Cardiovascular-related deaths at the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak: a prospective analysis based on the UK Biobank

The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on cause-specific mortality patterns: a systematic literature review

Background

Understanding the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on cause-specific mortality should be a priority, as this metric allows for a detailed analysis of the true burden of the pandemic. The aim of this systematic literature review is to estimate the impact of the pandemic on different causes of death, providing a quantitative and qualitative analysis of the phenomenon.

Methods

We searched MEDLINE, Scopus, and ProQuest for studies that reported cause-specific mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic, extracting relevant data.

Results

A total of 2413 articles were retrieved, and after screening 22 were selected for data extraction. Cause-specific mortality results were reported using different units of measurement. The most frequently analyzed cause of death was cardiovascular diseases (n = 16), followed by cancer (n = 14) and diabetes (n = 11). We reported heterogeneous patterns of cause-specific mortality, except for suicide and road accident.

Conclusions

Evidence on non-COVID-19 cause-specific deaths is not exhaustive. Reliable scientific evidence is needed by policymakers to make the best decisions in an unprecedented and extremely uncertain historical period. We advocate for the urgent need to find an international consensus to define reliable methodological approaches to establish the true burden of the COVID-19 pandemic on non-COVID-19 mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10389-022-01755-7.

The collateral damage of COVID-19 to cardiovascular services: a meta-analysis

AIMS

The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on care and outcomes across non-COVID-19 cardiovascular (CV) diseases is unknown. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to quantify the effect and investigate for variation by CV disease, geographic region, country income classification and the time course of the pandemic.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From January 2019 to December 2021, Medline and Embase databases were searched for observational studies comparing a pandemic and pre-pandemic period with relation to CV disease hospitalisations, diagnostic and interventional procedures, outpatient consultations, and mortality. Observational data were synthesised by incidence rate ratios (IRR) and risk ratios (RR) for binary outcomes and weighted mean differences for continuous outcomes with 95% confidence intervals. The study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021265930). A total of 158 studies, covering 49 countries and 6 continents, were used for quantitative synthesis. Most studies (80%) reported information for high-income countries (HICs). Across all CV disease and geographies there were fewer hospitalisations, diagnostic and interventional procedures, and outpatient consultations during the pandemic. By meta-regression, in low-middle income countries (LMICs) compared to HICs the decline in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) hospitalisations (RR 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-0.94) and revascularisation (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.62-0.87) was more severe. In LMICs, but not HICs, in-hospital mortality increased for STEMI (RR 1.22, 95% CI 1.10-1.37) and heart failure (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.04-1.12). The magnitude of decline in hospitalisations for CV diseases did not differ between the first and second wave.

CONCLUSIONS

There was substantial global collateral CV damage during the COVID-19 pandemic with disparity in severity by country income classification.

Effect of diabetes on short-term mortality and incidence of first hospitalizations for cardiovascular events after recovery from SARS-CoV-2 infection

AIM

To evaluate the impact of diabetes and COVID-19 on all-cause-mortality and first hospitalizations for cardiovascular events (CVE): myocardial infarction or stroke, within six months after being tested positive and having recovered from SARS-CoV-2 infection.

METHODS

Resident population in Tuscany, Italy of age 45-94 yr without prior hospitalization for CVE, tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by March 1st, 2020 and afterwards recovering from COVID-19 was compared with age, gender and diabetes matched controls without infection, for incidence rate ratio (IRR) of all-cause-deaths or first CVE at six months follow up.

RESULTS

46,152 subjects of whom 4,597 with diabetes, tested positive and recovered from SARS-CoV-2 were compared with 1:1 age, gender and diabetes matched controls without infection. COVID-19 was associated with higher all-cause-mortality: IRR:1.92(95 %CI:1.63-2.25) while diabetes with increased risk of first CVE hospitalizations: IRR:2.24(2.18-4.25). Co-presence of COVID-19 and diabetes didn't add any additional excess risk. Being women and statins' use significantly reduced death risk.

CONCLUSIONS

After recovery from COVID-19, independently of diabetes, all-cause-mortality risk at six months was twofold increased, while risk of first CVE hospitalization remained unmodified. Diabetes, independently of prior COVID-19, resulted in higher six-months risk of first CVE not of death. Female gender and statins' use reduced both excess risks.