Effect of population ageing on emergency department speed and efficiency: a historical perspective from a district general hospital in the UK

Factors Associated with Prolonged Length of Stay in the Ambulatory Care Unit of a Tertiary Government Hospital

Background

Length of stay is one of the metrics of crowding in the emergency department. Identification of the factors associated with prolonged length of stay is vital for staffing and policy making to prevent overcrowding at the ambulatory care unit.

Objective

This study aimed to determine the association of sociodemographic, clinical, and temporal factors with length of stay among patients seen at the ambulatory care unit of a tertiary government training hospital.

Methods

A retrospective case-control study was conducted between January to December 2019 at the ambulatory care unit of a tertiary government hospital. Charts of patients who stayed for more than six (6) hours were classified as cases, while those who stayed for more than two (2) hours up to six (6) hours were classified as controls. Charts were reviewed to obtain the clinicodemographic profile of patients who satisfied the inclusion criteria.

Results

The case group consisted of 86 patients, while the control group consisted of 172 patients. Eight factors had an effect on the probability of prolonged length of stay at the ambulatory care unit: age 40-59 years old (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.16-4.49), ESI 3 at triage level (OR = 3.35, 95% CI: 1.50-8.38), psychiatric complaint (OR = 6.97, 95% CI: 2.53-19.21), medications given and diagnostics done (OR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.16-3.99), medications given/diagnostics/referral to other services done (OR = 7.67, 95% CI: 2.70-21.80), psychiatric/substance-related case (OR = 6.97, 95% CI: 2.63-18.49), transferred to other services (OR = 3.25, 95% CI: 1.33-7.94), and endorsed to next shift (OR = 6.94, 95% CI = 3.90-12.35).

Conclusion

The factors associated with prolonged length of stay were middle-aged adults, conditions with severe presentation, psychiatric/substance-use-related cases, need for more diagnostic test and treatment intervention, and decision to transfer care to other services.

Comparison of Blood Gas Analysis and Auto-Analyzer Results for Sodium and Potassium Levels in Elderly and Non-elderly Adult Emergency Department Patients

Objectives This study aims to evaluate the concordance between blood gas and biochemical measurement methods for sodium and potassium levels in elderly and non-elderly patients within an emergency department (ED) setting. Methods A retrospective method comparison study was conducted at an ED from February 1, 2023, to March 1, 2023. The study included 414 patients, categorized into "elderly" (aged 65 and above; n = 138, 33.3%) and "non-elderly" (aged 18 to 64; n = 276, 66.7%) groups. Concordance was assessed using Bland-Altman, Passing-Bablok, and Lin's concordance correlation methods. Results In sodium measurements, the elderly group exhibited an average bias of -1.52 mEq/L (95% confidence interval [CI] -2.12 to -0.92), with lower and upper limits of agreement (LoA) at -8.46 and 5.42 mEq/L, respectively, indicating a broader variance than non-elderly patients, who showed an average bias of -0.82 mEq/L with limits of -4.97 to 3.32 mEq/L. For potassium, the elderly group's average bias was -0.46 mEq/L (95% CI -0.36 to -0.57), with limits of agreement from -1.68 to 0.75 mEq/L, compared to non-elderly patients with a bias of -0.29 mEq/L and limits of -0.71 to 0.13 mEq/L. Furthermore, concordance correlation coefficients revealed a reduced agreement in the elderly for both sodium (r ccc = 0.799) and potassium (r ccc = 0.529) compared to the non-elderly cohort (sodium r ccc = 0.821, potassium r ccc = 0.715). Conclusion The study identifies significant discrepancies in sodium and potassium levels between elderly and non-elderly patients, suggesting a need for diagnostic precision. It emphasizes the importance of customizing diagnostic approaches to better serve the elderly population in EDs.

Association between emergency department attendances, sociodemographic factors and long-term health conditions in the population of Norfolk and Waveney, England: Cross sectional study

INTRODUCTION

Demand for urgent and emergency health care in England has grown over the last decade, for reasons that are not clear. Changes in population demographics may be a cause. This study investigated associations between individuals' characteristics (including socioeconomic deprivation and long term health conditions (LTC)) and the frequency of emergency department (ED) attendances, in the Norfolk and Waveney subregion of the East of England.

METHODS

The study population was people who were registered with 91 of 106 Norfolk and Waveney general practices during one year from 1 April 2022 to 31 March 2023. Linked primary and secondary care and geographical data included each individual's sociodemographic characteristics, and number of ED attendances during the same year and, for some individuals, LTCs and number of general practice (GP) appointments. Associations between these factors and ED attendances were estimated using Poisson regression models.

RESULTS

1,027,422 individuals were included of whom 57.4% had GP data on the presence or absence of LTC, and 43.1% had both LTC and general practitioner appointment data. In the total population ED attendances were more frequent in individuals aged under five years, (adjusted Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) 1.25, 95% confidence interval 1.23 to 1.28) compared to 15-35 years); living in more socioeconomically deprived areas (IRR 0.61 (0.60 to 0.63)) for least deprived compared to most deprived,and living closer to the nearest ED. Among individuals with LTC data, each additional LTC was also associated with increased ED attendances (IRR 1.16 (1.15 to 1.16)). Among individuals with LTC and GP appointment data, each additional GP appointment was also associated with increased ED attendances (IRR 1.03 (1.026 to 1.027)).

CONCLUSIONS

In the Norfolk and Waveney population, ED attendance rates were higher for young children and individuals living in more deprived areas and closer to EDs. In individuals with LTC and GP appointment data, both factors were also associated with higher ED attendance.

Diagnosing an overcrowded emergency department from its Electronic Health Records

Emergency department overcrowding is a complex problem that persists globally. Data of visits constitute an opportunity to understand its dynamics. However, the gap between the collected information and the real-life clinical processes, and the lack of a whole-system perspective, still constitute a relevant limitation. An analytical pipeline was developed to analyse one-year of production data following the patients that came from the ED (n = 49,938) at Uppsala University Hospital (Uppsala, Sweden) by involving clinical experts in all the steps of the analysis. The key internal issues to the ED were the high volume of generic or non-specific diagnoses from non-urgent visits, and the delayed decision regarding hospital admission caused by several imaging assessments and lack of hospital beds. Furthermore, the external pressure of high frequent re-visits of geriatric, psychiatric, and patients with unspecified diagnoses dramatically contributed to the overcrowding. Our work demonstrates that through analysis of production data of the ED patient flow and participation of clinical experts in the pipeline, it was possible to identify systemic issues and directions for solutions. A critical factor was to take a whole systems perspective, as it opened the scope to the boundary effects of inflow and outflow in the whole healthcare system.

Telemedicine in Nursing Home Residents Requiring a Call to an Emergency Medical Communication Center

OBJECTIVES

To compare the proportion of nursing home residents dispatched to an emergency department (ED) after a call to the emergency medical communication center (EMCC) according to the availability or nonavailability of telemedicine.

DESIGN

This prospective, observational trial was conducted in the EMCC and 74 nursing homes in a French county.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

All nursing home residents who needed to contact the EMCC between June 2019 and April 2020 were included in the study. We excluded calls notifying the death of a resident, for completing data from a previous call, and for nursing home staff.

METHODS

The primary outcome was the proportion of residents dispatched to an ED after their first call to the EMCC. The secondary outcomes were the proportion of second calls, proportion of residents dispatched to an ED after a second call, and proportion of death within 30 days.

RESULTS

We included 3103 calls in the final analysis (355 from equipped nursing homes and 2748 from unequipped nursing homes). The proportion of patients dispatched to an ED after the first call was lower among telemedicine-equipped than among telemedicine-unequipped nursing homes (41% vs 50%; odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.90). The proportion of a second call for the same purpose within 72 hours, proportion of dispatching to an ED at the second call, and proportion of deaths within 30 days were similar between the groups.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS

The use of telemedicine by nursing home residents requiring a call to the EMCC is associated with a reduction in the number of dispatches to an ED without any increase in the number of 72-hour callbacks or 30-day mortality rates.

Elderly patients with non-specific complaints at the emergency department have a high risk for admission and 30-days mortality

BACKGROUND

Older adults have complex medical needs that causes increased use of resources at the emergency department (ED). The prevalence of non-specific complaint (NSC) as a chief-complaint in the ED is common among older adults and is not prioritized even though possibly having worse clinical outcome. The objective was to study hospital admission and mortality for older adults visiting the ED with NSC compared to specific complaints such as dyspnea, chest pain and abdominal pain.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study of older adults visiting the ED with NSC and specific complaints; dyspnea, chest pain and abdominal pain was performed. Chief-complaint were collected from electronic medical records. Fatigue, confusion, non-specific complaints, generalized weakness and risk of falling were defined as non-specific complaint (NSC) when registered as chief-complaint at the ED. Admission rate and 30-days mortality were the primary outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 4927 patients were included in the study based on chief-complaint; patients with chest pain 1599 (32%), dyspnea 1343 (27%), abdominal pain 1460 (30%) and NSC 525 (11%). Patients with dyspnea and NSC had the highest hospital admission rate 79% vs 70% compared to patients with chest pain (63%) and abdominal pain (61%) (p =  < 0.001). Patients with NSC had a mean LOS 4.7 h at the ED which was significantly higher compared to chest pain, dyspnea and abdominal pain. Mean bed-days for the whole population was 4.2 days compared to patients with NSC who had a mean LOS of 5.6 days. NSC and dyspnea were both associated with the highest 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

Older patients who present with NSC at the ED are associated with a high risk for admission and 30-days mortality. In addition, patients with NSC have a longer LOS at the ED, a high admission rate and the highest number of bed-days once admitted. This study indicates that ED staff should be more vigilant when an elderly patient presents with NSC at the ED. Further studies and guidelines are needed to improve the management of these individuals.

The importance of prognosis in geriatric patients attending the emergency department: a comparison between two common short geriatric assessment tools

BACKGROUND

The use of short geriatric tools in the emergency department (ED) is increasing, but the literature is still conflicting. The aim of this study is to compare the precision and the accuracy of two short geriatric assessment tools to predict mortality in a cohort of older patients attending the ED.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted including patients ≥ 65 years, attending the ED and transferred to a medical assessment unit from February to July 2022. Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and Brief Multidimensional Prognostic Index (Brief MPI) were administered. The association between Brief MPI and CFS and mortality was analysed via area under the curve (AUC) with its 95% confidence intervals (CIs), the C-statistics and a multivariate Cox's regression analysis, in the latter case reporting the data as hazard ratios (HRs) with their 95% CI.

RESULTS

Among the 579 patients enrolled (mean age: 77 years), both Brief MPI and CFS showed a good accuracy in predicting mortality (AUC: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61-0.83 for Brief MPI; 0.754; 95% CI: 0.65-0.83 for CFS). The discrimination of Brief MPI and CFS in predicting mortality was excellent, since the C-index of the Brief MPI was 0.85 and of CFS = 0.84. In the multivariate analysis, the risk for mortality was significantly increased for frailer subjects (HR 4.65; 95% CI: 1.45-15.00 for Brief MPI > 0.66; HR = 9.24; 95% CI: 1.16-76.90 for CFS > 6).

CONCLUSIONS

Brief MPI and CFS showed a good accuracy/precision to predict mortality in older patients attending the ED. Considering that they are quick to perform, their introduction in ED clinical practice could be extremely helpful.

Assessment of a combined musculoskeletal and chest deep learning-based detection solution in an emergency setting

Rationale and objectives

Triage and diagnostic deep learning-based support solutions have started to take hold in everyday emergency radiology practice with the hope of alleviating workflows. Although previous works had proven that artificial intelligence (AI) may increase radiologist and/or emergency physician reading performances, they were restricted to finding, bodypart and/or age subgroups, without evaluating a routine emergency workflow composed of chest and musculoskeletal adult and pediatric cases. We aimed at evaluating a multiple musculoskeletal and chest radiographic findings deep learning-based commercial solution on an adult and pediatric emergency workflow, focusing on discrepancies between emergency and radiology physicians.

Material and methods

This retrospective, monocentric and observational study included 1772 patients who underwent an emergency radiograph between July and October 2020, excluding spine, skull and plain abdomen procedures. Emergency and radiology reports, obtained without AI as part of the clinical workflow, were collected and discordant cases were reviewed to obtain the radiology reference standard. Case-level AI outputs and emergency reports were compared to the reference standard. DeLong and Wald tests were used to compare ROC-AUC and Sensitivity/Specificity, respectively.

Results

Results showed an overall AI ROC-AUC of 0.954 with no difference across age or body part subgroups. Real-life emergency physicians' sensitivity was 93.7 %, not significantly different to the AI model (P = 0.105), however in 172/1772 (9.7 %) cases misdiagnosed by emergency physicians. In this subset, AI accuracy was 90.1 %.

Conclusion

This study highlighted that multiple findings AI solution for emergency radiographs is efficient and complementary to emergency physicians, and could help reduce misdiagnosis in the absence of immediate radiological expertize.

A methodological framework for evaluating transitions in acute care services in the Netherlands to achieve Triple Aim

Objective

The accessibility of acute care services is currently under pressure, and one way to improve services is better integration. Adequate methodology will be required to provide for a clear and accessible evaluation of the various intervention initiatives. The aim of this paper is to develop and propose a Population Health Management(PHM) methodology framework for evaluation of transitions in acute care services.

Results

Our methodological framework is developed from several concepts found in literature, including Triple Aim, integrated care and PHM, and includes continuous monitoring of results at both project and population levels. It is based on a broad view of health rather than focusing on a specific illness and facilitates the evaluation of various intervention initiatives in acute care services in the Netherlands and distinctly explains every step of the evaluation process and can be applied to a heterogeneous group of patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13104-022-06187-w.

Operations management solutions to improve ED patient flows: evidence from the Italian NHS

Background

Overcrowding occurs when the identified need for emergency services outweighs the available resources in the emergency department (ED). Literature shows that ED overcrowding impacts the overall quality of the entire hospital production system, as confirmed by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to identify the most relevant variables that cause ED overcrowding using the input-process-output model with the aim of providing managers and policy makers with useful hints for how to effectively redesign ED operations.

Methods

A mixed-method approach is used, blending qualitative inquiry with quantitative investigation in order to: i) identifying and operationalizing the main components of the model that can be addressed by hospital operation management teams and ii) testing and measuring how these components can influence ED LOS.

Results

With a dashboard of indicators developed following the input-process-output model, the analysis identifies the most significant variables that have an impact on ED overcrowding: the type (age and complexity) and volume of patients (input), the actual ED structural capacity (in terms of both people and technology) and the ED physician-to-nurse ratio (process), and the hospital discharging process (output).

Conclusions

The present paper represents an original contribution regarding two different aspects. First, this study combines different research methodologies with the aim of capturing relevant information that by relying on just one research method, may otherwise be missed. Second, this study adopts a hospitalwide approach, adding to our understanding of ED overcrowding, which has thus far focused mainly on single aspects of ED operations.

The Value of Merging Medical Data from Ambulance Services and General Practice Cooperatives Using Triple Aim Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Acute care services are currently overstretched in many high income countries. Overcrowding also plays a major role in acute care in the Netherlands. In a region of the Netherlands, the general practice cooperative (GPC) and ambulance service have begun to integrate their care, and the rapid and complete transfer of information between these two care organisations is now the basis for delivering appropriate care. The primary aim of this mixed-methods study is to evaluate the Netherlands Triage System (NTS) merger project and answering the question: What is the added value of implementing a digital NTS merger in terms of healthcare use and healthcare costs? A secondary question is: What are the experiences of patients and care professionals in different acute healthcare organisations following implementation of the digital NTS merger?

METHODS

Patients who made an acute care request during the 12 months before the NTS merge intervention (control period) were compared with matched patients in the 12 months following the start of the NTS merge. Outcomes included difference in healthcare use 30 days after an acute event and patient' and care professional' experiences during the intervention period. To assess healthcare costs, we used reference prices updated to 2021.

RESULTS

Compared to patients in the control period, patients in the intervention period were hospitalized less often (52.9% vs 64.4%, p = 0.061) and had fewer emergency department (ED) visits (58.7% vs 69.3%, p = 0.074) in the 30 days following the acute care request. The ED costs were significantly lower during the intervention period compared to the control period (p = 0.042). Furthermore, patients in the intervention period were very satisfied overall with the acute care network (4.63 of 5) and care professionals were fairly satisfied with the cooperation to date (2.73 of 4).

CONCLUSION

The Triple Aim for acute care can be met using relatively simple interventions, but medical data merging is a prerequisite for achieving more robust results covering on the various aspects of the Triple Aim. These successes should be communicated so that a common language can be developed that will support the successful further implementation of larger scale initiatives.

Understanding junior doctors' experiences of teaching on the acute take: a qualitative study

BACKGROUND

New medical graduates are significantly unprepared to manage acutely unwell patients due to limited first-hand clinical exposure in the undergraduate curriculum. Supporting undergraduate learning in the acute setting can be challenging for junior doctors when balancing teaching and clinical responsibilities. Our aim was to explore junior doctors' first-hand experiences of supporting undergraduate education in the acute admissions environment(take).

METHODS

Fourteen junior doctors in one teaching hospital in South West England took part in semi-structured focus groups (4-6 participants in each) which were audio-recorded, transcribed, and thematically analysed.

RESULTS

Junior doctors described their educational role as comprising: teaching, demonstrating, coaching, and supervising. They perceived the acute take as a highly variable, unpredictable setting that offered a broad scope for learning. Tensions between doctors' clinical and educational roles were described, influenced by internal and external factors. Clinical work was prioritised over teaching and participants lacked confidence in supervisory and clinical skills. Doctors felt pressured to meet students' expectations and lacked understanding of their educational needs. Senior colleagues were highly influential in establishing an educational culture and were often a source of pressure to deliver timely clinical care. Organisations were perceived not to value teaching due to the lack of provision of dedicated teaching time and prioritisation of limited resources towards patient care. Participants managed tensions by attempting to formally separate roles, demoting students to passive observers, and they sought greater continuity in placements to better understand students' abilities and expectations.

CONCLUSIONS

Educational opportunities for undergraduate students on the acute take are varied and highly valuable. This study provides insight into the provision of workplace education and its challenges from junior doctors' perspectives. We highlight areas for improvement of relevance to educational providers.

Sustainability and Well-being in Geriatrics: proposing a performance-based approach for the implementation of geriatric care activities

The evaluation and measurement of Sustainable Development and Well-being represent a widespread emerging theme in healthcare, especially concerning, among others, the concepts of social equity and universality of health from an intergenerational perspective. To achieve such goals, Geriatrics would play a prominent role, especially considering the growing portion of the senior population in developed countries. This work intends to explore the possibility to connect Sustainable Development Goals and dimensions of Well-being to a set of performance indicators which are representative of geriatric activities in different settings of care. To this purpose, a pattern of indicators from Emilia- Romagna Region (RER) in Italy is considered. Furthermore, a range of Transitional Care interventions is discussed and proposed in order to ameliorate (or keep stable) the performance.

Performance of the interRAI ED Screener for Risk-Screening in Older Adults Accessing Paramedic Services

Background

Paramedics respond to a significant number of non-emergency calls generated by older adults each year. Paramedics routinely assess and screen older adults to determine risk level and need for additional follow-up. This project implemented the interRAI ED Screener into routine care to determine whether the screener and resulting Assessment Urgency Algorithm (AUA) score is useful in predicting adverse outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a population-based retrospective study using administrative health data for patients aged 65+ assessed by paramedics from July 2016 to February 2017. Patients were assigned an AUA score and classified into three risk categories. Outcome data including hospitalizations, Emergency Department (ED) visits, home care status, and survival were collected and compared across AUA risk categories using descriptive and analytical statistics.

Results

Of the 2,801 patients screened, 31.9% were classified as high risk, 23.6% as moderate risk, and 44.6% as low risk. Patients who scored in the highest risk category were found to have longer hospital stays, and were more likely to require home care (p<.0001). The AUA risk category also predicted survival (p<.001).

Conclusions

The AUA predicted multiple adverse outcomes in this population. Use of the AUA by paramedics may aid in earlier identification of those in need of additional intervention and services.

Association of advanced age with intubation-related adverse events in the emergency department: a multicentre prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

While the older population accounts for an increasing proportion of emergency department (ED), little is known about intubation-related adverse events in this high-risk population. We sought to determine whether advanced age is associated with a higher risk of intubation-related adverse events in the ED.

METHODS

This is an analysis of data from a prospective, 15-centre, observational study-the second Japanese Emergency Airway Network (JEAN-2) study. The current analysis included adult (aged ≥18 years) patients who underwent intubation in the ED between 2012 and 2018. The primary exposure was age (18-39, 40-64, 65-74, 75-84 and ≥85 years). The primary outcome was overall intubation-related adverse events during or immediately after an intubation. Adverse events were further categorised into major (hypotension, hypoxaemia, oesophageal intubation, cardiac arrest, dysrhythmia and death) and minor (endobronchial intubation, oesophageal intubation with early recognition, dental/lip trauma, airway trauma and regurgitation) adverse events. We constructed multivariable logistic regression models adjusting for seven potential confounders with generalised estimating equations that account for patients clustering within the ED.

RESULTS

Among 9714 patients eligible for the analysis, 15% were aged ≥85 years, and 16% had adverse events. In the unadjusted models, advanced age was not significantly associated with the risk of overall adverse events. In the adjusted models, the association was significant (adjusted OR 1.41 in age ≥85 years (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.81) compared with age 18-39 years). Specifically, older patients had a significantly higher risk of major adverse events (adjusted OR in age ≥85 years 2.65 (95% CI, 1.78 to 3.94)), which was driven by the association of advanced age with an increased risk of hypotension (adjusted OR in ≥85 years, 5.69 (95% CI, 3.13 to 10.37)). By contrast, advanced age was not associated with minor adverse events.

CONCLUSION

Based on the data from a prospective multicentre study, advanced age was associated with higher risks of major adverse events.

Emergency department outcome of elderly patients assisted by professional home services, the EPIGER study

BACKGROUND

For the elderly population living at home, the implementation of professional services tends to mitigate the effect of loss of autonomy and increases their quality of life. While helping in avoiding social isolation, home services could also be associated to different healthcare pathways. For elderly patients, Emergency Departments (EDs) are the main entrance to hospital where previous loss of autonomy is associated to worst hospital outcomes. Part of elderly patients visiting EDs are still admitted to hospital for having difficulties coping at home without presenting any acute medical issue. There is a lack of data concerning elderly patients visiting EDs assisted by home services. Our aim was to compare among elderly patients visiting ED those assisted by professional home services to those who do not in terms of emergency resources' use and patients' outcome.

METHODS

A multicenter, prospective cohort study was performed in 124 French EDs during a 24-h period on March 2016.Consecutive patients living at home aged ≥80 years were included. The primary objective was to assess the risk of mortality for patients assisted by professional home services vs. those who were not. Secondary objectives included admission rate and specific admission rate for "having difficulties coping at home". The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to test the association between professional home services and the primary endpoint. Multi variables logistic regressions were performed to assess secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

One thousand one hundred sixty-eight patients were included, median age 86(83-89) years old,32% were assisted by professional home services. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 7%. Assisted patients had more investigations performed. Home services were not associated with increased in-hospital mortality (HR = 1.34;95%CI [0.68-2.67]), nor with the admission rate (OR = 0.92;95%CI [0.65-1.30]). Assisted patients had a lower risk of being admitted for "having difficulties coping at home" (OR = 0.59;95%CI [0.38-0.92]).

CONCLUSION

Professional home services which assist one-third of elderly patients visiting EDs, were not associated to lower in-hospital mortality or to an increased admission rate. Assisted patients were associated to a lower risk of being admitted for «having difficulties coping at home».Professional home services could result in avoiding some admissions and their corollary complications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrial.gov - NCT02900391 , 09/14/2016, retrospectively registered.

Ability of Emergency Department Physicians Using a Functional Autonomy-Assessing Version of the Triage Risk Screening Tool to Detect Frail Older Patients Who Require Mobile Geriatric Team Consultation

OBJECTIVES

Frailty in older people associates with poor outcomes. Screening by ED physicians would greatly facilitate detection of frail older patients but our previous attempt to introduce routine ED-physician screening with Short Emergency Geriatric Assessment (SEGA), a 13-item frailty tool that French geriatricians use to identify frail patients, failed due to its length and complexity. A national committee recently generated a new version of the fast and simple 5-item Triage Risk Screening Tool (TRST) in which a subjective item ('nurse concern') was replaced by an item assessing basic activities of daily living. The ability of ED physicians using this French-TRST to accurately detect frail patients who require comprehensive geriatric assessment was assessed.

DESIGN

Prospective cross-sectional study on diagnostic accuracy relative to the gold standard, namely, geriatrician-administered SEGA.

SETTING

Tertiary-care hospital, France.

SUBJECTS AND MEASUREMENTS

The participants were 498 ≥75-year-old patients who visited the ED in 2018-2019 and were administered French-TRSTs by first ED physicians and then geriatricians, followed by SEGA, all within 24 hours. Diagnostic accuracy variables were calculated. Geriatrician-TRST was used to identify TRST items that associated with ED physician misclassification of frail patients.

RESULTS

Emergency-TRST was significantly less sensitive than Geriatrician-TRST (88% vs. 93%; p=0.04) and tended to have lower negative predictive value (66% vs. 77%; p=0.09). Emergency-TRSTs rated four French-TRST items less well than Geriatrician-TRSTs.

CONCLUSIONS

As a substitute for SEGA in the ED, the French-TRST performed quite well overall but the ED physicians detected frail patients less well than the geriatricians. Modifications of the French-TRST that may improve the diagnostic performance of ED physicians are discussed.

Predictors of Delayed Emergency Department Throughput Among Blunt Trauma Patients

BACKGROUND

Delayed emergency department (ED) LOS has been associated with increased mortality and increased hospital length of stay (LOS) for various patient populations. Trauma patients often require significant effort in evaluation, workup, and disposition; however, patient and hospital characteristics associated with increased LOS in the ED for trauma patients remain unclear.

METHODS

The Trauma Quality Improvement Project database (2014-2016) was queried for all adult blunt trauma patients. Patients discharged from the ED to the operating room were excluded. Univariate and multivariable linear regression analysis was conducted to identify independent predictors of ED LOS, controlling for patient characteristics (age, gender, race, insurance status), hospital characteristics (teaching status, ACS trauma verification level, geographic region), abbreviated injury scale and comorbid status.

RESULTS

412,000 patients met inclusion criteria for analysis. When controlling for covariates, an increase in age by 1 y resulted in 0.63 increased minutes in the ED (P < 0.001). In multivariable linear regression controlling for injury severity and comorbid conditions, non-white race groups, university status, and northeast region were associated with increased ED LOS. Black and Hispanic patients spent on average 41 and 42 more minutes, respectively, in the ED room when compared with white patients (P < 0.001). Patients seen at University hospitals spent 52 more minutes in the ED when compared with community hospitals, whereas patients at nonteaching hospitals spent 31 fewer minutes (P < 0.001). Patients seen in the Midwest spent the least amount of time in the ED, with patients in the South, West, and Northeast spending 45, 36, and 89 more minutes, respectively (P < 0.001). Non-Medicaid patients at level 1 trauma centers and those requiring intensive care admission had significantly decreased ED LOS. Medicaid patients took the longest to move through the ED with Medicare, BlueCross, and Private insurance outpacing them by 17, 23, and 23 min, respectively (P < 0.001). ACS level 1 trauma centers moved patients through the ED fastest, whereas ACS level II trauma centers and level III trauma centers moved patients through 50 and 130 min slower when compared with ACS level 1 trauma centers (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

ED LOS varied significantly by patient and hospital characteristics. Medicaid patients and those patients at university hospitals were associated with significantly higher ED LOS, whereas ACS trauma verification level status had strong correlation with ED LOS. These results may allow targeted quality improvement programs to enhance ED LOS.

Strengths and weaknesses of the acute care systems in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands: what can we learn from each other?

Background

The demand on Emergency Departments and acute medical services is increasing internationally, creating pressure on health systems and negatively influencing the quality of delivered care. Visible consequences of the increased demand on acute services is crowding and queuing. This manifests as delays in the Emergency Departments, adverse clinical outcomes and poor patient experience.

Overview

Despite the similarities in the UK’s and Dutch health care systems, such as universal health coverage, there are differences in the number of patients presenting at the Emergency Departments and the burden of crowding between these countries. Given the similarities in funding, this paper explores the similarities and differences in the organisational structure of acute care in the UK and the Netherlands. In the Netherlands, less patients are seen at the ED than in England and the admission rate is higher. GPs and so-called GP-posts serve 24/7 as gatekeepers in acute care, but EDs are heterogeneously organised. In the UK, the acute care system has a number of different access points and the accessibility of GPs seems to be suboptimal. Acute ambulatory care may relieve the pressure from EDs and Acute Medical Units. In both countries the ageing population leads to a changing case mix at the ED with an increased amount of multimorbid patients with polypharmacy, requiring generalistic and multidisciplinary care.

Conclusion

The acute and emergency care in the Netherlands and the UK face similar challenges. We believe that each system has strengths that the other can learn from. The Netherlands may benefit from an acute ambulatory care system and the UK by optimizing the accessibility of GPs 24/7 and improving signposting for urgent care services. In both countries the changing case mix at the ED needs doctors who are superspecialists instead of subspecialists. Finally, to improve the organisation of health care, doctors need to be visible medical leaders and participate in the organisation of care.

Understanding Why Frequent Users of EMS Call 9-1-1: A Grounded Theory Study

INTRODUCTION

Frequent users of emergency medical services (EMS) have disproportionately high 9-1-1 call frequency. Evidence suggests that this small group burdens the health care system, leading to misallocation of already-limited health resources.

AIM

To understand frequent users' perceptions and experiences regarding EMS, as well as the driving factors underlying their frequent use.

METHOD

A grounded theory approach guided our qualitative research process. Participants older than 17 years who called EMS five or more times in the past year were consecutively sampled where each participant was contacted in the order they appeared on our list of potential participants for interviews until data saturation was achieved. Transcripts were analyzed to derive common themes among frequent EMS callers.

RESULTS

Frequent EMS calls often resulted from chronic medical conditions creating recurrent crisis situations, mental health issues as well as mobility issues, frequent noninjurious falls, and social isolation. Combined with these factors, perceptions of the purpose of EMS and social circumstances also contributed to the creation of complex health issues that influenced frequent EMS use. These findings can advise the development of future paramedicine programs and health promotion interventions.

Emergency department performances during overcrowding: the experience of the health protection agency of Brianza

Background: Hospital emergency departments (ED) can contribute to improve health outcomes and reduce costs of health care system. This study evaluated ED admissions during a twelve months period, analyzing characteristics of patients who underwent to emergency care in order to understand factors involved in ED overcrowding and promote adequate management. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed a twelve months window, with in-depth focus on December/January when almost all EDs reported overcrowding. All ED admissions were recorded in electronic schedules including: demographic characteristics, time/date of the access, incoming triage code, diagnosis, performed procedures, discharge, time/date of discharge. A backward multivariable logistic regression model was used to estimate relationships between investigated variables and ED pattern mortality. Results: A total of 416,299 ED admissions were analyzed. During the overcrowded period there was an increase in patients admissions (+32 patients per day, p = 0.0079) with a statistically significant rise of critical patients (+1.7% yellow codes and +0.7% red codes, p < 0.001) and older subjects (+1.4% patients aged 75 or more years, p < 0.001). Moreover, there were statistically significant increases in waiting times and in length of visits, a higher percentage of patients who were hospitalized (13.3% vs. 12.2%, p < 0.001), left ED (4.46% vs. 4.15%, p < 0.001) and died (0.27% vs. 0.17%, p < 0.0001). This latter result maintained a marginal statistical significance (OR = 1.16, 95% CI = 0.98–1.38, p = 0.075) after adjustment for confounding. Conclusion: Our study highlights that ED crowding can determine measurable worsening in ED services and patient outcomes as mortality, waiting times, lengths of stay, percentage of abandonment without being seen and, probably, costs. Thus, address ED crowding has to be considered an important public health priority requiring policymakers involvement.

Managing Older Patients Safely in the Time Critical Environment of an Emergency Department

Demand for emergency department (ED) services is increasing worldwide. The fastest growth in ED presentations is by patients aged ≥65 years, currently representing 18% of all attendances. Older patients present with more complex clinical conditions and multiple co-morbidities. This means they are likely to spend more time in ED, are more likely to be admitted to hospital, and are more likely to re-attend. The Safe Elderly Emergency Discharge (SEED) project aims to determine whether current models of emergency care ensure safe discharge and facilitate optimal health outcomes for older patients; and develop a tailored evidence-based care framework applicable to Australian and international settings. Risk screening for unsafe discharge will be conducted on patients aged ≥65 years discharged home from ED. Patients will be followed for 6 months post-ED presentation to monitor health outcomes and map their care journey. Demographic, clinical, and functional characteristics will be collected. The primary outcome is unsafe discharge, defined as unplanned re-presentation/admission within 30 days of the index presentation. Secondary outcomes include unplanned ED re-presentation/hospital admission within 6 months; patient experience; change in functional status; functional decline; health service utilisation; and death within 6 months. The effectiveness of the ED discharge risk screening tools for predicting unsafe discharge will be evaluated at 30 days and 6 months. SEED will determine the risk factors for unplanned ED re-presentation/hospital admission at 30 days for patients aged ≥65 years presenting to ED; which will inform the development of an evidence-based older patient care framework for EDs.

Applying sport psychology to improve clinical performance. MEDICAL TEACHER 2017;39:1205-1213. [PMID: 28784016 DOI: 10.1080/0142159x.2017.1359523]

Preparedness for practice has become an international theme within Medical Education: for healthcare systems to maintain their highest clinical standards, junior doctors must "hit the ground running" on beginning work. Despite demonstrating logical, structured assessment and management plans during their undergraduate examinations, many newly qualified doctors report difficulty in translating this theoretical knowledge into the real clinical environment. "Preparedness" must constitute more than the knowledge and skills acquired during medical school. Complexities of the clinical environment overwhelm some junior doctors, who acknowledge that they lack strategies to manage their anxieties, under-confidence and low self-efficacy. If uncontrolled, such negative emotions and behaviors may impede the delivery of time-critical treatment for acutely unwell patients and compound junior doctors' self-doubt, thus impacting future patient encounters. Medical Education often seeks inspiration from other industries for potential solutions to challenges. To address "preparedness for practice," this AMEE Guide highlights sport psychology: elite sportspeople train both physically and psychologically for their discipline. The latter promotes management of negative emotions, distractions and under-confidence, thus optimizing performance despite immense pressures of career-defining moments. Similar techniques might allow junior doctors to optimize patient care, especially within stressful situations. This AMEE Guide introduces the novel conceptual model, PERFORM, which targets the challenges faced by junior doctors on graduation. The model applies pre-performance routines from sport psychology with the self-regulatory processes of metacognition to the clinical context. This model could potentially equip junior doctors, and other healthcare professionals facing similar challenges, with strategies to optimize clinical care under the most difficult circumstances.

Suitability of current definitions of ambulatory care sensitive conditions for research in emergency department patients: a secondary health data analysis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the suitability of existing definitions of ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC) in the setting of an emergency department (ED) by assessing ACSC prevalence in patients admitted to hospital after their ED stay. The secondary aim was to identify ACSC suitable for specific application in the ED setting.

DESIGN

Observational clinical study with secondary health data.

SETTING

Two EDs of the Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin.

PARTICIPANTS

All medical ED patients of the 'The Charité Emergency Medicine Study' (CHARITEM) study, who were admitted as inpatients during the 1-year study period (n=13 536).

OUTCOME MEASURES

Prevalence of ACSC.

RESULTS

Prevalence of ACSC in the study population differed significantly depending on the respective ACSC set used. Prevalence ranged between 19.1% (95% CI 18.4% to 19.8%; n=2586) using the definition by Albrecht et al and 36.6% (95% CI 35.8% to 37.5%; n=4960) using the definition of Naumann et al. (p<0.001). Overall ACSC prevalence (ie, when using all diagnoses used in any of the assessed ACSC-definitions) was 48.1% (95% CI 47.2% to 48.9%; n=6505). Some frequently observed diagnoses such as 'convulsion and epilepsy' (prevalence: 3.4%, 95% CI 3.1% to 3.7%; n=455), 'diseases of the urinary system' (prevalence: 1.4%; 95% CI 1.2% to 1.6%; n=191) or 'atrial fibrillation and flutter' (prevalence: 1.0%, 95% CI 0.8% to 1.2%, n=134) are not included in all of the current ACSC definitions.

CONCLUSIONS

The results highlight the need for an optimised, ED-specific ACSC definition. Particular ACSC diagnoses (such as 'convulsion and epilepsy' or 'diseases of the urinary system' and others) seem to be of special relevance in an ED population but are not included in all available ACSC definitions. Further research towards the development of a suitable and specific ACSC definition for research in the ED setting seems warranted.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

German Clinical Trials Register Deutsches Register für Klinische Studien: DRKS-ID: DRKS00000261.

Designing and Implementation of a Heart Failure Telemonitoring System

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to identify patients at-risk, enhancing self-care management of HF patients at home and reduce the disease exacerbations and readmissions.

METHOD

In this research according to standard heart failure guidelines and Semi-structured interviews with 10 heart failure Specialists, a draft heart failure rule set for alerts and patient instructions was developed. Eventually, the clinical champion of the project vetted the rule set. Also we designed a transactional system to enhance monitoring and follow up of CHF patients. With this system, CHF patients are required to measure their physiological measurements (vital signs and body weight) every day and to submit their symptoms using the app. additionally, based on their data, they will receive customized notifications and motivation messages to classify risk of disease exacerbation. The architecture of system comprised of six major components: 1) a patient data collection suite including a mobile app and website; 2) Data Receiver; 3) Database; 4) a Specialists expert Panel; 5) Rule engine classifier; 6) Notifier engine.

RESULTS

This system has implemented in Iran for the first time and we are currently in the testing phase with 10 patients to evaluate the technical performance of our system. The developed expert system generates alerts and instructions based on the patient's data and the notify engine notifies responsible nurses and physicians and sometimes patients. Detailed analysis of those results will be reported in a future report.

CONCLUSION

This study is based on the design of a telemonitoring system for heart failure self-care that intents to overcome the gap that occurs when patients discharge from the hospital and tries to accurate requirement of readmission. A rule set for classifying and resulting automated alerts and patient instructions for heart failure telemonitoring was developed. It also facilitates daily communication among patients and heart failure clinicians so any deterioration in health could be identified immediately.

Trends in diagnostic patterns and mortality in emergency ambulance service patients in 2007-2014: a population-based cohort study from the North Denmark Region

OBJECTIVE

Demand for ambulances is growing. Nevertheless, knowledge is limited regarding diagnoses and outcomes in patients receiving emergency ambulances. This study aims to examine time trends in diagnoses and mortality among patients transported with emergency ambulance to hospital.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study with linkage of Danish national registries.

SETTING

The North Denmark Region in 2007-2014.

PARTICIPANTS

Cohort of 148 757 patients transported to hospital by ambulance after calling emergency services.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The number of emergency ambulance service patients, distribution of their age, sex, hospital diagnoses, comorbidity, and 1-day and 30-day mortality were assessed by calendar year. Poisson regression with robust variance estimation was used to estimate both age-and sex-adjusted relative risk of death and prevalence ratios for Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to allow comparison by year, with 2007 as reference year.

RESULTS

The annual number of emergency ambulance service patients increased from 24.3 in 2007 to 40.2 in 2014 per 1000 inhabitants. The proportions of women increased from 43.1% to 46.4% and of patients aged 60+ years from 39.9% to 48.6%, respectively. The proportion of injuries gradually declined, non-specific diagnoses increased, especially the last year. Proportion of patients with high comorbidity (CCI≥3) increased from 6.4% in 2007 to 9.4% in 2014, corresponding to an age- and sex-adjusted prevalence ratio of 1.27 (95% CI 1.16 to 1.39). The 1-day and 30 day mortality decreased from 2.40% to 1.21% and from 5.01% to 4.36%, respectively, from 2007 to 2014, corresponding to age-adjusted and sex-adjusted relative risk of 0.43 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.50) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.79), respectively.

CONCLUSION

During the 8-year period, the incidence of emergency ambulance service patients, the proportion of women, elderly, and non-specific diagnoses increased. The level of comorbidity increased substantially, whereas the 1-day and 30-day mortality decreased.

The use of computerized clinical decision support systems in emergency care: a substantive review of the literature

OBJECTIVES

: This paper provides a substantive review of international literature evaluating the impact of computerized clinical decision support systems (CCDSSs) on the care of emergency department (ED) patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

: A literature search was conducted using Medline, Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Embase electronic resources, and gray literature. Studies were selected if they compared the use of a CCDSS with usual care in a face-to-face clinical interaction in an ED.

RESULTS

: Of the 23 studies included, approximately half demonstrated a statistically significant positive impact on aspects of clinical care with the use of CCDSSs. The remaining studies showed small improvements, mainly around documentation. However, the methodological quality of the studies was poor, with few or no controls to mitigate against confounding variables. The risk of bias was high in all but 6 studies.

DISCUSSION

: The ED environment is complex and does not lend itself to robust quantitative designs such as randomized controlled trials. The quality of the research in ∼75% of the studies was poor, and therefore conclusions cannot be drawn from these results. However, the studies with a more robust design show evidence of the positive impact of CCDSSs on ED patient care.

CONCLUSION

This is the first review to consider the role of CCDSSs in emergency care and expose the research in this area. The role of CCDSSs in emergency care may provide some solutions to the current challenges in EDs, but further high-quality research is needed to better understand what technological solutions can offer clinicians and patients.

"They Shouldn't Be Coming to the ED, Should They?": A Descriptive Service Evaluation of Why Patients With Palliative Care Needs Present to the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND

Patients with palliative care needs frequently attend the emergency department (ED). There is no international agreement on which patients are best cared for in the ED, compared to the primary care setting or direct admission to the hospital. This article presents the quantitative phase of a mixed-methods service evaluation, exploring the reasons why patients with palliative care needs present to the ED.

METHODS

This is a single-center, observational study including all patients under the care of a specialist palliative care team who presented to the ED over a 10-week period. Demographic and clinical data were collected from electronic health records.

RESULTS

A total of 105 patients made 112 presentations to the ED. The 2 most common presenting complaints were shortness of breath (35%) and pain (28%). Eighty-three percent of presentations required care in the ED according to a priori defined criteria. They either underwent urgent investigation or received immediate interventions that could not be delivered in another setting, were referred by a health-care professional, or were admitted.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings challenge the misconception that patients known to a palliative care team should be cared for outside the ED. The importance and necessity of the ED for patients in their last years of life has been highlighted, specifically in terms of managing acute, unpredictable crises. Future service provision should not be based solely on a patient's presenting complaint. Further qualitative research exploring patient perspective is required in order to explore the decision-making process that leads patients with palliative care needs to the ED.

Trends and predicted trends in presentations of older people to Australian emergency departments: effects of demand growth, population aging and climate change

Objectives The aim of the present study was to describe trends in and age and gender distributions of presentations of older people to Australian emergency departments (EDs) from July 2006 to June 2011, and to develop ED utilisation projections to 2050. Methods A retrospective analysis of data collected in the National Non-admitted Patient Emergency Department Care Database was undertaken to assess trends in ED presentations. Three standard Australian Bureau of Statistics population growth models, with and without adjustment for current trends in ED presentation growth and effects of climate change, were examined with projections of ED presentations across three age groups (0–64, 65–84 and ≥85 years) to 2050. Results From 2006–07 to 2010–11, ED presentations increased by 12.63%, whereas the Australian population over this time increased by only 7.26%. Rates of presentation per head of population were greatest among those aged ≥85 years. Projections of ED presentations to 2050 revealed that overall ED presentations are forecast to increase markedly, with the rate of increase being most marked for older people. Conclusion Growth in Australian ED presentations from 2006–07 to 2010–11 was greater than that expected from population growth alone. The predicted changes in demand for ED care will only be able to be optimally managed if Australian health policy, ED funding instruments and ED models of care are adjusted to take into account the specific care and resource needs of older people. What is known about the topic? Rapid population aging is anticipated over coming decades. International studies and specific local-level Australian studies have demonstrated significant growth in ED presentations. There have been no prior national-level Australian studies of ED presentation trends by age group. What does this paper add? The present study examined national ED presentation trends from July 2006 to June 2011, with specific emphasis on trends in presentation by age group. ED presentation growth was found to exceed population growth in all age groups. The rate of ED presentations per head of population was highest among those aged ≥85 years. ED utilisation projections to 2050, using standard Australian Bureau of Statistics population modelling, with and without adjustment for current ED growth, were developed. The projections demonstrated linear growth in ED presentation for those aged 0–84 years, with growth in ED presentations of the ≥85 year age group demonstrating marked acceleration after 2030. What are the implications for practitioners? Growth in ED presentations exceeding population growth suggests that current models of acute health care delivery require review to ensure that optimal care is delivered in the most fiscally efficient manner. Trends in presentation of older people emphasise the imperative for ED workforce planning and education in care of this complex patient cohort, and the requirement to review funding models to incentivise investment in ED avoidance and substitutive care models targeting older people.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome is more associated with bacteremia in elderly patients with suspected sepsis in emergency departments

Early diagnosis of bacteremia for patients with suspected sepsis is 1 way to improve prognosis of sepsis. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) has long been utilized as a screening tool to detect bacteremia by front-line healthcare providers. The value of SIRS to predict bacteremia in elderly patients (≥65 years) with suspected sepsis has not yet been examined in emergency departments (EDs).We aimed to evaluate the performance of SIRS components in predicting bacteremia among elderly patients in EDs.We retrospectively evaluated patients with suspected sepsis and 2 sets of blood culture collected within 4 hours after admitting to ED in a tertiary teaching hospital between 2010 and 2012. Patients were categorized into 3-year age groups: young (18-64 years), young-old (65-74 years), and old patients (≥75 years). Vital signs and Glasgow Coma Scale with verbal response obtained at the triage, comorbidities, sites of infection, blood cultures, and laboratory results were retrieved via the electronic medical records.A total of 20,192 patients were included in our study. Among them, 9862 (48.9%) were the elderly patients (young-old and old patients), 2656 (13.2%) developed bacteremia. Among patients with bacteremia, we found the elderly patients had higher SIRS performance (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 2.40, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.90-3.03 in the young-old and aOR: 2.66, 95% CI: 2.19-3.23 in the old). Fever at the triage was most predictive of bacteremia, especially in the elderly patients (aOR: 2.19, 95% CI: 1.81-2.65 in the young-old and aOR: 2.27, 95% CI: 1.95-2.63 in the old), and tachypnea was not predictive of bacteremia among the elderly patients (all P > 0.2).The performance of SIRS to predict bacteremia was more suitable for elderly patients in EDs observed in this study. The elderly patients presented with more fever and less tachypnea when they had bacteremia.

Impact of population ageing on growing demand for emergency transportation to emergency departments in Western Australia, 2005-2020

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present paper is to quantify the impact of population ageing on demand for emergency transportation (ET) to EDs in Western Australia (WA).

METHODS

A population-based longitudinal study using the statewide ED presentation data from 2005-2014 was used to predict ET demand in 2020, stratified by age group and sex.

RESULTS

From 2005 to 2014, 14.9% of all ED presentations arrived by ET. The number rose from 94 369 (13.9%) in 2005 to 153 374 (15.5%) in 2014, a compound annual growth of 5.5%. Of those presentations, 55.2% resulted in hospital admission. The proportion was higher in older age groups (64.5% in 65-74 years, 67.1% in 75-84 years and 68.4% in ≥85 years). Of ED presentations arriving by ET in age group ≥65 years, 70.9% were Australasian Triage Scale category 1, 2 or 3. The rate of ET per 1000 population increased in all age groups and sex. The highest growth was in the older age groups: from 86.6, 187.0 and 512.1 in ages 65-74 years, 75-84 years and ≥85 years, respectively, in 2005 to 102.5, 226.7 and 613.6 in 2014, and are expected to increase to 115.1, 264.3 and 707.7 by 2020. The ET demands in these age groups were projected to increase annually by 5.0%, 3.6% and 4.9%, respectively, in the next 6 years, comparing to less than 4.5% in the younger age groups.

CONCLUSION

There has been a continuous rise in ET demand in WA, particularly in older people who have a higher urgency and requirement for admission.

Sustaining critical care: using evidence-based simulation to evaluate ICU management policies

Intensive Care Units (ICU) are costly yet critical hospital departments that should be available to care for patients needing highly specialized critical care. Shortage of ICU beds in many regions of the world and the constant fire-fighting to make these beds available through various ICU management policies motivated this study. The paper discusses the application of a generic system dynamics model of emergency patient flow in a typical hospital, populated with empirical evidence found in the medical and hospital administration literature, to explore the dynamics of intended and unintended consequences of such ICU management policies under a natural disaster crisis scenario. ICU management policies that can be implemented by a single hospital on short notice, namely premature transfer from ICU, boarding in ward, and general ward admission control, along with their possible combinations, are modeled and their impact on managerial and health outcome measures are investigated. The main insight out of the study is that the general ward admission control policy outperforms the rest of ICU management policies under such crisis scenarios with regards to reducing total mortality, which is counter intuitive for hospital administrators as this policy is not very effective at alleviating the symptoms of the problem, namely high ED and ICU occupancy rates that are closely monitored by hospital management particularly in times of crisis. A multivariate sensitivity analysis on parameters with diverse range of values in the literature found the superiority of the general ward admission control to hold true in every scenario.

Emergency department enlargement in China: exciting or bothering

BACKGROUND

Emergency department (ED) enlargement became a trend with its development. However, there came some problems such as ED overcrowding and increasing medical disputes. Here we did a survey about the development tendency of EDs in 3A grade hospitals in China, analysed the problems we facing and rendered some solutions combining some special characteristics in China.

METHODS

We randomly selected 17 3A grade general hospitals from 12 provinces from the 50 members of Chinese College of Emergency Physician. A questionnaire survey was conducted. The basic information and problems of EDs were collected and analysed.

RESULTS

The gross area, the number of beds and the attention paid by the hospitals of EDs increased during the development, so did the patients admitted to EDs, also more doctors and nurses devoted into emergency medicine. But it had become more difficult for doctors to admit ED patients to inpatient wards. Besides the problem of increasing crowding degree, EDs faced more medical disputes and complains during the development.

CONCLUSIONS

ED expanding was the result of emergency medicine development, but the enlargement of ED should be more rational. We should improve our doctors' medical skills, optimize the health system, pay more attention to preventive medicine and push hard for health-care reform instead of forcing ED enlargement to satisfy the need for ED.

Factors Contributing to Inappropriate Visits of Frequent Attenders and Their Economic Effects at an Emergency Department in Singapore

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to determine which factors contribute to frequent visits at the emergency department (ED) and what proportion were inappropriate in comparison with nonfrequent visits.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective, case-control study comparing a random sample of frequent attenders and nonfrequent attenders, with details of their ED visits recorded over a 12-month duration. Frequent attenders were defined as patients with four or more visits during the study period.

RESULTS

In comparison with nonfrequent attenders (median age = 45.0 years, interquartile range [IQR] = 28.0 to 61.0 years), frequent attenders were older (median = 57.5 years, IQR = 34.0 to 74.8 years; p = 0.0003). They were also found to have more comorbidities, where 53.3% of frequent attenders had three or more chronic illnesses compared to 14% of nonfrequent attenders (p < 0.0001), and were often triaged to higher priority (more severe) classes (frequent 52.2% vs. nonfrequent 37.6%, p = 0.0004). Social issues such as bad debts (12.7%), heavy drinking (3.3%), and substance abuse (2.7%) were very low in frequent attenders compared to Western studies. Frequent attenders had a similar rate of appropriate visits to the ED as nonfrequent attenders (55.2% vs. 48.1%, p = 0.0892), but were more often triaged to P1 priority triage class (6.7% vs. 3.2%, p = 0.0014) and were more often admitted for further management compared to nonfrequent attenders (47.5% vs. 29.6%, p < 0.001). The majority of frequent attender visits were appropriate (55.2%), and of these, 81.1% resulted in admission. For the same number of patients, total visits made by frequent attenders ($174,247.60) cost four times as much as for nonfrequent attenders ($40,912.40). This represents a significant economic burden on the health care system.

CONCLUSIONS

ED frequent attenders in Singapore were associated with higher age and presence of multiple comorbidities rather than with social causes of ED use. Even in integrated health systems, repeat ED visits are frequent and expensive, despite minimal social causes of acute care. EDs in aging populations must anticipate the influx of vulnerable, elderly patients and have in place interventional programs to care for them.

Emergency physician workload modeling

Background:

A variety of models are used by hospitals, provincial governments, and departments of emergency medicine to “predict” the number of physician hours of coverage necessary to staff emergency departments. These models have arisen to meet specific requirements—some for the purpose of determining hourly rates of compensation, others to determine the amount of funding that will be provided to “purchase” physician coverage, and others to determine the number of hours of coverage necessary to maintain patient waits within “acceptable” limits. All such models have their strengths and weaknesses and have been criticized as not reflecting the “real” needs of any given department.

Objective:

In the article that follows, a review of existing models is presented, annotating their strengths and weaknesses to derive the characteristics of an “ideal” workload model.

Conclusion:

None of the models currently used to measure emergency department workload can be relied on to accurately predict the number of staffed hours necessary. Models that may achieve this objective are suggested.

Unscheduled-return-visits after an emergency department (ED) attendance and clinical link between both visits in patients aged 75 years and over: a prospective observational study

Background

Predictors of unscheduled return visits (URV), best time-frame to evaluate URV rate and clinical relationship between both visits have not yet been determined for the elderly following an ED visit.

Methods

We conducted a prospective-observational study including 11,521 patients aged ≥75-years and discharged from ED (5,368 patients (53.5%)) or hospitalized after ED visit (6,153 patients). Logistic Regression and time-to-failure analyses including Cox proportional model were performed.

Results

Mean time to URV was 17 days; 72-hour, 30-day and 90-day URV rates were 1.8%, 6.1% and 10% respectively. Multivariate analysis indicates that care-pathway and final disposition decisions were significantly associated with a 30-day URV. Thus, we evaluated predictors of 30-day URV rates among non-admitted and hospitalized patient groups. By using the Cox model we found that, for non-admitted patients, triage acuity and diagnostic category and, for hospitalized patients, that visit time (day, night) and diagnostic categories were significant predictors (p<0.001). For URV, we found that 25% were due to closely related-clinical conditions. Time lapses between both visits constituted the strongest predictor of closely related-clinical conditions.

Conclusion

Our study shows that a decision of non-admission in emergency departments is linked with an accrued risk of URV, and that some diagnostic categories are also related for non-admitted and hospitalized subjects alike. Our study also demonstrates that the best time frame to evaluate the URV rate after an ED visit is 30 days, because this is the time period during which most URVs and cases with close clinical relationships between two visits are concentrated. Our results suggest that URV can be used as an indicator or quality.

Impact of observation on disposition of elderly patients presenting to emergency departments with non-specific complaints

Background

Emergency Departments (EDs) have to cope with an increasing number of elderly patients, often presenting with non-specific complaints (NSC), such as generalized weakness. Acute morbidity requiring early intervention is present in the majority of patients with NSC. Therefore, an early and optimal disposition plan is crucial. The objective of this study was to prospectively study the disposition process of patients presenting to the ED with NSC.

Methods

For two years, all patients presenting with NSC presenting to an urban ED were screened and consecutively included. The initial disposition plan was compared to the effective transfer after observation. Optimal disposition was defined as a high accuracy regarding disposition of patients with acute morbidity to an internal medicine ward.

Results

The final study population consisted of 669 patients with NSC. Admission to internal medicine increased from 297 (44%) planned admissions to 388 (58%) effective admissions after observation. Conversely, transfers to geriatric community hospitals and discharges decreased from the initially planned 372 (56%) patients to 281 (42%) effectively transferred and discharged patients. The accuracy regarding disposition of patients with acute morbidity increased from 53% to 68% after observation.

Conclusion

Disposition planning in patients with NSC improves after observation, if defined by the accuracy regarding hospitalization of patients with acute morbidity. Further research should focus on risk stratification tools for timely disposition planning in order to reduce high admission rates for patients without acute morbidity and high readmission rates for discharged patients with non-specific complaints.

Geriatric syndromes predict postdischarge outcomes among older emergency department patients: findings from the interRAI Multinational Emergency Department Study

OBJECTIVES

Identifying older emergency department (ED) patients with clinical features associated with adverse postdischarge outcomes may lead to improved clinical reasoning and better targeting for preventative interventions. Previous studies have used single-country samples to identify limited sets of determinants for a limited number of proxy outcomes. The objective of this study was to identify and compare geriatric syndromes that influence the probability of postdischarge outcomes among older ED patients from a multinational context.

METHODS

A multinational prospective cohort study of ED patients aged 75 years or older was conducted. A total of 13 ED sites from Australia, Belgium, Canada, Germany, Iceland, India, and Sweden participated. Patients who were expected to die within 24 hours or did not speak the native language were excluded. Of the 2,475 patients approached for inclusion, 2,282 (92.2%) were enrolled. Patients were assessed at ED admission with the interRAI ED Contact Assessment, a geriatric ED assessment. Outcomes were examined for patients admitted to a hospital ward (62.9%, n=1,436) or discharged to a community setting (34.0%, n=775) after an ED visit. Overall, 3% of patients were lost to follow-up. Hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge to higher level of care was recorded for patients admitted to a hospital ward. Any ED or hospital use within 28 days of discharge was recorded for patients discharged to a community setting. Unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were used to describe determinants using standard and multilevel logistic regression.

RESULTS

A multi-country model including living alone (OR=1.78, p≤0.01), informal caregiver distress (OR=1.69, p=0.02), deficits in ambulation (OR=1.94, p≤0.01), poor self-report (OR = 1.84, p≤0.01), and traumatic injury (OR=2.18, p≤0.01) best described older patients at risk of longer hospital lengths of stay. A model including recent ED visits (OR=2.10, p≤0.01), baseline functional impairment (OR=1.68, p≤0.01), and anhedonia (OR=1.73, p≤0.01) best described older patients at risk of proximate repeat hospital use. A sufficiently accurate and generalizable model to describe the risk of discharge to higher levels of care among admitted patients was not achieved.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite markedly different health care systems, the probability of long hospital lengths of stay and repeat hospital use among older ED patients is detectable at the multinational level with moderate accuracy. This study demonstrates the potential utility of incorporating common geriatric clinical features in routine clinical examination and disposition planning for older patients in EDs.

In-reach nursing services improve older patient outcomes and access to emergency care

AIMS

To identify the impact of in-reach services providing specialist nursing care on outcomes for older people presenting to the emergency department from residential aged care.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study compared clinical outcomes of 2278 presentations from 2009 with 2051 presentations from 2011 before and after the implementation of in-reach services.

RESULTS

Median emergency department length of stay decreased by 24 minutes (7.0 vs 6.6 hours, P < 0.001) and admission rates decreased by 23% (68 vs 45%, P < 0.001). The proportion of people with repeat emergency department visits within six months decreased by 12% (27 vs 15%). The proportion of admitted patients who were discharged with an end of life palliative care plan increased by 13% (8 vs 21%, P = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a significant reduction in the median length of stay, fewer hospital admissions and fewer repeat visits for people from residential aged care following implementation of in-reach services.

Emergency demand and repeat attendances by older patients

BACKGROUND

Population ageing is projected to impact on health services utilisation including Emergency Departments (ED), with older patients reportedly having a high rate of return visits. We describe and compare patterns in ED utilisation between older and younger adults, and quantify the proportion and rate of return visits.

METHODS

Population-based retrospective analysis of metropolitan Melbourne public hospital ED data, 1999/2000 to 2008/2009. Numbers of patients, presentations, re-presentations and rates per 1000 population were calculated, with comparison of older (aged ≥ 70 years) and younger (15-69 years) attendances.

RESULTS

Population growth in each age group was similar over the study period, yet ED presentations rose by 72% for older adults compared with a 59% increase for younger adults. Rates per 1000 population rose with increasing age. Of the population aged ≥ 70 years, 39% presented to ED compared with 17% of the population aged 15-69 years in 2008/2009. Twenty-seven per cent of the increase in older adult presentations was driven by a cohort who attended ≥ 4 times in 2008/2009. The number of older patients presenting ≥ 4 times doubled over the decade, contributing to 23% of all older presentations in 2008/2009. ED length of stay rose with increasing age; 69% of older adults remained in ED for ≥ 4 h compared with 39% of younger adults in 2008/2009. The number of older adult ED hospital admissions doubled over the decade.

CONCLUSIONS

Older patients are disproportionately represented among ED attendances. They also have an increasing propensity to re-present to ED, indicating a need to identify the clinical, social and health system-related risk factors for re-attendance by specific patients.

Health systems organization for emergency care

The increasing number of acute and severe digestive diseases presenting to hospital emergency departments, mainly related with an ageing population, demands an appropriate answer from health systems organization, taking into account the escalating pressure on cost reduction. However, patients expect and deserve a response that is appropriate, effective, efficient and safe. The huge variety of variables which can influence the evolution of such cases warranting intensive monitoring, and the coordination and optimization of a range of human and technical resources involved in the care of these high-risk patients, requires their admission in hospital units with conveniently equipped facilities, as is done for heart attack and stroke patients. Little information of gastroenterology emergencies as a function of structure, processes and outcome is available at the organizational level. Surveys that have been conducted in different countries just assess local treatment outcome and question the organizational structure and existing resources but its impact on the outcome is not clear. Most studies address the problem of upper gastrointestinal bleeding and the out-of-hours endoscopy services in the hospital setting. The demands placed on emergency (part of the overall continuum of care) are obvious, as are the needs for the efficient use of resources and processes to improve the quality of care, meaning data must cover the full care cycle. Gastrointestinal emergencies, namely gastrointestinal bleeding, must be incorporated into the overall emergency response as is done for heart attack and stroke. This chapter aims to provide a review of current literature/evidence on organizational health system models towards a better management of gastroenterology emergencies and proposes a research agenda.

Current status of emergency airway management for elderly patients in Korea: Multicentre study using the Korean Emergency Airway Management Registry

OBJECTIVE

We report the current status of emergency airway management in elderly Korean patients by analysing a multicentre registry database in order to provide quality emergency airway management to elderly patients.

METHODS

The present study was designed as a retrospective, subgroup analysis of the registry of Korean Emergency Airway Management Society. We analysed rapid sequence intubation rate, first pass success rate and complications.

RESULTS

The study consisted of 4891 patients aged 65 years and older. The anticipation rate of difficult airway for age younger than 65 years, age 65 years and older and age 80 years and older was 15.8% (805/5090; 95% confidence interval [CI], 14.8-16.8), 12.0% (376/3146; 95% CI, 10.9-13.1) and 8.5% (97/1140; 95% CI, 7.0-10.0) respectively (P < 0.001). Rapid sequence intubation was performed on 27.8% (1683/6051; 95% CI, 26.7-29.0) of the patients aged younger than 65 years, 26.5% (954/3599; 95% CI, 25.1-28.0) of the patients aged between 65 and 79 years and 25.2% (325/1292; 95% CI, 22.8-27.6) of the patients aged 80 years and older (P = 0.097). First pass success was shown in 4837 (79.9%; 95% CI, 78.9-80.9) of 6051 patients aged less than 65 years, 2868 (79.7%; 95% CI, 78.3-81.0) of 3599 patients aged between 65 and 79 years and 1069 (82.7%; 95% CI, 80.5-84.7) of 1292 patients aged 80 years and older (P = 0.047). No differences were found between each group in the comparison of complication incidence by age (P = 0.686).

CONCLUSIONS

Similar success and complication rates were found for emergency airway management in elderly patients compared with patients aged less than 65 years.

Profiles of older patients in the emergency department: findings from the interRAI Multinational Emergency Department Study

STUDY OBJECTIVE

We examine functional profiles and presence of geriatric syndromes among older patients attending 13 emergency departments (EDs) in 7 nations.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of a convenience sample of patients, aged 75 years and older, recruited sequentially and mainly during normal working hours. Clinical observations were drawn from the interRAI Emergency Department Screener, with assessments performed by trained nurses.

RESULTS

A sample of 2,282 patients (range 98 to 549 patients across nations) was recruited. Before becoming unwell, 46% were dependent on others in one or more aspects of personal activities of daily living. This proportion increased to 67% at presentation to the ED. In the ED, 26% exhibited evidence of cognitive impairment, and 49% could not walk without supervision. Recent falls were common (37%). Overall, at least 48% had a geriatric syndrome before becoming unwell, increasing to 78% at presentation to the ED. This pattern was consistent across nations.

CONCLUSION

Functional problems and geriatric syndromes affect the majority of older patients attending the ED, which may have important implications for clinical protocols and design of EDs.

Demography is destiny: an agenda for geriatric emergency medicine in Australasia

The present paper presents an agenda for geriatric emergency medicine research, education and policy development. Herein we will argue: Population ageing is the definitive health policy challenge in Australasia, and the greatest stressor for emergency medicine posed by population ageing is the disproportionate contribution of older people to hospital occupancy. ED practices and models of care may on occasions contribute to rather than reduce high hospital occupancy in older people, benefitting neither individual patients nor the community at large. Geriatric emergency medicine priorities can be conceptualised using a simple framework, and this process will facilitate a research and policy focus on how to achieve equivalent or improved care for older people with less hospital occupancy.

Predictive factors for longer length of stay in an emergency department: a prospective multicentre study evaluating the impact of age, patient's clinical acuity and complexity, and care pathways

BACKGROUND

It has been reported that emergency department length of stay (ED-LOS) for older patients is longer than average. Our objective was to determine the effect of age, patient's clinical acuity and complexity, and care pathways on ED-LOS and ED plus observation unit (EDOU) LOS (EDOU-LOS).

METHODS

This was a prospective, multicentre, observational study including all patients attending in 2011. Age groups were: I, <50; II, ≥50-64; III, ≥65-74; IV, ≥75-84; V, ≥85 years. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of 125 478 attendances, 20 845(16.6%) were of patients aged ≥65 years. Multivariate analysis found significant predictors for ED-LOS (C-statistics 0.79, p<0.0000001) to be: arrival mode (ambulance, OR 1.13 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.18)); acuity level (level 4, OR 1.24 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.28); level 1-3, OR 1.54 (95% CI 1.5 to 1.59)); haematological examinations (OR 3.34 (95% CI 3.15 to 3.56)); intravenous treatment (OR 1.58 (95% CI 1.47 to 1.69)); monitoring of vital signs (OR 1.89 (95% CI 1.69 to 2.10)); x-ray examinations (OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.45 to 1.61)); CT/MRI/ultrasound (OR 2.60 (95% CI 2.39 to 2.82)); and specialist advice (OR 1.39 (95% CI 1.30 to 1.48)). For EDOU-LOS (C-statistics 0.81, p<0.0000001) we found: age group (II, OR 1.19 (95% CI 1.16 to 1.22); III, OR 1.42 (95% CI 1.38 to 1.46); IV, OR 1.69 (95% CI 1.65 to 1.74); V, 2.01 (95% CI 1.96 to 2.07)); acuity level (level 4, OR 1.31 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.35); level 1-3, OR 1.71 (95% CI 1.66 to 1.77)); haematological examinations (OR 7.81 (95% CI 7.23 to 8.43)); intravenous treatment (OR 1.95 (95% CI 1.8 to 2.12)); x-ray examinations (OR 1.95 (95% CI 1.85 to 2.06)); CT/MRI/ultrasound (OR 6.74 (95% CI 5.98 to 7.6)); specialist advice (OR 2.24 (95% CI 2.07 to 2.42)); admission to a medical or surgical ward (OR 0.61 (95% CI 0.54 to 0.68)); and transfer (OR 1.79 (95% CI 1.54 to 2.07)).

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas ED-LOS and EDOU-LOS seem to be directly related to patients' acuity and complexity, notably the need for diagnostic and therapeutic interventions, only EDOU-LOS was significantly associated with age and proposed care pathways. We propose that EDOU-LOS measurement should be made in EDs with an OU.

Care of the older adult in the emergency department: nurses views of the pressing issues

PURPOSE

The purpose of the study was to describe nurses' views of the issues to be addressed to improve care of the older adult in the emergency department (ED).

DESIGN AND METHODS

An exploratory content analysis examined the qualitative responses of 527 registered nurses from 49 U.S. hospitals who completed the Geriatric Institutional Profile.

RESULTS

5 central themes emerged from the analysis, representing a lack of older person hospital environment fit in the ED: (a) respect for the older adult and carers, (b) correct and best procedures and treatment, (c) time and staff to do things right, (d) transitions, and (e) a safe and enabling environment. The nurses offered solutions to address lack of fit, including modifications to the social climate, policies and procedures, care systems and processes, and physical design.

IMPLICATIONS

The nurses' descriptions of the pressing issues surrounding care of older adults in the ED provide useful information to consider when developing a senior-friendly ED. Results also illuminate solutions that can be taken to address issues. These solutions give direction for future intervention research.