Revised TN categorization for colon cancer based on national survival outcomes data

A log odds of positive lymph nodes-based predictive model effectively forecasts prognosis and guides postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy duration in stage III colon cancer: a multi-center retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) was considered a superior staging system to N stage in colon cancer, yet its value in determining the optimal duration of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer patients has not been evaluated. This study aims to assess the prognostic value of a model that combines LODDS with clinicopathological information for stage III colon cancer patients and aims to stratify these patients using the model, identifying individuals who could benefit from varying durations of adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHOD

A total of 663 consecutive patients diagnosed with stage III colon cancer, who underwent colon tumor resection between November 2007 and June 2020 at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and Longyan First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, were enrolled in this study. Survival outcomes were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier, Cox regression. Nomograms were developed to forecast patient DFS, with the Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of time-dependent Receiver Operating Characteristic (timeROC) and calibration plots utilized to assess the accuracy and reliability of the nomograms.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that perineural invasion (HR = 1.776, 95% CI: 1.052-3.003, P = 0.032), poor tumor differentiation (HR = 1.638, 95% CI: 1.084-2.475, P = 0.019), and LODDS groupings of 2 and 1 (HR = 1.920, 95% CI: 1.297-2.842, P = 0.001) were independent predictors of disease-free survival (DFS) in the training cohort. Nomograms constructed from LODDS, perineural invasion, and poor tumor differentiation demonstrated robust predictive performance for 3-year and 5-year DFS in both training (3-year AUC = 0.706, 5-year AUC = 0.678) and validation cohorts (3-year AUC = 0.744, 5-year AUC = 0.762). Stratification according to this model showed that patients in the high-risk group derived significant benefit from completing 8 cycles of chemotherapy (training cohort, 82.97% vs 67.17%, P = 0.013; validation cohort, 89.49% vs 63.97%, P = 0.030).

CONCLUSION

The prognostic model, integrating LODDS, pathological differentiation, and neural invasion, demonstrates strong predictive accuracy for stage III colon cancer prognosis. Moreover, stratification via this model offers valuable insights into optimal durations of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

Identification of an Amino Acid Metabolism Reprogramming Signature for Predicting Prognosis, Immunotherapy Efficacy, and Drug Candidates in Colon Cancer

Colon cancer ranked third among the most frequently diagnosed cancers worldwide. Amino acid metabolic reprogramming was related to the occurrence and development of colon cancer. We looked for the amino acid metabolism genes (AMGs) associated with amino acid metabolism from molecular signatures database as prognostic markers and constructed amino acid metabolism scoring model (AMS). According to AMS, the patients were divided into high AMS and low AMS groups, and the prognostic characteristics, molecular phenotypes, somatic cell mutation characteristics, immune cell infiltration characteristics, and immunotherapy effect of the two groups were systematically analyzed. Finally, the compounds targeting AMGs were also screened. We screen out 6 prognostic AMGs (P < 0.05) and construct an AMS model based on them. K-M curve indicated that OS in low AMS group was significantly higher than that in high group (P < 0.05), which were validated in multiple datasets. And different AMS groups had different molecular phenotypes, somatic cell mutation characteristics and immune cell infiltration characteristics. Low AMS group had a better effect for immunotherapy. In addition, we predicted potential therapeutic compounds that could bind to AMGs target proteins. AMS model can be used as a hierarchical tool to evaluate the prognosis, immune infiltration characteristics and immunotherapy response ability of colon cancer. And the compounds screened based on AMGs may become new anti-tumor drugs.

Potential for Metastasis and Recurrence in Colorectal Carcinoma In Situ: A Retrospective Analysis of 1069 Patients

BACKGROUND

Colorectal carcinoma in situ, characterized by cancer limited to the intramucosal layer or known as intraepithelial carcinoma, has conventionally considered to be without any risk of regional lymph node metastasis. However, isolated cases of regional lymph node metastasis, local recurrence, and distant metastasis challenge this assumption. This study aimed to assess the occurrence of regional lymph node metastasis and recurrence of colorectal carcinoma in situ.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted in 1069 patients who underwent full-thickness local excision or radical surgery for colorectal carcinoma in situ between January 1994 and December 2020. Histopathological features were assessed by 2 experienced pathologists. In cases of suspected recurrence, evaluation involved abdomen-pelvis and chest computed tomography, or PET-CT.

RESULTS

The recurrence rate of colorectal carcinoma in situ patients was 0.46%. Among the patients, 9 were diagnosed with regional lymph node metastasis or cancer recurrence. Of these, 4 patients were diagnosed with lymph node metastasis during primary surgery; 2 exhibited regional lymph node metastasis, and 2 presented with both regional and distant lymph node metastases. Regional lymph node metastasis occurred in additional 2 patients after radical surgery for the primary tumor. Distant metastasis was observed in 3 patients: hepatic metastasis in 1, hepatic and pulmonary metastases in another, and small bowel metastasis in the third patient. Among the 5 patients experiencing cancer recurrence, 1 expired due to cancer progression.

CONCLUSION

Contrary to previous assumptions, colorectal carcinoma in situ can potentially metastasize to lymph nodes and recur. Therefore, careful assessment at the time of diagnosis is crucial, recognizing the possibility of lymph node metastasis or recurrence. This approach is essential for accurately identifying instances of cancer recurrence and ensuring optimal oncological outcomes.

Early evaluation of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of ctDNA-guided selection for adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer

Background

Current patient selection for adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) after curative surgery for stage II colon cancer (CC) is suboptimal, causing overtreatment of high-risk patients and undertreatment of low-risk patients. Postoperative circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) could improve patient selection for ACT.

Objectives

We conducted an early model-based evaluation of the (cost-)effectiveness of ctDNA-guided selection for ACT in stage II CC in the Netherlands to assess the conditions for cost-effective implementation.

Methods

A validated Markov model, simulating 1000 stage II CC patients from diagnosis to death, was supplemented with ctDNA data. Five ACT selection strategies were evaluated: the current guideline (pT4, pMMR), ctDNA-only, and three strategies that combined ctDNA status with pT4 and pMMR status in different ways. For each strategy, the costs, life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), recurrences, and CC deaths were estimated. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of the costs of ctDNA testing, strategy adherence, ctDNA as a predictive biomarker, and ctDNA test performance.

Results

Model predictions showed that compared to current guidelines, the ctDNA-only strategy was less effective (+2.2% recurrences, -0.016 QALYs), while the combination strategies were more effective (-3.6% recurrences, +0.038 QALYs). The combination strategies were not cost-effective, since the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was €67,413 per QALY, exceeding the willingness-to-pay threshold of €50,000 per QALY. Sensitivity analyses showed that the combination strategies would be cost-effective if the ctDNA test costs were lower than €1500, or if ctDNA status was predictive of treatment response, or if the ctDNA test performance improved substantially.

Conclusion

Adding ctDNA to current high-risk clinicopathological features (pT4 and pMMR) can improve patient selection for ACT and can also potentially be cost-effective. Future studies should investigate the predictive value of post-surgery ctDNA status to accurately evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ctDNA testing for ACT decisions in stage II CC.

Clinical Calculator for Predicting Freedom From Recurrence After Resection of Stage I-III Colon Cancer in Patients With Microsatellite Instability

PURPOSE

Outcome for patients with nonmetastatic, microsatellite instability (MSI) colon cancer is favorable: however, high-risk cohorts exist. This study was aimed at developing and validating a nomogram model to predict freedom from recurrence (FFR) for patients with resected MSI colon cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from patients who underwent curative resection of stage I, II, or III MSI colon cancer in 2014-2021 (model training cohort, 384 patients, 33 events; median follow-up, 38.8 months) were retrospectively collected from institutional databases. Variables associated with recurrence in multivariable analysis were selected for inclusion in the clinical calculator. The calculator's predictive accuracy was measured with the concordance index and validated using data from patients who underwent treatment for MSI colon cancer in 2007-2013 (validation cohort, 164 patients, eight events; median follow-up, 84.8 months).

RESULTS

T category and number of positive lymph nodes were significantly associated with recurrence in multivariable analysis and were selected for inclusion in the clinical calculator. The calculator's concordance index for FFR in the model training cohort was 0.812 (95% CI, 0.742 to 0.873), compared with 0.759 (95% CI, 0.683 to 0.840) for the staging schema of the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Manual. The concordance index for the validation cohort was 0.744 (95% CI, 0.666 to 0.822), confirming robust predictive accuracy.

CONCLUSION

Although in general patients with nonmetastatic MSI colon cancer had favorable outcome, patients with advanced T category and multiple metastatic lymph nodes had higher risk of recurrence. The clinical calculator identified patients with MSI colon cancer at high risk for recurrence, and this could inform surveillance strategies. In addition, the model could be used in trial design to identify patients suitable for novel adjuvant therapy.

The Causes Behind the Survival Paradox in Non-Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients and its Impact on the Treatment Regimen: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The survival paradox (ie, the prognosis of the population at earlier tumor stages is worse than that of the population at later stages) has been observed in colorectal cancer based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumor-Nodes-Metastases staging system. We aimed to clarify the reason for the survival paradox and its impact on patient treatment.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study analyzing eligible patients with colorectal cancer from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database and Zhejiang Cancer Hospital between 2010 and 2019. Adjusting for confounders using propensity score matching allowed confirmation of the effect of staging on the survival paradox.

RESULTS

Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, the subgroups with survival paradox might be IIB/C versus IIIA, IIA versus IIIA, and T4N0 (IIB/C) versus T3N1 (IIIB). After propensity score matching, stage IIB/C still had a worse prognosis than stage IIIA (5-year overall survival: 69.3% vs 78.5%, P < .001). Interestingly, the proportion of stage IIIA people receiving chemotherapy was higher than that of stage IIB/C (P < .001), and logistic regression models showed that staging was the reason for deciding whether a patient receives chemotherapy or not. These phenomena between stage IIB/C and IIIA were verified in the local database.

CONCLUSION

These results suggested that the survival paradox was mainly due to underestimation of stage T4 weights or overestimation of stage N1 weights, and the low proportion of chemotherapy in patients with T4N0M0 colorectal cancer (proven to be more malignant than stage IIIA) might be related to the assignment to earlier stages, resulting in a lack of attention and poor compliance to chemotherapy in these patients.

Stratification of Stage II Colon Cancer Using Recurrence Prediction Value: A Multi-institutional International Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVE

To create a recurrence prediction value (RPV) of high-risk factor and identify the patients with high risk of cancer recurrence.

BACKGROUND

There are several high-risk factors known to lead to poor outcomes. Weighting each high-risk factor based on their association with increased risk of cancer recurrence can provide a more precise understanding of risk of recurrence.

METHODS

We performed a multi-institutional international retrospective analysis of patients with stage II colon cancer patients who underwent surgery from 2010 to 2020. Patient data from a multi-institutional database were used as the Training data, and data from a completely separate international database from 2 countries were used as the Validation data. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

A total of 739 patients were included from Training data. To validate the feasibility of RPV, 467 patients were included from Validation data. Training data patients were divided into RPV low (n=564) and RPV high (n=175). Multivariate analysis revealed that risk of recurrence was significantly higher in the RPV high than the RPV low [hazard ratio (HR) 2.628; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.887-3.660; P <0.001). Validation data patients were divided into 2 groups (RPV low, n=420) and RPV high (n=47). Multivariate analysis revealed that risk of recurrence was significantly higher in the RPV high than the RPV low (HR 3.053; 95% CI 1.962-4.750; P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

RPV can identify stage II colon cancer patients with high risk of cancer recurrence worldwide.

Combination of DNA ploidy, stroma, and nucleotyping predicting prognosis and tailoring adjuvant chemotherapy duration in stage III colon cancer

Introduction

DNA ploidy (P), stroma fraction (S), and nucleotyping (N) collectively known as PSN, have proven prognostic accuracy in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). However, few studies have reported on the prognostic value of the PSN panel in stage III colon cancer patients receiving capecitabine and oxaliplatin adjuvant chemotherapy.

Objectives

This study aimed to validate PSN's prognostic impact on stage III colon cancer, identifying candidates for optimized adjuvant chemotherapy duration.

Design

A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of stage III colon cancer patients from April 2008 to June 2020.

Methods

Postoperative pathological samples from stage III colon cancer patients who underwent radical surgery and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were retrospectively collected. Automated digital imaging assessed PSN, categorizing risk groups. Kaplan-Meier, Cox regression, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis compared model validity.

Results

Significant differences in 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were noted among PSN-based low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups (DFS: 92.10% versus 83.62% versus 79.80%, p = 0.029; OS: 96.69% versus 93.99% versus 90.12%, p = 0.016). PSN emerged as an independent prognostic factor for DFS [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.409, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.002-1.981, p = 0.049] and OS (HR = 1.720, 95% CI: 1.127-2.624, p = 0.012). The PSN model, incorporating perineural invasion and tumor location, displayed superior area under the curve for 5-year (0.692 versus 0.553, p = 0.020) and 10-year (0.694 versus 0.532, p = 0.006) DFS than TNM stage. In the PSN high-risk group, completing eight cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved 5-year DFS and OS compared to four to seven cycles (DFS: 89.43% versus 71.52%, p = 0.026; OS: 96.77% versus 85.46%, p = 0.007).

Conclusion

The PSN panel effectively stratifies stage III colon cancer, aiding in optimized adjuvant chemotherapy duration determination.

Outcome of Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Pursuing Non-Surgical Strategy in National Cancer Database

BACKGROUND

Survival data on patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) undergoing non-operative management (NOM) in a real-world setting are lacking.

METHODS

We analyzed LARC patients from the National Cancer Database with the following features: treated between 2010 and 2020, age 18-65 years, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≤ 1, received neoadjuvant multiagent chemotherapy plus radiation ≥ 45 Gray, and underwent surgery or NOM. Patients were stratified into two groups: (A) clinical T1-3 tumors with positive nodes (cT1-3N+) and (B) clinical T4 tumors, N+/- (cT4N+/-). We performed a comparative analysis of overall survival (OS) with NOM versus surgery by the Kaplan-Meier method and propensity score matching. Additionally, a multivariable analysis explored the association between NOM and OS.

RESULTS

NOM exhibited significantly lower OS than surgery in both groups. In cT1-3N+ patients, NOM resulted in a 5-year OS of 73.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 69.7-77.6%) versus 84.5% (95% CI = 83.6-85.3%) with surgery (p < 0.001). In the cT4N+/- group, NOM yielded a 5-year OS of 44.5% (95% CI = 37.0-51.8%) versus 72.5% (95% CI = 69.9-74.8%) with surgery (p < 0.001). Propensity score matching and multivariable analyses revealed similar conclusions.

CONCLUSION

Patients with LARC undergoing NOM versus surgery in real-world settings appear to have inferior survival.

Impact of lymph node retrieval on prognosis in elderly and non-elderly patients with T3-4/N+ rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy: a retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

The optimal number of lymph nodes to be resected in patients with rectal cancer who undergo radical surgery after neoadjuvant therapy remains controversial. This study evaluated the prognostic variances between elderly and non-elderly patients and determined the ideal number of lymph nodes to be removed in these patients.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) datasets were used to gather information on 7894 patients diagnosed with stage T3-4/N+ rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy from 2010 to 2019. Of these patients, 2787 were elderly and 5107 were non-elderly. A total of 152 patients from the Longyan First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University were used for external validation. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were evaluated to determine the optimal quantity of lymph nodes for surgical resection.

RESULTS

The study found significant differences in OS and CSS between elderly and non-elderly patients, both before and after adjustment for confounders (P < 0.001). The removal of 14 lymph nodes may be considered a benchmark for patients with stage T3-4/N+ rectal cancer who undergo radical surgery following neoadjuvant therapy, as this number provides a more accurate foundation for the personalized treatment of rectal cancer. External data validated the differences in OS and CSS and supported the 14 lymph nodes as a new benchmark in these patients.

CONCLUSION

For patients with T3-4/N+ stage rectal cancer who undergo radical surgery following neoadjuvant therapy, the removal of 14 lymph nodes serves as a cutoff point that distinctly separates patients with a favorable prognosis from those with an unfavorable one.

Evaluation of colon cancer prognostic factors by CT and MRI: an up-to-date review

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a significant global health concern. Prognostication of CRC traditionally relies on the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging classifications, yet clinical outcomes often vary independently of stage. Despite similarities, rectal and colon cancers are distinct in their diagnostic methodologies and treatments, with MRI and CT scans primarily used for staging rectal and colon cancers, respectively. This paper examines the challenges in accurately assessing prognostic factors of colon cancer such as primary tumor extramural extension, retroperitoneal surgical margin (RSM) involvement, extramural vessel invasion (EMVI), and lymph node metastases through preoperative CT and MRI. It highlights the importance of these factors in risk stratification, treatment decisions, and surgical planning for colon cancer patients. Advancements in imaging techniques are crucial for improving clinical management and optimizing patient outcomes, underscoring the necessity for ongoing research to refine diagnostic methods and incorporate novel findings into practice.

Survival Outcomes in Patients with Monobloc-Resected Stage IIC (pT4bN0) Colon Cancer: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Stage II colon cancer (CC) exhibits considerable prognostic heterogeneous. Our objective was to assess survival but also the prognosis impact of microsatellite instability (MSI) in patients with stage IIC (T4bN0M0) CC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study including all patients who had primary stage IIC CC resection between 2010 and 2020 in 2 expert centers. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) and time-to-relapse (TTR) were secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

Sixty-six patients, median age of 74 years [30-95], were included, with 37.9% presenting MSI (n = 25). Organ invasion involved the last ileal loop (n = 17), another colonic segment (n = 15), omentum (n = 13), visceral peritoneum (n = 13), and the bladder (n = 4). Surgical quality criteria showed complete monobloc resection in all patients and 93.9% R0 resection. After a median follow-up of 5 years [3.5-6.6], the entire population showed a 5-year OS of 65.2% [53.0-80.3] and 5-year DFS of 53.5% [41.1-69.6], with 18.9% [6.8-29.4] experiencing relapses at 5 years. The MSI phenotype correlated with improved 5-year OS (75.5% [56.5-100] vs. 59.5% [44.9-79.0], HR 0.41 [0.17-0.99]; P = .04), but DFS and TTR did not differ. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 34.9% of patients. Univariate analysis identified age > 65 years, MSI status, and the number of nodes as factors associated with OS.

CONCLUSION

These data underline, in relation to a low rate of relapse, the lack of consensus regarding the appropriate indication for adjuvant chemotherapy in this high-risk stage II population.

Survival analysis in pT1-3 and paracolic lymph-node invasion colorectal cancer: the prognostic role of positive paracolic lymph-node ratio for adjuvant chemotherapy

PURPOSE

Several studies have observed that some stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) patients cannot benefit from standard adjuvant chemotherapy. However, there is no unified screening standard to date.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with pathologically confirmed colon adenocarcinoma treated in 3 centers between January 2016 and December 2018 were included. Patients were divided into four groups according to different stages and positive paracolic lymph-node ratio (P-LNR) [Cohort 1: pT1-3N0M0, Cohort 2: pT1-3N + (P-LNR ≤ 0.15)M0, Cohort 3: pT4N0M0, Cohort 4: stage III patients except for pT1-3N + (P-LNR ≤ 0.15)M0], and further overall survival was compared by Kaplan-Meier method. The univariate and multivariate analyses were employed for cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

We retrospectively reviewed 5581 consecutive CRC patients with, and 2861 eligible patients were enrolled for further analysis. The optimal cut-off value of P-LNR in our study was 0.15. There was no significant difference in OS (91.36 vs. 93.74%) and DFS (87.65 vs. 90.96%) between stage III patients with pT1-3N + (P-LNR ≤ 0.15)M0 and those with pT1-3N0M0. Further analysis demonstrated that CRC patients with pT1-3N + (P-LNR ≤ 0.15)M0 were less likely to benefit from 8 cycles of CAPOX or FOLFOX chemotherapy and suffered fewer adverse events from declining chemotherapy. Comparing with 0-4 cycles versus 8 cycles, the overall survival rates were 91.35 versus 90.19% (P = 0.79), and with a DFS of 87.50 versus 88.24% (P = 0.49), the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy was not an independent risk factor for patients with pT1-3N + (P-LNR ≤ 0.15)M0 (HR: 0.70, 95% CI 0.90-1.30, P = 0.42).

CONCLUSION

The concept of P-LNR we proposed might have a high clinical application value and accurately enable clinicians to screen out specific CRC patients who decline or prefer limited chemotherapy.

TRIAL REGISTRY

The clinical trial registration number: ChiCTR2300076883.

Clinical outcome and prognostic factors of T4N0M0 colon cancer after R0 resection: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Paradoxically, patients with T4N0M0 (stage II, no lymph node metastasis) colon cancer have a worse prognosis than those with T2N1-2M0 (stage III). However, no previous report has addressed this issue.

AIM

To screen prognostic risk factors for T4N0M0 colon cancer and construct a prognostic nomogram model for these patients.

METHODS

Two hundred patients with T4N0M0 colon cancer were treated at Tianjin Medical University General Hospital between January 2017 and December 2021, of which 112 patients were assigned to the training cohort, and the remaining 88 patients were assigned to the validation cohort. Differences between the training and validation groups were analyzed. The training cohort was subjected to multivariate analysis to select prognostic risk factors for T4N0M0 colon cancer, followed by the construction of a nomogram model.

RESULTS

The 3-year overall survival (OS) rates were 86.2% and 74.4% for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Enterostomy (P = 0.000), T stage (P = 0.001), right hemicolon (P = 0.025), irregular review (P = 0.040), and carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199) (P = 0.011) were independent risk factors of OS in patients with T4N0M0 colon cancer. A nomogram model with good concordance and accuracy was constructed.

CONCLUSION

Enterostomy, T stage, right hemicolon, irregular review, and CA199 were independent risk factors for OS in patients with T4N0M0 colon cancer. The nomogram model exhibited good agreement and accuracy.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-neutrophil (PN) index in locally advanced rectal cancer patients: a retrospective cohort study

Introduction

In locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC), tumour node metastasis (TNM) staging is far from optimal. The authors aimed to investigate the value of previously described circulating biomarkers as predictors of prognosis.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of 245 LARC patients diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2022, who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery at two centres. A Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis were performed.

Results

Post-treatment platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) predicted pathological complete response. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in two timepoints of the treatment significantly predicted overall survival, whereas the platelet-neutrophil (PN) index significantly predicted disease-free survival. In pathological stage II, the PN index predicted patients with a higher risk of disease-free survival.

Conclusion

Blood parameters might allow the definition of subgroups of risk beyond TNM for the application of different therapeutic strategies.

Non-metastatic colon cancer: French Intergroup Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatments, and follow-up (TNCD, SNFGE, FFCD, GERCOR, UNICANCER, SFCD, SFED, SFRO, ACHBT, SFP, AFEF, and SFR)

INTRODUCTION

This article is a summary of the French intergroup guidelines regarding the management of non-metastatic colon cancer (CC), revised in November 2022.

METHODS

These guidelines represent collaborative work of all French medical and surgical societies involved in the management of CC. Recommendations were graded in three categories (A, B, and C) according to the level of evidence found in the literature published up to November 2022.

RESULTS

Initial evaluation of CC is based on clinical examination, colonoscopy, chest-abdomen-pelvis computed tomography (CT) scan, and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) assay. CC is usually managed by surgery and adjuvant treatment depending on the pathological findings. The use of adjuvant therapy remains a challenging question in stage II disease. For high-risk stage II CC, adjuvant chemotherapy must be discussed and fluoropyrimidine monotherapy or oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy proposed according to the type and number of poor prognostic features. Oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy (FOLFOX or CAPOX) is the current standard for adjuvant therapy of patients with stage III CC. However, these regimens are associated with significant oxaliplatin-induced neurotoxicity. The results of the recent IDEA study provide evidence that 3 months of treatment with CAPOX is as effective as 6 months of oxaliplatin-based therapy in patients with low-risk stage III CC (T1-3 and N1). A 6-month oxaliplatin-based therapy remains the standard of care for high-risk stage III CC (T4 and/or N2). For patients unfit for oxaliplatin, fluoropyrimidine monotherapy is recommended.

CONCLUSION

French guidelines for non-metastatic CC management help to offer the best personalized therapeutic strategy in daily clinical practice. Each individual case must be discussed within a multidisciplinary tumor board and then the treatment option decided with the patient.

Pathological-Features-Modified TNM Staging System Improves Prognostic Accuracy for Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Variations in survival outcomes are observed in the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system.

OBJECTIVE

Machine learning ensemble methods were used to develop and evaluate the effectiveness of a pathological-features-modified TNM staging system in predicting survival for patients with rectal cancer by use of commonly reported pathological features, such as histological grade, tumor deposits, and perineural invasion, to improve the prognostic accuracy.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective population-based study.

SETTINGS

Data were assessed from the database of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program.

PATIENTS

The study cohort comprised 14,468 patients with rectal cancer diagnosed between 2010 and 2015. The development cohort included those who underwent surgery as the primary treatment, whereas patients who received neoadjuvant therapy were assigned to the validation cohort.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measures included cumulative rectal cancer survival, adjusted HRs, and both calibration and discrimination statistics to evaluate model performance and internal validation.

RESULTS

Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified all 3 pathological features as prognostic factors, after which patients were categorized into 4 pathological groups based on the number of pathological features (ie, 0, 1, 2, and 3). Distinct survival differences were observed among the groups, especially with patients with stage III rectal cancer. The proposed pathological-features-modified TNM staging outperformed the TNM staging in both the development and validation cohorts.

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective in design and lack of external validation.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed pathological-features-modified TNM staging could complement the current TNM staging by improving the accuracy of survival estimation of patients with rectal cancer. See Video Abstract .

EL SISTEMA DE ESTADIFICACIN TNM CON CARACTERSTICAS PATOLGICAS MODIFICADO MEJORA LA PRECISIN DEL PRONSTICO DEL CNCER DE RECTO

ANTECEDENTES:Se observan variaciones en los resultados de supervivencia en el sistema de estadificación TNM del Comité Conjunto Americano del Cáncer 8º ediciónOBJETIVO:Se utilizaron métodos conjuntos de aprendizaje automático para desarrollar y evaluar la eficacia de un sistema de estadificación con características patológicas modificadas de tumores, ganglios y metástasis para predecir la supervivencia de pacientes con cáncer de recto, utilizando algunas características patológicas comúnmente informadas, como el grado histológico, depósitos tumorales e invasión perineural, para mejorar la precisión del pronóstico.DISEÑO:Este fue un estudio retrospectivo de base poblacional.ENTERNO CLINICO:Se recuperaron y evaluaron datos de la base de datos de Vigilancia, Epidemiología y Resultados Finales.PACIENTES:La cohorte del estudio estuvo compuesta por 14,468 pacientes con cáncer de recto diagnosticados entre 2010 y 2015. La cohorte de desarrollo incluyó a aquellos que se sometieron a cirugía como tratamiento primario, mientras que los pacientes que recibieron terapia neoadyuvante fueron asignados a la cohorte de validación.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Las medidas de resultado primarias incluyeron supervivencia acumulada del cáncer de recto, índices de riesgo ajustados y estadísticas de calibración y discriminación para evaluar el rendimiento del modelo y la validación interna.RESULTADOS:El análisis de regresión multivariable de Cox identificó las tres características patológicas como factores pronósticos, después de lo cual los pacientes se clasificaron en cuatro grupos patológicos según el número de características patológicas (es decir, 0, 1, 2 y 3). Se observaron distintas diferencias en la supervivencia entre los grupos, especialmente en los pacientes en estadio III. La estadificación propuesta con características patológicas modificadas de tumores-ganglios-metástasis superó a la estadificación TNM tanto en las cohortes de desarrollo como en las de validación.LIMITACIONES:Diseño retrospectivo y falta de validación externa.CONCLUSIONES:La estadificación propuesta con características patológicas modificadas de tumores-ganglios-metástasis podría complementar la estadificación TNM actual al mejorar la precisión de la estimación de supervivencia de los pacientes con cáncer de recto. (Traducción- Dr. Francisco M. Abarca-Rendon ).

Survival paradox between stage IIB/C and stage IIIA colon cancer: is it time to revise the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM system?

INTRODUCTION

A survival paradox between T4N0 (Stage IIB/IIC) and Stage IIIA colon cancer exists, even after adjusting for adequate lymph node (LN) retrieval and receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy (C). We conducted a large hospital-based study to re-evaluate this survival paradox based on the newest 8th edition staging system.

METHODS

The National Cancer Data Base was queried to evaluate 35,606 patients diagnosed with Stage IIB, IIC, and IIIA colon cancer between 2010 and 2017. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to compare unadjusted overall survival (OS). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the association of stage with hazard ratios adjusted for relevant demographic and clinical variables including ≥ 12 LNs retrieved and receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy. P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The 5-year OS for optimally treated stage IIIA colon cancer (receipt of C) was 84.3%, which was significantly higher than stage IIB/C (≥ 12 LNs retrieved + C) (72.8%; P < 0.0001). Stage was an independent predictor of OS. Among optimally treated Stage IIIA patients, T1N1 had the best survival (90.6%) while stage T4bN0 (stage IIC) had the worst (70.9%) (P < 0.0001). Compared to stage IIB, stage IIC had a 17% increased risk of overall death while stage IIIA had a 21% reduction in death (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Stage IIB/C and Stage IIIA survival paradox persists even after accounting for receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy and adequate lymph node retrieval. Future iteration of the TNM system should take this paradox into consideration.

An invasion front gene expression signature for higher-risk patient selection in stage IIA MSS colon cancer

Stage II colon cancer (CC) encompasses a heterogeneous group of patients with diverse survival experiences: 87% to 58% 5-year relative survival rates for stages IIA and IIC, respectively. While stage IIA patients are usually spared the adjuvant chemotherapy, some of them relapse and may benefit from it; thus, their timely identification is crucial. Current gene expression signatures did not specifically target this group nor did they find their place in clinical practice. Since processes at invasion front have also been linked to tumor progression, we hypothesize that aside from bulk tumor features, focusing on the invasion front may provide additional clues for this stratification. A retrospective matched case-control collection of 39 stage IIA microsatellite-stable (MSS) untreated CCs was analyzed to identify prognostic gene expression-based signatures. The endpoint was defined as relapse within 5 years vs. no relapse for at least 6 years. From the same tumors, three different classifiers (bulk tumor, invasion front, and constrained baseline on bulk tumor) were developed and their performance estimated. The baseline classifier, while the weakest, was validated in two independent data sets. The best performing signature was based on invasion front profiles [area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) = 0.931 (0.815-1.0)] and contained genes associated with KRAS pathway activation, apical junction complex, and heme metabolism. Its combination with bulk tumor classifier further improved the accuracy of the predictions.

The ELECLA trial: A multicentre randomised control trial on outcomes of neoadjuvant treatment on locally advanced colon cancer

BACKGROUND

Colon cancer (CC) is a public health concern with increasing incidence in younger populations. Treatment for locally advanced CC (LACC) involves oncological surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) to reduce recurrence and improve overall survival (OS). Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is a novel approach for the treatment of LACC, and research is underway to explore its potential benefit in terms of survival. This trial will assess the efficacy of NAC in LACC.

METHODS

This is a multicentre randomised, parallel-group, open label controlled clinical trial. Participants will be selected based on homogenous inclusion criteria and randomly assigned to two treatment groups: NAC, surgery, and AC or surgery followed by AC. The primary aim of this study is to evaluate the 2-year progression-free survival (PFS), with secondary outcomes including 5-year PFS, 2- and 5-year OS, toxicity, radiological and pathological response, morbidity, and mortality.

DISCUSSION

The results of this study will determine whether NAC induces a clinical and histological tumour response in patients with CCLA and if this treatment sequence improves survival without increasing morbidity and mortality.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04188158.

Risk Factor Analysis of Lymph Node Metastasis for Rectal Neuroendocrine Tumors: Who Needs a Radical Resection in Rectal Neuroendocrine Tumors Sized 1-2 cm?

BACKGROUND

Rectal neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) have malignant potential, and lymph node (LN) or distant metastases can occur; however, treatment of NETs 1-2 cm in size is controversial.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify predictive factors for LN metastasis and prognostic factors for recurrence of rectal NETs, especially tumors 1‒2 cm in size.

METHODS

Between October 2004 and November 2020, 453 patients underwent endoscopic or surgical treatment for rectal NETs in Seoul National University Hospital. The data on these patients were prospectively collected in our database and reviewed retrospectively. In cases of local excision, we evaluated LN metastasis with radiologic imaging, including computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging before treatment and during the follow-up periods.

RESULTS

LN metastasis was observed in 40 patients (8.8%). A higher rate of LN metastasis was observed in larger-sized tumors, advanced T stage, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), perineural invasion (PNI), and high tumor grade. In multivariable analysis, the significant risk factors for LN metastasis were tumor size (1 ≤ size < 2 cm: hazard ratio [HR] 64.07; size ≥2 cm: HR 102.37, p < 0.001) and tumor grade (G2: HR 3.63, p = 0.034; G3: HR 5.09, p = 0.044). In multivariable analysis for tumors 1-2 cm in size, the risk factor for LN metastasis was tumor grade (G2: HR 6.34, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor grade and size are important predictive factors for LN metastasis. In NETs 2 cm in size, tumor grade is also important for LN metastasis, and radical resection should be considered.

Predicting 5-year recurrence risk in colorectal cancer: development and validation of a histology-based deep learning approach

BACKGROUND

Accurate estimation of the long-term risk of recurrence in patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) is crucial for clinical management. Histology-based deep learning is expected to provide more abundant information for risk stratification.

METHODS

We developed and validated a weakly supervised deep-learning model for predicting 5-year relapse-free survival (RFS) to stratify patients with different risks based on histological images from three hospitals of 614 cases with non-metastatic CRC. A deep prognostic factor (DL-RRS) was established to stratify patients into high and low-risk group. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were calculated to evaluate the performances of models.

RESULTS

Our proposed model achieves the AUCs of 0.833 (95% CI: 0.736-0.905) and 0.715 (95% CI: 0.647-0.776) on validation cohort and external test cohort, respectively. The 5-year RFS rate was 45.7% for high DL-RRS patients, and 82.5% for low DL-RRS patients respectively in the external test cohort (HR: 3.89, 95% CI: 2.51-6.03, P < 0.001). Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with improved RFS in Stage II patients with high DL-RRS (HR: 0.15, 95% CI: 0.06-0.38, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

DL-RRS has a good predictive performance of 5-year recurrence risk in CRC, and will better serve the clinical decision-making.

Use of artificial intelligence for the prediction of lymph node metastases in early-stage colorectal cancer: systematic review

BACKGROUND

Risk evaluation of lymph node metastasis for early-stage (T1 and T2) colorectal cancers is critical for determining therapeutic strategies. Traditional methods of lymph node metastasis prediction have limited accuracy. This systematic review aimed to review the potential of artificial intelligence in predicting lymph node metastasis in early-stage colorectal cancers.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was performed of papers that evaluated the potential of artificial intelligence in predicting lymph node metastasis in early-stage colorectal cancers. Studies were appraised using the Joanna Briggs Institute tools. The primary outcome was summarizing artificial intelligence models and their accuracy. Secondary outcomes included influential variables and strategies to address challenges.

RESULTS

Of 3190 screened manuscripts, 11 were included, involving 8648 patients from 1996 to 2023. Due to diverse artificial intelligence models and varied metrics, no data synthesis was performed. Models included random forest algorithms, support vector machine, deep learning, artificial neural network, convolutional neural network and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Artificial intelligence models' area under the curve values ranged from 0.74 to 0.9993 (slide level) and 0.9476 to 0.9956 (single-node level), outperforming traditional clinical guidelines.

CONCLUSION

Artificial intelligence models show promise in predicting lymph node metastasis in early-stage colorectal cancers, potentially refining clinical decisions and improving outcomes.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42023409094.

Sequential Lateral Lymphatic Metastasis Shows Similar Oncologic Outcomes to Upward Spread in Advanced Rectal Cancer After Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Whether lateral pelvic node metastasis should be considered as a regional or systemic disease is a long-standing debate. Although previous Japanese studies have considered it to be locoregional disease, Western countries consider it a systemic disease and do not perform lateral pelvic node dissection after preoperative chemoradiotherapy.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether lateral pelvic node metastasis is a systemic or regional disease that is amenable to curative resection.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database.

SETTING

This study was conducted at a tertiary cancer center.

PATIENTS

There were 616 consecutive patients who underwent curative total mesorectal excision alone or with lateral pelvic node dissection after preoperative chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer between 2011 and 2019.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Three-year disease-free and overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 360 patients underwent total mesorectal excision, and 160 patients underwent total mesorectal excision with lateral pelvic node dissection. There was no difference in the 3-year disease-free survival (DFS; p = 0.844) or overall survival rates ( p = 0.921) between the groups. Patients with lateral pelvic node metastasis showed DFS similar to those with perirectal lymph node metastasis in the total mesorectal excision group. In a subgroup analysis, patients with internal iliac pelvic node metastasis showed a disease-free survival comparable to those with perirectal node involvement, and patients with other lateral pelvic node metastasis showed a DFS similar to those with intermediate node involvement. In the lateral pelvic node dissection group, the lateral pelvic node metastatic rate was 32.5%. On multivariate analysis, fewer than 8 of the unilateral harvested lateral pelvic nodes and advanced ypT stage were significantly associated with poor disease-free survival.

LIMITATION

The retrospective design.

CONCLUSIONS

Lateral lymphatic metastasis showed oncologic outcomes similar to those of upward spread, especially perirectal lymph nodes metastasis. Large cohort studies with long-term follow-up are required to confirm these results. See Video Abstract .

LAS METSTASIS LINFTICAS SECUENCIALES LATERALES MUESTRAN RESULTADOS ONCOLGICOS SIMILARES EN LA PROPAGACIN ASCENDENTE DEL CNCER RECTAL AVANZADO DESPUS DE LA RADIOQUIMIOTERAPIA PREOPERATORIA

ANTECEDENTES:Es un debate muy antiguo si las metástasis en los ganglios pélvicos laterales deben considerarse una enfermedad regional o sistémica. Si bien estudios japoneses anteriores las consideran como una enfermedad locorregional, en los países de occidente se las considera como una enfermedad sistémica por la cual no se realiza disección de ganglios pélvicos laterales después de una radioquimioterapia preoperatoria.OBJETIVOS:Evaluar si la metástasis en los ganglios pélvicos laterales se consideran como enfermedad sistémica o enfermedad regional susceptible de resección curativa.DISEÑO:Análisis retrospectivo de una base de datos recopilada prospectivamente.AJUSTE:Este estudio se realizó en un centro oncológico terciario.PACIENTES:616 pacientes consecutivos se sometieron a excisión total del mesorrecto curativa sola o con disección de los ganglios pélvicos laterales después de radioquimioterapia preoperatoria en casos de cáncer de recto localmente avanzado entre 2011 y 2019.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Sobrevida global y libre de enfermedad a 3 años.RESULTADOS:Un total de 360 pacientes se sometieron a excisión total del mesorrecto y 160 pacientes se sometieron a excisión total del mesorrecto con disección de ganglios pélvicos laterales.No hubo diferencias en la sobrevida libre de enfermedad a 3 años (p = 0,844) ni en las tasas de sobrevida general (p = 0,921) entre los grupos. Los pacientes con metástasis en los ganglios pélvicos laterales mostraron una sobrevida libre de enfermedad similar a aquellos con metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos perirrectales que se encontraban en el grupo de excisión total del mesorrecto.En el análisis de subgrupos, los pacientes con metástasis en los ganglios pélvicos ilíacos internos mostraron una sobrevida libre de enfermedad comparable a aquellos con afección de los ganglios perirrectales y los pacientes con otras metástasis en los ganglios pélvicos laterales mostraron una sobrevida libre de enfermedad similar a aquellos con afección de los ganglios intermedios.En el grupo de disección de los ganglios pélvicos laterales, la tasa de metástasis en dichos ganglios fué del 32,5%. En el análisis multivariado, < de 8 ganglios pélvicos laterales resecados unilateralmente y el estadio ypT avanzado se asociaron significativamente con una menor sobrevida libre de enfermedad.LIMITACIÓN:El diseño retrospectivo del estudio.CONCLUSIONES:Las metástasis linfáticas laterales mostraron resultados oncológicos similares a la diseminación ascendente, especialmente las metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos perirrectales. Se requieren grandes estudios de cohortes con seguimiento a largo plazo para confirmar estos resultados. (Traducción-Dr. Xavier Delgadillo ).

Combining pathological risk factors and T, N staging to optimize the assessment for risk stratification and prognostication in low-risk stage III colon cancer

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the combined pathological risk factors (PRFs) to stratify low-risk (pT1-3N1) stage III colon cancer (CC), providing a basis for individualized treatment in the future.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

PRFs for low-risk stage III CC were identified using COX model. Low-risk stage III CC was risk-grouped combining with PRFs, and survival analysis were performed using Kaplan-Meier. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases was used for external validation.

RESULTS

Nine hundred sixty-two stage III CC patients were included with 634 (65.9%) as low risk and 328 (34.1%) as high risk. Poor differentiation (OS: P = 0.048; DFS: P = 0.011), perineural invasion (OS: P = 0.003; DFS: P < 0.001) and tumor deposits (OS: P = 0.012; DFS: P = 0.003) were identified as PRFs. The prognosis of low-risk CC combined with 2 PRFs (OS: HR = 3.871, 95%CI, 2.004-7.479, P < 0.001; DFS: HR = 3.479, 95%CI, 2.158-5.610, P < 0.001) or 3 PRFs (OS: HR = 5.915, 95%CI, 1.953-17.420, P = 0.002; DFS: HR = 5.915, 95%CI, 2.623-13.335, P < 0.001) was similar to that of high-risk CC (OS: HR = 3.927, 95%CI, 2.317-6.656, P < 0.001; DFS: HR = 4.132, 95%CI, 2.858-5.974, P < 0.001). In the SEER database, 18,547 CC patients were enrolled with 10,023 (54.0%) as low risk and 8524 (46.0%) as high risk. Low-risk CC combined with 2 PRFs (OS: HR = 1.857, 95%CI, 1.613-2.139, P < 0.001) was similar to that of high-risk CC without PRFs (HR = 1.876, 95%CI, 1.731-2.033, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Combined PRFs improved the risk stratification of low-risk stage III CC, which could reduce the incidence of undertreatment and guide adjuvant chemotherapy.

Adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making in stage II colon adenocarcinoma associated with patients' age and high-risk factors

PURPOSE

To clarify whether the combination of age and high-risk factors (HRFs) was preferable for adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) decision-making in patients with stage II colon adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study analyzing eligible colon cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017. A nomogram was used to predict patient prognosis. Decision curve analysis (DCA) predicted model clinical benefit. Restricted cubic spline calculated the optimal cut-off value.

RESULTS

A total of 8570 patients with stage II colon adenocarcinoma were included in this study; 25.2% received AC. A nomogram predicting the prognosis of patients with stage II colon adenocarcinoma was constructed with age and HRFs, and scores were assigned to the relevant variables. DCA showed that age combined with HRFs was superior to treatment decision-making based on HRFs alone. Patients were grouped according to their total score with the cut-off value of 100. AC did not significantly improve overall survival (OS) in low-score group (hazard ratios (HRs) 1.01, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 0.86-1.18, p = 0.918). In high-score group, AC improved 5-year OS by about 7.6% (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.61-0.88, p = 0.001). And high-score group mainly included patients aged < 50 years with two or more HRFs and patients aged ≥ 50 years with at least one HRF.

CONCLUSION

Age and HRFs could be preferable for determining the group of stage II colon adenocarcinoma patients who would benefit from AC. Patients aged < 50 years with two or more HRFs might be a potential benefit population for AC.

A national evaluation of adjuvant chemotherapy in pT4N0M0 colon cancer from the National Cancer Database

BACKGROUND

T stage is a prognostic biomarker for overall survival in colon cancer and pathologic T4 disease is a high-risk characteristic. Adjuvant chemotherapy is recommended to improve overall survival in pT4N0M0, but compliance with guidelines is unknown. We aimed to evaluate adjuvant chemotherapy use and impact on overall survival in pT4N0M0 colon cancer.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was reviewed for pT4N0M0 colon adenocarcinomas undergoing curative surgical resection (2010-2017). Cases were stratified into no adjuvant chemotherapy and adjuvant chemotherapy cohorts. Moderated multiple regression assessed factors associated with no AC. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression assessed overall survival in propensity-score matched cohorts. The main outcome measures were adjuvant chemotherapy use, factors associated with adjuvant chemotherapy, and impact on overall survival.

RESULTS

Of 11 847 cases, 62.4% (n = 7391) received no adjuvant chemotherapy. With private insurance, comorbidities or income do not affect adjuvant chemotherapy use. Medicare cases with a Charlson-Deyo comorbidity index of 0 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.861, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.760 to 0.975; P = .019) and Medicare payors with high income (OR = 0.813, 95% CI = 0.690 to 0.959; P = .014) were associated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Medicaid Charlson-Deyo comorbidity index 0 (OR = 1.374, 95% CI = 1.125 to 1.679; P = .002) and uninsured Charlson-Deyo comorbidity index 0 (OR = 1.351, 95% CI = 1.120 to 1.629; P = .002) were associated with no adjuvant chemotherapy. Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with improved 5-year overall survival (71.7% vs 56.4%; P < .001; adjusted hazard ratio = 0.543, 95% CI = 0.499 to 0.590; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Although adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with improved overall survival, compliance is low. There is a complex relationship between payor, income, comorbidity, and adjuvant chemotherapy receipt. Medicare patients with no comorbidities or higher income have better adjuvant chemotherapy use. With private insurance, adjuvant chemotherapy compliance is not affected by comorbidities or income, whereas Medicaid and uninsured patients with no comorbidities have poor compliance. Future work could target these disparities for equitable care.

Prognostic Significance of Enlarged Lymph Nodes in Stage II Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Many studies have reported a correlation between lymph node metastasis and prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer. However, the clinical significance of enlarged lymph nodes for prognosis has scarcely been explored.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the clinical significance of enlarged lymph nodes in stage II colorectal cancer.

DESIGN

This is a multicenter retrospective observational study with a median follow-up period of 66.8 months.

SETTINGS

Patients' medical records were retrospectively collected from the Japanese Study Group for Postoperative Follow-up of Colorectal Cancer database.

PATIENTS

This study included 2212 patients with stage II colorectal cancer who underwent surgical resection between January 2009 and December 2012. Patients were classified into the enlarged lymph node and nonenlarged lymph node groups and their data were compared.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Clinicopathological characteristics and prognoses of the 2 groups were compared. The main outcomes measured were recurrence-free survival and overall survival.

RESULTS

The enlarged lymph node group showed significantly better overall survival and recurrence-free survival in pT4b cases but not in pT3 or pT4a cases. In pT4b cases, an enlarged lymph node (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.29-0.98) was an independent prognostic factor for longer recurrence-free survival, whereas a rectal lesion (HR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.90-6.29) was an independent prognostic factor for shorter recurrence-free survival. An enlarged lymph node was associated with a lower distant recurrence rate (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.26-0.92) and a tendency to correlate with better overall survival (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.22-1.14).

LIMITATIONS

The retrospective design may have increased the risk of selection bias. Inadequate information regarding enlarged lymph nodes is another study limitation.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that enlarged lymph nodes are associated with a favorable prognosis in patients with pT4b stage II colorectal cancer. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C246 .

IMPORTANCIA PRONSTICA DE LOS GANGLIOS LINFTICOS AGRANDADOS EN EL CNCER COLORRECTAL EN ESTADIO II

ANTECEDENTES:Muchos estudios han informado una correlación entre la metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos y el pronóstico en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal. Sin embargo, apenas se ha explorado la importancia clínica de los ganglios linfáticos agrandados para el pronóstico.OBJETIVO:El objetivo fue evaluar la importancia clínica de los ganglios linfáticos agrandados en el cáncer colorrectal en estadio II.DISEÑO:Este es un estudio observacional retrospectivo multicéntrico con una mediana de seguimiento de 66,8 meses.CONFIGURACIÓN:Los registros médicos de los pacientes se recopilaron retrospectivamente de la base de datos del Grupo de estudio japonés para el seguimiento posoperatorio del cáncer colorrectal.PACIENTES:Incluimos 2212 pacientes con cáncer colorrectal en estadio II que se sometieron a resección quirúrgica entre enero de 2009 y diciembre de 2012. Los pacientes se clasificaron en grupos de ganglios linfáticos agrandados y no agrandados y se compararon sus datos.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Se compararon las características clinicopatológicas y los pronósticos de los dos grupos. Los principales resultados medidos fueron la supervivencia sin recurrencia y la supervivencia general.RESULTADOS:El grupo de ganglios linfáticos agrandados mostró una supervivencia general significativamente mejor y una supervivencia libre de recurrencia en los casos pT4b, pero no en los casos pT3 ni pT4a. En los casos de pT4b, el agrandamiento de los ganglios linfáticos (CRI, 0,53; IC 95 %, 0,29-0,98) fue un factor pronóstico independiente para una supervivencia sin recidiva más prolongada, mientras que la lesión rectal (CRI, 3,46; IC 95%, 1,90-6,29) fue un factor pronóstico independiente para RFS más cortos. Los ganglios linfáticos agrandados se relacionaron con una tasa más baja de recurrencia a distancia (CRI, 0,49; IC 95%, 0,26-0,92) y una tendencia a correlacionarse con una mejor supervivencia general (CRI, 0,50; IC 95%, 0,22-1,14).LIMITACIONES:El diseño retrospectivo puede haber aumentado el riesgo de sesgo de selección. La información inadecuada sobre el agrandamiento de los ganglios linfáticos es otra limitación del estudio.CONCLUSIONES:Este estudio mostró que los ganglios linfáticos agrandados están asociados con un pronóstico favorable en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal pT4b en estadio II. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C246 . ( Traducción - Dr. Mauricio Santamaria ).

Is There a Role for Neoadjuvant Systemic Therapy for cT4bM0 Colon Cancer? A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis of the National Cancer Database

BACKGROUND

Nonmetastatic T4b colon cancer has been traditionally treated with upfront surgery, often requiring technically challenging multiorgan resection. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy can potentially downsize these tumors and improve their resectability.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore trends and outcomes of neoadjuvant chemotherapy use compared to upfront surgery in patients with nonmetastatic T4b colon cancer. This study also sought to determine factors associated with increased neoadjuvant chemotherapy use and with overall survival.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTINGS

Conducted using the National Cancer Database.

PATIENTS

Patients with nonmetastatic T4b colon cancer who underwent colectomy (2006-2016) were included in the study. Patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy were propensity-matched (1:2) to those who underwent upfront surgery in either clinically node-negative or node-positive disease.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Postoperative outcomes (length of stay, 30-d readmission, 30/90-d mortality), oncologic resection adequacy (R0 rate, number of resected/positive nodes), and overall survival were the main outcome measures.

RESULTS

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy was used in 7.7% of the patients. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy use increased over the study period from 4% to 16% in the entire cohort, from 3% to 21% in patients with clinically node-positive disease, and from 6% to 12% in patients with clinically node-negative disease. Factors associated with increased use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy included younger age (OR 0.97; 95% CI, 0.96-0.98; p < 0.001), male sex (OR 1.35; 95% CI, 1.11-1.64; p = 0.002), recent diagnosis year (OR 1.16; 95% CI, 1.12-1.20; p < 0.001), academic centers (OR 2.65; 95% CI, 2.19-3.22; p < 0.001), clinically node-positive (OR 1.23; 95% CI, 1.01-1.49; p = 0.037), and tumor located in the sigmoid colon (OR 2.44; 95% CI, 1.97-3.02; p < 0.001). Patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy had significantly higher R0 resection compared with upfront surgery (87% vs 77%; p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, neoadjuvant chemotherapy was associated with higher overall survival (HR 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64-0.91; p = 0.002). On propensity-matched analyses, neoadjuvant chemotherapy was associated with a higher 5-year overall survival compared to upfront surgery in patients with clinically node-positive disease (57% vs 43%; p = 0.003) but not in patients with clinically node-negative disease (61% vs 56%; p = 0.090).

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective design.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy use for nonmetastatic T4b has increased significantly on the national level, more so in patients with clinically node-positive disease. Patients with node-positive disease treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy had higher overall survival compared to those who underwent upfront surgery. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C228 .

EXISTE LUGAR PARA LA TERAPIA SISTMICA NEOADYUVANTE PARA EL CNCER DE COLON CTBM UN ANLISIS EMPAREJADO DE PUNTAJE DE PROPENSIN DE LA BASE DE DATOS NACIONAL DEL CNCER

ANTECEDENTES:El cáncer de colon T4b no metastásico se ha tratado tradicionalmente con cirugía inicial, que frecuentemente requiere de una resección multiorgánica técnicamente desafiante. La quimioterapia neoadyuvante puede potencialmente reducir el tamaño y mejorar la resecabilidad de esos tumores.OBJETIVO:Explorar las tendencias y los resultados del uso de quimioterapia neoadyuvante en pacientes con cáncer de colon T4b no metastásico, en comparación con la cirugía inicial. Determinar los factores asociados con el aumento del uso de quimioterapia neoadyuvante y con la supervivencia general.DISEÑO:Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo.AJUSTES:Utilizando de la Base de Datos Nacional del Cáncer.PACIENTES:Pacientes con cáncer de colon T4b no metastásico sometidos a colectomía (2006-2016). Los pacientes que recibieron quimioterapia neoadyuvante fueron emparejados por propensión (1:2) con aquellos sometidos a cirugía inicial, ya sea en enfermedad clínica con ganglios negativos o ganglios positivos.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Resultados posoperatorios (duración de la hospitalización, reingreso a los 30 días, mortalidad a los 30/90 días), adecuación de la resección oncológica (tasa R0, número de ganglios resecados/positivos) y supervivencia general.RESULTADOS:La quimioterapia neoadyuvante se utilizó en el 7,7% de los pacientes. El uso de quimioterapia neoadyuvante aumentó durante el período de estudio del 4% al 16% en toda la cohorte; del 3% al 21% en pacientes con enfermedad clínica y ganglios positivos; y del 6% al 12% en pacientes con enfermedad clínica y ganglios negativos. Los factores asociados con un mayor uso de quimioterapia neoadyuvante incluyeron, edad más joven (OR 0,97, IC del 95 %: 0,96-0,98, p < 0,001), sexo masculino (OR 1,35, IC del 95 %: 1,11-1,64, p = 0,002), año de diagnóstico mas reciente (OR 1,16, 95% IC: 1,12-1,20, p < 0,001), centros académicos (OR 2,65, 95% IC: 2,19-3,22, p < 0,001), enfermedad clínica con ganglios positivos (OR 1,23, 95% IC: 1,01-1,49, p = 0,037), y tumor localizado en colon sigmoide (OR 2,44, 95% IC: 1,97-3,02, p < 0,001). Los pacientes que recibieron quimioterapia neoadyuvante tuvieron una resección R0 significativamente mayor en comparación con la cirugía inicial (87 % frente a 77 %, p < 0,001). En análisis multivariable, la quimioterapia neoadyuvante se asoció con una mayor supervivencia global (HR 0,76, IC del 95%: 0,64-0,91, p = 0,002). En los análisis de propensión pareada, la quimioterapia neoadyuvante se asoció con una mayor supervivencia general a los 5 años en comparación con la cirugía inicial en pacientes con enfermedad clínica con ganglios positivos (57% frente a 43%, p = 0,003), pero no en pacientes con enfermedad clínica y ganglios negativos (61% vs 56%, p = 0,090).LIMITACIONES:Diseño retrospectivo.CONCLUSIÓN:El uso de quimioterapia neoadyuvante para T4b no metastásico ha aumentado significativamente a nivel nacional, más aún en pacientes con enfermedad clínica y ganglios positivos. Los pacientes con enfermedad y ganglios positivos tratados con quimioterapia neoadyuvante tuvieron una mayor supervivencia general en comparación con la cirugía inicial. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C228 . (Traducción-Dr. Fidel Ruiz Healy ).

Predicting lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer: An analysis of influencing factors to develop a risk model

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a significant global health issue, and lymph node metastasis (LNM) is a crucial prognostic factor. Accurate prediction of LNM is essential for developing individualized treatment strategies for patients with CRC. However, the prediction of LNM is challenging and depends on various factors such as tumor histology, clinicopathological features, and molecular characteristics. The most reliable method to detect LNM is the histopathological examination of surgically resected specimens; however, this method is invasive, time-consuming, and subject to sampling errors and interobserver variability.

AIM

To analyze influencing factors and develop and validate a risk prediction model for LNM in CRC based on a large patient queue.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 300 patients who underwent CRC surgery at two Peking University Shenzhen hospitals between January and December 2021. A deep learning approach was used to extract features potentially associated with LNM from primary tumor histological images while a logistic regression model was employed to predict LNM in CRC using machine-learning-derived features and clinicopathological variables as predictors.

RESULTS

The prediction model constructed for LNM in CRC was based on a logistic regression framework that incorporated machine learning-extracted features and clinicopathological variables. The model achieved high accuracy (0.86), sensitivity (0.81), specificity (0.87), positive predictive value (0.66), negative predictive value (0.94), area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristic (0.91), and a low Brier score (0.10). The model showed good agreement between the observed and predicted probabilities of LNM across a range of risk thresholds, indicating good calibration and clinical utility.

CONCLUSION

The present study successfully developed and validated a potent and effective risk-prediction model for LNM in patients with CRC. This model utilizes machine-learning-derived features extracted from primary tumor histology and clinicopathological variables, demonstrating superior performance and clinical applicability compared to existing models. The study provides new insights into the potential of deep learning to extract valuable information from tumor histology, in turn, improving the prediction of LNM in CRC and facilitate risk stratification and decision-making in clinical practice.

The value of carcinoembryonic antigen stage in staging, prognosis, and management of colorectal cancer: results from two cohort studies

Background

Combining the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (C stage) with TNM staging can provide a more comprehensive prognostic assessment of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the clinical value of incorporating CEA status into the TNM staging system needs to be evaluated.

Methods

We used the SEER database (N = 49,350) and a retrospective cohort from China (N = 1,440). A normal CEA level was staged as C0 and an elevated CEA level was staged as C1. Restricted cubic spline analysis was used to examine the dose-response relationship between the CEA level and survival. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test was used to plot survival curves. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models with forward stepwise variable selection were used to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals.

Results

Patients with C1 were more likely to have advanced disease than those with C0. CEA on a continuous scale was positively associated with mortality risk. Compared with patients with C0 stage, those with C1 stage had significantly lower survival rates. In the SEER dataset, C1 was independently associated with poor prognosis in patients with CRC, with an approximately 70% increased risk of mortality. Patients with C1 stage had significantly lower survival than those with C0 stage at all clinical stages. Incorporating the C stage into the TNM staging refined the prediction of prognosis of patients with CRC, with a gradual decline in prognosis from stage I C0 to stage IV C1. A similar pattern was observed in the present retrospective cohort study. At each lymph node stage, patients with C1 had significantly lower 5-year survival rates than patients with C0. Compared with lymph node positivity, CEA positivity may have a stronger correlation with a worse prognosis.

Conclusion

Our findings not only validated the independent prognostic significance of CEA in CRC but also demonstrated its enhanced prognostic value when combined with TNM staging. Our study provides evidence supporting the inclusion of C stage in the TNM staging system.

Impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on long-term overall survival in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on long-term survival in unselected patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer including an analysis of each high-risk feature.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from the Danish Colorectal Cancer Group, the National Patient Registry and the Danish Pathology Registry from 2014 to 2018 were merged. Patients surviving > 90 days were included. High-risk features were defined as emergency presentation, including self-expanding metal stents (SEMS)/loop-ostomy as a bridge to resection, grade B or C anastomotic leakage, pT4 tumors, lymph node yield < 12 or signet cell carcinoma. Eligibility criteria for chemotherapy were age < 75 years, proficient MMR gene expression, and performance status ≤ 2. The primary outcome was 5-year overall survival. Secondary outcomes included the proportion of eligible patients allocated for adjuvant chemotherapy and the time to first administration.

RESULTS

In total 939 of 3937 patients with stage II colon cancer had high-risk features, of whom 408 were eligible for chemotherapy. 201 (49.3%) patients received adjuvant chemotherapy, with a median time to first administration of 35 days after surgery. The crude 5-year overall survival was 84.9% in patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy compared with 66.3% in patients not receiving chemotherapy, p < 0.001. This association corresponded to an absolute risk difference of 14%.

CONCLUSION

5-year overall survival was significantly higher in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer treated with adjuvant chemotherapy compared with no chemotherapy. Adjuvant treatment was given to less than half of the patients who were eligible for it.

Report from the 24th Annual Western Canadian Gastrointestinal Cancer Consensus Conference on Colorectal Cancer, Richmond, British Columbia, 28-29, October 2022

The 24th annual Western Canadian Gastrointestinal Cancer Consensus Conference (WCGCCC) was held in Richmond, British Columbia, on 28-29 October 2022. The WCGCCC is an interactive multidisciplinary conference attended by healthcare professionals from across Western Canada (British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba) who are involved in the care of patients with gastrointestinal cancer. Surgical, medical, and radiation oncologists; pathologists; radiologists; and allied health care professionals such as dieticians, nurses and a genetic counsellor participated in presentation and discussion sessions for the purpose of developing the recommendations presented here. This consensus statement addresses current issues in the management of colorectal cancer.

Multi-center evaluation of machine learning-based radiomic model in predicting disease free survival and adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in stage II colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Our study aimed to explore the potential of radiomics features derived from CT images in predicting the prognosis and response to adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in patients with Stage II colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

A total of 478 patients with confirmed stage II CRC, with 313 from Shanghai (Training set) and 165 from Beijing (Validation set) were enrolled. Optimized features were selected using GridSearchCV and Iterative Feature Elimination (IFE) algorithm. Subsequently, we developed an ensemble random forest classifier to predict the probability of disease relapse.We evaluated the performance of the model using the concordance index (C-index), precision-recall curves, and area under the precision-recall curves (AUCPR).

RESULTS

A radiomic model (namely the RF5 model) consisting of four radiomics features and T stage were developed. The RF5 model performed better than simple radiomics features or T stage alone, with higher C-index and AUCPR, as well as better sensitivity and specificity (C-indexRF5: 0.836; AUCPR = 0.711; Sensitivity = 0.610; Specificity = 0.935). We identified an optimal cutoff value of 0.1215 to split patients into high- or low-score subgroups, with those in the low-score group having better disease-free survival (DFS) (Training Set: P = 1.4e-11; Validation Set: P = 0.015). Furthermore, patients in the high-score group who received ACT had better DFS compared to those who did not receive ACT (P = 0.04). However, no statistical difference was found in low-score patients (P = 0.17).

CONCLUSION

The radiomic model can serve as a reliable tool for assessing prognosis and identifying the optimal candidates for ACT in Stage II CRC patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Retrospectively registered.

Mid-term outcomes of laparoscopic vs open colectomy for pathological T4 and/or N2 colon cancer patients: Multicenter study using propensity score matched analysis

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to assess mid-term outcomes after laparoscopic surgery (LAP) vs open surgery (OP) for pathological T4 (pT4) and/or N2 (pN2) colon cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 255 primary tumor resections for pT4 and/or pN2 colon cancer performed from 2015 to 2020 at six hospitals, divided into LAP (n = 204) and OP groups (n = 51). After propensity score matching to minimize selection bias, 47 matched patients per group were assessed.

RESULTS

Before matching, the rate of males (53.9% vs. 37.3%, P = .042), left sided colon cancer (53.9% vs 37.3%, P = .042), D3 lymph node dissection (90.7% vs 68.6%, P < .001) and body mass index (kg/m2 ) (22.3 vs 21.8, P = .039) were significantly greater in the LAP group. The rate of pT4b (7.8% vs 40.4%, P < .001) was lower and pN2 was higher (57.4% vs 37.3%, P = .012) in the LAP group. After matching, preoperative characteristics and pathologic status were equivalent between the groups. The LAP and OP groups showed comparable overall survival (OS) (2-year OS, 84.5% vs 76.8%, P = .055) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (2-year RFS, 73.9% vs 52.8%, P = .359). In the patients with pT4, OS (2-year OS, 79.4% vs 75.7%, P = .359) and RFS (2-year RFS, 71.3% vs 58.7%) were comparable. In the patients with pN2, OS (2-year OS, 83.4% vs 76.3%) and RFS (2-year RFS, 69.6% vs 36.2%) were also comparable.

CONCLUSIONS

LAP for pT4 and/or pN2 colon cancer showed comparable mid-term outcomes compared with OP. LAP was an acceptable surgical approach in this cohort.

Construction and validation of a nomogram model for predicting the overall survival of colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a frequent cancer worldwide with varied survival outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to develop a nomogram model to predict the overall survival (OS) of CRC patients after surgery.

DESIGN

This is a retrospective study.

SETTING

This study was conducted from 2015 to 2016 in a single tertiary center for CRC.

PATIENTS

CRC patients who underwent surgery between 2015 and 2016 were enrolled and randomly assigned into the training (n = 480) and validation (n = 206) groups. The risk score of each subject was calculated based on the nomogram. All participants were categorized into two subgroups according to the median value of the score.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The clinical characteristics of all patients were collected, significant prognostic variables were determined by univariate analysis. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied for variable selection. The tuning parameter (λ) for LASSO regression was determined by cross-validation. Independent prognostic variables determined by multivariable analysis were used to establish the nomogram. The predictive capacity of the model was assessed by risk group stratification.

RESULTS

Infiltration depth, macroscopic classification, BRAF, carbohydrate antigen 19 - 9 (CA-199) levels, N stage, M stage, TNM stage, carcinoembryonic antigen levels, number of positive lymph nodes, vascular tumor thrombus, and lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic factors. The nomogram established based on these factors exhibited good discriminatory capacity. The concordance indices for the training and validation groups were 0.796 and 0.786, respectively. The calibration curve suggested favorable agreement between predictions and observations. Moreover, the OS of different risk subgroups was significantly different.

LIMITATIONS

The limitations of this work included small sample size and single-center design. Also, some prognostic factors could not be included due to the retrospective design.

CONCLUSIONS

A prognostic nomogram for predicting the OS of CRC patients after surgery was developed, which might be helpful for evaluating the prognosis of CRC patients.

MRI-Based Metastatic Nodal Number and Associated Nomogram Improve Stratification of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients: Potential Indications for Individual Induction Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Metastatic lymph nodal number (LNN) is associated with the survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC); however, counting multiple nodes is cumbersome.

PURPOSE

To explore LNN threshold and evaluate its use in risk stratification and induction chemotherapy (IC) indication.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

A total of 792 radiotherapy-treated NPC patients (N classification: N0 182, N1 438, N2 113, N3 59; training group: 396, validation group: 396; receiving IC: 390).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

T1-, T2- and postcontrast T1-weighted fast spin echo MRI at 1.5 or 3.0 T.

ASSESSMENT

Nomogram with (model B) or without (model A) LNN was constructed to evaluate the 5-year overall (OS), distant metastasis-free (DMFS), and progression-free survival (PFS) for the group as a whole and N1 stage subgroup. High- and low-risk groups were divided (above vs below LNN- or model B-threshold); their response to IC was evaluated among advanced patients in stage III/IV.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Maximally selected rank, univariate and multivariable Cox analysis identified the optimal LNN threshold and other variables. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and 2-fold cross-validation evaluated discriminative ability of models. Matched-pair analysis compared survival outcomes of adding IC or not. A P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Median follow-up duration was 62.1 months. LNN ≥ 4 was independently associated with decreased 5-year DMFS, OS, and PFS in entire patients or N1 subgroup. Compared to model A, model B (adding LNN, LNN ≥ 4 vs <4) presented superior C-indexes in the training (0.755 vs 0.727) and validation groups (0.676 vs 0.642) for discriminating DMFS. High-risk patients benefited from IC with improved post-IC response and OS, but low-risk patients did not (P = 0.785 and 0.690, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

LNN ≥ 4 is an independent risk stratification factor of worse survival in entire or N1 staging NPC patients. LNN ≥ 4 or the associated nomogram has potential to identify high-risk patients requiring IC.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: 4.

Does Pathological T-Factor Affect Long-term Prognosis of Locally Advanced Colorectal Cancer Treated With Laparoscopic Multivisceral Resection?

BACKGROUND/AIM

Locally advanced colorectal cancer (LACC) has poor long-term outcomes. Our hypothesis was that the pathological tumor depth would affect postoperative outcomes in patients who underwent multivisceral resection with clear margins (R0). The aim of this study was to analyze short- and long-term outcomes in patients who underwent multivisceral resection for LACC, comparing between T3 and T4 stages.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a propensity score-matched, retrospective study. All 8,764 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for colorectal cancer between April 2007 and January 2021 at the Saitama Medical University International Medical Center were screened; 572 underwent multivisceral resection for LACC. We compared the T3 and T4 groups to evaluate outcomes.

RESULTS

The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates did not significantly differ between the two groups (hazard ratio=1.344, 95% confidence interval=0.638-2.907, p=0.33). The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were significantly worse for the T4 group than for the T3 group (hazard ratio=3.162, 95% confidence interval=1.077-11.44), p=0.037). To determine the association between American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, transfusion, pathological T and OS, we performed univariate and multivariate analyses. ASA, transfusion, and pathological T-stage were associated with worse OS in univariate analysis (T4 vs. T3, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our study showed that postoperative complications and DFS of the T4 group were similar to those of the T3 group of locally advanced colorectal cancer treated with laparoscopic multivisceral resection. However, OS was worse in the T4 group compared with the T3 group. Multivariate risk factors for poor OS were ASA>2, transfusion, and T4 stage.

Pretreatment Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level Serves as a Potential Biomarker to Guide Adjuvant Radiotherapy in pT4N+ Colon Cancer Patients

The survival benefit of adjuvant radiotherapy in T4 colon cancer (CC) remains controversial, with conflicting results reported in the literature. This study aimed to explore the relationship between pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level and overall survival (OS) of pT4N+ CC patients treated with adjuvant radiotherapy. Data of pT4N+ CC patients who received curative surgery between 2004 and 2015 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The primary outcome was OS, and subgroup analysis was conducted according to pretreatment CEA level. A total of 8763 patients were eligible for our study. In the CEA-normal group, 151 patients received adjuvant radiotherapy, while 3932 patients did not. In the CEA-elevated group, 212 patients received adjuvant radiotherapy, while 4468 patients did not. In general, adjuvant radiotherapy was associated with better OS in pT4N+ CC patients (HR = 0.846, 95% CI = 0.733-0.976, P = 0.022). Intriguingly, only patients with an elevated pretreatment CEA level gained a survival benefit from adjuvant radiotherapy (HR = 0.782; 95% CI = 0.651-0.939; P = 0.008) while those with a normal pretreatment CEA level did not (HR = 0.907; 95% CI = 0.721-1.141; P = 0.403). Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that adjuvant radiotherapy was an independent protective factor in pT4N+ CC patients with an elevated pretreatment CEA level. Pretreatment CEA levels could serve as a potential biomarker to screen pT4N+ CC patients who would benefit from adjuvant radiotherapy.

The Impact of Pre-Chemotherapy Body Composition and Immunonutritional Markers on Chemotherapy Adherence in Stage III Colorectal Cancer Patients

Patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) often fail to complete full-course chemotherapy with a standard dose due to various reasons. This study aimed to determine whether body composition affects chemotherapy adherence in patients with CRC. The medical records of 107 patients with stage III CRC who underwent adjuvant folinic acid, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) chemotherapy at a single center between 2014 and 2018 were analyzed retrospectively. Blood test results for selected immunonutritional markers were analyzed and body composition was measured through computed tomography. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on low and high relative dose intensity (RDI) groups, based on an RDI of 0.85. In the univariate analysis, a higher skeletal muscle index was correlated with a higher RDI (p = 0.020). Psoas muscle index was also higher in patients with high RDI than in those with low RDI (p = 0.026). Fat indices were independent of RDI. Multivariate analysis was performed for the aforementioned factors and results showed that age (p = 0.028), white blood cell count (p = 0.024), and skeletal muscle index (p = 0.025) affected RDI. In patients with stage III CRC treated with adjuvant FOLFOX chemotherapy, a decrease in RDI was related to age, white blood cell count, and skeletal muscle index. Therefore, if we adjust the drug dosage in consideration of these factors, we can expect an increased treatment efficiency in patients by increasing chemotherapy compliance.

Long-term outcomes after endoscopic versus surgical resection of T1 colorectal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The long-term outcomes of patients with T1 colorectal cancer (CRC) who undergo endoscopic and/or surgical treatment are not well understood. Invasive CRC confined to the colonic submucosa (T1 CRC) is challenging in terms of clinical decision-making. We compared the long-term outcomes of T1 CRC by treatment method.

METHODS

We examined 370 patients with pathological T1 CRC treated between 2000 and 2015 at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital. In total, 93 patients underwent endoscopic resection (ER) only, 82 underwent additional surgery after ER, and 175 underwent surgical resection only. Patients who did not meet the curative criteria were defined as "high-risk." High-risk patients were classified into three groups according to the treatment modalities: ER only (Group A: 35 patients), additional surgery after ER (Group B: 72 patients), and surgical resection only (Group C: 133 patients). The recurrence-free and overall survival (OS) rates, and factors associated with recurrence and mortality, were analyzed. Factors associated with lymph node metastasis (LNM) were subjected to multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 370 patients, 7 experienced recurrence and 7 died. All recurrences occurred in the high-risk group and two deaths were in the low-risk group. In high-risk groups, there was no significant group difference in recurrence-free survival (P = 0.511) or OS (P =0.657). Poor histology (P =0.042) was associated with recurrence, and vascular invasion (P =0.044) with mortality. LNMs were observed in 30 of 277 patients who underwent surgery either initially or secondarily. Lymphatic invasion was significantly associated with the incidence of LNM (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

ER prior to surgery did not affect the prognosis of high-risk T1 CRC patients, and did not worsen the clinical outcomes of patients who required additional surgery. Lymphatic invasion was the most important predictor of LNM.

The impact of adjuvant oxaliplatin and tumor sidedness on the overall survival of stage IIB colon cancer patients: a multicentre study

The aim of this multicentre retrospective study was to compare the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy regimens both with and without oxaliplatin and tumor sidedness in stage IIB (pT4aN0) colon cancer patients. This study included patients with stage IIB colon cancer who underwent curative surgery and received adjuvant chemotherapy. The patients were divided into two groups (one with and one without oxaliplatin) to compare the overall survival (OS) in right- and left-sided tumors. The study population included 298 patients with stage IIB colon cancer (median age: 57) of whom 69.1% were male. Forty-four per cent of these patients (n = 131) were diagnosed with right-sided colon cancer. The median follow-up duration was 35.9 months. In the entire population, a median OS was not reached, and the five-year OS was 83%. The median disease-free survival (DFS) was 12 months. There was no significant difference in terms of the five-year OS between right- (82%) and left-sided (84%) colon tumors (p = 0.67). In addition, the five-year OS of patients treated with and without oxaliplatin were 76% and 89%, respectively, and there was no statistically significant difference (p = 0.23). The five-year OS of the patients treated with and without oxaliplatin were 83% and 96.5%, respectively, (p = 0.8) in right-sided colon tumors, while it was 75% and 93% (p = 0.06), respectively, in left-sided colon tumors. Tumor sidedness and the addition of oxaliplatin to adjuvant chemotherapy were not found to be associated with the OS in stage IIB colon cancer patients in our study. Further large prospective studies that also include MSI, RAS and BRAF status data are warranted in colon cancer patients.

The T-CEA score: a useful prognostic indicator based on postoperative CEA and pathological T4 levels for patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

To investigate a prognostic score for stage II-III colorectal cancer (CRC) based on post-CEA and pT4 levels.

METHODS

Two cohorts of stage II-III CRC patients who underwent curative surgery between 2011 and 2017 were included. The prognostic score (T-CEA score) was calculated as follows: T-CEA-0, post-CEA ≤ 5 ng/mL and pT1-3; T-CEA-1, post-CEA > 5 ng/mL or pT4; T-CEA-2, post-CEA > 5 ng/mL and pT4.

RESULTS

The T-CEA scores of the 587 patients were as follows: T-CEA-0 (n = 436; 74%), T-CEA-1 (n = 129; 22%), and T-CEA-2 (n = 10; 2%). The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates of the T-CEA-0, 1, and 2 groups were 80.3%, 54.8%, and 0%, respectively (P < 0.01), and the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 90.9%, 74.2%, and 0%, respectively (T-CEA-0 vs T-CEA-1: P < 0.01, T-CEA-1 vs T-CEA-2: P = 0.04). Multivariate analysis revealed that an elevated T-CEA score of 1 or 2 was a significant risk factor for poor RFS (HR: 2.89, P < 0.01) and OS (HR: 2.85, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The T-CEA score is a reliable and convenient prognostic score for stage II-III CRC.

Prognostic and predictive value of a lncRNA signature in patients with stage II colon cancer

The current staging method is inadequate to identify high-risk recurrence patients with stage II colon cancer (CC). Using a systematic and comprehensive-biomarker discovery and validation method, we aimed to construct a lncRNA-based signature to improve the prognostic prediction of stage II CC. We identified 1,377 differently expressed lncRNAs by analyzing 16 paired stage II CC tumor tissue and adjacent normal mucosal tissue from the TCGA dataset. Subsequently, using a univariable and step multivariable Cox regression model, we trained an 11-lncRNA signature in the training cohort (n = 141), which could divide patients into high-risk and low-risk groups (AUC at 3 years = 0.801, 95% CI: 0.724-0.877; AUC at 5 years = 0.801, 95% CI: 0.718-0.885). Significantly, patients in the high-risk group had poorer recurrence-free survival (RFS) compared with the low-risk group (log-rank test, P < 0.001 in the training cohort). This lncRNA-based signature was further confirmed in the validation cohort (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression and stratified survival analyses showed that the prognostic value of this signature was independent of other clinicopathological risk factors (CEA, T stage, and chemotherapy). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated that this signature had better prognostic ability than any other clinical risk factors or single lncRNAs (all P < 0.05). A nomogram was constructed for clinical use, which integrated both the lncRNA-based signature and clinical risk factors (CEA and T stage) and performed well in the calibration plots. Altogether, our lncRNA-based signature was an independent prognostic factor and possessed a stronger predictive power compared with the currently used clinicopathological risk factors when predicting the recurrence of patients with stage II CC. Collectively, this lncRNA-based signature might facilitate individualized treatment decisions and postoperative counseling, ultimately contributing to improved survival.

Prognostic Implications of Endoscopic Obstruction in Patients with Pathological Stage II Colon Cancers: a Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The prognostic effect of endoscopic obstruction (eOB) on the survival of stage II colon cancer patients and the role of eOB in guiding postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy of stage II colon cancer are little known.

METHODS

In this retrospective, single-center cohort study, patients who had undergone curative surgery and preoperative colonoscope for stage II colon carcinoma were included. The eOB was defined as severe luminal colon obstruction that prevented the standard colonoscope from passing beyond the tumor. The association between eOB and stage II colon cancer survival and the predictive role of eOB for adjuvant chemotherapy were evaluated using multivariate Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of 1102 included patients, 616 (55.9%) had eOB and 486 (44.1%) had no eOB. The median follow-up was 49 months (interquartile range, 38-68 months). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that patients with eOB had poor 5-year overall survival (OS; 85.3% vs. 95.3%, p < 0.001) compared to patients without eOB. Five-year disease-free survival (DFS; 78.5% vs. 87.6%, p = 0.004) was also poor in these patients. Multivariate analysis demonstrated eOB was a significant prognostic factor for poor OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.531, p < 0.001), but not for DFS (p = 0.081). Even when patients with clinical colonic obstruction were excluded from the population with eOB, the worse OS (HR = 2.262, p = 0.001) was observed. The OS and DFS of eOB patients improved slightly after adjuvant chemotherapy, but there was no statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Stage II colon cancer patients with eOB have a poor prognosis. However, whether eOB can guide adjuvant chemotherapy still needs further study.

High Magnitude Advanced Colorectal Cancer at Diagnosis in Ethiopian Patients: Imaging Pattern and Associated Factors

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most prevalent and incident cancers worldwide with an Increasing prevalence in a younger age in developing countries. The aim of the study was to determine the staging and imaging pattern of CRC at diagnosis.

Methods

This is a descriptive cross-sectional study including all consecutive cases of CRC found in the departments of radiology and oncology during the study period from March 2016 - February 2017.

Results

A total of 132 CRC cases were studied with M: F = 2.4:1, mean age of 46yrs and 67.4% </= 50yrs. Left-sided tumors were associated with rectal bleeding (p = 0.001) and bowel habit change (p =0.045) whereas right-side tumors were associated with weight loss (p = 0.02) and abdominal pain (p = 0.004). 84.5% of CRC presented at an advanced stage, and 32% had distant metastasis. Young age was associated with the advanced stage (P=0.006) whereas family history was associated with the lower stage (P=0.008). Distance metastasis was associated with Colonic lesions (P=0.003) and emergent presentation (P=0.008). Asymmetric wall thickening with luminal narrowing was significantly associated with left side tumor (95% vs 21.4%) whereas large mass with necrosis was significantly associated with right side tumor (50% vs 5%) (P= 0.004).

Conclusions

CRC is presented at a younger age and at an advanced stage. The majority of CRCs were left-sided and rectal. Increasing the index of suspicion for CRC in patients with rectal bleeding and, bowel habit change is recommended.

Circulating tumor DNA in early-stage colon cancer: ready for prime time or needing refinement?

Liquid biopsies are the detection of molecular information in fluids from patients with cancer. In colorectal cancer (CRC), the most promising liquid biopsy strategy is the use of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from plasma. In early-stage CRC, the potential for ctDNA to impact care stems from the detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) to guide adjuvant therapy after curative intent treatment and in identifying recurrences during surveillance. As for any new diagnostic test, ctDNA assays must overcome pre-analytical and analytical challenges before clinical implementation. We will discuss important logistical and assay considerations that clinicians and patients should understand when assessing ctDNA assays. We will also delve into important concepts to aid in interpreting ctDNA results and potential incidental findings that may arise. Sequencing errors, germline variants, and clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) must be addressed to properly interpret results. CHIP is also an important consideration that impacts patient prognosis through association with cardiovascular and hematologic diseases. With this background in place, we next review the best available evidence for the use of ctDNA in early-stage colon cancer. Observational cohorts have established MRD after surgery as a significant prognostic factor for recurrence in stage II and III colon cancer. It also has the ability to anticipate clinical recurrence before standard investigations when used in surveillance. The first and only interventional randomized trial to date evaluating ctDNA is DYNAMIC. The study demonstrated the noninferiority of a MRD detection-guided approach in selecting patients with stage II colon cancer for adjuvant treatment. Notwithstanding the important results, there are still important questions to be answered before ctDNA enters prime time in the clinic. However, future appears bright and ongoing trials will help clarify how to best use this technology in early-stage colon cancer.

Cytology Smears: An Enhanced Alternative Method for Colorectal Cancer pN Stage-A Multicentre Study

Stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence remains a clinical problem. Some of these patients are true stage III CRC with a pN0 pathology stage. This large prospective multicentre cohort study aimed at evaluating the diagnostic ability of lymph node (LN) cytology smears to perform the pN stage and compare it with the conventional haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) pathology pN stage. Additionally, we used the One-Step Nucleic Acid Amplification (OSNA), a high-sensitive molecular method of LN staging. A total of 3936 fresh LNs from 217 CRC surgical specimens were examined by three methods, H&E, LN cytology smears, and OSNA. H&E detected 29% of patients with positive LNs, cytology smears 35%, and OSNA 33.2% (p < 0.0001). H&E and cytology concordantly classified 92.2% of tumours, and 88.5% between OSNA and H&E. Cytology had 96.8% sensitivity and 90.3% specificity to discriminate positive/negative patients compared to H&E (p = 0.004), and 87.3% sensitivity and 89% specificity when compared to OSNA (p = 0.56). Patients with positive LNs detected by any of the three methods had significantly worse disease-free and overall survival. We conclude that pN stage accuracy for detecting positive LNs is superior with LN cytological smears than with conventional H&E, which would enable a better pN stage and management of early-stage CRC patients.

A Reduction of Calcineurin Inhibitors May Improve Survival in Patients with De Novo Colorectal Cancer after Liver Transplantation

Background and Objectives: After liver transplantation (LT), long-term immunosuppression (IS) is essential. IS is associated with de novo malignancies, and the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) is increased in LT patients. We assessed course of disease in patients with de novo CRC after LT with focus of IS and impact on survival in a retrospective, single-center study. Materials and Methods: All patients diagnosed with CRC after LT between 1988 and 2019 were included. The management of IS regimen following diagnosis and the oncological treatment approach were analyzed: Kaplan−Meier analysis as well as univariate and multivariate analysis were performed. Results: A total of 33 out of 2744 patients were diagnosed with CRC after LT. Two groups were identified: patients with restrictive IS management undergoing dose reduction (RIM group, n = 20) and those with unaltered regimen (maintenance group, n = 13). The groups did not differ in clinical and oncological characteristics. Statistically significant improved survival was found in Kaplan−Meier analysis for patients in the RIM group with 83.46 (8.4−193.1) months in RIM and 24.8 (0.5−298.9) months in the maintenance group (log rank = 0.02) and showed a trend in multivariate cox regression (p = 0.054, HR = 14.3, CI = 0.96−213.67). Conclusions: Immunosuppressive therapy should be reduced further in patients suffering from CRC after LT in an individualized manner to enable optimal oncological therapy and enable improved survival.