Clinical prediction of 5-year survival in systemic sclerosis: validation of a simple prognostic model in EUSTAR centres

Can we define difficult-to-treat systemic sclerosis?

INTRODUCTION

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a chronic autoimmune rheumatic disease characterized by microvascular alterations, immunopathology, and widespread fibrosis involving various organs. It is considered difficult to treat due to several reasons: complex pathogenesis, heterogeneity, late diagnosis, limited treatment options for certain organ manifestations, lack of personalized medicine.

AREAS COVERED

This review presents the heterogeneity, survival and organ manifestations with their risk factors of systemic sclerosis and their current treatment options, while drawing attention to difficult-to-treat forms of the disease, based on literature indexed in PubMed.

EXPERT OPINION

Despite recent advances in the management of SSc over the last decades, the disease presents significant morbidity and mortality. Although available treatment protocols brought significant advancements in terms of survival in SSc-associated interstitial lung disease and pulmonary arterial hypertension, less success has been achieved in the treatment of Raynaud's phenomenon and digital ulcers and the results are modest in case of heart, gastrointestinal, and renal manifestations. There are patients who do not respond to treatment and deteriorate even with adequate therapy. They can be considered difficult-to treat (D2T) cases. We have created a possible score system based on the individual organ manifestations and highlighted treatment options for the D2T SSc category.

Consensus statement on the diagnosis and treatment of sclerosing diseases of the skin, Part 1: Localized scleroderma, systemic sclerosis and overlap syndromes

The term 'sclerosing diseases of the skin' comprises specific dermatological entities, which have fibrotic changes of the skin in common. These diseases mostly manifest in different clinical subtypes according to cutaneous and extracutaneous involvement and can sometimes be difficult to distinguish from each other. The present consensus provides an update to the 2017 European Dermatology Forum Guidelines, focusing on characteristic clinical and histopathological features, diagnostic scores and the serum autoantibodies most useful for differential diagnosis. In addition, updated strategies for the first- and advanced-line therapy of sclerosing skin diseases are addressed in detail. Part 1 of this consensus provides clinicians with an overview of the diagnosis and treatment of localized scleroderma (morphea), and systemic sclerosis including overlap syndromes.

Characteristics of n6-methyladenosine (m6A) regulators and role of FTO/TNC in scleroderma

BACKGROUND

m6A regulators have important roles in a variety of autoimmune diseases, but their potential function in scleroderma, a refractory connective tissue disease, remains unclear. Tenascin C (TNC) is known to be a factor promoting collagen deposition in the development of scleroderma, but the regulatory relationship between TNC and m6A regulators is unknown.

METHODS

We extracted GSE33463 data consisting of forty-one healthy controls and sixty-one patients with scleroderma, and we analyzed the expression levels of twenty-one m6A regulators as well as the associations between them. In addition, we obtained random forest (RF) and nomogram models to predict the likehood of scleroderma. Next, we categorized the m6Aclusters and geneclusters by consensus clustering, and we performed an immune cell infiltration analysis for each cluster. Finally, we injected adenoviruses into a bleomycin (BLM)-induced mouse model of scleroderma, which was used to overexpress FTO and TNC. We assess the extent of skin fibrosis in the mice samples using pathology stains and measuring their hydroxyproline content and collagen mRNA.

RESULTS

We initially identified fourteen differentially expressed m6A regulators (WTAP, RBM15, CBLL1, FTO, ALKBH5, YTHDC1, YTHDC2, YTHDF1, YTHDF2, YTHDF3, RBMX, HNRNPC, IGFBP1 and IGFBP2). We found ALKBH5 to be positively associated with CBLL1 and RBM15, and FTO to be negatively associated with WTAP. In addition, we identified four m6A regulators (CBLL1, IGFBP1, YTHDF2 and IGFBP2) using a RF model, and we designed a nomogram model with those variables that proved reliable according to the calibration curve and clinical impact curve. We found that the m6Acluster A was correlated with Type 1 T helper cell infiltration and the genecluster A was correlated with regulatory T cell infiltration. Finally, we showed that FTO overexpression downregulated the m6A and mRNA levels of TNC, and alleviated skin fibrosis in the mouse model of scleroderma. Thus, our overexpression experiments provide preliminary evidence suggesting that TNC is an adverse factor in scleroderma.

CONCLUSION

Our approach might be useful as a new and accurate scleroderma diagnosis method. Moreover, our results suggested that FTO/TNC might be a novel scleroderma therapeutic target.

French protocol for the diagnosis and management of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in autoimmune diseases

Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) for severe ADs was developed over the past 25years and is now validated by national and international medical societies for severe early systemic sclerosis (SSc) and relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) and available as part of routine care in accredited center. HSCT is also recommended, with varying levels of evidence, as an alternative treatment for several ADs, when refractory to conventional therapy, including specific cases of connective tissue diseases or vasculitis, inflammatory neurological diseases, and more rarely severe refractory Crohn's disease. The aim of this document was to provide guidelines for the current indications, procedures and follow-up of HSCT in ADs. Patient safety considerations are central to guidance on patient selection and conditioning, always validated at the national MATHEC multidisciplinary team meeting (MDTM) based on recent (less than 3months) thorough patient evaluation. HSCT procedural aspects and follow-up are then carried out within appropriately experienced and Joint Accreditation Committee of International Society for Cellular Therapy and SFGM-TC accredited centres in close collaboration with the ADs specialist. These French recommendations were performed according to HAS/FAI2R standard operating procedures and coordinated by the Île-de-France MATHEC Reference Centre for Rare Systemic Autoimmune Diseases (CRMR MATHEC) within the Filière FAI2R and in association with the Filière MaRIH. The task force consisted of 3 patients and 64 clinical experts from various specialties and French centres. These data-derived and consensus-derived recommendations will help clinicians to propose HSCT for their severe ADs patients in an evidence-based way. These recommendations also give directions for future clinical research in this area. These recommendations will be updated according to newly emerging data. Of note, other cell therapies that have not yet been approved for clinical practice or are the subject of ongoing clinical research will not be addressed in this document.

[The arguments favoring autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation in systemic scleroderma]

Autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation for systemic scleroderma, developed over more than 25 years, has shown in three randomised controlled clinical trials a significant impact not only in event-free survival, overall survival, cutaneous and pulmonary involvement, but also in the quality of life of patients living with recent severe diffuse cutaneous systemic scleroderma, compared with IV cyclophosphamid despite a transplant-related mortality between 2.4 and 10%. No immunosuppressants or biologics have shown such an impact on mortality in this disease. The risk of relapse is estimated between 9 and 24%, two years after transplant. On the basis of these results, French and international guidelines now position autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation as a level 1A evidence-based therapeutic alternative in severe early and rapidly progressive systemic scleroderma.

Prognostic value of automated assessment of interstitial lung disease on CT in systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Stratifying the risk of death in SSc-related interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) is a challenging issue. The extent of lung fibrosis on high-resolution CT (HRCT) is often assessed by a visual semiquantitative method that lacks reliability. We aimed to assess the potential prognostic value of a deep-learning-based algorithm enabling automated quantification of ILD on HRCT in patients with SSc.

METHODS

We correlated the extent of ILD with the occurrence of death during follow-up, and evaluated the additional value of ILD extent in predicting death based on a prognostic model including well-known risk factors in SSc.

RESULTS

We included 318 patients with SSc, among whom 196 had ILD; the median follow-up was 94 months (interquartile range 73-111). The mortality rate was 1.6% at 2 years and 26.3% at 10 years. For each 1% increase in the baseline ILD extent (up to 30% of the lung), the risk of death at 10 years was increased by 4% (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% CI 1.01, 1.07, P = 0.004). We constructed a risk prediction model that showed good discrimination for 10-year mortality (c index 0.789). Adding the automated quantification of ILD significantly improved the model for 10-year survival prediction (P = 0.007). Its discrimination was only marginally improved, but it improved prediction of 2-year mortality (difference in time-dependent area under the curve 0.043, 95% CI 0.002, 0.084, P = 0.040).

CONCLUSION

The deep-learning-based, computer-aided quantification of ILD extent on HRCT provides an effective tool for risk stratification in SSc. It might help identify patients at short-term risk of death.

A Narrative Review of Pathogenetic and Histopathologic Aspects, Epidemiology, Classification Systems, and Disease Outcome Measures in Systemic Sclerosis

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare systemic autoimmune disease, characterized by the presence of three main actors: vasculopathy, immune activation, and fibrosis. This pathologic process is then translated in a clinical picture with great variability among different patients in terms of type of organ involvement, disease severity and prognosis. This heterogeneity is a main feature of SSc, which, in addition to the presence of early phases of the disease characterized by mild symptoms, can explain the high difficulty in establishing classification criteria, and in defining patients' subsets and disease outcomes. The definition of disease outcomes is particularly relevant in the setting of clinical trials, where the aim is to provide reliable endpoints, able to measure the magnitude of the efficacy of a certain drug or intervention. For this reason, in the last years, increasing efforts have been done to design measures of disease activity, damage, severity, and response to treatment, often in the context of composite indexes. When considering disease outcomes, the experience of the patient represents a relevant and complementary aspect. The tools able to capture this experience, the patient-reported outcomes, have been increasingly used in the last years in clinical practice and in clinical trials, both as primary and secondary endpoints. This comprehensive narrative review on SSc will therefore cover pathogenetic and histopathologic aspects, epidemiology, classification systems, and disease outcome measures, in order to focus on issues that are relevant for clinical research and design of clinical trials.

Differentially expressed genes in systemic sclerosis: Towards predictive medicine with new molecular tools for clinicians

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare and chronic autoimmune disease characterized by a pathogenic triad of immune dysregulation, vasculopathy, and progressive fibrosis. Clinical tools commonly used to assess patients, such as the modified Rodnan skin score, difference between limited or diffuse forms of skin involvement, presence of lung, heart or kidney involvement, or of various autoantibodies, are important prognostic factors, but still fail to reflect the large heterogeneity of the disease. SSc treatment options are diverse, ranging from conventional drugs to autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, and predicting response is challenging. Genome-wide technologies, such as high throughput microarray analyses and RNA sequencing, allow accurate, unbiased, and broad assessment of alterations in expression levels of multiple genes. In recent years, many studies have shown robust changes in the gene expression profiles of SSc patients compared to healthy controls, mainly in skin tissues and peripheral blood cells. The objective analysis of molecular patterns in SSc is a powerful tool that can further classify SSc patients with similar clinical phenotypes and help predict response to therapy. In this review, we describe the journey from the first discovery of differentially expressed genes to the identification of enriched pathways and intrinsic subsets identified in SSc, using machine learning algorithms. Finally, we discuss the use of these new tools to predict the efficacy of various treatments, including stem cell transplantation. We suggest that the use of RNA gene expression-based classifications according to molecular subsets may bring us one step closer to precision medicine in Systemic Sclerosis.

Damage Trajectories in Systemic Sclerosis Using Group-Based Trajectory Modeling

OBJECTIVE

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is an autoimmune disease characterized by progressive organ damage, which can be measured using the Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Damage Index (SCTC-DI). We aimed to identify whether distinct trajectories of damage accrual exist and to determine which variables are associated with different trajectory groups.

METHODS

Incident cases of SSc (<2 years) were identified in the Australian Scleroderma Interest Group and Canadian Scleroderma Research Group prospective registries. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify SCTC-DI trajectories over the cohort's first 5 annual visits. Baseline variables associated with trajectory membership in a univariate analysis were examined in multivariable models.

RESULTS

A total of 410 patients were included. Three trajectory groups were identified: low (54.6%), medium (36.2%), and high (10.3%) damage. Patients with faster damage accrual had higher baseline SCTC-DI scores. Older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.57 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.18-2.10]), male sex (OR 2.55 [95% CI 1.10-5.88]), diffuse disease (OR 6.7 [95% CI 2.57-17.48]), tendon friction rubs (OR 5.4 [95% CI 1.86-15.66]), and elevated C-reactive protein level (OR 1.98 [95% CI 1.49-2.63]) increased the odds of being in the high-damage group versus the reference (low damage), whereas White ethnicity (OR 0.31 [95% CI 0.12-0.75]) and anticentromere antibodies (OR 0.24 [95% CI 0.07-0.77]) decreased the odds.

CONCLUSION

We identified 3 trajectories of damage accrual in a combined incident SSc cohort. Several characteristics increased the odds of belonging to worse trajectories. These findings may be helpful in recognizing patients in whom early aggressive treatment is necessary.

Oxygenated hemoglobin as prognostic marker among patients with systemic sclerosis screened for pulmonary hypertension

Oxygenated hemoglobin (OxyHem) in arterial blood may reflect disease severity in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). The aim of this study was to analyze the predictive value of OxyHem in SSc patients screened for pulmonary hypertension (PH). OxyHem (g/dl) was measured by multiplying the concentration of hemoglobin with fractional oxygen saturation in arterialized capillary blood. Prognostic power was compared with known prognostic parameters in SSc using uni- and multivariable analysis. A total of 280 SSc patients were screened, 267 were included in the analysis. No signs of pulmonary vascular disease were found in 126 patients, while 141 patients presented with mean pulmonary arterial pressure ≥ 21 mmHg. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was identified in 70 patients. Low OxyHem ≤ 12.5 g/dl at baseline was significantly associated with worse survival (P = 0.046). In the multivariable analysis presence of ILD, age ≥ 60 years and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) ≤ 65% were negatively associated with survival. The combination of low DLCO and low OxyHem at baseline could predict PH at baseline (sensitivity 76.1%). This study detected for the first time OxyHem ≤ 12.5 g/dl as a prognostic predictor in SSc patients. Further studies are needed to confirm these results.

Assessment of kidney involvement in systemic sclerosis: From scleroderma renal crisis to subclinical renal vasculopathy

The spectrum of kidney involvement in systemic sclerosis (SSc) includes scleroderma renal crisis, widely recognized as the most severe renal-vascular complication, but also several forms of chronic renal vasculopathy and reduced renal function are complications of scleroderma. Scleroderma renal crisis, myeloperoxidase-antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody associated glomerulonephritis, penicillamine-associated renal disease, abnormal urinalysis, alteration of vascular endothelial markers, scleroderma associated-vasculopathy with abnormal renal resistance indices and cardiorenal syndromes type 5 were also reported in SSc patients. A frequent form of renal involvement in SSc patients is a subclinical renal vasculopathy, characterized by vascular damage and normal renal function. Indeed, asymptomatic renal changes, expressed by increase of intrarenal stiffness, are often non-progressive in SSc patients but can lead to a reduction in renal functional reserve. The purpose of this review is to provide an assessment of kidney involvement in SSc, from SRC to subclinical renal vasculopathy.

Non-Classical HLA Determinants of the Clinical Response after Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation for Systemic Sclerosis

Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) is a chronic autoimmune disease with high morbidity and mortality. Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation (AHSCT) is the best therapeutic option for rapidly progressive SSc, allowing increased survival with regression of skin and lung fibrosis. The immune determinants of the clinical response after AHSCT have yet to be well characterized. In particular, the pivotal role of the Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) system is not well understood, including the role of non-classical immuno-modulatory HLA-E and HLA-G molecules in developing tolerance and the role of Natural Killer cells (NK) in the immunomodulation processes. We retrospectively tested whether the genetic and/or circulating expression of the non-classical HLA-E and HLA-G loci, as well as the imputed classical HLA determinants of HLA-E expression, influence the observed clinical response to AHSCT at 12- and 24-month follow-up. In a phenotypically well-defined sample of 46 SSc patients classified as clinical responders or non-responders, we performed HLA genotyping using next-generation sequencing and circulating levels of HLA-G and quantified HLA-E soluble isoforms by ELISA. The -21HLA-B leader peptide dimorphism and the differential expression level of HLA-A and HLA-C alleles were imputed. We observed a strong trend towards better clinical response in HLA-E*01:03 or HLA-G 14bp Del allele carriers, which are known to be associated with high expression of the corresponding molecules. At 12-month post-AHSCT follow-up, higher circulating levels of soluble HLA-E were associated with higher values of modified Rodnan Skin Score (mRSS) (p = 0.0275), a proxy of disease severity. In the non-responder group, the majority of patients carried a double dose of the HLA-B Threonine leader peptide, suggesting a non-efficient inhibitory effect of the HLA-E molecules. We did not find any correlation between the soluble HLA-G levels and the observed clinical response after AHSCT. High imputed expression levels of HLA-C alleles, reflecting more efficient NK cell inhibition, correlated with low values of the mRSS 3 months after AHSCT (p = 0.0087). This first pilot analysis of HLA-E and HLA-G immuno-modulatory molecules suggests that efficient inhibition of NK cells contributes to clinical response after AHSCT for SSc. Further studies are warranted in larger patient cohorts to confirm our results.

Autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation improves long-term survival-data from a national registry

BACKGROUND

Current recommendations on the management of systemic sclerosis (SSc) suggest that autologous hematopoietic stem cell therapy (HSCT) can be a rescue therapy for patients with rapidly progressive SSc.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the safety and efficacy of HSCT for patients with SSc and to compare these with non-HSCT patients in a control cohort with adjusted risk factors.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of data from the multicentric German network for systemic scleroderma (DNSS) with 5000 patients with SSc. Control groups consisted of all patients with diffuse cutaneous (dc)-SSc (group A) and an adjusted high-risk cohort of male patients with Scl70-positive dc-SSc (group B).

RESULTS

Eighty SSc patients received an HSCT 4.1 ± 4.8 years after SSc diagnosis. Among them, 86.3% had dc-SSc, 43.5% were males, and 71.3% were positive for Scl70 antibodies. The control group A (n=1513) showed a significant underrepresentation of these risk factors for mortality. When the survival of the control group B (n=240) was compared with the HSCT group, a lower mortality of the latter was observed instead. Within 5 years after HSCT, we observed an improvement of the mRSS from 17.6 ± 11.5 to 11.0 ± 8.5 (p=0.001) and a stabilization of the DLCO. We did not see differences in transplant-related mortality between patients who received HSCT within 3 years after SSc diagnosis or later.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis of real-life data show that the distribution of risk factors for mortality is critical when HSCT cohorts are compared with non-HSCT control groups.

Sine scleroderma, limited cutaneous, and diffused cutaneous systemic sclerosis survival and predictors of mortality

BACKGROUND

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is associated with a variability of mortality rates in the literature.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the mortality and its predictors in a long-term follow-up of a bi-centric cohort of SSc patients.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study by systematically analyzing the medical records of patients diagnosed with SSc in Toulouse University Hospital and Ducuing Hospital. Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR), mortality at 1, 3, 5, 10, and 15 years of disease and causes of death were described. Predictors of mortality using Cox regression were assessed.

RESULTS

Three hundred seventy-five patients were included: 63 with diffuse cutaneous SSc, 279 with limited cutaneous SSc, and 33 with sine scleroderma. The SMR ratio was 1.88 (95% CI 1.46-1.97). The overall survival rates were 97.6% at 1 year, 93.4% at 3 years, 87.1% at 5 years, 77.9% at 10 years, and 61.3% at 15 years. Sixty-nine deaths were recorded. 46.4% were SSc related deaths secondary to interstitial lung disease (ILD) (34.4%), pulmonary hypertension (31.2%), and digestive tract involvement (18.8%). 53.6% were non-related to SSc: cardiovascular disorders (37.8%) and various infections (35.1%) largely distanced those from cancer (13.5%). Four significant independent predictive factors were identified: carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) < 70% (HR=3.01; p=0.0053), C-reactive protein (CRP) >5 mg/l (HR=2.13; p=0.0174), cardiac involvement (HR=2.86; p=0.0012), and the fact of being male (HR=3.25; p=0.0004).

CONCLUSION

Long-term data confirmed high mortality of SSc. Male sex, DLCO <70%, cardiac involvement, and CRP> 5mg/l were identified as independent predictors of mortality.

Life after Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation for Systemic Sclerosis

Stem cell transplantation has been investigated as treatment for severe and progressive systemic sclerosis (SSc) for the past 25 years. To date, more than 1000 SSc patients have been transplanted worldwide. Overall and event-free survival have increased over the years, reflecting stricter patient selection criteria and better clinical management strategies. This review addresses long-term outcomes of transplanted SSc patients, considering phase I/II and randomized clinical trials, as well as observational studies and those assessing specific aspects of the disease. Clinical outcomes are discussed comparatively between studies, highlighting advances, drawbacks and controversies in the field. Areas for future development are also discussed.

The Therapeutic Effects of Exosomes Derived from Human Umbilical Cord Mesenchymal Stem Cells on Scleroderma

Background:

Scleroderma is a multisystem disease in which tissue fibrosis is caused by inflammation and vascular damage. The mortality of scleroderma has remained high due to a lack of effective treatments. However, exosomes derived from human umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cells (HUMSCs)-Ex have been regarded as potential treatments for various autoimmune diseases, and may also act as candidates for treating scleroderma.

Methods:

Mice with scleroderma received a single 50 μg HUMSCs-Ex. HUMSCs-Ex was characterized using transmission electron microscopy, nanoparticle tracking analysis and nanoflow cytometry. The therapeutic efficacy was assessed using histopathology, immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and western blot.

Results:

HUMSCs-Ex ameliorated the deposition of extracellular matrix and suppressed the epithelial-mesenchymal transition process, and the effects lasted at least three weeks. In addition, HUMSCs-Ex promoted M1 macrophage polarization and inhibited M2 macrophage polarization, leading to the restoration of the balance of M1/M2 macrophages.

Conclusion:

We investigated the potential antifibrotic and anti-inflammatory effects of HUMSCs-Ex in a bleomycin-induced mouse model of scleroderma. So HUMSCs-Ex could be considered as a candidate therapy for scleroderma.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13770-021-00405-5.

Long term outcomes of the French ASTIS systemic sclerosis cohort using the global rank composite score

Two randomised trials (ASTIS, SCOT) of Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation (AHSCT) versus monthly Cyclophosphamide for severe Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) patients used similar inclusion criteria, but different primary endpoints: event-free-survival (EFS) at 24 months in ASTIS versus the global rank composite score (GRCS) at 54 months in SCOT. Here we analysed the French ASTIS cohort (n = 49) outcome using the same GRCS endpoint as reported in SCOT. All patients, randomised to AHSCT (n = 26) or Cyclophosphamide (n = 23), were evaluated for the non-parametric GRCS endpoint based on: death, EFS, forced vital capacity (FVC), Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI) and modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) at 60 months. Secondary endpoints were: EFS, overall survival (OS), HAQ DI and organ status. In intention-to-treat analysis, the GRCS demonstrated superiority for AHSCT (median: 9 versus -19, p = 0.018), mRSS (Δ mRSS: -16 versus -9, p = 0.02), and HAQ-DI (ΔHAQ-DI: -0.89 versus -0.2, p = 0.05) with no significant difference in OS, EFS, lung, heart and kidney function between the groups. In conclusion, this study demonstrates long term benefits of non-myeloablative AHSCT when assessed by the five longitudinal measures within GRCS affording direct primary endpoint comparison between ASTIS and SCOT.

Risk Prediction in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Using Gene Expression Data and Machine Learning

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has become a major health issue because of its high mortality, high heterogeneity, and poor prognosis. Using genomic data to classify patients into different risk groups is a promising method to facilitate the identification of high-risk groups for further precision treatment. Here, we applied six machine learning models, namely kernel partial least squares with the genetic algorithm (GA-KPLS), the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest, ridge regression, support vector machine, and the conventional logistic regression model, to predict HFpEF risk and to identify subgroups at high risk of death based on gene expression data. The model performance was evaluated using various criteria. Our analysis was focused on 149 HFpEF patients from the Framingham Heart Study cohort who were classified into good-outcome and poor-outcome groups based on their 3-year survival outcome. The results showed that the GA-KPLS model exhibited the best performance in predicting patient risk. We further identified 116 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the two groups, thus providing novel therapeutic targets for HFpEF. Additionally, the DEGs were enriched in Gene Ontology terms and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathways related to HFpEF. The GA-KPLS-based HFpEF model is a powerful method for risk stratification of 3-year mortality in HFpEF patients.

Autologous stem cell transplantation in scleroderma

Patients with severe rapidly progressive systemic sclerosis (SSc) have a poor prognosis. Standard immunosuppressive therapies may have modest effects on stabilizing disease, but they fail to improve overall survival. Hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) is the first treatment to induce disease-modifying therapeutic benefits in rapidly progressive SSc patients. HSCT in rapidly progressive SSc can induce regression of fibrosis in skin and lung, and increase survival. Initially, HSCT was associated with high treatment-related mortality rates. Improvements in patient screening, a better understanding of the risks associated with different treatment regimens, and centre experience have improved the AHSCT safety profile for patients with scleroderma.

Autologous stem cell transplantation for progressive systemic sclerosis: a prospective non-interventional study from the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Autoimmune Disease Working Party

Three randomized controlled trials in early severe systemic sclerosis demonstrated that autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation was superior to standard cyclophosphamide therapy. This European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation multicenter, prospective, non-interventional study was designed to further decipher efficacy and safety of this procedure for severe systemic sclerosis patients in real-life practice and to search for prognostic factors. All consecutive adult patients with systemic sclerosis undergoing a first autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant between December 2012 and February 2016 were prospectively included in the study. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival. Secondary endpoints were overall survival, non-relapse mortality, response and incidence of progression. Eighty patients with systemic sclerosis were included. The median duration of the follow-up was 24 (range, 6-57) months after stem cell transplantation using cyclophosphamide plus antithymocyte globulin conditioning for all, with CD34+ selection in 35 patients. At 2 years, the progression- free survival rate was 81.8%, the overall survival rate was 90%, the response rate was 88.7% and the incidence of progression was 11.9%. The 100-day non-relapse mortality rate was 6.25% (n=5) with four deaths from cardiac events, including three due to cyclophosphamide toxicity. Modified Rodnan skin score and forced vital capacity improved with time (P<0.001). By multivariate analysis, baseline skin score >24 and older age at transplantation were associated with lower progression-free survival (hazard ratios 3.32 and 1.77, respectively). CD34+-cell selection was associated with better response (hazard ratio 0.46). This study confirms the efficacy of autologous stem cell transplantation, using nonmyeloablative conditioning, in real-life practice for severe systemic sclerosis. Careful cardio-pulmonary assessment to identify organ involvement at the time of the patient’s referral, reduced cyclophosphamide doses and CD34+-cell selection may improve outcomes. The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02516124.

Mesenchymal stromal cells for systemic sclerosis treatment

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare chronic autoimmune disease characterized by vasculopathy, dysregulation of innate and adaptive immune responses, and progressive fibrosis. SSc remains an orphan disease, with high morbity and mortality in SSc patients. The mesenchymal stromal cells (MSC) demonstrate in vitro and in vivo pro-angiogenic, immuno-suppressive, and anti-fibrotic properties and appear as a promising stem cell therapy type, that may target the key pathological features of SSc disease. This review aims to summarize acquired knowledge in the field of :1) MSC definition and in vitro and in vivo functional properties, which vary according to the donor type (allogeneic or autologous), the tissue sources (bone marrow, adipose tissue or umbilical cord) or inflammatory micro-environment in the recipient; 2) preclinical studies in various SSc animal models , which showed reduction in skin and lung fibrosis after MSC infusion; 3) first clinical trials in human, with safety and early efficacy results reported in SSc patients or currently tested in several ongoing clinical trials.

Hemodynamic Response to Treatment and Outcomes in Pulmonary Hypertension Associated With Interstitial Lung Disease Versus Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension in Systemic Sclerosis: Data From a Study Identifying Prognostic Factors in Pulmonary Hypertension Associated With Interstitial Lung Disease

OBJECTIVE

Patients with systemic sclerosis and both pulmonary hypertension and interstitial lung disease (SSc-PH-ILD) generally carry a worse prognosis than patients with SSc and pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH) without ILD. There is no evidence of the efficacy of PAH therapies in SSc-PH-ILD. We undertook this study to compare survival of and response to treatment in patients with SSc-PH-ILD and those with SSc-PAH.

METHODS

We analyzed 128 patients (66 with SSc-PH-ILD and 62 with SSc-PAH) from 15 centers, in whom PH was diagnosed by right-sided heart catheterization; they were prospectively included in the PH registry. All patients received PAH-specific therapy. Computed tomography of the chest was used to confirm or exclude ILD.

RESULTS

At baseline, patients with SSc-PH-ILD had less severe hemodynamic impairment than those with SSc-PAH (pulmonary vascular resistance 5.7 Wood units versus 8.7 Wood units; P = 0.0005) and lower diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (median 25% [interquartile range (IQR) 18%, 35%] versus 40% [IQR 31%, 51%]; P = 0.0005). Additionally, patients with SSc-PH-ILD had increased mortality (8.1% at 1 year, 21.2% at 2 years, and 41.5% at 3 years) compared to those with SSc-PAH (4.1%, 8.7%, and 21.4%, respectively; P = 0.04). Upon treatment with PAH-targeted therapy, no improvement in the 6-minute walk distance was observed in either group. Improvement in the World Health Organization functional class was observed less frequently in patients with SSc-ILD-PH compared to those with SSc-PAH (13.6% versus 33.3%; P = 0.02). Hemodynamics improved similarly in both groups.

CONCLUSION

ILD confers a worse prognosis to SSc-PH. Response to PAH-specific therapy is clinically poor in SSc-PH-ILD but was not found to be hemodynamically different from the response observed in SSc-PAH.

Health-related quality of life in systemic sclerosis before and after autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplant-a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

In severe rapidly progressive SSc, autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) allows significant improvements in overall and event-free survival. We undertook this study to identify, appraise and synthesize the evidence on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) before and after AHSCT for SSc.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review of the literature, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, in PubMed and ScienceDirect from database inception to 1 February 2019. All articles with original HRQoL data were selected.

RESULTS

The search identified 1080 articles, of which 8 were selected: 3 unblinded randomized controlled trials [American Scleroderma Stem Cell versus Immune Suppression Trial (ASSIST), Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation International Scleroderma, Scleroderma: Cyclophosphamide or Transplantation), 3 uncontrolled phase I or II trials and 2 cohort studies. HRQoL data from 289 SSc patients treated with AHSCT and 125 treated with intravenous CYC as a comparator with median 1.25-4.5 years follow-up were included. HRQoL was evaluated with the HAQ Disability Index (HAQ-DI; 275 patients), the 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36; 249 patients) and the European Quality of Life 5-Dimensions questionnaire (EQ-5D; 138 patients). The quality of the studies was moderate to low. AHSCT was associated with significant improvement in the HAQ-DI (P = 0.02-<0.001), SF-36 Physical Component Summary score (P = 0.02-<0.0001) and EQ-5D index-based utility score (P < 0.001). The SF-36 Mental Component Summary score improved in the ASSIST (n = 19) and one small retrospective cohort (n = 30 patients, P = 0.005) but did not improve significantly in 2 randomized controlled trials (n = 200 patients, P = 0.1-0.91).

CONCLUSION

AHSCT in severe SSc patients is associated with significant and durable improvement in physical HRQoL.

Spanish scleroderma risk score (RESCLESCORE) to predict 15-year all-cause mortality in scleroderma patients at the time of diagnosis based on the RESCLE cohort: Derivation and internal validation

A few scores predicting the short-term risk of mortality in Systemic sclerosis (SSc) have been reported to date. Our study aimed to create a predictive 15-year all-cause mortality score at the time of the diagnosis of SSc. The study was based on the Spanish Scleroderma Registry (RESCLE). The cohort was split up in derivation (DC) and validation cohort (VC). A multivariate analysis to detect variables related to all-cause mortality within the first 15 years from SSc diagnosis was performed, assigning points to the rounded beta values to create the score (RESCLESCORE). 1935 SSc patients were included. The variables in the final model were as follows: age at diagnosis (+2 points > 65 years-old), male gender (+1 point), lcSSc subset (-1 point), mode of onset other than Raynaud's (+1 point), cancer (+1 point) and visceral involvement, such as ILD (+1 point), PAH (+1 point), heart (+1 point) and renal involvement (+2 points). Autoantibodies did not achieve statistical significance in the multivariate analysis. The 3 categories of risk to predict 15-year all-cause mortality at the time of diagnosis were as follows: low risk (5% vs. 7%, p = .189), intermediate risk (26.5% vs. 25.5%, p = .911) and high risk (47.8% vs. 59%, p = .316). The AUC was 0.799 (DC) vs. 0.778 (VC) (p = .530). In conclusion, the RESCLESCORE demonstrated an excellent ability to categorize SSc patients at the time of diagnosis in separate 15-year all-cause mortality risk strata at the time of diagnosis.

Prediction of organ involvement and survival in systemic sclerosis patients in the first 5 years from diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Organ involvement often occurs in early systemic sclerosis and has been related to premature death. Identifying patients at diagnosis at risk of developing early organ involvement would be useful to optimize screening and management strategies.

OBJECTIVE

To develop prediction models for the 5-year development of interstitial lung disease, pulmonary arterial hypertension and death.

METHODS

A European multicentre inception cohort was created. For modelling, predefined clinical variables with known predictive value at diagnosis were used. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis were done to select baseline predictors and build the prediction models. The models were tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve comparing observed and expected frequencies.

RESULTS

Of 735 patients, 23% developed interstitial lung disease, 8% developed pulmonary arterial hypertension 12% died. The interstitial lung disease model included diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (OR = 1.8), systemic sclerosis disease duration < 3 years (OR = 1.4), puffy fingers (OR = 1.6), and anti-topoisomerase-I-antibodies (OR = 1.8). The pulmonary arterial hypertension model included age > 65 years (OR = 3.2), forced vital capacity < 70% (OR = 2.5) and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide < 55% (OR = 1.9). Death was predicted best by age > 65 years (OR = 4.1), male gender (OR = 1.9), no anti-centromere antibodies (OR = 0.5), proteinuria (OR = 1.9), forced vital capacity < 70% (OR = 1.8) and pulmonary arterial hypertension at diagnosis (OR = 10.1). The area under the receiver operating characteristic was 0.66 (95% CI 0.64-0.67), 0.66 (95% CI 0.64-0.68) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.69-0.72), respectively.

CONCLUSION

We have shown that it is possible to predict interstitial lung disease, pulmonary arterial hypertension and death using established variables already available at the moment of systemic sclerosis diagnosis. Discriminatory performance of the models was suboptimal. Further research including new variables is necessary to improve performance.

[Influence of time to diagnosis of patients with systemic sclerosis on lung function and comorbidities: a preclinical and clinical analysis]

BACKGROUND

Scleroderma or systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare autoimmune rheumatic connective tissue disease. The clinical picture is manifold and symptoms can vary greatly between different patients. All manifestations are possible ranging from isolated skin involvement up to systemic disease with multiple organ manifestations. Due to this inhomogeneous clinical picture, it often takes years until the correct diagnosis is made and adequate treatment is started.

METHODS

Patients with the main or secondary diagnosis of systemic sclerosis (M34) between 2002 and 2017 were retrospectively recorded from the patient databases of the ACURA clinic for acute rheumatology in Bad Kreuznach and the data were evaluated. Of special interest were pulmonary parameters over the course of time. Furthermore, standardized questionnaires were distributed to general practitioners in Rhineland-Palatinate via the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians as well as to patients admitted to the hospital (2016-2017).

RESULTS

A total of 135 patients could be evaluated. For women the median age of onset was 52 years (interquartile range, IQR 44-64 years) and for men the median age of onset was 49 years (IQR 38-54 years). Lung involvement was detected in 54% of the cases. Including the individual time to diagnosis, there was a significant worsening of the diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (73% vs. 56%, p = 0.046) between earlier (<4 months) and later (4-18 months) diagnoses, which also persisted in the follow-up (74% vs. 53%) despite adequate treatment.

CONCLUSION

A rapid diagnosis within 3 months of the onset of Raynaud's phenomenon seems to play a key role in the preservation of lung function.

Revised European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group Activity Index is the best predictor of short-term severity accrual

BACKGROUND

The European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) recently developed a preliminarily revised activity index (AI) that performed better than the European Scleroderma Study Group Activity Index (EScSG-AI) in systemic sclerosis (SSc).

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictive value for short-term disease severity accrual of the EUSTAR-AI, as compared with those of the EScSG-AI and of known adverse prognostic factors.

METHODS

Patients with SSc from the EUSTAR database with a disease duration from the onset of the first non-Raynaud sign/symptom ≤5 years and a baseline visit between 2003 and 2014 were first extracted. To capture the disease activity variations over time, EUSTAR-AI and EScSG-AI adjusted means were calculated. The primary outcome was disease progression defined as a Δ≥1 in the Medsger's severity score and in distinct items at the 2-year follow-up visit. Logistic regression analysis was carried out to identify predictive factors.

RESULTS

549 patients were enrolled. At multivariate analysis, the EUSTAR-AI adjusted mean was the only predictor of any severity accrual and of that of lung and heart, skin and peripheral vascular disease over 2 years.

CONCLUSION

The adjusted mean EUSTAR-AI has the best predictive value for disease progression and development of severe organ involvement over time in SSc.

Adipose-Derived Stem Cells from Systemic Sclerosis Patients Maintain Pro-Angiogenic and Antifibrotic Paracrine Effects In Vitro

Innovative therapies based on autologous adipose-derived stem/stromal cells (ASC) are currently being evaluated for treatment of systemic sclerosis (SSc). Although paracrine angiogenic and antifibrotic effects are considered the predominant mechanisms of ASC therapeutic potential, the impact of SSc on ASC paracrine functions remains controversial. In this study, phenotype, senescence, differentiation potential, and molecular profile were determined in ASC from SSc patients (SSc-ASC) (n = 7) and healthy donors (HD-ASC) (n = 7). ASC were co-cultured in indirect models with dermal fibroblasts (DF) from SSc patients or endothelial cells to assess their pro-angiogenic and antifibrotic paracrine effects. The angiogenic activity of endothelial cells was measured in vitro using tube formation and spheroid assays. DF collagen and alpha smooth muscle actin (αSMA) content were quantified after five days of co-culture with ASC. Differentiation capacity, senescence, and mRNA profiles did not differ significantly between SSc-ASC and HD-ASC. SSc-ASC retained the ability to stimulate angiogenesis through paracrine mechanisms; however, functional assays revealed reduced potential compared to HD-ASC. DF fibrosis markers were significantly decreased after co-culture with SSc-ASC. Together, these results indicate that SSc effects do not significantly compromise the angiogenic and the antifibrotic paracrine properties of ASC, thereby supporting further development of ASC-based autologous therapies for SSc treatment.

Predictors of disease worsening defined by progression of organ damage in diffuse systemic sclerosis: a European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) analysis

OBJECTIVES

Mortality and worsening of organ function are desirable endpoints for clinical trials in systemic sclerosis (SSc). The aim of this study was to identify factors that allow enrichment of patients with these endpoints, in a population of patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research group database.

METHODS

Inclusion criteria were diagnosis of diffuse SSc and follow-up over 12±3 months. Disease worsening/organ progression was fulfilled if any of the following events occurred: new renal crisis; decrease of lung or heart function; new echocardiography-suspected pulmonary hypertension or death. In total, 42 clinical parameters were chosen as predictors for the analysis by using (1) imputation of missing data on the basis of multivariate imputation and (2) least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression.

RESULTS

Of 1451 patients meeting the inclusion criteria, 706 had complete data on outcome parameters and were included in the analysis. Of the 42 outcome predictors, eight remained in the final regression model. There was substantial evidence for a strong association between disease progression and age, active digital ulcer (DU), lung fibrosis, muscle weakness and elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) level. Active DU, CRP elevation, lung fibrosis and muscle weakness were also associated with a significantly shorter time to disease progression. A bootstrap validation step with 10 000 repetitions successfully validated the model.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of the predictive factors presented here could enable cohort enrichment with patients at risk for overall disease worsening in SSc clinical trials.

Moving towards a molecular taxonomy of autoimmune rheumatic diseases

Autoimmune rheumatic diseases pose many problems that have, in general, already been solved in the field of cancer. The heterogeneity of each disease, the clinical similarities and differences between different autoimmune rheumatic diseases and the large number of patients that remain without a diagnosis underline the need to reclassify these diseases via new approaches. Knowledge about the molecular basis of systemic autoimmune diseases, along with the availability of bioinformatics tools capable of handling and integrating large volumes of various types of molecular data at once, offer the possibility of reclassifying these diseases. A new taxonomy could lead to the discovery of new biomarkers for patient stratification and prognosis. Most importantly, this taxonomy might enable important changes in clinical trial design to reach the expected outcomes or the design of molecularly targeted therapies. In this Review, we discuss the basis for a new molecular taxonomy for autoimmune rheumatic diseases. We highlight the evidence surrounding the idea that these diseases share molecular features related to their pathogenesis and development and discuss previous attempts to classify these diseases. We evaluate the tools available to analyse and combine different types of molecular data. Finally, we introduce PRECISESADS, a project aimed at reclassifying the systemic autoimmune diseases.

Progressive skin fibrosis is associated with a decline in lung function and worse survival in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis in the European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) cohort

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether progressive skin fibrosis is associated with visceral organ progression and mortality during follow-up in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc).

METHODS

We evaluated patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research database with dcSSc, baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥7, valid mRSS at 12±3 months after baseline and ≥1 annual follow-up visit. Progressive skin fibrosis was defined as an increase in mRSS >5 and ≥25% from baseline to 12±3 months. Outcomes were pulmonary, cardiovascular and renal progression, and all-cause death. Associations between skin progression and outcomes were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

Of 1021 included patients, 78 (7.6%) had progressive skin fibrosis (skin progressors). Median follow-up was 3.4 years. Survival analyses indicated that skin progressors had a significantly higher probability of FVC decline ≥10% (53.6% vs 34.4%; p<0.001) and all-cause death (15.4% vs 7.3%; p=0.003) than non-progressors. These significant associations were also found in subgroup analyses of patients with either low baseline mRSS (≤22/51) or short disease duration (≤15 months). In multivariable analyses, skin progression within 1 year was independently associated with FVC decline ≥10% (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.65) and all-cause death (HR 2.58, 95% CI 1.31 to 5.09).

CONCLUSIONS

Progressive skin fibrosis within 1 year is associated with decline in lung function and worse survival in dcSSc during follow-up. These results confirm mRSS as a surrogate marker in dcSSc, which will be helpful for cohort enrichment in future trials and risk stratification in clinical practice.

Epidemiology of systemic sclerosis and systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease

Background: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is one of the leading causes of mortality in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). To further understand this patient population, we present the first systematic review on the epidemiology of SSc and SSc-associated ILD (SSc-ILD).

Methods: Bibliographic databases and web sources were searched for studies including patients with SSc and SSc-ILD in Europe and North America (United States and Canada). The systematic review was limited to publications in English, German, French, Spanish, Italian, and Portuguese, published between January 1, 2000 and February 29, 2016. For all publications included in the review, the methodologic quality was assessed. For each dimension and region, data availability in terms of quantity and consistency of reported findings was evaluated.

Results: Fifty publications reporting epidemiologic data (prevalence, incidence, demographic profile, and survival and mortality) were included; 39 included patients with SSc and 16 included patients with SSc-ILD. The reported prevalence of SSc was 7.2–33.9 and 13.5–44.3 per 100,000 individuals in Europe and North America, respectively. Annual incidence estimates were 0.6–2.3 and 1.4–5.6 per 100,000 individuals in Europe and North America, respectively. Associated ILD was present in ~35% of the patients in Europe and ~52% of the patients in North America. In Europe, a study estimated the prevalence and annual incidence of SSc-ILD at 1.7–4.2 and 0.1–0.4 per 100,000 individuals, respectively. In both Europe and North America, SSc-ILD was diagnosed at a slightly older age than SSc, with both presentations of the disease affecting 2–3 times more women than men. Ten-year survival in patients with SSc was reported at 65–73% in Europe and 54–82% in North America, with cardiorespiratory manifestations (including ILD) associated with poor prognosis.

Conclusion: This systematic review confirms that SSc and SSc-ILD are rare, with geographic variation in prevalence and incidence.

Survival and prognosis factors in systemic sclerosis: data of a French multicenter cohort, systematic review, and meta-analysis of the literature

BACKGROUND

Data on survival and prognosis factors in incident cohorts are scarce in systemic sclerosis (SStc). To describe survival, standardized mortality ratio (SMR), and prognosis factors in systemic sclerosis (SSc), we analyzed a multicenter French cohort of incident patients and performed a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A multicenter, French cohort study was conducted between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2013. Patients were followed-up until July 1, 2016. A systematic review of the literature was carried out in MEDLINE and EMBASE up to July 2017. Meta-analysis was performed using all available data on SMR and hazard ratios of prognosis factors.

RESULTS

A total of 625 patients (493 females, 446 lcSSc) were included. During the study period, 104 deaths (16.6%) were recorded and 133 patients were lost to follow-up. Overall survival rates at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years from diagnosis were 98.0%, 92.5%, 85.9%, and 71.7% respectively in the French cohort. Overall SMR was 5.73 (95% CI 4.68-6.94). Age at diagnosis > 60 years, diffuse cutaneous SSc, scleroderma renal crisis, dyspnea, 6-min walking distance (6MWD), forced vital capacity < 70%, diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide < 70%, pulmonary hypertension (PH), telangiectasia, valvular disease, malignancy, anemia, and CRP > 8 mg/l were associated with a poorer survival after adjustment. Eighteen studies (11,719 patients) were included in the SMR meta-analysis and 36 studies (26,187 patients) in the prognosis factor analysis. Pooled SMR was 3.45 (95%CI 3.03-3.94). Age at disease onset, male sex, African origin, diffuse cutaneous SSc, anti-Scl70 antibodies, cardiac and renal involvement, interstitial lung disease, PH, and malignancy were significantly associated with a worse prognosis. Anti-centromere antibodies were associated with a better survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, our study highlights a high mortality rate in SSc patients and confirms previously described prognosis factors related to skin extension and organ involvement while identifying additional prognosis factors such as autoantibody status, telangiectasia, 6MWD, and valvular disease.

Scleroderma Renal Crisis: Risk Factors for an Increasingly Rare Organ Complication

OBJECTIVE

Scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) is a severe life-threatening manifestation in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). However, the knowledge about risk factors for SRC is limited. We determined here the frequency of SRC and identified risk factors for the prediction of SRC.

METHODS

Based on regular followup data from the German Network for Systemic Scleroderma, we used univariate and multivariate generalized estimating equations to analyze the association between clinical variables, SSc subsets, therapy [i.e., angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi), corticosteroids], and the occurrence of SRC.

RESULTS

Data of 2873 patients with 10,425 visits were available for analysis with a mean number of registry visits of 3.6 ± 2.8 and a mean time of followup of 3.6 ± 3.8 years. In total, 70 patients developed SRC (70/2873, 2.4%). Of these patients, 57.1% (40/70) were diagnosed with diffuse cutaneous SSc, 31.4% (22/70) with limited cutaneous SSc, and 11.4% (8/70) with SSc-overlap syndromes. Predictive independent factors with the highest probability for SRC were positive anti-RNA polymerase antibodies (RNAP), a history of proteinuria prior to SRC onset, diminished DLCO, and a history of hypertension. Interestingly, positive antitopoisomerase autoantibodies did not predict a higher risk for SRC. Further, patients with SRC were significantly more frequently treated with ACEi and corticosteroids without being independently associated with SRC.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort, SRC has become a rare complication. By far the highest risk for SRC was associated with the detection of anti-RNAP and proteinuria.

Are diffuse and limited juvenile systemic sclerosis different in clinical presentation? Clinical characteristics of a juvenile systemic sclerosis cohort

Introduction

Juvenile systemic sclerosis is an orphan disease. Currently, the majority of juvenile systemic sclerosis cohort studies are retrospective in design without standardized assessment. This study was conducted prospectively to investigate the difference in manifestations of limited cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis and diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis subtypes. An additional aim was to compare these data to other juvenile systemic sclerosis cohorts and a large adult systemic sclerosis cohort.

Methods

Patients fulfilling the Paediatric Rheumatology European Society juvenile systemic sclerosis classification criteria were included. Clinical characteristics and patient-related outcomes were assessed.

Results

In all, 88 patients with a mean disease duration of 3.5 years were enrolled, 72.5% with diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis with a mean modified Rodnan Skin score of 18 and 27.5% with limited cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis with mean modified Rodnan Skin score of 9. The mean age at the onset of Raynaud's and first non-Raynaud's symptoms was similar in both groups, approximately 9 and 10.5 years. Active digital tip ulcerations were present in 29% diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis and none in the limited cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis subjects (p = 0.005). Of those with cardiopulmonary testing, 3% of diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis and 23% of limited cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis group had cardiac involvement (p = 0.015), and 41% diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis and 22% of the limited cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis group had pulmonary involvement (p = 0.009). Physician global disease damage assessment was higher in the diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis group compared to the limited cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis group: 35 and 15 (p = 0.021).

Discussion

The majority of this international juvenile systemic sclerosis cohort had diffuse cutaneous juvenile systemic sclerosis (72.5%) with more frequent vascular and pulmonary involvement compared to the limited cutaneous group, who had increased cardiac involvement. Our cohort reflects prior findings of published juvenile systemic sclerosis cohorts and emphasizes a difference in the presentation compared to adult-onset systemic sclerosis.

CD34-selected versus unmanipulated autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation in the treatment of severe systemic sclerosis: a post hoc analysis of a phase I/II clinical trial conducted in Japan

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (auto-HSCT) in treating severe systemic sclerosis (SSc) is established; however, the necessity of purified CD34+ cell grafts and the appropriate conditioning regimen remain unclear. This study aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of CD34-selected auto-HSCT with unmanipulated auto-HSCT to treat severe SSc.

METHODS

This study was a post hoc analysis of a phase I/II clinical trial conducted in Japan. Nineteen patients with severe SSc were enrolled. Peripheral blood stem cells (PBSCs) were mobilised with cyclophosphamide (4 g/m²) and filgrastim (10 μg/kg/day). Following PBSC collection by apheresis, CD34+ cells were immunologically selected in 11 patients. All patients were treated with high-dose cyclophosphamide (200 mg/kg) monotherapy as a conditioning regimen and received CD34-selected (n = 11) or unmanipulated auto-HSCT (n = 8). Changes in skin sclerosis and pulmonary function were assessed over an 8-year follow-up period. Differences in the changes, toxicity, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival were compared between patients who had received CD34-selected auto-HSCT and those who had received unmanipulated auto-HSCT.

RESULTS

Skin sclerosis progressively improved after transplantation over an 8-year follow-up period in both groups, and the improvement was significantly greater in the CD34-selected group than in the unmanipulated group. Forced vital capacity in the CD34-selected group continuously increased over 8 years, whereas in the unmanipulated group it returned to baseline 3 years after transplantation. Toxicity and viral infections, such as cytomegalovirus infection and herpes zoster, were more frequently found in the CD34-selected group than in the unmanipulated group. The frequency of severe adverse events, such as bacterial infections or organ toxicity, was similar between the two groups. No treatment-related deaths occurred in either treatment group. PFS of the CD34-selected group was greater than that of the unmanipulated group, and the 5-year PFS rates of the CD34-selected and unmanipulated group were 81.8% and 50% respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CD34-selected auto-HSCT may produce favourable effects on improvement of skin sclerosis and pulmonary function compared with unmanipulated auto-HSCT. Use of CD34-selected auto-HSCT with high-dose cyclophosphamide monotherapy as a conditioning regimen may offer an excellent benefit-to-risk balance.

Risk Factors for Mortality and Cardiopulmonary Hospitalization in Systemic Sclerosis Patients At Risk for Pulmonary Hypertension, in the PHAROS Registry

OBJECTIVE

We sought to identify predictors of mortality and cardiopulmonary hospitalizations in patients at risk for pulmonary hypertension (PH) and enrolled in PHAROS, a prospective cohort study to investigate the natural history of PH in systemic sclerosis (SSc).

METHODS

The at-risk population for PH was defined by the following entry criteria: echocardiogram systolic pulmonary arterial pressure > 40 mmHg, or DLCO < 55% predicted or ratio of % forced vital capacity/%DLCO > 1.6, measured by pulmonary function testing. Baseline clinical measures were evaluated as predictors of hospitalization and death between 2005 and 2014. Cox proportional hazards models were censored at date of PH onset or latest study visit and adjusted for age, sex, race, and disease duration.

RESULTS

Of the 236 at-risk subjects who were followed for a median of 4 years (range 0.4-8.5 yrs), 35 developed PH after entering PHAROS (reclassified as PH group). In the at-risk group, higher mortality was strongly associated with male sex, low %DLCO, exercise oxygen desaturation, anemia, abnormal dyspnea scores, and baseline pericardial effusion. Risks for cardiopulmonary hospitalization were associated with increased dyspnea and pericardial effusions, although PH patients with DLCO < 50% had the highest risk of cardiopulmonary hospitalizations.

CONCLUSION

Risk factors for poor outcome in patients with SSc who are at risk for PH were similar to others with SSc-PH and SSc-pulmonary arterial hypertension, including male sex, DLCO < 50%, exercise oxygen desaturation, and pericardial effusions. This group should undergo right heart catheterization and receive appropriate intervention if PH is confirmed.

Reproducibility and Utility of the 6-minute Walk Test in Systemic Sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the reproducibility and the utility of the 6-minute walk test (6MWT) in systemic sclerosis (SSc).

METHODS

All patients with SSc who underwent at least two 6MWT within a minimum 3-month interval plus simultaneous routine clinical, biological, and functional evaluations were consecutively enrolled in this observational study over 6 years. Following American Thoracic Society guidelines, each 6MWT was repeated twice to assess the 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) reproducibility, with the highest value being reported for subsequent analysis.

RESULTS

Among 56 (38 female) included patients aged 46 ± SD 12.7 years, with 17 ± 10 modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) and 1 ± 0.8 Scleroderma Health Assessment Questionnaire (SHAQ) at first referral, 277 6MWT evaluations (5 ± 3.9 6MWT per patient) were performed over 23 ± 22.5 months followup. Meanwhile, 8 deaths (87.5% SSc-related) occurred. The mean 6MWD absolute value was 457 ± 117 m with a 4 ± 2.2 mean Borg dyspnea score. The 6MWD intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.996 (95% CI 0.995-0.999, p < 0.0001). In multivariate linear regression analysis, these factors were independently associated with a lower 6MWD: sex (R² = 0.47, p < 0.0001), mRSS (R² = 0.47, p = 0.008), tendon friction rub (R² = 0.47, p = 0.003), SHAQ (R² = 0.47, p = 0.02), muscle disability score (R² = 0.47, p = 0.03), DLCO% (R² = 0.47, p = 0.0008), and left ventricular ejection fraction (R² = 0.47, p = 0.006). The 6MWD at first referral was an independent predictor for the overall mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.988-0.999) and the SSc-related mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.988-0.999).

CONCLUSION

We show strong reproducibility for the 6MWD and confirm the 6MWT utility to assess the overall prognosis of patients with SSc.

Haematopoietic stem cell transplantation in systemic sclerosis

Three randomised controlled trials of haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) demonstrated long-term survival benefits, induction of clinically meaningful, sustained improvement of forced vital capacity with improvements in skin thickening, vasculopathy and health-related quality of life, in contrast to a clinical decline in standard of care control groups. These benefits, however, must be weighed against the increased risk of transplant-related mortality. Further, with disease progression, severe extensive internal organ involvement and damage ensues, constituting an exclusion criterion for safety reasons, leaving a limited window whereby patients with SSc are eligible for HSCT. Although autologous HSCT offers the possibility of drug-free remission, relapse can occur, requiring re-initiation of disease modifying antirheumatic drugs. HSCT is also associated with secondary autoimmune diseases and gonadal failure. HSCT should be proposed for carefully selected patients with early rapidly progressive diffuse SSc whose clinical picture portends a poor prognosis for survival, but yet lacks advanced organ involvement.

Factors associated with disease progression in early-diagnosed pulmonary arterial hypertension associated with systemic sclerosis: longitudinal data from the DETECT cohort

OBJECTIVE

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a severe complication of systemic sclerosis (SSc). In this longitudinal study, we aimed to identify factors associated with an unfavourable outcome in patients with SSc with early PAH (SSc-PAH) from the DETECT cohort.

METHODS

Patients with SSc-PAH enrolled in DETECT were observed for up to 3 years. Associations between cross-sectional variables and disease progression (defined as the occurrence of any of the following events: WHO Functional Class worsening, combination therapy for PAH, hospitalisation or death) were analysed by univariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 57 patients with PAH (median observation time 12.6 months), 25 (43.9%) had disease progression. The following factors (OR (95% CI)) were associated with disease progression: male gender (4.1 (1.2 to 14.1)), high forced vital capacity % predicted/carbon monoxide lung diffusion capacity (DLCO)% predicted ratio (3.6 (1.2 to 10.7)), high Borg Dyspnoea Index (1.7 (1.1 to 2.6)) and low DLCO% predicted (non-linear relationship).

CONCLUSION

More than 40% of early-diagnosed patients with SSc-PAH had disease progression during a short follow-up time, with male gender, functional capacity and pulmonary function tests at PAH diagnosis being associated with progression. This suggests that even mild PAH should be considered a high-risk complication of SSc.

Mapping and predicting mortality from systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

To determine the causes of death and risk factors in systemic sclerosis (SSc).

METHODS

Between 2000 and 2011, we examined the death certificates of all French patients with SSc to determine causes of death. Then we examined causes of death and developed a score associated with all-cause mortality from the international European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) database. Candidate prognostic factors were tested by Cox proportional hazards regression model by single variable analysis, followed by a multiple variable model stratified by centres. The bootstrapping technique was used for internal validation.

RESULTS

We identified 2719 French certificates of deaths related to SSc, mainly from cardiac (31%) and respiratory (18%) causes, and an increase in SSc-specific mortality over time. Over a median follow-up of 2.3 years, 1072 (9.6%) of 11 193 patients from the EUSTAR sample died, from cardiac disease in 27% and respiratory causes in 17%. By multiple variable analysis, a risk score was developed, which accurately predicted the 3-year mortality, with an area under the curve of 0.82. The 3-year survival of patients in the upper quartile was 53%, in contrast with 98% in the first quartile.

CONCLUSION

Combining two complementary and detailed databases enabled the collection of an unprecedented 3700 deaths, revealing the major contribution of the cardiopulmonary system to SSc mortality. We also developed a robust score to risk-stratify these patients and estimate their 3-year survival. With the emergence of new therapies, these important observations should help caregivers plan and refine the monitoring and management to prolong these patients' survival.

Causes of death, survival and risk factors of mortality in Thai patients with early systemic sclerosis: inception cohort study

Inception cohort study regarding the causes of death and risk factors for mortality in patients with early systemic sclerosis (SSc), especially diffuse SSc (dcSSc) has not been well elucidated. Therefore, the aim of our study was to determine the causes of death, survival rates, and risk factors for mortality in Thai patients with early SSc of whom the majority belonged to the dcSSc subset. We used an inception cohort of early-SSc patients seen between January 2010 and August 2014. All patients were evaluated for clinical and laboratory data at the study entry and then every 6 months. A total of 115 patients (68 female, 91 dcSSc) were enrolled. The mean ± SD age at onset, duration of disease, and duration of follow-up were 52.5 ± 8.5 years, 12.3 ± 9.2 months, and 27.5 ± 16.4 months, respectively. During the follow-up, 11(9.6%) SSc patients died. The mortality rate was 4.17 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2.31, 7.53). The leading cause of SSc-related death was dilated cardiomyopathy (27.2%). Infection was the most common cause of non-SSc-related death (18.2%). Survival rates at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years after the study entry were 93, 91, 88, and 88%, respectively. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, ESR ≥ 40 mm/h [HR 8.65 (95% CI 1.66,45.17)], hemoglobin < 10 mg/dL [HR 4.57 (95% CI 1.14,18.34)], and mRSS [HR 1.09 (95% CI 1.03,1.15)] were independent risk factors for mortality. Our data suggest that dilated cardiomyopathy was the most common SSc-related cause of death in Thai patients with early SSc, of whom majority was dcSSc subset. Elevated ESR, anemia, and increased mRSS predicted poor outcome.

What have multicentre registries across the world taught us about the disease features of systemic sclerosis?

Introduction

The aim of this study is to compare the clinical features, mortality and causes of death of systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients in four large multicentre registries.

Methods

Patients seen at least once in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) (n = 1714), the Canadian Scleroderma Research Group (CSRG) (n = 1628), the European League Against Rheumatism Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) Network (n = 13,996) and the Systemic Sclerosis Cohort in Singapore (SCORE) (n = 500) before August 2016 were included. Clinical manifestations and survival in cohorts and disease subtypes were compared.

Results

Among 17,838 SSc patients, most were female (86.1%), Caucasian (84.6%) and had the limited cutaneous subtype (lcSSc) (65.0%). The anti-centromere autoantibody was the most prevalent (37.6%). More patients in SCORE had the diffuse subtype (dcSSc) (49.3%) and Scl-70 autoantibody (38.8%) (p<0.001). Patients with dcSSc were more likely to be younger and male (p<0.001) and have shorter disease duration, more calcinosis, tendon friction rubs and synovitis (all p<0.001). Interstitial lung disease (ILD) occurred more frequently in dcSSc but prevalence of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) was similar in both subtypes. More deaths occurred among SCORE patients who had the shortest median survival (p<0.001). The survival of patients with early disease, males and those with dcSSc was shorter than that of patients with prevalent disease, female gender and lcSSc, respectively. SSc-related complications accounted for more than 50% of deaths, with PAH and ILD being the most common.

Conclusions

This meta-cohort of SSc patients, the largest reported to date, provides insights into the impact of race and sex on disease manifestations and survival and confirms the early mortality in this disease.

European Dermatology Forum S1-guideline on the diagnosis and treatment of sclerosing diseases of the skin, Part 1: localized scleroderma, systemic sclerosis and overlap syndromes

The term 'sclerosing diseases of the skin' comprises specific dermatological entities, which have fibrotic changes of the skin in common. These diseases mostly manifest in different clinical subtypes according to cutaneous and extracutaneous involvement and can sometimes be difficult to distinguish from each other. The present guideline focuses on characteristic clinical and histopathological features, diagnostic scores and the serum autoantibodies most useful for differential diagnosis. In addition, current strategies in the first- and advanced-line therapy of sclerosing skin diseases are addressed in detail. Part 1 of this guideline provides clinicians with an overview of the diagnosis and treatment of localized scleroderma (morphea), and systemic sclerosis including overlap syndromes of systemic sclerosis with diseases of the rheumatological spectrum.

Interleukin-6 and Related Proteins as Biomarkers in Systemic Sclerosis

The search for biomarkers in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is driven by a goal to stratify patients, identify potential subgroups for treatment, and help assess response to therapy. Emerging evidence indicates that interleukin-6 (IL-6) and some family members are key biomarkers involved in SSc pathogenesis and therefore suitable targets for therapy. Recent studies evaluating IL-6 and its canonical Janus kinase/signal transducers and activators of transcription downstream pathways in modulating fibrotic response and immune cell function suggest a pivotal role for IL-6 in SSc pathogenesis. Although the significance and effect of local tissue expression of IL-6 and its family members are less well established, high levels of circulating IL-6 may identify subgroups of patients with early-stage disease, particularly those at risk for progressive lung fibrosis. In addition, higher disease activity may portend poor prognostic outcome in terms of survival and skin disease. Longitudinal assessment of serum levels of IL-6 and its signaling associates may prove valuable in monitoring response to treatment. As an IL-6–dependent surrogate marker, C-reactive protein may assist cohort enrichment if targeted treatment for IL-6 demonstrates efficacy, especially in subgroups with high IL-6 levels. Although IL-6 appears to be a key factor in the hierarchy of the complex network of disease-associated molecules, the systemic or autocrine/paracrine manner in which IL-6 asserts its profibrotic effects—particularly its interaction with other key pathogenic factors in SSc—is unknown. Ongoing clinical trials will help to delineate the mechanisms of IL-6 in SSc pathogenesis and inform on the role of these biomarkers.

Cardiopulmonary assessment of patients with systemic sclerosis for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation: recommendations from the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Autoimmune Diseases Working Party and collaborating partners

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare disabling autoimmune disease with a similar mortality to many cancers. Two randomized controlled trials of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) for SSc have shown significant improvement in organ function, quality of life and long-term survival compared to standard therapy. However, transplant-related mortality (TRM) ranged from 3–10% in patients undergoing HSCT. In SSc, the main cause of non-transplant and TRM is cardiac related. We therefore updated the previously published guidelines for cardiac evaluation, which should be performed in dedicated centers with expertize in HSCT for SSc. The current recommendations are based on pre-transplant cardiopulmonary evaluations combining pulmonary function tests, echocardiography, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and invasive hemodynamic testing, initiated at Northwestern University (Chicago) and subsequently discussed and endorsed within the EBMT ADWP in 2016.

Early Mortality in a Multinational Systemic Sclerosis Inception Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To determine mortality and causes of death in a multinational inception cohort of subjects with systemic sclerosis (SSc).

METHODS

We quantified mortality as standardized mortality ratio (SMR), years of life lost, and percentage mortality in the first decade of disease. The inception cohort comprised subjects recruited within 4 years of disease onset. For comparison, we used a prevalent cohort, which included all subjects irrespective of disease duration at recruitment. We determined a single primary cause of death (SSc related or non-SSc related) using a standardized case report form, and we evaluated predictors of mortality using multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

In the inception cohort of 1,070 subjects, there were 140 deaths (13%) over a median follow-up of 3.0 years (interquartile range 1.0-5.1 years), with a pooled SMR of 4.06 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 3.39-4.85), up to 22.4 years of life lost in women and up to 26.0 years of life lost in men, and mortality in the diffuse disease subtype of 24.2% at 8 years. In the prevalent cohort of 3,218 subjects, the pooled SMR was lower at 3.39 (95% CI 3.06-3.71). In the inception cohort, 62.1% of the primary causes of death were SSc related. Malignancy, sepsis, cerebrovascular disease, and ischemic heart disease were the most common non-SSc-related causes of death. Predictors of early mortality included male sex, older age at disease onset, diffuse disease subtype, pulmonary arterial hypertension, and renal crisis.

CONCLUSION

Early mortality in SSc is substantial, and prevalent cohorts underestimate mortality in SSc by failing to capture early deaths, particularly in men and those with diffuse disease.