Routine CSF parameters as predictors of disease course in multiple sclerosis: an MSBase cohort study

BACKGROUND

It remains unclear whether routine cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) parameters can serve as predictors of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease course.

METHODS

This large-scale cohort study included persons with MS with CSF data documented in the MSBase registry. CSF parameters to predict time to reach confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores 4, 6 and 7 and annualised relapse rate in the first 2 years after diagnosis (ARR2) were assessed using (cox) regression analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 11 245 participants were included of which 93.7% (n=10 533) were persons with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). In RRMS, the presence of CSF oligoclonal bands (OCBs) was associated with shorter time to disability milestones EDSS 4 (adjusted HR=1.272 (95% CI, 1.089 to 1.485), p=0.002), EDSS 6 (HR=1.314 (95% CI, 1.062 to 1.626), p=0.012) and EDSS 7 (HR=1.686 (95% CI, 1.111 to 2.558), p=0.014). On the other hand, the presence of CSF pleocytosis (≥5 cells/µL) increased time to moderate disability (EDSS 4) in RRMS (HR=0.774 (95% CI, 0.632 to 0.948), p=0.013). None of the CSF variables were associated with time to disability milestones in persons with primary progressive MS (PPMS). The presence of CSF pleocytosis increased ARR2 in RRMS (adjusted R2=0.036, p=0.015).

CONCLUSIONS

In RRMS, the presence of CSF OCBs predicts shorter time to disability milestones, whereas CSF pleocytosis could be protective. This could however not be found in PPMS. CSF pleocytosis is associated with short-term inflammatory disease activity in RRMS. CSF analysis provides prognostic information which could aid in clinical and therapeutic decision-making.

Oligoclonal Band Status and Features of Radiological and Clinical Findings in Patients with Multiple Sclerosis in Lithuania

Background and Objectives: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a widely spread and debilitating disease with 2.8 million people worldwide currently affected. However, the exact pathogenesis of the disease and its progression remains incompletely understood. According to the revised McDonald criteria, cerebrospinal fluid oligoclonal bands (CSF OCBs) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) results, in conjunction with clinical presentation, remain the gold standard of MS diagnostics. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the association between CSF OCB status and features of radiological and clinical findings in patients with multiple sclerosis in Lithuania. Materials and Methods: The selection of 200 MS patients was performed in order to find associations between CSF OCB status, MRI data and various disease features. The data were acquired from outpatient records and a retrospective analysis was performed. Results: OCB positive patients were diagnosed with MS earlier and had spinal cord lesions more frequently than OCB negative patients. Patients with lesions in the corpus callosum had a greater increase in the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score between their first and last visit. Patients with brainstem lesions had higher EDSS scores during their first and last visit. Even so, the progression of the EDSS score was not greater. The time between the first symptoms and diagnosis was shorter for patients who had juxtacortical lesions than patients who did not. Conclusions: CSF OCBs and MRI data remain irreplaceable tools when diagnosing multiple sclerosis as well as prognosing the development of the disease and disability.

Breaching Brain Barriers: B Cell Migration in Multiple Sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory disease of the central nervous system (CNS) known for the manifestation of demyelinated lesions throughout the CNS, leading to neurodegeneration. To date, not all pathological mechanisms that drive disease progression are known, but the clinical benefits of anti-CD20 therapies have put B cells in the spotlight of MS research. Besides their pathological effects in the periphery in MS, B cells gain access to the CNS where they can contribute to disease pathogenesis. Specifically, B cells accumulate in perivascular infiltrates in the brain parenchyma and the subarachnoid spaces of the meninges, but are virtually absent from the choroid plexus. Hence, the possible migration of B cells over the blood-brain-, blood-meningeal-, and blood-cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) barriers appears to be a crucial step to understanding B cell-mediated pathology. To gain more insight into the molecular mechanisms that regulate B cell trafficking into the brain, we here provide a comprehensive overview of the different CNS barriers in health and in MS and how they translate into different routes for B cell migration. In addition, we review the mechanisms of action of diverse therapies that deplete peripheral B cells and/or block B cell migration into the CNS. Importantly, this review shows that studying the different routes of how B cells enter the inflamed CNS should be the next step to understanding this disease.

Cerebrospinal fluid evaluation in patients with progressive motor impairment due to critical central nervous system demyelinating lesions

Background

Elevated intrathecal immunoglobulin G (IgG; oligoclonal bands (OCBs)) or IgG in people with progressive motor impairment due to “critical” demyelinating lesions are of uncertain significance.

Objective

Compare clinical/radiological features of people with “critical” demyelinating lesion-induced progressive motor impairment with/without elevated intrathecal IgG synthesis.

Methods

A total of 133 people with progressive motor impairment attributable to “critical” demyelinating lesions (corticospinal tract location, consistent with the progressive motor deficit) were compared regarding clinical and radiological presentation with and without ≥2 unique cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) OCB and/or IgG index ≥0.85.

Results

Ninety-eight (74%) had CSF-elevated OCB and/or IgG index, higher with increased magnetic resonance imaging-lesion burden. No differences were found with/without CSF abnormalities in sex (46 of 98 female (47%) vs. 22 of 35 (63%), p = 0.11), onset-age (median 49 vs. 50 years, p = 0.5), progression from onset (62 of 98 (63%) vs. 25 of 35 (71%)), progression post-relapse (36 of 98 (37%) vs. 10 of 35 (29%), p = 0.4), and duration between demyelinating disease onset and CSF examination (30 (0–359) vs. 48 (0–323) months p = 0.7). “Critical” lesions were radiologically similar, most commonly cervical spine located (72 of 98 (74%) vs. 19 of 35 (54%), p = 0.18) both with/without CSF abnormalities.

Conclusions

People with “critical” demyelinating lesion-induced progressive motor impairment typically have elevated intrathecal IgG (OCB and/or IgG) and similar clinical and radiological presentation regardless of CSF findings, therefore representing valid presentations of progressive demyelinating disease.

IgG Index Revisited: Diagnostic Utility and Prognostic Value in Multiple Sclerosis

Objective: Early and accurate diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) remains a clinical challenge. The main objective is to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of the routinely performed immunoglobulin G (IgG) index for MS patients in the Asian population.

Methods: A retrospective study was conducted among a cohort of clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) patients in China with known oligoclonal band (OCB) status and IgG index at baseline. We first evaluated the predictive value of IgG index for OCB status. Secondly, the diagnostic utility and prognostic value of IgG index alone were tested. Lastly, we incorporated IgG index into the 2017 McDonald criteria by replacing OCB with either “IgG index or OCB” (modified criteria 1), “IgG index and OCB” (modified criteria 2), or “IgG index” (modified criteria 3). The diagnostic utility of different criteria was calculated and compared.

Results: In a CIS cohort in China (n = 105), IgG index > 0.7 forecasted OCB positivity (X² = 22.90, P < 0.001). An elevated IgG index was highly prognostic of more clinical relapses [1-year adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 1.32, P = 0.015; 2-years adjusted OR = 1.69, P = 0.013] and Expanded Disability Status Scale worsening (1-year adjusted OR = 1.76, P = 0.040; 2-years adjusted OR = 1.85, P = 0.032). Under the 2017 McDonald criteria (Positive Likelihood Ratio = 1.54, Negative Likelihood Ratio = 0.56), an IgG index > 0.7 in CIS patients increased the likelihood of developing MS within 2 years, either when OCB status was unknown (Positive Likelihood Ratio = 2.11) or with OCB positivity (Positive Likelihood Ratio = 2.11) at baseline; An IgG index ≤ 0.7, along with a negative OCB, helped rule out the MS diagnosis (Negative Likelihood Ratio = 0.53).

Conclusions: IgG index > 0.7 predicts OCB positivity at the initial attack of MS and is prognostic of early disease activity. IgG index serves as an easily-obtainable and accurate OCB surrogate for MS diagnosis in the Asian population.

Early diagnosis of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: focus on fluid and neurophysiological biomarkers

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Most patients with multiple sclerosis presenting with a relapsing-remitting disease course at diagnosis transition to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) 1-2 decades after onset. SPMS is characterized by predominant neurodegeneration and atrophy. These pathogenic hallmarks result in unsatisfactory treatment response in SPMS patients. Therefore, early diagnosis of SPMS is necessary for prompt treatment decisions. The aim of this review was to assess neurophysiological and fluid biomarkers that have the potential to monitor disease progression and support early SPMS diagnosis.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review of studies that analyzed the role of neurophysiological techniques and fluid biomarkers in supporting SPMS diagnosis using the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses statement.

RESULTS

From our initial search, we selected 24 relevant articles on neurophysiological biomarkers and 55 articles on fluid biomarkers.

CONCLUSION

To date, no neurophysiological or fluid biomarker is sufficiently validated to support the early diagnosis of SPMS. Neurophysiological measurements, including short interval intracortical inhibition and somatosensory temporal discrimination threshold, and the neurofilament light chain fluid biomarker seem to be the most promising. Cross-sectional studies on an adequate number of patients followed by longitudinal studies are needed to confirm the diagnostic and prognostic value of these biomarkers. A combination of neurophysiological and fluid biomarkers may be more sensitive in detecting SPMS conversion.

Can CSF biomarkers predict future MS disease activity and severity?

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a heterogeneous disease. With several disease modifying treatments of different mechanisms of action in use now and in development, it is important to identify reliable biomarkers to identify those higher risk MS patients in whom stronger but riskier treatments might be used, as well as to identify those for whom safer treatments of lower efficacy would be sufficient. Here we review cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood biomarkers that show promise for differentiating people with MS who are at risk for severe disease and disability from those with more benign disease. We reviewed published literature for studies reporting biomarkers with predictive value in MS. Most studies of MS CSF found the presence of oligoclonal bands (both IgG and IgM), high IgG index and high levels of kappa light chains to each be associated with worse prognosis. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) and two markers of glial activation, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and YKL-40, were higher in CSF of people with subsequent clinical progression or imaging evidence for neurodegeneration. Few reports have been made yet on the prognostic significance of blood NfL, but in one early report baseline, serum NfL (sNfL) predicted subsequent brain volume loss.

The diagnostic value of IgG index versus oligoclonal bands in cerebrospinal fluid of patients with multiple sclerosis

Background

Diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis have been developed to guide the diagnostic process. In the latest revision of the McDonald criteria, the presence of oligoclonal bands may replace the need for dissemination in time. The aim of this study is to investigate if the less time-consuming analysis of immunoglobulin G index in cerebrospinal fluid can safely predict the findings of oligoclonal bands.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of patients with multiple sclerosis at three hospitals in South-East Norway where lumbar puncture is performed routinely. We included patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis after 2005 with known oligoclonal band status and an immunoglobulin G index score.

Results

Of 1295 patients diagnosed during or after 2005, 93.8% were oligoclonal band positive at diagnosis. Of 842 multiple sclerosis patients with known immunoglobulin G index and oligoclonal band status, 93.3% were oligoclonal band positive and 76.7% had an elevated immunoglobulin G index. The positive predictive value of a high immunoglobulin G index when oligoclonal bands are positive was 99.4% (95% confidence interval 98.4–99.8%). The negative predictive value of a normal immunoglobulin G index when oligoclonal bands are negative was 26.5% (95% confidence interval 23.5–29.9%).

Conclusion

An immunoglobulin G index >0.7 has a positive predictive value >99% for oligoclonal bands. An elevated immunoglobulin G index adds diagnostic value versus oligoclonal bands and saves time in the diagnostic process.

The role of melatonin in Multiple Sclerosis

Melatonin is a neurohormone mainly produced by the pineal gland following a circadian rhythm. It is characterized as a pleiotropic factor because it not only regulates the wake-sleep rhythm but also exerts antinociceptive, antidepressant, anxiolytic, and immunomodulating properties. Recent studies suggest that dysregulation of melatonin secretion is associated with the pathogenesis of various autoimmune diseases, such as, rheumatoid arthritis (RA), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and multiple sclerosis (MS). MS is an autoimmune disorder characterized by an abnormal immune response directed against the myelin sheath in the central nervous system, demyelination, oligodendrocyte death, and axonal degeneration. Recent evidence reveals that melatonin secretion is dysregulated in MS patients, suggesting that melatonin could be a potential target for therapeutic intervention. Here, we summarize the available literature regarding the role of melatonin in immune processes relevant for experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), MS, and the current clinical trials of melatonin supplementation in MS patients.

Diagnosis and management of secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis: time for change

Identifying the transition of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) to the secondary-progressive MS form remains a clinical challenge due to the gradual nature of the transition, superimposed relapses, the heterogeneous course of disease among patients and the absence of validated biomarkers and diagnostic tools. The uncertainty associated with the transition makes clinical care challenging for both patients and physicians. The emergence of new disease-modifying treatments for progressive MS and the increasing emphasis of nonpharmacological strategies mark a new era in the treatment of progressive MS. This article summarizes challenges in diagnosis and management, discusses novel treatment strategies and highlights the importance of establishing a clear diagnosis and instituting an interdisciplinary management plan in the care of patients with progressive MS.

The Multiple Roles of B Cells in Multiple Sclerosis and Their Implications in Multiple Sclerosis Therapies

Increasing evidence has suggested that both antibody-dependent and antibody-independent functions of B cells are involved in multiple sclerosis (MS). The contrasting results of distinct B-cell targeting therapies in MS patients underscores the importance of elucidating these multiple B-cell functions. In this review, we discuss the generation of autoreactive B cells, migration of B cells into the central nervous system (CNS), and how different functions of B cells may contribute to MS disease activity and potentially mitigation in both the periphery and CNS compartments. In addition, we propose several future therapeutic strategies that may better target/shape B-cell responses for long-term treatment of MS.

Assessing the long-term effectiveness of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate in multiple sclerosis: final 10-year results from the UK multiple sclerosis risk-sharing scheme

BACKGROUND

Because multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic disease causing disability over decades, it is crucial to know if the short-term effects of disease-modifying therapies reported in randomised controlled trials reduce long-term disability. This 10-year prospective observational study of disability outcomes (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and utility) was set up, in conjunction with a risk-sharing agreement between payers and producers, to investigate this issue.

METHODS

The outcomes of the UK treated patients were compared with a modelled untreated control based on the British Columbia MS data set to assess the long-term effectiveness of these treatments. Two complementary analysis models were used: a multilevel model (MLM) and a continuous Markov model.

RESULTS

4862 patients with MS were eligible for the primary analysis (mean and median follow-up times 8.7 and 10 years). EDSS worsening was reduced by 28% (MLM), 7% (Markov) and 24% time-adjusted Markov in the total cohort, and by 31% (MLM) and 14% (Markov) for relapsing remitting patients. The utility worsening was reduced by 23%-24% in the total cohort and by 24%-31% in the RR patients depending on the model used. All sensitivity analyses showed a treatment effect. There was a 4-year (CI 2.7 to 5.3) delay to EDSS 6.0. An apparent waning of treatment effect with time was seen. Subgroup analyses suggested better treatment effects in those treated earlier and with lower EDSS scores.

CONCLUSIONS

This study supports a beneficial effect on long-term disability with first-line MS disease-modifying treatments, which is clinically meaningful. However the waning effect noted requires further study.

Searching for neurodegeneration in multiple sclerosis at clinical onset: Diagnostic value of biomarkers

BACKGROUND

Neurodegeneration occurs during the early stages of multiple sclerosis. It is an essential, devastating part of the pathophysiology. Tools for measuring the degree of neurodegeneration could improve diagnostics and patient characterization.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine the diagnostic value of biomarkers of degeneration in patients with recent clinical onset of suspected multiple sclerosis, and to evaluate these biomarkers for characterizing disease course.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 271 patients with clinical features of suspected multiple sclerosis onset and was the baseline of a prospective study. After diagnostic investigations, the patients were classified into the following disease groups: patients with clinically isolated syndrome (n = 4) or early relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (early RRMS; n = 93); patients with relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis with disease durations ≥2 years (established RRMS; n = 39); patients without multiple sclerosis, but showing symptoms (symptomatic controls; n = 89); and patients diagnosed with other diseases (n = 46). In addition, we included healthy controls (n = 51) and patients with progressive multiple sclerosis (n = 23). We analyzed six biomarkers of neurodegeneration: cerebrospinal fluid neurofilament light chain levels; cerebral spinal fluid glial fibrillary acidic protein; cerebral spinal fluid tau; retinal nerve fiber layer thickness; macula volume; and the brain parenchymal fraction.

RESULTS

Except for increased cerebral spinal fluid neurofilament light chain levels, median 670 ng/L (IQR 400-2110), we could not find signs of early degeneration in the early disease group with recent clinical onset. However, the intrathecal immunoglobin G production and cerebral spinal fluid neurofilament light chain levels showed diagnostic value. Moreover, elevated levels of cerebral spinal fluid glial fibrillary acidic protein, thin retinal nerve fiber layers, and low brain parenchymal fractions were associated with progressive disease, but not with the other phenotypes. Thin retinal nerve fiber layers and low brain parenchymal fractions, which indicated neurodegeneration, were associated with longer disease duration.

CONCLUSIONS

In clinically suspected multiple sclerosis, intrathecal immunoglobin G production and neurofilament light chain levels had diagnostic value. Therefore, these biomarkers could be included in diagnostic work-ups for multiple sclerosis. We found that the thickness of the retinal nerve fiber layer and the brain parenchymal fraction were not different between individuals that were healthy, symptomatic, or newly diagnosed with multiple sclerosis. This finding suggested that neurodegeneration had not reached a significant magnitude in patients with a recent clinical onset of multiple sclerosis.

CSF profile in primary progressive multiple sclerosis: Re-exploring the basics

Objective

The aim of this study was to report the basic cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) profile in patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS).

Methods

The results of CSF analysis from 254 patients with PPMS were collected at four university hospitals in Germany. Routine CSF parameters and different indices of intrathecal immunoglobulin synthesis were evaluated. We assessed possible correlations between the various CSF parameters and the expanded disability status scale (EDSS) both at the time of lumbar puncture and during the course of the disease.

Results

The median cell count and albumin concentration in the CSF did not deviate from normal values. The CSF-serum albumin-quotient (Q_ALB) was elevated in 29.6% of the patients, while intrathecal immunoglobulin G (IgG) oligoclonal bands (OCBs) were detected in 91.1% of the patients. CSF-lactate levels as well as local IgM- and IgA-synthesis were correlated with the yearly disease progression rate, as assessed by EDSS.

Conclusion

We present the results of the hitherto largest and most detailed CSF biomarker profile in a cohort of 254 patients with PPMS. As reported previously, OCBs are the most sensitive marker for intrathecal IgG synthesis. CSF-lactate concentrations are positively correlated with the progression rate, which might suggest that mitochondrial dysfunction plays a relevant role in PPMS. The negative correlation between intrathecally produced IgM and IgA and disease progression may indicate their hitherto unexplored protective role.

[Is it always useful to perform lumbar puncture for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis? No]

In the absence of a specific test for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS), cerebrospinal fluid analysis (CSF) remains discussed. There are robust evidences which demonstrated that an early diagnosis of MS must be done, due to the availability of disease-modifying drugs that could influence the natural history of the disease. However, several arguments can be put forward to assert that CSF analysis is not useful for the diagnosis of MS and thus should not be realized in a systematic way. First, MRI remains the most sensitive and specific marker to validate dissemination in space and in time and CSF analysis is not recommended by the 2010 McDonald criteria. The second argument is related to the low sensitivity and specificity of abnormalities detected in CSF analysis to confirm the diagnosis of MS. Moreover, there is currently no evidence that the presence of oligoclonal bands could represent a surrogate marker on an individual prognostic way. Furthermore, lumbar puncture could be traumatic, may entail some infrequent risks and represents unnecessary expense. Thus, there are strong reasons to not recommend systematic CSF examination to diagnose MS.

Oligoclonal Bands in Cerebrospinal Fluid of Black Patients with Multiple Sclerosis

Genetic susceptibility is a well-recognized factor in the onset of multiple sclerosis (MS). The objective of this study was to determine the frequency of oligoclonal bands (OCB) restricted to the cerebrospinal fluid, in an ethnically mixed group of MS patients in the city of São Paulo, Brazil. Techniques used to detect OCB consisted of isoelectric focusing followed by immunoblotting. OCB were found in 49 (54.4%) out of 90 patients with clinically definite MS; out of the 23 brown/black patients, 17 (73.9%) were OCB+; out of the 66 white patients, 32 (48.5%) were OCB+; and the only patient yellow was OCB+ (p = 0.05). Analysis of the IgG index was also consistent with the findings, but with lower statistical significance. The data presented in our study show that the ethnic differences in MS extend to the immune response.

No prognostic value of routine cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers in a population-based cohort of 407 multiple sclerosis patients

Background

We aimed to determine the association of clinical and routine cerebrospinal fluid biochemical markers (total protein, IgG index and oligoclonal bands) with disability in multiple sclerosis and whether these biomarkers assessed at diagnosis add prognostic value.

Methods

We followed a cohort of patients included in the Multiple Sclerosis Lorraine Register (eastern France) who had a diagnosis of multiple sclerosis for at least 5 years, as well as biological markers values and MRI findings (Barkhof’s criteria). In a Cox regression model, endpoint was time to score of 4 on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) (i.e., limited time walking without aid or rest for more than 500 m).

Results

For 407 patients included, the median time from multiple sclerosis onset to EDSS score 4 was 4.5 years [2.2–7.2]. Cerebrospinal fluid total protein factor < 500 mg/L was associated with EDSS score 4 on bivariate analysis (hazard ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.46–0.95, p = 0.02). On multivariate analysis, older age at disease onset (≥50 years) and initial primary progressive course of MS but not biological markers predicted worse prognosis.

Conclusion

Routine cerebrospinal fluid biological markers at diagnosis were not prognostic factors of multiple sclerosis progression.

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interferon beta and glatiramer acetate in the UK Multiple Sclerosis Risk Sharing Scheme at 6 years: a clinical cohort study with natural history comparator

BACKGROUND

In 2002, the UK's National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) concluded that interferon beta and glatiramer acetate would be cost effective as disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for multiple sclerosis only if the short-term disability benefits reported in clinical trials were maintained. The UK Multiple Sclerosis Risk Sharing Scheme (RSS) was established to assess whether disability progression was consistent with a cost-effectiveness target of £36 000 per quality-adjusted life-year projected over 20 years. We aimed to evaluate the long-term effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of these DMTs by comparing a cohort of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis enrolled in the UK RSS with a natural history cohort from British Columbia, Canada.

METHODS

In our clinical cohort we included patients starting a DMT who were enrolled in the UK RSS who had relapsing multiple sclerosis at baseline and had at least one further clinical assessment. In our control cohort we included patients in the British Columbia multiple sclerosis database (BCMS; data collection 1980-96) who met the same eligibility criteria as for the RSS cohort. We compared disability progression at 6 years for RSS patients with untreated progression modelled from BCMS patients using continuous Markov and multilevel models. The primary outcomes were the progression ratio (treated vs untreated) measured both in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score and utility. A ratio of less than 100% for EDSS implied slower than expected progression on treatment compared with off treatment; a utility ratio of 62% or less implied that the DMTs were cost effective.

FINDINGS

5610 patients starting a DMT were enrolled in the UK RSS between Jan 14, 2002, and July 13, 2005 (72 sites), of whom 4137 were included in our clinical cohort. We included 898 BCMS patients in the control cohort who met the RSS inclusion criteria and had at least one EDSS score after baseline. RSS patients had a mean follow-up of 5·1 years (SD 1·4). Both models showed slower EDSS progression than predicted for untreated controls (Markov model, 75·8% [95% CI 71·4-80·2]; multilevel model, 60·0% [56·6-63·4]). Utility ratios were consistent with cost-effectiveness (Markov model, 58·5% [95% CI 54·2-62·8]; multilevel model, 57·1% [53·0-61·2]).

INTERPRETATION

Findings from this large observational study of treatment with interferon beta or glatiramer acetate provide evidence that their effects on disability in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis are maintained and cost effective over 6 years. Similar modelling approaches could be applied to other chronic diseases for which long-term controlled trials are not feasible.

FUNDING

Health Departments of England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland, Biogen Idec, Merck Serono, Bayer Schering Pharmaceuticals, Teva Pharmaceuticals Industries, UK National Institute of Health Research's Health Technology Assessment Programme.

Serum proteomics in multiple sclerosis disease progression

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is associated with chronic degeneration of the central nervous system and may cause permanent neurological problems and considerable disability. While its causes remain unclear, its extensive phenotypic variability makes its prognosis and treatment difficult. The identification of serum proteomic biomarkers of MS progression could further our understanding of the molecular mechanisms related to MS disease processes. In the current study, we used isobaric tagging for relative and absolute protein quantification (iTRAQ) methodology and advanced multivariate statistical analysis to quantify and identify potential serum biomarker proteins of MS progression. We identified a panel of 11 proteins and combined them into a classifier that best classified samples into the two disease groups. The estimated area under the receiver operating curve of this classifier was 0.88 (p-value=0.017), with 86% sensitivity and specificity. The identified proteins encompassed processes related to inflammation, opsonization, and complement activation. Results from this study are in particular valuable to design a targeted Multiple Reaction Monitoring mass spectrometry based (MRM-MS) assay to conduct an external validation in an independent and larger cohort of patients. Validated biomarkers may result in the development of a minimally-invasive tool to monitor MS progression and complement current clinical practices.

BIOLOGICAL SIGNIFICANCE

A hallmark of multiple sclerosis is the unpredictable disease course (progression). There are currently no clinically useful biomarkers of MS disease progression; most work has focused on the analysis of CSF, which requires an invasive procedure. Here, we explore the potential of proteomics to identify panels of serum biomarkers of disease progression in MS. By comparing the protein signatures of two challenging to obtain, but well-defined, MS phenotypic groups at the extremes of progression (benign and aggressive cases of MS), we identified proteins that encompass processes related to inflammation, opsonization, and complement activation. Findings require validation, but are an important step on the pathway to clinically useful biomarker discovery. This article is part of a Special Issue entitled: Protein dynamics in health and disease. Guest Editors: Pierre Thibault and Anne-Claude Gingras.

Body fluid biomarkers in multiple sclerosis: how far we have come and how they could affect the clinic now and in the future

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune inflammatory disease of the central nervous system, which affects over 2.5 million people worldwide. Although MS has been extensively studied, many challenges still remain in regards to treatment, diagnosis and prognosis. Typically, prognosis and individual responses to treatment are evaluated by clinical tests such as the expanded disability status scale, MRI and presence of oligoclonal bands in the cerebrospinal fluid. However, none of these measures correlates strongly with treatment efficacy or disease progression across heterogeneous patient populations and subtypes of MS. Numerous studies over the past decades have attempted to identify sensitive and specific biomarkers for diagnosis, prognosis and treatment efficacy of MS. The objective of this article is to review and discuss the current literature on body fluid biomarkers in MS, including research on potential biomarker candidates in the areas of miRNA, mRNA, lipids and proteins.

Oligoclonal free light chains in cerebrospinal fluid as markers of intrathecal inflammation. Comparison with oligoclonal IgG

AIMS

To compare the sensitivity and specificity of CSF-restricted oligoclonal IgG and free light chains as markers of multiple sclerosis and other inflammatory neurological diseases.

METHODS

196 paired CSF and serum samples were examined for oligoclonal IgG and oligoclonal free light chains. The sensitivity and specificity of the tests were calculated and optimal cut-offs for the number of CSF-restricted oligoclonal bands were then determined by analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

Optimal cut-off values were ≥5 IgG bands for multiple sclerosis, ≥4 IgG bands for inflammatory neurological disease, ≥6 free κ, and ≥2 free λ bands for both purposes. Using these cut-off values, sensitivities and specificities for multiple sclerosis were 83.8% and 91.3% for IgG, 83.8% and 81.0% for free κ, and 67.6% and 75.4% for free λ. For inflammatory neurological disease, sensitivities and specificities were 60.8% and 95.7% for IgG, 69.6% and 92.6% for free κ, and 64.8% and 86.2% for free λ.

CONCLUSIONS

Although exact cut-off values may vary according to method, reporting borderline results as positive, may compromise the specificity of the test and should be avoided.. The detection of intrathecal free light chain synthesis may be of value especially when the oligoclonal IgG test is negative or borderline, even though its specificity is slightly lower.

Anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptor encephalitis: an unusual cause of autistic regression in a toddler

Anti N-methyl-d-aspartate (NMDA) receptor encephalitis in children is associated with psychiatric changes, seizures, and dyskinesias. We present the first report of autistic regression in a toddler caused by this entity. A 33-month-old boy presented with decreased appetite, irritability, and insomnia following an upper respiratory tract infection. Over the next few weeks he lost language and social skills, and abnormal movements of his hand developed. Within a month, this patient came to fit the diagnostic criteria for autistic spectrum disorder. Upon investigation, anti-NMDA receptor antibodies were found in the boy's cerebrospinal fluid. He was treated with intravenous immunoglobulins and steroids, resulting in reacquisition of language and social skills and resolution of movements. Our case emphasizes the significance of suspecting anti-NMDA receptor encephalitis as the cause of autistic regression, even in an age group where the diagnosis of autistic spectrum disorder is typically made, and especially when presentation follows a febrile illness.

Genetic and infectious profiles influence cerebrospinal fluid IgG abnormality in Japanese multiple sclerosis patients

BACKGROUND

Abnormal intrathecal synthesis of IgG, reflected by cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) oligoclonal IgG bands (OBs) and increased IgG index, is much less frequently observed in Japanese multiple sclerosis (MS) cohorts compared with Western cohorts. We aimed to clarify whether genetic and common infectious backgrounds influence CSF IgG abnormality in Japanese MS patients.

METHODOLOGY

We analyzed HLA-DRB1 alleles, and IgG antibodies against Chlamydia pneumoniae, Helicobacter pylori, Epstein-Barr virus nuclear antigen (EBNA), and varicella zoster virus (VZV) in 94 patients with MS and 367 unrelated healthy controls (HCs). We defined CSF IgG abnormality as the presence of CSF OBs and/or increased IgG index (>0.658).

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

CSF IgG abnormality was found in 59 of 94 (62.8%) MS patients. CSF IgG abnormality-positive patients had a significantly higher frequency of brain MRI lesions meeting the Barkhof criteria compared with abnormality-negative patients. Compared with HCs, CSF IgG abnormality-positive MS patients showed a significantly higher frequency of DRB1 1501, whereas CSF IgG abnormality-negative patients had a significantly higher frequency of DRB1 0405. CSF IgG abnormality-positive MS patients had a significantly higher frequency of anti-C. pneumoniae IgG antibodies compared with CSF IgG abnormality-negative MS patients, although there was no difference in the frequency of anti-C. pneumoniae IgG antibodies between HCs and total MS patients. Compared with HCs, anti-H. pylori IgG antibodies were detected significantly less frequently in the total MS patients, especially in CSF IgG abnormality-negative MS patients. The frequencies of antibodies against EBNA and VZV did not differ significantly among the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

CSF IgG abnormality is associated with Western MS-like brain MRI features. DRB1 1501 and C. pneumoniae infection confer CSF IgG abnormality, while DRB1 0405 and H. pylori infection are positively and negatively associated with CSF IgG abnormality-negative MS, respectively, suggesting that genetic and environmental factors differentially contribute to MS susceptibility according to the CSF IgG abnormality status.

Exploring the human tear fluid: discovery of new biomarkers in multiple sclerosis

PURPOSE

Multiple sclerosis is the first cause of progressive neurological disability among young adults living in Western countries. Its diagnosis is mostly based on clinical evaluation, neuroimaging, and in some cases cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analysis, but no definitive diagnostic test exists. We proposed here that the exploration of tears from multiple sclerosis patients could lead to the discovery of new biomarkers.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Thirty multiple sclerosis patients (20% men) recruited to the Geneva University Hospitals were included in our study (mean age ± SD [years]: 42.4 ± 15.9). Twenty-five control patients (32% men) were also enrolled (mean age ± SD [years]: 42.7±15.1). Tears, CSF or blood was collected for each patient. Three independent quantitative (tandem mass tag) experiments were carried out between tears from multiple sclerosis and control patients. Protein verification was performed by Western blot on tears and CSF and by ELISA on serum samples.

RESULTS

Combined proteomics analyses provided 185 identified tear proteins. Among the differential proteins, alpha-1 antichymotrypsin was the only one to be significantly increased in the three experiments with similar ratios (ratios 1.6 to 2.5, p < 0.05). Its tear, CSF and serum elevation were further confirmed by Western blot and ELISA, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

This study supports the concept that modifications of the tear proteome can reflect biological abnormalities associated with multiple sclerosis and perhaps other inflammatory conditions affecting the CNS. In addition, alpha-1 antichymotrypsin elevation in tear fluid emerges as a promising biomarker for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis.

UK multiple sclerosis risk-sharing scheme: a new natural history dataset and an improved Markov model

OBJECTIVES

In 2002, the UK's National Institute for Health and Care Excellence concluded that the multiple sclerosis (MS) disease modifying therapies; interferon-β and glatiramer acetate, were not cost effective over the short term but recognised that reducing disability over the longer term might dramatically improve the cost effectiveness. The UK Risk-sharing Scheme (RSS) was established to ensure cost-effective provision by prospectively collecting disability-related data from UK-treated patients with MS and comparing findings to a natural history (untreated) cohort. However, deficiencies were found in the originally selected untreated cohort and the resulting analytical approach. This study aims to identify a more suitable natural history cohort and to develop a robust analytical approach using the new cohort.

DESIGN

The Scientific Advisory Group, recommended the British Columbia Multiple Sclerosis (BCMS) database, Canada, as providing a more suitable natural history comparator cohort. Transition probabilities were derived and different Markov models (discrete and continuous) with and without baseline covariates were applied.

SETTING

MS clinics in Canada and the UK.

PARTICIPANTS

From the BCMS database, 898 'untreated' patients with MS considered eligible for drug treatment based on the UK's Association of British Neurologists criteria.

OUTCOME MEASURE

The predicted Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score was collected and assessed for goodness of fit when compared with actual outcome.

RESULTS

The BCMS untreated cohort contributed 7335 EDSS scores over a median 6.4 years (6357 EDSS 'transitions' recorded at consecutive visits) during the period 1980-1995. A continuous Markov model with 'onset age' as a binary covariate was deemed the most suitable model for future RSS analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

A new untreated MS cohort from British Columbia has been selected and will be modelled using a continuous Markov model with onset age as a baseline covariate. This approach will now be applied to the treated UK RSS MS cohort for future price adjustment calculations.

The influence of disease duration, clinical course, and immunosuppressive therapy on the synthesis of intrathecal oligoclonal IgG bands in multiple sclerosis

We investigated the impact of disease duration, clinical course and immunosuppressive therapy on intrathecal IgG synthesis in multiple sclerosis (MS). Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was obtained twice, 8-10 years apart, from 20 MS patients and 26 healthy controls, and from 22 MS patients before and after two years of mitoxantrone treatment. The oligoclonal IgG band patterns changed in 15 patients at long-term follow-up, but were only influenced in 4 patients by mitoxantrone therapy. The CSF B-cell-regulating chemokine CXCL13 correlated with intrathecal IgG production suggesting a B-cell-dependence of intrathecal IgG synthesis in MS.

Oligoclonal band status in Scandinavian multiple sclerosis patients is associated with specific genetic risk alleles

The presence of oligoclonal bands (OCB) in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is a typical finding in multiple sclerosis (MS). We applied data from Norwegian, Swedish and Danish (i.e. Scandinavian) MS patients from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) to search for genetic differences in MS relating to OCB status. GWAS data was compared in 1367 OCB positive and 161 OCB negative Scandinavian MS patients, and nine of the most associated SNPs were genotyped for replication in 3403 Scandinavian MS patients. HLA-DRB1 genotypes were analyzed in a subset of the OCB positive (n = 2781) and OCB negative (n = 292) MS patients and compared to 890 healthy controls. Results from the genome-wide analyses showed that single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from the HLA complex and six other loci were associated to OCB status. In SNPs selected for replication, combined analyses showed genome-wide significant association for two SNPs in the HLA complex; rs3129871 (p = 5.7×10(-15)) and rs3817963 (p = 5.7×10(-10)) correlating with the HLA-DRB1*15 and the HLA-DRB1*04 alleles, respectively. We also found suggestive association to one SNP in the Calsyntenin-2 gene (p = 8.83×10(-7)). In HLA-DRB1 analyses HLA-DRB1*15∶01 was a stronger risk factor for OCB positive than OCB negative MS, whereas HLA-DRB1*04∶04 was associated with increased risk of OCB negative MS and reduced risk of OCB positive MS. Protective effects of HLA-DRB1*01∶01 and HLA-DRB1*07∶01 were detected in both groups. The groups were different with regard to age at onset (AAO), MS outcome measures and gender. This study confirms both shared and distinct genetic risk for MS subtypes in the Scandinavian population defined by OCB status and indicates different clinical characteristics between the groups. This suggests differences in disease mechanisms between OCB negative and OCB positive MS with implications for patient management, which need to be further studied.