Validation of the efficacy of the prognostic factor score in the Japanese severity criteria for severe acute pancreatitis: A large multicenter study

Early detection of necrosis in low-enhanced pancreatic parenchyma using contrast-enhanced computed tomography was a better predictor of clinical outcomes than pancreatic inflammation: A multicentric cohort study of severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

We aim to assess the early use of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) using the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) in prognosis prediction. The CTSI combines quantification of pancreatic and extrapancreatic inflammation with the extent of pancreatic necrosis.

METHODS

Post-hoc retrospective analysis of a large, multicentric database (44 institutions) of SAP patients in Japan. The area under the curve (AUC) of the CTSI for predicting mortality and the odds ratio (OR) of the extent of pancreatic inflammation and necrosis were calculated using multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 1097 patients were included. The AUC of the CTSI for mortality was 0.65 (95 % confidence interval [CI:] [0.59-0.70]; p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, necrosis 30-50 % and >50 % in low-enhanced pancreatic parenchyma (LEPP) was independently associated with a significant increase in mortality, with OR 2.04 and 95 % CI 1.01-4.12 (P < 0.05) and OR 3.88 and 95 % CI 2.04-7.40 (P < 0.001), respectively. However, the extent of pancreatic inflammation was not associated with mortality, regardless of severity.

CONCLUSIONS

The degree of necrosis in LEPP assessed using early CECT of SAP was a better predictor of mortality than the extent of pancreatic inflammation.

A Retrospective Study on the Start and End of Continuous Hemodialysis Using a Polymethylmethacrylate Hemofilter for Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Objective We previously reported the successful outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) after continuous hemodialysis using a polymethylmethacrylate hemofilter (PMMA-CHD). The present study makes informative suggestions regarding the initiation and termination of PMMA-CHD. Methods We retrospectively studied 63 patients with SAP admitted to the intensive care unit between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2022, including 30 who received PMMA-CHD therapy for renal dysfunction. Statistical significance was evaluated using a multiple logistic regression analysis for severity scores, prognostic factor scores in the Japanese severity criteria, the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) stage, and the lung injury score (LIS). Results At the onset of blood purification therapy using PMMA-CHD, a significant increase in the KDIGO stage was shown, with a cutoff value of 2.0. The prognostic factor score and LIS at the start of blood purification therapy were significantly high, with a cutoff value of 3.0. Analyses of severity scores, the KDIGO stage, and the LIS before the start of PMMA-CHD were also increased significantly, with cutoff values of +2.0, +1.0, and +3.0, respectively. Furthermore, on analyses of improvements in values after starting PMMA-CHD, the value of KDIGO staging significantly decreased, and the cutoff value was -2.0. The prognostic factor score was also significantly decreased, with a cutoff value of -2.0. Conclusion Prognostic factor scores of the Japanese severity criteria and LIS, as well as the KDIGO stage, are valuable indicators for determining the start and end of PMMA-CHD therapy.

Normal saline versus Ringer's solution and critical-illness mortality in acute pancreatitis: a nationwide inpatient database study

BACKGROUND

Fluid resuscitation is fundamental in acute pancreatitis (AP) treatment. However, the optimal choice between normal saline (NS) and Ringer's solution (RS), and its impact on mortality in critically ill patients, remains controversial. This retrospective cohort study, utilizing a national Japanese inpatient database, investigates this question.

METHODS

Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database between July 2010 and March 2021, we identified adult patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICU) or high-dependency care units (HDU) for AP who survived at least three days and received sufficient fluid resuscitation (≥ [10 ml/kg/hr*1 h + 1 ml/kg/hr*71 h] ml) within three days of admission including emergency room infusions. Patients were classified into groups based on the predominant fluid type received: the NS group (> 80% normal saline) and the RS group (> 80% Ringer's solution). Propensity score matching was employed to reduce potential confounding factors and facilitate a balanced comparison of in-hospital mortality between the two groups.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 8710 patients with AP. Of these, 657 (7.5%) received predominantly NS, and 8053 (92.5%) received predominantly RS. Propensity score matching yielded 578 well-balanced pairs for comparison. The NS group demonstrated significantly higher in-hospital mortality than the RS group (12.8% [474/578] vs. 8.5% [49/578]; risk difference, 4.3%; 95% confidence interval, 0.3% to 8.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients admitted to ICU or HDU with AP receiving adequate fluid resuscitation, RS can be a preferred infusion treatment compared to NS.

Predictive Value of Troponin I, Creatinine Kinase Isoenzyme and the New Japanese Severity Score in Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Purpose

To evaluate troponin I, creatine kinase isoenzyme, and the new Japanese Severity Score(JSS) for predicting Severe Acute Pancreatitis-Associated myocardial Injury(SACI).

Patients and Methods

This retrospective study included 136 patients with Severe Acute Pancreatitis, hospitalized in grade-III hospital from June 1, 2015, to October 31, 2022; selected using convenience sampling method and divided into SACI occurrence (n =34) and SACI non-occurrence (n =102) groups. New JSS evaluated predictive value of each SACI index. Binary logistic regression model compared risk factors and constructed a prediction model. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test evaluated model's prediction efficiency and calibration ability.

Results

The incidence of SACI was 25%. Univariate analysis found that troponin I and creatine kinase isoenzyme were significantly different (P < 0.05) and independent risk factors for SACI. The new JSS, troponin I, and creatine kinase isoenzyme were included in the prediction model. The prediction model had a good calibration ability, and its predicted value and the actual observed value were not significantly different (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 5.408, P = 0.368). AUC of the model was 0.803 (95% CI: 0.689-0.918), and the optimal threshold of the prediction model was 0.318 with the maximum Youden index (0.488). The AUC for internal validation was 0.788 (95% CI: 0.657-0.876), and external validation was 0.761 (95% CI: 0.622-0.832).

Conclusion

Troponin I and creatine kinase isoenzymes combined with the new JSS have a high predictive value for SACI, improving the early prediction and treatment of at-risk patients.

Modulatory action of Moringa oleifera Lam. on L-arginine induced acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease of the pancreas with high morbidity and mortality. This study investigates the effect of Moring oleifera (MO) on L-arginine-induced AP in Wistar rats.

METHODS

Male Wistar rats were randomly divided into seven groups. Control, AP, Magnesium groups, all fed with standard rat diet, MO leaf groups (5% MLF and 15% MLF), and MO seed groups (5% MSD and 15% MSD) were fed with five or 15% MO leaf or seed supplemented diet for four weeks prior to induction of AP. AP was induced by administration of double doses of L-arginine (320 mg/100 g i.p.) at 1 h interval. All animals were sacrificed 72 h thereafter.

RESULTS

Weekly mean feed consumption and body weight were significantly higher in MO groups compared to the control. Amylase level, MDA, MPO, and NO were significantly higher in the AP group than in the control but decreased in Mg and MO groups. While CAT, SOD, GSH, and SH-group were significantly depleted in AP groups, which was attenuated in MO groups. Rats in AP groups showed severe inflammation, necrosis, and edema. These effects were significantly improved in MO groups resulting in lower histological scores compared to the AP group.

CONCLUSIONS

Pretreatment with MO could attenuate AP via its antioxidant and anti-inflammatory action.

Clinical efficacy of blood purification using a polymethylmethacrylate hemofilter for the treatment of severe acute pancreatitis

Background

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a systemic inflammatory disease, and it can often complicate into acute kidney injury (AKI) and acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome (ALI/ARDS). This study aimed to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of blood purification using a polymethylmethacrylate (PMMA) hemofilter.

Methods

We retrospectively examined 54 patients, who were diagnosed with SAP according to the Japanese criteria from January 2011 to December 2019.

Results

Of a total of 54 SAP patients, 26 patients progressively developed AKI and required continuous hemodialysis with a PMMA membrane hemofilter (PMMA-CHD). Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were significantly higher in patients requiring PMMA-CHD than in patients not requiring hemodialysis. The lung injury scores were also significantly higher in patients requiring PMMA-CHD. Of the 26 patients, 16 patients developed ALI/ARDS and required mechanical ventilation. A total of seven patients developed severe ALI/ARDS and received additional intermittent hemodiafiltration using a PMMA hemofilter (PMMA-HDF). Although the length of intensive care unit stay was significantly longer in patients with severe ALI/ARDS, blood purification therapy was discontinued in all the patients. The survival rates at the time of discharge were 92.3% and 92.9% in patients with and without PMMA-CHD, respectively. These real mortality ratios were obviously lower than the estimated mortality ratios predicted by APACHE II scores.

Conclusions

These finding suggest that the blood purification using a PMMA hemofilter would be effective for the treatment of AKI and ALI/ARDS in SAP patients.

Effect of abdominal visceral fat on mortality risk in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

Background and Aim

Obesity is a well‐known risk factor for the development and severity of acute pancreatitis (AP), but the relationship between the abdominal visceral fat area (VFA) and mortality is unclear. We evaluated the effect of the VFA on mortality in severe AP (SAP).

Methods

This retrospective, single‐center cohort study examined 119 consecutive patients with SAP from April 2009 to March 2019. The VFA at the umbilical level was assessed using computed tomography. The primary endpoint was to evaluate whether visceral obesity affects mortality in SAP.

Results

The median age was 63 years, and 66% of participants were male. Nine patients (7.5%) died during their hospital stay. The median body mass index (BMI) was 22.2 kg/m², and six obese patients had a BMI of over 30 kg/m² (5%). The median waist circumference and VFA were 85.5 cm and 112 cm², respectively. Sixty‐eight (57.1%) patients had a VFA over 100 cm². The prognostic factor score based on the Japanese guidelines for AP management (cutoff value [COV], 4; area under the curve [AUC] = 0.869) and age [COV, 72; AUC = 0.780]) showed moderate accuracy for predicting mortality, followed by the VFA (COV, 167 cm²; AUC = 0.679). Univariate logistic analysis, but not multivariate analysis, showed that an increased VFA was associated with a significantly higher odds ratio (OR) for predicting mortality (OR: 4.38, P = 0.0406). The survival times of SAP patients with and without an increased VFA of 167 cm² were not significantly different.

Conclusions

Visceral obesity did not have a significant impact on predicting mortality in patients with SAP.

Ranson score to stratify severity in Acute Pancreatitis remains valid - Old is gold

Introduction: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disease with a wide spectrum of severity and morbidity. Developed in 1974, the Ranson score was the first scoring system to prognosticate AP. Over the past decades, while the Ranson score remains widely used, it was identified to have certain limitations, such as having low predictive power. It has also been criticized for its 48-hour requirement for computation of the final score, which has been argued to potentially delay management. With advancements in our understanding of AP, is the Ranson score still relevant as an effective prognostication system for AP?Areas covered: This review summarizes the available evidence comparing Ranson score with other conventional and novel scoring systems, in terms of prognostic accuracy, benefits, limitations and clinical applicability. It also evaluates the effectiveness of Ranson score with regard to the Revised Atlanta Classification.Expert opinion: The Ranson score consistently exhibits comparable prognostic accuracy to other newer scoring systems, and the 48-hour timeframe for computing the full Ranson score is an inherent strength, not a weakness. These aspects, coupled with relative ease of use, practicality and universality of the score, advocate for the continued relevance of the Ranson score in modern clinical practice.

Reducing the risk of developing walled-off necrosis in patients with acute necrotic collection using recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The purpose of the present study was to investigate the possibility of reducing clinical impacts of acute necrotic collection (ANC) on patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) using recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin (rTM).

METHODS

In this retrospective multicenter study, 233 consecutive AP patients with ANC and acute peripancreatic fluid collection (APFC) from 2012 to 2016 were enrolled. To assess clinical impacts of ANC, severity on admission (JPN score, JPN CT grade, and Modified CT severity index), development of walled-off necrosis (WON), imaging costs for follow-up, and mortality were recorded. Finally, we investigated whether rTM could reduce the clinical impacts, adjusting the severity using propensity analysis with Inverse probability of treatment weighting.

RESULTS

Patients with ANC developed WON with higher ratio than APFC (58/98 [59.2%] vs 20/135 [14.8%], OR = 8.3, P < .01]. Severity on admission and imaging costs for follow-up in ANC patients were significantly higher than those in APFC (P < .01). However, regarding mortality, there was no significant difference between patients with ANC and APFC (P = .41). Adjusting severity, it was revealed that rTM administration significantly reduced the risk of ANC developed WON (OR = 0.23, P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

While ANC had a higher clinical impact than that of APFC, we found that early administration of rTM may reduce the impact.

THE ACCEPTANCE OF CHANGES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF PATIENTS WITH ACUTE PANCREATITIS AFTER THE REVISED ATLANTA CLASSIFICATION

BACKGROUND

New recommendations for the management of patients with acute pancreatitis were set after the Atlanta Classification was revised in 2012.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present systematic review is to assess whether these recommendations have already been accepted and implemented in daily medical practices.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was carried out in studies conducted with humans and published in English and Portuguese language from 10/25/2012 to 11/30/2018. The search was conducted in databases such as PubMed/Medline, Cochrane and SciELO, based on the following descriptors/Boolean operator: "Acute pancreatitis" AND "Atlanta". Only Randomized Clinical Trials comprising some recommendations released after the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012 were included in the study.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine studies were selected and considered valid after inclusion, exclusion and qualitative evaluation criteria application. These studies were stratified as to whether, or not, they applied the recommendations suggested after the Atlanta Classification revision. Based on the results, 68.5% of the studies applied the recommendations, with emphasis on the application of severity classification (mild, moderately severe, severe); 16.4% of them were North-American and 14.7% were Chinese. The remaining 31.5% just focused on comparing or validating the severity classification.

CONCLUSION

Few studies have disclosed any form of acceptance or practice of these recommendations, despite the US and Chinese efforts. The lack of incorporation of these recommendations didn't enable harnessing the benefits of their application in the clinical practice (particularly the improvement of the communication among health professionals and directly association with the worst prognoses); thus, it is necessary mobilizing the international medical community in order to change this scenario.

Early Changes in Blood Urea Nitrogen (BUN) Can Predict Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis: Comparative Study between BISAP Score, APACHE-II, and Other Laboratory Markers-A Prospective Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Changes in BUN have been proposed as a risk factor for complications in acute pancreatitis (AP). Our study aimed to compare changes in BUN versus the Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II score (APACHE-II), as well as other laboratory tests such as haematocrit and its variations over 24 h and C-reactive protein, in order to determine the most accurate test for predicting mortality and severity outcomes in AP.

METHODS

Clinical data of 410 AP patients, prospectively enrolled for study at our institution, were analyzed. We define AP according to Atlanta classification (AC) 2012. The laboratory test's predictive accuracy was measured using area-under-the-curve receiver-operating characteristics (AUC) analysis and sensitivity and specificity tests.

RESULTS

Rise in BUN was the only score related to mortality on the multivariate analysis (p=0.000, OR: 12.7; CI 95%: 4.2-16.6). On the comparative analysis of AUC, the rise in BUN was an accurate test in predicting mortality (AUC: 0.842) and persisting multiorgan failure (AUC: 0.828), similar to the BISAP score (AUC: 0.836 and 0.850) and APACHE-II (AUC: 0.756 and 0.741). The BISAP score outperformed both APACHE-II and rise in BUN at 24 hours in predicting severe AP (AUC: 0.873 vs. 0.761 and 0.756, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Rise in BUN at 24 hours is a quick and reliable test in predicting mortality and persisting multiorgan failure in AP patients.

Impact of Enteral Nutrition Within 24 Hours Versus Between 24 and 48 Hours in Patients With Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVES

In patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), early enteral nutrition (EN) is recommended by major clinical practice guidelines, but the exact timing for the initiation of EN is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a post hoc analysis of the database for a multicenter (44 institutions) retrospective study of patients with SAP in Japan. The patients were classified into 3 groups according to the timing of EN initiation after the diagnosis of SAP: within 24 hours, between 24 and 48 hours, and more than 48 hours. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 1094 study patients, 176, 120, and 798 patients started EN within 24 hours, between 24 and 48 hours, and more than 48 hours after SAP diagnosis, respectively. On multivariable analysis, hospital mortality was significantly better with EN within 48 hours than with more than 48 hours (adjusted odds ratio, 0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.29-0.83; P < 0.001) but did not significantly differ between the groups with EN starting within 24 hours and between 24 and 48 hours (P = 0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

Enteral nutrition within 24 hours may not confer any additional benefit on clinical outcomes compared with EN between 24 and 48 hours.

Severe acute pancreatitis: eight fundamental steps revised according to the 'PANCREAS' acronym

Severe acute pancreatitis remains a life-threatening condition, responsible for many disorders of homeostasis and organ dysfunction. By means of a mnemonic 'PANCREAS', eight important steps in the management of severe acute pancreatitis are highlighted. These steps follow the principle of goal-directed therapy and should be borne in mind after diagnosis and during clinical treatment. The first step is perfusion: the goal is to reach a central venous pressure of 12-15mmHg, urinary output 0.5-1ml/kg/hour and inferior vena cava collapse index greater than 48%. Next is analgesia: multimodal, systemic and combined pharmacological agent and epidural block are possibilities. Third is nutrition: precocity, enteral feeding in gastric or post-pyloric position. Parenteral nutrition works best in difficult cases to achieve the individual total caloric value. Fourth is clinical: mild, moderate or severe pancreatitis according to the Atlanta criteria. Radiology is fifth: abdominal computed tomography on the fourth day for prognosis or to modify management. Endoscopy is sixth: endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (cholangitis, unpredicted clinical course and ascending jaundice); management of pancreatic fluid collection and 'walled-off necrosis'. Antibiotics come next: infectious complications are common causes of morbidity. The only rational indication for antibiotics is documented pancreatic infection. The last step is surgery: the dogma is represented by the 'three Ds' (delay, drain, debride). The preferred method is a minimally invasive step-up approach, which allows for gradually more invasive procedures when the previous treatment fails.

The Effect of an Invasive Strategy for Treating Pancreatic Necrosis on Mortality: a Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Infected acute necrotic collections (ANC) and walled-off necrosis (WON) of the pancreas are associated with high mortality. The difference in mortality between open necrosectomy and minimally invasive therapies in these patients remains unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective multicenter cohort study was conducted among 44 institutions in Japan from 2009 to 2013. Patients who had undergone invasive treatment for suspected infected ANC/WON were enrolled and classified into open necrosectomy and minimally invasive treatment (laparoscopic, percutaneous, and endoscopic) groups. The association of each treatment with mortality was evaluated and compared.

RESULTS

Of 1159 patients with severe acute pancreatitis, 122 with suspected infected ANC or WON underwent the following treatments: open necrosectomy (33) and minimally invasive treatment (89), (laparoscopic three, percutaneous 49, endoscopic 37). Although the open necrosectomy group had a significantly higher mortality on univariate analysis (p = 0.047), multivariate analysis showed no significant associations between open necrosectomy or Charlson index and mortality (p = 0.29, p = 0.19, respectively). However, age (for each additional 10 years, p = 0.012, odds ratio [OR] 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-2.06) and revised Atlanta criteria-severe (p = 0.001, OR 7.84, 95% CI 2.40-25.6) were significantly associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute pancreatitis and infected ANC/WON, age and revised Atlanta criteria-severe classification are significantly associated with mortality whereas open necrosectomy is not. The mortality risk for patients undergoing open necrosectomy and minimally invasive treatment does not differ significantly. Although minimally invasive surgery is generally preferred for patients with infected ANC/WON, open necrosectomy may be considered if clinically indicated.

Recent Advances in Diagnosis and Severity Assessment of Acute Pancreatitis

The incidence and prevalence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing over time. The diagnosis of acute pancreatitis is established by revised Atlanta criteria (2012). Multiple criteria and scoring systems have been used for assessment of severity of AP. Majority of acute pancreatitis cases (80%) are mild, the challenge remains in early diagnosis, severity assessment and treatment of severe AP and its complications. Assessment of severity of AP is important part of management because line of treatment depends on aetiology and severity of acute pancreatitis. In this article a comprehensive review of recent advances in diagnosis and severity assessment of acute pancreatitis has been described.

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio in early assessment of disease severity and outcome in patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the ICU

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute pancreatitis usually exhibit dyslipidemia and oxidative stress. However, the significance of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) level, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level and the HDL-C/LDL-C ratio (H/L ratio) as markers for disease progression remain unknown.

AIM

The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of HDL-C levels, LDL-C levels and the H/L ratio as markers of disease progression in patients admitted to the intensive cate unit with acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at a tertiary critical care center in China. Plasma HDL-C and LDL-C levels were measured in 166 patients with acute pancreatitis. The associations between HDL-C, LDL-C, H/L ratio, as well as other inflammatory index and mortality, were analyzed. Multivariate cox analysis based on two models was used to determine the independent prognostic factor. Predictive ability of in-hospital mortality for variables was determined using the receiver operating characteristics curves.

RESULTS

Significantly higher H/L ratios at admission were observed in patients with acute pancreatitis who died compared with survivors (0.93 vs. 0.64, p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for H/L ratio-based prediction of mortality was 0.658. When clinical confounders were included in multivariable cox regression analysis, the association was preserved (Model A HR = 1.587, p = 0.011; Model B HR = 1.332, p = 0.032). The mortality risk in different groups defined by an H/L ratio cutoff value was significantly different, based on survival curve analysis.

CONCLUSION

The H/L ratio at the time of admission to the ICU appears to be a biomarker of disease progression in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Comparison of scoring systems used in acute pancreatitis for predicting major adverse events

OBJECTIVES

Timely identification of patients with acute pancreatitis who are likely to have a severe disease course is critical. Based on that, many scoring systems have been developed throughout the years. Although many of them are currently in use, none of them has been proven to be ideal. In this study, we aimed to compare the discriminatory power of relatively newer risk scores with the historical ones for predicting in-hospital major adverse events, 30-day mortality and 30-day readmission rate.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who had been admitted due to acute pancreatitis were retrospectively investigated. Five risk scoring systems including HAPS, Ranson, BISAP, Glasgow, and JSS were calculated using the data of the first 24h of admission. Predictive accuracy of each scoring system was calculated using the area under the receiver-operating curve method.

RESULTS

Overall 690 patients were included in the study. In-hospital major adverse events were observed in 139 (20.1%) patients of whom, 19 (2.5%) died during hospitalization. 30-day all-cause mortality and 30-day readmission were observed in 22 (3.2%) and 27 (3.9%) patients respectively. Negative predictive value of each score was markedly higher compared to positive predictive values. Among all, JSS scoring system showed the highest AUC values across all end-points (0.80 for in-hospital major adverse events; 0.94 for in-hospital mortality; 0.91 for 30-day mortality). However, all five scoring systems failed to predict 30-day readmission.

DISCUSSION

JSS was the best classifier among all five risk scoring systems particularly owing to its high sensitivity and negative predictive value.

Use of CT-Based Scoring System in Assessment of Pancreatitis Severity

BACKGROUND:

Severity of AP is an important indicator of death rate, playing a crucial role in defining a correct dealing with a patient at his/her initial admission, in deciding on the need to transfer a patient to the intensive care unit. Many studies point out a direct relation between the death rate and the number of affected organs. In light of this, looking for the new criteria of multiple organ failure is still useful in clinical practice. Typically, assessment of multiple organ failure with patients undergoing treatment in the intensive care unit is carried out with the use of various integrated scores based both on clinical laboratory assessment of patient’s condition and on data obtained by advanced imaging methods. However, many scientists point out that the facilities of diagnostic radiology, including in particularly computerised tomography, are not used to the full extent.

AIM:

We developed a CT score for assessment of pancreatitis severity that takes into consideration not only alterations of the pancreas but also enables evaluation of multiple organ failure with the examined patients.

METHODS:

We have examined 100 patients with suspected pancreatitis. Among them 30 patients had pancreatitis without alterations of the vital organs; 70 patients had alterations of the vital organs, suffered organ or multiple organ failure and received treatment in the surgery unit and intensive care unit of the Department of Surgical Conditions of Karaganda Medical University.

RESULTS:

Because of CT results, based on the proposed score, we assessed a degree of pancreas necrosis, analysed the relation between organ failure and degree of pancreas necrosis. Finally, we evaluated the connection between multiple organ failure and the specific failure of one organ and the presence of necrosis and death rate.

CONCLUSION:

The proposed score for CT-based assessment of pancreatitis severity can be used not only for identification but also for prediction of organ failure at the early stage of pancreatitis to a high accuracy as compared to conventional CT systems for assessment of the condition of patients affected by pancreatitis. It can also be used to differentiate the severity of organ failure and the number of affected organs.

Murine Models of Acute Pancreatitis: A Critical Appraisal of Clinical Relevance

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a severe disease associated with high morbidity and mortality. Clinical studies can provide some data concerning the etiology, pathophysiology, and outcomes of this disease. However, the study of early events and new targeted therapies cannot be performed on humans due to ethical reasons. Experimental murine models can be used in the understanding of the pancreatic inflammation, because they are able to closely mimic the main features of human AP, namely their histologic glandular changes and distant organ failure. These models continue to be important research tools for the reproduction of the etiological, environmental, and genetic factors associated with the pathogenesis of this inflammatory pathology and the exploration of novel therapeutic options. This review provides an overview of several murine models of AP. Furthermore, special focus is made on the most frequently carried out models, the protocols used, and their advantages and limitations. Finally, examples are provided of the use of these models to improve knowledge of the mechanisms involved in the pathogenesis, identify new biomarkers of severity, and develop new targeted therapies.

Changes in the Velocity of Blood in the Portal Vein in Mild Acute Pancreatitis-A Preliminary Clinical Study

Background and objective: Portal vein thrombosis is associated with a decrease in the main blood velocity in this vessel. While most studies examine etiological factors of portal vein thrombosis after its occurrence, we aimed to evaluate portal vessels and assess whether mild acute pancreatitis affects blood flow in the portal vein and increases the risk of thrombosis. Materials and methods: This prospective single centered follow-up study enrolled 66 adult participants. Fifty of them were diagnosed with mild acute pancreatitis based on the Revised Atlanta classification, and 16 healthy participants formed the control group. All participants were examined three times. The first examination was carried out at the beginning of the disease and the next two at three-month intervals. Blood samples were taken and color Doppler ultrasound performed the first time, whereas ultrasound alone was performed during the second and third visits. Mean and maximal blood velocities and resistivity index in the main portal vein and its left and right branches were evaluated. Results: Mean velocity of the blood flow in the main portal vein and its right and left branches was not significantly different from healthy individuals during the acute pancreatitis phase: 23.1 ± 8.5 cm/s vs. 24.5 ± 8.2 cm/s (p = 0.827); 16.4 ± 7.9 cm/s vs. 16.4 ± 8.1 cm/s (p = 1.000); and 8 ± 3.4 cm/s vs. 7.4 ± 2.5 cm/s (p = 0.826), respectively. The same was observed when comparing the maximal blood flow velocity: 67.9 ± 29 cm/s vs. 67.5 ± 21 cm/s (p > 0.05); 45.4 ± 27 cm/s vs. 44 ± 23.8 cm/s (p = 0.853); and 22.2 ± 9.8 cm/s vs. 20 ± 7.3 cm/s (p = 0.926), respectively. Changes in venous blood velocities were not significant during the follow-up period in separate study groups. Conclusions: Portal blood flow velocities do not change during mild acute pancreatitis in the inflammatory and postinflammatory periods. This observation suggests that mild acute pancreatitis does not increase the risk of portal vein thrombosis.

Impact of Antimicrobial Prophylaxis for Severe Acute Pancreatitis on the Development of Invasive Candidiasis: A Large Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Antimicrobial prophylaxis is not generally recommended for patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) owing to the limited clinical benefits. Nonetheless, it is frequently administered in actual practice given the patients' critical condition and the lack of solid evidence showing adverse effects of antimicrobial prophylaxis. We evaluated herein an association between antimicrobial prophylaxis and invasive pancreatic candidiasis as an adverse effect in patients with SAP.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of all consecutive patients with SAP who were admitted to the study institutions (n = 44) between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2013. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusting for the extent of pancreatic necrosis and surgical interventions for invasive pancreatic candidiasis.

RESULTS

Of the 1097 patients with SAP, 850 (77.5%) received antimicrobial prophylaxis, and 21 (1.9%) had invasive pancreatic candidiasis. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, antimicrobial prophylaxis was significantly associated with the development of invasive pancreatic candidiasis (adjusted odds ratio, 4.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-27.6) (P = 0.029).

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that antimicrobial prophylaxis may contribute to the development of invasive pancreatic candidiasis, and therefore, the routine use of antimicrobial prophylaxis for SAP may be discouraged.