Prediction model for estimating the survival benefit of adjuvant radiotherapy for gallbladder cancer

Long-term prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma after curative-intent resection based on changes in the ratio of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 to total bilirubin (CA19-9/TB): a multicenter retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is known to be affected by elevated bilirubin levels in patients with gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). The clinical significance of changes in the ratio of CA19-9 levels to total bilirubin (TB) levels in patients with GBC after curative-intent resection remains unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of changes in preoperative and postoperative CA19-9/TB ratio in these patients.

METHODS

Prospectively collected data on consecutive patients who underwent curative-intent resection for GBC between January 2015 and December 2020 stored in a multicenter database from 10 hospitals were analyzed in this retrospective cohort study. Based on the adjusted CA19-9 defined as the ratio of CA19-9 to TB, and using 2×10 3  U/µmol as the upper normal value, patients were divided into a normal group (with normal preoperative and postoperative adjusted CA19-9), a normalization group (with abnormal preoperative but normal postoperative adjusted CA19-9), and a non-normalization group (with abnormal postoperative adjusted CA19-9). The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). The log-rank test was used to compare OS and RFS among the groups. The Cox regression model was used to determine factors independently associated with OS and RFS.

RESULTS

The normal group ( n =179 patients) and the normalization group ( n =73 patients) had better OS and RFS than the non-normalization group ( n =65 patients) (the 3-year OS rates 72.0%, 58.4% and 24.2%, respectively; the RFS rates 54.5%, 25.5% and 11.8%, respectively; both P <0.001). There were no significant differences between the normal and the normalization groups in OS and RFS (OS, P =0.255; RFS, P =0.130). Cox regression analysis confirmed that the non-normalization group was independently associated with worse OS and RFS. Subgroup analysis revealed that the non-normalization group of patients who received adjuvant therapy had significantly improved OS and RFS as compared to those who did not receive adjuvant therapy (OS, P =0.025; RFS, P =0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with GBC who underwent curative-intent surgical resection with postoperative abnormal levels of adjusted CA19-9 (the CA19-9/TB ratio) were associated with poorer long-term survival outcomes. Adjuvant therapy after surgery improved the long-term outcomes of these patients.

Nomograms to predict long-term survival for patients with gallbladder carcinoma after resection

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection remains the primary treatment option for gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). However, there is a pressing demand for prognostic tools that can refine patients' treatment choices and tailor personalized therapies accordingly.

AIMS

The nomograms were constructed using the data of a training cohort (n = 378) of GBC patients at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital (EHBH) between 2008 and 2018. The model's performance was validated in GBC patients (n = 108) at Guangzhou Centre from 2007 to 2018.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate in the training cohort was 24.4%. Multivariate analyses were performed using preoperative and postoperative data to identify independent predictors of OS. These predictors were then incorporated into preoperative and postoperative nomograms, respectively. The C-index of the preoperative nomogram was 0.661 (95% CI, 0.627 to 0.694) for OS prediction and correctly delineated four subgroups (5-year OS rates: 48.1%, 19.0%, 15.6%, and 8.1%, p < 0.001). The C-index of the postoperative nomogram was 0.778 (95%CI, 0.756 -0.800). Furthermore, this nomogram was superior to the 8th TNM system in both C-index and the net benefit on decision curve analysis. The results were externally validated.

CONCLUSION

The two nomograms showed an optimally prognostic prediction in GBC patients after curative-intent resection.

Analysis of the efficacy and factors influencing survival of adjuvant radiotherapy for stage II-III biliary tract carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To determine the efficacy of adjuvant radiotherapy for stage II-III biliary tract carcinoma.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 37 patients who underwent radical resection of biliary tract carcinomas at the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University between 2016 and 2020. We analyzed survival differences between patients who did (n = 17) and did not (n = 20) receive postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy by using Kaplan-Meier analysis. The log-rank test and Cox univariate analysis were used. The Cox proportional risk regression model was used for the multifactorial analysis of factors influencing prognosis.

RESULTS

The median survival time (28.9 vs. 14.5 months) and the 1-year (82.40% vs. 55.0%) and 2-year survival rates (58.8% vs. 25.0%) were significantly higher among patients who received adjuvant radiotherapy than among those who did not (χ2 = 6.381, p = 0.012). Multifactorial analysis showed that pathological tumor type (p = 0.004), disease stage (p = 0.021), and adjuvant radiotherapy (p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors in biliary tract carcinoma. Subgroup analyses showed that compared to no radiotherapy, adjuvant radiotherapy significantly improved median survival time in patients with stage III disease (21.6 vs. 12.7 months; p = 0.017), positive margins (28.9 vs. 10.5 months; p = 0.012), and T3 or T4 tumors (26.8 vs. 16.8 months; p = 0.037).

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant radiotherapy significantly improved the survival of patients with biliary tract carcinoma, and is recommended especially for patients with stage III disease, positive surgical margins, or ≥ T3.

A Gallbladder Cancer Survival Prediction Model Based on Multimodal Fusion Analysis

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer is the sixth most common malignant gastrointestinal tumor. Radical surgery is currently the only effective treatment, but patient prognosis is poor, with a 5-year survival rate of only 5-10%. Establishing an effective survival prediction model for gallbladder cancer patients is crucial for disease status assessment, early intervention, and individualized treatment approaches. The existing gallbladder cancer survival prediction model uses clinical data-radiotherapy and chemotherapy, pathology, and surgical scope-but fails to utilize laboratory examination and imaging data, limiting its prediction accuracy and preventing sufficient treatment plan guidance.

AIMS

The aim of this work is to propose an accurate survival prediction model, based on the deep learning 3D-DenseNet network, integrated with multimodal medical data (enhanced CT imaging, laboratory test results, and data regarding systemic treatments).

METHODS

Data were collected from 195 gallbladder cancer patients at two large tertiary hospitals in Shanghai. The 3D-DenseNet network extracted deep imaging features and constructed prognostic factors, from which a multimodal survival prediction model was established, based on the Cox regression model and incorporating patients' laboratory test and systemic treatment data.

RESULTS

The model had a C-index of 0.787 in predicting patients' survival rate. Moreover, the area under the curve (AUC) of predicting patients' 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates reached 0.827, 0.865, and 0.926, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with the monomodal model based on deep imaging features and the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system-widely used in clinical practice-our model's prediction accuracy was greatly improved, aiding the prognostic assessment of gallbladder cancer patients.

Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy in resected gallbladder cancer: A SEER-based study

Background

The prognosis of gallbladder cancer (GBC) is dismal. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (ACR) with those of surgery alone (S) and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC).

Method

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program database was used to identify patients diagnosed with GBC and undergoing surgery between 2004 and 2015. The patients were divided into the S, AC, and ACR groups according to their treatment. Categorical variables were compared by Pearson's chi-square test, and a 1:1:1 propensity score matching analysis (PSM) was performed. Overall survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank tests. Subgroup analyses were conducted.

Result

A total of 5451 patients were identified in the SEER database. After PSM, the two-year survival among patients who received S, AC, and ACR was 36%, 39%, and 45%, respectively. ACR was associated with improved two-year survival (p < 0.001), while the survival rates were similar in the AC and S groups (p = 0.127) but better in the ACR group than in the AC group (p = 0.012). Subgroup analyses indicated that while the two-year survival rates did not differ significantly in stage II GBC patients between the groups (all p > 0.05), ACR was associated with significantly improved two-year survival in stage Ⅲa (p = 0.008), Ⅲb (p < 0.001), and Ⅳb (p < 0.001) GBC patients.

Conclusion

The combination of surgery and ACR as the treatment modality provided greater survival benefits for GBC patients, particularly for those with advanced tumor staging.

Identification of Immune-Related Subtypes and Construction of a Novel Prognostic Model for Bladder Urothelial Cancer

The purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between bladder urothelial cancer (BLCA) and immunity, to screen prognosis-related immune genes (PIGs), and to construct an immune-related prognosis model (IRPM). We processed the relevant data of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA-BLCA) and GSE13507 using R software and Perl. We divided BLCA into high-immunity and low-immunity subtypes. There were significant differences in the two subtypes. In addition, we identified 13 PIGs of BLCA by jointly analyzing the gene expression data and survival information of GSE13507 and TCGA-BLCA, and constructed IRPM through nine of them. The low-risk group had better survival outcome than the high-risk group. We also constructed a nomogram based on clinicopathological information and risk scores of the patients. Moreover, the prognosis of BLCA patients was significantly impacted by the expression of almost every gene used to calculate the risk score. The result of real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction revealed that all the genes used to calculate the risk score were differentially expressed between BLCA and adjacent normal tissues, except PDGFRA. Our research provided potential targets for the treatment of BLCA and a reference for judging the prognosis of BLCA.

Associations between external beam radiotherapy and overall survival in patients with gallbladder cancer: A population-based study

Background

There is a lack of studies regarding radiotherapy (RT) in patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC) on the survival benefit after surgery and nonsurgical treatment. Therefore, this study evaluated the impact of external beam RT on the overall survival (OS) of patients with GBC in a real-world setting.

Methods

Patients with GBC enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were examined through Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

Results

A total of 7,866 patients with GBC were screened for the current analysis, of whom 2,130 (27.1%) did not undergo RT or surgery, 209 (2.7%) underwent RT, 4,511 (57.3%) underwent surgery, and 1,016 (12.9%) underwent both RT and surgery. The median OS times were 4 months, 8 months, 16 months, and 22 months (p < 0.0001). OS was significantly different between adjuvant RT (p = 0.0002) and palliative RT (p < 0.0001). Multifactorial analysis (controlling for age, sex, year of diagnosis, marital status, race, grade, and stage) showed that both adjuvant RT (surgery and adjuvant RT vs. surgery alone; HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.69-0.82, p < 0.001) and palliative RT (RT alone vs. no treatment; HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.69-0.92, p = 0.003) had a significant impact on patient OS. The results remained stable following sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

The study results indicate that adjuvant and palliative radiation treatment was associated with a survival benefit. GBC patients can derive a survival benefit from external beam RT.

Does Timing of Completion Radical Cholecystectomy Determine the Survival Outcome in Incidental Carcinoma Gallbladder: A Single-Center Retrospective Analysis

Introduction

Incidental discovery of gallbladder cancer (GBC) on postoperative histopathology or intra-operative suspicion is becoming increasingly frequent since laparoscopic cholecystectomy became the standard of care for gallstone disease. Incidental GBC (IGBC) portends a better survival than primarily detected GBC. Various factors affect the outcome of re-resection with the timing of re-intervention an important determinant of survival.

Methods

All patients of IGBC who underwent curative resection from January 2009 to December 2018 were considered for analysis. Details of demographic profile, index surgery, and operative findings on re-resection, histopathology and follow-up were retrieved from the prospectively maintained database. Patients were evaluated in three groups based on the interval between index cholecystectomy and re-resection: Early (<4 weeks), Intermediate (4-12 weeks) and Late (>12 weeks), using appropriate statistical tests.

Results

Ninety-one patients were admitted with IGBC during the study period of which 48 underwent re-resection with curative intent. The median age of presentation was 55 years (31-77 years). The median duration of follow-up was 40.6 months (Range: 1.2-130.6 months). Overall and disease-free survival among the above-mentioned three groups was the best in the early group (104 and 102 months) as compared to the intermediate (84 and 83 months) and late groups (75 and 73 months), though the difference failed to achieve statistical significance (p=0.588 and 0.581). On univariate analysis, factors associated with poor outcome were node metastasis, need for common bile duct (CBD) excision and high-grade tumor. However, on multivariate analysis, poor differentiation was the only independent factor affecting survival.

Conclusion

Early surgery, preferably within four weeks, possibly entails better survival in incidentally detected GBC. The grade of a tumor, however, is the most important determinant of survival in IGBC.

Postoperative recurrent patterns of gallbladder cancer: possible implications for adjuvant therapy

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an uncommon malignancy with high recurrent rate and poor prognosis. This study investigates the recurrent patterns of postoperative GBC, with the aim to guide the adjuvant treatments, including the radiotherapy.

METHODS

Retrospectively analyzed the 109 GBC patients who underwent surgery in our institution from January 2013 to 2018. Clinical follow-up revealed 54 recurrent cases, of which 40 had detailed locations of recurrence. The sites of recurrence were recorded and divided into the tumor bed, corresponding lymphatic drainage area, intrahepatic recurrence, and the other distant metastasis.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time is 34 months (IQR: 11-64). The median disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were 48.8 months and 53.7 months, respectively. Through univariate analysis, risk factors for DFS and OS include tumor markers (CA199 and CEA), hepatic invasion, perineural invasion, lymphovascular invasion, TNM staging and tumor differentiation. Through multivariate analysis, risk factors for DFS include hepatic invasion and TNM staging, and for OS is TNM staging only. Of the 40 cases with specific recurrent sites, 29 patients (29/40, 72.5%) had recurrence in the potential target volume of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT), which include tumor bed and corresponding lymphatic drainage area. The common recurrent lymph node groups included abdominal para-aortic lymph node (No.16, 15/29), hepatoduodenal ligament lymph node (No.12, 8/29), retro-pancreatic head lymph node (No.13, 7/29) and celiac axis lymph node (No.9, 4/29). Twenty cases with recurrences inside the potential PORT target volume were accompanied by distant metastasis. Another 11 cases had distant metastasis alone, so totally 31 cases developed distant metastasis (31/40, 77.5%), including 18 cases with hepatic metastasis.

CONCLUSION

The recurrence and metastasis rates are high in GBC and adjuvant therapy is needed. Up to 75% of the recurrent cases occurred in the potential target volume of postoperative radiotherapy, suggesting that postoperative radiotherapy has the possible value of improving local-regional control. The potential target volume of radiotherapy should include the tumor bed, No.8, No.9, No.11, No.12, No.13, No.14, No. 16a2, No. 16b1 lymph node groups.

Trends in Primary Gallbladder Cancer Incidence and Incidence-based Mortality in the United States, 1973 to 2015

OBJECTIVES

Primary gallbladder cancer (GBC) is the most common biliary tract cancer with poor survival despite aggressive treatment. This study aimed to investigate the trends of GBC incidence and incidence-based mortality (IBM) over the last 4 decades.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

GBC cases diagnosed between 1973 and 2015 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Incidence rates, IBM rates, and annual percent changes (APCs) were calculated and stratified according to population and tumor characteristics.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 10,792 predominantly white (81%) and female (71%) GBC patients. The overall GBC incidence decreased by 1.65% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.45% to 1.84%) per year since 1973, but has plateaued since 2002. IBM decreased by 1.69% (95% CI: 1.22% to 2.16%) per year from 1980 to 2015; the rate of decrease in IBM rates was lower during 1997 to 2015 (APC: -1.19%, 95% CI: -1.68% to -0.71%) compared with 1980 to 1997 (APC: -3.13%, 95% CI: -3.68% to -2.58%).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence and IBM rates of GBC have been decreasing over the last 40 years, but the decrease plateaued over the last 2 decades. The effects of treatment modalities, including laparoscopic cholecystectomy, adjuvant chemotherapy, and radiation on the incidence and IBM of GBC need to be further investigated.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for gallbladder cancer patients after surgery

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer is associated with late diagnosis and poor prognosis. Current study aims to develop a prognostic nomogram for predicting survival of gallbladder cancer patients after surgery.

METHODS

Two large cohorts were included in this analysis. One consisted of 1753 gallbladder cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and the other consisted of 239 patients from Shanghai Renji hospital. Significant prognostic factors were identified and integrated to develop the nomogram. Then the model was subjected to bootstrap internal validation and external validation.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analysis indicated that age, tumor histology, T-stage, N-stage and M-stage were significant prognostic factors, which were all included to build the nomogram. The model showed good discrimination, with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.724 (95% CI, 0.708-0.740), and good calibration. Application of the nomogram in the validation cohort still presented good discrimination (C-index, 0.715 [95% CI 0.672-0.758]) and good calibration. In the primary cohort, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.724, which was significantly higher than the Nevin staging system (C-index = 0.671; P < 0.001) and the 8th TNM staging system (C-index = 0.682; P < 0.001). In the validation cohort, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.715, which was also higher than the Nevin staging system (C-index = 0.692; P < 0.05) and the 8th TNM staging system (C-index = 0.688; P = 0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram resulted in more-accurate prognostic prediction for patients with gallbladder cancer after surgery.

Identification of a Novel Tumor Microenvironment Prognostic Signature for Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma

Background

The tumor microenvironment (TME) regulates the proliferation and metastasis of solid tumors and the effectiveness of immunotherapy against them. We investigated the prognostic role of TME-related genes based on transcriptomic data of bladder urothelial carcinoma (BLCA) and formulated a prediction model of TME-related signatures.

Methods

Molecular subtypes were identified using the non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) algorithm based on TME-related genes from the TCGA database. TME-related genes with prognostic significance were screened with univariate Cox regression analysis and lasso regression. Nomogram was developed based on risk genes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used for inner and outer validation of the model. Risk scores (RS) of patients were calculated and divided into high-risk group (HRG) and low-risk group (LRG) to compare the differences in clinical characteristics and PD-L1 treatment responsiveness between HRG and LRG.

Results

We identified two molecular subtypes (C1 and C2) according to the NMF algorithm. There were significant differences in overall survival (OS) (p<0.05), progression-free survival (PFS) (p<0.05), and immune cell infiltration between the two subtypes. A total of eight TME-associated genes (CABP4, ZNF432, BLOC1S3, CXCL11, ANO9, OAS1, FBN2, CEMIP) with independent prognostic significance were screened to build prognostic risk models. Age (p<0.001), grade (p<0.001), and RS (p<0.001) were independent predictors of survival in BLCA patients. The developed RS nomogram was able to predict the prognosis of BLCA patients at 1, 3, and 5 years more potentially than the models of other investigators according to ROC and DCA. RS showed significantly higher values (p = 0.047) in patients with stable disease (SD)/progressive disease (PD) compared to patients with complete response (CR)/partial response (PR).

Conclusions

We successfully clustered and constructed predictive models for TME-associated genes and helped guide immunotherapy strategies.

Clinical and metabolic parameters for predicting disease progression of gallbladder adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify reliable predictors of disease progression in patients with gallbladder (GB) adenocarcinoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 54 patients with GB adenocarcinoma underwent preoperative F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT. Age, sex, clinical stage, and pathologic differentiation were collected. Tumor size and PET parameters such as SUVmax, SUVmean, SUVpeak, metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis were measured. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the utility of clinical values and PET parameters. Pearson bivariate correlation was used to evaluate the association between progression-free survival (PFS) and various parameters.

RESULTS

No recurrence was found in 15 of 54 patients, while six showed recurrence and another 33 manifested disease progression. There were significant differences in size, stage, pathologic differentiation, and PET parameters between the groups with and without recurrence/progression. However, there was no difference in those parameters between the groups with recurrence and progression. The average PFS of the groups with no recurrence, recurrence, and progression groups was 33.1, 17.1, and 5.0 months, respectively. In univariate analysis, age, sex, clinical stage, pathologic differentiation, size, and PET parameters were correlated with PFS. In multivariate analysis, only clinical stage and MTV were statistically significant and MTV showed the highest odds ratio. Pearson correlation coefficients showed moderate negative correlations between PFS and clinical stage or MTV.

CONCLUSION

In GB adenocarcinoma, clinical stage and MTV are the most powerful parameters for predicting recurrence and disease progression. Based on clinical stage, MTV will represent a strong prognostic predictor.

Carcinosarcoma of gallbladder: A world review

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder carcinosarcoma is a rare hepatobiliary tumor comprising of both carcinomatous and sarcomatous components. Due to its rarity, the literature with regards to the topic is scarce and currently lacking, spanning less than 100 cases.

AIM

To summarize the current literature on gallbladder carcinosarcoma.

METHODS

A literature review was performed on the PubMed database using the keywords “Gallbladder” AND “Carcinosarcoma” from 1970 to 2021. Additionally, similar searches were performed on MEDLINE and Web of Science.

RESULTS

Risk factors noted include female gender, gallstones and chronic cholecystitis. In the absence of any diagnostic biochemical testing or tumor markers, imaging modality serves as the key initial impression tool, which can be histologically confirmed only post-resection. While surgery is the only curative option, the use of adjunctive chemotherapy has been considered on top of excision in recent years, with some success.

CONCLUSION

While this study has taken steps to bridge the gap in the literature, more cases should be reported to further ascertain the current associations and management potential for gallbladder carcinosarcoma.

Gene Expression Subtyping Reveals Immune alterations:TCGA Database for Prognosis in Ovarian Serous Cystadenocarcinoma

Serous ovarian cancer is the most common and primary death type in ovarian cancer. In recent studies, tumor microenvironment and tumor immune infiltration significantly affect the prognosis of ovarian cancer. This study analyzed the four gene expression types of ovarian cancer in TCGA database to extract differentially expressed genes and verify the prognostic significance. Meanwhile, functional enrichment and protein interaction network analysis exposed that these genes were related to immune response and immune infiltration. Subsequently, we proved these prognostic genes in an independent data set from the GEO database. Finally, multivariate cox regression analysis revealed the prognostic significance of TAP1 and CXCL13. The genetic alteration and interaction network of these two genes were shown. Then, we established a nomogram model related to the two genes and clinical risk factors. This model performed well in Calibration plot and Decision Curve Analysis. In conclusion, we have obtained a list of genes related to the immune microenvironment with a better prognosis for serous ovarian cancer, and based on this, we have tried to establish a clinical prognosis model.

Influence of adjuvant therapy on pattern of failure and survival in curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma

Purpose

The study was done to evaluate the role of adjuvant therapy in curatively resected Stage II and III gallbladder carcinoma (GBC).

Materials and Methods

This was a retrospective analysis of patients of GBC registered between 2008 and 2017 in outpatient department of a tertiary cancer hospital in India. Patients who had any of the following adjuvant treatment after radical surgery: (a) external beam radiotherapy (RT) alone, (b) chemotherapy (CT) alone, and (c) RT with CT (CRT) were considered for the study.

Results

A total of fifty patients could meet the selection criteria. It was seen that seven patients were treated with RT, 20 with CT, and 23 with CRT. Median follow-up for patients who were alive was 26.7 months. Nineteen patients had locoregional failure while eight had distant failure. Patients treated with CRT had a significantly better mean overall survival compared to those treated with RT or CT (44.0 months, 12.5 months, and 15.1 months, respectively; P = 0.003). Similarly, mean disease-free survival was superior in CRT arm compared to RT and CT arms (43.6 months, 9.6 months, and 12.4 months, respectively; P = 0.002).

Conclusions

Adjuvant CRT had better survival outcome compared to patients treated with either RT or CT with Stage II and III disease after curative cholecystectomy.

Survival Benefits of Simple Versus Extended Cholecystectomy and Lymphadenectomy for Patients With T2 Gallbladder Cancer: A Propensity-Matched Population-Based Study (2010 to 2015)

Objective

This article aims to evaluate the survival benefits of simple cholecystectomy, extended cholecystectomy, as well as scope regional lymphadenectomy for T2 gallbladder cancer (GBC) patients.

Methods

We identified eligible patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The confounding factors were controlled via propensity score matching. The log-rank test was utilized to compare overall survival. The multivariate Cox regression was then used to determine risk factors.

Results

Overall, data from 1,009 patients were obtained. The median overall survival (OS) of 915 patients that underwent simple cholecystectomy was 15 months; the median OS of 94 patients that underwent extended cholecystectomy was 17 months. There were no significant differences before and after propensity score matching (p = 0.542 and p = 0.258). The patients who received regional lymphadenectomy did show significant survival benefit, compared to those who did not receive regional lymphadenectomy. Furthermore, this benefit is observed in the N0 stage, but not observed in the N1 stage. In addition, the OS of patients who received lymphadenectomy for four or more regions was significantly better than those who received one to three regions lymphadenectomy. Age, the scope of regional lymphadenectomy, N stage, and tumor size were identified as prognostic factors.

Conclusions

Extended cholecystectomy was not observed to significantly improve postoperative prognosis of patients with T2 GBC. However, there was a significant survival benefit shown for those with regional lymphadenectomy, particularly for patients with negative lymph nodes. Future studies on the control of potential confounding factors and longer follow-ups are still needed.

Development and External Validation of Survival Prediction Model for Pancreatic Cancer Using Two Nationwide Database: Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) and Korea Tumor Registry System-Biliary Pancreas (KOTUS-BP)

Background/Aims

Several prediction models for evaluating the prognosis of nonmetastatic resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) have been developed, and their performances were reported to be superior to that of the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. We developed a prediction model to evaluate the prognosis of resected PDAC and externally validated it with data from a nationwide Korean database.

Methods

Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database were utilized for model development, and data from the Korea Tumor Registry System-Biliary Pancreas (KOTUS-BP) database were used for external validation. Potential candidate variables for model development were age, sex, histologic differentiation, tumor location, adjuvant chemotherapy, and the AJCC 8th staging system T and N stages. For external validation, the concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were evaluated.

Results

Between 2004 and 2016, data from 9,624 patients were utilized for model development, and data from 3,282 patients were used for external validation. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, age, sex, tumor location, T and N stages, histologic differentiation, and adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for resected PDAC. After an exhaustive search and 10-fold cross validation, the best model was finally developed, which included all prognostic variables. The C-index, 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year time-dependent AUCs were 0.628, 0.650, 0.665, 0.675, and 0.686, respectively.

Conclusions

The survival prediction model for resected PDAC could provide quantitative survival probabilities with reliable performance. External validation studies with other nationwide databases are needed to evaluate the performance of this model.

A nomogram for predicting survival of head and neck mucosal melanoma

Objectives

We aimed to understand the clinical characteristics and better predict the prognosis of patients with mucosal melanoma of the head and neck (MMHN) using a nomogram.

Methods

Three hundred patients with nometastatic MMHN were included. Multivariable Cox regression was performed to analyze independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS), and these factors were used to develop a nomogram. Concordance indexes (C-indexes), calibration plots, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were performed to test the predictive performance of the nomogram in both the primary (n = 300) and validation cohorts (n = 182).

Results

The primary tumor site, T stage and N stage were independent risk factors for survival and were included in the nomogram to predict the 3- and 5-year OS, DFS, DMFS, and LRRFS in the primary cohort. The C-indexes (both > 0.700), well-fit calibration plots, and area under the ROC curve (both > 0.700) indicated the high diagnostic accuracy of the nomogram, in both the primary and validation cohorts. The patients were divided into three groups (high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk groups) according to their nomogram scores. The survival curves of OS, DFS, DMFS, and LRRFS were well separated by the risk groups in both cohorts (all P < 0.001).

Conclusions

The nomogram can stratify MMHN patients into clinically meaningful taxonomies to provide individualized treatment.

Current Status and Future Perspectives of Perioperative Therapy for Resectable Biliary Tract Cancer: A Multidisciplinary Review

Simple Summary

For decades, there has been no globally accepted neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy in resectable biliary tract cancer. Based on the results of the BILCAP trial, adjuvant capecitabine has been widely regarded as standard adjuvant therapy. Focusing on the management of resectable biliary tract cancer, this article reviews each therapeutic strategy including surgery, chemotherapy and radiotherapy, and summarises published and ongoing clinical trials of neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy.

Abstract

Biliary tract cancers (BTCs) are a group of aggressive malignancies that arise from the bile duct and gallbladder. BTCs include intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (IH-CCA), extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (EH-CCA), and gallbladder cancer (GBCA). BTCs are highly heterogeneous cancers in terms of anatomical, clinical, and pathological characteristics. Until recently, the treatment of resectable BTC, including surgery, adjuvant chemotherapy, and radiation therapy, has largely been based on institutional practice guidelines and evidence from small retrospective studies. Recently, several large randomized prospective trials have been published, and there are ongoing randomized trials for resectable BTC. In this article, we review prior and recently updated evidence regarding surgery, adjuvant and neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and adjuvant radiation therapy for patients with resectable BTC.

Validation of the 8th Edition American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) Gallbladder Cancer Staging System: Prognostic Discrimination and Identification of Key Predictive Factors

The scope of our study was to compare the predictive ability of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th and 8th edition in gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients, investigate the effect of AJCC 8th nodal status on the survival, and identify risk factors associated with the survival after N reclassification using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) in the period 2005-2015. The cohort consisted of 7743 patients diagnosed with GBC; 202 patients met the criteria for reclassification and were denoted as stage ≥III by AJCC 7th and 8th edition criteria. Overall survival concordance indices were similar for patients when classified by AJCC 8th (OS c-index: 0.665) versus AJCC 7th edition (OS c-index: 0.663). Relative mortality was higher within strata of T1, T2, and T3 patients with N2 compared with N1 stage (T1 HR: 2.258, p < 0.001; T2 HR: 1.607, p < 0.001; Τ3 HR: 1.306, p < 0.001). The risk of death was higher in T1-T3 patients with Nx compared with N1 stage (T1 HR: 1.281, p = 0.043, T2 HR: 2.221, p < 0.001, T3 HR: 2.194, p < 0.001). In patients with AJCC 8th edition stage ≥IIIB GBC and an available grade, univariate analysis showed that higher stage, Charlson-Deyo score ≥ 2, higher tumor grade, and unknown nodal status were associated with an increased risk of death, while year of diagnosis after 2013, academic center, chemotherapy. and radiation therapy were associated with decreased risk of death. Chemotherapy and radiation therapy were associated with decreased risk of death in patients with T3-T4 and T2-T4 GBC, respectively. In conclusion, the updated AJCC 8th GBC staging system was comparable to the 7th edition, with the recently implemented changes in N classification assessment failing to improve the prognostic performance of the staging system. Further prospective studies are needed to validate the T2 stage subclassification as well as to clarify the association, if any is actually present, between advanced N staging and increased risk of death in patients of the same T stage.

Site-specific metastases of gallbladder adenocarcinoma and their prognostic value for survival: a SEER-based study

Background

Gallbladder cancer is a rare but highly malignant cancer, which often progresses to a metastatic stage when diagnosed because of its asymptomatic manifestation. In this study, we intended to analyze the prognostic value of metastatic gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBA) with site-specific metastases.

Methods

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, GBA patients diagnosed with metastases between 2010 and 2016 were selected to identify the prognosis according to the isolated metastatic sites, including liver, lung, bone, brain and distant lymph nodes (DL). Kaplan–Meier methods were used for survival comparisons and multivariable Cox regression models were constructed to find out independent factors that associated with survival.

Results

Data from 1526 eligible patients were extracted from the SEER database. Among the patients, 788 (51.6%) had isolated liver metastases, 80 (5.2%) had isolated distant nodal involvement, 45 (2.9%) had isolated lung metastases, 21 (1.4%) had isolated bone metastases, 2 (0.1%) had isolated brain metastases and 590 (38.7%) had multiple metastases. No significant survival difference was shown between patients with single or multisite metastases (P > 0.05). Patients with isolated lung or DL metastases had significant better survival outcomes than those with isolated bone metastases (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that performing surgery at primary site, receiving chemotherapy were associated with better OS and CSS for patients with isolated liver or DL metastases.

Conclusions

The study showed that different metastatic sites affect survival outcomes in metastatic GBA patients. Highly selected subset of patients with liver or DL metastases might benefit from surgery at primary site.

Trends in conditional overall survival of esophageal cancer: a population-based study

Background

This study aims to investigate the causes of death in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) and report reliable and accurate estimates of adjusted conditional overall survival (COS).

Methods

We retrieved data on patients aged 18 years or older who were diagnosed with EC between 1975 and 2016 from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results (SEER) registry. We estimated COS by using an inverse probability weighting method to adjust for the available covariates. Linear trends were analyzed via a weighted linear regression.

Results

A total of 40,142 confirmed patients were included in the final analysis. Of these, 20,971 were diagnosed with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, and 19,171 were diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma. EC was the leading cause of death, followed by heart disease (5.2%), stomach cancer (3.2%), and other diseases (2.9%). Five-year adjusted COS, given that patients had already survived 36 months was improved from 0.50 to 0.87 (P_Difference<0.001) in comparison with the 5-year conventional overall survival. As the survival time increased from 0 to 48 months, the 5-year adjusted COS improved significantly. The adjusted conditional EC-specific survival also showed similar trends.

Conclusions

For patients with EC who had survived over time, the 5-year adjusted COS and the conditional EC-specific survival improved dramatically. Other causes of death in EC patients should also be considered.

Overall Survival Benefit in Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Radiotherapy and Adjuvant Chemotherapy: A Propensity-Matched Population-Based Study

Background

It is well known that neoadjuvant radiotherapy could reduce local recurrence followed by surgical resection. However, evidence about oncologic efficacy of radiotherapy and survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy after neoadjuvant radiotherapy is still lacking.

Methods

This retrospective propensity score-matched cohort study identified patients with pathologically confirmed rectal cancer and receiving surgery with curative intent from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2004 through 2014. Overall survival was compared using the stratified log-rank test. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used for identifying risk factor and developing prediction nomogram.

Results

A total of 22,008 (11,004 for each group) propensity-matched patients were identified. In the context of receiving adjuvant chemotherapy after surgical resection, there was no significant difference in terms of overall survival between surgery alone group and neoadjuvant radiotherapy and surgery group, whether for stage I (log-rank test p = 0.467), stage II (log-rank test p = 0.310), or stage III (p = 0.994). In case of receiving a prior combination therapy of neoadjuvant radiotherapy and surgery, the following adjuvant chemotherapy could significantly improve overall survival for patients with stage I (log-rank test p <0.001), stage II (log-rank test p = 0.038), and stage III (log-rank test p = 0.014). Nomogram integrating clinicopathologic factors was developed to predict survival benefit associated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy. Calibration and ROC curves validated promising performance for the nomogram.

Conclusion

Patients with rectal cancer underwent neoadjuvant radiotherapy yield acceptable outcomes and are more likely to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in terms of overall survival. These data would be evidential for advocating consistency in guideline adherence to the use of adjuvant chemotherapy after neoadjuvant radiotherapy.

Real world clinical outcomes of adjuvant sequential chemoradiation in patients with gallbladder carcinomas with poor performance status

PURPOSE

The purpose of the study is to analyze the overall survival, relapse-free survival, and relapse patterns of adjuvant sequential chemoradiation for gallbladder cancers after curative resection in patients with poor performance status.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed clinical records of gallbladder patients with pathologic stage T2-4 or node positivity treated with sequential chemoradiation at our institute between January 2015 and January 2019. Sequential chemoradiotherapy protocol consisted of six cycles of gemcitabine 1,000 mg/m2 and oxaliplatin 100 mg/m2 administered every 2 weekly and postoperative radiation therapy (45 Gy in 25 fractions over 5 weeks) by three-dimensional conformal technique.

RESULTS

A total of 36 patients were included. The median overall survival and relapse-free survival was 26 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.4-30.5) and 21 months (95% CI, 11.8-30.1), respectively. The 2-year overall and relapse-free survival rates were 55.1% (95% CI, 37.9%-72.3%) and 44.7% (95% CI, 27.5%-61.9%), respectively. Locoregional, systemic, and combined recurrence were noted in 2 (5.5%), 14 (38.8%), and 3 (8.3%) patients, respectively. On univariate analysis, tumour grading significantly influenced relapse free survival; nodal stage and overall stage demonstrated a statistically significant influence on overall survival (p < 0.05) with a trend towards significance for lymphovascular invasion. On multivariate analysis, no significant factors were found. Grade 3 and 4 haematological adverse events were observed only in 2 (5.5%) with chemotherapy. No grade 3 and 4 adverse events were observed due to radiation therapy.

CONCLUSION

Sequential chemoradiation is feasible and tolerable with acceptable efficacy in the adjuvant setting in patients unfit for concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

Prognostic Model and Nomogram for Estimating Survival of Small Breast Cancer: A SEER-based Analysis

BACKGROUND

Different clinicopathologic characteristics could contribute to inconsistent prognoses of small breast neoplasms (T1a/T1b). This study was done to conduct a retrospective analysis and establish a clinical prediction model to predict individual survival outcomes of patients with small carcinomas of the breast.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, eligible patients with small breast carcinomas were analyzed. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were performed to clarify the indicators of overall survival. Pooling risk factors enabled nomograms to be constructed and further predicted 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year survival of patients with small breast cancer. The model was internally validated for discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

A total of 17,543 patients with small breast neoplasms diagnosed between 2013 and 2016 were enrolled. Histologic grade, lymph node stage, estrogen receptor or progesterone receptor status, and molecular subtypes of breast cancer were regarded as the risk factors of prognosis in a Cox proportional hazards model (P < .05). A nomogram was constructed to give predictive accuracy toward individual survival rate of patients with small breast neoplasms.

CONCLUSIONS

This prognostic model provided a robust and effective method to predict the prognosis of patients with small breast cancer.

γ-glutamyl transferase-to-platelet ratio based nomogram predicting overall survival of gallbladder carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) carries a poor prognosis and requires a prediction method. Gamma-glutamyl transferase–to–platelet ratio (GPR) is a recently reported cancer prognostic factor. Although the mechanism for the relationship between GPR and poor cancer prognosis remains unclear, studies have demonstrated the clinical effect of both gamma-glutamyl transferase and platelet count on GBC and related gallbladder diseases.

AIM

To assess the prognostic value of GPR and to design a prognostic nomogram for GBC.

METHODS

The analysis involved 130 GBC patients who underwent surgery at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from December 2003 to April 2017. The patients were stratified into a high- or low-GPR group. The predictive ability of GPR was evaluated by Kaplan–Meier analysis and a Cox regression model. We developed a nomogram based on GPR, which we verified using calibration curves. The nomogram and other prognosis prediction models were compared using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and the concordance index.

RESULTS

Patients in the high-GPR group had a higher risk of jaundice, were older, and had higher carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels and worse postoperative outcomes. Univariate analysis revealed that GPR, age, body mass index, tumor–node–metastasis (TNM) stage, jaundice, cancer cell differentiation degree, and carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels were related to overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis confirmed that GPR, body mass index, age, and TNM stage were independent predictors of poor OS. Calibration curves were highly consistent with actual observations. Comparisons of time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and the concordance index showed advantages for the nomogram over TNM staging.

CONCLUSION

GPR is an independent predictor of GBC prognosis, and nomogram-integrated GPR is a promising predictive model for OS in GBC.

Gallbladder sarcomatoid carcinoma: Seven case reports

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder sarcomatoid carcinoma is a rare and aggressive tumor, and little is known about its clinical behavior, prognosis, and optimal treatment.

CASE SUMMARY

From 1997 to 2017, we collected seven cases of gallbladder sarcomatoid carcinoma at our institution. The median patient age was 68.5 years. Six (85.7%) patients were female. Overall, 85.7% (6/7) of the tumors had a maximal diameter greater than 7 cm. Late TNM stage was associated with a significantly poor prognosis. All patients with advanced-stage (III/IV) disease died from metastases or disease progression shortly after surgery. One patient with stage IIIB disease who received adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (gemcitabine and capecitabine) achieved a progression-free survival (PFS) of 12 mo and overall survival of 15 mo, which might be the longest PFS reported among patients who ultimately experienced recurrence or metastasis.

CONCLUSION

Sarcomatoid carcinoma is a unique and aggressive gallbladder malignancy. Surgery is suggested as the first and only recognized treatment. There is a significant difference in prognosis between patients with early-stage and advanced-stage disease. Postoperative adjuvant therapy may bring survival benefits for locally advanced patients. Gemcitabine combined with fluorouracil and radiotherapy could be a potential strategy.

Postsurgical radiotherapy in stage IIIB gallbladder cancer patients with one to three lymph nodes metastases: A propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

The effect of postsurgical radiotherapy (PSRT) among T1-3 gallbladder cancer (GBC) patients with one to three lymph node metastases remains controversial. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of PSRT on gallbladder cancer-specific survival (GBCSS) in patients with stage IIIB.

METHODS

The data of GBC patients were obtained from the American Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Data resources between 2004 and 2015. Then, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was performed. GBCSS was compared among all patients. Subgroup analysis was conducted to identify patients who would benefit from PSRT.

RESULTS

726 AJCC (8th edition) stage IIIB GBC patients were included. PSRT failed to improve GBCSS (p = 0.168). Male sex, tumor size ≥ 4 cm and absence of chemotherapy were independent negative prognostic factors. No significant survival benefit from PSRT was found in any subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS

PSRT provides no survival benefit for IIIB GBC.

Prognostic Evaluation for Patients over 45 Years Old with Gallbladder Adenocarcinoma Resection: A SEER-Based Nomogram Analysis

Gallbladder adenocarcinoma is the main histopathological type of gallbladder cancer (GBC), so it is particularly important to understand its biological characteristics. Due to the low incidence of this type of cancer, there are few studies with large sample sizes. The log of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) has been evaluated by many scholars as a lymph node stage that may play a better role than the 8^th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) lymph node staging system in many cancers. However, the effect of LODDS has not been proven in gallbladder adenocarcinoma. Our research aimed to identify independent prognostic factors that are closely related to overall survival (OS) in patients with gallbladder adenocarcinoma over 45 years of age using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and, End Results (SEER) database. All patients were randomly divided into a modeling cohort and an internal validation cohort. Seven independent prognostic factors associated with OS—age, marital status, grade, tumor size, AJCC 8^th edition T stage and M stage, and LODDS—were used to build a nomogram to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival. The C-index of our nomogram was 0.735 (95% CI, 0.716 to 0.754), and together with the calibration curve and ROC curve validation, the results confirmed the prediction effect of our nomogram. We believe that our nomogram will be an accurate and convenient method for patient prognosis assessment in the future.

Current standards and future perspectives in adjuvant treatment for biliary tract cancers

Biliary tract cancer, including cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) and gallbladder cancer (GBC) are rare tumours with a rising incidence. Prognosis is poor, since most patients are diagnosed with advanced disease. Only ~20% of patients are diagnosed with early-stage disease, suitable for curative surgery. Despite surgery performed with potentially-curative intent, relapse rates are high, with around 60-70% of patients expected to have disease recurrence. Most relapses occur in the form of distant metastases, with a predominance of liver spread. In view of high tumour recurrence, adjuvant strategies have been explored for many years, in the form of radiotherapy, chemo-radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Historically, few randomised trials were available, which included a variety of additional tumours (e.g. pancreatic and ampullary tumours); most evidence relied on phase II and retrospective studies, with no high-quality evidence available to define the real benefit derived from adjuvant strategies. Since 2017, three randomised phase III clinical trials have been reported; all recruited patients with resected biliary tract cancer (CCA and GBC) who were randomised to observation alone, or chemotherapy in the form of gemcitabine (BCAT study; included patients diagnosed with extrahepatic CCA only), gemcitabine and oxaliplatin (PRODIGE-12/ACCORD-18; included patients diagnosed with CCA and GBC) or capecitabine (BILCAP; included patients diagnosed with CCA and GBC). While gemcitabine-based chemotherapy failed to show an impact on patient outcome (relapse-free survival (RFS) or overall survival (OS)), the BILCAP study showed a benefit from adjuvant capecitabine in terms of OS (pre-planned sensitivity analysis in the intention-to-treat population and in the per-protocol analysis), with confirmed benefit in terms of RFS. Based on the BILCAP trial, international guidelines recommend adjuvant capecitabine for a period of six months following potentially curative resection of CCA as the current standard of care for resected CCA and GBC. However, BILCAP failed to show OS benefit in the intention-to-treat (non-sensitivity analysis) population (primary end-point), and this finding, as well as some inconsistencies between studies has been criticised and has led to confusion in the biliary tract cancer medical community. This review summarises the adjuvant field in biliary tract cancer, with evidence before and after 2017, and comparison between the latest randomised phase III studies. Potential explanations are presented for differential findings, and future steps are explored.

Estimating survival benefit of adjuvant therapy based on a Bayesian network prediction model in curatively resected advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The factors affecting the prognosis and role of adjuvant therapy in advanced gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) after curative resection remain unclear.

AIM

To provide a survival prediction model to patients with GBC as well as to identify the role of adjuvant therapy.

METHODS

Patients with curatively resected advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma (T3 and T4) were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2004 and 2015. A survival prediction model based on Bayesian network (BN) was constructed using the tree-augmented naïve Bayes algorithm, and composite importance measures were applied to rank the influence of factors on survival. The dataset was divided into a training dataset to establish the BN model and a testing dataset to test the model randomly at a ratio of 7:3. The confusion matrix and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the model accuracy.

RESULTS

A total of 818 patients met the inclusion criteria. The median survival time was 9.0 mo. The accuracy of BN model was 69.67%, and the area under the curve value for the testing dataset was 77.72%. Adjuvant radiation, adjuvant chemotherapy (CTx), T stage, scope of regional lymph node surgery, and radiation sequence were ranked as the top five prognostic factors. A survival prediction table was established based on T stage, N stage, adjuvant radiotherapy (XRT), and CTx. The distribution of the survival time (>9.0 mo) was affected by different treatments with the order of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (cXRT) > adjuvant radiation > adjuvant chemotherapy > surgery alone. For patients with node-positive disease, the larger benefit predicted by the model is adjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The survival analysis showed that there was a significant difference among the different adjuvant therapy groups (log rank, surgery alone vs CTx, P < 0.001; surgery alone vs XRT, P = 0.014; surgery alone vs cXRT, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The BN-based survival prediction model can be used as a decision-making support tool for advanced GBC patients. Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy is expected to improve the survival significantly for patients with node-positive disease.

Validation of the oncologic effect of hepatic resection for T2 gallbladder cancer: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

While extended cholecystectomy is recommended for T2 gallbladder cancer (GBC), the role of hepatic resection for T2 GBC is unclear. This study aimed to identify the necessity of hepatic resection in patients with T2 GBC.

METHODS

Data of 81 patients with histopathologically proven T2 GBC who underwent surgical resection between January 1999 and December 2017 were enrolled from a retrospective database. Of these, 36 patients had peritoneal-side (T2a) tumors and 45 had hepatic-side (T2b) tumors. To identify the optimal surgical management method, T2 GBC patients were classified into the hepatic resection group (n = 44, T2a/T2b = 20/24) and non-hepatic resection group (n = 37, T2a/T2b = 16/21). The recurrence pattern and role of hepatic resection for T2 GBC were then investigated.

RESULTS

Mean age of the patients was 69 (range 36-88) years, and the male-to-female ratio was 42:39 (male, 51.9%; female, 48.1%). Hepatic-side GBC had a higher rate of recurrence than peritoneal-side GBC (44.4% vs. 8.3%, p = 0.006). The most common type of recurrence in T2a GBC was para-aortic lymph node recurrence (n = 2, 5.6%); the most common types of recurrence in T2b GBC were para-aortic lymph node recurrence (n = 7, 15.6%) and intrahepatic metastasis (n = 6, 13.3%). Hepatic-side GBC patients had worse survival outcomes than peritoneal-side GBC patients (76.0% vs. 96.6%, p = 0.041). Hepatic resection had no significant treatment effect in T2 GBC patients (p = 0.272). Multivariate analysis showed that lymph node metastasis was the only significant prognostic factor (p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic resection is not essential for curative treatment in T2 GBC, and more systemic treatments are needed for GBC patients, particularly for those with T2b GBC.

Nomogram to predict overall survival after gallbladder cancer resection in China

AIM

To integrate clinically significant variables related to prognosis after curative resection for gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) into a predictive nomogram.

METHODS

One hundred and forty-two GBC patients who underwent curative intent surgical resection at Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH) were included. This retrospective case study was conducted at PUMCH of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College (CAMS & PUMC) in China from January 1, 2003 to January 1, 2018. The continuous variable carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) was converted into a categorical variable (cCA19-9) based on the normal reference range. Stages 0 to IIIA were merged into one category, while the remaining stages were grouped into another category. Pathological grade X (GX) was treated as a missing value. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to select variables to construct a nomogram. Discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were performed via the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. The performance of the nomogram was estimated using the calibration curve. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) were performed to evaluate the predictive accuracy and net benefit of the nomogram, respectively.

RESULTS

Of these 142 GBC patients, 55 (38.7%) were male, and the median and mean age were 64 and 63.9 years, respectively. Forty-eight (33.8%) patients in this cohort were censored in the survival analysis. The median survival time was 20 months. A series of methods, including the likelihood ratio test and Akaike information criterion (AIC) as well as stepwise, forward, and backward analyses, were used to select the model, and all yielded identical results. Jaundice [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.9; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.60-5.27], cCA19-9 (HR = 3.2; 95%CI: 1.91-5.39), stage (HR = 1.89; 95%CI: 1.16-3.09), and resection (R) (HR = 2.82; 95%CI: 1.54-5.16) were selected as significant predictors and combined into a survival time predictive nomogram (C-index = 0.803; 95%CI: 0.766-0.839). High prediction accuracy (adjusted C-index = 0.797) was further verified via bootstrap validation. The calibration plot demonstrated good performance of the nomogram. ROC curve analysis revealed a high sensitivity and specificity. A high net benefit was proven by DCA.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram has been constructed to predict the overall survival of GBC patients who underwent radical surgery from a clinical database of GBC at PUMCH.

Adjuvant Therapy for Biliary Tract Cancers

Biliary tract cancers, including gallbladder cancer, intrahepatic, perihilar, and distal cholangiocarcinomas, although anatomically contiguous, represent a heterogeneous group of cancers with extensive biologic and genetic diversity. With early disease, surgical resection is the preferred option for all subtypes; however, relapse rates remain high, and survival outcomes are poor. Data to guide the use of adjuvant therapy have been limited to retrospective series, population-based studies, and meta-analyses, all with their associated limitations. The number of prospective trials ongoing or completed is increasing, and these results will ultimately dictate optimal treatment of this group of diseases. This review summarizes the data for adjuvant therapy in biliary tract cancers.

Concurrent chemoradiation for resected gall bladder cancers and cholangiocarcinomas

Background

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) and cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) are rare entities with relatively poor prognoses. We compared treatment outcomes of definitive resection with or without neoadjuvant therapy in GBC and CCA patients.

Methods

All non-metastatic GBC and CCA patients at a single institution who underwent definitive resection from 1992-2016 were analyzed. We compared overall survival (OS), locoregional failure (LRF) and distant failure (DF) in patients who received neoadjuvant therapy (chemotherapy and/or radiation) versus those who did not receive neoadjuvant treatment. OS was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log rank tests. Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze time to recurrence.

Results

Out of 128 patients, 90 had GBC and 38 had CCA, 25 patients (27%) among GBC and 8 patients (21%) with CCA were T3, T4 or node positive. Overall, 52 (40%) GBC and 25 (20%) CCA patients received neoadjuvant treatment, chemotherapy alone 60 patients (47%) or radiation with or without chemotherapy 17 patients (13%). Chemotherapy was single agent in 44 patients (34%) and multi-agent in 25 (20%). The median OS for GBC patients was 3.1 years with 2.6 years for no neoadjuvant group and 3.1 years for neoadjuvant group (P=0.6786). Median OS was 2.6 years for CCA patients, 3.6 years for no neoadjuvant therapy versus 2.0 years for neoadjuvant group (P=0.1613). There was a trend towards increased DF in patients with CCA and GBC receiving neoadjuvant therapy: HR 2.74, 95% CI, 0.73-10.3, P=0.14 and 0.92, 95% CI, 0.44-1.93, P=0.82 respectively. The hazard ratio for time to LRF in CCA patients receiving neoadjuvant treatment was 3.17, 95% CI, 0.62-16.31, P=0.16 whereas HR was 0.15, 95% CI, 0.10-1.76, P=0.23 for GBC patients. Among GBC patients, the pattern of first failure was locoregional in 8 (10%) having 3 LRF in neoadjuvant group (2 with chemotherapy, 1 with CRT, 0 with RT alone) as compared to 5 in adjuvant group. Among 28 (35%) patients with DF first, 15 patients received neoadjuvant therapy versus 13 patients in non-neoadjuvant group. In CCA patients, LRF occurred first in 6 patients receiving neoadjuvant treatment (3 with chemotherapy, 1 with CRT, 2 with RT alone) as compared to 2 patients who were treated with non-neoadjuvant CRT. DF was the first site of failure in 9 patients treated with neoadjuvant CRT (8 with chemotherapy, 0 with CRT and 1 with RT alone) as compared to 4 patients without neoadjuvant treatment.

Conclusions

In this retrospective data set, a trend towards better survival was seen in adjuvantly treated CCA patients, but not in GBC patients. Recurrence patterns also appear different among the two, which might be attributed to treatment modality used, patient selection or unmeasured factors.

Keywords

Gallbladder cancer (GBC); cholangiocarcinoma (CCA); neoadjuvant; resection; chemoradiation; chemotherapy.

[Treatment approach for gall bladder and extrahepatic bile duct cancer]

BACKGROUND

Although the treatment and diagnostic regimens of gall bladder carcinoma and extrahepatic bile duct cancer have improved over the past years, the outcome and overall survival as prognostic values still remain poor. Early tumor stages of gall bladder carcinoma are the only exception.

OBJECTIVE

This article focuses on the latest surgical therapy approaches including neoadjuvant, adjuvant and palliative therapy regimens.

RESULTS

Neoadjuvant treatment concepts have so far been insufficiently evaluated and can therefore only be recommended within the framework of studies. In patients with primary resectable tumors there are so far no indications for improved results after neoadjuvant therapy. Radical R0 resection still remains the only curative treatment option; however, an advanced and inoperable stage is often already present at the time of diagnosis There are no uniform adjuvant treatment concepts and no standards evaluated by studies. Due to the currently available data, adjuvant radiochemotherapy and chemotherapy can also only be recommended within or as part of clinical trials. Palliative chemotherapy should only be used in advanced tumor stages and depending on the condition of the patient.

CONCLUSION

To sustainably improve treatment strategies for advanced gall bladder carcinoma and extrahepatic bile duct cancer, uniform adjuvant as well as neoadjuvant therapy regimens need to be developed after evaluation in prospective randomized trials. This is the only way to improve the still poor prognosis of these tumor entities.

Gallbladder papillary neoplasms share pathological features with intraductal papillary neoplasm of the bile duct

Intraductal papillary neoplasm of the bile duct (IPNB) has been widely recognized. However, the knowledge of intracystic papillary neoplasm of the gallbladder (IPNG) including papillary adenoma and adenocarcinoma is not well defined. In this study, we compared the clinicopathological and immunohistochemical features between 32 IPNG cases and 32 IPNB cases. IPNG-1 (low-high grade dysplasia) exhibited an earlier onset age, smaller tumor size and lower level of CK20 expression compared to IPNG-2 (invasive carcinoma). Histologically, pancreaticobiliary and intestinal subtype accounted for nearly half of IPNG or IPNB (44.4% and 48.1% vs. 44.0% and 44.0%), respectively. Immunohistochemically, 88.9% of IPNG and 92.0% of IPNB cases were positive for MUC1, and 96.3% and 92.0% for CK7, respectively. CDX2 and MUC2 were more highly expressed in the intestinal subtype than in other subtypes. CK20 expression increased in parallel with tumor progression. In addition, 53.1% of IPNG cases and 68.6% of IPNB cases exhibited invasive carcinoma, and showed significant survival advantages to conventional gallbladder adenocarcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma, respectively. In conclusion, papillary adenoma and adenocarcinoma of the gallbladder can be recognized as different pathological stages of IPNG, and they share pathological features with IPNB.

Patterns of initial failure after resection for gallbladder cancer: implications for adjuvant radiotherapy

Purpose

This study sought to identify potential candidates for adjuvant radiotherapy and patterns of regional failure in patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for gallbladder cancer.

Materials and Methods

Records for 70 patients with gallbladder cancer who underwent curative resection at a single institution between 2000 and 2016 were analysed retrospectively. No patients received adjuvant radiotherapy. Initial patterns of failure were evaluated. Regional recurrence was categorized according to the definitions of lymph node stations suggested by the Japanese Society of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery.

Results

Median follow-up was 23 months. Locoregional recurrence as any component of first failure occurred in 29 patients (41.4%), with isolated locoregional recurrence in 13 (18.6%). Regional recurrence occurred in 23 patients, and 77 regional recurrences were identified. Commonly involved regional stations were #13, #12a2, #12p2, #12b2, #16a2, #16b1, #9, and #8. Independent prognostic factors for locoregional recurrence were ≥pT2 disease (hazard ratio [HR], 5.510; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.260–24.094; p = 0.023) and R1 resection (HR, 6.981; 95% CI, 2.378–20.491; p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Patients with pT2 disease or R1 resection after curative surgery for gallbladder cancer may benefit from adjuvant radiotherapy. Our findings on regional recurrence may help physicians construct a target volume for adjuvant radiotherapy.

Nomogram predicting pulmonary metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

A novel prognostic nomogram predicting post-transplant pulmonary metastasis was established with a primary cohort of 308 HCC patients who received liver transplantation between 2007 and 2011 at Ren Ji Hospital. The C-indexes for predicting pulmonary metastasis was 0.85. The calibration curves fitted well between the predicted and actual outcomes. The decision curve analysis indicated that our nomogram was the optimal decision-making strategy for PM prediction compared to Milan, University of California San Franscisco, and up-to-seven criteria. These results were further validated by data from 103 patients who underwent liver transplantation between 2011 and 2012 at the same institution. In conclusion, our nomogram could be used as an effective tool to predict PM after liver transplantation.

Nomogram to predict the benefit of additional induction chemotherapy to concurrent chemoradiotherapy in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Analysis of a multicenter, phase III randomized trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Recent clinical trials and network meta-analysis have suggested that the addition of induction chemotherapy (IC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) could improve survival in locoregionally advanced NPC (LANPC). We aimed to develop a nomogram to estimate the benefit of IC for individual patients based on the data from a multicenter, randomized, phase III trial (NCT01245959) comparing IC plus CCRT with CCRT alone.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

This study analyzed all 480 patients enrolled in the original trial. A nomogram was developed to predict 3-year failure-free survival (FFS) with or without IC.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 45 months, the 3-year FFS rates were 80.3% and 72.4% in the IC plus CCRT group and CCRT group, respectively (P = 0.034). In multivariate analysis, T category, N category and treatment group were predictive of FFS and were incorporated into the nomogram. Gender was also included due to its clinical importance. This nomogram predicted that the magnitude of benefit from IC could vary significantly.

CONCLUSION

We developed a convenient nomogram to estimate the benefit of IC for individual patients with LANPC. This tool can serve as a catalyst of individual treatment discussions and facilitator of informed decision-making.

Conditional survival in patients with gallbladder cancer

Background

Conditional survival (CS) has been established as a clinically relevant prognostic factor for cancer survivors, and the CS in gallbladder (GB) cancer has not yet been fully evaluated. In this study, we evaluated the cancer-specific CS rate and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rate in patients with GB cancer at multiple time points and investigated prognostic factors which affect cancer-specific CS rate to provide more accurate survival information.

Methods

Between 2004 and 2013, a total of 9760 patients with GB cancer were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data. The 3-year cancer-specific CS rate was calculated using the covariate-adjusted survival function in the Cox model for each year since diagnosis, and the results were analyzed together with the adjusted CSS rates at the same time points. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to ascertain the individual contribution of factors associated with CSS rate at diagnosis and cancer-specific CS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years after diagnosis.

Results

The adjusted 5-year CSS rate was 26.1%. The adjusted 3-year cancer-specific CS rates at 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years after diagnosis were 55.5, 72.2, 81.5, 86.8, and 90.5%, respectively. At the time of diagnosis, age, race, histology, grade, T, N, and M categories, surgery, radiotherapy, insurance status, and marriage status were significant prognostic factors of CSS. Five years after diagnosis, however, T and M categories were significant prognostic factors for survivors (P = 0.007 and P = 0.009, respectively), whereas surgery and radiotherapy were not.

Conclusions

T and M categories were significant prognostic factors even 5 years after the initial diagnosis, whereas local treatments at the time of diagnosis were not, suggesting that patients with GB cancer at high risks might need further adjuvant therapy after primary treatments. The combined analysis of CSS and cancer-specific CS rates offered more accurate survival information for patients who have already survived a certain period of time after diagnosis.

Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy is Associated with Improved Survival for Patients with Resected Gallbladder Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The impact of adjuvant radiotherapy (ART) on survival from gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) remains underexplored, with conflicting results reported. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to clarify the impact of ART in GBC.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of several databases was performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, from inception to August 2016. Studies that reported survival outcomes for patients with or without ART after curative surgery were included.

RESULTS

All the inclusion criteria was met by 14 retrospective studies including 9364 analyzable patients, but most of the studies had a moderate risk of bias. Generally, the ART group had more patients with unfavorable characteristics than the group that had surgery alone. Nevertheless, the pooled results showed that ART significantly reduced the risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.54; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44-0.67; p < 0.001) and recurrence (HR 0.61; 95% CI 0.38-0.98; p = 0.04) of GBC compared with surgery alone. Exploratory analyses demonstrated a survival benefit from ART for a subgroup of patients with lymph node-positive diseases (HR 0.61; p < 0.001) and R1 resections (HR 0.55; p < 0.001), but not for patients with lymph node-negative disease (HR 1.06; p = 0.78). No evidence of publication bias was found (p = 0.663).

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first meta-analysis to evaluate the role of ART and to provide supporting evidence that ART may offer survival benefits, especially for high-risk patients. However, further confirmation with a randomized prospective study is needed to clarify the subgroup of GBC patients who would benefit most from ART.

Limited Use of Adjuvant Therapy in Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer Despite a Strong Association With Survival

Background

There are no randomized data to guide clinicians treating patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC). Several retrospective studies reported the survival benefits of adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) and chemoradiation (CRT). In this paper, we examine whether these publications have impacted the utilization of adjuvant therapies and whether their survival benefits are evident in a contemporary cohort of patients.

Methods

Using the National Cancer Data Base, we identified 5029 patients diagnosed with T1-3N0-1 GBC and treated with surgical resection from 2005 to 2013. We described trends in receipt of adjuvant treatments for three time periods (2005-2007, 2008-2010, 2011-2013) and calculated three-year overall survival (OS) probabilities for 2989 patients treated in 2005-2010. All statistical tests were two-sided.

Results

The percentage of patients who received no adjuvant treatments was unchanged from 2005 to 2013. Adjuvant RT decreased from 4.2% to 1.7% ( P  < .001), adjuvant chemotherapy increased from 8.3% to 13.8% ( P  < .001), and adjuvant CRT remained stable at 15.9% ( P  = .98). Adjuvant treatments were associated with improved three-year OS, with adjusted hazard ratio of 0.47 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.39 to 0.58) for CRT, 0.77 (95% CI = 0.61 to 0.97) for chemotherapy, and 0.63 (95% CI = 0.44 to 0.92) for RT. Adjuvant CRT was associated with improved survival in all categories, except T1N0, and in patients with negative and positive margins.

Conclusion

Over the past decade there was no increase in the utilization of adjuvant therapies in the United States for patients with resected GBC. Adjuvant therapy is associated with statistically significantly improved three-year OS. This analysis should form the basis for current clinical recommendations and support future prospective trials.

A National Study of Survival Trends and Conditional Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Analysis of the National Population-Based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Registry

Purpose

Conditional survival (CS) provides important information on survival for a period of time after diagnosis. Currently, information on CS patterns of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is lacking. We aimed to analyze survival rate over time and estimate CS for NPC patients using a national population-based registry.

Materials and Methods

Patients diagnosed with NPC between 1973 and 2007 with at least 5-year follow-up were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results registry. Traditional survival rates and crude CS estimateswere calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk-adjusted survival curves were plotted from the proportional hazards model using the correct group prognosis method.

Results

registry. Traditional survival rates and crude CS estimateswere calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk-adjusted survival curves were plotted from the proportional hazards model using the correct group prognosis method.

Results

For 7,713 patients analyzed, adjusted baseline 5-year overall survival improved significantly from 36.0% in patients diagnosed in 1973-1979, 41.7% in 1980-1989, 46.6% in 1990-1999, to 54.7% in 2000-2007 (p < 0.01). CS analysis demonstrated that for every additional year survived, adjusted probability of surviving the next 5 years increased from 66.7% (localized), 54.0% (regional), and 35.3% (distant) at the time of diagnosis, to 83.7% (localized), 75.0% (regional), and 62.2% (distant) for patients who had survived 5 years. Adjusted 5-year CS differed among age, sex, tumor histology, ethnicity, and stage subgroups initially, but converged with time.

Conclusion

Treatment outcomes of NPC patients have greatly improved over the decades. Increases in CS become more prominent in patients with distant disease than in those with localized or regional disease as patients survive longer. CS provides more dynamic prognostic information for patients who have survived a period of time after diagnosis.

Adjuvant therapy in biliary tract and gall bladder carcinomas: a review

Biliary tract carcinomas are relatively rare, but are increasingly diagnosed. They comprise several anatomically contiguous sites, so are often grouped together, but they do appear to represent distinct diseases, in part because of anatomical and surgical considerations. Complete upfront surgical resection is generally difficult because these cancers are often diagnosed at relatively advanced stages of disease. Thus, adjuvant therapy is often considered. This paper will review the evidence underpinning current recommendations for adjuvant therapy in biliary carcinomas.

Analysis of prognostic factors for survival after surgery for gallbladder cancer based on a Bayesian network

The factors underlying prognosis for gallbladder cancer (GBC) remain unclear. This study combines the Bayesian network (BN) with importance measures to identify the key factors that influence GBC patient survival time. A dataset of 366 patients who underwent surgical treatment for GBC was employed to establish and test a BN model using BayesiaLab software. A tree-augmented naïve Bayes method was also used to mine relationships between factors. Composite importance measures were applied to rank the influence of factors on survival time. The accuracy of BN model was 81.15%. For patients with long survival time (>6 months), the true-positive rate of the model was 77.78% and the false-positive rate was 15.25%. According to the built BN model, the sex, age, and pathological type were independent factors for survival of GBC patients. The N stage, liver infiltration, T stage, M stage, and surgical type were dependent variables for survival time prediction. Surgical type and TNM stages were identified as the most significant factors for the prognosis of GBC based on the analysis results of importance measures.

Lung cancer and tobacco smoking in Crete, Greece: reflections from a population-based cancer registry from 1992 to 2013

Background

The Cancer Registry of Crete is a regional population database that collects cancer morbidity/mortality data along with several risk factors. The current study assessed the geographical variation of lung cancer among ever and never smokers in Crete during the last 20 years.

Method

Lung cancer patient records (1992–2013) including information on medical history and smoking habits were obtained from the Cancer Registry of Crete. Age-Adjusted Incidence Rates (AAIR), prevalence of smoking among lung cancer patients and the Population-Attributable Fraction (PAF%) of tobacco smoking were estimated. Kaplan-Meier curves, grouped per smoking status were constructed, and spatio-temporal analyses were carried out to assess the geographical variations of lung cancer and smoking (a = 0.05).

Results

New lung cancer cases in Crete accounted for 9% of all cancers (AAIR_{both genders} = 40.2/100,000/year, AAIR_males = 73.1/100,000/year, AAIR_females = 11.8/100,000/year). Ever smokers presented significantly higher incidence compared to ex-smokers (p = 0.02) and never smokers (p < 0.001). The highest increase was observed in ever smokers (AAIR₁₉₉₂ = 19.2/100,000/year, AAIR₂₀₁₃ = 25.4/100,000/year, p = 0.03), while never smokers presented the lowest increase from 1992 to 2013 (AAIR₁₉₉₂ = 5.3/100,000/year, AAIR₂₀₁₃ = 6.8/100,000/year, p = 0.2). The PAF% of lung cancer mortality is 86% for both genders (males: 89%, females: 78%). AAIRs ranged from 25 to 50/100,000/year, while significant geographical differences were observed among the municipalities of Crete (p = 0.02). Smokers living in the south-east urban regions presented higher risk of dying from lung cancer (RR = 2.2; 95%CI = 1.3–3.5).

Conclusions

The constant increase of lung cancer rates among both genders, especially in females, outlines the need for targeted, geographically-oriented, life-style preventive measures. Design of population-based screening programs, tobacco awareness campaigns and smoking cessation programs in lung cancer hot spots could be guide by these findings.