Human monkeypox: a comparison of the characteristics of the new epidemic to the endemic disease

Global transboundary transmission path and risk of Mpox revealed with Least Cost Path model

OBJECTIVES

The recent surge of Mpox outbreaks in multiple countries has garnered global attention. As of July 12, 2023, there have been 88,288 reported cases of Mpox worldwide. Although genetic variation was not found to be the cause of the epidemic outbreak, the reasons for its rapid spread remain unclear.

METHODS

Using the niche method, this study identified high-risk regions for Mpox and determined that human factors are the primary contributors to global risks. To further investigate, a travel network resistance surface was created based on various modes of transportation and was combined with sea, airline, highway, and railway routes to construct the least cost path for human travel networks in different risk areas.

RESULTS

The results indicated that high-risk regions for Mpox are mainly concentrated in Europe and the United States, with large risk ranges and high-risk values. The least cost path revealed three primary transmission paths rely on developed transportation networks, including internal transmission in North America, Europe-Africa, and Europe-Asia-Africa. These findings suggest that human activities, facilitated by developed travel networks, remain the main contributing factor to the spread.

CONCLUSIONS

In summary, based on the Mpox epidemic report, this study conducted risk prediction and driving factor analysis on Mpox. The research results indicate that human use of transportation for long-distance activities is a key factor leading to the rapid spread of the virus. Subsequently, we focused on studying the global transmission pathways of Mpox and revealed several transmission pathways with high global population migration rates by constructing the LCPs between different high-risk areas. This study also emphasizes the importance of applying early monitoring data of Mpox to model risk prediction in controlling emerging infectious diseases, providing a new perspective for controlling Mpox and similar diseases.

Mpox in children and adolescents and contact follow-up in school settings in greater Paris, France, May 2022 to July 2023

BackgroundDuring the 2022 mpox outbreak in Europe, primarily affecting men who have sex with men, a limited number of cases among children and adolescents were identified. Paediatric cases from outbreaks in endemic countries have been associated with a higher likelihood of severe illness. Detailed clinical case descriptions and interventions in school settings before 2022 are limited.AimTo describe clinical characteristics of mpox cases among children (< 15 years) and adolescents (15-17 years) in the greater Paris area in France, and infection control measures in schools.MethodsWe describe all notified laboratory-confirmed and non-laboratory-confirmed cases among children and adolescents identified from May 2022 to July 2023, including demographic and clinical characterisation and infection control measures in school settings, i.e. contact tracing, contact vaccination, secondary attack rate and post-exposure vaccination uptake.ResultsNineteen cases were notified (13 children, 6 adolescents). Four adolescent cases reported sexual contact before symptom onset. Ten child cases were secondary cases of adult patients; three cases were cryptic, with vesicles on hands, arms and/or legs and one case additionally presented with genitoanal lesions. Five cases attended school during their infectious period, with 160 at-risk contacts identified, and one secondary case. Five at-risk contacts were vaccinated following exposure.ConclusionCases among children and adolescents are infrequent but require a careful approach to identify the source of infection and ensure infection control measures. We advocate a 'contact warning' strategy vs 'contact tracing' in order to prevent alarm and stigma. Low post-exposure vaccination rates are expected.

Epidemiology of the 2022 Mpox Outbreak in the US Veterans Health Administration

BACKGROUND

In May 2022, mpox cases were reported in nonendemic countries, including the United States. We examined mpox infections in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA).

METHODS

Mpox diagnostic and whole genome sequencing (WGS) results, demographics, risk factors, hospitalizations, exposures, deaths, and pharmacy and immunization data were obtained from VHA data sources (23 May 2022-31 May 2023).

RESULTS

Of 1144 Veterans tested, 251 (21.9%) were presumptive positive for nonvariola orthopoxvirus (NVO) or confirmed positive for NVO and Monkeypox virus (MPXV). Incidence rate was 7.5 per 100 000 Veterans in care, with the highest rate observed in Veterans aged 25-34 years (13.83 cases per 100 000). Higher odds of NVO or NVO/MPXV positivity was associated with male sex; non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity; syphilis or human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positivity; or genital/rectal sample site, whereas older age and vaccination with JYNNEOS or vaccinia (smallpox) had lower odds. Among 209 with confirmatory testing, 90.4% reported intimate contact and/or an epidemiological link, 84.5% were men who have sex with men (MSM), 24.2% received tecovirimat, and 8.1% were hospitalized with 1 death. Eighty-six sequenced samples had evaluable WGS results. All were clade IIb, representing 10 different lineages from 20 states and the District of Columbia.

CONCLUSIONS

Mpox affected younger, MSM, non-Hispanic Black, and HIV/syphilis-positive men among US Veterans. Viral diversity was noted across geographic regions. At-risk Veterans would benefit from vaccination and risk reduction strategies for mpox and other sexually transmitted infections.

Human monkeypox: An updated appraisal on epidemiology, evolution, pathogenesis, clinical manifestations, and treatment strategies

Monkeypox (Mpox) is a zoonotic viral disease caused by the monkeypox virus (MPXV), a member of the Orthopoxvirus genus. The recent occurrence of Mpox infections has become a significant global issue in recent months. Despite being an old disease with a low mortality rate, the ongoing multicountry outbreak is atypical due to its occurrence in nonendemic countries. The current review encompasses a comprehensive analysis of the literature pertaining to MPXV, with the aim of consolidating the existing data on the virus's epidemiological, biological, and clinical characteristics, as well as vaccination and treatment regimens against the virus.

A survey-based assessment of rates and covariates of mpox diagnosis and vaccination provides evidence to refine eligibility criteria for mpox vaccination among gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men in the Netherlands

Background

The 2022 multicountry mpox outbreaks predominantly affected gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) in non-endemic countries, including in the Netherlands. We conducted a survey-based assessment of the alignment between the risk factors associated with mpox diagnosis among GBMSM in the Netherlands and the eligibility criteria used in 2022 for vaccinating this group, with the aim to refine these criteria.

Methods

An online self-report survey was conducted among adult GBMSM in the Netherlands between 29 July and 30 August 2022, corresponding to the first month of the Dutch mpox vaccination campaign. GBMSM were recruited via advertisements on social media and gay dating apps. Participants reported on their sexual behaviour, mpox diagnosis, and/or (initial) mpox vaccination since the start of the outbreak. Covariables of mpox diagnosis and vaccination were assessed using logistic regression analyses.

Results

Of the 2,460 participants, 73 (3.0%, 95% CI 2.3-3.6%) were diagnosed with mpox and 485 (19.7%, 95% CI 18.1-21.3%) had received (initial) mpox vaccination. Using sample weighting, we estimated that, of the GBMSM population aged 18-80 years in the Netherlands, 1.1% (95% CI 0.7-1.6%) had been diagnosed with mpox and 7.8% (95% CI 6.8-8.9%) had received (initial) vaccination. HIV-PrEP use, living with HIV, reporting ≥20 sex partners in the past 12 months, and sex in sex venues/parties in the past 2 months were independent risk factors for mpox diagnosis. Except for sex in sex venues/parties, these variables were also independently associated with mpox vaccination.

Conclusion

This study provides novel evidence regarding the degree to which the 2022 eligibility criteria for mpox vaccination align with the risk factors for mpox among GBMSM in the Netherlands. The findings contribute to a refinement of the eligibility criteria for mpox vaccination, to which sex in sex venues/parties should be added.

Clinical, epidemiological, and virological features of Mpox in Beijing, China - May 31-June 21, 2023

The first locally acquired case in the Chinese mainland was reported on May 31, 2023, lagging behind other countries. In this study, we aimed to examine the early clinical and epidemiological characteristics of the earliest cases of Mpox in Beijing, China. Additionally, we investigated the sequence and transmission patterns of the Mpox virus (MPXV). We analyzed 37 reported cases of Mpox in Beijing from May 31, 2023 to June 21, 2023. The age range of the subjects was 24-51 years. Thirty-six cases (97.3%) were identified in men who have sex with men (MSM), and 19 cases (51.4%) tested positive for the human immunodeficiency virus. Thirty-three cases were symptomatic, while four were asymptomatic. Skin lesions were observed in 32 cases (97.0%), fever in 26 (78.8%), and swollen lymph nodes in 17 (51.5%). Rash typically appeared in the genital or perianal area 1-3 days before fever onset, with a minimum incubation period of 2 days. For individuals with skin rashes, the skin lesion samples showed 100% positivity and low Ct values. There were high oropharyngeal swab (75.8%) and blood (84.6%) positivity rates. All MPXV strains belonged to the B.1.3 branch of the West African lineage. These strains carried 76-86 nucleotide substitutions compared with the reference human MPXV genome, and genetic diversity was observed. Our findings provide the first insights into the landscape of early transmission of Mpox in Beijing and help inform policy formulation in the Chinese mainland.

Clinical Predictors of Monkeypox Diagnosis: A Case-Control Study in a Nonendemic Region during the 2022 Outbreak

Monkeypox (Mpox) is an emerging zoonotic disease with the potential for severe complications. Early identification and diagnosis are essential to prompt treatment, control its spread, and reduce the risk of human-to-human transmission. This study aimed to develop a clinical diagnostic tool and describe the clinical and sociodemographic features of 19 PCR-confirmed Mpox cases during an outbreak in a nonendemic region of northwestern Mexico. The median age of patients was 35 years, and most were male. Mpox-positive patients commonly reported symptoms such as fever, lumbago, and asthenia, in addition to experiencing painful ulcers and a high frequency of HIV infection among people living with HIV (PLWH). Two diagnostic models using logistic regression were devised, with the best model exhibiting a prediction accuracy of 0.92 (95% CI: 0.8-1), a sensitivity of 0.86, and a specificity of 0.93. The high predictive values and accuracy of the top-performing model highlight its potential to significantly improve early Mpox diagnosis and treatment in clinical settings, aiding in the control of future outbreaks.

Monkeypox presenting as a chancre-like rash: A case report

BACKGROUND

Since May 2022, outbreaks of monkeypox have occurred in many countries around the world, and several cases have been reported in China.

CASE SUMMARY

A 38-year-old man presented with a small, painless, shallow ulcer on the coronary groove for 8 d. One day after the rash appeared, the patient developed inguinal lymphadenopathy with fever. The patient had a history of male-male sexual activity and denied a recent history of travel abroad. Monkeypox virus was detected by quantitative polymerase chain reaction from the rash site and throat swab. Based on the epidemiological history, clinical manifestations and nucleic acid test results, the patient was diagnosed with monkeypox.

CONCLUSION

Monkeypox is an emerging infectious disease in China. Monkeypox presenting as a chancre-like rash is easily misdiagnosed. Diagnosis can be made based on exposure history, clinical manifestations and nucleic acid test results.

Human Monkeypox: A Comprehensive Overview of Epidemiology, Pathogenesis, Diagnosis, Treatment, and Prevention Strategies

Monkeypox virus (MPXV) is an emerging zoonotic virus that belongs to the Orthopoxvirus genus and presents clinical symptoms similar to those of smallpox, such as fever and vesicular-pustular skin lesions. However, the differential diagnosis between smallpox and monkeypox is that smallpox does not cause lymphadenopathy but monkeypox generates swelling in the lymph nodes. Since the eradication of smallpox, MPXV has been identified as the most common Orthopoxvirus to cause human disease. Despite MPXV being endemic to certain regions of Africa, the current MPXV outbreak, which began in early 2022, has spread to numerous countries worldwide, raising global concern. As of the end of May 2023, over 87,545 cases and 141 deaths have been reported, with most cases identified in non-endemic countries, primarily due to human-to-human transmission. To better understand this emerging threat, this review presents an overview of key aspects of MPXV infection, including its animal reservoirs, modes of transmission, animal models, epidemiology, clinical and immunological features, diagnosis, treatments, vaccines, and prevention strategies. The material presented here provides a comprehensive understanding of MPXV as a disease, while emphasizing the significance and unique characteristics of the 2022 outbreak. This offers valuable information that can inform future research and aid in the development of effective interventions.

Monkeypox detection using deep neural networks

BACKGROUND

In May 2022, the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region announced an atypical Monkeypox epidemic in response to reports of numerous cases in some member countries unrelated to those where the illness is endemic. This issue has raised concerns about the widespread nature of this disease around the world. The experience with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has increased awareness about pandemics among researchers and health authorities.

METHODS

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have shown promising performance in detecting COVID-19 and predicting its outcomes. As a result, researchers have begun applying similar methods to detect Monkeypox disease. In this study, we utilize a dataset comprising skin images of three diseases: Monkeypox, Chickenpox, Measles, and Normal cases. We develop seven DNN models to identify Monkeypox from these images. Two scenarios of including two classes and four classes are implemented.

RESULTS

The results show that our proposed DenseNet201-based architecture has the best performance, with Accuracy = 97.63%, F1-Score = 90.51%, and Area Under Curve (AUC) = 94.27% in two-class scenario; and Accuracy = 95.18%, F1-Score = 89.61%, AUC = 92.06% for four-class scenario. Comparing our study with previous studies with similar scenarios, shows that our proposed model demonstrates superior performance, particularly in terms of the F1-Score metric. For the sake of transparency and explainability, Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) and Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-Cam) were developed to interpret the results. These techniques aim to provide insights into the decision-making process, thereby increasing the trust of clinicians.

CONCLUSION

The DenseNet201 model outperforms the other models in terms of the confusion metrics, regardless of the scenario. One significant accomplishment of this study is the utilization of LIME and Grad-Cam to identify the affected areas and assess their significance in diagnosing diseases based on skin images. By incorporating these techniques, we enhance our understanding of the infected regions and their relevance in distinguishing Monkeypox from other similar diseases. Our proposed model can serve as a valuable auxiliary tool for diagnosing Monkeypox and distinguishing it from other related conditions.

Repurposing Amphotericin B and Its Liposomal Formulation for the Treatment of Human Mpox

Mpox (monkeypox) is a zoonotic viral disease caused by the mpox virus (MPXV). Recently in 2022, a multi-country Mpox outbreak has determined great concern as the disease rapidly spreads. The majority of cases are being noticed in European regions and are unrelated to endemic travel or known contact with infected individuals. In this outbreak, close sexual contact appears to be important for MPXV transmission, and an increasing prevalence in people with multiple sexual partners and in men who have sex with men has been observed. Although Vaccinia virus (VACV)-based vaccines have been shown to induce a cross-reactive and protective immune response against MPXV, limited data support their efficacy against the 2022 Mpox outbreak. Furthermore, there are no specific antiviral drugs for Mpox. Host-cell lipid rafts are small, highly dynamic plasma-membrane microdomains enriched in cholesterol, glycosphingolipids and phospholipids that have emerged as crucial surface-entry platforms for several viruses. We previously demonstrated that the antifungal drug Amphotericin B (AmphB) inhibits fungal, bacterial and viral infection of host cells through its capacity to sequester host-cell cholesterol and disrupt lipid raft architecture. In this context, we discuss the hypothesis that AmphB could inhibit MPXV infection of host cells through disruption of lipid rafts and eventually through redistribution of receptors/co-receptors mediating virus entry, thus representing an alternative or additional therapeutic tool for human Mpox.

Epidemiological Review on Monkeypox

The significant increase in monkeypox cases that was reported at the beginning of 2022 was notable. The resurgence of viral zoonosis is especially concerning, given the current and recent COVID-19 epidemic. There are worries that a new pandemic may be beginning due to the virus that causes monkeypox spreading so quickly. This article aimed to provide an overview of the epidemiology, pathogenesis, and clinical symptoms of monkeypox. It has been known that monkeypox was primarily prevalent in Central and West Africa, but in recent years, cases of monkeypox infections have been reported around the world. The transmission of the infection to humans has been connected to exposure to a diseased animal or person's excretions and secretions. Various studies indicate that monkeypox clinically manifests as fever, fatigue, and a rash of smallpox-like lesions and can cause various complications, including pneumonia, encephalitis, and sepsis, which, when not properly managed, can lead to death. Those living in remote and forested areas, taking care of individuals infected with monkeypox, and trading and taking care of exotic animals are some of the risk factors for monkeypox. Men having sex with men are also at higher risk of contracting monkeypox. When dealing with individuals who have high-risk factors and come with new-onset progressive rashes, it is necessary for clinicians to highly suspect monkeypox. This review will serve as reference material and a supplement to the existing literature that will assist in the proper management and prevention of monkeypox.

Potential therapeutic targets for Mpox: the evidence to date

INTRODUCTION

The global Mpox (MPX) disease outbreak caused by the Mpox virus (MPXV) in 2022 alarmed the World Health Organization (WHO) and health regulation agencies of individual countries leading to the declaration of MPX as a Public Health Emergency. Owing to the genetic similarities between smallpox-causing poxvirus and MPXV, vaccine JYNNEOS, and anti-smallpox drugs Brincidofovir and Tecovirimat were granted emergency use authorization by the United States Food and Drug Administration. The WHO also included cidofovir, NIOCH-14, and other vaccines as treatment options.

AREAS COVERED

This article covers the historical development of EUA-granted antivirals, resistance to these antivirals, and the projected impact of signature mutations on the potency of antivirals against currently circulating MPXV. Since a high prevalence of MPXV infections in individuals coinfected with HIV and MPXV, the treatment results among these individuals have been included.

EXPERT OPINION

All EUA-granted drugs have been approved for smallpox treatment. These antivirals show good potency against Mpox. However, conserved resistance mutation positions in MPXV and related poxviruses, and the signature mutations in the 2022 MPXV can potentially compromise the efficacy of the EUA-granted treatments. Therefore, MPXV-specific medications are required not only for the current but also for possible future outbreaks.