Progression of Coronary Artery Calcium and Incident Heart Failure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Impact of coronary artery calcium on progression of diastolic dysfunction: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

The relationship between coronary artery calcium (CAC) and progression of diastolic dysfunction (DD) during longitudinal follow-up is uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and progression of DD according to severity of CAC and understand their synergistic effect on mortality.

METHODS

This was a population-based cohort study. All 15,193 adults who underwent a health screening exam with simultaneous echocardiography and CAC scan were enrolled. Definite DD (≥ 3/4 abnormal parameters for DD [e', E/e', tricuspid regurgitation velocity, and left atrial volume index]) and definite or probable DD (≥ 2/4) were defined. All-cause mortality was assessed based on the CAC and DD.

RESULTS

Among the population, 7995 participants (52.6%) had CAC = 0; 4661 (30.7%) had 0 < CAC < 100; and 2537 (16.7%) had CAC ≥ 100. The prevalence ratios for definite (adjusted ratio: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.23-2.22) and definite or probable DD (adjusted ratio: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.31-2.36) were significantly higher in individuals with CAC ≥ 100 than in those with CAC = 0. There was significant linear association of CAC with E/e' (adjusted p for linearity = 0.001). Compared with CAC < 100 without definite DD, the adjusted HRs with 95% CI for mortality of CAC ≥ 100 without definite DD, CAC < 100 with definite DD, and CAC ≥ 100 with definite DD were 2.56 (95% CI: 1.67-3.94), 3.08 (95% CI: 1.28-7.39), and 3.91 (95% CI: 1.68-9.10). Among participants without DD at CAC measurement who had at least two echocardiographic measurements, the presence of significant CAC (≥ 100) was significantly associated with accelerated progression in definite DD over time (adjusted HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.13-1.88), with more rapid elevation of E/e' during follow-up (difference: 0.06, 95% CI: 0.02-0.10, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

In the general population, there was a significant relationship between CAC and prevalence of DD, and both subclinical parameters were associated with increased mortality. Moreover, CAC ≥ 100 significantly affects the progression of DD independently of other clinical factors.

PET/CT-derived coronary calcium score may predict cardiac complications in anthracycline-treated patients with lymphoma

ABSTRACT

Anthracycline-mediated cardiotoxicity is a common concern after lymphoma therapy, particularly in patients with high cardiovascular risk (CVR). In noncancer populations, coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) effectively identifies individuals who may benefit from aggressive CVR modification to lower the risk of cardiovascular events. Emerging evidence suggests that CACS can also predict cancer therapy-related cardiotoxicity, potentially identifying candidates for cardioprotective strategies. Our study aimed to evaluate whether CACS obtained from pretreatment positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) scans could stratify cardiac event risk in patients with lymphoma receiving anthracycline-based chemotherapy. We enrolled 358 consecutive patients with lymphoma treated between 2012 and 2022, calculating the CACS from their pretreatment PET/CT. We reviewed medical records to identify pre-existing cardiac conditions, CVR, and posttreatment cardiac events, including coronary events, heart failure (HF), and arrhythmias. Logistic and Cox regression models were used to assess associations between CVR, CACS categories (CACS = 0, CACS 1-400, CACS >400), and new cardiac events. At a median follow-up of 27 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 22.3-31.7) in patients without cardiac history, 10% experienced posttreatment cardiac events (HF, 14; arrhythmias, 9; coronary event, 1; combination, 8). Patients with a CACS >0 had more events (21 total, 20% vs 11 total, 5.4% for CACS = 0; P < .001). Elevated CACS was independently associated with HF (CACS 1-400: odds ratio [OR], 3.73; 95% CI, 1.21-11.43; P = .022; CACS >400: OR, 5.43; 95% CI, 1.47-20.03; P = .011) and any cardiac event (CACS 1-400: OR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.02-6.04; P = .045; CACS >400: OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 0.91-10.68; P = .029). CACS may effectively stratify patients with lymphoma at risk of cardiac complications, thereby identifying a group poised to benefit from targeted preventive strategies.

Coronary Artery Calcium for Risk Stratification of Heart Failure Mortality: The Coronary Artery Calcium Consortium

BACKGROUND

There is increasing interest in predicting heart failure (HF), a major cause of morbidity and mortality with a significant financial burden. The role of coronary artery calcium (CAC), an accessible and inexpensive test, in predicting long-term HF mortality among asymptomatic adults remains unknown. We aimed to determine whether CAC burden is associated with HF-related mortality in the CAC Consortium.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study included 66,636 primary prevention patients from the CAC Consortium. Multivariable competing risks regression was used to assess the association between CAC and HF-related mortality adjusting for demographics and traditional risk factors. The mean age was 54.4 years, 67% male, 89% White, and 55% had a CAC of >0. We observed 260 HF-related mortality events during a median follow up of 12.5 years; 75.3% occurred among those with a baseline CAC score of >100. Compared with a CAC of 0, there was a stepwise higher risk (P < .005) of HF mortality for a CAC of 1-100 (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 2.27, 95% CI 1.3-3.99), 100-400 (SHR 3.68, 95% CI 2.1-6.43), and >400 (SHR 7.05, 95% CI 4.05-12.29). This increasing risk of HF mortality across higher CAC scores persisted across age groups, sex, and in the intermediate and high-risk groups as calculated by the pooled cohort equation and Predicting Risk of cardiovascular disease EVENTs (PREVENT) equation.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher CAC is associated with an increasing incidence of long-term HF-related mortality in the primary prevention population, particularly intermediate and high-risk patients. Early preventive approaches in patients with high CAC must focus on preventing HF and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease with lifestyle changes and medications.

Association between subclinical atherosclerosis burden and unrecognized myocardial infarction detected by cardiac magnetic resonance in middle-aged low-risk adults

AIMS

Evidence on the association between subclinical atherosclerosis (SA) and cardiovascular (CV) events in low-risk populations is scant. To study the association between SA burden and an ischaemic scar (IS), identified by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), as a surrogate of CV endpoint, in a low-risk population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A cohort of 712 asymptomatic middle-aged individuals from the Progression of Early SA (PESA-CNIC-Santander) study (median age 51 years, 84% male, median SCORE2 3.37) were evaluated on enrolment and at 3-year follow-up with 2D/3D vascular ultrasound (VUS) and coronary artery calcification scoring (CACS). A cardiac magnetic study (CMR) was subsequently performed and IS defined as the presence of subendocardial or transmural late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). On CMR, 132 (19.1%) participants had positive LGE, and IS was identified in 20 (2.9%) participants. Individuals with IS had significantly higher SCORE2 at baseline and higher CACS and peripheral SA burden (number of plaques by 2DVUS and plaque volume by 3DVUS) at both SA evaluations. High CACS and peripheral SA (number of plaques) burden were independently associated with the presence of IS, after adjusting for SCORE2 [OR for 3rd tertile, 8.31; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.85-24.2; P < 0.001; and 2.77; 95% CI, 1.02-7.51; P = 0.045, respectively] and provided significant incremental diagnostic value over SCORE2.

CONCLUSION

In a low-risk middle-aged population, SA burden (CAC and peripheral plaques) was independently associated with a higher prevalence of IS identified by CMR. These findings reinforce the value of SA evaluation to early implement preventive measures.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Progression of Early Subclinical Atherosclerosis (PESA) Study Identifier: NCT01410318.

Perspective article: determinants and assessment of cardiovascular risk in steatotic liver disease owing to metabolic dysfunction-addressing the challenge

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) stands as an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), which is the leading cause of mortality among MASLD patients. The diverse spectrum of cardio-nephro-metabolic and vascular manifestations inherent in MASLD highlights the complex profile of CVD risk associated with this condition. However, current approaches to assessing CVD risk in MASLD lack specificity, predominantly relying on traditional markers. Although it is widely accepted that patients with advanced fibrosis are more prone to CVD risk, recent evidence suggests that this isolated focus may overlook the remarkable phenotypic variability of this CVD risk across the entire MASLD population. Emerging data indicate a progressive escalation of CVD risk in parallel with the severity of MASLD, highlighting the need for precise disease staging to inform accurate risk assessment. To address this challenge, we propose a novel sequential approach to CVD risk assessment in MASLD. While traditional CVD risk factors remain essential, incorporating liver-specific parameters enhances risk stratification and guides targeted interventions to mitigate the substantial burden of cardiovascular disease in this vulnerable population. This approach involves initial screening using FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score, followed by assessment of liver fibrosis with imaging-based non-invasive techniques in individuals at intermediate-high risk for advanced fibrosis and liver fat quantification in low-risk individuals. Future prospective investigations should focus on the simultaneous use of liver biomarkers and imaging modalities to evaluate, in a sex-specific manner, the efficacy of the proposed approach and to determine optimal thresholds of liver fibrosis and steatosis for optimal CVD risk assessment.

Association of cardiometabolic and vascular atherosclerosis phenotypes on non-contrast chest CT with incident heart failure in patients with severe hypercholesterolemia

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC), thoracic aorta calcification (TAC), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) are associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine whether these cardiometabolic and atherosclerotic risk factors identified by non-contrast chest computed tomography (CT) are associated with HF hospitalizations in patients with LDL-C≥ 190 mg/dL.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL, aged ≥40 years without established ASCVD or HF, who had a non-contrast chest CT within 3 years of LDL-C measurement. Ordinal CAC, ordinal TAC, EAT, and NAFLD were measured. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox regression models were built to ascertain the association with HF hospitalization.

RESULTS

We included 762 patients with median age 60 (53-68) years, 68% (n=520) female, and median LDL-C level of 203 (194-216) mg/dL. Patients were followed for 4.7 (interquartile range 2.75-6.16) years, and 107 (14%) had a HF hospitalization. Overall, 355 (47%) patients had CAC=0, 210 (28%) had TAC=0, 116 (15%) had NAFLD, and median EAT was 79 mL (49-114). Moderate-Severe CAC (log-rank p<0.001) and TAC (log-rank p=0.006) groups were associated with increased HF hospitalizations. This association persisted when considering myocardial infarction (MI) as a competing risk. NAFLD and EAT volume were not associated with HF.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients without established ASCVD and LDL-C≥190 mg/dL, CAC was independently associated with increased HF hospitalizations while TAC, NAFLD, and EAT were not.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: Steatosis severity and subclinical atherosclerosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a prevalent liver condition recognised as an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, there is ongoing debate regarding the effective strategy for cardiovascular risk assessment in MASLD.

AIM

To investigate the relationship between liver imaging, specifically focusing on the severity of steatosis and subclinical atherosclerosis.

METHODS

We conducted a thorough search across four databases, from 1950 to April 2023, to identify eligible studies employing imaging to explore the relationship between different degrees of steatosis and subclinical atherosclerosis among MASLD. Additionally, we conducted a quality assessment using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale, performed a meta-analysis employing the DerSimonian-Liard random-effects model, and conducted subgroup analyses for validation.

RESULTS

In total, 19 studies, encompassing 147,411 middle-aged individuals without previous CVD (74.94% male; mean age 45.53 years [SD 10.69]; mean BMI 24.3 kg/m2 [SD 3.35]), were included. The pooled odds ratio for subclinical atherosclerosis was 1.27 (95% CI: 1.13-1.41, I2  = 76.68%) in mild steatosis and significantly increased to 1.68 (95% CI: 1.41-2.00, I2  = 89.02%) in moderate to severe steatosis. Sensitivity analysis, focusing on high-quality studies, consistently supported this finding and the results remained robust across subgroup analyses. Furthermore, meta-regression revealed that a higher mean AST and ALT, alongside a lower mean HDL, were significant moderators of this association.

CONCLUSIONS

Even mild steatosis is associated with CVD risk, and steatosis severity further intensifies this association. These findings suggest that liver fat quantification enhances CVD risk stratification in patients with MASLD.

Predictive Value of Deep Learning-derived CT Pectoralis Muscle and Adipose Measurements for Incident Heart Failure: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Purpose

To develop a deep learning algorithm capable of extracting pectoralis muscle and adipose measurements and to longitudinally investigate associations between these measurements and incident heart failure (HF) in participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Materials and Methods

MESA is a prospective study of subclinical cardiovascular disease characteristics and risk factors for progression to clinically overt disease approved by institutional review boards of six participating centers (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00005487). All participants with adequate imaging and clinical data from the fifth examination of MESA were included in this study. Hence, in this secondary analysis, manual segmentations of 600 chest CT examinations (between the years 2010 and 2012) were used to train and validate a convolutional neural network, which subsequently extracted pectoralis muscle and adipose (intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT), perimuscular adipose tissue (PAT), extramyocellular lipids and subcutaneous adipose tissue) area measurements from 3031 CT examinations using individualized thresholds for adipose segmentation. Next, 1781 participants without baseline HF were longitudinally investigated for associations between baseline pectoralis muscle and adipose measurements and incident HF using crude and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. The full models were adjusted for variables in categories of demographic (age, race, sex, income), clinical/laboratory (including physical activity, BMI, and smoking), CT (coronary artery calcium score), and cardiac MRI (left ventricular ejection fraction and mass (% of predicted)) data.

Results

In 1781 participants (median age, 68 (IQR,61, 75) years; 907 [51%] females), 41 incident HF events occurred over a median 6.5-year follow-up. IMAT predicted incident HF in unadjusted (hazard ratio [HR]:1.14; 95% CI: 1.03-1.26) and fully adjusted (HR:1.16, 95% CI: 1.03-1.31) models. PAT also predicted incident HF in crude (HR:1.19; 95% CI: 1.06-1.35) and fully adjusted (HR:1.25; 95% CI: 1.07-1.46) models.

Conclusion

The study demonstrates that fast and reliable deep learning-derived pectoralis muscle and adipose measurements are obtainable from conventional chest CT, which may be predictive of incident HF.©RSNA, 2023.

Associations Between Coronary Artery Calcification and Left Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain and Diastolic Parameters: the ELSA-Brasil Study

Atherosclerosis burden can be evaluated in asymptomatic patients by measuring coronary artery calcification (CAC), whereas the global longitudinal strain (GLS) and diastolic function parameters (mitral E/e' ratio, septal e', and lateral e') are used to evaluate subclinical left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. We investigated whether subjects with CAC (CAC >0 Agatston units) would present with an impairment in LV functional parameters. Among the participants of the ELSA-Brasil cohort free of clinically prevalent cardiovascular disease who performed cardiac computed tomography and echocardiography within the study protocol, we tested whether those with CAC >0 presented with worse GLS and diastolic function parameters. CAC >0 was present in 203 of the 612 included participants (33.17%; age 51.4 ± 8.6 years, 52.1% women). Absolute CAC values did not correlate with GLS (ro = 0.07, p = 0.105) but did so with E/e' (ro = 0.19, p <0.001), septal e' (ro = 0.28, p <0.001), and lateral e' (ro = 0.30, p <0.001), with stronger correlations in men. Those with CAC >0 had worse mitral E/e' ratios (7.75 ± 0.13 vs 7.01 ± 0.09; p ≤0.001), septal e' (8.25 ± 0.15 vs 9.59 ± 0.11 cm/s; p <0.001), and lateral e' (10.13 ± 0.20 vs 11.99 ± 0.14 cm/s; p ≤0.001), respectively. However, these associations were not independent of diabetes, obesity, hypertension, smoking, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, persisting only as significant associations of CAC >0 with mitral E/e' ratio and septal e' in men. There is an association between subclinical coronary atherosclerosis and impaired LV functional parameters. These associations are more likely attributed to the presence of common cardiovascular risk factors in the general population. However, in men, it seems to exist as an independent association.

Are Non-Invasive Modalities for the Assessment of Atherosclerosis Useful for Heart Failure Predictions?

Heart failure (HF) is becoming an increasingly common issue worldwide and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, making its prevention an important clinical goal. The criteria evaluated using non-invasive modalities such as coronary artery calcification, the ankle-brachial index, and carotid intima-media thickness have been proven to be effective in determining the relative risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Notably, risk assessments using these modalities have been proven to be superior to the traditional risk predictors of cardiovascular disease. However, the ability to assess HF risk has not yet been well-established. In this review, we describe the clinical significance of such non-invasive modalities of atherosclerosis assessments and examine their ability to assess HF risk. The predictive value could be influenced by the left ventricular ejection fraction. Specifically, when the ejection fraction is reduced, its predictive value increases because this condition is potentially a result of coronary artery disease. In contrast, using these measures to predict HF with a preserved ejection fraction may be difficult because it is a heterogeneous condition. To overcome this issue, further research, especially on HF with a preserved ejection fraction, is required.

Association of coronary artery calcification and thoracic aortic calcification with incident peripheral arterial disease in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

Aims

The association of subclinical atherosclerotic disease in the coronary arteries and thoracic aorta with incident peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is unknown. We investigated the association between coronary artery calcium score (CACs) and thoracic aortic calcium score (TACs) with incident clinical and subclinical PAD.

Methods and results

The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) recruited 6814 men and women aged 45–84 from four ethnic groups who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease at enrolment. Coronary artery calcium score and thoracic aortic calcium score were measured from computed tomography scans. Participants with a baseline ankle-brachial index (ABI) ≤0.90 or &gt;1.4 were excluded. Abnormal ABI was defined as ABI ≤0.9 or &gt;1.4 at follow-up exam. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to test the associations between baseline CACs and TACs with incident abnormal ABI and clinical PAD, respectively. A total of 6409 participants (female: 52.8%) with a mean age of 61 years were analysed. Over a median follow-up of 16.7 years, 91 participants developed clinical PAD. In multivariable analysis, each unit increase in log (CACS + 1) and log (TACs + 1) were associated with 23% and 13% (P &lt; 0.01for both) higher risk of incident clinical PAD, respectively. In 5725 (female: 52.6%) participants with an available follow-up ABI over median 9.2 years, each 1-unit increase in log (CACs + 1) and log (TACs + 1) were independently associated with 1.15-fold and 1.07-fold (P &lt; 0.01for both) higher odds of incident abnormal ABI, respectively.

Conclusion

Higher baseline CACs and TACs predict abnormal ABI and clinical PAD independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and baseline ABI.

Long-term Predictions of Incident Coronary Artery Calcium to 85 Years of Age for Asymptomatic Individuals With and Without Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To examine the utility of repeated computed tomography (CT) coronary artery calcium (CAC) testing, we assessed risks of detectable CAC and its cardiovascular consequences in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes ages 45-85 years.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 5,836 individuals (618 with type 2 diabetes, 2,972 without baseline CAC) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. With logistic and Cox regression we evaluated the impact of type 2 diabetes, diabetes treatment duration, and other predictors on prevalent and incident CAC. We used time-dependent Cox modeling of follow-up data (median 15.9 years) for two repeat CT exams and cardiovascular events to assess the association of CAC at follow-up CT with cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

For 45 year olds with type 2 diabetes, the likelihood of CAC at baseline was 23% vs. 17% for those without. Median age at incident CAC was 52.2 vs. 62.3 years for those with and without diabetes, respectively. Each 5 years of diabetes treatment increased the odds and hazard rate of CAC by 19% (95% CI 8-33) and 22% (95% CI 6-41). Male sex, White ethnicity/race, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, obesity, and low serum creatinine also increased CAC. CAC at follow-up CT independently increased coronary heart disease rates.

CONCLUSIONS

We estimated cumulative CAC incidence to age 85 years. Patients with type 2 diabetes develop CAC at a younger age than those without diabetes. Because incident CAC is associated with increased coronary heart disease risk, the value of periodic CAC-based risk assessment in type 2 diabetes should be evaluated.

Effect of Progression of Valvular Calcification on Left Ventricular Structure and Frequency of Incident Heart Failure (from the Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis)

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity. Strategies for preventing HF are paramount. Prevalent extracoronary calcification is associated with HF risk but less is known about progression of mitral annular (MAC) and aortic valve calcification (AVC) and HF risk. Progression of valvular calcification (VC) [interval change of >0 units/yr] was assessed by 2 cardiac computed tomography scans over a median of 2.4 years. We used Cox regression to determine the risk of adjudicated HF and linear mixed effects models to determine 10-year change in left ventricular (LV) parameters measured by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging associated with VC progression. We studied 5,591 MESA participants free of baseline cardiovascular disease. Mean ± SD age was 62 ± 10 years; 53% women; 83% had no VC progression, 15% progressed at 1 site (AVC or MAC) and 3% at both sites. There were 251 incident HF over 15 years. After adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of HF associated with VC progression at 1 and 2 sites were 1.62 (1.21 to 2.17) and 1.88 (1.14 to 3.09), respectively, compared with no progression (p-for-trend <0.001). Hazard ratios were higher for HFpEF (2.52 [1.63 to 3.90] and 2.49 [1.19 to 5.25]) but nonsignificant for HFrEF. Both AVC (1.61 [1.19 to 2.19]) and MAC (1.50 [1.09 to 2.07]) progression were associated with HF. VC was associated with worsening of some LV parameters over 10 years. In conclusion, VC progression was associated with increased risk of HF and change in LV function. Interventions targeted at reducing VC progression may also impact HF risk, particularly HFpEF.

Imaging predictors of incident heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Preventing the evolution of subclinical cardiac disease into overt heart failure is of paramount importance. Imaging techniques, particularly transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), are well suited to identify abnormalities in cardiac structure and function that precede the development of heart failure.

METHODS

This meta-analysis provides a comprehensive evaluation of 32 studies from 11 individual cohorts, which assessed cardiac indices from TTE (63%), cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR; 34%) or cardiac computed tomography (CCT; 16%). Eligible studies focused on measures of left ventricular geometry and function and were highly heterogeneous.

RESULTS

Among the variables that could be assessed through a meta-analytic approach, left ventricular systolic dysfunction, defined as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) lower than 50%, and left ventricular dilation were associated with a five-fold [hazard ratio (HR) 4.76, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.85-12.26] and three-fold (HR 3.14, 95% CI 1.37 -7.19) increased risk of heart failure development, respectively. Any degree of diastolic dysfunction conveyed an independent, albeit weaker, association with heart failure (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.11-1.96), although there was only a trend for left ventricular hypertrophy in predicting incident heart failure (hazard ratio 2.85, 95% CI 0.82-9.85).

CONCLUSION

LVEF less than 50%, left ventricular dilation and diastolic dysfunction are independent predictors of incident heart failure among asymptomatic individuals, while left ventricular hypertrophy seems less predictive. These findings may serve as a framework for implementing imaging-based screening strategies in patients at risk of heart failure and inform future studies testing preventive or therapeutic approaches aiming at thwarting or halting the progression from asymptomatic (preclinical) to overt heart failure.

Growth differentiation factor 15 in adverse cardiac remodelling: from biomarker to causal player

Heart failure is a growing health issue as a negative consequence of improved survival upon myocardial infarction, unhealthy lifestyle, and the ageing of our population. The large and complex pathology underlying heart failure makes diagnosis and especially treatment very difficult. There is an urgent demand for discriminative biomarkers to aid disease management of heart failure. Studying cellular pathways and pathophysiological mechanisms contributing to disease initiation and progression is crucial for understanding the disease process and will aid to identification of novel biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) is a proven valuable biomarker for different pathologies, including cancer, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases. Although the prognostic value of GDF15 in heart failure is robust, the biological function of GDF15 in adverse cardiac remodelling is not fully understood. GDF15 is a distant member of the transforming growth factor-β family and involved in various biological processes including inflammation, cell cycle, and apoptosis. However, more research is suggesting a role in fibrosis, hypertrophy, and endothelial dysfunction. As GDF15 is a pleiotropic protein, elucidating the exact role of GDF15 in complex disease processes has proven to be a challenge. In this review, we provide an overview of the role GDF15 plays in various intracellular and extracellular processes underlying heart failure, and we touch upon crucial points that need consideration before GDF15 can be integrated as a biomarker in standard care or when considering GDF15 for therapeutic intervention.

Independence of coronary artery disease to subclinical left ventricular dysfunction

OBJECTIVE

Epicardial atherosclerosis and heart failure while distinct clinical entities share common pathophysiological features including endothelial dysfunction and inflammation. Presence of subclinical disease could lead to early diagnosis and intervention in the other. The aim of our study was to assess the association between coronary calcium score (CCS), conventional cardiovascular risk factors, and echocardiographic markers of subclinical left ventricular dysfunction (S-LVD).

METHODS

One hundred and fifty-nine participants aged 40-70 years with intermediate risk of coronary artery disease (5-year risk of 2%-15%) were identified. Computed tomography (CT) CCS and 2-D transthoracic echocardiography were performed. Main outcomes included presence of subclinical left ventricular dysfunction defined by reduced average global longitudinal strain, left atrial volume enlargement, and elevated E/e'.

RESULTS

Fifteen participants had evidence of subclinical LV dysfunction (8 with systolic dysfunction and 7 with diastolic dysfunction) and 85 participants had CCS > 0. CCS > 0 was present in 10 participants with S-LVD compared to 75 participants without S-LVD (67% vs 53%, P = .47). There was no significant difference between in mean GLS (19.2 vs 19.5, P = .14), E/e' (7.2 vs 7.5 P = .33) in those without or with coronary artery calcium. Elevated CCS was also not associated with a higher tertiles of indexed LV mass (OR 1.15, P = .49) or index left atrial volume (OR 1.15, P = .49).

CONCLUSIONS

In an asymptomatic, low-intermediate-risk group, mechanistic processes that lead to atherosclerosis are not directly associated with subclinical LV dysfunction.

Association of soluble interleukin-2 receptor α and tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 with heart failure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Aims

Soluble tumour necrosis factor‐α receptor 1 (sTNF‐αR1) and interleukin‐2 receptor α (sIL‐2Rα) predict incident heart failure (HF) in the elderly population. However, the association of these biomarkers with HF in a multi‐ethnic asymptomatic population is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association of sTNF‐αR1 and sIL‐2Rα with incident HF in a multi‐ethnic population of middle age and older participants.

Methods and results

The multi‐ethnic study of atherosclerosis is a prospective population‐based study of 6814 participants aged 45–84 years who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease at enrolment. We included 2869 participants with available sTNF‐αR1 or sIL‐2Rα level measurement at baseline multi‐ethnic study of atherosclerosis exam (2000–2002). We used Cox proportional‐hazards model to investigate the association between sTNF‐αR1 and sIL‐2Rα with incident HF after adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcium score measured by cardiac computed tomography. Among the included participants, the mean (standard deviation) age was 61.6 (10.2) years and 46.7% were men. The median (interquartile range) sTNF‐αR1 and sIL‐2Rα were 1293 (1107–1547) and 901 (727–1154) pg/mL. During a median follow‐up of 14.2 (interquartile range: 11.7–14.8) years, 130 participants developed HF. In multivariable analysis, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval, P value) of incident HF for each standard deviation increment of log‐transformed sTNF‐αR1 and sIL‐2Rα was 1.43 (1.21–1.7, P ≤ 0.001) and 1.26 (1.04–1.53, P = 0.02), respectively. Excluding participants with interim coronary heart disease, we found a statistically significant association between sTNF‐αR1 and HF with hazard ratio of 1.39 (95% confidence interval: 1.11 to 1.74, P = 0.005) and sIL‐2Rα and HF showing a hazard ratio of 1.39 (95% confidence interval: 1.09 to 1.76, P = 0.007).

Conclusions

sTNF‐αR1 and sIL‐2Rα are associated with a higher risk of incident HF in a multi‐ethnic cohort without a previous history of cardiovascular disease.

Role of Coronary Calcium Score to Identify Candidates for ASCVD Prevention

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In this review, we describe the mechanism behind coronary artery calcification formation and detection, as well as its implication in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk stratification, intervention, and prognosis in asymptomatic individuals.

RECENT FINDINGS

Multiple cohort and population studies have shown that coronary artery calcium scoring is effective and reproducible in predicting the risk for cardiovascular disease. The updated 2018 ACC/AHA guideline has incorporated consideration of coronary artery calcification testing into cardiovascular disease risk stratification and therapy guidance. Coronary artery calcification's evidence-based role in detection, risk stratification, and ultimately its unique influence on therapeutic intervention and prognosis of cardiovascular disease in asymptomatic population is increasingly being recognized..

Coronary Artery Calcium Is Associated with Left Ventricular Diastolic Function Independent of Myocardial Ischemia

It has been shown in several studies that coronary artery calcium (CAC) burden or CAC progression is associated with heart failure. We tested the hypothesis that the extent of CAC is associated with left ventricular (LV) diastolic parameters derived from gated myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) in patients with no evidence of myocardial ischemia.157 patients undergoing coronary computed tomography (CT), gated SPECT, and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) were enrolled in this study. The CAC score was calculated according to the Agatston method. The peak filling rate (PFR) and the one-third mean filling rate (1/3MFR) were obtained as LV diastolic parameters.There were 139 patients with CAC and 18 patients without. The CAC score ranged from 0 to 4,976. There were no significant differences in the LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) (61 ± 21 mL versus 62 ± 22 mL, P = 0.79) and LV ejection fraction (LVEF) (66 ± 9% versus 68 ± 9%, P = 0.43). Patients with CAC had lower PFR than those without (2.2 ± 0.5 EDV/s versus 2.6 ± 0.7 EDV/s, P = 0.03). Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that ln (CAC score + 1) was significantly associated with PFR (β = -0.20, P = 0.01) and 1/3MFR (β = -0.18, P = 0.049).Our data suggest that the extent of CAC is inversely associated with LV diastolic parameters derived from gated SPECT independent of myocardial ischemia.

A Review of the Role of Breast Arterial Calcification for Cardiovascular Risk Stratification in Women

Cardiovascular disease continues to be the leading cause of death among women in the United States. One of the barriers to improving cardiovascular disease outcomes in women is the lack of reliable, effective screening modalities. Breast arterial calcification has emerged as a potential risk stratification tool. Localized deposition in the media of the artery, known as Mönckeberg medial calcific sclerosis, is notably different from the intimal atherosclerotic process commonly associated with coronary artery disease. Nonetheless, studies favor a correlation between breast arterial calcification and cardiovascular risk factors or coronary artery disease, defined as coronary artery calcification on computed tomography scan or both nonobstructive and obstructive lesions on angiography. Since a majority of women over the age of 40 undergo yearly breast cancer screening with mammography, measurement of breast arterial calcification may offer a personalized, noninvasive approach to risk-stratify women for cardiovascular disease at no additional cost or radiation. Mammography has the potential to alter the course of the leading cause of death in women, heart disease, through the evaluation of breast arterial calcification and identification of opportunities for prevention. Current evidence supports the universal reporting of breast arterial calcifications and personalized patient-provider discussions to more aggressively treat cardiac risk factors through targeted medical therapies or healthy lifestyle changes.

Influence of heart rate on coronary calcium scores: a multi-manufacturer phantom study

To evaluate the influence of heart rate on coronary calcium scores (CCS) using a dynamic phantom on four high-end computed tomography (CT) systems from different manufacturers. Artificial coronary arteries were moved in an anthropomorphic chest phantom at linear velocities, corresponding to < 60, 60-75 and > 75 beats per minute (bpm). Data was acquired with routinely used clinical protocols for CCS on four high-end CT systems (CT1-CT4). CCS, quantified as Agatston and mass scores were compared to reference scores at < 60 bpm. Influence of heart rate was assessed for each system with the cardiac motion susceptibility (CMS) Index. At increased heart rates (> 75 bpm), Agatston scores of the low mass calcification were similar to the reference score, while Agatston scores of the medium and high mass calcification increased significantly up to 50% for all CT systems. Threefold CMS increases at > 75 bpm in comparison with < 60 bpm were shown. For medium and high mass calcifications, significant differences in CMS between CT systems were found. Heart rate substantially influences CCS for high-end CT systems of four major manufacturers, but CT systems differ in motion susceptibility. Follow-up CCS CT scans should be acquired on the same CT system and protocol, and preferably with comparable heart rates.