A changing profile of infective endocarditis at a tertiary hospital in China: a retrospective study from 2001 to 2018

ASSESS-IE: a Novel Risk Score for Patients with Infective Endocarditis

Mortality in patients with infective endocarditis (IE) remains high. The existing risk scores are relatively complex with limited clinical application. This study was conducted to establish a new risk model to predict in-hospital and 6-month mortality in IE patients. A total of 1549 adult patients with definite IE admitted to Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (n=1354) or Xiamen Cardiovascular Hospital (n=195) were included. The derivation cohort consisted of 1141 patients. The score was developed using the multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis for in-hospital death. Bootstrap analysis was used for validation. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Six risk factors were used as score parameters (1 point for each): aortic valve affected, previous valve replacement surgery, severe heart failure, elevated serum direct bilirubin, moderate-severe anemia and acute stage. The predictive value and calibration of the ASSESS-IE score for in-hospital death were excellent in the derivation (area under the curve [AUC]=0.781, p<0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow p=0.948) and validation (AUC=0.779, p<0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow p=0.520) cohorts. The score remained excellent in bootstrap validation (AUC=0.783). The discriminatory ability of the ASSESS-IE score for in-hospital (AUC: 0.781 vs. 0.799, p=0.398) and 6-month mortality (AUC: 0.778 vs. 0.814, p=0.040) were similar with that of Park's score which comprised 14 variables. The ASSESS-IE risk score is a new and robust risk-stratified tool for patients with IE, which might further facilitate clinical decision-making.

Changing trends in clinical characteristics and in-hospital mortality of patients with infective endocarditis over four decades

BACKGROUND

Infective endocarditis continues to be a significant concern and may be undergoing an epidemiological transition.

METHODS

Were studied 1804 consecutive episodes of infective endocarditis between 1978 and 2022. The mean age was 48 ( ± 19), and 1162 (64%) patients were male. Temporal trends in demographic data, comorbidities, predisposing conditions, microorganisms, complications and in-hospital death have been studied over the decades (1978-1988, 1989-1999, 2000-2010 and 2011-2022). The outcomes and clinical characteristics were modeled using nonlinear cubic spline functions.

FINDINGS

Valve surgery was performed in 50% of the patients and overall in-hospital mortality was 30%. From the first to the fourth decade studied, the average age of patients increased from 29 to 57 years (p < 0.001), with significant declines in the occurrence of rheumatic valvular heart disease (15% to 6%; p < 0.001) and streptococcal infections (46% to 33%; p < 0.001). Healthcare-associated infections have increased (9% to 21%; p < 0.001), as have prosthetic valve endocarditis (26% to 53%; p < 0.001), coagulase-negative staphylococcal infections (4% to 11%; p < 0.001), and related-complications (heart failure, embolic events, and perivalvular abscess; p < 0.001). These changes were associated with a decline in adjusted in-hospital mortality from 34% to 25% (p = 0.019).

INTERPRETATION

In the 44 years studied, there was an increase in the mean age of patients, healthcare-related, prosthetic valve, coagulase-negative staphylococci/MRSA infections, and related complications. Notably, these epidemiological changes were associated with a decline in the adjusted in-hospital mortality.

Prognostic Value of Blood Urea Nitrogen for Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Infective Endocarditis

INTRODUCTION

Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) is a metabolic product validated to be an independent risk factor in the prognosis of several diseases. However, the prognostic value of BUN in patients with infective endocarditis (IE) remains unevaluated.

METHODS

A total of 1371 patients with a diagnosis of IE were included and divided into four groups according to BUN (mmol/L) at admission: < 3.5 (n = 343), 3.5-4.8 (n = 343), 4.8-6.8 (n = 341), and ≥ 6.8 (n = 344). Restricted cubic spline was used to assess the association of BUN with in-hospital mortality. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the independent risk factors for adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

The in-hospital mortality reached 7.4%, while the 6-month mortality was 9.8%. The restricted cubic spline plot exhibited an approximately linear relationship between BUN and in-hospital mortality. Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis showed that the optimal cut-off of BUN for predicting in-hospital death was 6.8 mmol/L. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with BUN > 6.8 mmol/L had a higher 6-month mortality than other groups (log rank = 97.9, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that BUN > 6.8 mmol/L was an independent predictor indicator for both in-hospital [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.365, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.292-4.328, P = 0.005] and 6-month mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 2.171, 95% CI 1.355-3.479, P = 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

BUN is suitable for independently predicting short-term mortality in patients with IE.

Infective endocarditis in developing countries: An update

Introduction

Despite advances in diagnostic and treatment, morbidity and mortality due to infective endocarditis (IE) has not decreased. There is a discrepancy in epidemiology of IE between developed and developing countries. Over the last years, increased early detection and consequently prevalence of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) and congenital heart disease (CHD) which are considered predisposing conditions for IE, is noted. Here, we present a review of literature on IE in developing countries.

Methods

We conducted a systematic literature search of IE studies in developing countries through PubMed and Embase. We have divided the studies into two groups: studies published before 2015 (group 1) and studies ≥ 2015 (group 2). The outcome was defined as a difference in epidemiology, microbiology, treatment, and mortality over time. The Scale for Assessment of Narrative Review Articles guidelines was applied.

Findings

In total, 16 studies were included. The total number of IE cases was 1,098 and 1,505 in groups 1 and 2, respectively. We compared 4/7 cohorts from group 1 (n = 789) with 5/9 cohorts from group 2 (n = 636). Six studies were not included in the comparison because they were interacting between the two cohorts. Males predominated in all studies. Rheumatic heart disease was higher in group 1 than in group 2 (42.3% vs. 30.3%, p < 0.001) while for CHD there was no change (17.6% vs. 16.7%, p = 0.672). Streptococci infections was lower in group 1 than group 2 (26.2% vs. 37.7%, p < 0.001). The proportion of Staphylococcus aureus was 15.3% in group 1 and 23.6% in group 2, p < 0.001. Negative blood culture (NBC) was higher in group 1 than in group 2 (42.2% vs. 34.1%, p = 0.002). Patients in group 1 received more surgery than in group 2 (38.8% vs. 28.8%, p < 0.001). Mortality was similar in the two groups (20.9% vs. 22.3%, p = 0.518).

Conclusion

This review shows a scarcity of studies on IE in developing countries. Rheumatic heart disease and congenital heart disease are common predisposing conditions. Other risk factors are prosthetic valves, degenerative valve disease (DVD), intravenous drug use, and human immunodeficiency virus infection. While the proportion of IE cases caused by Streptococcus and Staphylococcus has increased, the number of NBC and patients getting surgery has decreased. Mortality has not changed over time. Timely diagnosis and management of patients with RHD and CHD and comprehensive management of IE are warranted.

Clinical Characteristics and Risk Factors for in-Hospital Mortality in 240 Cases of Infective Endocarditis in a Tertiary Hospital in China: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

This study aimed (i) to investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors related to in-hospital mortality in patients with infective endocarditis (IE) and (ii) to compare the differences in three age groups.

Methods

A total of 240 IE cases diagnosed using the modified Duke criteria between January 2016 and December 2019 were included and retrospectively studied. Patients were stratified into three age groups: < 50 y, 50–65 y, and > 65 y.

Results

The mean age of the patients was 51 ± 14 y, and 154 patients (64.2%) were male. In addition, 136 (56.7%) patients with IE had no previous cardiac disease. Congenital heart disease (CHD, 21.3%) was the most common underlying heart disease, followed by rheumatic heart disease (RHD, 8.8%). Streptococcus was found in 55 (22.9%) patients and was the most common causative pathogen, comprising 52.9% of all positive blood cultures. Echocardiography showed the presence of vegetations in 88.3% of cases and the predominant involvement of the left heart valves. Fever and cardiac murmur were the most frequent presentations, with no significant differences among age groups. Compared with younger patients, elderly patients had a lower operation rate and higher in-hospital mortality. The independent risk factors of in-hospital mortality were age > 65 y, intracranial infection, splenic embolization, cerebral hemorrhage, NYHA class III–IV, and prosthetic valve infection.

Conclusion

CHD replaces RHD as the most common underlying heart disease in IE patients. Patients without previous cardiac disease are at increased risk of IE. Streptococcus is still the primary causative pathogen of IE. Elderly patients present with more comorbidities and complications, in addition to a more severe prognosis than younger patients. Age older than 65 y, intracranial infection, splenic embolization, cerebral hemorrhage, NYHA class III–IV, and prosthetic valve infection showed poorer in-hospital outcomes.

Endocarditis-TR: Diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of the infective endocarditis patients admitting tertiary centres of Turkey

BACKGROUND

Infective endocarditis (IE) is still a significant cause of morbidity and mortality among cardiovascular diseases. ENDOCARDITIS-TR study aims to evaluate the compliance of the diagnostic and therapeutic methods being used in Turkey with current guidelines.

METHODS

The ENDOCARDITIS-TR trial is a multicentre, prospective, observational study consisting of patients admitted to tertiary centres with a definite diagnose of IE. In addition to the demographic, clinical, microbiological, and echocardiographic findings of the patients, adverse events, indications for surgery, and in-hospital mortality were recorded during a 2-year time interval.

RESULTS

A total of 208 IE patients from 7 tertiary centres in Turkey were enrolled in the study. The study population included 125 (60.1%) native valve IE (NVE), 65 (31.3%) prosthetic IE (PVIE), and 18 (8.7%) intracardiac device-related IE (CDRIE). One hundred thirty-five patients (64.9%) were culture positive, and the most frequent pathogenic agent was methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) (18.3%). Among 155 (74.5%) patients with an indication for surgery, only 87 (56.1%) patients underwent surgery. The all-cause mortality rate was 29.3% in-hospital follow-up. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that absence of surgery when indicated (HR: 3.29 95% CI: 0.93-11.64 p = 0.05), albumin level at admission (HR: 0.46 95% CI: 0.29-0.73 P < 0.01), abscess formation (HR: 2.11 95% CI: 1.01-4.38 p = 0.04) and systemic embolism (HR: 1.78 95% CI: 1.05-3.02 p = 0.03) were ascertained independent predictors of in-hospital all-cause mortality.

DISCUSSION

The short-term results of the ENDOCARDITIS-TR trial showed the high frequency of staphylococcal IE, relatively high in-hospital mortality rates, shortage of surgical treatment despite guideline-based surgical indications and low usage of novel imaging techniques. The results of this study will provide a better insight to physicians in respect to their adherence to clinical practice guidelines.

Nomogram based on neutrophil-to-platelet ratio to predict in-hospital mortality in infective endocarditis

Aim: To develop a nomogram based on neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR) to predict in-hospital mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) patients. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 294 consecutive patients classified as survivors or nonsurvivors according to hospitalization outcome. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. A nomogram based on them was established and assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: Admission NPR (odds ratio [OR] = 1.095, 95% CI: 1.037-1.156), positive blood culture (OR = 9.220; 95% CI: 1.478-57.521) and left-sided endocarditis (OR = 5.099; 95% CI: 1.104-23.553) independently predicted in-hospital mortality in IE. The area under the ROC curve for the nomogram based on these predictors was 0.832. Conclusion: The nomogram based on NPR could be used for early risk stratification of IE patients.

Preoperative false-negative transthoracic echocardiographic results in native valve infective endocarditis patients: a retrospective study from 2001 to 2018

BACKGROUND

Infective endocarditis (IE) is a lethal disease that is difficult to diagnosis early. Although echocardiography is one of the most widely used diagnostic technique, it has limited sensitivity. This study surveyed the clinical features of IE patients who underwent surgery and compared transthoracic echocardiography and histological findings to explore the factors related to false-negative echocardiographic results.

METHODS

Medical records were extracted from IE patients consecutively hospitalized between June 2001 and June 2018.

RESULTS

A total of 182 patients with native valve IE who underwent surgery were included. Compared to the non-surgery group, the surgery group was more likely to have pre-existing valvular lesions and more serious cardiac conditions and a relative lack of signs of infection and cerebrovascular events, leading to a lower proportion of "definite cases" before surgery. The false-negative rate of echocardiography was 14.5%. Echocardiography has significant disadvantages in diagnosing perivalvular abscesses, valve perforations, and left-sided endocarditis, especially for subjects with both aortic and mitral valve infections. The multivariate analysis identified congenital heart disease and small vegetations (< 10 mm) as independent predictors of false-negative echocardiography results. Conversely, fever and heart murmurs on admission served as protective factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Under some circumstances, echocardiography provides inconsistent results compared with surgical findings, and negative echocardiography results do not rule out IE. The diagnosis of IE depends on comprehensive evaluations using multiple methods.

Prosthetic heart valves and the COVID-19 pandemic era: What should we be concerned about?

BACKGROUND

The disturbance in the international normalized ratio (INR) in patients receiving warfarin therapy is of concern. We aimed to evaluate coagulation features in hospitalized patients under warfarin treatment for prosthetic heart valves during the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia pandemic.

METHODS

Between 20 February and 28 March 2020, 10 patients (7 males) who were under warfarin therapy for prosthetic heart valves were hospitalized after a diagnosis of COVID-19 in Tehran Heart Center, Tehran, Iran. The clinical, paraclinical, and in-hospital outcomes were described. The patients were followed for 4 weeks.

RESULTS

The median age was 62 years. All the patients received antiviral treatment, either lopinavir/ritonavir or oseltamivir. The serum level of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ranged between 0.24 and 15.24 mg/dL. Alanine aminotransaminase was normal in all the patients except for two, with levels 1.6 and 4.2 times above normal values. The INR increased in all the patients. One (10%) patient died in the hospital. No bleeding, ischemic, or thrombotic events occurred during the hospital stay and within the 4-week follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Antiviral therapy in patients with COVID-19 with prosthetic heart valves might be an issue responsible for an uncontrolled INR. Liver injury may happen in a minority of patients. Bridging in these patients during the antiviral treatment might be required and because of significant INR fluctuations, it might be safer to prescribe antiviral treatment in an inpatient setting.