Development of the 21-gene assay and its application in clinical practice and clinical trials

Further Optimizing Care of Patients With Operable Hormone Receptor-Sensitive Breast Cancer

Harmonized global collaborations are crucial to improving outcomes in hormone sensitive operable breast cancer.

Validation of an AI-based solution for breast cancer risk stratification using routine digital histopathology images

BACKGROUND

Stratipath Breast is a CE-IVD marked artificial intelligence-based solution for prognostic risk stratification of breast cancer patients into high- and low-risk groups, using haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained histopathology whole slide images (WSIs). In this validation study, we assessed the prognostic performance of Stratipath Breast in two independent breast cancer cohorts.

METHODS

This retrospective multi-site validation study included 2719 patients with primary breast cancer from two Swedish hospitals. The Stratipath Breast tool was applied to stratify patients based on digitised WSIs of the diagnostic H&E-stained tissue sections from surgically resected tumours. The prognostic performance was evaluated using time-to-event analysis by multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards analysis with progression-free survival (PFS) as the primary endpoint.

RESULTS

In the clinically relevant oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative patient subgroup, the estimated hazard ratio (HR) associated with PFS between low- and high-risk groups was 2.76 (95% CI: 1.63-4.66, p-value < 0.001) after adjusting for established risk factors. In the ER+/HER2- Nottingham histological grade (NHG) 2 subgroup, the HR was 2.20 (95% CI: 1.22-3.98, p-value = 0.009) between low- and high-risk groups.

CONCLUSION

The results indicate an independent prognostic value of Stratipath Breast among all breast cancer patients, as well as in the clinically relevant ER+/HER2- subgroup and the NHG2/ER+/HER2- subgroup. Improved risk stratification of intermediate-risk ER+/HER2- breast cancers provides information relevant for treatment decisions of adjuvant chemotherapy and has the potential to reduce both under- and overtreatment. Image-based risk stratification provides the added benefit of short lead times and substantially lower cost compared to molecular diagnostics and therefore has the potential to reach broader patient groups.

Clinicopathological characteristics and genomic profiling of pure mucinous breast cancer

PURPOSE

Pure mucinous breast cancer (PMC) is a rare histological type with a favourable prognosis. However, cases with recurrence have been reported and diagnosed in clinical practice. The mechanisms underlying PMC recurrence remain unknown. In this study, we aimed to identify the prognostic factors associated with PMC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 166 patients diagnosed with PMC were included. We compared the clinicopathological characteristics between patients with and without recurrence. The 21-gene assay was performed in 10 patients with recurrence and 20 TNM stage-matched patients without recurrence. Whole-exon sequencing was performed in 12 PMC primary tumours and four positive lymph nodes (LNs).

RESULTS

Tumour size, lymph node status and TNM staging differed significantly between recurrent group and non-recurrent group. And the 21-gene recurrence scores did not differ significantly between recurrent group and its TNM stage-matched non-recurrent group. The most frequently mutated genes in the primary tumours of regional LN-positive PMCs were ADCY10 (3/6) and SHANK3 (3/6), and they more recurrently harboured gains of 15q23, 17q23.2 and 20p11.21, and loss of 21p11.2. And these alterations were not detected in primary tumours of regional LN-negative PMCs.

CONCLUSION

TNM stage is an important prognostic factor in PMC. Although we revealed that regional LN-positive PMCs show increased occurrence of duplication variants at 15q23, 17q23.2 and 20p11.21, and deletion variants at 21p11.2. Further investigation, including multi-omics studies, are needed and may provide additional insights into the nature of PMC.

RecurIndex-Guided postoperative radiotherapy with or without Avoidance of Irradiation of regional Nodes in 1-3 node-positive breast cancer (RIGAIN): a study protocol for a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled prospective, phase III trial

INTRODUCTION

Postoperative radiotherapy in patients with breast cancer with one to three lymph node metastases, particularly within the pT1-2N1M0 cohort with a low clinical risk of local-regional recurrence (LRR), has incited a discourse surrounding personalised treatment strategies. Multigene testing for Recurrence Index (RecurIndex) model capably differentiates patients based on their level of LRR risk. This research aims to validate whether a more aggressive treatment approach can enhance clinical outcomes in N1 patients who possess a clinically low risk of LRR, yet a high RecurIndex-determined risk of LRR. Specifically, this entails postoperative whole breast irradiation combined with regional lymph node irradiation (RNI) following breast-conserving surgery or chest wall irradiation with RNI after mastectomy.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The RIGAIN (RecurIndex-Guided postoperative radiotherapy with or without Avoidance of Irradiation of regional Nodes in 1-3 node-positive breast cancer) Study is a multicentre, prospective, randomised, open-label, phase III clinical trial that is being conducted in China. In this study, patients with low clinical LRR risk but high RecurIndex-LRR risk are randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to the experimental group or the control group. In the experimental group, RNI is performed and the control group omits RNI. Efficacy and safety analyses will be conducted, enrolling a total of 540 patients (270 per group). The primary endpoint is invasive disease-free survival, and secondary endpoints include any first recurrence, LRR-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, recurrence-free survival, overall survival, disease-free survival, breast cancer-specific mortality and assessment of patient quality of life. The study began in April 2023 and with a follow-up period of 60 months after the last participant completes radiation therapy.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University (SYSKY-2022-097-02, V.3.1). It adheres to the Helsinki Declaration and Good Clinical Practice. Research findings will be submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04069884.

New Insight for Axillary De-Escalation in Breast Cancer Surgery: "SoFT Study" Retrospective Analysis

Background: The SOUND study demonstrated that an axillary de-escalation may be sufficient in locoregional and distant disease control in selected early breast cancer (EBC) patients. To establish any preoperative variables that may drive sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) omission, a study named sentinel omission risk factor (SOFT) 1.23 was planned. Methods: A single-center retrospective study from a prospectively maintained database was designed, aiming at underlying preoperative prognostic factors involved in sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastasis (lymph node involvement (LN+) vs. negative lymph node (LN-) group). Secondary outcomes included surgical room occupancy analysis for SLNB in patients fulfilling the SOUND study inclusion criteria. The institutional ethical committee Area Territoriale Lazio 2 approved the study (n° 122/23). Results: Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2023, 160 patients were included in the study and 26 (%) were included in the LN+ group. Multifocality, higher cT stage, and larger tumor diameter were reported in the LN+ group (p = 0.020, p = 0.014, and 0.016, respectively). Tumor biology, including estrogen and progesterone receptors, and molecular subtypes showed association with the LN+ group (p < 0.001; p = 0.001; and p = 0.001, respectively). A total of 117 (73.6%) patients were eligible for the SOUND study and the potential operating room time saved was 2696.81 min. Conclusions: De-escalating strategies may rationalize healthcare activities. Multifactorial risk stratification may further refine the selection of patients who could benefit from SLNB omission.

Differences in 21-Gene and PAM50 Recurrence Scores in Younger and Black Women With Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Genomic tests, such as the Oncotype Dx 21-gene and Prosigna risk of recurrence (ROR-P) assay, are commonly used for breast cancer prognostication. Emerging data suggest variability between assays, but this has not been compared in diverse populations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

RNA sequencing was performed on 647 previously untreated stage I-III estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative tumors in the Carolina Breast Cancer Study, which oversampled Black and younger women (age <50 years at diagnosis), using research versions of two common RNA-based prognostic assays: ROR-PR and the 21-gene recurrence score (RSR). Relative frequency differences and 95% CIs were estimated for associations with race and age, and hazards of 5-year local or distant recurrence were modeled with Cox regression. Proliferation and estrogen module scores from each assay, representing broad activity of genes in those pathways, were examined to guide interpretation of differences between tests.

RESULTS

Among both younger and older individuals, Black women had higher frequency of intermediate and high ROR-PR scores than non-Black women. Race was not significantly associated with RSR in either age group. High (hazard ratio [HR], 4.67 [95% CI, 1.73 to 12.70]) and intermediate (HR, 2.12 [95% CI, 0.98 to 4.62]) ROR-PR scores were associated with greater risk of recurrence, but RSR did not predict recurrence. RSR emphasized estrogen over proliferation modules, whereas ROR-PR emphasized proliferation. Higher proliferation scores were associated with younger age and Black race in both assays. Modifications to the RSR algorithm that increased emphasis on proliferation improved prognostication in this diverse population.

CONCLUSION

ROR-PR and the 21-gene RSR differentially emphasize estrogen-related and proliferative biology. The emphasis of 21-gene RS on estrogen-related biology and lower endocrine therapy initiation among Black women may contribute to poorer prognostic ability in heterogeneously treated populations.

Is the percentage of hormone receptor positivity in HR+ HER2-metastatic breast cancer patients receiving CDK 4/6 inhibitor with endocrine therapy predictive and prognostic?

Purpose

There is no clear information in the literature about the relationship between the efficacy of CDK 4/6i combined with ET and HR positivity. However, we know that the longest overall survival was in the ER-strong positive/PR intermediate or strong positive groups. Therefore, we aimed to investigate CDK4/6i treatments that create positivity in HR.

Methods

Patients with the diagnosis of HR+/HER2- MBC who were treated with CDK 4/6i and HR >10% were retrospectively evaluated. To analyze the role of HR positivity, ER was moderately positive (10-49%) and ER was strongly positive (50-100%); PR was grouped as moderately positive (10-49%) and PR strongly positive (50-100%).

Results

Median follow-up of 150 patients included in the study was 15.2 months (95% CI, 2.1-40.9 months). The highest response in the whole group was obtained in the ER-strong positive/PR moderate or strong positive group, and the ER moderate positive/PR moderate or strong group. This was followed by the ER strong positive/PR negative group, and then the ER moderate positive/PR negative group. Although these advantages were not statistically significant, they were numerically higher (ORR: 83.8% vs. 83.3% vs. 77.4% vs. 62.5%, p=0.488, respectively). The highest survival in the whole group was achieved in the ER strong positive/PR moderate or strongly positive group, followed by the ER moderately positive/PR moderate or strongly positive group, the ER strongly positive/PR negative group followed by the ER moderate positive/PR negative group, respectively(p=0.410). However, these advantages were not statistically significant.

Conclusion

As a result, HR+/HER2- MBC patients receiving CDK 4/6i combined with ET suggest that the percentage of HR positivity may have a predictive and prognostic role.

Development and validation of a clinical breast cancer tool for accurate prediction of recurrence

Given high costs of Oncotype DX (ODX) testing, widely used in recurrence risk assessment for early-stage breast cancer, studies have predicted ODX using quantitative clinicopathologic variables. However, such models have incorporated only small cohorts. Using a cohort of patients from the National Cancer Database (NCDB, n = 53,346), we trained machine learning models to predict low-risk (0-25) or high-risk (26-100) ODX using quantitative estrogen receptor (ER)/progesterone receptor (PR)/Ki-67 status, quantitative ER/PR status alone, and no quantitative features. Models were externally validated on a diverse cohort of 970 patients (median follow-up 55 months) for accuracy in ODX prediction and recurrence. Comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) in a held-out set from NCDB, models incorporating quantitative ER/PR (AUROC 0.78, 95% CI 0.77-0.80) and ER/PR/Ki-67 (AUROC 0.81, 95% CI 0.80-0.83) outperformed the non-quantitative model (AUROC 0.70, 95% CI 0.68-0.72). These results were preserved in the validation cohort, where the ER/PR/Ki-67 model (AUROC 0.87, 95% CI 0.81-0.93, p = 0.009) and the ER/PR model (AUROC 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.92, p = 0.031) significantly outperformed the non-quantitative model (AUROC 0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.87). Using a high-sensitivity rule-out threshold, the non-quantitative, quantitative ER/PR and ER/PR/Ki-67 models identified 35%, 30% and 43% of patients as low-risk in the validation cohort. Of these low-risk patients, fewer than 3% had a recurrence at 5 years. These models may help identify patients who can forgo genomic testing and initiate endocrine therapy alone. An online calculator is provided for further study.

Is Oncotype DX testing informative for breast cancers with low ER expression? A retrospective review from a biomarker testing referral center

PURPOSE

It remains unclear whether patients with HER2-negative, low-estrogen receptor (ER-low)-positive early breast cancer (BC) benefit from Oncotype DX® (ODX) testing.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of cases referred for ODX testing over a seven-year period from a breast biomarker testing referral center (n = 854). For each case, we recorded the ODX Recurrence Score (RS) along with percentage of ER nuclear positivity and staining intensity on immunohistochemistry. Our criteria for ER-low was defined as ≤10% cells with nuclear positivity and/or weak intensity of staining. Slides from all ER-low cases were reviewed and the reported ODX ER gene scores were recorded. We randomly selected a comparator group of 56 patients with ER > 10% positivity and non-weak staining intensity (ER-high).

RESULTS

We identified 27 cases (3.2%) that met our criteria for ER-low. Of these, 92.6% had a high RS (>25), and 7.4% had a RS of 25. All cases with ≤10% ER nuclear positivity had a high RS. Most ER-low cases (85.2%) had ODX quantitative ER gene scores in the negative range, whereas all (100%) ER-high cases had positive ER gene scores.

CONCLUSION

ODX does not appear to add significant additional information to inform treatment decisions for most patients with ER-low BC. Incorporating weak ER staining intensity in addition to low percentage of nuclear positivity identifies about twice as many ER-low patients, although with reduced specificity for high RS. Our study supports the contention that most ER-low early BC should be regarded similarly to ER-negative BC.

Disparities in OncotypeDx Testing and Subsequent Chemotherapy Receipt by Geography and Socioeconomic Status

BACKGROUND

OncotypeDx is a prognostic and predictive genomic assay used in early-stage hormone receptor-positive, HER2- (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer. It is used to inform adjuvant chemotherapy decisions, but not all eligible women receive testing. We aimed to assess variation in testing by demographics and geography, and to determine whether testing was associated with chemotherapy.

METHODS

For 1,615 women in the Carolina Breast Cancer Study with HR+/HER2-, Stage I-II tumors, we estimated prevalence differences (PD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for receipt of OncotypeDx genomic testing in association with and sociodemographic characteristics. We assessed associations between testing and chemotherapy receipt overall and by race. Finally, we calculated the proportion of eligible women receiving OncotypeDx by county-level rurality, census tract-level socioeconomic status, and Area Health Education Center regions.

RESULTS

38% (N = 609) of potentially eligible women were tested, with lower testing prevalences in Black (31%; PD, -11%; 95% CI, -16%-6%) and low-income women (24%; PD, -20%; 95% CI, -29% to -11%) relative to non-Black and higher income women. Urban participants were less likely to be tested than rural participants, though this association varied by region. Among women with low genomic risk tumors, tested participants were 29% less likely to receive chemotherapy than untested participants (95% CI, -40% to -17%). Racial differences in chemotherapy were restricted to untested women.

CONCLUSIONS

Both individual and area-level socioeconomics predict likelihood of OncotypeDx testing.

IMPACT

Variable adoption of OncotypeDx by socioeconomics and across geographic settings may contribute to excess chemotherapy among patients with HR+/HER2- cancers. See related In the Spotlight, p. 635.

Identification of a Group of Therapeutic Targets and Prognostic Biomarker for Triple Negative Breast Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is a highly heterogeneous disease. Mining differentially expressed genes of TNBC is helpful to explore new therapeutic targets. This study aimed to investigate diagnostic biomarker genes in TNBC compared to normal tissue. Additionally, we explored the functions and prognostic value of these key genes as well as potential targeted drugs that could affect these genes.

METHODS

Differential gene expression analysis was conducted using the R software with data from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Then, the identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were used to construct a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network using the Search Tool for the Retrieval of Interacting Genes (STRING) database and Cytoscape software. The mRNA expression levels of key genes were analyzed using the UALCAN database with data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Enrichment and survival analyses were performed using R software. In addition, potential compounds showing sensitivity to key genes were identified by gene set cancer analysis (GSCA).

RESULTS

Compared with normal tissues, a total of 203 DEGs were upregulated in TNBC. These DEGs participated in various biological processes including nuclear division, microtubule binding, cell cycle, and the p53 signaling pathway. Through the PPI network analysis, ten key genes were identified, among which four genes showed significant correlation with poor progression-free interval (PFI) in patients with TNBC. Moreover, the four survival-related genes were found to act as sensitive therapeutic targets.

CONCLUSION

The identified four key genes were considered new biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis and also potential therapeutic targets for TNBC.

Defining the Biology of Estrogen Receptor-Low-Positive Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

We sought to better define estrogen receptor-low-positive (ER-low+) breast cancer biology and determine the utility of the Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® (RS) assay in this population.

METHODS

Patients with information regarding percentage ER positivity and PAM50 subtype were identified in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and subtype distribution was determined. Next, patients with ER-low+ (ER 1-10%), HER2- breast cancer undergoing upfront surgery with known RS result were identified in the National Cancer Database (NCDB) and our institutional Dana-Farber Brigham Cancer Center (DF/BCC) database; RS distribution was examined. Finally, patients with ER-low+, HER2- breast cancer treated at DF/BCC from 2011 to 2020 without prior RS results and in whom tissue was available to perform the assay were identified. RS results, treatment, recurrence and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) were determined.

RESULTS

Of 1033 patients in TCGA, ER percentage and PAM50 subtype were available for 342 (33.1%) patients. Forty-six (13.5%) had ER-low+/HER2- tumors, among whom 82.6% were basal and 4.3% were luminal A. Among 3423 patients with ER-low+/HER2- disease in the NCDB, RS results were available for 689 (20.1%) patients; 67% had an RS ≥26. In our institutional database, only two patients with ER-low+/HER2- disease and an RS were identified, both with RS ≥26. Among 37 patients in our institutional cohort without prior RS, 35 (97.4%) had an RS ≥26, determined with testing. After a median follow-up of 40 months (range 3-106), three patients, all treated with chemotherapy, recurred. Three-year BCSS was 97.0% (95% confidence interval 96.9-97.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Most ER-low+/HER2- breast cancers are basal-like, with RS ≥26 suggesting these tumors are similar to triple-negative disease.

MMP-11 expression in early luminal breast cancer: associations with clinical, MRI, pathological characteristics, and disease-free survival

BACKGROUND

Early hormone-positive breast cancers typically have favorable outcomes, yet long-term surveillance is crucial due to the risk of late recurrences. While many studies associate MMP-11 expression with poor prognosis in breast cancer, few focus on early-stage cases. This study explores MMP-11 as an early prognostic marker in hormone-positive breast cancers.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 228 women with early hormone-positive invasive ductal carcinoma, treated surgically between 2011 and 2016, were included. MMP-11 expression was measured by immunohistochemistry, and its association with clinical and MRI data was analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the patients (aged 31-89, median 60, with average tumor size of 15.7 mm), MMP-11 staining was observed in half of the cases. This positivity correlated with higher uPA levels and tumor grade but not with nodal status or size. Furthermore, MMP-11 positivity showed specific associations with MRI features. Over a follow-up period of 6.5 years, only 12 oncological events occurred. Disease-free survival was linked to Ki67 and MMP-11.

CONCLUSION

MMP-11, primarily present in tumor-surrounding stromal cells, correlates with tumor grade and uPA levels. MMP-11 immunohistochemical score demonstrates a suggestive trend in association with disease-free survival, independent of Ki67 and other traditional prognostic factors. This highlights the potential of MMP-11 as a valuable marker in managing early hormone-positive breast cancer.

21-gene expression assay and clinical outcomes of premenopausal patients with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer

The prognostic role of the recurrence score (RS) based on the 21-gene expression assay in premenopausal women is not well delineated, and we investigated the association of outcomes and the RS in premenopausal patients who had 21-gene expression assay at Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea, between June 2005 and July 2018. Invasive breast cancer-free survival (IBCFS) by STEEP version 2.0 was compared according to the RS and clinical risk factors. A total of 554 patients were included in our study and 116 patients (20.9%) had age <40 years, 238 patients (43.0%) had luminal B subtype (Ki67 ≥ 20%), and 83 patients (15.0%) had RS >25. All patients received adjuvant tamoxifen ± chemotherapy. Overall, patients with RS >25 showed trend toward worse IBCFS from multivariable analysis (adjusted HR 1.89 [95% CI: 0.95-3.73], P = .069). When comparing outcomes according to age and luminal subtypes, patients with luminal B subtype and age <40 years (n = 60) showed significantly worse outcomes compared to the others (luminal A or luminal B + age ≥40 years, n = 494; adjusted HR 2.95 [95% CI: 1.49-5.82], log-rank P < .001). Among patients with luminal B subtype and age <40 years, there was no significant association observed between IBCFS and the RS (log-rank P = .51). In conclusion, while RS >25 showed association with poor outcomes in premenopausal women, it may have less prognostic significance among those with luminal B subtype and age <40 years.

Stage I Breast Cancer in the Modern Era: A Retrospective Cohort Study of 328 Patients Diagnosed from 2002 to 2006 with a 14-Year Median Follow-Up

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of stage I breast cancer (BC) patients diagnosed during the current era of screening mammography, immunohistochemistry receptor testing, and systemic adjuvant therapy.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 328 stage I BC patients treated consecutively in a single referral center with a follow-up period of at least 12 years. The primary endpoints were invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and overall survival (OS). The influence of tumor size, grade, and subtype on the outcomes was analyzed.

RESULTS

Most patients were treated by lumpectomy, sentinel node biopsy, and adjuvant endocrine therapy, and most (82%) were of subtype luminal A. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 25.6% of our cohort. Only 24 patients underwent gene expression testing, which was introduced toward the end of the study period. Mean IDFS was 14.64 years, with a 15-year IDFS of 75.6%. Mean OS was 15.28 years with a 15-year OS of 74.9%. In a Cox multivariate analysis, no clinical or pathologic variable impacted on OS and only tumor size (<1 cm vs. 1-2 cm) impacted significantly on IDFS. During follow-up, 20.1% of the cohort developed second primary cancers, including BC. The median time to diagnosis of a second BC was 6.49 years.

CONCLUSION

The study results emphasize the importance of long-term follow-up and screening for subsequent malignancies of patients with stage I BC and support the need for using prognostic and predictive indicators beyond the routine clinicopathological characteristics in luminal A patients.

Cross-linking breast tumor transcriptomic states and tissue histology

Identification of the gene expression state of a cancer patient from routine pathology imaging and characterization of its phenotypic effects have significant clinical and therapeutic implications. However, prediction of expression of individual genes from whole slide images (WSIs) is challenging due to co-dependent or correlated expression of multiple genes. Here, we use a purely data-driven approach to first identify groups of genes with co-dependent expression and then predict their status from WSIs using a bespoke graph neural network. These gene groups allow us to capture the gene expression state of a patient with a small number of binary variables that are biologically meaningful and carry histopathological insights for clinical and therapeutic use cases. Prediction of gene expression state based on these gene groups allows associating histological phenotypes (cellular composition, mitotic counts, grading, etc.) with underlying gene expression patterns and opens avenues for gaining biological insights from routine pathology imaging directly.

Association of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes with recurrence score in hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer: Analysis of four prospective studies

BACKGROUND

The clinical value of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/HER2- breast cancer (BC) may be unearthed by focusing on more biologically aggressive tumors. Here we deepen and describe the correlation between RS and TILs, proposing an immuno-genomic model for HR+ /HER2- BC.

METHODS

We enrolled T1-T3, N0-N1 BC patients with available RS® and TILs in the context of four multicenter, prospective studies. RS® and TILs were considered as continuous and categorical variables. RS® was categorized into: 0-10 (low risk), 11-25 (intermediate risk) and 26-100 (high risk); TILs were categorized into: low TILs (0-10%), intermediate TILs (11-59%) and high TILs (60-100%).

RESULTS

811 patients were included. RS distribution was (n = 810): low risk 22.0%, intermediate risk 61.2%, high risk 16.8%. TIL distribution was (n = 455): low TILs 84.6%, intermediate TILs 13.6% and high TILs 1.8%. A significant, weak positive, linear correlation was found between continuous TILs and RS (Pearson coefficient=0.223, p < 0.001). When considering RS and TILs categories, tumors with intermediate/high TIL levels significantly enriched the high RS subgroup (p = 0.006). This was confirmed both within Luminal A and Luminal B cohorts. Among high-RS patients, 16.7% of Luminal A and 26.7% of Luminal B tumors had intermediate/high TILs.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed that RS® and TILs capture only slightly overlapping information on the biology of HR+ /HER2- tumor microenvironment. We demonstrated the feasibility of combining RS and TILs into a composite immuno-genomic model, which may serve the purpose of guiding and focalizing patient selection in the further development of immunotherapy strategies for Luminal-like disease.

A guide to regression discontinuity designs in medical applications

We present a practical guide for the analysis of regression discontinuity (RD) designs in biomedical contexts. We begin by introducing key concepts, assumptions, and estimands within both the continuity-based framework and the local randomization framework. We then discuss modern estimation and inference methods within both frameworks, including approaches for bandwidth or local neighborhood selection, optimal treatment effect point estimation, and robust bias-corrected inference methods for uncertainty quantification. We also overview empirical falsification tests that can be used to support key assumptions. Our discussion focuses on two particular features that are relevant in biomedical research: (i) fuzzy RD designs, which often arise when therapeutic treatments are based on clinical guidelines, but patients with scores near the cutoff are treated contrary to the assignment rule; and (ii) RD designs with discrete scores, which are ubiquitous in biomedical applications. We illustrate our discussion with three empirical applications: the effect CD4 guidelines for anti-retroviral therapy on retention of HIV patients in South Africa, the effect of genetic guidelines for chemotherapy on breast cancer recurrence in the United States, and the effects of age-based patient cost-sharing on healthcare utilization in Taiwan. Complete replication materials employing publicly available data and statistical software in Python, R and Stata are provided, offering researchers all necessary tools to conduct an RD analysis.

Incorporating Tumor Biology to Select Patients for the Omission of Radiation Therapy

Although adjuvant breast radiotherapy has long been a universal component of breast conservation therapy (BCT), it is now clear that "breast cancer" is a broad class of many disparate diseases with varying natural histories and risk profiles. In turn, some breast conservation patients enjoy exceedingly favorable outcomes following surgery alone. Ongoing trials seek to identify such low-risk patient populations, hypothesizing that some may safely forego radiotherapy. Whereas prior-generation trials focused on clinicopathologic features for risk stratification, contemporary studies are employing molecular biomarkers to identify those patients who are unlikely to benefit significantly from radiotherapy.

Looking ahead in early-phase trial design to improve the drug development process: examples in oncology

BACKGROUND

Clinical trial design must consider the specific resource constraints and overall goals of the drug development process (DDP); for example, in designing a phase I trial to evaluate the safety of a drug and recommend a dose for a subsequent phase II trial. Here, we focus on design considerations that involve the sequence of clinical trials, from early phase I to late phase III, that constitute the DDP.

METHODS

We discuss how stylized simulation models of clinical trials in an oncology DDP can quantify important relationships between early-phase trial designs and their consequences for the remaining phases of development. Simulations for three illustrative settings are presented, using stylized models of the DDP that mimic trial designs and decisions, such as the potential discontinuation of the DDP.

RESULTS

We describe: (1) the relationship between a phase II single-arm trial sample size and the likelihood of a positive result in a subsequent phase III confirmatory trial; (2) the impact of a phase I dose-finding design on the likelihood that the DDP will produce evidence of a safe and effective therapy; and (3) the impact of a phase II enrichment trial design on the operating characteristics of a subsequent phase III confirmatory trial.

CONCLUSIONS

Stylized models of the DDP can support key decisions, such as the sample size, in the design of early-phase trials. Simulation models can be used to estimate performance metrics of the DDP under realistic scenarios; for example, the duration and the total number of patients enrolled. These estimates complement the evaluation of the operating characteristics of early-phase trial design, such as power or accuracy in selecting safe and effective dose levels.

Novel computational biology modeling system can accurately forecast response to neoadjuvant therapy in early breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Generalizable population-based studies are unable to account for individual tumor heterogeneity that contributes to variability in a patient's response to physician-chosen therapy. Although molecular characterization of tumors has advanced precision medicine, in early-stage and locally advanced breast cancer patients, predicting a patient's response to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) remains a gap in current clinical practice. Here, we perform a study in an independent cohort of early-stage and locally advanced breast cancer patients to forecast tumor response to NAT and assess the stability of a previously validated biophysical simulation platform.

METHODS

A single-blinded study was performed using a retrospective database from a single institution (9/2014-12/2020). Patients included: ≥ 18 years with breast cancer who completed NAT, with pre-treatment dynamic contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. Demographics, chemotherapy, baseline (pre-treatment) MRI and pathologic data were input into the TumorScope Predict (TS) biophysical simulation platform to generate predictions. Primary outcomes included predictions of pathological complete response (pCR) versus residual disease (RD) and final volume for each tumor. For validation, post-NAT predicted pCR and tumor volumes were compared to actual pathological assessment and MRI-assessed volumes. Predicted pCR was pre-defined as residual tumor volume ≤ 0.01 cm³ (≥ 99.9% reduction).

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of eighty patients; 36 Caucasian and 40 African American. Most tumors were high-grade (54.4% grade 3) invasive ductal carcinomas (90.0%). Receptor subtypes included hormone receptor positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive (HER2+, 30%), HR+/HER2- (35%), HR-/HER2+ (12.5%) and triple negative breast cancer (TNBC, 22.5%). Simulated tumor volume was significantly correlated with post-treatment radiographic MRI calculated volumes (r = 0.53, p = 1.3 × 10^-7, mean absolute error of 6.57%). TS prediction of pCR compared favorably to pathological assessment (pCR: TS n = 28; Path n = 27; RD: TS n = 52; Path n = 53), for an overall accuracy of 91.2% (95% CI: 82.8% - 96.4%; Clopper-Pearson interval). Five-year risk of recurrence demonstrated similar prognostic performance between TS predictions (Hazard ratio (HR): - 1.99; 95% CI [- 3.96, - 0.02]; p = 0.043) and clinically assessed pCR (HR: - 1.76; 95% CI [- 3.75, 0.23]; p = 0.054).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated TS ability to simulate and model tumor in vivo conditions in silico and forecast volume response to NAT across breast tumor subtypes.

Real‑world data indicated that neoadjuvant chemotherapy alone was associated with a higher risk of tumor recurrence in high‑risk breast cancer subgroup patients

Numerous clinical trials have reported equal effects of tumor control between neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in patients with breast cancer (BC). However, this conclusion has not been verified in practice. The present retrospective study evaluated if there were different risk profiles for NAC, AC and their combinative modes on disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with BC using real-world data. All women with primary unilateral Stage I-III BC and first recurrence in 2008-2018 at The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University were retrospectively identified for enrollment. The four modes of chemotherapy administered for primary BC were classified as 'None', 'NAC only', 'NAC+AC' and 'AC only'. One multivariate Cox model was used to estimate the adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) and P-value. Covariates included age, Easter Cooperative Oncology Group grade, T stage, N stage, pathology, grade, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), BC subtype, number of chemotherapy cycles and other therapies. Amongst 637 patients, who had a mean age of 48.2 years at BC diagnosis and 50.9 years at recurrence, the median DFS by the 'None' (n=27), 'NAC only' (n=47), 'NAC+AC' (n=118) and 'AC only' (n=445) modes were 31.4, 16.6, 22.6 and 28.4 months (P<0.001), respectively. Compared with the 'AC only', adjusted HR (P-value) of the 'None', 'NAC only' and 'NAC+AC' modes on tumor recurrence were 1.182 (0.551), 1.481 (0.037) and 1.102 (0.523), respectively. The adjusted HR of 'NAC only' vs. 'AC only' modes were 1.448 (P=0.157) for locoregional recurrence and 2.675 (P=0.003) for distant recurrence. Stratified analyses further indicated that the 'NAC only' mode was associated with a higher recurrence risk in T3-4, N2-3, LVI-positive, or HER2-negative subgroup patients. In conclusion, NAC alone was associated with a higher risk of tumor recurrence in high-risk BC subgroup patients in real-world data. Patient selection of chemotherapy mode was involved in practice but could not fully explain this finding. The 'inadequate' NAC was highly likely to have accounted for this observation.

Ten-year distant-recurrence risk prediction in breast cancer by CanAssist Breast (CAB) in Dutch sub-cohort of the randomized TEAM trial

BACKGROUND

Hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2/neu-negative breast cancers have a sustained risk of recurrence up to 20 years from diagnosis. TEAM (Tamoxifen, Exemestane Adjuvant Multinational) is a large, multi-country, phase III trial that randomized 9776 women for the use of hormonal therapy. Of these 2754 were Dutch patients. The current study aims for the first time to correlate the ten-year clinical outcomes with predictions by CanAssist Breast (CAB)-a prognostic test developed in South East Asia, on a Dutch sub-cohort that participated in the TEAM. The total Dutch TEAM cohort and the current Dutch sub-cohort were almost similar with respect to patient age and tumor anatomical features.

METHODS

Of the 2754 patients from the Netherlands, which are part of the original TEAM trial, 592 patients' samples were available with Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC). The risk stratification of CAB was correlated with outcomes of patients using logistic regression approaches entailing Kaplan-Meier survival curves, univariate and multivariate cox-regression hazards model. We used hazard ratios (HRs), the cumulative incidence of distant metastasis/death due to breast cancer (DM), and distant recurrence-free interval (DRFi) for assessment.

RESULTS

Out of 433 patients finally included, the majority, 68.4% had lymph node-positive disease, while only a minority received chemotherapy (20.8%) in addition to endocrine therapy. CAB stratified 67.5% of the total cohort as low-risk [DM = 11.5% (95% CI, 7.6-15.2)] and 32.5% as high-risk [DM = 30.2% (95% CI, 21.9-37.6)] with an HR of 2.90 (95% CI, 1.75-4.80; P < 0.001) at ten years. CAB risk score was an independent prognostic factor in the consideration of clinical parameters in multivariate analysis. At ten years, CAB high-risk had the worst DRFi of 69.8%, CAB low-risk in the exemestane monotherapy arm had the best DRFi of 92.7% [vs CAB high-risk, HR, 0.21 (95% CI, 0.11-0.43), P < 0.001], and CAB low-risk in the sequential arm had a DRFi of 84.2% [vs CAB high-risk, HR, 0.48 (95% CI, 0.28-0.82), P = 0.009].

CONCLUSIONS

Cost-effective CAB is a statistically robust prognostic and predictive tool for ten-year DM for postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2-, early breast cancer. CAB low-risk patients who received exemestane monotherapy had an excellent ten-year DRFi.

Prediction of Oncotype DX Recurrence Score Using Clinicopathological Variables in Estrogen Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Oncotype DX (ODX) is a well-validated multigene assay that is increasingly used in Korean clinical practice. This study aimed to develop a clinicopathological prediction (CPP) model for the ODX recurrence scores (RSs).

METHODS

A total of 297 patients (study group, n = 175; external validation group, n = 122) with estrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, T1-3N0-1M0 breast cancer, and available ODX test results were included in the study. Risk categorization as determined by ODX RSs concurred with the TAILORx study (low-risk, RS ≤ 25; high-risk, RS > 25). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the relationships between clinicopathological variables and risk stratified by the ODX RSs. A CPP model was constructed based on regression coefficients (β values) for clinicopathological variables significant by multivariate regression analysis.

RESULTS

Progesterone receptor (PR) negativity, high Ki-67 index, and nuclear grade (NG) 3 independently predicted high-risk RS, and these variables were used to construct the CPP model. The C-index, which represented the discriminatory ability of our CPP model for predicting a high-risk RS, was 0.915 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.859-0.971). When the CPP model was applied to the external validation group, the C-index was 0.926 (95% CI, 0.873-0.978).

CONCLUSION

Our CPP model based on PR, Ki-67 index, and NG could aid in the selection of patients with breast cancer requiring an ODX test.

Neoadjuvant endocrine therapy in postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2- breast cancer

INTRODUCTION

While endocrine therapy is the standard-of-care adjuvant treatment for hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancers, there is also extensive evidence for the role of pre-operative (or neoadjuvant) endocrine therapy (NET) in HR+ postmenopausal women.

AREAS COVERED

We conducted a thorough review of the published literature, to summarize the evidence to date, including studies of how NET compares to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, which NET agents are preferable, and the optimal duration of NET. We describe the importance of on-treatment assessment of response, the different predictors available (including Ki67, PEPI score, and molecular signatures) and the research opportunities the pre-operative setting offers. We also summarize recent combination trials and discuss how the COVID-19 pandemic led to increases in NET use for safe management of cases with deferred surgery and adjuvant treatments.

EXPERT OPINION

NET represents a safe and effective tool for the management of postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2- breast cancer, enabling disease downstaging and a wider range of surgical options. Aromatase inhibitors are the preferred NET, with evidence suggesting that longer regimens might yield optimal results. However, NET remains currently underutilised in many territories and institutions. Further validation of predictors for treatment response and benefit is needed to help standardise and fully exploit the potential of NET in the clinic.

The Prognostic and Predictive Value of Genomic Assays in Guiding Adjuvant Breast Radiation Therapy

Many patients with non-metastatic breast cancer benefit from adjuvant radiation therapy after lumpectomy or mastectomy on the basis of many randomized trials. However, there are many patients that have such low risks of recurrence after surgery that de-intensification of therapy by either reducing the treatment volume or omitting radiation altogether may be appropriate options. On the other hand, dose intensification may be necessary for more aggressive breast cancers. Until recently, these treatment decisions were based solely on clinicopathologic factors. Here, we review the current literature on the role of genomic assays as prognostic and/or predictive biomarkers to help guide adjuvant radiation therapy decision-making.

Sparse canonical correlation to identify breast cancer related genes regulated by copy number aberrations

BACKGROUND

Copy number aberrations (CNAs) in cancer affect disease outcomes by regulating molecular phenotypes, such as gene expressions, that drive important biological processes. To gain comprehensive insights into molecular biomarkers for cancer, it is critical to identify key groups of CNAs, the associated gene modules, regulatory modules, and their downstream effect on outcomes.

METHODS

In this paper, we demonstrate an innovative use of sparse canonical correlation analysis (sCCA) to effectively identify the ensemble of CNAs, and gene modules in the context of binary and censored disease endpoints. Our approach detects potentially orthogonal gene expression modules which are highly correlated with sets of CNA and then identifies the genes within these modules that are associated with the outcome.

RESULTS

Analyzing clinical and genomic data on 1,904 breast cancer patients from the METABRIC study, we found 14 gene modules to be regulated by groups of proximally located CNA sites. We validated this finding using an independent set of 1,077 breast invasive carcinoma samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Our analysis of 7 clinical endpoints identified several novel and interpretable regulatory associations, highlighting the role of CNAs in key biological pathways and processes for breast cancer. Genes significantly associated with the outcomes were enriched for early estrogen response pathway, DNA repair pathways as well as targets of transcription factors such as E2F4, MYC, and ETS1 that have recognized roles in tumor characteristics and survival. Subsequent meta-analysis across the endpoints further identified several genes through the aggregation of weaker associations.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that sCCA analysis can aggregate weaker associations to identify interpretable and important genes, modules, and clinically consequential pathways.

NURR1 Is Differentially Expressed in Breast Cancer According to Patient Racial Identity and Tumor Subtype

Breast carcinoma (BCa) remains the second most common cause of cancer-related death among American women. Whereas estrogen receptor (ER) expression is typically regarded as a favorable prognostic indicator, a significant proportion of ER(+) patients still experience either de novo or acquired endocrine resistance. Previously, we have shown that the loss of orphan nuclear receptor NURR1 expression is associated with neoplastic transformation of the breast epithelium and shorter relapse-free survival (RFS) among systemically treated breast cancer (BCa) patients. Here, we further ascertain the prognostic value of NURR1 in BCa, and its differential expression among Black and White female BCa patients. We assessed the expression of NURR1 mRNA in BCa patients using the Cancer Genome Atlas (TGCA) and compared the occurrence of basal-like cancer and luminal A breast cancer subtypes. Expression levels were further stratified according to racial identity of the patient. We next assessed the correlation of NURR1 expression with Oncotype DX prognostic markers, and the association of NURR1 expression with relapse free survival in patients treated with endocrine therapy. Our study shows that NURR1 mRNA expression is differentially correlated with luminal A vs. basal-like cancer BCa and is predictive of poor relapse-free survival, confirming a similar trend observed in our previous studies using microarray data. NURR1 expression was positively correlated with expression of Oncotype DX biomarkers associated with estrogen responsiveness, while being inversely correlated with biomarkers associated with cell proliferation. Furthermore, we observed that NURR1 expression was positively associated with greater relapse-free survival at 5 years among patients treated with endocrine therapy. Interestingly, we found that among Black women with luminal A BCa, NURR1 expression was repressed in comparison to White women with the same subtype.

Favorable locoregional control in clinically node-negative hormone-receptor positive breast cancer with low 21-gene recurrence scores: a single-institution study with 10-year follow-up

BACKGROUND

Recent studies have shown a lower likelihood of locoregional recurrences in patients with a low 21-gene recurrence score (RS). In this single-institution study, we investigated whether there are any associations between different cutoff values of 21-gene RS, histopathological factors, and outcome in patients with long-term follow-up.

METHODS

The study included 61 patients who had early-stage (I-II) clinically node-negative hormone receptor-positive and HER2-negative breast cancer and were tested with the 21-gene RS assay between February 2010 and February 2013. Demographic, clinicopathological, treatment, and outcome characteristics were analyzed.

RESULTS

The median age was 48 years (range, 29-72 years). Patients with high histologic grade (HG), Ki-67 ≥ 25%, or Ki-67 ≥ 30% were more likely to have intermediate/high RS (≥ 18). Based on the 21-gene RS assay, only 19 patients (31%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. At a median follow-up of 112 months, 3 patients developed locoregional recurrences (4.9%), which were treated with endocrine therapy alone. Among patients treated with endocrine treatment alone (n = 42), the following clinicopathological characteristics were not found to be significantly associated with 10-year locoregional recurrence free survival (LRRFS): age < 40 years, age < 50 years, high histological or nuclear grade, high Ki-67-scores (≥ 15%, ≥ 20%, ≥ 25%, ≥ 30%), presence of lymphovascular invasion, luminal-A type, multifocality, lymph node positivity, tumor size more than 2 cm, RS ≥ 18, and RS > 11. However, patients with RS ≥ 16 had significantly poorer 10-year LRRFS compared to those with RS < 16 (75% vs. 100%, respectively; p = 0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that patients with clinically node-negative disease and RS ≥ 16 are more likely to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapies. However, those with RS < 16 have an excellent outcome and local control in long-term follow-up with endocrine treatment alone.

Precision Medicine in Breast Cancer: Do MRI Biomarkers Identify Patients Who Truly Benefit from the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score® Test?

The aim of this study was to combine breast MRI-derived biomarkers with clinical-pathological parameters to identify patients who truly need an Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® (ODXRS) genomic assay, currently used to predict the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in ER-positive/HER2-negative early breast cancer, with the ultimate goal of customizing therapeutic decisions while reducing healthcare costs. Patients who underwent a preoperative multiparametric MRI of the breast and ODXRS tumor profiling were retrospectively included in this study. Imaging sets were evaluated independently by two breast radiologists and classified according to the 2013 American College of Radiology Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (ACR BI-RADS) lexicon. In a second step of the study, a combined oncologic and radiologic assessment based on clinical-pathological and radiological data was performed, in order to identify patients who may need adjuvant chemotherapy. Results were correlated with risk levels expressed by ODXRS, using the decision made on the basis of the ODXRS test as a gold standard. The χ2 test was used to evaluate associations between categorical variables, and significant ones were further investigated using logistic regression analyses. A total of 58 luminal-like, early-stage breast cancers were included. A positive correlation was found between ODXRS and tumor size (p = 0.003), staging (p = 0.001) and grading (p = 0.005), and between BI-RADS categories and ODXRS (p < 0.05 for both readers), the latter being confirmed at multivariate regression analysis. Moreover, BI-RADS categories proved to be positive predictors of the therapeutic decision taken after performing an ODXRS assay. A statistically significant association was also found between the therapeutic decision based on the ODXRS and the results of combined onco-radiologic assessment (p < 0.001). Our study suggests that there is a correlation between BI-RADS categories at MRI and ODXRS and that a combined onco-radiological assessment may predict the decision made on the basis of the results of ODXRS genomic test.

Solving the puzzle of what makes immunotherapies work

The rapid adoption of immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapies has led to a need to understand the mechanistic drivers of efficacy and the identification of novel biomarkers that enrich for patients who benefit from ICB therapy. Here, we provide a perspective on emerging biomarker candidates, their underlying biological mechanisms, and how they may fit into the current landscape of ICB biomarkers. We discuss new frameworks to identify and evaluate biomarker candidates and review the opportunities and challenges of utilizing biomarker-derived models to facilitate the development of new immunotherapies.

Correlation of the Ki67 Working Group prognostic risk categories with the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score in early breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The relationship between Ki67 assessed by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) is unclear. The objective of this study was to determine the correlation between the 21-gene RS and IHC-measured Ki67 with the prognostic classification groups recommended by the International Ki67 Working Group (IKWG).

METHODS

The authors performed a retrospective chart review of women who had hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative early breast cancer with zero to three positive lymph nodes and both Ki67 and the 21-gene RS performed at their institution from 2013 to 2021. Patients were categorized into low (≤5%), intermediate (6%-29%), and high Ki67 groups (≥30%) according to IKWG recommendations. Overall agreement and risk-stratified agreement between Ki67 and RS were assessed with the proportion of agreement and the κ statistic.

RESULTS

The study included 525 patients with HR-positive breast cancer. Among the 49% of patients with intermediate Ki67 values of 6%-29%, the distribution of low (0-10), intermediate (11-25), and high RS (26-100) was 19%, 66%, and 15%, respectively. There was slight agreement (κ = 0.01-0.20) between Ki67 and RS (κ = 0.027) in the overall population, although this was not significant (p = .1985). There was fair agreement (κ = 0.21-0.40) between high Ki67 and RS values (κ = 0.280; p < .0001). A higher progesterone receptor percentage was associated with lower RS values (p > .0001) but not lower Ki67 values. A positive nodal status and a larger tumor size were associated with higher Ki67 values (p = .0059 and p < .0001) but not with RS.

CONCLUSIONS

In this group of patients selected to have a 21-gene RS, there was no significant correlation between Ki67 and RS in the overall population, and there was fair agreement between high Ki67 and high RS values.

LAY SUMMARY

In patients with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer, decisions on adjuvant chemotherapy are based on certain biological features of the cancer and genomic assays such as the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS). The goal of this study was to determine the correlation between Ki67, a marker of proliferation, and the Oncotype DX RS, a 21-gene assay demonstrated to be predictive of an adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in patients with early-stage breast cancer. In 525 patients, the authors did not find a significant correlation between Ki67 and RS.

The Multifaceted Role of Signal Peptide-CUB-EGF Domain-Containing Protein (SCUBE) in Cancer

Signal peptide, CUB, and EGF-like domain-containing proteins (SCUBE) are secretory cell surface glycoproteins that play key roles in the developmental process. SCUBE proteins participate in the progression of several diseases, including cancer, and are recognized for their oncogenic and tumor suppressor functions depending on the cellular context. SCUBE proteins promote cancer cell proliferation, angiogenesis, invasion, or metastasis, stemness or self-renewal, and drug resistance. The association of SCUBE with other proteins alters the expression of signaling pathways, including Hedgehog, Notch, TGF-β/Smad2/3, and β-catenin. Further, SCUBE proteins function as potential prognostic and diagnostic biomarkers for breast cancer, renal cell carcinoma, endometrial carcinoma, and nasopharyngeal carcinoma. This review presents key features of SCUBE family members, and their structure and functions, and highlights their contribution in the development and progression of cancer. A comprehensive understanding of the role of SCUBE family members offers novel strategies for cancer therapy.

Tailoring neoadjuvant treatment of HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancers: Which role for gene expression assays?

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) for breast cancer (BC) increases surgical and conservative surgery chances. However, a significant proportion of patients will not be eligible for conservative surgery following NACT because of large tumor size and/or low chemosensitivity, especially for hormone receptor (HR)-positive/ human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative tumors, for which pathological complete response rates are lower than for other BC subtypes. On the other hand, for luminal BC neoadjuvant endocrine therapy could represent a valid alternative. Several gene expression assays have been introduced into clinical practice in last decades, in order to define prognosis more accurately than clinico-pathological features alone and to predict the benefit of adjuvant treatments. A series of studies have demonstrated the feasibility of using core needle biopsy for gene expression risk testing, finding a high concordance rate in the risk result between biopsy sample and surgical samples. Based on these premises, recent efforts have focused on the utility of gene expression signatures to guide therapeutic decisions even in the neoadjuvant setting. Several prospective and retrospective studies have investigated the correlation between gene expression risk score from core needle biopsy before neoadjuvant therapy and the likelihood of 1) clinical and pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine therapy, 2) conservative surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine therapy, and 3) survival following neoadjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine therapy. The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of the potential clinical utility of the main commercially available gene expression panels (Oncotype DX, MammaPrint, EndoPredict, Prosigna/PAM50 and Breast Cancer Index) in the neoadjuvant setting, in order to better inform decision making for luminal BC beyond the exclusive contribution of clinico-pathological features.

Impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on T1N0M0 breast cancer patients: a propensity score matching study based on SEER database and external cohort

BACKGROUND

There is no clear consensus on the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy for tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage T1 (T1N0M0) breast cancer (BC). Our study investigated the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy on T1N0M0 BC patients.

METHODS

Seventy-five thousand one hundred thirty-nine patients diagnosed with T1N0M0 BC were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Multivariate Cox analyses were performed to investigate the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy on T1a, T1b, and T1cN0M0 BC, including various tumor grades, and four molecular subtypes. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to eliminate confounding factors and further compare the results between adjuvant chemotherapy and no adjuvant chemotherapy. Additionally, 545 T1N0M0 BC patients treated at the Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital were included as an independent external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to confirm the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in T1a, T1b, and T1cN0M0 BC. Survival curves for the different tumor grades and molecular subtypes were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Adjuvant chemotherapy demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in overall survival (OS) in T1b and T1c BC, but not in T1a BC. Within T1b BC, adjuvant chemotherapy was found to have effects on grade III, and hormone receptor + (HoR +)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 + (HER2 +), HoR-/HER2 + , and HoR-/HER2- molecular subtypes, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy was beneficial to OS for grade II/III and T1c BC. Identical results were obtained after PSM. We also obtained similar results with external validation cohort, except that adjuvant chemotherapy made a difference in grade II and T1b BC of the external validation dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

Partial T1N0M0 BC patients with grade III T1bN0M0, patients with tumor grade II and III T1cN0M0, and excluding those with HoR + /HER2- subtype tumors, could obtain OS benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Radiological predictive factors on preoperative multimodality imaging are related to Oncotype DX recurrence score in estrogen-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative invasive breast cancer: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

The Oncotype DX (ODX) estimates the 10-year risk of metastasis or recurrence of breast cancer and indicates whether chemotherapy is likely to be effective; however, the high cost of this test may limit its use for patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential of preoperative imaging using mammography (MMG), ultrasonography (US), and dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI), and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) metabolic parameters in predicting the ODX recurrence score (ODXRS), which prognosticates estrogen receptor-positive (ER +)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted on 51 patients with ER+/ HER2- early-stage breast cancer with preoperative images available. Surgical specimens were sent for ODX assay and the ODXRS was categorized as low (<18) or intermediate/high (≥18). MMG/US findings were classified according to BI-RADS categories. For MRI analysis, tumor growth orientation was evaluated in addition to morphological assessment in BI-RADS. For PET/CT analysis, standardized uptake value (SUV) of the tumor were measured. Patient, tumor, and image characteristics were compared between the two groups, and predictors of the low ODXRS group were determined by logistic regression analysis. Two-sided P values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Thirty-two (63%) and 19 (37%) patients were categorized as low and intermediate/high ODXRS, respectively. On univariate analysis, nuclear grade, tumor margin, and tumor growth orientation on MRI, and SUV_max on PET/CT were significantly associated with a low ODXRS. Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor growth orientation perpendicular to the Cooper's ligament on MRI (P = 0.031) and a low SUV_max on PET/CT (P = 0.016) were independent prognostic factors for a low ODXRS. As a predictor of low ODXRS, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of the SUV_max showed that using 3.0 as the optimal cut-off value has a sensitivity and specificity of 94.4% and 73.0%, respectively, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.923.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of perpendicular tumor growth orientation to Cooper's ligaments on MRI and a low SUV_max on PET/CT may predict a low ODXRS.

Deep Learning-Based Pathology Image Analysis Enhances Magee Feature Correlation With Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score

Background

Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) has been widely used to predict chemotherapy benefits in patients with estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. Studies showed that the features used in Magee equations correlate with RS. We aimed to examine whether deep learning (DL)-based histology image analyses can enhance such correlations.

Methods

We retrieved 382 cases with RS diagnosed between 2011 and 2015 from the Emory University and the Ohio State University. All patients received surgery. DL models were developed to detect nuclei of tumor cells and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and segment tumor cell nuclei in hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) stained histopathology whole slide images (WSIs). Based on the DL-based analysis, we derived image features from WSIs, such as tumor cell number, TIL number variance, and nuclear grades. The entire patient cohorts were divided into one training set (125 cases) and two validation sets (82 and 175 cases) based on the data sources and WSI resolutions. The training set was used to train the linear regression models to predict RS. For prediction performance comparison, we used independent variables from Magee features alone or the combination of WSI-derived image and Magee features.

Results

The Pearson's correlation coefficients between the actual RS and predicted RS by DL-based analysis were 0.7058 (p-value = 1.32 × 10-13) and 0.5041 (p-value = 1.15 × 10-12) for the validation sets 1 and 2, respectively. The adjusted R 2 values using Magee features alone are 0.3442 and 0.2167 in the two validation sets, respectively. In contrast, the adjusted R 2 values were enhanced to 0.4431 and 0.2182 when WSI-derived imaging features were jointly used with Magee features.

Conclusion

Our results suggest that DL-based digital pathological features can enhance Magee feature correlation with RS.

Tissue-Based Markers as a Tool to Assess Response to Neoadjuvant Radiotherapy in Rectal Cancer-Systematic Review

According to current guidelines, the current treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer is neoadjuvant therapy, followed by a total mesorectal excision. However, radiosensitivity tends to differ among patients due to tumor heterogeneity, making it difficult to predict the possible outcomes of the neoadjuvant therapy. This review aims to investigate different types of tissue-based biomarkers and their capability of predicting tumor response to neoadjuvant therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. We identified 169 abstracts in NCBI PubMed, selected 48 reports considered to meet inclusion criteria and performed this systematic review. Multiple classes of molecular biomarkers, such as proteins, DNA, micro-RNA or tumor immune microenvironment, were studied as potential predictors for rectal cancer response; nonetheless, no literature to date has provided enough sufficient evidence for any of them to be introduced into clinical practice.

Are we closer to being able to select patients with node-positive hormone receptor-positive breast cancer who can safely omit chemotherapy?

The treatment of hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer has become increasingly individualized, thanks to the development of genomic testing. Gene expression assays provide clinicians and patients with both prognostic and predictive information regarding breast cancer recurrence risk and potential benefit of chemotherapy. While the ability to tailor therapy based on clinicopathologic and genomic factors has enabled a growing number of women to forego chemotherapy, several questions remain regarding how best to apply genomic assay results across varying subgroups of women. Here, we review the role of genomic assays for patients with both lymph node-negative and lymph node-positive breast cancer, and how these assays may help us more precisely select patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2−) breast cancer with or without lymph node involvement who can safely omit chemotherapy in the future.

Oncotype DX Recurrence Score in premenopausal women

In the past 20 years, clinicians have shifted away from relying solely on clinicopathologic indicators toward increasing use of multigene expression assays in guiding treatment decisions regarding adjuvant chemotherapy for early-stage hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) is one of the most widely used multigene assays when considering indications for adjuvant chemotherapy, and guidelines have recently incorporated its use in women with early HR-positive HER2-negative breast cancer and up to three positive lymph nodes. While multiple retrospective and prospective clinical studies have demonstrated that most women with a low- to mid-range RS (0-25) can safely forgo chemotherapy, premenopausal women remain an important subgroup for which recommendations based on RS are ill-defined. The majority of patients included in clinical trials and retrospective analyses validating the use of RS have been postmenopausal women. In the subgroup of premenopausal women with HR-positive HER2-negative breast cancer, studies indicate that traditional clinicopathologic methods for assessing risk continue to be powerful tools when combined with RS to predict benefit from chemotherapy. This suggests that there is an element of uncaptured risk inherent to the premenopausal state that evades characterization by RS alone. This review describes the evidence that has supported the recommendation of RS in clinical guidelines, specifically focusing on data for its current use in premenopausal women. We review available data regarding the impact of the menstrual cycle on hormonally regulated gene expression, which may drive variations in the RS. Further research on the reliability and interpretation of the RS in the premenopausal subgroup is necessary and represents a gap in knowledge of how the RS should be applied in premenopausal women.

Fatigue and endocrine symptoms among women with early breast cancer randomized to endocrine versus chemoendocrine therapy: Results from the TAILORx patient-reported outcomes substudy

BACKGROUND

TAILORx (Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment) prospectively assessed fatigue and endocrine symptoms among women with early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer and a midrange risk of recurrence who were randomized to endocrine therapy (E) or chemotherapy followed by endocrine therapy (CT+E).

METHODS

Participants completed the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Fatigue, the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System-Fatigue Short Form, and the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Endocrine Symptoms at the baseline and at 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months. Linear regression was used to model outcomes on baseline symptoms, treatment, and other factors.

RESULTS

Participants (n = 458) in both treatment arms reported greater fatigue and endocrine symptoms at early follow-up in comparison with the baseline. The magnitude of change in fatigue was significantly greater for the CT+E arm than the E arm at 3 and 6 months but not at 12, 24, or 36 months. The CT+E arm reported significantly greater changes in endocrine symptoms from the baseline to 3 months in comparison with the E arm; change scores were not significantly different at later time points. Endocrine symptom trajectories by treatment differed by menopausal status, with the effect larger and increasing for postmenopausal patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant CT+E was associated with greater increases in fatigue and endocrine symptoms at early time points in comparison with E. These differences lessened over time, and this demonstrated early chemotherapy effects more than long-term ones. Treatment arm differences in endocrine symptoms were more evident in postmenopausal patients.

LAY SUMMARY

Participants in TAILORx (Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment) with early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer and an intermediate risk of recurrence were randomly assigned to endocrine or chemoendocrine therapy. Four hundred fifty-eight women reported fatigue and endocrine symptoms at the baseline and at 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months. Both groups reported greater symptoms at early follow-up versus the baseline. Increases in fatigue were greater for the chemoendocrine group than the endocrine group at 3 and 6 months but not later. The chemoendocrine group reported greater changes in endocrine symptoms in comparison with the endocrine group at 3 months but not later.

The 21-gene recurrence score in early non-ductal breast cancer: a National Cancer Database analysis

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) is prognostic for recurrence and predictive of chemotherapy benefit in early estrogen receptor-positive (ER +) HER2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer (BCA). We evaluated clinicopathologic characteristics, RS and chemotherapy benefit in invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC), invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC), and carcinomas of mixed histologies (ductal + lobular (DLC), ductal + other (DOC), lobular + other (LOC)). Women diagnosed between 1/1/2010 and 1/1/2014 with ER + HER2- BCA, measuring <5 cm, with 0–3 involved axillary nodes, surgery as first treatment, and available RS, were identified from the NCDB. Associations between categorical variables were examined using chi-square test. Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine overall survival (OS) differences among histology subtypes. IDC was associated with smaller size, high grade, and RS > 26. ILC was associated with larger size, and least likely to be high grade (p < 0.0001). Lobular histology was associated with lower incidence of RS > 26. IDC patients (pts) were more likely to receive chemotherapy than pts with other histologies (p < 0.0001). OS for IDC, ILC and DOC were similar. DLC was associated with improved OS (HR 0.82, p = 0.02). Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with improved OS in IDC (HR = 0.76, p < 0.0001) but not in ILC (HR = 0.99, p = 0.93), DLC (HR = 1.04, p = 0.86), DOC (HR = 0.87, p = 0.71), or LOC (HR = 2.91, p = 0.10). Lobular and mixed BCA histologies have distinct clinicopathologic features compared with IDC, and are less likely to have high RS. OS is similar for IDC and ILC. Although chemotherapy benefit was seen only in IDC, benefit for ILC with RS > 26 cannot be excluded.

The Clinical Research and Latest Application of Genomic Assays in Early-Stage Breast Cancer

Breast cancer is a kind of malignant tumor that seriously endangers women's life and health. Once diagnosed, most patients will receive a combination of treatments to achieve a cure. However, breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease. Even with the same clinical stage and pathological features, its response to treatment and postoperative recurrence risk may still be completely different. With the advent of genomic assay, some patients with early-stage breast cancer who originally needed treatment can still achieve long-term disease-free survival without adjuvant chemotherapy, so as to achieve personalized and accurate treatment mode to a certain extent. In this paper, we reviewed the 5 most widely used and studied genomic panel technologies in breast cancer, namely Oncotype DX, MammaPrint, RecurIndex, PAM50, and EndoPredict, according to accessibility and availability. Based on the results of the completed or ongoing clinical studies, we summarized the origin, applicable population, and clinical efficacy of each detection method, and discussed the potential development prospect of detection technology in the future.

Population-based estimate for the correlation of the Oncotype Dx Breast Recurrence Score® result and Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 pharmDx in HR+, HER2-, node-positive early breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The United States Food and Drug Administration recently approved a Ki-67 immunohistochemistry (IHC) assay to identify patients with early breast cancer at high disease recurrence risk. The Oncotype Dx Breast Recurrence Score® assay has been validated in hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) invasive breast cancer (IBC) to predict chemotherapy benefit and distant recurrence risk, regardless of nodal status. This study assessed the correlation between Recurrence Score® (RS) results and the Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 pharmDx assay.

METHODS

HR+, HER2-, N1 IBC samples with RS results were examined by Ki-67 IHC; 311 specimens were collected, including 275 without regard to RS ("unselected RS") and 36 more with RS 26-100; 12 were lymph node negative upon pathology report review, and one had no Ki-67 score, leaving 262 unselected RS and 298 total samples. Spearman rank correlation was calculated using the unselected samples and a weighted rank correlation using all samples. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predicting high RS (26-100) from Ki-67 was constructed.

RESULTS

The Spearman rank correlation between Ki-67 and RS results was moderately positive (unselected RS samples: 0.396; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.288-0.493; all samples: 0.394; 95% CI 0.294-0.486). While 71% of samples with RS 26-100 had Ki-67 ≥ 20%, 75% with RS 0-25 had Ki-67 < 20%. ROC area under the curve was 0.792 (95% CI 0.725-0.859).

CONCLUSIONS

The moderately positive correlation is consistent with previous analyses suggesting the Oncotype Dx® assay and Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 assay should not be used interchangeably in clinical practice.

Association Between Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Oncotype Dx Recurrence Score in Early-Stage Hormonal Receptor-Positive, HER2-Negative, Node-Negative Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

The correlation between the preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and Oncotype DX® (ODX) recurrence score (RS) has not yet been established. We aimed to investigate the association between NLR and ODX RS in patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) early-stage breast cancer (BC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included consecutive patients with HR+/HER2-, node-negative primary BC who underwent surgical tumor resection from 2011 to 2019. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to obtain an optimal NLR cutoff value. Logistic regression analyses were used to estimate associations between various parameters and ODX RS. Furthermore, the factors significantly associated with the ODX RS in multivariable analysis were incorporated in a separate model and estimated using logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 160 patients were enrolled. The optimal preoperative NLR cutoff was 2.15. Multivariable analysis revealed that NLR and tumor grade (G1/G2 vs G3) were independent predictive factors of high RS cutoff (≥26). Moreover, including the two variables yielded a stronger association; patients with low NLR and low-grade tumors were unlikely to have high RS (≥26; odds ratio [OR] = 0.03, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.006-0.154; p < 0.001). Conversely, the presence of any of the following factors made patients unlikely to have low RS (<16; OR = 0.34, 95% CI: 0.16-0.73; p = 0.006): high NLR, high grade, or high Ki-67 levels (>20).

CONCLUSION

NLR is a promising independent predictor of RS. Furthermore, in addition to tumor grade and Ki-67 level, they together are also a potential indicator of high and low RS. However, further studies are required to validate this hypothesis.

The clinician's perspective on the 21-gene assay in early breast cancer

Most patients with early HR+ and HER2- breast cancer receive a hormone therapy; the clinical question still open is how to identify patients who can really benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. The accurate identification of these patients is essential to avoid an over-treatment, increasing the risk of an unnecessary toxicity; on the contrary, the omission of chemotherapy can deprive high risk patients of a potential life-saving treatment (under-treatment). Several multigene assays (MGAs), assessing the risk of relapse according to the biological characteristics of the tumor, have been developed. To date, the 21-gene assay (Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score^®) is the only test developed and validated to be actionable, i.e., able to predict the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. The different available tests can be classified according to their clinical utility based on their prognostic and predictive value. A prognostic test gives information about the outcome of the disease, regardless of the administered therapy. When the aim of the test is to drive the treatment decisions, the predictive component, and therefore the ability to accurately identify which patients could benefit from chemotherapy, is essential. This review summarizes the clinical evidences of the Oncotype DX^® test supporting its clinical utility.

Effect of Estrogen Receptor Expression Level and Hormonal Therapy on Prognosis of Early Breast Cancer

Purpose

Estrogen receptor (ER) expression in breast cancer plays an essential role in carcinogenesis and disease progression. Recently, tumors with low level (1%–10%) of ER expression have been separately defined as ER low positive (ER^low). It is suggested that ER^low tumors might be morphologically and behaviorally different from tumors with high ER expression (ER^high).

Materials and Methods

Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort database was performed. Patients who underwent curative surgery for early breast cancer and had available medical records were included for analysis. Difference in clinicopathological characteristics, endocrine responsiveness and five-year recurrence-free survival was evaluated between different ER subgroups (ER^high, ER^low, and ER-negative [ER⁻]).

Results

A total of 2,162 breast cancer patients were included in the analysis, Tis and T1 stage. Among them, 1,654 (76.5%) were ER^high, 54 (2.5%) were ER^low, and 454 (21.0%) were ER⁻ patients. ER^low cases were associated with smaller size, higher histologic grade, positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, negative progesterone receptor, and higher Ki-67 expression. Recurrence rate was highest in ER⁻ tumors and was inversely proportional to ER expression. Recurrence-free survival was not affected by hormonal therapy in the ER^low group (p=0.418).

Conclusion

ER^low breast cancer showed distinct clinicopathological features. ER^low tumors seemed to have higher recurrence rates compared to ER^high tumors, and they showed no significant benefit from hormonal therapy. Future large scale prospective studies are necessary to validate the treatment options for ER^low breast cancer.

Mammography-based radiomics for predicting the risk of breast cancer recurrence: a multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to establish a mammography-based radiomics model for predicting the risk of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, lymph node (LN)-negative invasive breast cancer recurrence based on Oncotype DX and validated it by using multicenter data.

METHODS

A total of 304 potentially eligible patients with pre-operative mammography images and available Oncotype DX score were retrospectively enrolled from two hospitals. The patients were grouped as training set (168 patients), internal test set (72 patients), and external test set (64 patients). Radiomics features were extracted from the mammography images of each patient. Spearman correlation analysis, analysis of variance, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were performed to reduce the redundant features in the training set, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm was used to construct the radiomics signature based on selected features. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to construct classification models that included radiomics signature and clinical risk factors to predict low vs intermediate and high recurrence risk of ER-positive, LN-negative invasive breast cancer in the training set. The models were evaluated with the receiver operating characteristic curve in the training set. The internal and external test sets were used to confirm the discriminatory power of the models. The clinical usefulness was evaluated by using decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature consisting of three radiomics features achieved favorable prediction performance. The multivariate logistic regression model including radiomics signature and clinical risk factors (tumor grade and HER 2) showed good performance with areas under the curve of 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86 to 0.97), 0.88 (95% CI 0.75 to 1.00), and 0.84 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.99) in the training, internal and external test sets, respectively. The DCA indicated that when the threshold probability is ranges from 0.1 to 1.0, the radiomics model adds more net benefit than the "treat all" or "treat none" scheme in internal and external test sets.

CONCLUSION

As a non-invasive pre-operative prediction tool, the mammography-based radiomics model incorporating radiomics and clinical factors show favorable predictive performance for predicting the risk of ER-positive, LN-negative invasive breast cancer recurrence based on Oncotype DX.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The mammography-based radiomics model incorporating radiomics and clinical factors shows favorable predictive performance for predicting the risk of ER-positive, LN-negative invasive breast cancer recurrence.

Is oestrogen receptor-negative/progesterone receptor-positive (ER-/PR+) a real pathological entity?

Background

The existence of oestrogen receptor-negative (ER−)/progesterone receptor-positive (PR+) breast cancer continues to be an area of controversy amongst oncologists and pathologists.

Methods

To re-evaluate breast cancers originally classified as ER−/PR+ via Oncotype DX® assay and compare molecular phenotype with Recurrence Score® (RS) result, clinicopathologic features and clinical outcomes were retrospectively obtained from electronic health records between January 1998 and June 2005. Archived formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumour specimens were tested for the expression of ER, PR and human-epidermal-growth-factor-2. The number of positive ER−/PR+ samples confirmed by transcriptional analysis was the primary outcome of interest with event-free and overall survival as secondary outcomes. Biopsies from 26 patients underwent Oncotype DX testing and analysis.

Results

Approximately 60% were middle-aged (40–50 years old) women, and 84.6% had invasive ductal carcinoma. Based on the Oncotype DX assay, approximately 65% (N = 17) had ER+/PR+ status; 23% (N = 6) had ER−/PR− status; and 12% had a single hormone positive receptor (1 ER–/PR+, 2 ER+/PR–) status. Almost one-quarter of patients were stratified into the low-RS (<18) or intermediate-RS (18–30) results, and half of the patients had a high-RS (>30) result.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest the ER−/PR+ subtype is not a reproducible entity and emphasises the value of retesting this subtype via molecular methods for appropriate treatment selection and patient outcomes. Multigene assay analysis may serve as a second-line or confirming tool for clinical determination of ER/PR phenotype in breast cancer patients for targeted therapies.