High-normal blood pressure and long-term risk of type 2 diabetes: 35-year prospective population based cohort study of men

Long-term effects of blood pressure 130-139/80-89 mmHg on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among Chinese adults with different glucose metabolism

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality associated with blood pressure (BP) levels of 130-139/80-89 mmHg in Chinese adults with different glucose metabolism, during a long-term follow-up of over 20 years.

METHODS

A prospective population-based cohort of 2,132 adults in Shanghai was established in 2002 and followed for 21 years. The association between BP categories and mortality was assessed, and the risk was further analyzed using multiple Cox regression analysis by combining BP and blood glucose categories.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 2,004 participants, with 397 all-cause and 166 cardiovascular mortality. The incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality per 1,000 person-years for different BP categories were as follows: BP < 130/80 mmHg (4.5 and 1.3), 130-139/80-89 mmHg (7.7 and 2.9), and ≥ 140/90 mmHg or treated groups (19.9 and 8.7), respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, and other factors, BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg was significantly associated with a higher risk of mortality across different blood glucose categories. However, using BP < 130/80 mmHg and normoglycemia as the reference, a BP of 130-139/80-89 mmHg was significantly associated with higher risks of all-cause (hazard ratio 3.30 [95% confidence interval 1.48-7.38], P < 0.01) and cardiovascular mortality (9.60 [1.93-47.7], P < 0.01) in diabetes, but not in those with normoglycemia or prediabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

BP of 130-139/80-89 mmHg may lead to a significantly higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in Chinese adults with diabetes, but not in those with normoglycemia or prediabetes. This suggests that the targeted BP for people with diabetes should be < 130-139/80-89 mmHg.

Are Overweight and Obesity Risk Factors for Developing Metabolic Syndrome or Hypertension after a Preeclamptic Event?

OBJECTIVE

To identify the determinants and risks associated with developing hypertension and metabolic syndrome in the first year postpartum in women who experienced preeclampsia.

METHODS

A cohort study was conducted, involving women who had experienced preeclampsia (PE) recently. The control group was women with the same characteristics but a healthy pregnancy. The variables analyzed were somatometry, disease history, pre-pregnancy body mass index (Pre-BMI), and Third Adult Treatment Panel updated (ATP III) metabolic syndrome (MS) data (blood pressure, obesity, triglycerides, high-density lipoproteins, and fasting glucose). These variables were measured at 3, 6, and 12 months postpartum.

RESULTS

Women with a history of PE exhibited higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure than women without PE. The risk of developing isolated diastolic arterial hypertension at 3 and 12 months of follow-up was two to eight times greater in women with a history of PE. Factors associated with having higher blood pressure levels were preeclampsia, insulin resistance, age, and BMI. Neither the pre-BMI index nor gestational weight gain (GWG) had any effect on blood pressure in any of the three assessments. Women with preeclampsia had a 5- to 8-fold increased risk of developing MS (which could be explained not only by the history of preeclampsia but also by the history of pre-pregnancy obesity). However, PE was not identified as a risk factor at the six-month evaluation and was only explained by pre-pregnancy obesity and overweight.

CONCLUSIONS

Obesity and overweight, as well as preeclampsia, were strongly associated with the development of hypertension and metabolic syndrome during the first year following childbirth.

Prevention of cardiorenal damage: importance of albuminuria

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is projected to become a leading global cause of death by 2040, and its early detection is critical for effective and timely management. The current definition of CKD identifies only advanced stages, when kidney injury has already destroyed &gt;50% of functioning kidney mass as reflected by an estimated glomerular filtration rate &lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or a urinary albumin/creatinine ratio &gt;six-fold higher than physiological levels (i.e. &gt; 30 mg/g). An elevated urinary albumin-excretion rate is a known early predictor of future cardiovascular events. There is thus a ‘blind spot’ in the detection of CKD, when kidney injury is present but is undetectable by current diagnostic criteria, and no intervention is made before renal and cardiovascular damage occurs. The present review discusses the CKD ‘blind spot’ concept and how it may facilitate a holistic approach to CKD and cardiovascular disease prevention and implement the call for albuminuria screening implicit in current guidelines. Cardiorenal risk associated with albuminuria in the high-normal range, novel genetic and biochemical markers of elevated cardiorenal risk, and the role of heart and kidney protective drugs evaluated in recent clinical trials are also discussed. As albuminuria is a major risk factor for cardiovascular and renal disease, starting from levels not yet considered in the definition of CKD, the implementation of opportunistic or systematic albuminuria screening and therapy, possibly complemented with novel early biomarkers, has the potential to improve cardiorenal outcomes and mitigate the dismal 2040 projections for CKD and related cardiovascular burden.

Association of home and office systolic and diastolic hypertension with glucose metabolism in a general population: the Ohasama study

OBJECTIVE

This study was performed to investigate the association of hypertension subtypes with glucose metabolism among the Japanese general population.

METHODS

The study involved 646 residents (mean age: 62.4 years) without treatment for hypertension or a history of diabetes from Ohasama, a rural Japanese community, who underwent an oral glucose tolerance test. Hypertension subtypes [normotension, isolated systolic hypertension (ISH), isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH), and systolic and diastolic hypertension (SDH)] were defined on the basis of home and office SBP and DBP (HBP and OBP, respectively). The estimated means of blood glucose related indices among the groups were compared by analysis of covariance adjusted for possible confounding factors.

RESULTS

Blood glucose related indices were not different among the morning HBP-defined hypertension subtypes. Participants with evening HBP-defined ISH had a significantly higher estimated mean BG at 120 min, higher homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and lower Matsuda-DeFronzo index than participants with NT (all P < 0.021). Participants with OBP-defined SDH had a significantly higher estimated mean fasting blood glucose; blood glucose at 30, 60 and 120 min; and HOMA-IR and a lower Matsuda-DeFronzo index than participants with NT (all P < 0.0025).

CONCLUSION

The blood glucose related indices were different among hypertension subtypes. Participants with evening HBP-defined ISH and OBP-defined SDH had higher blood glucose levels and insulin resistance than participants with correspondingly defined normotension, while those with morning HBP did not. These findings suggest the importance of measuring evening HBP and office blood pressure for early detection of coexisting hypertension and diabetes.

Prevalence of hyperglycemia in masters athletes

Background

Ageing is associated with decreased physical activity, obesity and subsequently an increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2dm). Master athletes (MA) have initiated exercise or sport later in life or pursued a physically active lifestyle for an extended period. Subsequently, MAs have been proposed as a model of successful ageing as this active lifestyle is associated with health benefits including decreased health risk of chronic diseases and a reduction in premature mortality. Given long-term physical activity/exercise has previously been shown to be protective against hyperglycemia, a risk factor for T2dm, it is plausible that MA may have protective benefit against developing hyperglycemia. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of hyperglycemia via fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in MAs competing at the World Masters Games (WMG).

Methods

This cross-sectional, observational survey utilized an online survey using open-source web-based software was used to investigate MAs physiological and medical-related parameters. Over 28,000 MAs competed in the WMG, of which 8,072 MAs completed the survey. Of these MAs, a total of 486 (males 277, females 209; range 27 to 91 years, mean age 55.1 ± 10.2 years) attained recent pathology results which included FPG which was subsequently analyzed for this study. FPG and other outcome variables were compared between genders and to the Australian and United States general population.

Results

Mean FPG for MAs was 5.03 mmol (±1.2, 95% CI [4.9-5.1] mmol) with majority (75.5%) of MAs reporting a normal (<5.5 mmol) FPG, followed by pre-diabetes (20.2%, >5.51 to <5.99 mmol) and abnormal (4.3%, >7.0 mmol). There was no significant difference (P = 0.333) in FPG between genders however, males had a slightly higher (+2.1%) FPG as compared to females (5.08 ± 1.2 mmol (95% CI [4.9-5.22] mmol) versus 4.98 ± 1.1 mmol (95% CI 4.8-5.1 mmol)). The majority of males (71.8%) and females (80.3%) were classified with a normal FPG. With regard to an abnormal FPG level, only 4.0% of males and 4.9% of females were classified abnormal which was suggestive of undiagnosed T2dm. With regard to age by decade, there was no significant difference (P = 0.06-1.00) between age groups and no relationship between the MAs' age and FPG (r = .054, P = 0.24). As a group, MAs had a significantly lower FPG as compared to the Australian (-3.2%, P = 0.005) and United States general populations (-13.9%, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Most, however not all, MAs were found to have normal glycaemia, with only a small percentage indicating a risk of developing T2dm (i.e., impaired fasting glucose) and a smaller percentage identified with an abnormal FPG, suggestive of T2dm. These findings suggest MAs appear to be at low metabolic risk for developing T2dm based upon FPG and the physical activity/exercise they complete as MAs may indeed be protective against hyperglycemia whilst maintaining an active lifestyle.

Life-course blood pressure trajectories and incident diabetes: A longitudinal cohort in a Chinese population

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure levels are correlated with diabetes among middle-aged or older adults. However, longitudinal trajectories of blood pressure during young adulthood and their impact on diabetes have been insufficiently studied.

METHODS

The longitudinal cohort consisted of 4,625 adults who had blood pressure and body mass index (BMI) repeatedly measured five to nine times during 18-60 years of age. Distinct systolic blood pressure (SBP) trajectories were identified by a group-based trajectory model. Logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the association between trajectory patterns or quartiles of area under the curve values of SBP trajectories and incident diabetes, respectively.

RESULTS

Four distinct trajectory groups were identified for SBP: normotensive-stable (n = 761, 16.5%), prehypertension-stable (n = 2,381, 51.5%), stage I hypertension-increasing (n = 1,231, 26.6%), and stage II hypertension-increasing (n = 251, 5.4%). Compared with subjects who remained at SBP <120 mmHg in the normotensive-stable group, individuals in the prehypertension-stable trajectory exhibited a normal SBP range (<140 mmHg), and they still had a significantly higher risk of diabetes (adjusted OR = 1.82, p = 0.029). Individuals had a greater risk of diabetes in the stage I hypertension-increasing group (adjusted OR = 2.31, p = 0.006) and the highest risk in the stage II hypertension-increasing group (adjusted OR = 3.91, p < 0.001) relative to the normotensive-stable group. Furthermore, compared with the first quartile, adjusted ORs (95% CIs) of the fourth quartile of SBP incremental and total AUC were 2.50 (1.61-3.97) and 1.82 (1.15-2.94), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term SBP trajectory is a significant predictor for incident diabetes, which is independent of baseline SBP and body weight, attaching importance to maintaining optimal blood pressure levels and controlling changing slopes of SBP for preventing diabetes.

The risk factors of type 2 diabetes in hypertensive subjects

OBJECTIVE

Hypertension (HTN) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) share common risk factors and usually co-occur. This study examined the relationship between HTN history and T2DM incidence in a cohort of Chinese hypertensive subjects.

METHODS

We recruited 443 cases (T2DM and HTN) and 443 sex- and age-matched controls (HTN). The history of peak systolic blood pressure (SBP) was divided into 140-159, 160-179, and ≥ 180 mmHg, and that of peak diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was divided into 90-99, 100-109, and ≥ 110 mmHg. Multiple binary logistic regression models were used to explore the association between controlled HTN status and T2DM.

RESULTS

Creatinine concentrations were higher in the cases than in the controls (P < 0.05). The HTN duration was longer in the cases than in the controls (14.7 years vs. 13.2 years; P < 0.05). Significant differences were also found in the history of peak SBP and DBP between the cases and controls (both P < 0.05). Creatinine, HTN duration, and family history of T2DM were risk factors for T2DM in hypertensive subjects, with odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.013 (1.004-1.022), 1.025 (1.003-1.047), and 5.119 (3.266-8.026), respectively. Compared with the lowest level of peak DBP, the odds ratio for T2DM at the highest level of peak DBP was 1.757 (1.074-2.969). Subgroups analyses showed that the effect of the history of peak DBP on T2DM was significantly modified by sex (P-interaction = 0.037).

CONCLUSION

The highest DBP and the longest HTN duration were both independently associated with T2DM in hypertensive subjects.

Anti-hypertensive medication access and affordability and their association with blood pressure control at a teaching hospital in Ghana

Introduction

many hypertensive patients require two or more anti-hypertensive drugs, but in low- and middle-income countries there may be challenges with medication access or affordability. The objective of this study was to determine accessibility and affordability of anti-hypertensive medicines and their association with blood pressure (BP) control among hypertensive patients attending the Korle-Bu teaching hospital (KBTH) polyclinic.

Methods

a cross-sectional study was conducted among 310 systematically sampled hypertensive patients attending the KBTH Polyclinic in Ghana. A structured questionnaire was used to obtain data on patient demographics and clinical characteristics, prices, availability and mode of payment of generic anti-hypertensive medicines.

Results

fifty-nine patients (19.4%) made out-of-pocket payments. At the private pharmacy and hospital, 123 (40.5%) and 77 patients (25.3%) respectively could not afford four anti-hypertensive medicines. Medicines availability at KBTH was 60%. Continuous access to BP drugs at KBTH was 14.8%. Overall access was 74.9% (SD ± 41.3). Out-of-pocket affordability of the medicines was positively correlated with BP control (R=0.12, p=0.037). Obtaining medicines via health insurance only was more likely to result in BP control than making any out-of-pocket payments (OR= 2.185; 95% CI, 1.215 - 3.927). Access at KBTH was more likely to result in BP control (OR=1.642; 95% C.I, 0.843 - 3.201).

Conclusion

there were access challenges although most patients obtained BP medication free. Out-of-pocket affordability is a challenge for some hypertensive patients. Access to affordable BP medication can improve BP control. These findings provide an impetus for urgently evaluating access to affordable anti-hypertensive medicines in other hospitals in Ghana.

Ketogenic diet aggravates kidney dysfunction by exacerbating metabolic disorders and inhibiting autophagy in spontaneously hypertensive rats

AIMS

To assess the effects of a ketogenic diet on metabolism and renal fibrosis in spontaneously hypertensive rats.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Male spontaneously hypertensive rats (SHRs) and Wistar Kyoto (WKY) rats were randomly divided into a ketogenic diet group and a normal diet group. Blood glucose and metabolites were measured after 4 weeks. Renal autophagy-related protein expression was detected by Western blot, and renal fibrosis was detected by Masson staining.

RESULTS

Compared with the normal diet, the ketogenic diet led to significantly decreased glucose tolerance and metabolism; overactivated the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system; and reduced renal autophagy-related protein expression in SHRs; Masson staining and other experiments showed that the ketogenic diet had no significant effect on hypertensive renal fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

A Ketogenic diet could lead to disorders of glucose and lipid metabolism, increase hypertension by activating the RAAS, reduce renal autophagy levels and aggravate renal parenchymal damage. Therefore, a ketogenic diet, as a kind of natural therapy, should be vigilantly monitored to prevent further damage in patients with hypertension.

Association of risk factors with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review

Diabetes is the leading cause of severe health complications and one of the top 10 causes of death worldwide. To date, diabetes has no cure, and therefore, it is necessary to take precautionary measures to avoid its occurrence. The main aim of this systematic review is to identify the majority of the risk factors for the incidence/prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus on one hand, and to give a critical analysis of the cohort/cross-sectional studies which examine the impact of the association of risk factors on diabetes. Consequently, we provide insights on risk factors whose interactions are major players in developing diabetes. We conclude with recommendations to allied health professionals, individuals and government institutions to support better diagnosis and prognosis of the disease.

Early prediction of diabetic type 2 based on fuzzy technique

Intelligent analysis of present lifestyle may help to understand the development of the chronic diseases and the relationship of these diseases together. It is possible to reduce or prevent the development of these diseases. In this work, a novel intelligent method is introduced and applied for early detection of type 2 diabetic. Intelligent analysis depends mainly on evaluation life-threatening conditions (obesity, hypertension, smoking status, alcohol drinking status and low level of physical activities) to extract knowledge from linguistic variablesand design a new cognitive tool to assist in the prediction process.This method consists from three stages: in the first stage, data was collected from 100 healthy volunteers, which includes evaluations of life-threatening conditions. The second stage is implementation of fuzzy model for early prediction of type 2 diabetes. Predicted blood glucose values of proposal technique were compared with average fasting blood glucose values based on analysis of Bland-Altman plot. Furthermore, fuzzy system model presents superior results (accuracy = 81%, precision = 0.57% and recall = 0.83%).

The Interdependence of Blood Pressure and Glucose in Vietnam

INTRODUCTION

Modelling of associations of systolic blood pressure (BP) and blood glucose (BG) with their explanatory factors in separate regressions treats them as having independent biological mechanisms. This can lead to statistical inferences that are unreliable because the substantial overlap in their etiologic and disease mechanisms is ignored.

AIM

This study aimed to examine the relationship of systolic blood pressure (BP) and blood glucose (BG) with measures of obesity and central fat distribution and other factors whilst taking account of the inter-dependence between them.

METHODS

Participants (n = 14706, 53.5 % females) aged 25-64 years were selected by multi-stage stratified cluster sampling from eight provinces each representing one of the eight geographical regions of Vietnam. Measurements were made using the World Health Organization STEPS protocols.

RESULTS

Structural modelling identified direct effects for BG (men P = 0.000, women P = 0.029), age (men P = 0.000, women P = 0.000) and body mass index (BMI) (men P = 0.000, women P = 0.000) in the estimation of systolic BP, and for systolic BP (men P = 0.036, women P = 0.000) and waist circumference (WC) (men P = 0.032, women P = 0.009) in the estimation of BG. There were indirect effects of age, cholesterol, physical activity and tobacco smoking via their influence on WC and BMI. The errors in estimation of systolic BP and BG were correlated (men P = 0.000, women P = 0.004), the stability indices (men 0.466, women 0.495) showed the non-recursive models were stable, and the proportion of variance explained was mid-range (men 0.553, women 0.579).

CONCLUSION

This study provided statistical evidence of a feedback loop between systolic BP and BG. BMI and WC were confirmed to be their primary explanatory factors. Saturated fat intake and physical activity were identified as possible targets of intervention for overweight and obesity, and indirectly for reducing systolic BP and BG. Harmful/hazardous alcohol intake was identified as a target of intervention for systolic BP.

Insulin Resistance the Hinge Between Hypertension and Type 2 Diabetes

Epidemiological studies have documented a high incidence of diabetes in hypertensive patients.Insulin resistance is defined as a less than expected biologic response to a given concentration of the hormone and plays a pivotal role in the pathogenesis of diabetes. However, over the last decades, it became evident that insulin resistance is not merely a metabolic abnormality, but is a complex and multifaceted syndrome that can also affect blood pressure homeostasis. The dysregulation of neuro-humoral and neuro-immune systems is involved in the pathophysiology of both insulin resistance and hypertension. These mechanisms induce a chronic low grade of inflammation that interferes with insulin signalling transduction. Molecular abnormalities associated with insulin resistance include the defects of insulin receptor structure, number, binding affinity, and/or signalling capacity. For instance, hyperglycaemia impairs insulin signalling through the generation of reactive oxygen species, which abrogate insulin-induced tyrosine autophosphorylation of the insulin receptor. Additional mechanisms have been described as responsible for the inhibition of insulin signalling, including proteasome-mediated degradation of insulin receptor substrate 1/2, phosphatase-mediated dephosphorylation and kinase-mediated serine/threonine phosphorylation of both insulin receptor and insulin receptor substrates. Insulin resistance plays a key role also in the pathogenesis and progression of hypertension-induced target organ damage, like left ventricular hypertrophy, atherosclerosis and chronic kidney disease. Altogether these abnormalities significantly contribute to the increase the risk of developing type 2 diabetes.

Body Fat Percentage Rather than Body Mass Index Related to the High Occurrence of Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Diabetes prevalence estimation and reduction of its risk factors remain the major goals of health services. While obesity is the major risk factor for diabetes, body fat distribution may be a better predictor.

AIMS

To estimate the prevalence of diabetes in an adult working population in Mexico City, and to evaluate the strength of association with different risk factors.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted in two city halls of Mexico City. Anthropometrics, blood pressure, physical activity, diet, and biochemical parameters were assessed. Diabetes was defined as a fasting plasma glucose level ≥7.0 mmol/l or referred diabetes. The bioelectrical impedance analysis of body components was performed and weight, soft lean mass, body fat percentage and abdominal fat were obtained. Prevalence with 95% confidence intervals was estimated, as well as odds ratios derived from a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was 11.0% (95% CI 9.6-12.4%). The proportion of individuals with diabetes who were unaware of having the disease was higher in women (42.5 vs. 36.9%), and the degree of metabolic control was better in women (39.1 vs. 25.0%). Age, blood pressure, triglycerides and the percentage of body fat, were major risk factors related to the occurrence of type 2 diabetes. No relation was observed with physical activity and diet.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Mexico continues to be high and obesity measured by body fat percentage seems to be a better predictor of its occurrence than body mass index.

High-normal blood pressure conferred higher risk of cardiovascular disease in a random population sample of 50-year-old men: A 21-year follow-up

The relationship between various categories of blood pressure (BP), subtypes of hypertension, and development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) have not been extensively studied. Therefore, our study aimed to explore this relationship in a random population sample of men born in 1943, living in Sweden and followed over a 21-year period.Participants were examined for the first time in 1993 (age 50 years), where data on medical history, concomitant diseases, and general health were collected. The examination was repeated in 2003 and with additional echocardiography also in 2014. Classification of participants according to their BP at the age of 50 years was as follows: optimal-normal BP (systolic blood pressure [SBP] <130 and diastolic BP [DBP] <85 mmHg), high-normal BP (130 ≤ SBP < 140, 85 ≤ DBP < 90 mmHg), isolated systolic-diastolic hypertension (ISH-IDH) (SBP ≥140 and DBP <90 or SBP <140 and DBP ≥90 mmHg), and systolic-diastolic hypertension (SDH) (SBP ≥140 and DBP ≥90 mmHg).During the follow-up, the incidence of heart failure (HF), CVD, and coronary heart disease were all lowest for those with optimal-normal BP. Participants with high-normal BP showed greater wall thickness and left ventricular mass index, larger LV size and larger left atrial size when compared with the optimal-normal BP group. Furthermore, those with high-normal BP, ISH-IDH, and SDH had a higher risk of CVD than those with optimal-normal BP. The adjusted relative risk of CVD was highest for SDH (hazard ratio [HR] 1.95; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.37-2.79), followed by ISH-IDH (HR 1.34; 95% CI 0.93-1.95) and high-normal BP (HR 1.31; 95% CI 0.91-1.89).Over a 21-year follow-up, the participants with high-normal BP or ISH-IDH had a higher relative risk of CVD than those with optimal-normal BP.

Risk of developing pre-diabetes or diabetes over time in a cohort of Mexican health workers

Aim

To determine the association between known risk factors (e.g., obesity, metabolic syndrome and its components) and the development of pre-diabetes or diabetes over time in a cohort of Mexican health workers.

Methods

Participants in the Mexican Health Worker Cohort Study with complete information at two waves of data collection, 2004–2006 (W1) and 2011–2013 (W2), were included in the analysis (n = 1,174). Multivariable binary and multinomial logistic regression were used to examine the cross-sectional associations between specific risk factors and diabetes status (diabetes, pre-diabetes, or neither) at W1 and the longitudinal associations between changes in risk factors and progression of diabetes status from W1 to W2, respectively.

Results

Mean time between waves was 7.0 years (SD 1.1). Prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes was 16% and 10% at W1 and increased to 30% and 16% at W2, respectively. The cross-sectional prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes was significantly higher among men, participants over the age of 45 years, and individuals who were overweight or obese or had metabolic syndrome (MS), three or more components of the MS, elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, or elevated uric acid. In longitudinal analyses, remaining obese or gaining weight between waves was associated with an increased risk of developing pre-diabetes. A greater risk of developing pre-diabetes or diabetes was also observed among individuals who either maintained or acquired MS, elevated ALT, or elevated uric acid (only for diabetes) from W1 to W2.

Conclusions

Weight gain and acquiring or maintaining MS, elevated ALT levels, or elevated uric acid were associated with a significant risk of developing pre-diabetes or diabetes. Our findings, especially in the context of the obesity epidemic in Mexico, point towards an urgent need for initiatives to help reduce excess weight in order to avert future cases of pre-diabetes and diabetes.

Apparent therapy-resistant hypertension as risk factor for the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether the relationship between hypertension and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is different for patients with uncontrolled hypertension, controlled hypertension or patients with apparent therapy-resistant hypertension (aTRH), compared with patients without hypertension.

METHODS

Using Cox proportional hazard models we evaluated the risk of new-onset T2DM in 8756 patients, at high risk for vascular disease. Hypertensive patients were subdivided according to blood pressure (BP) and use of BP-lowering drugs. BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg was defined as uncontrolled BP. aTRH was defined as uncontrolled BP despite being treated with at least three BP-lowering drugs including a diuretic, or the use at least four BP-lowering drugs irrespective of BP levels. Further analysis evaluated the risk of new-onset T2DM for patients with uncontrolled hypertension and for patients with aTRH, compared with patients with controlled hypertension and without hypertension, respectively.

RESULTS

Forty-five percent had controlled hypertension, 20% had uncontrolled hypertension, 5.7% had aTRH, and 29% were nonhypertensive. During a follow-up of 7.0 (interquartile range: 0-14) years there were 705 new cases of T2DM. Patients with hypertension had a 1.48 (95% confidence interval 1.22-1.80) times higher risk of new-onset T2DM than nonhypertensive patients. There was no significant difference in risk among different hypertension groups.

CONCLUSION

Patients at high risk for cardiovascular disease with hypertension have a 1.48 times higher risk of new-onset T2DM than nonhypertensive counterparts. The risk did not differ between patients with controlled hypertension, uncontrolled hypertension, or aTRH.

Risk of developing type 2 diabetes according to blood pressure levels and presence or absence of hypertensive treatment: the Saku study

The aim was to investigate the risk of developing type 2 diabetes according to blood pressure (BP) levels and presence or absence of hypertensive treatment. This 5-year cohort study comprised 3508 Japanese adults aged 30-74 years without diabetes who had undergone a medical checkup including a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) between April 2008 and March 2009 at Saku Central Hospital. Participants receiving antihypertensive treatment were categorized into controlled hypertension ( < 140/90 mmHg) or uncontrolled hypertension ( ≥ 140/90 mmHg) groups. Participants not receiving antihypertensive treatment were categorized: optimal BP ( < 120/80 mmHg), normal BP (120-129/80-84 mmHg), high-normal BP (130-139/85-89 mmHg), grade I hypertension (140-159/90-99 mmHg), and grade II/III hypertension ( ≥ 160/100 mmHg). Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the incidence of type 2 diabetes as defined by the 75-g OGTT were estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models in reference to optimal BP. During an average of 4.4 years of follow-up, 295 participants developed type 2 diabetes. Those with high-normal BP, grade I hypertension, grade II/III hypertension, and uncontrolled hypertension were at significantly higher risk for developing type 2 diabetes, with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.53 (1.03-2.29), 1.53 (1.02-2.32), 2.19 (1.01-4.77), and 1.81 (1.10-2.99), respectively. In conclusion, compared with those with optimal BP, individuals with BP ≥ 130/85 mmHg not receiving antihypertensive treatment and uncontrolled hypertensives with BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg receiving antihypertensive treatment were at a significantly higher risk for developing type 2 diabetes.

The influence of prehypertension, hypertension, and glycated hemoglobin on the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus in prediabetes: the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES)

BACKGROUND

It has been reported that elevated blood pressure (BP) was significantly associated with the increased risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, there is still limited information about the influence of BP on the risk for T2DM across the level of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c).

METHOD

In a cohort of the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES), 2830 non-diabetic Korean adults with prediabetes defined by HbA1c level of 5.7-6.4% were followed-up for 10 years. Multivariate cox proportional hazards assumption was used to assess the risk for T2DM according to the baseline BP categories (normal, prehypertension and hypertension) and HbA1c level (low: 5.7-5.9% and high: 6.0-6.4%).

RESULTS

The risk for T2DM significantly increased proportionally to BP categories (adjusted HR; reference in normal BP, 1.32 [1.10-1.59] in prehypertension and 1.61 [1.35-1.92] in hypertension). Subgroup analysis indicated that individuals with high HbA1c had the higher risk for T2DM than individuals with low HbA1c regardless of BP. Additionally, combined presence of hypertension and high HbA1c had the highest risk for T2DM (adjusted HR: 3.82 [3.00-4.87]). In each systolic and diastolic BP level, the risk for T2DM significantly increased from systolic BP ≥ 130 mmHg (adjusted HRs: 1.39 ([1.15-1.71]) and diastolic BP ≥ 80 mmHg (adjusted HRs: 1.30 ([1.07-1.58]).

CONCLUSION

BP and HbA1c may be useful tools in identifying individuals with prediabetes more potentially predisposed to T2DM. Prospective studies should be considered to examine whether controlling BP actually lowers the risk for T2DM.

Dietary acid load and risk of type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective observational studies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Existing evidence suggests a link between acid-forming potential of diet and type 2 diabetes. But the degree of the associations and shape of the dose-response relations across different indices of diet-dependent acid load and risk of type 2 diabetes and potential confounding by sex have not been established. We aimed to test the dose-response association of different measures of dietary acid load and risk of incident type 2 diabetes, with considering the sex as a potential confounder.

METHODS

Systematic search was done using PubMed and Scopus, from inception up to September 2017. Prospective observational studies reporting the risk estimates of type 2 diabetes for three or more quantitative categories of potential renal acid load (PRAL), net endogenous acid production (NEAP) and animal protein-to-potassium ratio (A:P) scores were included. Pooled relative risks (RRs) were calculated using random effects models.

RESULTS

Seven prospective cohort studies with 319,542 participants and 17,986 incident cases of type 2 diabetes were included. Pooled RRs for a 5 unit increment in dietary PRAL, NEAP and A:P was 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.06; I² = 79%, n = 7), 1.03 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.04; I² = 54%, n = 7), and 1.11 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.15; I² = 41%, n = 3), respectively. Subgroup analysis resulted in significant positive relationship only among women, compared with men. There was a linear association between NEAP and A:P scores and risk of type 2 diabetes, whereas the association appeared to be U-shaped in analysis of PRAL.

CONCLUSIONS

Adherence to a diet with high acid-forming potential might increase the risk of type 2 diabetes. Shape of the dose-response relations across different indices of dietary acid load and potential sex differences in the associations need to be further explored. The interpretation of the results is limited by low number of studies.

Different combinations of glucose tolerance and blood pressure status and incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality events

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of combinations of blood pressure and glucose tolerance status on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. A total of 7619 participants aged ⩾30 years old were stratified to nine categories as follows: (1) normotension (NTN) and normal glucose tolerance (NGT) (reference group), (2) NTN and pre-diabetes mellitus (pre-DM), (3) NTN and DM, (4) pre-hypertension (pre-HTN) and NGT, (5) pre-HTN and pre-DM, (6) pre-HTN and DM, (7) HTN and NGT, (8) HTN and pre-DM and (9) HTN and DM. Cox proportional hazards were applied to calculate the multivariate hazard ratios (HRs) of different groups for outcomes. For all-cause mortality outcomes, prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) was also adjusted. In a median follow-up of 11.3 years, 696 CVD and 412 all-cause mortality events occurred. Among the population free from CVD at baseline (n=7249), presence of HTN was associated with increased risk of CVD, regardless of glucose tolerance status with HRs of 1.97 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.49-2.61), 2.25 (1.68-3.02) and 3.16 (2.28-4.37) for phenotypes of HTN and NGT, HTN and pre-DM and HTN and DM for CVD, respectively; corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.65 (95% CI, 1.15-2.37), 1.69 (1.15-2.49) and 2.73 (1.80-4.14), respectively. Phenotypes of NTN and pre-DM (1.48; 1.03-2.14) and NTN and DM (2.04; 1.06-3.92) were also associated with CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively. HTN was significantly associated with CVD/mortality events, regardless of glucose tolerance status. Blood pressure <120/80 mm Hg among pre-diabetic/diabetic population, not on antihypertensive medications, was generally associated with worse outcomes.

Hypertension with diabetes mellitus: significance from an epidemiological perspective for Japanese

The prevalence of both hypertension and diabetes mellitus is increasing worldwide. Both diseases lead to severe complications such as cardiovascular and chronic kidney diseases, which increase the risk of death over a long period of time. Therefore, the prevention and aggravation of hypertension and diabetes mellitus are major challenges. Because few review articles have focused on the epidemiological perspective of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, we reviewed major observational studies mainly from Japan and from Western countries that have reported on the prevalence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, the binominal risk of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, and the risk of their coexistence. Our investigation found that approximately 50% of diabetic patients had hypertension, and approximately 20% of hypertensive patients had diabetes mellitus. Those with either hypertension or diabetes mellitus had a 1.5- to 2.0-fold higher risk of having both conditions. These results were similar for both Japan and Western countries. Although comparing the results between Japan and Western countries was difficult because the risks were estimated using widely varying statistical analyses, it was revealed that the coexistence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus certainly increased the risk of complications regardless of the country. The definition, prevalence and medical treatment of hypertension and diabetes mellitus will change in the future. For early intervention based on the latest evidence to prevent severe complications, it is important to accumulate epidemiological knowledge of hypertension and diabetes mellitus and to update the evidence for both Japan and other countries.

Time-cumulated blood pressure exposure and incident impairment of glucose tolerance and diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

With the marked increase in the prevalence of diabetes mellitus, it was the purpose of our study to assess a potential association of time-cumulated exposure to systolic (CumSBP) and of diastolic blood pressure (CumDBP) with onset of impaired glucose tolerance and diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

The prospective investigation included participants of the longitudinal Kailuan Study with three baseline examinations in 2006-2007, 2008-2009 and 2010-2011, re-examination in 2012-2013, and no diabetes mellitus at baseline. Cumulative blood pressure (BP) was calculated as cumBP = [(BP1 + BP2)/2 × time1-2] + [(BP2 + BP3)/2 × time2-3]. Based on cumSBP, the study population was stratified into four groups (cumSBP < 480mmHgxyear;n = 15,339; 480mmHgxyear ≤ cumSBP < 520mmHgxyear;n = 7214; 520mmHgxyears ≤ cumSBP < 560mmHgxyears;n = 5675; and cumSBP ≥ 560mmHgxyears;n = 10,576).

RESULTS

After adjusting for demographic, anthropomorphic, biochemical, socioeconomic and lifestyle parameters and as compared with the first group, the second, third and fourth group showed a significantly higher incidence of diabetes (P-trend < 0.001;hazard ratio (HR);95% confidence interval (CI):1.28(1.08,1.51),1.54(1.29,1.84), and 2.33(1.98,2.73), respectively), higher incidence of impairment of glucose tolerance (P-trend < 0.001;HR;95% CI1.17(1.02,1.33), 1.43(1.25,1.64), and 2.09(1.85,2.37), respectively), and higher incidence of diabetes developing out of an impairment of glucose tolerance (P-trend < 0.001;HR;95% CI:1.22(0.97,1.54),1.47(1.16,1.86), and 2.01(1.62,2.50), respectively). An increase in cumSBP by 10 mmHg/year or an increase in cumDBP by 5 mmHg/year was associated with a hazard ratio of incident diabetes of 1.04 (95% CI:1.03,1.04) and 1.02(1.02,1.03), respectively, with a hazard ratio of incident impairment of glucose tolerance of 1.04(95% CI:1.03,1.04) and 1.03(95% CI:1.02,1.03), respectively, and with a hazard ratio of incident diabetes developing from impairment of glucose tolerance of 1.04(95% CI:1.03,1.04) and 1.03(95% CI:1.02,1.03), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Time-cumulated exposure to elevated blood pressure was significantly associated with an elevated incidence of impaired glucose tolerance and diabetes.

Different Combinations of Glucose Tolerance and Blood Pressure Status and Incident Diabetes, Hypertension, and Chronic Kidney Disease

Background

The impact of different combinations of glucose tolerance and blood pressure status on the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), hypertension (HTN), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) still needs to be investigated.

Methods and Results

A total of 12 808 Iranian adults aged ≥20 years were included in 3 separate analyses to investigate incidence of T2DM, HTN, and CKD. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (95% CI). During a median follow‐up of >10 years, the overall incidence rate for T2DM, HTN, and CKD was 12.2, 29.8, and 24.8 per 1000 person‐years. For incident T2DM, considering normal glucose tolerance/normal blood pressure as reference, prediabetes (PreDM)/HTN had the highest risk (hazard ratio: 7.22 [5.71–9.12]) while PreDM/normal blood pressure also showed a significant risk (5.58 [4.41–7.05]). Furthermore, risk of PreDM/HTN was higher than PreDM/normal blood pressure (P<0.05). For incident HTN, normal glucose tolerance/prehypertension was a strong predictor (3.28 [2.91–3.69]); however, addition of PreDM or T2DM did not increase the risk. For incident CKD, every category that included HTN and/or T2DM showed significant risk; this risk was marginally significant for the PreDM/HTN group (1.19 [0.98–1.43], P=0.06). In addition, PreDM/ normal blood pressure was a marginally significant risk factor for incident HTN while normal glucose tolerance/prehypertension was a significant predictor of T2DM.

Conclusions

Presence of HTN was associated with increased risk of T2DM among the PreDM population; however, dysglycemia did not increase the risk of HTN among individuals with prehypertension. For incident CKD, intensive management of HTN and T2DM, rather than their predisease states, should be considered.

Hypertension is an independent risk factor for type 2 diabetes: the Korean genome and epidemiology study

Hypertension and diabetes share common risk factors and frequently co-occur. Although high blood pressure (BP) was reported as a significant predictor of type 2 diabetes, little is known about this association in Korea. This study investigated the relationship of prehypertension and hypertension with type 2 diabetes in 7150 middle-aged Koreans, as well as the effect of BP control on diabetes development over 8 years. At 8 years, 1049 (14.7%) of the 7150 participants had newly developed diabetes, including 11.2, 16.7 and 21.5% of baseline normotensive, prehypertensive and hypertensive subjects, respectively. The overall incidence rate of diabetes was 22.3 events per 1000 person-years. Subjects with baseline prehypertension (hazard ratio (HR), 1.27; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.09-1.48) and hypertension (HR 1.51; 95% CI, 1.29-1.76) were at higher risk of diabetes than normotensive subjects after controlling for potential confounders (P-value for trend <0.001). These associations persisted even when subjects were stratified by baseline glucose status, sex and body mass index (BMI). The risk of diabetes was significantly higher in subjects who had normal BP at baseline and progressed to prehypertention or hypertension at 8 years (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.20-1.83) than those with controlled BP, but these associations were not observed in subjects with baseline prehypertension and hypertension. These findings showed that prehypertension and hypertension are significantly associated with the development of diabetes, independent of baseline glucose status, sex and BMI. Active BP control reduced incident diabetes only in normotensive individuals, suggesting the need for early BP management.