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Cameron AC, Arnold M, Katsas G, Yang J, Quinn TJ, Abdul-Rahim AH, Campbell R, Docherty K, De Marchis GM, Arnold M, Kahles T, Nedeltchev K, Cereda CW, Kägi G, Bustamante A, Montaner J, Ntaios G, Foerch C, Spanaus K, Eckardstein AV, Dawson J, Katan M. Natriuretic Peptides to Classify Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Detection After Stroke: Analysis of the BIOSIGNAL and PRECISE Cohort Studies. Neurology 2024; 103:e209625. [PMID: 38950311 PMCID: PMC11226326 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000209625] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2023] [Accepted: 05/24/2024] [Indexed: 07/03/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Prolonged cardiac monitoring (PCM) increases atrial fibrillation (AF) detection after ischemic stroke, but access is limited, and it is burdensome for patients. Our objective was to assess whether midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) could classify people who are unlikely to have AF after ischemic stroke and allow better targeting of PCM. METHODS We analyzed people from the Biomarker Signature of Stroke Aetiology (BIOSIGNAL) study with ischemic stroke, no known AF, and ≥3 days cardiac monitoring. External validation was performed in the Preventing Recurrent Cardioembolic Stroke: Right Approach, Right Patient (PRECISE) study of 28 days of cardiac monitoring in people with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack and no known AF. The main outcome is no AF detection. We assessed the discriminatory value of MR-proANP and NT-proBNP combined with clinical variables to identify people with no AF. A decision curve analysis was performed with combined data to determine the net reduction in people who would undergo PCM using the models based on a 15% threshold probability for AF detection. RESULTS We included 621 people from the BIOSIGNAL study. The clinical multivariable prediction model included age, NIH Stroke Scale score, lipid-lowering therapy, creatinine, and smoking status. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for clinical variables was 0.68 (95% CI 0.62-0.74), which improved with the addition of log10MR-proANP (0.72, 0.66-0.78; p = 0.001) or log10NT-proBNP (0.71, 0.65-0.77; p = 0.009). Performance was similar for the models with log10MR-proANP vs log10NT-proBNP (p = 0.28). In 239 people from the PRECISE study, the AUROC for clinical variables was 0.68 (0.59-0.76), which improved with the addition of log10NT-proBNP (0.73, 0.65-0.82; p < 0.001) or log10MR-proANP (0.79, 0.72-0.86; p < 0.001). Performance was better for the model with log10MR-proANP vs log10NT-proBNP (p = 0.03). The models could reduce the number of people who would undergo PCM by 30% (clinical and log10MR-proANP), 27% (clinical and log10NT-proBNP), or 20% (clinical only). DISCUSSION MR-proANP and NT-proBNP help classify people who are unlikely to have AF after ischemic stroke. Measuring MR-proANP or NT-proBNP could reduce the number of people who need PCM by 30%, without reducing the amount of AF detected. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION NCT02274727; clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02274727.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alan C Cameron
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Markus Arnold
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Georgios Katsas
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Jason Yang
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Terence J Quinn
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Azmil H Abdul-Rahim
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Ross Campbell
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Kieran Docherty
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Gian Marco De Marchis
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Marcel Arnold
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Timo Kahles
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Krassen Nedeltchev
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Carlo W Cereda
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Georg Kägi
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Alejandro Bustamante
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Joan Montaner
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - George Ntaios
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Christian Foerch
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Katharina Spanaus
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Arnold Von Eckardstein
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Jesse Dawson
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Mira Katan
- From the School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health (A.C.C., G. Katsas, J.Y., T.J.Q., R.C., K.D., J.D.), University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology (Markus Arnold), University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland; Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (A.H.A.-R.), and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine (A.H.A.-R.), Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Neurology and Stroke Centre (G.M.D.M., M.K.), University Hospital Basel and University of Basel; Department of Neurology (Marcel Arnold), University Hospital Bern; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center (T.K., K.N.), Cantonal Hospital Aarau; Department of Neurology (C.W.C.), Neurocenter (EOC) of Southern Switzerland, Lugano; Department of Neurology (G. Kägi), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland; Neurology Service (A.B.), Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Barcelona; Neurovascular Research Group (J.M.), Biomedicine Institute of Seville, Spain; Department of Internal Medicine (G.N.), Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece; Department of Neurology (C.F.), Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; and Institute of Clinical Chemistry (K.S., A.V.E.), University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
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Cameron A, Cheng HK, Lee RP, Doherty D, Hall M, Khashayar P, Lip GYH, Quinn T, Abdul-Rahim A, Dawson J. Biomarkers for Atrial Fibrillation Detection After Stroke: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Neurology 2021; 97:e1775-e1789. [PMID: 34504030 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000012769] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2021] [Accepted: 08/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE To identify clinical, ECG, and blood-based biomarkers associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) detection after ischaemic stroke or TIA that could help inform patient selection for cardiac monitoring. METHODS We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis and searched electronic databases for cohort studies from January 15, 2000, to January 15, 2020. The outcome was AF ≥30 seconds within 1 year after ischemic stroke/TIA. We used random effects models to create summary estimates of risk. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool. RESULTS We identified 8,503 studies, selected 34 studies, and assessed 69 variables (42 clinical, 20 ECG, and 7 blood-based biomarkers). The studies included 11,569 participants and AF was detected in 1,478 (12.8%). Overall, risk of bias was moderate. Variables associated with increased likelihood of AF detection are older age (odds ratio [OR] 3.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.35-4.54), female sex (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.23-1.77), a history of heart failure (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.87-3.49), hypertension (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.15-1.75) or ischemic heart disease (OR 1.80, 95% CI 1.34-2.42), higher modified Rankin Scale (OR 6.13, 95% CI 2.93-12.84) or National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (OR 2.50, 95% CI 1.64-3.81), no significant carotid/intracranial artery stenosis (OR 3.23, 95% CI 1.14-9.11), no tobacco use (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.48-2.51), statin therapy (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.14-3.73), stroke as index diagnosis (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.17-2.18), systolic blood pressure (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.16-2.22), IV thrombolysis treatment (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.83-3.16), atrioventricular block (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.08-4.17), left ventricular hypertrophy (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.03-4.74), premature atrial contraction (OR 3.90, 95% CI 1.74-8.74), maximum P-wave duration (OR 3.19, 95% CI 1.40-7.25), PR interval (OR 2.32, 95% CI 1.11-4.83), P-wave dispersion (OR 7.79, 95% CI 4.16-14.61), P-wave index (OR 3.44, 95% CI 1.87-6.32), QTc interval (OR 3.68, 95% CI 1.63-8.28), brain natriuretic peptide (OR 13.73, 95% CI 3.31-57.07), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.17-1.88) concentrations. Variables associated with reduced likelihood are minimum P-wave duration (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29-0.98), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.57-0.93), and triglyceride (OR 0.51, 95% CI 0.41-0.64) concentrations. DISCUSSION We identified multimodal biomarkers that could help guide patient selection for cardiac monitoring after ischaemic stroke/TIA. Their prognostic utility should be prospectively assessed with AF detection and recurrent stroke as outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alan Cameron
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK.
| | - Huen Ki Cheng
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Ren-Ping Lee
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Daniel Doherty
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Mark Hall
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Pouria Khashayar
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Gregory Y H Lip
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Terence Quinn
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Azmil Abdul-Rahim
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
| | - Jesse Dawson
- From the Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (A.C., H.K.C., R.-P.L., D.D., M.H., P.K., T.Q., J.D.) and Institute of Neuroscience and Psychology (A.A.-R.), University of Glasgow, UK; Faculty of Medicine (H.K.C.), University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam; and Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science (G.L.), University of Liverpool, UK
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