The characteristics of influenza-like illness management in Japan

Effect of calcium channel blockers on influenza incidence: a population-based retrospective cohort study using administrative claims data in Japan

OBJECTIVES

Laboratory experiments have indicated that calcium channel blockers (CCBs) inhibit the entry and replication of influenza A virus in cells. However, no clinical studies have assessed the incidence of influenza among patients receiving CCBs. This study aimed to investigate the association between CCB use and the incidence of influenza among patients with hypertension using administrative claims data in Japan.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Administrative health insurance claims database of Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

360 515 patients with hypertension (10th edition of the International Classification of Diseases code I10) who were prescribed CCBs and 171 142 patients who were prescribed angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs)/angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) between 2012 and 2016.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

We compared the incidence of influenza between the CCB and ACEI/ARB groups using high-dimensional propensity-score (HD-PS) matching.

RESULTS

A total of 166 814 HD-PS matched pairs were obtained. Before HD-PS matching, the CCB group had a significantly lower influenza incidence than the ACEI/ARB group in the overall analysis (2.4% vs 2.5%, p=0.007; risk ratio 0.95, 95% CI 0.92 to 0.99). However, no significant difference was observed between the two groups after HD-PS matching (2.4% vs 2.5%, p=0.067; risk ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.00); only in 2012 did the CCB group have a significantly lower likelihood of influenza than the ACEI/ARB group.

CONCLUSIONS

No significant difference was observed in the influenza incidence between the CCB and ACEI/ARB groups. A direct comparative study between background-matched patients with and without CCBs is warranted to confirm the effect of CCBs on reducing the incidence of influenza.

Cost-Effectiveness of Baloxavir Marboxil Versus Oseltamivir or no Treatment for the Management of Influenza in the United States

INTRODUCTION

This study sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of baloxavir marboxil compared with oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment from a US payer perspective using data from a real-world US administrative claims study. Given baloxavir's ability to rapidly stop viral shedding, the potential health economic implications of a baloxavir-induced population-level reduction in viral transmission was also explored.

METHODS

A decision tree cost-effectiveness model was developed for seasonal influenza (2018-2020) using a lifetime time horizon with 3.0% discounting for costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Patients aged ≥ 12 years could receive baloxavir, oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment. Patient characteristics, complications, and costs were derived from the Merative™ MarketScan® Research Databases including US commercial claims and Medicare and Medicaid Supplemental databases. A scenario analysis explored the impact of reduced viral transmission with baloxavir.

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, baloxavir was cost-effective within a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100,000/QALY compared with oseltamivir [incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), $6813/QALY gained] or no antiviral treatment (ICER, $669/QALY gained). The net monetary benefit (NMB) of baloxavir was $1180 and $6208 compared with oseltamivir and no treatment, respectively. The NMB of baloxavir increased linearly with reductions in viral transmission, where a 5% transmission reduction yielded an NMB of $2592 versus oseltamivir and $7621 versus no treatment. Baloxavir became dominant (more effective and less costly, with ICERs < 0) starting with a 12.0% reduction in viral transmission versus oseltamivir and 6.0% versus no antiviral treatment.

CONCLUSION

Baloxavir was cost-effective compared with oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment. The potential of baloxavir to reduce viral transmission offers a substantial economic benefit from a US payer perspective.

The potential public health impact of the respiratory syncytial virus prefusion F protein vaccine in people aged ≥60 years in Japan: results of a Markov model analysis

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), a common respiratory pathogen, can lead to severe symptoms, especially in older adults (OA). A recently developed RSV prefusion F protein (RSVPreF3 OA) vaccine confers high protection against RSV lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) over two full RSV seasons. The aim of this study was to assess the potential public health impact of RSVPreF3 OA vaccination in the Japanese OA population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A static Markov model was used to estimate the number of symptomatic RSV cases, hospitalizations and deaths in the Japanese population aged ≥ 60 years over a 3-year time horizon. Japan-specific RSV epidemiology and healthcare resource use parameters were used; vaccine efficacy was derived from a phase 3 randomized study (AReSVi-006, NCT04886596). Vaccination coverage was set to 50%.

RESULTS

Without vaccination, >5 million RSV acute respiratory illness (ARI) would occur (2.5 million LRTD and 2.8 million upper respiratory tract infections) leading to ~ 3.5 million outpatient visits, >534,000 hospitalizations and ~ 25,500 RSV-related deaths over 3 years. Vaccination could prevent > 1 million RSV-ARI cases, 728,000 outpatient visits, 143,000 hospitalizations and 6,840 RSV-related deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

RSVPreF3 OA vaccination is projected to have a substantial public health impact by reducing RSV-related morbidity and mortality in the OA population.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of respiratory syncytial virus vaccination with the adjuvanted prefusion F protein vaccine (RSVPreF3 OA) for adults ≥60 years old in Japan

OBJECTIVES

Older adults (OA) are at risk of morbidity and mortality from respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), a major cause of seasonal acute respiratory illness. The first RSV vaccine for OA (RSVPreF3 OA) was recently launched in Japan. With the already large and growing OA population in Japan, and limited RSV treatments, prevention is key. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of introducing RSVPreF3 OA for Japanese adults aged ≥60 years.

METHODS

A static multicohort Markov model was adapted to assess the cost-effectiveness of a single dose of RSVPreF3 OA versus no vaccination over a three-year time horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

RSVPreF3 OA vaccination prevented 1,008,499 cases and 6,840 deaths, with 109,119 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was Japanese yen (JPY) 4,180,084/QALY gained from a payer perspective and JPY 4,041,917/QALY gained from a societal perspective (with productivity loss from RSV disease), thus vaccination was considered cost-effective. Base case results were robust to changes in sensitivity and scenario analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

RSVPreF3 OA vaccination for adults ≥60 years can provide substantial health benefits and is a cost-effective intervention to reduce the RSV burden in Japan.

Prescription of anti-influenza drugs in Japan, 2014-2020: A retrospective study using open data from the national claims database

BACKGROUND

Both physicians and patients are proactive towards managing seasonal influenza in Japan and six drugs are approved. Although many countries have national influenza surveillance systems, data on nationwide prescription practices of anti-influenza drugs are lacking. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the status of anti-influenza drug use in Japan by analyzing real-world data.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed open data from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups, which covers most claims data from national health insurance. We estimated the annual number of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs, which drugs they were prescribed, the patients' age and sex distribution, drug costs, and regional disparities for the period 2014-2020.

RESULTS

For 2014-2019, an estimated 6.7-13.4 million patients per year were prescribed anti-influenza drugs, with an annual cost of 22.3-48.0 billion JPY (Japanese Yen). In addition, 21.1-32.0 million rapid antigen tests were performed at a cost of 30.1-47.1 billion JPY. In 2017, laninamivir was the most frequently prescribed anti-influenza drug (48%), followed by oseltamivir (36%), while in 2018, the newly introduced baloxavir accounted for 40.8% of prescriptions. After the emergence of COVID-19, the estimated number of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs in 2020 dropped to just 14,000. In 2018, 37.6% of prescriptions were for patients aged < 20 years compared with 12.2% for those aged ≥ 65 years. Prescriptions for inpatients accounted for 1.1%, and the proportion of prescriptions for inpatients increased with age, with men were more likely than women to be prescribed anti-influenza drugs while hospitalized.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on our clarification of how influenza is clinically managed in Japan, future work should evaluate the clinical and economic aspects of proactively prescribing anti-influenza drugs.

Understanding the Global Burden of Influenza in Adults Aged 18-64 years: A Systematic Literature Review from 2012 to 2022

INTRODUCTION

Adults aged 18-64 years comprise most of the working population, meaning that influenza infection can be disruptive, causing prolonged absence from the workplace, and reduced productivity and the ability to care for dependents. Influenza vaccine uptake is relatively low, even among the older adults in this population (i.e., aged 50-64 years), reflecting a lack of perceived need for vaccination. This systematic literature review (SLR) aimed to characterize the global burden of influenza in the 18-64 years population.

METHODS

An electronic database search was conducted and supplemented with conference and gray literature searches. Eligible studies described at least one of clinical, humanistic, or economic outcomes in adults aged 18-64 years and conducted across several global regions. Included studies were published in English, between January 1, 2012, and September 20, 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 40 publications were included, with clinical, humanistic, and economic outcomes reported in 39, 5, and 15, respectively. Risk of influenza-associated clinical outcomes were reported to increase with age among the 18-64 years population, including hospitalizations (Yamana et al. in Intern Med 60:3401-3408, 2021; Derqui et al. in Influenza Other Respir Viruses 16:862-872, 2022; Fuller et al. in Influenza Other Respir Viruses 16:265-275, 2022; Ortiz et al. in Crit Care Med 42:2325-2332, 2014; Yandrapalli et al. in Ann Transl Med 6:318, 2018; Zimmerman et al. in Influenza Other Respir Viruses 16:1133-1140, 2022). ICU admissions, mortality, ER/outpatient visits, and use of mechanical ventilation were recorded. Adults aged 18-64 years with underlying comorbidities were at higher risk of influenza-related hospitalizations, ICU admission, and mortality than otherwise healthy individuals. Length of hospital stay increased with age, although a lack of stratification across other economic outcomes prevented identification of further trends across age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of hospitalization and outpatient visits demonstrated a clinical influenza-associated burden on patients and healthcare systems, which is exacerbated by comorbidities. Considering the size and breadth of the general population aged 18-64 years, the limited humanistic and economic findings of this SLR likely reflect an underreported burden. Greater investigation into indirect costs and prolonged absenteeism associated with influenza infection is required to fully understand the economic burden in this population.

The estimated disease burden of COVID-19 in Japan from 2020 to 2021

BACKGROUND

To date, it is not fully understood to what extent COVID-19 has burdened society in Japan. This study aimed to estimate the total disease burden due to COVID-19 in Japan during 2020-2021.

METHODS

We stratify disease burden estimates by age group and present it as absolute Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) lost and QALYs lost per 100,000 persons. The total estimated value of QALYs lost consists of (1) QALYs lost brought by deaths due to COVID-19, (2) QALYs lost brought by inpatient cases, (3) QALYs lost brought by outpatient cases, and (4) QALYs lost brought by long-COVID.

RESULTS

The total QALYs lost due to COVID-19 was estimated as 286,782 for two years, 114.0 QALYs per 100,000 population per year. 71.3% of them were explained by the burden derived from deaths. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the burden of outpatient cases was the most sensitive factor.

CONCLUSIONS

The large part of disease burden due to COVID-19 in Japan from the beginning of 2020 to the end of 2021 was derived from Wave 3, 4, and 5 and the proportion of QALYs lost due to morbidity in the total burden increased gradually. The estimated disease burden was smaller than that in other high-income countries. It will be our future challenge to take other indirect factors into consideration.

Factors Associated With the Development of Bacterial Pneumonia Related to Seasonal Influenza Virus Infection: A Study Using a Large-scale Health Insurance Claim Database

Background

Influenza-related bacterial pneumonia is a leading complication of influenza infection. However, the differences in the incidence rates and risk factors associated with concomitant viral/bacterial pneumonia (CP) and secondary bacterial pneumonia following influenza (SP) remain unclear. This study aimed to clarify the incidence rates of CP and SP following seasonal influenza and identify factors associated with their development.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using the JMDC Claims Database, a health insurance claims database in Japan. All patients aged <75 years who developed influenza during 2 consecutive epidemic seasons, 2017/2018 and 2018/2019, were analyzed. CP was defined as bacterial pneumonia diagnosed between 3 days before and 6 days after the date of influenza diagnosis, and SP was defined as pneumonia diagnosed 7-30 days after the date of diagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with the development of CP and SP.

Results

Among the 10 473 014 individuals registered in the database, 1 341 355 patients with influenza were analyzed. The average age at diagnosis (SD) was 26.6 (18.6) years. There were 2901 (0.22%) and 1262 (0.09%) patients who developed CP and SP, respectively. Age 65-74 years, asthma, chronic bronchitis/emphysema, cardiovascular disease, renal disease, malignant tumor, and immunosuppression were significant risk factors for both CP and SP, whereas cerebrovascular disease, neurological disease, liver disease, and diabetes were risk factors specific to CP development.

Conclusions

The results determined the incidence rates of CP and SP and identified their risk factors, such as older age and comorbidities.

Transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza in a remote island population

Seasonal influenza outbreaks remain an important public health concern, causing large numbers of hospitalizations and deaths among high-risk groups. Understanding the dynamics of individual transmission is crucial to design effective control measures and ultimately reduce the burden caused by influenza outbreaks. In this study, we analyzed surveillance data from Kamigoto Island, Japan, a semi-isolated island population, to identify the drivers of influenza transmission during outbreaks. We used rapid influenza diagnostic test (RDT)-confirmed surveillance data from Kamigoto island, Japan and estimated age-specific influenza relative illness ratios (RIRs) over eight epidemic seasons (2010/11 to 2017/18). We reconstructed the probabilistic transmission trees (i.e., a network of who-infected-whom) using Bayesian inference with Markov-chain Monte Carlo method and then performed a negative binomial regression on the inferred transmission trees to identify the factors associated with onwards transmission risk. Pre-school and school-aged children were most at risk of getting infected with influenza, with RIRs values consistently above one. The maximal RIR values were 5.99 (95% CI 5.23, 6.78) in the 7-12 aged-group and 5.68 (95%CI 4.59, 6.99) in the 4-6 aged-group in 2011/12. The transmission tree reconstruction suggested that the number of imported cases were consistently higher in the most populated and busy districts (Tainoura-go and Arikawa-go) ranged from 10-20 to 30-36 imported cases per season. The number of secondary cases generated by each case were also higher in these districts, which had the highest individual reproduction number (R_eff: 1.2-1.7) across the seasons. Across all inferred transmission trees, the regression analysis showed that cases reported in districts with lower local vaccination coverage (incidence rate ratio IRR = 1.45 (95% CI 1.02, 2.05)) or higher number of inhabitants (IRR = 2.00 (95% CI 1.89, 2.12)) caused more secondary transmissions. Being younger than 18 years old (IRR = 1.38 (95%CI 1.21, 1.57) among 4-6 years old and 1.45 (95% CI 1.33, 1.59) 7-12 years old) and infection with influenza type A (type B IRR = 0.83 (95% CI 0.77, 0.90)) were also associated with higher numbers of onwards transmissions. However, conditional on being infected, we did not find any association between individual vaccination status and onwards transmissibility. Our study showed the importance of focusing public health efforts on achieving high vaccine coverage throughout the island, especially in more populated districts. The strong association between local vaccine coverage (including neighboring regions), and the risk of transmission indicate the importance of achieving homogeneously high vaccine coverage. The individual vaccine status may not prevent onwards transmission, though it may reduce the severity of infection.

Impact of Influenza and Influenza-Like Illness on Work Productivity Outcomes: A Systematic Literature Review

BACKGROUND

Influenza is a persistent public health problem with a significant burden on patients, employers, and society. A systematic review by Keech and Beardsworth (2008) characterized the burden of influenza/influenza-like illness (ILI) on absenteeism. We conducted a systematic literature review evaluating the impact of influenza/ILI on work productivity among adults as an update to the work of Keech and Beardsworth.

METHODS

This systematic review identified studies evaluating the impact of influenza/ILI on absenteeism, presenteeism, or related work productivity measures for employees and employed caregivers based on laboratory confirmation, physician diagnosis, and/or self-reported illness. Eligible studies were in English, French, or German published from 7 March 2007 through 15 February 2022, in PubMed, Embase, or BIOSIS. Two reviewers completed screening and full-text review, with conflicts resolved by a third advisor. Summary data were extracted by two analysts; all records were quality checked by one analyst. Work productivity outcomes were summarized qualitatively, and risk of bias was not evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 14,387 records were retrieved; 12,245 titles/abstracts were screened and 145 full-text publications were reviewed, of which 63 were included in the qualitative assessment. Studies of self-reported ILI were most frequent (49%), followed by laboratory-confirmed cases (37%) and physician diagnoses (11%). Overall, approximately 20-75% of employees missed work due to illness across study settings and populations. Mean time out of work among ill employees varied widely across study designs and populations, ranging from < 1 to > 10 days, and was often reported to be approximately 2-3 days. Considerable heterogeneity was observed across study designs, populations, and outcomes. Most employees (≈ 60-80%) reported working while experiencing influenza/ILI symptoms. Reporting of costs was sparse and heterogeneous; one study reported annual costs of influenza-related absences equating to $42,851 per 100,000 employee health plan members. Results were partitioned based on the following categories. Among otherwise healthy adults, 1-74% of workers missed ≥1 workday due to influenza/ILI, for a mean [standard deviation (SD)] of 0.5 (1.44) to 5.3 (4.50) days, and 42-89% reported working while ill, for a mean (SD) of 0.3 (0.63) to 4.4 (3.73) days. Among working caregivers, 50-75% missed work to care for children/household members with influenza/ILI, for 1-2 days on average. Similarly, the mean absenteeism among healthcare workers ranged from 0.5 to 3.2 days. Across studies evaluating vaccination status, generally smaller proportions of vaccinated employees missed time from work due to influenza/ILI.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review summarized the productivity burden of influenza/ILI on the worldwide working-age population. Despite notable heterogeneity in study designs, influenza/ILI case definitions, and productivity outcome measures, this review highlighted the substantial productivity burden that influenza/ILI may have on employees, employers, and society, consistent with the findings of Keech and Beardsworth (2008).

Comparing the cobas Influenza A/B Nucleic acid test for use on the cobas Liat System (Liat) with rapid antigen tests for clinical management of Japanese patients at the point of care

Background

Rapid diagnosis of influenza is critical in preventing the spread of infection and ensuring patients quickly receive antiviral medication to reduce the severity and duration of influenza symptoms, whilst controlling the spread of the causative virus. In Japan patients are often administered anti-influenza medication following a positive rapid antigen detection test (RADT) result. However, the sensitivity of RADTs can lead to false negative results. The cobas^® Influenza A/B Nucleic acid test for use on the cobas Liat^® System (Liat) is a molecular point-of-care method that can provide a more sensitive alternative to RADTs for rapid influenza diagnosis and treatment.

Methods

In this prospective multicenter study, diagnostic performance of the Liat test was compared with RADTs in patients presenting with influenza-like-illness. Test performance was also assessed by time since symptom onset.

Results

Of 419 patients enrolled, 413 were evaluable for all designated tests. Most patients had type-A infection, and only one patient had influenza type B. In 413 patients, the sensitivity and specificity (95% CI) of the Liat test were 99.5% (97.2–99.9%) and 99.5% (97.4–99.9%), respectively, and were 79.7% (73.5–84.7%) and 95.4% (91.7–97.5%) for RADTs. For patients tested <12 hours from symptom onset, the Liat test had significantly higher sensitivity than RADTs (p<0.0001).

Conclusion

Overall, compared with standard of care RADTs, the Liat test was more sensitive and specific in children and adults, particularly in the early stages of infection. Greater sensitivity can enable earlier diagnosis and may better inform appropriate antiviral treatment decisions.

Cost-effectiveness of adding oseltamivir to primary care for influenza-like-illness: economic evaluation alongside the randomised controlled ALIC4E trial in 15 European countries

BACKGROUND

Oseltamivir is usually not often prescribed (or reimbursed) for non-high-risk patients consulting for influenza-like-illness (ILI) in primary care in Europe. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding oseltamivir to usual primary care in adults/adolescents (13 years +) and children with ILI during seasonal influenza epidemics, using data collected in an open-label, multi-season, randomised controlled trial of oseltamivir in 15 European countries.

METHODS

Direct and indirect cost estimates were based on patient reported resource use and official country-specific unit costs. Health-Related Quality of Life was assessed by EQ-5D questionnaires. Costs and quality adjusted life-years (QALY) were bootstrapped (N = 10,000) to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER), from both the healthcare payers' and the societal perspectives, with uncertainty expressed through probabilistic sensitivity analysis and expected value for perfect information (EVPI) analysis. Additionally, scenario (self-reported spending), comorbidities subgroup and country-specific analyses were performed.

RESULTS

The healthcare payers' expected ICERs of oseltamivir were €22,459 per QALY gained in adults/adolescents and €13,001 in children. From the societal perspective, oseltamivir was cost-saving in adults/adolescents, but the ICER is €8,344 in children. Large uncertainties were observed in subgroups with comorbidities, especially for children. The expected ICERs and extent of decision uncertainty varied between countries (EVPI ranged €1-€35 per patient).

CONCLUSION

Adding oseltamivir to primary usual care in Europe is likely to be cost-effective for treating adults/adolescents and children with ILI from the healthcare payers' perspective (if willingness-to-pay per QALY gained > €22,459) and cost-saving in adults/adolescents from a societal perspective.

Impact of long-COVID on health-related quality of life in Japanese COVID-19 patients

Background

The empirical basis for a quantitative assessment of the disease burden imposed by long-COVID is currently scant. We aimed to inform the disease burden caused by long-COVID in Japan.

Methods

We conducted a cross sectional self-report questionnaire survey. The questionnaire was mailed to 526 eligible patients, who were recovered from acute COVID-19 in April 2021. Answers were classified into two groups; participants who have no symptom and those who have any ongoing prolonged symptoms that lasted longer than four weeks at the time of the survey. We estimated the average treatment effect (ATE) of ongoing prolonged symptoms on EQ-VAS and EQ-5D-3L questionnaire using inverse probability weighting. In addition to symptom prolongation, we investigated whether other factors (including demography, lifestyle, and acute severity) were associated with low EQ-VAS and EQ-5D-3L values, by multivariable linear regression.

Results

349 participants reported no symptoms and 108 reported any symptoms at the time of the survey. The participants who reported any symptoms showed a lower average value on the EQ-VAS (69.9 vs 82.8, respectively) and on the EQ-5D-3L (0.85 vs 0.96, respectively) than those reporting no symptoms considering the ATE of ongoing prolonged symptoms. The ATE of ongoing prolonged symptoms on EQ-VAS was − 12.9 [95% CI − 15.9 to − 9.8], and on the EQ-5D-3L it was − 0.11 [95% CI − 0.13 to − 0.09], implying prolonged symptoms have a negative impact on patients’ EQ-VAS and EQ-5D-3L score. In multivariable linear regression, only having prolonged symptoms was associated with lower scores (− 11.7 [95% CI − 15.0 to − 8.5] for EQ-VAS and − 0.10 [95% CI − 0.13 to − 0.08] for EQ-5D-3L).

Conclusions

Due to their long duration, long-COVID symptoms represent a substantial disease burden expressed in impact on health-related quality of life.

Diagnosis and treatment of influenza based on health insurance claims between the 2010-2011 and 2019-2020 influenza seasons in Japan

Medical practices for influenza virus infection vary among countries. In Japan, treatment with anti-influenza drugs is recommended for patients diagnosed with influenza. This health claims database study provides quantitative information aimed at describing the actual medical practices, including diagnostic testing and medication use, for managing influenza in Japan. Most patients diagnosed with influenza underwent diagnostic tests and were prescribed anti-influenza drugs. Meanwhile, the majority of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs had undergone diagnostic testing. However, an increase in the percentage of anti-influenza prescriptions without diagnostic testing was observed during the 2019-2020 influenza season, which may be associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Epidemiology of influenza under the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in Nanjing, China

PURPOSE

Since the pandemic of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19), the incidence of influenza has decreased significantly, but there are still few reports in the short period before and after the pandemic period. This study aimed to explore influenza activity and dynamic changes before and during the pandemic.

METHODS

A total of 1,324,357 influenza-like illness (ILI) cases were reported under ILI surveillance network from Jan 1, 2018 to Sep 5, 2021 in Nanjing, of which 16,158 cases were detected in laboratory. Differences of ILI and influenza was conducted with the chi-square test.

RESULTS

The number of ILI cases accounted for 8.97% of outpatient and emergency department visits. The influenza-positive ratio (IPR) was 7.84% in ILI cases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, ILI% and IPR dropped by 6.03% and 11.83% on average, respectively. Besides, IPR rose slightly in Week 30-35 of 2021. Not only differences in gender, age and employment status, but also the circulating strains had changed from type A to B through the COVID-19 pandemic.

CONCLUSION

The level of influenza activity was severely affected by COVID-19, but it seemed that it is inevitable to be vigilant against the co-circulation in the future. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

The burden of isolation to the individual: a comparison between isolation for COVID-19 and for other influenza-like illnesses in Japan

At present, there is scarce evidence about the burden associated with the isolation of COVID-19 patients. We aimed to assess the differences between COVID-19 and other influenza-like illnesses (ILIs) in disease burden brought by isolation. We conducted an online survey of 302 respondents who had COVID-19 or other ILIs and compared the burden of isolation due to sickness with one-to-one propensity score matching. The primary outcomes are the duration and productivity losses associated with isolation, the secondary outcome is the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) valuation on the day of the survey. Acute symptoms of outpatient COVID-19 and other ILIs lasted 17 (interquartile range (IQR) 9-32) and 7 (IQR 4-10) days, respectively. The length of isolation due to COVID-19 was 18 (IQR 10-33) days and that due to other ILIs was 7 (IQR 4-11) days, respectively. The monetary productivity loss of isolation due to COVID-19 was 1424.3 (IQR 825.6-2545.5) USD and that due to other ILIs was 606.1 (IQR 297.0-1090.9) USD, respectively. HRQoL at the time of the survey was lower in the COVID-19 group than in the 'other ILIs' group (0.89 and 0.96, P = 0.001). COVID-19 infection imposes a substantial disease burden, even in patients with non-severe disease. This burden is larger for COVID-19 than other ILIs, mainly because the required isolation period is longer.

Comparison of the incidence of bleeding between baloxavir marboxil and other anti-influenza drugs among outpatients with influenza virus infection: A retrospective cohort study using an employment-based health insurance claims database in Japan

Purpose

Alerts for bleeding events are included in the Japanese package inserts of some anti‐influenza drugs, including baloxavir marboxil and oseltamivir. However, there are few reports on the incidence of bleeding events during treatment with anti‐influenza drugs. This large‐scale quantitative assessment compared the incidence of bleeding events in influenza patients treated with baloxavir and other anti‐influenza drugs and in untreated patients.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study used a large‐scale Japanese employment‐based health insurance claims database provided by JMDC Inc. and included outpatients diagnosed with influenza between October 1, 2018 and April 11, 2019. Bleeding events were identified by International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes. Incidences were compared between patients treated with baloxavir or neuraminidase inhibitors and untreated patients. Odds ratios were calculated after exact matching to adjust for potential confounders.

Results

Among 529 201 influenza episodes, 30 964 were untreated and 498 237 were treated with anti‐influenza drugs: baloxavir, 207 630; oseltamivir, 143 722; zanamivir, 28 208; peramivir, 5304; laninamivir, 113 373. Crude incidence proportions for total bleeding up to 20 days after influenza diagnosis were similar among treated groups, with a slightly higher value for peramivir (0.21% vs. 0.19% for baloxavir, oseltamivir, zanamivir, and laninamivir), and 0.30% in untreated patients. After exact matching, the incidence of bleeding for baloxavir was similar to that for other anti‐influenza treatments (odds ratios for baloxavir were 0.90–0.99 compared to other therapies).

Conclusions

Based on real‐world observation using a large‐scale claims database, a similar incidence of bleeding events was observed in recipients of the different anti‐influenza drugs.

Interim 2019/2020 Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Japan from October 2019 to January 2020

Herein, we report the interim vaccine effectiveness (VE) of a quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, during the 2019/2020 influenza season, in Japan. We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of 381 patients aged ≥15 years, who were enrolled with influenza like illnesses and examined via the rapid influenza diagnostic test, at the Ambulatory Care unit of the National Center for Global Health and Medicine in Tokyo, Japan, from the beginning of October 2019 to the end of January 2020. VE was estimated using a test-negative design. VE was calculated as (1 - odds ratio) × 100%, comparing influenza A test positivity between vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. Of the 381 patients initially screened for inclusion, 314 were enrolled in the study. Of these, 105 were vaccinated, 98 were diagnosed with influenza A, and 5 were diagnosed with influenza B. Overall VE against influenza A was 27.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], ‒21.1 to +57.4), and in patients aged ≥65 years, it was 47.3% (95% CI, ‒76.0 to +86.0). This indicates that the influenza vaccination offered continued protection during the 2019/2020 influenza season, but a detailed analysis of more cases with a careful consideration of methodology is necessary to estimate VE more precisely.