Airflow obstruction, impaired lung function and risk of sudden cardiac death: a prospective cohort study

Trajectories of airflow limitation from childhood to early adulthood: an analysis of six population-based birth cohorts

BACKGROUND

Lung function during childhood is an important predictor of subsequent health and disease. Understanding patterns of lung function and development of airflow limitation through childhood is necessary to inform lung function trajectories in relation to health and chronic airway disease. We aimed to derive trajectories of airflow limitation from childhood (age 5-8 years) into early adulthood (age 20-26 years) using repeated spirometry data from birth cohorts.

METHODS

In this study, we drew forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) data from six population-based birth cohorts: the UK-based Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), Isle of Wight cohort (IOW), Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS), and Aberdeen Study of Eczema and Asthma (SEATON) as well as the Swedish Child (Barn), Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological survey (BAMSE) and the Dutch Prevention and Incidence of Asthma and Mite Allergy (PIAMA) cohort. For the discovery analysis, we pooled data from ALSPAC, IOW, MAAS, and BAMSE with spirometry data recorded at middle childhood (age 8-10 years), adolescence (age 15-18 years), and early adulthood (age 20-26 years). For the replication analysis, we pooled middle childhood and adolescence spirometry data from PIAMA and SEATON. We used latent class trajectory modelling to derive trajectory classes based on joint modelling of FEV1 and FEV1/FVC ratio regression residuals ascertained from all age groups. The final model was selected using the lowest Bayesian information criterion. Participants were assigned to the trajectory with the highest posterior probability. Weighted random-effect multinomial logistic regression models were used to investigate factors associated with joining each trajectory, the results of which are reported as relative risk ratios (RRRs) with 95% CIs.

FINDINGS

The discovery population included 8114 participants: 4710 from ALSPAC, 808 from IOW, 586 from MAAS, and 2010 from BAMSE and was modelled into one of four lung function trajectories that showed normal airflow (6555 [80·8%] of 8114 people), persistent airflow obstruction (1280 [15·8%]), worsening airflow obstruction (161 [2·0%]), and improved airflow obstruction (118 [1·5%]). Both improvement in and worsening airflow obstruction by early adulthood were seen from all initial severity levels. Whereas improvement in airflow obstruction was more prominent between middle childhood and adolescence (57·8%) than between adolescence and early adulthood (13·4%), worsening airflow obstruction was more prominent between adolescence and early adulthood (61·5%) than between middle childhood and adolescence (32·6%). Among current wheezers, higher BMI was associated with a lower relative risk of joining the trajectory with improvement in airflow obstruction (RRR 0·69 [95% CI 0·49-0·95]), whereas among non-wheezers, higher BMI increased the relative risk of being in the improved airflow obstruction trajectory (1·38 [1·04-1·85]). A higher BMI at first lung function assessment was associated with a higher relative risk of joining the trajectory for improvement in airflow obstruction trajectory in participants with low birthweight and no current asthma diagnosis (RRR 2·44 [1·17-5·12]); by contrast, higher BMI is associated with a lower relative risk of joining the trajectory with improvement in airflow obstruction among those with low birthweight and current asthma diagnosis (0·37 [0·18-0·76]). Results in replication cohorts (n=1337) were consistent with those in the discovery cohort.

INTERPRETATION

Worsening and improvement in airflow limitation from school age to adulthood might occur at all ages and all airflow obstruction severity levels. Interventions to optimise healthy weight, including tackling overweight and obesity (particularly among children with wheezing) as well as treating underweight among non-wheezers, could help to improve lung health across the lifespan.

FUNDING

UK Medical Research Council and CADSET European Respiratory Society Clinical Research Collaboration.

Is Lung Disease a Risk Factor for Sudden Cardiac Death? A Comparative Case-Control Histopathological Study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) constitutes approximately 50% of cardiovascular mortality. Numerous studies have established an interrelation and a strong association between SCD and pulmonary diseases, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The aim of this study is to examine the presence of more pronounced cardiopulmonary histopathological changes in individuals who died from SCD compared to the histopathological changes in those who died from violent deaths, in two groups with comparable demographic characteristics, age and sex.

METHODS

This retrospective case-control study investigated the histopathological changes in cardiac and pulmonary tissues in two cohorts, each comprising 40 cases of SCD and 40 cases of violent death (self-inflicted hanging). Forensic autopsies were conducted at the Maramureș County Forensic Medicine Service, Romania, between 2019 and 2020.

RESULTS

The mean ages recorded were 43.88 years (SD 5.49) for the SCD cohort and 41.98 years (SD 8.55) for the control cohort. In the SCD cases, pulmonary parenchyma exhibited inflammatory infiltrate in 57.5% (23), fibrosis in 62.5% (25), blood extravasation in 45% (18), and vascular media thickening in 37.5% (15), compared to the control cohort, where these parameters were extremely low. In myocardial tissue, fibrosis was identified in 47.5% (19) and subendocardial adipose tissue in 22.5% (9) of the control cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

A close association exists between SCD and the histopathological alterations observed in the pulmonary parenchyma, including inflammation, fibrosis, emphysema, blood extravasation, stasis, intimal lesions, and vascular media thickening in intraparenchymal vessels. Both the histopathological modifications in the pulmonary parenchyma and vessels, as well as those in myocardial tissue, were associated with an increased risk of SCD, ranging from 2.17 times (presence of intimal lesions) to 58.50 times (presence of interstitial and perivascular inflammatory infiltrate in myocardial tissue).

Chest compression quality decreases in hypoxic conditions simulating an airliner cabin at cruising altitude: a randomized, controlled, double-blind Manikin Study

Air traveler numbers are predicted to reach 4.0 billion in 2024. Between 1/15,000-50,000 passengers will experience acute medical problems inflight with cardiac arrests requiring cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) accounting for 0.3% of medical emergencies. Hypoxia in airplane cabins could impair oxygenation and physical performance of caregivers. We conducted a randomized controlled, double-blind study to test the hypothesis that hypoxia decreases the effectiveness in performing CPR. We randomized 24 healthcare professionals to two different study arms, each consisting of two conditions: arm (1) 'hypoxia (FiO2 15%, equivalent to 2400 m altitude)' versus 'normoxia'; arm (2) 'hypoxia + supplemental oxygen' versus 'normoxia + supplemental oxygen'. The order of conditions was counterbalanced and a minimum wash-out period of 24 h was granted between conditions. In each condition participants performed a 5-min cardiac compression only CPR (CCO-CPR) using a full-body manikin after one, three and six hours in an altitude chamber. Mixed ANOVAs with post-hoc false-discovery-rate adjusted pairwise comparisons indicated that although compression frequency was maintained, the number of compressions with correct depth was decreased at all times during hypoxia compared to normoxia (all p < 0.002). After 6 h hypoxia exposure, mean compression depth was below the recommended compression depth defined by ERC/AHA guidelines and reduced compared to normoxia (42.4 ± 12.6 mm vs. 54.6 ± 4.3 mm, p < 0.0001). Supplemental oxygen during CCO-CPR in hypoxia prevented the decrease of compression-depth (55.3 ± 3 mm). Extended hypoxia exposure akin to conditions in airplane cabins can reduce quality of chest compressions during CPR. Supplemental oxygen for healthcare providers is an effective countermeasure.

Study on the relationship between body mass index and blood pressure indices in children aged 7-17 during COVID-19

Background

To explore the relationship between body mass index (BMI), age, sex, and blood pressure (systolic blood pressure, SBP; diastolic blood pressure, DBP) in children during COVID-19, providing reference for the prevention and screening of hypertension in children.

Methods

This study adopted a large-scale cross-sectional design to investigate the association between BMI and blood pressure in 7-17-year-old students in City N, China, during COVID-19. Thirty-six primary and secondary schools in City N were sampled using a stratified cluster sampling method. A total of 11,433 students aged 7-17 years in City N, China, were selected for blood pressure (Diastolic blood pressure, DBP, Systolic blood pressure, SBP), height, and weight, Resting heart rate (RHR), chest circumference, measurements, and the study was written using the STROBE checklist. Data analysis was conducted using SPSS 26.0, calculating the mean and standard deviation of BMI and blood pressure for male and female students in different age groups. Regression analysis was employed to explore the impact of BMI, age, and sex on SBP and DBP, and predictive models were established. The model fit was evaluated using the model R2.

Results

The study included 11,287 primary and secondary school students, comprising 5,649 boys and 5,638 girls. It was found that with increasing age, BMI and blood pressure of boys and girls generally increased. There were significant differences in blood pressure levels between boys and girls in different age groups. In regression models, LC, Age, BMI, and chest circumference show significant positive linear relationships with SBP and DBP in adolescents, while RHR exhibits a negative linear relationship with SBP. These factors were individually incorporated into a stratified regression model, significantly enhancing the model's explanatory power. After including factors such as Age, Gender, and BMI, the adjusted R2 value showed a significant improvement, with Age and BMI identified as key predictive factors for SBP and DBP. The robustness and predictive accuracy of the model were further examined through K-fold cross-validation and independent sample validation methods. The validation results indicate that the model has a high accuracy and explanatory power in predicting blood pressure in children of different weight levels, especially among obese children, where the prediction accuracy is highest.

Conclusion

During COVID-19, age, sex, and BMI significantly influence blood pressure in children aged 7-17 years, and predictive models for SBP and DBP were established. This model helps predict blood pressure in children and reduce the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Confirmation of factors such as sex, age, and BMI provide a basis for personalized health plans for children, especially during large-scale infectious diseases, providing guidance for addressing health challenges and promoting the health and well-being of children.

Determinants of lung function development from birth to age 5 years: an interrupted time series analysis of a South African birth cohort

BACKGROUND

Early life is a key period that determines long-term health. Lung development in childhood predicts lung function attained in adulthood and morbidity and mortality across the life course. We aimed to assess the effect of early-life lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and associated risk factors on lung development from birth to school age in a South African birth cohort.

METHODS

We prospectively followed children enrolled in a population-based cohort from birth (between March 5, 2012 and March 31, 2015) to age 5 years with annual lung function assessment. Data on multiple early-life exposures, including LRTI, were collected. The effect of early-life risk factors on lung function development from birth to age 5 years was assessed using the Generalised Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape and Interrupted Time Series approach.

FINDINGS

966 children (475 [49·2%] female, 491 [50·8%] male) had lung function measured with oscillometry, tidal flow volume loops, and multiple breath washout. LRTI occurred in 484 (50·1%) children, with a median of 2·0 LRTI episodes (IQR 1·0-3·0) per child. LRTI was independently associated with altered lung function, as evidenced by lower compliance (0·959 [95% CI 0·941-0·978]), higher resistance (1·028 [1·016-1·041]), and higher respiratory rate (1·018 [1·063-1·029]) over 5 years. Additional impact on lung function parameters occurred with each subsequent LRTI. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) LRTI was associated with lower expiratory flow ratio (0·97 [0·95-0·99]) compared with non-RSV LRTI. Maternal factors including allergy, smoking, and HIV infection were also associated with altered lung development, as was preterm birth, low birthweight, female sex, and coming from a less wealthy household.

INTERPRETATION

Public health interventions targeting LRTI prevention, with RSV a priority, are vital, particularly in low-income and middle-income settings.

FUNDING

UK Medical Research Council Grant, The Wellcome Trust, The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, US National Institutes of Health Human Heredity and Health in Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Hungarian Scientific Research Fund, and European Respiratory Society.

Social determinants of respiratory health from birth: still of concern in the 21st century?

Respiratory symptoms are ubiquitous in children and, even though they may be the harbinger of poor long-term outcomes, are often trivialised. Adverse exposures pre-conception, antenatally and in early childhood have lifetime impacts on respiratory health. For the most part, lung function tracks from the pre-school years at least into late middle age, and airflow obstruction is associated not merely with poor respiratory outcomes but also early all-cause morbidity and mortality. Much would be preventable if social determinants of adverse outcomes were to be addressed. This review presents the perspectives of paediatricians from many different contexts, both high and low income, including Europe, the Americas, Australasia, India, Africa and China. It should be noted that there are islands of poverty within even the highest income settings and, conversely, opulent areas in even the most deprived countries. The heaviest burden of any adverse effects falls on those of the lowest socioeconomic status. Themes include passive exposure to tobacco smoke and indoor and outdoor pollution, across the entire developmental course, and lack of access even to simple affordable medications, let alone the new biologicals. Commonly, disease outcomes are worse in resource-poor areas. Both within and between countries there are avoidable gross disparities in outcomes. Climate change is also bearing down hardest on the poorest children. This review highlights the need for vigorous advocacy for children to improve lifelong health. It also highlights that there are ongoing culturally sensitive interventions to address social determinants of disease which are already benefiting children.

Risk Prediction for Sudden Cardiac Death in the General Population: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective: Identification of SCD risk is important in the general population from a public health perspective. The objective is to summarize and appraise the available prediction models for the risk of SCD among the general population. Methods: Data were obtained searching six electronic databases and reporting prediction models of SCD risk in the general population. Studies with duplicate cohorts and missing information were excluded from the meta-analysis. Results: Out of 8,407 studies identified, fifteen studies were included in the systematic review, while five studies were included in the meta-analysis. The Cox proportional hazards model was used in thirteen studies (96.67%). Study locations were limited to Europe and the United States. Our pooled meta-analyses included four predictors: diabetes mellitus (ES = 2.69, 95%CI: 1.93, 3.76), QRS duration (ES = 1.16, 95%CI: 1.06, 1.26), spatial QRS-T angle (ES = 1.46, 95%CI: 1.27, 1.69) and factional shortening (ES = 1.37, 95%CI: 1.15, 1.64). Conclusion: Risk prediction model may be useful as an adjunct for risk stratification strategies for SCD in the general population. Further studies among people except for white participants and more accessible factors are necessary to explore.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cardiovascular disease: mechanistic links and implications for practice

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are both significant burdens on the healthcare system and often coexist. Mechanistic links between the two conditions and their clinical impact are increasingly understood.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent studies demonstrate multiple mechanisms by which the pathobiology of COPD may have negative effects on the cardiovascular system. These include extrapulmonary consequences of the COPD inflammatory state, cardiac autonomic dysfunction, which has been recently implicated in worsening respiratory symptoms and exacerbation risk, and mechanical effects of lung hyperinflation on left ventricular diastolic function.Clinical studies have consistently shown a high prevalence of CVD in COPD patients and worsened outcomes (and vice versa ). Exacerbations of COPD have also been demonstrated to dramatically increase the risk of cardiovascular events. While some safety concerns exist, medications for COPD and cardiovascular disease should be used in accordance with respective guidelines. However, real-world data show suboptimal management for patients with COPD and CVD.

SUMMARY

COPD and cardiovascular disease have complicated interrelationships. Further mechanistic studies may lead to defining better targets for interventions. Education for medical professionals and implementation of novel screening protocols should be encouraged to fill in the gaps in clinical care for these patients.

Obstructive and restrictive spirometry from school age to adulthood: three birth cohort studies

Background

Spirometric obstruction and restriction are two patterns of impaired lung function which are predictive of poor health. We investigated the development of these phenotypes and their transitions through childhood to early adulthood.

Methods

In this study, we analysed pooled data from three UK population-based birth cohorts established between 1989 and 1995. We applied descriptive statistics, regression modelling and data-driven modelling to data from three population-based birth cohorts with at least three spirometry measures from childhood to adulthood (mid-school: 8-10 years, n = 8404; adolescence: 15-18, n = 5764; and early adulthood: 20-26, n = 4680). Participants were assigned to normal, restrictive, and obstructive spirometry based on adjusted regression residuals. We considered two transitions: from 8-10 to 15-18 and from 15-18 to 20-26 years.

Findings

Obstructive phenotype was observed in ∼10%, and restrictive in ∼9%. A substantial proportion of children with impaired lung function in school age (between one third in obstructive and a half in restricted phenotype) improved and achieved normal and stable lung function to early adulthood. Of those with normal lung function in school-age, <5% declined to adulthood. Underweight restrictive and obese obstructive participants were less likely to transit to normal. Maternal smoking during pregnancy and current asthma diagnosis increased the risk of persistent obstruction and worsening. Significant associate of worsening in restrictive phenotypes was lower BMI at the first lung function assessment. Data-driven methodologies identified similar risk factors for obstructive and restrictive clusters.

Interpretation

The worsening and improvement in obstructive and restrictive spirometry were observed at all ages. Maintaining optimal weight during childhood and reducing maternal smoking during pregnancy may reduce spirometry obstruction and restriction and improve lung function.

Funding

MRC Grant MR/S025340/1.

Understanding progression from pre-school wheezing to school-age asthma: Can modern data approaches help?

Preschool wheezing and childhood asthma create a heavy disease burden which is only exacerbated by the complexity of the conditions. Preschool wheezing exhibits both "curricular" and "aetiological" heterogeneity: that is, heterogeneity across patients both in the time-course of its development and in its underpinning pathological mechanisms. Since these are not fully understood, but clinical presentations across patients may nonetheless be similar, current diagnostic labels are imprecise-not mapping cleanly onto underlying disease mechanisms-and prognoses uncertain. These uncertainties also make a identifying new targets for therapeutic intervention difficult. In the past few decades, carefully designed birth cohort studies have collected "big data" on a large scale, incorporating not only a wealth of longitudinal clinical data, but also detailed information from modalities as varied as imaging, multiomics, and blood biomarkers. The profusion of big data has seen the proliferation of what we term "modern data approaches" (MDAs)-grouping together machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data science-to make sense and make use of this data. In this review, we survey applications of MDAs (with an emphasis on machine learning) in childhood wheeze and asthma, highlighting the extent of their successes in providing tools for prognosis, unpicking the curricular heterogeneity of these conditions, clarifying the limitations of current diagnostic criteria, and indicating directions of research for uncovering the etiology of the diseases underlying these conditions. Specifically, we focus on the trajectories of childhood wheeze phenotypes. Further, we provide an explainer of the nature and potential use of MDAs and emphasize the scope of what we can hope to achieve with them.

Contemporary Concise Review 2022: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

International respiratory organizations now recommend using lower limit of normal and standardized residuals to diagnose airflow obstruction and COPD though using a fixed ratio <0.7 is simpler and robustly predicts important clinical outcomes. The most common COPD comorbidities are coronary artery calcification, emphysema and bronchiectasis. COPD patients with psychological (high anxiety and depression) and cachectic (underweight and osteoporotic) comorbidity have higher mortality and exacerbate more. Serum eosinophil count remains an important COPD biomarker and we have greater clarity about normal eosinophil levels in COPD and the wider population. Criteria for entry into COPD clinical trials continue to exclude many patients, in particular those at greater risk of exacerbation and death. The effect of hyperinflation on cardiac function impacts COPD mortality and is an important target for successful lung volume reduction procedures.

Dynamic Change of Cardiovascular Health Metrics and Long‐Term Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death: The ARIC Study

Background

The change of cardiovascular health (CVH) status has been associated with risk of cardiovascular disease. However, no studies have explored the change patterns of CVH in relation to risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). We aim to examine the link between baseline CVH and change of CVH over time with the risk of SCD.

Methods and Results

Analyses were conducted in the prospective cohort ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, started in 1987 to 1989. ARIC enrolled 15 792 individuals 45 to 64 years of age from 4 US communities (Forsyth County, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi; suburbs of Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Washington County, Maryland). Subjects with 0 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 7 ideal metrics of CVH were categorized as having poor, intermediate, or ideal CVH, respectively. Change in CVH over 6 years between 1987 to 1989 and 1993 to 1995 was considered. The primary study outcome was physician adjudicated SCD. The study population consisted of 15 026 subjects, of whom 12 207 had data about CVH change. Over a median follow‐up of 23.0 years, 583 cases of SCD were recorded. There was a strong inverse association between baseline CVH metrics and time varying CVH metrics with risk of SCD. Compared with subjects with consistently poor CVH, risk of SCD was lower in those changed from poor to intermediate/ideal (hazard ratio [HR], 0.67 [95% CI, 0.48–0.94]), intermediate to poor (HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.54–0.99]), intermediate to ideal (HR, 0.49 [95% CI, 0.24–0.99]), ideal to poor/intermediate CVH (HR, 0.23 [95% CI, 0.10–0.52]), or those with consistently intermediate (HR, 0.49 [95% CI, 0.36–0.66]) or consistently ideal CVH (HR, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.13–0.76]). Similar results were also observed for non‐SCD.

Conclusions

Compared with consistently poor CVH, other patterns of change in CVH were associated with lower risk of SCD. These findings highlight the importance of promotion of ideal CVH in the primordial prevention of SCD.

Association Between Dynamic Change of QT Interval and Long-Term Cardiovascular Outcomes: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background: The prolongation or shortening of heart rate-corrected QT (QTc) predisposes patients to fatal ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD), but the association of dynamic change of QTc interval with mortality in the general population remains unclear.

Methods: A total of 11,798 middle-aged subjects from the prospective, population-based cohort were included in this analysis. The QTc interval corrected for heart rate was measured on two occasions around 3 years apart in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The ΔQTc interval was calculated by evaluating a change in QTc interval from visit 1 to visit 2.

Results: After a median follow-up of 19.5 years, the association between the dynamic change of QTc interval and endpoints of death was U-shaped. The multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) comparing subjects above the 95th percentile of Framingham–corrected ΔQTc (ΔQTcF) (≥32 ms) with subjects in the middle quintile (0–8 ms) were 2.69 (95% CI, 1.68–4.30) for SCD, 2.51 (1.68–3.74) for coronary heart disease death, 2.10 (1.50–2.94) for cardiovascular death, and 1.30 (1.11–1.55) for death from any cause. The corresponding HRs comparing subjects with a ΔQTcF below the fifth percentile (<-23 ms) with those in the middle quintile were 1.82 (1.09–3.05) for SCD, 1.83 (1.19–2.81) for coronary heart disease death, 2.14 (1.51–2.96) for cardiovascular death, and 1.31 (1.11–1.56) for death from any cause. Less extreme deviations of ΔQTcF were also associated with an increased risk of death. Similar, albeit weaker associations also were observed with ΔQTc corrected with Bazett's formula.

Conclusions: A dynamic change of QTc interval is associated with increased mortality risk in the general population, indicating that repeated measurements of the QTc interval may be available to provide additional prognostic information.