: "English or Japanese", "original paper", "abstract and full text", and "comply with the clinical question". There were 131 papers that matched the keywords, and 15 of them complied with the selection criteria. In 15 papers, Khorana score was calculated in 8047 patients. In the low- and intermediate-risk groups, 532 of 6812 patients developed VTE [7.8%, 95%confidence intervals (CI) 7.2-8.5], whereas in the high-risk group, 127 of 1235 patients developed VTE (10.3%, 95% CI 8.7-12.1) [odds ratio (OR) 1.3, 95% CI 1.0-1.6] (I²=0%, τ²=0, p=0.50). Venous thromboembolism prediction using the Khorana score might be useful. However, most of the number of VTE patients are in the low- and intermediate-risk groups. Therefore, a comprehensive evaluation according to clinical conditions is required, regardless of the risk classification using the Khorana score.

Risk Factors and Prediction Models for Venous Thromboembolism in Ambulatory Patients with Lung Cancer

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a significant cause of mortality in patients with lung cancer. Despite the availability of a wide range of anticoagulants to help prevent thrombosis, thromboprophylaxis in ambulatory patients is a challenge due to its associated risk of haemorrhage. As a result, anticoagulation is only recommended in patients with a relatively high risk of VTE. Efforts have been made to develop predictive models for VTE risk assessment in cancer patients, but the availability of a reliable predictive model for ambulate patients with lung cancer is unclear. We have analysed the latest information on this topic, with a focus on the lung cancer-related risk factors for VTE, and risk prediction models developed and validated in this group of patients. The existing risk models, such as the Khorana score, the PROTECHT score and the CONKO score, have shown poor performance in external validations, failing to identify many high-risk individuals. Some of the newly developed and updated models may be promising, but their further validation is needed.

Overview of risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism in ambulatory patients with cancer

A B S T R A C T Important progress has been made in the development of risk assessment models (RAM) for the identification of outpatients on anticancer treatment at risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Since the breakthrough publication of the original Khorana risk score (KRS) more than 10 years ago, a new generation of KRS-based scores have been developed, including the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study, PROTECHT, CONKO, ONCOTEV, TicOnco and the CATS/MICA score. Among these the CATS/MICA score showed that a simplified score composed of only two calibrated predictors, the type of cancer and the D-dimer levels, offers a user-friendly tool for the evaluation of cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) risk. The COMPASS-CAT score is the first that introduced a more synthetic approach of risk evaluation by combining cancer-related predictors with patient comorbidity in a score which is designed for the types of cancer frequently seen in the community (i.e. breast, lung colon or ovarian cancers) and has been externally validated in independent studies. The Throly score is registered as part of the same group as it has a similar structure to the COMPASS-CAT score and is applicable in patients with lymphoma. The incorporation of specific biomarkers of hypercoagulability to the RAM for CAT offers the possibility to perform a precision medicine approach in the prevention of CAT. The improvement of RAM for CAT with artificial intelligence methodologies and deep learning techniques is the challenge in the near future.

Thromboembolic risk in patients with lung cancer receiving systemic therapy

In this retrospective study, we investigated the influence of chemotherapy and immunotherapy on thromboembolic risk among United States Veterans with lung cancer during their first 6 months (180 days) following initiation of systemic therapy. Included patients received treatment with common front-line agents that were divided into four groups: chemotherapy alone, immunotherapy alone, combination of chemo- and immunotherapies, and molecularly targeted therapies (control group). The cohort experienced a 7·4% overall incidence of thrombosis, but the analysis demonstrated significantly different rates among the different groups. We explored models incorporating multiple confounding variables as well as the competing risk of death, and these results indicated that both chemo- and immunotherapies were associated with an increased incidence of thrombosis, either alone or combined, compared with the control group (7·56%, P = 2.2 × 10^-16 ; 10·2%, P = 2.2 × 10^-16 ; and 7·87%, P = 2.4 × 10^-14 respectively vs. 4·10%). The Khorana score was found to be associated with increased risk, as were vascular disease and metastases. We found an association between risk of thrombosis and the use of anticoagulation, accounting for several confounders, including history of thrombosis. Further study is warranted to better determine the drivers of thromboembolic risk and to identify ways to mitigate this risk for patients.

Predictors of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With Testicular Germ Cell Tumors: A Retrospective Study

Malignancy, including testicular tumors, significantly increases the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). In this study, we search for predictors that may help identify subgroups of patients at higher risk of VTE. Patients with confirmed diagnosis of testicular germ cell tumor and proven VTE were identified. Clinical and pathological features possibly associated with VTE were reviewed. A total of 322 patients, median age (range) 31 (18-76) years were identified. Tumors were mostly non-seminoma (n = 194, 60.2%), node-positive (n = 130, 40.4%) and 58 (18.0%) had metastatic disease at diagnosis. Venous thromboembolism were confirmed in 27 (8.4%) patients; however, rates were significantly higher (P < 0.001) in patients with node-positive (18.5%), metastatic disease (22.4%), and those with high lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (21.3%). Rates were also significantly higher among those who received multiple lines of chemotherapy (27.5%) compared to those who received one line (13.8%) or none (<1.0%), P < 0.001. Patients with testicular tumors and high tumor burden, including nodal involvement, high LDH or metastatic disease, and those treated with multiple lines of chemotherapy have significantly higher rates of VTE.