Data-driven prognostic features of cognitive trajectories in patients with amnestic mild cognitive impairments

The Predictive Ability of Blood Neurofilament Light Chain in Predicting Cognitive Decline in the Alzheimer's Disease Continuum: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disease with insidious onset. Identifying candidate predictors to forecast AD dementia risk before disease onset is crucial for early diagnosis and treatment.

Objective

We aimed to assess the predictive ability of blood neurofilament light (NfL) chain in anticipating cognitive decline in the AD continuum.

Methods

We systematically searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase from inception until April 7, 2023. Longitudinal observational studies examining the association between baseline blood NfL and cognitive decline or clinical disease conversion were included based on inclusion/exclusion criteria. The final effect size was represented by adjusted hazard ratios (HR) or standardized beta (s.β) coefficients with a 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

A total of 2,862 articles were identified, and 26 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The results indicated that baseline blood NfL could predict cognitive decline, with MMSE [s.β= -0.17, 95% CI (-0.26, -0.07)]; PACC [s.β= -0.09, 95% CI (-0.16, -0.03)]; ADAS-cog [s.β= 0.21, 95% CI (0.13, 0.29)]; CDR-SOB [s.β= 0.27, 95% CI (0.03, 0.50)]; Global cognitive composite [s.β= -0.05, 95% CI (-0.08, -0.01)]; Memory subdomain [s.β= -0.06, 95% CI (-0.09, -0.03)]; Language subdomain [s.β= -0.07, 95% CI (-0.10, -0.05)]; Executive function subdomain [s.β= -0.02, 95% CI (-0.03, -0.01)]; Visuospatial subdomain [s.β= -0.06, 95% CI (-0.08, -0.04)]. Additionally, baseline blood NfL could predict disease progression (conversion from CU/SCD/MCI to MCI/AD) in the AD continuum [Adjust HR = 1.32, 95% CI (1.12, 1.56)].

Conclusions

Baseline blood NfL demonstrated predictive capabilities for global cognition and its memory, language, executive function, visuospatial subdomains decline in the AD continuum. Moreover, it exhibited the potential to predict disease progression in non-AD dementia participants.

Mapping the long-term delayed recall-based cortex-hippocampus network constrained by the structural and functional connectome: a case-control multimodal MRI study

Background

Connectome mapping may reveal new treatment targets for patients with neurological and psychiatric diseases. However, the long-term delayed recall based-network with structural and functional connectome is still largely unknown. Our objectives were to (1) identify the long-term delayed recall-based cortex-hippocampus network with structural and functional connectome and (2) investigate its relationships with various cognitive functions, age, and activities of daily living.

Methods

This case-control study enrolled 131 subjects (73 amnestic mild cognitive impairment [aMCI] patients and 58 age- and education-matched healthy controls [HCs]). All subjects completed a neuropsychological battery, activities of daily living assessment, and multimodal magnetic resonance imaging. Nodes of the cortical-hippocampal network related to long-term delayed recall were identified by probabilistic fiber tracking and functional connectivity (FC) analysis. Then, the main and interaction effects of the network on cognitive functions were assessed by a generalized linear model. Finally, the moderating effects of the network on the relationships between long-term delayed recall and clinical features were analyzed by multiple regression and Hayes’ bootstrap method. All the effects of cortex-hippocampus network were analyzed at the connectivity and network levels.

Results

The result of a generalized linear model showed that the bilateral hippocampus, left dorsolateral superior frontal gyrus, right supplementary motor area, left lingual gyrus, left superior occipital gyrus, left superior parietal gyrus, left precuneus, and right temporal pole (superior temporal gyrus) are the left and right cortex-hippocampus network nodes related to long-term delayed recall (P < 0.05). Significant interaction effects were found between the Auditory Verbal Learning Test Part 5 (AVLT 5) scores and global properties of the left cortex-hippocampus network [hierarchy, clustering coefficient, characteristic path length, global efficiency, local efficiency, Sigma and synchronization (P < 0.05 Bonferroni corrected)]. Significant interaction effects were found between the general cognitive function/executive function/language and global properties of the left cortex-hippocampus network [Sigma and synchronization (P < 0.05 Bonferroni corrected)].

Conclusion

This study introduces a novel symptom-based network and describes relationships among cognitive functions, brain function, and age. The cortex–hippocampus network constrained by the structural and functional connectome is closely related to long-term delayed recall.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13195-023-01197-7.

Uncovering heterogeneous cognitive trajectories in mild cognitive impairment: a data-driven approach

BACKGROUND

Given the complex and progressive nature of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), the ability to delineate and understand the heterogeneous cognitive trajectories is crucial for developing personalized medicine and informing trial design. The primary goals of this study were to examine whether different cognitive trajectories can be identified within subjects with MCI and, if present, to characterize each trajectory in relation to changes in all major Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers over time.

METHODS

Individuals with a diagnosis of MCI at the first visit and ≥ 1 follow-up cognitive assessment were selected from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database (n = 936; age 73 ± 8; 40% female; 16 ± 3 years of education; 50% APOE4 carriers). Based on the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale-13 (ADAS-Cog-13) total scores from baseline up to 5 years follow-up, a non-parametric k-means longitudinal clustering method was performed to obtain clusters of individuals with similar patterns of cognitive decline. We further conducted a series of linear mixed-effects models to study the associations of cluster membership with longitudinal changes in other cognitive measures, neurodegeneration, and in vivo AD pathologies.

RESULTS

Four distinct cognitive trajectories emerged. Cluster 1 consisted of 255 individuals (27%) with a nearly non-existent rate of change in the ADAS-Cog-13 over 5 years of follow-up and a healthy-looking biomarker profile. Individuals in the cluster 2 (n = 336, 35%) and 3 (n = 240, 26%) groups showed relatively mild and moderate cognitive decline trajectories, respectively. Cluster 4, comprising about 11% of our study sample (n = 105), exhibited an aggressive cognitive decline trajectory and was characterized by a pronouncedly abnormal biomarker profile.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with MCI show substantial heterogeneity in cognitive decline. Our findings may potentially contribute to improved trial design and patient stratification.

Cognitive Trajectories and Associated Biomarkers in Patients with Mild Cognitive Impairment

BACKGROUND

To diagnose mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients at risk of progression to dementia is clinically important but challenging.

OBJECTIVE

We classified MCI patients based on cognitive trajectories and compared biomarkers among groups.

METHODS

This study analyzed amnestic MCI patients with at least three Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) scores available over a minimum of 36 months from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database. Patients were classified based on their progression using trajectory modeling with the CDR-sum of box scores. We compared clinical and neuroimaging biomarkers across groups.

RESULTS

Of 569 eligible MCI patients (age 72.7±7.4 years, women n = 223), three trajectory groups were identified: stable (58.2%), slow decliners (24.6%), and fast decliners (17.2%). In the fifth year after diagnosis, the CDR-sum of box scores increased by 1.2, 5.4, and 11.8 points for the stable, slow, and fast decliners, respectively. Biomarkers associated with cognitive decline were amyloid-β 42, total tau, and phosphorylated tau protein in cerebrospinal fluid, hippocampal volume, cortical metabolism, and amount of cortical and subcortical amyloid deposits. Cortical metabolism and the amount of amyloid deposits were associated with the rate of cognitive decline.

CONCLUSION

Data-driven trajectory analysis provides new insights into the various cognitive trajectories of MCI. Baseline brain metabolism, and the amount of cortical and subcortical amyloid burden can provide additional information on the rate of cognitive decline.

Why a clinical trial is as good as its outcome measure: A framework for the selection and use of cognitive outcome measures for clinical trials of Alzheimer's disease

A crucial aspect of any clinical trial is using the right outcome measure to assess treatment efficacy. Compared to the rapidly evolved understanding and measurement of pathophysiology in preclinical and early symptomatic stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD), relatively less progress has been made in the evolution of clinical outcome assessments (COAs) for those stages. The current paper aims to provide a benchmark for the design and evaluation of COAs for use in early AD trials. We discuss lessons learned on capturing cognitive changes in predementia stages of AD, including challenges when validating novel COAs for those early stages and necessary evidence for their implementation in clinical trials. Moving forward, we propose a multi-step framework to advance the use of more effective COAs to assess clinically meaningful changes in early AD, which will hopefully contribute to the much-needed consensus around more appropriate outcome measures to assess clinical efficacy of putative treatments. HIGHLIGHTS: We discuss lessons learned on capturing cognitive changes in predementia stages of AD. We propose a framework for the design and evaluation of performance based cognitive tests for use in early AD trials. We provide recommendations to facilitate the implementation of more effective cognitive outcome measures in AD trials.

Using a Digital Neuro Signature to measure longitudinal individual-level change in Alzheimer's disease: the Altoida large cohort study

Conventional neuropsychological assessments for Alzheimer's disease are burdensome and inaccurate at detecting mild cognitive impairment and predicting Alzheimer's disease risk. Altoida's Digital Neuro Signature (DNS), a longitudinal cognitive test consisting of two active digital biomarker metrics, alleviates these limitations. By comparison to conventional neuropsychological assessments, DNS results in faster evaluations (10 min vs 45-120 min), and generates higher test-retest in intraindividual assessment, as well as higher accuracy at detecting abnormal cognition. This study comparatively evaluates the performance of Altoida's DNS and conventional neuropsychological assessments in intraindividual assessments of cognition and function by means of two semi-naturalistic observational experiments with 525 participants in laboratory and clinical settings. The results show that DNS is consistently more sensitive than conventional neuropsychological assessments at capturing longitudinal individual-level change, both with respect to intraindividual variability and dispersion (intraindividual variability across multiple tests), across three participant groups: healthy controls, mild cognitive impairment, and Alzheimer's disease. Dispersion differences between DNS and conventional neuropsychological assessments were more pronounced with more advanced disease stages, and DNS-intraindividual variability was able to predict conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease. These findings are instrumental for patient monitoring and management, remote clinical trial assessment, and timely interventions, and will hopefully contribute to a better understanding of Alzheimer's disease.

Finding Treatment Effects in Alzheimer Trials in the Face of Disease Progression Heterogeneity

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the influence of heterogeneity in disease progression for detecting treatment effects in Alzheimer disease (AD) trials, using a simulation study.

METHODS

Individuals with an abnormal amyloid PET scan, diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment or dementia, baseline Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score ≥24, global Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) score of 0.5, and ≥1 follow-up cognitive assessment were selected from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database (n = 302, age 73 ± 6.7; 44% female; 16.1 ± 2.7 years of education; 69% APOE ε4 carrier). We simulated a clinical trial by randomly assigning individuals to a "placebo" and "treatment" group and subsequently computed group differences on the CDR-sum of boxes (CDR-SB), Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale-13 and MMSE after 18 months follow-up. We repeated this simulation 10,000 times to determine the 95% range of effect sizes. We further studied the influence of known AD risk factors (age, sex, education, APOE ε4 status, CSF total tau levels) on the variability in effect sizes.

RESULTS

Individual trajectories on all cognitive outcomes were highly variable, and the 95% ranges of possible effect sizes at 18 months were broad (e.g., ranging from 0.35 improvement to 0.35 decline on the CDR-SB). Results of recent anti-amyloid trials mostly fell within these 95% ranges of effect sizes. APOE ε4 carriers and individuals with abnormal baseline tau levels showed faster decline at group level, but also greater within-group variability, as illustrated by broader 95% effect size ranges (e.g., ±0.70 points for the CDR-SB).

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with early AD show heterogeneity in disease progression, which increases when stratifying on risk factors associated with progression. We provide guidance for a priori effect sizes on cognitive outcomes for detecting true change, which is crucial for future AD trials.

Association between APOE ε2 and Aβ burden in patients with Alzheimer- and vascular-type cognitive impairment

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between APOE genotype and β-amyloid (Aβ) burden, as measured by PET in patients with subcortical vascular cognitive impairment (SVCI) and those with Alzheimer disease-related cognitive impairment (ADCI).

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study of 310 patients with SVCI and 999 with ADCI. To evaluate the effects of APOE genotype or diagnostic group on Aβ positivity, we performed multivariate logistic regression analyses. Further distinctive underlying features of latent subgroups were examined by employing a latent class cluster analysis approach.

RESULTS

In comparison with ε3 homozygotes, in the ADCI group, ε2 carriers showed a lower frequency of Aβ positivity (odds ratio [OR] 0.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23-0.79), while in the SVCI group, ε2 carriers showed a higher frequency of Aβ positivity (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.02-5.01). In particular, we observed an interaction effect of ε2 carrier status and diagnostic group on Aβ positivity (OR 5.12, 95% CI 1.93-13.56), in that relative to ε3 homozygotes, there were more Aβ-positive ε2 carriers in the SVCI group than in the ADCI group. We also identified latent subgroups of Aβ-positive APOE ε2 carriers with SVCI and Aβ-positive APOE ε4 carriers with ADCI.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that APOE ε2 is distinctly associated with Aβ deposition in patients with SVCI and those with ADCI. Our findings further suggest that there is a distinctive subgroup of Aβ-positive APOE ε2 carriers with SVCI among patients with cognitive impairment.

Diagnostic accuracy of cognitive screening tools under different neuropsychological definitions for poststroke cognitive impairment

OBJECTIVES

The accuracy of cognitive screening tools to detect poststroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) was investigated using various neuropsychological definitions.

METHODS

Hospital-based stroke patients underwent a comprehensive neuropsychological assessment. The rate of PSCI was estimated using thresholds of 1, 1.5, or 2 standard deviations below the normal control and memory impairment defined by a single or multiple tests. Meanwhile, the diagnostic accuracy of cognitive screening through face-to-face assessment using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment Scale (MoCA), and telephone assessment using a 5-minute NINDS-Canadian Stroke Network (NINDS-CSN) scale and a six-item screener (SIS), was both tested under different definitions, with the optimal cutoff selected based on the highest Youden index.

RESULTS

In stroke patients, the rate of PSCI ranged from 46.3% to 76.3% upon different definitions. The face-to-face MoCA was more consistent with the comprehensive cognitive assessment compared to MMSE. The optimal cutoff of PSCI was MMSE ≤ 27 and MoCA ≤ 19. For the telephone tests, the 5-minute NINDS-CSN assessment was more reliable, and the optimal cutoff was ≤23, while for SIS ≤ 4.

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive screening tools including the face-to-face MMSE and MoCA, together with the telephone assessment of NINDS-CSN 5-minute protocol and SIS, were simple and effective for detecting PSCI in stroke patients. The corresponding threshold values for PSCI were 27 points, 19 points, 23 points, and 4 points.