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Are we ready to treat hepatitis C virus in individuals with opioid use disorder: assessment of readiness in European countries on the basis of an expert-generated model. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 29:1206-1214. [PMID: 28914697 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000000962] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Individuals with a history of injecting drugs have a high prevalence of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) infection. Many have a history of opioid use disorder (OUD). Despite novel treatments with improved efficacy and tolerability, treatment is limited in the group. A faculty of experts shared insights from clinical practice to develop an HCV care-readiness model. Evidence and expert knowledge was collected. Ten experts developed a model of three factors (with measures): 'healthcare engagement', 'guidance' and 'place'. Overall, 40-90% of individuals with OUD engage with drug treatment services. Ten of 12 HCV guidelines provided specific advice for the OUD population. Ten of 12 OUD care guidelines provided useful HCV care advice. In 11 of 12 cases, location of HCV/drug treatment care was in different places. This readiness assessment shows that there are important limitations to successful HCV care in OUD. Specific actions should be taken: maintain/increase access to OUD treatment services/opioid agonist therapy, updating HCV guidance, locate care in the same place and allow wider prescribing of anti HCV medicines.
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de Bruijn W, Ibáñez C, Frisk P, Bak Pedersen H, Alkan A, Vella Bonanno P, Brkičić LS, Bucsics A, Dedet G, Eriksen J, Fadare JO, Fürst J, Gallego G, Godói IP, Guerra Júnior AA, Gürsöz H, Jan S, Jones J, Joppi R, Kerman S, Laius O, Madzikwa N, Magnússon E, Maticic M, Markovic-Pekovic V, Massele A, Ogunleye O, O'Leary A, Piessnegger J, Sermet C, Simoens S, Tiroyakgosi C, Truter I, Thyberg M, Tomekova K, Wladysiuk M, Vandoros S, Vural EH, Zara C, Godman B. Introduction and Utilization of High Priced HCV Medicines across Europe; Implications for the Future. Front Pharmacol 2016; 7:197. [PMID: 27516740 PMCID: PMC4964878 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2016.00197] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2016] [Accepted: 06/21/2016] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Infection with the Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) is a widespread transmittable disease with a diagnosed prevalence of 2.0%. Fortunately, it is now curable in most patients. Sales of medicines to treat HCV infection grew 2.7% per year between 2004 and 2011, enhanced by the launch of the protease inhibitors (PIs) boceprevir (BCV) and telaprevir (TVR) in addition to ribavirin and pegylated interferon (pegIFN). Costs will continue to rise with new treatments including sofosbuvir, which now include interferon free regimens. OBJECTIVE Assess the uptake of BCV and TVR across Europe from a health authority perspective to offer future guidance on dealing with new high cost medicines. METHODS Cross-sectional descriptive study of medicines to treat HCV (pegIFN, ribavirin, BCV and TVR) among European countries from 2008 to 2013. Utilization measured in defined daily doses (DDDs)/1000 patients/quarter (DIQs) and expenditure in Euros/DDD. Health authority activities to influence treatments categorized using the 4E methodology (Education, Engineering, Economics and Enforcement). RESULTS Similar uptake of BCV and TVR among European countries and regions, ranging from 0.5 DIQ in Denmark, Netherlands and Slovenia to 1.5 DIQ in Tayside and Catalonia in 2013. However, different utilization of the new PIs vs. ribavirin indicates differences in dual vs. triple therapy, which is down to factors including physician preference and genotypes. Reimbursed prices for BCV and TVR were comparable across countries. CONCLUSION There was reasonable consistency in the utilization of BCV and TVR among European countries in comparison with other high priced medicines. This may reflect the social demand to limit the transmission of HCV. However, the situation is changing with new curative medicines for HCV genotype 1 (GT1) with potentially an appreciable budget impact. These concerns have resulted in different prices across countries, with their impact on budgets and patient outcomes monitored in the future to provide additional guidance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Winnie de Bruijn
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Utrecht UniversityUtrecht, Netherlands
| | - Cristina Ibáñez
- Catalan Health Service - Servei Català de la SalutBarcelona, Spain
| | - Pia Frisk
- Public Health Services Committee, Stockholm County CouncilStockholm, Sweden
| | - Hanne Bak Pedersen
- Health Technologies and Pharmaceuticals, Division of Health Systems and Public Health, WHO Regional Office for EuropeCopenhagen, Denmark
| | - Ali Alkan
- Turkish Medicines and Medical Devices Agency, Ministry of HealthAnkara, Turkey
| | | | | | - Anna Bucsics
- Department of Finance, University of ViennaVienna, Austria
| | | | - Jaran Eriksen
- Division of Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital HuddingeStockholm, Sweden
| | - Joseph O. Fadare
- Department of Pharmacology, Ekiti State UniversityAdo-Ekiti, Nigeria
| | - Jurij Fürst
- Health Insurance InstituteLjubljana, Slovenia
| | - Gisselle Gallego
- School of Medicine, The University of Notre Dame AustraliaDarlinghurst, NSW, Australia
- Department of Pharmacology and Clinical Neuroscience, Umea UniversityUmea, Sweden
| | - Isabella P. Godói
- School of Pharmacy, Graduate Program in Medicines and Pharmaceutical Assistance, Federal University of Minas GeraisBelo Horizonte, Brazil
- Department of Social Pharmacy, SUS Collaborating Centre – Health Technology Assessment and Excellence in Health, College of Pharmacy, Federal University of Minas GeraisBelo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Augusto A. Guerra Júnior
- School of Pharmacy, Graduate Program in Medicines and Pharmaceutical Assistance, Federal University of Minas GeraisBelo Horizonte, Brazil
- Department of Social Pharmacy, SUS Collaborating Centre – Health Technology Assessment and Excellence in Health, College of Pharmacy, Federal University of Minas GeraisBelo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Hakkı Gürsöz
- Turkish Medicines and Medical Devices Agency, Ministry of HealthAnkara, Turkey
| | - Saira Jan
- Clinical Pharmacy, Rutgers State University of New JerseyPiscataway, NJ, USA
- Horizon Blue Cross Blue Shield of New JerseyNewark, NJ, USA
| | - Jan Jones
- Scottish Medicines ConsortiumGlasgow, UK
| | - Roberta Joppi
- Pharmaceutical Drug Department, Azienda Sanitaria Locale of VeronaVerona, Italy
| | - Saim Kerman
- Turkish Medicines and Medical Devices Agency, Ministry of HealthAnkara, Turkey
| | - Ott Laius
- State Agency of MedicinesTartu, Estonia
| | | | - Einar Magnússon
- Department of Health Services, Ministry of HealthReykjavík, Iceland
| | - Mojca Maticic
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre LjubljanaLjubljana, Slovenia
| | - Vanda Markovic-Pekovic
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Banja LukaBanja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Ministry of Health and Social WelfareBanja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina
| | - Amos Massele
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of BotswanaGaborone, Botswana
| | - Olayinka Ogunleye
- Clinical Pharmacology Unit, Department of Medicine, Lagos State University Teaching HospitalLagos, Nigeria
- Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, Lagos State University College of MedicineLagos, Nigeria
| | | | - Jutta Piessnegger
- Hauptverband der Österreichischen SozialversicherungsträgerWien, Austria
| | | | - Steven Simoens
- Department of Pharmaceutical and Pharmacological Sciences, KU LeuvenLeuven, Belgium
| | | | - Ilse Truter
- Drug Utilisation Research Unit, Faculty of Health Sciences, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan UniversityPort Elizabeth, South Africa
| | - Magnus Thyberg
- Stockholms Läns Landsting, Hälso-och SjukvårdsförvaltningenStockholm, Sweden
| | | | | | - Sotiris Vandoros
- School of Management and Business, King's College LondonLondon, UK
| | - Elif H. Vural
- Turkish Medicines and Medical Devices Agency, Ministry of HealthAnkara, Turkey
| | - Corinne Zara
- Catalan Health Service - Servei Català de la SalutBarcelona, Spain
| | - Brian Godman
- Division of Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital HuddingeStockholm, Sweden
- Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of StrathclydeGlasgow, UK
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3
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Dillon JF, Lazarus JV, Razavi HA. Urgent action to fight hepatitis C in people who inject drugs in Europe. HEPATOLOGY, MEDICINE AND POLICY 2016; 1:2. [PMID: 30288305 PMCID: PMC5918492 DOI: 10.1186/s41124-016-0011-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2016] [Accepted: 06/20/2016] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leading cause of liver cirrhosis and liver cancer, is curable in most people. Injecting drug use currently accounts for 80 % of new HCV infections with a known transmission route in the European Union (EU). HCV has generally received little attention from the public or policymakers in the EU, with major gaps in national-level strategies, action plans, guidelines and the evidence base. Specifically, people who inject drugs (PWID) are often excluded from treatment owing to various patient, healthcare provider and health system factors. All policymakers responsible for health services in EU countries should ensure that prevention, treatment, care and support interventions addressing HCV in PWID are developed and implemented. According to current best practice, PWID should have access to comprehensive, evidence-based multiprofessional harm reduction (especially opioid substitution therapy and clean needles and syringes) and support/care services based in the community and modified with community involvement to accommodate this hard-to-reach population. Other recommended components of care include vaccination against hepatitis B and other infections; peer support interventions; HIV testing, prevention and treatment; drug and alcohol services; psychological care as needed; and social support services. HCV testing should be performed regularly in PWID to identify infected persons and engage them in care. HCV-infected PWID should be considered for antiviral treatment (based on an individualised assessment and delivered within multidisciplinary care/support programmes) both to cure infected individuals and prevent onward transmission. Modelling data suggest that the HCV disease burden can only be cut substantially if antiviral treatment is scaled up together with prevention programmes. Measures should be taken to reduce stigma and discrimination against PWID at the provider and institutional levels. In conclusion, strategic action at the policy level is urgently needed to increase access to HCV prevention, testing and treatment among PWID, the group at highest risk of HCV infection. Such action has the potential to substantially reduce the number of infected persons, along with the disease burden and related care costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- John F. Dillon
- Division of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital, Dundee, UK
| | - Jeffrey V. Lazarus
- Centre for Health and Infectious Disease Research (CHIP) and WHO Collaborating Centre on HIV and Viral Hepatitis, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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4
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Sibley A, Han KH, Abourached A, Lesmana LA, Makara M, Jafri W, Salupere R, Assiri AM, Goldis A, Abaalkhail F, Abbas Z, Abdou A, Al Braiki F, Al Hosani F, Al Jaberi K, Al Khatry M, Al Mulla MA, Al Quraishi H, Al Rifai A, Al Serkal Y, Alam A, Alavian SM, Alashgar HI, Alawadhi S, Al-Dabal L, Aldins P, Alfaleh FZ, Alghamdi AS, Al-Hakeem R, Aljumah AA, Almessabi A, Alqutub AN, Alswat KA, Altraif I, Alzaabi M, Andrea N, Babatin MA, Baqir A, Barakat MT, Bergmann OM, Bizri AR, Blach S, Chaudhry A, Choi MS, Diab T, Djauzi S, El Hassan ES, El Khoury S, Estes C, Fakhry S, Farooqi JI, Fridjonsdottir H, Gani RA, Ghafoor Khan A, Gheorghe L, Gottfredsson M, Gregorcic S, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hamid S, Hasan I, Hashim A, Horvath G, Hunyady B, Husni R, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Karlsdottir B, Kim DY, Kim YS, Koutoubi Z, Liakina V, Lim YS, Löve A, Maimets M, Malekzadeh R, Matičič M, Memon MS, Merat S, Mokhbat JE, Mourad FH, Muljono DH, Nawaz A, Nugrahini N, Olafsson S, Priohutomo S, Qureshi H, Rassam P, Razavi H, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Rozentale B, Sadik M, Saeed K, Salamat A, Sanai FM, Sanityoso Sulaiman A, Sayegh RA, Sharara AI, Siddiq M, Siddiqui AM, Sigmundsdottir G, Sigurdardottir B, Speiciene D, Sulaiman A, Sultan MA, Taha M, Tanaka J, Tarifi H, Tayyab G, Tolmane I, Ud Din M, Umar M, Valantinas J, Videčnik-Zorman J, Yaghi C, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf MA, Zuberi BF, Schmelzer JD. The present and future disease burden of hepatitis C virus infections with today's treatment paradigm - volume 3. J Viral Hepat 2015; 22 Suppl 4:21-41. [PMID: 26513446 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.12476] [Citation(s) in RCA: 57] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2015] [Accepted: 09/06/2015] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
The total number, morbidity and mortality attributed to viraemic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections change over time making it difficult to compare reported estimates from different years. Models were developed for 15 countries to quantify and characterize the viraemic population and forecast the changes in the infected population and the corresponding disease burden from 2014 to 2030. With the exception of Iceland, Iran, Latvia and Pakistan, the total number of viraemic HCV infections is expected to decline from 2014 to 2030, but the associated morbidity and mortality are expected to increase in all countries except for Japan and South Korea. In the latter two countries, mortality due to an ageing population will drive down prevalence, morbidity and mortality. On the other hand, both countries have already experienced a rapid increase in HCV-related mortality and morbidity. HCV-related morbidity and mortality are projected to increase between 2014 and 2030 in all other countries as result of an ageing HCV-infected population. Thus, although the total number of HCV countries is expected to decline in most countries studied, the associated disease burden is expected to increase. The current treatment paradigm is inadequate if large reductions in HCV-related morbidity and mortality are to be achieved.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Sibley
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - K H Han
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - A Abourached
- National Hepatitis Program, Ministry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - L A Lesmana
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia.,Digestive Disease and GI Oncology Center, Medistra Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - M Makara
- Central Outpatient Clinic, Saint Laszlo Hospital, Budapest, Hungary
| | - W Jafri
- Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - R Salupere
- Tartu University Hospital, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
| | - A M Assiri
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Goldis
- Clinic of Gastroenterology, University of Medicine 'Victor Babes', Timisoara, Romania
| | - F Abaalkhail
- Department of Liver and Small Bowel Transplantation, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Z Abbas
- Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - A Abdou
- Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE
| | - F Al Braiki
- Abu Dhabi Health Services Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - F Al Hosani
- Communicable Diseases Department, Health Authority Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - K Al Jaberi
- Health Regulation Division, Health Authority Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - M Al Khatry
- Ras Al Khaimah Hospital, Ras Al Khaimah, UAE
| | - M A Al Mulla
- Communicable Diseases Department, Health Authority Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | | | | | - Y Al Serkal
- Hospitals Sector, Ministry of Health, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - A Alam
- Shaikh Zayed Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - S M Alavian
- Baqiyatallah Research Center for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Tehran, Iran.,Middle East Liver Diseases Centre, Tehran, Tehran, Iran
| | - H I Alashgar
- Department of Medicine, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - S Alawadhi
- Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE
| | - L Al-Dabal
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE
| | - P Aldins
- Infection Control Department, Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - F Z Alfaleh
- Liver Disease Research Center, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A S Alghamdi
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Medical Specialties Department, King Fahad Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - R Al-Hakeem
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A A Aljumah
- King Abdulaziz Medical City and King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Almessabi
- Abu Dhabi Health Services Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - A N Alqutub
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Medical Specialties Department, King Fahad Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - K A Alswat
- Department of Medicine, King Saud University Liver Disease Research Center, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - I Altraif
- King Abdulaziz Medical City and King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - M Alzaabi
- Zayed Military Hospital, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - N Andrea
- Daman National Health Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - M A Babatin
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Medical Specialties Department, King Fahad Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Baqir
- Seyal Medical Centre, Multan, Pakistan
| | | | - O M Bergmann
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - A R Bizri
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - S Blach
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - A Chaudhry
- Gujranwala Liver Foundation, Siddiq Sadiq Hospital, Gujranwala, Pakistan
| | - M S Choi
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - T Diab
- Al Ain Hospital, Al Ain, UAE
| | - S Djauzi
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | | | - S El Khoury
- Gastroenterology Department, Saint George Hospital, University of Balamand, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - C Estes
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - S Fakhry
- Abu Dhabi Police, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - J I Farooqi
- Postgraduate Medical Institute, Khyber Medical University, Peshawar, Pakistan.,Government Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - H Fridjonsdottir
- Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - R A Gani
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - A Ghafoor Khan
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - L Gheorghe
- Center of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania
| | - M Gottfredsson
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - S Gregorcic
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - J Gunter
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - B Hajarizadeh
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales Australia, Sydney, NSW, Australia.,The Australian Research Centre in Sex, Health and Society, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
| | - S Hamid
- The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - I Hasan
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - A Hashim
- Liver Transplantation, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - G Horvath
- Hepatology Center of Buda, Budapest, Hungary
| | - B Hunyady
- Department of Gastroenterology, Somogy County Kaposi Mor Teaching Hospital, Kaposvar, Hungary.,First Department of Medicine, University of Pecs, Pecs, Hungary
| | - R Husni
- Lebanese American University Medical Center, Rizk Hospital, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - A Jeruma
- Department of Hepatology, Infectology Center of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,Department of Infectology and Dermatology, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - J G Jonasson
- Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.,Icelandic Cancer Registry, Reykjavik, Iceland.,The Faculty of Medicine, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - B Karlsdottir
- Division of Infectious Disease, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - D Y Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Y S Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soon Chun Hyang University Bucheon Hospital, Bucheon, Korea
| | - Z Koutoubi
- Digestive Disease Institute, Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - V Liakina
- Centre of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania.,Department of Biomechanics, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - Y S Lim
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - A Löve
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.,Department of Virology, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - M Maimets
- Tartu University Hospital, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
| | - R Malekzadeh
- Liver and Pancreatobiliary Diseases Research Center, Digestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - M Matičič
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - M S Memon
- Asian Institute of Medical Science (AIMS), Hyderabad, Sindh, Pakistan
| | - S Merat
- Liver and Pancreatobiliary Diseases Research Center, Digestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - J E Mokhbat
- Divisions of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Lebanese American University Medical Center Rizk Hospital, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - F H Mourad
- Division of Gastroenterology, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - D H Muljono
- Eijkman Institute for Molecular Biology, Jakarta, Indonesia.,Department of Hepatitis & Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - A Nawaz
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fatima Memorial Hospital College of Medicine and Dentistry, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - N Nugrahini
- Sub-Directorate for Gastrointestinal Infection, Diarrheal Diseases, and Hepatitis, Directorate of Direct Transmitted Disease Control, Disease Control & Environmental Health, Ministry of Health, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - S Olafsson
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - S Priohutomo
- Directorate of Direct Transmitted Disease Control, Disease Control & Environmental Health, Ministry of Health, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - H Qureshi
- Pakistan Medical Research Council, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - P Rassam
- Gastroenterology Department, Saint George Hospital, University of Balamand, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - H Razavi
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | | | | | - B Rozentale
- Department of Hepatology, Infectology Center of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,Department of Infectology and Dermatology, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - M Sadik
- Asian Institute of Medical Science (AIMS), Hyderabad, Sindh, Pakistan
| | - K Saeed
- Khawar Clinic, Sahiwal, Pakistan
| | - A Salamat
- Department of Gastroenterology, Military Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - F M Sanai
- Liver Disease Research Center, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Sanityoso Sulaiman
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - R A Sayegh
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, School of Medical Science, Saint Joseph University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - A I Sharara
- Division of Gastroenterology, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - M Siddiq
- Jinnah Memorial Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.,Yusra Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | | | - G Sigmundsdottir
- Centre for Health Security and Communicable Disease Control, Directorate of Health in Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - B Sigurdardottir
- Division of Infectious Disease, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - D Speiciene
- Centre of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - A Sulaiman
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia.,Klinik Hati Prof. Ali Sulaiman, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - M A Sultan
- Health Funding Department, Enaya Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - M Taha
- Department of Medicine, Tawam Hospital, Al Ain, UAE
| | - J Tanaka
- Department of Epidemiology, Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - H Tarifi
- Pharmacy Department, Tawam Hospital, Al Ain, UAE
| | - G Tayyab
- Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore General Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan.,Doctors Hospital and Medical Center, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - I Tolmane
- Department of Hepatology, Infectology Center of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,Department of Infectology and Dermatology, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - M Ud Din
- Pakistan Society of Gastroenterology, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - M Umar
- Department of Medicine, Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.,Department of Medicine, Holy Family Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - J Valantinas
- Centre of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - J Videčnik-Zorman
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - C Yaghi
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, School of Medical Science, Saint Joseph University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - E Yunihastuti
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - M A Yusuf
- Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital & Research Centre, Lahore, Pakistan
| | | | - J D Schmelzer
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
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Alfaleh FZ, Nugrahini N, Matičič M, Tolmane I, Alzaabi M, Hajarizadeh B, Valantinas J, Kim DY, Hunyady B, Abaalkhail F, Abbas Z, Abdou A, Abourached A, Al Braiki F, Al Hosani F, Al Jaberi K, Al Khatry M, Al Mulla MA, Al Quraishi H, Al Rifai A, Al Serkal Y, Alam A, Alashgar HI, Alavian SM, Alawadhi S, Al-Dabal L, Aldins P, Alghamdi AS, Al-Hakeem R, Aljumah AA, Almessabi A, Alqutub AN, Alswat KA, Altraif I, Andrea N, Assiri AM, Babatin MA, Baqir A, Barakat MT, Bergmann OM, Bizri AR, Chaudhry A, Choi MS, Diab T, Djauzi S, El Hassan ES, El Khoury S, Estes C, Fakhry S, Farooqi JI, Fridjonsdottir H, Gani RA, Ghafoor Khan A, Gheorghe L, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Gregorcic S, Gunter J, Hamid S, Han KH, Hasan I, Hashim A, Horvath G, Husni R, Jafri W, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Karlsdottir B, Kim YS, Koutoubi Z, Lesmana LA, Liakina V, Lim YS, Löve A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malekzadeh R, Memon MS, Merat S, Mokhbat JE, Mourad FH, Muljono DH, Nawaz A, Olafsson S, Priohutomo S, Qureshi H, Rassam P, Razavi H, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Rozentale B, Sadik M, Saeed K, Salamat A, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Sanityoso Sulaiman A, Sayegh RA, Schmelzer JD, Sharara AI, Sibley A, Siddiq M, Siddiqui AM, Sigmundsdottir G, Sigurdardottir B, Speiciene D, Sulaiman A, Sultan MA, Taha M, Tanaka J, Tarifi H, Tayyab G, Ud Din M, Umar M, Videčnik-Zorman J, Yaghi C, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf MA, Zuberi BF, Blach S. Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus infection disease burden - volume 3. J Viral Hepat 2015; 22 Suppl 4:42-65. [PMID: 26513447 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.12474] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2015] [Accepted: 09/06/2015] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
The hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic was forecasted through 2030 for 15 countries in Europe, the Middle East and Asia, and the relative impact of two scenarios was considered: increased treatment efficacy while holding the annual number of treated patients constant and increased treatment efficacy and an increased annual number of treated patients. Increasing levels of diagnosis and treatment, in combination with improved treatment efficacy, were critical for achieving substantial reductions in disease burden. A 90% reduction in total HCV infections within 15 years is feasible in most countries studied, but it required a coordinated effort to introduce harm reduction programmes to reduce new infections, screening to identify those already infected and treatment with high cure rate therapies. This suggests that increased capacity for screening and treatment will be critical in many countries. Birth cohort screening is a helpful tool for maximizing resources. Among European countries, the majority of patients were born between 1940 and 1985. A wider range of birth cohorts was seen in the Middle East and Asia (between 1925 and 1995).
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Affiliation(s)
- F Z Alfaleh
- Liver Disease Research Center, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - N Nugrahini
- Sub-Directorate for Gastrointestinal Infection, Diarrheal Diseases, and Hepatitis, Directorate of Direct Transmitted Disease Control, Disease Control & Environmental Health, Ministry of Health, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - M Matičič
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - I Tolmane
- Department of Hepatology, Infectology Center of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,Department of Infectology and Dermatology, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - M Alzaabi
- Zayed Military Hospital, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - B Hajarizadeh
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales Australia, Sydney, Australia.,The Australian Research Centre in Sex, Health and Society, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - J Valantinas
- Centre of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - D Y Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - B Hunyady
- Department of Gastroenterology, Somogy County Kaposi Mor Teaching Hospital, Kaposvar, Hungary.,First Department of Medicine, University of Pecs, Pecs, Hungary
| | - F Abaalkhail
- Department of Liver and Small Bowel Transplantation, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Z Abbas
- Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - A Abdou
- Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE
| | - A Abourached
- National Hepatitis Program, Ministry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - F Al Braiki
- Abu Dhabi Health Services Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - F Al Hosani
- Communicable Diseases Department, Health Authority Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - K Al Jaberi
- Health Regulation Division, Health Authority Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - M Al Khatry
- Ras Al Khaimah Hospital, Ras Al Khaimah, UAE
| | - M A Al Mulla
- Communicable Diseases Department, Health Authority Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | | | | | - Y Al Serkal
- Hospitals Sector, Ministry of Health, Al-Ain, UAE
| | - A Alam
- Shaikh Zayed Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - H I Alashgar
- Department of Medicine, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - S M Alavian
- Baqiatallah Research Center for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Baqiatallah University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.,Middle East Liver Diseases Centre, Tehran, Iran
| | - S Alawadhi
- Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE
| | - L Al-Dabal
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE
| | - P Aldins
- Infection Control Department, Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - A S Alghamdi
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Medical Specialties Department, King Fahad Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - R Al-Hakeem
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A A Aljumah
- King Abdulaziz Medical City and King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Almessabi
- Abu Dhabi Health Services Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - A N Alqutub
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Medical Specialties Department, King Fahad Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - K A Alswat
- Department of Medicine, King Saud University Liver Disease Research Center, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - I Altraif
- King Abdulaziz Medical City and King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - N Andrea
- Daman National Health Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - A M Assiri
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - M A Babatin
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Medical Specialties Department, King Fahad Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Baqir
- Seyal Medical Centre, Multan, Pakistan
| | | | - O M Bergmann
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - A R Bizri
- Faculty of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - A Chaudhry
- Gujranwala Liver Foundation, Siddiq Sadiq Hospital, Gujranwala, Pakistan
| | - M S Choi
- Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - T Diab
- Al Ain Hospital, Al Ain, UAE
| | - S Djauzi
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | | | - S El Khoury
- Gastroenterology Department, Saint George Hospital, University of Balamand, El-Koura, Lebanon
| | - C Estes
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - S Fakhry
- Abu Dhabi Police, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - J I Farooqi
- Postgraduate Medical Institute, Khyber Medical University, Peshawar, Pakistan.,Government Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - H Fridjonsdottir
- Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - R A Gani
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - A Ghafoor Khan
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - L Gheorghe
- Center of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania
| | - A Goldis
- Clinic of Gastroenterology, University of Medicine 'Victor Babes', Timisoara, Romania
| | - M Gottfredsson
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - S Gregorcic
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - J Gunter
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - S Hamid
- The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - K H Han
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - I Hasan
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - A Hashim
- Liver Transplantation, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - G Horvath
- Hepatology Center of Buda, Budapest, Hungary
| | - R Husni
- Lebanese American University Medical Center, Rizk Hospital, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - W Jafri
- Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - A Jeruma
- Department of Hepatology, Infectology Center of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,Department of Infectology and Dermatology, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - J G Jonasson
- Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.,Icelandic Cancer Registry, Reykjavik, Iceland.,The Faculty of Medicine, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - B Karlsdottir
- Division of Infectious Disease, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - Y S Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soon Chun Hyang University Bucheon Hospital, Bucheon, Korea
| | - Z Koutoubi
- Digestive Disease Institute, Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - L A Lesmana
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia.,Digestive Disease and GI Oncology Center, Medistra Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - V Liakina
- Centre of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania.,Department of Biomechanics, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - Y S Lim
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Songpa-gu, Seoul, Korea
| | - A Löve
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.,Department of Virology, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - M Maimets
- Tartu University Hospital, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
| | - M Makara
- Central Outpatient Clinic, Saint Laszlo Hospital, Budapest, Hungary
| | - R Malekzadeh
- Liver and Pancreatobiliary Diseases Research Center, Digestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - M S Memon
- Asian Institute of Medical Science (AIMS), Hyderabad, Sindh, Pakistan
| | - S Merat
- Liver and Pancreatobiliary Diseases Research Center, Digestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - J E Mokhbat
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Division of Clinical Microbiology, Lebanese American University Medical Center Rizk Hospital, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - F H Mourad
- Division of Gastroenterology, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - D H Muljono
- Eijkman Institute for Molecular Biology, Jakarta, Indonesia.,Department of Hepatitis & Emerging Infectious Diseases, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - A Nawaz
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fatima Memorial Hospital College of Medicine and Dentistry, Shadman, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - S Olafsson
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - S Priohutomo
- Directorate of Direct Transmitted Disease Control, Disease Control & Environmental Health, Ministry of Health, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - H Qureshi
- Pakistan Medical Research Council, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - P Rassam
- Gastroenterology Department, Saint George Hospital, University of Balamand, El-Koura, Lebanon
| | - H Razavi
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | | | | | - B Rozentale
- Department of Hepatology, Infectology Center of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.,Department of Infectology and Dermatology, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - M Sadik
- Asian Institute of Medical Science (AIMS), Hyderabad, Sindh, Pakistan
| | - K Saeed
- Khawar Clinic, Sahiwal, Pakistan
| | - A Salamat
- Department of Gastroenterology, Military Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - R Salupere
- Tartu University Hospital, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
| | - F M Sanai
- Liver Disease Research Center, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - A Sanityoso Sulaiman
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - R A Sayegh
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, School of Medical Science, Saint Joseph University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - J D Schmelzer
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - A I Sharara
- Division of Gastroenterology, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - A Sibley
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| | - M Siddiq
- Jinnah Memorial Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.,Yusra Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | | | - G Sigmundsdottir
- Centre for Health Security and Communicable Disease Control, Directorate of Health in Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - B Sigurdardottir
- Division of Infectious Disease, Landspitali - The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - D Speiciene
- Centre of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - A Sulaiman
- Division of Hepatobiliary, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia.,Klinik Hati Prof. Ali Sulaiman, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - M A Sultan
- Health Funding Department, Enaya Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - M Taha
- Department of Medicine, Tawam Hospital, Al Ain, UAE
| | - J Tanaka
- Department of Epidemiology, Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Hiroshima University Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - H Tarifi
- Pharmacy Department, Tawam Hospital, Al Ain, UAE
| | - G Tayyab
- Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore General Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan.,Doctors Hospital and Medical Center, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - M Ud Din
- Pakistan Society of Gastroenterology, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - M Umar
- Department of Medicine, Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.,Department of Medicine, Holy Family Hospital, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - J Videčnik-Zorman
- Clinic for Infectious Diseases and Febrile Illnesses, University Medical Centre, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - C Yaghi
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, School of Medical Science, Saint Joseph University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - E Yunihastuti
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - M A Yusuf
- Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital & Research Centre, Lahore, Pakistan
| | | | - S Blach
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA
| |
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