Low progression of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms with worrisome features and high-risk stigmata undergoing non-operative management: a mid-term follow-up analysis

Cross-Sectional Imaging Characteristics of Pancreatic Intraductal Oncocytic Papillary Neoplasms

PURPOSE

Pancreatic intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasms (IOPN) are rare precursors to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. We report cross-sectional computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging (where available) findings of pancreatic IOPNs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive cases of pancreatic IOPNs identified on pathology between 2008 and 2020 at University of Pittsburgh and Johns Hopkins University were included in the study. Cross-sectional imaging of all patients was reviewed by two subspecialty trained abdominal radiologists. Patient demographics, cross-sectional imaging appearances and growth characteristics were evaluated.

RESULTS

In this dual-center study, 14 patients with IOPNs were included. Median age was 64 years, and 64% were male. The median size of the lesions was 5.4 cm (range, 1.4-12.3 cm). All patients had either an enhancing mural nodule (93% of patients) and/or thick internal septations (29%). Thin/imperceptible outer wall was seen in 93%. Main duct was involved in 64% of the cases. Only 14% of the cases did not demonstrate abutment of the main duct. Histologic evaluation of surgical specimen showed high-grade dysplasia without invasive carcinoma in 57% and invasive carcinoma in 43% of cases. Lesions with invasive carcinoma were larger (7.1 cm vs 4.3 cm, P = 0.05) and tended to have larger mural nodule (3.7 cm vs 1.8 cm) compared with those without invasive carcinoma.

CONCLUSION

Pancreatic IOPNs are rare cystic premalignant lesions, which among resected cases, are predominantly seen in middle aged men, are often large, have enhancing mural nodules and frequently harbor invasive carcinoma.

The multidisciplinary pancreatic cyst clinic: A collaborative approach to streamlined management

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cysts are often incidentally detected on routine imaging studies. Of these, mucinous cysts have a malignant potential. Several guidelines propose different management strategies, and implementation in patient care is inconsistent in the absence of dedicated infrastructure.

METHODS

To address the challenges of pancreatic cyst diagnosis and management, we established a multidisciplinary pancreas cyst clinic (PCC) within our health system. This clinic encompasses both tertiary care academic centers and community hospitals, with leadership from surgical oncology, gastroenterology, and radiology. Our PCC's primary goal is to provide accurate diagnosis and tailored management recommendations for all patients with pancreatic cysts. Additionally, we maintain a prospective database to study the disease's natural history and the outcomes of various treatment strategies.

CLINIC INFRASTRUCTURE

The clinic meets once per week for 45 min virtually via Zoom in the mornings. Patients are referred via electronic medical record (EMR) order, telephone call, or email from patient or referring provider. A dedicated advanced practice provider reviews referrals several times per day, calls patients to gather clinical data, ensures imaging is uploaded, and coordinates logistical aspects of the meeting during the dedicated time. Conferences are attended by representatives from surgery, radiology, medical pancreatology, and interventional gastroenterology. Each patient case is reviewed in detail and recommendations are submitted to referring providers and patients via an EMR message and letter. For patients requiring imaging surveillance, patients are followed longitudinally by the referring provider, gastroenterology team, or surgical team. For patients requiring endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) or surgical consultation, expedited referral to these services is made with prompt subsequent evaluation.

RESULTS

A total of 1052 patients from our health system were evaluated between 2020 and 2021. Of these, 196 (18.6 %) underwent EUS, 41 (3.9 %) underwent upfront surgical resection, and the remainder were referred to gastroenterology (141-13.4 %), surgery (314-29.8 %), or back to their referring provider (597-56.7 %) for ongoing surveillance in collaboration with their primary care provider (PCP). Of cysts under surveillance, 61.3 % remained stable, 13.2 % increased in size, and 2 % decreased in size. A total of 2.3 % of patients were recommended to discontinue surveillance.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCC provides infrastructure that has served to provide multidisciplinary review and consensus recommendations to patients with pancreatic cysts. This has served to improve the application of guidelines while providing individualized recommendations to each patient, while aiding non-expert referring providers throughout the region.

The role of biomarkers in the early detection of pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic surveillance can detect early-stage pancreatic cancer and achieve long-term survival, but currently involves annual endoscopic ultrasound and MRI/MRCP, and is recommended only for individuals who meet familial/genetic risk criteria. To improve upon current approaches to pancreatic cancer early detection and to expand access, more accurate, inexpensive, and safe biomarkers are needed, but finding them has remained elusive. Newer approaches to early detection, such as using gene tests to personalize biomarker interpretation, and the increasing application of artificial intelligence approaches to integrate complex biomarker data, offer promise that clinically useful biomarkers for early pancreatic cancer detection are on the horizon.

Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Through-the-Needle Biopsy: A Narrative Review of the Technique and Its Emerging Role in Pancreatic Cyst Diagnosis

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) pose a diagnostic challenge due to their increasing incidence and the limitations of cross-sectional imaging and endoscopic-ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA). EUS-guided through the needle biopsy (EUS-TTNB) has emerged as a promising tool for improving the accuracy of cyst type determination and neoplastic risk stratification. EUS-TTNB demonstrates superior diagnostic performance over EUS-FNA, providing critical preoperative information that can significantly influence patient management and reduce unnecessary surgeries. However, the procedure has risks, with an overall adverse event rate of approximately 9%. Preventive measures and further prospective studies are essential to optimize its safety and efficacy. This review highlights the potential of EUS-TTNB to enhance the diagnostic and management approaches for patients with PCLs. It examines the current state of EUS-TTNB, including available devices, indications, procedural techniques, specimen handling, diagnostic yield, clinical impact, and associated adverse events.

Impact of age, comorbidities and relevant changes on surveillance strategy of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: a competing risk analysis

OBJECTIVE

Cost-effectiveness of surveillance for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) is debated. We combined different categories of risks of IPMN progression and of IPMN-unrelated mortality to improve surveillance strategies.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of 926 presumed BD-IPMNs lacking worrisome features (WFs)/high-risk stigmata (HRS) under surveillance. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CACI) defined the severity of comorbidities. IPMN relevant changes included development of WF/HRS, pancreatectomy or death for IPMN or pancreatic cancer. Pancreatic malignancy-unrelated death was recorded. Cumulative incidence of IPMN relevant changes were estimated using the competing risk approach.

RESULTS

5-year cumulative incidence of relevant changes was 17.83% and 1.6% developed pancreatic malignancy. 5-year cumulative incidences for IPMN relevant changes were 13.73%, 19.93% and 25.04% in low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk groups, respectively. Age ≥75 (HR: 4.15) and CACI >3 (HR: 3.61) were independent predictors of pancreatic malignancy-unrelated death. 5-year cumulative incidence for death for other causes was 15.93% for age ≥75+CACI >3 group and 1.49% for age <75+CACI ≤3. 5-year cumulative incidence of IPMN relevant changes were 13.94% in patients with age <75+CACI ≤3 compared with 29.60% in those with age ≥75+CACI >3. In this group 5-year rate of malignancy-free patients was 95.56% with a 5-year survival of 79.51%.

CONCLUSION

Although it is not uncommon the occurrence of changes considered by current guidelines as relevant during surveillance of low risk BD-IPMNs, malignancy rate is low and survival is significantly affected by competing patients' age and comorbidities. IPMN surveillance strategy should be tailored based on these features and modulated over time.

Association of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features with advanced neoplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN): A systematic review

BACKGROUND

This systematic review aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the International Consensus Fukuoka Guidelines (ICG2017) in identifying high-risk lesions of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs).

METHODS

The ICG2017 revision committee conducted a comprehensive literature review to establish evidence-based statements on IPMNs. The review focused on articles examining the diagnostic value of imaging features (e.g., cyst or main pancreatic duct diameter), clinical symptoms associated with IPMN, and serum biomarkers. Five clinical questions regarding high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF) in the ICG2017 guidelines were addressed.

RESULTS

A total of 210 articles were reviewed. The findings revealed a significant association between the presence of mural nodules ≥5 mm in diameter or solid components with contrast enhancement and the diagnosis of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma. Contrast-enhanced diagnostic tools, such as CT, MRI, or EUS, demonstrated the highest prediction rate and were recommended. Positive cytology was identified as an HRS, while symptoms like acute pancreatitis and cyst diameter growth ≥2.5 mm per year were considered WFs. The use of nomograms and multiple diagnostic factors was recommended for optimal IPMN management.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review provides evidence supporting the improved diagnostic accuracy of ICG2017 in identifying high-risk lesions of IPMN. The multidisciplinary incorporation of HRS and WF based on imaging findings and clinical symptoms is crucial. These findings should inform the revision of ICG2017, enhancing the evaluation and management of IPMN patients. By implementing these recommendations, clinicians can make more informed decisions, leading to better diagnosis and treatment outcomes for high-risk IPMN cases.

[Cystic pancreatic lesions-indications, timing and reasons for surveillance]

BACKGROUND

Cystic pancreatic lesions are detected incidentally at an increasing rate. Often, the patients present asymptomatically. Hence, the resulting clinical consequences remain challenging and unsettling for both physicians and patients.

OBJECTIVES

Status of current recommendations in handling cystic pancreatic lesions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Selective literature search of PubMed while taking current guidelines into account.

RESULTS

Correct diagnostic classification of the cystic lesion is crucial since further action depends on the type of cystic lesion. Resection is generally recommended for mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN), solid pseudopapillary neoplasms (SPN), and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) with relevant risk criteria such as prominent main-duct dilation. Surveillance is recommended for IPMN without risk criteria, as long as comorbidities and life expectancy of the patient will allow preventive resection over the years. SCNs are benign and only symptomatic SCNs require resection. Inflammatory pancreatic cysts should only be treated under certain circumstances.

Long-term surveillance of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms without worrisome or high-risk features

INTRODUCTION

Long-term data evaluating clinical outcomes in patients with branch-duct Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) without high-risk stigmata (HRS) or worrisome features (WF) remain limited.

METHODS

This observational cohort study included all patients diagnosed with BD-IPMN without HRS or WF between 2003 and 2019 who were enrolled in a prospective surveillance program. Time-to-progression analysis was performed using a cumulative incidence function plot and survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time for the 267 patient cohort was 44.5 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 24.1-72.2). Radiographic cyst growth was observed in 123 (46.1%) patients; 65 (24.3%) patients progressed to WF/HRS. Twenty-six (9.7%) patients were selected for resection during surveillance: 21 (80.8%) WF, 4 (15.4%) HRS; 1 (3.9%) transformed to mixed-duct. Of all the patients who underwent resection, 5 (19.2%) had adenocarcinoma, and 1 (3.8%) had carcinoma-in-situ. The probability of any radiographic progression was 21.3% (5-year) and 51.3% (10-year). For the entire cohort, there was 1.1% mortality secondary to pancreatic adenocarcinoma and 8.2% all-cause mortality. The 5-year overall survival rate was 91.5%, and at 10 years, 81.5%.

CONCLUSION

Approximately one in four patients with nonworrisome BD-IPMN have progression to WF/HRS stigmata during surveillance. However, the risk of malignant transformation remains low. Surveillance strategy remains prudent in this patient population.

Systematic review of challenging issues in pathology of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are a cystic precursor to pancreatic cancer. IPMNs deemed clinically to be at high-risk for malignant progression are frequently treated with surgical resection, and pathological examination of the pancreatectomy specimen is a key component of the clinical care of IPMN patients.

METHODS

Systematic literature reviews were conducted around eight topics of clinical relevance in the examination of pathological specimens in patients undergoing resection of IPMN.

RESULTS

This review provides updated perspectives on morphological subtyping of IPMNs, classification of intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasms, nomenclature for high-grade dysplasia, assessment of T stage, distinction of carcinoma associated or concomitant with IPMN, role of molecular assessment of IPMN tissue, role of intraoperative assessment by frozen section, and preoperative evaluation of cyst fluid cytology.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis provides the foundation for data-driven approaches to several challenging issues in the pathology of IPMNs.

Surveillance of Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms

Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) are increasingly detected because of the widespread use of cross-sectional imaging and overall aging population. While the majority of these cysts are benign, some can progress to advanced neoplasia (defined as high-grade dysplasia and invasive cancer). As the only widely accepted treatment for PCNs with advanced neoplasia is surgical resection, accurate preoperative diagnosis, and stratification of malignant potential for deciding about surgery, surveillance or doing nothing remains a clinical challenge. Surveillance strategies for pancreatic cysts (PCNs) combine clinical evaluation and imaging to assess changes in cyst morphology and symptoms that may indicate advanced neoplasia. PCN surveillance heavily relies on various consensus clinical guidelines that focus on high-risk morphology, surgical indications, and surveillance intervals and modalities. This review will focus on current concepts in the surveillance of newly diagnosed PCNs, especially on low-risk presumed intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (those without worrisome features and high-risk stigmata), and appraise current clinical surveillance guidelines.

Risk Models for Pancreatic Cyst Diagnosis

The overall prevalence of pancreatic cysts (PCs) is high in the general population. In clinical practice PCs are often incidentally discovered and are classified into benign, premalignant, and malignant lesions according to the World Health Organization. For this reason, in the absence of reliable biomarkers, to date clinical decision-making relies mostly on risk models based on morphological features. The aim of this narrative review is to present the current knowledge regarding PC's morphologic features with related estimated risk of malignancy and discuss available diagnostic tools to minimize clinically relevant diagnostic errors.

Blood-Based Biomarkers in the Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of Pancreatic Cysts

The use of blood-based biomarkers for the assessment of pancreatic cystic lesions is a rapidly growing field with incredible potential. CA 19-9 remains the only blood-based marker in common use, while many novel biomarkers are in early stages of development and validation. We highlight current work in the fields of proteomics, metabolomics, cell-free DNA/circulating tumor DNA, extracellular vesicles, and microRNA among others, as well as barriers to development and future directions in the work of blood-based biomarkers for pancreatic cystic lesions.

Uncinate Duct Dilatation Predicts Additional Risk for High-Grade Dysplasia or Invasive Carcinoma Among Fukuoka-Positive Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether uncinate duct dilatation (UDD) increases the risk of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma (HGD/IC) in Fukuoka-positive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs).

BACKGROUND

Though classified as a branch duct, the uncinate duct is the primary duct of the pancreatic ventral anlage. We hypothesized that UDD, like main duct dilatation, confers additional risk for HGD/IC.

METHODS

A total of 467 patients met inclusion criteria in a retrospective cohort study of surgically resected IPMNs at the Massachusetts General Hospital. We used multivariable logistic regression to analyze the association between UDD (defined as ≥4 mm) and HGD/IC, controlling for Fukuoka risk criteria. In a secondary analysis, the modeling was repeated in the 194 patients with dorsal branch duct IPMNs (BD-IPMNs) in the pancreatic neck, body, or tail.

RESULTS

Mean age at surgery was 70, and 229 (49%) patients were female. In total, 267 (57%) patients had only worrisome features and 200 (43%) had at least 1 high-risk feature. UDD was present in 164 (35%) patients, of whom 118 (73%) had HGD/IC. On multivariable analysis, UDD increased the odds of HGD/IC by 2.8-fold, even while controlling for Fukuoka risk factors (95% CI: 1.8-4.4, P <0.001). Prevalence of HGD/IC in all patients with UDD was 73%, compared with 74% in patients with high-risk stigmata and 73% in patients with main duct IPMNs. In the secondary analysis, UDD increased the odds of HGD/IC by 3.2-fold in patients with dorsal BD-IPMNs (95% CI: 1.3-7.7, P =0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

UDD confers additional risk for HGD/IC unaccounted for by current Fukuoka criteria. Further research can extend this study to Fukuoka-negative patients, including unresected patients.

CYSTIC PANCREATIC LESIONS: IMAGING VERSUS ANATOMOPATHOLOGICAL FINDINGS-HOW TO IMPROVE DIAGNOSTIC ACCURACY?

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cystic lesions are a group of pancreatic neoplasms with different behavior and risk of malignancy. Imaging diagnosis and differentiation of these lesions remain a challenge.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to evaluate the agreement between computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging and post-operative pathologic diagnoses of Pancreatic cystic lesions in a University Hospital of São Paulo State.

METHODS

A total of 39 patients with surgically diagnosed Pancreatic cystic lesions were enrolled, as a study cohort from 2009 to 2019. Preoperative radiological and final pathological diagnosis was correlated to measure computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging diagnostic. Pancreatic adenocarcinoma, choledochal pancreatic cyst, mucinous cystadenoma, serous cystadenoma, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, and pancreatic pseudocyst were classified as neoplastic cysts.

RESULTS

It was noted that 27 patients (69.23%) had preoperative computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging, 11 patients (28.20%) had preoperative computed tomography only, and 1 patient had preoperative magnetic resonance imaging only. The values for diagnoses made only with computed tomography (p=0.47) and from the combination of computed tomography+magnetic resonance imaging (p=0.50) did also point to moderate agreement with the anatomopathological findings. The values pointed to a fair agreement for the diagnosis of mucinous cystadenoma (p=0.3), moderate agreement for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (p= 0.41), good agreement for serous cystadenoma (p=0.79), and excellent agreement for choledochal pancreatic cyst (p=1), pancreatic pseudocyst (p=0.84), and Frantz tumor (p=1) (p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging have an equivalent diagnostic agreement with an anatomopathological diagnosis for differentiating benign from malignant Pancreatic cystic lesions and in suggesting a specific diagnosis. There is no statistical difference between the use of computed tomography alone and computed tomography+magnetic resonance imaging in the improvement of diagnostic accuracy.

Recent Developments in the Field of Endoscopic Ultrasound for Diagnosis, Staging, and Treatment of Pancreatic Lesions

Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) plays a crucial role in the diagnosis of both solid and cystic pancreatic lesions and in the staging of patients with pancreatic cancer through its use for tissue and fluid sampling. Additionally, in cases of precancerous lesions, EUS-guided therapy can also be provided. This review aims to describe the most recent developments regarding the role of EUS in the diagnosis and staging of pancreatic lesions. Moreover, complementary EUS imaging modalities, the role of artificial intelligence, new devices, and modalities for tissue acquisition, and techniques for EUS-guided treatment are discussed.

Prevalence and progression of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas in solid organ transplant recipients: A systematic review

Solid organ transplantation (SOT) recipients are known to carry an increased risk of malignancy because of long-term immunosuppression. However, the progression of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas (IPMN) in this population remains unclear. We performed a systematic review by searching PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar. All studies containing IPMNs in solid organ transplantation recipients were screened. We included 11 studies in our final analysis, totaling 274 patients with IPMNs of the 8213 SOT recipients. The prevalence from 8 studies was 4.7% (95% CI 2.4%-7.7%) in a random-effects model with median study periods of 24 to 220 months. The median rate for all progressions from 10 studies was 20% (range, 0%-88%) within 13 to 41 months of the median follow-up time. By utilizing the results of 3 case-control studies, the relative risk from a random-effects model for progression (worrisome features and high-risk stigmata) of IPMNs was 0.39 (95% CI 0.12-1.31). No adenocarcinoma derived from IPMN was reported in the included studies. Overall, this study indicates that the progression of pretransplant IPMN does not increase drastically compared with the general nontransplant population. However, considering the limited literature, further studies are required for confirmation.

Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Translating Guidelines into Clinical Practice

A combination of several factors, including the increasing use of cross-sectional imaging and an aging population, has led to pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) becoming the most detected incidental pancreatic lesions. Accurate diagnosis and risk stratification of PCLs is challenging. In the last decade, several evidence-based guidelines have been published addressing the diagnosis and management of PCLs. However, these guidelines cover different subsets of patients with PCLs and offer varying recommendations regarding diagnostic assessment, surveillance, and surgical resection. Further, recent studies comparing the accuracy of various guidelines have reported significant variations in the rate of missed cancer versus unnecessary surgical resections. In clinical practice, it is challenging to decide which guideline to follow specifically. This article reviews the varying recommendations of the major guidelines and results of comparative studies, provides an overview of newer modalities not included in the guidelines, and offers perspectives on translating the guidelines into clinical practice.

Cellular and transcriptional dynamics of human neutrophils at steady state and upon stress

Traditionally viewed as poorly plastic, neutrophils are now recognized as functionally diverse; however, the extent and determinants of neutrophil heterogeneity in humans remain unclear. We performed a comprehensive immunophenotypic and transcriptome analysis, at a bulk and single-cell level, of neutrophils from healthy donors and patients undergoing stress myelopoiesis upon exposure to growth factors, transplantation of hematopoietic stem cells (HSC-T), development of pancreatic cancer and viral infection. We uncover an extreme diversity of human neutrophils in vivo, reflecting the rates of cell mobilization, differentiation and exposure to environmental signals. Integrated control of developmental and inducible transcriptional programs linked flexible granulopoietic outputs with elicitation of stimulus-specific functional responses. In this context, we detected an acute interferon (IFN) response in the blood of patients receiving HSC-T that was mirrored by marked upregulation of IFN-stimulated genes in neutrophils but not in monocytes. Systematic characterization of human neutrophil plasticity may uncover clinically relevant biomarkers and support the development of diagnostic and therapeutic tools.

Preneoplastic Lesions in Surgical Specimens Do Not Worsen the Prognosis of Patients Who Underwent Surgery for Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: Post-Hoc Analysis of the PRODIGE 24-CCTG PA 6 Trial

Simple Summary

Pancreatic cancer patients who undergo curative surgery are still likely to recur. We therefore analyzed the data of the 493 patients from the PRODIGE 24-CCTG PA 6 trial, which validated the benefit of adjuvant mFOLFIRINOX regimen over gemcitabine after pancreatic adenocarcinoma resection. We investigated whether the presence of dysplasia (noninvasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, mucinous cystic neoplasm or pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia) might decrease in disease-free survival. A preneoplastic lesion was identified in 226 patients (45.8%). In a multivariate analysis, the presence of dysplasia is not an independent predictor of diminished disease-free survival. This finding should be useful for future prospective trials and for surgeons’ decision making, as the pre-existence of a preneoplastic lesion should not preclude a plan for curative surgery.

Abstract

Objective: The prognosis of pancreatic cancer after curative surgery is burdened by frequent recurrence. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of dysplasia in the surgical specimen on disease-free survival (DFS). Methods: A post-hoc analysis of the phase III PRODIGE 24-CCTG PA 6 trial was performed. From April 2012 to October 2016, 493 patients were included in the primary study. Assessment for dysplasia in the surgical specimens was secondarily performed. Dysplasia was defined based on presence and grade of three most common pre-malignant lesions (intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) and pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN). The primary endpoint was DFS validated through multivariate analysis. Results: Two hundred twenty-six patients (45.9%) had a preneoplastic lesion. PanIN lesions were found in 193 patients (39.2%), including 100 high-grade lesions (20.6%); 43 patients had IPMN lesions (8.7%), including high-grade lesions in 32 (6.5%). Three MCN were described (0.6%). In bivariate analysis, the presence of dysplasia was not associated with poorer DFS (HR = 0.82, 95% CI [0.66; 1.03]). In multivariate analysis, risk factors for poorer DFS were poorly differentiated/undifferentiated tumor, N1 status, R1 surgical margins and perineural invasion. Conclusions: The presence of dysplasia in the surgical specimen after pancreatic cancer surgery does not worsen DFS.

Advances in the Diagnosis of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are a heterogenous group of lesions ranging from benign to malignant. There has been an increase in PCLs prevalence in recent years, mostly due to advances in imaging techniques, increased awareness of their existence and population aging. Reliable discrimination between neoplastic and non-neoplastic cystic lesions is paramount to ensuring adequate treatment and follow-up. Although conventional diagnostic techniques such as ultrasound (US), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computer tomography (CT) can easily identify these lesions, assessing the risk of malignancy is limited. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is superior to cross-sectional imaging in identifying potentially malignant lesions due to its high resolution and better imaging characteristics, and the advantage of allowing for cyst fluid sampling via fine-needle aspiration (FNA). More complex testing, such as cytological and histopathological analysis and biochemical and molecular testing of the aspirated fluid, can ensure an accurate diagnosis.

Pancreatic Cancer is More Frequently Early Stage at Diagnosis in Surgically Resected Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms With Preoperative Surveillance

Background and Aims

Management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) relies on clinical and imaging features to select patients for either pancreatectomy or periodic image-based surveillance. We aimed to compare outcomes in patients with IPMNs who underwent surgery at diagnosis with those who underwent surgery after a period of surveillance and identify preoperative clinical and imaging features associated with advanced neoplasia.

Methods

Patients with surgically resected IPMN (n = 450) were divided into 2 groups: "immediate surgery": resection within 6 months of IPMN detection, and "surveillance surgery": resection after surveillance >6 months. Survival was analyzed with Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazard models.

Results

Pancreatic cancers in the surveillance surgery group (n = 135) was more frequently stage I compared with the immediate surgery group (9/13, 69.2% vs 41/110, 37.3%; P = .027). Among Fukuoka "worrisome features," only main pancreatic duct dilation 5-9 mm (odds ratio [OR] = 3.12, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.72-5.68; P < .001) and serum CA 19-9≥ 35 U/mL (OR = 2.82, 95% CI: 1.31-6.06; P = .008) were significantly associated with advanced neoplasia. In addition, smoking history was associated with increased risk of advanced neoplasia (OR = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.23-3.43). Occurrence of future cancer was 16-fold higher in IPMN with high-grade dysplasia when compared with low-grade dysplasia (hazard ratio: 16.5; 95% CI: 4.19-64.7).

Conclusion

Surveillance-detected pancreatic cancers in patients with IPMNs are more frequently stage I, and IPMN-HGD on surgical pathology is associated with significant risk of future pancreatic cancer. In addition to known "high-risk" features, main pancreatic duct dilation 5-9 mm, CA 19-9 elevation, and smoking history are significantly associated with advanced neoplasia.

Higher volume growth rate is associated with development of worrisome features in patients with branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are the most common pancreatic cystic tumours and have a low risk of malignant transformation. Current guidelines only evaluate cyst diameter as an important risk factor but it is not always easy to measure, especially when comparing different methods. On the other side, cyst volume is a new parameter with low inter-observer variability and is highly reproducible over time.

AIM

To assess both diameter and volume growth rate of BD-IPMNs and evaluate their correlation with the development of malignant characteristics.

METHODS

Computed tomography scans and magnetic resonance imaging exams were retrospectively reviewed. The diameter was measured on three planes, while the volume was calculated by segmentation: The volume of the entire cyst was determined by manually drawing a region of interest along the edge of the neoplasm on each consecutive slice covering the whole lesion; therefore, a three-dimensional volume of interest was finally obtained with the calculated value expressed in cm³. Changes in size over time were measured. The development of worrisome features was evaluated.

RESULTS

We evaluated exams of 98 patients across a 40.5-mo median follow-up time. Ten patients developed worrisome features. Cysts at baseline were significantly larger in patients who developed worrisome features (diameters P = 0.0035, P = 0.00652, P = 0.00424; volume P = 0.00222). Volume growth rate was significantly higher in patients who developed worrisome features (1.12 cm³/year vs 0 cm³/year, P = 0.0001); diameter growth rate was higher as well, but the difference did not always reach statistical significance. Volume but not diameter growth rate in the first year of follow-up was higher in patients who developed worrisome features (0.46 cm³/year vs 0 cm³/year, P = 0.00634).

CONCLUSION

The measurement of baseline volume and its variation over time is a reliable tool for the follow-up of BD-IPMNs. Volume measurement could be a better tool than diameter measurement to predict the development of worrisome features.

Identification of patients with branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm and very low risk of cancer: multicentre study

BACKGROUND

Different surveillance strategies for patients with low-risk branch-duct (BD) intraductal papillary neoplasm (IPMN) have been described. The aim of this study was to describe the natural history of low-risk BD-IPMN, and to identify risk factors for the development of worrisome features (WF)/high-risk stigmata (HRS) and of pancreatic malignancies.

METHODS

This was a multicentre retrospective study of patients with BD-IPMN who were under active surveillance between January 2006 and December 2015. Patients were eligible if they had a low-risk lesion and had a minimum follow-up of 24 months. Outcomes were development of WF/HRS or cytologically/histologically confirmed malignant IPMN.

RESULTS

Of 837 patients included, 168 (20 per cent) developed WF/HRS. At the end of the observation time, 132 patients (79 per cent) with WF/HRS were still under surveillance without progression to pancreatic cancer. Factors associated with the development of WF or HRS in multivariable analysis included localized nodules (versus diffuse: hazard ratio (HR) 0.43, 95 per cent c.i. 0.26 to 0.68), cyst size 15-19 mm (versus less than 15 mm: HR 1.88, 1.23 to 2.87) or at least 20 mm (versus less than 15 mm: HR 3.25, 2.30 to 4.60), main pancreatic duct size over 3 mm (versus 3 mm or less: HR 2.17, 1.41 to 3.34), and symptoms at diagnosis (versus no symptoms: HR 2.29, 1.52 to 3.45). Surveillance in an endoscopy-oriented centre was also associated with increased detection of WF or HRS (versus radiology-oriented: HR 2.46, 1.74 to 3.47).

CONCLUSION

Conservative management of patients with low-risk BD-IPMN is safe and feasible.

Pancreatic resections for benign intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: Collateral damages from friendly fire

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms is based on preoperative high-risk stigmata/worrisome features, but the risk of overtreatment remains high. The aim of this study was to evaluate surgical indications and perioperative and long-term complications in patients with low-grade intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical resection between 2009 and 2018 with a final histology of low-grade intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms were included. Surgical indications, type of surgery, and short- and long-term outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

A significant decrease in the rate of patients resected for low-grade intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms was observed (43.6% in 2009-2012 vs 27.8% in 2013-2018; P = .003), and 133 patients were finally included (62 women, median age: 68 years). Of these, 24.1% had 1 worrisome feature, 39.8% had ≥2 worrisome features, 18.8% had ≥1 high-risk stigmata, and 15.8% had ≥1 worrisome features + 1 high-risk stigmata. Overall surgical morbidity was 55.6%, 15.8% had Clavien-Dindo ≥3 complications, reoperation rate was 3.8%, and 90-day postoperative mortality was 1.5%. After a median follow-up of 60 months, 13 patients (11.5%) had a recurrence of benign intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm in the pancreatic remnant, and 2 patients (1.8%) developed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. After partial pancreatectomy, 51.3% of patients were taking pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy. Among nondiabetics, 26% developed diabetes after partial pancreatectomy, of which 38% were insulin-dependent. Eighteen patients (13.7%) developed incisional hernia.

CONCLUSION

Given the rates of morbidity and long-term complications after pancreatic resections, surgeons should attentively balance the true risks of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm degeneration with the risks of surgical resection in each patient.

State-of-the-Art Update of Pancreatic Cysts

Andrew Canakis.

Role of artificial intelligence in early detection and screening for pancreatic adenocarcinoma

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma remains to be one of the deadliest malignancies in the world despite treatment advancement over the past few decades. Its low survival rates and poor prognosis can be attributed to ambiguity in recommendations for screening and late symptom onset, contributing to its late presentation. In the recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) as emerged as a field to aid in the process of clinical decision making. Considerable efforts have been made in the realm of AI to screen for and predict future development of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. This review discusses the use of AI in early detection and screening for pancreatic adenocarcinoma, and factors which may limit its use in a clinical setting.

Prediction of malignancy in Main duct or Mixed-type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Surgical indications of main-duct involved intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), especially for main pancreatic duct (MPD) of 5-9mm, remain controversial. We aimed to predict malignancy risk of main-duct involved IPMN.

METHODS

Total 258 patients with main-duct involved IPMN between 2000 and 2017 in our institute were retrospectively analyzed. Main-duct IPMN was classified into segmental and diffuse type by dilated MPD pattern. Clinicopathologic features and predictive factors for malignancy were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 258, 47 and 211 had pure main-duct (segmental:27, diffuse-type:20) and mixed-type. Malignant IPMN presented higher in main-duct type (66.0%) compared to mixed-type (46.9%). The diffuse-type (72.2%) had more invasive carcinoma than the segmental type (40.7%). Invasive IPMN risk increased proportionally to the MPD diameter (5≤MPD <10mm vs. 10≤MPD<15mm vs. MPD≥15mm; 23.4% vs. 40.0% vs. 48.6%). Symptoms, elevated serum carbohydrate antigen, MPD ≥10mm, mural nodule, thickened wall, and distal atrophy were independent predictive factors for malignancy. Patients with MPD of 5-9mm with at least one predictive factor had 35.0% of malignancy risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The invasive IPMN risk was different according to the dilated main-duct pattern. Patients with main-duct type, diffuse-type, MPD ≥10mm, and MPD 5-9mm with at least one predictive factor should be candidates for immediate surgery.

Perioperative risk of pancreatic head resection-nomogram-based prediction of severe postoperative complications as a decisional aid for clinical practice

PURPOSE

To develop nomograms for pre- and early-postoperative risk assessment of patients undergoing pancreatic head resection.

METHODS

Clinical data from 956 patients were collected in a prospectively maintained database. A test (n = 772) and a validation cohort (n = 184) were randomly generated. Uni- and multi-variate analysis and nomogram construction were performed to predict severe postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo Grades III-V) in the test cohort. External validation was performed with the validation cohort.

RESULTS

We identified ASA score, indication for surgery, body mass index (BMI), preoperative white blood cell (WBC) count, and preoperative alkaline phosphatase as preoperative factors associated with an increased perioperative risk for complications. Additionally to ASA score, BMI, indication for surgery, and the preoperative alkaline phosphatase, the following postoperative parameters were identified as risk factors in the early postoperative setting: the need for intraoperative blood transfusion, operation time, maximum WBC on postoperative day (POD) 1-3, and maximum serum amylase on POD 1-3. Two nomograms were developed on the basis of these risk factors and showed accurate risk estimation for severe postoperative complications (ROC-AUC-values for Grades III-V-preoperative nomogram: 0.673 (95%, CI: 0.626-0.721); postoperative nomogram: 0.734 (95%, CI: 0.691-0.778); each p ≤ 0.001). Validation yielded ROC-AUC-values for Grades III-V-preoperative nomogram of 0.676 (95%, CI: 0.586-0.766) and postoperative nomogram of 0.677 (95%, CI: 0.591-0.762); each p = 0.001.

CONCLUSION

Easy-to-use nomograms for risk estimation in the pre- and early-postoperative setting were developed. Accurate risk estimation can support the decisional process, especially for IPMN-patients with an increased perioperative risk.

Comorbidities Drive the Majority of Overall Mortality in Low-Risk Mucinous Pancreatic Cysts Under Surveillance

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CACI) has been suggested as a tool to determine comorbidity burden and guide management for patients with mucinous pancreatic cysts (Intrapapillary Mucinous Neoplasms and Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms), but has not been studied well among "low-risk" mucinous pancreatic cysts i.e. without worrisome features (WF) and high-risk stigmata (HRS). This study sought to determine the comorbidity burden among surveillance population of low-risk pancreatic cysts and provide their follow-up mortality outcomes.

METHODS

A single center study retrospectively reviewed a prospective pancreatic cyst database and included individuals with low-risk cysts undergoing serial imaging during 2016. Electronic medical records were reviewed to determine their baseline age-adjusted CACI (age-CACI). After 4 years, their progression to WF, disease specific (pancreatic malignancy-related, DSM), extra-pancreatic (EPM), and overall mortalities (OM) were determined using Kaplan-Meir Survival Analysis.

RESULTS

502 individuals underwent prospective surveillance. The study included 440 individuals with low-risk suspected or presumed mucinous cysts and excluded 50 and 12 individuals with WF and HRS respectively. Over a median follow-up of 56 months, 12 WF progressions, 2 DSMs, 42 EPMs, and 44 OMs were observed. Baseline age-CACI had good predictive capacity for 4-year EPM (Area-Under Curve: 0.87; p< .0001). The median age-CACI of 4 enabled cohort stratification into Low (age-CACI <4) and High CACI (age-CACI ≥4) groups. A significantly higher OM (p< .001) was observed among the High CACI group as compared to the Low CACI group.

CONCLUSION

Through real-time application of CACI to patient outcomes, our analysis supports incorporation of this comorbidity assessment tool in making shared surveillance decisions among low-risk pancreatic cyst population.

Main Duct Thresholds for Malignancy Are Different in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreatic Head and Body-Tail

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The risk of malignancy is uncertain for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) with main pancreatic duct (MPD) of 5-9 mm. No study has correlated MPD size and malignancy considering the anatomic site of the gland (head versus body-tail). Our aim was to analyze the significance of MPD in pancreatic head/body-tail as a predictor of malignancy in main-duct/mixed IPMNs.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of resected patients between 2009-2018 was performed. Malignancy was defined as high-grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma. MPD diameter was measured with magnetic resonance imaging. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was utilized to identify optimal MPD cut-off for malignancy. Independent predictors of malignancy were searched.

RESULTS

Malignancy was detected in 74% of 312 identified patients. 213 patients (68.3%) had IPMNs of the pancreatic head and 99 (31.7%) of the body-tail. ROC analysis identified 9 and 7 mm as the optimal MPD cut-offs for malignancy in IPMNs of head and body-tail of the pancreas, respectively. Multivariate analysis confirmed that MPD ≥9 mm (pancreatic head) and ≥7 mm (body-tail) were independent predictors of malignancy along with macroscopic solid components, positive cytology and elevated CA 19-9. The risk of malignancy was low for IPMNs with MPD ≤8 mm (pancreatic head) or ≤6 mm (pancreatic body-tail) unless high-risk stigmata or multiple worrisome features were present.

CONCLUSIONS

Different thresholds of MPD dilation are associated with malignancy in IPMNs of the head and body-tail of the pancreas. The risk of malignancy for IPMNs with MPD ≤8 mm (pancreatic head) or ≤6 mm (pancreatic body-tail) lacking high-risk stigmata or multiple worrisome features is low.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: Have IAP Consensus Guidelines Changed our Approach?: Results from a Multi-institutional Study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the influence of consensus guidelines on the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and the subsequent changes in pathologic outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Over time, multiple guidelines have been developed to identify high-risk IPMN. We hypothesized that the development and implementation of guidelines should have increased the percentage of resected IPMN with high-risk disease.

METHODS

Memorial Sloan-Kettering (MSK), Johns Hopkins (JH), and Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) databases were queried for resected IPMN (2000-2015). Patients were categorized into main-duct (MD-IPMN) versus branch-duct (BD-IPMN). Guideline-specific radiographic/endoscopic features were recorded. High-risk disease was defined as high-grade dysplasia/carcinoma. Fisher's exact test was used to detect differences between institutions. Logistic regression evaluated differences between time-points [preguidelines (pre-GL, before 2006), Sendai (SCG, 2006-2012), Fukuoka (FCG, after 2012)].

RESULTS

The study included 1210 patients. The percentage of BD-IPMN with ≥1 high-risk radiographic feature differed between centers (MSK 69%, JH 60%, MGH 45%; P < 0.001). In MD-IPMN cohort, the presence of radiographic features such as solid component and main pancreatic duct diameter ≥10 mm also differed (solid component: MSK 38%, JH 30%, MGH 18%; P < 0.001; duct ≥10 mm: MSK 49%, JH 32%, MGH 44%; P < 0.001). The percentage of high-risk disease on pathology, however, was similar between institutions (BD-IPMN: P = 0.36, MD-IPMN: P = 0.48). During the study period, the percentage of BD-IPMN resected with ≥1 high-risk feature increased (52% pre-GL vs 67% FCG; P = 0.005), whereas the percentage of high-risk disease decreased (pre-GL vs FCG: 30% vs 20%). For MD-IPMN, there was not a clear trend towards guideline adherence, and the rate of high-risk disease was similar over the time (pre-GL vs FCG: 69% vs 67%; P = 0.63).

CONCLUSION

Surgical management of IPMN based on radiographic criteria is variable between institutions, with similar percentages of high-risk disease. Over the 15-year study period, the rate of BD-IPMN resected with high-risk radiographic features increased; however, the rate of high-risk disease decreased. Better predictors are needed.

Pancreaticoduodenectomy in octogenarians: The importance of "biological age" on clinical outcomes

INTRODUCTION

With the prolongation of life expectancy, an increasing number of elderly patients are evaluated for pancreatic surgery. However, the influence of increasing age on outcomes after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is still unclear, especially in octogenarians. Aim of this study is to evaluate the perioperative characteristics and outcomes of octogenarians undergoing PD.

METHODS

Data for 812 patients undergoing PD between 2019 and 2020 in 10 referral centers in Italy were reviewed. Patients aged 80 years or older were matched based on nearest neighbor propensity scores in a 1:1 ratio to patients younger than 80 years. Propensity scores were calculated using 7 perioperative variables including gender, ASA score, neoadjuvant treatment (NAT), biliary stent positioning, type of surgical approach (open, laparoscopic, robot-assisted), associated vascular resections, type of lesion. Perioperative characteristics and short-term postoperative outcomes were compared before and after matching.

RESULTS

Overall, 81 (10%) patients had 80 years or more. Before matching, octogenarians had a higher rate of ASA score≥ 3 (n = 35, 43.2% vs. n = 207, 28.3%; p = 0.005) and less frequently underwent NAT (n = 11, 13.6% vs. n = 213, 29.1%; p = 0.003). Matching was successfully performed for 70 octogenarians. After matching, no differences in preoperative and intraoperative characteristics were found. Postoperatively, ICU admission was more frequent in octogenarians (50% vs 30%; p = 0.01). Although in-hospital mortality was higher in octogenarians before matching (7.4% vs 2.9% in the younger cohort; p = 0.03), no difference was noted between the matched cohorts (p = 0.36). Postoperative morbidity was comparable between groups in the whole and selected populations. At the multivariate analysis, chronological age was not recognized as a prognostic factor for cumulative major complications, while ASA ≥3 was the only confirmed influencing feature (OR 2.98; 95%CI: 1.6-6.8; p = 0.009).

CONCLUSIO

In high-volume centers, PD in octogenarians shows similar outcomes than younger patients. Age itself should not be considered an exclusion criterion for PD, but a focused preoperative assessment is essential for adequate patient selection.

Non-inflammatory pancreatic cysts: from diagnosis to treatment (97 cases series)

OBJECTIVE

to describe the implications of the diagnosis and treatment of non-inflammatory pancreatic cysts in a series of patients.

METHODS

we included patients with pancreatic cysts ≥1.0 cm, excluding those with a presumptive diagnosis of a pseudocyst. Imaging tests, echoendoscopy, and histopathology determined the diagnosis of the type of cyst. We applied the guidelines of the International Association of Pancreatology, with some modifications, in patients with mucinous or indeterminate lesions.

RESULTS

97 adult patients participated in the study. A cystic neoplasm of the pancreas was diagnosed in 82.5% of cases. Diagnosis was mainly made by magnetic resonance (46% of cases). The two most common diagnoses were intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (43.3%) and serous cystadenoma (26%). Twenty-nine patients underwent surgery (33.3%). The most common surgical procedure was distal pancreatectomy associated with splenectomy in 19 cases (65.5%). Among the operated patients, 11 were diagnosed with cancer. None of the followed, non-operated patients had a diagnosis of cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

magnetic resonance showed good accuracy, particularly in the diagnosis of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. The guidelines of the International Association of Pancreatology, as applied in this study, showed a negative predictive value for cancer of 100%. A development of better diagnostic tests can reduce the number of unnecessary operations.

State-of-the-art surgical treatment of IPMNs

Background

A “pandemic” of incidentally discovered pancreatic cyst neoplasms (PCNs) is ongoing. Among PCNs, intraductal papillary mucinous cystic neoplasms (IPMNs) are the most common and with their complex biology could represent a precursor lesion of pancreatic cancer. Although multiple guidelines exist to guide their treatment, there are still many “gray areas” on indications for surgery for IPMNs.

Methods

The current indications for surgery of IPMNs were reappraised, considering potential discrepancies between available evidence and guidelines policies. The practice at a high-volume center for the diagnosis and treatment of PCN was presented and discussed.

Results

Most IPMNs do not and will never require surgery, as they won’t progress to malignancy. The current literature is solid in identifying high-grade dysplasia (HGD) as the right and timely target for IPMN resection, but how to precisely assess its presence remains controversial and guidelines lack of accuracy in this regard. Multiple tumorigenic pathways of progression of IPMNs exist, and their knowledge will likely lead to more accurate tests for malignancy prediction in the future.

Conclusions

The surgical management of IPMNs still is a matter of debate. Indication for resection should be considered only in highly selected cases with the ideal target of HGD. Clinicians should critically interpret the guidelines’ indications, refer to a multidisciplinary team discussion, and always consider the outcome of an adequate counselling with the patient.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas: A Review of Their Genetic Characteristics and Mouse Models

Simple Summary

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancers with the lowest survival rate. Little progress has been achieved in prolonging the survival for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Hence, special attention should be paid to pre-cancerous lesions, for instance, an intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Here, we reviewed its genetic characteristics and the mouse models involving mutations in specific pathways, and updated our current perception of how this lesion develops into a precursor of invasive cancer.

Abstract

The intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is attracting research attention because of its increasing incidence and proven potential to progress into invasive pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). In this review, we summarized the key signaling pathways or protein complexes (GPCR, TGF, SWI/SNF, WNT, and PI3K) that appear to be involved in IPMN pathogenesis. In addition, we collected information regarding all the genetic mouse models that mimic the human IPMN phenotype with specific immunohistochemistry techniques. The mouse models enable us to gain insight into the complex mechanism of the origin of IPMN, revealing that it can be developed from both acinar cells and duct cells according to different models. Furthermore, recent genomic studies describe the potential mechanism by which heterogeneous IPMN gives rise to malignant carcinoma through sequential, branch-off, or de novo approaches. The most intractable problem is that the risk of malignancy persists to some extent even if the primary IPMN is excised with a perfect margin, calling for the re-evaluation and improvement of diagnostic, pre-emptive, and therapeutic measures.

Risk Factors for the Development of High-risk Stigmata in Branch-duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

Objective Strict follow-up is recommended for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) to avoid missing the development of high-risk stigmata (HRS) at a premalignant stage. This study explored the risk factors associated with the development of HRS during follow-up. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis of 283 patients with BD-IPMN, treated at Okayama University Hospital in Japan between January 2009 and December 2016. Only patients with imaging studies indicative of classical features of BD-IPMN without HRS and followed for over one year were included in the study. We performed radiological follow-up every six months and collected patients' demographic data, cyst characteristics, and clinical outcomes and used univariate logistic regression models to determine the odds of developing HRS. Results Ten patients (3.5%) developed HRS after a median surveillance period of 55.8 months. The main pancreatic duct (MPD) size (5-9 mm) and cyst growth rate (>2.5 mm/year) were both suggested to be possible risk factors for the development of HRS [odds ratio, 14.2; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.1-65.2, p=0.0006, and odds ratio, 6.1; 95% CI 1.5-25.5, p=0.014]. Regarding the number of worrisome features (WFs), the rate of HRS development was 2.0% (4/199) in cases with no WF, 1.6% (1/62) in cases with single WF and 22.7% (5/22) in cases with multiple WFs, respectively. The rate of HRS development was significantly higher in cases with multiple WFs than in the other cases (p<0.0001). Conclusion MPD dilation, rapid cyst growth, and multiple WFs were significant risk factors for the development of HRS. In the presence of such features, it is necessary to closely follow the development of HRS and avoid missing the best opportunity to perform surgical intervention.

A tug-of-war in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms management: Comparison between 2017 International and 2018 European guidelines

BACKGROUND

2017 International and 2018 European guidelines are the most recent guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms management.

AIM

to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of these guidelines in identifying malignant IPMN.

METHODS

data from resected patients with IPMN were collected in two referral centers. Features of risk associated to cancerous degeneration described in International and European guidelines were retrospectively applied. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value in detecting malignant disease were calculated.

RESULTS

the study includes 627 resected patients. European guidelines suggest resection in any patient with at least one feature of moderate-risk. International guidelines suggest that patients with moderate-risk features undergo endoscopic ultrasound before surgery. European guidelines had a higher sensitivity (99.2% vs. 83%) but a lower positive predictive value (59.5% vs. 65.8%) and Specificity (2% vs. 37.5%). European guidelines detected almost all malignancies, but 40% of resected patients had low-grade dysplasia. 297 patients underwent endoscopic ultrasound before surgery. 31/116 (26.7%) tumors radiologically classified as "worrisome features" were reclassified as "high-risk stigmata" by endoscopic ultrasound and 24/31 were malignant IPMN.

CONCLUSIONS

European and International guidelines have a relatively low diagnostic accuracy, being European guidelines more aggressive. Endoscopic ultrasound can improve guidelines accuracy in patients with moderate-risk features.

Indication for resection and possibility of observation for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm with high-risk stigmata

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

According to the revised international intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) guidelines (2017), the indication for surgery is based on risk classification. However, some IPMNs with high-risk stigmata (HRS) can be observed for long periods without resection. Hence, we need to reconsider the risk stratification, and this study aimed to propose a novel risk stratification for HRS-IPMNs.

METHODS

We enrolled 328 patients diagnosed with IPMN using endoscopic ultrasound between 2012 and 2019. We compared clinicopathological features between HRS and worrisome features (WF) and evaluated outcomes of HRS-IPMN.

RESULTS

Fifty-three patients (HRS 38, WF 15) underwent resection at initial diagnosis and 275 patients were observed. Following observation for 30 months, 22 patients (17 HRS, 5 WF) underwent resection. Analysis of resected IPMNs (n = 75) revealed that HRS had dominantly pancreatobiliary mucin subtype. Pancreatobiliary-type IPMN had larger nodule sizes and lymphatic invasion and high recurrence with poor prognosis. Seventy-four patients were diagnosed with HRS, 55 underwent resection, and 19 continue to be observed. The resected group had larger nodule sizes (median 8 mm vs. 5 mm; P = 0.060), whereas the observed group had more main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilation (median 10 mm vs. 5 mm; P = 0.005). In the resected HRS group, only patients with MPD dilation ≥10 mm (n = 10) had no recurrence but had a favorable prognosis compared with those nodule size ≥5 mm (n = 45).

CONCLUSIONS

Large nodule size may be associated with pancreatobiliary subtype and poor prognosis; however, patients with MPD dilation ≥10 mm with nodule size <5 mm did not require resection.

Actual malignancy risk of either operated or non-operated presumed mucinous cystic neoplasms of the pancreas under surveillance

BACKGROUND

Despite the low malignant potential of pancreatic mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs), surgery is still performed. The aim of this pragmatic study was to assess the outcome of surgery and surveillance for patients presenting with a presumed MCN at the first evaluation.

METHODS

Data for patients with a presumed MCN observed from 2000 to 2016 at the Verona Pancreas Institute and San Raffaele Hospital were extracted from prospective databases. The endpoints were risk of malignancy at pathology and rate of misdiagnosis for the surgical series, expressed as an odds ratio (OR) with 95 per cent confidence interval, and disease-specific survival (DSS) for the surveillance cohort investigated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

A total of 424 patients were identified. In the surgical series (229 patients), the rate of misdiagnosis was 19.2 per cent. The rate of malignant MCNs was 10.9 per cent (25 patients). The overall rate of malignancy, including misdiagnoses, was 11.3 per cent (26 patients). Predictors of malignancy were mural nodules (OR 27.75, 95 per cent c.i. 4.44-173.61; P < 0.001), size at least 50 mm (OR 13.39, 2.01 to 89.47; P = 0.007), and carbohydrate antigen 19.9 level (OR 3.98, 1.19 to 13.30; P = 0.025). In the absence of mural nodules and enhancing walls, none of the resected presumed MCNs smaller than 50 mm were malignant. Only patients with high-risk stigmata undergoing surgery experienced a significantly reduced 5-year DSS compared with all other patients (88 versus 100 per cent; P = 0.031).

CONCLUSION

Presumed MCNs with mural nodules, enhancing walls or cysts of 50 mm or larger should be considered for upfront surgical resection owing to the high risk of malignancy. In the absence of these features, the incidence of malignancy is negligible, favouring surveillance in selected patients given the low risk of malignancy and the high rate of misdiagnosis.

GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT

Pancreatic mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) are well known preneoplastic lesions. Despite the low rate of cancer, lesions without radiological features of malignancy are resected systematically. In the absence of mural nodules, enhancing walls or cyst size 50 mm or more, the incidence of malignancy is negligible. Given the high risk of misdiagnosis, in the absence of such radiological features, surveillance of presumed MCNs seems safer.

Recent Trends in the Incidence and Survival of Stage 1A Pancreatic Cancer: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Analysis

BACKGROUND

Rapid access to pancreatic imaging and regular pancreatic surveillance may help identify stage I pancreatic cancer. We investigated recent trends in the stage of newly diagnosed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDACs), age at diagnosis, and survival.

METHODS

Trends in age-adjusted incidence of stage IA PDAC between 2004 and 2016 were determined from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. All tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

The incidence of stage IA PDAC cases diagnosed increased statistically significantly from 2004 to 2016 (annual percent change = 14.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 11.4 to 17.7; P < .001). During the study period, average age at diagnosis for stage IA and IB casesAQ3 declined by 3.5 years (95% CI = 1.2 to 5.9; P = .004) and 5.5 years (95% CI = 3.4 to 7.6; P < .001), whereas average age increased for higher-stage cases (by 0.6 to 1.4 years). Among stage IA cases, the proportion of blacks was smaller (10.2% vs 12.5%), and the proportion of other non-Caucasians was higher compared with higher-stage cases (11.9% vs 8.4%; P < .001). Stage IA cases were more likely to carry insurance (vs Medicaid or none) than higher-stage cases (cases aged younger than 65 years; odds ratio = 2.45, 95% CI = 1.96 to 3.06; P < .001). The 5-year overall survival for stage IA PDAC improved from 44.7% (95% CI = 31.4 to 63.7) in 2004 to 83.7% (95% CI = 78.6% to 89.2%) in 2012; 10-year survival improved from 36.7% (95% CI = 24.1 to 55.8) in 2004 to 49.0% (95% CI = 37.2% to 64.6%) in 2007.

CONCLUSIONS

In recent years, the proportion of patients diagnosed with stage IA PDAC has increased, their average age at diagnosis has decreased, and their overall survival has improved. These trends may be the result of improved early diagnosis and early detection.

Ductal Dilatation of ≥5 mm in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Should Trigger the Consideration for Pancreatectomy: A Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review of Resected Cases

Simple Summary

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are common but difficult to manage since accurate tools for diagnosing malignancy are unavailable. This study evaluates the diagnostic value of main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter for detecting IPMN malignancy, using a meta-analysis of published data. The result suggests that malignancy is highly prevalent in IPMN with ductal dilatation of >5 mm.

Abstract

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are common but difficult to manage since accurate tools for diagnosing malignancy are unavailable. This study tests the diagnostic value of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter for detecting IPMN malignancy using a meta-analysis of published data of resected IPMNs. Collected from a comprehensive literature search, the articles included in this analysis must report malignancy cases (high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and invasive carcinoma (IC)) and MPD diameter so that two MPD cut-offs could be created. The sensitivity, specificity, and odds ratios of the two cutoffs for predicting malignancy were calculated. A review of 1493 articles yielded 20 retrospective studies with 3982 resected cases. A cutoff of ≥5 mm is more sensitive than the ≥10 mm cutoff and has pooled sensitivity of 72.20% and 75.60% for classification of HGD and IC, respectively. Both MPD cutoffs of ≥5 mm and ≥10 mm were associated with malignancy (OR = 4.36 (95% CI: 2.82, 6.75) vs. OR = 3.18 (95% CI: 2.25, 4.49), respectively). The odds of HGD and IC for patients with MPD ≥5 mm were 5.66 (95% CI: 3.02, 10.62) and 7.40 (95% CI: 4.95, 11.06), respectively. OR of HGD and IC for MPD ≥10 mm cutoff were 4.36 (95% CI: 3.20, 5.93) and 4.75 (95% CI: 2.39, 9.45), respectively. IPMN with MPD of >5 mm could very likely be malignant. In selected IPMN patients, pancreatectomy should be considered when MPD is >5 mm.

KRAS/GNAS-testing by highly sensitive deep targeted next generation sequencing improves the endoscopic ultrasound-guided workup of suspected mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

Pancreatic cysts or dilated pancreatic ducts are often found by cross-sectional imaging, but only mucinous lesions can become malignant. Therefore, distinction between mucinous and non-mucinous lesions is crucial for adequate patient management. We performed a prospective study including targeted next generation sequencing (NGS) of cell-free DNA in the diagnostic endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided workup. Pancreatic cyst(s) or main duct fluid obtained by EUS-guided FNA was analysed by carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cytology and deep targeted NGS of 14 known gastrointestinal cancer genes (AKT1, BRAF, CTNNB1, EGFR, ERBB2, FBXW7, GNAS, KRAS, MAP2K1, NRAS, PIK3CA, SMAD4, TP53, APC) with a limit of detection down to variant allele frequency of 0.01%. Results were correlated to histopathology and clinical follow-up. One hundred and thirteen patients with pancreatic cyst(s) and/or a dilated pancreatic main duct (≥5 mm) were screened. Sixty-six patients had to be excluded, mainly due to inoperability or small cyst size (≤10 mm). Forty-seven patients were enrolled for further analysis. A final diagnosis was available in 27 cases including 8 negative controls. In 43/47 (91.5%) of patients a KRAS- and/or GNAS-mutation was diagnosed by NGS. 27.0% of the KRAS-mutated and 10.0% of the GNAS-mutated lesions harbored multiple mutations. KRAS/GNAS-testing by NGS, cytology, and CEA had a sensitivity and specificity of 94.7/100%, 38.1/100%, and 42.1/75.0%, respectively. KRAS/GNAS-testing was significantly superior to CEA (P = .0209) and cytology (P = .0016). In conclusion, KRAS/GNAS-testing by deep targeted NGS is a suitable method to distinguish mucinous from non-mucinous pancreatic lesions, suggesting its usage as a single diagnostic test. Results must be confirmed in a larger cohort.

Clinical outcome of conservatively managed pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms with mural nodules and main duct dilation

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is strongly recommended for patients exhibiting high-risk stigmata (HRS). However, determining surgical indications for elderly patients with comorbidities is challenging, as clinical outcomes are not well characterized. This multicenter observational study elucidated the clinical outcomes of patients with IPMN exhibiting HRS who did not undergo surgery.

METHODS

This study enrolled 101 IPMN patients exhibiting HRS with follow-up observations at 11 hospitals in Japan (2011-2016). The median observation period was 37 months (maximum: 86 months). Primary outcomes were estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Survival was also stratified based on HRS features.

RESULTS

Of 101 patients, 32 (31.7%) had the main pancreatic duct (MPD) measuring ≥ 10 mm and 80 (79.2%) had mural nodules measuring ≥ 5 mm. The estimated 5-year OS and DSS were 74% and 91%, respectively. In the stratified analysis, the co-presence of MPD ≥ 10 mm and mural nodules ≥ 5 mm or mural nodule ≥ 10 mm were related to worse 5-year DSS (MPD ≥ 10 mm and mural nodules ≥ 5 mm vs other characteristics: 60% vs 95%, log-rank test: p = 0.049; mural nodules ≥ 10 mm vs < 10 mm: 77% vs 95%, log-rank test: p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

The estimated 5-year DSS of conservatively managed IPMN patients with mural nodules and main duct dilation was 91%. Only IPMN patients with plural HRS or large nodule formation might have an increased mortality risk. This is an important insight that can help facilitate appropriate clinical decision-making, especially in the elderly or high-surgical risk IPMN patients.

Long-term follow-up of Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms with negative Sendai Criteria: the therapeutic challenge of patients who convert to positive Sendai Criteria

BACKGROUND

The management of Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm (BD-IPMN) is still controversial. Our objective was to assess the long-term follow-up (FU) of patients with "low-risk" BD-IPMN according to the Sendai-International Consensus Guidelines (ICG-I).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of patients with BD-IPMN and Negative Sendai-Criteria (NSC) from January 2004 to October 2019. A univariate analysis was performed to determine factors associated with conversion to Positive Sendai-Criteria (PSC) and malignancy. Positive Predictive Value (PPV) and Negative Predictive Value (NPV) of the IGC-I were assessed for the development of malignancy.

RESULTS

A total of 219 patients were selected and underwent a median 58-month FU. Thirty-seven (17%) patients developed PSC during FU including 12 (5.5%) with malignant lesions. Conversely, 182 patients (83%) did not develop malignancy. The NPV and PPV of ICG-I for malignancy were 100% and 32.4%, respectively. Among patients who developed PSC, those with cancer were >65years (OR = 3.57;p = 0.015) and had significantly higher serum CA-19-9 levels (OR = 5.27;p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

The ICG-I is a safe strategy for FU of patients with BD-IPMN. The absence of PSC exclude malignancy. Among patients who develops PSC, the risk of cancer remains low and surgery should be decided according to their surgical risk and life expectancy.