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A nationwide analysis on the interaction between frailty and beta-blocker therapy in hip fracture patients. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2023; 49:1485-1497. [PMID: 36633610 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-023-02219-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2022] [Accepted: 12/31/2022] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Hip fracture patients, who are often frail, continue to be a challenge for healthcare systems with a high postoperative mortality rate. While beta-blocker therapy (BBt) has shown a strong association with reduced postoperative mortality, its effect in frail patients has yet to be determined. This study's aim is to investigate how frailty, measured using the Orthopedic Hip Frailty Score (OFS), modifies the effect of preadmission beta-blocker therapy on mortality in hip fracture patients. METHODS This retrospective register-based study included all adult patients in Sweden who suffered a traumatic hip fracture and subsequently underwent surgery between 2008 and 2017. Treatment effect was evaluated using the absolute risk reduction (ARR) in 30-day postoperative mortality when comparing patients with (BBt+) and without (BBt-) ongoing BBt. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to reduce potential confounding when examining the treatment effect. Patients were stratified based on their OFS (0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5) and the treatment effect was also assessed within each stratum. RESULTS A total of 127,305 patients were included, of whom 39% had BBt. When IPTW was performed, there were no residual differences in observed baseline characteristics between the BBt+ and BBt- groups, across all strata. This analysis found that there was a stepwise increase in the ARRs for each additional point on the OFS. Non-frail BBt+ patients (OFS 0) exhibited an ARR of 2.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.0-2.4%, p < 0.001], while the most frail BBt+ patients (OFS 5) had an ARR of 24% [95% CI 18-30%, p < 0.001], compared to BBt- patients within the same stratum. CONCLUSION Beta-blocker therapy is associated with a reduced risk of 30-day postoperative mortality in frail hip fracture patients, with a greater effect being observed with higher Orthopedic Hip Frailty Scores.
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Mohammad Ismail A, Forssten MP, Bass GA, Trivedi DJ, Ekestubbe L, Ioannidis I, Duffy CC, Peden CJ, Mohseni S. Mode of anesthesia is not associated with outcomes following emergency hip fracture surgery: a population-level cohort study. Trauma Surg Acute Care Open 2022; 7:e000957. [PMID: 36148316 PMCID: PMC9486374 DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2022-000957] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2022] [Accepted: 08/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Hip fractures often occur in frail patients with several comorbidities. In those undergoing emergency surgery, determining the optimal anesthesia modality may be challenging, with equipoise concerning outcomes following either spinal or general anesthesia. In this study, we investigated the association between mode of anesthesia and postoperative morbidity and mortality with subgroup analyses. Methods This is a retrospective study using all consecutive adult patients who underwent emergency hip fracture surgery in Orebro County, Sweden, between 2013 and 2017. Patients were extracted from the Swedish National Hip Fracture Registry, and their electronic medical records were reviewed. The association between the type of anesthesia and 30-day and 90-day postoperative mortality, as well as in-hospital severe complications (Clavien-Dindo classification ≥3a), was analyzed using Poisson regression models with robust SEs, while the association with 1-year mortality was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. All analyses were adjusted for potential confounders. Results A total of 2437 hip fracture cases were included in the study, of whom 60% received spinal anesthesia. There was no statistically significant difference in the risk of 30-day postoperative mortality (adjusted incident rate ratio (IRR) (95% CI): 0.99 (0.72 to 1.36), p=0.952), 90-day postoperative mortality (adjusted IRR (95% CI): 0.88 (0.70 to 1.11), p=0.281), 1-year postoperative mortality (adjusted HR (95% CI): 0.98 (0.83 to 1.15), p=0.773), or in-hospital severe complications (adjusted IRR (95% CI): 1.24 (0.85 to 1.82), p=0.273), when comparing general and spinal anesthesia. Conclusions Mode of anesthesia during emergency hip fracture surgery was not associated with an increased risk of postoperative mortality or in-hospital severe complications in the study population or any of the investigated subgroups. Level of evidence: Therapeutic/Care Management, level III
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmad Mohammad Ismail
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Maximilian Peter Forssten
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Gary Alan Bass
- Division of Traumatology, Surgical Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Dhanisha Jayesh Trivedi
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden.,Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Lovisa Ekestubbe
- Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Ioannis Ioannidis
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Caoimhe C Duffy
- Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Carol J Peden
- Department of Clinical Anesthesiology, University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.,Department of Anesthesiology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Shahin Mohseni
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden.,Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
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Ioannidis I, Mohammad Ismail A, Forssten MP, Ahl R, Cao Y, Borg T, Mohseni S. The mortality burden in patients with hip fractures and dementia. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2022; 48:2919-2925. [PMID: 33638650 PMCID: PMC9360069 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-021-01612-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2020] [Accepted: 02/05/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Dementia is strongly associated with postoperative death in patients subjected to hip fracture surgery. Nevertheless, there is a distinct lack of research investigating the cause of postoperative mortality in patients with dementia. This study aims to investigate the distribution and the risk of cause-specific postoperative mortality in patients with dementia compared to the general hip fracture population. METHODS All adults who underwent emergency hip fracture surgery in Sweden between 1/1/2008 and 31/12/2017 were considered for inclusion. Pathological, conservatively managed fractures, and reoperations were excluded. The database was retrieved by cross-referencing the Swedish National Quality Registry for Hip Fracture patients with the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare quality registers. A Poisson regression model was used to determine the association between dementia and all-cause as well as cause-specific 30-day postoperative mortality. RESULTS 134,915 cases met the inclusion criteria, of which 20% had dementia at the time of surgery. The adjusted risk of all-cause 30-day postoperative mortality was 67% higher in patients with dementia after hip fracture surgery compared to patients without dementia [adj. IRR (95% CI): 1.67 (1.60-1.75), p < 0.001]. The risk of cause-specific mortality was also higher in patients with dementia, with up to a sevenfold increase in the risk cerebrovascular mortality [adj. IRR (95% CI): 7.43 (4.99-11.07), p < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS Hip fracture patients with dementia have a higher risk of death in the first 30 days postoperatively, with a substantially higher risk of mortality due to cardiovascular, respiratory, and cerebrovascular events, compared to patients without dementia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ioannis Ioannidis
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Ahmad Mohammad Ismail
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Maximilian Peter Forssten
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Rebecka Ahl
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
- Division of Trauma & Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, 171 76 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Yang Cao
- Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 701 82 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Tomas Borg
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Shahin Mohseni
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
- Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
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Dementia is a surrogate for frailty in hip fracture mortality prediction. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2022; 48:4157-4167. [PMID: 35355091 PMCID: PMC9532301 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-022-01960-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2021] [Accepted: 03/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
Purpose Among hip fracture patients both dementia and frailty are particularly prevalent. The aim of the current study was to determine if dementia functions as a surrogate for frailty, or if it confers additional information as a comorbidity when predicting postoperative mortality after a hip fracture. Methods All adult patients who suffered a traumatic hip fracture in Sweden between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2017 were considered for inclusion. Pathological fractures, non-operatively treated fractures, reoperations, and patients missing data were excluded. Logistic regression (LR) models were fitted, one including and one excluding measurements of frailty, with postoperative mortality as the response variable. The primary outcome of interest was 30-day postoperative mortality. The relative importance for all variables was determined using the permutation importance. New LR models were constructed using the top ten most important variables. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to compare the predictive ability of these models. Results 121,305 patients were included in the study. Initially, dementia was among the top ten most important variables for predicting 30-day mortality. When measurements of frailty were included, dementia was replaced in relative importance by the ability to walk alone outdoors and institutionalization. There was no significant difference in the predictive ability of the models fitted using the top ten most important variables when comparing those that included [AUC for 30-day mortality (95% CI): 0.82 (0.81–0.82)] and excluded [AUC for 30-day mortality (95% CI): 0.81 (0.80–0.81)] measurements of frailty. Conclusion Dementia functions as a surrogate for frailty when predicting mortality up to one year after hip fracture surgery. The presence of dementia in a patient without frailty does not appreciably contribute to the prediction of postoperative mortality. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00068-022-01960-9.
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Mohammad Ismail A, Ahl R, Forssten MP, Cao Y, Wretenberg P, Borg T, Mohseni S. The interaction between pre-admission β-blocker therapy, the Revised Cardiac Risk Index, and mortality in geriatric hip fracture patients. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2022; 92:49-56. [PMID: 34252058 PMCID: PMC8677608 DOI: 10.1097/ta.0000000000003358] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2021] [Revised: 06/23/2021] [Accepted: 07/04/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND An association between β-blocker (BB) therapy and a reduced risk of major cardiac events and mortality in patients undergoing surgery for hip fractures has previously been demonstrated. Furthermore, a relationship between an increased Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) score and a higher risk of postoperative mortality has also been detected. The purpose of the current study was to investigate the interaction between BB therapy and RCRI in relation to 30-day postoperative mortality in geriatric patients after hip fracture surgery. METHODS All patients older than 65 years who underwent primary emergency hip fracture surgery in Sweden between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2017, except for pathological fractures, were included in this retrospective cohort study. Patients were divided into cohorts based on their RCRI score (RCRI 1, 2, 3, and ≥4) and whether they had ongoing BB therapy at the time of admission. A Poisson regression model with robust standard errors of variance was used, while adjusting for confounders, to evaluate the association between BB therapy, RCRI, and 30-day mortality. RESULTS A total of 126,934 cases met the study inclusion criteria. β-Blocker therapy was associated with a 65% decrease in the risk of 30-day postoperative mortality in the whole study population (adjusted incidence rate ratio [95% confidence interval], 0.35 [0.32-0.38]; p < 0.001). The use of BB also resulted in a significant reduction in 30-day postoperative mortality within all RCRI cohorts. However, the most pronounced effect of BB therapy was seen in patients with an RCRI score greater than 0. CONCLUSION β-Blocker therapy is associated with a reduction in 30-day postoperative mortality, irrespective of RCRI score. Furthermore, patients with an elevated cardiac risk appear to have a greater benefit of BB therapy. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Therapeutic/care management, level II.
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El-Menyar A, Asim M, Bahey AAA, Chughtai T, Alyafai A, Abdelrahman H, Rizoli S, Peralta R, Al-Thani H. Beta blocker use in traumatic brain injury based on the high-sensitive troponin status (BBTBBT): methodology and protocol implementation of a double-blind randomized controlled clinical trial. Trials 2021; 22:890. [PMID: 34876207 PMCID: PMC8650244 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-021-05872-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Beta-adrenergic receptor blockers (BB) play an important role in the protection of organs that are susceptible for secondary injury due to stress-induced adrenergic surge. However, the use of BB in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients is not yet the standard of care which necessitates clear scientific evidence to be used. The BBTBBT study aims to determine whether early administration of propranolol based on the high-sensitive troponin T(HsTnT) status will improve the outcome of TBI patients. We hypothesized that early propranolol use is effective in reducing 10- and 30-day mortality in TBI patients. Secondary outcomes will include correlation between serum biomarkers (troponin, epinephrine, cytokines, enolase, S100 calcium binding protein B) and the severity of injury and the impact of BB use on the duration of hospital stay and functional status at a 3-month period. Methods The BBTBBT study is a prospective, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled three-arm trial of BB use in mild-to-severe TBI patients based on the HsTnT status. All enrolled patients will be tested for HsTnT at the first 4 and 6 h post-injury. Patients with positive HsTnT will receive BB if there is no contraindication (group 1). Patients with negative HsTnT will be randomized to receive either propranolol (group 2) or placebo (group 3). The time widow for receiving the study treatment is the first 24 h post-injury. Discussion Early BB use may reduce the catecholamine storm and subsequently the cascade of immune and inflammatory changes associated with TBI. HsTnT could be a useful fast diagnostic and prognostic tool in TBI patients. This study will be of great clinical interest to improve survival and functional outcomes of TBI patients. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04508244. Registered on 7 August 2020. Recruitment started on 29 December 2020 and is ongoing. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13063-021-05872-8.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ayman El-Menyar
- Clinical Research, Trauma & Vascular Surgery Section, Hamad General Hospital (HGH), PO Box 3050, Doha, Qatar. .,Clinical Medicine, Weill Cornell Medical College, Doha, Qatar.
| | - Mohammad Asim
- Clinical Research, Trauma & Vascular Surgery Section, Hamad General Hospital (HGH), PO Box 3050, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - Talat Chughtai
- Department of Surgery, Trauma Surgery Section, HGH, Doha, Qatar.,Department of Surgery, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | | | | | - Sandro Rizoli
- Department of Surgery, Trauma Surgery Section, HGH, Doha, Qatar
| | - Ruben Peralta
- Department of Surgery, Trauma Surgery Section, HGH, Doha, Qatar
| | - Hassan Al-Thani
- Department of Surgery, Trauma Surgery Section, HGH, Doha, Qatar
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Mohammad Ismail A, Ahl R, Forssten MP, Cao Y, Wretenberg P, Borg T, Mohseni S. Beta-Blocker Therapy Is Associated With Increased 1-Year Survival After Hip Fracture Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Anesth Analg 2021; 133:1225-1234. [PMID: 34260428 PMCID: PMC8505142 DOI: 10.1213/ane.0000000000005659] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The high mortality rates seen within the first postoperative year after hip fracture surgery have remained relatively unchanged in many countries for the past 15 years. Recent investigations have shown an association between beta-blocker (BB) therapy and a reduction in risk-adjusted mortality within the first 90 days after hip fracture surgery. We hypothesized that preoperative, and continuous postoperative, BB therapy may also be associated with a decrease in mortality within the first year after hip fracture surgery. METHODS In this retrospective cohort study, all adults who underwent primary emergency hip fracture surgery in Sweden, between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2017, were included. Patients with pathological fractures and conservatively managed hip fractures were excluded. Patients who filled a prescription within the year before and after surgery were defined as having ongoing BB therapy. The primary outcome of interest was postoperative mortality within the first year. To reduce the effects of confounding from covariates due to nonrandomization in the current study, the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used. Subsequently, Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to the weighted cohorts. These analyses were repeated while excluding patients who died within the first 30 days postoperatively. This reduces the effect of early deaths due to surgical and anesthesiologic complications as well as the higher degree of advanced directives present in the study population compared to the general population, which allowed for the evaluation of the long-term association between BB therapy and mortality in isolation. Results are reported as hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Statistical significance was defined as a 2-sided P value <.05. RESULTS A total of 134,915 cases were included in the study. After IPTW, BB therapy was associated with a 42% reduction the risk of mortality within the first postoperative year (adjusted HR = 0.58, 95% CI, 0.57-0.60; P < .001). After excluding patients who died within the first 30 days postoperatively, BB therapy was associated with a 27% reduction in the risk of mortality (adjusted HR = 0.73, 95% CI, 0.71-0.75; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS A significant reduction in the risk of mortality in the first year following hip fracture surgery was observed in patients with ongoing BB therapy. Further investigations into this finding are warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmad Mohammad Ismail
- From the Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Rebecka Ahl
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
- Department of Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Maximilian Peter Forssten
- From the Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Yang Cao
- Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Per Wretenberg
- From the Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Tomas Borg
- From the Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Shahin Mohseni
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
- Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
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Predicting 1-Year Mortality after Hip Fracture Surgery: An Evaluation of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches. J Pers Med 2021; 11:jpm11080727. [PMID: 34442370 PMCID: PMC8401745 DOI: 10.3390/jpm11080727] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2021] [Revised: 07/24/2021] [Accepted: 07/24/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Postoperative death within 1 year following hip fracture surgery is reported to be up to 27%. In the current study, we benchmarked the predictive precision and accuracy of the algorithms support vector machine (SVM), naïve Bayes classifier (NB), and random forest classifier (RF) against logistic regression (LR) in predicting 1-year postoperative mortality in hip fracture patients as well as assessed the relative importance of the variables included in the LR model. All adult patients who underwent primary emergency hip fracture surgery in Sweden, between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2017 were included in the study. Patients with pathological fractures and non-operatively managed hip fractures, as well as those who died within 30 days after surgery, were excluded from the analysis. A LR model with an elastic net regularization were fitted and compared to NB, SVM, and RF. The relative importance of the variables in the LR model was then evaluated using the permutation importance. The LR model including all the variables demonstrated an acceptable predictive ability on both the training and test datasets for predicting one-year postoperative mortality (Area under the curve (AUC) = 0.74 and 0.74 respectively). NB, SVM, and RF tended to over-predict the mortality, particularly NB and SVM algorithms. In contrast, LR only over-predicted mortality when the predicted probability of mortality was larger than 0.7. The LR algorithm outperformed the other three algorithms in predicting 1-year postoperative mortality in hip fracture patients. The most important predictors of 1-year mortality were the presence of a metastatic carcinoma, American Society of Anesthesiologists(ASA) classification, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) ≤ 4, age, dementia, congestive heart failure, hypertension, surgery using pins/screws, and chronic kidney disease.
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Forssten MP, Mohammad Ismail A, Borg T, Ahl R, Wretenberg P, Cao Y, Peden CJ, Mohseni S. Postoperative mortality in hip fracture patients stratified by the Revised Cardiac Risk Index: a Swedish nationwide retrospective cohort study. Trauma Surg Acute Care Open 2021; 6:e000778. [PMID: 34395919 PMCID: PMC8314694 DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2021-000778] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2021] [Accepted: 07/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a tool that can be used to evaluate the 30-day risk of postoperative myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest and mortality. This study aims to confirm its association with postoperative mortality in patients who underwent hip fracture surgery. Methods All adults who underwent primary emergency hip fracture surgery in Sweden between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2017 were included in this study. The database was retrieved by cross-referencing the Swedish National Quality Register for hip fractures with the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare registers. The outcomes of interest were the association between the RCRI score and mortality at 30 days, 90 days and 1 year postoperatively. Results 134 915 cases were included in the current study. There was a statistically significant linear trend in postoperative mortality with increasing RCRI scores at 30 days, 90 days and 1 year. An RCRI score ≥4 was associated with a 3.1 times greater risk of 30-day postoperative mortality (adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) 3.13, p<0.001), a 2.5 times greater risk of 90-day postoperative mortality (adjusted IRR 2.54, p<0.001) and a 2.8 times greater risk of 1-year postoperative mortality (adjusted HR 2.81, p<0.001) compared with that observed with an RCRI score of 0. Conclusion An increasing RCRI score is strongly associated with an elevated risk 30-day, 90-day and 1-year postoperative mortality after primary hip fracture surgery. The objective and easily retrievable nature of the variables included in the RCRI calculation makes it an appealing choice for risk stratification in the clinical setting. Levels of evidence Level III.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maximilian Peter Forssten
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Ahmad Mohammad Ismail
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Tomas Borg
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Rebecka Ahl
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden.,Department of Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Per Wretenberg
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden.,School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Yang Cao
- Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Carol J Peden
- Department of Clinical Anesthesiology, University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.,Department of Anesthesiology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Shahin Mohseni
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, Orebro, Sweden.,Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
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Ioannidis I, Mohammad Ismail A, Forssten MP, Cao Y, Bass GA, Borg T, Mohseni S. β-Adrenergic blockade in patients with dementia and hip fracture is associated with decreased postoperative mortality. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2021; 48:1463-1469. [PMID: 34129093 PMCID: PMC9001220 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-021-01723-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2021] [Accepted: 06/05/2021] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
Purpose Dementia, present in 20% of hip fracture patients, is associated with an almost threefold increase in postoperative mortality risk. These patients have a substantially higher incidence of cardiovascular, respiratory, and cerebrovascular mortality after hip fracture surgery compared to patients without dementia. This study aimed to investigate the association between beta-blocker therapy and postoperative mortality in patients with dementia undergoing hip fracture surgery. Methods This nationwide study included all patients in Sweden with the diagnosis of dementia who underwent emergency surgery for a hip fracture between January 2008 and December 2017. Cases where the hip fracture was pathological or conservatively managed were not included. Poisson regression analysis with robust standard errors was performed while controlling for confounders to determine the relationship between beta-blocker therapy and all-cause, as well as cause-specific, postoperative mortality. Results A total of 26,549 patients met the study inclusion criteria, of whom 8258 (31%) had ongoing beta-blocker therapy at time of admission. After adjusting for clinically relevant variables, the incidence of postoperative mortality in patients receiving beta-blocker therapy was decreased by 50% at 30 days [adj. IRR (95% CI) 0.50 (0.45–0.54), p < 0.001] and 34% at 90 days [adj. IRR (95% CI) 0.66 (0.62–0.70), p < 0.001]. Cause-specific mortality analysis demonstrated a significant reduction in the incidence of postoperative cardiovascular, respiratory, and cerebrovascular death within 30 and 90 days postoperatively. Conclusion Beta-blocker therapy is associated with decreased postoperative mortality in hip fracture patients with dementia up to 90 days after surgery. This finding warrants further investigation. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00068-021-01723-y.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ioannis Ioannidis
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Ahmad Mohammad Ismail
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Maximilian Peter Forssten
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Yang Cao
- Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 701 82 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Gary Alan Bass
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
- Division of Traumatology, Surgical Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA
| | - Tomas Borg
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
| | - Shahin Mohseni
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 702 81 Orebro, Sweden
- Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 701 85 Orebro, Sweden
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Cao Y, Forssten MP, Mohammad Ismail A, Borg T, Ioannidis I, Montgomery S, Mohseni S. Predictive Values of Preoperative Characteristics for 30-Day Mortality in Traumatic Hip Fracture Patients. J Pers Med 2021; 11:353. [PMID: 33924993 PMCID: PMC8146802 DOI: 10.3390/jpm11050353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2021] [Revised: 03/21/2021] [Accepted: 04/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Hip fracture patients have a high risk of mortality after surgery, with 30-day postoperative rates as high as 10%. This study aimed to explore the predictive ability of preoperative characteristics in traumatic hip fracture patients as they relate to 30-day postoperative mortality using readily available variables in clinical practice. All adult patients who underwent primary emergency hip fracture surgery in Sweden between 2008 and 2017 were included in the analysis. Associations between the possible predictors and 30-day mortality was performed using a multivariate logistic regression (LR) model; the bidirectional stepwise method was used for variable selection. An LR model and convolutional neural network (CNN) were then fitted for prediction. The relative importance of individual predictors was evaluated using the permutation importance and Gini importance. A total of 134,915 traumatic hip fracture patients were included in the study. The CNN and LR models displayed an acceptable predictive ability for predicting 30-day postoperative mortality using a test dataset, displaying an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of as high as 0.76. The variables with the highest importance in prediction were age, sex, hypertension, dementia, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, and the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI). Both the CNN and LR models achieved an acceptable performance in identifying patients at risk of mortality 30 days after hip fracture surgery. The most important variables for prediction, based on the variables used in the current study are age, hypertension, dementia, sex, ASA classification, and RCRI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang Cao
- Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, 70182 Örebro, Sweden;
- Unit of Integrative Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institute, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Maximilian Peter Forssten
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 70185 Orebro, Sweden; (M.P.F.); (A.M.I.); (T.B.); (I.I.)
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 70182 Orebro, Sweden;
| | - Ahmad Mohammad Ismail
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 70185 Orebro, Sweden; (M.P.F.); (A.M.I.); (T.B.); (I.I.)
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 70182 Orebro, Sweden;
| | - Tomas Borg
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 70185 Orebro, Sweden; (M.P.F.); (A.M.I.); (T.B.); (I.I.)
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 70182 Orebro, Sweden;
| | - Ioannis Ioannidis
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 70185 Orebro, Sweden; (M.P.F.); (A.M.I.); (T.B.); (I.I.)
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 70182 Orebro, Sweden;
| | - Scott Montgomery
- Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, 70182 Örebro, Sweden;
- Clinical Epidemiology Division, Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Shahin Mohseni
- School of Medical Sciences, Orebro University, 70182 Orebro, Sweden;
- Division of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, 70185 Orebro, Sweden
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12
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Mitigating the stress response to improve outcomes for older patients undergoing emergency surgery with the addition of beta-adrenergic blockade. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2021; 48:799-810. [PMID: 33847766 PMCID: PMC9001541 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-021-01647-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2021] [Accepted: 03/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
As population age, healthcare systems and providers are likely to experience a substantial increase in the proportion of elderly patients requiring emergency surgery. Emergency surgery, compared with planned surgery, is strongly associated with increased risks of adverse postoperative outcomes due to the short time available for diagnosis, optimization, and intervention in patients presenting with physiological derangement. These patient populations, who are often frail and burdened with a variety of co-morbidities, have lower reserves to deal with the stress of the acute condition and the required emergency surgical intervention. In this review article, we discuss topical areas where mitigation of the physiological stress posed by the acute condition and asociated surgical intervention may be feasible. We consider the impact of the adrenergic response and use of beta blockers for these high-risk patients and discuss common risk factors such as frailty and delirium. A proactive multidisciplinary approach to peri-operative care aimed at mitigation of the stress response and proactive management of common conditions in the older emergency surgical patient could yield more favorable outcomes.
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Tarazona-Santabalbina FJ, Ojeda-Thies C, Figueroa Rodríguez J, Cassinello-Ogea C, Caeiro JR. Orthogeriatric Management: Improvements in Outcomes during Hospital Admission Due to Hip Fracture. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:3049. [PMID: 33809573 PMCID: PMC7999190 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18063049] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2021] [Revised: 03/05/2021] [Accepted: 03/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Hip fractures are an important socio-economic problem in western countries. Over the past 60 years orthogeriatric care has improved the management of older patients admitted to hospital after suffering hip fractures. Quality of care in orthogeriatric co-management units has increased, reducing adverse events during acute admission, length of stay, both in-hospital and mid-term mortality, as well as healthcare and social costs. Nevertheless, a large number of areas of controversy regarding the clinical management of older adults admitted due to hip fracture remain to be clarified. This narrative review, centered in the last 5 years, combined the search terms "hip fracture", "geriatric assessment", "second hip fracture", "surgery", "perioperative management" and "orthogeriatric care", in order to summarise the state of the art of some questions such as the optimum analgesic protocol, the best approach for treating anemia, the surgical options recommendable for each type of fracture and the efficiency of orthogeriatric co-management and functional recovery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francisco José Tarazona-Santabalbina
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Hospital Universitario de la Ribera, Alzira, 46600 Valencia, Spain
- CIBERFES, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red Fragilidad y Envejecimiento Saludable, Instituto Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Cristina Ojeda-Thies
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery and Traumatology, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, 28041 Madrid, Spain;
| | - Jesús Figueroa Rodríguez
- Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, 15706 Santiago de Compostela, Spain;
| | | | - José Ramón Caeiro
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, 15706 Santiago de Compostela, Spain;
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