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Carrilho TRB, Silva NDJ, Paixão ES, Falcão IR, Fiaccone RL, Rodrigues LC, Katikireddi SV, Leyland AH, Dundas R, Pearce A, Velasquez-Melendez G, Kac G, Silva RDCR, Barreto ML. Maternal and child nutrition programme of investigation within the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort: study protocol. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e073479. [PMID: 37673446 PMCID: PMC10496662 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2023] [Accepted: 08/18/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There is a limited understanding of the early nutrition and pregnancy determinants of short-term and long-term maternal and child health in ethnically diverse and socioeconomically vulnerable populations within low-income and middle-income countries. This investigation programme aims to: (1) describe maternal weight trajectories throughout the life course; (2) describe child weight, height and body mass index (BMI) trajectories; (3) create and validate models to predict childhood obesity at 5 years of age; (4) estimate the effects of prepregnancy BMI, gestational weight gain (GWG) and maternal weight trajectories on adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes and child growth trajectories; (5) estimate the effects of prepregnancy BMI, GWG, maternal weight and interpregnancy BMI changes on maternal and child outcomes in the subsequent pregnancy; and (6) estimate the effects of maternal food consumption and infant feeding practices on child nutritional status and growth trajectories. METHODS AND ANALYSIS Linked data from four different Brazilian databases will be used: the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort, the Live Births Information System, the Mortality Information System and the Food and Nutrition Surveillance System. To analyse trajectories, latent-growth, superimposition by translation and rotation and broken stick models will be used. To create prediction models for childhood obesity, machine learning techniques will be applied. For the association between the selected exposure and outcomes variables, generalised linear models will be considered. Directed acyclic graphs will be constructed to identify potential confounders for each analysis investigating potential causal relationships. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This protocol was approved by the Research Ethics Committees of the authors' institutions. The linkage will be carried out in a secure environment. After the linkage, the data will be de-identified, and pre-authorised researchers will access the data set via a virtual private network connection. Results will be reported in open-access journals and disseminated to policymakers and the broader public.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thais Rangel Bousquet Carrilho
- Nutritional Epidemiology Observatory, Josué de Castro Institute of Nutrition, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
| | - Natanael de Jesus Silva
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health, Hospital Clínic, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Catalunya, Spain
| | - Enny Santos Paixão
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, London, UK
| | - Ila Rocha Falcão
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- School of Nutrition, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil
| | - Rosemeire Leovigildo Fiaccone
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- Institute of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil
| | - Laura Cunha Rodrigues
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, London, UK
| | | | - Alastair H Leyland
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | - Ruth Dundas
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | - Anna Pearce
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | - Gustavo Velasquez-Melendez
- Department of Maternal and Child Nursing and Public Health, Nursing School, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
| | - Gilberto Kac
- Nutritional Epidemiology Observatory, Josué de Castro Institute of Nutrition, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
| | - Rita de Cássia Ribeiro Silva
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- School of Nutrition, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil
| | - Mauricio L Barreto
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, BA, Brazil
- Institute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil
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Rosenberg M, Beidelman E, Chen X, Canning D, Kobayashi L, Kahn K, Pettifor A, Kabudula CW. The impact of a randomized cash transfer intervention on mortality of adult household members in rural South Africa, 2011-2022. Soc Sci Med 2023; 324:115883. [PMID: 37023659 PMCID: PMC10124166 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.115883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2022] [Revised: 02/20/2023] [Accepted: 03/29/2023] [Indexed: 04/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Increasing socioeconomic resources through cash transfer payments could help promote healthy longevity. However, research in this area is limited due to endogeneity in cash transfer exposures and limited geographic representation. METHODS We leveraged the HPTN 068 randomized cash transfer trial, conducted from 2011 to 2015 in a rural setting in South Africa. We assessed long-term mortality follow-up (until March 2022) on older adult members (n = 3568) of households enrolled in the trial from the complete Agincourt Health and socio-Demographic Surveillance System census of the underlying source population. The trial intervention was a monthly cash payment of 300 Rand conditional on school enrollment of index young women. The payments were split between the young woman (1/3) and their caregiver (2/3). Young women and their households were randomized 1:1 to intervention vs. control. We used Cox PH models to compare mortality rates in older adults living in intervention vs. control households. FINDINGS The cash transfer intervention did not significantly impact mortality in the full sample [HR (95% CI): 0.94 (0.80, 1.10)]. However, we observed strong protective effects of the cash transfer intervention among those with above-median household assets [HR (95% CI): 0.66 (0.50, 0.86)] and higher educational attainment [HR (95% CI): 0.37 (0.15, 0.93)]. INTERPRETATION Our findings indicate that short-term cash transfers can lead to reduced mortality in certain subgroups of older adults with higher baseline socioeconomic status. Future work should focus on understanding the optimal timing, structure, and targets to maximize the benefits of cash transfer programs in promoting healthy aging and longevity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Molly Rosenberg
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, USA; MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
| | - Erika Beidelman
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, USA
| | - Xiwei Chen
- Biostatistics Consulting Center, Indiana University School of Public Health-Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, USA
| | - David Canning
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Lindsay Kobayashi
- Center for Social Epidemiology and Population Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, MI, USA; MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Kathleen Kahn
- MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana; Umeå Centre for Global Health Research, Division of Epidemiology and Global Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Audrey Pettifor
- MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Chodziwadziwa Whiteson Kabudula
- MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
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Pescarini JM, Campbell D, Amorim LD, Falcão IR, Ferreira AJF, Allik M, Shaw RJ, Malta DC, Ali MS, Smeeth L, Barreto ML, Leyland A, Craig P, Aquino EML, Katikireddi SV. Impact of Brazil's Bolsa Família Programme on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality: a natural experiment study using the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort. Int J Epidemiol 2022; 51:1847-1861. [PMID: 36172959 PMCID: PMC9749722 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyac188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2022] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 01/21/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has a disproportionate effect on mortality among the poorest people. We assessed the impact on CVD and all-cause mortality of the world's largest conditional cash transfer, Brazil's Bolsa Família Programme (BFP). METHODS We linked administrative data from the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort with BFP receipt and national mortality data. We followed individuals who applied for BFP between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2015, until 31 December 2015. We used marginal structural models to estimate the effect of BFP on all-age and premature (30-69 years) CVD and all-cause mortality. We conducted stratified analyses by levels of material deprivation and access to healthcare. We checked the robustness of our findings by restricting the analysis to municipalities with better mortality data and by using alternative statistical methods. RESULTS We studied 17 981 582 individuals, of whom 4 855 324 were aged 30-69 years. Three-quarters (76.2%) received BFP, with a mean follow-up post-award of 2.6 years. We detected 106 807 deaths by all causes, of which 60 893 were premature; and 23 389 CVD deaths, of which 15 292 were premature. BFP was associated with reductions in premature all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.94-0.98], premature CVD (HR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.92-1.00) and all-age CVD (HR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.93-1.00) but not all-age all-cause mortality (HR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.98-1.02). In stratified and robustness analyses, BFP was consistently associated with mortality reductions for individuals living in the two most deprived quintiles. CONCLUSIONS BFP appears to have a small to null effect on premature CVD and all-cause mortality in the short term; the long-term impact remains unknown.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia M Pescarini
- Corresponding author. London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. E-mail:
| | - Desmond Campbell
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Leila D Amorim
- Departamento de Estatística, Instituto de Matemática e Estatística, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Ila R Falcão
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Andrêa J F Ferreira
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Mirjam Allik
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Richard J Shaw
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Deborah C Malta
- Departamento materno infantil e saude pública, Universidade Federal de Minas gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - M Sanni Ali
- Departments of Infectious Disease Epidemiology (JMP) and Epidemiology and Population Health (LS), Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Liam Smeeth
- Departments of Infectious Disease Epidemiology (JMP) and Epidemiology and Population Health (LS), Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Health Data Research (HDR), London, UK
| | - Mauricio L Barreto
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Brazil,Instituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Alastair Leyland
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
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Barreto ML, Ichihara MY, Pescarini JM, Ali MS, Borges GL, Fiaccone RL, Ribeiro-Silva RDC, Teles CA, Almeida D, Sena S, Carreiro RP, Cabral L, Almeida BA, Barbosa GCG, Pita R, Barreto ME, Mendes AAF, Ramos DO, Brickley EB, Bispo N, Machado DB, Paixao ES, Rodrigues LC, Smeeth L. Cohort Profile: The 100 Million Brazilian Cohort. Int J Epidemiol 2022; 51:e27-e38. [PMID: 34922344 PMCID: PMC9082797 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyab213] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2021] [Accepted: 09/17/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Mauricio L Barreto
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Institute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | - Maria Yury Ichihara
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Institute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | - Julia M Pescarini
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - M Sanni Ali
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Center for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gabriela L Borges
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Rosemeire L Fiaccone
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Department of Statistics, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Rita de Cássia Ribeiro-Silva
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Department of Nutrition, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Carlos A Teles
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Daniela Almeida
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Samila Sena
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Roberto P Carreiro
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Liliana Cabral
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Bethania A Almeida
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - George C G Barbosa
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Robespierre Pita
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Marcos E Barreto
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | - Andre A F Mendes
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Dandara O Ramos
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Institute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | - Elizabeth B Brickley
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Nivea Bispo
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Department of Statistics, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Daiane B Machado
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Enny S Paixao
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Laura C Rodrigues
- Centre for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Liam Smeeth
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
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Shaw RJ, Harron KL, Pescarini JM, Pinto Junior EP, Allik M, Siroky AN, Campbell D, Dundas R, Ichihara MY, Leyland AH, Barreto ML, Katikireddi SV. Biases arising from linked administrative data for epidemiological research: a conceptual framework from registration to analyses. Eur J Epidemiol 2022; 37:1215-1224. [PMID: 36333542 PMCID: PMC9792414 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-022-00934-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2022] [Accepted: 10/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
Linked administrative data offer a rich source of information that can be harnessed to describe patterns of disease, understand their causes and evaluate interventions. However, administrative data are primarily collected for operational reasons such as recording vital events for legal purposes, and planning, provision and monitoring of services. The processes involved in generating and linking administrative datasets may generate sources of bias that are often not adequately considered by researchers. We provide a framework describing these biases, drawing on our experiences of using the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort (100MCohort) which contains records of more than 131 million people whose families applied for social assistance between 2001 and 2018. Datasets for epidemiological research were derived by linking the 100MCohort to health-related databases such as the Mortality Information System and the Hospital Information System. Using the framework, we demonstrate how selection and misclassification biases may be introduced in three different stages: registering and recording of people's life events and use of services, linkage across administrative databases, and cleaning and coding of variables from derived datasets. Finally, we suggest eight recommendations which may reduce biases when analysing data from administrative sources.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard J Shaw
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Berkeley Square, 99 Berkeley Street, Glasgow, G3 7HR, UK.
| | - Katie L Harron
- UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, UCL, London, UK
| | - Julia M Pescarini
- Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde (Cidacs), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Elzo Pereira Pinto Junior
- Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde (Cidacs), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Mirjam Allik
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Berkeley Square, 99 Berkeley Street, Glasgow, G3 7HR, UK
| | - Andressa N Siroky
- Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde (Cidacs), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Departamento de Estatística, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Brazil
| | - Desmond Campbell
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Berkeley Square, 99 Berkeley Street, Glasgow, G3 7HR, UK
| | - Ruth Dundas
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Berkeley Square, 99 Berkeley Street, Glasgow, G3 7HR, UK
| | - Maria Yury Ichihara
- Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde (Cidacs), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Alastair H Leyland
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Berkeley Square, 99 Berkeley Street, Glasgow, G3 7HR, UK
| | - Mauricio L Barreto
- Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde (Cidacs), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil
- Instituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
| | - Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Berkeley Square, 99 Berkeley Street, Glasgow, G3 7HR, UK
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