Visit-to-visit variability of blood pressure and cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Minimum number of readings necessary for determining long-term visit-to-visit blood pressure variability to predict cardiovascular outcomes in people with diabetes

BACKGROUND

People with diabetes often have increased blood pressure (BP) variability because of autonomic dysfunction and arterial stiffness, making it a critical factor in predicting clinical outcomes. We investigated the reproducibility of long-term visit-to-visit BP variability (VVV) and the minimum number of BP readings to reliably determine VVV in people with diabetes.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study used data from electronic health records of the Korea University Medical Center database. Altogether, 10 475 people with diabetes who had more than nine BP readings during a maximum period of 2 years were identified. This study focused on the coefficient of variation of these readings and their correlation with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over a 3-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

The mean age of the participants was 65.2 years. Of these, 53.2% were men, and 87.4% had hypertension. The mean coefficient of variation of multiple SBP readings that best predicted the 3-year MACE were 8.4, 9.5, 9.0, 9.0, and 9.7 for three, five, seven, nine, and all readings, respectively. Patients with high VVV (coefficient of variation of five SBP readings >9) exhibited a higher incidence of 3-year MACE (10.1%) than those with low VVV (5.4%, P < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, high VVV of both SBP and DBP were independently associated with 3-year MACE.

CONCLUSION

Long-term VVV in the BP is a reproducible and reliable predictor of cardiovascular outcomes in people with diabetes. A minimum of five BP measurements are recommended for effective intraindividual VVV estimation and cardiovascular risk assessment.

Physiological measures variability and risks of heart disease and stroke: evidence from three cohort studies

BACKGROUND

The overall effect of long-term variability in physiological measures on cardiovascular health of older adults and the underlying mechanic pathway remain uncertain.

METHODS

We constructed a composite score (0 ~ 3) of variability in physiological measures, including blood pressure, pulse rate, and body mass index, in older adults from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2011 ~ 2015, the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) 2006/2008 ~ 2014/2016, and the UK Biobank 2006 ~ 2019. The associations of the composite score with incident risks of heart disease and stroke were assessed. The mediation roles of several biomarkers were explored.

RESULTS

A higher composite score was related to increased incident risk of heart disease in older adults from the US and the UK and increased incident risk of stroke in all three cohorts. Upon pooling the results, each 1-point increment in the composite score was associated with a 19% (hazard ratio: 1.19; 95% confidence interval: 1.14, 1.30) and a 23% (1.23; 1.12, 1.35) increments in incident risks of heart disease and stroke, respectively. The composite score also exhibited an inverse relationship with grip strength while displaying positive associations with C-reactive protein, glycosylated hemoglobin Alc (HbAlc), and cystatin C. Reduced grip strength, elevated HbAlc, and elevated cystatin C significantly mediated the composite score-associated elevated risks of heart disease and stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term variability in physiological measures was associated with increased incident risks of heart disease and stroke, and the associations were partially mediated through deteriorated biomarkers of muscle strength, hyperglycemia, and kidney function.

Systolic Blood Pressure Time in Target Range and Cardiovascular Disease and Premature Death

Background

Previous research has suggested that time-in-target range (TTR) for systolic blood pressure (SBP) was associated with adverse cardiovascular events, but real-world data studies remain limited.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to estimate the SBP-TTR associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and premature death among the employed individuals with hypertension.

Methods

This study included 9,552 participants from the workplace hypertension management program initiated by the Kailuan Study in 2009. TTR was calculated using linear interpolation with the target range of SBP between 120 and 140 mm Hg. Multivariable Cox regression was used to evaluate the HR and CI for the association among SBP-TTR and CVD, premature CVD, and premature death.

Results

Participants with higher TTR exhibited a reduced number of cardiovascular risk factors. For a 1-SD increment in SBP-TTR, the HR was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.74-0.88) for CVD, 0.76 (95% CI: 0.67-0.86) for premature CVD, and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.74-0.92) for premature death. Furthermore, SBP-TTR was associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.74-0.90) and hemorrhagic stroke (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.56-0.93), but not myocardial infarction (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.68-1.03). Results were similar when the target range of SBP was redefined as 110 to 130 mm Hg, but there was no significant association between SBP-TTR and hemorrhagic stroke (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.64-1.10).

Conclusions

SBP-TTR was associated with a decreased risk of CVD, premature CVD, and premature death among the employed individuals.

Systemic Immune Inflammatory Index as Predictor of Blood Pressure Variability in Newly Diagnosed Hypertensive Adults Aged 18-75

Background: Accumulating evidence from clinical trials, large registries, and meta-analyses of population studies shows that increased Blood Pressure Variability (BPV) is predictive of Cardiovascular (CV) outcomes, independently of the average Blood Pressure (BP) values. One of the mechanisms explaining the relationship between BPV and target organ damage is the inflammatory response. The Systemic Immune Inflammation Index (SII), which relies on peripheral blood cell counts, including platelets, neutrophils, and lymphocytes, has emerged as a predictor of prognosis and outcomes in various diseases. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of the SII with Ambulatory Blood Pressure Variability (ABPV) in newly diagnosed hypertensive patients. Methods: This study was designed as a cross-sectional observational study. A total of 1606 consecutive newly diagnosed Hypertension (HT) patients were included in the study. The population was evaluated across 3 different categories according to HT grades (5 groups), eligibility for antihypertensive therapy (2 groups) and ABPV levels (2 groups). Results: Significant differences were observed between ABPV groups in terms of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte ratio, Platelet to Lymphocyte ratio, glucose, SII, high-sensitive CRP, HT grade, Inter-Ventricular Septum, Posterior Wall thickness, and Left Ventricular Mass (p < 0.005). There was a significant relationship between SII and ABPV (r: 0.619, p < 0.05). At the cutoff value of 580.49, SII had 77% sensitivity and 71% specificity for ABPV > 14 (AUC: 0.788). Conclusions: SII may assist in developing an early treatment approach to minimize complications in patients with high ABPV who are at a higher risk of CV events.

Very short-term blood pressure variability by pulse transit time-based measurements during night-time predicts future cardiovascular events in patients with ischemic heart disease

Blood pressure (BP) variability (BPV) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, independent of absolute BP values. However, the predictive significance of very short-term BPV, occurring within seconds or minutes, in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) has yet to be established. This prospective study involved 206 consecutive hospitalized patients with IHD (mean age 67.6 years, 78.2% male) who underwent pulse transit time (PTT)-based continuous BP recording during the night-time. Very short-term BPV was assessed by standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), and variation independent of mean (VIM) of PTT-BP. Clinical outcome data were collected. When the patients were categorized into two groups according to the median value of very short-term BPV, Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with elevated SD, CV, and VIM of systolic and diastolic PTT-BP were associated with lower event-free survival rates from the composite cardiovascular events including cardiac deaths, worsening heart failure cases, nonfatal myocardial infarctions, unplanned revascularizations, and strokes over a median follow-up of 797 days. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusting for confounding variables, each parameter as a continuous variable was independently associated with adverse events. Incorporating very short-term BPV into basic models had a significant impact on risk reclassification and integrated discrimination for cardiovascular outcomes. In conclusion, the identification of patients with elevated very short-term BPV during the night-time through a PTT-driven approach helps stratify the future risk in IHD patients.

Abnormal blood pressure dipping pattern: frequency, determinants, and correlates in Diabetes Mellitus patients in the Cardiovascular Health Risk Assessment in Diabetes Mellitus (CHiD) study

Purpose

Non-dipping status is associated with increased total and cardiovascular mortality in many disease conditions including diabetes mellitus. The pattern and its implications are not well described among Africans. This study was done to describe the frequency of abnormal blood pressure (BP) dipping among T2DM subjects, its determinants and correlates in Ogbomoso, Nigeria.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional study done at the LAUTECH Teaching Hospital, Ogbomoso. One hundred individuals diagnosed with T2DM were recruited and they had 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring, echocardiography, ECG, and carotid Doppler among other evaluations. Statistical analysis was done using SPSS 27.0 (Chicago Ill, USA).

Results

The mean age of the participants was 59.3 ± 10.8 years, mean body mass index 27.7 ± 5.9 kg/m2 with a mean duration of diabetes of 7.52 ± 5.54 years. Abnormal BP dipping was present in 89% (consisting of 41% or reverse dippers and 48% non-dippers). T2DM subjects with abnormal dipping pattern were more likely to be females, had higher glycated haemoglobin, lower fractional shortening, higher left atrial volume and left ventricular mass index, and a higher DM duration than those with normal BP dipping status. The major determinants of abnormal dipping pattern were the duration of diabetes and low HDL-C concentration.

Conclusion

Abnormal BP dipping pattern is highly prevalent in T2DM subjects, especially among females. Abnormal BP dipping was also associated with markers of increased cardiovascular risk such as impaired kidney function, left ventricular hypertrophy, postural hypotension, history of intermittent claudication, and presence of plaques on carotid Doppler studies.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-023-01337-8.

Comparison between visit-to-visit office and 24-h blood pressure variability in treated hypertensive patients

OBJECTIVES

In any treated hypertensive patient office blood pressure (BP) values may differ between visits and this variability (V) has an adverse prognostic impact. However, little information is available on visit-to-visit 24-h BPV.

METHODS

In 1114 hypertensives of the ELSA and PHYLLIS trials we compared visit-to-visit office and 24-h mean BPV by coefficient of variation (CV) of the mean systolic (S) and diastolic (D) BP obtained from yearly measurements during a 3-4 year treatment period. Visit-to-visit BPV during daytime and night-time were also compared.

RESULTS

Twenty-four-hour SBP-CV was about 20% less than office SBP-CV ( P  < 0.0001). SBP-CV was considerably greater for the night-time than for the daytime period (20%, P  < 0.0001). Results were similar for DBP and in males and females, older and younger patients, patients under different antihypertensive drugs or with different baseline or achieved BP values. In the group as a whole and in subgroups there was significant correlations between office and 24-h BP-CV but the correlation coefficients was weak, indicating that office SBP or DBP CV accounted for only about 1-4% of 24-h SBP or DBP-CV values.

CONCLUSION

Twenty-four-hour mean BP across visits is more stable than across visit office BP. Visit-to-visit office and 24-h BPV are significantly related to each other, but correlation coefficients are low, making visit-to-visit office BP variations poorly predictive of the concomitant 24-h BP variations and thus of on-treatment ambulatory BP stability.

Epidemiology and Risk Factors for Stroke in Chronic Kidney Disease: A Narrative Review

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have a higher risk ofboth ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. This association appears to be partly independent from the higher prevalence of established risk factors for stroke in patients with CKD, including hypertension and atrial fibrillation. In the present review we aim to discuss the impact of CKD on the risk of stroke and stroke-related consequences, and explore the pathophysiology underpinning the increased risk of stroke in patients with CKD. We cover the clinical association between renal dysfunction and cerebrovascular disease including stroke, silent brain infarct, cerebral small vessel disease, microbleeds, and white matter hyperintensity, and discuss the underlying mechanisms.

AT1R gene rs389566 polymorphism contributes to MACCEs in hypertension patients

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the possible association between AT1R gene polymorphisms and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) in hypertension patients combined with or without coronary artery disease (CAD) in Xinjiang.

METHODS

374 CAD patients and 341 non-CAD individuals were enrolled as study participants and all of them have a hypertension diagnosis. AT1R gene polymorphisms were genotyped by SNPscan™ typing assays. During the follow-up in the clinic or by telephone interview, MACCEs were recorded. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox survival analyses were used to explore the association between AT1R gene polymorphisms and the occurrence of MACCEs.

RESULTS

AT1R gene rs389566 was associated with MACCEs. The TT genotype of the AT1R gene rs389566 had a significantly higher probability of MACCEs than the AA + AT genotype (75.2% vs. 24.8%, P = 0.033). Older age (OR = 1.028, 95% CI: 1.009-1.0047, P = 0.003) and TT genotype of rs389566 (OR = 1.770, 95% CI: 1.148-2.729, P = 0.01) were risk factors of MACCEs. AT1R gene rs389566 TT genotype may be a predisposing factor for the occurrence of MACCEs in hypertensive patients.

CONCLUSION

We should also pay more attention to the prevent of MACCEs in hypertension patients combined with CAD. Especially those elderly hypertensive patients carrying AT1R rs389566 TT genotype requires avoidance of unhealthy lifestyle, better management of blood pressure control and reduce the occurrence of MACCEs.

Effects of metabolic parameters' variability on cardiovascular outcomes in diabetic patients

BACKGROUND

Metabolic abnormalities such as dyslipidemia, glucose and high blood pressure are common in diabetic patients. Visit-to-visit variabilities in these measures have been reported as potential residual cardiovascular risk factors. However, the relationship between these variabilities and their effects on cardiovascular prognosis have not been studied.

METHODS

A total of 22,310 diabetic patients with ≥ 3 measurements of systolic blood pressure (SBP), blood glucose, total cholesterol (TC), and triglyceride (TG) levels during a minimum of three years at three tertiary general hospitals were selected. They were divided into high/low variability groups for each variable based on the coefficient of variation (CV) values. The primary outcome was the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, and stroke.

RESULTS

All high CV groups had a higher incidence of MACE than those with low CV (6.0% vs. 2.5% for SBP-CV groups, 5.5% vs. 3.0% for TC-CV groups, 4.7% vs. 3.8% for TG-CV groups, 5.8% vs. 2.7% for glucose-CV groups). In multivariable Cox regression analysis,, high SBP-CV (HR 1.79 [95% CI 1.54-2.07], p < 0.01), high TC-CV (HR 1.54 [95% CI 1.34-1.77], p < 0.01), high TG-CV (HR 1.15 [95% CI 1.01-1.31], p = 0.040) and high glucose-CV (HR 1.61 [95% CI 1.40-1.86], p < 0.01) were independent predictors of MACE.

CONCLUSION

Variability of SBP, TC, TG and glucose are important residual risk factors for cardiovascular events in diabetic patients.

Quantifying Blood Pressure Visit-to-Visit Variability in the Real-World Setting: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in blood pressure values has been reported in clinical studies. However, little is known about VVV in clinical practice and whether it is associated with patient characteristics in real-world setting.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study to quantify VVV in systolic blood pressure (SBP) values in a real-world setting. We included adults (age ≥18 years) with at least 2 outpatient visits between January 1, 2014 and October 31, 2018 from Yale New Haven Health System. Patient-level measures of VVV included SD and coefficient of variation of a given patient's SBP across visits. We calculated patient-level VVV overall and by patient subgroups. We further developed a multilevel regression model to assess the extent to which VVV in SBP was explained by patient characteristics.

RESULTS

The study population included 537 218 adults, with a total of 7 721 864 SBP measurements. The mean age was 53.4 (SD 19.0) years, 60.4% were women, 69.4% were non-Hispanic White, and 18.1% were on antihypertensive medications. Patients had a mean body mass index of 28.4 (5.9) kg/m2 and 22.6%, 8.0%, 9.7%, and 5.6% had a history of hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and coronary artery disease, respectively. The mean number of visits per patient was 13.3, over an average period of 2.4 years. The mean (SD) intraindividual SD and coefficient of variation of SBP across visits were 10.6 (5.1) mm Hg and 0.08 (0.04). These measures of blood pressure variation were consistent across patient subgroups defined by demographic characteristics and medical history. In the multivariable linear regression model, only 4% of the variance in absolute standardized difference was attributable to patient characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

The VVV in real-world practice poses challenges for management of patients with hypertension based on blood pressure readings in outpatient settings and suggest the need to go beyond episodic clinic evaluation.

Blood pressure variability: methodological aspects, clinical relevance and practical indications for management - a European Society of Hypertension position paper ∗

Blood pressure is not a static parameter, but rather undergoes continuous fluctuations over time, as a result of the interaction between environmental and behavioural factors on one side and intrinsic cardiovascular regulatory mechanisms on the other side. Increased blood pressure variability (BPV) may indicate an impaired cardiovascular regulation and may represent a cardiovascular risk factor itself, having been associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, stroke, coronary artery disease, heart failure, end-stage renal disease, and dementia incidence. Nonetheless, BPV was considered only a research issue in previous hypertension management guidelines, because the available evidence on its clinical relevance presents several gaps and is based on heterogeneous studies with limited standardization of methods for BPV assessment. The aim of this position paper, with contributions from members of the European Society of Hypertension Working Group on Blood Pressure Monitoring and Cardiovascular Variability and from a number of international experts, is to summarize the available evidence in the field of BPV assessment methodology and clinical applications and to provide practical indications on how to measure and interpret BPV in research and clinical settings based on currently available data. Pending issues and clinical and methodological recommendations supported by available evidence are also reported. The information provided by this paper should contribute to a better standardization of future studies on BPV, but should also provide clinicians with some indications on how BPV can be managed based on currently available data.

Within-Person Blood Pressure Variability During Hospitalization and Clinical Outcomes Following First-Ever Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty remains over the relationship between blood pressure (BP) variability (BPV), measured in hospital settings, and clinical outcomes following acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We examined the association between within-person systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability (SBPV) during hospitalization and readmission-free survival, all-cause readmission, or all-cause mortality 1 year after AIS.

METHODS

In a cohort of 862 consecutive patients (age [mean ± SD] 75 ± 15 years, 55% women) with AIS (2005-2018, follow-up through 2019), we measured SBPV as quartiles of standard deviations (SD) and coefficient of variation (CV) from a median of 16 SBP readings obtained throughout hospitalization.

RESULTS

In the cumulative cohort, the measured SD and CV of SBP in mmHg were 16 ± 6 and 10 ± 5, respectively. The hazard ratios (HR) for readmission-free survival between the highest vs. lowest quartiles were 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.81) for SD and 1.29 (95% CI 0.94-1.78) for CV after adjustment for demographics and comorbidities. Similarly, incident readmission or mortality remained consistent between the highest vs. lowest quartiles of SD and CV (readmission: HR 1.29 [95% CI 0.90-1.78] for SD, HR 1.29 [95% CI 0.94-1.78] for CV; mortality: HR 1.15 [95% CI 0.71-1.87] for SD, HR 0.86 [95% CI 0.55-1.36] for CV).

CONCULSIONS

In patients with first AIS, SBPV measured as quartiles of SD or CV based on multiple readings throughout hospitalization has no independent prognostic implications for the readmission-free survival, readmission, or mortality. This underscores the importance of overall patient care rather than a specific focus on BP parameters during hospitalization for AIS.

Reproducibility of sequential ambulatory blood pressure and pulse wave velocity measurements in normotensive and hypertensive individuals

OBJECTIVE

Errors in blood pressure (BP) measurement account for a large proportion of misclassified hypertension diagnoses. Ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) is often considered to be the gold standard for measurement of BP, but uncertainty remains regarding the degree of measurement error. The aim of this study was to determine reproducibility of sequential ABPM in a population of normotensive and well controlled hypertensive individuals.

METHODS

Individual participant data from three randomized controlled trials, which had recorded ABPM and carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV) at least twice were combined ( n  = 501). We calculated within-individual variability of daytime and night-time BP and compared the variability between normotensive ( n  = 324) and hypertensive ( n  = 177) individuals. As a secondary analysis, variability of PWV measurements was also calculated, and multivariable linear regression was used to assess characteristics associated with blood pressure variability (BPV).

RESULTS

Within-individual coefficient of variation (CoV) for systolic BP was 5.4% (day) and 7.0% (night). Equivalent values for diastolic BP were 6.1% and 8.4%, respectively. No statistically significant difference in CoV was demonstrated between measurements for normotensive and hypertensive individuals. Within-individual CoV for PWV exceeded that of BP measurements (10.7%). BPV was associated with mean pressures, and BMI for night-time measurements. PWV was not independently associated with BPV.

CONCLUSION

The variability of single ABPM measurements will still yield considerable uncertainty regarding true average pressures, potentially resulting in misclassification of hypertensive status and incorrect treatment regimes. Repeated ABPM may be necessary to refine antihypertensive therapy.

Visit-to-visit variability of blood pressure and risk of macrovascular and microvascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes: A Chinese primary-care cohort study

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the effects of visit-to-visit variability of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) on macrovascular and microvascular complications among patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

A total of 11 043 patients with type 2 diabetes from primary healthcare institutions between January 2010 and June 2020 were included. The visit-to-visit blood pressure variability was calculated using three metrics: SD, coefficient of variation (CV), and average real variability (ARV), obtained over a 12-month measurement period. The associations of visit-to-visit blood pressure variability with macrovascular and microvascular complications were evaluated using multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, and hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were reported.

RESULTS

There were 330 macrovascular events and 542 microvascular events. Compared to those for participants with the lowest quartile of SD of SBP and DBP, increased risks were observed in patients with the highest quartile of SD of SBP and DBP for macrovascular complications (SD-SBP: HR = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.24-2.57; SD-DBP: HR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.50-3.25) and microvascular complications (SD-SBP: HR = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.39-2.46; SD-DBP: HR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.36-2.44). CV and ARV of SBP and DBP also had statistically significant associations with macrovascular and microvascular complications. The optimal variability of blood pressure target was SD of SBP <6.45 mm Hg and SD of DBP <4.81 mm Hg.

CONCLUSIONS

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability may be a potential predictor for macrovascular and microvascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Isometric handgrip exercise impacts only on very short-term blood pressure variability, but not on short-term blood pressure variability in hypertensive individuals: A randomized controlled trial

Background: The effect of a single isometric handgrip exercise (IHG) on blood pressure (BP) variability (BPV) has not been addressed. This randomized controlled trial evaluated the effect of IHG vs. sham on BPV and BP. Methods: Hypertensive patients using up to two BP-lowering medications were randomly assigned to IHG (4 × 2 min; 30% of maximal voluntary contraction, MVC, with 1 min rest between sets, unilateral) or sham (protocol; 0.3% of MVC). Systolic and diastolic BP were assessed beat-to-beat in the laboratory before, during, and post-intervention and also using 24-h ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM). BPV was expressed as average real variability (ARV) and standard deviation (SD). Results: Laboratory BPV, ARV and SD variability, had marked increase during the intervention, but not in the sham group, decreasing in the post-intervention recovery period. The overall change in ARV from pre- to 15 min post-intervention were 0.27 ± 0.07 (IHG) vs. 0.05 ± 0.15 (sham group), with a statistically significant p-value for interaction. Similarly, mean systolic BP increased during the intervention (IHG 165.4 ± 4.5 vs. sham 152.4 ± 3.5 mmHg; p = 0.02) as did diastolic BP (104.0 ± 2.5 vs. 90.5 ± 1.7 mmHg, respectively; p < 0.001) and decreased afterward. However, neither the short-term BPV nor BP assessed by ABPM reached statistically significant differences between groups. Conclusion: A single session of IHG reduces very short-term variability but does not affect short-term variability. IHG promotes PEH in the laboratory, but does not sustain 24-h systolic and diastolic PEH beyond the recovery period.

Association between visit-to-visit blood pressure variability and adverse events in coronary artery disease patients after coronary intervention

Blood pressure variability (BPV) is independently associated with higher cardiovascular risks. However, whether BPV is associated with poor outcomes for coronary artery disease (CAD) patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remained undetermined. We aimed to investigate the relationship between BPV and the outcomes of CAD patients undergoing PCI. Two thousand seven hundred and sixty-two CAD patients (1938 males, mean age 69.6 ± 12.9) who received PCI at Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 2006 to 2015 with multiple blood pressure measurements before and after the index PCI were enrolled. We calculated the standard deviation of systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and pulse pressure as parameters of BPV. The primary endpoint was the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE comprising of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke] and heart failure hospitalization (HHF). The key secondary endpoint was MACE. Both pre-PCI and post-PCI BPV were associated with CV events even after adjusting for co-morbidities and mean blood pressure. In Cox analysis, for every 1 mmHg increase in systolic BPV, the hazard ratio for the MACE + HHF, MACE, HHF, and cardiovascular death was 1.04 (95%CI: 1.03-1.05), 1.04 (95%CI: 1.02-1.05), 1.05 (95%CI: 1.04-1.06), and 1.06 (95%CI: 1.03-1.09), respectively. The association between BPV and cardiovascular risk is independent of blood pressure control status. The prognostic value of BPV was superior to mean blood pressure in both pre-PCI and post-PCI period. BPV is independently associated with cardiovascular events after PCI and has a better prognostic value than mean blood pressure suggesting the importance of maintaining stable blood pressure for CAD patients.

Visit-to-visit variability in blood pressure and kidney disease progression in IgA nephropathy

Background

The visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in blood pressure (BP) is an important risk factor for stroke and coronary heart disease and may also be associated with kidney damage and the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Data on the association between VVV in BP and the risk of CKD progression among patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) are limited. We aimed to evaluate the relationships of VVV in BP with the progression of IgAN.

Methods

We assessed 1376 patients with IgAN at Peking University First Hospital. The main VVV in BP was expressed as the standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV) and average real variability (ARV). The associations of variability in BP with composite kidney disease progression events, defined as a 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and kidney failure, were examined using Cox models.

Results

During a median follow-up of 44.1 months (interquartile range 23.0–76.7), 247 (18.0%) patients experienced composite kidney disease progression events. With a higher SD in systolic BP (SBP) values, the risk of kidney disease progression events increased {hazard ratio [HR] 1.07 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03–1.11]; P < .001} after maximal adjustment, including baseline SBP and mean SBP during the first 12-month period. Using the first quartile of SD SBP values as the reference, the risk of composite kidney disease progression events was higher among patients with higher SD SBP values; the HR was 2.12 (95% CI 1.31–3.44) in the highest quartile (P for trend < .001). A similar trend could be observed when analysing the SD of diastolic BP, but the risk was not significantly increased. The associations were similar when analysed with the CV and ARV.

Conclusion

SBP variability was significantly associated with kidney disease progression in IgAN.

Remote Patient Monitoring of Blood Pressure Is Feasible Poststroke and Can Facilitate Triage of Care

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Strict blood pressure (BP) control is a universally accepted therapeutic intervention in the prevention of secondary stroke, yet this remains difficult when patients return home postinjury. This study aimed to investigate the application of the remote patient monitoring (RPM) of BP in patients after stroke, or who were at immediate risk of stroke, and the subsequent outcomes relating to triage and escalation of care.

METHODS

This was a single-center proof-of-concept study. Participants were patients aged 18 years and older with a diagnosis of stroke or who were at immediate risk of stroke. Patients were enrolled into the precision recovery program (PRP) and asked to assess their BP and heart rate daily and enter values into a MyCap application for the RPM program. These data were reviewed daily by an assigned PRP clinician, and weekly Zoom meetings were held with the patient. Care was triaged and escalated to a physician as indicated.

RESULTS

Twelve patients (5 [42%] female, aged mean [range] 63 [43-84] years) met the inclusion criteria and continued in the program for median (range) 136 (8-227) days. The median (range) number of excursions of BP above limits per participant was 19 (0-79) for systolic and 36 (0-104) for diastolic. A total of 16 triage events (median [range] 1 [0-3]) were initiated for escalation of care.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that RPM is feasible in patients poststroke or at immediate risk of stroke, and facilitates the triage of care when BP is elevated above recommended limits.

Blood pressure variability and structural brain changes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure variability (BPV) has been linked with cognitive impairment and dementia. However, the pathophysiological mechanisms by which BPV affects cognition are unclear. This systematic review aims to assess the links between different BPV measures and white and grey matter structures.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The following databases were searched from inception through to January 2021; EMBASE, MEDLINE, EMCARE and SCOPUS. Studies that reported on the relationship between within-individual BPV (short, medium or long-term variability) or a circadian blood pressure (BP) measurement and MRI assessed brain structures were included. Overall, 20 studies met the criteria and were included, of which 11 studies looked at short-term BPV, eight articles investigated visit-to-visit BPV and one study looked at a compositional BPV measurement. Due to heterogeneity in study samples, meta-analysis was not possible. Across the included studies, associations between MRI indices and BP dipping patterns were mixed; higher long-term BPV and higher sleep systolic BPV was found to be associated with lower whole brain volume and hippocampal volume.

CONCLUSION

Increased BPV, in particular systolic long-term and systolic night-time BPV, appears to be associated with lower brain volume and hippocampal volume. This highlights the adverse effect that increased BPV has upon the brain, potentially contributing to cognitive decline, including dementia, in late-life.

Prognostic Value of Time in Blood Pressure Target Range Among Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) is a continuous and dynamic measure. However, standard BP control metrics may not reflect the variability in BP over time.

OBJECTIVES

This study assessed the prognostic value of time in BP target range among hypertensive patients with heart failure (HF).

METHODS

The authors performed a post hoc analysis of data from the TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function HF with an Aldosterone Antagonist) trial and the BEST (Beta-Blocker Evaluation of Survival Trial). Time in target range (TTR) for each patient was calculated using linear interpolation across the study period with the target range of systolic BP between 120 and 130 mm Hg.

RESULTS

A total of 4,789 hypertensive patients (n = 1,654 from BEST and n = 3,135 from TOPCAT) were included. The cumulative incidences of primary endpoint (ie, cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization) were highest among the top quartile of TTR with a dose-dependent manner across quartiles (P_trend <0.005). The top quartile of TTR was significantly associated with a lower risk of primary outcome using adjusted Cox regression model (HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.60-0.82), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.55-0.84), HF hospitalization (HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.58-0.85), all-cause mortality (HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.58-0.83), and any hospitalization (HR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.67-0.85). Further analyses using restricted cubic spline indicated a linear relationship between TTR and primary outcome. Similar patterns were observed in the individual trial. Sensitivity analyses generated consistent results while redefining target range as 110 to 130 mm Hg for systolic BP or 70 to 80 mm Hg for diastolic BP.

CONCLUSIONS

TTR could independently predict major adverse cardiovascular events in hypertensive patients with HF.

The Effect of Total Cholesterol Variability on Clinical Outcomes After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

AIM

Exploring the risk factors of prognosis in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is of great importance. Our aim of the study is to investigate the association between variability in total cholesterol (TC) level and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in patients after PCI.

METHODS

Between April 2004 and December 2009, 909 patients who underwent primary PCI and with at least three TC values were included in the final study. TC variability was calculated using four indices: standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), the average successive variability (ASV), variability independent of the mean (VIM). MACCE comprised all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), unplanned revascularization, hospitalization for heart failure, and non-fatal stroke.

RESULTS

There were 394 cases of MACCE during the follow-up period. When the subjects were divided into quartile groups by CV of TC, high CV groups were associated with a higher hazard ratio of MACCE than for lower CV groups. In multivariable adjusted models, TC variability and MACCE remained correlated [HR (95% CI): Q2, 1.17 (0.86-1.58); Q3, 1.38 (1.03-1.85); Q4, 1.63 (1.22-2.17)]. Similar patterns of MACCE were noted by quartiles of SD, ASV, and VIM.

CONCLUSION

Visit-to-visit TC variability is positively correlated with MACCE in patients after PCI.

Assessment of Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability in Adults With Optimal Blood Pressure: A New Player in the Evaluation of Residual Cardiovascular Risk?

Background

There is a paucity of evidence regarding the association between visit‐to‐visit blood pressure variability and residual cardiovascular risk. We aimed to provide relevant evidence by determining whether high systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability in the optimal SBP levels still influences the risk of cardiovascular disease.

Methods and Results

We studied 7065 participants (aged 59.3±5.6 years; 44.3% men; and 82.9% White) in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study with optimal SBP levels from visit 1 to visit 3. Visit‐to‐visit SBP variability was measured by variability independent of the mean in the primary analysis. The primary outcome was the major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), defined as the first occurrence of all‐cause mortality, coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. During a median follow‐up of 19.6 years, 2691 participants developed MACEs. After multivariable adjustment, the MACE risk was higher by 21% in participants with the highest SBP variability (variability independent of the mean quartile 4) compared with the lowest SBP variability participants (variability independent of the mean quartile 1) (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.09–1.35). The restricted cubic spline showed that the hazard ratio for MACE was relatively linear, with a higher variability independent of the mean being associated with higher risk. These association were also found in the stratified analyses of participants with or without hypertension.

Conclusions

In adults with optimal SBP levels, higher visit‐to‐visit SBP variability was significantly associated with a higher risk of MACE regardless of whether they had hypertension. Therefore, it may be necessary to further focus on the visit‐to‐visit SBP variability even at the guideline‐recommended optimal blood pressure levels.

Blood pressure and its variability: classic and novel measurement techniques

Current hypertension guidelines recommend using the average values of several blood pressure (BP) readings obtained both in and out of the office for the diagnosis and management of hypertension. In-office BP measurement using an upper-arm cuff constitutes the evidence-based reference method for current BP classification and treatment targets. However, out-of-office BP evaluation using 24 h ambulatory or home BP monitoring is recommended by all major medical associations for obtaining further insights into the BP profile of an individual and how it relates to their daily activities. Importantly, the highly variable nature of office and out-of-office BP readings has been widely acknowledged, including the association of BP variability with cardiovascular outcomes. However, to date, the implications of BP variability on cardiovascular outcomes have largely been ignored, with limited application in clinical practice. Novel cuffless wearable technologies might provide a detailed assessment of the 24 h BP profile and behaviour over weeks or months. These devices offer many advantages for researchers and patients compared with traditional BP monitors, but their accuracy and utility remain uncertain. In this Review, we outline and compare conventional and novel methods and techniques for assessing average BP levels and BP variability, and reflect on the utility and potential of these methods for improving the treatment and management of patients with hypertension.

The most commonly available blood pressure (BP) monitoring devices are useful for capturing a snapshot BP value, but most have limited utility in measuring BP variability. In this Review, Schutte and colleagues outline the advantages and disadvantages of conventional and novel techniques to measure average BP levels and BP variability.

Although the dynamic nature of blood pressure (BP) is well-known, hypertension guidelines recommend using the average values of static BP readings (office or out-of-office), specifically aiming to level the fluctuations and peaks in BP readings.

All current BP measurement methods have imperfect reproducibility owing to the continuous fluctuation in BP readings, making it difficult to accurately diagnose hypertension.

Accumulating evidence from clinical trials, large registries and meta-analyses shows that increased BP variability predicts cardiovascular outcome, independently of the average BP values.

To date, BP variability is overlooked, with limited application in clinical practice, probably owing to a variety of complex non-standardized BP variability assessment methods and indices, and uncertain thresholds and clinical usefulness.

Novel cuffless wearable BP technologies can provide very large numbers of readings for days and months without the discomfort of traditional BP monitoring devices, and have the potential to replace current BP methods, once accuracy issues are resolved and their clinical usefulness is proved.

Blood Pressure Variability Early After Liver Transplantation Predicts Long-Term Mortality

Cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of mortality after liver transplantation (LT). Elevated blood pressure (BP) in LT recipients (LTRs) is associated with increased cardiovascular events (CVEs) and decreased survival. Increased visit-to-visit BP variability in the general population is associated with adverse outcomes. Whether BP variability is associated with adverse outcomes in LTRs is unknown. We analyzed data from adult LTRs within a single large transplant center in the United States between 2010 and 2016. Day-to-day BP variability within the first 60 days after LT was measured using variability independent of the mean (VIM). To assess the association between early post-LT BP variability and future CVEs or mortality, we used Cox proportional hazard regression. Among 512 LTRs (34.4% women; 10.7% Black; mean age, 56.5 years), increased systolic BP (SBP) variability was associated with a decreased risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.97/1 unit VIM; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.94-0.99). This was particularly true for men (aHR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.98), patients with pre-LT atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (aHR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.98), and patients without pre-LT diabetes mellitus (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.93-1.00). There was no significant effect of BP variability on CVEs. Results were consistent when competing risk analysis was used with death as the competing risk. Increased diastolic BP variability was not associated with a significant effect on CVEs (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.90-1.02) nor mortality (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.95-1.06). Increased SBP variability, independent of mean BP, is associated with decreased mortality in LTRs. We postulate that increased BP variability reflects a better vascular recovery in patients undergoing LT, but further research is needed as to the mechanism underlying our observation.

Long-Term Secondary Prevention: Management of Blood Pressure After a Transient Ischemic Attack or Stroke

Reducing blood pressure (BP) is a highly effective strategy for long-term stroke prevention. Despite overwhelmingly clear evidence from randomized trials that antihypertensive therapy substantially reduces the risk of stroke in primary prevention, uncertainty still surrounds the issue of BP lowering after cerebrovascular events, and the risk of recurrent stroke, coronary events, and vascular death remains significant. Important questions in a secondary prevention setting include should everyone be treated regardless of their poststroke BP, how soon after a stroke should BP-lowering treatment be commenced, how intensively should BP be lowered, what drugs are best, and how should long-term BP control be optimized and monitored. We review the evidence on BP control after a transient ischemic attack or stroke to address these unanswered questions and draw attention to some recent developments that hold promise to improve management of BP in current practice.

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability and the risk of stroke in the Netherlands: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Apart from blood pressure level itself, variation in blood pressure has been implicated in the development of stroke in subgroups at high cardiovascular risk. We determined the association between visit-to-visit blood pressure variability and stroke risk in the general population, taking into account the size and direction of variation and several time intervals prior to stroke diagnosis.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

From 1990 to 2016, we included 9,958 stroke-free participants of the population-based Rotterdam Study in the Netherlands. This is a prospective cohort study including participants aged 45 years and older. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability was calculated as absolute SBP difference divided by mean SBP over 2 sequential visits (median 4.6 years apart). Directional SBP variability was defined as SBP difference over 2 visits divided by mean SBP. Using time-varying Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, mean SBP, and cardiovascular risk factors, hazard ratios (HRs) for stroke up to January 2016 were estimated per SD increase and in tertiles of variability. We also conducted analyses with 3-, 6-, and 9-year intervals between variability measurement and stroke assessment. These analyses were repeated for diastolic blood pressure (DBP). The mean age of the study population was 67.4 ± 8.2 years and 5,776 (58.0%) were women. During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, 971 (9.8%) participants had a stroke, including 641 ischemic, 89 hemorrhagic, and 241 unspecified strokes. SBP variability was associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke (HR per SD 1.27, 95% CI 1.05-1.54, p = 0.02) and unspecified stroke (HR per SD 1.21, 95% CI 1.09-1.34, p < 0.001). The associations were stronger for all stroke subtypes with longer time intervals; the HR for any stroke was 1.29 (95% CI 1.21-1.36, p < 0.001) at 3 years, 1.47 (95% CI 1.35-1.59, p < 0.001) at 6 years, and 1.38 (95%CI 1.24-1.51, p < 0.001) at 9 years. For DBP variability, we found an association with unspecified stroke risk. Both the rise and fall of SBP and the fall of DBP were associated with an increased risk for unspecified stroke. Limitations of the study include that, due to an average interval of 4 years between visits, our findings may not be generalizable to blood pressure variability over shorter periods.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based study, we found that visit-to-visit blood pressure variation was associated with an increased risk of unspecified and hemorrhagic stroke, independent of direction of variation or mean blood pressure.

Exploring the Dynamics of Week-to-Week Blood Pressure in Nursing Home Residents Before Death

BACKGROUND

Aging is accompanied by an overall dysregulation of many dynamic physiologic processes including those related to blood pressure (BP). While year-to-year BP variability is associated with cardiovascular events and mortality, no studies have examined this trend with more frequent BP assessments. Our study objective is to take the next step to examine week-to-week BP dynamics-pattern, variability, and complexity-before death.

METHODS

Using a retrospective study design, we assessed BP dynamics in the 6 months before death in long-term nursing home residents between 1 October 2006 and 30 September 2017. Variability was characterized using SD and mean squared error after adjusting for diurnal variations. Complexity (i.e., amount of novel information in a trend) was examined using Shannon's entropy (bits). Generalized linear models were used to examine factors associated with overall BP variability.

RESULTS

We identified 17,953 nursing home residents (98.0% male, 82.5% White, mean age 80.2 years, and mean BP 125.7/68.6 mm Hg). Despite a slight trend of decreasing systolic week-to-week BP over time (delta = 7.2 mm Hg), week-to-week complexity did not change in the 6 months before death (delta = 0.02 bits). Average weekly BP variability was stable until the last 3-4 weeks of life, at which point variability increased by 30% for both systolic and diastolic BP. Factors associated with BP variability include average weekly systolic/diastolic BP, days in the nursing home, days in the hospital, and changes to antihypertensive medications.

CONCLUSIONS

Week-to-week BP variability increases substantially in the last month of life, but complexity does not change. Changes in care patterns may drive the increase in BP variability as one approaches death.

The Advent of Cuffless Mobile Device Blood Pressure Measurement: Remaining Challenges and Pitfalls

The availability of smart mobile devices (SMD) has increased continuously in recent years and affects all areas of life including medical applications. In parallel, there has been significant progress in the development of SMD applications that measure vital signs, esp. blood pressure using photoplethysmographic signals (PPG). This has enormous potential for screening and monitoring arterial hypertension. Some of these applications are already marketed, but they do not yet meet the usual criteria of validation and are not yet recommended by professional societies. The present work gives an overview of challenges and pitfalls in the use of these PPG applications.

Blood pressure measurement (BPM) is an essential part of medical examination, and therefore accuracy of BPM devices is crucial. Over the past few years, there has been a rise in new BPM techniques using photoplethysmographic (PPG) signals and complex algorithms for blood pressure estimation. Especially the combination of a mobile device or a smartphone with a camera using PPG may potentially revolutionize BPM in the future. The first-ever BPM application to be approved as a medical device was one by the Korean Ministry of Food and Drug Safety in 2020, despite the lack of robust scientific evidence proving its validity. While the prospect of using these novel BPM devices is an opportunity, there are also some critical issues around calibration and utility in different patient groups that need to be resolved before they can be incorporated into daily clinical practice.

Midlife Blood Pressure Variability and Risk of All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Events During Extended Follow-up

BACKGROUND

Studies demonstrate an association between visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) and cardiovascular events and death. We aimed to determine the long-term cardiovascular and mortality effects of BPV in midlife in participants with and without cardiovascular risk factors.

METHODS

This is a post-hoc analysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in the Community study. Long-term BPV was derived utilizing mean systolic blood pressure at Visits 1-4 (Visit 1: 1987-1989, Visit 2: 1990-1992, Visit 3: 1993-1995, Visit 4: 1996-1998). The primary outcome was mortality from Visit 4 to 2016 and secondary outcome was cardiovascular events (fatal coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, cardiac procedure, or stroke). We fit Cox proportional hazards models and also performed the analysis in a subgroup of cardiovascular disease-free patients without prior stroke, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, hypertension, or diabetes.

RESULTS

We included 9,578 participants. The mean age at the beginning of follow-up was 62.9 ± 5.7 years, and mean follow-up was 14.2 ± 4.5 years. During follow-up, 3,712 (38.8%) participants died and 1,721 (n = 8,771, 19.6%) had cardiovascular events. For every SD higher in systolic residual SD (range 0-60.5 mm Hg, SD = 5.6 mm Hg), the hazard ratio for death was 1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.12) and for cardiovascular events was 1.00 (95% CI 0.95-1.05). In cardiovascular disease-free participants (n = 4,452), the corresponding hazard ratio for death was 1.12 (95% CI 1.03-1.21) and for cardiovascular events was 1.01 (95% CI 0.89-1.14).

CONCLUSION

Long-term BPV during midlife is an independent predictor of later life mortality but not cardiovascular events.

Effect of blood lipid variability on mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a large single-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

Dyslipidemia is a major cardiovascular risk factor and common in diabetes patients. Most guidelines focus on optimal lipid levels, while variation of lipid profiles is far less discussed. This study aims to investigate the association of visit-to-visit variability in blood lipids with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We identified 10,583 type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥ 30 years with follow-up ≥ 3 years and who participated in the Diabetes Care Management Program at a medical center in Taiwan. Variability in lipid profiles within 3 years after entry was calculated using coefficient of variation. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate lipid variability in relation to subsequent mortality.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up of 6.4 years, 1838 all-cause deaths (809 cardiovascular deaths) were observed. For each 10% increase in variability in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and total cholesterol, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause mortality were 1.30 (1.22-1.37), 1.05 (1.01-1.09), and 1.10 (1.03-1.16), respectively; those of cardiovascular mortality were 1.27 (1.16-1.39), 1.08 (1.02-1.15), and 1.16 (1.07-1.27), respectively. Each 10% increase in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol variability conveyed 31% greater risk of non-cardiovascular mortality. High variability in total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol increased all-cause mortality in subgroups of nonsmoking, regular exercising, non-dyslipidemia, and more severe status of diabetes at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood lipid variability except for triglyceride variability was associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Blood Pressure Variability and Prognosis in Hemodialysis Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

The prognostic value of blood pressure variability (BPV) in patients receiving hemodialysis is inconclusive. In this study, we aimed to assess the association between BPV and clinical outcomes in the hemodialysis population.

Methods

Pubmed/Medline, EMBASE, Ovid, the Cochrane Library, and the Web of Science databases were searched for relevant articles published until April 1, 2020. Studies on the association between BPV and prognosis in patients receiving hemodialysis were included.

Results

A total of 14 studies (37,976 patients) were included in the analysis. In patients receiving hemodialysis, systolic BPV was associated with higher all-cause (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07-1.19; p < 0.001) and cardiovascular (HR: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.10-1.22; p < 0.001) mortality. In the stratified analysis of systolic BPV, interdialytic systolic BPV, rather than 44-h ambulatory systolic BPV or intradialytic systolic BPV, was identified to be related to both all-cause (HR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.05-1.17; p = 0.001) and cardiovascular (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.06-1.22; p < 0.001) mortality. Among the different BPV metrics, the coefficient of variation of systolic blood pressure was a predictor of both all-cause (p = 0.01) and cardiovascular (p = 0.002) mortality. Although diastolic BPV was associated with all-cause mortality (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.01-1.17; p = 0.02) in patients receiving hemodialysis, it failed to predict cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.52-1.42; p = 0.56).

Conclusions

This meta-analysis revealed that, in patients receiving hemodialysis, interdialytic systolic BPV was associated with both increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Furthermore, the coefficient of variation of systolic blood pressure was identified as a potentially promising metric of BPV in predicting all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The use of 44-h ambulatory systolic BPV, intradialytic systolic BPV, and metrics of diastolic BPV in the prognosis of the hemodialysis population require further investigation (PROSPERO registry number: CRD42019139215).

Day-by-Day Blood Pressure Variability in the Subacute Stage of Ischemic Stroke and Long-Term Recurrence

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study aimed to determine whether variability of day-by-day blood pressure (BP) during the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke is predictive of long-term stroke recurrence.

METHODS

We analyzed 7665 patients (mean±SD age: 72.9±13.1 years; women: 42.4%) hospitalized for first-ever ischemic stroke in 7 stroke centers in Fukuoka, Japan, from June 2007 to November 2018. BP was measured daily during the subacute stage (4-10 days after onset). Its mean and coefficient of variation (CV) values were calculated and divided into 4 groups according to the quartiles of these BP parameters. Patients were prospectively followed up for recurrent stroke or all-cause death. The cumulative event rate was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. We estimated the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of the events of interest after adjusting for potential confounders and mean BP values using Cox proportional hazards models. The Fine-Gray model was also used to account for the competing risk of death.

RESULTS

With a mean (±SD) follow-up duration of 3.9±3.2 years, the rates of recurrent stroke and all-cause death were 3.9 and 9.9 per 100 patient-years, respectively. The cumulative event rates of recurrent stroke and all-cause death increased with increasing CVs of systolic BP and diastolic BP. The systolic BP CV was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrent stroke after adjusting for multiple confounders and mean BP (hazard ratio [95% CI] for fourth quartile versus first quartile, 1.26 [1.05-1.50]); the risk of recurrent stroke also increased with an increasing systolic BP CV for nonfatal strokes (1.26 [1.05-1.51]) and when death was regarded as a competing risk (1.21 [1.02-1.45]). Similar associations were observed for the diastolic BP CV.

CONCLUSIONS

Day-by-day variability of BP during the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke was associated with an increased long-term risk of recurrent stroke.

Blood pressure visit-to-visit variability and outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

AIMS

Previous studies report that blood pressure (BP) variability is associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes in patients diagnosed with cardiovascular disease. However, studies have not fully explored this association in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). This study sought to explore the association between visit-to-visit variability (VVV) of BP and clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1988 patients (mean age of 67.73 ± 9.22, 51.7% female) from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial were included in this study. BP-VVV was determined by standard deviation (SD) of mean systolic BP (SBP-SD) from six measurements (baseline and months 1, 2, 4, 8, and 12) during the first 12 months after randomization. Mean on-treatment SBP during the first 12 months was 127.77 ± 10.42 mmHg, and the median of SBP-SD was 8.15 mmHg. A total of 192 (9.7%) patients met the primary outcome during the subsequent median follow-up of 35.16 months, including a composite of cardiovascular death, heart failure hospitalization, or aborted cardiac arrest. Multiple Cox regression analysis showed that SBP-SD was independently associated with the increased risk of the primary outcome after adjusting for age, gender, method of BP measurement, treatment, renal function and common co-morbidities, and the mean SBP during the first 12 months [hazard ratio (HR) for fourth vs. first quartile, 1.63; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-2.49; P = 0.024]. Analysis showed that SBP-SD as continuous variable was associated with a 23% increase in the risk of primary outcome (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.06-1.43; P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of the current study show that high SBP-VVV in patients with HFpEF is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes independent of the mean on-treatment SBP.

Long-Term Variability of Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Outcomes, and Mortality: The Look AHEAD Study

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the associations of visit-to-visit blood pressure (BP) variability with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and deaths in adults with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We analyzed 4,152 participants in Look AHEAD (Action for Health in Diabetes) free of CVD events and deaths during the first 36 months of follow-up. Variability of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) across 4 annual visits was assessed using the intraindividual SD, variation independent of the mean, and coefficient of variation. Cox regression was used to generate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CVD (myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, or CVD-related deaths) and mortality.

RESULTS

Over a median of 6.6 years, there were 220 MIs, 105 stroke cases, 62 CVD-related deaths, and 236 deaths. After adjustment for confounders including average BP, the aHRs for the highest (vs. lowest) tertile of SD of SBP were 1.98 (95% CI 1.01-3.92), 1.25 (95% CI 0.90-1.72), 1.26 (95% CI 0.96-1.64), 1.05 (95% CI 0.75-1.46), and 1.64 (95% CI 0.99-2.72) for CVD mortality, all-cause mortality, CVD, MI, and stroke, respectively. The equivalent aHRs for SD of DBP were 1.84 (95% CI 0.98-3.48), 1.43 (95% CI 1.03-1.98), 1.19 (95% CI 0.91-1.56), 1.14 (95% CI 0.82-1.58), and 0.97 (95% CI 0.58-1.60), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large sample of individuals with type 2 diabetes, a greater variability in SBP was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality and CVD events; a higher variability in DBP was linked to increased overall and cardiovascular mortality.

Visit-to-visit variability of blood pressure and cardiovascular events among the working-age population in Japan: findings from the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study

Increased visit-to-visit variability (VVV) of blood pressure, which is calculated based on several readings, has been suggested to be a significant predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality, independent of mean blood pressure. This study examined associations between the VVV of systolic blood pressure (SBP) measured annually and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events among 72,617 Japanese subjects. Data were obtained from the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study, which is an ongoing epidemiological survey of workers in Japan. VVV was calculated as the coefficient of variation of SBP readings from 2008 to 2011; information on fatal and nonfatal CVD events was collected from registries of specific outcomes between April 2012 and March 2019. A Cox proportional hazards model was applied to investigate associations after adjusting for mean SBP between 2008 and 2011 and covariates. During the 7-year follow-up period, there were 63 CVD fatalities and 314 CVD events (combining fatal and nonfatal events). The results showed that a one-standard deviation increase in VVV was associated with a significant increase in the risk of CVD mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.42; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.32-1.54); those in the highest tertile had a 3.20 times (95% CI = 1.26-8.17) higher risk of CVD mortality than those in the lowest tertile. We found less pronounced associations regarding CVD events (HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.02-1.15). In conclusion, VVV was significantly associated with CVD mortality in our Japanese working population.

[What do we Mean by "Ideal" Blood Pressure Control?]

Arterial hypertension (AH) is one of the most important risk factors for development of myocardial infarction, chronic heart failure, stroke, cognitive disorders and dementia, and chronic kidney disease. Currently, special attention is paid to increased blood pressure variability (BPV) as a new risk factor for development of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular complications. The available evidence-based body of clinical studies demonstrates the importance of reducing not only the blood pressure itself but also the increased BPV to provide significant improvement of the prognosis and limits the risk of complications. This notion has been validated in consensus documents on the management of patients with AH. Among antihypertensive drugs, the fixed-dose combination (FC) amlodipine/perindopril has demonstrated a unique capability for reducing all types of BPV (visit-to-visit, day-to-day, during 24 h). According to current clinical guidelines, this combination belongs to first-line FCs indicated for most patients with AH. A distinctive feature of the FC amlodipine/perindopril is numerous data from real-life clinical practice, which support both its high antihypertensive efficacy and the ability to decrease high BPV. Therefore, the FC amlodipine/perindopril can be recommended for a broad range of AH patients to achieve BP control and to improve the prognosis.

Long-Term Habitual Vigorous Physical Activity Is Associated With Lower Visit-to-Visit Systolic Blood Pressure Variability: Insights From the SPRINT Trial

BACKGROUND

Our work aimed to investigate the association between vigorous physical activity and visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability (BPV).

METHODS

We conducted a post hoc analysis of SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial), a well-characterized cohort of participants randomized to intensive (<120 mm Hg) or standard (<140 mm Hg) systolic blood pressure targets. We assessed whether patients with hypertension who habitually engage in vigorous physical activity would have lower visit-to-visit systolic BPV compared with those who do not engage in vigorous physical activity. Visit-to-visit systolic BPV was calculated by SD, average real variability (ARV), and SD independent of the mean (SDIM) using measurements taken during the 1-, 2-, 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month study visits. A medical history questionnaire assessed vigorous physical activity, which was divided into 3 categories according to the frequency of vigorous physical activity.

RESULTS

A total of 7,571 participants were eligible for analysis (34.8% female, mean age 67.9 ± 9.3 years). During a follow-up of 1-year, vigorous physical activity could significantly reduce SD, ARV, and SDIM across increasing frequency of vigorous physical activity. There were negative linear trends between frequency of vigorous physical activity and visit-to-visit systolic BPV.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term engagement in vigorous physical activity was associated with lower visit-to-visit systolic BPV.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial); Trial Number: NCT01206062, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01206062.

Predictive value of visit-to-visit blood pressure variability for cardiovascular events in patients with coronary artery disease with and without diabetes mellitus

Background

High blood pressure is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) has recently been shown to predict cardiovascular outcomes. We investigated the predictive value of BPV for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Methods

Patients with stable CAD were enrolled and monitored for new MACE. Visit-to-visit BPV was defined as the coefficient of variation (CV) of systolic and diastolic BP across clinic visits. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association of BPV with MACE. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess its predictive ability.

Results

Among 1140 Chinese patients with stable CAD, 192 (17%) experienced a new MACE. In multivariable analyses, the risk of MACE was significantly associated with CV of systolic BP (odds ratio [OR] for highest versus lowest quartile, 3.30; 95% CI 1.97–5.54), and diastolic BP (OR for highest versus lowest quartile, 2.39; 95% CI 1.39–4.11), after adjustment for variables of the risk factor model (age, gender, T2DM, hypertension, antihypertensive agents, number of BP measurements) and mean BP. The risk factor model had an AUC of 0.70 for prediction of MACE. Adding systolic/diastolic CV into the risk factor model with mean BP significantly increased the AUC to 0.73/0.72 (P = 0.002/0.007). In subgroup analyses, higher CV of systolic BP remained significantly associated with an increased risk for MACE in patients with and without T2DM, whereas the association of CV of diastolic BP with MACE was observed only in those without T2DM.

Conclusions

Visit-to-visit variability of systolic BP and of diastolic BP was an independent predictor of new MACE and provided incremental prognostic value beyond mean BP and conventional risk factors in patients with stable CAD. The association of BPV in CAD patients without T2DM with subsequent risk for MACE was stronger than in those with T2DM.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-021-01280-z.

Association of 1-Year Blood Pressure Variability With Long-term Mortality Among Adults With Coronary Artery Disease: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Accumulating evidence indicates that higher blood pressure (BP) variability from one physician office visit to the next (hereafter referred to as visit-to-visit BP variability) is associated with poor outcomes. Short-term measurement (throughout 1 year) of visit-to-visit BP variability in high-risk older patients may help identify patients at increased risk of death.

Objective

To evaluate whether short-term visit-to-visit BP variability is associated with increased long-term mortality risk.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The US cohort of the International Verapamil SR-Trandolapril Study (INVEST), a randomized clinical trial of 16 688 patients aged 50 years or older with hypertension and coronary artery disease, was conducted between September 2, 1997, and December 15, 2000, with in-trial follow-up through February 14, 2003. The study evaluated a calcium antagonist (sustained-release verapamil plus trandolapril) vs β-blocker (atenolol plus hydrochlorothiazide) treatment strategy. Blood pressure measurement visits were scheduled every 6 weeks for the first 6 months and biannually thereafter. Statistical analysis was performed from September 2, 1997, to May 1, 2014.

Exposures

Visit-to-visit systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP variability during the first year of enrollment using 4 different BP variability measures: standard deviation, coefficient of variation, average real variability, and variability independent of the mean.

Main Outcomes and Measures

All-cause death, assessed via the US National Death Index, beginning after the exposure assessment period through May 1, 2014.

Results

For the present post hoc analysis, long-term mortality data were available on 16 688 patients (9001 women [54%]; mean [SD] age, 66.5 [9.9] years; 45% White patients, 16% Black patients, and 37% Hispanic patients). During a mean (SD) follow-up of 10.9 (4.2) years, 5058 patients (30%) died. All 4 variability measures for SBP were significantly associated with long-term mortality after adjustment for baseline demographic characteristics and comorbidities. After comparison of lowest vs highest variability measure quintiles, the magnitude of the association with death remained statistically significant even after adjustment for baseline demographic characteristics and comorbidities (average real variability: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30; standard deviation: aHR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.04-1.24; coefficient of variation: aHR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.26; variability independent of the mean: aHR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.05-1.25). The signal was stronger in women compared with men. Associations of diastolic BP variability measures with death were weaker than for SBP and were not significant after adjustment.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study suggests that, in a large population of older patients with hypertension and coronary artery disease, short-term visit-to-visit SBP variability was associated with excess long-term mortality, especially for women. Efforts to identify and minimize visit-to-visit SBP variability may be important in reducing excess mortality later in life.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00133692.

Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

[Figure: see text].

Association of visit-to-visit variability in blood pressure and first stroke risk in hypertensive patients with chronic kidney disease

OBJECTIVE

Data on the association between visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in blood pressure (BP) and the risk of stroke among hypertensive patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is limited. We aimed to evaluate the relation of VVV in BP with the risk of stroke, and examine any possible effect modifiers in hypertensive patients with mild-to-moderate CKD.

METHODS

This is a post-hoc analysis of the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial. A total of 3091 patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate 30-60 ml/min per 1.73 m and/or proteinuria at baseline, without occurring stroke and with BP measurements of at least two visits from randomization to the 12-month visit were included. The main VVV in BP was expressed as SD. The primary outcome was first stroke.

RESULTS

The median subsequent treatment duration was 3.7 years. After multivariable adjustment, including baseline SBP and mean SBP during the first 12-month follow-up, there was a significantly positive relationship of SD SBP with the risk of subsequent first stroke (per SD increment; odds ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval: 1.17-1.69) and first ischemic stroke (odds ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval: 1.26-1.90). Results were consistent across various subgroups, including age, sex, baseline SBP, treatment compliance, and mean SBP, concomitant usage of calcium channel blocker during the first 12-month follow-up period. Similar trends were also found for coefficient of variation SBP, and SD or coefficient of variation DBP. However, there was no significant association between BP variability and first hemorrhagic stroke.

CONCLUSION

In hypertensive adults with mild-to-moderate CKD, visit-to-visit variability in BP was significantly associated with the risk of subsequent first stroke.

Association of visit-to-visit variability of systolic blood pressure with cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and mortality in patients with hypertension

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the association between visit-to-visit variability of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and mortality among hypertensive patients.

METHODS

A population-based cohort included 225 759 Chinese hypertensive adults without diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease during 2011-2012. SBP variability was determined based on standard deviations of SBP over the previous 5 years before baseline. Cox regressions adjusted with patients' baseline characteristics, mean, and temporal trend of SBP was applied to the associations between variability and incident cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In all, 25 714 patients with cardiovascular disease, 27 603 with chronic kidney disease, and 16 778 deaths have occurred during the median follow-up of 70.5 months (1.2 million person-years). SBP variability was continuously and positively associated with higher cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and mortality risk among hypertensive patients without evidence of a threshold. Each 10-mmHg increase in SD of SBP was associated with 35% [hazard ratio 1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30-1.39], 39% (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.35-1.43), and 40% (HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.34-1.45) higher risk of cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and mortality, respectively. HRs were attenuated with increased age, mean SBP, and Charlson index, and decreased temporal trend of systolic blood pressure, but it remained significant and consistent in most of the different subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggested that SBP variability is a significant prognostic value, in addition to baseline or mean of SBP for the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality.

School-based surveillance on visit-to-visit blood pressure variability and high blood pressure in children and adolescents

BACKGROUND

The predictive importance of visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (VVV) for high blood pressure (HBP) in a pediatric population has been largely unsettled. We aimed to evaluate it based on Health Promotion Program for Children and Adolescents (HPPCA), a school-based surveillance conducted from 2012 to 2018 in Suzhou, China.

METHODS

A total of 330,618 participants had BP measurement in 2018 and ≥ 3 BP records during 2012-2017, were recruited from HPPCA. Absolute BP values (in mmHg) were converted into age-, sex- and height- normalized z-scores. VVV was expressed as standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV) or average real variability (ARV) of BP z-scores during 2012-2017. Logistic regression models were used to assess the associations between VVV and HBP in 2018.

RESULTS

In 2018, 42,554 (12.87%) subjects were defined as HBP. VVV, except for SBP-CV and DBP-CV, was significantly higher in the HBP group than normotensives group. After adjusting for covariates including mean BP values from 2012 to 2017, SBP-SD, SBP-ARV, DBP-SD and DBP-ARV, increased the risk of HBP by 5.70 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 5.54-5.87], 4.10 (95% CI 4.01-4.20), 4.70 (95% CI 4.50-4.90) and 3.39 (95% CI 3.28-3.50) times, respectively. Notably, SBP-SD significantly improved risk discrimination of HBP based on other risk variables (c-statistics, net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement significantly increased).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher SD or ARV of BP, was independently related with higher probability of HBP in Chinese pediatric population. SBP-SD could be potentially helpful for detecting HBP. Future researches investigating the predictive value of VVV are warrant.