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Ayar MS, Baydın A, Ustaoglu M, Caliskan F, Erenler AK. Inferior vena cava collapsibility index and stroke volume as predictors of blood transfusion in upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the emergency department. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 39:1040-1047. [PMID: 38334062 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2023] [Revised: 12/02/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2024] [Indexed: 02/10/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM This study investigates the effectiveness of bedside ultrasonography in predicting blood transfusion requirements in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). It focuses on evaluating the inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter, IVC collapsibility index (CI), and stroke volume (SV) as ultrasonographic measures. METHODS A hundred adult patients enrolled in this prospective clinical study. The patients were divided into two groups (group 1: only saline administered group, group 2: saline and blood administered group). IVC diameter, IVC CI, and SV were measured at the time of admission and after treatment. RESULTS At the initial admission, group 1 exhibited an IVC CI of 20.4% and an SV of 65.0 mL, whereas group 2 displayed an IVC CI of 26.6% and an SV of 58.0 mL. Upon analyzing the relationship between the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) and SV, we identified a significant negative correlation (r = -0.7350; P < 0.001). Similarly, a weak negative correlation was observed between the Rockall score (RS) and SV (r = -0.4718; P < 0.001). It is worth noting that patients with UGIB require blood transfusion if their SV falls below 62.5 mL, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 89.1% and a 95% confidence interval (CI) ranging from 82.8% to 95.4%. CONCLUSION IVC CI and SV can be used as parameters to predict the need for blood transfusion in the ED in patients with UGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mustafa Selçuk Ayar
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey
| | - Ahmet Baydın
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey
| | - Müge Ustaoglu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey
| | - Fatih Caliskan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey
| | - Ali Kemal Erenler
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hitit University, Çorum, Turkey
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Radaelli F, Rocchetto S, Piagnani A, Savino A, Di Paolo D, Scardino G, Paggi S, Rondonotti E. Scoring systems for risk stratification in upper and lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Best Pract Res Clin Gastroenterol 2023; 67:101871. [PMID: 38103927 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101871] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 10/01/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023]
Abstract
Several scoring systems have been developed for both upper and lower GI bleeding to predict the bleeding severity and discriminate between low-risk patients, who may be suitable for outpatient management, and those who would likely need hospital-based interventions and are at high risk for adverse outcomes. Risk scores created to identify low-risk patients (namely the Glasgow Blatchford Score and the Oakland score) showed very good discriminative performances and their implementation has proven to be effective in reducing hospital admissions and healthcare burden. Conversely, the performances of risk scores in identifying specific adverse events to define high-risk patients are less accurate, and whether their integration into routine clinical practice has a tangible impact on patient management remains unproven. This review describes the existing risk score systems for GI bleeding, emphasizes key research findings, elucidates the circumstances in which their utilization can be beneficial, examines their constraints when considering routine clinical application, and discuss future development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Franco Radaelli
- Gastroenterology Unit, Valduce Hospital, Via Dante 10, 22100, Como, Italy.
| | - Simone Rocchetto
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Milan, Via Festa del Perdono, 7, 20122, Milan, MI, Italy.
| | - Alessandra Piagnani
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Milan, Via Festa del Perdono, 7, 20122, Milan, MI, Italy.
| | - Alberto Savino
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano- Bicocca, Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo, 1, Monza, 20126, Milan, Italy.
| | - Dhanai Di Paolo
- Gastroenterology Unit, Valduce Hospital, Via Dante 10, 22100, Como, Italy.
| | - Giulia Scardino
- Gastroenterology Unit, Valduce Hospital, Via Dante 10, 22100, Como, Italy.
| | - Silvia Paggi
- Gastroenterology Unit, Valduce Hospital, Via Dante 10, 22100, Como, Italy.
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Kim SH, Moon HS, Choi SW, Kang SH, Sung JK, Jeong HY. Comparison and validation of the Japanese score and other scoring systems in patients with peptic ulcer bleeding: A retrospective study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2023; 102:e34986. [PMID: 37653832 PMCID: PMC10470669 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000034986] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2023] [Revised: 08/05/2023] [Accepted: 08/07/2023] [Indexed: 09/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is one of the most urgent medical conditions, with peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB) accounting for most gastrointestinal bleeding cases. The Japanese scoring system was developed to predict the probability of intervention in patients with UGIB, and it is more effective than other scoring systems, according to several studies. This study aimed to verify whether the Japanese scoring system is better than other scoring systems in predicting the probability of intervention when limited to PUB in patients with UGIB. We enrolled patients who presented with symptoms of UGIB and were diagnosed with peptic ulcers using endoscopy. The performances of the scoring systems in predicting patient outcomes were validated and compared using the receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. Additionally, we used the chi-square test, Fisher exact test, and the t test to analyze the association between the patients characteristics and clinical outcomes. Of the 1228 patients diagnosed with peptic ulcers, 90.6% underwent endoscopy. rebleeding occurred in 12.5% of the patients, and 2.5% of the patients died within 30 days. The Japanese score was the most effective in predicting the need for endoscopic intervention for PUB. Sex, systolic blood pressure, hematemesis, syncope, blood urea nitrogen level, and the American Society of Anesthesiologists score were predictive factors for the probability of endoscopic intervention in patients with PUB. The Japanese score is an effective predictor of the probability of endoscopic intervention in patients with PUB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seong Hoon Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Daejeon Veteran Hospital, Daejeon, South Korea
| | - Hee Seok Moon
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, Daejeon, South Korea
| | - Seong Woo Choi
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, Daejeon, South Korea
| | - Sun Hyung Kang
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, Daejeon, South Korea
| | - Jae Kyu Sung
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, Daejeon, South Korea
| | - Hyun Yong Jeong
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, Daejeon, South Korea
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Liu Z, Zhang L, Li G, Bai WH, Wang PX, Jiang GJ, Zhang JX, Zhan LY, Cheng L, Dong WG. A Nomogram Model for Prediction of Mortality Risk of Patients with Dangerous Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A Two-center Retrospective Study. Curr Med Sci 2023; 43:723-732. [PMID: 37326886 DOI: 10.1007/s11596-023-2748-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to establish a nomogram model to predict the mortality risk of patients with dangerous upper gastrointestinal bleeding (DUGIB), and identify high-risk patients who require emergent therapy. METHODS From January 2020 to April 2022, the clinical data of 256 DUGIB patients who received treatments in the intensive care unit (ICU) were retrospectively collected from Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University (n=179) and the Eastern Campus of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University (n=77). The 179 patients were treated as the training cohort, and 77 patients as the validation cohort. Logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the independent risk factors, and R packages were used to construct the nomogram model. The prediction accuracy and identification ability were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C index and calibration curve. The nomogram model was also simultaneously externally validated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was then used to demonstrate the clinical value of the model. RESULTS Logistic regression analysis showed that hematemesis, urea nitrogen level, emergency endoscopy, AIMS65, Glasgow Blatchford score and Rockall score were all independent risk factors for DUGIB. The ROC curve analysis indicated the area under curve (AUC) of the training cohort was 0.980 (95%CI: 0.962-0.997), while the AUC of the validation cohort was 0.790 (95%CI:0.685-0.895). The calibration curves were tested for Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit for both training and validation cohorts (P=0.778, P=0.516). CONCLUSION The developed nomogram is an effective tool for risk stratification, early identification and intervention for DUGIB patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhou Liu
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Liang Zhang
- Department of Radiology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Guang Li
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Wen-Hui Bai
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Eastern Campus, Wuhan, 430200, China
| | - Pei-Xue Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First People's Hospital of Jingzhou, Jingzhou, 434000, China
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Gui-Jun Jiang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Ji-Xiang Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Li-Ying Zhan
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
| | - Li Cheng
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Eastern Campus, Wuhan, 430200, China.
| | - Wei-Guo Dong
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
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Morarasu BC, Sorodoc V, Haisan A, Morarasu S, Bologa C, Haliga RE, Lionte C, Marciuc EA, Elsiddig M, Cimpoesu D, Dimofte GM, Sorodoc L. Age, blood tests and comorbidities and AIMS65 risk scores outperform Glasgow-Blatchford and pre-endoscopic Rockall score in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. World J Clin Cases 2023; 11:4513-4530. [PMID: 37469720 PMCID: PMC10353516 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v11.i19.4513] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2023] [Revised: 05/14/2023] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/30/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is a life-threatening condition with high mortality rates.
AIM To compare the performance of pre-endoscopic risk scores in predicting the following primary outcomes: In-hospital mortality, intervention (endoscopic or surgical) and length of admission (≥ 7 d).
METHODS We performed a retrospective analysis of 363 patients presenting with upper GI bleeding from December 2020 to January 2021. We calculated and compared the area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs) of Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), pre-endoscopic Rockall score (PERS), albumin, international normalized ratio, altered mental status, systolic blood pressure, age older than 65 (AIMS65) and age, blood tests and comorbidities (ABC), including their optimal cut-off in variceal and non-variceal upper GI bleeding cohorts. We subsequently analyzed through a logistic binary regression model, if addition of lactate increased the score performance.
RESULTS All scores had discriminative ability in predicting in-hospital mortality irrespective of study group. AIMS65 score had the best performance in the variceal bleeding group (AUROC = 0.772; P < 0.001), and ABC score (AUROC = 0.775; P < 0.001) in the non-variceal bleeding group. However, ABC score, at a cut-off value of 5.5, was the best predictor (AUROC = 0.770, P = 0.001) of in-hospital mortality in both populations. PERS score was a good predictor for endoscopic treatment (AUC = 0.604; P = 0.046) in the variceal population, while GBS score, (AUROC = 0.722; P = 0.024), outperformed the other scores in predicting surgical intervention. Addition of lactate to AIMS65 score, increases by 5-fold the probability of in-hospital mortality (P < 0.05) and by 12-fold if added to GBS score (P < 0.003). No score proved to be a good predictor for length of admission.
CONCLUSION ABC score is the most accurate in predicting in-hospital mortality in both mixed and non-variceal bleeding population. PERS and GBS should be used to determine need for endoscopic and surgical intervention, respectively. Lactate can be used as an additional tool to risk scores for predicting in-hospital mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bianca Codrina Morarasu
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Victorita Sorodoc
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Anca Haisan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Stefan Morarasu
- Second Department of Surgical Oncology, Regional Institute of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Cristina Bologa
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Raluca Ecaterina Haliga
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Catalina Lionte
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Emilia Adriana Marciuc
- Department of Radiology, Emergency Hospital “Prof. Dr. N. Oblu”, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700309, Romania
| | - Mohammed Elsiddig
- Department of Gatroenterology, Beaumont Hospital, Dublin D09V2N0, Ireland
| | - Diana Cimpoesu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Gabriel Mihail Dimofte
- Second Department of Surgical Oncology, Regional Institute of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Laurentiu Sorodoc
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
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Alali AA, Boustany A, Martel M, Barkun AN. Strengths and limitations of risk stratification tools for patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a narrative review. Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 17:795-803. [PMID: 37496492 DOI: 10.1080/17474124.2023.2242252] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2023] [Revised: 06/09/2023] [Accepted: 07/25/2023] [Indexed: 07/28/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Despite advances in the management of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), associated morbidity and mortality remain significant. Most patients, however, will experience favorable outcomes without a need for hospital-based interventions. Risk assessment scores may assist in such early risk-stratification. These scales may optimize identification of low-risk patients, resulting in better resource utilization, including a reduced need for early endoscopy and fewer hospital admissions. The aim of this article is to provide an updated detailed review of risk assessment scores in UGIB. AREA COVERED A literature review identified past and currently available pre-endoscopic risk assessment scores for UGIB, with a focus on low-risk prediction. Strengths and weaknesses of the different scales are discussed as well as their impact on clinical decision-making. EXPERT OPINION The current evidence supports using the Glasgow Blatchford Score as it is the most accurate tool available when attempting to identify low-risk patients who can be safely managed on an outpatient basis. Currently, no risk assessment tool appears accurate enough in confidently classifying patients as high risk. Future research should utilize more standardized methodologies, while favoring interventional trial designs to better characterize the clinical impact attributable to the use of such risk stratification schemes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ali A Alali
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Kuwait University, Jabriyah, Kuwait
| | - Antoine Boustany
- Department of Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Myriam Martel
- Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Alan N Barkun
- Division of Gastroenterology, McGill University Health Center, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
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Wang X, Yang M, Xu J, Kuai Y, Sun B. Risk analysis of 30-day rebleeding in acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Arab J Gastroenterol 2023:S1687-1979(23)00033-3. [PMID: 37263819 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajg.2023.05.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/25/2022] [Revised: 04/02/2023] [Accepted: 05/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of ABC, Glasgow-Blatchford, Rockall and AIMS65 scoring systems in predicting rebleeding rate within 30 days after endoscopic treatment of acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB). PATIENTS AND METHODS A total of 93 patients with ANVUGIB were selected as the study subjects and they were divided into groups according to whether there was rebleeding in the 30 days' follow-up period. 7 patients with rebleeding within 30 days were included in the rebleeding group, and the other 86 patients without rebleeding were included in the non-rebleeding group. RESULTS By drawing ROC curve, we found that ABC scoring system had the highest accuracy (area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.65]) in predicting rebleeding within 30 days compared with the AIMS65 (0.56; P < 0.001), RS (0.51; P < 0.001), and GBS (0.61; P < 0.001). ABC scoring system showed the highest risk of rebleeding in 30 days. When the 4 scoring standards were judged as medium-high risk patients, the efficacy of the ABC scoring system in predicting the risk of rebleeding at 30 days for ANVUGIB was found to be the best in diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSION Comprehensive evaluation showed that ABC score had the highest prediction accuracy. The negative differential significance of each evaluation method was great, that is, the risk of rebleeding was generally low when judged as low risk patients, while the value of predicting rebleeding was limited when judged as medium and high risk patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xu Wang
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230022, China
| | - Meiling Yang
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230022, China
| | - Jianhua Xu
- Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230032, China
| | - Yaxian Kuai
- Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230032, China
| | - Bin Sun
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230022, China.
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Orpen-Palmer J, Stanley AJ. A Review of Risk Scores within Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12113678. [PMID: 37297873 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12113678] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 05/19/2023] [Accepted: 05/23/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Upper gastrointestinal bleeding is a common medical emergency. Thorough initial assessment and appropriate resuscitation are essential to stabilise the patient. Risk scores provide an important tool to discriminate between lower- and higher-risk patients. Very low-risk patients can be safely discharged for out-patient management, while higher-risk patients can receive appropriate in-patient care. The Glasgow Blatchford Score, with a score of 0-1, performs best in the identification of very low-risk patients who will not require hospital based intervention or die, and is recommended by most guidelines to facilitate safe out-patient management. The performance of risk scores in the identification of specific adverse events to define high-risk patients is less accurate, with no individual score performing consistently well. Ongoing developments in the use of machine learning models and artificial intelligence in predicting poor outcomes in UGIB appear promising and will likely form the basis of dynamic risk assessment in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Josh Orpen-Palmer
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow G4 0SF, UK
| | - Adrian J Stanley
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow G4 0SF, UK
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Jimenez-Rosales R, Lopez-Tobaruela JM, Lopez-Vico M, Ortega-Suazo EJ, Martinez-Cara JG, Redondo-Cerezo E. Performance of the New ABC and MAP(ASH) Scores in the Prediction of Relevant Outcomes in Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12031085. [PMID: 36769733 PMCID: PMC9917936 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12031085] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2022] [Revised: 01/14/2023] [Accepted: 01/25/2023] [Indexed: 01/31/2023] Open
Abstract
Background & Aims: Several risk scores have been proposed for risk-stratification of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. ABC score was found more accurate predicting mortality than AIMS65. MAP(ASH) is a simple, pre-endoscopy score with a great ability to predict intervention and mortality. The aim of this study was to compare ABC and MAP(ASH) discriminative ability for the prediction of mortality and intervention in UGIB. As a secondary aim we compared both scores with Glasgow-Blatchford score and AIMS65. Methods: Our study included patients admitted to the emergency room of Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital with UGIB (2017-2020). Information regarding clinical, biochemical tests and procedures was collected. Main outcomes were in-hospital mortality and a composite endpoint for intervention. Results: MAP(ASH) and ABC had similar AUROCs for mortality (0.79 vs. 0.80). For intervention, MAP(ASH) (AUROC = 0.75) and ABC (AUROC = 0.72) were also similar. Regarding rebleeding, AUROCs of MAP(ASH) and ABC were 0.67 and 0.61 respectively. No statistically differences were found in these outcomes. With a low threshold for MAP(ASH) ≤ 2, ABC and MAP(ASH) classified a similar proportion of patients as being at low risk of death (42% vs. 45.2%), with virtually no mortality under these thresholds. Conclusions: MAP(ASH) and ABC were similar for the prediction of relevant outcomes for UGIB, such as intervention, rebleeding and in-hospital mortality, with an accurate selection of low-risk patients. MAP(ASH) has the advantage of being easier to calculate even without the aid of electronic tools.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rita Jimenez-Rosales
- Department of Gastroenterology, “Virgen de las Nieves” University Hospital, Avenida de las Fuerzas Armadas 2, 18014 Granada, Spain
| | - Jose Maria Lopez-Tobaruela
- Department of Gastroenterology, “Virgen de las Nieves” University Hospital, Avenida de las Fuerzas Armadas 2, 18014 Granada, Spain
- University of Granada, 18010 Granada, Spain
- Correspondence:
| | - Manuel Lopez-Vico
- Department of Gastroenterology, “Virgen de las Nieves” University Hospital, Avenida de las Fuerzas Armadas 2, 18014 Granada, Spain
| | - Eva Julissa Ortega-Suazo
- Department of Gastroenterology, “Virgen de las Nieves” University Hospital, Avenida de las Fuerzas Armadas 2, 18014 Granada, Spain
| | - Juan Gabriel Martinez-Cara
- Department of Gastroenterology, “Virgen de las Nieves” University Hospital, Avenida de las Fuerzas Armadas 2, 18014 Granada, Spain
| | - Eduardo Redondo-Cerezo
- Department of Gastroenterology, “Virgen de las Nieves” University Hospital, Avenida de las Fuerzas Armadas 2, 18014 Granada, Spain
- Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Granada, 18016 Granada, Spain
- Biosanitary Institute of Granada (ibs.GRANADA), 18014 Granada, Spain
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International Normalized Ratio-to-Albumin Ratio as a Novel Marker of Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Severity. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2022; 2022:1172540. [PMID: 36275426 PMCID: PMC9584709 DOI: 10.1155/2022/1172540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2022] [Revised: 08/15/2022] [Accepted: 09/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a potentially life-threatening gastrointestinal emergency, and effective management depends on early risk stratification. The Glasgow–Blatchford and Rockall scores are commonly used prognostic measures for UGIB, although these scoring systems are relatively difficult to apply in early emergency settings. AIMS65 with five items, albumin, international normalized ratio, mental status, systolic blood pressure, and age (>65 years), showed efficacy in predicting long-term hospitalization and mortality. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of the prothrombin time-international normalized ratio-to-albumin ratio (PTAR) in the emergency room for early UGIB risk stratification. Methods We retrospectively examined patients who visited a tertiary academic hospital's emergency department (ED) with UGIB as the chief presentation between January 2019 and December 2020. The cutoff values and diagnostic accuracies of the PTAR, Glasgow–Blatchford score, AIMS65 score, pre-endoscopy, and complete Rockall score were analyzed, and the performance of the PTAR was compared with that of other risk stratification methods. In total, 519 patients were enrolled: 163 patients were admitted in the intensive care unit (ICU) and 35 died during admission. Multiple logistic regression analyses confirmed the association of the PTAR with ICU admission and mortality. The adjusted odd ratio (aOR) of the PTAR for ICU admission care was 8.376 (2.722–25.774), and the aOR of the PTAR for mortality was 27.846 (8.701–89.116). Conclusions The PTAR measured in the ED is an independent factor related to ICU admission and mortality in patients with UGIB. Using ED blood laboratory results, which are reported relatively quickly and are easy to acquire and calculate, the PTAR can be used as a risk stratification marker in the early emergency setting.
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Sasaki Y, Abe T, Kawamura N, Keitoku T, Shibata I, Ohno S, Ono K, Makishima M. Prediction of the need for emergency endoscopic treatment for upper gastrointestinal bleeding and new score model: a retrospective study. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22:337. [PMID: 35820868 PMCID: PMC9277905 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02413-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2022] [Accepted: 07/05/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Gastrointestinal bleeding is one of the major gastrointestinal diseases. In this study, our objective was to compare Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), AIMS65 score, MAP score, Modified GBS, and Iino score as outcome measures for upper gastrointestinal bleeding. In addition, we extracted factors associated with hemostatic procedures including endoscopy, and proposed a new robust score model. Methods From January 2015 to December 2019, 675 patients with symptoms such as hematemesis who visited the National Hospital Organization Disaster Medical Center and underwent urgent upper endoscopy with diagnosis of suspected non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding were retrospectively reviewed. We evaluated the GBS, AIMS65 score, MAP score, Modified GBS, and Iino score, and assessed the outcomes of patients requiring hemostatic treatments at the subsequent emergency endoscopy. We performed logistic regression analysis of factors related to endoscopic hemostasis and upper gastrointestinal bleeding, created a new score model, and evaluated the prediction of hemostatic treatment and mortality in the new score and the existing scores. Results The factors associated with endoscopic treatment were hematemesis, heart rate, HB (hemoglobin), blood pressure, blood urea nitrogen (BUN). Based on these predictors and the partial regression coefficients, a new score named H3B2 (using the initial letters of hematemesis, heart rate, HB, blood pressure, and BUN) was generated. H3B2 score was slightly more discriminatory compared to GBS and Modified GBS (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC): 0.73 versus 0.721 and 0.7128, respectively) in predicting hemostatic treatment in emergency endoscopy. The H3B2 score also showed satisfactory prediction accuracy for subsequent deaths (AUROC: 0.6857. P < 0.001). Conclusions We proposed a new score, the H3B2 score, consisting of simple and objective indices in cases of suspected upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The H3B2 score is useful in identifying high-risk patients with suspected upper gastrointestinal bleeding who require urgent hemostatic treatment including emergency endoscopy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yoshihiro Sasaki
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan. .,Division of Biochemistry, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Nihon University School of Medicine, 30-1 Oyaguchi-kamicho, Itabashi-ku, Tokyo, 173-8610, Japan.
| | - Tomoko Abe
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan
| | - Norio Kawamura
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan
| | - Taisei Keitoku
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan
| | - Isamu Shibata
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan
| | - Shino Ohno
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan
| | - Keiichi Ono
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center, 3256 Midoricho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo, 190-0014, Japan
| | - Makoto Makishima
- Division of Biochemistry, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Nihon University School of Medicine, 30-1 Oyaguchi-kamicho, Itabashi-ku, Tokyo, 173-8610, Japan
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Renukaprasad AK, Narayanaswamy S, R V. A Comparative Analysis of Risk Scoring Systems in Predicting Clinical Outcomes in Upper Gastrointestinal Bleed. Cureus 2022; 14:e26669. [PMID: 35949732 PMCID: PMC9357970 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.26669] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2022] [Accepted: 07/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Upper gastrointestinal bleed (UGIB) is a life-threatening condition that presents as hematemesis (fresh blood), coffee-ground vomiting, or melena. Multiple scoring systems are developed to predict different clinical outcomes, which are important to managing UGIB and are essential to determining low and high-risk patients. The study aimed to compare the sensitivity and specificity of risk scoring systems and their optimum cut-off values in the assessment of UGIB. Methods The prospective cross-sectional study included patients (N = 81) with acute UGIB. Four different proposed scores [Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), AIMS65, pre-endoscopic Rockall, and full Rockall scoring system] were used for evaluating patients with UGIB. The optimum cut-off values of these risk scores were used to predict the clinical outcomes. Results The AIMS65 score [Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC): 0.91, cut-off: >1, sensitivity: 100%, specificity: 76.62%] and pre-Rockall were similar (AUROC: 0.91, cut-off: >0, sensitivity: 100%, specificity: 93.51%) at predicting mortality. The GBS (cut-off: >9, AUROC: 0.79, sensitivity: 69.23, specificity: 87.50) and AIMS65 scores (cut-off: >0, AUROC: 0.67, sensitivity: 72.31, specificity: 62.5) were good predictors of need for ICU care. Conclusion GBS was superior in predicting categorization into high risk and low risk, and endoscopic intervention, blood transfusion, and intensive care unit (ICU) care in UGIB patients. Pre-Rockall score and AIMS65 score were similar in predicting the mortality rate in UGIB.
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Evaluation of Six Preendoscopy Scoring Systems to Predict Outcomes for Older Adults with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2022; 2022:9334866. [PMID: 35136407 PMCID: PMC8818397 DOI: 10.1155/2022/9334866] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2021] [Accepted: 01/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives To compare the ability of six preendoscopic scoring systems (ABC, AIMS65, Glasgow Blatchford score (GBS), MAP(ASH), pRS, and T-score) to predict outcomes of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) in older adults. Methods This was a retrospective study of 602 older adults (age ≥ 65) presenting with UGIB at Zhongda Hospital Southeast University from January 2015 to June 2021. Six scoring systems were used to analyze all patients. Results ABC had the largest area under the curve (AUC) (0.833; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.801–0.862) and was significantly higher than pRS 0.696 (95% CI: 0.658–0.733, p < 0.01) and T-score 0.667 (95% CI: 0.628–0.704, p < 0.01) in predicting mortality. MAP(ASH) (0.783; 95% CI: 0.748–0.815) performs the best in predicting intervention and was similar to GBS, T-score, ABC, and AIMS65. The AUCs for MAP(ASH) (0.732; 95% CI: 0.698–0.770), AIMS65 (0.711; 95% CI: 0.672–0.746), and ABC (0.718; 95% CI: 0.680–0.754) were fair for rebleeding, while those of GBS (0.662; 95% CI: 0.617–0.694), T-score (0.641; 95% CI: 0.606–0.684), and pRS (0.609; 95% CI: 0.569–0.648) were performed poorly. MAP(ASH) performs the best in predicting ICU admission (0.784; 95% CI: 0.749–0.816). All the five scores were significantly higher than pRS (p < 0.05 for ABC, AIMS65 and T-score, p < 0.01 for GBS and MAP). Conclusions Mortality, intervention, rebleeding, and ICU admission in UGIB for older adults can be predicted well using MAP(ASH). ABC is the most accurate for predicting mortality. Except for rebleeding, GBS has an acceptable performance in predicting ICU admission, mortality, and intervention. AIMS65 and T-score performed moderately, and pRS may not be suitable for the target cohort.
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Franco MC, Jang S, Martins BDC, Stevens T, Jairath V, Lopez R, Vargo JJ, Barkun A, Maluf-Filho F. Risk Stratification in Cancer Patients with Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding: Comparison of Glasgow-Blatchford, Rockall and AIMS65, and Development of a New Scoring System. Clin Endosc 2022; 55:240-247. [PMID: 35052025 PMCID: PMC8995992 DOI: 10.5946/ce.2021.115] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2021] [Accepted: 08/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background/Aims Few studies have measured the accuracy of prognostic scores for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) among cancer patients. Thereby, we compared the prognostic scores for predicting major outcomes in cancer patients with UGIB. Secondarily, we developed a new model to detect patients who might require hemostatic care.
Methods A prospective research was performed in a tertiary hospital by enrolling cancer patients admitted with UGIB. Clinical and endoscopic findings were obtained through a prospective database. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to gauge the power of each score.
Results From April 2015 to May 2016, 243 patients met the inclusion criteria. The AIMS65 (area under the curve [AUC] 0.85) best predicted intensive care unit admission, while the Glasgow-Blatchford score best predicted blood transfusion (AUC 0.82) and the low-risk group (AUC 0.92). All scores failed to predict hemostatic therapy and rebleeding. The new score was superior (AUC 0.74) in predicting hemostatic therapy. The AIMS65 (AUC 0.84) best predicted in-hospital mortality.
Conclusions The scoring systems for prognostication were validated in the group of cancer patients with UGIB. A new score was developed to predict hemostatic therapy. Following this result, future prospective research should be performed to validate the new score.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matheus Cavalcante Franco
- Hospital Sírio-Libanês, Brasília, Distrito Federal, Brazil
- Correspondence: Matheus Cavalcante Franco SCES trecho 4, Brasília - DF 70200-004, Brazil Tel: +55-61-99913-2032, Fax: +55-61-99913-2032, E-mail:
| | - Sunguk Jang
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | | | - Tyler Stevens
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | | | - Rocio Lopez
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - John J. Vargo
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Alan Barkun
- Division of Gastroenterology, McGill University and the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Fauze Maluf-Filho
- Endoscopy Unit, Cancer Institute of the University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
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Bardakcı O, Sıddıkoğlu D, Akdur G, Şimşek G, Atalay Ü, Das M, Akdur O, Beyazit Y. Prediction of adverse outcomes using non-endoscopic scoring systems in patients over 80 years of age who present with the upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the emergency department. ULUS TRAVMA ACIL CER 2022; 28:39-47. [PMID: 34967427 PMCID: PMC10443161 DOI: 10.14744/tjtes.2020.27810] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2020] [Accepted: 10/01/2020] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The emergency department (ED) admission rate for elderly patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is increasing. The AIMS65 and Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) are two distinct scoring systems proposed to predict in-hospital and post-discharge mortality, length of stay (LOS), and health-related costs in these patients. The objective of the present study is to evaluate the accuracy of these scoring systems, in conjunction with the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), to predict 30-day mortality and LOS in UGIB patients who are 80 years of age or older METHODS: A retrospective analysis was undertaken of 182 patients with non-variceal UGIB who were admitted to the ED of Canakkale Onsekiz Mart University Hospital. The AIMS65, GBS, and CCI scores were calculated and adverse patient outcomes were assessed. RESULTS The mean age of patients was 85.59±4.33 years, and 90 (49.5%) of the patients were males. The AIMS65 was superior to the GBS (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] 0.877 vs. 0.695, respectively) and CCI (AUROC 0.877 vs. 0.526, respectively) in predicting the 30-day mortality. All three scores performed poorly in predicting the LOS in hospital. The cutoff threshold that maximized sensitivity and specificity for mortality was three for the AIMS65 score (sensitivity, 0.87; specificity, 0.80; negative predictive values [NPV], 0.977; positive predictive values [PPV], 0.392), 14 for GBS (sensitivity, 0.83; specificity, 0.51; NPV, 0.923; PPV, 0.367), and 5 for CCI (sensitivity, 0.91; specificity, 0.22; NPV, 0.946; PPV, 0.145). CONCLUSION The AIMS65 is a simple, accurate, and non-endoscopic scoring system that can be performed easily in ED settings. It is superior to GBS and CCI in predicting 30-day mortality in elderly patients with UGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Okan Bardakcı
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Duygu Sıddıkoğlu
- Department of Biostatistics, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Gökhan Akdur
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Güven Şimşek
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Ünzile Atalay
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Murat Das
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Okhan Akdur
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
| | - Yavuz Beyazit
- Department of Internal Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale-Turkey
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Quentin V, Remy AJ, Macaigne G, Leblanc-Boubchir R, Arpurt JP, Prieto M, Koudougou C, Tsakiris L, Grasset D, Vitte RL, Cuen D, Verlynde J, Elriz K, Ripault MP, Ehrhard F, Baconnier M, Herrmann S, Talbodec N, Lam YH, Bideau K, Costes L, Skinazi F, Touze I, Heresbach D, Lahmek P, Nahon S. Prognostic factors associated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding based on the French multicenter SANGHRIA trial. Endosc Int Open 2021; 9:E1504-E1511. [PMID: 34540542 PMCID: PMC8445676 DOI: 10.1055/a-1508-5871] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2021] [Accepted: 05/05/2021] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and study aims Prognostic and risk factors for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) might have changed overtime because of the increased use of direct oral anticoagulants and improved gastroenterological care. This study was undertaken to assess the outcomes of UGIB in light of these new determinants by establishing a new national, multicenter cohort 10 years after the first. Methods Consecutive outpatients and inpatients with UGIB symptoms consulting at 46 French general hospitals were prospectively included between November 2017 and October 2018. They were followed for at least for 6 weeks to assess 6-week rebleeding and mortality rates and factors associated with each event. Results Among the 2498 enrolled patients (mean age 68.5 [16.3] years, 67.1 % men), 74.5 % were outpatients and 21 % had cirrhosis. Median Charlson score was 2 (IQR 1-4) and Rockall score was 5 (IQR 3-6). Within 24 hours, 83.4 % of the patients underwent endoscopy. The main causes of bleeding were peptic ulcers (44.9 %) and portal hypertension (18.9 %). The early in-hospital rebleeding rate was 10.5 %. The 6-week mortality rate was 12.5 %. Predictors significantly associated with 6-week mortality were initial transfusion (OR 1.54; 95 %CI 1.04-2.28), Charlson score > 4 (OR 1.80; 95 %CI 1.31-2.48), Rockall score > 5 (OR 1.98; 95 %CI 1.39-2.80), being an inpatient (OR 2.45; 95 %CI 1.76-3.41) and rebleeding (OR 2.6; 95 %CI 1.85-3.64). Anticoagulant therapy was not associated with dreaded outcomes. Conclusions The 6-week mortality rate remained high after UGIB, especially for inpatients. Predictors of mortality underlined the weight of comorbidities on outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vincent Quentin
- Department of Gastroenterology, Centre Hospitalier (CH) de Saint-Brieuc, Saint-Brieuc, France
| | - André-Jean Remy
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Perpignan, Perpignan, France
| | - Gilles Macaigne
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Marne-la-Vallée, Marne-la-Vallée, France
| | | | | | - Marc Prieto
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Meaux, Meaux, France
| | - Carelle Koudougou
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de La Roche-sur-Yon, La Roche-sur-Yon, France
| | | | - Denis Grasset
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Vannes, Vannes, France
| | | | - David Cuen
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Saint-Malo, Saint-Malo, France
| | | | - Khaldoun Elriz
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Corbeil, Corbeil, France
| | | | - Florent Ehrhard
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Lorient, Lorient, France
| | | | - Sofia Herrmann
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH d’Orléans, Orléans, France
| | | | - You-Heng Lam
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Cholet, Cholet, France
| | - Karine Bideau
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Quimper, Quimper, France
| | - Laurent Costes
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Créteil, Créteil, France
| | - Florence Skinazi
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Saint-Denis, Saint-Denis, France
| | - Ivan Touze
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Lens, Lens, France
| | - Denis Heresbach
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Pontivy, Pontivy, France
| | - Pierre Lahmek
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Limeil-Brévannes, Limeil-Brévannes, France
| | - Stéphane Nahon
- Department of Gastroenterology, CH de Montfermeil, Montfermeil, France
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Chen L, Zheng H, Wang S. Prediction model of emergency mortality risk in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a retrospective study. PeerJ 2021; 9:e11656. [PMID: 34221734 PMCID: PMC8236237 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.11656] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2021] [Accepted: 05/31/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Upper gastrointestinal bleeding is a common presentation in emergency departments and carries significant morbidity worldwide. It is paramount that treating physicians have access to tools that can effectively evaluate the patient risk, allowing quick and effective treatments to ultimately improve their prognosis. This study aims to establish a mortality risk assessment model for patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding at an emergency department. Methods A total of 991 patients presenting with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding between July 2016 and June 2019 were enrolled in this retrospective single-center cohort study. Patient demographics, parameters assessed at admission, laboratory test, and clinical interventions were extracted. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to identify predictors for establishing a nomogram for death in the emergency department or within 24 h after leaving the emergency department and a corresponding nomogram. The area under the curve of the model was calculated. A bootstrap resampling method was used to internal validation, and decision curve analysis was applied for evaluate the clinical utility of the model. We also compared our predictive model with other prognostic models, such as AIMS65, Glasgow-Blatchford bleeding score, modified Glasgow-Blatchford bleeding score, and Pre-Endoscopic Rockall Score. Results Among 991 patients, 41 (4.14%) died in the emergency department or within 24 h after leaving the emergency department. Five non-zero coefficient variables (transfusion of plasma, D-dimer, albumin, potassium, age) were filtered by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis and used to establish a predictive model. The area under the curve for the model was 0.847 (95% confidence interval [0.794–0.900]), which is higher than that of previous models for mortality of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The decision curve analysis indicated the clinical usefulness of the model. Conclusions The nomogram based on transfusion of plasma, D-dimer, albumin, potassium, and age effectively assessed the prognosis of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding presenting at the emergency department.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lan Chen
- Nursing Education Department, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua Municipal Central Hospital, Jinhua, ZheJiang, China
| | - Han Zheng
- Emergency Department, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua Municipal Central Hospital, Jinhua, ZheJiang, China
| | - Saibin Wang
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua Municipal Central Hospital, Jinhua, ZheJiang, China
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CORTEGOSO VALDIVIA P, RIZZA S, GESUALDO M. How to predict endoscopic approach for non-variceal gastrointestinal bleeding in patients hospitalized for other causes: an update from Israel. Panminerva Med 2021; 62:189-190. [DOI: 10.23736/s0031-0808.20.03993-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
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Glasgow-Blatchford Score Predicts Post-Discharge Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure. J Clin Med 2020; 9:jcm9124083. [PMID: 33348860 PMCID: PMC7766138 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9124083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2020] [Revised: 12/09/2020] [Accepted: 12/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: The Glasgow-Blatchford Score (GBS) is one of the most widely used scoring systems for predicting clinical outcomes for gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB). However, the clinical significance of the GBS in predicting GIB in patients with heart failure (HF) remains unclear. Methods and Results: We conducted a prospective observational study in which we collected the clinical data of a total of 2236 patients (1130 men, median 70 years old) who were admitted to Fukushima Medical University Hospital for acute decompensated HF. During the post-discharge follow-up period of a median of 1235 days, seventy-eight (3.5%) patients experienced GIB. The GBS was calculated based on blood urea nitrogen, hemoglobin, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, and history of hepatic disease. The survival classification and regression tree analysis revealed that the accurate cut-off point of the GBS in predicting post-discharge GIB was six points. The patients were divided into two groups: the high GBS group (GBS > 6, n = 702, 31.4%) and the low GBS group (GBS ≤ 6, n = 1534, 68.6%). The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that GIB rates were higher in the high GBS group than in the low GBS group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusted for age, malignant tumor, and albumin indicated that a high GBS was an independent predictor of GIB (hazards ratio 2.258, 95% confidence interval 1.326–3.845, p = 0.003). Conclusions: A high GBS is an independent predictor and useful risk stratification score of post-discharge GIB in patients with HF.
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Bedel C, Korkut M, Avcı A, Uzun A. Immature Granulocyte Count and Percentage as New Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Indian J Crit Care Med 2020; 24:794-798. [PMID: 33132562 PMCID: PMC7584826 DOI: 10.5005/jp-journals-10071-23563] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Aims Early identification of patients at risk of adverse outcomes may increase the survival rates in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), but this can be difficult to predict in emergencies. The aim of the study is to evaluate immature granulocyte (IG), which can be obtained from simple hemogram tests in patients with UGIB, in terms of clinical use and as a mortality marker. Materials and methods The patients diagnosed with UGIB between March 1, 2019, and September 30, 2019, were evaluated retrospectively. Demographic characteristics, causes of hemorrhage, clinical presentations, hemogram, and biochemistry values at ED admission and 30-day mortality status of the patients were examined. We divided the patients into groups according to their mortality status, and the groups were compared among themselves in terms of parameters. Results A total of 213 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included in the study. Of these patients, 139 (65.3%) were male and the mean age was 65.05 ± 16.7 years. Fifteen (7%) of them were in the nonsurvival group, while 198 (93%) were in the survival group. The efficacy of both the IG count (IGC) and IG% in predicting mortality was statistically significant (p = 0.002, p = 0.008, respectively). The sensitivity and specificity for the IGC were found as 60% and 84.4; for the IG%, they were found as 66.7% and 75.7%, respectively. Conclusion IGC and IG% are independent risk factors for the 30-day mortality status. These measurements are obtained from simple hemogram tests and may be useful for the evaluation of mortality in patients with UGIB. How to cite this article Bedel C, Korkut M, Avcı A, Uzun A. Immature Granulocyte Count and Percentage as New Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Indian J Crit Care Med 2020;24(9):794-798.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cihan Bedel
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Health Science University Antalya Training and Research Hospital, Antalya, Turkey
| | - Mustafa Korkut
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Health Science University Antalya Training and Research Hospital, Antalya, Turkey
| | - Ali Avcı
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Karaman State Hospital, Karaman, Turkey
| | - Ahmet Uzun
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Karabük University Training and Research Hospital, Karabük, Turkey
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Gastrointestinal bleeding in patients admitted to cardiology: risk factors and a new risk score. Hellenic J Cardiol 2020; 62:291-296. [PMID: 32687882 DOI: 10.1016/j.hjc.2020.07.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2020] [Revised: 07/02/2020] [Accepted: 07/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Although the early use of a risk stratification score in gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is recommended, so far there has been no risk score for GIB in patients admitted to the cardiology department. To describe the risk factors of GIB and develop a new risk score model in patients admitted to the cardiology department. METHODS A total of 633 inpatients with GIB from January 2014 to December 2018 were recruited, 4,231 inpatients with non-GIB were recruited as the control group. Multivariate logistic regression was used to describe the risk factors of GIB. A new risk score model was developed in the derivation cohort. Accuracy to predict GIB was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve in the validation cohort. RESULTS Male, coronary heart disease, hypertension, stroke, systolic blood pressure, hematocrit, plasma albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were associated with GIB. The model had a high predictive accuracy (AUROC 0.816 and 95% CI, 0.792-0.839), which was supported by the validation cohort (AUROC 0.841 and 95% CI, 0.807~0.874). Besides, the prediction of the model was better than HAS-BLED score (AUROC 0.557; 95% CI, 0.513~0.602) and CRUSADE score (AUROC 0.791; 95%CI, 0.757~0.825), respectively. Among the inpatients with a score of 0-3, 4-7, and ≥8 points, the incidence of GIB, the proportion of inpatients requiring suspended red blood cells transfusion, length of stay, and in-hospital mortality all increased gradually (P< 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Male, coronary heart disease, hypertension, stroke, systolic blood pressure, hematocrit, plasma albumin, and ALT are associated with GIB. The new risk score model is an accurate risk score that predicts GIB in patients admitted to the cardiology department.
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Chang A, Ouejiaraphant C, Akarapatima K, Rattanasupa A, Prachayakul V. Prospective Comparison of the AIMS65 Score, Glasgow-Blatchford Score, and Rockall Score for Predicting Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Variceal and Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Clin Endosc 2020; 54:211-221. [PMID: 32668528 PMCID: PMC8039743 DOI: 10.5946/ce.2020.068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2020] [Accepted: 05/07/2020] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Background/Aims This study aimed to determine the performance of the AIMS65 score (AIMS65), Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), and Rockall score (RS) in predicting outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), and to compare the results between patients with nonvariceal UGIB (NVUGIB) and those with variceal UGIB (VUGIB).
Methods We conducted a prospective observational study between March 2016 and December 2017. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed for all outcomes for comparison. The associations of all three scores with mortality were evaluated using multivariate logistic regression analysis.
Results Of the total of 337 patients with UGIB, 267 patients (79.2%) had NVUGIB. AIMS65 was significantly associated (odds ratio [OR], 1.735; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.148–2.620), RS was marginally associated (OR, 1.225; 95% CI, 0.973–1.543), but GBS was not associated (OR, 1.017; 95% CI, 0.890–1.163) with mortality risk in patients with UGIB. However, all three scores accurately predicted all other outcomes (all p<0.05) except rebleeding (p>0.05). Only AIMS65 precisely predicted mortality, the need for blood transfusion and the composite endpoint (all p<0.05) in patients with VUGIB.
Conclusions AIMS65 is superior to GBS and RS in predicting mortality in patients with UGIB, and also precisely predicts the need for blood transfusion and the composite endpoint in patients with VUGIB. No scoring system could satisfactorily predict rebleeding in all patients with UGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arunchai Chang
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hatyai Hospital, Songkhla, Thailand
| | | | - Keerati Akarapatima
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hatyai Hospital, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Attapon Rattanasupa
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hatyai Hospital, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Varayu Prachayakul
- Siriraj Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Center, Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
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Yang H, Pan C, Liu Q, Wang Y, Liu Z, Cao X, Lei J. Correlation between the Glasgow-Blatchford score, shock index, and Forrest classification in patients with peptic ulcer bleeding. Turk J Med Sci 2020; 50:706-712. [PMID: 32041384 PMCID: PMC7379461 DOI: 10.3906/sag-1906-154] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2019] [Accepted: 02/09/2020] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Background/aim To investigate the correlation between the Glasgow-Blatchford score, shock index, and Forrest classification in patients with peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB). Materials and methods A total of 955 patients with PUB were assessed using the Glasgow-Blatchford score and shock index, as well as the Forrest classification based on their gastroscopy results. The correlation between the Glasgow-Blatchford score and shock index was determined using scatter plot analysis, and the correlation between the Glasgow-Blatchford score or shock index and Forrest classification was determined using Spearman’s analysis. Results Both the Glasgow-Blatchford score and shock index showed the highest values in patients with Forrest class IIa. The Glasgow-Blatchford score was significantly higher than patients with Forrest class Ib/IIc/III (P < 0.05), and the shock index was significantly higher than patients with Forrest class Ib/IIb/III (P < 0.05). A positive correlation was observed between the Glasgow-Blatchford score and shock index, at r = 0.427 (P < 0.001). A negative correlation was observed between the Glasgow-Blatchford score and Forrest classification, at r = –0.111 (P < 0.01), and between the shock index and Forrest classification, at r = –0.138 (P < 0.01). Conclusion A moderate correlation was observed between the Glasgow-Blatchford score and shock index in patients with PUB, and the correlation between the Forrest classification and Glasgow-Blatchford score or shock index was relatively low.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hong Yang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
| | - Chen Pan
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
| | - Qi Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
| | - Yan Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
| | - Zhe Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
| | - Xian Cao
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatobiliary, The Affiliated Baiyun Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
| | - Jingjing Lei
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China
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Kim MS, Moon HS, Kwon IS, Park JH, Kim JS, Kang SH, Sung JK, Lee ES, Kim SH, Lee BS, Jeong HY. Validation of a new risk score system for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. BMC Gastroenterol 2020; 20:193. [PMID: 32552662 PMCID: PMC7301517 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-020-01346-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2019] [Accepted: 06/12/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Recently, a new international bleeding score was developed to predict 30-day hospital mortality in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). However, the efficacy of this newly developed scoring system has not been extensively investigated. We aimed to validate a new scoring system for predicting 30-day mortality in patients with non-variceal UGIB and determine whether a higher score is associated with re-bleeding, length of hospital stay, and endoscopic failure. METHODS A retrospective study was performed on 905 patients with acute non-variceal UGIB who were examined in our hospital between January 2013 and December 2017. Baseline characteristics, endoscopic findings, re-bleeding, admission, and mortality were reviewed. The 30-day mortality rate of the new international bleeding risk score was calculated using the receiver operating characteristic curves and compared to the pre-endoscopy Rockall score, AIMS65, Glasgow Blatchford score, and Progetto Nazionale Emorragia Digestiva score. To verify the variable for the 30-day mortality of the new scoring system, we performed multivariate logistic regression using our data and further analyzed the score items. RESULTS The new international bleeding scoring system showed higher receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve values in predicting mortality (area under ROC curve 0.958; [95% confidence interval (CI)]), compared with such as AIMS65 (AUROC, 0.832; 95%CI, 0.806-0.856; P < 0.001), PNED (AUROC, 0.865; 95%CI, 0.841-0.886; P < 0.001), Pre-RS (AUROC, 0.802; 95%CI, 0.774-0.827; P < 0.001), and GBS (AUROC, 0.765; 95%CI, 0.736-0.793; P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis was performed using our data and showed that the 30-day mortality rate was related to multiple comorbidities, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, albumin, syncope at first visit, and endoscopic failure within 24 h during the first admission. In addition, in the high-score group, relatively long hospital stay, re-bleeding, and endoscopic failure were observed. CONCLUSION This is a preliminary report of a new bleeding score which may predict 30-day mortality better than the other scoring systems. High-risk patients could be screened using this new scoring system to predict 30-day mortality. The use of this scoring system seemed to improve the outcomes of non-variceal UGIB patients in this study, through proper management and intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Min Seong Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Hee Seok Moon
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea.
| | - In Sun Kwon
- Clinical Trials Center, Chungnam National University Hospital, Daejeon, 34952, South Korea
| | - Jae Ho Park
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Ju Seok Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Sun Hyung Kang
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae Kyu Sung
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Eaum Seok Lee
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Seok Hyun Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Byung Seok Lee
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyun Yong Jeong
- Division of Gastroenterology, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea
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Khoury T, Darawsheh F, Daher S, Yaari S, Katz L, Mahamid M, Kadah A, Mari A, Sbeit W. Predictors of endoscopic intervention in upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients hospitalized for another illness: a multi-center retrospective study. Panminerva Med 2020; 62:244-251. [PMID: 32432444 DOI: 10.23736/s0031-0808.20.03960-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND To characterize variables that may predict the need for endoscopic intervention in inpatients admitted for several causes who during the hospitalization developed acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB). METHODS A retrospective analysis of inpatients who underwent upper gastro-intestinal endoscopy for acute NVUGIB while hospitalized for other causes from 1 January 2016 to 1 December 2017, was performed. In the primary outcome analysis, patients (N.=14) who underwent endoscopic intervention (group A) were compared to those (N.=87) who did not need for endoscopic intervention (group B). Secondary outcome analysis included patients who had significant endoscopic findings compared to those who did not have them. RESULTS Multivariate regression analysis showed that in the primary outcome analysis, two parameters were significant: the number of packed red blood cells (PRBC) units transfused (odds ratio [OR]: 1.5, P=0.01) and Rockall Score (RS) (OR: 1.4, P=0.06) with receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.7844. In the secondary outcome analysis, only the use of proton pump inhibitor drugs at admission was associated with protective effect for the development of significant endoscopic findings (odds ratio [OR]: 0.42, P=0.05) with ROC curve of 0.7342. CONCLUSIONS In hospitalized patients, in case of de novo NVUGIB, the number of PRBC units transfused and RS are predictive of significant endoscopic findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tawfik Khoury
- Department of Gastroenterology, Galilee Medical Center, Nahariya, Israel.,Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel
| | - Fares Darawsheh
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hadassah Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Saleh Daher
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hadassah Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Shaul Yaari
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hadassah Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Lior Katz
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hadassah Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Mahmud Mahamid
- Department of Gastroenterology, Sharee Zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Anas Kadah
- Department of Gastroenterology, Galilee Medical Center, Nahariya, Israel.,Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel
| | - Amir Mari
- Unit of Gastroenterology and Endoscopy, EMMS Nazareth Hospital, Nazareth, Israel - .,Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel
| | - Wisam Sbeit
- Department of Gastroenterology, Galilee Medical Center, Nahariya, Israel.,Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel
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Siau K, Hearnshaw S, Stanley AJ, Estcourt L, Rasheed A, Walden A, Thoufeeq M, Donnelly M, Drummond R, Veitch AM, Ishaq S, Morris AJ. British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG)-led multisociety consensus care bundle for the early clinical management of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Frontline Gastroenterol 2020; 11:311-323. [PMID: 32582423 PMCID: PMC7307267 DOI: 10.1136/flgastro-2019-101395] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Medical care bundles improve standards of care and patient outcomes. Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB) is a common medical emergency which has been consistently associated with suboptimal care. We aimed to develop a multisociety care bundle centred on the early management of AUGIB. Commissioned by the British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG), a UK multisociety task force was assembled to produce an evidence-based and consensus-based care bundle detailing key interventions to be performed within 24 hours of presentation with AUGIB. A modified Delphi process was conducted with stakeholder representation from BSG, Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons, Society for Acute Medicine and the National Blood Transfusion Service of the UK. A formal literature search was conducted and international AUGIB guidelines reviewed. Evidence was appraised using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation tool and statements were formulated and subjected to anonymous electronic voting to achieve consensus. Accepted statements were eligible for incorporation into the final bundle after a separate round of voting. The final version of the care bundle was reviewed by the BSG Clinical Services and Standards Committee and approved by all stakeholder groups. Consensus was reached on 19 statements; these culminated in 14 corresponding care bundle items, contained within 6 management domains: Recognition, Resuscitation, Risk assessment, Rx (Treatment), Refer and Review. A multisociety care bundle for AUGIB has been developed to facilitate timely delivery of evidence-based interventions and drive quality improvement and patient outcomes in AUGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keith Siau
- Joint Advisory Group on Gastrointestinal Endoscopy, Royal College of Physicians, London, UK,Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK,Endoscopy Unit, Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Dudley, West Midlands, UK
| | - Sarah Hearnshaw
- Department of Gastroenterology, Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
| | - Adrian J Stanley
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
| | | | - Ashraf Rasheed
- Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons of Great Britain and Ireland, London, UK,Upper GI Surgery, Royal Gwent Hospital, Newport, UK
| | - Andrew Walden
- Society for Acute Medicine, London, UK,Intensive Care Unit, Royal Berkshire NHS Foundation Trust, Reading, UK
| | - Mo Thoufeeq
- Endoscopy Unit, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK
| | - Mhairi Donnelly
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
| | - Russell Drummond
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
| | - Andrew M Veitch
- Department of Gastroenterology, Royal Wolverhampton Hospitals NHS Trust, Wolverhampton, UK
| | - Sauid Ishaq
- Endoscopy Unit, Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Dudley, West Midlands, UK,School of Health Sciences, Birmingham City University, Birmingham, West Midlands, UK
| | - Allan John Morris
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK,Endoscopy Quality Improvement Programme (EQIP), British Society of Gastroenterology, London, UK
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Redondo-Cerezo E, Vadillo-Calles F, Stanley AJ, Laursen S, Laine L, Dalton HR, Ngu JH, Schultz M, Jiménez-Rosales R. MAP(ASH): A new scoring system for the prediction of intervention and mortality in upper gastrointestinal bleeding. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 35:82-89. [PMID: 31359521 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.14811] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2019] [Revised: 07/12/2019] [Accepted: 07/26/2019] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM Risk stratification for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is recommended. However, scoring system accuracy is suboptimal, and score calculation can be complex. Our aim was to develop a new score, the MAP(ASH) score, with information available in the emergency room and to validate it. METHODS The score was built from a prospective database of patients with UGIB and validated in an international database of 3012 patients from six hospitals. Outcomes were 30-day mortality, endoscopic intervention, any intervention (red blood transfusion, endoscopic treatment, interventional radiology, surgery, or death), and rebleeding. Accuracy to predict outcomes was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS Five hundred forty-seven patients were included in the development cohort. Impaired mental status, albumin < 2.5 g/dL, pulse > 100, American Society of Anesthesiologists score > 2, systolic blood pressure < 90 mmHg, and hemoglobin < 10 g/dL were included in the score. The model had a good predictive accuracy for intervention (AUROC = 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.79-0.88) and fair for mortality (AUROC = 0.74; 95% CI: 0.68-0.81). Regarding endoscopic intervention, AUROC was 0.61 (95% CI: 0.56-0.66) in the original cohort and 0.69 (95% CI: 0.66-0.71) in the validation cohort, showing a poor performance, similar to other scores. For rebleeding, the MAP(ASH) (AUROC 0.73; 95% CI: 0.69-0.77) was similar to Glasgow Blatchford score (AUROC = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.67-0.76) but superior to AIMS65 (AUROC = 0.64; 95% CI: 0.59-0.68). CONCLUSION MAP(ASH) is a simple pre-endoscopy risk score to predict intervention after UGIB, with fair discrimination at predicting mortality. Because of its applicability, it could be an option in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eduardo Redondo-Cerezo
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital, Granada, Spain
| | - Francisco Vadillo-Calles
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital, Granada, Spain
| | - Adrian J Stanley
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
| | - Stig Laursen
- Department of Medical Gastroenterology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
| | - Loren Laine
- Section of Digestive Diseases, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.,VA Connenticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | | | - Jing H Ngu
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore
| | - Michael Schultz
- Gastroenterology Unit, Southern District Health Board, Dunedin Hospital, Dunedin, New Zealand
| | - Rita Jiménez-Rosales
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Virgen de las Nieves University Hospital, Granada, Spain
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Tham J, Stanley A. Clinical utility of pre-endoscopy risk scores in upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 13:1161-1167. [PMID: 31791160 DOI: 10.1080/17474124.2019.1698292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: Acute upper-gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB) is a common medical emergency, with an incidence of 103-172 per 100,000 in the United Kingdom (UK) and mortality of 2% to 10%. Early and accurate prediction of the severity of an AUGIB episode may help guide management, including in or outpatient management, level of care required, and timing of endoscopy. This article aims to address the clinical utility of the various pre-endoscopic risk assessment tools used in AUGIB.Areas covered: The authors undertook a literature review of the current evidence on the pre-endoscopic risk assessment scores. Additional the authors discuss the recently published novel risk assessment scores.Expert opinion: The evidence shows that GBS is the most clinically useful risk assessment score in correctly identifying very low-risk patients suitable for outpatient management. At present, research is ongoing to assess machine learning in the assessment of patients presenting with AUGIB. More research is needed but it shows promise for the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer Tham
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
| | - Adrian Stanley
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
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Kaminskis A, Ivanova P, Kratovska A, Ponomarjova S, Ptašņuka M, Demičevs J, Demičeva R, Boka V, Pupelis G. Endoscopic hemostasis followed by preventive transarterial embolization in high-risk patients with bleeding peptic ulcer: 5-year experience. World J Emerg Surg 2019; 14:45. [PMID: 31516544 PMCID: PMC6734378 DOI: 10.1186/s13017-019-0264-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2019] [Accepted: 08/29/2019] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) due to peptic ulcer disease is one of the leading causes of death in patients with non-variceal bleeding, resulting in up to 10% mortality rate, and the patient group at high risk of rebleeding (Forrest IA, IB, and IIA) often requires additional therapy after endoscopic hemostasis. Preventive transarterial embolization (P-TAE) after endoscopic hemostasis was introduced in our institution in 2014. The aim of the study is an assessment of the intermediate results of P-TAE following primary endoscopic hemostasis in patients with serious comorbid conditions and high risk of rebleeding. Methods During the period from 2014 to 2018, a total of 399 patients referred to our institution with a bleeding peptic ulcer, classified as type Forrest IA, IB, or IIA with the Rockall score ≥ 5, after endoscopic hemostasis was prospectively included in two groups—P-TAE group and control group, where endoscopy alone (EA) was performed. The P-TAE patients underwent flow-reducing left gastric artery or gastroduodenal artery embolization according to the ulcer type. The rebleeding rate, complications, frequency of surgical interventions, transfused packed red blood cells (PRBC), amount of fresh frozen plasma (FFP), and mortality rate were analyzed. Results From 738 patients with a bleeding peptic ulcer, 399 were at high risk for rebleeding after endoscopic hemostasis. From this cohort, 58 patients underwent P-TAE, and 341 were allocated to the EA. A significantly lower rebleeding rate was observed in the P-TAE group, 3.4% vs. 16.2% in the EA group; p = 0.005. The need for surgical intervention reached 10.3% vs. 20.6% in the P-TAE and EA groups accordingly; p = 0.065. Patients that underwent P-TAE required less FFP, 1.3 unit vs. 2.6 units in EA; p = 0.0001. The mortality rate was similar in groups with a tendency to decrease in the P-TAE group, 5.7% vs. 8.5% in EA; p = 0.417. Conclusion P-TAE is a feasible and safe procedure, and it may reduce the rebleeding rate and the need for surgical intervention in patients with a bleeding peptic ulcer when the rebleeding risk remains high after primary endoscopic hemostasis.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Aina Kratovska
- 1Riga East University Hospital, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Guntars Pupelis
- 1Riga East University Hospital, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,2Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
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30
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Berger M, Divilov V, Teressa G. Lactic Acid Is an Independent Predictor of Mortality and Improves the Predictive Value of Existing Risk Scores in Patients Presenting With Acute Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Gastroenterology Res 2019; 12:1-7. [PMID: 30834028 PMCID: PMC6396793 DOI: 10.14740/gr1085w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2018] [Accepted: 09/19/2018] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background There are validated clinical risk scores for risk stratifying patients presenting with acute upper gastrointestinal bleed (GIB), including Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), Pre-endoscopic Rockall score (RS-PE) and post-endoscopic complete Rockall Score (RS-C), and AIMS65. Several studies have explored the predictive value of lactic acid (LA) in the context of GI bleeding, but the prognostic role of LA and its incremental value in combination with existing clinical risk scores is not well defined. Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department of a single large academic tertiary care center from January 2014 to December 2015 with a charted diagnosis of acute GIB, inclusive of both upper and lower sources. We evaluated the independent role of LA as well as three clinical risk scores for predicting in-hospital mortality in these patients. Results Out of 704 patients admitted with acute GI bleeding, 366 patients had LA measured on presentation to the emergency department. The mean LA level, GBS, RS-PE and RS-C were found to be significantly higher in non-survivors, while there was no difference in the mean AIMS65 score between survivors and non-survivors. A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that LA level was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. The area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operator characteristic for RS-C, RS-PE, and GBS were 0.742, 0.675, and 0.652, respectively. When integrating LA into the above risk scores, the AUC for RS-C, RS-PE, and GBS showed statistical significance improvements to 0.780 (P = 0.04), 0.774 (P = 0.012), and 0.706 (P = 003), respectively. Conclusions In unselected patients with GIB who presented to the emergency department, LA is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Integration of LA into RS-C, RS-PE, and GBS risk scores improved their ability to predict in-hospital mortality. The modified LA-based RS-PE (L-Rockall pre-endoscopic) score demonstrated predictive value comparable to the post-endoscopic RS-C.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthew Berger
- Department of Internal Medicine, Stony Brook Medicine, Stony Brook, NY, USA
| | - Vadim Divilov
- Department of Internal Medicine, Stony Brook Medicine, Stony Brook, NY, USA
| | - Getu Teressa
- Department of Internal Medicine, Stony Brook Medicine, Stony Brook, NY, USA
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More Accurate Method to Evaluate the Performance of Scores in Outcomes Prediction. J Clin Gastroenterol 2019; 53:76. [PMID: 27661967 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000000702] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/10/2022]
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Alzoubaidi D, Lovat LB, Haidry R. Management of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: where are we in 2018? Frontline Gastroenterol 2019; 10:35-42. [PMID: 30651955 PMCID: PMC6319149 DOI: 10.1136/flgastro-2017-100901] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2017] [Revised: 01/10/2018] [Accepted: 01/21/2018] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB) is one of the most common medical emergencies in the UK. Despite advancement in technology the management of AUGIB remains a challenge. The clinical community recognise the need for improvement in the treatment of these patients. AUGIB has a significant impact on resources. Endoscopic therapy is the gold standard treatment. The mortality in AUGIB is rarely related to the presenting bleed but significantly associated with concurrent comorbidities. The cost of blood transfusion in the management of patients with AUGIB is significant and misuse of blood products has been documented nationally. Risk stratification tools such as Glasgow-Blatchford Score, Rockall Score and the AIMS65 score have allowed clinicians to triage patients appropriately in order to deliver endoscopic therapy within a suitable time frame. Endoscopic therapeutic modalities such as epinephrine injection, heat thermocoagulation and mechanical clips have had a positive impact on patient's management. However, in order to continue to improve patient's outcomes, further developments are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Durayd Alzoubaidi
- Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK
| | - Laurence B Lovat
- Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK
| | - Rehan Haidry
- Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK
- GI Services, University College London Hospital, London, UK
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Sung JJY, Chiu PCY, Chan FKL, Lau JYW, Goh KL, Ho LHY, Jung HY, Sollano JD, Gotoda T, Reddy N, Singh R, Sugano K, Wu KC, Wu CY, Bjorkman DJ, Jensen DM, Kuipers EJ, Lanas A. Asia-Pacific working group consensus on non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: an update 2018. Gut 2018; 67:1757-1768. [PMID: 29691276 PMCID: PMC6145289 DOI: 10.1136/gutjnl-2018-316276] [Citation(s) in RCA: 158] [Impact Index Per Article: 26.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2018] [Revised: 03/28/2018] [Accepted: 03/29/2018] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding remains an important emergency condition, leading to significant morbidity and mortality. As endoscopic therapy is the 'gold standard' of management, treatment of these patients can be considered in three stages: pre-endoscopic treatment, endoscopic haemostasis and post-endoscopic management. Since publication of the Asia-Pacific consensus on non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) 7 years ago, there have been significant advancements in the clinical management of patients in all three stages. These include pre-endoscopy risk stratification scores, blood and platelet transfusion, use of proton pump inhibitors; during endoscopy new haemostasis techniques (haemostatic powder spray and over-the-scope clips); and post-endoscopy management by second-look endoscopy and medication strategies. Emerging techniques, including capsule endoscopy and Doppler endoscopic probe in assessing adequacy of endoscopic therapy, and the pre-emptive use of angiographic embolisation, are attracting new attention. An emerging problem is the increasing use of dual antiplatelet agents and direct oral anticoagulants in patients with cardiac and cerebrovascular diseases. Guidelines on the discontinuation and then resumption of these agents in patients presenting with NVUGIB are very much needed. The Asia-Pacific Working Group examined recent evidence and recommends practical management guidelines in this updated consensus statement.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joseph JY Sung
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Philip CY Chiu
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Francis K L Chan
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - James YW Lau
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Khean-lee Goh
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - Lawrence HY Ho
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | | | - Jose D Sollano
- UST Hospital, University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines
| | - Takuji Gotoda
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nihon University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nageshwar Reddy
- Asian Institute of Gastroenterology, Asian Healthcare Foundation, Hyderabad, India
| | - Rajvinder Singh
- Department of Medicine, Lyell McEwin Hospital, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Kentaro Sugano
- Department of Medicine, Jichi Medical School, Shimotsuke, Japan
| | - Kai-chun Wu
- State Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Xi’an, China
| | | | | | | | - Ernst J Kuipers
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Angel Lanas
- Department of Gastroenterology, University Hospital, Zaragoza, Spain
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Gu L, Xu F, Yuan J. Comparison of AIMS65, Glasgow-Blatchford and Rockall scoring approaches in predicting the risk of in-hospital death among emergency hospitalized patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a retrospective observational study in Nanjing, China. BMC Gastroenterol 2018; 18:98. [PMID: 29954332 PMCID: PMC6022417 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-018-0828-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2018] [Accepted: 06/20/2018] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aims to compare the performance of AIMS65, Glasgow-Blatchford (GBS) and Rockall scores (RS) in predicting the death risk among emergency-hospitalized patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) in regional China. METHODS A retrospective study was implemented between January 2014 and December 2015. Eligible participants were those who were hospitalized with UGIB. The outcome variable was in-hospital death, while explanatory variables were AIMS65, GBS and RS scores. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated to assess the association of AIMS65, GBS and RS with death risk using multivariate logistic regression models. The areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of three scoring systems were computed to compare their predictive power. RESULTS Among 799 UGIB participants, 674 were non-variceal bleeding (NVUGIB) and 125 variceal bleeding (VUGIB) patients. AIMS65 (OR = 14.72, 95% CI = 6.48, 33.43) and RS (OR = 1.60, 95% CI = 1.20, 2.13) were positively associated with the risk of in-hospital death. Moreover, AIMS65 (AUC = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.84, 0.98) performed the best in predicting in-hospital death, followed by RS (AUC = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.72, 0.86) and GBS (AUC = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.59, 0.83) among overall UGIB participants. AIMS65 was also the best indicator to predict in-hospital death among either NVUGIB participants (AUC = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.80, 0.98) or VUGIB participants (AUC = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.89, 1.00). CONCLUSIONS AIMS65, GBS and RS scoring approaches were all acceptable for predicting in-hospital death among UGIB patients irrespective of the subtype of UGIB in China. The AIMS65 might be the most powerful predictor.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lei Gu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, 68, Changle Road, Nanjing, 210006 China
| | - Fei Xu
- Nanjing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China
- The School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jie Yuan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, 68, Changle Road, Nanjing, 210006 China
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Konyar Z, Guneysel O, Dogan FS, Gokdag E. Modification of Glasgow-Blatchford scoring with lactate in predicting the mortality of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding in emergency department. HONG KONG J EMERG ME 2018. [DOI: 10.1177/1024907918783159] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Gastrointestinal bleeding is a commonly seen multidisciplinary clinical condition in emergency departments which has high treatment cost and mortality in company with hospital admission. Risk evaluation before endoscopy is based on clinical and laboratory findings at patient’s emergency visit. Objective: The purpose of this study is to investigate the efficacy of “Glasgow-Blatchford scale + lactate levels” to predict the mortality of patients detected with gastrointestinal bleeding in the emergency department. Methods: A total of 107 patients with preliminary diagnosis of upper gastrointestinal bleeding included in the study after approval of the ethics committee were prospectively evaluated. Glasgow-Blatchford scale scores were calculated and venous blood lactate levels were assessed. Need for blood transfusion in the follow-up, the amount of transfusion, and mortality in the next 6 months were evaluated. Results: A statistically significant difference was found in mortality rates between the lactate and Glasgow-Blatchford scale cohorts in our study (p = 0.001 and p < 0.01, respectively). The mortality rate was significantly higher in the lactate(+) GBS(+) cases compared to the lactate(–) GBS(+), lactate(+) GBS(–), and lactate(–) GBS(–) cases compared to the bilateral comparisons (p = 0.004, p = 0.001, p = 0.001, and p < 0.01, respectively). There was a statistically significant relationship between the rate of erythrocyte suspension replacement in the cases according to Glasgow-Blatchford scale levels (p = 0.001 and p < 0.01, respectively). The incidence of erythrocyte suspension replacement was 7.393 times greater in patients with Glasgow-Blatchford scale score of 12 and above. Conclusion: Glasgow-Blatchford scale is highly sensitive to the determination of mortality risk and the need for blood transfusion in upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Glasgow-Blatchford scale with lactate evaluation is more sensitive and more significant than Glasgow-Blatchford scale alone. This significance provides us to establish “modified Glasgow-Blatchford scale.” In the future, studies which will use Glasgow-Blatchford scale supported by lactate could be increased and the results should be supported more.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zeynep Konyar
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sakarya University Education and Research Hospital, Sakarya, Turkey
| | - Ozlem Guneysel
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Maltepe University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Fatma Sari Dogan
- Emergency Medicine Clinic, Dr Lutfi Kirdar Kartal Education and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Eren Gokdag
- Emergency Medicine Clinic, Dr Lutfi Kirdar Kartal Education and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
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Horibe M, Ogura Y, Matsuzaki J, Kaneko T, Yokota T, Okawa O, Nakatani Y, Iwasaki E, Nishizawa T, Hosoe N, Masaoka T, Yahagi N, Namiki S, Kanai T. Absence of high-risk stigmata predicts good prognosis even in severely anemic patients with suspected acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. United European Gastroenterol J 2018; 6:684-690. [PMID: 30083330 PMCID: PMC6068778 DOI: 10.1177/2050640618764161] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2017] [Accepted: 01/24/2018] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The need for a blood transfusion, defined as hemoglobin < 70 g/L, is the measure for assessing the risk levels in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). However, not all patients with a low hemoglobin level have a poor prognosis. OBJECTIVE We assessed the clinical predictive factors associated with poor short-term prognosis in patients with a low hemoglobin level. METHODS In this prospective cohort study, all consecutive patients with suspected acute UGIB at Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center were enrolled between 2008 and 2015. Then, we extracted those who needed a blood transfusion (hemoglobin < 70 g/L) and explored the variables associated with all-cause mortality within 28 days after presentation. RESULTS Among 1307 patients, 311 needed a blood transfusion and 13 (4.2%) died from all causes. The presence of high-risk stigmata requiring endoscopic treatment (peptic ulcers; Forrest scores Ia, Ib and IIa; varices with current bleeding or signs of recent bleeding; and spurting or gushing bleeding or visible vessel in other diseases), diagnosed by emergency endoscopy, was a unique factor affecting mortality (odds ratio: 8.47, 95% confidence interval: 1.45-160, P = 0.01). Patients without high-risk stigmata neither died from UGIB nor had rebleeding, irrespective of the hemoglobin levels. CONCLUSIONS Patients without high-risk stigmata showed a good prognosis even if they needed a blood transfusion. This result could facilitate triage of patients with suspected acute UGIB who only need a blood transfusion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masayasu Horibe
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuki Ogura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Juntaro Matsuzaki
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Division of Molecular and Cellular Medicine,
National Cancer Center Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tetsuji Kaneko
- Clinical Research Support Center, Tokyo
Metropolitan Children’s Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
- Teikyo Academic Research Center, Teikyo
University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takuya Yokota
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medicine,
Obihiro Daiich Hospital, Obihiro City, Japan
| | - Osamu Okawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medicine,
Dokkyo Medical University Koshigaya Hospital, Koshigaya City, Japan
| | - Yukihiro Nakatani
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Endoscopy, National Cancer
Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Eisuke Iwasaki
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Toshihiro Nishizawa
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Division of Research and Development for
Minimally Invasive Treatment, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Naoki Hosoe
- Center for Diagnostic and Therapeutic
Endoscopy, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tatsuhiro Masaoka
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Naohisa Yahagi
- Division of Research and Development for
Minimally Invasive Treatment, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shin Namiki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takanori Kanai
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
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Jiménez-Rosales R, Valverde-López F, Vadillo-Calles F, Martínez-Cara JG, López de Hierro M, Redondo-Cerezo E. Inhospital and delayed mortality after upper gastrointestinal bleeding: an analysis of risk factors in a prospective series. Scand J Gastroenterol 2018; 53:714-720. [PMID: 29575962 DOI: 10.1080/00365521.2018.1454509] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Detailed analyses of mortality after upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding are lacking. Follow-up rarely extends beyond 30 days. AIMS Our aim was to analyze in-hospital and delayed 6-months mortality, identifying risk factors. METHODS This was a prospective study on patients with upper GI bleeding over 36 months. Clinical outcomes were in-hospital and delayed-6 month-mortality. RESULTS Four hundred and forty-none patients were included. Overall inpatient mortality was 9.8% but mortality directly related to bleeding was 5.1%. Patients who died presented lower systolic blood pressures, platelet recounts, prothrombin times and lower levels of hemoglobin, calcium, albumin, urea, creatinine and total proteins. Cirrhosis and neoplasms determined a higher in-hospital mortality. Albumin levels were protective, whereas creatinine and an active bleeding were risk factors for in-hospital death in multivariate analysis. Up to 12.6% of patients discharged died in the first 6 months. Neoplasms, chronic kidney disease, coronary disease and esophageal varices were related to delayed mortality. Coronary disease and neoplasms were independent risk factors for mortality, but albumin levels were protective in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION Comorbidities were risk factors for delayed mortality, whereas albumin levels were a protective factor for in-hospital and delayed deaths. Six months mortality is proportionately as important as in-hospital mortality. Half of the delayed deaths might be preventable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rita Jiménez-Rosales
- a Department of Gastroenterology , "Virgen de las Nieves" University Hospital , Granada , Spain
| | | | | | | | | | - Eduardo Redondo-Cerezo
- a Department of Gastroenterology , "Virgen de las Nieves" University Hospital , Granada , Spain
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Kaminskis A, Ivanova P, Ponomarjova S, Mukans M, Boka V, Pupelis G. Rockall Score Larger Than 7 as a Reliable Criterion for the Selection of Indications for Preventive Transarterial Embolization in a Subgroup of High-Risk Elderly Patients After Primary Endoscopic Hemostasis for Non-Variceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Gastroenterology Res 2018; 10:339-346. [PMID: 29317941 PMCID: PMC5755635 DOI: 10.14740/gr909w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2017] [Accepted: 10/19/2017] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Transarterial embolization (TAE) is an alternative procedure to repeat endoscopy or surgical intervention in the case of re-bleeding after primary endoscopic treatment. The aim of the study was to assess the Rockall score as a criterion for TAE in the case of re-bleeding after endoscopic treatment of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB). Methods Out of the 673 patients who underwent emergent endoscopic hemostasis due to NVUGIB, 111 had a high risk of re-bleeding having a Forrest I-IIb ulcer and the Rockall score ≥ 5. From 111 patients, 37 accepted preventive TAE (PE+ group). The control group consisted of 74 patients who underwent standard treatment (PE- group). Results There were no differences in the demographic status between both groups, nor in the main clinical data on admission. The performance of TAE resulted in a significantly lower re-bleeding rate (1 (4.8%) vs. 11 (33%), P = 0.018). No patient who underwent TAE with the Rockall score ≥ 7 required surgery, resulting in only one re-bleeding episode (P = 0.004). Mortality reached 5% and 11% in the PE+ and PE- groups accordingly. Conclusion The Rockall score ≥ 7 could be a reliable predictor of re-bleeding after primary endoscopic hemostasis as one criterion for the selection of indications for preventive TAE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aleksejs Kaminskis
- Department of General and Emergency Surgery, Riga East University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Patricija Ivanova
- Department of Interventional Radiology, Riga East University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Sanita Ponomarjova
- Department of Interventional Radiology, Riga East University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Maksims Mukans
- Statistical Unit, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | | | - Guntars Pupelis
- Surgical Department, Riga East University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
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Lee SH, Min YW, Bae J, Lee H, Min BH, Lee JH, Rhee PL, Kim JJ. Lactate Parameters Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. J Korean Med Sci 2017; 32:1820-1827. [PMID: 28960035 PMCID: PMC5639063 DOI: 10.3346/jkms.2017.32.11.1820] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2017] [Accepted: 08/13/2017] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
The predictive role of lactate in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) has been suggested. This study evaluated several lactate parameters in terms of predicting outcomes of bleeding patients and sought to establish a new scoring model by combining lactate parameters and the AIMS65 score. A total of 114 patients with NVUGIB who underwent serum lactate level testing at least twice and endoscopic hemostasis within 24 hours after admission were retrospectively analyzed. The associations between five lactate parameters and clinical outcomes were evaluated and the predictive power of lactate parameter combined AIMS65s (L-AIMS65s) and AIMS56 scoring was compared. The most common cause of bleeding was gastric ulcer (48.2%). Lactate clearance rate (LCR) was associated with 30-day rebleeding (odds ratio [OR], 0.931; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.872-0.994; P = 0.033). Initial lactate (OR, 1.313; 95% CI, 1.050-1.643; P = 0.017), maximal lactate (OR, 1.277; 95% CI, 1.037-1.573; P = 0.021), and average lactate (OR, 1.535; 95% CI, 1.137-2.072; P = 0.005) levels were associated with 30-day mortality. Initial lactate (OR, 1.213; 95% CI, 1.027-1.432; P = 0.023), maximal lactate (OR, 1.271; 95% CI, 1.074-1.504; P = 0.005), and average lactate (OR, 1.501; 95% CI, 1.150-1.959; P = 0.003) levels were associated with admission over 7 days. Although L-AIMS65s showed the highest area under the curve for prediction of each outcome, differences between L-AIMS65s and AIMS65 did not reach statistical significance. In conclusion, lactate parameters have a prognostic role in patients with NVUGIB. However, they do not increase the predictive power of AIMS65 when combined.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seung Hoon Lee
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Yang Won Min
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Joohwan Bae
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyuk Lee
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
| | - Byung Hoon Min
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jun Haeng Lee
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Poong Lyul Rhee
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jae J Kim
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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40
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Zhong M, Chen WJ, Lu XY, Qian J, Zhu CQ. Comparison of three scoring systems in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a prospective observational study. J Dig Dis 2016; 17:820-828. [PMID: 27930875 DOI: 10.1111/1751-2980.12433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2016] [Revised: 11/23/2016] [Accepted: 12/05/2016] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To compare the performances of the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), modified GBS (mGBS) and AIMS65 in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB). METHODS This study enrolled 320 consecutive patients with AUGIB. Patients at high and low risks of developing adverse clinical outcomes (rebleeding, the need of clinical intervention and death) were categorized according to the GBS, mGBS and AIMS65 scoring systems. The outcome of the patients were the occurrences of adverse clinical outcomes. The areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of three scoring systems were compared. RESULTS Irrespective of the systems used, the high-risk groups showed higher rates of rebleeding, intervention and death compared with the low-risk groups (P < 0.05). For the prediction of rebleeding, AIMS65 (AUROC 0.735, 95% CI 0.667-0.802) performed significantly better than GBS (AUROC 0.672, 95% CI 0.597-0.747; P < 0.01) and mGBS (AUROC 0.677, 95% CI 0.602-0.753; P < 0.01). For the prediction of interventions, there was no significant difference among the three systems (GBS: AUROC 0.769, 95% CI 0.668-0.870; mGBS: AUROC 0.745, 95% CI 0.643-0.847; AIMS65: AUROC 0.746, 95% CI 0.640-0.851). For the prediction of in-hospital mortality, there was no significant difference among the three systems (GBS: AUROC 0.796, 95% CI 0.694-0.898; mGBS: AUROC 0.803, 95% CI 0.703-0.904; AIMS65: AUROC 0.786, 95% CI 0.670-0.903). CONCLUSIONS The three scoring systems are reliable and accurate in predicting the rates of rebleeding, surgery and mortality in AUGIB. However, AIMS65 outperforms GBS and mGBS in predicting rebleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Min Zhong
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Renjii Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Wan Jun Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Renjii Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiao Ye Lu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Renjii Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jie Qian
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Renjii Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Chang Qing Zhu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Renjii Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
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Mokhtare M, Bozorgi V, Agah S, Nikkhah M, Faghihi A, Boghratian A, Shalbaf N, Khanlari A, Seifmanesh H. Comparison of Glasgow-Blatchford score and full Rockall score systems to predict clinical outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Clin Exp Gastroenterol 2016; 9:337-343. [PMID: 27826205 PMCID: PMC5096755 DOI: 10.2147/ceg.s114860] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Various risk scoring systems have been recently developed to predict clinical outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). The two commonly used scoring systems include full Rockall score (RS) and the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS). Bleeding scores were assessed in terms of prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with UGIB. Patients and methods Two hundred patients (age >18 years) with obvious symptoms of UGIB in the emergency department of Rasoul Akram Hospital were enrolled. Full RS and GBS were calculated. We followed the patients for records of rebleeding and 1-month mortality. A receiver operating characteristic curve by using areas under the curve (AUCs) was used to statistically identify the best cutoff point. Results Eighteen patients were excluded from the study due to failure to follow-up. Rebleeding and mortality rate were 9.34% (n=17) and 11.53% (n=21), respectively. Regarding 1-month mortality, full RS was better than GBS (AUC, 0.648 versus 0.582; P=0.021). GBS was more accurate in terms of detecting transfusion need (AUC, 0.757 versus 0.528; P=0.001), rebleeding rate (AUC, 0.722 versus 0.520; P=0.002), intensive care unit admission rate (AUC, 0.648 versus 0.582; P=0.021), and endoscopic intervention rate (AUC, 0.771 versus 0.650; P<0.001). Conclusion We found the full RS system is better for 1-month mortality prediction while GBS system is better for prediction of other outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marjan Mokhtare
- Colorectal Research Center, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Tehran, Iran
| | - Vida Bozorgi
- Colorectal Research Center, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Tehran, Iran
| | - Shahram Agah
- Colorectal Research Center, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mehdi Nikkhah
- Colorectal Research Center, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | - Neda Shalbaf
- Colorectal Research Center, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Tehran, Iran
| | - Abbas Khanlari
- Colorectal Research Center, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Tehran, Iran
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Kim JS, Kim BW. Risk Strategy in Non-Variceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. THE KOREAN JOURNAL OF HELICOBACTER AND UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL RESEARCH 2016. [DOI: 10.7704/kjhugr.2016.16.4.173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Joon Sung Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Incheon, Korea
| | - Byung-Wook Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Incheon, Korea
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