Prior Frequent Emergency Department Use as a Predictor of Emergency Department Visits After a New Cancer Diagnosis

Development of a Predictive Model for Emergency Department Utilization and Unanticipated Hospital Admission in Patients Receiving Cancer Treatment for Solid Tumor Malignancies

PURPOSE

Unanticipated health care resource utilization, in the form of either emergency department utilization (EDU) or hospital admission (HA), may be an indicator of lower-quality cancer care. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for EDU and HAs within 14 days of receipt of systemic therapy for patients with solid tumors.

METHODS

We abstracted electronic health data on oncology encounters from all patients receiving systemic therapy for solid tumors from March 1, 2015, to August 21, 2020, in the Duke University Health System. We defined a primary composite outcome of an EDU or HA within 14 days after the encounter and then developed a predictive model for the primary outcome using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. To evaluate the model, we calculated the area under the receiver operator curve and the calibration slope.

RESULTS

Twelve thousand eight hundred ninety unique patients with 134,641 oncology encounters were included. Five thousand one hundred fifty of these patients (40.0%) had at least one EDU or HA within 14 days of at least one treatment. Forty-six variables were incorporated into the final model. The top predictors, in order of absolute value of the predictive coefficients, were temperature, systolic blood pressure, cancer group, and marital status. The model's AUC was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.722 to 0.732), indicating good sensitivity and specificity to outcome.

CONCLUSION

The model developed in this study demonstrated good sensitivity in identifying patients with solid tumors who are at highest risk for EDU or HA and could be implemented in clinical practice to allow for preventive outpatient interventions.

Association of Patient-Reported Social Needs with Emergency Department Visits and Hospitalizations Among Federally Qualified Health Center Patients

BACKGROUND

Health care systems are increasingly screening for unmet social needs. The association between patient-reported social needs and health care utilization is not well understood.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between patient-reported social needs, measured by the Protocol for Responding to and Assessing Patients' Assets, Risks, and Experiences (PRAPARE), and inpatient and emergency department (ED) utilization.

DESIGN

This cohort study analyzed merged 2017-2019 electronic health record (EHR) data across multiple health systems.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients from a federally qualified health center (FQHC) in central North Carolina who completed PRAPARE as part of a primary care visit with behavioral health services.

MAIN MEASURES

The count of up to 12 unmet social needs, aggregated as 0, 1, 2, or 3 + . Outcomes include the probability of an ED visit and hospitalization 12 months after PRAPARE assessment, modeled by logistic regressions controlling for age, sex, race, ethnicity, comorbidity burden, being uninsured, and prior utilization in the past 12 months.

KEY RESULTS

The study population consisted of 1924 adults (38.7% male, 50.1% Black, 36.3% Hispanic, 55.9% unemployed, 68.2% of patients reported 1 + needs). Those with more needs were younger, more likely to be unemployed, and experienced greater comorbidity burden. 35.3% of patients had ED visit(s) and 36.3% had hospitalization(s) 1 year after PRAPARE assessment. In adjusted analysis, having 3 + needs was associated with a percentage point increase in the predicted probability of hospitalization (average marginal effect 0.06, SE 0.03, p < 0.05) compared with having 0 needs. Similarly, having 2 needs (0.07, SE 0.03, p < 0.05) or 3 + needs (0.06, SE 0.03, p < 0.05) was associated with increased probability of ED visits compared to 0 needs.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient-reported social needs were common and associated with health care utilization patterns. Future research should identify interventions to address unmet social needs to improve health and avoid potentially preventable escalating medical intervention.

A Comprehensive Evaluation of Emergency Department Utilization by Patients With Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Emergency department (ED)-based care is required for cirrhosis management, yet the burden of cirrhosis-related ED healthcare utilization is understudied. We aimed to describe ED utilization within a statewide health system and compare the outcomes of high ED use (HEDU) vs non-HEDU in individuals with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed charts of adults with cirrhosis who presented to any of 16 EDs within the Indiana University Health system in 2021. Patient characteristics, features of the initial ED visit, subsequent 90-day healthcare use, and 360-day outcomes were collected. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify predictors HEDU status which was defined as ≥2 ED visits within 90 days after the index ED visit.

RESULTS

There were 2,124 eligible patients (mean age 61.3 years, 53% male, and 91% White). Major etiologies of cirrhosis were alcohol (38%), metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (27%), and viral hepatitis (21%). Cirrhosis was newly diagnosed in the ED visit for 18.4%. Most common reasons for ED visits were abdominal pain (21%), shortness of breath (19%), and ascites/volume overload (16%). Of the initial ED visits, 20% (n = 424) were potentially avoidable. The overall 90-day mortality was 16%. Within 90 days, there were 366 HEDU (20%). Notable variables independently associated with HEDU were model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.044, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.005-1.085), prior ED encounter (aOR 1.520, 95% CI 1.136-2.034), and avoidable initial ED visit (aOR 1.938, 95% CI 1.014-3.703).

DISCUSSION

Abdominal pain, shortness of breath, and ascites/fluid overload are the common presenting reasons for ED visits for patients with cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis presenting to the ED experience a 90-day mortality rate of 16%, and among those who initially visited the ED, 20% were HEDU. We identified several variables independently associated with HEDU. Our observations pave the way for developing interventions to optimize the care of patients with cirrhosis presenting to the ED and to lower repeated ED visits.

Association of patient socioeconomic status with outcomes after palliative treatment for disseminated cancer

BACKGROUND

Palliative treatment has been associated with improved quality of life and survival for a wide variety of metastatic cancers. However, it is unclear whether the benefits of palliative treatment are uniformly experienced across the US cancer population. We evaluated patterns and outcomes of palliative treatment based on socioeconomic, sociodemographic and treating facility characteristics.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2019 with Stage IV primary cancer of nine organ sites were analyzed in the National Cancer Database. The association between identified variables, and outcomes concerning the administration of palliative treatment were analyzed with multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Overall 238,995 (23.6%) of Stage IV patients received palliative treatment, which increased over time for all cancers (from 20.7% in 2008 to 25.6% in 2019). Palliative treatment utilization differed significantly by region (West less than Northeast, OR: 0.55 [0.54-0.56], p < 0.001) and insurance payer status (uninsured greater than private insurance, OR: 1.35 [1.32-1.39], p < 0.001). Black race and Hispanic ethnicity were also associated with lower rates of palliative treatment compared to White and non-Hispanics respectively (OR for Blacks: 0.91 [0.90-0.93], p < 0.001 and OR for Hispanics: 0.79 [0.77-0.81] p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

There are important differences in the utilization of palliative treatment across different populations in the United States. A better understanding of variability in palliative treatment use and outcomes may identify opportunities to improve informed decision making and optimize quality of care at the end-of-life.

Realizing the Potential of Social Determinants Data: A Scoping Review of Approaches for Screening, Linkage, Extraction, Analysis and Interventions

Background

Social determinants of health (SDoH) like socioeconomics and neighborhoods strongly influence outcomes, yet standardized SDoH data is lacking in electronic health records (EHR), limiting research and care quality.

Methods

We searched PubMed using keywords "SDOH" and "EHR", underwent title/abstract and full-text screening. Included records were analyzed under five domains: 1) SDoH screening and assessment approaches, 2) SDoH data collection and documentation, 3) Use of natural language processing (NLP) for extracting SDoH, 4) SDoH data and health outcomes, and 5) SDoH-driven interventions.

Results

We identified 685 articles, of which 324 underwent full review. Key findings include tailored screening instruments implemented across settings, census and claims data linkage providing contextual SDoH profiles, rule-based and neural network systems extracting SDoH from notes using NLP, connections found between SDoH data and healthcare utilization/chronic disease control, and integrated care management programs executed. However, considerable variability persists across data sources, tools, and outcomes.

Discussion

Despite progress identifying patient social needs, further development of standards, predictive models, and coordinated interventions is critical to fulfill the potential of SDoH-EHR integration. Additional database searches could strengthen this scoping review. Ultimately widespread capture, analysis, and translation of multidimensional SDoH data into clinical care is essential for promoting health equity.

Factors associated with recurrent emergency department visits among people living with dementia: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Research on factors associated with recurrent emergency department (ED) visits and their implications for improving dementia care is lacking. The objective of this study was to examine associations between the individual characteristics of older adults living with dementia and recurrent ED visits.

METHODS

We used health administrative databases to conduct a population-based retrospective cohort study among older adults with dementia in Ontario, Canada. We included community-dwelling adults 66 years and older who visited the ED between April 1, 2010, and March 31, 2019 and were discharged home. We recorded all ED visits within one year after the baseline visit. We used recurrent event Cox regression to examine associations between repeat ED visits and individual clinical, demographic, and health service use characteristics. We fit conditional inference trees to identify the most important factors and define subgroups of varying risk.

RESULTS

Our cohort included 175,863 older adults with dementia. ED use in the year prior to baseline had the strongest association with recurrent visits (3+ vs.0 adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.92 (1.89, 1.94), 2vs.0 aHR: 1.45 (1.43, 1.47), 1vs.0 aHR: 1.23 (1.21, 1.24)). The conditional inference tree utilized history of ED visits and comorbidity count to define 12 subgroups with ED revisit rates ranging from 0.79 to 7.27 per year. Older adults in higher risk groups were more likely to live in rural and low-income areas and had higher use of anticonvulsants, antipsychotics, and benzodiazepines.

CONCLUSIONS

History of ED visits may be a useful measure to identify older adults with dementia who would benefit from additional interventions and supports. A substantial proportion of older adults with dementia have a pattern of recurrent visits and may benefit from dementia-friendly and geriatric-focused EDs. Collaborative medication review in the ED and closer follow-up and engagement with community supports could improve patient care and experience.

Risk Factors for Return to the Emergency Department and Readmission in Patients With Hospital-Diagnosed Advanced Lung Cancer

BACKGROUND

Advanced lung cancer (ALC) is a symptomatic disease often diagnosed in the context of hospitalization. The index hospitalization may be a window of opportunity to improve care delivery.

OBJECTIVES

We examined the patterns of care and risk factors for subsequent acute care utilization among patients with hospital-diagnosed ALC.

RESEARCH DESIGN, SUBJECTS, AND MEASURES

In Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare, we identified patients with incident ALC (stage IIIB-IV small cell or non-small cell) from 2007 to 2013 and an index hospitalization within 7 days of diagnosis. We used a time-to-event model with multivariable regression to identify risk factors for 30-day acute care utilization (emergency department use or readmission).

RESULTS

More than half of incident ALC patients were hospitalized around the time of diagnosis. Among 25,627 patients with hospital-diagnosed ALC who survived to discharge, only 37% ever received systemic cancer treatment. Within 6 months, 53% had been readmitted, 50% had enrolled in hospice, and 70% had died. The 30-day acute care utilization was 38%.Small cell histology, greater comorbidity, precancer acute care use, length of index stay >8 days, and prescription of a wheelchair were associated with higher risk of 30-day acute care utilization. Age >85 years, female sex, residence in South or West regions, palliative care consultation, and discharge to hospice or a facility were associated with lower risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Many patients with hospital-diagnosed ALC experience an early return to the hospital and most die within 6 months. These patients may benefit from increased access to palliative and other supportive care during index hospitalization to prevent subsequent health care utilization.

Caregivers’ contribution to self-care for patients treated with oral anticancer agents: A qualitative descriptive study

PURPOSE

To adequately manage oral anticancer agents (OAAs) therapy, appropriate self-care behaviours must be implemented. Informal caregivers could support and contribute to patient self-care. This study aimed to explore and describe the caregiver contribution to self-care and their related experience of caring among informal caregivers of patients on OAAs.

METHODS

Qualitative descriptive design. We conducted semi-structured interviews, which were transcribed, read in depth, and analysed with deductive and inductive content analysis, according to Mayring. Adult informal caregivers (>18 years) of elderly patients (>65 years) with solid malignancies undergoing OAAs therapy for at least 3 months were included.

FINDINGS

Twenty-three caregivers were interviewed with mean age of 57,2 (SD ± 15,8). A total of 18 codes from the qualitative content analysis were found, of which ten were referred to caregiver contribution and classified into the three dimensions of self-care maintenance (i.e. behaviours to maintain illness stable), self-care monitoring (i.e., tracking symptoms and side effects), and self-care management (i.e., management of worsening symptoms), according to the Middle Range Theory of Self-Care of Chronic Illnesses. The eight codes on caregiver experience were aggregated into two main themes: negative aspects (i.e., burden, emotional state, self-denial, social isolation) and positive aspects of caregiving.

CONCLUSION

Healthcare professionals should consider the importance of caregiver role in supporting their loved one treated with OAAs, also taking into account their needs to prevent burdensome situations. A holistic view in which a patient-centred approach is established should be encouraged through the communication and education of the dyad.

Worsened outcomes of newly diagnosed cancer in patients with recent emergency care visits: A retrospective cohort study of 3699 adults in a safety net health system

INTRODUCTION

Many patients receive a suspected diagnosis of cancer through an emergency department (ED) visit. Time to treatment for a new diagnosis of cancer is directly associated with improved outcomes with little no describing the ED utilization prior to the diagnosis of cancer. We hypothesize that patients that have an ED visit in proximity to a diagnosis of cancer will have worse outcomes, including mortality.

METHODS

This study is a retrospective cohort study of all patients with cancer diagnosed at Eskenazi Health (Indiana) between 2016 and 2019. Individual health characteristics, ED utilization, cancer types, and mortality were studied. We compared those patients seen in the ED within 6 months prior to their diagnosis (cases) to patients not seen in the ED (controls).

RESULTS

A total of 3699 patients with cancer were included, with 1239 cases (33.50%). Patients of black race had higher frequencies in the cases vs. controls (46.57% vs. 40.68%). Lung cancer was the most frequently observed cancer among cases vs. controls (11.70% vs. 5.57%). For the cases, 232 patients were deceased (18.72%) compared with 247 patients among the controls (10.04%, p < 0.0001, OR 2.06 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.70-2.51). An ED visit in past 6 months (OR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.38-2.18) and Medicaid insurance type (versus commercial, OR = 4.16, 95% CI 2.45-7.07) were associated with of mortality. Female gender (OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.67-0.88), tobacco use (OR = 1.62, 95% CI 138-1.90), and Medicaid insurance type (versus commercial, OR = 2.56, 95% CI 2.07-3.47) were associated with prior ED use.

CONCLUSIONS

Over one third of patients with cancer were seen in the ED within 6 months prior to their cancer diagnosis. Higher mortality rates were observed for those seen in the ED. Future studies are needed to investigate the association and impact that the ED has on eventual cancer diagnoses and outcomes.

Cancer-related emergency and urgent care: expanding the research agenda

Purpose of review

Cancer-related emergency department (ED) visits often result in higher hospital admission rates than non-cancer visits. It has been estimated many of these costly hospital admissions can be prevented, yet urgent care clinics and EDs lack cancer-specific care resources to support the needs of this complex population. Implementing effective approaches across different care settings and populations to minimize ED and urgent care visits improves oncologic complication management, and coordinating follow-up care will be particularly important as the population of cancer patients and survivors continues to increase. The National Cancer Institute (NCI) and the Office of Emergency Care (OECR) convened a workshop in December 2021, “Cancer-related Emergency and Urgent Care: Prevention, Management, and Care Coordination” to highlight progress, knowledge gaps, and research opportunities. This report describes the current landscape of cancer-related urgent and emergency care and includes research recommendations from workshop participants to decrease the risk of oncologic complications, improve their management, and enhance coordination of care.

Recent findings

Since 2014, NCI and OECR have collaborated to support research in cancer-related emergency care. Workshop participants recommended a number of promising research opportunities, as well as key considerations for designing and conducting research in this area. Opportunities included better characterizing unscheduled care services, identifying those at higher risk for such care, developing care delivery models to minimize unplanned events and enhance their care, recognizing cancer prevention and screening opportunities in the ED, improving management of specific cancer-related presentations, and conducting goals of care conversations.

Summary

Significant progress has been made over the past 7 years with the creation of the Comprehensive Oncologic Emergency Research Network, broad involvement of the emergency medicine and oncology communities, establishing a proof-of-concept observational study, and NCI and OECR’s efforts to support this area of research. However, critical gaps remain.

Recognizing the emergency department’s role in oncologic care: a review of the literature on unplanned acute care

Background

The global prevalence of cancer is rapidly increasing and will increase the acute care needs of patients with cancer, including emergency department (ED) care. Patients with cancer present to the ED across the cancer care continuum from diagnosis through treatment, survivorship, and end-of-life. This article describes the characteristics and determinants of ED visits, as well as challenges in the effort to define preventable ED visits in this population.

Findings

The most recent population-based estimates suggest 4% of all ED visits are cancer-related and roughly two thirds of these ED visits result in hospitalization—a 4-fold higher ED hospitalization rate than the general population. Approximately 44% of cancer patients visit the ED within 1 year of diagnosis, and more often have repeat ED visits within a short time frame, though there is substantial variability across cancer types. Similar patterns of cancer-related ED use are observed internationally across a range of different national payment and health system settings. ED use for patients with cancer likely reflects a complex interaction of individual and contextual factors—including provider behavior, health system characteristics, and health policies—that warrants greater attention in the literature.

Conclusions

Given the amount and complexity of cancer care delivered in the emergency setting, future research is recommended to examine specific symptoms associated with cancer-related ED visits, the contextual determinants of ED use, and definitions of preventable ED use specific to patients with cancer.