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Bergman H, Henschke N, Villanueva G, Loke YK, Golder SP, Dwan K, Crosbie EJ, Kyrgiou M, Platt J, Morrison J. Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination for the prevention of cervical cancer and other HPV-related diseases: a network meta-analysis. Hippokratia 2022. [DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd015364] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Yoon Kong Loke
- Norwich Medical School; University of East Anglia; Norwich UK
| | - Su P Golder
- Department of Health Sciences; University of York; York UK
| | - Kerry Dwan
- Methods Support Unit, Editorial & Methods Department; Cochrane Central Executive; London UK
| | - Emma J Crosbie
- Division of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health; University of Manchester; Manchester UK
| | - Maria Kyrgiou
- IRDB, Department of Gut, Metabolism & Reproduction - Surgery & Cancer; Imperial College London; London UK
| | - Joanne Platt
- Cochrane Gynaecological, Neuro-oncology and Orphan Cancer Group; Royal United Hospital; Bath UK
| | - Jo Morrison
- Department of Gynaecological Oncology; Musgrove Park Hospital; Taunton UK
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Mac Eochagain C, Power R, Parker I, Brennan D. HPV vaccination among seropositive, DNA negative cohorts: a systematic review & meta-analysis. J Gynecol Oncol 2022; 33:e24. [PMID: 35128855 PMCID: PMC9024181 DOI: 10.3802/jgo.2022.33.e24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2021] [Revised: 10/01/2021] [Accepted: 12/16/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Vaccine efficacy among previously exposed, but currently uninfected women, i.e., those who have serological evidence of a prior human papillomavirus (HPV) infection without corresponding detectable HPV DNA, remains incompletely defined. This meta-analysis assessed the serotype-specific efficacy of prophylactic HPV vaccination against HPV16/18 persistent infection (PI) and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) among seropositive, DNA negative (SPDN) women enrolled to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of HPV L1-based vaccines. Methods Searches were conducted on 08/16/20 on MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus and CENTRAL. RCTs of L1-based prophylactic bivalent or quadrivalent HPV vaccines, reporting serotype-specific clinical efficacy endpoints in the HPV16/18 seropositive, DNA-negative populations were included. Relative risks (RRs) of 6-month PI (6mPI), 12-month PI (12mPI), CIN1+ and CIN2+ were pooled using a random-effects model. Results A total of 1,727 citations were reviewed. 8 studies, with a total of 9,569 SPDN participants, met all eligibility criteria. The RR of 6mPI (RR=0.22; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.08–0.61; p=0.018), 12mPI (RR=0.20; 95% CI=0.05–0.80; p=0.035), CIN1+ (RR=0.13; 95% CI=0.05–0.30; p=0.003) and CIN2+ (RR=0.15; 95% CI=0.04–0.59; p=0.022) was significantly reduced in the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated group. Conclusion Our findings suggest high serotype-specific efficacy for HPV vaccination among cohorts of women with evidence of prior HPV16/18 infections, including 87% efficacy (95% CI=70%–95%; p=0.003) against HPV16/18 cervical dysplasia. HPV vaccination is highly effective among uninfected women, regardless of prior exposure history. Trial Registration PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42020206888
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Donal Brennan
- Department of Gynaecological Oncology, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
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Clinical trials were missing from regulatory documents of extended-release methylphenidate for ADHD in adults: A case study of public documents. J Clin Epidemiol 2021; 143:242-253. [PMID: 34752938 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.10.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2020] [Revised: 07/29/2021] [Accepted: 10/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To assess whether drug regulatory agencies decided on applications for extended-release methylphenidate for use in adult ADHD based on select samples of trials. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING Case series of publicly available regulatory documents. We matched an index of extended-release methylphenidate trials for adult ADHD with trials appearing in regulatory documents of extended-release methylphenidate applications. Trials and regulatory documents were identified as part of this systematic review (https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012857). We sought to identify missing trials in the regulatory documents and to clarify regulatory submission requirements. RESULTS We indexed 18 trials and matched those with 13 drug applications (11 approved, 2 rejected) published by 7 agencies. There were trials missing in 8 (62%) of 13 applications, median 3.5 trials (range 1-6). The median proportion of missing trial participants was 42% (range 14% - 72%). Regulators seemingly require that all trials must be included in new drug applications, but wording is ambiguous. CONCLUSION In this sample of extended-release methylphenidate drug applications for adult ADHD, 8 of 13 regulatory decisions were missing entire trials according to public documents, even though regulatory requirements seem to stipulate that all available trials should be included in drug applications.
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Yarborough M. Do we really know how many clinical trials are conducted ethically? Why research ethics committee review practices need to be strengthened and initial steps we could take to strengthen them. JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ETHICS 2021; 47:572-579. [PMID: 32532827 PMCID: PMC8011810 DOI: 10.1136/medethics-2019-106014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2019] [Revised: 05/19/2020] [Accepted: 05/22/2020] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
Research Ethics Committees (RECs) play a critical gatekeeping role in clinical trials. This role is meant to ensure that only those trials that meet certain ethical thresholds proceed through their gate. Two of these thresholds are that the potential benefits of trials are reasonable in relation to risks and that trials are capable of producing a requisite amount of social value. While one ought not expect perfect execution by RECs of their gatekeeping role, one should expect routine success in it. This article reviews a range of evidence showing that substantial numbers of ethically tainted trials are receiving REC approvals. Many of the trials are early phase trials that evidence shows have benefits that may not be reasonable compared with their risks and many others are later trials that evidence shows may lack sufficient social value. The evidence pertains to such matters as methodologically inadequate preclinical studies incapable of supporting the inferences that REC members must make about the prospects for potential benefit needed to offset the risks in early phase trials and sponsorship bias that can cause improperly designed, conducted, analysed and reported later phase trials. The analysis of the evidence makes clear that REC practices need to be strengthened if they are to adequately fulfil their gatekeeping role. The article also explores options that RECs could use in order to improve their gatekeeping function.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark Yarborough
- Bioethics Program, University of California Davis, Sacramento, CA 95817, USA
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Doshi P, Bourgeois F, Hong K, Jones M, Lee H, Shamseer L, Spence O, Jefferson T. Adjuvant-containing control arms in pivotal quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine trials: restoration of previously unpublished methodology. BMJ Evid Based Med 2020; 25:213-219. [PMID: 32184277 PMCID: PMC7691700 DOI: 10.1136/bmjebm-2019-111331] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/02/2020] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Trustworthy reporting of quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine trials is the foundation for assessing the vaccine's risks and benefits. However, several pivotal trial publications incompletely reported important methodological details and inaccurately described the formulation that the control arms received. Under the Restoring Invisible and Abandoned Trials initiative (RIAT), we aim to restore the public record regarding the content and rationale of the controls used in the trials. METHODS We assembled a cohort (five randomised controlled trials) described as placebo-controlled using clinical study reports (CSRs) obtained from the European Medicines Agency. We extracted the content and rationale for the choice of control used in each trial across six data sources: trial publications, register records, CSR synopses, CSR main bodies, protocols and informed consent forms. RESULTS Across data sources, the control was inconsistently reported as 'placebo'-containing aluminium adjuvant (sometimes with dose information). Amorphous aluminium hydroxyphosphate sulfate (AAHS) was not mentioned in any trial registry entry, but was mentioned in all publications and CSRs. In three of five trials, consent forms described the control as an 'inactive' substance. No rationale for the selection of the control was reported in any trial publication, register, consent form, CSR synopsis or protocol. Three trials reported the rationale for choice of control in CSRs: to preserve blinding and assess the safety of HPV virus-like particles as the 'safety profile of (AAHS) is well characterised'. CONCLUSIONS The stated rationale of using AAHS control-to characterise the safety of the HPV virus-like particles-lacks clinical relevance. A non-placebo control may have obscured an accurate assessment of safety and the participant consent process of some trials raises ethical concerns. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS NCT00092482, NCT00092521, NCT00092534, NCT00090220, NCT00090285.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Doshi
- Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Florence Bourgeois
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Kyungwan Hong
- Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Mark Jones
- Institute for Evidence-based Healthcare, Bond University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia
| | - Haeyoung Lee
- Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Larissa Shamseer
- Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
- University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - O'Mareen Spence
- Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Tom Jefferson
- Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Zhang N, Liu K, She Y, Zhao W, Zeng J, Lin G. Efficacy and safety of acupuncture and moxibustion for herpes zoster: A protocol for systematic review and network meta analysis. Medicine (Baltimore) 2020; 99:e21905. [PMID: 32899021 PMCID: PMC7478486 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000021905] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2020] [Accepted: 07/24/2020] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Herpes zoster (HZ) is currently treated primarily with antiviral drugs, yet this treatment has been debated. Acupuncture is becoming a more important treatment in this protocol. For example, pain intensity is lower among HZ patients who receive acupuncture plus moxibustion than among those who receive pharmacotherapy. There are many types of acupuncture interventions, including electroacupuncture, moxibustion, bloodletting. In this study, a network meta-analysis (NMA) is used to rank various interventions of acupuncture. METHODS AND ANALYSIS Electronic searches of abstracts and titles will be performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, CBM, CNKI, CQVIP, and Wanfang Data databases, from inception to December 31, 2019. Published and unpublished controlled trials with different acupuncture interventions will be selected, trials of antiviral drugs as the control group. All patients of HZ will be included, except for those diagnosed with PHN, immunocompromised patients, or those with complications. The effective therapy rate and the incidence of PHN are primary outcomes. The NMA will be analyzed with Stata 13.0 and GeMTC 0.14.3. DISCUSSION The NMA will be established to compare various interventions of acupuncture for the therapy of HZ, that could resolve the limitations of previous methodologies with this protocol. It will be possible to determine the best acupuncture intervention for more primary outcomes of therapy, including subgroup analysis of patients with aged ≥50 years and those of aged <50 years. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION The NMA does not require ethical approval. The data analyzed is not personal. It is only systematically used to evaluate the effectiveness of acupuncture treatments. The results will be disseminated through international conference reports and peer-reviewed manuscripts. STRENGTH AND LIMITATIONS OF THIS STUDY A comprehensive methodology is established to rank various interventions of acupuncture by which best evidence-based intervention may be recommended for those population groups of aged ≥50 years and aged <50 years. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER CRD42019118369.
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Affiliation(s)
- Na Zhang
- Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine
| | - Kun Liu
- Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine
| | - Yalin She
- Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine
| | - Weixuan Zhao
- First Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Pharmaceutical University
| | - Jingchun Zeng
- Department of Acupuncture, The First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China
| | - Guohua Lin
- Department of Acupuncture, The First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China
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Immunogenicity Measures of Influenza Vaccines: A Study of 1164 Registered Clinical Trials. Vaccines (Basel) 2020; 8:vaccines8020325. [PMID: 32575440 PMCID: PMC7350243 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines8020325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2020] [Revised: 06/08/2020] [Accepted: 06/17/2020] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
Influenza carries an enormous burden each year. Annual influenza vaccination is the best means of reducing this burden. To be clinically effective, influenza vaccines must be immunogenic, and several immunological assays to test their immunogenicity have been developed. This study aimed to describe the patterns of use of the various immunological assays available to measure the influenza vaccine-induced adaptive immune response and to determine its correlates of protection. A total of 76.5% of the studies included in our analysis measured only the humoral immune response. Among these, the hemagglutination-inhibition assay was by far the most widely used. Other, less common, humoral immune response assays were: virus neutralization (21.7%), enzyme-linked immunosorbent (10.1%), single radial hemolysis (4.6%), and assays able to quantify anti-neuraminidase antibodies (1.7%). By contrast, cell-mediated immunity was quantified in only 23.5% of studies. Several variables were significantly associated with the use of single assays. Specifically, some influenza vaccine types (e.g., adjuvanted, live attenuated and cell culture-derived or recombinant), study phase and study sponsorship pattern were usually found to be statistically significant predictors. We discuss the principal findings and make some suggestions from the point of view of the various stakeholders.
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Jørgensen L, Gøtzsche PC, Jefferson T. Benefits and harms of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines: comparison of trial data from clinical study reports with corresponding trial register entries and journal publications. Syst Rev 2020; 9:42. [PMID: 32106871 PMCID: PMC7047365 DOI: 10.1186/s13643-020-01300-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2018] [Revised: 05/27/2019] [Accepted: 02/18/2020] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND No study has looked at differences of pooled estimates-such as meta-analyses-of corresponding study documents of the same intervention. In this study, we compared meta-analyses of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine trial data from clinical study reports with trial data from corresponding trial register entries and journal publications. METHODS We obtained clinical study reports from the European Medicines Agency and GlaxoSmithKline, corresponding trial register entries from ClinicalTrials.gov and corresponding journal publications via the Cochrane Collaboration's Central Register of Controlled Trials, Google Scholar and PubMed. Two researchers extracted data. We compared reporting of trial design aspects and 20 prespecified benefit and harm outcomes extracted from each study document type. Risk ratios were calculated with the random effects inverse variance method. RESULTS We included study documents from 22 randomized clinical trials and 2 follow-up studies with 95,670 healthy participants and non-HPV vaccine comparators (placebo, HPV vaccine adjuvants and hepatitis vaccines). We obtained 24 clinical study reports, 24 corresponding trial register entries and 23 corresponding journal publications; the median number of pages was 1351 (range 357 to 11,456), 32 (range 11 to 167) and 11 (range 7 to 83), respectively. All 24 (100%) clinical study reports, no (0%) trial register entries and 9 (39%) journal publications reported on all six major design-related biases defined by the Cochrane Handbook version 2011. The clinical study reports reported more inclusion criteria (mean 7.0 vs. 5.8 [trial register entries] and 4.0 [journal publications]) and exclusion criteria (mean 17.8 vs. 11.7 and 5.0) but fewer primary outcomes (mean 1.6 vs. 3.5 and 1.2) and secondary outcomes (mean 8.8 vs. 13.0 and 3.2) than the trial register entries. Results were posted for 19 trial register entries (79%). Compared to the clinical study reports, the trial register entries and journal publications contained 3% and 44% of the seven assessed benefit data points (6879 vs. 230 and 3015) and 38% and 31% of the 13 assessed harm data points (167,550 vs. 64,143 and 51,899). No meta-analysis estimate differed significantly when we compared pooled risk ratio estimates of corresponding study document data as ratios of relative risk. CONCLUSION There were no significant differences in the meta-analysis estimates of the assessed outcomes from corresponding study documents. The clinical study reports were the superior study documents in terms of the quantity and the quality of the data they contained and should be used as primary data sources in systematic reviews. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION The protocol for our comparison is registered on PROSPERO as an addendum to our systematic review of the benefits and harms of the HPV vaccines: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPEROFILES/56093_PROTOCOL_20180320.pdf: CRD42017056093. Our systematic review protocol was registered on PROSPERO on January 2017: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPEROFILES/56093_PROTOCOL_20170030.pdf. Two protocol amendments were registered on PROSPERO on November 2017: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPEROFILES/56093_PROTOCOL_20171116.pdf. Our index of the HPV vaccine studies was published in Systematic Reviews on January 2018: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13643-018-0675-z. A description of the challenges obtaining the data was published on September 2018: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.k3694.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lars Jørgensen
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet 7811, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Peter C. Gøtzsche
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet 7811, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tom Jefferson
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet 7811, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
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Jørgensen L, Gøtzsche PC, Jefferson T. Benefits and harms of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines: systematic review with meta-analyses of trial data from clinical study reports. Syst Rev 2020; 9:43. [PMID: 32106879 PMCID: PMC7047375 DOI: 10.1186/s13643-019-0983-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2018] [Accepted: 03/06/2019] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess the benefits and harms of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines. DATA SOURCES Clinical study reports obtained from the European Medicines Agency and GlaxoSmithKline from 2014 to 2017. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA Randomised trials that compared an HPV vaccine with a placebo or active comparator in healthy participants of all ages. APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS Two researchers extracted data and judged risk of bias with the Cochrane tool (version 2011). Risk ratio (RR) estimates were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. OUTCOMES Clinically relevant outcomes in intention to treat populations-including HPV-related cancer precursors irrespective of involved HPV types, treatment procedures and serious and general harms. RESULTS Twenty-four of 50 eligible clinical study reports were obtained with 58,412 pages of 22 trials and 2 follow-up studies including 95,670 participants: 79,102 females and 16,568 males age 8-72; 393,194 person-years; and 49 months mean weighted follow-up. We judged all 24 studies to be at high risk of bias. Serious harms were incompletely reported for 72% of participants (68,610/95,670). Nearly all control participants received active comparators (48,289/48,595, 99%). No clinical study report included complete case report forms. At 4 years follow-up, the HPV vaccines reduced HPV-related carcinoma in situ (367 in the HPV vaccine group vs. 490 in the comparator group, RR 0.73 [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.53 to 1.00], number needed to vaccinate [NNV] 387, P = 0.05, I2 = 67%) and HPV-related treatment procedures (1018 vs. 1416, RR 0.71 [95% CI 0.63 to 0.80], NNV 75, P < 0.00001, I2 = 45%). The HPV vaccines increased serious nervous system disorders (exploratory analysis: 72 vs. 46, RR 1.49 [1.02 to 2.16], number needed to harm [NNH] 1325, P = 0.040, I2 = 0%) and general harms (13,248 vs. 12,394, RR 1.07 [95% CI 1.03 to 1.11], NNH 51, P = 0.0002, I2 = 77%) but did not significantly increase fatal harms (45 vs. 38, RR 1.19 [95% CI 0.65 to 2.19], P = 0.58, I2 = 30%) or serious harms (1404 vs. 1357, RR 1.01 [95% CI 0.94 to 1.08], P = 0.79, I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION At 4 years follow-up, the HPV vaccines decreased HPV-related cancer precursors and treatment procedures but increased serious nervous system disorders (exploratory analysis) and general harms. As the included trials were primarily designed to assess benefits and were not adequately designed to assess harms, the extent to which the HPV vaccines' benefits outweigh their harms is unclear. Limited access to clinical study reports and trial data with case report forms prevented a thorough assessment. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION CRD42017056093. Our systematic review protocol was registered on PROSPERO in January 2017: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPEROFILES/56093_PROTOCOL_20170030.pdf. Two protocol amendments were registered on PROSPERO on November 2017: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPEROFILES/56093_PROTOCOL_20171116.pdf. Our index of the HPV vaccine studies was published in Systematic Reviews in January 2018: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13643-018-0675-z. A description of the challenges obtaining the data was published in September 2018: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.k3694.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lars Jørgensen
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet 7811, Tagensvej 22, 2200 Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Peter C. Gøtzsche
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100 København, Denmark
- Institute for Scientific Freedom, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tom Jefferson
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet 7811, Tagensvej 22, 2200 Copenhagen, Denmark
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Furuya-Kanamori L, Xu C, Lin L, Doan T, Chu H, Thalib L, Doi SAR. P value-driven methods were underpowered to detect publication bias: analysis of Cochrane review meta-analyses. J Clin Epidemiol 2020; 118:86-92. [PMID: 31743750 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2019.11.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 60] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2019] [Revised: 09/30/2019] [Accepted: 11/13/2019] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of the study was to investigate the effect of number of studies in a meta-analysis on the detection of publication bias using P value-driven methods. METHODS The proportion of meta-analyses detected by Egger's, Harbord's, Peters', and Begg's tests to have asymmetry suggestive of publication bias were examined in 5,014 meta-analyses from Cochrane reviews. P values were also assessed in meta-analyses with varying number of studies, whereas symmetry was held constant. A simulation study was conducted to investigate if the above tests underestimate or overestimate the presence of publication bias. RESULTS The proportion of meta-analyses detected as asymmetrical via Egger's, Harbord's, Peters', and Begg's tests decreased by 42.6%, 41.1%, 29.3%, and 28.3%, respectively, when the median number of studies in the meta-analysis decreased from 87 to 14. P values decreased as the number of studies increased in the meta-analysis, despite the level of symmetry remaining constant. The simulation study confirmed that when publication bias is present, P value tests underestimate the presence of publication bias, particularly when study numbers are small. CONCLUSION P value-based tests used for the detection of publication bias-related asymmetry in meta-analysis require careful examination, as they underestimate asymmetry. Alternative methods not dependent on the number of studies are preferable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luis Furuya-Kanamori
- Research School of Population Health, ANU College of Health and Medicine, Australian National University, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
| | - Chang Xu
- Department of Population Medicine, College of Medicine, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Lifeng Lin
- Department of Statistics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Tinh Doan
- Department of Statistics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Haitao Chu
- Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
| | - Lukman Thalib
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Suhail A R Doi
- Department of Population Medicine, College of Medicine, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
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Bergman H, Buckley BS, Villanueva G, Petkovic J, Garritty C, Lutje V, Riveros‐Balta AX, Low N, Henschke N. Comparison of different human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine types and dose schedules for prevention of HPV-related disease in females and males. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2019; 2019:CD013479. [PMID: 31755549 PMCID: PMC6873216 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd013479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Uptake of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine remains low in many countries, although the bivalent and quadrivalent HPV vaccines given as a three-dose schedule are effective in the prevention of precancerous lesions of the cervix in women. Simpler immunisation schedules, such as those with fewer doses, might reduce barriers to vaccination, as may programmes that include males. OBJECTIVES To evaluate the efficacy, immunogenicity, and harms of different dose schedules and different types of HPV vaccines in females and males. SEARCH METHODS We conducted electronic searches on 27 September 2018 in Ovid MEDLINE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (in the Cochrane Library), and Ovid Embase. We also searched the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and ClinicalTrials.gov (both 27 September 2018), vaccine manufacturer websites, and checked reference lists from an index of HPV studies and other relevant systematic reviews. SELECTION CRITERIA We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with no language restriction. We considered studies if they enrolled HIV-negative males or females aged 9 to 26 years, or HIV-positive males or females of any age. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS We used methods recommended by Cochrane. We use the term 'control' to refer to comparator products containing an adjuvant or active vaccine and 'placebo' to refer to products that contain no adjuvant or active vaccine. Most primary outcomes in this review were clinical outcomes. However, for comparisons comparing dose schedules, the included RCTs were designed to measure antibody responses (i.e. immunogenicity) as the primary outcome, rather than clinical outcomes, since it is unethical to collect cervical samples from girls under 16 years of age. We analysed immunogenicity outcomes (i.e. geometric mean titres) with ratios of means, clinical outcomes (e.g. cancer and intraepithelial neoplasia) with risk ratios or rate ratios and, for serious adverse events and deaths, we calculated odds ratios. We rated the certainty of evidence with GRADE. MAIN RESULTS We included 20 RCTs with 31,940 participants. The length of follow-up in the included studies ranged from seven months to five years. Two doses versus three doses of HPV vaccine in 9- to 15-year-old females Antibody responses after two-dose and three-dose HPV vaccine schedules were similar after up to five years of follow-up (4 RCTs, moderate- to high-certainty evidence). No RCTs collected clinical outcome data. Evidence about serious adverse events in studies comparing dose schedules was of very low-certainty owing to imprecision and indirectness (three doses 35/1159; two doses 36/1158; 4 RCTs). One death was reported in the three-dose group (1/898) and none in the two-dose group (0/899) (low-certainty evidence). Interval between doses of HPV vaccine in 9- to 14-year-old females and males Antibody responses were stronger with a longer interval (6 or 12 months) between the first two doses of HPV vaccine than a shorter interval (2 or 6 months) at up to three years of follow-up (4 RCTs, moderate- to high-certainty evidence). No RCTs collected data about clinical outcomes. Evidence about serious adverse events in studies comparing intervals was of very low-certainty, owing to imprecision and indirectness. No deaths were reported in any of the studies (0/1898, 3 RCTs, low-certainty evidence). HPV vaccination of 10- to 26-year-old males In one RCT there was moderate-certainty evidence that quadrivalent HPV vaccine, compared with control, reduced the incidence of external genital lesions (control 36 per 3081 person-years; quadrivalent 6 per 3173 person-years; rate ratio 0.16, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.38; 6254 person-years) and anogenital warts (control 28 per 2814 person-years; quadrivalent 3 per 2831 person-years; rate ratio 0.11, 95% CI 0.03 to 0.38; 5645 person-years). The quadrivalent vaccine resulted in more injection-site adverse events, such as pain or redness, than control (537 versus 601 per 1000; risk ratio (RR) 1.12, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.18, 3895 participants, high-certainty evidence). There was very low-certainty evidence from two RCTs about serious adverse events with quadrivalent vaccine (control 12/2588; quadrivalent 8/2574), and about deaths (control 11/2591; quadrivalent 3/2582), owing to imprecision and indirectness. Nonavalent versus quadrivalent vaccine in 9- to 26-year-old females and males Three RCTs were included; one in females aged 9- to 15-years (n = 600), one in females aged 16- to 26-years (n = 14,215), and one in males aged 16- to 26-years (n = 500). The RCT in 16- to 26-year-old females reported clinical outcomes. There was little to no difference in the incidence of the combined outcome of high-grade cervical epithelial neoplasia, adenocarcinoma in situ, or cervical cancer between the HPV vaccines (quadrivalent 325/6882, nonavalent 326/6871; OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.16; 13,753 participants; high-certainty evidence). The other two RCTs did not collect data about clinical outcomes. There were slightly more local adverse events with the nonavalent vaccine (905 per 1000) than the quadrivalent vaccine (846 per 1000) (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.08; 3 RCTs, 15,863 participants; high-certainty evidence). Comparative evidence about serious adverse events in the three RCTs (nonavalent 243/8234, quadrivalent 192/7629; OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.14 to 2.61) was of low certainty, owing to imprecision and indirectness. HPV vaccination for people living with HIV Seven RCTs reported on HPV vaccines in people with HIV, with two small trials that collected data about clinical outcomes. Antibody responses were higher following vaccination with either bivalent or quadrivalent HPV vaccine than with control, and these responses could be demonstrated to have been maintained for up to 24 months in children living with HIV (low-certainty evidence). The evidence about clinical outcomes and harms for HPV vaccines in people with HIV is very uncertain (low- to very low-certainty evidence), owing to imprecision and indirectness. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS The immunogenicity of two-dose and three-dose HPV vaccine schedules, measured using antibody responses in young females, is comparable. The quadrivalent vaccine probably reduces external genital lesions and anogenital warts in males compared with control. The nonavalent and quadrivalent vaccines offer similar protection against a combined outcome of cervical, vaginal, and vulval precancer lesions or cancer. In people living with HIV, both the bivalent and quadrivalent HPV vaccines result in high antibody responses. For all comparisons of alternative HPV vaccine schedules, the certainty of the body of evidence about serious adverse events reported during the study periods was low or very low, either because the number of events was low, or the evidence was indirect, or both. Post-marketing surveillance is needed to continue monitoring harms that might be associated with HPV vaccines in the population, and this evidence will be incorporated in future updates of this review. Long-term observational studies are needed to determine the effectiveness of reduced-dose schedules against HPV-related cancer endpoints, and whether adopting these schedules improves vaccine coverage rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hanna Bergman
- CochraneCochrane ResponseSt Albans House57‐59 HaymarketLondonUKSW1Y 4QX
| | - Brian S Buckley
- CochraneCochrane ResponseSt Albans House57‐59 HaymarketLondonUKSW1Y 4QX
- University of PhillipinesDepartment of SurgeryManilaPhilippines
| | - Gemma Villanueva
- CochraneCochrane ResponseSt Albans House57‐59 HaymarketLondonUKSW1Y 4QX
| | - Jennifer Petkovic
- CochraneCochrane ResponseSt Albans House57‐59 HaymarketLondonUKSW1Y 4QX
- University of OttawaBruyère Research Institute43 Bruyère StAnnex E, room 312OttawaONCanadaK1N 5C8
| | - Chantelle Garritty
- CochraneCochrane ResponseSt Albans House57‐59 HaymarketLondonUKSW1Y 4QX
- Ottawa Hospital Research InstituteOttawa Methods Centre, Clinical Epidemiology ProgramOttawaOntarioCanadaK1H 8L1
| | - Vittoria Lutje
- Liverpool School of Tropical MedicineDepartment of Clinical SciencesPembroke PlaceLiverpoolUKL3 5QA
| | | | - Nicola Low
- University of BernInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM)Finkenhubelweg 11BernSwitzerlandCH‐3012
| | - Nicholas Henschke
- CochraneCochrane ResponseSt Albans House57‐59 HaymarketLondonUKSW1Y 4QX
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Takeuchi J, Noma H, Sakanishi Y, Kawamura T. Adverse events associated with human papillomavirus vaccines: a protocol for systematic review with network meta-analysis incorporating all randomised controlled trials comparing with placebo, adjuvants and other vaccines. BMJ Open 2019; 9:e026924. [PMID: 31439596 PMCID: PMC6707669 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-026924] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2018] [Revised: 07/14/2019] [Accepted: 07/17/2019] [Indexed: 01/21/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Adverse events following the injection (AEFIs) of human papillomavirus vaccine (HPVv) among female adolescents are still a major public health concern. METHODS According to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis extension statement for systematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses, all prospective randomised trials will be included. The primary outcome for adverse events is topical pain during the observation period.We will mainly search 17 electronic databases from January 2000 through September 2019 with suitable Medical Subject Headings and text words for PubMed. Two reviewers will independently check the reports at the title/abstract level and identify potentially applicable studies. Then we will obtain their full texts and decide whether to include them based on the same eligible criteria.We will compare HPVv with placebo, HPVv with adjuvant and HPVv with other vaccines. Interstudy heterogeneity, publication biases or small study effects will be evaluated using conventional meta-analysis methods. The consistency of the network will be checked using tests for local and global inconsistency and the side-splitting method. To address the heterogeneity of treatment effects among the studies, we will use the multivariable random effect model. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This pairwise or network meta-analysis does not require ethics approval. The data used here are not individual nor private. We will be able to determine which component of the vaccine induces adverse events, especially topical pain. This systematic review with network meta-analysis will provide valid answers regarding AEFIs for HPVv. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER CRD42018109265.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiro Takeuchi
- Clinical Epidemiology, Hyogo College of Medicine, Nishinomiya, Japan
| | - Hisashi Noma
- Department of Data Science, The Institute of Statistical Mathematic, Tachikawa, Japan
| | - Yuta Sakanishi
- Sakanishi Internal Medicine and Pediatrics Clinic, Omuta, Japan
- Community Medical Support Institute, Saga University Faculty of Medicine, Saga, Japan
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Chandler RE. Modernising vaccine surveillance systems to improve detection of rare or poorly defined adverse events. BMJ 2019; 365:l2268. [PMID: 31151960 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.l2268] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
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Farquhar C. Cochrane review on HPV vaccination is not misleading. BMJ Evid Based Med 2019; 24:83-84. [PMID: 30322866 DOI: 10.1136/bmjebm-2018-111101] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/04/2018] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
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Heneghan C, Onakpoya I. Editors' response to concerns over the publication of the Cochrane HPV vaccine review was incomplete and ignored important evidence of bias. BMJ Evid Based Med 2019; 24:1-4. [PMID: 30209151 DOI: 10.1136/bmjebm-2018-111108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/07/2018] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Carl Heneghan
- Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Jørgensen L, Gøtzsche PC, Jefferson T. The Cochrane HPV vaccine review was incomplete and ignored important evidence of bias. BMJ Evid Based Med 2018; 23:165-168. [PMID: 30054374 DOI: 10.1136/bmjebm-2018-111012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/07/2018] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Lars Jørgensen
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet (dept. 7811), Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Peter C Gøtzsche
- Nordic Cochrane Centre, Rigshospitalet (dept. 7811), Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tom Jefferson
- Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Affiliation(s)
- Tom Jefferson
- Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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