Effect of recurrent stroke on poor functional outcome in transient ischemic attack or minor stroke

The Role of HATCH Score in the Prediction of Ischemic Cerebrovascular Events in Patients with Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation

The presence of both atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) increases the risk of an ischemic cerebrovascular event (CVE) by roughly fivefold. The HATCH score is a score used to predict new-onset AF. Although there are some differences, it contains risk factors similar to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. Our study aimed to investigate the relationship between the HATCH score and ischemic CVE. This retrospective study obtained data from 1719 HF patients between 2015 and 2022. About 673 patients with AF were included in the study. In the univariate and multivariate Cox regressions, we found that CHA2DS2-VASc and HATCH scores were independent predictors of ischemic CVE (p = 0.001 and < p = 0.001, respectively). The ROC analysis, AUC for the CHA2DS2-VASc score was 0.884 (95% CI 0.828-0.940, Collapse

Key Words

• CHA2DS2-VASc score
• HATCH score
• atrial fibrillation
• heart failure
• ischemic stroke

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Atrial Fibrillation/complications
• Stroke/etiology
• Retrospective Studies
• Risk Assessment
• Risk Factors
• Heart Failure/complications

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Grants Collapse

Affiliation(s)

Sidar Şiyar Aydın Department of Cardiology, University of Health Sciences, Erzurum Education and Research Hospital, Erzurum, Turkey
Emrah Aksakal Department of Cardiology, University of Health Sciences, Erzurum Education and Research Hospital, Erzurum, Turkey

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Association between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, functional disability, and stroke recurrence in patients with acute ischaemic stroke: A mediation analysis

Background

Post-stroke inflammation biomarker high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) increases cerebral infarct size and results in functional disability directly, it also contributes to the formation and maturation of atherosclerotic plaques, which increase the risk of stroke recurrence and results in functional disability indirectly. However, no study has quantified how much functional disability was mediated by stroke recurrence.

Methods

Patients with acute ischaemic stroke within 7 days and admitted to 169 hospitals in the Third China National Stroke Registry were analyzed. Blood samples were collected within 24 h of admission. Stroke recurrence and functional disability (defined as a modified Rankin scale score ≥ 2) were assessed via face-to-face interviews at three months. Mediation analysis under the counterfactual framework was performed to examine the potential causal chain in which stroke recurrence may mediate the relationship between hsCRP and functional outcome. Sensitivity analyses were performed across different subgroups and on different scales of hsCRP measurement.

Findings

Of the 7603 analyzed patients (mean [SD] age, 62.3 [11.3] years; 2392 [31.5%] women), the median (interquartile range [IQR]) of NIHSS score was 3.0 (1.0–6.0). The median (IQR) level of hsCRP was 1.73 (0.81–4.38) mg/L. A total of 496 (6.5%) cases of stroke recurrence and 1884 (24.8%) cases of functional disability were observed at the 90-day follow-up. Each SD increase in the concentration of hsCRP was associated with an increased risk of stroke recurrence (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.11; 95% CI, 1.04–1.18) and disability (aOR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.08–1.20) within 90 days. Of 1884 functionally disabled patients, only 16.0 % (n = 302) of patients experienced stroke recurrence before functional disability. Stroke recurrence during follow-up explained 16.52% (95% CI, 5.79%–27.25%) of the relationship between hsCRP and functional disability. Sensitivity analyses in different subgroups and on different scales of hsCRP measurement showed comparable results.

Interpretation

Stroke recurrence mediates less than 20% of the association between hsCRP and functional disability at 90 days among patients with acute ischaemic stroke. In addition to typical secondary prevention strategies for preventing stroke recurrence, more attention should be paid to novel anti-inflammatory therapy to improve functional outcomes.

Funding

Beijing Natural Science Foundation, the National Key R&D Program of China, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, and the Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission.

Preparing for a Second Attack: A Lesion Simulation Study on Network Resilience After Stroke

Background:

Does the brain become more resilient after a first stroke to reduce the consequences of a new lesion? Although recurrent strokes are a major clinical issue, whether and how the brain prepares for a second attack is unknown. This is due to the difficulties to obtain an appropriate dataset of stroke patients with comparable lesions, imaged at the same interval after onset. Furthermore, timing of the recurrent event remains unpredictable.

Methods:

Here, we used a novel clinical lesion simulation approach to test the hypothesis that resilience in brain networks increases during stroke recovery. Sixteen highly selected patients with a lesion restricted to the primary motor cortex were recruited. At 3 time points of the index event (10 days, 3 weeks, 3 months), we mimicked recurrent infarcts by deletion of nodes in brain networks (resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging). Graph measures were applied to determine resilience (global efficiency after attack) and wiring cost (mean degree) of the network.

Results:

At 10 days and 3 weeks after stroke, resilience was similar in patients and controls. However, at 3 months, although motor function had fully recovered, resilience to clinically representative simulated lesions was higher compared to controls (cortical lesion P =0.012; subcortical: P =0.009; cortico-subcortical: P =0.009). Similar results were found after random ( P =0.012) and targeted ( P =0.015) attacks.

Conclusions:

Our results suggest that, in this highly selected cohort of patients with lesions restricted to the primary motor cortex, brain networks reconfigure to increase resilience to future insults. Lesion simulation is an innovative approach, which may have major implications for stroke therapy. Individualized neuromodulation strategies could be developed to foster resilient network reconfigurations after a first stroke to limit the consequences of future attacks.

Changes in Health-Related Quality of Life After Transient Ischemic Attack

IMPORTANCE

Numerous studies have found that patients diagnosed with TIA have decreased health-related quality of life, which has been interpreted as suggesting that patients with TIA have residual symptoms after the event. Studies assessing health status in the same patients before and after an event are lacking but may allow a direct determination of the association of TIA with postevent health status.

OBJECTIVE

To examine patient-reported health before transient ischemic attack (TIA) among individuals diagnosed with this event and evaluate change in patient-reported health after the event overall and by TIA characterization subgroups.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study was conducted among 236 patients with a clinical diagnosis of TIA from October 2015 to December 2017 in a large US health system that collects a patient-reported outcome measure in ambulatory setting as part of routine care. Included patients had patient-reported global health scale assessments completed as part of routine care before and after a TIA event. Data were analyzed from March through July 2020.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome was Patient-Reported Outcome Measurement Information System Global Health (PROMIS GH) scale score before and after TIA. A change of 5 or more points in this score is considered clinically relevant. The secondary outcomes included change in patient-reported global health by clinical impression of the probability of a TIA event, pattern of neurological deficits, and short-term risk of stroke, as assessed by the ABCD2 score.

RESULTS

Among 263 patients who experienced TIA, mean (SD) age was 67.9 (13.4) years and 138 (52.5%) were women. The median (interquartile range) time between patient-reported global health scores was 152 (94-284) days. Mean (SD) baseline patient-reported global physical health and mental health scale summary scores were 43.4 (8.2) and 47.7 (9.7), respectively, and were statistically significantly decreased compared with the general population mean (SD) scores of 50 (10; P < .001) for physical and mental health. The difference between physical health summary score among study participants and the general population was clinically relevant. Mean (SD) summary scores were not statistically significantly different after the event compared with before the event overall (physical health: 44.1 [8.2], for a mean [SE] improvement of 0.65 [0.38] points; P = .09; mental health: 47.4 [9.1], for a mean [SE] worsening of 0.25 [0.38] points; P = .51) or within subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that impaired health status among patients diagnosed with TIA reflect, at least in part, an impaired premorbid state of health. This study did not find that TIA events were associated with worsening of health status overall or within subgroups.

Serum Phosphate and 1-Year Outcome in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack

Objective: To determine the association between serum phosphate level and 1-year clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack.

Methods: We included 7,353 patients with acute ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack from the China National Stroke Registry III for analysis. Participants were divided into 4 groups according to serum phosphate quartiles. Composite end point included recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, other ischemic vascular events, and all-cause mortality. Poor functional outcome is defined as modified Rankin Scale score of 3 to 6. Multivariable Cox regression or logistic regression was used to evaluate the independent association of serum phosphate with 1-year all-cause mortality, recurrent stroke, composite end point and poor functional outcome.

Results: The mean age of the included 7,353 patients was 62.5 years, and 68.6% of them were men. Plotting hazard ratios over phosphate levels suggested a U-shaped association especially for recurrent stroke and composite end point, and therefore the third quartile group was set as reference group. Compared with the third quartile of phosphate (1.06–1.20 mmol/L), the adjusted hazard ratios/odds ratios (95% CI) of the lowest quartile (<0.94 mmol/L) were 0.98 (0.67–1.42) for all-cause mortality, 1.31 (1.05–1.64) for stroke recurrence, 1.26 (1.02–1.57) for composite end point, and 1.27 (1.01–1.61) for poor functional outcome, and the adjusted odds ratio of the highest quartile (≥1.2 mmol/L) was 1.40 (1.11–1.77) for poor functional outcome.

Conclusions: Serum phosphate may be an independent predictor of stroke recurrence, composite end point and poor functional outcome after ischemic stroke.

Serum Interleukin-37 Increases in Patients after Ischemic Stroke and Is Associated with Stroke Recurrence

Background

This study seeks to assess interleukin-37 (IL-37) serum level in acute ischemic stroke and the value of predicting 3-month stroke recurrence and functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke.

Methods

From January 1, 2018, to June 30, 2019, all consecutive first-ever acute ischemic stroke patients from our hospital, China, were included. Serum samples, clinical information, and stroke severity (defined by the National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score) were collected at baseline. Serum IL-37 level was measured by the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method. Functional impairment (defined by the modified Rankin scale (mRS)) and recurrent stroke were assessed 3 months after admission. The relation of IL-37 with either clinical severity at baseline, unfavorable functional outcome, or stroke recurrence at follow-up was evaluated by logistic regression analysis, and the results were presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

Three hundred and ten stroke patients were included. The median IL-37 serum level in those patients was 344.1 pg/ml (interquartile range (IQR), 284.4-405.3 vs. control cases: 122.3 pg/ml (IQR, 104.4-1444.0); P < 0.001). At 3 months, a total of 36 (11.6%) patients had a stroke recurrence. IL-37 serum levels in those patients were higher than in those patients without stroke recurrence (417.0 pg/ml (IQR, 359.3-436.1) vs. 333.3 pg/ml (279.0-391.0)). In a logistic model adjusted for other factors, IL-37 in the highest quartile (>405.3 pg/ml) was still associated with recurrent stroke (OR = 3.32; 95%CI = 2.03–6.13; P < 0.001). IL-37 could promote the NIHSS score (area under the curve (AUC) of the IL-37/NIHSS, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.67–0.83; P < 0.001), corresponding to a difference of 0.085 (0.005). Serum IL-37 increases in patients with poor outcome, and an IL-37 in the highest quartile is related to poor outcome (OR = 4.85; 95%CI = 3.11 − 8.22; P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Serum IL-37 increased in patients after ischemic stroke and was associated with stroke recurrence events and poor stroke outcomes. Large randomized controlled trials should be carried out to confirm whether IL-37 lowering treatment improves stroke prognosis.

Novel electrocardiography parameter for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in acute ischaemic stroke patients: P wave peak time

Introduction

In this study, we aimed to investigate the usefulness of P wave peak time (PWPT), a novel ECG parameter, in patients who were diagnosed with acute ischaemic stroke (IS) and had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) on Holter monitoring.

Materials and methods

In this retrospective cohort study, we included 90 consecutive patients with acute IS who were admitted to our hospital between January 2017 and July 2019. PWPT was described as the time from the beginning of the P wave to its peak, and it was measured from leads DII and VI. The PAF diagnosis was confirmed if it was detected on the ECG during palpitation or in rhythm during the Holter recordings.

Results

In this study, 34 (37.7%) patients with acute IS were diagnosed with PAF. In multivariate analyses, the independent predictors of PAF were age, PWPT in lead VI and PWPT in lead DII (OR: 1.34, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.56; p<0.001). A receiver operating curve analysis demonstrated that area under the curve values for PWPT in lead DII for PAF were 0.88 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.95, p<0.001). The cut-off value for PWPT in lead DII in predicting PAF was 68.5 ms with a sensitivity of 82.4% and a specificity of 75.0%.

Conclusion

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to demonstrate a significant relationship between PWPT in lead DII and PAF among patients with acute IS.

Predicting the functional independence during the recovery phase for poststroke patients

BACKGROUND

Successful recovery of stroke survivors can be challenging. However, when targeted functional capacities are predicted early in the recovery phase, necessary nursing intervention can be initiated aiming at supporting the client moving forward in the rehabilitation journey.

AIMS

This study aimed to evaluate stroke self-efficacy of poststroke patients and identify the differences in stroke self-efficacy level among some relevant variables.

DESIGN

A descriptive cross-sectional design was employed to achieve the aforementioned objectives.

METHODS

A purposive sample of 207 poststroke patients who were recovering from stroke in three major teaching hospitals at Baghdad city were recruited to participate in the study. Data collection process started 3 November 2016 -15 May 2017. Inclusion criteria embraced stroke patients who were adult, have Glasgow Coma Scale score 14-15, capable of giving written or verbal consent. The modified version of the stroke self-efficacy questionnaire was used for data collection.

RESULTS

A significant statistical difference at the p-value ≤ 0.05 level, in stroke self-efficacy, was verified among subjects' age, residency, stroke incidence and patient's knowledge about his/her stroke medical diagnosis.

Inter-arm Blood Pressure Difference is Associated with Recurrent Stroke in Non-cardioembolic Stroke Patients

Recurrent stroke increases mortality and aggravates the disability of stroke patients. We hypothesized that increased inter-arm systolic blood pressure difference and inter-arm diastolic blood pressure difference would be related to recurrent stroke in non-cardioembolic stroke patients. A total of 1226 consecutive non-cardioembolic first-ever ischemic stroke patients, in whom bilateral brachial blood pressures were measured by an automated ankle-brachial index measuring device, were included in our study. Recurrent stroke was defined as newly developed neurologic symptoms with relevant lesions on brain CT and/or MRI after 7 days or hospital discharge. Inter-arm systolic and diastolic blood pressure differences ≥10 mmHg were noted in 9.7% (120/1226) and 5.0% (62/1226) of patients, respectively. During a median 24 months of follow-up, 105 (8.5%) patients experienced recurrent stroke. Patients who had inter-arm systolic blood pressure difference ≥10 mmHg showed increased risk of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio:1.77, 95% confidence interval: 1.04–3.00, p = 0.033). Moreover, inter-arm diastolic blood pressure difference ≥10 mmHg was also independently associated with increased risk of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio:2.92, 95% confidence interval: 1.59–5.34, p = 0.001). In conclusion, inter-arm blood pressure difference ≥10 mmHg may be associated with increased risk recurrent stroke in non-cardioembolic stroke patients.

The Relationship between C-Reactive Protein Level and Discharge Outcome in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

Previous studies showed that C-reactive protein (CRP), an inflammatory marker, was associated with stroke severity and long-term outcome. However, the relationship between the acute-phase CRP level and discharge outcome has received little attention. We prospectively studied 301 patients with acute ischemic stroke (over a period of two weeks) from two hospital stroke wards and one rehabilitation department in Henan, China. Patients’ demographic and clinical data were collected and evaluated at admission. Poor discharge outcome was assessed in patients at discharge using the Modified Rankin Scale (MRS > 2). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the risk factors of poor discharge outcome after adjusting for potential confounders. Poor discharge outcome was observed in 78 patients (25.9%). Univariate analyses showed that factors significantly influencing poor discharge outcome were age, residence, recurrent acute ischemic stroke, coronary heart disease, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at admission, non-lacunar stroke, time from onset of stroke to admission, CRP, TBIL (total bilirubin), direct bilirubin (DBIL), ALB (albumin), FIB (fibrinogen) and D-dimer (p < 0.05). After adjusting for age, residence, recurrent ischemic stroke, coronary heart disease, NIHSS score at admission, lacunar stroke, time from onset of stroke to admission, CRP, TBIL, DBIL, ALB, FIB and D-dimer, multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that poor outcome at discharge was associated with recurrent acute ischemic stroke (OR, 2.115; 95% CI, 1.094–4.087), non-lacunar stroke (OR, 2.943; 95% CI, 1.436–6.032), DBIL (OR, 1.795; 95% CI, 1.311–2.458), and CRP (OR, 4.890; 95% CI, 3.063–7.808). In conclusion, the CRP level measured at admission was found to be an independent predictor of poor outcome at discharge. Recurrent acute ischemic stroke, non-lacunar stroke and DBIL were also significantly associated with discharge outcome in acute ischemic stroke.