Cost-effectiveness of adult pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in the Netherlands

Pneumococcal vaccines in China

Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a serious global public health problem and the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in children and adults in China. Thus, developing and administering pneumococcal vaccines are important for disease prevention. The PPV23 and PCV13 vaccines are available in the Chinese market and are primarily produced by domestic manufacturers. The potential risk of increased IPD caused by non-vaccine serotypes should be considered. Here, we review the current status of IPD, pneumococcal vaccines, and their quality control in China. We also address the challenges and future directions for making progress in controlling IPD, emphasizing the need for further evaluation of the disease burden and monitoring the effectiveness of vaccination efforts.

Cost-effectiveness of 15-valent or 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for U.S. adults aged 65 years and older and adults 19 years and older with underlying conditions

BACKGROUND

In June 2021, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended use of either 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) alone or 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) in series with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) for all PCV-unvaccinated adults aged ≥65 years (age-based) and for adults aged 19-64 years with conditions that increase the risk for pneumococcal disease (risk-based). This recommendation replaced a previous recommendation for PPSV23 with or without 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) for these groups.

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of age-based and risk-based use of either PCV15 in series with PPSV23 or PCV20 alone when compared to previous recommendations.

METHODS

We utilized probabilistic cohort models of all 65-year-olds (age-based) and 19-year-olds (risk-based through age 64 years and age-based at age 65 years). A spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo simulation software was used to estimate immunization costs, medical costs, non-medical costs, and overall disease burden under different vaccine strategies. The model tracked inpatient invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP) in inpatient and outpatient settings. One-way sensitivity analyses incorporated indirect effects of prospective pediatric vaccination with PCV15 and PCV20 on adult IPD and NBP incidence. Costs were reported in 2021 US dollars. All future costs and outcomes were discounted at 3 % per year.

RESULTS

Age-based use of either PCV20 alone or PCV15 in series with PPSV23 at age 65 years were both shown to be cost-saving (improved health outcomes and saved costs). Combined cost-effectiveness of risk-based (19-64 years) plus age-based (65 years) (risk-and-age-based) use of PCV20 alone was cost-saving, whereas use of PCV15 in series with PPSV23 increased quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) but cost $412,111 (95 % CI: 270,295, 694,869) per QALY gained.

CONCLUSION

In U.S. adults, replacing the previous recommendations with PCV20 alone or PCV15 in series with PPSV23 improved health outcomes. Except for risk-and-age-based use of PCV15 in series with PPSV23 that resulted in increased cost per QALY gained, the interventions also reduced costs.

An economic evaluation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, PCV20 versus PCV15, for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in the Swedish pediatric population

In September 2023, 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was replaced by 15-valent PCV (PCV15) in Sweden's pediatric national immunization program. Following European approval of 20-valent PCV (PCV20) in March 2024, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 versus PCV15, both under 2 + 1 schedule, among Sweden's pediatric population. A Markov state-transition model evaluated the economic and health benefits of PCV20 versus PCV15 among all ages over a 10-year time horizon. The base case adopted a Swedish payer perspective with an annual cycle length and 3.0% discount rate for costs and outcomes. Country-specific data informed population size, epidemiology, costs, and quality of life estimates. PCV15/PCV20 effect estimates were informed by PCV13 clinical effectiveness and impact studies plus PCV7 efficacy studies. Sensitivity analyses evaluated model robustness, including PCV20 under a 3 + 1 schedule. PCV20 was associated with higher quality-adjusted life year gains versus PCV15, averting an estimated 3,116 invasive pneumococcal disease cases 21,109 inpatient pneumonia cases, 6,618 outpatient pneumonia cases, and 36,209 otitis media cases, plus 3,281 pneumococcal disease-related deaths. PCV20 yielded substantial cost savings exceeding 5.4 billion SEK over a 10-year time horizon, primarily attributed to reduced direct medical costs due to improved health outcomes compared with PCV15. The findings confirmed the dominance of PCV20 in the base case, which remained robust across deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses as well as scenario assessments. PCV20 was the dominant strategy versus PCV15 over 10 years. The broader serotype coverage of PCV20 suggests superior clinical and economic advantages over PCV15, warranting inclusion in Sweden's pediatric immunization program.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the Use of V116, a 21-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine, in Vaccine-Naïve Adults Aged ≥ 65 Years in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Given the recent approval and recommendation of V116, a 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV), in the United States (US), we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of using V116 versus the 20-valent PCV (PCV20) or the 15-valent PCV (PCV15) in series with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) among adults aged ≥ 65 years in the US who had never received a PCV previously.

METHODS

A static multi-cohort state-transition Markov model was developed to estimate the lifetime incremental clinical and economic impact of V116 vs. PCV20 or PCV15 + PPSV23 from the societal perspective. All model inputs were based on published literature and publicly available databases and/or reports. Model outcomes included undiscounted clinical cases: invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), inpatient and outpatient non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP), post-meningitis sequelae (PMS), deaths from IPD and inpatient NBPP, discounted quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) as well as the discounted total cost (in 2023 USD), which consisted of vaccine acquisition and administration costs, direct and indirect costs associated with the disease, and travel costs for vaccination. The final summary measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), reported as $/QALY gained. Three percent was used for the annual discounting rate.

RESULTS

Based on the inputs and assumptions used, the results indicated that the V116 strategy prevented 27,766 and 32,387 disease cases/deaths and saved $239 million and $1.8 billion in total costs when compared to the PCV20 and PCV15 + PPSV23 strategies, respectively, in vaccine-naïve adults aged ≥ 65 years. The estimated ICERs were cost saving in both regimens (i.e., V116 vs. PCV20 or vs. PCV15 + PPSV23). The scenario analysis and deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses also demonstrated the robustness of the qualitative results.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrated that using V116 in adults aged ≥ 65 years in the US can prevent a substantial number of PD cases and deaths while remaining highly favorable economically over a wide range of inputs and scenarios.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of the pediatric 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with lower-valent alternatives in Argentina

OBJECTIVES

The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been recommended for infants in Argentina's national immunization program (NIP) in a 2 + 1 schedule since 2012. Licensure of the 15-valent vaccine (PCV15) is anticipated soon, and the 20-valent vaccine (PCV20) recently received regulatory approval. This cost-effectiveness analysis examined the public health and economic implications of transitioning from PCV13 to either PCV15 or PCV20 in Argentina's pediatric NIP.

METHODS

A decision-analytic Markov model was used with a 10-year time horizon and a 3.0% annual discount rate for costs and benefits. Vaccine effectiveness estimates were derived from Argentinian surveillance data, PCV13 clinical effectiveness and impact studies, and PCV7 efficacy studies. Population, epidemiologic, and economic inputs were obtained from literature and Argentinian-specific data. The study adopted a healthcare system perspective; sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to assess input parameters and structural uncertainty.

RESULTS

Compared with PCV13, PCV20 was estimated to avert an additional 7,378, 42,884, and 172,389 cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), all-cause pneumonia, and all-cause otitis media (OM), respectively, as well as 3,308 deaths, resulting in savings of United States Dollars (USD) 50,973,962 in direct medical costs. Compared with PCV15, PCV20 was also estimated to have greater benefit, averting an additional 6,140, 35,258, and 142,366 cases of IPD, pneumonia, and OM, respectively, as well as 2,624 deaths, resulting in savings of USD 37,697,868 in direct medical costs. PCV20 was associated with a higher quality-adjusted life year gain and a lower cost (i.e., dominance) versus both PCV13 and PCV15. Results remained robust in sensitivity analyses and scenario assessments.

CONCLUSION

Over a 10-year horizon, vaccination with PCV20 was expected to be the dominant, cost-saving strategy versus PCV13 and PCV15 in children in Argentina. Policymakers should consider the PCV20 vaccination strategy to achieve the greatest clinical and economic benefit compared with lower-valent options.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Routine Childhood Immunization with 20-Valent versus 15-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Germany

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of routine childhood immunization with the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) in a four-dose regimen (3 + 1 schedule) versus the 15-valent PCV (PCV15/V114) in a three-dose regimen (2 + 1) in Germany. The study utilized a decision-analytic Markov model to estimate lifetime costs and effectiveness outcomes for a single birth cohort in Germany. The model tracked the incidence of acute pneumococcal infections and long-term pneumococcal meningitis sequelae for both vaccination strategies. The vaccine effectiveness data were derived from published clinical trials and observational studies of PCV7 and PCV13. Indirect effects, such as herd protection and serotype replacement, were included in the model. The model adopted a societal perspective, including direct medical, direct non-medical, and indirect costs. Scenario and sensitivity analyses were performed. In the base case, PCV20 prevented more pneumococcal disease cases and deaths, with an expected gain of 96 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) compared to V114. However, PCV20 was associated with a total incremental cost of EUR 48,358,424, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of EUR 503,620/QALY. Most of the scenario and sensitivity analyses estimated that the ICER for PCV20 exceeded EUR 150,000/QALY. Routine childhood immunization with PCV20 instead of V114 may not be an economically efficient use of healthcare resources in Germany.

Cost-Effectiveness of 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Argentinean Adults

INTRODUCTION

In Argentina, vaccination with 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) followed by 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23; PCV13 → PPSV23) has been recommended for all adults aged ≥ 65 years and younger adults with chronic medical ("moderate-risk") or immunocompromising ("high-risk") conditions since 2017. With the approval of a 20-valent PCV (PCV20), we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 versus current recommendations for moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults 65-99 years.

METHODS

A probabilistic cohort model was used to project lifetime outcomes and costs associated with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and all-cause non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP), and the expected impact of vaccination. Clinical outcomes were projected annually based on Argentinean data. Economic costs were estimated based on cases and corresponding medical costs (adjusted to 2023 USD) and costs of vaccine and administration. Cost-effectiveness of PCV20 was evaluated versus the current strategy, PCV13 → PPSV23, and alternatively, versus sequentially administered 15-valent PCV and PPSV23 (PCV15 →  PPSV23), and presented as cost per quality-adjusted life year gained; a healthcare system perspective was used. Costs and benefits were discounted at 3%/year.

RESULTS

PCV20 in lieu of PCV13 → PPSV23 among moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults 65-99 years (N = 13.4M) prevented 3838 IPD, 4377 inpatient NBP, and 6003 outpatient NBP cases, and 1865 disease-related deaths; relative to PCV15 → PPSV23 the corresponding reductions were 2775, 3285, 4518, and 1348. PCV20 was projected to be the dominant strategy versus PCV13 → PPSV23 and PCV15 → PPSV23 as overall costs were lower by $87.6M and $80.8M, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 was dominant (i.e., more effective, less costly) in 100% of 1000 simulations.

CONCLUSIONS

Analyses suggest implementing a PCV20 vaccination program in moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults ≥ 65 years-in lieu of PCV13 → PPSV23-would yield substantial reductions in pneumococcal disease and would be cost saving to the Argentinean healthcare system.

Cost-effectiveness of PCV20 to Prevent Pneumococcal Disease in the Pediatric Population: A German Societal Perspective Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Since 2009, a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) covering 13 serotypes (PCV13) has been included by Germany's Standing Committee on Vaccinations for infants, resulting in major reductions in pneumococcal disease (PD). Higher-valent vaccines may further reduce PD burden. This cost-effectiveness analysis compared 20-valent PCV (PCV20) under a 3+1 schedule with 15-valent PCV (PCV15) and PCV13, both under 2+1 schedule, in Germany's pediatric population.

METHODS

A Markov model with annual cycles over a 10-year time horizon was adapted to simulate the clinical and economic impact of pediatric vaccination with PCV20 versus lower-valent PCVs in Germany. The model used PCV13 clinical effectiveness and impact studies as well as PCV7 efficacy studies for vaccine direct and indirect effect estimates. Epidemiologic, utility, and medical cost inputs were obtained from published sources. Benefits and costs were discounted at 3% from a German societal perspective. Outcomes included PD cases, deaths, costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs).

RESULTS

In the base case, PCV20 provided greater health benefits than PCV13, averting more cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD; 15,301), hospitalized and non-hospitalized pneumonia (460,197 and 472,365, respectively), otitis media (531,634), and 59,265 deaths over 10 years. This resulted in 904,854 additional QALYs and a total cost saving of €2,393,263,611, making PCV20 a dominant strategy compared with PCV13. Compared to PCV15, PCV20 was estimated to avert an additional 11,334 IPD, 704,948 pneumonia, and 441,643 otitis media cases, as well as 41,596 deaths. PCV20 was associated with a higher QALY gain and lower cost (i.e., dominance) compared with PCV15. The robustness of the results was confirmed through scenario analyses as well as deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

PCV20 3+1 dominated both PCV13 2+1 and PCV15 2+1 over 10 years. Replacing lower-valent PCVs with PCV20 would result in greater clinical and economic benefits, given PCV20's broader serotype coverage.

Higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in older adults, taking into account indirect effects from childhood vaccination: a cost-effectiveness study for the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

New 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal vaccines (PCV15, PCV20) are available for both children and adults, while PCV21 for adults is in development. However, their cost-effectiveness for older adults, taking into account indirect protection and serotype replacement from a switch to PCV15 and PCV20 in childhood vaccination, remains unexamined.

METHODS

We used a static model for the Netherlands to assess the cost-effectiveness of different strategies with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23), PCV15, PCV20, and PCV21 for a 65-year-old cohort from a societal perspective, over a 15-year time horizon. Childhood vaccination was varied from PCV10 to PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20. Indirect protection was assumed to reduce the incidence of vaccine serotypes in older adults by 80% (except for serotype 3, no effect), completely offset by an increase in non-vaccine serotype incidence due to serotype replacement.

RESULTS

Indirect effects from childhood vaccination reduced the cost-effectiveness of vaccination of older adults, depending on the serotype overlap between the vaccines. With PCV10, PCV13, or PCV15 in children, PCV20 was more effective and less costly for older adults than PPV23 and PCV15. PCV20 costs approximately €10,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared to no pneumococcal vaccination, which falls below the conventional Dutch €20,000/QALY gained threshold. However, with PCV20 in children, PCV20 was no longer considered cost-effective for older adults, costing €22,550/QALY gained. As indirect effects progressed over time, the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 for older adults further diminished for newly vaccinated cohorts. PPV23 was more cost-effective than PCV20 for cohorts vaccinated 3 years after the switch to PCV20 in children. PCV21 offered the most QALY gains, and its cost-effectiveness was minimally affected by indirect effects due to its coverage of 11 different serotypes compared to PCV20.

CONCLUSIONS

For long-term cost-effectiveness in the Netherlands, the pneumococcal vaccine for older adults should either include invasive serotypes not covered by childhood vaccination or become more affordable than its current pricing for individual use.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US infants

BACKGROUND

As of June 2023, two pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, 20- (PCV20) and 15- (PCV15) valent formulations, are recommended for US infants under a 3 + 1 schedule. This study evaluated the health and economic impact of vaccinating US infants with a new expanded valency PCV20 formulation.

METHODS

A population-based, multi cohort, decision-analytic Markov model was developed to estimate the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV20 from both societal and healthcare system perspectives over 10 years. Epidemiological data were based on published studies and unpublished Active Bacterial Core Surveillance System (ABCs) data. Vaccine effectiveness was based on PCV13 effectiveness and PCV7 efficacy studies. Indirect impact was based on observational studies. Costs and disutilities were based on published data. PCV20 was compared to both PCV13 and PCV15 in separate scenarios.

RESULTS

Replacing PCV13 with PCV20 in infants has the potential to avert over 55,000 invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases, 2.5 million pneumonia cases, 5.4 million otitis media (OM) cases, and 19,000 deaths across all ages over a 10-year time horizon, corresponding to net gains of 515,000 life years and 271,000 QALYs. Acquisition costs of PCV20 were offset by monetary savings from averted cases resulting in net savings of $20.6 billion. The same trend was observed when comparing PCV20 versus PCV15, with a net gain of 146,000 QALYs and $9.9 billion in net savings. A large proportion of the avoided costs and cases were attributable to indirect effects in unvaccinated adults and elderly. From a health-care perspective, PCV20 was also the dominant strategy compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

CONCLUSIONS

Infant vaccination with PCV20 is estimated to further reduce pneumococcal disease and associated healthcare system and societal costs compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adult pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for pneumococcal disease in Japan

BACKGROUND

The 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is used in the Japanese National Immunization Program for older adults and adults with increased risk for pneumococcal disease, however, disease incidence and associated burden remain high. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using a Markov model, we evaluated lifetime costs using societal and healthcare payer perspectives and estimated quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and number of prevented cases and deaths caused by invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-IPD. The base case analysis used a societal perspective.

RESULTS

In comparison with PPSV23, the 20-valent PCV (PCV20) prevented 127 IPD cases 10,813 non-IPD cases (inpatients: 2,461, outpatients: 8,352) and 226 deaths, and gained more QALYs (+0.0015 per person) with less cost (-JPY22,513 per person). All sensitivity and scenario analyses including a payer perspective analysis indicated that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were below the cost-effectiveness threshold value in Japan (JPY5 million/QALY).

CONCLUSIONS

PCV20 is both cost saving and more effective than PPSV23 for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.

Cost-effectiveness and impact on infections and associated antimicrobial resistance of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US children previously immunized with PCV13

AIM

The US Food and Drug Administration approved the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) to prevent pneumococcal disease. In the context of routine PCV20 vaccination, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness and public health and economic impact of a PCV20 catch-up program and estimated the number of antibiotic prescriptions and antibiotic-resistant infections averted.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A population-based, multi-cohort, decision-analytic Markov model was developed using parameters consistent with previous PCV20 cost-effectiveness analyses. In the intervention arm, children aged 14-59 months who previously completed PCV13 vaccination received a supplemental dose of PCV20. In the comparator arm, no catch-up PCV20 dose was given. The direct and indirect benefits of vaccination were captured over a 10-year time horizon.

RESULTS

A PCV20 catch-up program would prevent 5,469 invasive pneumococcal disease cases, 50,286 hospitalized pneumonia cases, 218,240 outpatient pneumonia cases, 582,302 otitis media cases, and 1,800 deaths, representing a net gain of 30,014 life years and 55,583 quality-adjusted life years. Furthermore, 720,938 antibiotic prescriptions and 256,889 antibiotic-resistant infections would be averted. A catch-up program would result in cost savings of $800 million. These results were robust to sensitivity and scenario analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

A PCV20 catch-up program could prevent pneumococcal infections, antibiotic prescriptions, and antimicrobial-resistant infections and would be cost-saving in the US.

Health and economic outcomes of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine strategies for adults in Greece

Objective

Higher valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are expected to improve protection against pneumococcal disease through coverage of additional serotypes. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) compared to 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) alone or followed by 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) for adults in Greece.

Methods

A published Markov model was adapted to simulate lifetime risk of clinical and economic outcomes from the public payer's perspective. The model population was stratified based on age and risk profile (i.e., low, moderate, or high-risk of developing pneumococcal disease). Epidemiologic parameters, serotype coverage and vaccines' effectiveness were based on published literature, while direct medical costs (prices €, 2022) were obtained from official sources. Main model outcomes were projected number of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and all-cause non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP) cases and attributable deaths, costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) for each vaccination strategy. Sensitivity analyses were performed to ascertain the robustness of model results.

Results

Over the modeled time horizon, vaccination with PCV20 compared to PCV15 alone or PCV15 followed by PPV23 prevents an additional 747 and 646 cases of IPD, 10,334 and 10,342 cases of NBP and 468 and 455 deaths respectively, resulting in incremental gain of 1,594 and 1,536 QALYs and cost savings of €11,183 and €48,858, respectively. PSA revealed that the probability of PCV20 being cost-effective at the predetermined threshold of €34,000 per QALY gained was 100% compared to either PCV15 alone or the combination of PCV15 followed by PPV23.

Conclusion

PCV20 is estimated to improve public health by averting additional pneumococcal disease cases and deaths relative to PCV15 alone or followed by PPV23, and therefore translates to cost-savings for the public payer. Overall results showed that vaccination with PCV20 was estimated to be a dominant vaccination strategy (improved health outcomes with reduced costs) over PCV15 alone or followed by PPV23 for prevention of pneumococcal disease in adults in Greece.

The Impact of Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine on Disease Severity in the US: A Stochastic Model

Influenza can exacerbate underlying medical conditions. In this study, we modelled the potential impact of an egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVe) or adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) on hospitalizations and mortality from influenza-related cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory, and other complications in adults ≥65 years of age in the US with underlying chronic conditions. We used a stochastic decision-tree model, with 1000 simulations varying input across predicted ranges. Due to the variable nature of influenza across seasons and differences in published estimates for input parameters, data are presented as 95% confidence intervals. Compared with no vaccination, use of aQIV would prevent 135,450-564,360 hospitalizations and 1612-29,226 deaths across outcomes evaluated. Overall, aQIV prevented 1071-18,388 more hospitalizations and 85-1944 more deaths than QIVe. By routine seasonal vaccination against influenza, a substantial number of severe influenza-associated complications and deaths, caused by direct influenza symptoms or by exacerbation of chronic conditions, can be prevented in high-risk adults ≥65 years of age in the US.

Cost-utility analysis of the use of the 20-valent anti-pneumococcal vaccine (PCV20) in adults older than 60 years in Spain

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

A cost-utility analysis was conducted to assess the efficiency of implementing a PCV20 vaccination strategy in the Spanish adult population older than 60 years, for the prevention of non-bacteremic pneumococcalpneumonia (NBP) and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD).

METHODS

A Markov model, with annual cycles and a time horizon of 10 years was used. The analysis population was stratified by age and risk groups. The comparator was the sequential vaccination with the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) followed by one dose of the pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23). The base case analysis was performed from the National Healthcare System (NHS) perspective including direct costs (€2018) and applying a discount of 3% to future costs and outcomes. Alternative scenarios explored a shorter time horizon (5 years), the societal perspective and other available vaccination strategies. All the parameters and assumptions were validated by a panel of experts. To evaluate the robustness of the model, deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were carried out.

RESULTS

The results of the study showed that the vaccination strategy with PCV20 is a dominant option compared to the sequential regimen (PCV15 + PPSV23), resulting in direct cost savings of €85.7 M over 10 years, with a small increase in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). PCV20 vaccination avoided 2,161 cases of IPD, 19,470 of NBP and 3,396 deaths and according to the PSA, the probability of PCV20 being cost-effective compared to a sequential regimen (PCV15 + PPSV23) was 100%.

CONCLUSIONS/RECOMMENDATIONS

In the Spanish adult population older than 60 years, the vaccination strategy with one dose of PCV20 is more effective and less expensive (dominant) than vaccination with a sequential schedule with PCV15 and PPSV23.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine among adults in a Norwegian setting

BACKGROUND

The morbidity and mortality of adult diseases caused by S. pneumoniae increase with age and presence of underlying chronic diseases. Currently, two vaccine technologies against S. pneumoniae are used: the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) and the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, one of which is the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) that has recently been approved for adults.

OBJECTIVE

This study was conducted to investigate the cost-effectiveness of implementing PCV20 in a reimbursement scheme for Norwegian adults aged 18-99 years at risk of pneumococcal diseases and those aged 65 years and older at low risk compared to PPV23.

METHODS

An established Markov model was adapted to a Norwegian setting to estimate the economic and clinical consequences of vaccinating the Norwegian population in specific age and risk groups against pneumococcal diseases. Inputs for the model were found in Norwegian or Danish real-world evidence or retrieved from available studies. The costs and clinical outcomes were assessed using a health sector perspective and a lifetime time horizon.

RESULTS

The results showed that PCV20 was associated with better health outcomes including fewer disease cases, fewer disease-attributable fatalities, a higher gain of life years and quality-adjusted life years compared to PPV23. In addition, PCV20 had a lower total cost compared to PPV23. Therefore, PCV20 was the dominant vaccination strategy. The base case result was investigated in multiple sensitivity analyses, which showed that the results were robust to changes in input parameters and methodological assumptions, as PCV20 remained the dominant vaccination strategy in almost all scenarios.

CONCLUSION

Results showed that vaccinating the Norwegian adults with PCV20 was cost-effective compared to PPV23. Changes in the hospital cost of pneumonia, the price of PCV 20, the effectiveness of PCV20 against pneumonia, and the pneumonia disease incidence had the highest impact on the ICER, i.e., were the main drivers of the results.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pneumococcal Vaccination in Adults in Italy: Comparing New Alternatives and Exploring the Role of GMT Ratios in Informing Vaccine Effectiveness

In Italy, a sequential pneumococcal vaccination with conjugate vaccine (PCV) and polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is recommended for individuals aged ≥ 65 years and those at risk for pneumococcal disease (PD) aged ≥ 6 years. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the new vaccines, i.e., approved 15-valent and 20-valent PCVs. A published Markov model was adapted to evaluate the lifetime cost-effectiveness of vaccination with PCV15 + PPSV23 versus PCV13 + PPSV23, PCV20 alone, PCV20 + PPSV23, and No Vaccination. Simulated cohorts representing the Italian population, including individuals aged ≥ 65 years, those at risk aged 50-100 years, and those deemed high risk aged 18-100 years were assessed. Outcomes were accrued in terms of incremental PD cases, costs, quality-adjusted life years, life years, and the cost-utility ratio relative to PCV13 + PPSV23. The conservative base case analysis, including vaccine efficacy based on PCV13 data, showed that sequential vaccination with PCV15 or PCV20 in combination with PPSV23 is preferred over sequential vaccination with PCV13 + PPSV23. Especially in the high-risk group, PCV15 + PPSV23 sequential vaccination was dominant over No Vaccination and resulted in an ICUR of €3605 per QALY gained. Including PCV20 + PPSV23 into the comparison resulted in the domination of the PCV15 + PPSV23 and No Vaccination strategies. Additionally, explorative analysis, including the geometric mean titer (GMT) informed vaccine effectiveness (VE) was performed. In the low-risk and high-risk groups, the results of the GMT scenarios showed PCV15 + PPSV23 to be dominant over the other sequential vaccines. These findings suggest that if real-world studies would confirm a difference in vaccine effectiveness of PCV15 and PCV20 versus PCV13 based on GMT ratios, PCV15 + PPSV23 could prove a highly immunogenic and effective vaccination regime for the Italian adult population.

Assessing Public Health Impact of Four Pediatric Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccination Strategies in the Netherlands

INTRODUCTION

The 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10, Synflorix) was introduced into the Dutch pediatric national immunization program (NIP) starting in 2011. However, there is substantial pneumococcal disease burden due to increases in non-PCV10 covered serotypes. Higher-valent vaccines for pediatrics (PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20) may alleviate much of the remaining disease burden upon implementation through broader serotype coverage. This article assesses the public health impact of different pediatric vaccination strategies (switching to PCV13, PCV15 or PCV20) versus maintaining PCV10 at different time intervals in the Netherlands.

METHODS

A population-based, decision-analytic model was developed using historical pneumococcal disease surveillance data to forecast future invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia, and otitis media (OM) cases over a 7-year period (2023-2029) under the following strategies: continued use of PCV10, switching to PCV13 in 2023, switching to PCV15 in 2023, and switching to PCV20 in 2024. Scenario analyses were performed to account for uncertainties in future serotype distributions, disease incidence reductions, and epidemiologic parameters.

RESULTS

Switching to PCV13 in 2023 was found to avert 26,666 cases of pneumococcal disease compared to continuing PCV10 over a 7-year period (2023-2029). Switching to PCV15 in 2023 was found to avert 30,645 pneumococcal cases over the same period. Switching to PCV20 once available in 2024 was estimated to avert 45,127 pneumococcal cases from 2024-2029. Overall conclusions were maintained after testing uncertainties.

CONCLUSIONS

For the Dutch pediatric NIP, switching to PCV13 in 2023 would be an effective strategy compared with continued use of PCV10 for averting pneumococcal disease cases. Switching to PCV20 in 2024 was estimated to avert the most pneumococcal disease cases and provide the highest protection. However, in the face of budget constraints and the undervaluation of prevention strategies, it remains challenging to implement higher valent vaccines. Further research is needed to understand the cost-effectiveness and feasibility of a sequential approach.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Routine Use of 15-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in the US Pediatric Population

This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of routine pediatric vaccination with the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15, V114) compared with the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) from a societal perspective in the United States (US). A Markov decision-analytic model was constructed to estimate the outcomes for the entire US population over a 100-year time horizon. The model estimated the impact of V114 versus PCV13 on pneumococcal disease (PD) incidence, post meningitis sequalae, and deaths, taking herd immunity effects into account. V114 effectiveness was extrapolated from the observed PCV13 data and PCV7 clinical trials. Costs (2021$) included vaccine acquisition and administration costs, direct medical costs for PD treatment, direct non-medical costs, and indirect costs, and were discounted at 3% per year. In the base case, V114 prevented 185,711 additional invasive pneumococcal disease, 987,727 all-cause pneumonia, and 11.2 million pneumococcal acute otitis media cases, compared with PCV13. This led to expected gains of 90,026 life years and 96,056 quality-adjusted life years with a total saving of $10.8 billion. Sensitivity analysis showed consistent results over plausible values of key model inputs and assumptions. The findings suggest that V114 is a cost-saving option compared to PCV13 in the routine pediatric vaccination program.

Cost-effectiveness of use of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine among adults in Germany

OBJECTIVES

Despite national recommendations for use of pneumococcal vaccines, rates of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) remain high in Germany. New pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) with expanded coverage have the potential to reduce the pneumococcal disease burden among adults.

METHODS

Using a Markov model, we evaluated the lifetime outcomes/costs comparing 20-valent PCV (PCV20) with standard of care (SC) vaccinations for prevention of CAP and IPD among adults aged ≥60 years and at-risk adults aged 18-59 years in Germany. PCV20 also was compared with sequential vaccination with 15-valent PCV (PCV15) followed by PPSV23 in a scenario analysis.

RESULTS

Over the course of a lifetime (82 years), use of PCV20vs. SC would prevent 54,333 hospitalizations, 26368 outpatient CAP cases, 10946 disease-related deaths yield 74,694 additional life-years (LYs), while lowering total medical costs by 363.2 M €. PCV20 remained cost saving (i.e. dominant) versus SC even in numerous sensitivity analyses, including a sensitivity analysis assuming moderate effectiveness of the SC pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine against noninvasive pneumococcal CAP. In several scenario analyses and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, PCV20 was also cost-saving compared toPCV15 PPSV23 vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

One dose of PCV20 among adults aged ≥60 years and adults aged 18-59 years with moderate- and high-risk conditions wouldsubstantially reduce pneumococcal disease, save lives, and be cost saving compared with SC.

Economic evaluations of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Studies on economic evaluations of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) have been increasing over the last decade. No systematic reviews have synthesized the evidence of economic evaluations of the PCV13.

AREAS COVERED

We systematically searched the literature which published on peer-reviewed journals from January 2010 to June 2022. The literature search was conducted in the following electronic databases: PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, the Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang database, VIP database. We identified 1827 records from the database search. After excluding 511 duplicates, 1314 records were screened, of which 156 records were retained for the full-text reviews. A total of 44 studies were included in the review. Among the included studies, 33 studies were economic evaluations of PCV13 among children, and 11 studies were conducted among adults. The literature search initiated in April, 2022, and updated in June 2022.

EXPERT OPINION

Vaccination with PCV13 was found to significantly reduce the mortality and morbidity of pneumococcal diseases and was cost-effective compared to no vaccine or several other pneumococcal vaccines (e.g. PCV10, PPV23). Future research is advised to expand economic evaluations of PCV13 combined with dynamic model to enhance methodologic rigor and prediction accuracy.

Cost-utility of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to no vaccination and recommended alternative vaccines among Belgian adults

BACKGROUND

The Belgian Superior Health Council (SHC) preferentially recommended the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) for adults aged ≥65 years, immunocompromised patients, and patients aged ≥50 years suffering from conditions that increase their risk for pneumococcal infections. The objective of this paper is to present the cost-utility of PCV20 compared to no vaccination and the alternative sequence of PCV15 followed by the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) in this population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The analysis employed a static Markov model capturing lifetime risk of pneumococcal infections, associated disutility, mortality, and costs from different healthcare payer perspectives.

RESULTS

Results indicated use of PCV20 among Belgian older and at-risk adults is highly cost-effective compared to no vaccination, with an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) of €4,164. Compared to the sequential regimen (PCV15+PPV23), PCV20 vaccination is a cost-saving strategy. Subgroup analysis indicated PCV20 vaccination of at-risk adults aged 65-84 years would also be cost-saving from the national healthcare perspective.

CONCLUSION

Based on current knowledge, this analysis suggests that access to PCV20 should be proposed in all adults recommended for vaccination by the SHC as PCV20 prevents additional hospitalizations and deaths caused by pneumococcal infection at an affordable cost.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pediatric immunization program with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Japan

BACKGROUND

The 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15 or V114) has recently been approved for pediatric vaccination against pneumococcal diseases (PDs) in Japan. The study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pediatric vaccination with V114 versus 13-valent PCV (PCV13) in Japan.

METHODS

The study used a decision analytical Markov model to estimate the cost and effectiveness outcomes for a birth cohort in Japan over a 10-year time horizon. The model tracked the occurrences of acute PD events, including invasive PD (IPD), non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP) and pneumococcal acute otitis media (AOM) and the long-term impact of post-meningitis sequalae. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated based on literature and assumptions, and accounted for indirect effects and vaccine waning. The base case took the societal perspective, including both direct and indirect costs, while a healthcare payer perspective was modeled in a scenario analysis. Additional scenario analyses and sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

In the base case, V114 was associated with an incremental gain of 24 quality-adjusted life years and a reduction of ¥365,610,955 in total costs compared to PCV13. It was expected to reduce the number of pneumococcal AOM, NBPP, and IPD cases by 1,832, 1,333 and 25, respectively. All scenario analyses and most sensitivity analyses showed that V114 was a dominant strategy compared to PCV13.

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric vaccination with V114 is expected to lead to cost savings and more health benefits compared to PCV13 in Japan from both societal and healthcare payer perspectives. The findings are robust under plausible assumptions and inputs.

Cost-utility analysis of the universal pneumococcal vaccination programme for older adults in Norway

The aim of this study was to establish whether the universal pneumococcal vaccination for older adults in Norway is likely to be cost-effective from the perspective of the health care provider. A decision tree model developed by the Public Health Agency of Sweden was adapted to the Norwegian setting. Two cohorts, consisting of 65-year-olds and 75-year-olds grouped into vaccinated and unvaccinated, were followed over a 5-year time horizon. In the base case, the 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) was used while the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) was included in scenario analyses only. The costs and health benefits (measured in quality adjusted life years (QALY) gained) were compared in the two cohorts between the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. The impact of indirect effects of the vaccine, such as herd immunity and serotype replacement, were not investigated. The relative importance of change in price was assessed by performing one-way sensitivity analyses. Under base-case assumptions, the programme for the 75-year-old cohort is expected to be dominant (cost-effective) from the health care perspective at the current maximal pharmacy retail price and at 75% vaccination coverage. In comparison, for the 65-year-old cohort the cost per QALY gained is approximately NOK 601,784 (EUR 61,281) under the base-case assumptions. A reduction in the cost of the vaccine to one quarter of its current level also brings the cost per QALY gained within the acceptable ranges in a Norwegian context for both the 65- and 75-year-old cohorts. There is no exact cost-effectiveness threshold in Norway. However, introducing a vaccination programme against pneumococcal disease for 65-year-olds in Norway is likely to fall within the acceptable range while for the 75-year-old cohort the universal programme appears to be dominant (cost-effective).

Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccination with the 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in the Italian Adult Population

The availability of a new 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) makes it appropriate to assess its cost-effectiveness. This was evaluated by adopting the Italian National Health Service perspective, using a cost consequences Markovian model. The expected effects of vaccination with 20-valent PCV were compared with the administration of 13-valent PCV and 15-valent PCV. Assuming a 100% vaccination of cohorts aged 65-74 years, in the (lifetime) comparison between 20-valent PCV and 13-valent PCV, the former is dominant (lower cost for a better health outcome). A reduction in disease events was estimated: -1208 deaths; -1171 cases of bacteraemia; -227 of meningitis; -9845 hospitalised all-cause nonbacteremic pneumonia cases (NBP) and -21,058 non-hospitalised. Overall, in the Italian population, a total gain of 6581.6 life years and of 4734.0 QALY was estimated. On the cost side, against an increase in vaccinations costs (EUR +40.568 million), other direct health costs are reduced by EUR 48.032 million, with a net saving of EUR +7.464 million. The comparison between 20-valent PCV and 15-valent PCV results in an Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) of EUR 66 per life year gained and EUR 91 per QALY gained. The sensitivity analyses confirm the robustness of the results. We can conclude that the switch to 20-valent PCV is a sustainable and efficient investment.

Cost-effectiveness of using a 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine to directly protect adults in England at elevated risk of pneumococcal disease

OBJECTIVES

Despite the current pneumococcal vaccination program in England for older adults and adults with underlying conditions, disease burden remains high. We evaluated cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) compared to current pneumococcal recommendations for adults in England.

METHODS

Lifetime outcomes/costs of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among adults aged 65-99 years and adults aged 18-64 years with underlying conditions in England were projected using a probabilistic cohort model. Vaccination with PCV20 was compared with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) from the National Health Service perspective.

RESULTS

PCV20 was cost saving compared with PPV23 in base case and most sensitivity analyses. In the base case, replacing PPV23 with PCV20 prevented 7,789 and 140,046 cases of IPD and hospitalized CAP, respectively, and 22,199 associated deaths, resulting in incremental gain of 91,375 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental savings of £160M. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 (vs. PPV23) was cost saving in 85% of simulations; incremental cost per QALY was below £30,000 in 99% of simulations.

CONCLUSIONS

PCV20 vaccination in adults aged 65-99 years and those aged 18-64 years with underlying comorbidities in England is expected to prevent more hospitalizations, save more lives, and yield lower overall costs than current recommendations for PPV23.

Public health and budgetary impact of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for adults in England

BACKGROUND

. Despite use of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) in England, disease burden among at-risk adults remains high. We evaluated the public health and budgetary impact of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) compared to the current adult pneumococcal vaccination program.

METHODS

Five-year outcomes and costs of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among adults aged 65-99 years and adults aged 18-64 years with underlying conditions in England were projected using a deterministic cohort model. Hypothetical vaccination with PCV20 versus PPV23 was compared from National Health Service (NHS) perspective.

RESULTS

Replacing PPV23 with PCV20 would prevent 785 IPD hospitalizations, 11,751 CAP hospitalizations, and 1,414 deaths over five years, and would reduce medical care costs by £48.5M. With vaccination costs higher by £107.2M, projected net budgetary impact is £58.7M. The budgetary impact would be greatest in year one (£26.3M), and would decrease over time (to £1.6M by year five). The average budget increase (£11.7M/year) represents <0.01% of the Department of Health and Social Care budget and <3% of the vaccines budget.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of PCV20 among adults currently eligible for PPV23 in England would substantially reduce the burden of pneumococcal disease, with modest budgetary impact.

Cost-effectiveness of the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for high-risk adults in Switzerland

BACKGROUND

: Vaccination against pneumococcal disease (PD) has shown a favourable cost-effectiveness profile for national immunization programs in multiple countries. While vaccination efforts have concentrated on children, many adults with underlying illnesses face elevated risks of PD and death. A 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (V114) is currently available that offers protection against 15 different serotypes and can be used in adults.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

: We examined the cost-effectiveness of V114 vaccination in high-risk adults, aged 18+, in Switzerland. To this end, a Markov model was constructed estimating the lifetime direct medical costs and clinical effectiveness of V114 vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP) among high-risk adults.

RESULTS

: Considering 60% vaccine uptake and direct effects of vaccination, in total 760 IPD and 4,396 NBPP in- and outpatient cases could be prevented. Vaccinating high-risk adults with V114 led to CHF 37.4 million additional vaccination costs but saved CHF 14.4 million of medical treatment costs. V114 vaccination produced a gain of 2,095 QALYs and 6,320 LYs compared with no vaccination, leading to incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of CHF 17,866/QALY and CHF 15,616/QALY gained from a health care payer and societal perspective, respectively.

Conclusions: This evidence justifies the implementation of V114 vaccination among high-risk adults in Switzerland.

Health and economic impact of seasonal influenza mass vaccination strategies in European settings: A mathematical modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis

•

Seasonal influenza vaccine programmes usually target at-risk and older individuals.

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We used an age-structured dynamic-transmission model for eight European settings.

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Older people benefit from adjuvanted or high-dose trivalent or quadrivalent vaccines.

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Adopting mass paediatric influenza vaccination is also likely to be cost-effective.

•

Results rest on vaccine costs, willingness to vaccinate and unknown long-term effects.

Introduction

Despite seasonal influenza vaccination programmes in most countries targeting individuals aged ≥ 65 (or ≥ 55) years and high risk-groups, significant disease burden remains. We explored the impact and cost-effectiveness of 27 vaccination programmes targeting the elderly and/or children in eight European settings (n = 205.8 million).

Methods

We used an age-structured dynamic-transmission model to infer age- and (sub-)type-specific seasonal influenza virus infections calibrated to England, France, Ireland, Navarra, The Netherlands, Portugal, Scotland, and Spain between 2010/11 and 2017/18. The base-case vaccination scenario consisted of non-adjuvanted, non-high dose trivalent vaccines (TV) and no universal paediatric vaccination. We explored i) moving the elderly to “improved” (i.e., adjuvanted or high-dose) trivalent vaccines (iTV) or non-adjuvanted non-high-dose quadrivalent vaccines (QV); ii) adopting mass paediatric vaccination with TV or QV; and iii) combining the elderly and paediatric strategies. We estimated setting-specific costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained from the healthcare perspective, and discounted QALYs at 3.0%.

Results

In the elderly, the estimated numbers of infection per 100,000 population are reduced by a median of 261.5 (range across settings: 154.4, 475.7) when moving the elderly to iTV and by 150.8 (77.6, 262.3) when moving them to QV. Through indirect protection, adopting mass paediatric programmes with 25% uptake achieves similar reductions in the elderly of 233.6 using TV (range: 58.9, 425.6) or 266.5 using QV (65.7, 477.9), with substantial health gains from averted infections across ages. At €35,000/QALY gained, moving the elderly to iTV plus adopting mass paediatric QV programmes provides the highest mean net benefits and probabilities of being cost-effective in all settings and paediatric coverage levels.

Conclusion

Given the direct and indirect protection, and depending on the vaccine prices, model results support a combination of having moved the elderly to an improved vaccine and adopting universal paediatric vaccination programmes across the European settings.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Denmark compared with PPV23

BACKGROUND

A new 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) provides protection against 20 pneumococcal serotypes. The vaccine has the potential to decrease the impact of pneumococcal diseases in society and to increase health among vulnerable persons.

AIM

This study investigates the cost-effectiveness of vaccinating Danish adults in different age groups and risk of pneumococcal disease with PCV20 compared to the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) - either as PCV20 compared to PPV23 or as PPV23 followed by PCV20 compared to PPV23.

METHODS

A Markov model adapted to the Danish setting was developed to estimate clinical outcomes and costs of vaccinating the Danish population in specific age and risk groups. The model used a restricted societal perspective and estimated outcomes and costs using a lifetime time horizon. To estimate the clinical outcomes and costs, inputs on vaccine effectiveness and waning were retrieved from other studies whereas data on risk groups, coverage and costs were based on real-world data.

RESULTS

The results showed that in all scenarios the incidence and mortality of pneumococcal disease were reduced when vaccinating with PCV20, resulting in lower costs. For the vaccine target group of adults aged ≥18 years at moderate or high risk and all adults aged ≥65 years both in the case of PPV23+PCV20 compared to PPV23 and in case of PCV20 compared to PPV23 vaccination with PCV20 was found to be a dominant strategy gaining 1,350 or 5,821 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), respectively, and reducing total costs by 60 or 396 million EUR, respectively, as compared to PPV23 vaccination alone. Similar results of dominant PCV20 strategy were found for other age and risk group comparisons. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed the results being robust to changes in input parameters and applied assumptions.

LIMITATIONS

Like other modelling studies, this analysis has limitations such as lack of detailed data for some inputs.

CONCLUSION

Vaccination with PCV20 reduced the incidence and mortality of pneumococcal diseases in Danish adults compared to PPV23. This reduction has the potential to reduce the financial burden related to managing diseases while also increasing public health.

Cost-effectiveness analysis for PCV13 in adults 60 years and over with underlying medical conditions which put them at an elevated risk of pneumococcal disease in Japan

Background: The objective of this study was to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of PCV13 vs. PPV23 and no vaccination and PPV23 vs. no vaccination in adults aged ≥ 60 years with underlying medical conditions which put them at an elevated risk of pneumococcal disease in a Japanese healthcare setting.Research design and methods: A natural history model was developed with a life-long time horizon and 1-year cycle length, with microsimulation as a modeling technique. The expected costs from a public payer's and societal perspective, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and prevented cases and deaths caused by IPD (invasive pneumococcal disease) and NBP (non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia) were estimated.Results: In the base-case scenario, the cost per QALY gained from a public payer's perspective for PCV13 vs, PPV23 and no vaccination were 500,255JPY and 1,139,438JPY, respectively, The cost per QALY gained for PPV23 vs no vaccination was 1,687,057JPY. Over the life-long time horizon for 1 million patients, when compared to PPV23, PCV13 resulted in 65 fewer IPD cases, 2,894 fewer NBP cases, and 384 fewer deaths caused by pneumococcal disease.Conclusions: In adults aged 60 years and over with underlying medical conditions, PCV13 was shown to be a more cost-effective alternative to PPV23.

Don't forget about the future: The impact of including future costs on the cost-effectiveness of adult pneumococcal conjugate vaccination with PCV13 in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

When vaccines increase longevity, vaccinated people may experience costs and benefits during added life-years. These future benefits and costs may include increased productivity as well as medical and non-medical costs. Such impacts should be considered in cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) of vaccines but are often omitted. Here, we illustrate the impact of including future costs on the cost-effectiveness of vaccination against pneumococcus disease. We emphasize the relevance of differentiating cost estimates between risk groups.

METHODS

We updated an existing Dutch CEA of vaccination against pneumococcus disease with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) to include all future medical and non-medical costs. We linked costs by age and risk with survival information and estimates of cases prevented per vaccination strategy based on the original study to calculate the impact of inclusion. Future medical costs were adjusted for relevant risk groups.

RESULTS

For the base-case strategy, the original incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of PVC13 was €9,157 per quality adjusted life-year (QALY). Including all future medical costs increased the ICER to €28,540 per QALY. Also including future non-medical costs resulted in an ICER of €45,691 per QALY. The impact of future medical costs varied considerably per risk group and generally increased with age.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

This study showed a substantial effect of the inclusion of future costs on the ICER of vaccinating with PCV13. Especially when lives of people with underlying health conditions are extended, the impact of future medical costs is large. This inclusion may make vaccination a less attractive option, especially in relation to low thresholds as often applied for prevention. Although this raises important questions, ignoring these real future costs may lead to an inefficient use of healthcare resources. Our results may imply that prices for some vaccines need to be lowered to be cost-effective.

A review of health-related quality of life associated with pneumococcal disease: pooled estimates by age and type of disease

BACKGROUND

Estimates in the research literature on the health-related quality of life (QOL) associated with pneumococcal disease exhibit variation. It complicates the selection of estimates in modeling projects that evaluate the health impact and economic value of the prevention and treatment. This study reviewed the literature and developed pooled QOL estimates associated with pneumococcal disease states.

METHODS

We searched peer-reviewed literature for studies that reported pneumococcal disease-related QOL estimates. For each study, we extracted QOL estimates and categorized by age group and disease state. QOL estimates were converted to quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Pooled QALY estimates were calculated using simple average, sample-size weighting and inverse-variance weighting.

RESULTS

From 18 studies, we organized QOL estimates into 20 groups based on age and disease state. We observed the largest within-disease state variations of QALY estimates in meningitis-related disease states compared to other disease states. Across all age-disease state categories, the pooled QALY estimates ranged from 0.39 for meningitis with long-term sequelae among 0- to 18-year-olds, to 1.00 for non-inpatient pneumonia among 0- to 18-year-olds.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicated disparities in QOL estimates associated with pneumococcal disease from the literature. Pooled estimates provided a source of consistency that can be used in future modeling efforts.

European data sources for computing burden of (potential) vaccine-preventable diseases in ageing adults

BACKGROUND

To guide decision-making on immunisation programmes for ageing adults in Europe, one of the aims of the Vaccines and InfecTious diseases in the Ageing popuLation (IMI2-VITAL) project is to assess the burden of disease (BoD) of (potentially) vaccine-preventable diseases ((P)VPD). We aimed to identify the available data sources to calculate the BoD of (P)VPD in participating VITAL countries and to pinpoint data gaps. Based on epidemiological criteria and vaccine availability, we prioritized (P) VPD caused by Extra-intestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC), norovirus, respiratory syncytial virus, Staphylococcus aureus, and pneumococcal pneumonia.

METHODS

We conducted a survey on available data (e.g. incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALY), quality-adjusted life years (QALY), sequelae, antimicrobial resistance (AMR), etc.) among national experts from European countries, and carried out five pathogen-specific literature reviews by searching MEDLINE for peer-reviewed publications published between 2009 and 2019.

RESULTS

Morbidity and mortality data were generally available for all five diseases, while summary BoD estimates were mostly lacking. Available data were not always stratified by age and risk group, which is especially important when calculating BoD for ageing adults. AMR data were available in several countries for S. aureus and ExPEC.

CONCLUSION

This study provides an exhaustive overview of the available data sources and data gaps for the estimation of BoD of five (P) VPD in ageing adults in the EU/EAA, which is useful to guide pathogen-specific BoD studies and contribute to calculation of (P)VPDs BoD.

Cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccines among adults over 50 years old in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

This systematic review aims to provide a critical summary of economic evaluations of pneumococcal vaccines for adults aged 50 years or older in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs): a 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), and a 13-valent conjugated vaccine (PCV13).

AREAS COVERED

We systematically searched for studies published until October2020 in PubMed and Web of Science. Searching strategies in this literature review were done using various combinations of terms related to 'economic evaluation or cost-effectiveness or cost-benefit or cost-utility,' 'pneumococcal or PPSV or PCV or PPV,' and 'vaccine or vaccination or immunization' in all fields. To be included, each study had to meet our inclusion criteria. Two authors reviewed and extracted studies. From 1,711 records, we included 18 studies for this review. All 18 studies were cost-effectiveness analysis. Compared with no vaccination, either PPSV23 or PCV13 was economically favorable, highly cost-effective, and in many cases, cost-saving for older adults. Studies compared one vaccination (PPSV23 or PCV13) over another and had different findings.

EXPERT OPINION

While all studies recommended either PPSV23 or PCV13 for older adults in LMICs, substantial questions about potential bias in studies and whether conclusions hold after including the impact of indirect protection.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pediatric Influenza Vaccination in The Netherlands

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of extending the Dutch influenza vaccination program for elderly and medical high-risk groups to include pediatric influenza vaccination, taking indirect protection into account.

METHODS

An age-structured dynamic transmission model was used that was calibrated to influenza-associated GP visits over 4 seasons (2010-2011 to 2013-2014). The clinical and economic impact of different pediatric vaccination strategies were compared over 20 years, varying the targeted age range, the vaccine type for children or elderly and high-risk groups. Outcome measures include averted symptomatic infections and deaths, societal costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Costs and QALYs were discounted at 4% and 1.5% annually.

RESULTS

At an assumed coverage of 50%, adding pediatric vaccination for 2- to 17-year-olds with quadrivalent live-attenuated vaccine to the current vaccination program for elderly and medical high-groups with quadrivalent inactivated vaccine was estimated to avert, on average, 401 820 symptomatic cases and 72 deaths per year. Approximately half of averted symptomatic cases and 99% of averted deaths were prevented in other age groups than 2- to 17-year-olds due to herd immunity. The cumulative discounted 20-year economic impact was 35 068 QALYs gained and €1687 million saved, that is, the intervention was cost-saving. This vaccination strategy had the highest probability of being the most cost-effective strategy considered, dominating pediatric strategies targeting 2- to 6-year-olds or 2- to 12-year-olds or strategies with trivalent inactivated vaccine.

CONCLUSION

Modeling indicates that introducing pediatric influenza vaccination in The Netherlands is cost-saving, reducing the influenza-related disease burden substantially.

Incidence and costs of hospitalized adult influenza patients in The Netherlands: a retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

Influenza virus infections cause a high disease and economic burden during seasonal epidemics. However, there is still a need for reliable disease burden estimates to provide a more detailed picture of the impact of influenza. Therefore, the objectives of this study is to estimate the incidence of hospitalisation for influenza virus infection and associated hospitalisation costs in adult patients in the Netherlands during two consecutive influenza seasons.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study in adult patients with a laboratory confirmed influenza virus infection in three Dutch hospitals during respiratory seasons 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. Incidence was calculated as the weekly number of hospitalised influenza patients divided by the total population in the catchment populations of the three hospitals. Arithmetic mean hospitalisation costs per patient were estimated and included costs for emergency department consultation, diagnostics, general ward and/or intensive care unit admission, isolation, antibiotic and/or antiviral treatment. These hospitalisation costs were extrapolated to national level and expressed in 2017 euros.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 380 hospitalised adult influenza patients. The seasonal cumulative incidence was 3.5 cases per 10,000 persons in respiratory season 2014-2015, compared to 1.8 cases per 10,000 persons in 2015-2016. The arithmetic mean hospitalisation cost per influenza patient was €6128 (95% CI €4934-€7737) per patient in 2014-2015 and €8280 (95% CI €6254-€10,665) in 2015-2016, potentially reaching total hospitalisation costs of €28 million in 2014-2015 and €20 million in 2015-2016.

CONCLUSIONS

Influenza virus infections lead to 1.8-3.5 hospitalised patients per 10,000 persons, with mean hospitalisation costs of €6100-€8300 per adult patient, resulting in 20-28 million euros annually in The Netherlands. The highest arithmetic mean hospitalisation costs per patient were found in the 45-64 year age group. These influenza burden estimates could be used for future influenza cost-effectiveness and impact studies.

Cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination for elderly in Sweden

INTRODUCTION

The aim was to assess cost-effectiveness of including pneumococcal vaccination for elderly in a national vaccination programme in Sweden, comparing health-effects and costs of pneumococcal related diseases with a vaccination programme versus no vaccination.

METHOD

We used a single-cohort deterministic decision-tree model to simulate the current burden of pneumococcal disease in Sweden. The model accounted for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and pneumonia caused by pneumococci. Costs included in the analysis were those incurred when treating pneumococcal disease, and acquisition and administration of the vaccine. Health effects were measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALY). The time-horizon was set to five years, both effects and costs were discounted by 3% annually. Health-effects and costs were accumulated over the time-horizon and used to create an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) was used in the base-case analysis. The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine PCV13 was included in sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

A vaccination programme using PPV23 would reduce the burden of pneumococcal related disease significantly, both when vaccinating a 65-year-old cohort and a 75-year-old cohort. IPD would decrease by 30% in the 65-year-old cohort, and by 29% in the 75-year-old cohort. The corresponding figures for CAP (communicable acquired pneumonia) are 19% and 15%. The cost per gained QALY was estimated to EUR 94,000 for vaccinating 65-year-olds and EUR 29,500 for 75-year-olds. With one dose PCV13 given instead of PPV23, the cost per gained QALY would increase by around 400% for both cohorts. The results were robust in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Introducing a vaccination programme against pneumococcal disease for 65-year-olds in Sweden is unlikely to be cost-effective, whereas it for 75 year-olds and using PPV23 can be considered good value for money. Our model indicates that vaccine price needs to be reduced by 55% for vaccination of 65-year-olds to be cost-effective, given a threshold of EUR 50,000.

Estimating the Impact of Switching from a Lower to Higher Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Colombia, Finland, and The Netherlands: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Widespread use of ten-valent (Synflorix™, GSK) or 13-valent (Prevenar 13™; Pfizer) conjugate vaccination programs has effectively reduced invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) globally. However, IPD caused by serotypes not contained within the respective vaccines continues to increase, notably serotypes 3, 6A, and 19A in countries using lower-valent vaccines. Our objective was to estimate the clinical and economic benefit of replacing PCV10 with PCV13 in Colombia, Finland, and The Netherlands.

METHODS

Country-specific databases, supplemented with published and unpublished data, informed the historical incidence of pneumococcal disease as well as direct and indirect medical costs. A decision-analytic forecasting model was applied, and both costs and outcomes were discounted. The observed invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) trends from each country were used to forecast the future number of IPD cases given a PCV13 or PCV10 program.

RESULTS

Over a 5-year time horizon, a switch to a PCV13 program was estimated to reduce overall IPD among 0-2 year olds by an incremental - 37.6% in Colombia, - 32.9% in Finland, and - 26% in The Netherlands, respectively, over PCV10. Adults > 65 years experienced a comparable incremental decrease in overall IPD in Colombia (- 32.2%), Finland (- 15%), and The Netherlands (- 3.7%). Serotypes 3, 6A, and 19A drove the incremental decrease in disease for PCV13 over PCV10 in both age groups. A PCV13 program was dominant in Colombia and Finland and cost-effective in The Netherlands at 1 × GDP per capita (€34,054/QALY).

CONCLUSION

In Colombia, Finland, and The Netherlands, countries with diverse epidemiologic and population distributions, switching from a PCV10 to PCV13 program would significantly reduce the burden of IPD in all three countries in as few as 5 years.

The cost-effectiveness of using pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) versus pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), in South African adults

Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality. Pneumococcal vaccination is part of the South African pediatric public immunization program but the potential cost-effectiveness of such an intervention for adults is unknown. This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of two widely used pneumococcal vaccines: pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) and pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) in South African adults, 18 years and older. Four analyses were carried out in a) both the private and public health care sectors; and b) for the HIV-infected population alone and for the total mixed population (all HIV-infected and -uninfected people). A previously published global pharmacoeconomic model was adapted and populated to represent the South African adult population. The model utilized a Markov-type process to depict the lifetime clinical and economic outcomes of patients who acquire pneumococcal disease in 2015, from a societal perspective. Costs were sourced in South African rand and converted to US dollar (USD). The incremental cost divided by the incremental effectiveness (expressed as quality-adjusted life years gained) represented the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for PCV13 compared to PPSV23. Results indicated that the use of PCV13 compared to PPSV23 is highly cost-effective in the public sector cohorts with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $771 (R11,106)/quality-adjusted life year and $956 (R13,773)/quality-adjusted life year for the HIV-infected and mixed populations, respectively. The private sector cohort showed similar highly cost-effective results for the mixed population (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $626 (R9,013)/quality-adjusted life year) and the HIV-infected cohort (dominant). In sensitivity analysis, the model was sensitive to vaccine price and effectiveness. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses found predominantly cost-effective ICERs. From a societal perspective, these findings provide some guidance to policy makers for consideration and implementation of an immunization strategy for both the public and private sector and amongst different adult patient pools in South Africa.

Indirect costs of adult pneumococcal disease and the productivity-based rate of return to the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for adults in Turkey

Productivity benefits of health technologies are ignored in typical economic evaluations from a health payer’s perspective, risking undervaluation. We conduct a productivity-based cost-benefit analysis from a societal perspective and estimate indirect costs of adult pneumococcal disease, vaccination benefits from the adult 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13 Adult), and rates of return to PCV13 Adult for a range of hypothetical vaccination costs. Our context is Turkey’s funding PCV13 for the elderly and for non-elderly adults with select comorbidities within the Ministry of Health’s National Immunization Program. We use a Markov model with one-year cycles. Indirect costs from death or disability equal the expected present discounted value of lifetime losses in the infected individual’s paid and unpaid work and in caregivers’ paid work. Vaccination benefits comprise averted indirect costs. Rates of return equal vaccination benefits divided by vaccination costs, minus one. Input parameters are from public data sources. We model comorbidities’ effects by scalar multiplication of the parameters of the general population. Indirect costs per treatment episode of inpatient community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), bacteremia, and meningitis – but not for outpatient CAP – approach or exceed Turkish per capita gross domestic product. Vaccination benefits equal $207.02 per vaccination in 2017 US dollars. The rate of return is positive for all hypothetical costs below this. Results are sensitive to herd effects from pediatric vaccination and vaccine efficacy rates. For a wide range of hypothetical vaccination costs, the rate of return compares favorably with those of other global development interventions with well-established strong investment cases.

Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of a sequential pneumococcal vaccination compared to single-dose vaccination strategy for adults in Hong Kong

Two vaccines, 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13), are widely available for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in adults. However, it is unclear how cost-effective these pneumococcal vaccine choices are in the Hong Kong healthcare environment. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of a sequential administration of PCV13 followed by PPSV23 compared to a single dose of PPSV23 vaccination for pneumococcal disease control in Hong Kong adults aged ≥65 years and individuals aged 20-64 years with immunocompromising and chronic conditions. A previously developed deterministic cohort sequential model was applied to compare the outcomes of two vaccination strategies from a societal perspective. Population-specific model input, including incidence, mortality, case-fatality, risk group distribution, vaccination costs, disease management, and productivity loss, was estimated from a Hong Kong-wide electronic medical database. Costs were valued in US$ in 2017. Vaccination strategies with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER, defined as incremental cost per QALY saved) less than one local GDP per capita ($46,193 in 2017) were defined as highly cost-effective. Deterministic sensitivity analyses (SA) were conducted. Compared with single-dose PPSV23, sequential vaccination of PCV13 followed by PPSV23 was cost-saving for adults aged ≥20 years. In the deterministic SA, the base-case results were robust for tested parameter uncertainties. Future vaccination policies should consider the cost-effectiveness of a sequential vaccination strategy as a measure to reduce the vaccine-preventable pneumococcal disease burden in Hong Kong.

Towards adult vaccination in India: a narrative literature review

Despite vast improvements in childhood vaccination coverage in India, adult vaccination coverage is negligible. Our aim was, therefore, to create awareness about the importance of adult immunization. Although the true burden of vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) among Indian adults is unknown, adults are particularly vulnerable during outbreaks, due to a lack of immunization, waning immunity, age-related factors (e.g. chronic conditions and immunosenescence), and epidemiological shift. There are no national adult immunization guidelines in India, and although several medical societies have published adult immunization guidelines, these vary, making it unclear who should receive which vaccines (based on age, underlying conditions, etc.). Other barriers to adult immunization include vaccine hesitancy, missed opportunities, and cost. Steps to improve adult vaccination could include: adoption of national guidelines, education of healthcare providers and the public, and promotion of life-course immunization. Improving adult vaccine coverage could help reduce the burden of VPDs, particularly among older adults.

Pneumococcal Disease: A Systematic Review of Health Utilities, Resource Use, Costs, and Economic Evaluations of Interventions

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal diseases cause substantial mortality, morbidity, and economic burden. Evidence on data inputs for economic evaluations of interventions targeting pneumococcal disease is critical.

OBJECTIVES

To summarize evidence on resource use, costs, health utilities, and cost-effectiveness for pneumococcal disease and associated interventions to inform future economic analyses.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EconLit, and Cochrane databases for peer-reviewed studies in English on pneumococcal disease that reported health utilities using direct or indirect valuation methods, resource use, costs, or cost-effectiveness of intervention programs, and summarized the evidence descriptively.

RESULTS

We included 383 studies: 9 reporting health utilities, 131 resource use, 160 economic costs of pneumococcal disease, 95 both resource use and costs, and 178 economic evaluations of pneumococcal intervention programs. Health state utility values ranged from 0 to 1 for both meningitis and otitis media and from 0.3 to 0.7 for both pneumonia and sepsis. Hospitalization was shortest for otitis media (range: 0.1-5 days) and longest for sepsis/septicemia (6-48). The main categories of costs reported were drugs, hospitalization, and household or employer costs. Resource use was reported in hospital length of stay and number of contacts with general practitioners. Costs and resource use significantly varied among population ages, disease conditions, and settings. Current vaccination programs for both adults and children, antibiotic use and outreach programs to promote vaccination, early disease detection, and educational programs are cost-effective in most countries.

CONCLUSION

This study has generated a comprehensive repository of health economic evidence on pneumococcal disease that can be used to inform future economic evaluations of pneumococcal disease intervention programs.

Trends in governmental expenditure on vaccination programmes in the Netherlands, a historical analysis

BACKGROUND

Health economic evaluations are often required before implementing a vaccination programme. Such evaluations rarely consider the historical context of a vaccination programme. We review the financial history of vaccination programmes in the Netherlands, and compare these to demographic and macroeconomic developments as well as avoided mortality burden.

METHODS

Previously uncatalogued historical expenditures on the Dutch National Immunisation Programme (NIP) and influenza vaccination were obtained from official reports. Costs were adjusted for inflation using Consumer Price Indices and expressed in Euro of 2016. Estimates on mortality burden averted were obtained from previous research and used to calculate the ratio of expenses to averted mortality burden for vaccinations against diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, polio, measles, mumps and rubella for birth cohorts 1953-1992.

RESULTS

Developments towards a uniform government funded NIP started early 1950s with vaccinations against diphtheria, pertussis and tetanus, culminating in its official launch in 1957 together with polio vaccinations. Since the 1980s, expenditure increased nearly five-fold mostly due to the addition of new vaccines, while spending on already implemented vaccinations tended to decline. Overall, expenditure increased from € 5 million in 1957 to € 93 million in 2014. Relative to total healthcare expenditure, the NIP contributed little, ranging between 0.05% and 0.14%. Spending on influenza vaccination increased from € 37 million in 1996 to € 52 million in 2014, while relative to total healthcare expenditure it decreased from 0.069% to 0.055%. In 2014, 0.15% of healthcare expenditure and € 533 per birth was spent on vaccination programmes. Overall, for birth cohorts 1953-1992, € 5.4 thousand (95% confidence interval: 4.0-7.3) was expended per year-of-life-lost averted.

CONCLUSION

The actual costs per year-of-life gained are more favorable than estimated here since averted medical costs were not included. Although expenditure on vaccination programmes increased substantially, the contribution to overall healthcare expenditure remained small.

Cost-effectiveness analysis on elderly pneumococcal vaccination in the Netherlands: Challenging the Dutch Health Council's advice

Recently, the Dutch Health Council advised on elderly pneumococcal vaccination favouring the conventional polysaccharide vaccine over the novel conjugated vaccine. This advice was strongly inspired by a cost-effectiveness analysis considered to show favourable outcomes for the polysaccharide but not for the conjugated vaccine. We argue that using the same data and methods as presented by the Health Council, a different perspective on the results leads to a conclusion that not only the polysaccharide but also the conjugated pneumococcal vaccine is cost-effective. Our alternative perspective concerns the use of realistic vaccine prices, and applying an adequate time horizon for cost-effectiveness modelling. Notably, for one-off vaccination of 65-years old elderly, in all investigated analyses, also the conjugated vaccine seems cost-effective; i.e. well below the threshold of €20,000 per quality-adjusted life year, reflecting the most stringent threshold used for vaccines in the Netherlands.

Cost Effectiveness of Elderly Pneumococcal Vaccination in Presence of Higher-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Childhood Vaccination: Systematic Literature Review with Focus on Methods and Assumptions

BACKGROUND

Previous systematic reviews concluded that pneumococcal vaccination in the elderly was cost effective. However, recently published economic evaluations state that it may not be cost effective when children are vaccinated with higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. The literature suggests that the outcomes of vaccination in the elderly are strongly influenced by the vaccine effectiveness (VE) against the vaccine-type pneumococcal diseases (PD) and the impact of childhood vaccination on the vaccine-type PD incidence in the elderly, but the extent remains unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search of cost-effectiveness studies on vaccination in the elderly in the PubMed database starting from 2006. We included studies that consider the presence of a childhood vaccination with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) 10 and PCV13. We focus on methods and assumptions used in modeling VE and epidemiology of PD over time.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight economic evaluations underwent full-text review and data extraction. Thirteen were selected for quality assessment. The studies with a higher quality score provide evidence that vaccinating the elderly with PCV13 is not cost effective, when an ongoing rapid decline in the incidence of PCV13-type PD is modeled. A moderate persistence of PCV13 serotypes, in particular due to PCV10 childhood vaccination, makes vaccination of the elderly with PCV13 more attractive. There is no agreement that combining PCV13 with polysaccharide vaccine PPSV23 is cost effective. PPSV23 is attractive when it is effective against non-invasive PD.

CONCLUSION

Methodological approaches and assumptions in modeling VE and the indirect effects of childhood vaccination have a major impact on outcomes of decision-analytic models and cost-effectiveness estimates. Considering recently observed trends in the epidemiology of pneumococcal serotypes, there is currently inconclusive evidence regarding the cost effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination of the elderly due to lack of studies that model key serotypes such as serotype 3 separately from other groups of serotypes.

[Economic evaluation of pneumococcal vaccination in adults aged over 65 years in Castilla y León (SPAIN)]

INTRODUCTION

The burden of disease due to pneumonia in older adults has a major impact on health systems. The aim of this study is to carry out an economic evaluation of the vaccination strategy against Streptococcus pneumoniae using the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A simulated economic model has been developed in the form of a decision tree to evaluate the cost of the vaccination strategy in the population over 65 years of the Valladolid-East Health Area, versus non-vaccination, using a Monte Carlo probabilistic analysis.

RESULTS

Streptococcus pneumoniae annually generates 557.24 cases of pneumococcal disease in the Valladolid-East Health Area, and 506.60 episodes have pneumonia symptoms. Vaccination of the cohort over 65 years of age is an efficient measure from the third year, with a cost per quality-adjusted life years (QALY) of 20,496.20 €. The number of QALYs gained in a decade is 86.07 and an amount of 216.252.89 € with this vaccination strategy would be saved.

CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation of the different incremental costs (QALY,euros) in the years of follow-up, the pneumococcus vaccination program in people over 65 in Castilla y León is cost-effective.

Invasive pneumococcal disease and serotype emergence in the Auckland region during the vaccine era 2009-16

INTRODUCTION There is a deficit of knowledge in New Zealand as the epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease varies significantly between countries. AIM Time trends and sociodemographic characteristics of cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in the Auckland region are reviewed after the introduction of a conjugate vaccination, to provide evidence for future vaccine policy and to ensure Auckland region analysis is representative of national trends for subsequent IPD analysis. METHODS Data on all cases of IPD occurring in Waitemata, Auckland and Counties Manukau District Health Boards between 2009 and 2016 were extracted from EpiSurv. Denominator data were drawn from mid-year estimates supplied by Statistics New Zealand. Descriptive epidemiology and time-series regression was performed to analyse trends. RESULTS Rates of IPD have fallen in the Auckland region over the past 8 years by 32%. While absolute rates in the elderly have reduced by 12%, they have the highest disease burden at 32/100,000. The ethnic disparity continues with Pacific people (33/100,000) and Māori (14/100,000) over represented compared to European (10/100,000). In the elderly, the 19A serotype has increased from an incidence of 0 in 2008 to 8.2/100,000. DISCUSSION Large ethnic and age-related disparities are observed in the Auckland region, consistent with the rest of the country, since the start of the pneumococcal vaccination era. Extending immunisation to the elderly may help close these gaps. As with other countries, there is 19A serotype replacement occurring following conjugate vaccine introduction.