Emergency department 72-hour revisits among children with chronic diseases: a Saudi Arabian study

Lactate Levels as a Predictor of Emergency Department Revisits in Infants With Acute Bronchiolitis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify predictive biomarkers for unscheduled emergency department (ED) revisits within 24 hours of discharge in infants diagnosed with acute bronchiolitis (AB).

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was conducted on infants diagnosed with AB who visited 3 emergency medical centers between January 2020 and December 2022. The study excluded infants with comorbidities, congenital diseases, and prematurity and infants who revisited the ED after 24 hours of discharge. Demographic data, vital signs, and laboratory results were collected from the medical records. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed on factors with P of less than 0.1 in univariable analysis. Receiver operator curve analysis was used to assess the accuracy of lactate measurements in predicting ED revisits within 24 hours of discharge.

RESULTS

Out of 172 participants, 100 were in the revisit group and 72 in the discharge group. The revisit group was significantly younger and exhibited higher lactate levels, lower pH values, and higher pCO2 levels compared to the discharge group. Univariable logistic regression identified several factors associated with revisits. Multivariable analysis found that only lactate was a variable correlated with predicting ED revisits (odds ratio, 18.020; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.764-56.334). The receiver operator curve analysis showed an area under the curve of 0.856, with an optimal lactate cutoff value of 2.15.

CONCLUSION

Lactate value in infants diagnosed with AB were identified as a potential indicator of predicting unscheduled ED revisits within 24 hours of discharge. The predictive potential of lactate levels holds promise for enhancing prognosis prediction, reducing health care costs, and alleviating ED overcrowding. However, given the study's limitations, a more comprehensive prospective investigation is recommended to validate these findings.

Exploring factors influencing time from dispatch to unit availability according to the transport decision in the pre-hospital setting: an exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Efficient resource distribution is important. Despite extensive research on response timings within ambulance services, nuances of time from unit dispatch to becoming available still need to be explored. This study aimed to identify the determinants of the duration between ambulance dispatch and readiness to respond to the next case according to the patients' transport decisions.

METHODS

Time from ambulance dispatch to availability (TDA) analysis according to the patients' transport decision (Transport versus Non-Transport) was conducted using R-Studio™ for a data set of 93,712 emergency calls managed by a Middle Eastern ambulance service from January to May 2023. Log-transformed Hazard Ratios (HR) were examined across diverse parameters. A Cox regression model was utilised to determine the influence of variables on TDA. Kaplan-Meier curves discerned potential variances in the time elapsed for both cohorts based on demographics and clinical indicators. A competing risk analysis assessed the probabilities of distinct outcomes occurring.

RESULTS

The median duration of elapsed TDA was 173 min for the transported patients and 73 min for those not transported. The HR unveiled Significant associations in various demographic variables. The Kaplan-Meier curves revealed variances in TDA across different nationalities and age categories. In the competing risk analysis, the 'Not Transported' group demonstrated a higher incidence of prolonged TDA than the 'Transported' group at specified time points.

CONCLUSIONS

Exploring TDA offers a novel perspective on ambulance services' efficiency. Though promising, the findings necessitate further exploration across diverse settings, ensuring broader applicability. Future research should consider a comprehensive range of variables to fully harness the utility of this period as a metric for healthcare excellence.

Development and Internal Validation of a Multivariable Prediction Model to Predict Repeat Attendances in the Pediatric Emergency Department: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Unplanned reattendances to the pediatric emergency department (PED) occur commonly in clinical practice. Multiple factors influence the decision to return to care, and understanding risk factors may allow for better design of clinical services. We developed a clinical prediction model to predict return to the PED within 72 hours from the index visit.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all attendances to the PED of Royal Manchester Children's Hospital between 2009 and 2019. Attendances were excluded if they were admitted to hospital, aged older than 16 years or died in the PED. Variables were collected from Electronic Health Records reflecting triage codes. Data were split temporally into a training (80%) set for model development and a test (20%) set for internal validation. We developed the prediction model using LASSO penalized logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 308,573 attendances were included in the study. There were 14,276 (4.63%) returns within 72 hours of index visit. The final model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.64 (95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.65) on temporal validation. The calibration of the model was good, although with some evidence of miscalibration at the high extremes of the risk distribution. After-visit diagnoses codes reflecting a nonspecific problem ("unwell child") were more common in children who went on to reattend.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and internally validated a clinical prediction model for unplanned reattendance to the PED using routinely collected clinical data, including markers of socioeconomic deprivation. This model allows for easy identification of children at the greatest risk of return to PED.

A Comparison of Emergency Department Revisit Rates of Pediatric Patients between Pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 Periods

Unscheduled revisits to emergency departments (EDs) are important because they indicate the quality of emergency care. However, the characteristics of pediatric patients visiting EDs changed during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, and these changes may have affected their revisit patterns. Therefore, we aimed to compare the ED revisit patterns of pediatric patients between the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. This retrospective multicenter study included patients aged below 18 years who visited the ED in the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. ED revisit rates were analyzed using five age groups and three visit-revisit intervals. In the pre-COVID-19 period, the revisit rates decreased with increasing age. In the COVID-19 period, the revisit rates were the lowest for the group aged 4–6 years, and the rates increased for those aged ≥7 years. In conclusion, there were changes in the patterns of revisit rates of pediatric patients according to age between the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the reasons for revisits according to age and establish strategies to reduce the revisit rates of pediatric patients.

Pediatric Emergency Department Return Visits Within 72 Hours: Caregivers' Motives and Analysis of Ethnic and Primary Language Disparities

OBJECTIVES

In the United States, approximately 2.2% to 5% of children discharged from the emergency department (ED) return within 72 hours. There is limited literature examining caregivers' reasons for return to the ED, and none among Hispanics and Spanish-speaking caregivers. We sought to examine why caregivers of pediatric patients return to the ED within 72 hours of a prior ED visit, and assess roles of ethnicity and primary language.

METHODS

A previously validated survey was prospectively administered to caregivers returning to the ED within 72 hours of discharge at a freestanding, tertiary care, children's hospital over a 7-month period. Reasons for return to the ED, previous ED discharge processes, and events since discharge were summarized according to Hispanic ethnicity, and English or Spanish language preference, and compared using the Fisher exact test.

RESULTS

Among 499 caregiver surveys analyzed, caregivers returned mostly because of no symptom improvement (57.5%) and worsening condition (35.5%), with no statistically significant differences between Hispanic/non-Hispanic ethnicity, or English/Spanish preference. Most (85.2%) caregivers recalled reasons to return to the ED. Recall of expected duration until symptom improvement was significantly higher among Hispanic (60.4%) versus non-Hispanic (52.1%) (P = 0.003), and for Spanish- (68.9%) versus English-speaking (54.6%) (P = 0.04), caregivers.

CONCLUSIONS

Most caregivers returned to the ED because their child's condition was not better or had worsened. Ethnicity and language were not associated with variations in reasons for return. Non-Hispanic and English-speaking caregivers were less likely to recall being informed of time to improvement and may require additional intervention.

Characteristics and outcomes of patients with an unscheduled return visit within 72 hours to the Paediatric Emergency Centre at a Private Tertiary Referral Hospital in Kenya

Introduction

Patients’ unscheduled return visits (URVs) to the paediatric emergency Centre (PEC) contribute to overcrowding and affect health service delivery and overall quality of care. This study assessed the characteristics and outcomes of paediatric patients with URVs (within 72 hours) to the PEC at a private tertiary hospital in Kenya.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective chart review of all URVs within 72 hours among paediatric patients aged ≤15 years between 1 July and 31 December 2018 at the tertiary hospital in Nairobi, Kenya.

Results

During the study period, 1.6% (n=172) of patients who visited the PEC returned within 72 hours, with 4.7% revisiting the PEC more than once. Patients’ median age was 36 months (interquartile range: 42 months); over half were male (51.7%), 55.8% were ambulatory and 84.3% were insured. In addition, 21% (n=36) had chronic diseases and 7% (n=12) had drug allergies. Respiratory (59.5%) and gastrointestinal (21.5%) tract infections were the most common diagnoses. Compared with the first visit, more patients with URVs were classified as urgent (1.7% vs. 5.2%) and were non-ambulatory (44.2% vs. 49.5%, p=<0.001); 18% of these patients were admitted. Of these 58% were male, 83.9% were aged 0–5 years, 12.9% were classified as urgent, 64.5% had respiratory tract infections and 16.1% had gastrointestinal tract infections. Being admitted was associated with patient acuity (p=0.004), laboratory tests (p=<0.001) and ambulatory status (p=0.041).

Conclusion

The URV rate is low in our setting. Patients who returned to the PEC within 72 hours tended to be male, under 5 years old and insured. Many were non-urgent cases with diagnoses of respiratory and gastrointestinal tract infections. The findings suggest that some URVs were necessary and may have contributed to better care and improved outcomes while others highlight a need for effective patient education and comprehensive initial assessment.

Risk Assessment of Repeated Suicide Attempts Among Youth in Saudi Arabia

Introduction

Although the incidence of suicide attempts continues to increase among youth in Saudi Arabia, no risk assessment tool has been established for suicide attempt repetition in the country's youth population. The objective of the study was to develop risk assessment of suicide attempt repetition among youth in Saudi Arabia.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of youth (10-24 years) with intentional suicide attempt(s) who presented to the emergency departments (ED) at King Abdullah Specialist Children's Hospital (KASCH) and King Abdulaziz Medical City-Riyadh (KAMC-R), Saudi Arabia between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2017. We excluded youth having unintentional suicide attempts. Data were retrieved for the 157 eligible as having attempted suicide.

Results

Forty-one of 157 (26.1%) had repeated suicide attempts (95% confidence limits: 19.433.7%). Four independent factors were identified that were associated with an increased risk of repeated suicide attempts: age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.147, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 11.015-1.297, P=0.028), family problems (aOR = 4.218, 95% CI = 1.690-10.528, P=0.002), psychiatric disorders (aOR = 3.497, 95% CI = 1.519-8.051, P=0.003), and hospitalization (aOR = 5.143, 95% CI = 1.421-18.610, P=0.013). This risk model showed adequate utility with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC): 77.9%, 95% CI: 69.486.3% with optimism-corrected AUC = 71.8%. Youden index defined a probability of ≥0.38 to predict a high risk of repeated suicide attempts.

Conclusion

The risk of repeated suicide attempts among Saudi youth was high, compatible with what has been reported among youth in England and in France. Age, family problems, psychiatric disorders, and hospitalization are risk factors for repeated suicide attempts. A prevention program for suicide attempts in youth may take into account family problems, screening for psychiatric disorders, and suicidal behavior.

Factors influencing occurrence of peritonitis in Saudi children on peritoneal dialysis

Background

The peritonitis rate among children treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD) has not been widely reported in Saudi Arabia. The study aim was to estimate the peritonitis rate per patient-year and investigate the factors associated with higher peritonitis rates in a sample of PD children at King Abdullah Specialist Children’s Hospital-Riyadh (KASCH-R), Saudi Arabia.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 27 PD children treated between September 2007 and December 2017 at KASCH-R. We recorded the children’s demographic and clinical data, and the frequency of peritonitis.

Results

The 27 PD children reviewed (63% girls; mean age = 7.32 years old; range, 1–14 years), resulted in 86 peritonitis diagnoses in which the overall recurrence rate (in at least one episode) was 58/86 (67.4%) with a 95% confidence interval (CI), 56.5 to 77.2%. The rate of peritonitis episodes per patient-year was 0.76 (1 episode per 1.31 patient-year). The generalized Poisson model identified older children (age >  10 years) (adjusted rate ratios [aRR] = 7.273, 95% CI: 1.562–33.860), congenital nephrosis (aRR = 4.677, 95% CI: 1.443–15.155), height below 3rd percentile (aRR = 4.689, 95% CI: 1.874–11.735), weight below 3rd percentile (aRR = 5.388, 95% CI: 1.678–17.302), low albumin level (aRR = 4.041, 95% CI: 2.053–7.956), two-week duration of antibiotic therapy (aRR = 2.947, 95% CI: 1.163–7.468), which were independently associated with a high peritonitis rate.

Conclusions

This study showed a high peritonitis rate in our center. Older children, congenital nephrosis, height and weight below the 3rd percentile, low albumin level, and long duration of antibiotic therapy were associated with a higher rate of peritonitis. An optimal peritonitis prevention strategy or best-practice guideline is needed to reduce and prevent peritonitis occurrence in our center.

Recurrence rate of scabies in patients 14 years or older in Saudi Arabia

Objectives:

To estimate the rate of scabies diagnostic recurrence and identify factors associated with the high likelihood of frequent scabies recurrences among adults in Saudi Arabia.

Methods:

This multi-center retrospective study was conducted in adult patients who were diagnosed with one or multiple recurrent infestations of scabies between January 2016 and September 2018 at the Ministry of National Guard-Health Affairs hospitals and clinics, Saudi Arabia. The number of scabies recurrences during the study period was recorded and modeled using a Poisson model.

Results:

A total of 468 adult patients (39.8±17.8, range: 14.2-105.7 years) were included in the study, resulting in 645 scabies diagnoses in which 302 (46.8%) were recurrences. The multivariate Poisson model revealed that male gender (adjusted rate ratios [aRR]: 1.465; 95%CI: 1.064 - 2.017; p=0.019), first tertile (January to April) (aRR: 3.021; 95%CI: 1.484 - 6.149; p=0.002), and high humidity (aRR: 1.066; 95%CI: 1.002 - 1.133; p=0.043) had a higher likelihood of frequent scabies recurrences.

Conclusion:

The rate of scabies recurrence among adult patients in Saudi Arabia was high, and is comparable with previous report in Japan. The study suggests that male gender, first tertile, and high humidity were independently associated with the high rate of scabies recurrences among adults. An interventional program to lower the rate of scabies recurrences and prevent outbreak should be undertaken.

Rate and factors for scabies recurrence in children in Saudi Arabia: a retrospective study

Background

Despite the fact that several scabies outbreaks emerged in schools in Saudi Arabia in 2018, no study has investigated the risk of scabies recurrence among children in Saudi Arabia. This study aimed to estimate the rate of scabies recurrence and identify factors that were associated with an increased risk of recurrence among children.

Methods

This is a multi-center retrospective study of children (age < 14 years) who were diagnosed between May 20, 2015 and September 12, 2018 with one or multiple recurrent scabies at the Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs (MNGHA) hospitals and clinics in Saudi Arabia. Data were obtained from an electronic health system, BestCare database.

Results

A sample of 264 children analyzed (mean age of 6.7 years) resulted in a cumulative number of 316 scabies diagnoses in which 86 (27.2%) experienced scabies recurrence (at least once). Independent factors associated with a high risk of scabies recurrence: older children (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.036; 95% CI, 1.002–1.072; P = 0.039), female gender (aHR, 1.734; 95% CI, 1.329–2.262; P = 0.001), Western region of Saudi Arabia (aHR, 1.548; 95% CI, 1.115–2.151; P = 0.009), and 2nd tertile season [May to August] (aHR, 2.368; 95% CI, 1.706–3.288; P = 0.001).

Conclusions

The study demonstrated that the recurrence rate of scabies among children is high. Older children, the female gender, the Western region of Saudi Arabia, and the seasonality were independently associated with an increased risk of scabies recurrence. High temperature and low humidity should be explored as leading factors for scabies infestations in Saudi Arabia. Findings derived from this study may be useful for clinicians and governments in optimizing clinical management of scabies cases and contacts.