Fibrosis-4 index stratifies risks of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Risk stratification for patients with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial. We aimed to investigate the role of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in predicting chronic hepatitis C (CHC)-related HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study consecutively included treatment-naive CHC patients receiving longitudinal follow-up at the National Taiwan University Hospital from 1986 to 2014. The clinical data were collected and traced for HCC development. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the predictors for HCC.

RESULTS

A total of 1285 patients in the ERADICATE-C cohort were included. The median age was 54, 56% were females, and 933 had HCV viremia. There were 33%, 38%, and 29% of patients having FIB-4 index <1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥3.25, respectively. After a median of 9-year follow-up, 186 patients developed HCC. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age, AFP≥20 ng/mL, cirrhosis, and a higher FIB-4 index were independent predictors for HCC. Compared with patients with FIB-4 index <1.45, those with FIB-4 1.45-3.25 had a 5.51-fold risk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.65-11.46), and those with FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 had 7.45-fold risk (95% CI: 3.46-16.05) of HCC. In CHC patients without viremia, FIB-4 index 1.45-3.25 and FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 increased 6.78-fold and 16.77-fold risk of HCC, respectively, compared with those with FIB-4 < 1.45.

CONCLUSION

The baseline FIB-4 index can stratify the risks of HCC in untreated CHC patients, even those without viremia. The FIB-4 index should thus be included in the management of CHC.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease Facilitates Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance and Seroconversion

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance is the goal of functional cure for hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, the impact of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) on this favorable outcome remains unclear.

METHODS

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) were consecutively recruited. MASLD was defined by the newly proposed disease criteria. Cumulative incidences and associated factors of HBsAg seroclearance/seroconversion were compared between the MASLD and non-MASLD groups.

RESULTS

From 2006 to 2021, 4084 treatment-naive hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative CHB patients were included. At baseline, CHB patients with concurrent MASLD (n = 887) had significantly lower levels of HBsAg and HBV DNA than the non-MASLD group (n = 3197). During a median follow-up of 5.0 years, MASLD was associated with a higher likelihood of HBsAg seroclearance (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-1.85; P = .007), and the accumulation of individual metabolic dysfunctions additively facilitated HBsAg seroclearance. In addition, a higher rate of HBsAg seroconversion was observed in patients with MASLD versus those without MASLD (aHR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.00-1.86; P = .049). In sensitivity analysis, patients with intermittent MASLD had an intermediate probability of HBsAg seroclearance. After balancing clinical and virologic profiles by inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), MASLD was still associated with a higher HBsAg seroclearance rate (IPTW-adjusted HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.09-1.84; P = .010).

CONCLUSIONS

In untreated HBeAg-negative CHB patients, concurrent MASLD is associated with higher rates of HBsAg seroclearance and seroconversion. Metabolic dysfunctions have additive effects on the functional cure of CHB.

Non-Invasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in Hepatitis B Patients

The aim of this review is to provide updated information on the clinical use of non-invasive serum and imaging-based tests for fibrosis assessment in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus infection. In recent years, non-invasive tests (NIT) have been increasingly used to determine eligibility for treatment. Liver biopsy is still considered the gold standard for assessing inflammatory activity and fibrosis staging, but it is an invasive procedure with inherent limitations. Simple serum markers such as APRI and FIB-4 are limited by indeterminate results but remain useful initial tests for fibrosis severity if imaging elastography is not available. Point-of-care US-based elastography techniques, such as vibration-controlled transient elastography or 2D shear wave elastography, are increasingly available and have better accuracy than simple serum tests for advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, although stiffness cut-offs are variable based on E-antigen status and inflammatory activity. Current NITs have poor diagnostic performance for following changes in fibrosis with antiviral therapy. However, NITs may have greater clinical utility for determining prognosis in patients with CHB that have advanced disease, especially for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma and/or liver decompensation. Algorithms combining serum and imaging NITs appear promising for advanced fibrosis and prognostic risk stratification.

Pre-operative gamma-glutamyl transferase levels predict outcomes in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection is a curative therapy for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, HCC recurrence is not uncommon. Identifying outcome predictors helps to manage the disease. Gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) may predict the development of HCC, but its role to predict the outcomes after surgical resection of HCC was unclear. This study aimed to investigate pre-operative GGT levels for outcome prediction in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study to include patients with HBV-related HCC receiving surgical resection. Clinical information, HCC characteristics and usage of antiviral therapy were collected. A time-dependent Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were used to predict HCC recurrence and survival.

RESULTS

A total of 699 consecutive patients with HBV-related HCC who received surgical resection with curative intent between 2004 and 2013 were included. After a median of 4.4 years, 266 (38%) patients had HCC recurrence. Pre-operative GGT positively correlated with cirrhosis, tumor burden and significantly increased in patients to develop HCC recurrence. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that pre-operative GGT ≥38 U/L increased 57% risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-2.06) of recurrent HCC after adjustment for confounding factors. Specifically, pre-operative GGT ≥38 U/L predicted early (<2 years) HCC recurrence (HR: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.30-2.89). Moreover, pre-operative GGT ≥38 U/L predicted all-cause mortality (HR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.06-2.84) after surgery.

CONCLUSION

Pre-operative GGT levels ≥38 U/L independently predict high risks of HCC recurrence and all-cause mortality in HBV-related HCC patients receiving surgical resection.

Serial increase and high alpha-fetoprotein levels predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in 6 months

AIM

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) checkup with abdominal ultrasonography for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance remains controversial. We evaluated a serial AFP-increase and high AFP levels in the prediction of HCC.

METHODS

At-risk patients with chronic liver disease underwent HCC surveillance with trimonthly AFP measurement were included and categorized into HCC and non-HCC groups. Their AFP levels at 12, 9, and 6 months (-6M) before the outcome date were evaluated. Group-based trajectory analysis and multivariable regression analysis were performed to identify AFP trajectories as risk predictors for HCC.

RESULTS

Overall, 2776 patients were included in the HCC (n = 326) and non-HCC (n = 2450) groups. Serial AFP levels were significantly higher in the HCC than the non-HCC groups. Trajectory analysis identified AFP-increase group (11%) increased 24-fold risks of HCC compared with the AFP-stable (89%) group. Compared with patients without the AFP-increase, a serial 3-month AFP-increase ≥10% elevated HCC risk by 12.1-fold (95% CI: 6.5-22.4) in 6 months, and the HCC risks increased 13-60 fold in patients with cirrhosis, hepatitis B, or C receiving antiviral therapy, or AFP levels <20 ng/ml. Combining serial AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml at -6M significantly increased 41.7-fold (95% CI: 13.8-126.2) HCC risks. In patients who underwent biannual AFP checkups, those with both 6-month AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml increased 22.1-fold (95% CI: 12.52-39.16) HCC risks in 6 months. Most HCCs were detected at an early stage.

CONCLUSIONS

Serial 3-6-month AFP-increase of ≥10% previously and AFP level of ≥20 ng/ml significantly increased HCC risks in 6 months.

Distinct effects of hepatic steatosis and metabolic dysfunction on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B

OBJECTIVE

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) are the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aim to explore the impact of concurrent MAFLD on the risk of HCC in CHB.

METHODS

Patients with CHB were consecutively recruited from 2006 to 2021. MAFLD was defined by steatosis and either obesity, diabetes mellitus, or other metabolic abnormalities. The cumulative incidence of HCC and associated factors were compared between the MAFLD and non-MAFLD groups.

RESULTS

10,546 treatment-naïve CHB patients were included with a median follow-up of 5.1 years. CHB patients with MAFLD (n = 2212) had fewer hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positivity, lower HBV DNA levels, and Fibrosis-4 index compared with the non-MAFLD group (n = 8334). MAFLD was independently associated with a 58% reduced risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.25-0.68, p < 0.001). Furthermore, steatosis and metabolic dysfunction had distinct effects on HCC. Steatosis was protective against HCC (aHR 0.45, 95% CI 0.30-0.67, p < 0.001), while a greater burden of metabolic dysfunction increased the risk (aHR 1.40 per dysfunction increase, 95% CI 1.19-1.66, p < 0.001). The protective effect of MAFLD was further confirmed in analysis with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), patients who had undergone antiviral therapy, those with probable MAFLD, and after multiple imputation for missing data.

CONCLUSIONS

Concurrent hepatic steatosis is independently associated with a lower risk of HCC, whereas the increasing burden of metabolic dysfunction aggravates the risk of HCC in untreated CHB patients.

Diversity and composition of gut microbiota in healthy individuals and patients at different stages of hepatitis B virus-related liver disease

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) causes chronic hepatitis B (CHB), liver cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. The evolution of human gut microbiota during the progression of HBV-related liver diseases remains unclear. Therefore, we prospectively enrolled patients with HBV-related liver diseases and healthy individuals. Through 16S ribosomal RNA amplicon sequencing, we characterized the gut microbiota of the participants and predicted the functions of microbial communities.

RESULTS

We analyzed the gut microbiota of 56 healthy controls and 106 patients with HBV-related liver disease [14 with resolved HBV infection, 58 with CHB, and 34 with advanced liver disease (15 with liver cirrhosis and 19 with hepatocellular carcinoma)]. Patients with HBV-related liver disease exhibited a higher degree of bacterial richness (all P < 0.05) than did healthy controls. Beta diversity analyses revealed a distinct clustering pattern between healthy controls and patients with HBV-related liver disease (all P < 0.05). The composition of bacteria (from the phylum level to the genus level) varied across the stages of liver disease. Linear discriminant analysis effect size revealed multiple taxa that differ significantly in abundance between healthy controls and patients with HBV-related liver disease; however, fewer differences were observed among patients with resolved HBV infection, those with CHB, and those with advanced liver disease. The ratio of Firmicutes to Bacteroidetes was increased in all three patient groups compared with the ratio in healthy controls (all P < 0.001). The analysis of the sequencing data by using PICRUSt2 revealed the changes in microbial functions with disease progression.

CONCLUSIONS

The diversity and composition of gut microbiota appear to vary significantly between healthy controls and patients at different stages of HBV-related liver disease. The understanding of gut microbiota may provide novel therapeutic options in these patients.

Performance of spleen stiffness measurement by 2D-shear wave elastography in evaluating the presence of high-risk varices: comparative analysis of idiopathic portal hypertension versus hepatitis B virus

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive assessment of high-risk varices (HRV) in idiopathic portal hypertension (IPH) is rare. The purpose of this study was to investigate the performance of spleen stiffness (SS) for evaluating the presence of HRV in IPH patients as compared the measurements in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV).

METHODS

A retrospective single-center study was performed to evaluate the performance of SS for assessing HRV in IPH and HBV-infected patients, in comparison with liver stiffness (LS), spleen stiffness-to-liver stiffness ratio (SS/LS), LS spleen-diameter-to-platelet-ratio score (LSPS), portal hypertension risk score (PH risk score) and varices risk score, by using upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGE) as the gold standard. Finally, 86 IPH and 102 HBV-infected patients were enrolled. UGE, two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) and laboratory data were collected, and noninvasive parameters were calculated. Analysis of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was conducted to acquire the optimal area under the ROC curve (AUC) and cutoff value for predicting the presence of HRV.

RESULTS

In patients with HRV, the significantly different parameters between IPH (34.9%) and HBV-infected patients (46.1%) were as follows: spleen size (diameter 18.5 ± 3.9 cm vs. 20.8 ± 2.7 cm), SS (50.2 kPa vs. 42.9 kPa), LS (11.1 kPa vs. 18.3 kPa) and PT (prothrombin time 15.1 s vs. 16.7 s). No statistically significant differences were found in liver function, platelet counts, spleen thickness and flow volumes in the portal venous system (p > 0.05). The AUCs of SS were 0.98 and 0.96 for predicting the presence of HRV in IPH (44.0 kPa cutoff value; 0.93 sensitivity; 0.96 specificity) and HBV-infected patients (35.2 kPa cutoff value; 1.00 sensitivity; 0.82 specificity), respectively, which were significantly better than other parameters.

CONCLUSION

SS shows the optimal overall performance for predicting the presence of HRV in IPH and HBV-infected patients, in comparison with other noninvasive parameters.

Acute-phase serum amyloid A for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients with low AFP level

Regular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance by ultrasonography in combination with the α-fetoprotein (AFP) examination is unsatisfactory in diagnostic sensitivity for early-stage HCC especially in cirrhotic patients. We conducted a prospective study in a tertiary medical center in Taiwan and consecutively collected serum samples from patients with chronic hepatitis, liver cirrhosis (LC), or HCC for new biomarker discovery. Overall, 166 patients were enrolled, including 40 hepatitis, 30 LC, and 96 HCC. Four acute-phase serum amyloid A (A-SAA) derived biomarkers including total A-SAA, A-SAA monomer and oligomer, and protein misfolding cyclic amplification (PMCA) signal were measured and compared between patients with and without HCC. A-SAA biomarkers significantly increased in the HCC group when compared to the hepatitis and LC groups, and generally increased in more advanced tumor stages. Among A-SAA biomarkers, the area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROCs) for PMCA signal in discrimination of all-stage and early-stage HCC were 0.86 and 0.9 in cirrhotic patients, which is comparable to AFP. For cirrhotic patients with low AFP (< 7 ng/mL), PMCA signal maintained good capacity in prediction of early-stage HCC (AUROC: 0.94). Serum A-SAA and its prion-like property showed a potential to complement AFP in detection of early-stage HCC.

Serum PIVKA-II and alpha-fetoprotein at virological remission predicts hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is reduced but not eliminated after nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to investigate the role of serum Prothrombin Induced by Vitamin K Absence or Antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and alpha-fetoprotein in predicting HCC and mortality in cirrhotic CHB patients at virological remission (VR) following NA therapy.

METHODS

Patients with CHB-related cirrhosis undergoing NA therapy from two medical centers in Taiwan were retrospectively included. Serum PIVKA-II were quantified by an automated chemiluminescence assay. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify predictors for HCC and death. Serial on-treatment PIVKA-II levels after VR were investigated.

RESULTS

Overall, 293 CHB-related cirrhosis patients were included. At VR, the mean age was 55, and the mean PIVKA-II level was 35 mAU/mL. After a mean follow-up of 78 months, 76 patients developed HCC and 19 died. After adjustment for confounding factors, alpha-fetoprotein >7 ng/mL (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.84, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.73-4.67) and PIVKA-II >50 mAU/mL (HR: 2.46, 95%CI: 1.35-4.49) at VR significantly predicted HCC development. In patients with alpha-fetoprotein ≤10 ng/mL or ≤20 ng/mL at VR, PIVKA-II >50 mAU/mL increased 2.45 or 3.16-fold risk of HCC, respectively. PIVKA-II levels after VR increased serially in patients who developed HCC afterwards.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CHB-related cirrhosis, serum alpha-fetoprotein >7 ng/mL and PIVKA-II >50 mAU/mL at the time of antiviral therapy-induced VR is associated with a greater risk of HCC. PIVKA-II is a predictive marker for HCC in patients with low normal alpha-fetoprotein level.

On the Relationship between Spatial Coherence and In Situ Pressure for Abdominal Imaging

Tissue harmonic signal quality has been shown to improve with elevated acoustic pressure. The peak rarefaction pressure (PRP) for a given transmit, however, is limited by the Food and Drug Administration guidelines for mechanical index. We have previously demonstrated that the mechanical index overestimates in situ PRP for tightly focused beams in vivo, due primarily to phase aberration. In this study, we evaluate two spatial coherence-based image quality metrics-short-lag spatial coherence and harmonic short-lag spatial coherence-as proxy estimates for phase aberration and assess their correlation with in situ PRP in simulations and experiments when imaging through abdominal body walls. We demonstrate strong correlation between both spatial coherence-based metrics and in situ PRP (R² = 0.77 for harmonic short-lag spatial coherence, R² = 0.67 for short-lag spatial coherence), an observation that could be leveraged in the future for patient-specific selection of acoustic output.

Performance of Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse Elastography for Staging Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C After Viral Eradication

BACKGROUND

Data on noninvasive liver fibrosis staging after viral eradication are unclear. This histology-based study validated the performance of liver stiffness (LS) measurements after viral eradication.

METHODS

Consecutive participants with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) who received concomitant LS measurements through acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography and percutaneous liver biopsy were prospectively screened and analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 644 patients, 521 (80.9%) underwent a biopsy at treatment baseline, and the remaining 123 (19.1%) underwent a biopsy at 3 years (median; interquartile range, 0.1) after the sustained virological response (SVR) to pegylated interferon-based and direct-acting antiviral treatments. The proportions of histological fibrosis stages did not differ significantly between the pretreatment and post-SVR groups (P = .0615). However, the LS values differed significantly (P < .0001). The median LS values (presented as shear wave velocities in meters per second) were 1.51 (0.92) for the pretreatment group and 1.22 (0.77) for the post-SVR group. The cutoffs (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve, obtained using the bootstrap method) to dichotomize between METAVIR fibrosis stage F1 versus stages F2-F4, F1-F2 versus F3-F4, and F1-F3 versus F4 were 1.47 (0.8333, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7981-0.8663), 1.81 (0.8763, 95% CI 0.8376-0.9107), and 1.86 (0.8811, 95% CI 0.8378-0.9179) in the pretreatment group, respectively, and 1.22 (0.7872, 95% CI 0.7001-0.8624), 1.59 (0.8808, 95% CI 0.8034-0.9422), and 1.75 (0.9018, 95% CI 0.8201-0.9644) in the post-SVR group, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of LS measurements through ARFI elastography is promising to determine the liver fibrosis stage on necroinflammation-resolved histology in CHC after viral eradication.

Serum Mac-2-Binding Protein Glycosylation Isomer at Virological Remission Predicts Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Death in Chronic Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

To investigate serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality at virological remission (VR, HBV DNA <20 IU/mL) following antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis undergoing long-term antiviral therapy. Serum M2BPGi levels were quantified and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify risk predictors for HCC and death.

RESULTS

A total of 126 and 145 patients were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The mean age was 56, and the mean M2BPGi level was 1.86 cut-off index (COI) in the derivation cohort. After adjustment for confounders, a higher M2BPGi level at VR significantly predicted HCC (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-2.10, P=0.002) and death (HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.02-4.62, P=0.044). The M2BPGi ≥3 COI significantly increased the risk of HCC and death in the derivation and validation cohorts. Serial M2BPGi levels declined significantly (P=0.0001) in non-HCC patients only, and remained significantly lower than those who developed HCC afterwards (P=0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum M2BPGi levels at antiviral therapy-induced VR predict HCC development and death in patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.

Liver Ultrasound Elastography: An Update to the World Federation for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology Guidelines and Recommendations

The World Federation for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology has produced these guidelines for the use of elastography techniques in liver diseases. For each available technique, the reproducibility, results and limitations are analyzed, and recommendations are given. This set of guidelines updates the first version, published in 2015. Since the prior guidelines, there have been several advances in technology. The recommendations are based on the international published literature, and the strength of each recommendation is judged according to the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine. The document has a clinical perspective and is aimed at assessing the usefulness of elastography in the management of liver diseases.