Herpes zoster surveillance using electronic databases in the Valencian Community (Spain)

Background incidence rates of health outcomes in populations at risk for Lyme disease using US administrative claims data

BACKGROUND

Background incidence rates (IRs) of health outcomes in Lyme disease endemic regions are useful to contextualize events reported during Lyme disease vaccine clinical trials or post-marketing. The objective of this study was to estimate and compare IRs of health outcomes in Lyme disease endemic versus non-endemic regions in the US during pre-COVID and COVID era timeframes.

METHODS

IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus commercial claims database was used to estimate IRs of 64 outcomes relevant to vaccine safety monitoring in the US during January 1, 2017-December 31, 2019 and January 1, 2020-December 31, 2021. Analyses included all individuals aged ≥ 2 years with ≥ 1 year of continuous enrollment. Outcomes were defined by International Classification of Diseases Clinical Modification, 10th Revision (ICD-10-CM) diagnosis codes. IRs and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each outcome and compared between endemic vs. non-endemic regions, and pre-COVID vs. COVID era using IR ratios (IRR).

RESULTS

The study population included 8.7 million (M) in endemic and 27.8 M in non-endemic regions. Mean age and sex were similar in endemic and non-endemic regions. In both study periods, the IRs were statistically higher in endemic regions for anaphylaxis, meningoencephalitis, myocarditis/pericarditis, and rash (including erythema migrans) as compared with non-endemic regions. Conversely, significantly lower IRs were observed in endemic regions for acute kidney injury, disseminated intravascular coagulation, heart failure, myelitis, myopathies, and systemic lupus erythematosus in both study periods. Most outcomes were statistically less frequent during the COVID-era.

CONCLUSION

This study identified potential differences between Lyme endemic and non-endemic regions of the US in background IRs of health conditions during pre-COVID and COVID era timeframes to inform Lyme disease vaccine safety monitoring. These regional and temporal differences in background IRs should be considered when contextualizing possible safety signals in clinical trials and post-marketing of a vaccine targeted at Lyme disease prevention.

Hospitalization Burden Related to Herpes Zoster Infection in Spain (2016-2019)

INTRODUCTION

Herpes zoster (HZ) and its complications still represent a significant burden for patients and health care systems. In Spain, vaccination is progressively being introduced and recommended for patients between 65 and 80 years old and patients > 18 years of age suffering from certain immunosuppression conditions. The aim of this study is to estimate the number of hospital admissions related to HZ from 2016 to 2019 in Spain.

METHODS

Data were collected from the Minimum Basic DataSet (MBDS) and codified according to the Spanish version of the 10th International Classification of Disease (ICD-10-CM codes B02-B02.9). Among others, variables such as sex, age and presence of complications were included.

RESULTS

A total of 27,642 hospitalizations were identified (90% in patients > 50 and 45.8% in patients > 80). Women represented 51.2% of the patients, and 59.9% of patients presented complications related to HZ. The hospitalization rate was 17.74, the mortality rate was 1.2, and the case fatality rate was 6.75%. All rates were significantly higher with age, among men and in complicated HZ. Immunosuppression status for which vaccination had been recommended represented 22.7% of the total cases, affecting mostly individuals > 65 and causing more deaths in those > 80 years. The estimated annual cost of hospitalization for herpes zoster was €35,738,285, and the mean cost per patient was €5172.

CONCLUSION

The hospitalization burden for HZ is still important in Spain. Data on the current epidemiology are important to evaluate future vaccination strategies.

Human papillomavirus vaccines effectiveness to prevent genital warts: A population-based study using health system integrated databases, 2009-2017

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effectiveness of the HPV vaccines in preventing genital warts (GW) in women aged 14-23 years and to estimate the incidence of GW in the whole population aged from 14 to 65.

DESIGN

Population-based retrospective cohort study using real-world data from the Valencia health system Integrated Databases (VID).

STUDY POPULATION

All subjects aged 14-65 years residing in the Valencia Region during 2009-2017 (n = 4,492,724), including a cohort of 563,240 females aged 14-23 years followed-up for the vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimations.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incident cases of GW defined as the first activation of GW-related codes (ICD-9-CM 078.11 or ICD-10-CM A63.0) in hospital, primary and specialized care during the study period. Adjusted VE was estimated as (1-Relative Risk (RR)) × 100 by a negative binomial Bayesian model.

RESULTS

There were 23,049 cases of GW in the overall population and 2,565 in the females' cohort 14-23 years old. The incidence rate (IR) (in 100,000 persons-year) was 69.1 (95% CI 68.21-69.99) in the population overall, being higher in men (72.73; 95% CI 71.45-74.04). The IR of GW was 104.08 (95% CI 100.79-108.94) in the cohort of young women. The RR of GW increased with age from 14 to 21 years, reaching a plateau from 21 to 23. The VE of a complete schedule was 74% (95% CrI 68-79) for quadrivalent HPV vaccine (HPV4v). No effectiveness was seen with a full vaccination course with the bivalent HPV vaccine (HPV2v) in girls up to 21 years old. GW IR tends to be higher in unvaccinated cohorts covered by HPV4v vaccine than in unvaccinated cohorts not covered by HPV4v vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS

A complete HPV4v vaccination schedule was 74% effective in reducing GW in our population. Our results also suggest an indirect protection to unvaccinated and HPV2v vaccinated girls.

Validation of algorithms using International Classification of Diseases for the identification of herpes zoster episodes requiring hospitalization in Quebec, Canada

OBJECTIVE

We determined secular changes in the incidence of hospitalizations due to herpes zoster (HZh) and assessed the validity of HZ International Classification of Diseases (ICD) code algorithms for identifying HZh in a region of Quebec, Canada.

METHODS

We performed a validation study as part of a retrospective cohort study of adult HZ patients hospitalized at Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke during 2000-2017. Cases were identified using ICD codes from an inpatient administrative database. HZ cases identified by ICD-9 (053.xx) and ICD-10 (B02.x) codes were chart-confirmed, and performance characteristics of ICD code algorithms were calculated (positive predictive value [PPV] and sensitivity).

RESULTS

Overall, 1314 hospitalizations with HZ diagnosis (HZh) with or without complications were identified during 2000-2017. Among the hospitalizations, 526 (44.4%) were due to active HZ disease or a complication related to a recent or previous HZ episode. These hospitalizations were due to active disease at the time of admission (340/526, 64.6%), HZ that developed during hospitalization (120/526, 22.8%), or a complication directly related to a recent or previous HZ episode (66/526, 12.6%). PPV was significantly higher when HZ was the primary diagnosis (276/310, 89%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 85-92%) than when HZ was a secondary diagnosis (254/928, 27%, 95% CI: 25-30%) (p < 0.0001), and the PPV of a first secondary diagnosis (84/140, 60.0%, 95% CI: 51.3-68.2%) was higher than that of other secondary diagnoses (203/794, 25.6%, 95% CI: 22.6-28.8%) (p < 0.0001). An algorithm combining ICD codes and antiviral usage demonstrated the best sensitivity (86.3%, 95% CI: 83.1-89.1%) and PPV to identify HZh (100%, 95% CI: 99.2-100%). Poisson regression revealed no significant changes in HZh over time (incidence rate ratio: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.92-1.04%; p = 0.5).

CONCLUSION

HZh incidence was stable over time. Prescription of antivirals might be a useful addition to ICD codes to identify HZh cases from administrative databases.

A systematic literature review of herpes zoster incidence worldwide

We conducted a systematic review to characterize the incidence rate of herpes zoster (HZ) in the general population, specifically in individuals ≥50 years of age. A total of 69 publications were included in the review. We found a cumulative incidence of HZ ranging from 2.9–19.5 cases per 1,000 population and an incidence rate of HZ ranging from 5.23–10.9 cases per 1,000 person-years. The cumulative incidence (3.22–11.2 versus 2.44–8.0 cases per 1,000 population) and incidence rates (6.05–12.8 versus 4.30–8.5 cases per 1,000 person-years) were higher in females than males. Studies revealed a trend of increasing incidence of HZ with increasing age and over time. Variations in incidence estimates can be attributed to the various study designs, case ascertainments, age distributions of the population and year of the study. HZ is associated with a substantial disease burden and is expected to increase due to population aging.

Economic Burden and Impact on Quality of Life of Herpes Zoster in Spanish Adults Aged 50 Years or Older: A Prospective Cohort Study

Introduction

The economic burden of herpes zoster (HZ), including its most common complication, postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), and its impact on health-related quality of life (HRQL) is not well described in Spain. The aim of this study was to estimate HZ-related healthcare costs and impact on HRQL in Spanish adults aged 50 years or older.

Methods

A prospective, observational study was performed with patients with HZ recruited through four general practitioner networks in Spain (NCT01521286). HRQL data were collected using the EuroQoL-5 Dimension (EQ-5D) questionnaire; HZ-related pain and associated interference with activities of daily living (ADL) were assessed using the Zoster Brief Pain Inventory (ZBPI) questionnaire at days 0 (HZ rash onset), 15, 30, 60, and 90; patients with PHN were assessed up until day 270. Medical resource utilization was recorded throughout study follow-up. Work loss for patients/caregivers was also assessed. Costs were calculated from both the payer and societal perspectives.

Results

A total of 545 patients with Hz were included, of whom 25 developed PHN. During days 0–30 post HZ diagnosis, the mean EQ-5D utility score was 0.738, equating to a utility loss of 0.138. Sleep was the ADL most affected component. The mean costs for HZ in the overall cohort were €240 and €296 from the payer/societal perspective, respectively; €187/€242 for patients with HZ without any HZ-related complications; and €571/€712 for patients who developed PHN. The majority of costs were incurred during days 0–30.

Conclusions

In Spain, HZ and HZ-related complications such as PHN reduce patient HRQL and increase the economic burden for both payers and society in general.

Trail Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01521286.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-021-01717-7.

Herpes zoster risk and burden of disease in immunocompromised populations: a population-based study using health system integrated databases, 2009-2014

Background

Estimate the incidence of herpes zoster (HZ), its complications and healthcare utilization rates in adults (≥ 18-years-old) with a wide range of immunocompromised (IC) conditions compared to IC-free cohort.

Method

A population-based retrospective study using the Valencia healthcare Integrated Databases (VID) (2009–2014). HZ and IC were defined using ICD-9 codes in primary care (PC) and hospitalization registers. Incidence rates (IR), risk of HZ, HZ-recurrence, HZ-complications and healthcare utilization rates were estimated in the IC-cohort compared to IC-free.

Results

The study population consisted of 4,382,590 subjects, of which 578,873 were IC (13%). IR (in 1000 persons-year) of HZ overall, in IC and in IC-free cohort was 5.02, 9.15 and 4.65, respectively. IR of HZ increased with age in both cohorts and it was higher for all IC conditions studied, reaching up to twelvefold in subjects with stem cell transplantation. IC subjects had 51% higher risk of developing HZ, 25% higher HZ-recurrence and the risk of HZ-complications was 2.37 times higher than in IC-free. HZ-related healthcare utilization was higher in the IC-cohort than in IC-free (number of hospitalizations 2.93 times greater, hospital stays 12% longer, 66% more HZ-specialist visits, 2% more PC visits, sick leaves 18% longer and 20% higher antiviral dispensation).

Conclusions

Patients suffering from all the IC conditions studied are at higher risk of developing HZ, HZ-recurrence and post-herpetic complications, which implies a substantial morbidity and a high consumption of resources. These results should be considered for vaccine policy implementation.

Spatio-temporal impact of self-financed rotavirus vaccination on rotavirus and acute gastroenteritis hospitalisations in the Valencia region, Spain

BACKGROUND

Several studies have shown a substantial impact of Rotavirus (RV) vaccination on the burden of RV and all-cause acute gastroenteritis (AGE). However, the results of most impact studies could be confused by a dynamic and complex space-time process. Therefore, there is a need to analyse the impact of RV vaccination on RV and AGE hospitalisations in a space-time framework to detect geographical-time patterns while avoiding the potential confusion caused by population inequalities in the impact estimations.

METHODS

A retrospective population-based study using real-world data from the Valencia Region was performed among children aged less than 3 years old in the period 2005-2016. A Bayesian spatio-temporal model was constructed to analyse RV and AGE hospitalisations and to estimate the vaccination impact measured in averted hospitalisations.

RESULTS

We found important spatio-temporal patterns in RV and AGE hospitalisations, RV vaccination coverage and in their associated adverted hospitalisations. Overall, ~ 1866 hospital admissions for RV were averted by RV vaccination during 2007-2016. Despite the low-medium vaccine coverage (~ 50%) in 2015-2016, relevant 36 and 20% reductions were estimated in RV and AGE hospitalisations respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of the RV vaccines has substantially reduced the number of RV hospitalisations, averting ~ 1866 admissions during 2007-2016 which were space and time dependent. This study improves the methodologies commonly used to estimate the RV vaccine impact and their interpretation.

Epidemiology of schizophrenia and its management over 8-years period using real-world data in Spain

BACKGROUND

Real-World Data (RWD) studies provide important insights in disease epidemiology, in real clinical populations, with long follow-up periods. The aim of the present study was to describe the epidemiology of schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SD) during an 8-year period in Spain.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of subjects aged 15 to 64 years was followed-up using electronic healthcare databases of the Valencia region (2008-2015). SD cases included outpatient and inpatient settings (ICD 9 codes 295.XX). Prevalence of SD was assessed. Incidence rate (IR) in the subpopulation aged between 15 and 34 years was also provided. Healthcare utilization (HCU) rates, including outpatient, specialists, hospitalizations and antipsychotic dispensations were estimated.

RESULTS

The cohort included 3,976,071 subjects; 24,749 of them had a prevalent diagnosis of SD. The overall prevalence for SD was 6.2 per 1000 persons. SD were 76% more prevalent in men than women. IR in the subpopulation aged between 15 and 34 years was 50.25 per 100,000 persons years and was more than 2 times higher for men than for women. 83.4% of the overall outpatient visits from the cohort of patients were related to SD. The 21,095 overall hospitalizations with the SD code resulted in 286,139 days of hospitalization, with a median of 4 days (IQR: 1.6-9.2) per person-year. 93.2% of subjects diagnosed with SD were ever treated with some antipsychotic drug during the study period, and 70% of the patients were ever treated with antipsychotic polypharmacy.

CONCLUSIONS

This large population-based study using RWD provides novel and recent information SD in a southern European country. The prevalence and IR of SD showed is greater than previously published and higher in men than in women. The fact of having used a large arsenal of electronic data (including outpatient and inpatient) for 8 years may have influenced. SD represents high burden and healthcare utilization. Contrary to guidelines recommendations the majority of patients were ever treated with antipsychotic polypharmacy.

Risk Factors for Herpes Zoster Infection: A Meta-Analysis

Background

The burden of herpes zoster (HZ) is significant worldwide, with millions affected and the incidence rising. Current literature has identified some risk factors for this disease; however, there is yet to be a comprehensive study that pools all evidence to provide estimates of risk. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify various risk factors, excluding immunosuppressive medication, that may predispose an individual to developing HZ.

Methods

The literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central, yielding case control, cohort, and cross-sectional studies that were pooled from January 1966 to September 2017. Search terms included the following: zoster OR herpe* OR postherpe* OR shingle* AND risk OR immunosupp* OR stress OR trauma OR gender OR ethnicity OR race OR age OR diabetes OR asthma OR chronic obstructive pulmonary disease OR diabetes. Risk ratios (RRs) for key risk factors were calculated via natural logarithms and pooled using random-effects modeling.

Results

From a total of 4417 identified studies, 88 were included in analysis (N = 3, 768 691 HZ cases). Immunosuppression through human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (RR = 3.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.40–4.33) or malignancy (RR = 2.17; 95% CI, 1.86–2.53) significantly increased the risk of HZ compared with controls. Family history was also associated with a greater risk (RR = 2.48; 95% CI, 1.70–3.60), followed by physical trauma (RR = 2.01; 95% CI, 1.39–2.91) and older age (RR = 1.65; 95% CI, 1.37–1.97). A slightly smaller risk was seen those with psychological stress, females, and comorbidities such as diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, cardiovascular diseases, renal disease, systemic lupus erythematosus, and inflammatory bowel disease compared with controls (RR range, 2.08–1.23). We found that black race had lower rates of HZ development (RR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.56–0.85).

Conclusions

This study demonstrated a number of risk factors for development of HZ infection. However, many of these characteristics are known well in advance by the patient and clinician and may be used to guide discussions with patients for prevention by vaccination.

Systematic review of the evidence on the epidemiology of herpes zoster: incidence in the general population and specific subpopulations in Spain

OBJECTIVES

Herpes zoster (HZ) is an important cause of morbidity around the world, especially among the adult population aged >50 years.

STUDY DESIGN

A systematic review of the literature (up to October 31, 2016) was performed to identify available evidence on incidence of HZ in the general population and in a specific subpopulation in Spain.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase databases were searched, combining the following search terms: 'herpes zoster', 'diabetes mellitus (DM)', 'chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)', 'chronic heart failure', 'mental disorders' and 'immunocompromised'. Supplements for local scientific congresses, non-indexed Spanish journals and official epidemiological reports, potentially HZ related, were also manually searched. The inclusion criteria were the following: English or Spanish publications reporting incidence of HZ in the Spanish general population and/or specific subpopulations. No restrictions were applied on the study design or population age.

RESULTS

Among 269 references retrieved (48 PubMed, 148 Embase and 73 manual searching), 34 were finally included. Incidence of HZ in the general population ranged from 2.1 to 5.5/1000 person-years. HZ incidence ranged from 9.4 to 15.3/1000 patients with DM and from 11.0 to 11.4/1000 population with COPD or cardiovascular disease. In asthmatic patients, 6.9 HZ cases/1000 subjects were reported. The highest HZ incidence (1.3-400.0/1000 person-years) was in immunocompromised persons (10.0/1000 patients with cancer, 12.5/1000 patients with AIDS, from 5.0 to 240.0/1000 transplanted patients and from 6.6 to 27.0/1000 population with rheumatic diseases). Three studies estimated an increased risk of HZ in comparison with general population, for patients with DM (24%), COPD (39%) and COPD receiving inhaled corticosteroids (61%).

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest a high risk of HZ in certain age groups and specific subpopulations. This study could contribute to identify target age populations and at-risk groups if implementation of HZ vaccination programmes in Spain would be considered.

Impact of postherpetic neuralgia: A six year population-based analysis on people aged 50 years or older

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the incidence and burden of postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) and to investigate risk factors for PHN in the Valencia Region of Spain.

METHODS

Data were extracted from population and healthcare databases from the Valencia Region (2009-2014). Herpes zoster (HZ) and PHN were defined using ICD-9 codes and drug prescriptions in people aged ≥50 years. The risk of HZ patients for developing PHN and potential risk factors (diabetes mellitus, COPD and heart failure) were investigated. A survival analysis was developed to estimate the cumulative hazard of developing HZ and PHN between ages 50-90 years.

RESULTS

From a total of 2,289,485 subjects, 87,086 cases of HZ were registered, 13,658 (15.7%) of whom developed PHN. PHN risk was higher in women and increased sharply with age and comorbidities as diabetes mellitus, COPD and heart failure. The cumulative risk of developing HZ between ages 50-90 years was 31.7% (95% CI: 31.3-32.1) and 6.9 (95% CI: 6.7-7.1) for PHN.

CONCLUSIONS

PHN risk was higher in women and increased with age and comorbidities. At least 32% and 7% of people will develop HZ and PHN, respectively, between ages 50-90 years. These results should be considered for vaccine policy implementation.

Risk and impact of herpes zoster among COPD patients: a population-based study, 2009-2014

Background

The objective of this study was to assess the incidence of Herpes Zoster (HZ) among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and the impact of HZ on the underlying COPD.

Methods

A retrospective cohort of all subjects older than 49 years was followed up between 2009 and 2014 using population and health databases of Valencia Region (Spain). HZ and COPD were identified using ICD-9 codes, differentiating COPD patients with inhaled corticosteroids prescriptions (COPD-ICS). The incidence of HZ was compared among 3 groups [non-COPD, COPD and COPD-ICS populations] and use of healthcare resource due to HZ for 6 months following HZ diagnosis through different statistical generalized linear models (GLM). We also compared resources consumption due to COPD before and after HZ.

Results

The cohort consisted of 2,289,485 subjects, including 161,317 COPD patients of which 29,708 were COPD-ICS. HZ incidence rates were 11 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.7–11.4) and 13 (95% CI: 12.3–13.8) cases/1000 persons-year for COPD and COPD-ICS populations respectively. Incidence increased with age in all groups. The risk of HZ rose by 45 and 61% among COPD and COPD-ICS patients respectively compared to non-COPD (95% credible intervals [CrI]: 1.41–1.5 and 1.52–1.71 respectively). COPD patients consumed more resources due to their HZ than non-COPD. There was no statistically significant impact of the HZ on the resources consumed due to COPD during the 6 months post-HZ compared to the 6 months pre-HZ.

Conclusions

The presence of COPD increases the risk, severity and impact of zoster episodes.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3121-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Lack of impact of rotavirus vaccines on seizure-related hospitalizations in children under 5 years old in Spain

INTRODUCTION

Up to date the impact of rotavirus (RV) vaccines on seizures has been poorly evaluated, with some studies but not all, showing different degrees of protection.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the impact of RV vaccines on convulsions-related hospitalizations among children under 5 years of age residing in the Region of Valencia, Spain.

METHODS

A population-based, ecological study using the hospital discharge record (MBDS), the population-based administrative database (SIP) and the vaccine register (SIV), among Valencia Region's children <5 years old, during 2003 - 2015. Impact of vaccination on seizures-related hospitalization rates (780.3* ICD-9-MC code) was estimated by a multivariate Bayesian mixed Poisson regression model.

RESULTS

Since RV vaccines licensure in 2007, its coverage rate increased up to around 42%. When the impact of vaccination against seizures was controlled for potential confounders in the multivariate analysis, there was a non-statistically significant protective effect.

CONCLUSIONS

We could not find any impact of RV vaccine coverage on seizure-related hospitalizations in children <5 years.

Letter to the editor regarding "The role of age-sex interaction in the development of post-herpetic neuralgia"

The objective of the study was to evaluate the role of age and sex and their combined effect in the development of post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) in a large population-based study, in order to confirm the results published previously by Amicizia et al. Data were extracted from population and healthcare databases from the Valencia Region (2009-2014). Logistic regressions were implemented to estimate the effect of increasing age on the probability of developing PHN stratified by sex. From a cohort of 2,289,485 subjects ≥ 50 years, 87,086 cases of HZ were registered and 13,658 (15.7%) of them developed PHN. In our population, PHN cases were more common in women and rose with increasing age independently of the sex.

Does herpes zoster predispose to giant cell arteritis: a geo-epidemiologic study

Purpose

Giant cell arteritis (GCA) is the most common systemic vasculitis in the elderly and can cause irreversible blindness and aortitis. Varicella zoster (VZ), which is potentially preventable by vaccination, has been proposed as a possible immune trigger for GCA, but this is controversial. The incidence of GCA varies widely by country. If VZ virus contributes to the immunopathogenesis of GCA we hypothesized that nations with increased incidence of GCA would also have increased incidence of herpes zoster (HZ). We conducted an ecologic analysis to determine the relationship between the incidence of HZ and GCA in different countries.

Methods

A literature search for the incidence rates (IRs) of GCA and HZ from different countries was conducted. Correlation and linear regression was performed comparing the disease IR of each country for subjects 50 years of age or older.

Results

We found the IR for GCA and HZ from 14 countries. Comparing the IRs for GCA and HZ in 50-year-olds, the Pearson product-moment correlation (r) was −0.51, with linear regression coefficient (β) −2.92 (95% CI −5.41, −0.43; p=0.025) using robust standard errors. Comparing the IRs for GCA and HZ in 70-year-olds, r was −0.40, with β −1.78, which was not statistically significant (95% CI −4.10, 0.53; p=0.12).

Conclusion

Although this geo-epidemiologic study has potential for aggregation and selection biases, there was no positive biologic gradient between the incidence of clinically evident HZ and GCA.

Risk Factors for Herpes Zoster: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review studies examining risk factors for herpes zoster (HZ).

METHODS

We performed a literature search using PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science for articles published from January 1, 2003, to February 1, 2017. A random-effects model was used to summarize the risk ratio (RR) or odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI.

RESULTS

Of the 3450 studies screened, we included 84 studies in the systematic review and conducted meta-analysis in 62 studies. Women were at increased risk of HZ compared with men (pooled adjusted RR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.27-1.34). Black individuals had almost half the risk of HZ as white individuals (pooled RR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.47-0.63). Family history was found to be a risk factor for HZ (pooled OR, 3.59; 95% CI, 2.39-5.40). Autoimmune diseases, including rheumatoid arthritis (pooled RR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.41-1.98) and systemic lupus erythematosus (pooled RR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.40-3.15), were associated with an elevated risk of HZ. Other comorbidities were associated with an increased risk of HZ, with the pooled RRs ranging from 1.25 (95% CI, 1.13-1.39) for asthma to 1.30 (95% CI, 1.17-1.45) for diabetes mellitus and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.22-1.41) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

CONCLUSION

Our review revealed that female sex, race/ethnicity, family history, and comorbidities are risk factors for HZ. Efforts are needed to increase the uptake of zoster vaccination.

Risk and impact of herpes zoster on patients with diabetes: A population-based study, 2009-2014

AIMS

This study was designed to assess the impact of diabetes on the risk and severity of herpes zoster (HZ), and the impact of HZ on diabetes. It focused primarily on immunocompetent patients aged ≥ 50 years who would be eligible for preventive vaccination.

METHODS

Using population and healthcare databases of Valencia Region (Spain), a retrospective cohort of all subjects ≥ 50 years was followed up between 2009 and 2014. HZ and diabetes were defined using ICD-9 codes. We compared the incidence of HZ between non-diabetes and diabetes groups and healthcare resource consumption due to HZ in the 6 months following HZ diagnosis using different statistical generalized linear models (GLM). We also compared resources consumption due to diabetes treatment and haemoglobinA1c(HbA1c) levels before and after HZ.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 2,289,485 individuals ≥ 50 years old, 397,940 of whom had diabetes. HZ incidence rate was 9.3 cases/1000 persons with diabetes-year (95% CI: 9.1-9.4). Incidence increased with age in all groups. The risk of HZ increased in the diabetes group compared to the non-diabetes group (RR 1.2, 95% credibility interval [CrI] 1.17-1.22). Patients with diabetes utilized more health care resources due to their HZ episodes than patients without diabetes. In 24% of well controlled patients with diabetes (HbA1C levels ≤ 6.5%), HbA1C increased after HZ.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes increased by 20% the risk of HZ. HZ contributed to the deterioration of glycaemic control and higher healthcare resource consumption in people with diabetes, becoming a priority population for HZ immunization.

Temporal trends in herpes zoster-related hospitalizations in Italy, 2001-2013: differences between regions that have or have not implemented varicella vaccination

BACKGROUND

Herpes zoster (HZ) has a relevant impact on the population in terms of incidence and complications.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to estimate the HZ-related hospitalization rates in Italy in the period 2001-2013, and to evaluate the trend of hospitalizations in the course of time pointing out any differences between regions that have or have not introduced universal childhood varicella immunization (UVI).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on hospital discharge records contained in the national database of the Ministry of Health for the period January 2001-December 2013. The comparison of hospitalization rates of "pilot" versus "not pilot" regions was performed taking into account as "pilot" regions the three that first introduced UVI (Sicily, Veneto, and Apulia). The average annual percentage change in hospitalization rates was used to highlight any significant change in time trends.

RESULTS

In the period 2001-2013, 93,808 HZ-related hospitalizations were registered altogether. Complicated HZ was diagnosed in 53.2% of cases; a relevant part (32.5%) of hospitalizations involved subjects with at least one co-morbidity. In the three Italian "pilot" regions, a greater decrease of HZ-related hospitalization rates occurred in comparison to other regions.

DISCUSSION

A good understanding of the epidemiology of HZ disease is required to assess the overall impact of the varicella immunization programs and to establish the most appropriate health strategies against HZ.

CONCLUSIONS

The data obtained confirm the epidemiological impact of HZ and its complications and the need of a preventive approach.

Effectiveness of HPV vaccines against genital warts in women from Valencia, Spain

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effectiveness of the HPV vaccines in preventing genital warts in young women.

DESIGN

Population-based study using health databases.

SETTING

Valencian Community (Spain).

PARTICIPANTS

All girls and women aged 14-19years who were registered in the Valencian Community between January 2009 and December 2014 (n=279,787).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incident cases of genital warts were defined as the first activation of diagnosis code ICD-9-CM 078.11 (Condyloma acuminatum) in primary care and outpatient clinics during the study period.

RESULTS

There were 612 cases of genital warts. The overall incidence rate was 75.8/100,000 person-years (95% CrI 69.7-81.8). There was a decrease in genital warts when female candidates to be vaccinated with quadrivalent HPV vaccine reached the age of 18 (in 2012), compared to previous years. Incidence of genital warts in unvaccinated women and those who received the bivalent vaccine was higher than in girls and women who received the quadrivalent HPV vaccine. The effectiveness of a three-dose regimen of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine was 77% (95 CrI: 66-85%), whereas that of a single dose was 61% (95 CrI: 20-87%). No effectiveness was seen with a full vaccination course with the bivalent HPV vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS

Three doses of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine were effective against genital warts in our population. Moreover, with low vaccine coverage the incidence of genital warts decreased only in the vaccinated.

Long-term impact of self-financed rotavirus vaccines on rotavirus-associated hospitalizations and costs in the Valencia Region, Spain

Background

Rotavirus vaccines are available in Spain from 2007. They are recommended by the Spanish Pediatric Association, but not funded by the National Health System (NHS) and its coverage rate reached 40-50%. The hospitalization rate reduction of rotavirus caused gastroenteritis (RVAGE) directly attributable to vaccination remains unclear due to the large differences described in published studies, ranging from 14 to 44.5% in children <5 years of age, even with similar vaccination coverage. These results could be partly explained by variability in hospitalization policies, different study designs and the timeframe of observation. In addition, the direct economic impact of the reduction of hospitalizations has never been estimated. Therefore, there is a need to analyze the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccines on RVAGE and all cause gastroenteritis (AGE) hospitalizations and the national health system associated costs, minimizing potential confounders or biases.

Methods

A population-based, ecological study using the hospital discharge registry’s Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) and the vaccine register (SIV) was performed, among Valencia Region’s children <5 years old, during 2002 - 2015. RVAGE and AGE hospitalization risk was analyzed by vaccine coverage and adjusted by the total hospitalization rate for all causes to avoid external biases. The impact of AGE-associated health care utilization in prevaccine (2003–2006) versus postvaccine (2008–2014) years was also assessed.

Results

After vaccines licensure, the incidence of RVAGE-associated hospitalizations decreased markedly. A general vaccine coverage-related reduction in RVAGE or AGE-hospitalizations risk was observed in all age groups. Compared with unvaccinated children, RVAGE hospitalization risk decreased by 67% (95% CI: 55-67), 71% (95% CI: 58-81) and 68% (95% CI: 18-92) in children 0, 1 and 4 years of age, respectively, with a vaccination coverage between 40 and 42%. Overall, the hospital related costs were reduced around EUR 6 Mill per 10⁵ children in 7 years.

Conclusions

Despite the low-medium vaccine coverage, the introduction of rotavirus vaccines had a specific coverage-related response impact in the hospitalizations for RVAGE and AGE in children <5 years and their use substantially reduced hospital related costs. The model used reassures that the estimated impact is due to the vaccination and not to other external factors.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-017-2380-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Rotavirus, vaccine failure or diagnostic error?

Immunochromatography (ICG) is highly used in clinical settings for rotavirus (RV) diagnosis. The specificity of the tests differs by brand type and is not 100%, therefore its use when the prevalence of the disease is low (i.e. in vaccinated children) may result in a proportion of false positive diagnoses. In some areas, vaccine effectiveness studies or surveillance is done using ICG. Our objective was to estimate the validity of ICG test in vaccinated children, and estimate the number of false positive results in the Valencian Region of Spain, where all RV infections are diagnosed using ICG and are not confirmed by PCR. Population based registries were used to identify all results from the RV antigen tests performed between January 2008 and June 2012 in children under 37months. Hospitalization and vaccination status of the patients were obtained by linking different databases through a unique identification number. The Positive Predictive Value of the ICG test depending on the vaccination status of the child, hospitalization and the rotavirus season was estimated by a Bayesian model of latent classes. Of the 48,833 tests with valid results, 9429 were done in vaccinated children, and of those 3963 (42%) during the rotavirus season. The prevalence of positive results in vaccinated varied from 2.9 to 21.4% of the tests depending on the hospitalization and seasonality. The estimated PPV also varied from 27.1 to 84.6% when stratified by these two parameters. Globally it is calculated that approximately 267 out of the 520 (51.3%) positives in vaccinated children were false positive tests. The large percentage of false positives, due to an excessive number of tests in vaccinated and out of the RV season, if interpreted as vaccine failures, can cause a loss of confidence in the vaccine and lower the estimates of vaccine effectiveness.

The use of Zostavax in Spain: the economic case for vaccination of individuals aged 50 years and older

Background Population aging brings up a number of health issues, one of which is an increased incidence of herpes zoster (HZ) and its complication, post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN). Zostavax vaccine has recently become available to prevent HZ and PHN. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of vaccination against HZ in Spain considering a vaccination of the population aged 50 years and older and comparing this to the current situation where no vaccination is being administered. Methods An existing, validated, and published economic model was adapted to Spain using relevant local input parameters and costs from 2013. Results Vaccinating 30% of the Spanish population aged 50 years and older resulted in €16,577/QALY gained, €2025/HZ case avoided, and €5594/PHN case avoided under the third-party payer perspective. From a societal perspective, the ICERs increased by 6%, due to the higher price of the vaccine. The number needed to vaccinate to prevent one case was 20 for HZ, and 63 for PHN3. Sensitivity analyses showed that the model was most sensitive to the HZ and PHN epidemiological data, the health state utilities values, and vaccine price used. Conclusion Considering an acceptable range of cost-effectiveness of €30,000-€50,000 per QALY gained, vaccination of the 50+ population in Spain against HZ with a new vaccine, Zostavax, is cost-effective and makes good use of the valuable healthcare budget.

Positive Predictive Value of ICD-9 Code for Herpes Zoster Among Children During the Varicella Vaccine Era

We examined the positive predictive value of the herpes zoster ICD-9 diagnosis code 053 in the Kaiser Permanente Northwest integrated health plan. Among children 0-17 years old, the positive predictive value was 87.1% (95% confidence interval: 84.2-89.6) and 96.8% (95% confidence interval: 95.0-98.1) during the years 1997-2002 and 2005-2009, respectively, using chart review of the medical record as the diagnostic standard.

Population-based Analysis of Bronchiolitis Epidemiology in Valencia, Spain

BACKGROUND

There is a lack of European epidemiologic population-based studies on bronchiolitis and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) bronchiolitis including both hospitalizations and primary care attendance.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of all children born between 2009 and 2012 was followed from birth to 2 years of age using population and health databases. We searched for global bronchiolitis (International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, Clinical Modification codes 466.1, 466.11 and 466.19) and RSV bronchiolitis (code 466.11 and code 466.19 with positive RSV test) in the first appearance either in primary care or in hospitalization databases. A preterm subcohort (International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, Clinical Modification codes 765) was also analyzed.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 198,223 children of whom 41,479 were diagnosed of bronchiolitis (incidence rate 16.4/100 children <2 years per year). Of those, 5390 were hospitalized with the majority of hospitalizations occurring at <6 months of age (incidence rate of 5.2/100 children <6 months per year) and 3106 of the hospitalizations were RSV positive (incidence rate 3.2/100 children <6 months per year). RSV hospitalizations were 26% longer than non-RSV. In preterm infants, hospitalization incidence was more than double, and the mean length of hospitalization was 29% longer.

CONCLUSIONS

Most (87%) bronchiolitis cases are managed in primary care offices. Approximately 2 out of every 10 children <2 are diagnosed of bronchiolitis, 3 out of every 100 are hospitalized and 1.6 out of every 100 are hospitalized with RSV bronchiolitis in our cohort. Infants between 2 and 10 weeks constitute a risk group for severe bronchiolitis.

Annual incidence rates of herpes zoster among an immunocompetent population in the United States

BACKGROUND

Herpes zoster (HZ), also known as shingles, is a painful and commonly occurring condition in the United States. In spite of a universally recommended vaccine for use in immunocompetent adults aged 60 years and older, HZ continues to impact the American public, and a better understanding of its current incidence is needed. The objective of the current study is to estimate the overall and age- and gender-specific incidence rates (IRs) of HZ among an immunocompetent US population in 2011 following availability of a vaccine.

METHODS

Claims data from the Truven Health MarketScan® Research databases between 01/01/2011 and 12/31/2011 were extracted. Immunocompetent adult patients, enrolled as of January 1, 2011 were analyzed. The denominator was defined as eligible subjects who were immunocompetent, had no evidence of zoster vaccination, and no diagnosis of HZ (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis code 053.xx) in the 90 days prior to January 1, 2011. Subjects contributed person-days to the denominator until the occurrence of one of the following events: end of continuous enrollment in the database, a claim for zoster vaccination, diagnosis of HZ or end of the observation period (December 31, 2011). The numerator was defined as enrollees within the denominator file exhibiting evidence of HZ. Annual IRs were calculated for the entire population in the database as well as by gender and age group; standardized IRs were also produced using the 2010 US Census data.

RESULTS

The overall annual IR of HZ across all ages was 4.47 per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.44-4.50) which monotonically increased with age from 0.86 (95% CI: 0.84-0.88) for those aged ≤ 19 to 12.78 (95% CI: 12.49-13.07) for patients ≥ 80 years. The IR was 8.46 (95% CI: 8.39-8.52) among adults ≥ 50 years and 10.46 (95% CI: 10.35-10.56) among those aged ≥ 60 years. Women compared to men had higher HZ incidence (5.25, 95% CI: 5.21-5.29 vs. 3.66, 95% CI: 3.62-3.69) and this was seen across all age groups. When adjusted for age and gender using 2010 US Census data, the annual IR was 4.63 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 4.61-4.66).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the availability of a vaccine, HZ remains common among immunocompetent adults in the US with incidence rates of HZ observed to increase with age and be higher in women than men.

Incidences of Herpes Zoster and Postherpetic Neuralgia in Japanese Adults Aged 50 Years and Older From a Community-based Prospective Cohort Study: The SHEZ Study

BACKGROUND

Many cross-sectional studies have examined the incidences of herpes zoster (HZ) and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), but prospective studies in Japanese older adults are lacking. Therefore, we conducted a community-based prospective cohort study to determine the incidence in Japanese adults aged ≥50 years.

METHODS

We recruited 12 522 participants from Shozu County, Kagawa Prefecture, between December 2008 and November 2009 and followed participants for 3 years. When a subject presented with symptoms suggestive of HZ, they were examined at collaborating medical institutions and cooperated with onset and recovery surveys (eg, measurement of varicella zoster virus-specific immunity and a pain survey). The hazard ratios (HRs) of HZ and PHN according to sex and age were analyzed by Cox regression analysis with a significance level of 5%.

RESULTS

The incidence of HZ was 10.9/1000 person-years (men: 8.5/1000 person-years; women: 12.8/1000 person-years) and was significantly higher in women than in men (HR 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-1.8). The incidence of PHN was 2.1/1000 person-years (men: 1.7/1000 person-years; women: 2.4/1000 person-years), with no significant sex differences. A total of 19% of HZ cases progressed to PHN; no sex-specific difference in the proportion of PHN cases was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

We clarified the accurate incidences of HZ and PHN in a population of Japanese older adults. These incidences increased with age. HZ incidence was higher in women than in men, while PHN incidence did not differ markedly between the sexes.

The humanistic, economic and societal burden of herpes zoster in Europe: a critical review

BACKGROUND

Herpes zoster (HZ) or "shingles" is common in persons aged 50 years or over. HZ is characterised by a painful dermatological rash which typically resolves in approximately one month. Persistent pain for months or years after rash onset, however, is a common complication of HZ; referred to as post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN). Both HZ and PHN have a significant impact on patients' lives, with considerable implications for healthcare systems and wider society. The aim of the present review is to provide comprehensive documentation and critical appraisal of published data concerning the humanistic, economic and societal burden of HZ in Europe.

METHODS

Systematic literature searches were conducted in Medline, EMBASE, PsycINFO, EconLit, HEED and CRD databases. Searches were conducted in July 2014 and restricted to articles published in the past 20 years. Articles were selected for full review by two independent researchers in accordance with predefined eligibility criteria.

RESULTS

From a review of 1619 abstracts, 53 eligible articles, were identified which reported data concerning healthcare resource use (n = 38), direct costs (n = 20), indirect costs (n = 16), total costs (n = 10) and impact on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) (n = 21). Findings highlight that PHN is associated with greater impairments in HRQoL and higher costs of management than HZ. For both HZ and PHN, pain severity is a significant predictor of impact on individuals, healthcare systems and society. While the incidence of HZ and PHN increase with age, age does not appear to be a key driver of overall costs for HZ and PHN. Specifically, while direct costs (e.g. GP, specialists, medications, hospitalisations) tend to be higher for older patients, indirect costs (e.g. work time missed) are higher for younger patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Available evidence highlights that HZ and PHN result in significant humanistic and economic burden for patients, healthcare systems and wider societies. A tendency to focus upon healthcare resource use and the direct costs of management at the expense of other impacts (e.g. informal caregivers and formal social care) may result in an underestimation of the true burden of HZ and PHN.

Herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia in Catalonia (Spain)

The objective of the study was to analyze the descriptive epidemiology and costs of herpes zoster (HZ) and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) in people aged ≥50 years in Catalonia (Spain). The incidence of HZ in Catalonia was estimated by extrapolating the incidence data from Navarre (Spain) to the population of Catalonia. The incidence of PHN was estimated according to the proportion of cases of HZ in the case series of the Hospital del Sagrado Corazón de Barcelona that evolved to PHN. Drug costs were obtained directly from the prescriptions included in the medical record (according to official prices published by the General Council of the College of Pharmacists). The cost of care was obtained by applying the tariffs of the Catalan Health Institute to the number of outpatient visits and the number and duration of hospital admissions. The estimated annual incidence of HZ was 31 763, of which 21 532 (67.79%) were in patients aged ≥50 years. The respective figures for PHN were 3194 and 3085 (96.59) per annum, respectively. The mean cost per patient was markedly higher in cases of PHN (916.66 euros per patient) than in cases of HZ alone (301.52 euros per patient). The cost increased with age in both groups of patients. The estimated total annual cost of HZ and its complications in Catalonia was € 9.31 million, of which 6.54 corresponded to HZ and 2.77 to PHN. This is the first Spanish study of the disease burden of HZ in which epidemiological data and costs were collected directly from medical records. The estimated incidence of HZ is probably similar to the real incidence. In contrast, the incidence of PHN may be an underestimate, as around 25% of patients in Catalonia attend private clinics financed by insurance companies. It is also probable that the costs may be an underestimate as the costs derived from the prodromal phase were not included. In Catalonia, HZ and PHN cause an important disease burden (21 532 cases of HZ and 3085 de PHN with an annual cost of € 9.31 million) in people aged ≥50 years, in whom vaccination is indicated.

Systematic review of incidence and complications of herpes zoster: towards a global perspective

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to characterise the incidence rates of herpes zoster (HZ), also known as shingles, and risk of complications across the world.

DESIGN

We systematically reviewed studies examining the incidence rates of HZ, temporal trends of HZ, the risk of complications including postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) and HZ-associated hospitalisation and mortality rates in the general population. The literature search was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE and the WHO library up to December 2013.

RESULTS

We included 130 studies conducted in 26 countries. The incidence rate of HZ ranged between 3 and 5/1000 person-years in North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific, based on studies using prospective surveillance, electronic medical record data or administrative data with medical record review. A temporal increase in the incidence of HZ was reported in the past several decades across seven countries, often occurring before the introduction of varicella vaccination programmes. The risk of developing PHN varied from 5% to more than 30%, depending on the type of study design, age distribution of study populations and definition. More than 30% of patients with PHN experienced persistent pain for more than 1 year. The risk of recurrence of HZ ranged from 1% to 6%, with long-term follow-up studies showing higher risk (5-6%). Hospitalisation rates ranged from 2 to 25/100 000 person-years, with higher rates among elderly populations.

CONCLUSIONS

HZ is a significant global health burden that is expected to increase as the population ages. Future research with rigorous methods is important.

Sociodemographic characteristics and chronic medical conditions as risk factors for herpes zoster: a population-based study from primary care in Madrid (Spain)

The objectives of this study were to estimate incidence density rates (IDR) of herpes zoster (HZ) and to analyze the association with sociodemographic characteristics and selected chronic medical conditions. The study cohort consisted of the adult population included in the Public Health System of the Autonomous Community of Madrid, Spain on 1/10/2009 (5 244 402 persons). Data source were electronic medical records from primary care between 1/10/2009-31/12/2012. Individual socioeconomic status (SES) was inferred by geocoding. Poisson regression analyses were stratified by sex, to identify factors associated with HZ. We identified 81 541 incident cases of HZ (61.7% in women and 46.5% in the group aged 60 and over). IDR was 4.11 per 1000 person-years in men and 5.95 in women. IDR were higher with age, in autochthonous population, those with lower SES and in patients with immunodeficiencies. After adjustment, higher incidence rate ratios were found with age, autochthonous origin, lower SES, and in patients with HIV-infection/AIDS (3.20, CI95% 2.90-3.53 in men and 2.98, CI95% 2.58-3.45 in women), and other immunodeficiencies (1.57, CI95% 1.41-1.75 and 1.65, CI95% 1.50-1.80). COPD, asthma, DM, ischemic heart disease, other cardiovascular diseases, and cancer were also associated with an increased incidence of HZ. We conclude that older, autochthonous patients with lower SES and with certain underlying medical conditions had a higher probability of suffering HZ. Electronic databases are useful for estimating the incidence of HZ, and for finding associations with sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. Identifying unrecognized risk factors for HZ, such as asthma or cardiovascular diseases, is crucial to interpret the epidemiology of HZ, to target vaccination programs and to monitor their effect.