Association between hypotension and serious illness in the emergency department: an observational study

Optimizing Triage: Assessing Shock Index, Pediatric Age-Adjusted as an Adjunct to Improve Emergency Severity Index Mistriage

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the diagnostic value of shock index, pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) in predicting Emergency Severity Index level 3 patients' outcomes. Secondary objectives included exploring the impact of fever and participant variables on SIPA's predictive ability.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review identified children aged 1 to 15 years triaged as a level 3 in the emergency department between January 2018 and December 2021. Shock index, pediatric age-adjusted thresholds based on age, 1 to 6 years (>1.2), 7 to 12 years (>1.0), and 13 to 17 years (>0.9), were used. We assessed elevated SIPA and SIPA corrected for fever to evaluate associations with outcomes and interventions.

RESULTS

Our findings, involving 192 patients, revealed that elevated SIPA demonstrated enhanced discrimination relative to nonelevated SIPA. Patients with elevated SIPA had more average interventions: 1.14 versus 0.74, P < 0.016; average interventions using SIPA corrected for fever: 1.14 versus 0.77, P < 0.006; average interventions controlling for race and sex: 1.15 versus 0.71, P < 0.001; hospital admission: 64.4% versus 42.9%, P = 0.004; hospital length of stay (LOS): 3.06 days (SE, 0.42) versus 1.46 days (SE, 0.23); hospital LOS using SIPA corrected for fever: 2.75 days (SE, 0.44) versus 1.72 days (SE, 0.24); ventilatory support: 16.44% versus 3.36%, P < 0.002; fluid bolus: 28.77% versus 14.29%, P < 0.015; intravenous medications (antibiotics, antiepileptics, immune globulin, albumin): 45.21% versus 30.25%, P < 0.036. There was no difference between other interventions, pediatric intensive care admission, and LOS between the 2 groups. Importantly, SIPA was unaffected by fever, race, or sex.

CONCLUSIONS

Shock index, pediatric age-adjusted identifies level 3 Emergency Severity Index pediatric patients more likely to require hospital admission, longer LOS, and a lifesaving intervention especially ventilatory support, intravenous fluids, or specific intravenous medications. Shock index, pediatric age-adjusted's predictive ability remained unaffected by fever, race, or sex, making it a valuable tool in preventing mistriage and justifying inclusion in the Emergency Severity Index danger zone vitals criteria for up-triage.

Physicians' Knowledge of the Systematic ABCDE Approach in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Purpose

To evaluate physicians' knowledge of the ABCDE (Airway, Breathing, Circulation, Disability, Exposure) approach components.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted in 2023 using an online questionnaire in order to collect data about the knowledge of the ABCDE approach's components among physicians in different specialties in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Results

The number of participants were 165 in total and the median knowledge score for all participants was 15.0, with an associated interquartile range (IQR) of 10.0 to 20.0. Intensive Care Medicine had the highest median knowledge score of 19.0 (IQR: 12.0-21.0), followed by Internal Medicine at 17.0 (IQR: 13.0-20.0). Conversely, Cardiology and Anesthesiology showed lower scores, with medians of 8.0 (IQR: 4.0-10.0) and 7.5 (IQR: 4.0-13.5), respectively (p = 0.011). Senior Registrars demonstrated the highest median knowledge score of 20.0 (IQR: 14.0-22.0), while Fellows had the lowest at 8.5 (IQR: 7.0-13.0) (p < 0.001). Practicing for 10 to 15 years and more than 15 years having medians of 20.0 (IQR: 16.0-23.0) and 19.0 (IQR: 17.0-22.0), respectively. However, participants with less experience, working for less than 5 years, had a median score of 12.0 (IQR: 8.5-16.5) (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Knowledge scores of physicians representing various medical specialties found diverse levels regarding the ABCDE approach. Knowledge scores were significantly influenced by the primary area of practice, level of experience, and duration worked in the profession, highlighting the need for tailored training and education across different specialties and career stages. On the other hand, future studies should concentrate on finding new factors that influence practice adherence to the ABCDE approach and tying theoretical knowledge to clinical practice.

Comparison of mortality in emergency department patients with immediate versus delayed hypotension

BACKGROUND

Hypotension in the emergency department (ED) is known to be associated with increased mortality, however, the relationship between timing of hypotension and mortality has not been investigated. The objective of the study was to compare the mortality rate of patients presenting with hypotension with those who develop hypotension while in the ED.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study in a large academic medical center collected from January 2018-December 2021. Patients were included if they were ≥ 18 years old and had at least one recorded systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤ 90 in the ED. Patients were separated into medical and trauma presentations by chief compliant. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, which included any deaths between ED arrival and hospital discharge. Further analysis examined the association of time to the first hypotensive SBP measurement with mortality.

RESULTS

There were 212,085 adult patients who presented to the ED during the study period, with 4053 (1.9%) patients having at least one hypotensive blood pressure measurement. The mortality rate was 0.8% for all patients and 10.0% for patients with hypotension. There were 676 unique chief complaints, of which 86 (12.7%) were determined to be trauma related. This grouping resulted in 176,947(83.4%) patients classified as medical and 35,138(16.6%) patients as trauma. For patients presenting with medical complaints, there was not a significant difference in mortality for patients who were hypotensive on arrival and those who developed hypotension during their ED stay (RR 1.19 [95% CI:0.97-1.39]). Similarly, there was no difference for patients with trauma (RR 0.6 [95% CI: 0.31-1.24]). However, for all patients, there was a significant trend toward decreased mortality for every hour after arrival until the development of hypotension, and increased mortality with increasing number of hypotensive measurements recorded.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated hypotension in the ED was associated with a very significantly increased risk of in-hospital mortality. However, there was no significant increase in mortality between those patients with hypotension on arrival those who develop hypotension while in the ED. These finding underscore the importance of careful hemodynamic monitoring for patients in the ED throughout their stay.

Fluid management in children with severe dengue: a narrative review

Dengue is a mosquito-borne arboviral infection of increasing public health importance. Globally, children account for a significant proportion of infections. No pathogen-specific treatment currently exists, and the current approach to reducing disease burden is focused on preventative strategies such as vector control, epidemiological interventions, and vaccination in selected populations. Once infected, the mainstay of treatment is supportive, of which appropriate fluid management is a cornerstone. The timely provision of fluid boluses has historically been central to the management of septic shock. However, in patients with dengue shock, particular emphasis is placed on judicious fluid administration. Certain colloids such as hydroxyethyl starches and dextran, despite no longer being used routinely in intensive care units due to concerns of acute kidney injury and impairment of coagulation, are still commonly used in dengue shock syndrome. Current guidelines recommend initial crystalloid therapy, with consideration of colloids for severe or recalcitrant shock in patients with dengue. In this review, we discuss the pathophysiology of septic shock, and consider whether any differences in dengue exist that may warrant a separate approach to fluid therapy. We critically review the available evidence for fluid management in dengue, including the role of colloids. In dengue, there is increasing recognition of the importance of tailoring fluid therapy to phases of disease, with attention to the need for fluid "deresuscitation" once the critical phase of vascular leak passes.

Shock Index in the early assessment of febrile children at the emergency department: a prospective multicentre study

OBJECTIVE

(1) To derive reference values for the Shock Index (heart rate/systolic blood pressure) based on a large emergency department (ED) population of febrile children and (2) to determine the diagnostic value of the Shock Index for serious illness in febrile children.

DESIGN/SETTING

Observational study in 11 European EDs (2017-2018).

PATIENTS

Febrile children with measured blood pressure.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Serious bacterial infection (SBI), invasive bacterial infection (IBI), immediate life-saving interventions (ILSIs) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The association between high Shock Index (>95th centile) and each outcome was determined by logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, referral, comorbidity and temperature. Additionally, we calculated sensitivity, specificity and negative/positive likelihood ratios (LRs).

RESULTS

Of 5622 children, 461 (8.2%) had SBI, 46 (0.8%) had IBI, 203 (3.6%) were treated with ILSI and 69 (1.2%) were ICU admitted. High Shock Index was associated with SBI (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.6 (95% CI 1.3 to 1.9)), ILSI (aOR 2.5 (95% CI 2.0 to 2.9)), ICU admission (aOR 2.2 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.9)) but not with IBI (aOR: 1.5 (95% CI 0.6 to 2.4)). For the different outcomes, sensitivity for high Shock Index ranged from 0.10 to 0.15, specificity ranged from 0.95 to 0.95, negative LRs ranged from 0.90 to 0.95 and positive LRs ranged from 1.8 to 2.8.

CONCLUSIONS

High Shock Index is associated with serious illness in febrile children. However, its rule-out value is insufficient which suggests that the Shock Index is not valuable as a screening tool for all febrile children at the ED.

Characteristics and management of adolescents attending the ED with fever: a prospective multicentre study

OBJECTIVE

Most studies on febrile children have focused on infants and young children with serious bacterial infection (SBI). Although population studies have described an increased risk of sepsis in adolescents, little is known about febrile adolescents attending the emergency department (ED). We aimed to describe patient characteristics and management of febrile adolescents attending the ED.

DESIGN AND SETTING

The MOFICHE/PERFORM study (Management and Outcome of Febrile Children in Europe/Personalised Risk assessment in Febrile illness to Optimise Real-life Management across the European Union), a prospective multicentre study, took place at 12 European EDs. Descriptive and multivariable regression analyses were performed, comparing febrile adolescents (12-18 years) with younger children in terms of patient characteristics, markers of disease severity (vital signs, clinical alarming signs), management (diagnostic tests, therapy, admission) and diagnosis (focus, viral/bacterial infection).

RESULTS

37 420 encounters were included, of which 2577 (6.9%) were adolescents. Adolescents were more often triaged as highly urgent (38.9% vs 34.5%) and described as ill appearing (23.1% vs 15.6%) than younger children. Increased work of breathing and a non-blanching rash were present less often in adolescents, while neurological signs were present more often (1% vs 0%). C reactive protein tests were performed more frequently in adolescents and were more often abnormal (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.7, 95% CI 1.5 to 1.9). Adolescents were more often diagnosed with SBI (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.6 to 2.0) and sepsis/meningitis (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1 to 5.0) and were more frequently admitted (aOR 1.3, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.4) and treated with intravenous antibiotics (aOR 1.7, 95% CI 1.5 to 2.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Although younger children presented to the ED more frequently, adolescents were more often diagnosed with SBI and sepsis/meningitis. Our data emphasise the importance of awareness of severe infections in adolescents.

A NICE combination for predicting hospitalisation at the Emergency Department: a European multicentre observational study of febrile children

Background

Prolonged Emergency Department (ED) stay causes crowding and negatively impacts quality of care. We developed and validated a prediction model for early identification of febrile children with a high risk of hospitalisation in order to improve ED flow.

Methods

The MOFICHE study prospectively collected data on febrile children (0-18 years) presenting to 12 European EDs. A prediction models was constructed using multivariable logistic regression and included patient characteristics available at triage. We determined the discriminative values of the model by calculating the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC).

Findings

Of 38,424 paediatric encounters, 9,735 children were admitted to the ward and 157 to the PICU. The prediction model, combining patient characteristics and NICE alarming, yielded an AUC of 0.84 (95%CI 0.83-0.84).The model performed well for a rule-in threshold of 75% (specificity 99.0% (95%CI 98.9-99.1%, positive likelihood ratio 15.1 (95%CI 13.4-17.1), positive predictive value 0.84 (95%CI 0.82-0.86)) and a rule-out threshold of 7.5% (sensitivity 95.4% (95%CI 95.0-95.8), negative likelihood ratio 0.15 (95%CI 0.14-0.16), negative predictive value 0..95 (95%CI 0.95-9.96)). Validation in a separate dataset showed an excellent AUC of 0.91 (95%CI 0.90- 0.93). The model performed well for identifying children needing PICU admission (AUC 0.95, 95%CI 0.93-0.97). A digital calculator was developed to facilitate clinical use.

Interpretation

Patient characteristics and NICE alarming signs available at triage can be used to identify febrile children at high risk for hospitalisation and can be used to improve ED flow.

Funding

European Union, NIHR, NHS.

Performance of seven different paediatric early warning scores to predict critical care admission in febrile children presenting to the emergency department: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Paediatric Early Warning Scores (PEWS) are widely used in the UK, but the heterogeneity across tools and the limited data on their predictive performance represent obstacles to improving best practice. The standardisation of practice through the proposed National PEWS will rely on robust validation. Therefore, we compared the performance of the National PEWS with six other PEWS currently used in NHS hospitals, for their ability to predict critical care (CC) admission in febrile children attending the emergency department (ED).

DESIGN

Retrospective single-centre cohort study.

SETTING

Tertiary hospital paediatric ED.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 11 449 eligible febrile ED attendances were identified from the electronic patient record over a 2-year period. Seven PEWS scores were calculated (Alder Hey, Bedside, Bristol, National, Newcastle and Scotland PEWS, and the Paediatric Observation Priority Score, using the worst observations recorded during their ED stay.

OUTCOMES

The primary outcome was CC admission within 48 hours, the secondary outcomes were hospital length of stay (LOS) >48 hours and sepsis-related mortality.

RESULTS

Of 11 449 febrile children, 134 (1.2%) were admitted to CC within 48 hours of ED presentation, 606 (5.3%) had a hospital LOS >48 hours. 10 (0.09%) children died, 5 (0.04%) were sepsis-related. All seven PEWS demonstrated excellent discrimination for CC admission (range area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) 0.91-0.95) and sepsis-related mortality (range AUC 0.95-0.99), most demonstrated moderate discrimination for hospital LOS (range AUC 0.69-0.75). In CC admission threshold analyses, bedside PEWS (AUC 0.90; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.93) and National PEWS (AUC 0.90; 0.87-0.93) were the most discriminative, both at a threshold of ≥6.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results support the use of the proposed National PEWS in the paediatric ED for the recognition of suspected sepsis to improve outcomes, but further validation is required in other settings and presentations.

Development and validation of a Paediatric Early Warning Score for use in the emergency department: a multicentre study

BACKGROUND

Paediatric Early Warning Scores (PEWSs) are being used increasingly in hospital wards to identify children at risk of clinical deterioration, but few scores exist that were designed for use in emergency care settings. To improve the prioritisation of children in the emergency department (ED), we developed and validated an ED-PEWS.

METHODS

The TrIAGE project is a prospective European observational study based on electronic health record data collected between Jan 1, 2012, and Nov 1, 2015, from five diverse EDs in four European countries (Netherlands, the UK, Austria, and Portugal). This study included data from all consecutive ED visits of children under age 16 years. The main outcome measure was a three-category reference standard (high, intermediate, low urgency) that was developed as part of the TrIAGE project as a proxy for true patient urgency. The ED-PEWS was developed based on an ordinal logistic regression model, with cross-validation by setting. After completing the study, we fully externally validated the ED-PEWS in an independent cohort of febrile children from a different ED (Greece).

FINDINGS

Of 119 209 children, 2007 (1·7%) were of high urgency and 29 127 (24·4%) of intermediate urgency, according to our reference standard. We developed an ED-PEWS consisting of age and the predictors heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, consciousness, capillary refill time, and work of breathing. The ED-PEWS showed a cross-validated c-statistic of 0·86 (95% prediction interval 0·82-0·90) for high-urgency patients and 0·67 (0·61-0·73) for high-urgency or intermediate-urgency patients. A cutoff of score of at least 15 was useful for identifying high-urgency patients with a specificity of 0·90 (95% CI 0·87-0·92) while a cutoff score of less than 6 was useful for identifying low-urgency patients with a sensitivity of 0·83 (0·81-0·85).

INTERPRETATION

The proposed ED-PEWS can assist in identifying high-urgency and low-urgency patients in the ED, and improves prioritisation compared with existing PEWSs.

FUNDING

Stichting de Drie Lichten, Stichting Sophia Kinderziekenhuis Fonds, and the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme.

A comparison of clinical paediatric guidelines for hypotension with population-based lower centiles: a systematic review

Background

Different definitions exist for hypotension in children. In this study, we aim to identify evidence-based reference values for low blood pressure and to compare these with existing definitions for systolic hypotension.

Methods

We searched online databases until February 2019 (including MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science) using a comprehensive search strategy to identify studies that defined age-related centiles (first to fifth centile) for non-invasive systolic blood pressure in healthy children < 18 years. Existing cut-offs for hypotension were identified in international guidelines and textbooks. The age-related centiles and clinical cut-offs were compared and visualized using step charts.

Results

Fourteen studies with population-based centiles were selected, of which 2 addressed children < 1 year. Values for the fifth centile differed 8 to 17 mmHg for age. We identified 13 clinical cut-offs of which only 5 reported accurate references. Age-related cut-offs for hypotension showed large variability (ranging from 15 to 30 mmHg). The clinical cut-offs varied in agreement with the low centiles. The definition from Paediatric Advanced Life Support agreed well for children < 12 years but was below the fifth centiles for children > 12 years. For children > 12 years, the definition of Parshuram’s early warning score agreed well, but the Advanced Paediatric Life Support definition was above the fifth centiles.

Conclusions

The different clinical guidelines for low blood pressure show large variability and low to moderate agreement with population-based lower centiles. For children < 12 years, the Paediatric Advanced Life Support definition fits best but it underestimates hypotension in older children. For children > 12 years, the Advanced Paediatric Life Support overestimates hypotension but Parshuram’s cut-off for hypotension in the early warning score agrees well. Future studies should focus on developing reference values for hypotension for acutely ill children.