A health economic evaluation of screening and treatment in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis

Prediction of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis with machine learning algorithms using brain volumetric measurements

Background

It is known that neuroanatomical and neurofunctional changes observed in the brain, brainstem and cerebellum play a role in the etiology of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). This study aimed to investigate whether volumetric measurements of brain regions can be used as predictive indicators for AIS through machine learning techniques.

Methods

Patients with a severe degree of curvature in AIS (n = 32) and healthy individuals (n = 31) were enrolled in the study. Volumetric data from 169 brain regions, acquired from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of these individuals, were utilized as predictive factors. A comprehensive analysis was conducted using the twelve most prevalent machine learning algorithms, encompassing thorough parameter adjustments and cross-validation processes. Furthermore, the findings related to variable significance are presented.

Results

Among all the algorithms evaluated, the random forest algorithm produced the most favorable results in terms of various classification metrics, including accuracy (0.9083), AUC (0.993), f1-score (0.970), and Brier score (0.1256). Additionally, the most critical variables were identified as the volumetric measurements of the right corticospinal tract, right corpus callosum body, right corpus callosum splenium, right cerebellum, and right pons, respectively.

Conclusion

The outcomes of this study indicate that volumetric measurements of specific brain regions can serve as reliable indicators of AIS. In conclusion, the developed model and the significant variables discovered hold promise for predicting scoliosis development, particularly in high-risk individuals.

Diagnostic utility of different types of somatosensory evoked potential changes in pediatric idiopathic scoliosis correction surgery

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of intraoperative somatosensory evoked potential (SSEP) monitoring and types of SSEP changes in predicting the risk of postoperative neurological outcomes during correction surgery for idiopathic scoliosis (IS) in the pediatric age group (≤ 21 years).

METHODS

Database review was performed to identify literature on pediatric patients with IS who underwent correction with intraoperative neuromonitoring. The sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) of transient and persistent SSEP changes and complete SSEP loss in predicting postoperative neurological deficits were calculated.

RESULTS

Final analysis included 3778 patients. SSEP changes had a sensitivity of 72.9%, specificity of 96.8%, and DOR of 102.3, while SSEP loss had a sensitivity of 41.8%, specificity of 99.3%, and DOR of 133.2 for predicting new neurologic deficits. Transient and persistent SSEP changes had specificities of 96.8% and 99.1%, and DORs of 16.6 and 59, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Intraoperative SSEP monitoring can predict perioperative neurological injury and improve surgical outcomes in pediatric scoliosis fusion surgery.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 2. This journal requires that authors assign a level of evidence to each article. For a full description of these Evidence-Based Medicine ratings, please refer to the Table of Contents or the online Instructions to Authors www.springer.com/00266 .

Research of socioeconomic status and school-based health screening results of study with children after two years of COVID-19 pandemic

Aim: Schools are the most effective environments for health screenings for children and adolescents. The aim of school health screenings is to contribute to the protection and maintenance of children's health status by early diagnosis and treatment of diseases. We aimed to reveal the health screening findings of children whose lifestyles changed during the pandemic period, and to compare according to socioeconomic status. Material and Method: Students from three different schools which were grouped as low, middle and high socioeconomic status were included. Hearing test, visual acuity examination, orthopedic examination, blood pressure measurements, height, weight and anthropometric measurements were performed. Descriptive statistical methods were used in the evaluation of the data. Results: 1322 students with parental consent were included in our study. 667 (50.5%) of the students were female, mean age was 11.4±1.1, and mean body mass index score was 19.6±4.0. When body mass index scores were evaluated, 202 (15.3%) students were overweight and 189 (14.3%) were obese. Visual acuity defect was found in 257 (19.4%) of the students and hearing loss in 309 (23.4%). As a result of orthopedic examination and blood pressure measurements, 67 (5.1%) scoliosis and 131 (9.9%) high blood pressure were determined. The rate of hypertension was found to be significantly higher in school students with high socioeconomic status compared to the others (p

Novel Screening Tool for Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis: A Reliability Study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the agreement between a web-based scoliosis screening tool and a standard screening procedure.

METHODS

Sixty participants were selected (median age, 12 years; 75% were women) and separated into 2 groups: those with unknown spinal curvature status and those with confirmed scoliosis. Each participant was assessed by 2 blinded assessors, with one measuring the angle of trunk rotation using a scoliometer and the second using a web-based screening application. The app provided a relative risk score for having scoliosis based on a weighted algorithm. Those with an angle of trunk rotation ≥7° or risk score >2 were deemed as being at risk for having scoliosis.

RESULTS

There was fair agreement (kappa = 0.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.14-0.55; P < .001) between the app and the scoliometer among the unconfirmed cases. The McNemar test indicated a difference in the proportion of positive tests (P = .001), whereby the screening app produced a significantly higher number of positive tests (15/53 = 28.3%) compared to the standard screening procedure (4/53 = 7.5%) for unconfirmed cases. Among the confirmed cases, the app correctly identified 5 out of 7 (sensitivity: 71%; 95% CI, 29%-96%) participants, whereas the scoliometer correctly identified 6 out of 7 (sensitivity: 86%; 95% CI, 42%-100%) participants.

CONCLUSION

These findings indicate fair agreement between the app and the scoliometer, though it was not possible to precisely estimate the sensitivity of the app in this study.

The relationship of hip loading asymmetry and radiological parameters of the spine in Lenke type 1 idiopathic scoliosis

BACKGROUND

Idiopathic scoliosis does not only cause structural changes in the spine, but also functional changes of the musculoskeletal system.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Does idiopathic scoliosis lead to asymmetric hip loading in severe Lenke type 1 deformity?

METHODS

23 patients (18 girls, 5 boys) aged 15 ± 2.8 years with an adolescent idiopathic main thoracic curve (Cobb angle 48.8°+/- 9.2°) were included. Measured X-ray parameters were: Cobb angle of primary thoracic and secondary lumbar curve, translation of the C7- plumb line, apical thoracic vertebra and apical lumbar vertebra from the central sacral vertical line. Subjects were examined by means of kinematic and kinetic gait analysis. The symmetry index (SI) was calculated as a ratio of hip frontal moments during a single stance for both sides when the symmetrical load was considered SI = 0 + /- 29.36 (0 +/- 1 SD of the mean SI of the healthy population). The Pearson correlation coefficient was used to show the relation between hip loading and radiologic measures of spinal deformity.

RESULTS

Only 34.8% of subjects with Lenke type 1 deformity showed symmetrical hip loading. Significant negative correlation was proved between SI and apical thoracic vertebra translation (R = - 0541; p < 0,05) as well as between SI and coronal imbalance (R = -0,5197; p < 0,05). There was no correlation between SI and the magnitude of the primary thoracic curve (R = -0.19; p = 0.385). Coronal imbalance correlates positively with translation of apical thoracic vertebra (R = 0,7255; p < 0,05).

SIGNIFICANCE

Two-thirds of subjects with Lenke type 1 deformity showed asymmetrical hip loading. This asymmetry is related to the translation of the apical thoracic vertebra and coronal imbalance and is not related to the magnitude of the main thoracic curve. On the contrary, the secondary lumbar curve plays role in the compensatory mechanism of the trunk.

Educating Parents Improves Their Ability to Recognize Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis: A Diagnostic Accuracy Study

(1) In countries where scoliosis screening programs ended, the responsibility for detection shifted from healthcare professionals to parents. Since recognizing scoliosis is difficult for parents, more patients are presenting late. Increased awareness of scoliosis may favor earlier detection. This study examines the effect of educating parents to recognize scoliosis. (2) In this cross-sectional study a consecutive group of parents completed a digital assessment. They had to complete two identical series of fourteen cases (eight with scoliosis and six without). Each case displayed two photographs of the child’s back; one in standing position and one during forward-bending. Based on visual inspection, parents had to indicate if the child had to be referred to a physician. After assessing the first series, information was given on how to detect scoliosis. Subsequently, parents assessed the second series of cases. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated before and after education. (3) A total of 100 parents completed the assessment. The sensitivity to detect scoliosis was slightly but significantly higher after education (68.8% versus 74.0%; p = 0.002), while specificity was not (74.0% versus 74.8%; p = 0.457). (4) This study showed that educating parents improved their ability to recognize scoliosis without increasing the false positive referral rate. Although written instructions can bridge the gap with professional screening programs, the overall sensitivity in this study remained low. Therefore, education can improve the awareness and ability to detect scoliosis, but will not replace screening by professionals.

Screening for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis is more accurate when performed by healthcare professionals compared to untrained parents: a diagnostic accuracy study

BACKGROUND

Many countries ended their professional scoliosis screening due to ongoing controversies. Discontinuation resulted in a shift of screening responsibility from trained healthcare professionals to untrained parents.

PURPOSE

To compare the diagnostic accuracy of picture-based scoliosis screening between parents and healthcare professionals.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study, parents and healthcare professionals assessed pictures of 28 children (20 AIS & 8 non-scoliosis). Each child had two photographs (standing position & full-flexion during forward-bending test) that were presented simultaneously. Lumbar and thoracic curves were represented with a range in severity (10 to > 40°). The assessors had to answer whether they detected an abnormality that ought to be referred to a specialist. Measures of accuracy were calculated for both groups and various curve severities.

RESULTS

All pictures were assessed by 101 parents and 122 healthcare professionals. The sensitivity for detecting scoliosis was significantly lower in untrained parents (63.8%, [95% CI: 61.7-65.9%]) compared to healthcare professionals (73.4%, [95% CI: 71.6-75.2%]; p < 0.001), while the specificity was not significantly different (63.6%, [95% CI: 60.2-66.9%] vs. 65.3%, [95% CI: 62.2-68.3%]; p = 0.49). Healthcare professionals consistently recognized the gibbus as a warning sign when referring patients, while untrained parents highlighted various regions, including the spine, gibbus and scapula regions.

CONCLUSION

The sensitivity of screening for scoliosis was significantly lower when it was performed by parents, while the false-positive rate was similar to healthcare professionals. The window of opportunity for conservative treatment may be missed when parents rather than professionals are responsible for screening.

The Demographics and Epidemiology of Infantile, Juvenile, and Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis in a Southern California Integrated Health Care System

STUDY DESIGN

Prognostic study, Level III.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and demographics of idiopathic scoliosis (IS) in a large cohort of children in a Southern California integrated healthcare system, and to identify the demographic or clinical factors associated with the greatest risk of IS.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Although many authors have reported on the incidence and prevalence of IS in children, there have been few incidence studies in the United States on large, self-contained populations.

METHODS

A retrospective chart analysis was done on diagnosed cases of IS within our integrated health care system in patients under age 18 years during the entire 2013 calendar year. Patient demographics were recorded and the incidence of IS was determined. Odds ratios (ORs) for having IS and for having more severe initial curve magnitudes based on demographics were determined using logistic regression models.

RESULTS

IS Incidence was 3.9, 28.6, and 393 per 100,000, respectively, for the infantile, juvenile, and adolescent group. The female incidence was more than twice that of males in all age groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed Asians and non-Hispanic Whites had the highest OR of IS (OR 1.54 and 1.32 with 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.33-1.79 and 1.19-1.47). Whites, Blacks, and mixed-race patients had a significantly higher initial curve magnitude than Hispanics; females also had a significantly greater initial curve magnitude than boys (18.1° vs. 16.7°). Underweight patients had a 50% increased OR of IS versus normal weight (95% CI 1.16-1.94) with a progressively decreased OR of IS as weight increased.

CONCLUSION

Our study of a large integrated healthcare system sheds light on the incidence of IS and the ORs based on weight, sex, and ethnicity/race. The overall incidence was lower overall than previously thought.Level of Evidence: 3.

Polygenic Risk Score of Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis for Potential Clinical Use

Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) is a common disease causing three-dimensional spinal deformity in as many as 3% of adolescents. Development of a method that can accurately predict the onset and progression of AIS is an immediate need for clinical practice. Because the heritability of AIS is estimated as high as 87.5% in twin studies, prediction of its onset and progression based on genetic data is a promising option. We show the usefulness of polygenic risk score (PRS) for the prediction of onset and progression of AIS. We used AIS genomewide association study (GWAS) data comprising 79,211 subjects in three cohorts and constructed a PRS based on association statistics in a discovery set including 31,999 female subjects. After calibration using a validation data set, we applied the PRS to a test data set. By integrating functional annotations showing heritability enrichment in the selection of variants, the PRS demonstrated an association with AIS susceptibility (p = 3.5 × 10^-40 with area under the receiver-operating characteristic [AUROC] = 0.674, sensitivity = 0.644, and specificity = 0.622). The decile with the highest PRS showed an odds ratio of as high as 3.36 (p = 1.4 × 10^-10 ) to develop AIS compared with the fifth in decile. The addition of a predictive model with only a single clinical parameter (body mass index) improved predictive ability for development of AIS (AUROC = 0.722, net reclassification improvement [NRI] 0.505 ± 0.054, p = 1.6 × 10^-8 ), potentiating clinical use of the prediction model. Furthermore, we found the Cobb angle (CA), the severity measurement of AIS, to be a polygenic trait that showed a significant genetic correlation with AIS susceptibility (rg = 0.6, p = 3.0 × 10^-4 ). The AIS PRS demonstrated a significant association with CA. These results indicate a shared polygenic architecture between onset and progression of AIS and the potential usefulness of PRS in clinical settings as a predictor to promote early intervention of AIS and avoid invasive surgery. © 2021 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Sick leave and return to work after surgery for type II SLAP lesions of the shoulder: a secondary analysis of a randomised sham-controlled study

OBJECTIVES

To compare days on sick leave and assess predictors of return to work following shoulder surgery.

DESIGN

A secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial.

SETTING

Orthopaedic department.

PARTICIPANTS

114 patients with type II superior labral tear from anterior to posterior of the shoulder.

INTERVENTIONS

Labral repair, biceps tenodesis or sham surgery.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Sick leave was obtained from national registers for the last year before and 2 years following surgery. Total and shoulder related number of days on sick leave were obtained, using international diagnostic codes. We applied the difference-in-difference approach to compare the differences in the change in mean work days on sick leave between groups over time, backwards logistic regression and lasso regression to evaluate predictors.

RESULTS

Mean total number of work days on sick leave during the 2 years after surgery was 148 (range 0-460) days. More than 80% of the sick leave days were taken by 22% of the patients. Days on sick leave classified as shoulder-related constituted 80% of the total. In all three treatment groups, the mean total number of days on sick leave doubled the year after surgery. Sham surgery and labral repair had fewer postoperative sickness absence days compared with biceps tenodesis but differences were not significant when adjusted for days of sick leave the year before surgery. Predictors of return to work at 2 years analysed by logistic regression were no sick leave (OR 8.0, 95% CI 2.4 to 26.0) and moderate symptoms of anxiety or depression (OR 0.16, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.5) at inclusion. Similar results were obtained by lasso regression but manual work was an additional predictor.

CONCLUSIONS

Change in mean work days on sick leave comparing sham surgery, labral repair and biceps tenodesis, was not significantly different. Sick leave, symptoms of anxiety and depression, and manual work at inclusion predicted work status 2 years after surgery.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT00586742.

Current status of scoliosis school screening: targeted screening of underserved populations may be the solution

OBJECTIVES

The growing body of evidence documenting the effectiveness of brace treatment for scoliosis has renewed interest in potential benefits of early detection through school screening. We aimed to assess the prevalence and identify barriers of screening. We hypothesized that school screening is more frequent in schools that have a nurse on staff compared to schools without nurse on staff.

STUDY DESIGN

A questionnaire survey.

METHODS

All schools located in four counties in Louisiana, United States of America comprising the New Orleans metropolitan area between September 2015 and January 2016 were contacted by phone to assess rates of scoliosis screening, report the availability of a school nurse, and specify barriers if screening was not performed.

RESULTS

Two hundred and ninety-one schools responded to the survey including 152 public, 30 charter, and 109 private schools (101 had religious affiliation). A staff nurse was available in 180 schools (61.8%). Only 21 schools (7.2%) performed scoliosis screening. The majority were charter schools (11 schools), while six were private and four were public (P < 0.0001). Of these 21 schools, 16 (76.2%) had a nurse on staff while five schools did not (P = 0.16). Lack of a referral pathway in the event of a positive screen was the most common barrier to performing scoliosis screening.

CONCLUSION

Scoliosis screening is infrequent in the examined school districts. Efforts to support school screening can facilitate clear referral pathways for schools in the event of a positive screen. These findings suggest a potential need for different pathway of scoliosis screening. Pediatricians and family physicians can assist with scoliosis screening during the annual visit. While universal screening is overburdensome and likely unnecessary, targeted screening of underserved populations may prove to be beneficial. Further investigation should include assessment of the economic viability of targeted screening programs.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV.

Anatomical and radiological characteristics in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis with surgical indication

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to analyze the anatomical and radiological characteristics of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients with surgical indication.

METHODS

Retrospective, descriptive study of 100 medical records pertaining to patients included in the group of scoliosis with surgical indication from the years 2008 to 2015. Descriptive statistics were used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

28 patients met the inclusion and exclusion criteria, and were selected for the study. The average age was 15.4 (SD ± 1.2 years); in the selected sample, the female/male ratio was 6:1; the kyphosis measured in degrees by Cobb angle between T5-T12 had an average 32.10 (SD ± 13.37); according to the Lenke classification, the most prevalent type was type 2, representing 28.6% of cases.

CONCLUSION

The mean patient age in the present study was 15.4 (SD ± 1.2 years); the most prevalent type was type 2 in the Lenke classification. There is a need for new anatomical and radiological studies to elucidate the morphological characteristics common in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients.

To screen or not to screen for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis? A review of the literature

OBJECTIVES

Over the years, there has been much debate about the desirability and efficacy of screening for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. To analyse the current evidence from a public health point of view a renewed evaluation of the literature was performed.

STUDY DESIGN

Literature review.

METHODS

We performed two literature searches: from January 2000 to April 2015 for systematic reviews or guidelines on screening for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis and from January 2009 to April 2015 for all studies on adolescent idiopathic scoliosis and screening methods. We evaluated if screening for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis fulfils the criteria of the UK National Screenings Committee for appraising a screening programme.

RESULTS

Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis is a condition with an unpredictable natural history. The optimal age and frequency of screening are unknown; it is not possible to predict which patients will need (conservative or surgical) treatment. The Forward Bending Test has a positive predictive value of 2.6% and a sensitivity of 56% (95% CI 23-88%) for (conservative or surgical) treatment, and is therefore not valid enough for use in a screening programme. There seems to be sufficient evidence that brace treatment is effective for preventing progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. It is not clear if screening is cost effective.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite evidence that brace treatment is effective for preventing progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis, the benefits from the screening programme do not outweigh the harms. From a Public Health point of view, there is not enough evidence to support a screening programme for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.