Comparison of risk assessment strategies for not-high-risk pulmonary embolism

Performance of the Simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index in predicting 30-day mortality after acute pulmonary embolism: Validation from a large-scale cohort

BACKGROUND

The performance of existing prognostic scores including the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) for short-term mortality of non-high-risk PE in Chinese population has not been widely validated.

METHODS

Non-high-risk patients were included from the prospective cohort of the China pUlmonary Thromboembolism REgistry Study (CURES). The sPESI, RIETE, Geneva, modified FAST, and Bova score were validated. The discriminatory performance was measured by the area under the curve (AUC). We also compared the sensitivity, odds ratio, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of these scores.

RESULTS

A total of 6,873 non-high-risk patients with acute PE were included and 241 (3.5 %) patients died within 30 days. Compared to the Geneva, modified FAST, and Bova score, the AUCs for predicting 30-day death of sPESI and RIETE score were higher at 0.712 (95 % CI, 0.680, 0.743) and 0.723 (95 % CI, 0.691, 0.755) respectively. The sPESI demonstrated the highest sensitivity at 0.809, while the RIETE score, Geneva, Modified FAST and BOVA score showed sensitivities of 0.622, 0.568, 0.477 and 0.502 respectively. A sPESI ⩾1 point was associated with a 4.7-fold increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (95 % CI, 3.427, 6.563, p < 0.001), while a RIETE score of ⩾1 point was associated with a 4.5-fold increased risk (95 % CI, 3.127, 6.341, p < 0.001). The Geneva score, modified FAST and Bova score showed inferior performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The implementation of the fewer-parameter, easier-to-calculate sPESI in Chinese patients with PE can help to discriminate patients with extremely low risk of short-term mortality for home treatment or early discharge.

Circulating miR-let7a levels predict future diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Distinct patterns of circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) were found to be involved in misguided thrombus resolution. Thus, we aimed to investigate dysregulated miRNA signatures during the acute phase of pulmonary embolism (PE) and test their diagnostic and predictive value for future diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Microarray screening and subsequent validation in a large patient cohort (n = 177) identified three dysregulated miRNAs as potential biomarkers: circulating miR-29a and miR-720 were significantly upregulated and miR-let7a was significantly downregulated in plasma of patients with PE. In a second validation study equal expression patterns for miR-29a and miR-let7a regarding an acute event of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) or deaths were found. MiR-let7a concentrations significantly correlated with echocardiographic and laboratory parameters indicating right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. Additionally, circulating miR-let7a levels were associated with diagnosis of CTEPH during follow-up. Regarding CTEPH diagnosis, ROC analysis illustrated an AUC of 0.767 (95% CI 0.54-0.99) for miR-let7a. Using logistic regression analysis, a calculated patient-cohort optimized miR-let7a cut-off value derived from ROC analysis of ≥ 11.92 was associated with a 12.8-fold increased risk for CTEPH. Therefore, miR-let7a might serve as a novel biomarker to identify patients with haemodynamic impairment and as a novel predictor for patients at risk for CTEPH.

Underuse of reperfusion therapy with systemic thrombolysis in high-risk acute pulmonary embolism in a Portuguese center

INTRODUCTION

Reperfusion therapy is generally recommended in acute high-risk pulmonary embolism (HR-PE), but several population-based studies report that it is underused. Data on epidemiology, management and outcomes of HR-PE in Portugal are scarce.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the reperfusion rate in HR-PE patients, the reasons for non-reperfusion, and how it influences outcomes.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study of consecutive HR-PE patients admitted to a thromboembolic disease referral center between 2008 and 2018, independent predictors for non-reperfusion were assessed by multivariate logistic regression. PE-related mortality and long-term MACE (cardiovascular mortality, PE recurrence and chronic thromboembolic disease) were calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. Differences stratified by reperfusion were assessed using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Of 1955 acute PE patients, 3.8% presented with hemodynamic instability. The overall reperfusion rate was 50%: 35 patients underwent systemic thrombolysis, one received first-line percutaneous embolectomy and one rescue endovascular treatment. Independent predictors of non-reperfusion were: age, with >75 years representing 12 times the risk of non-treatment (OR 11.9, 95% CI 2.7-52.3, p=0.001); absolute contraindication for thrombolysis (31.1%), with recent major surgery and central nervous system disease as the most common reasons (OR 16.7, 95% CI 3.2-87.0, p<0.001); and being hospitalized (OR 7.7, 95% CI 1.4-42.9, p=0.020). At a mean follow-up of 2.5±3.3 years, the survival rate was 33.8%. Although not reaching statistical significance for hospital mortality, mortality in the reperfusion group was significantly lower at 30 days, 12 months and during follow-up (relative risk reduction of death of 64% at 12 months, p=0.013). Similar results were found for MACE.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population, the recommended reperfusion therapy was performed in only 50% of patients, with advanced age and absolute contraindications to fibrinolysis being the main predictors of non-reperfusion. In this study, thrombolysis underuse was associated with a significant increase in short- and long-term mortality and events.

Risk Scores in Venous Thromboembolism Guidelines of ESC, ACCP, and ASH: An Updated Review

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Risk scores associated with VTE have been widely used in clinical practice. Among numerous scores published, those included in guidelines are usually typical risk scores which have been extensively validated and globally recognized. This review provides an updated overview of the risk scores associated with VTE endorsed by 3 guidelines which are highly recognized in the field of VTE including the European Society of Cardiology, American College of Chest Physicians, and American Society of Hematology, focusing on the development, modification, validation, and comparison of these scores, to provide a comprehensive and updated understanding of all the classic risk scores associated with VTE to medical readers including but not limited to cardiologists, pulmonologists, hematologists, intensivists, physicians, surgeons, and researchers. Although each score recommended by these guidelines was more or less validated, there may still be room for further improvement. It may still be necessary to seek simpler, more practical, and more universally applicable VTE-related risk scores in the future.

Pulmonary embolism: a practical approach to update risk stratification and treatment decisions based on the guidelines

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a prevalent condition with a substantial morbi-mortality worldwide. Proper risk stratification of PE is essential for identifying the most suitable therapeutic strategy and the optimal care setting for the patient. This process entails evaluating various factors, including symptoms, comorbidities, and right heart dysfunction.

AREAS COVERED

This review assesses the tools and methods utilized to identify and stratify individuals based on the probability of developing deterioration or death related to PE. Current guidelines divide PE into three groups: high-risk (previously termed massive) PE, intermediate-risk (sub-massive) PE, and low-risk PE. Various risk scores, such as the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI), Bova score, and the FAST score (incorporating Heart-Fatty Acid binding protein [H-ABP], Syncope, Tachycardia), aid in identifying patients at higher risk. Additionally, the Hestia score is instrumental in pinpointing low-risk patients.

EXPERT OPINION

Presently, there is a dearth of high-quality frameworks for the optimal management and treatment of PE patients at risk of hemodynamic collapse. A consortium of experts is in the process of formulating a new conceptual model for risk stratification, taking into account a comprehensive array of variables and outcomes to facilitate more individualized management of acute PE.

Acute Infections and Inflammatory Biomarkers in Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Although infections are frequent in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE), its effect on adverse outcome risk remains unclear. We investigated the incidence and prognostic impact of infections requiring antibiotic treatment and of inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein [CRP] and procalcitonin [PCT]) on in-hospital adverse outcomes (all-cause mortality or hemodynamic insufficiency) in 749 consecutive PE patients enrolled in a single-centre registry. Adverse outcomes occurred in 65 patients. Clinically relevant infections were observed in 46.3% of patients and there was an increased adverse outcome risk with an odds ratio (OR) of 3.12 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.70-5.74), comparable to an increase in one risk class of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) risk stratification algorithm (OR 3.45 [95% CI 2.24-5.30]). CRP > 124 mg/dL and PCT > 0.25 µg/L predicted patient outcome independent of other risk factors and were associated with respective ORs for an adverse outcome of 4.87 (95% CI 2.55-9.33) and 5.91 (95% CI 2.74-12.76). In conclusion, clinically relevant infections requiring antibiotic treatment were observed in almost half of patients with acute PE and carried a similar prognostic effect to an increase in one risk class of the ESC risk stratification algorithm. Furthermore, elevated levels of CRP and PCT seemed to be independent predictors of adverse outcome.

Comparison of various prognostic scores for identification of patients with intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Various risk assessment tools have been proposed to identify stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) who are at high risk of early adverse outcome (i.e., intermediate-high risk).

METHODS

We evaluated the ability of the 2019 ESC, Bova, modified FAST and PEITHO-3 models for predicting a 30-day complicated course (death, haemodynamic collapse, and/or recurrent PE) in a cohort of 848 stable patients with acute PE. We also tested whether replacement of echocardiographic right ventricle (RV) dysfunction by computed tomographic (CT) RV enlargement provides comparable prognostic information for identifying these patients.

RESULTS

A complicated course occurred in 63 (7.4 %) of the 848 patients with PE during the first month of follow-up. The proportion of patients designated as having intermediate-high risk PE was 6.7 % with the ESC model, 4.4 % with the Bova score, 15.7 % with the FAST score, and 5.2 % with the PEITHO-3 model. However, among patients identified as intermediate-high risk, the 30-day complicated course rate was higher with the Bova score (21.6 %) than with the ESC model (17.5 %), the PEITHO-3 model (15.9 %), or the modified FAST score (14.3 %). When echocardiographic RV dysfunction was replaced by CT RV enlargement in the models, the proportion of patients classified as having intermediate-high risk PE and the rate of an adverse outcome among them slightly increased.

CONCLUSIONS

The Bova score might identify patients with intermediate-high risk PE slightly better than the ESC, PEITHO-3, and modified FAST score. When echocardiography is not readily available, CT-assessed RV enlargement might be used for identifying intermediate-high risk PE.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov number: NCT02238639.

Assessment of sST2 Behaviors to Evaluate Severity/Clinical Impact of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a potentially life-threatening disorder. Beyond its usefulness in the prognostic stratification of heart failure, sST2 can represent a biomarker with high utility in several acute conditions. Our study was aimed to investigate whether sST2 can be used as a clinical marker of severity and prognostic outcome in acute PE. We enrolled 72 patients with documented PE and 38 healthy subjects; we measured the plasma concentrations of sST2 to evaluate the prognostic and severity performance of different levels of sST2 according to its association with the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score and several parameters of respiratory function. PE patients had significantly higher levels of sST2 compared with healthy subjects (87.74 ± 17.1 vs. 17.1 ± 0.4 ng/mL, p < 0.001); we found higher PESI scores and serum lactate values in the group of patients with sST2 > 35 ng/mL compared with patients with sST2 < 35 ng/mL (138.7 ± 14.9 vs. 103.7 ± 15.1 and 2.43 ± 0.69 vs. 1.025 ± 0.05 mmol/L, respectively; p < 0.05). Patients with sST2 > 35 ng/mL showed higher radiological severity of PE compared with patients with sST2 < 35 ng/mL. Moreover, sST2 was the strongest parameter with a discriminative capacity for the development of acute respiratory failure and a PESI score >106 with respect to C reactive protein (CRP), creatinine, d-dimer, and serum lactate. We clearly demonstrated that sST2 significantly increased in PE and that its elevation was associated with disease severity. Therefore, sST2 may be used as a clinical marker in the evaluation of PE severity. However, further studies with larger patient populations are required to confirm these findings.

Utility of Combining High-Sensitive Cardiac Troponin I and PESI Score for Risk Management in Patients with Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary embolism (PE) has a major burden of morbidity and mortality, consequently the need for a prompt risk stratification for these subjects is crucial. In order to evaluate the risk management and final disposition of patients with PE in the Emergency Department (ED), we conducted a study that was divided in two phases: Phase I retrospective study (RS), Phase II prospective study (PS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In Phase I, 291 patients were enrolled while in Phase II, 83 subjects were evaluated. In both study phases, the enrolled subjects were analyzed for final disposition in ED using PESI score, right ventricle (RV) imaging, and high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) data. The RS patients were divided into low risk and high risk according to the sPESI score, while PS patients were grouped in low, intermediate, and high risk classes according to PESI score. In both study phases, all the studied patients were further divided into negative (hs-cTnI-) or positive (hs-cTnI+) groups according to hs-cTnI levels within normal or above cutoff values, respectively. For all enrolled subjects, CT pulmonary angiography was analyzed to assess the RV/LV diameter and volume ratio as an indicator of RV involvement.

RESULTS

In both RS and PS phases, hs-cTnI+ group showed a higher PESI score. Nevertheless, a significant percentage of hs-cTnI+ patients resulted to be in the low-risk PESI class. Patients with a positive RV/LV ratio were more likely to have a hs-cTnI+ (p < 0.01), while among those with a negative ratio, 24 to 32% showed as hs-cTnI+. In the hs-cTnI+ group from both study phases, patients were more likely to be admitted in an ICU (RR 3.7, IC: 2.1-6.5).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, in patients with PE in the ED compared PESI score alone, the combination of hs-cTnI and PESI seems to be of greater utility in improving risk stratification and final disposition decision-making.

Predictive Value of Heart-Type Fatty Acid-Binding Protein for Mortality Risk in Critically Ill Patients

Objective

Our study assessed the predictive value of heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (H-FABP) for critically ill patients.

Methods

150 critically ill patients admitted to the emergency department of Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, were included in our study from August 2021 to April 2022. Serum H-FABP, procalcitonin (PCT), lactate (LAC), and other markers were determined within 1 h after admission. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) were calculated. The independent predictors of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients were analyzed by logistic regression, and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to analyze the predictive value for 28-day mortality in critically ill patients.

Results

Age, APACHE II, SOFA, GCS, LAC, H-FABP, IL-6, Scr, and D-dimer were significantly different in the nonsurvivor vs. survivor groups (P < 0.05), with H-FABP correlating with cTNI, Scr, PCT, and SOFA scores (P < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that H-FABP, APACHE II, LAC, and age were independent predictors for 28-day mortality in critically ill patients (P < 0.05). The AUC of ROC curve in H-FABP was 0.709 (sensitivity 72.9%, specificity 66.1%, and cut-off 4.35), which was slightly lower than AUC of ROC curve in LAC (AUC 0.750, sensitivity 58.3%, specificity 76.1%, and cut-off 1.95) and APACHE II (AUC 0.731, sensitivity 77.1%, specificity 58.7%, and cut-off 12.5). However, statistically, there was no difference in the diagnostic value of H-FABP compared with the other two indicators (Z ₁ = 0.669, P = 0.504; Z ₂ = 0.383, P = 0.702). But H-FABP (72.9%) has higher sensitivity than LAC (58.3%). The combined evaluation of H-FABP+APACHE II score (AUC 0.801, sensitivity 71.7%, and specificity 78.2%; Z = 2.612, P = 0.009) had better diagnostic value than H-FABP alone and had high sensitivity (71.7%) and specificity (78.2%).

Conclusion

H-FABP, LAC, APACHE II, and age can be used as independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of critically ill patients. Compared with using the above indicators alone, the H-FABP+APACHE II has a high diagnostic value, and the early and rapid evaluation is particularly important for the adjustment of treatment plans and prognosis.

Echocardiographic predictors of mortality in intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism

Data regarding further risk stratification of intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (IR-PE) are scanty. Whether transthoracic echocardiography may be helpful in further risk assessment of death in such population has still to be proven. Two-hundred fifty-four consecutive patients (51.6% females, age 63.7 ± 17.3 years) with IR-PE admitted to a tertiary regional referral center were enrolled. Patients underwent a complete transthoracic echocardiography within 36 h from hospital admission, on top of clinical assessment, physical examination, computer tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA), and serum measurement of Troponin I (TnI) levels. The occurrence of 90 day mortality was chosen as primary outcome measure. When compared to survivors, non-surviving IR-PE patients had smaller left-ventricular end-diastolic volumes (39.8 ± 20.9 vs 49.4 ± 19.9 ml/m², p = 0.006) with reduced stroke volume index (SVi) (24.7 ± 10.9 vs 30.9 ± 12.6 ml/m², p: 0.004) and time-velocity integral at left-ventricular outflow tract (VTI_LVOT) (0.17 ± 0.03 vs 0.20 ± 0.04 m, p = 0.0001), whereas no differences were recorded regarding right heart parameters. Cox regression analysis revealed that right atrial enlargement (RAE) (HR 3.432, 5-95% CI 1.193-9.876, p: 0.022), the ratio between tricuspid annulus plane excursion and pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (TAPSE/PASp) (HR 4.833, 5-95% 1.230-18.986, p = 0.024), as well as SVi (HR 11.199, 5-95% CI 2.697-48.096, p = 0.001) and VTI_LVOT (HR 4.212, 5-95% CI 1.384-12.820, p = 0.011) were powerful independent predictors of mortality. Neither CTPA RV/LV nor TnI resulted associated with impaired survival. In intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism, RAE, TAPSE/PASp ratio, SVi, and VTI_LVOT predict independently prognosis to a greater extent than CTPA and TnI.

Prognostic role of elevated lactate in acute pulmonary embolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown elevated lactate was a good predictor for the prognosis of pulmonary embolism (PE). However, due to low number of patients and different expression of blood lactate in separate study, these results are inconsistent. Therefore, the aim of this meta-analysis is to evaluate the relationship between increased lactate levels and adverse outcome in acute PE.

METHOD

The literatures search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE until May 29, 2021.

RESULTS

Finally, 6 studies with 1706 patients were included in our meta-analysis. High lactate levels were markedly associated with overall mortality both in unselected PE patients (OR 5.13, 95% CI: 3.36-7.86, p < .00,001) and normotensive PE patients (OR 4.54, 95% CI: 2.64-7.80, p < .00,001), and PE-related short-term mortality in patients with elevated lactate was significantly higher than that in patients with normal levels (OR 9.05, 95% CI :4.08-20.10, p < .00,001). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio of lactate for predicting overall mortality in patients with acute PE were 0.67 (95% CI: 0.43-0.85), 0.73 (95% CI: 0.60-0.83), 2.5 (95% CI: 2.0-3.1), and 0.45 (95% CI: 0.26-0.78), respectively. The area under SROC curve (AUC) was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.73-0.80).

CONCLUSION

The result of our meta-analysis indicate that elevated blood lactate is a good predictor for overall mortality and short-term mortality in patients with acute PE, and can be routinely measured in risk stratification, but its prognostic role in patients with different risk classes still need to be verified.

Risk stratification to optimize the management of acute pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a life-threatening disease. Risk stratification in patients with acute PE can guide clinical decisions. Clinical assessment, including hemodynamics, respiratory parameters, patient history, and right ventricle evaluation, has a pivotal role in this scope.

AREAS COVERED

This review aims to describe: i) the role of individual tools for prognostic stratification, from simple clinical parameters to the models suggested by international guidelines; ii) the implications of risk stratification in terms of patient disposition and treatment. The bleeding risk assessment in acute PE was also reviewed. The literature search was performed in PubMed and Embase to address these issues.

EXPERT OPINION

Prognostic assessment is essential to proceed with life-saving treatments in hemodynamically unstable patients and consider home treatment or short hospital stay in patients at low risk for death. In hemodynamically stable patients, risk stratification allows the implementation of personalized treatment pathways to reduce the risk of death, early PE recurrence, and bleeding. With the aim of optimizing healthcare resources, risk stratification may suggest appropriate patient disposition.

Risk Stratification in Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism: Current Evidence and Perspectives

Risk stratification is one of the cornerstones of the management of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and determines the choice of both diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. The first step is the identification of patent circulatory failure, as it is associated with a high risk of immediate mortality and requires a rapid diagnosis and prompt reperfusion. The second step is the estimation of 30-day mortality based on clinical parameters (e.g., original and simplified version of the pulmonary embolism severity index): low-risk patients without right ventricular dysfunction are safely managed with ambulatory anticoagulation. The remaining group of hemodynamically stable patients, labeled intermediate-risk PE, requires hospital admission, even if most of them will heal without complications. In recent decades, efforts have been made to identify a subgroup of patients at an increased risk of adverse outcomes (intermediate-high-risk PE), who might benefit from a more aggressive approach, including reperfusion therapies and admission to a monitored unit. The cur-rent approach, combining markers of right ventricular dysfunction and myocardial injury, has an insufficient positive predictive value to guide primary thrombolysis. Sensitive markers of circulatory failure, such as plasma lactate, have shown interesting prognostic accuracy and may play a central role in the future. Furthermore, the improved security of reduced-dose thrombolysis may enlarge the indication of this treatment to selected intermediate–high-risk PE.

Diabetes mellitus and its impact on mortality rate and outcome in pulmonary embolism

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

In patients with pulmonary embolism (PE), the impact of diabetes mellitus on patient profile and outcome is not well investigated.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The German nationwide inpatient sample of the years 2005-2018 was analyzed. Hospitalized PE patients were stratified for diabetes, and the impact of diabetes on in-hospital events was investigated.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,174,196 PE patients (53.8% aged ≥70 years, 53.5% women) and, among these, 219,550 (18.7%) diabetes patients were included. In-hospital mortality rate amounted to 15.8%, and was higher in diabetes patients than in non-diabetes patients (19.8% vs 14.8%, P < 0.001). PE patients with diabetes had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidities, right ventricular dysfunction (31.8% vs 27.7%, P < 0.001), prolonged in-hospital stay (11.0 vs 9.0 days, P < 0.001) and higher rates of adverse in-hospital events. Remarkably, diabetes was independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.20-1.23, P < 0.001) when adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities. Within the observation period of 2005-2018, a relevant decrease of in-hospital mortality in PE patients with diabetes was observed (25.5% to 16.8%). Systemic thrombolysis was more often administered to diabetes patients (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.01-3.49, P < 0.001), and diabetes was associated with intracerebral (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.12-1.26, P < 0.001), as well as gastrointestinal bleeding (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.07-1.15, P < 0.001). Type 1 diabetes mellitus was shown to be a strong risk factor in PE patients for shock, right ventricular dysfunction, cardiopulmonary resuscitation and in-hospital death (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.61-1.90, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the progress in diabetes treatments, diabetes is still associated with an unfavorable clinical patient profile and higher risk for adverse events, including substantially increased in-hospital mortality in acute PE.

Outcome After Thrombolysis in Patients With Intermediate High-Risk Pulmonary Embolism: A Propensity Score Analysis

BACKGROUND

The role of thrombolytic treatment in patients with intermediate high-risk pulmonary embolism (IHR-PE) remains controversial.

OBJECTIVES

In this study, we assessed whether systemic thrombolysis decreases hemodynamic decompensation and mortality in a cohort of unselected patients with IHR compared with patients with conventional anticoagulation.

METHODS

Between January 2014 and December 2018, 137 patients with IHR-PE were identified among 539 consecutive patients treated for symptomatic PE. In 35 patients (25.5%), systemic thrombolysis was used. Propensity score matching was performed based on 17 pretreatment variables. The primary outcome was hemodynamic decompensation, defined by systolic hypotension, need for catecholamines or signs of end-organ hypoperfusion, and all-cause mortality during hospitalization. Secondary outcomes, such as 1-year survival, and safety outcomes, such as bleeding events, were analyzed.

RESULTS

The effects of systemic thrombolysis and anticoagulation were compared in 55 matched patients with IHR-PE (systemic thrombolysis n = 21; anticoagulation n = 34). Thrombolysis was associated with a reduction (0% vs. 31%; p = 0.004) of the primary outcome during hospitalization and a 1-year survival benefit (100% vs. 83.2%; p = 0.036). Severe bleeding events occurred in 4.8% vs. 0% (p = 0.382) and moderate bleeding was observed in 14.3% vs. 7.1% (p = 0.359) in patients with thrombolysis compared with anticoagulation, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Thrombolysis was associated with a significant reduction of the combined endpoint of hemodynamic decompensation and death during hospitalization and lower all-cause mortality after 1 year in an unselected group of patients with IHR-PE. Further studies are required to improve the therapy of IHR-PE and to identify the subgroup of patients that might benefit from thrombolytic therapy.

Clinical Phenotypes With Prognostic Implications in Pulmonary Embolism Patients With Syncope

Objectives

There are conflicting data concerning the prognostic significance of syncope in acute pulmonary embolism (PE). This study aimed to investigate the impact of syncope on clinical outcomes of acute PE, and determine the clinical phenotypes of PE patients with syncope and their correlation with prognosis.

Methods

In the ongoing, national, multicenter, registry study, the China pUlmonary thromboembolism REgistry Study (CURES) enrolling consecutive patients with acute PE, patients with and without syncope were investigated. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using nine variables relevant to syncope and PE, including age, sex, body mass index, history of cardiovascular disease, recent surgery or trauma, malignancy, pulse, systolic blood pressure, and respiratory rate. Patient classification was performed using cluster analysis based on the PCA-transformed data. The clinical presentation, disease severity and outcomes were compared among the phenotypes.

Results

In 7,438 patients with acute PE, 777 (10.4%) had syncope, with younger age, more females and higher body mass index. Patients with syncope had higher frequency of precordial pain, palpitation, and elevated cardiac biomarkers, as well as higher D-Dimer level. In the syncope group, more patients had right ventricular/left ventricular ratio &gt; 0.9 in ultrasonic cardiogram and these patients had higher estimated pulmonary arterial systolic pressure compared with patients without syncope. As the initial antithrombotic treatment, more patients with syncope received systemic thrombolysis. Despite a higher prevalence of hemodynamic instability (OR 7.626, 95% CI 2.960–19.644, P &lt; 0.001), syncope did not increase in-hospital death. Principal component analysis revealed that four independent components accounted for 60.3% of variance. PE patients with syncope were classified into four phenotypes, in which patients with high pulse and respiratory rate had markedly higher all-cause mortality during admission.

Conclusion

Syncope was associated with hemodynamic instability and more application of thrombolysis, without increasing in-hospital deaths. Different clinical phenotypes existed in PE patients with syncope, which might be caused by various mechanisms and thus correlated with clinical outcomes.

Prognostic Performance of Hestia Criteria in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Previous studies have suggested that Hestia criteria could effectively identifying patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) who were at low risk of mortality for outpatient treatment or early discharge. But the performance of Hestia criteria in stratifying patients at different risk class is still unknown. We sought to comprehensively evaluate the prognostic impact of Hestia criteria for PE. The literatures search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science and EMBASE from 1 August 2011 to 31 October 2021. Finally, Eight studies with 4110 patients were included in our meta-analysis. Overall, the pool percentage of patients classified as low-risk group and high-risk group were 41.4%% and 58.6% respectively, and the all-course mortality rates of each group were 2.3% and 10.6%, respectively. The pooled rate of PE-related composite adverse outcomes in high-risk group was increasingly higher than in low-risk group (15.7% vs 4.4%). High risk group was also markedly associated with overall mortality (OR: 7.21, 95%CI: 4.96-10.46, p < 0.00001), and PE-related adverse outcomes (OR:5.38, 95% CI:3.95-7.32, p < 0.00001). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR of Hestia criteria for overall mortality were 0.90 (95% CI:0.83-0.94), 0.43 (95% CI:0.31-0.55), 1.6 (95% CI:1.3-1.9), 0.23 (95% CI: 0.15-0.35), respectively. The area under SROC curve (AUC) was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.84). The result of our meta-analysis indicate that Hestia criteria can effectively identify PE patients at low risk of poor prognosis with high sensitivity and NPV, but its prognostic role in patients with higher risk class still need to be verified.

Neurological Complications of Pulmonary Embolism: a Literature Review

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The present review discusses in-depth about neurological complications following acute venous thromboembolism (VTE).

RECENT FINDINGS

Intracranial hemorrhage, acute ischemic cerebrovascular events, and VTE in brain tumors are described as central nervous system (CNS) complications of PE, while peripheral neuropathy and neuropathic pain are reported as peripheral nervous system (PNS) sequelae of PE. Syncope and seizure are illustrated as atypical neurological presentations of PE. Mounting evidence suggests higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with neurological diseases, but data on reverse, i.e., neurological sequelae following VTE, is underexplored. The present review is an attempt to explore some of the latter issues categorized into CNS, PNS, and atypical complications following VTE.

PESI score for predicting clinical outcomes in PE patients with right ventricular involvement

Pulmonary embolism (PE) patients with right ventricular (RV) involvement are a heterogenous group who mandate further risk stratification. Our objective was to evaluate the efficacy of the PE severity index (PESI) for predicting adverse clinical outcomes among PE patients with RV involvement. Consecutive normotensive PE patients with RV involvement were allocated according to admission PESI score (PESI ≤ III vs. PESI ≥ IV). The primary outcome included hemodynamic instability and in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included each component of the primary outcome as well as mechanical ventilation, thrombolytic therapy, acute kidney injury, and major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression model was performed to assess the independent association between the PESI score and primary outcome. C-Statistic was used to compare the PESI with the BOVA score. A total of 253 patients were evaluated: 95 (38%) with a PESI ≥ IV. Of them, 82 (32%) patients were classified as intermediate-low risk and 171 (68%) as intermediate-high risk. Fifty (20%) patients had at least 1 adverse event. Multivariate analysis demonstrated the PESI to be an independent predictor for the primary outcome (HR 4.81, CI 95%, 1.15-20.09, p = 0.031), which was increased with a concomitant increase of the PESI score (PESI I 4.2%, PESI II 3.4%, PESI III 12%, PESI IV 16.3%, PESI V 23.1%, p for trend < 0.001). C-Statistic analysis for the PESI score yielded an AUC-0.746 (0.637-0.854), p = 0.001, compared to the BOVA score: AUC-0.679 (0.584-0.775), p = 0.011. PESI score was found to predict adverse outcomes among normotensive PE patients with RV involvement.

Resting heart rate as a surrogate for improvement in intermediate risk pulmonary embolus patients?

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) response teams (PERT) have been developed to improve in-hospital mortality. Identifying intermediate risk PE patients that will progress despite anticoagulation is difficult, especially because outcomes with modern anticoagulation are quite good.

OBJECTIVE

The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the rate of anticoagulation failure (new deep vein thrombosis or PE, right ventricular failure resulting in shock, cardiac arrest, or PE-attributable death) in intermediate risk PE patients managed by PERT. The secondary objective was to determine whether there was a significant decrease in heart rate 24 h after initiation of anticoagulation in intermediate risk PE.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study of patients treated for acute intermediate risk PE at the University of Rochester Medical Center who also had outpatient followup between November 2016-June 2019.

RESULTS

Ninety-two patients presented as intermediate-risk PE and had outpatient followup. Seventy-four patients were initially treated with anticoagulation. None of these patients failed anticoagulation. Of the eighteen intermediate risk patients that underwent advanced intervention, none failed anticoagulation first. There was significant decrease in resting heart rate 24 h after starting therapeutic anticoagulation, 107 beats/min vs 89 beats/min, p = 0.0001.

CONCLUSION

We did not observe anticoagulation failure in the management of acute, intermediate risk PE. Reductions in heart rate may reflect improvements in right ventricular function; we hypothesize that those whose heart rate does not fall may be optimal candidates for advanced intervention.

Rapid prediction of adverse outcomes for acute normotensive pulmonary embolism: derivation of the Calgary Acute Pulmonary Embolism score

Background

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) has a wide spectrum of outcomes, but the best method to risk-stratify normotensive patients for adverse outcomes remains unclear.

Methods

A multicentre retrospective cohort study of acute PE patients admitted from emergency departments in Calgary, Canada, between 2012 and 2017 was used to develop a refined acute PE risk score. The composite primary outcome of in-hospital PE-related death or haemodynamic decompensation. The model was internally validated using bootstrapping and the prognostic value of the derived risk score was compared to the Bova score.

Results

Of 2067 patients with normotensive acute PE, the primary outcome (haemodynamic decompensation or PE-related death) occurred in 32 (1.5%) patients. In simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index high-risk patients (n=1498, 78%), a multivariable model used to predict the primary outcome retained computed tomography (CT) right–left ventricular diameter ratio ≥1.5, systolic blood pressure 90–100 mmHg, central pulmonary artery clot and heart rate ≥100 beats·min⁻¹ with a C-statistic of 0.89 (95% CI 0.82–0.93). Three risk groups were derived using a weighted score (score, prevalence, primary outcome event rate): group 1 (0–3, 73.8%, 0.34%), group 2 (4–6, 17.6%, 5.8%), group 3 (7–9, 8.7%, 12.8%) with a C-statistic 0.85 (95% CI 0.78–0.91). In comparison the prevalence (primary outcome) by Bova risk stages (n=1179) were stage I 49.8% (0.2%); stage II 31.9% (2.7%); and stage III 18.4% (7.8%) with a C-statistic 0.80 (95% CI 0.74–0.86).

Conclusions

A simple four-variable risk score using clinical data immediately available after CT diagnosis of acute PE predicts in-hospital adverse outcomes. External validation of the Calgary Acute Pulmonary Embolism score is required.

Derivation of a simple four-variable risk score that uses parameters available at the time of PE diagnosis to risk stratify acute normotensive PE patients, which may help clinicians better decide how to monitor and treat patientshttps://bit.ly/37PdyrM

Risk Stratification in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: The Latest Algorithms

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common clinical entity, which most clinicians will encounter. Appropriate risk stratification of patients is key to identify those who may benefit from reperfusion therapy. The first step in risk assessment should be the identification of hemodynamic instability and, if present, urgent patient consideration for systemic thrombolytics. In the absence of shock, there is a plethora of imaging studies, biochemical markers, and clinical scores that can be used to further assess the patients' short-term mortality risk. Integrated prediction models incorporate more information toward an individualized and precise mortality prediction. Additionally, bleeding risk scores should be utilized prior to initiation of anticoagulation and/or reperfusion therapy administration. Here, we review the latest algorithms for a comprehensive risk stratification of the patient with acute PE.

High-sensitivity troponin I for risk stratification in normotensive pulmonary embolism

While numerous studies have confirmed the prognostic role of high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) in pulmonary embolism (PE), high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) is inappropriately studied. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic relevance of hsTnI in normotensive PE, establish the optimal cut-off value for risk stratification and to compare the prognostic performances of hsTnI and hsTnT.

Based on data from 459 consecutive PE patients enrolled in a single-centre registry, receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to identify an optimal hsTnI cut-off value for prediction of in-hospital adverse outcomes (PE-related death, cardiopulmonary resuscitation or vasopressor treatment) and all-cause mortality.

Patients who suffered an in-hospital adverse outcome (4.8%) had higher hsTnI concentrations compared with those with a favourable clinical course (57 (interquartile range (IQR) 22–197) versus 15 (IQR 10–86) pg·mL⁻¹, p=0.03). A hsTnI cut-off value of 16 ng·mL⁻¹ provided optimal prognostic performance and predicted in-hospital adverse outcomes (OR 6.5, 95% CI 1.9–22.4) and all-cause mortality (OR 3.7, 95% CI 1.0–13.3). Between female and male patients, no relevant differences in hsTnI concentrations (17 (IQR 10–97) versus 17 (IQR 10–92) pg·mL⁻¹, p=0.79) or optimised cut-off values were observed. Risk stratification according to the 2019 European Society of Cardiology algorithm revealed no differences if calculated based on either hsTnI or hsTnT (p=0.68).

Our findings confirm the prognostic role of hsTnI in normotensive PE. HsTnI concentrations >16 pg·mL⁻¹ predicted in-hospital adverse outcome and all-cause mortality; sex-specific cut-off values do not seem necessary. Importantly, our results suggest that hsTnI and hsTnT can be used interchangeably for risk stratification.

The study confirms the prognostic relevance of high-sensitivity troponin I in normotensive pulmonary embolism. A cut-off value of 16 pg·mL⁻¹ can be used for risk stratification in male and female patients; sex-specific adjustments do not appear necessary.https://bit.ly/3lCECip

Predictive value of the Kuijer score for bleeding and other adverse in-hospital events in patients with venous thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) constitute a major global burden of disease. Current international guidelines recommend treatment with anticoagulant therapy after VTE for a duration of at least 3 months. Since anticoagulation also imposes an increased risk for bleeding events, the individual risk has to be evaluated to determine adequate treatment plans.

METHODS

The nationwide German inpatient sample of the years 2005-2017 was used for this analysis. Hospitalized VTE patients were stratified according to Kuijer risk class and the performance of the Kuijer score was evaluated to predict adverse in-hospital events.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,204,895 VTE patients were treated between 2005 and 2017 in Germany and were included in the present study (839,143 patients had deep venous thrombosis and/or thrombophlebitis and 669,881 patients pulmonary embolism). According to Kuijer risk class stratification, in total, 176,723 (14.7%) of the hospitalized VTE patients were classified as low risk, 914,964 (75.9%) as intermediate risk and 113,208 (9.4%) as high risk. A higher Kuijer risk class was predictive for in-hospital death (odds ratio [OR] 1.99 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.96-2.02], P < 0.001), major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE, OR 1.90 [95%CI 1.87-1.93], P < 0.001), intracerebral bleeding (OR 1.28 [95%CI 1.14-1.44], P < 0.001), gastrointestinal bleeding (OR 1.56 [95%CI 1.48-1.64], P < 0.001) as well as necessity of transfusion of blood constituents (OR 2.94 [95%CI 2.88-3.00], P < 0.001) independently of important comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

The Kuijer score is an important risk stratification tool to predict individual risk regarding in-hospital outcomes comprising major bleeding events such as intracerebral bleeding and necessity of transfusion of blood constituents, but also in-hospital mortality and MACCE in VTE patients.

Definition of tachycardia for risk stratification of pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Tachycardia is a reliable predictor of adverse outcomes in normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). However, different prognostic relevant heart rate thresholds have been proposed. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic performance of different thresholds used for defining tachycardia in normotensive PE patients.

METHODS

We performed a post-hoc analysis of normotensive patients with confirmed PE consecutively included in a single-centre and a multi-centre registry. An adverse outcome was defined as PE-related death, need for mechanical ventilation, cardiopulmonary resuscitation or administration of catecholamines.

RESULTS

Of 1567 patients (median age: 72 [IQR, 59-79] years; females: 46.1%) included in the analysis, 78 patients (5.0%) had an in-hospital adverse outcome. The rate of an adverse outcome was higher in patients with a heart rate ≥100 bpm (7.6%) and ≥110 bpm (8.3%) compared to patients with a heart rate <100 bpm (3.0%). A heart rate ≥100 bpm and ≥110 bpm was associated with a 2.7 (95% CI 1.7-4.3) and 2.4-fold (95% CI 1.5-3.7) increased risk for an adverse outcome, respectively. Receiver operating characteristics analysis revealed a similar area under the curve with regard to an adverse outcome for all scores and algorithm (ESC 2019 algorithm, modified FAST and Bova score) if calculated with a heart rate threshold of ≥100 bpm or of ≥110 bpm.

CONCLUSIONS

Defining tachycardia by a heart rate ≥100 bpm is sufficient for risk stratification of normotensive patients with acute PE. The use of different heart rate thresholds for calculation of scores and algorithm does not appear necessary.

The Prognostic Value of Syncope on Mortality in Patients With Pulmonary Embolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Syncope is a presenting symptom in 10% to 20% of patients with pulmonary embolism. We perform a meta-analysis to clarify the prognostic value of syncope on short-term mortality in pulmonary embolism patients and its association with hemodynamic instability.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were searched up until January 7, 2020. Studies reporting inhospital or 30-day mortality of adults with pulmonary embolism with and without syncope were included. Quality of included studies was evaluated with the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. Meta-analysis was conducted to derive pooled odds ratios (ORs) and risk differences for the relation of syncope with mortality and hemodynamic instability. To study the influence of hemodynamic instability on the association between syncope and mortality, meta-regression was performed.

RESULTS

Search and selection resulted in 26 studies, of which 20 were pooled, involving 9,419 of 335,120 patients (3%) with syncope. Syncope was associated with higher mortality (OR 1.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14 to 2.90; I2 88%; risk difference 4% [95% CI 1% to 8%]) and higher prevalence of hemodynamic instability (OR 4.36; 95% CI 2.27 to 8.37; I2 93%; risk difference 12% [95% CI 7% to 18%]). OR for mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism with syncope versus without it was higher in the presence of a larger difference in hemodynamic instability between groups (coefficient 0.05; 95% CI 0.01 to 0.09).

CONCLUSION

The association between syncope and short-term mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism is explained by a difference in hemodynamic instability. This emphasizes the importance of risk stratification by hemodynamic status in pulmonary embolism patients with and without syncope.

Acute pulmonary embolism multimodality imaging prior to endovascular therapy

The manuscript discusses the application of CT pulmonary angiography, ventilation–perfusion scan, and magnetic resonance angiography to detect acute pulmonary embolism and to plan endovascular therapy. CT pulmonary angiography offers high accuracy, speed of acquisition, and widespread availability when applied to acute pulmonary embolism detection. This imaging modality also aids the planning of endovascular therapy by visualizing the number and distribution of emboli, determining ideal intra-procedural catheter position for treatment, and signs of right heart strain. Ventilation–perfusion scan and magnetic resonance angiography with and without contrast enhancement can also aid in the detection and pre-procedural planning of endovascular therapy in patients who are not candidates for CT pulmonary angiography.

Risk Stratification of Pulmonary Embolism

Given the broad treatment options, risk stratification of pulmonary embolism is a highly desirable component of management. The ideal tool identifies patients at risk of death from the original or recurrent pulmonary embolism. Using all-cause death in the first 30-days after pulmonary embolism diagnosis as a surrogate, clinical parameters, biomarkers, and radiologic evidence of right ventricular dysfunction and strain are predictive. However, no study has demonstrated improved mortality rates after implementation of a risk stratification strategy to guide treatment. Further research should use better methodology to study prognosis and test new management strategies in patients at high risk for death.

Assessment of the Bova score for risk stratification of acute normotensive pulmonary embolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Identification of normotensive pulmonary embolism (PE) at high risk of early adverse outcome is crucial for guiding treatment. Studies showed the Bova score had promising performance in stratifying normotensive PE.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic performance of the Bova score for normotensive PE.

RESULTS

Nine studies involving 8342 acute normotensive PE patients were enrolled. Overall, 71.4%, 20.2% and 8.4% patients were stratified as risk class I, II and III. Pooled incidence of short-term PE related composite adverse outcome of each group were 3.8%, 10.8% and 19.9%, respectively, exhibiting a significant rising trend. Increasing trends of 30-day and in-hospital composite adverse outcome rates, as well as PE related mortality, were also observed with upper risk classes. Compared with risk class I and II, high risk group (class III) was significantly associated with short-term PE related composite adverse outcome (OR: 5.45, 95% CI, 3.70-8.02) and PE related death (OR: 5.09, 95% CI, 3.54-7.30). Pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio of the score for predicting short-term composite adverse outcome were 0.25 (95% CI, 0.22-0.29), 0.93 (95% CI, 0.92-0.93), 4.05 (95% CI, 2.90-5.67) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74-0.88), respectively. The weighted area under the summarized receiver characteristics operation curve for predicting composite adverse outcome was 0.73 ± 0.09.

CONCLUSION

The Bova score could effectively discriminate normotensive PE with different short-term prognosis and has good performance in identifying patients at higher risk of short-term adverse events.

New guidelines for the diagnosis and management of pulmonary embolism: Key changes

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is an important public health problem. In August 2019, the European Society of Cardiology in collaboration with the European Respiratory Society released new guidelines for the diagnosis and management of PE. We discuss the basic changes between these recent guidelines and the previous guidelines that were published in 2014. Regarding diagnosis, the new guidelines propose the use of an age-adjusted cut-off level of D-dimers instead of a fixed cut-off value. A D-dimer test adapted to clinical possibility should also be considered instead of fixed cut-off level of D-dimer. Detailed recommendations for the diagnosis of PE during pregnancy are also provided. Regarding risk stratification, assessment of PE-related early mortality risk is recommended. Moreover, the importance of right ventricular dysfunction is emphasized in low-risk patients. For further risk stratification of the severity of PE in patients without hemodynamic instability, use of validated scores that combine clinical, imaging and laboratory PE-related prognostic factors might also be considered. Regarding treatment, the possibility of early discharge is mentioned in patients without severe comorbidities, who are not of high risk for sudden death and in whom proper medical management at home and proper medical follow up can be ensured. The new guidelines also suggest that pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels, right ventricular function and the presence of thrombus in the right heart could be useful for guiding the decision of early discharge. Overall, these new guidelines introduce several key changes and knowledge and adherence to them will improve the outcome of patients with PE.

Validation of a fast prognostic score for risk stratification of normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Background

Recent studies demonstrate an improved prognostic performance of the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) algorithm for risk stratification of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) compared to the 2008 ESC algorithm. The modified FAST and Bova scores appear especially helpful to identify PE patients at intermediate-high risk.

Methods

We validated the prognostic performance of the modified FAST score compared to other scores for risk stratification in a post-hoc analysis of 868 normotensive PE patients included in the prospective Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry. In-hospital adverse outcome was defined as PE-related death, mechanical ventilation, cardiopulmonary resuscitation or administration of catecholamines.

Results

Overall, 27 patients (3.1%) had an adverse outcome and 32 patients (3.7%) died. The rate of an adverse outcome was highest in the intermediate-high risk classes of the 2019 ESC algorithm (7.5%) and the modified FAST score (5.3%) while the Bova score failed to discriminate between intermediate-low and intermediate-high-risk patients. Patients classified as intermediate-high risk by the 2019 ESC algorithm (Odds Ratio [OR], 4.2 [95% CI, 1.9–9.0]) and modified FAST score (OR, 2.8 [1.3–6.2]) had a higher risk of an adverse outcome compared to patients classified by the Bova score (OR, 1.6 [0.7–3.7]). The c-index was higher for the 2019 ESC algorithm and the modified FAST score (AUC, 0.69 [0.58–0.79] and 0.67 [0.59–0.76]) compared to the Bova score (AUC, 0.64 [0.55–0.73]).

Conclusions

The 2019 ESC algorithm provided the best prognostic performance, but also the modified FAST score accurately stratified normotensive PE patients in different risk classes while the Bova score failed to identify patients at highest risk.

Graphic abstract

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-019-01593-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Atrial fibrillation is frequent but does not affect risk stratification in pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Although prior studies indicate a high prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE), the exact prevalence and prognostic impact are unknown.

METHODS

We aimed to investigate the prevalence, risk factors and prognostic impact of AF on risk stratification, in-hospital adverse outcomes and mortality in 528 consecutive PE patients enrolled in a single-centre registry between 09/2008 and 09/2017.

RESULTS

Overall, 52 patients (9.8%) had known AF and 57 (10.8%) presented with AF on admission; of those, 34 (59.6%) were newly diagnosed with AF. Compared to patients with no AF, overt hyperthyroidism was associated with newly diagnosed AF (OR 7.89 [2.99-20.86]), whilst cardiovascular risk comorbidities were more frequently observed in patients with known AF. Patients with AF on admission had more comorbidities, presented more frequently with tachycardia and elevated cardiac biomarkers and were hence stratified to higher risk classes. However, AF on admission had no impact on in-hospital adverse outcome (8.3%) and in-hospital mortality (4.5%). In multivariate logistic regression analyses corrected for AF on admission, NT-proBNP and troponin elevation as well as higher risk classes in risk assessment models remained independent predictors of an in-hospital adverse outcome.

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation is a frequent finding in PE, affecting more than 10% of patients. However, AF was not associated with a higher risk of in-hospital adverse outcomes and did not affect the prognostic performance of risk assessment strategies. Thus, our data support the use of risk stratification tools for patients with acute PE irrespective of the heart rhythm on admission.

Differential impact of syncope on the prognosis of patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Aims

Controversial reports exist in the literature regarding the prognostic role and therapeutic implications of syncope in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the association between syncope and short-term adverse outcomes, taking into account the presence or absence of haemodynamic compromise at acute PE presentation.

Methods and results

The literature search identified 1664 studies, 29 of which were included for a total of 21 956 patients with PE (n = 3706 with syncope). Syncope was associated with higher prevalence of haemodynamic instability [odds ratio (OR) 3.50; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.67-4.58], as well as with echocardiographic signs of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction (OR 2.10; CI 1.60-2.77) at presentation. Patients with syncope had a higher risks of all-cause early (either in-hospital or within 30 days) death (OR 1.73; CI 1.22-2.47) and PE-related 30-day adverse outcomes (OR 2.00; CI 1.11-3.60). The absolute risk difference (95% CI) for all-cause death was +6% (+1% to +10%) in studies including unselected patients, but it was -1% (-2% to +1%) in studies restricted to normotensive patients. We observed no prognostic impact of syncope in studies with a lower score at formal quality assessment and in those conducted retrospectively.

Conclusion

Syncope as a manifestation of acute PE was associated with a higher prevalence of haemodynamic instability and RV dysfunction at presentation, and an elevated risk for early PE-related adverse outcomes. The association with an increased risk of early death appeared more prominent in studies including unselected patients, when compared with those focusing on normotensive patients only.

Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism: Aiming to improve patient stratification

BACKGROUND

Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) patients present a therapeutic dilemma. While some are at risk for developing adverse events, possibly requiring escalation therapy, most will have a benign course. Our aim was to define predictors which will identify those patients who will not deteriorate despite the presence of RV involvement.

METHODS

We evaluated 179 consecutive intermediate-risk PE patients (47% males; mean age: 66 ± 16 years), allocating them to those who did and did not need escalation therapy and evaluating the predictors for deterioration. We then formulated a score to distinguish between those who would not require escalation therapy.

RESULTS

Twenty-six patients (15%) required escalation therapy which was associated with significantly more episodes of syncope (42% vs. 15%, p = 0.001), higher D-Dimer levels (10,810 ± 19,147 vs. 3816 ± 6255, p < 0.001), echocardiographic evidence of severe right ventricular (RV) dysfunction (42% vs. 19%, p < 0.01), or a higher RV/left ventricular (LV) diameter ratio on computed tomography (CT) (1.9 ± 0.6 vs. 1.46 ± 0.5, p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis the presence of syncope (HR 2.8 CI 1.1-7.1) and severe RV dysfunction on echocardiography (HR 3.5 CI 1.4-9.3) were found to be independent predictors for escalation therapy. A combined score of 1 was associated with only a 1.9% risk for escalation, while a maximum score of 4 was associated with a 57% risk for escalation therapy (P for trend<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A small but significant number of intermediate-risk PE patients required escalation therapy. A combined score comprising clinical, imaging, and laboratory parameters might aid in further risk stratification, identifying those intermediate risk PE patients with a more benign clinical course.

Temporal trends in management and outcome of pulmonary embolism: a single-centre experience

Background

Real-world data on the impact of advances in risk-adjusted management on the outcome of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) are limited.

Methods

To investigate temporal trends in treatment, in-hospital adverse outcomes and 1-year mortality, we analysed data from 605 patients [median age, 70 years (IQR 56–77) years, 53% female] consecutively enrolled in a single-centre registry between 09/2008 and 08/2016.

Results

Over the 8-year period, more patients were classified to lower risk classes according to the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 2014 guideline algorithm while the number of high-risk patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) increased. Although patients with OHCA had an exceptionally high in-hospital mortality rate of 59.3%, the rate of PE-related in-hospital adverse outcomes (12.2%) in the overall patient cohort remained stable over time. The rate of reperfusion treatment was 9.6% and tended to increase in high-risk patients. We observed a decrease in the median duration of in-hospital stay from 10 (IQR 6–14) to 7 (IQR 4–15) days, an increase of patients discharged early from 2.1 to 12.2% and an increase in the use of non-vitamin K-dependent oral anticoagulants (NOACs) from 12.6 to 57.2% in the last 2 years (09/2014–08/2016) compared to first 6 years (09/2008–08/2014). The 1-year mortality rate (16.9%) remained stable throughout the study period.

Conclusion

In-hospital adverse outcomes and 1-year mortality remained stable despite more patients with OHCA, shorter in-hospital stays, more patients discharged early and a more frequent NOAC use.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-019-01489-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Evaluation of Risk Stratification Markers and Models in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: Rationale and Design of the MARS-PE (Mainz Retrospective Study of Pulmonary Embolism) Study Programme

An acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a crucial event in patients’ life and connected with serious morbidity and mortality. Regarding a high case-fatality rate, early and accurate risk-stratification is crucial. Risk for mortality and complications are closely related to hemodynamic stability and cardiac adaptations. The currently recommended risk-stratification approach is not overall simple to use and might delay the identification of those patients, who should be monitored more closely and may treated with more aggressive treatment strategies. Additionally, some risk-stratification criteria for the imaging procedures are still imprecise. Summarized, the search for the most effective risk-stratification tools is still ongoing and some diagnostic criteria might have to be refined. In the MAinz Retrospective Study of Pulmonary Embolism (MARS-PE), overall 182 consecutive patients with confirmed PE were retrospectively included over a 5-year period. Clinical, echocardiographic, functional and laboratory parameters were assessed. The study was designed to provide answers to some of the mentioned relevant questions.

Impact of symptomatic atherosclerosis in patients with pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerosis is associated with increased cardiovascular mortality. Associations between venous thromboembolism and atherosclerosis were recently reported. We aimed to investigate the impact of symptomatic atherosclerosis on adverse outcomes in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) and to identify significant differences among patients with PE stratified by symptomatic atherosclerosis.

METHODS

Patients were selected by screening the nationwide inpatients sample for PE (ICD-code I26) stratified by symptomatic atherosclerosis (composite of coronary artery disease [ICD-code I25], myocardial infarction [ICD-code I21], ischemic stroke [ICD-code I63], and/or atherosclerotic arterial diseases [ICD-code I70]). We compared PE patients with (PE + Athero) and without (PE - Athero) symptomatic atherosclerosis and analysed the impact of symptomatic atherosclerosis on adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

Overall, 213,995 patients with PE (54.2% females) were included in this analysis. Of these, 30,157 (14.1%) had symptomatic atherosclerosis with age-dependent incline. Deep vein thrombosis or thrombophlebitis (45.1% vs. 36.9%, P < 0.001) was more commonly observed in the PE - Athero group (Odds Ratio (OR) 0.713 [95% CI 0.695-0.731], P < 0.001). In-hospital mortality (12.1% vs. 9.6%, P < 0.001) and adverse in-hospital events (16.8% vs. 12.6%, P < 0.001) were affected by symptomatic atherosclerosis; both in-hospital mortality (OR 1.107 [95% CI 1.061-1.155], P < 0.001) and adverse in-hospital outcomes (OR 1.143 [95%CI 1.102-1.186], P < 0.001) were affected independently of age, gender, comorbidities, and reperfusion treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

Symptomatic atherosclerosis in patients with PE increased with age and was associated with a poorer outcome. Cardiovascular-atherosclerotic diseases might play a major role in thrombus formation in isolated PE.

Oxygen saturation or respiratory rate to improve risk stratification in hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Essentials In acute pulmonary embolism (PE), risk stratification is essential to drive clinical management. Improving the 2014-ESC risk stratification strategy is crucial in hemodynamically stable patients. Oxygen saturation and respiratory rate improve risk stratification in hemodynamically stable PE. Simple and routine tests improve risk stratification of hemodynamically stable PE. SUMMARY: Background In patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), risk stratification for short-term death is recommended to drive clinical management. A risk stratification strategy combining the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), echocardiography and troponin was proposed by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) in 2014. The identification of hemodynamically stable patients at increased risk of death by this strategy needs improvement. Objective To assess whether further stratification by serial cut-off values of oxygen saturation or respiratory rate improves the accuracy of the ESC risk stratification strategy in hemodynamically stable PE patients. Methods Prospective cohorts of hemodynamically stable patients with PE were merged in a collaborative database. The accuracy of risk stratification for 30-day mortality by the original and a modified 2014 ESC strategy was assessed. Results Overall, 255 patients (27%) were categorized as low, 510 (54%) as intermediate-low and 181 (19%) as intermediate-high risk according to the original 2014 ESC strategy. Thirty-day mortality was 1.2% in low, 10% in intermediate-low and 11% in intermediate-high-risk patients. By adding oxygen saturation in air of < 88%, the discriminatory power of the 2014 ESC model improved for 30-day mortality (c-statistics, 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.77 vs. 0.63, 95% CI, 0.56-0.69) and for PE-related death (c-statistics, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.69-0.81 vs. 0.63, 95% CI 0.56-0.69). Conclusions Simple and routine tests, such as oxygen saturation or respiratory rate, could be added to the 2014 ESC strategy for risk stratification to identify hemodynamically stable PE patients at increased risk of death who are potentially candidates for more aggressive treatment.

Aggressive Treatment of Intermediate-Risk Patients with Acute Symptomatic Pulmonary Embolism

Contemporary studies of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) have evaluated the role of thrombolytics in intermediate-risk PE. Significant findings are that thrombolytic therapy may prevent hemodynamic deterioration and all-cause mortality but increases major bleeding. Benefits and harms are finely balanced with no convincing net benefit from thrombolytic therapy among unselected patients. Among patients with intermediate risk PE, additional prognostic factors or subtle hemodynamic changes might alter the risk-benefit assessment in favor of thrombolytic therapy before obvious hemodynamic instability.