Sociodemographic and Clinical Risk Factors Associated With Tuberculosis Mortality in the United States, 2009-2013

Prevalence of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis in HIV-Positive and Diabetic Patients in Sinaloa, Mexico: A Retrospective Cross-Sectional Study

Tuberculosis (TB) is a disease caused by the bacillus Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB). Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are among the main risk factors for the development of TB and increase the risk of drug-resistant TB developing (DR-TB). The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of DR-TB in patients with HIV or T2DM in Sinaloa, Mexico. This was an observational and cross-sectional study. The analysis was conducted using the clinical data of patients registered on the National Epidemiological Surveillance System for TB (SINAVE/PUI-TB) platform with a presumed diagnosis of TB during 2019 to 2021 in Sinaloa, Mexico. The prevalence of DR-TB was estimated in HIV and T2DM patients, as well as the odds ratios for their sociodemographic variables, using the Chi-square test. There were 2, 4, and 4 TB-HIV cases and 2, 6, and 9 TB-T2DM cases during 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively, whereas there were 2 and 1 DRTB-HIV and DRTB-T2DM cases, respectively. The results indicated that the WHO guidelines for DR-TB were not properly applied to this high-risk population. Hence, the appropriate application of guidelines for TB and DR-TB detection in these patients needs to be immediately implemented by the State health system.

Immunomodulatory properties of morphine and the hypothesised role of long-term opioid use in the immunopathogenesis of tuberculosis

Epidemiological studies have shown high tuberculosis (TB) prevalence among chronic opioid users. Opioid receptors are found on multiple immune cells and immunomodulatory properties of opioids could be a contributory factor for ensuing immunosuppression and development or reactivation of TB. Toll-like receptors (TLR) mediate an immune response against microbial pathogens, including Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Mycobacterial antigens and opioids co-stimulate TLRs 2/4/9 in immune cells, with resulting receptor cross-talk via multiple cytosolic secondary messengers, leading to significant immunomodulatory downstream effects. Blockade of specific immune pathways involved in the host defence against TB by morphine may play a critical role in causing tuberculosis among chronic morphine users despite multiple confounding factors such as socioeconomic deprivation, Human immunodeficiency virus co-infection and malnutrition. In this review, we map out immune pathways involved when immune cells are co-stimulated with mycobacterial antigens and morphine to explore a potential immunopathological basis for TB amongst long-term opioid users.

Factors Associated with Tuberculosis Mortality in Manjung District, Perak, Malaysia

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) is a communicable disease which contributes to a major cause of ill health. Worldwide, it is one of the leading causes of death from a single infectious agent.

Objectives

The study aimed to describe the epidemiology and factors associated with TB mortality in Manjung district, Perak, Malaysia.

Methods

All confirmed TB cases from 2015 to 2020 registered in Manjung district under Sistem Maklumat Tibi (MyTB) were included. Factors associated with TB mortality were analysed by using simple and multiple logistic regression analysis.

Results

A total of 742 TB cases were included in the analysis, from which 121 cases (16.3%) died before completing their treatment. The highest death was reported in 2020 (25.7%) and the lowest in 2019 (12.9%). From multiple logistic regression analysis, age 45 years old-64 years old (adjusted OR = 3.62; 95% CI: 1.38, 9.54), > 65 years old (adjusted OR = 8.67; 95% CI: 3.17, 23.74), non-Malaysian (adjusted OR = 5.18; 95% CI: 2.04, 13.14), cases notified by government hospitals (adjusted OR = 6.78; 95% CI: 3.04, 15.09), HIV-positive status (adjusted OR = 8.60; 95% CI: 3.58, 20.67) and HIV testing not offered/unknown (adjusted OR = 2.58; 95% CI: 1.18, 5.62) were significantly associated with TB mortality.

Conclusion

This study found that TB patients who were 45 years old and above, positive HIV, late diagnosis and are foreigners had a higher risk for TB mortality. Early diagnosis, optimised screening and close monitoring should be practised to reduce TB mortality.

Development and validation of a prediction model for unsuccessful treatment outcomes in patients with multi-drug resistance tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization has reported that the treatment success rate of multi-drug resistance tuberculosis is approximately 57% globally. Although new drugs such as bedaquiline and linezolid is likely improve the treatment outcome, there are other factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcome. The factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes have been widely examined, but only a few studies have developed prediction models. We aimed to develop and validate a simple clinical prediction model for unsuccessful treatment outcomes in patients with multi-drug resistance pulmonary tuberculosis (MDR-PTB).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was performed between January 2017 and December 2019 at a special hospital in Xi'an, China. A total of 446 patients with MDR-PTB were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate logistic regression were used to select prognostic factors for unsuccessful treatment outcomes. A nomogram was built based on four prognostic factors. Internal validation and leave-one-out cross-validation was used to assess the model.

RESULTS

Of the 446 patients with MDR-PTB, 32.9% (147/446) cases had unsuccessful treatment outcomes, and 67.1% had successful outcomes. After LASSO regression and multivariate logistic analyses, no health education, advanced age, being male, and larger extent lung involvement were identified as prognostic factors. These four prognostic factors were used to build the prediction nomograms. The area under the curve of the model was 0.757 (95%CI 0.711 to 0.804), and the concordance index (C-index) was 0.75. For the bootstrap sampling validation, the corrected C-index was 0.747. In the leave-one-out cross-validation, the C-index was 0.765. The slope of the calibration curve was 0.968, which was approximately 1.0. This indicated that the model was accurate in predicting unsuccessful treatment outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We built a predictive model and established a nomogram for unsuccessful treatment outcomes of multi-drug resistance pulmonary tuberculosis based on baseline characteristics. This predictive model showed good performance and could be used as a tool by clinicians to predict who among their patients will have an unsuccessful treatment outcome.

A Scoring System Based on Laboratory Parameters and Clinical Features to Predict Unfavorable Treatment Outcomes in Multidrug- and Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis Patients

Background

The growth of antibiotic resistance to Mycobacterium TB represents a major barrier to the goal of "Ending the global TB epidemics". This study aimed to develop and validate a simple clinical scoring system to predict the unfavorable treatment outcomes (UTO) in multidrug- and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) patients.

Methods

A total of 333 MDR/RR-TB patients were recruited retrospectively. The clinical, radiological and laboratory features were gathered and selected by lasso regression. These variables with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)>0.6 were subsequently submitted to multivariate logistic analysis. The binomial logistic model was used for establishing a scoring system based on the nomogram at the training set (N = 241). Then, another independent set was used to validate the scoring system (N = 92).

Results

The new scoring system consists of age (8 points), education level (10 points), bronchiectasis (4 points), red blood cell distribution width-coefficient of variation (RDW-CV) (7 points), international normalized ratio (INR) (7 points), albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) (5 points), and C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio (CPR) (6 points). The scoring system identifying UTO has a discriminatory power of 0.887 (95% CI=0.835-0.939) in the training set, and 0.805 (95% CI=0.714-0.896) in the validation set. In addition, the scoring system is used exclusively to predict the death of MDR/RR-TB and has shown excellent performance in both training and validation sets, with AUC of 0.930 (95% CI=0.872-0.989) and 0.872 (95% CI=0.778-0.967), respectively.

Conclusion

This novel scoring system based on seven accessible predictors has exhibited good predictive performance in predicting UTO, especially in predicting death risk.

A Nomogram Model for Mortality Risk Prediction in Pulmonary Tuberculosis Patients Subjected to Directly Observed Treatment Shortcourse (DOTS)

We analyzed the risk factors of mortality for patients with pulmonary tuberculosis under the Directly Observed Treatment Shortcourse (DOTS) and established a predictive nomogram for the risk of mortality. The retrospective cohort analysis was conducted on the treatment outcomes of 11207 tuberculosis patients in the tuberculosis management information system in Tianjin from 2014 to 2019. Based on the multivariable unconditional logistic regression, we analyzed the risk factors of mortality in patients with pulmonary TB and established the death risk prediction nomogram. We further applied cross-validation and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to explore the efficiency of the nomogram. There were 10,697 patients in the survival group and 510 in the mortality group who had successfully initiated DOTS, and the mortality rate was 4.55%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age, male, relapse cases, first sputum positivity, patient delay, and HIV-positive were independent risk factors for pulmonary TB death. The calibration curve shows that the average absolute error between the predicted mortality risk and the actual death risk is 0.003. The ROC curve shows that the area under the curve where the line-up model predicts the risk of death is 0.816 (95% CI: 0.799∼0.832). The nomogram model based on independent risk factors of mortality in TB patients shows good discrimination and accuracy, with potentially high clinical value in screening patients with a high risk of death, which could be useful for setting the interventional strategies in patients with tuberculosis who had successfully initiated DOTS.

Tuberculosis in Indigenous Persons - United States, 2009-2019

BACKGROUND

Populations of indigenous persons are frequently associated with pronounced disparities in rates of tuberculosis (TB) disease compared to co-occurring nonindigenous populations.

METHODS

Using data from the National Tuberculosis Surveillance System on TB cases in U.S.-born patients reported in the United States during 2009-2019, we calculated incidence rate ratios and risk ratios for TB risk factors to compare cases in American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) and Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander (NHPI) TB patients to cases in White TB patients.

RESULTS

Annual TB incidence rates among AIAN and NHPI TB patients were on average ≥10 times higher than among White TB patients. Compared to White TB patients, AIAN and NHPI TB patients were 1.91 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.35-2.71) and 3.39 (CI: 1.44-5.74) times more likely to have renal disease or failure, 1.33 (CI: 1.16-1.53) and 1.63 (CI: 1.20-2.20) times more likely to have diabetes mellitus, and 0.66 (CI: 0.44-0.99) and 0.19 (CI: 0-0.59) times less likely to be HIV positive, respectively. AIAN TB patients were 1.84 (CI: 1.69-2.00) and 1.48 (CI: 1.27-1.71) times more likely to report using excess alcohol and experiencing homelessness, respectively.

CONCLUSION

TB among U.S. indigenous persons is associated with persistent and concerning health disparities.

Association between sputum conversion and in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis: a retrospective study

Background

Non-conversion of sputum culture or smear within 2 months after the start of treatment is a known poor prognostic factor of pulmonary tuberculosis. In elderly patients, sputum conversion may be delayed because of the age-related decline in immune competence. This study aimed to assess how a long interval to sputum conversion predicts in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis.

Methods

Consecutive elderly patients (age > 65 years) who were admitted to our institution for bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis were included. The association between sputum conversion within 30, 60, 90, or 120 days from the start of treatment and in-hospital mortality were analyzed by Cox proportional-hazards regression after adjustment for other potential variables.

Results

This study included 262 patients, and 74 patients (28%) died during hospitalization. Multivariate analyses showed that sputum non-conversion within 90 days (adjusted hazard ratio 0.424, 95% CI 0.252–0.712, p = 0.001) or 120 days (0.333, 0.195–0.570, p < 0.001) was independently associated with in-hospital mortality, whereas that within 60 days was not (p = 0.890).

Conclusions

In elderly patients with tuberculosis, 2 months may be insufficient when evaluating sputum conversion as a prognostic factor. Sputum non-conversion within 90 days or longer may predict in-hospital mortality more accurately.

Characteristics of tuberculosis-related deaths and risk factors: a retrospective cohort study in Samsun province of Turkey

OBJECTIVES

Tuberculosis (TB) remains one of the top ten leading causes of death worldwide despite effective therapy. The present study aims to examine the characteristics of TB-related deaths in Samsun Province and to determine the risk factors.

METHODS

In this retrospective registry-based cohort study, the medical records of patients registered with Samsun Tuberculosis Control Dispensary between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019, were retrospectively reviewed. The Cox proportional-hazards model was used to determine the factors associated with the risk of death in patients with TB.

RESULTS

The treatment outcomes of a total of 382 patients were reviewed. It was found that the treatment was successful in 346 patients (90.6%), and 31 patients (8.1%) died before or during TB therapy. The median survival time of patients who died during the therapy was 1.86 months (95% CI= 0.07 - 5.17 months), and more than 50% (13/25) of the deaths occurred in the first two months of the treatment. Age above 70 years (HR 15.06 (3.33-67.95)), male gender (HR 2.74 (1.02-7.33)), pulmonary TB (HR 2.92 (1.002-8.52)), multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis (HR 1.69 (1.22-12.75)), and a delay in the treatment of more than ten days (HR 2.71 (1.22-6.04)) were identified as risk factors associated with mortality in TB patients (p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

The majority of deaths in our cohort occurred within the first two months after starting the treatment. Advanced age, male sex, a new diagnosis of TB, pulmonary TB, MDR-TB, and a treatment delay of more than ten days after diagnosis increased the risk for mortality during antituberculosis treatment.

Factors associated with poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients in Kyangwali Refugee Settlement, Uganda, 2016-2017

Communicable diseases, alone or in combination with malnutrition, account for most deaths in complex emergencies including refugee settings. Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS are increasingly becoming an important cause of morbidity and mortality in refugee settings. We described the treatment outcomes of TB patients and explored factors associated with treatment outcomes among TB patients attending two facilities in Kyangwali Refugee Settlement in Kikuube District, 2016-2017. We abstracted data on laboratory-confirmed patient data from TB registers from 2016 to 2017, in Kikuube Health Centre IV and Rwenyawawa Health Centre II, both located in Kyangwali Refugee Settlement. We abstracted data on socio-demographic variables including age and sex. Other variables were height, weight, final treatment outcomes, demographics, HIV status, TB treatment category, and history of TB. Treatment outcomes were categorized into favorable (including patients who were cured or those who completed treatment) and unfavorable (those in whom treatment failed, those who died, those lost to follow-up, or those not evaluated). We used logistic regression to identify factors associated with unfavorable treatment outcomes. We identified a total of 254 TB patients with a median age of 36 (IQR 26-48) years; 69% (175) were male and 54% (137) were refugees. The median weight was 50.4 kg (range 4-198). Overall, 139 (55%) had favorable outcomes while 115 (45%) had unfavorable outcomes. Refugees formed 53% (71) of those with favorable outcomes and 47% (63) of those with unfavorable outcomes 63(47%). We found that increasing age was statistically associated with unfavorable outcomes, while diagnosis with MDR-TB was associated with decreased odds for unfavorable treatment outcomes. The treatment success rate was lower compared to 85% recommended by WHO. However, the rates are similar to that reported by other studies in Uganda. Innovative approaches to improve treatment success rates with particular focus on persons aged 41-80 years should be devised.

Association of Tumor Necrosis Factor α Inhibitor Use with Diagnostic Features and Mortality of Tuberculosis in the United States, 2010–2017

Background

An elevated risk of tuberculosis (TB) disease in persons who have received tumor necrosis factor alpha inhibitor medications (TNF-α inhibitors) has been reported for nearly two decades, but clinical diagnostic features and outcomes of TB in this population remain poorly described.

Methods

We analyzed national surveillance data for TB cases among persons aged 15 years and older reported in the United States during 2010–2017 and associated mortality data reported through 2019 to describe the clinical characteristics of those receiving TNF-α inhibitors.

Results

Of 70 129 TB cases analyzed, 504 (0.7%) of the patients had TNF-α inhibitor use reported at TB diagnosis. Patients with TNF-α inhibitor use at TB diagnosis were more likely than TB patients not receiving TNF-α inhibitors to have TB diagnosed in extrapulmonary sites in conjunction with pulmonary sites (28.8% vs 10.0%, P &lt; .001). Patients receiving TNF-α inhibitors were less likely to have acid-fast bacilli noted on sputum smear microscopy (25.6% vs 39.1%, P = .04), and more likely to have drug-resistant disease (13.5% vs 10.0%, P &lt; .001). TB-attributed deaths did not significantly differ between patients receiving and not receiving TNF-α inhibitors (adjusted odds ratio, 1.46 [95% confidence interval, .95–2.26]).

Conclusions

Clinicians evaluating TNF-α inhibitor–treated patients should have a high index of suspicion for TB and be aware that extrapulmonary or sputum smear–negative TB disease is more common in these patients. No significantly diminished survival of TB patients treated with TNF-α inhibitor therapy before TB diagnosis was noted.

The Relationship Between Socio-Demographic Factors and Tuberculosis Mortality in the Republic of Korea During 2008-2017

The Republic of Korea has a high incidence of tuberculosis (TB) and TB-specific mortality rate. In 2019, it had the second highest TB-specific mortality among Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. Understanding the factors associated with TB-specific deaths may help eradicate the disease. Therefore, we aimed to identify the general characteristics associated with TB-specific mortality among Koreans. Using Causes of Death Statistics data from Statistics Korea, we assessed the year of death, sex, age, occupation, area of residence, marital status, and education level reported between 2008 and 2017. Patient characteristics associated with TB-specific deaths were analyzed using the Chi-squared test, while influencing factors of TB-specific mortality were analyzed using logistic regression analysis to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AOR). Female (AOR: 0.509, 95% CI: 0.493–0.526), those with a graduate degree or higher (AOR: 0.559, 95% CI: 0.474–0.660) had lower TB-specific mortality rates than those of their counterparts. Conversely, those aged ≥70 years (AOR: 1.239, 95% CI: 1.199–1.280), single (AOR: 1.355, 95% CI: 1.315–1.396), and skilled agricultural, forestry, and fishery workers (AOR: 1.441, 95% CI: 1.359–1.529) had higher TB-specific mortality rates than those of their counterparts. In conclusion, TB-specific mortality rates differed according to the characteristics of the deceased patients. In order to establish effective TB control, multisectoral action on broader determinants should be strengthened.

Factors associated with mortality among patients with culture-positive pulmonary tuberculosis in the urban poor population of Osaka City, Japan

Objective

To determine the characteristics associated with mortality in patients with culture-positive pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in Airin, Osaka City, Japan.

Methods

The characteristics of patients with culture-positive PTB registered between 2015 and 2018 in Airin, Osaka City, Japan, were compared between those who died of all causes before or during treatment and those who completed treatment.

Results

Of the 241 culture-positive PTB patients eligible for this study, 170 completed treatment, with negative sputum culture tests, and 62 died. The all-cause case fatality rate was 26.7% (62/232). Multivariate analysis showed that mortality was associated with age ³70 years, having a positive sputum smear, a body mass index of < 18.5 and serious comorbidities such as cancer and heart and renal disease. Detection of tuberculosis (TB) by screening or in an outpatient department (OPD) for other diseases was inversely associated with mortality.

Discussion

Detection of PTB by chest X-ray screening and during regular visits to OPDs for other diseases was associated with non-fatal TB and might contribute to early case finding. Therefore, current active TB case finding and health education on regular visits to physicians for other diseases should be strengthened further for the urban poor population of Osaka City, Japan.

Diagnostic implications and inpatient mortality related to tuberculosis at Jimma Medical Center, southwest Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the major public health problems in Ethiopia. Determining discharge outcome of TB cases helps to understand the effectiveness of TB diagnosis effort to improve case management. The objective of this study was to assess discharge outcomes and factors associated with death among patients on TB treatment admitted in a referral hospital in southwest Ethiopia.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted in Jimma Medical Center by reviewing medical records of TB patients (age ≥15 years) admitted to medical wards from January 2015 to December 2017. Demographic and related data was collected using data collection format. The clinical evaluation outcome of an individual patient at discharge was recorded. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize participant characteristics. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the risk factors for TB mortality.

RESULTS

Among 465 patients included in the review, 225 (48.4%) were pulmonary (PTB) and 240 (51.6%) extra-pulmonary TB (EPTB) cases. Overall, 190 (40.9%) had bacteriologically confirmed for TB. HIV status was documented for 340 (73.1%) of them; 93 (27.4%) were found to be positive. The prevalence of HIV infection among EPTB and PTB cases was 50/275 (18.2%) and 43/190 (22.8%), respectively. A quarter of the patient, 114 (24.5%), died in the hospital while the rest were discharged with clinical improvement. Compared to smear positive PTB, the risk of death was two times higher in patients with smear negative PTB cases (aOR 2.3, 95% CI: 1.3-4.2). TB patients with coronary obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (aOR 4.6, 95% CI: 1.3-16.7), diabetes mellitus (aOR 5.7, 95% CI: 1.5-23.7), heart disease (aOR 3.8, 95% CI: 1.4-10.4) had about four-fold increased risk of death. HIV-positive patients had a higher risk of mortality (aOR 2.9, 95% CI: 1.7-5.0) than HIV-negative patients. The risk of death was not affected by the type of TB diagnosed, as 27.6% of EPTB and 31.9% PTB were died (p = 0.457).

CONCLUSION

TB was associated with high inpatient mortality at Jimma Medical Center. Mortality was found to be higher among unconfirmed cases, those with COPD, diabetes mellitus, heart disease and HIV infection. Thus, any effort to curtail mortality in such high TB burden setting should focus on improving TB diagnosis and addressing major comorbid medical conditions.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in the United States, 2011-2016: patient characteristics and risk factors

OBJECTIVE: To determine risk factors for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) and describe MDR-TB according to three characteristics: previous TB disease, recent transmission of MDR-TB, and reactivation of latent MDR-TB infection.SETTING and DESIGN: We used 2011-2016 surveillance data from the US National Tuberculosis Surveillance System and National Tuberculosis Genotyping Service and used logistic regression models to estimate risk factors associated with MDR-TB.RESULTS: A total of 615/45 209 (1.4%) cases were confirmed as MDR-TB; 111/615 (18%) reported previous TB disease; 41/615 (6.7%) were attributed to recent MDR-TB transmission; and 449/615 (73%) to reactivation. Only 12/41 (29%) patients with TB attributed to recent transmission were known to be contacts of someone with MDR-TB. For non-US-born patients, the adjusted odds ratios of having MDR-TB were 32.6 (95%CI 14.6-72.6) among those who were known to be contacts of someone with MDR-TB and 6.5 (95%CI 5.1-8.3) among those who had had previous TB disease.CONCLUSION: The majority of MDR-TB cases in the United States were associated with previous TB disease or reactivation of latent MDR-TB infection; only a small proportion of MDR-TB cases were associated with recent transmission.

Tuberculosis Transmission or Mortality Among Persons Living with HIV, USA, 2011-2016

BACKGROUND

Persons living with HIV are more likely to have tuberculosis (TB) disease attributed to recent transmission (RT) and to die during TB treatment than persons without HIV. We examined factors associated with RT or mortality among TB/HIV patients.

METHODS

Using National TB Surveillance System data from 2011 to 2016, we calculated multivariable adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 99% confidence intervals (CI) to estimate associations between patient characteristics and RT or mortality. Mortality analyses were restricted to 2011-2014 to allow sufficient time for reporting outcomes.

RESULTS

TB disease was attributed to RT in 491 (20%) of 2415 TB/HIV patients. RT was more likely among those reporting homelessness (aOR, 2.6; CI, 2.0, 3.5) or substance use (aOR,1.6; CI, 1.2, 2.1) and among blacks (aOR,1.8; CI, 1.2, 2.8) and Hispanics (aOR, 1.8; CI, 1.1, 2.9); RT was less likely among non-US-born persons (aOR, 0.2; CI, 0.2, 0.3). The proportion who died during TB treatment was higher among persons with HIV than without (8.6% versus 5.2%; p < 0.0001). Among 2273 TB/HIV patients, 195 died during TB treatment. Age ≥ 65 years (aOR, 5.3; CI, 2.4, 11.6), 45-64 years (aOR, 2.2; CI, 1.4, 3.4), and having another medical risk factor for TB (aOR, 3.3; CI, 1.8, 6.2) were associated with death; directly observed treatment (DOT) for TB was protective (aOR, 0.5; CI, 0.2, 1.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Among TB/HIV patients, blacks, Hispanics, and those reporting homelessness or substance use should be prioritized for interventions that decrease TB transmission. Improved adherence to treatment through DOT was associated with decreased mortality, but additional interventions are needed to reduce mortality among older patients and those TB/HIV patients with another medical risk factor for TB.

Sociodemographic profiling of tuberculosis hotspots in Ethiopia, 2014-2017

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) notification rates vary across regions in Ethiopia and districts within the Amhara Region. The Amhara Region is one of the main TB hotspot regions in the country. In this study we identified the spatial distribution of TB and characterized the sociodemographic factors of spatial clusters in the Amhara Region.

METHODS

An ecological spatial analysis of TB notifications from 2014 to 2017 was conducted to quantify the presence and location of spatial clusters of TB notifications at the district level within the Amhara Region. Global Moran's I statistics and local indicators of spatial association were used to explore the spatial clustering of TB notifications. Notifications from hotspots and low-risk districts were compared to identify significant sociodemographic factors using analysis of variance and Classification and Regression Tree analysis. The geographic information system and 'sp' packages of R software were used for spatial analysis.

RESULTS

From 2014 to 2017 the average notification rate of all forms of TB in the Amhara Region was 107/100 000 population (range 18-614 per 100 000 population). District-level TB notification rates were positively spatially autocorrelated, with Moran's I value ranging from 0.207 to 0.276 (p=0.01). Hotspot TB clusters were found in the northwest and central part of the region. The proportion of migrants (F(3,124)=23.21, p<0.001, d=1.4) was found to be the most important factor associated with hotspot TB clustering.

CONCLUSIONS

TB notification rates in the Amhara Region of Ethiopia over the past 4 y were significantly clustered. Distinguishing high-risk areas from low-risk areas and characterizing the proportion of migrants and other risk factors is important for targeted TB prevention and control in the region.

Characteristics and predictors for tuberculosis related mortality in Denmark from 2009 through 2014: A retrospective cohort study

Objectives

Mortality from tuberculosis (TB) has been declining since 2000, nevertheless there is still a significant number of patients who die before or during TB treatment. The aims were to examine and describe predictors associated with TB related mortality.

Methods

Patients notified with TB from 2009 though 2014 in Denmark were included. Data were extracted from national registers and patient records were examined for clinical information and treatment outcome. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine TB related mortality.

Results

A total of 2131 cases were identified, 141 (6.6%) patients died before or during TB treatment. TB related mortality accounted for 104 cases (73.8%) and decreased significantly from 6.7% to 3.2% (p = .04) during the study period. Within 1 months of diagnosis, 49% of TB related deaths had occurred. The strongest risk factors present at time of diagnosis, associated with TB related mortality, were: age > 70 years, Charlson comorbidity index > 1, alcohol abuse, weight loss, anemia, and C-reactive protein > 100 mg/L (p < .05).

Conclusion

The majority of TB related deaths occurred soon after diagnosis, emphasizing that TB patients identified to have a high risk of mortality should be closely monitored before and during the intensive treatment period to improve their outcomes.

Determinants of unsuccessful treatment outcomes and mortality among tuberculosis patients in Malaysia: A registry-based cohort study

Introduction

The monitoring of tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes and examination of the factors affecting these outcomes are important for evaluation and feedback of the national TB control program. This study aims to assess the TB treatment outcomes among patients registered in the national TB surveillance database in Malaysia from 2014 until 2017 and identify factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes and all-cause mortality.

Materials and methods

Using registry-based secondary data, a retrospective cohort study was conducted. TB patients’ sociodemographic characteristics, clinical disease data and treatment outcomes at one-year surveillance were extracted from the database and analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes and all-cause mortality.

Results

A total of 97,505 TB cases (64.3% males) were included in this study. TB treatment success (cases categorized as cured and completed treatment) was observed in 80.7% of the patients. Among the 19.3% patients with unsuccessful treatment outcomes, 10.2% died, 5.3% were lost to follow-up, 3.6% had outcomes not evaluated while the remaining failed treatment. Unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes were found to be associated with older age, males, foreign nationality, urban dwellers, lower education levels, passive detection of TB cases, absence of bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) scar, underlying diabetes mellitus, smoking, extrapulmonary TB, history of previous TB treatment, advanced chest radiography findings and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. Factors found associated with all-cause mortality were similar except for nationality (higher among Malaysians) and place of residence (higher among rural dwellers), while smoking and history of previous TB treatment were not found to be associated with all-cause mortality.

Conclusions

This study identified various sociodemographic characteristics and TB disease-related variables which were associated with unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes and mortality; these can be used to guide measures for risk assessment and stratification of TB patients in future.

Social risk and its association with tuberculosis mortality in a context of high inequality in South Brazil: A geo-epidemiology analysis

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the top 10 causes of death worldwide; in 2016, over 95% of TB deaths occurred in low- and middle-income countries. Although the incidence and deaths from TB have decreased in Brazil in recent years, the disease has increased in the vulnerable population, whose diagnosis is more delayed and the chances for abandonment and deaths are significantly higher. This study aimed to identify high-risk areas for TB mortality and evidence their social determinants through a sensitive tailored social index, in a context of high inequality in South Brazil.

METHODS

A multistep statistical methodology was developed, based on spatial clustering, categorical principal components analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC). This study considered 138 spatial units in Curitiba, South Brazil. TB deaths (2008-2015) were obtained from the National Information Mortality System and social variables from the Brazilian Human Development Atlas (2013).

RESULTS

There were 128 TB deaths recorded in the study: the mortality rate was 0.9/100,000 inhabitants, minimum-maximum: 0-25.51/100,000, with a mean (standard deviation) of 1.07 (2.71), and 78 space units had no deaths. One risk cluster of TB mortality was found in the south region (RR=2.64, p=0.01). Considering the social variables, several clusters were identified in the social risk indicator (SRI): income (899.82/1752.94; 0.024), GINI Index (0.41/0.45; 0.010), and overcrowding (25.07/15.39; 0.032). The SRI showed a high capacity to discriminate the TB mortality areas (area under ROC curve 0.865, 95% CI: 0.796-0.934).

CONCLUSIONS

A powerful risk map (SRI) was developed, allowing tailored and personalised interventions. The south of Curitiba was identified as a high-risk area for TB mortality and the majority of social variables. This methodological approach can be generalised to other areas and/or other public health problems.

Rifampin-resistant Tuberculosis in the United States, 1998-2014

BACKGROUND

Monoresistance to rifamycins necessitates longer and more toxic regimens for tuberculosis (TB). We examined characteristics and mortality associated with rifampin-monoresistant (RMR) TB in the United States.

METHODS

We analyzed Mycobacterium tuberculosis culture-positive cases reported to the National TB Surveillance System (excluding California) between 1998 and 2014. We defined RMR TB found on initial drug susceptibility testing and possible acquired rifampin-resistant (ARR) TB. We assessed temporal trends in RMR TB. For both classifications of rifampin resistance, we calculated adjusted risk ratios (adjRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for characteristics associated with mortality when compared with drug-susceptible TB in multivariable models using backward selection.

RESULTS

Of 180 329 TB cases, 126 431 (70%) were eligible for analysis, with 359 (0.28%) of eligible cases reported as RMR. The percentage of RMR TB cases with HIV declined 4% annually between 1998 and 2014. Persons with HIV and prior TB were more likely to have RMR TB (adjRR, 25.9; 95% CI, 17.6-38.1), as were persons with HIV and no prior TB (adjRR, 3.1; 95% CI, 2.4-4.1) vs those without either characteristic, controlling for other statistically significant variables. RMR cases had greater mortality (adjRR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.04-1.8), controlling for HIV and other variables. Persons with HIV had greater risk of ARR than persons without HIV (adjRR, 9.6; 95% CI, 6.9-13.3), and ARR was also associated with increased mortality, controlling for HIV and other variables.

CONCLUSIONS

All forms of rifampin resistance were positively associated with HIV infection and increased mortality.

[Factors associated with tuberculosis mortality in Paraguay, 2015-2016Fatores associados à mortalidade por tuberculose no Paraguai, 2015-2016]

OBJECTIVE

To describe the socio-demographic and clinical-epidemiological characteristics and to determine the factors associated with the mortality of people diagnosed with tuberculosis (TB) in Paraguay.

METHODS

Operational research with a retrospective cohort design of cases diagnosed with TB in Paraguay between 2015-2016. The database of the National Tuberculosis Control Program was used. Chi-square and relative risk (RR) tests with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were used to determine the factors associated with mortality; in addition, a robust Poisson multiple regression model was adjusted. A significance level of 5% was used.

RESULTS

Five hundred and forty-one cases of TB were studied, of which 11.5% died. The factors increasing the risk of death were male sex (RR 1.26; 95% CI 1.1-1.50), infection with human immunodeficiency virus (RR 4.78; 95% CI 4.04-5.65) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (RR 1.70; 95% CI 1.19-2.42). Being deprived of one's liberty was a protective factor (RR 0.37; 95% CI 0.24-0.61).

CONCLUSIONS

The highest risk of death is presented by men and people with TB/HIV coinfection and the lowest risk is presented by people deprived of liberty. There is a need to improve diagnosis and follow-up of TB cases, with effective implementation of directly observed treatment (DOTS) and timely management of associated diseases such as HIV and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Epidemiology of Tuberculosis in the United States

Although considerable progress has been made in reducing US tuberculosis incidence, the goal of eliminating the disease from the United States remains elusive. A continued focus on preventing new tuberculosis infections while also identifying and treating persons with existing tuberculosis infection is needed. Continued vigilance to ensure ongoing control of tuberculosis transmission remains key.

Social Determinants Associated with Tuberculosis Mortality in a General Hospital in Mexico

Background:

Most TB deaths can be prevented with timely diagnosis and appropriate treatment. In fact, millions of people are diagnosed and treated successfully every year, avoiding millions of deaths. However, globally, there are still huge gaps in detection and treatment.

Objective:

To identify the social determinants associated with mortality due to TB in a general hospital in Mexico.

Methodology:

All patients admitted with a diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis to the Emergency Department of a hospital in Mexico were included during a 10-month period. At the end of the study, the condition of discharge of all cases was obtained from the electronic database of the State Tuberculosis Program.

Results:

One-hundred and twenty-four patients with tuberculosis were included in the sample. Thirty-eight patients (30.6%) died during their hospital stay and eleven (8.9%) died outside the hospital after their discharge, for a total of 49 (39.5%) deaths. Of the 29 patients with HIV/AIDS, 12 died (41.3%). Logistic regression analysis showed that older age, imprisonment, and previous tuberculosis were significant predictors of mortality.

Conclusion:

The mortality of tuberculosis patients diagnosed in HGT is very high, mainly because the diagnosis is established at the hospital level, which implies a late diagnosis.

Treatment Complexities Among Patients with Tuberculosis in a High HIV Prevalence Cohort in the United States

The association between human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and tuberculosis (TB) mortality has been studied extensively, but the impact of HIV on other clinically relevant aspects of TB care such as TB drug-related adverse events (AEs), hospital readmissions, and TB treatment duration is less well characterized. We describe the association of HIV infection with TB clinical complexities and outcomes in a high HIV prevalence cohort in the United States. This is a retrospective cohort study among patients treated for culture-confirmed TB between 2008 and 2015 at an inner-city hospital in Atlanta, GA. Univariate analysis was used to estimate association of HIV with TB treatment interruption due to AEs, hospital readmissions, and treatment duration. Final unfavorable TB treatment outcome was defined as death, loss to follow-up, or recurrent TB. Logistic regression modeling was used to estimate association of HIV with final unfavorable outcomes. Among 274 patients with TB, 96 (35%) had HIV coinfection. HIV-positive patients had more TB treatment interruptions due to AE (34% vs. 15%), were more likely to have a hospital readmission (50% vs. 21%), and received longer TB treatment (9.9 months vs. 8.8 months) compared to HIV-negative patients (p < .01 for all). HIV infection was not associated with final unfavorable outcomes in univariate [odds ratio (OR) = 1.86; confidence interval (95% CI) 0.99-3.49] or multivariate analysis (aOR = 1.13; 95% CI 0.52-2.39) (p ≥ .05 for both). While HIV infection was not associated with final unfavorable TB outcomes, TB/HIV coinfected patients had more complex treatment course underscoring the importance of maintaining resources and expertise to treat coinfected patients in our and similar settings.

Epidemiology, detection, and management of tuberculosis among end-stage renal disease patients

Tuberculosis (TB) remains an important problem among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. We reviewed the epidemiology of TB and ESRD, investigations of TB exposures in US dialysis facilities, and published guidelines to inform screening and treatment practices among US ESRD patients. Compared to TB in the general population, ESRD patients have 6-25-fold higher TB incidence rates, and mortality during treatment is 2-3-fold higher. Most TB cases among ESRD patients (~90%) occur among non-US-born persons, and an analysis of genotyping data suggests that 80% of all cases result from latent TB infection (LTBI) reactivation. Published TB contact investigations in dialysis facilities have reported cases among ESRD patients and healthcare workers. However, transmission of TB is rare: there were no reports of secondary cases of TB because of exposure to an index-case patient and there were few TB infections, which was demonstrated by low occurrence of newly positive tuberculin skin tests (12%-16%) and conversions (8%-17%) among contacts. Targeted TB education, screening, and treatment for ESRD patients at highest risk for TB exposure (eg, non-US-born persons), using interferon-gamma release assays and short course LTBI regimens (ie, isoniazid-rifapentine weekly for 12 weeks or rifampin daily for 4 months) may be an effective overall strategy for reducing TB burden in ESRD patients.

Stress Hyperglycemia in Patients with Tuberculosis Disease: Epidemiology and Clinical Implications

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The intersection of tuberculosis (TB) disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus is severely hindering global efforts to reduce TB burdens. Diabetes increases the risk of developing TB disease and negatively impacts TB treatment outcomes including culture conversion time, mortality risk, and TB relapse. Recent evidence also indicates plausible mechanisms by which TB disease may influence the pathogenesis and incidence of diabetes. We review the epidemiology of stress hyperglycemia in patients with TB and the pathophysiologic responses to TB disease that are related to established mechanisms of stress hyperglycemia. We also consider clinical implications of stress hyperglycemia on TB treatment, and the role of TB disease on risk of diabetes post-TB.

RECENT FINDINGS

Among patients with TB disease, the development of stress hyperglycemia may influence the clinical manifestation and treatment response of some patients and can complicate diabetes diagnosis. Research is needed to elucidate the relationship between TB disease and stress hyperglycemia and determine the extent to which stress hyperglycemia impacts TB treatment response. Currently, there is insufficient data to support clinical recommendations for glucose control among patients with TB disease, representing a major barrier for efforts to improve treatment outcomes for patients with TB and diabetes.

Changes in tuberculosis in human immunodeficiency virus infected patients in a Spanish tertiary hospital (1995-2013)

OBJECTIVE

Although the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated tuberculosis (TB) has decreased, changes in other characteristics of the disease are largely unknown. To describe the trends in TB in patients infected with HIV from 1995 to 2013.

METHODS

We review all cases of TB in a tertiary hospital in Madrid, Spain.

RESULTS

Among 1,284 patients diagnosed of TB, 298 (23%) were coinfected with HIV. The prevalence of HIV infection during the period of study has decreased from 40% to 14% (p for the trend < 0.001). Clinical presentation has also changed. Although pulmonary and extrapulmonary TB has remained unchanged, miliary presentation has significantly decreased (from 36% to 22%, p = 0.005). The 4-drug regimen was the preferable scheme, with higher implementation at the end of the study period (82% from 1995-1999 to 95% in 2010-2013, p = 0.43). Factors such as treatment failure (OR: 11.7; CI 95%: 3.12-44.1) and miliary form (OR: 2.8; CI 95%; 1.09-7.3) were independently associated with TB related mortality, while the longer duration of treatment was as a protective factor (OR 0.7; CI 95%: 0.6-0.8).

CONCLUSIONS

HIV has decreased very significantly as a risk factor for the development of TB. Despite improvement in the treatment of both TB and HIV, and in overall mortality, deaths attributable to the disease in this population remain high mostly in miliary and relapsing forms.

Is there association between human development index and tuberculosis mortality risk? Evidence from a spatial analysis study in the south of Brazil

The goal of this study was to analyse the spatial pattern of tuberculosis (TB) mortality using different approaches, namely: mortality rates (MR), spatial relative risks (RR) and Bayesian rates (Global and Local) and their association with human development index (HDI), Global and its three dimensions: education, longevity and income. An ecological study was developed in Curitiba, Brazil based on data from Mortality Information System (2008-2014). Spatial scan statistics were used to compute RR and identify high-risk clusters. Bivariate Local Indicator of Spatial Associations was used to assess associations. MR ranged between 0 and 25.24/100.000 with a mean (standard deviation) of 1.07 (2.66). Corresponding values for spatial RR were 0-27.46, 1.2 (2.99) and for Bayesian rates (Global and Local) were 0.49-1.66, 0.90 (0.19) and 0-6.59, 0.98 (0.80). High-risk clusters were identified for all variables, except for HDI-income and Global Bayesian rate. Significant negative spatial relations were found between MR and income; between RR and HDI global, longevity and income; and Bayesian rates with all variables. Some areas presented different patterns: low social development/low risk and high risk/high development. These results demonstrate that social development variables should be considered, in mortality due TB.

Tuberculosis Mortality in the United States: Epidemiology and Prevention Opportunities

Rationale: More information on risk factors for death from tuberculosis in the United States could help reduce the tuberculosis mortality rate, which has remained steady for more than a decade.Objective: To identify risk factors for tuberculosis-related death in adults.Methods: We performed a retrospective study of 1,304 adults with tuberculosis who died before treatment completion and 1,039 frequency-matched control subjects who completed tuberculosis treatment in 2005 to 2006 in 13 states reporting 65% of U.S. tuberculosis cases. We used in-depth record abstractions and a standard algorithm to classify deaths in persons with tuberculosis as tuberculosis-related or not. We then compared these classifications to causes of death as coded in death certificates. We used multivariable logistic regression to calculate adjusted odds ratios for predictors of tuberculosis-related death among adults compared with those who completed tuberculosis treatment.Results: Of 1,304 adult deaths, 942 (72%) were tuberculosis related, 272 (21%) were not, and 90 (7%) could not be classified. Of 847 tuberculosis-related deaths with death certificates available, 378 (45%) did not list tuberculosis as a cause of death. Adjusting for known risks, we identified new risks for tuberculosis-related death during treatment: absence of pyrazinamide in the initial regimen (adjusted odds ratio, 3.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.9-6.0); immunosuppressive medications (adjusted odds ratio, 2.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-5.6); incomplete tuberculosis diagnostic evaluation (adjusted odds ratio, 2.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-3.3), and an alternative nontuberculosis diagnosis before tuberculosis diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-2.2).Conclusions: Most persons who died with tuberculosis had a tuberculosis-related death. Intensive record review revealed tuberculosis as a cause of death more often than did death certificate diagnoses. New tools, such as a tuberculosis mortality risk score based on our study findings, may identify patients with tuberculosis for in-hospital interventions to prevent death.

Epidemiological, clinical and mechanistic perspectives of tuberculosis in older people

With the ageing population globally, tuberculosis (TB) in older people becomes a major clinical and public health challenge. In many Asian countries, especially those located in the eastern and southeastern parts of the continent, geriatric TB is a significant problem. TB in the older patients is more difficult to diagnose in the early course of disease, and has poorer treatment outcomes, largely as increased failure and death. More drug-induced adverse reactions are also experienced by this population during TB therapy. Oxidative stress and mitochondrial dysfunction are now well recognized to be associated with the ageing process, and it is likely that the cellular and molecular perturbations interact inextricably with the immunological dysfunction biophysiologically inherent to ageing. These underlying mechanistic bases putatively contribute to the development of TB in the geriatric population and worsen the disease outcomes, especially when the TB is compounded by co-morbid conditions such as smoking and diabetes mellitus. Unravelling these mechanisms further would yield knowledge that might potentially help to prevent reactivated TB in older people, and also to better manage the established disease with drug regimens and other new therapeutic strategies. In addition, addressing the social elements associated with geriatric TB is also imperative in the relief of individual patient suffering and improvement of overall disease control.

Time to Sputum Culture Conversion and Treatment Outcomes Among Patients with Isoniazid-Resistant Tuberculosis in Atlanta, Georgia

BACKGROUND

Although isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis is more common than multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, it has been much less studied. We examined the impact of isoniazid resistance and treatment regimen, including use of a fluoroquinolone, on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study among patients with sputum culture-positive tuberculosis was performed. Early fluoroquinolone (FQ) use was defined as receiving ≥5 doses during the first month of treatment. The primary outcome was time to sputum culture conversion (tSCC). A multivariate proportional hazards model was used to determine the association of isoniazid resistance with tSCC.

RESULTS

Among 236 patients with pulmonary tuberculosis, 59 (25%) had isoniazid resistance. The median tSCC was similar for isoniazid-resistant and -susceptible cases (35 vs 29 days; P = .39), and isoniazid resistance was not associated with tSCC in multivariate analysis (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], .59-1.17). Early FQ use was higher in isoniazid-resistant than -susceptible cases (20% vs 10%; P = .05); however, it was not significantly associated with tSCC in univariate analysis (hazard ratio = 1.48; 95% CI, .95-2.28). Patients with isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis were treated with regimens containing rifampin, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol +/- a FQ for a median of 9.7 months. Overall, 191 (83%) patients were cured. There was no difference in initial treatment outcomes; however, all cases of acquired-drug resistance (n = 1) and recurrence (n = 3) occurred among patients with isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis.

CONCLUSIONS

There was no significant association with isoniazid resistance and tSCC or initial treatment outcomes. Although patients with isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis had a high cure rate, the cases of recurrence and acquired drug resistance are concerning and highlight the need for longer-term follow-up studies.