Implementation and Validation of the 2013 Caprini Score for Risk Stratification of Arthroplasty Patients in the Prevention of Venous Thrombosis

Prevalence of risk factors for venous thromboembolism and aspirin resistance in Australian patients undergoing total hip and knee arthroplasty

INTRODUCTION

Aspirin is used for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis after total hip and knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA). However, its efficacy is unclear in patients with multiple VTE risk factors and at risk of aspirin resistance (AR).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To determine the prevalence of risk factors for VTE and AR in patients after THA/TKA and to determine the relationship between risk factors and drugs prescribed for thromboprophylaxis.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of elective-THA/TKA in six Australian hospitals over a 1-year period. Medical records were manually reviewed to determine demographics, thromboprophylaxis regimen and presence of risk factors. The relationship between individual and cumulative risk factors with the thromboprophylaxis regimen was determined.

RESULTS

In total, 1011 patients were included with a mean (SD) age of 65.9 (±11.0) years, and 56.4% were female. The five most prevalent risk factors were obesity (59.1%), age ≥65 years (58.2%), hypertension (45.3%), dyslipidaemia (35.9%) and diabetes (19.7%). Most patients had ≥1 risk factor for VTE (93.6%) and AR (93.6%), with 49.0% and 35.0% having ≥3 concurrent VTE and AR risk factors, respectively. The only significant relationship between risk factors and drugs was diabetes (P < 0.01). Rivaroxaban was more commonly used as the number of concurrent VTE risk factors increased (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Patients had a high prevalence of VTE and AR risk factors, suggesting aspirin may not be beneficial in many patients. Only diabetes was linked to the selection of thromboprophylaxis. Patients who received rivaroxaban had a greater average number of VTE risk factors. Guidelines should promote individualised prescribing in higher-risk patients.

Utilization of the Caprini risk assessment model(RAM) to predict venous thromboembolism after primary hip and knee arthroplasty: an analysis of the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project(HCUP)

PURPOSE

This study aims to investigate the potential role of Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) in predicting the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients undergoing total hip or knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA). No national study has investigated the role of Caprini RAM after primary THA/TKA.

METHODS

Data from The National Sample of Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) in 2019 were utilized for this study. The dataset consisted of 229,134 patients who underwent primary THA/TKA. Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) were considered as VTE. The incidence of thrombosis was calculated based on different Caprini scores, and the risk of the Caprini indicator for VTE events was evaluated using a forest plot.

RESULTS

The prevalence of VTE after primary THA/TKA in the U.S. population in 2019 was found to be 4.7 cases per 1000 patients. Age, body mass index (BMI), and Caprini score showed a positive association with the risk of VTE (P < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis indicated that a Caprini score of 9.5 had a sensitivity of 47.2% and a specificity of 82.7%, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.693 (95% CI, 0.677-0.710). The highest Youden index was 0.299. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that malignancy, varicose vein, positive blood test for thrombophilia, history of thrombosis, COPD, hip fracture, blood transfusion, and age were significant risk factors for VTE. Based on these findings, a new risk stratification system incorporating the Caprini score was proposed.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the Caprini score does not seem to be a good predictive model for VTE after primary THA/TKA, new risk stratification for the Caprini score is proposed to increase its usefulness.

A change in strategy for filter choice leads to improved filter retrieval rates

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether a new strategy for the choice of inferior vena cava filter placed would improve filter retrieval rates at our institution.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent retrievable filter placement for temporary embolic protection between January 2021 and January 2023 were considered for study inclusion. Risk factors for nonretrieval of short-term filters were identified in patients receiving filters between January 2021 and January 2022 (prestrategy group). For patients treated between February 2022 and January 2023 (poststrategy group), a long-term filter was recommended for those with these risk factors, and a short-term filter was recommended for those without these risk factors.

RESULTS

The study population included 303 patients (prestrategy group, n = 154; poststrategy group, n = 149). Long-term immobilization (odds ratio [OR] = 38.000; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.858-210.564), active cancer (OR = 17.643; 95% CI: 5.462-56.993), and venous thromboembolism detected in the intensive care unit (OR = 28.500; 95% CI: 7.419-109.477) were identified as independent risk factors for nonretrieval of short-term filters. The total retrieval rate was significantly higher in the poststrategy group (87.2%) than in the prestrategy group (72.7%; P = 0.002); the short-term filter retrieval rate was also significantly higher in the poststrategy group (84.5%) than in the prestrategy group (68.5%; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The proposed strategy for filter choice based on risk factors for short-term filter nonretrieval can accurately identify patients who need long-term filter placement while also increasing the retrieval rates for both short-term filters retrieval rates and overall retrieval rates.

Capturing Original Preanesthetic Comprehensive History and Physical Assessments with the use of Video Telehealth: A Quality Improvement Project for Student Nurse Anesthetists

PURPOSE

Beginning January 1, 2022, the Council on Accreditation is requiring student registered nurse anesthetists (SRNAs) matriculating into nurse anesthesia programs to track preanesthetic comprehensive history and physical (H&P) assessment completion numbers. This quality improvement (QI) project aimed to create a new clinical rotation for SRNAs to practice their preanesthetic H&P assessment skills through video telehealth.

DESIGN

A quality improvement project.

METHODS

Likert-style and free-text surveys were administered to both the SRNA students and the expert provider to assess for improvements, viability, and effectiveness of the clinical rotation. SRNAs used a curated library of evidence-based resources and instructions for conducting their assessments. Expert guidance was provided through a single experienced provider.

FINDINGS

Eight SRNAs performed one preanesthetic telehealth H&P assessment and four of the eight performed a second assessment. Pre-QI surveys indicated 75% were not comfortable with their ability in performing a competent assessment. Initial post-QI surveys indicated 88% were more comfortable with their abilities and 100% of those who completed a second-time post-QI survey 100% were more comfortable. Provider feedback indicated full-day clinical rotations were feasible and important.

CONCLUSIONS

Results revealed SRNAs desire and need for more preanesthetic comprehensive H&P appointments. Expansion into full-scale, full-day, and in-person assessments was also indicated. QI projects at other clinical sites can determine if similar rotations can also create similar clinical rotations.

Extended-duration thromboprophylaxis following major abdominopelvic surgery - For everyone or selected cases only?

Major abdominopelvic surgery is an important risk factor for postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE). VTE is the leading cause of 30-day postoperative mortality in patients with cancer undergoing major abdominopelvic surgery. Randomized controlled trials have shown that extended duration thromboprophylaxis using a low molecular weight heparin or a direct oral anticoagulant significantly decreases the risk of overall VTE (symptomatic events and asymptomatic deep vein thrombosis). Hence, several clinical practice guidelines suggest the use of extended duration thromboprophylaxis for all high-risk patients undergoing major abdominopelvic surgery. Despite these recommendations by clinical practice guidelines, adoption of extended duration thromboprophylaxis in clinical practice remains low and clinical equipoise seems to persist. In this narrative review, we aim is to highlight and summarize the reasons that may explain discrepancy between clinical guideline recommendations and current practice regarding extended duration thromboprophylaxis in this patient population. We also aim to review different personalized approaches based on patients' individualized risk of VTE that may foster shared decision making and improve patient outcomes by reducing decisional conflict, increasing patient knowledge, and increasing risk perception accuracy.

Dissecting the rationale for thromboprophylaxis in challenging surgical cases

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a leading preventable cause of death in surgical patients, and rates of fatal PE are increasing. Individual assessment, to balance the risks of thrombosis and bleeding, is the key to providing appropriate prophylaxis. The risk assessment process includes use of evidence-based guidelines, literature published since the latest guidelines, large registries, and risk scoring systems together with clinical experience and judgment. Risk assessment is a dynamic process and needs to be updated both during the hospital stay and just prior to discharge since clinical events may change the level of risk. The final assessment may identify patients who require ongoing anticoagulant prophylaxis after discharge. The Caprini risk score is widely used in surgical patients and is a composite of the number of risk factors and their relative weights. The Caprini risk score set point for risk levels requiring anticoagulant prophylaxis varies depending on the type of surgical procedure, surgical population, and number of risk factors. Mandatory implementation of evidence-based care pathways is helpful in lowering PE-related mortality. This review presents several challenging cases, emphasizing the importance of employing all available assessment tools, including dynamic assessment of risk during hospitalization. Finally, the limitations of evidence-based guidelines in complex scenarios and the need to employ all available tools to properly protect very high-risk patients are emphasized.

The Validation and Modification of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for Evaluating Venous Thromboembolism after Joint Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

 The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) is the most commonly used tool for evaluating venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk, a high score for arthroplasty can result in patients being classified as high risk for VTE. Therefore, its value in post-arthroplasty has been subject to debate.

METHODS

 Retrospective data were collected from patients who underwent arthroplasty between August 2015 and December 2021. The study cohort included 3,807 patients, all of whom underwent a thorough evaluation using Caprini RAM and vascular Doppler ultrasonography preoperatively.

RESULTS

 A total of 432 individuals (11.35%) developed VTE, while 3,375 did not. Furthermore, 32 (0.84%) presented with symptomatic VTE, while 400 (10.51%) were detected as asymptomatic. Additionally, 368 (9.67%) VTE events occurred during the hospitalization period, and 64 (1.68%) cases were detected during postdischarge follow-up. Statistical analysis revealed significant differences between the VTE and non-VTE groups in terms of ages, blood loss, D-dimer, body mass index >25, visible varicose veins, swollen legs, smoking, history of blood clots, broken hip, percent of female, hypertension, and knee joint arthroplasty (p < 0.05). The Caprini score was found to be significantly higher in the VTE group (10.10 ± 2.23) compared with the non-VTE group (9.35 ± 2.14) (p < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a significant correlation between the incidence of VTE and the Caprini score (r = 0.775, p = 0.003). Patients with a score ≥9 are at a high-risk threshold for postoperative VTE.

CONCLUSION

 The Caprini RAM shows a significant correlation with the occurrence of VTE. A higher score indicates a greater likelihood of developing VTE. The score ≥9 is at particularly high risk of developing VTE.

Nomogram for predicting postoperative deep vein thrombosis in patients with spinal fractures caused by high-energy injuries

OBJECTIVE

Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is a common complication in patients with spinal fractures caused by high-energy injuries. Early identification of patients at high risk of postoperative DVT is essential for the prevention of thrombosis. This study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model based on a nomogram to predict DVT in patients with spinal fractures caused by high-energy injuries.

METHODS

Clinical data were collected from 936 patients admitted to our hospital between January 2016 and December 2021 with spinal fractures caused by high-energy injuries. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for postoperative DVT and to develop a nomogram. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve.

RESULTS

The incidence of preoperative DVT was 15.38% (144/936). The postoperative incidence of DVT was 20.5% (192/936). The multivariate analysis revealed that age, operation time, blood transfusion, duration of bed rest, American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) score and D-dimer were risk factors for postoperative DVT. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was 0.835 and the calibration curve showed good calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram showed a good ability to predict postoperative DVT in patients with spinal fractures caused by high-energy injuries, which may benefit pre- and postoperative DVT prophylaxis strategy development.

A prediction nomogram for deep venous thrombosis risk in patients undergoing primary total hip and knee arthroplasty: a retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) prediction after total hip and knee arthroplasty remains challenging. Early diagnosis and treatment of DVT are crucial. This research aimed to develop a nomogram for early DVT prediction.

METHODS

A total of 317 patients undergoing primary total hip and knee arthroplasty in Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital were enrolled between May 2020 and September 2022. Data from May 2020 to February 2022 were used as the development datasets to build the nomogram model (n = 238). Using multivariate logistic regression, independent variables and a nomogram for predicting the occurrence of DVT were identified. Datasets used to validate the model for internal validation ranged from March 2022 to September 2022 (n = 79). The nomogram's capacity for prediction was also compared with the Caprini score.

RESULTS

For both the development and validation datasets, DVT was found in a total of 38 (15.97%) and 9 patients (11.39%) on post-operative day 7 (pod7), respectively. 59.6% patients were symptomatic DVT (leg swelling). The multivariate analysis revealed that surgical site (Knee vs. Hip), leg swelling and thrombin-antithrombin complex (TAT) were associated with DVT. The previously indicated variables were used to build the nomogram, and for the development and validation datasets, respectively. In development and validation datasets, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.836 and 0.957, respectively. In both datasets, the predictive value of the Nomogram is greater than the Caprini score.

CONCLUSIONS

A proposed nomogram incorporating surgical site (Knee vs. Hip), leg swelling, and thrombin antithrombin complex (TAT) may facilitate the identification of patients who are more prone to develop DVT on pod7.

A Comparison of the Caprini Score With an Institutional Risk Assessment Tool for Prediction of Venous Thromboembolism After Total Joint Arthroplasty at an Urban Tertiary Care Health Safety Net Hospital

Background

Patients undergoing total joint arthroplasty (TJA) are at increased risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Prediction tools such as the Caprini Risk Assessment Model (RAM) have been developed to identify patients at higher risk. However, studies have reported heterogeneous results when assessing its efficacy for TJA. Patients treated in an urban health safety net hospital have increased medical complexity, advanced degenerative joint disease, and severe disability prior to TJA increasing the risk of VTE. We hypothesize that use of a tool designed to account for these conditions-the Boston Medical Center (BMC) VTE score-will more accurately predict VTE in this patient population.

Methods

A retrospective case-control study was performed including subjects 18 years of age and older who underwent primary or revision TJA in an urban academic health safety net hospital. Patients with hemiarthroplasties, simultaneous bilateral TJA, and TJA after acute trauma were excluded. A total of 80 subjects were included: 40 who developed VTE after TJA (VTE+) and 40 who did not develop VTE (controls). Subjects were matched by age, gender, and surgical procedure.

Results

There was a statistically significant difference between the mean BMC VTE score for VTE+ and controls (4.40 and 3.13, respectively, P = .036). Conversely, there was no statistical difference between the mean Caprini scores for VTE+ and controls (9.50 and 9.35, respectively, P = .797).

Conclusions

In a health safety-net patient population, an institutional RAM-the BMC VTE score-was found to be more predictive of VTE than the modified Caprini RAM following TJA. The BMC-VTE score should be externally validated to confirm its reliability in VTE prediction in similar patient populations.

Postoperative venous thromboembolism risk-prediction in foot and ankle fracture surgery

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) are rare but serious complications after foot and ankle fracture surgery. A consensus definition of a high-risk patient has not been reached, leading to significant variability in the use of pharmacologic agents for VTE prophylaxis. The aim of this study was to develop a model for predicting VTE risk in patients undergoing surgery for foot and ankle fractures that is usable and scalable in clinical practice.

METHODS

A retrospective review of 15,342 patients, within the ACS-NSQIP database, who had undergone surgical repair of foot and ankle fractures from 2015 to 2019 was performed. Univariate analysis evaluated differences in demographics and comorbidities. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression was generated based on a 60 % development cohort to evaluate risk factors for VTE. A receiver operator curve based on the 40 % test cohort calculated area under the curve (AUC) to measure the accuracy of the model in predicting VTE within the 30-day postoperative period.

RESULTS

Of the 15,342 patients, 1.2 % patients experienced VTE, and 98.8 % patients did not. Patients who experienced VTE were significantly older and had an overall higher comorbidity burden. Those who had VTE spent on average 10.5 more minutes in the operating room. In the final model, age over 65, diabetes, dyspnea, CHF, dialysis, wound infection and bleeding disorders were all found to be significant predictors of VTE after controlling for all other factors. The model generated an AUC of 0.731, indicating good predictive accuracy. The predictive model is publicly available at https://shinyapps.io/VTE_Prediction/.

CONCLUSIONS

In alignment with previous studies, we identified increased age and bleeding disorders as independent risk factors for VTE after foot and ankle fracture surgery. This is one of the first studies to generate and test a model for identifying patients at risk for VTE in this population. This evidence-based model may help surgeons prospectively identify high-risk patients who may benefit from pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis.

Incidence and risk factors of isolated calf muscular venous thrombosis after tibial plateau fractures surgery

BACKGROUND

The risks associated with deep vein thrombosis (DVT) have gained significant recognition over time. A prevalent form of distal DVT is isolated calf muscular venous thrombosis (ICMVT). Despite its common clinical occurrence, data on ICMVT subsequent to tibial plateau fracture (TPF) surgery are scarce. This study aimed to examine the epidemiological characteristics and associated risk factors (RFs) of ICMVT following TPF surgery.

METHODS

For this retrospective analysis, we included patients from our hospital, who underwent TPF surgery between March 2017 and March 2021. Patients' electronic medical records were reviewed, including admission details, fracture classification, surgical procedures, and laboratory biomarkers. The HSS (The American Hospital for Special Surgery) and Rasmussen scores were employed to evaluate the clinical effect. A Color Duplex Flow Imager (CDFI) was regularly used to detect pre- and postoperative venous thrombosis in the lower limbs. Finally, uni- and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent RFs associated with ICMVT.

RESULTS

Overall, 481 participants were recruited for analysis. Postoperative ICMVT occurred in 47 patients. All ICMVTs occurred on the affected side. Four of the 47 ICMVT patients exhibited sudden postoperative swelling in the affected limb. The HSS and Rasmussen scores in the non-ICMVT cohort (87.6 ± 8.2, 16.0 ± 1.7) were markedly different from the ICMVT cohort (84.8 ± 8.2, 15.5 ± 1.6) (p = 0.014, p = 0.031). This study finally identified five postoperative ICMVT-related RFs, which were age (> 55 years old) (OR 3.06; 95% CI 1.47-6.37; p = 0.003), gender (female) (OR 2.67; 95% CI 1.37-5.22; p = 0.004), surgical duration (> 114 min) (OR 3.14; 95% CI 1.44-6.85; p = 0.004), elevated white blood cell content (OR 2.85; 95% CI 1.47-5.51; p = 0.002), and hyponatremia (OR 2.31; 95% CI 1.04-5.12; p = 0.040).

CONCLUSION

The epidemiological findings of this study may help predict ICMVT risk after surgery thus facilitating the development of individualized clinical assessments and targeted prevention programs.

Venous Thromboembolism in Hospitalized Patients With Surgical Breast Cancer: Risks and Outcomes

Background The Caprini risk assessment model has been validated in breast cancer surgery patients. However, its utility in our population has not been described. This study evaluated the benefits and risks of the Caprini risk stratification tool and the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in the 30-day postoperative period among surgical female patients with breast cancer who were hospitalized during their treatment. Methodology This is a retrospective review of prospectively collected data of all surgical patients with histologically confirmed breast cancer who were hospitalized between January and December 2018. Caprini score, treatment information, and 30-day outcome of prophylaxis were collated and analyzed using SPSS version 26 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Results A total of 167 female patients with breast cancer aged 19 to 75 years were hospitalized during the study period. All patients had invasive ductal carcinoma, and the majority (76.6%) were premenopausal. Two fatal VTE events occurred during hospitalization, giving a 30-day incidence of 1.2%. There was no adverse event from chemoprophylaxis. Conclusions VTE is rare in hospitalized surgical patients with breast cancer undergoing routine pharmacologic and mechanical prophylaxis. The Caprini tool can identify extremely low-risk patients who require no prophylaxis.

The Thresholds of Caprini Score Associated With Increased Risk of Venous Thromboembolism Across Different Specialties: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

Estimation of the specific thresholds of the Caprini risk score (CRS) that are associated with the increased incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) across different specialties, including identifying the highest level of risk.

BACKGROUND

Accurate risk assessment remains an important but often challenging aspect of VTE prophylaxis. One well-established risk assessment model is CRS, which has been validated in thousands of patients from many different medical and surgical specialties.

METHODS

A search of MEDLINE and the Cochrane Library was performed in March 2022. Manuscripts that reported on (1) patients admitted to medical or surgical departments and (2) had their VTE risk assessed by CRS and (3) reported on the correlation between the score and VTE incidence, were included in the analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 4562 references were identified, and the full text of 202 papers was assessed for eligibility. The correlation between CRS and VTE incidence was reported in 68 studies that enrolled 4,207,895 patients. In all specialties, a significant increase in VTE incidence was observed in patients with a CRS of ≥5. In most specialties thresholds of ≥7, ≥9, and ≥11 to 12 were associated with dramatically increased incidences of VTE. In COVID-19, cancer, trauma, vascular, general, head and neck, and thoracic surgery patients with ≥9 and ≥11 to 12 scores the VTE incidence was extremely high (ranging from 13% to 47%).

CONCLUSION

The Caprini score is being used increasingly to predict VTE in many medical and surgical specialties. In most cases, the VTE risk for individual patients increases dramatically at a threshold CRS of 7 to 11.

Using machine learning to predict venous thromboembolism and major bleeding events following total joint arthroplasty

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) and major bleeding (MBE) are feared complications that are influenced by numerous host and surgical related factors. Using machine learning on contemporary data, our aim was to develop and validate a practical, easy-to-use algorithm to predict risk for VTE and MBE following total joint arthroplasty (TJA). This was a single institutional study of 35,963 primary and revision total hip (THA) and knee arthroplasty (TKA) patients operated between 2009 and 2020. Fifty-six variables related to demographics, comorbidities, operative factors as well as chemoprophylaxis were included in the analysis. The cohort was divided to training (70%) and test (30%) sets. Four machine learning models were developed for each of the outcomes assessed (VTE and MBE). Models were created for all VTE grouped together as well as for pulmonary emboli (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) individually to examine the need for distinct algorithms. For each outcome, the model that best performed using repeated cross validation was chosen for algorithm development, and predicted versus observed incidences were evaluated. Of the 35,963 patients included, 308 (0.86%) developed VTE (170 PE's, 176 DVT's) and 293 (0.81%) developed MBE. Separate models were created for PE and DVT as they were found to outperform the prediction of VTE. Gradient boosting trees had the highest performance for both PE (AUC-ROC 0.774 [SD 0.055]) and DVT (AUC-ROC 0.759 [SD 0.039]). For MBE, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) analysis had the highest AUC (AUC-ROC 0.803 [SD 0.035]). An algorithm that provides the probability for PE, DVT and MBE for each specific patient was created. All 3 algorithms had good discriminatory capability and cross-validation showed similar probabilities comparing predicted and observed failures indicating high accuracy of the model. We successfully developed and validated an easy-to-use algorithm that accurately predicts VTE and MBE following TJA. This tool can be used in every-day clinical decision making and patient counseling.

Comparison of the predictive power of the 2005 and 2010 Caprini risk assessment models for deep vein thrombosis in Chinese orthopedic patients at admission: A prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Several DVT risk assessment tools have been developed and validated to stratify the patients. The 2005 and 2010 Caprini risk assessment models (RAMs) proved reliable in detecting deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and are widely used worldwide. Although the 2010 version was recently modified, the 2005 version is still more exact and popular in the surgical population. This study aimed to compare the predictive power of the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs in Chinese orthopedic patients at admission and describe the incidence of DVT during hospitalization.

STUDY DESIGN

This prospective cohort study involved 2733 patients from the Arthritis Clinic and Research Center, Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Orthopedic Oncology Department, and Spinal Surgery Department of Peking University People's Hospital from September 2018 to January 2019. The DVT risk scores and levels were determined for all patients using the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs at admission. The sensitivity and specificity of the two tools were calculated. The patients were divided into the screened and unscreened groups according to whether or not a Doppler ultrasound (DUS) was performed. Depending upon the DUS results, the patients were divided into the DVT and non-DVT groups. The receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were evaluated to compare the predictive power.

RESULTS

Eighty-four patients had DVT in the four orthopedic departments, and the incidence of DVT was 3.1 %-17.2 %. The scores between the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs differed (P < 0.001) among orthopedic patients at admission. Among DVT patients, the highest-risk patients accounted for 63.5 % and 52.9 % based on the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs, respectively. The AUCs of the 2005 and 1020 Caprini RAMs were 0.669 ± 0.030 and 0.648 ± 0.032, respectively. There were no significant differences between the two ROC curves (P = 0.164).

CONCLUSION

The 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs showed a similar predictive power in detecting DVT, but neither met the high sensitivity criteria for screening DVT in orthopedic patients. The incidence of DVT in orthopedic patients was relatively high during hospitalization.

A review of venous thromboembolism risk assessment models for different patient populations: What we know and don't!

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients. Globally, it is also the third leading vascular disease, after myocardial infarction and stroke. The incidence of VTE is reportedly higher in Western countries than in Asian countries. However, recent reports suggest an increasing incidence of VTE in Asian countries, including India. Since VTE is largely a preventable disease, early identification of risk factors can lead to disease prevention or the adoption of appropriate prophylactic measures. To this end, several VTE risk assessment models (RAMs) have been developed and validated for different populations who are at risk of developing VTE, such as hospitalized patients with medical illness/surgical indication, patients with cancer, and pregnant women. Evidence indicates that the systematic use of RAMs improves prophylaxis rates and lowers the burden of VTE. Given the increasing burden of VTE in the Indian population and poor prophylaxis rates, the implementation of systematic RAMs in routine clinical practice might ameliorate the disease burden in the country. We have assessed the evidence-based utilities of available RAMs and have delineated the most common and suitable RAMs for different populations including coronavirus disease 2019 affected patients. This review depicts the current status of implementation and validation of RAMs in the Indian scenario. It also highlights the need for additional validation studies, improved awareness, and implementation of RAMs in clinical practice for lowering the burden of VTE.

Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction of Lower Extremity Deep Vein Thrombosis Risk After Knee/Hip Arthroplasty

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common postoperative complication of knee/hip arthroplasty. There is a continued need for artificial intelligence-based methods of predicting lower extremity DVT risk after knee/hip arthroplasty. In this study, we performed a retrospective study to analyse the data from patients who underwent primary knee/hip arthroplasty between January 2017 and December 2021 with postoperative bilateral lower extremity venous ultrasonography. Patients' features were extracted from electronic health records (EHRs) and assigned to the training (80%) and test (20%) datasets using six models: eXtreme gradient boosting, random forest, support vector machines, logistic regression, ensemble, and backpropagation neural network. The Caprini score was calculated according to the Caprini score measurement scale, and the corresponding optimal cut-off Caprini score was calculated according to the largest Youden index. In total, 6897 cases of knee/hip arthroplasty were included (average age, 65.5 ± 8.9 years; 1702 men), among which 1161 (16.8%) were positive and 5736 (83.2%) were negative for deep vein thrombosis. Among the six models, the ensemble model had the highest area under the curve [0.9206 (0.8956, 0.9364)], with a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score of 0.8027, 0.9059, 0.6100, 0.9573 and 0.7003, respectively. The corresponding optimal cut-off Caprini score was 10, with an area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive values of 0.5703, 0.8915, 0.2491, 0.1937, 0.9191, and 0.3183, respectively. In conclusion, machine learning models based on EHRs can help predict the risk of deep vein thrombosis after knee/hip arthroplasty.

Clinical Issues-January 2023

Janus kinase inhibitor therapy and venous thromboembolism risk factors Key words: Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor, tofacitinib, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), ulcerative colitis, extended-duration prophylaxis. Identifying validated venous thromboembolism risk assessment tools Key words: venous thromboembolism (VTE) protocol, Caprini risk assessment model (RAM), risk identification, clinical workflow, bleeding risk. Timing of the preoperative venous thromboembolism risk assessment Key words: Caprini risk assessment model (RAM), venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk, patient assessment, presurgical testing visit, family history. Communicating venous thromboembolism and bleeding risk after surgery Key words: venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk, bleeding risk, hand over, postanesthesia care unit RN, intraoperative events.

Extended‐duration thromboprophylaxis for abdominopelvic surgery: Development and evaluation of a risk‐stratified patient decision aid to facilitate shared decision making

Background

Extended-duration thromboprophylaxis is used to decrease risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) after surgery but may increase the risk of bleeding. The decision to complete a course of extended-duration thromboprophylaxis can be challenging.

Objective

The objective of this study was to develop an acceptable patient decision aid (PtDA) to facilitate shared decision making for the use of extended-duration thromboprophylaxis following major abdominal surgery.

Methods

An evidence-based, risk-stratified PtDA was created. The evidence on benefits and harms of a 28-day postoperative course of low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) versus in-hospital prophylaxis only were synthesized. Outcomes included minor bleeding, major bleeding, clinically significant VTE, and fatal VTE. Risks were calculated and reported by Caprini score. Alpha testing of the PtDA draft with various stakeholders was performed using a 10-question survey to assess acceptability of the PtDA with patients, thrombosis experts, and surgeons. The primary outcome was the acceptability of the PtDA.

Results

Acceptability testing was performed with 11 patients, 11 thrombosis experts, and 11 surgeons. Most responders felt the language on the PtDA was easy to follow (28/33, 85%), and that the information was well balanced between management options (9/11 [82%] patients; 17/21 [80%] clinicians). Most patients (9/11, 82%) and clinicians (18/22, 82%) believed it would be a useful clinical tool, and were satisfied with the overall quality of the PtDA (27/33, 82%).

Conclusions

A risk-stratified, evidence-based PtDA was created to facilitate shared decision making for the use of extended-duration LMWH following major abdominal surgery. This clinical tool was acceptable with patients and physicians and is available at https://decisionaid.ohri.ca/decaids.html.

Systematic review of venous thromboembolism risk categories derived from Caprini score

OBJECTIVE

Hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (VTE, including pulmonary embolism [PE] and deep vein thrombosis [DVT]) is a preventable cause of hospital death. The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) is one of the most commonly used tools to assess VTE risk. The RAM is operationalized in clinical practice by grouping several risk scores into VTE risk categories that drive decisions on prophylaxis. A correlation between increasing Caprini scores and rising VTE risk is well-established. We assessed whether the increasing VTE risk categories assigned on the basis of recommended score ranges also correlate with increasing VTE risk.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of articles that used the Caprini RAM to assign VTE risk categories and that reported corresponding VTE rates. A Medline and EMBASE search retrieved 895 articles, of which 57 fulfilled inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

Forty-eight (84%) of the articles were cohort studies, 7 (12%) were case-control studies, and 2 (4%) were cross-sectional studies. The populations varied from postsurgical to medical patients. There was variability in the number of VTE risk categories assigned by individual studies (6 used 5 risk categories, 37 used 4, 11 used 3, and 3 used 2), and in the cutoff scores defining the risk categories (scores from 0 alone to 0-10 for the low-risk category; from ≥5 to ≥10 for high risk). The VTE rates reported for similar risk categories also varied across studies (0%-12.3% in the low-risk category; 0%-40% for high risk). The Caprini RAM is designed to assess composite VTE risk; however, two studies reported PE or DVT rates alone, and many of the other studies did not specify the types of DVTs analyzed. The Caprini RAM predicts VTE at 30 days after assessment; however, only 17 studies measured outcomes at 30 days; the remaining studies had either shorter or longer follow-ups (0-180 days).

CONCLUSIONS

The usefulness of the Caprini RAM is limited by heterogeneity in its implementation across centers. The score-derived VTE risk categorization has significant variability in the number of risk categories being used, the cutpoints used to define the risk categories, the outcome being measured, and the follow-up duration. This factor leads to similar risk categories being associated with different VTE rates, which impacts the clinical and research implications of the results. To enhance generalizability, there is a need for studies that validate the RAM in a broad population of medical and surgical patients, identify standardized risk categories, define risk of DVT and PE as distinct end points, and measure outcomes at standardized follow-up time points.

The application of Caprini Risk Assessment Model in evaluation of deep vein thrombosis for patients with end-stage osteoarthritis before arthroplasty

Background

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) was a fatal complication of knee arthroplasty. We had neglected the risk factors of preoperative DVT although patients undergoing knee arthroplasty were at high risk for VTE. This study was to determine the risk factors for preoperative DVT and application of Caprini Risk Assessment Model (RAM) in patients with end-stage knee osteoarthritis (OA).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 1808 cases with end-stage knee OA undergoing primary knee arthroplasty from May 2015 to December 2020. Based on the results of ultrasonography in lower extremities, all patients were divided into non-DVT group and DVT group. Distribution of risk factors and risk levels were compared using χ² test between two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors and relationship of risk levels and preoperative DVT.

Results

The incidence of preoperative DVT was 5.53% (n = 100). Distribution of the study population by risk level was low, 4.09%; moderate, 23.95%; high, 66.98%; and highest 4.98%. Female (P = 0.002), age (P = 0.012), swollen legs (P = 0.035) and history of blood clots (P < 0.001) was correlated with preoperative DVT. Difference among four risk levels was significant (P = 0.007). Patients with highest risk level had statistically significant association with preoperative DVT (P = 0.005, OR = 2.93, 95%CI [1.375–6.246]).

Conclusion

The incidence of preoperative DVT was 5.53% in end-stage knee OA patients. The gender (female) and age were independent risk factors for preoperative DVT. The risk group classification by Caprini RAM was significantly associated with preoperative DVT. The usage of Caprini RAM before knee arthroplasty may be beneficial for prophylaxis of DVT.

Role of Physical Therapists in the Management of Individuals at Risk for or Diagnosed With Venous Thromboembolism: Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guideline 2022

No matter the practice setting, physical therapists work with patients who are at risk for or who have a history of venous thromboembolism (VTE). In 2016, the first clinical practice guideline (CPG) addressing the physical therapist management of VTE was published with support by the American Physical Therapy Association's Academy of Cardiovascular and Pulmonary Physical Therapy and Academy of Acute Care, with a primary focus on lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT). This CPG is an update of the 2016 CPG and contains the most current evidence available for the management of patients with lower extremity DVT and new key action statements (KAS), including guidance on upper extremity DVT, pulmonary embolism, and special populations. This document will guide physical therapist practice in the prevention of and screening for VTE and in the management of patients who are at risk for or who have been diagnosed with VTE. Through a systematic review of published studies and a structured appraisal process, KAS were written to guide the physical therapist. The evidence supporting each action was rated, and the strength of statement was determined. Clinical practice algorithms based on the KAS were developed that can assist with clinical decision-making. Physical therapists, along with other members of the health care team, should implement these KAS to decrease the incidence of VTE, improve the diagnosis and acute management of VTE, and reduce the long-term complications of VTE.

Patient-Completed Caprini Risk Score for Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment: Developed and Validated from 1,017 Medical and Surgical Patients

Background The Caprini Risk Score (CRS) is one of the most widely used risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism (VTE). A well-validated patient-completed CRS form may allow patients to self-report and simplify the evaluation by health care workers.

Methods The Chinese version of the CRS was optimized for easy understanding in a pilot study. The amended CRS form was completed by prospectively recruited patients and blinded nurses. The agreement levels of the individual questions and the total scores of patient and nurse-completed forms were compared using the Kappa value. The total scores were used for risk stratification of patients. Correlation and differences between patient and nurse-completed forms were analyzed using the Spearman correlation and Bland–Altman method, respectively.

Results We recruited 504 medical patients and 513 surgical patients, aged 52.7 ± 16.3 years, of which 443 (43.6%) were men, and 91.6% of the patients were educated beyond junior high school. The patients spent less time to complete the form compared with trained nurses. There was good question-to-question agreement between patient and nurse-completed CRS (k >0.6 for most questions, p < 0.0001). The total scores also showed good agreement (k = 0.6097, p < 0.0001), and enabled the classification of patients into different risk groups. The patient and nurse-derived scores were highly correlated (Spearman's r = 0.84), and without extreme values (p < 0.0001).

Conclusion We have created and verified a Chinese version of the patient-completed CRS, which showed good agreement and correlation with nurse-completed CRS. CRS represents a suitable tool for VTE risk assessment of hospitalized patients in China.

Do no harm: the role of perioperative heparin in urethroplasty

OBJECTIVE

To examine the safety of single modality mechanical venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis in patients undergoing urethroplasty. VTE is a perioperative complication with significant morbidity. Routine use of peri-operative VTE prophylaxis is common guideline-driven practice across multiple surgical specialties. There is a discrepancy between guideline recommendations and clinical practice in the administration of peri-operative low-dose unfractionated heparin (LDUH) for urethroplasty.

METHODS

Patients were identified from an IRB-approved database of patients undergoing urethral reconstruction by a single surgeon at MedStar Washington Hospital Center from 2012 to 2020. All patients had sequential compression devices (SCD) prior to anesthesia induction. Select patients received LDUH as dual prophylaxis. Primary endpoint was perioperative VTE within 30 days.

RESULTS

We identified 345 patients who met inclusion criteria. Sixty-nine patients received peri-operative LDUH. One patient had a deep vein thrombosis in the SCD only group.

CONCLUSION

Routine LDUH administration likely overtreats men undergoing urethroplasty. There may be a subset of men in whom dual prophylaxis with LDUH and SCD is beneficial for prevention of VTE. Current guidelines do not offer adequate criteria to identify these men. We offer clinical considerations to help guide further study to identify these patients.

Morbidly Obese Patients Undergoing Primary Total Joint Arthroplasty May Experience Higher Rates of Venous Thromboembolism When Prescribed Direct Oral Anticoagulants vs Aspirin

BACKGROUND

Morbidly obese (body mass index [BMI] >40 kg/m²) patients undergoing total joint arthroplasty (TJA) are at high risk for postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE); however, there is debate surrounding the optimal pharmacologic agent for prevention of VTE after TJA in this patient subset. Current guidelines recommend against direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients of BMI >40 kg/m² due to low quality evidence justifying their use. We evaluated whether patients of BMI >40 kg/m² undergoing primary unilateral TJA would have increased risk of postoperative VTE if prescribed DOACs compared to non-DOAC agents such as aspirin.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed 897 patients of BMI >40 kg/m² undergoing primary unilateral TJA. Demographic and comorbidity-related variables were collected. The association between postoperative VTE and prophylactic pharmacologic agent prescribed was evaluated by multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

After controlling for comorbidities, we found that the sole use of DOACs, specifically apixaban, for VTE prophylaxis was associated with an increased risk of developing VTE compared to prophylaxis with aspirin alone in patients of BMI >40 kg/m² (odds ratio 2.962, P = .016). Regardless of VTE prophylactic agent, patients with BMI >40 kg/m² undergoing TKA had at least 4.5-fold increased odds of developing VTE compared to patients undergoing THA (OR 4.830, P = .019).

CONCLUSION

In our retrospective study of a large sample size of patients with BMI >40 kg/m², we found that the use of DOACs, specifically apixaban, for VTE prophylaxis following TJA was associated with increased odds of a VTE complication compared to the use of aspirin alone.

Effectiveness of the self-fatigue assessment in guiding early postoperative ambulation in gynaecological oncology patients: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) guidelines strongly recommends that patients be in early postoperative ambulation within 24 hours. This study aims to assess the effectiveness and safety of the self-fatigue assessment method to guide patients' early postoperative ambulation.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a single-centre, randomised, open, parallel-controlled trial. Five hundred and fifty-two patients who meet the inclusion criteria for gynaecological oncology surgery are randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to either a self-fatigue assessment group (study group) or a fixed activity distance assessment group (control group). The fixed activity distance group adopts a fixed early postoperative ambulation distance to guide the patient's activity, while the self-fatigue assessment group uses the Borg Exercise Scale to assess the patient's fatigue and stops activity when the fatigue level reaches 5-6. The primary outcome measure is the time to first postoperative flatus. Secondary outcome measures are the time to first bowel movement, the incidence of moderate to severe bloating, the incidence of bowel obstruction or venous thromboembolism, the incidence of adverse events (nausea, vomiting, dizziness), patient satisfaction, sleep quality scores, patient compliance with activities, hospital costs and days in hospital.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study was approved by the Independent Ethics Committee of Xiangyang Central Hospital affiliated with Hubei University of Arts and Sciences and registered with the China Clinical Trials Registry in May 2021. The results of the trial will be disseminated through open access peer-reviewed journals and abstracts will be submitted to relevant national and international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CTR2100046035.

Resumption of Elective Orthopaedic Surgery in the US Epicenter of COVID-19: Overcoming the Continuous Challenges

On 1 March 2020, New York State confirmed its first case of COVID-19. An explosive progression of hospitalizations ensued, and all elective surgeries were cancelled between 23 March and 13 May 2020 per federal and state mandate. Upon return to elective surgery in May, 2020, the hospital found itself navigating uncharted territory. The unpredictability of the post-pandemic environment has required the healthcare team to constantly reassess and revise processes to ensure optimal patient outcomes, as well as safe practices for staff providing perioperative care. Health care professionals must continue to remain adaptable and amenable to constant change.

Utilization of the Caprini Score for Risk Stratification of the Arthroplasty Patient in the Prevention of Postoperative Venous Thrombosis

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a serious and predictable complication following arthroplasty. It has been recognized that a strategy utilizing individualized anticoagulation choices based on patient risk stratification results in improved patient outcomes. A 2013 version of the Caprini Risk Score has previously been validated for use in total joint arthroplasty. A Caprini score of 10 or greater assesses the patient as "high risk" while 9 or less is considered "low risk." Patients scored as "low risk" for postoperative VTE receive enteric coated aspirin 81 mg twice a day for 6 weeks. Patients scored as "high risk" for VTE are prescribed apixaban. This retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess the safety and efficacy of the thromboprophylaxis treatment prescribed based on a standardized risk assessment protocol for the calendar year 2020. Patients having total hip arthroplasty, total knee arthroplasty, revision total hip arthroplasty, revision total knee arthroplasty, or bilateral arthroplasties by 13 surgeons (N = 873) were reviewed. Patients were risk assessed using the Caprini Risk Score and thromboprophylaxis was prescribed based on the score obtained. The annual rate of VTE was 0.2%. The Caprini Risk Score is an effective approach to individualize thromboprophylaxis choices after total joint arthroplasty.

Weight-Based Aspirin Dosing May Further Reduce the Incidence of Venous Thromboembolism Following Primary Total Joint Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Obesity poses a challenge to thromboembolic prophylaxis following total joint arthroplasty (TJA). The purpose of this study is to evaluate a weight-based aspirin dosing regimen for prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) following TJA.

METHODS

This is a retrospective observational study of 2403 patients who underwent primary total hip or knee arthroplasty at one institution. A weight-based aspirin dosing regimen for VTE prophylaxis was administered to 1247 patients: patients weighing ≥120 kg received 325 mg aspirin twice daily (BID) and those weighing <120 kg received 81 mg aspirin BID for 4 weeks. In total, 1156 patients in the comparison cohort received 81 mg aspirin BID. VTE and gastrointestinal bleeding events were identified through chart review at 42 days and 6 months postoperatively. A multivariable logistic regression was performed to adjust for covariates.

RESULTS

The weight-based aspirin cohort had a significantly lesser incidence of VTE at 42 days (P = .03, relative risk [RR] 0.31, 95% confidence interval 0.12-0.82) and 6 months (P = .03, RR 0.38, 95% confidence interval 0.18-0.80). There was no difference in VTE incidence between total hip arthroplasty and total knee arthroplasty cases (P = .8). There was no difference in gastrointestinal bleeding events between the cohorts at 42 days (P = .69) or 6 months (P = .92). Subanalysis of patients weighing ≥120 kg demonstrated a significant difference between the cohorts with a VTE incidence of 3.48% and 0% in the 81 mg and weight-based cohorts, respectively (P = .02).

CONCLUSION

Patients prescribed a weight-based aspirin regimen had significantly fewer VTEs after TJA compared to historical controls with an RR reduction of 69% at 6 weeks and 62% at 6 months postoperatively. This suggests the need to factor patient weight when determining postoperative VTE prophylaxis with aspirin.

An abbreviated Caprini model for VTE risk assessment in trauma

The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) is widely used to assess risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, it is cumbersome with 31 variables and poses challenges with inter-rater reliability. This study aimed to determine if an abbreviated model could perform similarly in VTE risk assessment. We performed a retrospective review of trauma patients ≥ 18 years old and admitted for over 24 h at a Level I trauma center from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2018. Demographic and clinical data were analyzed to generate Caprini scores. Using a p-value cutoff of < 0.05, the individual components of the original Caprini RAM most highly associated with VTE were identified and used to calculate an abbreviated Caprini score. Logistic regression assessed odds of inpatient VTE with the original or abbreviated Caprini RAMs. Receiver operating characteristic curves and c-statistics were generated to assess discriminatory ability. The study sample included 1279 patients. Ten risk factors were included in the abbreviated model (recent major surgery, length of surgery > 2 h, transfusion, restricted mobility > 72 h, central venous catheter, current major surgery, age, history of VTE, hip or leg fracture, and serious trauma). Compared to the original, the abbreviated model had a similar odds ratio (1.17 vs 1.07, both p-values < 0.001), c-statistic (0.747 vs 0.753), sensitivity (0.73 vs 0.76) and specificity (0.62 vs 0.61). An abbreviated Caprini RAM performs similarly to the original, may streamline workflow and allow for automation in electronic health records, potentially enhancing its use in resource limited settings.

Diagnostic Performance of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model Combined With D-Dimer for Preoperative Deep Vein Thrombosis in Patients With Thoracolumbar Fractures Caused by High-Energy Injuries

OBJECTIVE

To assess the validity of the Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) in risk stratification for deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and to investigate the diagnostic value of Caprini score combined with D-dimer in predicting DVT.

METHODS

This study involved 429 patients with thoracolumbar fractures caused by high-energy injuries between October 2016 and November 2019. All patients were treated surgically and had a mean age of 45.3 ± 11.4 years. Patients were risk-stratified using the 2013 Caprini RAM. Mechanical and chemical prophylaxis were used for DVT. Duplex ultrasound of both lower extremities was performed before surgery.

RESULTS

Of the 429 patients, 62 (14.45%) developed DVT. The incidence of preoperative DVT was correlated with Caprini score according to risk stratification(χ² = 117.4, P < 0.001). Based on the original Caprini RAM, all the patients scored in the highest risk category (score ≥5). Further substratification showed that the majority (277 of 429, 64.57%) of the patients were in the Caprini score range 7-8 and the risk of preoperative DVT was significantly higher among patients with Caprini score >10. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of Caprini score and D-dimer was 0.816 and 0.769 when Caprini score >8 or D-dimer >1.81mg/L was considered the criterion of predicting the risk of DVT. When combining the 2 variables, the area under the ROC curve can increase to 0.846.

CONCLUSIONS

The Caprini RAM is an effective and reliable DVT risk stratification tool in patients with thoracolumbar fractures caused by high-energy injuries. Caprini score >8 or D-dimer >1.81 mg/L may predict the occurrence of preoperative DVT and the Caprini score combined with D-dimer exhibit better diagnostic performance.

Prevention of venous thromboembolism with aspirin following knee surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a well-known complication following orthopaedic surgery. The incidence of this complication has decreased substantially since the introduction of routine thromboprophylaxis. However, concerns have been raised about increased bleeding complications caused by aggressive thromboprophylaxis.Attention has grown for aspirin as a safer thromboprophylactic agent following orthopaedic surgery.A systematic review using MEDLINE, Embase and Web of Science databases was undertaken to compare the effectiveness of aspirin prophylaxis following knee surgery with the current standard prophylactic agents (low molecular weight heparin [LMWH], vitamin K antagonists and factor Xa inhibitors).No significant difference in effectiveness of VTE prevention was found between aspirin, LMWH and warfarin. Factor Xa inhibitors were more effective, but increased bleeding complications were reported.As evidence is limited and of low quality with substantial heterogeneity, further research with high-quality, adequately powered trials is needed. Cite this article: EFORT Open Rev 2021;6:892-904. DOI: 10.1302/2058-5241.6.200120.

Comparison of 2013 and 2009 versions of Caprini risk assessment models for predicting VTE in Chinese cancer patients: a retrospective study

This study aimed to compare the predictive value of 2009 and 2013 version of Caprini risk assessment models (RAM) for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer patients by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. This retrospective study reviewed a total of 1439 VTE and 1439 non-VTE Chinese cancer inpatients. The baseline demographic data of these patients were recorded. 2009 and 2013 versions Caprini RAMs were applied, and cumulative risk scores were obtained by adding the scores of each risk factor. The specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of these two models were analyzed. ROC curve was drawn to calculate the area under the curve (AUC) and the Youden index. Significant differences were observed in the risk factors between VTE and non-VTE Group. The specificity and negative predictive value of 2013 version were higher than those of 2009 version (P < 0.05). No significant differences were found in the sensitivity or positive predictive value between 2009 and 2013 versions of the Caprini RAM (P > 0.05). The AUC and Youden index of 2013 Caprini RAM were significantly higher than those of 2009 Caprini RAM (P < 0.001), whereas the Youden index of the 2009 Caprini RAM at critical point 4 was higher than that at critical point 3 (0.362 vs 0.067, P < 0.05). Compared with 2009 version, 2013 version of the Caprini RAM provides a more accurate and efficacious method for the risk assessment of VTE in Chinese cancer patients.

Predicting venous thromboembolism in hospitalized trauma patients: a combination of the Caprini score and data-driven machine learning model

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication of hospitalized trauma patients and has an adverse impact on patient outcomes. However, there is still a lack of appropriate tools for effectively predicting VTE for trauma patients. We try to verify the accuracy of the Caprini score for predicting VTE in trauma patients, and further improve the prediction through machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed emergency trauma patients who were admitted to a trauma center in a tertiary hospital from September 2019 to March 2020. The data in the patient's electronic health record (EHR) and the Caprini score were extracted, combined with multiple feature screening methods and the random forest (RF) algorithm to constructs the VTE prediction model, and compares the prediction performance of (1) using only Caprini score; (2) using EHR data to build a machine learning model; (3) using EHR data and Caprini score to build a machine learning model. True Positive Rate (TPR), False Positive Rate (FPR), Area Under Curve (AUC), accuracy, and precision were reported.

RESULTS

The Caprini score shows a good VTE prediction effect on the trauma hospitalized population when the cut-off point is 11 (TPR = 0.667, FPR = 0.227, AUC = 0.773), The best prediction model is LASSO+RF model combined with Caprini Score and other five features extracted from EHR data (TPR = 0.757, FPR = 0.290, AUC = 0.799).

CONCLUSION

The Caprini score has good VTE prediction performance in trauma patients, and the use of machine learning methods can further improve the prediction performance.

Interaction Between Low-Dose Aspirin and Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs Can Compromise Aspirin's Efficacy in Preventing Venous Thrombosis Following Total Joint Arthroplasty

Total joint arthroplasty is a rapid recovery procedure with patients optimized quickly in preparation for discharge. Two significant postoperative goals are effective pain management and prevention of postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE). Low-risk patients receive aspirin 81 mg twice daily for VTE prophylaxis; this dosing regimen has been reduced over the past few years from 325 mg to 162 mg to 81 mg twice daily. Unless contraindications exist, all patients receive multimodal pain management that includes the use of celecoxib or meloxicam. Upon reduction of the aspirin dose to 81 mg twice daily, we rapidly identified 2 patients who developed a pulmonary embolus when celecoxib or meloxicam was administered concurrently with aspirin. The interaction between nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and low-dose aspirin varies among the different NSAIDs. It is also highly dependent on numerous factors, including time of administration, dose of aspirin, and both pharmacodynamics and dose of the NSAID. Real-world outcomes of concomitant administration of NSAIDs with low-dose aspirin led to increased incidence of VTE, possibly due to competitive inhibition of aspirin at platelet receptor sites. This interaction was mitigated by altering the administration times of both agents.

Resumption of Elective Orthopaedic Surgery in the US Epicenter of COVID-19

On March 1, 2020, New York State confirmed its first case of COVID-19. This state has had the largest initial mortality in the United States with more than 479,000 confirmed cases and over 25,000 deaths as of October 10, 2020. All elective surgeries in New York State were suspended on March 23, 2020, due to the national state of emergency. Syosset Hospital is a 75-bed community hospital dedicated primarily to elective surgery. During the COVID-19 surge, the hospital was converted to provide needed beds for the treatment of COVID-19 illness. In anticipation of the resumption of urgent elective procedures, this hospital became one of the two designated sites within the Northwell Health system to be “non-COVID.” Once the hospital was emptied of all inpatients, a complete and thorough cleaning and disinfection was performed on the entire building. All equipment was thoroughly decontaminated following Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidelines. In anticipation of the resumption of elective surgery, each surgeon evaluated their cancelled case list to determine patient priority, based on a scale of 1 (elective, non-urgent), 2 (semi-urgent), 3 (urgent), to 4 (highly urgent). Site-specific disaster credentialing was expedited so that emergent surgeries could be performed by surgeons located at other Northwell sites. To ensure a structured and informative onboarding process, each visiting surgeon received a “welcome” email which requested pertinent information to facilitate the surgical process. Presurgical, surgical, and postoperative protocols were revised based on federal and local guidance and regulations. Resumption of elective surgery post COVID-19 placed the hospital into uncharted territory.

Prophylaxis of Venous Thromboembolism in Ankle and Foot Surgeries

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is among the most feared complications by orthopedists both for due to its potentially lethal outcome and the uncertainties related to its prevention. Despite the vast literature on VTE prevention in major orthopedic surgeries, little is known about it in ankle and foot procedures. In orthopedics, adequate thromboprophylaxis requires a careful assessment of the thrombotic and hemorrhagic risks based on the procedure to be performed, as well as and knowledge on anticoagulant agents. The presentis review has the goal of assessing the risk of developingdiscusses VTE risk assessment, the modalities of thromboprophylaxis modalities, and the drugs used, with an emphasis on foot and ankle surgeries.

The Incidence of Venous Thromboembolism Following Pelvic and Lower Extremity Trauma Despite Adherence to Modern Prophylactic Protocols

OBJECTIVES

Describe the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with pelvic and lower extremity long bone trauma in the setting of modern prophylaxis.

DESIGN

Retrospective health-system database study.

SETTING

Multi-center health care system.

PATIENTS

Database query from 2010 to 2017 identified 11,313 adult trauma patients who received open reduction internal fixation of pelvic, acetabular, femoral neck, or intertrochanteric fractures, or received intramedullary nailing (IMN) of the femoral or tibial shaft. Patients with incomplete prophylaxis, prior history of VTE, coagulopathy, or concomitant lower extremity fracture were excluded.

INTERVENTION

Mechanical and chemical VTE prophylaxis following pelvic or lower extremity fracture fixation.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

VTE rates.

RESULTS

The overall VTE rate was 0.82% [0.39% deep venous thromboses (DVT); 0.43% pulmonary emboli (PE)]. By procedure, pelvic open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) and femoral IMN had the highest VTE rates 1.70% (0.98% DVT; 0.78% PE) and 1.33% (0.75% DVT; 0.58% PE), whereas tibial IMN had the lowest incidence of VTE 0.34% (0.17% DVT; 0.17% PE). Among hip fractures, femoral neck ORIF had a VTE rate of 0.98% (0.59% DVT; 0.39% PE), whereas intertrochanteric ORIF had lower rates of 0.59% (0.20% DVT; 0.39% PE).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite adherence to modern VTEp protocols, nonpreventable VTE occur in 0.82% of pelvic and lower extremity orthopaedic trauma patients. Incidence ranged between 0.34% and 1.70% depending on injury/fixation method with the highest rate observed in pelvis ORIF followed by femoral IMN. In the era of pay for quality performance, it is important for health systems and auditing agencies to reconcile the difference between preventable and nonpreventable VTEs.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Prevention of health care associated venous thromboembolism through implementing VTE prevention clinical practice guidelines in hospitalized medical patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients. Numerous VTE prevention clinical practice guidelines are available but not consistently implemented. This systematic review explored effectiveness of implementing VTE prevention clinical practice guidelines on VTE risk assessment and appropriateness of prophylaxis in hospitalized adult medical patients and identified the interventions followed to improve the adherence to these guidelines.

METHODS

Six electronic databases were searched for randomized controlled trials, clinical controlled trials, or pre/post evaluation studies up to January 2019. Studies identified were screened for eligibility by two reviewers independently. Data were extracted by two reviewers using a standardized form. Risk of bias was assessed using MINORS and the certainty of evidence for each outcome using the GRADE approach.

RESULTS

Of the 3537 records identified, 36 were eligible; eight studies were included for qualitative synthesis and four for meta-analysis. The meta-analysis of the studies assessing the impact of implementing VTE clinical practice guidelines favored appropriate prophylaxis (RR 1.67, 95% CI 1.41 to 1.97, 552 patients). Potential risk of bias was assessed to be low for 28% of the studies. However, using GRADE, the certainty of the evidence of all outcomes was rated very low quality.

CONCLUSIONS

The lack of randomized controlled trials in this area reduces the quality of the evidence available. The evidence from before-after studies suggests that the implementation of VTE clinical practice guidelines may increase the practice of VTE risk assessment and appropriate prophylaxis in hospitalized medical patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42018085506.

Lessons Learned: Using the Caprini Risk Assessment Model to Provide Safe and Efficacious Thromboprophylaxis Following Hip and Knee Arthroplasty

Two of the more common potential complications after arthroplasty are venous thromboembolism (VTE), which includes deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolus (PE), and excess bleeding. Appropriate chemoprophylaxis choices are essential to prevent some of these adverse events and from exacerbating others. Risk stratification to prescribe safe and effective medications in the prevention of postoperative VTE has shown benefit in this regard. The Department of Orthopaedic Surgery at Syosset Hospital/Northwell Health, which performs over 1200 arthroplasties annually, has validated and is using the 2013 version of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model (RAM) to stratify each patient for risk of postoperative VTE. This tool results in a culling of information, past and present, personal and familial, that provides a truly thorough evaluation of the patient's risk for postoperative VTE. The Caprini score then guides the medication choices for thromboprophylaxis. The Caprini score is only valuable if the data is properly collected, and we have learned numerous lessons after applying it for 18 months. Risk stratification requires practice and experience to achieve expertise in perioperative patient evaluation. Having access to pertinent patient information, while gaining proficiency in completing the Caprini RAM, is vital to its efficacy. Ongoing, real time analyses of patient outcomes, with subsequent change in process, is key to improving patient care.

Completion of the Updated Caprini Risk Assessment Model (2013 Version)

The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) has been validated in over 250 000 patients in more than 100 clinical trials worldwide. Ultimately, appropriate treatment options are dependent on precise completion of the Caprini RAM. As the numerical score increases, the clinical venous thromboembolism rate rises exponentially in every patient group where it has been properly tested. The 2013 Caprini RAM was completed by specially trained medical students via review of the presurgical assessment history, medical clearances, and medical consults. The Caprini RAM was completed for every participant both preoperatively and predischarge to ensure that any changes in the patient’s postoperative course were captured by the tool. This process led to the development of completion guidelines to ensure consistency and accuracy of scoring. The 2013 Caprini scoring system provides a consistent, thorough, and efficacious method for risk stratification and selection of prophylaxis for the prevention of venous thrombosis.