The challenge of predicting blood glucose concentration changes in patients with type I diabetes

Enhanced blood glucose levels prediction with a smartwatch

Ensuring stable blood glucose (BG) levels within the norm is crucial for potential long-term health complications prevention when managing a chronic disease like Type 1 diabetes (T1D), as well as body weight. Therefore, accurately forecasting blood sugar levels holds significant importance for clinicians and specific users, such as type one diabetic patients. In recent years, Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) devices have been developed and are now in use. However, the ability to forecast future blood glucose values is essential for better management. Previous studies proposed the use of food intake documentation in order to enhance the forecasting accuracy. Unfortunately, these methods require the participants to manually record their daily activities such as food intake, drink and exercise, which creates somewhat inaccurate data, and is hard to maintain along time. To reduce the burden on participants and improve the accuracy of BG level predictions, as well as optimize training and prediction times, this study proposes a framework that continuously tracks participants' movements using a smartwatch. The framework analyzes sensor data and allows users to document their activities. We developed a model incorporating BG data, smartwatch sensor data, and user-documented activities. This model was applied to a dataset we collected from a dozen participants. Our study's results indicate that documented activities did not enhance BG level predictions. However, using smartwatch sensors, such as heart rate and step detector data, in addition to blood glucose measurements from the last sixty minutes, significantly improved the predictions.

Blood Glucose Prediction from Nutrition Analytics in Type 1 Diabetes: A Review

INTRODUCTION

Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) affects over 9 million worldwide and necessitates meticulous self-management for blood glucose (BG) control. Utilizing BG prediction technology allows for increased BG control and a reduction in the diabetes burden caused by self-management requirements. This paper reviews BG prediction models in T1D, which include nutritional components.

METHOD

A systematic search, utilizing the PRISMA guidelines, identified articles focusing on BG prediction algorithms for T1D that incorporate nutritional variables. Eligible studies were screened and analyzed for model type, inclusion of additional aspects in the model, prediction horizon, patient population, inputs, and accuracy.

RESULTS

The study categorizes 138 blood glucose prediction models into data-driven (54%), physiological (14%), and hybrid (33%) types. Prediction horizons of ≤30 min are used in 36% of models, 31-60 min in 34%, 61-90 min in 11%, 91-120 min in 10%, and >120 min in 9%. Neural networks are the most used data-driven technique (47%), and simple carbohydrate intake is commonly included in models (data-driven: 72%, physiological: 52%, hybrid: 67%). Real or free-living data are predominantly used (83%).

CONCLUSION

The primary goal of blood glucose prediction in T1D is to enable informed decisions and maintain safe BG levels, considering the impact of all nutrients for meal planning and clinical relevance.

Recent applications of machine learning and deep learning models in the prediction, diagnosis, and management of diabetes: a comprehensive review

Diabetes as a metabolic illness can be characterized by increased amounts of blood glucose. This abnormal increase can lead to critical detriment to the other organs such as the kidneys, eyes, heart, nerves, and blood vessels. Therefore, its prediction, prognosis, and management are essential to prevent harmful effects and also recommend more useful treatments. For these goals, machine learning algorithms have found considerable attention and have been developed successfully. This review surveys the recently proposed machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for the objectives mentioned earlier. The reported results disclose that the ML and DL algorithms are promising approaches for controlling blood glucose and diabetes. However, they should be improved and employed in large datasets to affirm their applicability.

Machine Learning Approach for Care Improvement of Children and Youth with Type 1 Diabetes Treated with Hybrid Closed-Loop System

Type 1 diabetes is a disease affecting beta cells of the pancreas and it’s responsible for a decreased insulin secretion, leading to an increased blood glucose level. The traditional method for glucose treatment is based on finger-stick measurement of the blood glucose concentration and consequent manual insulin injection. Nowadays insulin pumps and continuous glucose monitoring systems are replacing them, being simpler and automatized. This paper focuses on analyzing and improving the knowledge about which Machine Learning algorithms can work best with glycaemic data and tries to find out the relation between insulin pump settings and glycaemic control. The dataset is composed of 90 days of recordings taken from 16 children and adolescents. Three Machine Learning approaches, two for classification, Logistic Regression (LR) and Random Forest (RL), and one for regression, Multivariate Linear Regression (MLR), have been used for the purpose. Specifically, the pump settings analysis was performed based on the Time In Range (TIR) computation and comparison consequent to pump setting changes. RF and MLR have shown the best results, while, for the settings’ analysis, the data show a discrete correlation between changes and TIRs. This study provides an interesting closer look at the data recorded by the insulin pump and a suitable starting point for a thorough and complete analysis of them.