Cardiovascular risk factors and the risk of major adverse limb events in patients with symptomatic cardiovascular disease

Development and validation of a prediction model for the prolonged length of stay in Chinese patients with lower extremity atherosclerotic disease: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop and internally validate a prediction model, which takes account of multivariable and comprehensive factors to predict the prolonged length of stay (LOS) in patients with lower extremity atherosclerotic disease (LEAD).

DESIGN

This is a retrospective study.

SETTING

China.

PARTICIPANTS, PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

Data of 1694 patients with LEAD from a retrospective cohort study between January 2014 and November 2021 were analysed. We selected nine variables and created the prediction model using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model after dividing the dataset into training and test sets in a 7:3 ratio. Prediction model performance was evaluated by calibration, discrimination and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The effectiveness of clinical utility was estimated using decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

LASSO regression analysis identified age, gender, systolic blood pressure, Fontaine classification, lesion site, surgery, C reactive protein, prothrombin time international normalised ratio and fibrinogen as significant predictors for predicting prolonged LOS in patients with LEAD. In the training set, the prediction model showed good discrimination using a 500-bootstrap analysis and good calibration with an area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.750. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test for the training set had a p value of 0.354. The decision curve analysis showed that using the prediction model both in training and tests contributes to clinical value.

CONCLUSION

Our prediction model is a valuable tool using easily and routinely obtained clinical variables that could be used to predict prolonged LOS in patients with LEAD and help to better manage these patients in routine clinical practice.

Mortality Risk Assessment in Peripheral Arterial Disease-The Burden of Cardiovascular Risk Factors over the Years: A Single Center's Experience

Atherosclerosis is the basis of the cardiovascular continuum in peripheral artery disease (PAD) patients. Limiting functional decline and increasing quality of life are the main objectives for these patients. We conducted a prospective cohort study on 101 patients with PAD admitted to a single center in Northeast Romania. We used an index score to evaluate the 10-year mortality risk assessment and based on the scores we divided the patients into two groups: a low and low-intermediate risk mortality group (49 cases, 48.5%) and a high-intermediate and high-risk mortality group (52 cases, 51.5%). We analyzed demographics, comorbidities, clinical and paraclinical parameters and we aimed to identify the parameters associated with an unfavorable prognosis. Patients in the high-intermediate and high-risk mortality group were associated more with cardiovascular risk factors. Hypertension (p = 0.046), dyslipidemia (p < 0.001), diabetes mellitus (p < 0.001), and tobacco use (p = 0.018) were statistically significant factors. Lipid profile (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, p = 0.005) and fasting blood glucose (p = 0.013) had higher mean serum values in the high-intermediate and high-risk mortality group, with a positive correlation between them and the ankle-brachial index value (p = 0.003). A multidisciplinary assessment and, especially, correction of associated cardiovascular risk factors prevent complications, and thus, improve the prognosis in the medium and long term.

Antithrombotic Treatment Patterns of Patients with Symptomatic Peripheral Arterial Occlusive Disease in Germany: Evidence from Health Insurance Claims Data

Objectives: Patients with peripheral arterial occlusive disease (PAOD) are at risk of worsening limb symptoms, major adverse cardiovascular events and exhibit an impaired life expectancy. There is a lack of evidence on the extent of pharmacological secondary prevention in PAOD patients. This study assesses treatment patterns of antithrombotic agents in symptomatic PAOD patients. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study using data from the second largest insurance fund in Germany, BARMER. We included symptomatic PAOD patients undergoing in-hospital treatment with an index admission between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2017. Outcomes were proportions of single antiplatelets (SAPT), dual antiplatelets (DAPT), vitamin-K antagonists (VKA), or direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) in the 12 months prior and 6 months after the index hospitalization. Non-parametric cumulative incidence for competing risks was estimated to account for censoring and death after discharge from hospital stay. Patient flows were visualised by alluvial diagrams. All analyses were stratified by intermittent claudication (IC) and chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI). The protocol was registered to ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03909022). Results: A total of 80,426 unique patient encounters were identified. Mean age was 72.7 (46.3% female). Amongst all patients, 25.6% were on SAPT, 4.1% on DAPT, 9.1% on VKA, 3.9% on DOAC, 3.9% on both antiplatelets and oral anticoagulation, and 53.3% without any antithrombotic therapy during the 12 months before index stay. The estimated cumulative incidence was 37.9% SAPT, 14.8% DAPT, 7.5% VKA, 4.3% DOAC, 7.4% both, and 28.1% without any antithrombotic therapy during the 6 months after index stay. The considerable increases in antiplatelet therapy were mainly driven by the group of patients without antithrombotics before index stay. As compared with IC, patients who suffered from CLTI received less often antiplatelets but more often anticoagulants both before and after index stay. Conclusions: Utilisation rates of antithrombotic therapy increased considerably after in-hospital treatment for PAOD. Yet, remarkably high rates of symptomatic patients without any blood-thinning therapy constitute a major concern with respect to adequate secondary prevention of PAOD patients.

Current Management of Peripheral Artery Disease: Focus on Pharmacotherapy

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is the occlusion or narrowing of the arteries supplying the lower extremities. Peripheral artery disease has been estimated to affect approximately 240 million people worldwide, approximately 70% of whom are within low- or middle-income countries. Due to the ageing population and diabetes epidemic, the prevalence of PAD is rapidly rising. The symptoms of PAD are heterogeneous and thus a high index of suspicion is needed to prevent delays in diagnosis and treatment. Measurement of ankle brachial pressure index or arterial duplex ultrasound are traditionally used to diagnose PAD. Patients with PAD have a high risk of major adverse cardiovascular events. Early diagnosis and implementation of secondary cardiovascular prevention is therefore critical. This includes therapies to reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, such as statins, ezetimibe and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors, blood-pressure reducing medications and anti-thrombotic drugs. Treatments to facilitate smoking cessation and control blood sugar if relevant and an exercise programme are also critical in reducing cardiovascular risk. Currently, these treatments are not well implemented. This review summarises the clinical presentation, risk factors and medical management of PAD. Global efforts are needed to reduce the burden from the growing PAD epidemic by implementing best practices and improving outcomes through further research.

Principal predictors of major adverse limb events in diabetic peripheral artery disease: A narrative review

Background and aims

The increasing prevalence of diabetes mellitus is causing a massive growth of peripheral artery disease incidences, a disabling complication of diabetic atherosclerosis, which leads often to the amputation of the affected limb. Critical limb ischemia is the terminal disease stage, which requires a prompt intervention to relieve pain and save limbs. However, patients undergoing revascularization often suffer from cardiovascular, cerebrovascular and major adverse limb events with poor outcomes. Furthermore, the same procedure performed in apparently similar patients has various outcomes and lack of an outcome predictive support causes a high lower limb arterial revascularization rate with disastrous effects for patients. We collected the main risk factors of major adverse limb events in a more readable and immediate format of the topic, to propose an overview of parameters to manage effectively peripheral artery disease patients and to propose basics of a new predictive tool to prevent from disabling vascular complications of the disease.

Methods

Most recent and updated literature about the prevalence of major adverse limb events in peripheral artery disease was reviewed to identify possible main predictors.

Results

In this article, we summarized major risk factors of limb revascularization failure and disabling vascular complications collecting those parameters principally responsible for major adverse limb events, which provides physio-pathological explanation of their role in peripheral artery disease.

Conclusion

We evaluated and listed a panel of possible predictors of MALE (Major Adverse Limb Event) in order to contribute to the development of a predictive score, based on a summary of the main risk factors reported in scientific articles, which could improve the management of peripheral artery disease by preventing vascular accidents.

Evidence-Based Recommendations for Medical Management of Peripheral Artery Disease

Patients with lower limb artery stenosis or occlusion (peripheral artery disease; PAD) have been determined to be at very high risk of both major adverse cardiovascular events, such as myocardial infarction and stroke, and major adverse limb events, such as amputation and requirement for artery surgery.Effective medical management has been identified as key in reducing this risk; however, this is often poorly implemented in clinical practice. Thus, the aim of this narrative review was to summarize the current evidence on the medical management of PAD in order to inform clinicians and highlight recommendations for clinical practice. International guidelines, randomized controlled trials, and relevant systematic reviews and meta-analyses have been included in this study. The focus was the management of the key modifiable risk factors to mitigate possible adverse events through prescription of anti-platelet and anticoagulation drugs and medications to control low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood pressure, and diabetes and aid smoking cessation. The available evidence from randomized clinical trials provide a strong rationale for the need for holistic medical management programs that are effective in achieving uptake of these medical therapies in patients with PAD. In conclusion, people with PAD have some of the highest adverse event rates among those with cardiovascular diseases. Secondary preventive measures have been proven effective in reducing these adverse events; however, they remain to be adequately implemented. Thus, the need for an effective implementation program has emerged to reduce adverse events in this patient group.

Successful Peripheral Vascular Intervention in Patients with High-risk Comorbidities or Lesion Characteristics

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Certain comorbidities and lesion characteristics are associated with increased risk for procedural complications, limb events, and cardiovascular events following peripheral vascular intervention (PVI) in patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD). The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of high-risk modifiable and unmodifiable patient characteristics and its relative impact on clinical outcomes such as amputation risk and mortality. Furthermore, general approaches to potentially mitigating these risks through pre-intervention planning and use of modern devices and techniques are discussed.

RECENT FINDINGS

Diabetes, tobacco use, and older age remain strong risk factors for the development of peripheral arterial disease. Recent data highlight the significant risk of polyvascular disease on major limb and cardiac events in advanced PAD, and ongoing studies are assessing this risk specifically after PVI. Challenging lesion characteristics such as calcified disease and chronic total occlusions can be successfully treated with PVI by utilizing novel devices (e.g., intravascular lithotripsy, re-entry devices) and techniques (e.g., subintimal arterial "flossing" with antegrade-retrograde intervention). Understanding high-risk patient comorbidities and lesion characteristics will improve our ability to counsel and manage patients with advanced PAD. Continued device innovation and novel techniques will aid in procedural planning for successful interventions to improve clinical outcomes.