Post-therapy pathologic tumor volume predicts survival in gastric cancer patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy and gastrectomy

Development and validation of an individualized nomogram for gastric cancer patients treated with perioperative chemotherapy followed by radical surgery

Background

Prognostic factors are complicated and changeable for locally advanced gastric cancer (GC) patients. This study aimed to perform a novel prognostic model on survival for locally advanced GC patients who have received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radical surgery.

Methods

The locally advanced GC patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were included in this study from Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University. A nomogram was developed based on independent prognostic factors identified through a multivariable Cox regression model. Model performance was evaluated in training and independent external cohorts in terms of calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.

Results

A total of 273 patients received radical resections. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) for all patients were 43.8 and 61.2 months, respectively. Nomogram showed that Lauren type made the greatest contribution to prognosis, followed by ypN. The prognostic nomogram had excellent discriminative ability, with a C-index of 0.689 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.661-0.716], and an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.778, 0.746, and 0.725 for 3-, 5- and 10-year OS, respectively. Similar results were obtained in the external validation cohort. Based on the nomogram, the whole cohort was divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. And risk group classification was significantly associated with clinical characteristics, and produced an AUC value of 0.781, 0.748, and 0.727 for 3-, 5- and 10-year OS, respectively. Furthermore, compared with the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system (8th edition), Japanese criteria, and German criteria, the decision curve analysis (DCA) graphically demonstrated that the new model had more optimal net benefits in predicting the 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS for GC patients. Both C-index and time-dependent ROC curve demonstrated that the nomogram had a stronger capability for accurately predicting prognosis compared with the other staging system.

Conclusions

The nomogram model is an effective support tool to predict OS in GC patients undergoing perioperative chemotherapy followed by radical surgery.

Computed tomography-based nomogram of Siewert type II/III adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction to predict response to docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has become the standard care for advanced adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG), although a part of the patients cannot benefit from NAC. There are no models based on baseline computed tomography (CT) to predict response of Siewert type II or III AEG to NAC with docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1 (DOS).

AIM

To develop a CT-based nomogram to predict response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty-eight consecutive patients with confirmed Siewert type II/III AEG underwent CT before and after three cycles of NAC with DOS, and were randomly and consecutively assigned to the training cohort (TC) (n = 94) and the validation cohort (VC) (n = 34). Therapeutic effect was assessed by disease-control rate and progressive disease according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1) criteria. Possible prognostic factors associated with responses after DOS treatment including Siewert classification, gross tumor volume (GTV), and cT and cN stages were evaluated using pretherapeutic CT data in addition to sex and age. Univariate and multivariate analyses of CT and clinical features in the TC were performed to determine independent factors associated with response to DOS. A nomogram was established based on independent factors to predict the response. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by Concordance index (C-index), calibration and receiver operating characteristics curve in the TC and VC.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis showed that Siewert type (52/55 vs 29/39, P = 0.005), pretherapeutic cT stage (57/62 vs 24/32, P = 0.028), GTV (47.3 ± 27.4 vs 73.2 ± 54.3, P = 0.040) were significantly associated with response to DOS in the TC. Multivariate analysis of the TC also showed that the pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type were independent predictive factors related to response to DOS (odds ratio = 4.631, 1.027 and 7.639, respectively; all P < 0.05). The nomogram developed with these independent factors showed an excellent performance to predict response to DOS in the TC and VC (C-index: 0.838 and 0.824), with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.838 and 0.824, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the practical and predicted response to DOS effectively coincided.

CONCLUSION

A novel nomogram developed with pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type predicted the response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS.

Gastrectomy for Cancer: A 15-Year Analysis of Real-World Data from the University of Athens

Background and Objectives: Encouraging data have been reported from referral centers following gastrointestinal cancer surgery. Our goal was to retrospectively review patient outcomes following gastrectomy for gastric or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) cancer at a high-volume unit of the University of Athens. Methods: The enrollment period was from June 2003 to September 2018. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to identify variables independently associated with time-to-event outcomes. Results: A total of 205 patients were analyzed. R0 resection was achieved in 183 (89.3%) patients and was more likely to occur following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (p = 0.008). Recurrence developed in 46.6% of our cohort and the median disease-free survival was 31.2 months. On multivariate analysis, only staging (HR = 2.15; 95% CI: 1.06-4.36) was independently associated with increased risk of recurrence. All-cause mortality was 57.2% and the median time of death was 40.9 months. On multivariate regression, staging (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.11-1.65) and recurrence (HR: 2.87; 95% CI: 1.32-6.22) predicted inferior prognosis. Conclusions: Gastrectomy at the University of Athens has yielded favorable outcomes for patients with GEJ cancer.

Predictive Value of Preoperative Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS) After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Esophagogastric Cancer - Data From a Randomized German Phase II Trial

PURPOSE

The role of EUS before or after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (nCTX) in advanced esophagogastric cancer (EGC) is still unclear. The phase II NEOPECX trial evaluated perioperative chemotherapy with or without panitumumab in this setting. The aim of this sub-study was to investigate the prognostic value of EUS-guided preoperative staging before and after nCTX.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Preoperative yuT/yuN stages by EUS were compared with histopathological ypT/ypN stages after curative resection. Reduction in T-stage from baseline to preoperative EUS was defined as downstaging (DS+) and compared to progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients without downstaging (DS-). In addition, preoperative EUS N-stages (positive N+ or negative N-) were correlated with clinical data.

RESULTS

The preoperative yuT-stage correlated with the ypT-stage in 48% of cases (sensitivity 48%, specificity 52%), while the preoperative yuN-stage correlated with the ypN-stage in 64% (sensitivity 76%, specificity 52%). Within DS+ patients who were downstaged by ≥ 2 T-categories, a trend towards improved OS was detected (median OS DS+: not reached (NR), median OS DS-: 38.5 months (M), p=0.21). Patients with yuN+ at preoperative EUS had a worse outcome than yuN- patients (median OS yuN-: NR, median OS yuN+: 38.5 M, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

The diagnostic accuracy of EUS to predict the response after nCTX in patients with advanced EGC is limited. In the current study the endosonographic detection of lymph node metastasis after nCTX indicates a poor prognosis. In the future, preoperative EUS with sectional imaging procedures may be used to tailor treatment for patients with advanced EGC.

Lymph node ratio is a prospective prognostic indicator for locally advanced gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Background

The accuracy of lymph node ratio (LNR) as a prognostic index remains to be proven for gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). This study sought to investigate the prognostic value of LNR in locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) patients after NACT.

Methods

LAGC patients with clinical TNM stages 2–3, Her2(−), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, scores 0–2 are routinely scheduled with NACT. Patients with LAGC after NACT and surgical operation between January 2012 and October 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. The correlation between LNR and survival was investigated.

Results

Overall, 148 patients were enrolled: 103 with low-LNR (LNR ≤ 30%) and 45 with high-LNR (LNR > 30%). Approximately, 50.5% and 24.4% patients responded to NACT at the primary site in the low-LNR and high-LNR groups, respectively. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of low-LNR group were considerably better than those of high-LNR group (3-year OS: 81.9% vs 18.5%, P < 0.001; 3-year PFS: 72.6% vs 13.5%, P < 0.001). In the low-LNR group, OS and PFS were superior in patients with tumor regression grade (TRG) 0–2 than in those with TRG 3 (3-year OS: 89.2% vs 73.2%, P = 0.086; 3-year PFS: 80.3% vs 66.5%, P = 0.036). In association with OS and PFS, the degree of tumor differentiation, TRG, and LNR were identified as predictive factors, and LNR was identified as the independent prognostic factor in univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively.

Conclusions

LNR is a prospective index of prognosis in patients with LAGC after NACT.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12957-022-02725-9.

The efficacy and safety of continuous intra-arterial infusion neoadjuvant chemotherapy with surgery for locally advanced gastric cancer: a preliminary pilot study

Background

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by R0 resection is regarded as a standard treatment strategy for locally advanced gastric cancer (GC); however, the response to systemic chemotherapy remains unsatisfactory. Continuous intra-arterial infusion chemotherapy (CAIC) is a new method, compared with systematic chemotherapy, it can deliver chemotherapy drugs more accurately, so as to achieve higher surgical conversion rate. This study aimed to explore the efficacy and safety of CAIC in locally advanced GC patients.

Methods

In this retrospective pilot study, four patients with histologically confirmed locally advanced GC were identified from a tertiary hospital between May 2018 and December 2018. Clinic stage was belonged to T4N1-3M0 in all cases with potential probability for surgery. All cases received three cycles of NAC by CAIC with oxaliplatin (100 mg on day 1) plus oral S-1 (80 mg/m²/day twice daily for 14 days) (SOX). Contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) scans and pathological examinations were performed to evaluate chemotherapeutic response based on the tumor regression grade (TRG) and post-neoadjuvant pathological Tumor Node Metastasis (ypTNM) staging. All cases were regularly followed up with face-to-face interviews at outpatient, abdominal enhanced CT scan and serum tumor markers were be requested at 3-month intervals for up to 1 year postoperatively.

Results

The obstruction was significantly alleviated after three cycles of CAIC. Contrast-enhanced CT scans showed decreased tumor volume to some extent, along with lymph node shrinkage after treatment. Radical (R0) resection was achieved in all cases. Histopathological analysis showed tumor downstaging in three cases and upstaging in one case. The tumor response to treatment demonstrated TRG1a in one case, TRG1b in one case, and TRG2 in two cases, with an overall tumor regression rate of 100%. No obvious adverse events or perioperative complications were observed during or following treatment. All cases were alive without tumor recurrence or progression after the 1-year postoperative follow-up.

Conclusions

Our study may shed light on super-selective CAIC as an effective method for improving the NAC response in locally advanced GC. Future studies with a larger sample sizes and long-term outcomes are required for a final conclusion.

Effect of neoadjuvant treatment combined with radical gastrectomy on postoperative complications and prognosis of gastric cancer patients

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the occurrence of postoperative complications in and factors influencing the prognosis of patients undergoing radical gastrectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 238 patients with gastric cancer were enrolled in this study. There were 194 patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy before surgery and 44 patients who underwent concurrent radiochemotherapy before surgery. The clinical data of patients and the incidence of postoperative complications were collected. Postoperative complications were graded based on the Clavien-Dindo classification. The impact of postoperative complications on the prognosis of patients was analysed.

RESULTS

(1) The overall incidence of postoperative complications was 17.2% (41/238) among all patients. A total of 49 patients experienced postoperative complications, including 12 cases of grade I, 15 cases of grade II, seven cases of grade IIIa, three cases of grade IIIb, seven cases of grade IV, and four cases of grade V complications. A total of 21 patients experienced severe complications. Multivariate analysis indicated that age, body mass index (BMI), and scope of gastrectomy were independent risk factors for postoperative complications (p < .05). (2) The five-year survival rate for the entire group of patients was 58.4%. The five-year survival rate for the complication group and non-complication group were 31.7% and 51.7%, respectively, with a significant difference between the two groups (χ²=15.41p = .000). Based on the severity of complications, the subgroup analysis indicated that the five-year survival rate for patients with severe postoperative complications was 21.1% and that for patients with non-severe complications was 40.9%; the difference was significant (χ²=21.70, p = .000). (3) Multivariate analysis indicated that age, pathological tumour, node, and metastasis (ypTNM) stages II-III, operation time >3.5 h, total gastrectomy, and postoperative complications were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients undergoing radical gastrectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Postoperative adjuvant therapy was an independent protective factor for patient prognosis (p < .05).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of complications in patients undergoing radical gastrectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy is closely correlated with patient age and the scope of surgical resection, and the occurrence of severe complications has a significant adverse effect on patient prognosis.

Lymph Node Evaluation after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Patients with Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Adequate lymphadenectomy with at least 16 nodes retrieved at the time of gastrectomy is a quality measure recommended to ensure adequate staging. The minimum nodal retrieval recommended after receipt of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) is less defined.

METHODS

Patients with clinical stages 1 to 3 gastric adenocarcinoma who received NACT and surgical resection were identified from the 2004-2015 National Cancer Database. The optimal nodal harvest number was calculated with Cox spline regression modeling. Cohorts with a nodal harvest higher or lower than this number were 1:1 propensity score-matched. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.

RESULTS

Among 4337 patients receiving NACT, the optimal minimal nodal harvest at gastrectomy was 23 nodes. Compared with the patients who had fewer than 23 nodes retrieved, the patients with at least 23 nodes examined (n = 1073, 24.7%) were more likely to be female (26.1% vs 22%; p = 0.006) and non-white (29.3% vs 18.5%; p < 0.0001), to have a Charlson-Deyo score of 0 (71.5% vs 66.8%; p = 0.005), and to have undergone resection at an academic facility (67.9% vs 51.5%; p < 0.0001). The patients with at least 23 nodes examined had higher proportions of high-grade tumor (62% vs 57.4%; p = 0.030), pT3 or pT4 tumor (56.3% vs 48.7%; p < 0.0001), body tumor (21.3% vs 12.5%; p < 0.0001), or antrum/pylorus tumor (15.3% vs 11.4%; p < 0.0001). The patients with at least 23 nodes were more likely to have lymph node metastases identified (61% vs 51%; p < 0.0001). After matching, the patients with at least 23 nodes (n = 990) demonstrated an improved 5-year OS (57.9% vs 49%; p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of lymphadenectomy during gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma should not be reduced after NACT because adequate lymph node retrieval remains important for prognostication.

Down-staging depth score could be a survival predictor for locally advanced gastric cancer patients after preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Objective

The predictive effect of preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is low and difficult in guiding individualized treatment. We examined a surrogate endpoint for long-term outcomes in locally advanced gastric cancer patients after preoperative CRT.

Methods

From April 2012 to April 2019, 95 patients with locally advanced gastric cancer who received preoperative concurrent CRT and who were enrolled in three prospective studies were included. All patients were stage T_3/4N₊. Local control, distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated. Clinicopathological factors related to long-term prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. The down-staging depth score (DDS), which is a novel method of evaluating CRT response, was used to predict long-term outcomes.

Results

The median follow-up period for survivors was 30 months. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve predicted by the DDS was 0.728, which was better than the pathological complete response (pCR), histological response and ypN0. Decision curve analysis further affirmed that DDS had the largest net benefit. The DDS cut-off value was 4. pCR and ypN0 were associated with OS (P=0.026 and 0.049). Surgery and DDS are correlated with DMFS, DFS and OS (surgery: P=0.001, <0.001 and <0.001, respectively; and DDS: P=0.009, 0.013 and 0.032, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that DDS was an independent prognostic factor of DFS (P=0.021).

Conclusions

DDS is a simple, short-term indicator that was a better surrogate endpoint than pCR, histological response and ypN0 for DFS.