Predicting survival in newly diagnosed idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a 3-year prospective study

Higher body mass index was associated with a lower mortality of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE

In the past few years, there has been a notable rise in the incidence and prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) on a global scale. A considerable body of research has highlighted the 'obesity paradox,' suggesting that a higher body mass index (BMI) can confer a protective effect against numerous chronic diseases. However, the relationship between BMI and the risk of mortality in IPF patients remains underexplored in the existing literature. We aim to shed light on this relationship and potentially offer novel insights into prevention strategies for IPF.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases to collect all published studies examining the correlation between Body Mass Index (BMI) and the mortality risk in patients with IPF, up until February 14, 2023. For the synthesis of the findings, we employed random-effects models. The statistical significance of the association between BMI and the mortality risk in IPF patients was evaluated using the hazard ratio (HR), with the 95% Confidence Interval (CI) serving as the metric for effect size.

RESULTS

A total of 14 data sets involving 2080 patients with IPF were included in the meta-analysis. The combined results of the random-effects models were suggestive of a significant association between lower BMI and a higher risk of death (HR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001). For baseline BMI, the risk of death from IPF decreased by 6% for each unit increase. The results of the subgroup analysis suggest that geographic location (Asian subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.93-0.98, P = 0.001; Western subgroup: HR = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.84-0.98, P = 0.014), study type (RCS subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.92-0.98, P = 0.004; PCS subgroup: HR = 0.89, 95%CI = 0.84-0.94, P < 0.001), and sample size (< 100 groups: HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.87-1.01, P = 0.079; >100 groups: HR = 0.94, 95%CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001 ) were not significant influences on heterogeneity. Of the included literature, those with confounding factors corrected and high NOS scores reduced heterogeneity (HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.90-0.96, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses showed that the combined results were stable and not significantly altered by individual studies (HR = 0.93 to 0.95, 95% CI = 0.90-0.96 to 0.92-0.98). Egger's test suggested no significant publication bias in the included studies (P = 0.159).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher BMI (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2) is negatively correlated to some extent with the risk of death in IPF patients, and BMI may become a clinical indicator for determining the prognosis of IPF patients.

Clinical and economic burden of acute exacerbations of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a prospective observational study in Spain (OASIS study)

BACKGROUND

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a fatal progressive lung disease entailing significant impairment in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and high socioeconomic burden. The course of IPF includes episodes of acute exacerbations (AE-IPF) leading to poor outcomes. This study aimed to compare management, costs and HRQoL of patients with AE-IPF to patients without AE-IPF during one year in Spain.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In a 12-month, prospective, observational, multicenter study of IPF patients, healthcare resource use was recorded and costs related to AE-IPF were estimated and compared between patients with and without AE-IPF. HRQoL was measured with the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), EuroQoL 5 dimensions 5 levels questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L), EQ-5D visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS) and the Barthel Index.

RESULTS

204 IPF patients were included: 22 (10.8%) experienced ≥ 1 acute exacerbation, and 182 (89.2%) did not. Patients with exacerbations required more primary care visits, nursing home visits, emergency visits, hospital admissions, pharmacological treatments and transport use (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). Likewise, patients with exacerbations showed higher annual direct health AE-IPF-related costs. In particular, specialized visits, emergency visits, days of hospitalization, tests, palliative care, transport in ambulance and economic aid (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). Exploratory results showed that patients with AE-IPF reported a non-significant but substantial decline of HRQoL compared with patients without AE-IPF, although causality can be inferred.

CONCLUSION

We observed significantly higher resource use and cost consumption and lower HRQoL among patients suffering exacerbations during the study. Thus, preventing or avoiding AE-IPF is key in IPF management.

Oxygen saturation recovery after 6-minute walk test in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

The six-minute walk test (6MWT) is widely used to assess functional capacity and prognosis in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, studies on oxygen saturation recovery after the 6MWT in patients with IPF are rare. In our study, we investigated the relationship between oxygen saturation recovery time and dyspnea, fatigue, quality of life, prognostic markers and pulmonary hypertension (PH).

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, IPF patients diagnosed according to current guidelines and followed up in our Interstitial Lung Disease Outpatient Clinic between 2021 and 2022 were included. Demographics, data from spirometry, diffusion capacity measurement, arterial blood gas analysis, transthoracic echocardiography and the 6MWT were recorded. The oxygen saturation recovery time, distance saturation product (DSP), gender-age-physiology (GAP) index and composite physiological index (CPI) scores were calculated. Dyspnea severity was assessed by the modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) and Dyspnoea-12 (D-12) scales, fatigue severity by the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI-20) and quality of life by the St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ).

RESULTS

Fifty IPF patients (34 men, 16 women, age: 66.8 ± 7.3 years) were included in the study. The mean FVC was 77.8 ± 19.3%, the DLCO was 52.9 ± 17.1%, the 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) was 385.7 ± 90.6 m, the GAP index was 3.5 ± 1.5, and the CPI was 43.7 ± 14.1. Oxygen saturation after the 6MWT reached pretest values at an average of 135.6 ± 73.5 s. The oxygen saturation recovery time was longer in patients with higher GAP index scores (Rs = 0.870, p < 0.001), CPI scores (Rs = 0.906, p < 0.001), desaturation (Rs = 0.801, p < 0.001), FVC%/DLCO% (Rs = 0.432, p = 0.002), sPAP (Rs = 0.492, p = 0.001), TRV (Rs = 0.504, p = 0.001), mMRC (Rs = 0.913, p < 0.001), MFI-20 (Rs = 0.944, p < 0.001), D-12 scale (Rs = 0.915, p < 0.001) and SGRQ scores (Rs = 0.927, p < 0.001); lower FVC (%) (Rs=-0.627, p < 0.001), DLCO (%) (Rs=-0.892, p < 0.001), PaO2 (Rs=-0.779, p < 0.001), DSP (Rs=-0.835, p < 0.001), and 6MWD (Rs=-0.763, p < 0.001). A total of twenty patients (40%) exhibited an increased risk of PH. According to our multiple regression analysis, oxygen saturation recovery time was independently associated with the GAP index (p = 0.036), the lowest oxygen saturation occurring during the 6MWT (p = 0.011) and the SGRQ score (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results showed that oxygen saturation recovery time is associated with dyspnea, fatigue, quality of life, increased risk of PH and prognostic markers in IPF. Therefore, we recommend continuous measurement of oxygen saturation after 6MWT until pretest values are reached.

Progressive pulmonary fibrosis and its impact on survival in systemic sclerosis-related interstitial lung disease

OBJECTIVE

To describe the frequency of progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) in an incident cohort of systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD) and its impact on survival.

METHODS

Incident ILD was defined as the new development of characteristic fibrotic changes on chest HRCT scan. PPF was defined as per the 2022 American Thoracic Society. Determinants of PPF were identified using generalised estimating equations. Impact on survival was analysed using accelerated failure time regression modelling.

RESULTS

Of our incident SSc-ILD cases, 38.8% (n = 180) experienced PPF within a 12-month period after ILD diagnosis. Determinants of PPF included older age (OR 1.02, 95%CI 1.00-1.03, P = 0.011), dcSSc (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.06-2.25, P = 0.024) and SSc-specific antibodies (anticentomere antibody OR 0.51, 95%CI 0.29-0.91, P = 0.021 and anti-Scl-70 antibody OR 1.46, 95%CI 1.01-2.09, P = 0.043). Raised CRP was numerically associated with PPF but did not reach statistical significance (OR 1.29, 95%CI 0.99-1.68, P = 0.064) nor did GORD or dysphagia (OR 1.18, 95%CI 0.57-2.42, P = 0.658 and OR 1.17, 95%CI 0.57-2.40, P = 0.664, respectively). The presence of PPF significantly impacted survival in SSc-ILD (hazard ratio 2.66, 95%CI 1.59-4.41, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PPF occurred in a third of our incident SSc-ILD cohort; however, its occurrence was significantly associated with mortality indicating an at-risk group who may be suitable for earlier introduction of immunosuppressive and/or antifibrotic therapy.

Clinical utility of the Borg dyspnoea score in 6-minute walk tests in interstitial lung disease: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Exertional dyspnoea, a cardinal symptom in interstitial lung disease (ILD), can be objectively measured during a 6-min walk test (6MWT) using the Borg Dyspnoea Score (BDS). However, the clinical utility of this measurement is unclear. The purpose of this systematic review was to determine the association between 6MWT BDS and prognosis (mortality and lung transplantation), other 6MWT variables and measures of pulmonary function.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane and SCOPUS databases were used to identify studies reporting an association between post-6MWT BDS and the relevant outcomes in adults with ILD. Language was limited to English. Study quality was assessed using the Quality in Prognosis Study risk of bias tool. A narrative synthesis for each outcome was performed.

RESULTS

Ten full-text studies (n = 518) were included. Four studies had high overall risk of bias. Two studies (n = 127) reported prognosis and both found that higher 6MWT BDS was associated with increased all-cause mortality. However, the certainty of evidence was very low due to study design and likely publication bias. Higher post-6MWT BDS may be associated with shorter, or no effect on 6MWD; and lower pulmonary function. There was insufficient evidence that BDS correlated with 6MWT oxygen saturation.

CONCLUSIONS

Post-6MWT BDS has a potential role as a predictor of all-cause mortality in ILD, 6MWD and lower pulmonary function. Larger studies designed to confirm these relationships and assess the independent association between the 6MWT BDS and clinical outcomes are required.

Body mass index is associated with clinical outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Association between body mass index (BMI) and prognosis in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) remains uncertain. We investigated the association between BMI and clinical outcomes in patients with IPF using national health claims data. The study included 11,826 patients with IPF and rare incurable disease exemption codes (mean age: 68.9 years, male: 73.8%) and available BMI data who visited medical institutions between January 2002 and December 2018. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the association of BMI with all-cause mortality and hospitalization. Based on BMI, 3.1%, 32.8%, 27.8%, and 36.4% were classified as underweight, normal, overweight, and obese, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed independent associations of overweight (hazard ratio [HR] 0.856, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.801-0.916) and underweight (HR 1.538, 95% CI 1.347-1.757) with mortality in patients with IPF. Similarly, overweight (HR 0.887, 95% CI 0.834-0.943) and underweight (HR 1.265, 95% CI 1.104-1.449) were also associated with hospitalization in patients with IPF in the multivariable analysis. Spline HR curve analysis adjusted for all covariates revealed a non-linear relationship between BMI and mortality in patients with IPF. Our data suggest that BMI is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with IPF.

Mitochondrial DNA in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid is associated with the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a single cohort study

BACKGROUND

Extracellular mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) is released from damaged cells and increases in the serum and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients. While increased levels of serum mtDNA have been reported to be linked to disease progression and the future development of acute exacerbation (AE) of IPF (AE-IPF), the clinical significance of mtDNA in BALF (BALF-mtDNA) remains unclear. We investigated the relationships between BALF-mtDNA levels and other clinical variables and prognosis in IPF.

METHODS

Extracellular mtDNA levels in BALF samples collected from IPF patients were determined using droplet-digital PCR. Levels of extracellular nucleolar DNA in BALF (BALF-nucDNA) were also determined as a marker for simple cell collapse. Patient characteristics and survival information were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

mtDNA levels in serum and BALF did not correlate with each other. In 27 patients with paired BALF samples obtained in a stable state and at the time of AE diagnosis, BALF-mtDNA levels were significantly increased at the time of AE. Elevated BALF-mtDNA levels were associated with inflammation or disordered pulmonary function in a stable state (n = 90), while being associated with age and BALF-neutrophils at the time of AE (n = 38). BALF-mtDNA ≥ 4234.3 copies/µL in a stable state (median survival time (MST): 42.4 vs. 79.6 months, p < 0.001) and ≥ 11,194.3 copies/µL at the time of AE (MST: 2.6 vs. 20.0 months, p = 0.03) were associated with shorter survival after BALF collection, even after adjusting for other known prognostic factors. On the other hand, BALF-nucDNA showed different trends in correlation with other clinical variables and did not show any significant association with survival time.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated BALF-mtDNA was associated with a poor prognosis in both IPF and AE-IPF. Of note, at the time of AE, it sharply distinguished survivors from non-survivors. Given the trends shown by analyses for BALF-nucDNA, the elevation of BALF-mtDNA might not simply reflect the impact of cell collapse. Further studies are required to explore the underlying mechanisms and clinical applications of BALF-mtDNA in IPF.

Cohort study to evaluate prognostic factors in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients introduced to oxygen therapy

While high-level evidence is lacking, numerous retrospective studies have depicted the value of supplemental oxygen in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and other interstitial lung diseases, and its use should be encouraged where necessary. The clinical course and survival of patients with IPF who have been introduced to oxygen therapy is still not fully understood. The objective of this study was to clarify overall survival, factors associated with prognosis, and causes of death in IPF patients after the start of oxygen therapy. This is a prospective cohort multicenter study, enrolling patients with IPF who started oxygen therapy at 19 hospitals with expertise in interstitial lung disease. Baseline clinical data at the start of oxygen therapy and 3-year follow-up data including death and cause of death were assessed. Factors associated with prognosis were analyzed using univariable and multivariable analyses. One hundred forty-seven eligible patients, of whom 86 (59%) were prescribed ambulatory oxygen therapy and 61 (41%) were prescribed long-term oxygen therapy, were recruited. Of them, 111 died (76%) during a median follow-up of 479 days. The median survival from the start of oxygen therapy was 537 ± 74 days. In the univariable analysis, low body mass index (BMI), low forced vital capacity (FVC), low diffusion capacity (DLCO), resting hypoxemia, short 6 min-walk distance, and high COPD assessment test (CAT) score were significantly associated with poor prognosis. Multivariable analysis revealed low BMI, low FVC, low DLCO, low minimum SpO2 on 6MWT, and high CAT score were independent factors for poor prognosis. The overall survival of IPF patients after starting oxygen therapy is about 1.5 years. In addition to pulmonary function tests, 6MWT and patient reported outcomes can be used to predict prognosis more accurately.Clinical Trial Registration: UMIN000009322.

Prognostic Value of Pace Variability, a Novel 6MWT-Derived Feature, in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Purpose

The 6-minute walk test (6MWT) is often used to evaluate chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients' functional capacity, with 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) and related measures being linked to mortality and hospitalizations. This study investigates the prognostic value of pace variability, a significant indicator in sports medicine, during the 6MWT for COPD patients.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively screened consecutive COPD patients who had been prospectively enrolled in a pay-for-performance program from January 2019 to May 2020 to determine their eligibility. Patient characteristics, including demographics, exacerbation history, and 6MWT data, were analyzed to investigate their potential associations with prognosis. The primary outcome was a composite of adverse events, including overall mortality or hospitalizations due to exacerbations during a 1-year follow-up period. To analyze the 6MWT data, we divided it into three 2-minute epochs and calculated the average walk speed for each epoch. We defined pace variability as the difference between the maximum and minimum average speed in a single 2-minute epoch, divided by the average speed for the entire 6-minute walk test.

Results

A total of 163 patients with COPD were included in the study, and 19 of them (12%) experienced the composite adverse outcome. Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that two predictors were independently associated with the composite outcome: % predicted 6MWD <72 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 7.080; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.481-33.847) and pace variability ≥0.39 (aOR 9.444; 95% CI 2.689-33.170). Patients with either of these adverse prognostic features had significantly worse composite outcome-free survival, with both log-rank P values less than 0.005. Notably, COPD patients with both adverse features experienced an especially poor outcome after 1 year.

Conclusion

Patients with COPD who exhibited greater pace variability during the 6MWT had a significantly higher risk of overall mortality and COPD-related hospitalizations, indicating a worse prognosis.

Acute Exacerbations of Interstitial Lung Diseases: Focus on Biomarkers

Interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) are a large group of pulmonary disorders characterized histologically by the cardinal involvement of the pulmonary interstitium. The prototype of ILDs is idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), an incurable disease characterized by progressive distortion and loss of normal lung architecture through unchecked collagen deposition. Acute exacerbations are dramatic events during the clinical course of ILDs, associated with high morbidity and mortality. Infections, microaspiration, and advanced lung disease might be involved in the pathogenesis of acute exacerbations. Despite clinical scores, the prediction of the onset and outcome of acute exacerbations is still inaccurate. Biomarkers are necessary to characterize acute exacerbations better. We review the evidence for alveolar epithelial cell, fibropoliferation, and immunity molecules as potential biomarkers for acute exacerbations of interstitial lung disease.

A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Clinical, Respiratory, and Biochemical Risk Factors for Acute Exacerbation of idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

BACKGROUND

A better capacity to identify patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) at risk of acute exacerbation (AEIPF) might improve outcomes and reduce healthcare costs.

AIMS

We critically appraised the available evidence of the differences in clinical, respiratory, and biochemical parameters between AEIPF and IPF patients with stable disease (SIPF) by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus were reviewed up until August 1, 2022, for studies reporting differences in clinical, respiratory, and biochemical parameters (including investigational biomarkers) between AEIPF and SIPF patients. The Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist was used to assess the risk of bias.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine cross-sectional studies published between 2010 and 2022 were identified (all with a low risk of bias). Of the 32 meta-analysed parameters, significant differences were observed between groups, assessed through standard mean differences or relative ratios, with age, forced vital capacity, vital capacity, carbon monoxide diffusion capacity, total lung capacity, oxygen partial pressure, alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient, P/F ratio, 6 min walk test distance, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, white blood cell count, albumin, Krebs von den Lungen 6, surfactant protein D, high mobility group box 1 protein, and interleukin-1β, 6, and 8.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified significant differences between AEIPF and SIPF patients in age and specific parameters of respiratory function, inflammation, and epithelial lung damage. Prospective studies are warranted to determine the capacity of these parameters to predict AEIPF more accurately (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022356640).

Derivation and validation of a simple multidimensional index incorporating exercise capacity parameters for survival prediction in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

The gender-age-physiology (GAP) index is an easy-to-use baseline mortality prediction model in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The GAP index does not incorporate exercise capacity parameters such as 6 min walk distance (6MWD) or exertional hypoxia. We evaluated if the addition of 6MWD and exertional hypoxia to the GAP index improves survival prediction in IPF.

METHODS

Patients with IPF were identified at a tertiary care referral centre. Discrimination and calibration of the original GAP index were assessed. The cohort was then randomly divided into a derivation and validation set and performance of the GAP index with the addition of 6MWD and exertional hypoxia was evaluated. A final model was selected based on improvement in discrimination. Application of this model was then evaluated in a geographically distinct external cohort.

RESULTS

There were 562 patients with IPF identified in the internal cohort. Discrimination of the original GAP index was measured by a C-statistic of 0.676 (95% CI 0.635 to 0.717) and overestimated observed risk. 6MWD and exertional hypoxia were strongly predictive of mortality. The addition of these variables to the GAP index significantly improved model discrimination. A revised index incorporating exercise capacity parameters was constructed and performed well in the internal validation set (C-statistic: 0.752; 95% CI 0.701 to 0.802, difference in C-statistic compared with the refit GAP index: 0.050; 95% CI 0.004 to 0.097) and external validation set (N=108 (C-statistic: 0.780; 95% CI 0.682 to 0.877)).

CONCLUSION

A simple point-based baseline-risk prediction model incorporating exercise capacity predictors into the original GAP index may improve prognostication in patients with IPF.

A Systematic Review of the Prognostic Significance of the Body Mass Index in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

The identification of novel prognostic biomarkers might enhance individualized management strategies in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Although several patient characteristics are currently used to predict outcomes, the prognostic significance of the body mass index (BMI), a surrogate measure of excess fat mass, has not been specifically investigated until recently. We systematically searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus, from inception to July 2022, for studies investigating associations between the BMI and clinical endpoints in IPF. The Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist was used to assess the risk of bias. The PRISMA 2020 statement on the reporting of systematic reviews was followed. Thirty-six studies were identified (9958 IPF patients, low risk of bias in 20), of which 26 were published over the last five years. Significant associations between lower BMI values and adverse outcomes were reported in 10 out of 21 studies on mortality, four out of six studies on disease progression or hospitalization, and two out of three studies on nintedanib tolerability. In contrast, 10 out of 11 studies did not report any significant association between the BMI and disease exacerbation. Our systematic review suggests that the BMI might be useful to predict mortality, disease progression, hospitalization, and treatment-related toxicity in IPF (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022353363).

Prognosis and Survival in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis in the Era of Antifibrotic Therapy in Italy: Evidence from a Longitudinal Population Study Based on Healthcare Utilization Databases

The aim was to evaluate the determinants of acute exacerbation (AE) and death in new cases of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) using administrative databases in the Marche Region. Adults at their first prescription of antifibrotics or hospitalization with a diagnosis of IPF occurring in 2014-2019 were considered as new cases. Multiple Cox regression was used to estimate the risk of AE and of all-cause mortality adjusted by demographic and clinical characteristics, stratifying patients according to antifibrotic treatment. Overall, 676 new cases of IPF were identified and 276 deaths and 248 AE events occurred. In never-treated patients, the risk of AE was higher in patients with poor health conditions at diagnosis; the risk of death was higher in males, in patients aged ≥75 and in those with poor health conditions at baseline. The increasing number of AEs increased the risk of death in treated and never-treated patients. Within the limits of an observational study based on secondary data, the combined use of healthcare administrative databases allows the accurate analysis of progression and survival of IPF from the beginning of the antifibrotic therapy era, suggesting that timely and early diagnosis is critical to prescribing the most suitable treatment to increase survival and maintain a healthy life expectancy.

Development and validation of the prognostic model based on autophagy-associated genes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic progressive interstitial lung disease. Many studies suggest that autophagy may be related to disease progression and prognosis in IPF. However, the mechanisms involved have not been fully elucidated.

Methods

We incorporated 232 autophagy-associated genes (AAGs) and two datasets, GSE28042 and GSE27957, from the GEO database. Univariate Cox analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were used to construct the autophagy-associated prognostic model. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were performed to investigate the functions of these autophagy-associated genes. CIBERSORT algorithm was used to calculate the immune cell infiltration between patients in the high-risk score and low-risk score groups. Quantitative Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (qRT-PCR) was performed to explore the mRNA expression of five genes in the autophagy-associated risk model.

Results

We constructed a 5-autophagy-associated genes signature based on Univariate Cox analysis and LASSO regression. In our autophagy-associated risk model, IPF patients in the high-risk group demonstrated a poor overall survival rate compared to patients in the low-risk group. For 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates, the AUC predictive value of the AAG signature was 0.670, 0.787, and 0.864, respectively. These results were validated in the GSE27957 cohort, confirming the good prognostic effect of our model. GO and KEGG pathway analyses enriched immune-related pathways between the high-risk and low-risk groups. And there was also a significant difference in immune cell infiltration between two groups. And the results of qRT-PCR showed that the expression levels of FOXO1, IRGM, MYC, and PRKCQ were significantly decreased in the Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cell (PBMC) of IPF patient samples.

Conclusion

Our study constructed and validated an autophagy-associated risk model based on MYC, MAPK1, IRGM, PRKCQ, and FOXO1. And those five genes may influence the progression of IPF by regulating immune responses and immune cells.

A novel gene signature based on the hub genes of COVID-19 predicts the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background: Increasing evidence has demonstrated that there was a strong correlation between COVID-19 and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the studies are limited, and the real biological mechanisms behind the IPF progression were still uncleared.

Methods: GSE70866 and GSE 157103 datasets were downloaded. The weight gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) algorithms were conducted to identify the most correlated gene module with COVID-19. Then the genes were extracted to construct a risk signature in IPF patients by performing Univariate and Lasso Cox Regression analysis. Univariate and Multivariate Cox Regression analyses were used to identify the independent value for predicting the prognosis of IPF patients. What’s more, the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), Gene Ontology (GO), and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were conducted to unveil the potential biological pathways. CIBERSORT algorithms were performed to calculate the correlation between the risk score and immune cells infiltrating levels.

Results: Two hundred thirty three differentially expressed genes were calculated as the hub genes in COVID-19. Fourteen of these genes were identified as the prognostic differentially expressed genes in IPF. Three (MET, UCHL1, and IGF1) of the fourteen genes were chosen to construct the risk signature. The risk signature can greatly predict the prognosis of high-risk and low-risk groups based on the calculated risk score. The functional pathway enrichment analysis and immune infiltrating analysis showed that the risk signature may regulate the immune-related pathways and immune cells.

Conclusion: We identified prognostic differentially expressed hub genes related to COVID-19 in IPF. A risk signature was constructed based on those genes and showed great value for predicting the prognosis in IPF patients. What’s more, three genes in the risk signature may be clinically valuable as potential targets for treating IPF patients and IPF patients with COVID-19.

Forced Oscillation Measurements in Patients with Idiopathic Interstitial Pneumonia Subjected to Pulmonary Rehabilitation

(1) Background: Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) plays a significant therapeutic role for patients with idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP). The study assessed the impact of physical activity on lung function measured by forced oscillation technique (FOT). (2) Methods: The study involved 48 patients with IIP subjected to a 3-week inpatient PR. The control group included IIP patients (n = 44) on a 3-week interval without PR. All patients were assessed at baseline and after 3 weeks of PR by FOT, spirometry, plethysmography, grip strength measurement and the 6-minute walk test. (3) Results: There were no significant changes in FOT measurements in the PR group, except for reduced reactance at 11 Hz, observed in both groups (p < 0.05). Patients who completed PR significantly improved their 6-min walk distance (6MWD) and forced vital capacity (FVC). The change in 6MWD was better in patients with higher baseline reactance (p = 0.045). (4) Conclusions: Patients with IIP benefit from PR by an increased FVC and 6MWD; however, no improvement in FOT values was noticed. Slow disease progression was observed in the study and control groups, as measured by reduced reactance at 11 Hz. Patients with lower baseline reactance limitations achieve better 6MWD improvement.

Digital quantification of p16-positive foci in fibrotic interstitial lung disease is associated with a phenotype of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis with reduced survival

BACKGROUND

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is associated with increased expression of cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitors such as p16 and p21, and subsequent induction of cell cycle arrest, cellular senescence, and pro-fibrotic gene expression. We sought to link p16-expression with a diagnosis of IPF or other fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), radiographic pattern, senescent foci-specific gene expression, antifibrotic therapy response, and lung transplant (LTx)-free survival.

METHODS

Eighty-six cases of fibrosing ILD were identified with surgical lung biopsy. Immunohistochemistry for p16 was performed on sections with the most active fibrosis. p16-positive foci (loose collection of p16-positive fibroblasts with overlying p16-positive epithelium) were identified on digital slides and quantified. Cases were scored as p16-low (≤ 2.1 foci per 100 mm²) or p16-high (> 2.1 foci per 100 mm²). Twenty-four areas including senescent foci, fibrotic and normal areas were characterized using in situ RNA expression analysis with digital spatial profiling (DSP) in selected cases.

RESULTS

The presence of p16-positive foci was specific for the diagnosis of IPF, where 50% of cases expressed any level of p16 and 26% were p16-high. There was no relationship between radiographic pattern and p16 expression. However, there was increased expression of cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitors, collagens and matrix remodeling genes within p16-positive foci, and cases with high p16 expression had shorter LTx-free survival. On the other hand, antifibrotic therapy was significantly protective. DSP demonstrated that fibroblastic foci exhibit transcriptional features clearly distinct from that of normal-looking and even fibrotic areas.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated the potential clinical applicability of a standardized quantification of p16-positive fibroblastic foci. This method identifies an IPF phenotype associated with foci-specific upregulation of senescence-associated and matrix remodeling gene expression. While these patients have reduced LTx-free survival, good response to antifibrotic therapies was observed in those who were treated.

Risk factors for pneumonitis in advanced extrapulmonary cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Immune-mediated pneumonitis has a high mortality rate; however, information regarding the related risk factors remains limited. This study aimed to analyze risk factors for pneumonitis, including smoking and lung metastasis (LM), in patients with extrapulmonary primary tumors.

METHODS

Data of 110 patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) (nivolumab/pembrolizumab) for treating extrapulmonary primary tumors at the Shiga University of Medical Science Hospital between January 2015 and December 2019 were retrospectively collected. The association between the onset of pneumonitis and treatment-related factors was analyzed by logistic regression. The severity of pneumonitis was graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. Risk factors, such as the absence or presence of interstitial lung disease (ILD) and LM, or other clinical factors, including smoking status before ICI administration, were analyzed.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses indicated that the amount of smoking was significantly associated with an increase in the development of all-grade pneumonitis types (odds ratio (OR) = 20.33, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 20.03-20.66; p = 0.029). LM and ILD were significantly related to an increase in the development of symptomatic pneumonitis (≥ Grade 2) (OR = 10.08, 95% CI = 1.69-199.81; p = 0.076, and OR = 6.76, 95% CI = 1.13-40.63; p = 0.037, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-screening for ILD and LM and recognizing patients' smoking history is important for determining the risk of ICI-induced pneumonitis and allowing safe ICI administration.

Development and Validation of a Novel Gene Signature for Predicting the Prognosis of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Based on Three Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition and Immune-Related Genes

Background: Increasing evidence has revealed that epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT) and immunity play key roles in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, correlation between EMT and immune response and the prognostic significance of EMT in IPF remains unclear.

Methods: Two microarray expression profiling datasets (GSE70866 and GSE28221) were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. EMT- and immune-related genes were identified by gene set variation analysis (GSVA) and the Estimation of STromal and Immune cells in MAlignant Tumors using Expression data (ESTIMATE) algorithm. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analyses were performed to investigate the functions of these EMT- and immune-related genes. Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were used to screen prognostic genes and establish a gene signature. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Cell-type Identification By Estimating Relative Subsets Of RNA Transcripts (CIBERSORT) were used to investigate the function of the EMT- and immune-related signatures and correlation between the EMT- and immune-related signatures and immune cell infiltration. Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was performed to investigate the mRNA expression of genes in the EMT- and immune-related signatures.

Results: Functional enrichment analysis suggested that these genes were mainly involved in immune response. Moreover, the EMT- and immune-related signatures were constructed based on three EMT- and immune-related genes (IL1R2, S100A12, and CCL8), and the K–M and ROC curves presented that the signature could affect the prognosis of IPF patients and could predict the 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival well. Furthermore, a nomogram was developed based on the expression of IL1R2, S100A12, and CCL8, and the calibration curve showed that the nomogram could visually and accurately predict the 1-, 2-, 3-year survival of IPF patients. Finally, we further found that immune-related pathways were activated in the high-risk group of patients, and the EMT- and immune-related signatures were associated with NK cells activated, macrophages M0, dendritic cells resting, mast cells resting, and mast cells activated. qRT-PCR suggested that the mRNA expression of IL1R2, S100A12, and CCL8 was upregulated in whole blood of IPF patients compared with normal samples.

Conclusion: IL1R2, S100A12, and CCL8 might play key roles in IPF by regulating immune response and could be used as prognostic biomarkers of IPF.

Myeloid Fbxw7 Prevents Pulmonary Fibrosis by Suppressing TGF-β Production

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a group of chronic interstitial pulmonary diseases characterized by an inexorable decline in lung function with limited treatment options. The abnormal expression of transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) in profibrotic macrophages is linked to severe pulmonary fibrosis, but the regulation mechanisms of TGF-β expression are incompletely understood. We found that decreased expression of E3 ubiquitin ligase Fbxw7 in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) was significantly related to the severity of pulmonary fibrosis in IPF patients. Fbxw7 is identified to be a crucial suppressing factor for pulmonary fibrosis development and progression in a mouse model induced by intratracheal bleomycin treatment. Myeloid cell-specific Fbxw7 deletion increases pulmonary monocyte-macrophages accumulation in lung tissue, and eventually promotes bleomycin-induced collagen deposition and progressive pulmonary fibrosis. Notably, the expression of TGF-β in profibrotic macrophages was significantly upregulated in myeloid cell-specific Fbxw7 deletion mice after bleomycin treatment. C-Jun has long been regarded as a critical transcription factor of Tgfb1, we clarified that Fbxw7 inhibits the expression of TGF-β in profibrotic macrophages by interacting with c-Jun and mediating its K48-linked ubiquitination and degradation. These findings provide insight into the role of Fbxw7 in the regulation of macrophages during the pathogenesis of pulmonary fibrosis.

Tolerability of nintedanib in the elderly with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: A single-center retrospective study

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), a fibrosing interstitial lung disease, predominantly affects the elderly and is associated with a high mortality risk. Nintedanib, a tyrosine kinase inhibitor, significantly reduces IPF progression. However, data on the tolerability and efficacy of nintedanib in the elderly with IPF are limited. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the tolerability and efficacy of nintedanib in the elderly with IPF in a real-world setting. Medical records of 19 elderly IPF patients (≥ 75 years) and 46 non-elderly IPF patients (< 75 years) newly administered nintedanib were retrospectively analyzed. We compared the forced vital capacity (FVC) level, incidence and severity of adverse events, and continuation rates of nintedanib between the two groups. FVC and percent predicted diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLco) were lower in the elderly IPF group at baseline. Although the elderly IPF patients had a significantly higher incidence of adverse events, such as diarrhea, nausea, and elevation of hepatic enzymes, the rate of discontinuation of nintedanib owing to adverse events was not different between the groups. The continuation rates of nintedanib treatment at 6 months and 1 year in the elderly IPF group were equivalent. Furthermore, there was a similar trend in the reduction of the annual FVC decline after nintedanib initiation between the groups. Our study demonstrated that nintedanib was tolerable in both the IPF patient groups in a real-world setting. Proper management of adverse events in the elderly with IPF would lead to a better clinical outcome.

Mortality and survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

There are substantial advances in diagnosis and treatment for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but without much evidence available on recent mortality and survival trends.

Methods

A narrative synthesis approach was used to investigate the mortality trends, then meta-analyses for survival trends were carried out based on various time periods.

Results

Six studies reported the mortality data for IPF in 22 countries, and 62 studies (covering 63 307 patients from 20 countries) reported survival data for IPF. Age-standardised mortality for IPF varied from ∼0.5 to ∼12 per 100 000 population per year after year 2000. There were increased mortality trends for IPF in Australia, Brazil, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and UK, while Austria, Croatia, Denmark, Romania and the USA showed decreased mortality trends. The overall 3-year and 5-year cumulative survival rates (CSRs) were 61.8% (95% CI 58.7-64.9; I2=97.1%) and 45.6% (95% CI 41.5-49.7; I2=97.7%), respectively. Prior to 2010, the pooled 3-year CSR was 59.9% (95% CI 55.8-64.1; I2=95.8%), then not significantly (p=0.067) increased to 66.2% (95% CI 62.9-69.5; I2=92.6%) in the 2010s decade. After excluding three studies in which no patients received antifibrotics after year 2010, the pooled 3-year CSRs significantly (p=0.039) increased to 67.4% (95% CI 63.9-70.9; I2=93.1%) in the 2010s decade.

Discussion

IPF is a diagnosis associated with high mortality. There was no observed increasing survival trend for patients with IPF before year 2010, with then a switch to an improvement, which is probably multifactorial.

Validation of the risk stratification score in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: study protocol of a prospective, multi-centre, observational, 3-year clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is characterized by a poor prognosis, with a progressive decline in lung function and considerable variability in the disease's natural history. Besides lung transplantation (LTx), the only available treatments are anti-fibrosing drugs, which have shown to slow down the disease course. Therefore, predicting the prognosis is of pivotal importance to avoid treatment delays, which may be fatal for patients with a high risk of progression. Previous studies showed that a multi-dimensional approach is practical and effective in the development of a reliable prognostic score for IPF. In the RIsk Stratification scorE (RISE), physiological parameters, an objective measure of patient-reported dyspnea and exercise capacity are combined to capture different domains of the complex pathophysiology of IPF.

METHODS

This is an observational, multi-centre, prospective cohort study, designed to reflect common clinical practice in IPF. A development cohort and a validation cohort will be included. Patients newly diagnosed with IPF based on the ATS/ERS criteria and multi-disciplinary discussion will be included in the study. A panel of chest radiologists and lung pathologists will further assess eligibility. At the first visit (time of diagnosis), and every 4-months, MRC dyspnea score, pulmonary function tests (FEV1, FVC and DLCO), and 6-min walking distance will be recorded. Patients will be prospectively followed for 3 years. Comorbidities will be considered. The radiographic extent of fibrosis on HRCT will be recalculated at a 2-year interval. RISE, Gender-Age-Physiology, CPI and Mortality Risk Scoring System will be calculated at 4-month intervals. Longitudinal changes of each variable considered will be assessed. The primary endpoint is 3-year LTx-free survival from the time of diagnosis. Secondary endpoints include several, clinically-relevant information to ensure reproducibility of results across a wide range of disease severity and in concomitance of associated pulmonary hypertension or emphysema.

DISCUSSION

The objective of this study is to validate RISE as a simple, straightforward, inexpensive and reproducible tool to guide clinical decision making in IPF, and potentially as an endpoint for future clinical trials.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

U.S National Library of Medicine Clinicaltrials.gov, trial n. NCT02632123 "Validation of the risk stratification score in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis". Date of registration: December 16th, 2015.

A novel prognostic signature for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis based on five-immune-related genes

Background

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a highly fatal lung disease of unknown etiology with a median survival after diagnosis of only 2–3 years. Its poor prognosis is due to the limited therapy options available as well as the lack of effective prognostic indicators. This study aimed to construct a novel prognostic signature for IPF to assist in the personalized management of IPF patients during treatment.

Methods

Differentially-expressed genes (DEGs) in IPF patients versus healthy individuals were analyzed using the “limma” package of R software. Immune-related genes (IRGs) were obtained from the ImmPort database. Univariate Cox regression analysis was adopted to screen significantly prognostic IRGs for IPF patients. Multiple Cox regression analysis was used to identify optimal prognostic IRGs and construct a prognostic signature.

Results

Compared with healthy individuals, there were a total of 52 prognosis-related DEGs in the bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) samples of IPF patients, of which 37 genes were identified as IRGs. Of these, five genes (CXCL14, SLC40A1, RNASE3, CCR3, and RORA) were significantly associated with overall survival (OS) in IPF patients, and were utilized for establishment of the prognostic signature. IPF patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups based on the prognostic signature. Marked differences in the OS probability were observed between high- and low-risk IPF patients. The area under curves (AUCs) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the prognostic signature in the training and validation cohorts were 0.858 and 0.837, respectively. The expression levels between RNASE3 and SLC40A1 (P<0.01, r=0.394), between RORA and CXCL14 (P<0.01, r=−0.355), between CCR3 and CXCL14 (P<0.01, r=0.258), as well as between RNASE3 and CCR3 (P<0.01, r=0.293) were significantly correlated.

Conclusions

We developed a validated and reproducible IRG-based prognostic signature that should be helpful in the personalized management of patients with IPF, providing new insights into the relationship between the immune system and IPF.

Survival of patients with asbestosis can be assessed by risk-predicting models

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to investigate the pulmonary function test (PFT) results of patients with asbestosis and determine whether baseline PFTs and the risk-predicting models such as gender, age and physiologic (GAP) variables model and composite physiologic index (CPI) would be useful in predicting survival in these patients.

METHODS

Demographics and PFTs of 100 patients with asbestosis were evaluated. The survival difference between the GAP stages was determined with Kaplan-Meier survival curves with statistical significance analysed with log-rank test. The suitability of the risk-predicting models and baseline PFTs to predict the survival of patients was analysed with Cox regression.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean value of diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) was 65%; for forced vital capacity it was 81%, with restrictive lung function being the most common impairment. The median estimated survival of the patients was 124 months, that is, 171 months in GAP stage I, 50 months in stage II and 21 months in stage III (p<0.001). CPI, DLCO% predicted, age at baseline and GAP stage were significant predictors of mortality (all p values under 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

GAP and CPI as well as baseline DLCO% predicted were significant parameters in the evaluation of the prognosis of the patients with asbestosis; they may be useful in clinical practice when considering treatment strategies of individual patients.

Body mass index and in-hospital mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is an interstitial lung disease characterised by chronic fibrosis, and acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF) is the leading cause of death in patients with IPF. Data on the association between the body mass index (BMI) and prognosis of AE-IPF are lacking. This study was performed to evaluate the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality in patients who developed AE-IPF using a national inpatient database.

Methods

Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively collected data of inpatients with AE-IPF from 1 July, 2010 to 31 March, 2018. We performed a multivariable logistic regression analysis to evaluate the association between all-cause in-hospital mortality and BMI, categorised as underweight (<18.5 kg·m⁻²), low-normal weight (18.5–22.9 kg·m⁻²), high-normal weight (23.0–24.9 kg·m⁻²), overweight (25.0–29.9 kg·m⁻²) and obese (≥30.0 kg·m⁻²).

Results

In total, 14 783 patients were eligible for this study. The in-hospital mortality rate was 59.0%, 55.0%, 53.8%, 54.8% and 46.0% in the underweight, low-normal weight, high-normal weight, overweight and obese groups, respectively. Underweight patients had a significantly higher mortality rate (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10–1.42) and obese patients had a significantly lower mortality rate (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.54–0.94) than low-normal weight patients.

Conclusion

Among patients with AE-IPF, the underweight group had higher mortality and the obese group had lower mortality.

Among patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, underweight patients have higher mortality and obese patients lower mortalityhttps://bit.ly/3eoVMOR

Baseline plasma KL-6 level predicts adverse outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis receiving nintedanib: a retrospective real-world cohort study

BACKGROUND

Nintedanib is effective for treating idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but some patients may exhibit a suboptimal response and develop on-treatment acute exacerbation (AE-IPF), hepatic injury, or mortality. It remains unclear which patients are at risk for these adverse outcomes.

METHODS

We analysed the demographic and clinical data, baseline plasma levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) and surfactant protein A (SPA), and longitudinal clinical courses of a real-world cohort of IPF patients who received nintedanib ≥ 14 days between March 2017 and December 2020. Cox proportional-hazards regression, subdistribution hazards regression, and sensitivity analyses were performed to investigate the association between baseline predictors and AE-IPF, mortality, and nintedanib-related hepatic injury. The relationship between baseline predictors and pulmonary function decline was determined.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven patients were included, of whom 24 (42%) developed hepatic injury, 20 (35%) had AE-IPF, and 16 (28%) died on-treatment. A baseline plasma KL-6 level ≥ 2.5 ng/mL, and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) < 55% predicted, were associated with increased risk of hepatic injury (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] was 3.46; 95% CI 1.13-10.60; p = 0.029 for KL-6, and 6.05; 95% CI 1.89-19.32; p = 0.002 for DLCO). Both factors also predicted severe and recurrent hepatic injury. Patients with baseline KL-6 ≥ 2.5 ng/mL also had a higher risk of AE-IPF (aHR 4.52; 95% CI 1.63-12.55; p = 0.004). For on-treatment mortality, baseline KL-6 ≥ 3.5 ng/mL and SPA ≥ 600 pg/mL were significant predictors (aHR 5.39; 95% CI 1.16-24.97; p = 0.031 for KL-6, and aHR 12.28; 95% CI 2.06-73.05; p = 0.006 for SPA). Results from subdistribution hazard regression and sensitivity analyses supported these findings. Patients with elevated baseline plasma KL-6 levels also exhibited a trend towards faster pulmonary function decline.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with IPF who are receiving nintedanib, we have identified baseline predictors, in particular plasma KL-6 levels, for the risk of adverse outcomes. Patients with these predictors may require close monitoring for unfavourable responses during treatment. Our findings also support the prognostic role of molecular markers like KL-6 and may contribute to future formulation of more individualized therapeutic strategies for IPF.

Nitrogen dioxide increases the risk of mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Ambient air pollution is associated with the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients. We aimed to identify the impacts of individual exposure to particulate matter with a 50% cut-off aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm (PM₁₀) and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) on IPF patients' mortality.1114 patients (mean age 65.7 years; male 80.5%) diagnosed with IPF between 1995 and 2016 were included in this study. Individual-level long-term concentrations of PM₁₀ and NO₂ at residential addresses of patients were estimated using a national-scale exposure prediction model. The effect of PM₁₀ and NO₂ on mortality was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for individual- and area-level covariates.The median follow-up period was 3.8 years and 69.5% of the patients died or underwent lung transplantation. When adjusted for individual- and area-level covariates, a 10 ppb increase in NO₂ concentration was associated with a 17% increase in mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.172, 95% CI 1.030-1.344; p=0.016). When IPF patients were stratified by age (≥65 versus <65 years) or by sex, NO₂ was a significant prognostic factor for mortality in the elderly (HR 1.331, 95% CI 1.010-1.598; p=0.010). When stratified by age and sex jointly, NO₂ showed the stronger association with mortality in elderly males (HR 1.305, 95% CI 1.072-1.598; p=0.008) than in other groups. PM₁₀ was not associated with IPF mortality in all patients and in subgroups stratified by age or sex.Our findings suggest that increased exposure to NO₂ can increase the risk of mortality in patients with IPF, specifically in elderly males.

A role for cardiopulmonary exercise testing in detecting physiological changes underlying health status in Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a feasibility study

Introduction

There is limited data available on the use of CPET as a predictive tool for disease outcomes in the setting of IPF. We investigated the feasibility of undertaking CPET and the relationship between CPET and quality of life measurements in a well-defined population of mild and moderate IPF patients.

Methods

A prospective, single-centre observational study.

Results

Thirty-two IPF patients (mild n = 23, moderate n = 9) participated in the study, n = 13 mild patients attended for repeat CPET testing at 12 months. At baseline, total K-BILD scores and total IPF-PROM scores significantly correlated with 6MWT distance, but not with baseline FVC % predicted, TLco % predicted, baseline or minimum SpO₂. VO₂ peak/kg at AT positively correlated with total scores, breathlessness/activity and chest domains of the K-BILD questionnaire (p < 0.05). VO₂ peak significantly correlated with total IPF PROM scores and wellbeing domains (p < 0.05), with a trend towards statistical significance for total IPF-PROM and VO₂ peak/kg at anaerobic threshold (p = 0.06).

There was a statistically significant reduction in FVC% predicted at 12 months follow up, although the mean absolute decline was < 10% (p < 0.05). During this period VO₂ peak significantly reduced (21.6 ml/kg/min ± 2.9 vs 19.1 ± 2.8; p = 0.017), with corresponding reductions in total K-BILD and breathlessness/activity domains that exceeded the MCID for responsiveness. Lower baseline VO₂ peak/kg at anaerobic threshold correlated with greater declines in total K-BILD scores (r =  − 0.62, 0.024) at 12 months. Whilst baseline FVC% predicted or TLco % predicted did not predict change in health status,

Conclusion

We have shown that it is feasible to undertake CPET in patients with mild to moderate IPF.

CPET measures of VO₂ peak correlated with both baseline and change in K-BILD measurements at 1 year, despite relatively stable standard lung function (declines of < 10% in FVC), suggesting its potential sensitivity to detect physiological changes underlying health status.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-021-01520-8.

Acute exacerbation in interstitial lung disease

BACKGROUND:

Information regarding acute exacerbation (AE) in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) is limited.

OBJECTIVES:

The objective of the study was to elucidate the clinical features and outcome of AE among ILD patients.

METHODS:

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 667 consecutive ILD (nonidiopathic pulmonary fibrosis [IPF] ILD, n = 463; IPF, n = 204) patients. ILD patients meeting the 2016 definition of AE-IPF were identified. Information analyzed included pulmonary function tests, 6-min walk tests, and right heart catheterization data, among others. Cox regression models were used to identify independent predictors of survival.

RESULTS:

AE was identified in non-IPF ILD (n = 113) and IPF (n = 74). Compared with AE-IPF patients, non-IPF ILD patients with AE were of younger age, predominantly women, and primarily nonsmokers (all, P < 0.0001). The estimated survival probabilities at 1, 3, and 5 years were 88%, 75%, and 70%, respectively, in the ILD without AE group; 80%, 57%, and 50%, respectively, in the non-IPF ILD with AE group; and 53%, 38%, and 28%, respectively, in the AE-IPF group (P < 0.0001 by log-rank analysis). Age, body mass index, IPF diagnosis, AE, diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide <35% predicted, 6-min walk distance <300 meters, and cardiac index were independent predictors of survival in the ILD cohort.

CONCLUSIONS:

Non-IPF ILD patients with AE have distinct clinical features compared to AE-IPF patients. Importantly, AE is one of many independent risk factors associated with worsened outcomes regardless of the underlying ILD type.

Fat-Free Mass Index Controlled for Age and Sex and Malnutrition Are Predictors of Survival in Interstitial Lung Disease

BACKGROUND

Literature focusing on nutritional variables and survival in interstitial lung disease (ILD) is limited by its focus on weight and BMI and has not considered body composition.

OBJECTIVES

The primary objective of this study was to examine whether body composition measures, specifically fat-free mass index z-score (z-FFMI) and body fat mass index z-score (z-BFMI), were predictors of survival in fibrotic ILD patients. The second objective was to examine if nutrition status was a predictor of survival.

METHOD

Seventy-eight outpatients diagnosed with fibrotic ILD were recruited in this cross-sectional study. Body composition data using dual frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis (BodyStat 1500MD; UK) and nutrition status using the subjective global assessment (SGA) were determined. To control for age and sex, z-FFMI and z-BFMI were calculated using population means. Participant charts were reviewed for diagnosis, age, disease severity, and exercise capacity.

RESULTS

Age (HR 1.08, 95% CI [1.03-1.13], p < 0.01), BMI (HR 0.90, 95% CI [0.84-0.97], p < 0.01]), z-FFMI (HR 0.70, 95% CI [0.56-0.87], p = 0.02), z-BFMI (HR 0.74, 95% CI [0.57-0.96], p < 0.01), 6-min walk distance (6MWD) (HR 0.99, 95% CI [0.99-1.00], p < 0.01), percent predicted diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (%DLco) (HR 0.93, 95% CI [0.89-0.97], p < 0.01), and severe malnutrition (SGA-C) (HR 6.98, 95% CI [2.00-24.27], p < 0.01) were significant predictors of survival. When controlled for exercise capacity and disease severity, z-FFMI and severe malnutrition were significant predictors of survival independent of %DLco.

CONCLUSION

z-FFMI and severe malnutrition were significant predictors of survival in fibrotic ILD patients independent of disease severity.

MicroRNA and protein-coding gene expression analysis in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis yields novel biomarker signatures associated to survival

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic, progressive interstitial lung disease of unknown etiology that poses significant challenges in early diagnosis and prediction of progression. Analyses of microRNA and gene expression in IPF have yielded potentially predictive information. However, the relationship between microRNA/gene expression and quantitative phenotypic value in IPF remains controversial, as is the added value of this approach to current molecular signatures in IPF. To identify biomarkers predictive of survival in IPF via a microRNA-driven strategy. We profiled microRNA and protein-coding gene expression in peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 70 IPF subjects in a discovery cohort. We linked the microRNA/gene expression level with the quantitative phenotypic variation in IPF, including diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide and the forced vital capacity percent predicted. In silico analyses of expression profiles and quantitative phenotypic data allowed the generation of 2 sets of IPF molecular signatures (unique for microRNAs and protein-coding genes) that predict IPF survival. Each signature performed well in a validation cohort comprised of IPF patients aggregated from distinct patient populations recruited from different sites. Resampling test suggests that the protein-coding gene based signature is comparable and potentially superior to published IPF prognostic gene signatures. In conclusion, these results highlight the utility of microRNA-driven peripheral blood molecular signatures as valuable and novel biomarkers associated to individuals at high survival risk and for potentially facilitating individualized therapies in this enigmatic disorder.

IC4: a new combined predictive index of mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

While a number of individual patient characteristics are associated with survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), their incorporation into combined indexes, such as the GAP index, has been shown to increase the predictive capacity. It is unknown whether the predictive capacity of GAP-derived indexes that also include anthropometric and exercise parameters is superior to the original instrument.

METHODS

We tested the four-year survival predictive capacity of a modified, adimensional and multiplicative GAP index (IC4) that included percent forced vital capacity (FVC%), diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO%), body mass index (BMI), and six-minute walk distance (6MWD) in 90 IPF patients recruited from two centres in France and Italy.

RESULTS

In ROC comparisons, the AUC of the IC4 (0.859, 95% CI 0.770-0.924 p<0.0001) was significantly higher than the AUCs of the individual components, their two-three component combinations, and the original GAP index, with 77% sensitivity and 89% specificity. Mean survival was 14.0±11.7, 23.2±12.7, 34.9±14.8, and 40.8±12.9 months, and survival rate was 0%, 14%, 39% and 73%, in IC4 quartile 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The IC4, a combined adimensional index incorporating FVC%, DLCO%, BMI and 6MWD, provides superior capacity to predict mortality, when compared to its individual components, their other combinations, and the GAP index, in patients with IPF.

What parameters can be used to identify early idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis?

Elucidating the disease process of early idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) will help clinicians in addressing the contentious issues of when and in which patients, therapeutic intervention should be initiated. Here, we discuss several possible parameters for diagnosing early IPF and their clinical impacts. Physiologically, early IPF can be considered as IPF with normal or mild impairment in pulmonary function. Radiologically, early IPF can be considered as IPF with a small extent and/or early features of fibrosis. Symptomatically, early IPF can be considered as asymptomatic or less symptomatic IPF. IPF at Gender-Age-Physiology index stage I can be considered early IPF. Interstitial lung abnormalities are defined as parenchymal abnormalities in more than 5% of the lung in patients with no prior history of interstitial lung disease, and in some cases, this seems to be equivalent to early IPF. Previous clinical trials showed the effect of antifibrotic therapies in early IPF, but the effects of therapy are uncertain in early IPF outside of clinical trials, such as in cases of IPF with normal pulmonary function, IPF without honeycombing or traction bronchiectasis, and asymptomatic IPF. Moreover, little has been reported on disease progression in such conditions. Because the conceptual framework of early IPF may vary depending on its definition, not only is a diagnosis of early IPF important but prediction of disease progression is also crucial. Further investigations are needed to identify biomarkers that can detect patients who may experience greater degrees of disease progression and require treatment even with those forms of early IPF.

Epidemiologic Analysis of Taiwanese Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Several databases of epidemiologic studies in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have been analyzed in the Western community. However, few studies have been reported in Asia. The objective of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of IPF in Taiwan. We collected and analyzed patients with IPF from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database from 2001 to 2011. We estimated the annual incidence and cumulative prevalence of IPF and mean survival time of patients and determined the causes of death. The annual incidence rates of IPF remained stable after 2005, ranging from 0.7 to 1.3 cases per 100,000 people per year, whereas the cumulative prevalence rates increased steadily from 3.1 to 6.4 cases per 100,000 people per year during 2006-2011 based on a narrow case definition. Men older than 75 years had higher incidence compared with other age groups. The mean survival after diagnosis was 6.9 years. Old age, male sex, and respiratory hospitalization were associated with shorter survival time after diagnosis. Both the incidence and prevalence rates of IPF were lower in Taiwanese patients than Western ones. Moreover, the survival time was higher in the Asian population compared with the Western population. These results may suggest the heterogeneity of the IPF definition in different study populations and geographic locations.

Pulmonary hypertension secondary to pulmonary fibrosis: clinical data, histopathology and molecular insights

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) developing secondarily in pulmonary fibrosis (PF) patients (PF-PH) is a frequent co-morbidity. The high prevalence of PH in PF patients is very concerning since the presence of PH is a strong predictor of mortality in PF patients. Until recently, PH was thought to arise solely from fibrotic destruction of the lung parenchyma, leading to hypoxic vasoconstriction and loss of vascular bed density. Thus, potential cellular and molecular dysregulation of vascular remodeling as a driver of PF-PH has been under-investigated. The recent demonstrations that there is no correlation between the severity of the fibrosis and development of PH, along with the finding that significant vascular histological and molecular differences exist between patients with and without PH have shifted the etiological paradigm of PF-PH. This review aims to provide a comprehensive translational overview of PH in PF patients from clinical diagnosis and outcome to the latest understanding of the histology and molecular pathophysiology of PF-PH.

Extent of pulmonary fibrosis on high-resolution computed tomography is a prognostic factor in patients with pleuroparenchymal fibroelastosis

BACKGROUND

Several prognostic factors for pleuroparenchymal fibroelastosis (PPFE) have recently been reported. However, detailed high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) findings have not yet been evaluated as prognostic factors. This study retrospectively investigated whether HRCT findings are prognostic factors in patients with PPFE compared to those with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF).

METHODS

Patients with PPFE and IPF diagnosed at our hospital between January 2008 and December 2016 were enrolled. Clinical and HRCT characteristics were obtained. In addition to our patients, we also analyzed data of PPFE patients whose cause of death had been identified in previous studies.

RESULTS

We enrolled 15 patients with PPFE and 75 patients with IPF. Consolidation and maximum pleural thickening were significantly higher in patients with PPFE than in those with IPF (both P < .001). Fibrosis score, honeycomb area, and traction bronchiectasis were not significantly different between these patient groups but were significant prognostic factors in patients with PPFE in univariate analysis (P = .021, P = .017, and P = .014, respectively). The proportions of deaths by acute exacerbation or lung cancer were significantly lower in patients with PPFE than in those with IPF (P < .001 and P = .001, respectively), whereas death by respiratory failure was significantly more frequent in PPFE patients (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

HRCT findings, such as fibrosis score, honeycomb area, and traction bronchiectasis, were independent prognostic factors in patients with PPFE. Respiratory failure, but not acute exacerbation and lung cancer, was the main cause of death in patients with PPFE.

Are there pulmonary sequelae in patients recovering from COVID-19?

It has been recently hypothesized that infection by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) may lead to fibrotic sequelae in patients recovering from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In this observational study, hospitalized patients with COVID-19 had a HRCT of the chest performed to detect the extension of fibrotic abnormalities via Hounsfield Units (HU). At follow-up, the lung density significantly improved in both lungs and in each lobe of all patients, being in the normal range (− 950 to − 700 HU). This study provides preliminary evidence that hospitalized patients with mild-to-moderate forms of COVID-19 are not at risk of developing pulmonary fibrosis.

Prognostic impact of malignant diseases in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

No studies on idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have investigated the prognostic impact of extrapulmonary cancers in patients with IPF. We aimed to determine the prognostic impact of malignancies in patients with IPF. We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients diagnosed with IPF between 2001 and 2015. Patients were divided into three groups: IPF without cancer (n = 440), IPF with lung cancer (n = 69), and IPF with extrapulmonary cancer (n = 70). Of the 579 patients with IPF, 139 (24%) had cancer; the three most common types were lung (11.9%), gastric (2.4%), and colorectal (1.9%). Survival was significantly worse in patients with lung cancer than in those without cancer (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.83, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35–2.48) or those with extrapulmonary cancer (HR = 1.70, 95% CI, 1.14–2.54). The rate of hospitalisation for cancer-related complications was significantly higher in IPF patients with lung cancer than in those with extrapulmonary cancer. The annual rates of decline in percent predicted forced vital capacity and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide did not differ among the groups. Physicians should pay attention to the development and progression of cancer and its prognostic impact in patients with IPF.

Clinical characteristics, comorbidities, and outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND:

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a common subtype of interstitial lung disease (ILD). Information about the associated comorbidities and predictors of survival among Saudi patients with IPF is limited.

AIMS:

The aim of the study was to determine the clinical characteristics, associated comorbidities, and prognostic factors that impact IPF survival.

METHODS:

Consecutive IPF patients diagnosed in our ILD center were included. The information analyzed included demographics, physiological parameters, and associated comorbidities, among others. Cox regression models were used to identify independent predictors of survival.

RESULTS:

The data of 212 patients with IPF were available for the analysis. The mean age was 66.4 years, and 70.8% were male. The mean time between the onset of symptoms and diagnosis was 11.6 months (range: 1–48 months). Common comorbid conditions noted in the IPF cohort included pulmonary hypertension (49.6%), diabetes mellitus (43.2%), hypertension (42.2%), osteoporosis (40.4%), and gastroesophageal reflux disease (32.1%). Acute exacerbation (AE) was noted in 21.2% of the IPF patients. AE, final saturation <85%, walking distance <300 m, and antifibrotic therapy were independent predictors of survival.

CONCLUSIONS:

In our IPF cohort, we found that there was a significant delay between the onset of symptoms and diagnosis. Moreover, we identified multiple comorbidities associated with IPF, which increases the burden on both IPF patients and clinicians. Importantly, AE and the use of antifibrotic therapy were independent predictors of survival. It is of paramount importance for clinicians to diagnose IPF at an early stage, refer patients to experienced centers, recognize comorbidities, and initiate antifibrotic therapy regardless of the underlying disease severity.

Cause of mortality and sarcopenia in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis receiving antifibrotic therapy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recent research has highlighted the fundamental role of sarcopenia, characterized by loss of skeletal muscle mass and strength, with a risk of poor outcomes. AFT preserves lung function by preventing the annual decline in FVC and is associated with improved outcomes in patients with IPF. However, altered cause of death and prognostic implications of sarcopenia in patients with IPF receiving AFT remain unknown.

METHODS

This study comprised two cohorts of patients with IPF receiving AFT, historical cohort of IPF patients without AFT and controls. The cause of mortality was compared with a historical cohort. Sarcopenia was assessed by measuring the ESM_CSA and ESM_MA via CT.

RESULTS

Patients with IPF had smaller ESM_CSA and lower ESM_MA but similar BMI than controls, suggesting patients with IPF had skeletal muscle loss without any obvious body weight loss. The most common cause of mortality in patients receiving AFT was chronic respiratory failure, accounting for approximately 60%, and decreased proportions of LC were found. Subsequently, low ESM_CSA was an independent prognostic factor associated with worse survival rates. Furthermore, combined assessment of ESM_CSA , %FVC predicted and BMI values provided clear prognostic distinction.

CONCLUSION

Patients with IPF receiving AFT showed skeletal muscle loss without obvious weight loss. These patients mostly died by chronic respiratory failure, and skeletal muscle wasting has prognostic significance, suggesting that preventing sarcopenia as well as preserving lung function are important for managing these patients.

The prognostic value of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in interstitial lung disease: a systematic review

The heterogeneity of interstitial lung disease (ILD) results in prognostic uncertainty concerning end-of-life discussions and optimal timing for transplantation. Effective prognostic markers and prediction models are needed. Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) provides a comprehensive assessment of the physiological changes in the respiratory, cardiovascular and musculoskeletal systems in a controlled laboratory environment. It has shown promise as a prognostic factor for other chronic respiratory conditions. We sought to evaluate the prognostic value of CPET in predicting outcomes in longitudinal studies of ILD.

MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were used to identify studies reporting the prognostic value of CPET in predicting outcomes in longitudinal studies of ILD. Study quality was assessed using the Quality in Prognosis Study risk of bias tool.

Thirteen studies were included that reported the prognostic value of CPET in ILD. All studies reported at least one CPET parameter predicting clinical outcomes in ILD, with survival being the principal outcome assessed. Maximum oxygen consumption, reduced ventilatory efficiency and exercise-induced hypoxaemia were all reported to have prognostic value in ILD. Issues with study design (primarily due to inherent problems of retrospective studies, patient selection and presentation of numerous CPET parameters), insufficient adjustment for important confounders and inadequate statistical analyses limit the strength of the conclusions that can be drawn at this stage.

There is insufficient evidence to confirm the value of CPET in facilitating “real-world” clinical decisions in ILD. Additional prospective studies are required to validate the putative prognostic associations reported in previous studies in carefully phenotyped patient populations.

There is presently insufficient evidence to confirm the value of CPET in facilitating “real-world” clinical decisions in ILD. Additional prospective studies are required to validate the putative prognostic associations reported in previous studies.https://bit.ly/3dfp5kq

Inspiratory neural drive and dyspnea in interstitial lung disease: Effect of inhaled fentanyl

BACKGROUND

Exertional dyspnea in interstitial lung disease (ILD) remains difficult to manage despite advances in disease-targeted therapies. Pulmonary opioid receptors present a potential therapeutic target for nebulized fentanyl to provide dyspnea relief.

METHODS

ILD patients were characterized with reference to healthy volunteers. A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled crossover comparison of 100 mcg nebulized fentanyl vs placebo on dyspnea intensity and inspiratory neural drive (IND) during constant work rate (CWR) cycle exercise was performed in 21 ILD patients.

RESULTS

Dyspnea intensity in ILD increased in association with an increase in IND (diaphragm activation) from a high resting value of 16.66 ± 6.52 %-60.04 ± 12.52 % of maximum (r = 0.798, p < 0.001). At isotime during CWR exercise, Borg dyspnea intensity ratings with fentanyl vs placebo were 4.1 ± 1.2 vs 3.8 ± 1.2, respectively (p = 0.174), and IND responses were also similar.

CONCLUSION

IND rose sharply during constant work rate exercise in association with dyspnea intensity in mild to moderate ILD but was not different after nebulized fentanyl compared with placebo.

Prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis without anti-fibrotic therapy: a systematic review

In addition to facilitating healthcare delivery planning, reliable information about prognosis is essential for treatment decisions in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). This review aimed to evaluate the prognosis of patients with IPF without anti-fibrotic therapy. We included all cohort studies and the placebo arms of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in IPF and follow-up of ≥12 months. Two reviewers independently evaluated studies for inclusion, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. A total of 154 cohort studies and 16 RCTs were included. The pooled proportions of mortality were 0.12 (95% CI 0.09–0.14) at 1–2 years, 0.38 (95% CI 0.34–0.42) between 2–5 years, and 0.69 (95% CI 0.59–0.78) at ≥5 years. The pooled mean overall survival was 4 years (95% CI 3.7–4.6) for studies with a follow-up duration of 10 years. At <2 years, forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide declined by a mean of 6.76% predicted (95% CI −8.92 −4.61) and 3% predicted (95% CI −5.14 −1.52), respectively. Although heterogeneity was high, subgroup analyses revealed lower pooled proportions of mortality at 1 year in the RCT participants (0.07 (95% CI 0.05–0.09)) versus cohort study participants (0.14 (95% CI 0.12–0.17)). This review provides comprehensive information on the prognosis of IPF, which can inform treatment discussions with patients and comparisons for future studies with new therapies.

Without anti-fibrotic therapy, patients with IPF have a mortality rate of 31% at ≥5 years, and a mean overall survival of 4 years over 10 years of follow-uphttp://bit.ly/2SDiZSb