Predictors and outcome of early neurological deterioration after endovascular thrombectomy: a secondary analysis of the DIRECT-MT trial

Association between the atherogenic index of plasma and early neurological deterioration in mechanical thrombectomy patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) is a newly identified as marker of lipid metabolism and glucose metabolism, showing significant predictive value in individuals with cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to explore the correlation between AIP and early neurological deterioration (END) in ischemic stroke patients after mechanical thrombectomy (MT).

METHODS

Patients with anterior circulation large artery occlusive stroke who underwent MT were retrospectively enrolled from 2 stroke center in China. The AIP is a logarithmically transformed ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. END was defined as an increase of ≥ 4 point in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale within 24 hours after surgery. Multivariable regression analysis and restricted cubic spline was utilized to determine the association of AIP index with risk of END.

RESULTS

Of 601 patients (mean age, 70.2 ± 12.1 years; 62.1 % of male) enrolled, 91 (15.1 %) experienced postoperative END. After adjustment for potential confounders, higher AIP levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of END after MT treatment (Per 1-standard deviation increase; odd ratio, 1.474; 95 % confidence interval, 1.162-1.869, P = 0.001). Similar results were confirmed when the AIP was analyzed as a categorical variable. Restricted cubic spline further demonstrated a linear relationship between AIP and risk of END (P = 0.001 for linearity).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study found that a higher AIP index were associated with END in acute ischemic stroke patients following MT treatment for emergent large vessel occlusion.

Predictive Value of White Matter Hyperintensities for Early Neurological Deterioration in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Objective

To explore the role of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) in predicting early neurological deterioration (END) in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) without reperfusion therapy.

Methods

In a retrospective analysis, 111 acute ESUS patients not treated with reperfusion therapy were enrolled. WMH severity was evaluated using the Fazekas scale, with patients categorized into mild (Fazekas score ≤ 2) or moderate-to-severe (Fazekas score ≥ 3) WMH groups. Clinical data were compared between the groups, and END was monitored within 72 hours of hospital admission. The association between WMH and END was assessed using binary logistic regression.

Results

Patients with moderate-to-severe WMH were significantly older (p = 0.001) and more likely to have a history of stroke (28.6% vs 10.5%, p = 0.017) compared to the mild WMH group. The END group (n=16) presented with higher baseline NIHSS scores and a greater prevalence of moderate-to-severe WMH (p < 0.05). Binary logistic regression identified moderate-to-severe WMH (OR = 4.012, 95% CI: 1.080-14.906, p = 0.038), smoking (OR = 4.368, 95% CI: 1.171-16.293, p = 0.028), and diabetes mellitus (OR = 3.986, 95% CI: 1.007-15.789, p = 0.049) as independent predictors of END in ESUS patients.

Conclusion

Moderate-to-severe WMH is an independent risk factor for END in ESUS patients not receiving reperfusion therapy, highlighting the importance of considering WMH in the clinical evaluation and management of stroke patients.

Impact of post-thrombectomy isolated subarachnoid hemorrhage on neurological outcomes in patients with anterior ischemic stroke - a retrospective single-center observational study

PURPOSE

We aimed to investigate the impact of post-thrombectomy isolated subarachnoid hemorrhage (i-SAH) and other types of intracranial hemorrhage (o-ICH) on patient's neurological outcomes.

METHODS

Stroke data from 2018 to 2022 in a tertiary care center were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with large vessel occlusion from ICA to M2 branch were included. Post-thrombectomy intracranial hemorrhages at 24 h were categorized with Heidelberg Bleeding Classification. Neurological impairment of patients was continuously assessed at admission, at 24 h, 48 h and 72 h, and at discharge. Predictors of i-SAH and o-ICH were assessed.

RESULTS

297 patients were included. i-SAH and o-ICH were found in 12.1% (36/297) and 11.4% (34/297) of patients. Overall, NIHSS of i-SAH patients at discharge were comparable to o-ICH patients (median 22 vs. 21, p = 0.889) and were significantly higher than in non-ICH patients (22 vs. 7, p < 0.001). i-SAH often resulted in abrupt deterioration of patient's neurological symptoms at 24 h after thrombectomy. Compared to non-ICH patients, the occurrence of i-SAH was frequently associated with worse neurological outcome at discharge (median NIHSS increase of 4 vs. decrease of 4, p < 0.001) and higher in-hospital mortality (41.7% vs. 23.8%, p = 0.022). Regardless of successful reperfusion (TICI 2b/3), the beneficial impact of thrombectomy appeared to be outweighed by the adverse effect of i-SAH. Incomplete reperfusion and shorter time from symptom onset to admission were associated with higher probability of i-SAH, whereas longer procedure time and lower baseline ASPECTS were predictive for o-ICH occurrence.

CONCLUSION

Post-thrombectomy isolated subarachnoid hemorrhage is a common complication with significant negative impact on neurological outcome.

Early neurological deterioration as a predictor of outcomes after endovascular thrombectomy for stroke: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Early neurological deterioration (END) is a potential predictor for 90-day outcomes following mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to better understand whether END can be used as a surrogate for long-term outcomes.

METHODS

Following the PRISMA guidelines, a systematic literature review of the English language literature was conducted using PubMed, MEDLINE, and Embase. END definition was cataloged for each included study. Outcomes of interest included 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), mortality, and thrombolysis in cerebral infarction (TICI) 2b-3. We calculated pooled odds ratios (ORs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all definitions of END.

RESULTS

We included seven studies with 2992 patients in our analysis. There was a significant, inverse association with END and mRS 0-2 rates (OR = 0.15; 95% CI = 0.08-0.29; P-value< 0.001). Moreover, END was a significant predictor of increased odds for reported sICH rates (OR = 16.37; 95% CI = 7.66-34.99; P-value< 0.001). Furthermore, there was a significant association between END and increase in mortality rates (OR = 6.79; 95% CI = 2.62-17.62; P-value< 0.001). There was no significant association between END and rates of TICI 2b-3 (OR = 0.53; 95% CI = 0.27-1.05; p = 0.069).

CONCLUSIONS

Broadly defined, END holds value as a potential predictor of rates of mRS 0-2 at 90 days and is associated with higher rates of mortality and sICH, but had no correlation with TICI 2b-3.

Hypoperfusion Intensity Ratio Is Associated with Early Neurologic Deficit Severity and Deterioration after Mechanical Thrombectomy in Large-Vessel Occlusion Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The hypoperfusion intensity ratio is a surrogate marker for collateral status and a predictor of infarct growth, malignant cerebral edema, and hemorrhagic transformation. Its utility to predict a poor NIHSS score and early neurologic deterioration after mechanical thrombectomy for large vessel (LVO) versus distal and medium vessel occlusions (DMVO) has not been investigated. The objective of this study was to determine whether the higher hypoperfusion intensity ratio is associated with a worse NIHSS score at 24 hours post-mechanical thrombectomy and early neurologic deterioration in LVO versus DMVO acute ischemic stroke.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective study of 231 patients with acute ischemic stroke with LVO or DMVO amenable for mechanical thrombectomy and available CTP for hypoperfusion intensity ratio assessment pre-mechanical thrombectomy. Clinical and imaging characteristics were abstracted from the medical records. The primary outcome was the NIHSS score at 24 hours post-mechanical thrombectomy. The secondary outcome was early neurologic deterioration, defined as a >4-point increase in the NIHSS score between the initial assessment and 24 hours post-mechanical thrombectomy. All analyses were first conducted in the entire cohort and then separately for the LVO versus DMVO groups.

RESULTS

The optimal hypoperfusion intensity ratio threshold to detect early neurologic deterioration was 0.54. A hypoperfusion intensity ratio ≥ 0.54 was more frequently present in LVO versus DMVO (n = 37 [77.1%] versus n = 11 [22.9%]; P < .001). On multivariable linear regression, the hypoperfusion intensity ratio ≥ 0.54 was independently associated with a worse NIHSS score at 24 hours post-mechanical thrombectomy in the entire cohort (β = 0.163; P = .002) and the LVO group (β = 0.210; P = .005), but not in the DMVO group. The early neurologic deterioration occurred in 26 (11.3%) subjects. On multivariable logistic regression, there was no association of the hypoperfusion intensity ratio ≥ 0.54 with early neurologic deterioration in the entire cohort. However, when analyzed separately, a hypoperfusion intensity ratio ≥ 0.54 significantly increased the odds of early neurologic deterioration in subjects with LVO (OR = 5.263; 95% CI, 1.170-23.674; P = .030) but not in the DMVO group.

CONCLUSIONS

The hypoperfusion intensity ratio ≥ 0.54 was independently associated with a worse 24-hour post-mechanical thrombectomy NIHSS score and early neurologic deterioration in LVO, but not in DMVO acute ischemic stroke. Pending confirmation in future, prospective studies assessing the hypoperfusion intensity ratio may help identify patients at risk of secondary decline to improve peri-thrombectomy care and clinical decision-making.

Introducing the Futile Recanalization Prediction Score (FRPS): A Novel Approach to Predict and Mitigate Ineffective Recanalization after Endovascular Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective: This study aims to develop and validate the Futile Recanalization Prediction Score (FRPS), a novel tool designed to predict the severity risk of FR and aid in pre- and post-EVT risk assessments. Methods: The FRPS was developed using a rigorous process involving the selection of predictor variables based on clinical relevance and potential impact. Initial equations were derived from previous meta-analyses and refined using various statistical techniques. We employed machine learning algorithms, specifically random forest regression, to capture nonlinear relationships and enhance model performance. Cross-validation with five folds was used to assess generalizability and model fit. Results: The final FRPS model included variables such as age, sex, atrial fibrillation (AF), hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM), hyperlipidemia, cognitive impairment, pre-stroke modified Rankin Scale (mRS), systolic blood pressure (SBP), onset-to-puncture time, sICH, and NIHSS score. The random forest model achieved a mean R-squared value of approximately 0.992. Severity ranges for FRPS scores were defined as mild (FRPS < 66), moderate (FRPS 66-80), and severe (FRPS > 80). Conclusions: The FRPS provides valuable insights for treatment planning and patient management by predicting the severity risk of FR. This tool may improve the identification of candidates most likely to benefit from EVT and enhance prognostic accuracy post-EVT. Further clinical validation in diverse settings is warranted to assess its effectiveness and reliability.

Early neurological deterioration in patients with acute ischemic stroke is linked to unfavorable cerebral venous outflow

INTRODUCTION

Early neurological deterioration (END) is associated with poor outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion (AIS-LVO). Causes of END after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) include unsuccessful recanalization and reperfusion hemorrhages. However, little is known about END excluding the aforementioned causes. We aimed to investigate factors associated with unexplained END (ENDunexplained) with regard to the cerebral collateral status.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Multicenter retrospective study of AIS-LVO patients with successful MT (mTICI 2b-3). On admission CT angiography (CTA), pial arterial collaterals and venous outflow (VO) were assessed using the modified Tan-Scale and the Cortical Vein Opacification Score (COVES), respectively. ENDunexplained was defined as an increase in NIHSS score of ⩾ 4 within the first 24 hours after MT without parenchymal hemorrhage on follow-up imaging. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to examine factors of ENDunexplained and unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 3-6).

RESULTS

A total of 620 patients met the inclusion criteria. ENDunexplained occurred in 10% of patients. While there was no significant difference in pial arterial collaterals, patients with ENDunexplained exhibited more often unfavorable VO (81% vs. 53%; P < 0.001). Unfavorable VO (aOR [95% CI]; 2.56 [1.02-6.40]; P = 0.045) was an independent predictor of ENDunexplained. ENDunexplained was independently associated with unfavorable functional outcomes at 90 days (aOR [95% CI]; 6.25 [2.06-18.94]; P = 0.001).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

Unfavorable VO on admission CTA was associated with ENDunexplained. ENDunexplained was independently linked to unfavorable functional outcomes at 90 days. Identifying AIS-LVO patients at risk of ENDunexplained may help to select patients for intensified monitoring and guide to optimal treatment regimes.

Risk Factors and Prognosis of Early Neurological Deterioration after Bridging Therapy

BACKGROUND

Early neurological deterioration (END) after bridging therapy (BT) of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients is associated with poor outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to study the incidence, risk factors and prognosis of END after BT.

METHODS

From January to December 2021, the clinical data of AIS patients treated by BT (intravenous thrombolysis with alteplase prior to mechanical thrombectomy) from three comprehensive stroke centers were analyzed. Patients were divided into non-END group and END group according to whether they developed END within 72 hours of symptom onset. Modified Rankin scale (mRS) was used to assess the patient's prognosis at 90 days, and favorable outcomes were defined as mRS≤2. The incidence of END was investigated, and binary logistic regression analysis was used to explore its associated factors.

RESULTS

The incidence of END after BT was 33.67%. The eligible 90 patients included 29 cases in the END group and 61 cases in the non-END group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that increase of systolic blood pressure (SBP) (OR=1.026, 95%CI:1.001-1.051, p =0.043), higher level of blood glucose at admission (OR=1.389, 95%CI:1.092-1.176, p =0.007) and large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) subtype (OR=8.009, 95%CI:2.357-27.223, p =0.001) were independent risk factors of END. Compared with the non-END group, the END group had significantly lower rates of good outcomes (6.90% versus 65.57%, p =0.001) while higher rates of mortality (44.83% versus 4.92%, p =0.001).

CONCLUSION

It was found that the incidence of END after BT in AIS patients was 33.67%. An increase in SBP, higher glucose levels at admission, and LAA were independent risk factors of END that predicted a poor prognosis.

CNS-LAND score: predicting early neurological deterioration after intravenous thrombolysis based on systemic responses and injury

Importance

Early neurological deterioration (END) is a critical complication in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis (IVT), with a need for reliable prediction tools to guide clinical interventions.

Objective

This study aimed to develop and validate a rating scale, utilizing clinical variables and multisystem laboratory evaluation, to predict END after IVT.

Design setting and participants

The Clinical Trial of Revascularization Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke (TRAIS) cohort enrolled consecutive AIS patients from 14 stroke centers in China (Jan 2018 to Jun 2022).

Outcomes

END defined as NIHSS score increase >4 points or death within 24 h of stroke onset.

Results

1,213 patients (751 in the derivation cohort, 462 in the validation cohort) were included. The CNS-LAND score, a 9-point scale comprising seven variables (CK-MB, NIHSS score, systolic blood pressure, LDH, ALT, neutrophil, and D-dimer), demonstrated excellent differentiation of END (derivation cohort C statistic: 0.862; 95% CI: 0.796-0.928) and successful external validation (validation cohort C statistic: 0.851; 95% CI: 0.814-0.882). Risk stratification showed END risks of 2.1% vs. 29.5% (derivation cohort) and 2.6% vs. 31.2% (validation cohort) for scores 0-3 and 4-9, respectively.

Conclusion

CNS-LAND score is a reliable predictor of END risk in AIS patients receiving IVT.

Red blood cell distribution width to platelet ratio predicts early neurological deterioration in acute ischemic stroke patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis

BACKGROUND

Inflammation plays a prominent role in the pathogenesis and progression of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The red blood cell distribution width to platelet ratio (RPR) has been demonstrated as a novel biomarker to indicate the severity of inflammatory reaction. This study aimed to explore the association between RPR before intravenous thrombolysis and early neurological deterioration (END) after thrombolysis in AIS patients.

METHODS

AIS patients accepting intravenous thrombolysis were recruited continuously. Postthrombolysis END was defined as death or an increase in the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥4 points within 24 h after intravenous thrombolysis compared to the NIHSS score before intravenous thrombolysis. We constructed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to investigate the relationship of RPR before intravenous thrombolysis to postthrombolysis END. Moreover, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to examine the discriminative utility of RPR before intravenous thrombolysis in predicting postthrombolysis END.

RESULTS

A total of 235 AIS patients were included, and 31 (13.19%) subjects underwent postthrombolysis END. The univariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that RPR before intravenous thrombolysis was significantly related to postthrombolysis END (odds ratio [OR], 2.162; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.605-2.912; P < 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounding variables with P < 0.15 in the univariate logistic regression analysis, the difference remained statistically significant (OR, 2.031; 95% CI, 1.436-2.873; P < 0.001). Furthermore, an optimal cutoff value of 7.66 for RPR before intravenous thrombolysis in predicting postthrombolysis END was observed in the ROC curve analysis, and the sensitivity and specificity were calculated as 61.3% and 81.9%, respectively (area under the curve [AUC], 0.772; 95% CI, 0.684-0.860; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

RPR before intravenous thrombolysis might be an independent risk factor for postthrombolysis END in AIS patients. Elevated levels of RPR before intravenous thrombolysis may predict postthrombolysis END.

Impacts of stress hyperglycemia ratio on early neurological deterioration and functional outcome after endovascular treatment in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Background and Purpose

Hyperglycemia has been associated with unfavorable outcome of acute ischemic stroke, but this association has not been verified in patients with endovascular thrombectomy treatment. This study aimed to assess the impact of stress hyperglycemia ratio on early neurological deterioration and favorable outcome after thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Methods

Stroke patients with endovascular thrombectomy in two comprehensive centers were enrolled. Early neurological deterioration was defined as ≥4 points increase of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at 24 hours after endovascular procedure. Favorable outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-2 at 90 days of stroke onset. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify the predictors for early neurological deterioration and favorable outcome.

Results

Among the 559 enrolled, 74 (13.2%) patients developed early neurological deterioration. The predictors for early neurological deterioration were high stress hyperglycemia ratio at baseline (OR =5.77; 95% CI, 1.878-17.742; P =0.002), symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (OR =4.90; 95% CI, 2.439-9.835; P <0.001) and high NIHSS score after 24 hours (OR =1.11; 95% CI, 1.071-1.151; P <0.001). The predictors for favorable outcome were stress hyperglycemia ratio (OR =0.196, 95% CI, 0.077-0.502; P =0.001), age (OR =0.942, 95% CI, 0.909-0.977; P =0.001), NIHSS score 24 hours after onset (OR =0.757, 95% CI =0.693-0.827; P <0.001), groin puncture to recanalization time (OR =0.987, 95% CI, 0.975-0.998; P =0.025), poor collateral status before treatment (ASITN/SIR grade 0-3, OR =62.017, 95% CI, 25.920-148.382; P <0.001), successful recanalization (mTICI 2b or 3, OR =7.415, 95% CI, 1.942-28.313; P =0.001).

Conclusion

High stress hyperglycemia ratio may be related to early neurological deterioration and decreased likelihood of favourable outcomes after endovascular thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Early neurological deterioration in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a prospective multicenter cohort study

Background

There is still no precise knowledge of the causes of progression in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and we are unable to predict patients at risk.

Objective

To explore the frequency, predictive factors, and the prognosis of early neurological deterioration (END) in patients with AIS.

Methods

In this prospective multicenter observational study, we assessed patients with AIS admitted to 18 hospitals in Henan, China. We defined END as an increase of ⩾2 points in total National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score or ⩾1 point in the motor items of the NIHSS within 7 days after admission. Risk factors were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression models. Prognosis was evaluated using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), with poor prognosis defined as mRS 3-6.

Results

A total of 9114 patients with AIS within 24 h of symptom onset were enrolled in the study. END occurred in 1286 (14.1%) patients. The highest incidence (62.5%) of END occurred within 24 h after admission. After adjusting potential confounders, age, body mass index, waist-hip ratio, systolic blood pressure, baseline NIHSS, disabled at baseline, history of atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, intracranial arterial stenosis, infarct location in the lenticulostriate artery area and cerebral watershed, neutrophils, lymphocytes, uric acid, and triglycerides were identified as independent predictors for END. END was significantly associated with poor prognosis at 90 days, and the adjusted OR was 1.74 (95% CI: 1.53-1.97).

Conclusion

One in seven hospitalized patients with AIS may experience END within 24 h of onset. The highest incidence of END occurred within 24 h of admission and decreased steeply with time. Easily identifiable risk factors predict END and could help understand the causal mechanisms and thereby prevent END.

7-Day National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale as a surrogate marker predicting ischemic stroke patients' outcome following endovascular therapy

Background

Early neurological deterioration after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is associated with poor prognosis. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score measured at 24 h after EVT may be a better outcome predictor than other methods that focus on changes in NIHSS. Nevertheless, clinical fluctuations in ischemic stroke patients during the immediate phase after symptoms onset are well recognized. Therefore, a delayed NIHSS evaluation may improve prognostic accuracy. We evaluate the 7-day NIHSS in predicting long-term patient outcomes after EVT.

Methods

This was a multi-center retrospective cohort study of 300 consecutive ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusion who underwent EVT at three-stroke centers in China from August 2018 to March 2022. NIHSS was recorded on admission, pre-EVT, 24 h, and 7 days after EVT.

Results

A total of 236 eligible patients were subdivided into two groups: 7-day NIHSS ≤6 and NIHSS >6 post-EVT. 88.29% achieved a favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale 0-2) in the NIHSS ≤6 group compared to 15.20% in the NIHSS >6 group at 90 days, and an improved favorable outcome in the former group was observed after adjusting for potential confounding factors (adjusted odds ratio 39.7, 95% confidence interval, 17.5-89.7, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The 7-day NIHSS score may be a reliable predictor of 90-day stroke patient outcome after EVT.