Sex differences in the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke after ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack

Exploring Sex Differences in Outcomes of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy for Patients With Noncardioembolic Mild-to-Moderate Ischemic Stroke or High-Risk Transient Ischemic Attack: A Propensity-Matched Analysis of the READAPT Study Cohort

BACKGROUND

Sex may impact clinical outcomes in patients with stroke treated with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). We aimed to investigate the sex differences in the short-term outcomes of DAPT within a real-world population of patients with noncardioembolic mild-to-moderate ischemic stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack.

METHODS

We performed a propensity score-matched analysis from a prospective multicentric cohort study (READAPT [Real-Life Study on Short-Term Dual Antiplatelet Treatment in Patients With Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack]) by including patients with noncardioembolic mild-to-moderate stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 0-10) or high-risk transient ischemic attack (age, blood pressure, clinical features, duration of transient ischemic attack, presence of diabetes [ABCD2] ≥4) who initiated DAPT within 48 hours of symptom onset. The primary effectiveness outcome was the 90-day risk of new ischemic stroke or other vascular events. The secondary effectiveness outcomes were the 90-day modified Rankin Scale score ordinal shift, vascular and all-cause mortality, and 24-hour early neurological improvement or deterioration. The safety outcomes included the 90-day risk of moderate-to-severe and any bleeding, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and 24-hour hemorrhagic transformation. Outcomes were compared between sexes using Cox and generalized ordinal logistic regression analyses, along with calculating risk differences and ratios.

RESULTS

From 2278 patients in the READAPT study cohort, we included 1643 mild-to-moderate strokes or high-risk transient ischemic attacks treated with DAPT (mean age, 69.8±12.0 years; 34.3% women). We matched 531 women and men. The 90-day risk of new ischemic stroke or other vascular events was significantly lower among women than men (hazard ratio, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.28-0.99]; P=0.039). There were no significant differences in secondary effectiveness outcomes. The 90-day risk of safety outcomes was extremely low and did not differ between women and men (moderate-to-severe bleedings: 0.4% versus 0.8%; P=0.413; symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage: 0.2% versus 0.4%; P=0.563). Subgroup analysis for primary effectiveness outcome showed a lower 90-day risk of new ischemic stroke or other vascular events among women aged <50 years, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 0 to 5, prestroke modified Rankin Scale score <2, large artery atherosclerosis cause, and no diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that women with noncardioembolic mild-to-moderate stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack treated with DAPT may have lower short-term risk of recurrent ischemic events than men. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms behind potential sex-based differences in outcomes after DAPT use.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT05476081.

Associations of Social, Behavioral, and Clinical Factors With Sex Differences in Stroke Recurrence and Poststroke Mortality

BACKGROUND

Few population-based studies have assessed sex differences in stroke recurrence. In addition, contributors to sex differences in recurrence and poststroke mortality, including social factors, are unclear. We investigated sex differences in these outcomes and the contribution of social, clinical, and behavioral factors to the sex differences.

METHODS

First-ever ischemic stroke cases identified from 2008 to 2019 from the population-based Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi Project in Texas were included and followed for recurrence and all-cause mortality through 2020. Sex differences in outcomes with and without adjustment for potential confounding factors, including social, behavioral, and clinical factors, were examined using Cox proportional hazard models. Factors that changed the log hazard ratio (HR) for sex by at least 10% after adjustment were identified as confounders/contributors. Final models were adjusted for all identified confounders.

RESULTS

Of 2326 participants (mean age, 68 years; 48% women; 57% Mexican American), over median follow-ups of 5.4 years for recurrence and 3.7 years for mortality, 274 recurrences and 965 deaths occurred. No significant sex differences in recurrence were noted in unadjusted (HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.70-1.13]), age-adjusted (HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.72-1.18]), or fully adjusted models (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.67-1.16]). Although women had a higher crude mortality rate than men (HR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.08-1.38]), this sex difference disappeared after age adjustment (HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.80-1.03]). Other factors contributing to the sex difference included education, marital status, prestroke depression, health behaviors, initial stroke severity, prestroke disability, comorbidities, atrial fibrillation, and coronary artery disease. After simultaneously adjusting for all identified confounders, women had lower poststroke mortality (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.68-0.91]).

CONCLUSIONS

Sex differences in stroke recurrence were not apparent. Women had a higher unadjusted poststroke mortality rate but lower adjusted mortality than men. Social and psychosocial factors, alongside clinical factors, primarily explained the sex disparity in poststroke mortality.

The performance of machine learning for predicting the recurrent stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis on 24,350 patients

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. Approximately one-third of patients with stroke experienced a second stroke. This study investigates the predictive value of machine learning (ML) algorithms for recurrent stroke.

METHOD

This study was prepared according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline. PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science (WOS) were searched until January 1, 2024. The quality assessment of studies was conducted using the QUADAS-2 tool. The diagnostic meta-analysis was conducted to calculate the pooled sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic accuracy, positive and negative diagnostic likelihood ratio (DLR), diagnostic accuracy, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under of the curve (AUC) by the MIDAS package in STATA V.17.

RESULTS

Twelve studies, comprising 24,350 individuals, were included. The meta-analysis revealed a sensitivity of 71% (95% CI 0.64-0.78) and a specificity of 88% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-0.95). Positive and negative DLR were 5.93 (95% CI 3.05-11.55) and 0.33 (95% CI 0.28-0.39), respectively. The diagnostic accuracy and DOR was 2.89 (95% CI 2.32-3.46) and 18.04 (95% CI 10.21-31.87), respectively. The summary ROC curve indicated an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.78-0.85).

CONCLUSION

ML demonstrates promise in predicting recurrent strokes, with moderate to high sensitivity and specificity. However, the high heterogeneity observed underscores the need for standardized approaches and further research to enhance the reliability and generalizability of these models. ML-based recurrent stroke prediction can potentially augment clinical decision-making and improve patient outcomes by identifying high-risk patients.

Enhancing stroke risk prediction in patients with transient ischemic attack: insights from a prospective cohort study implementing fast-track care

Background and aims

Fast-track care have been proved to reduce the short-term risk of stroke after transient ischemic attack (TIA). We aimed to investigate stroke risk and to characterize short- and long-term stroke predictors in a large cohort of TIA patients undergoing fast-track management.

Methods

Prospective study, enrolling consecutive TIA patients admitted to a Northern Italy emergency department from August 2010 to December 2017. All patients underwent fast-track care within 24 h of admission. The primary outcome was defined as the first stroke recurrence at 90 days, 12 and 60 months after TIA. Stroke incidence with 95% confidence interval (CI) at each timepoint was calculated using Poisson regression. Predictors of stroke recurrence were evaluated with Cox regression analysis. The number needed to treat (NNT) of fast-track care in preventing 90-day stroke recurrence in respect to the estimates based on baseline ABCD2 score was also calculated.

Results

We enrolled 1,035 patients (54.2% males). Stroke incidence was low throughout the follow-up with rates of 2.2% [95% CI 1.4-3.3%] at 90 days, 2.9% [95% CI 1.9-4.2%] at 12 months and 7.1% [95% CI 5.4-9.0%] at 60 months. Multiple TIA, speech disturbances and presence of ischemic lesion at neuroimaging predicted stroke recurrence at each timepoint. Male sex and increasing age predicted 90-day and 60-month stroke risk, respectively. Hypertension was associated with higher 12-month and 60-month stroke risk. No specific TIA etiology predicted higher stroke risk throughout the follow-up. The NNT for fast-track care in preventing 90-day stroke was 14.5 [95% CI 11.3-20.4] in the overall cohort and 6.8 [95% CI 4.6-13.5] in patients with baseline ABCD2 of 6 to 7.

Conclusion

Our findings support the effectiveness of fast-track care in preventing both short- and long-term stroke recurrence after TIA. Particular effort should be made to identify and monitor patients with baseline predictors of higher stroke risk, which may vary according to follow-up duration.

Sex-specific racial and ethnic variations in short-term outcomes among patients with first or recurrent ischemic stroke: Paul Coverdell National Acute Stroke Program, 2016-2020

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To understand the association of sex-specific race and ethnicity on the short-term outcomes of initial and recurrent ischemic stroke events.

METHODS

Using the Paul Coverdell National Acute Stroke Program from 2016-2020, we examined 426,062 ischemic stroke admissions from 629 hospitals limited to non-Hispanic White (NHW), non-Hispanic Black (NHB), and Hispanic patients. We performed multivariate logistic regression analyses to assess the combined effects of sex-specific race and ethnicity on short-term outcomes for acute ischemic stroke patients presenting with initial or recurrent stroke events. Outcomes assessed include rates of in-hospital death, discharge to home, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) after reperfusion treatment.

RESULTS

Among studied patients, the likelihood of developing sICH after reperfusion treatment for initial ischemic stroke was not significantly different. The likelihood of experiencing in-hospital death among patients presenting with initial stroke was notably higher among NHW males (AOR 1.59 [95 % CI 1.46, 1.73]), NHW females (AOR 1.34 [95 % CI 1.23, 1.45]), and Hispanic males (AOR 1.57 [95 % CI 1.36, 1.81]) when compared to NHB females. Hispanic females were more likely to be discharged home when compared to NHB females after initial stroke event (AOR 1.32 [95 % CI 1.23, 1.41]). NHB males (AOR 0.90 [95 % CI 0.87, 0.94]) and NHW females (AOR 0.89 [95 % CI 0.86, 0.92]) were less likely to be discharged to home. All groups with recurrent ischemic strokes experienced higher likelihood of in-hospital death when compared to NHB females with the highest likelihood among NHW males (AOR 2.13 [95 % CI 1.87, 2.43]). Hispanic females had a higher likelihood of discharging home when compared to NHB females hospitalized for recurrent ischemic stroke, while NHB males and NHW females with recurrent ischemic stroke hospitalizations were less likely to discharge home.

CONCLUSIONS

Sex-specific race and ethnic disparities remain for short-term outcomes in both initial and recurrent ischemic stroke hospitalizations. Further studies are needed to address disparities among recurrent ischemic stroke hospitalizations.

Patient Readmission for Ischemic Stroke: Risk Factors and Impact on Mortality

Patient readmission for ischemic stroke significantly strains the healthcare and medical insurance systems. Current understanding of the risk factors associated with these readmissions, as well as their subsequent impact on mortality within China, remains insufficient. This is particularly evident in the context of comprehensive, contemporary population studies. This 4-year retrospective cohort study included 125 397 hospital admissions for ischemic stroke from 838 hospitals located in 22 regions (13 urban and 9 rural) of a major city in western China, between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2018. The Chi-square tests were used in univariate analysis. Accounting for intra-subject correlations of patients' readmissions, accelerated failure time (AFT) shared frailty models were used to examine readmission events and pure AFT models for mortality. Risk factors for patient readmission after ischemic stroke include frequent admission history, male gender, employee's insurance, advanced age, residence in urban areas, index hospitalization in low-level hospitals, extended length of stay (LOS) during index hospitalization, specific comorbidities and subtypes of ischemic stroke. Furthermore, our findings indicated that an additional admission for ischemic stroke increased patient mortality by 16.4% (P < .001). Stroke readmission contributed to an increased risk of hospital mortality. Policymakers can establish more effective and targeted policies to reduce readmissions for stroke by controlling these risk factors.

Previous Ischemic Stroke Significantly Alters Stroke Risk in Newly Diagnosed Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Previous ischemic stroke (IS) is a risk factor for subsequent IS in the general population; it is unclear if this relationship remains true in patients with cancer. Our objective was to examine the association between previous IS and risk for future IS in individuals newly diagnosed with cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective population-based matched cohort study of newly diagnosed adult cancer patients (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers and primary central nervous system tumors) in Ontario, Canada from 2010 to 2020; those with prior IS were matched (1:4) by age, sex, year of cancer diagnosis, cancer stage, and cancer site to those without a history of stroke. Cumulative incidence function curves were created to estimate the incidence of IS. Subdistribution adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs were calculated, where death was treated as a competing event. Multivariable analysis was adjusted for imbalanced baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

We examined 65 525 individuals with cancer, including 13 070 with a history of IS. The median follow-up duration was 743 days (interquartile range, 177-1729 days). The incidence of IS following cancer diagnosis was 261.3/10 000 person-years in the cohort with prior IS and 75.3/10 000 person-years in those without prior IS. Individuals with prior IS had an increased risk for IS after cancer diagnosis compared with those without a history (aHR, 2.68 [95% CI, 2.41-2.98]); they also had more prevalent cardiovascular risk factors. The highest risk for stroke compared with those without a history of IS was observed in the gynecologic cancer (aHR, 3.84 [95% CI, 2.15-6.85]) and lung cancer (aHR, 3.18 [95% CI, 2.52-4.02]) subgroups. The risk of IS was inversely correlated with lag time of previous stroke; those with IS 1 year before their cancer diagnosis had the highest risk (aHR, 3.68 [95% CI, 3.22-4.22]).

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with newly diagnosed cancer, those with IS history were almost 3× more likely to experience a stroke after cancer diagnosis, especially if the prediagnosis stroke occurred within 1 year preceding cancer diagnosis.

Sex differences and risk factors in recurrent ischemic stroke

Introduction

Recurrent ischemic stroke (RIS) is associated with increased mortality and poor outcomes. Therefore, secondary prevention is critical for reducing the risk of recurrent stroke. Previous studies have found sex differences in risk factors in patients with first-ever stroke; however, the results have been inconsistent for recurrent stroke. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate whether there are significant sex differences in the clinical characteristics and risk factors for recurrent ischemic stroke.

Methods

We retrospectively studied 787 patients with recurrent ischemic stroke after first-ever stroke confirmation using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) after visiting a regional tertiary hospital between 2014 and 2020. Demographic characteristics, laboratory findings, and risk factors were compared between the male and female patients. In addition, multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify the independent factors associated with stroke recurrence in male patients.

Results

Among the 787 patients, 466 (59.2%) were males. Males were younger than females (67.6 vs. 71.9 years). Females had higher rates of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and overweight than those of males. However, the alcohol drinking and smoking rate were significantly higher in males than that in females. There were no statistically significant sex-based differences in the laboratory findings. Among males, hypertension, alcohol drinking, smoking and dyslipidemia was a significant risk factor for ischemic stroke recurrence.

Conclusion

Hypertension and dyslipidemia were significant risk factors of recurrent ischemic stroke in both genders. Smoking and alcohol drinking were significant risk factors associated with ischemic stroke recurrence in males. Therefore, smoking cessation and alcohol abstinence are recommended after the first stroke to prevent recurrent ischemic stroke especially for males. Diabetes was a significant risk factor of ischemic stroke recurrence in females. More extensive studies are needed to understand the causal relationship of each factors with ischemic stroke recurrence according to sex differences and specification of preventive management is needed.

Stroke Recurrence Following 28 Days After First Stroke in Men and Women 2012 to 2020: Observations From the Swedish Stroke Register

Background Stroke incidence, care, and survival show continuous improvements in Sweden, including no or decreasing disparities between men and women. In this study, we aimed to estimate and compare the risk of stroke recurrence in men and women over time, accounting for the competing risk of death. Methods and Results We included adult patients with first-time stroke (ischemic or intracerebral hemorrhage) registered in Riksstroke (the Swedish Stroke Register), 2012 to 2020, and followed until December 2020. Stroke recurrences included new events registered in Riksstroke from 28 days after stroke. To account for the competing risk of death, we used the cumulative incidence function to estimate crude incidences, and multivariable Cox regression to estimate cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs) adjusting for differences in patients' risk factor profiles. The study included 72 148 (53.5%) men and 62 689 (46.5%) women. We observed 10 925 stroke recurrences and 81 811 deaths following the initial 28 days after the first stroke. The cumulative incidence of stroke recurrence was 3.7% (95% CI, 3.6-3.8) after 1 year, 7.0 (95% CI, 6.8-7.1) after 3 years, and 9.1% (95% CI, 8.9-9.3) after 5 years. The incidence decreased substantially during the study period (HR, 2019-2020 versus 2012, 0.824 [95% CI, 0.759-0.894]). Overall, men had a lower risk of stroke recurrence. After adjustments for differences in patient characteristics, men had a slightly higher risk of recurrence (of any type) after an ischemic stroke (HR, 1.090 [95% CI, 1.045-1.138]) and a lower risk after hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 0.880 [95% CI, 0.781-0.991]) compared with women. Conclusions The risk of stroke recurrence has decreased in both men and women. Women's higher age and other differences in risk factors partly explain their higher risk of stroke recurrence compared with men.