Differences in the recurrence and mortality outcomes rates of incidental and nonincidental papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 21 329 person-years of follow-up

Risk stratification for central lymph node metastasis in mono-focal papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with encapsulated tumor as confirmed by preoperative ultrasound: a multi-center analysis

PURPOSES

Mono-focal papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients with encapsulated tumor have traditionally been considered as low central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) risk subgroup. The aim of the research was to quantitatively predict the probability of CLNM for mono-focal PTC patients with encapsulated tumor as confirmed by preoperative ultrasound based on pre- and post-operative indexes respectively to guide the selection of prophylactic central lymph node dissection (CLND) and follow-up strategies.

METHODS

A total of 1014 mono-focal PTC patients with encapsulated tumor as confirmed by preoperative ultrasound from three medical centers were retrospectively analyzed, with 534 patients served as Training group and 480 patients as Validation group.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses showed that age < 55 years old, male, clinical maximum tumor diameter (cMTD) > 0.5 cm, pathological maximum tumor diameter (pMTD) > 0.5 cm, and the presence of microscopic thyroid capsular invasion (mTCI) were independent CLNM risk factors. These were used to construct two nomograms that can effectively predict the central neck involvement in mono-focal PTC patients with encapsulated tumor. The first nomogram (pre-model) provides quantitative assessment on the necessity of prophylactic CLND, while the second nomogram (post-model) informs postoperative follow-up strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

Meticulous and comprehensive stratification flow charts that quantitatively evaluate the risk of central lymph node metastasis both pre- and post-operatively were constructed for mono-focal PTC patients with encapsulated tumor as confirmed by preoperative ultrasound, which may benefit both clinical decision-making of prophylactic CLND and postoperative follow-up strategies for the management of neck regions.

Thyrotropin (TSH) and thyroid autoimmunity are predictive factors for the incidental discovery of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma during thyroidectomy

PURPOSE

To identify clinical, biological and pathological risk factors for the incidental discovery of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) in patients undergoing thyroidectomy for presumed benign conditions.

METHODS

Cross sectional, single center study, involving all consecutive patients (N = 3015) who were submitted to thyroid surgery between 2001-2019. All medical files were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 1961 patients in the benign group and 145 patients in PTMC group were analyzed.

RESULTS

No significant differences in age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, thyroid volume or weight and preoperative thyroxine treatment between benign and PTMC groups were observed. Circulating anti- thyroid antibodies, histological thyroiditis and serum thyrotropin (TSH) were significantly associated with PTMC in univariable analysis. Independent risk factors for incidental PTMC by multivariable analysis where possible (OR: 1.51, 95% CI: 0.99-2.28) and certain (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.09-2.78) thyroid autoimmunity (p = 0.002) and higher serum TSH (OR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.08-1.45, p = 0.03), whereas thyroid lobectomy was associated with a lower risk of PTMC (OR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.24-0.67, p < 0.001). The most frequent genetic alteration was BRAFV600E mutation, found in 56.3% of PTMC submitted to DNA sequencing. No association between clinical, biological or histological characteristics of PTMC and BRAFV600E mutation was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Thyroid autoimmunity and higher preoperative serum TSH level were independent predictors of PTMC incidentally discovered during thyroid surgery. Larger prospective studies are needed to better identify possible risk factors for papillary thyroid carcinoma initiation and progression.

Implementing active surveillance for low-risk thyroid carcinoma into clinical practice: collaborative recommendations for Latin America

The incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing globally, but mortality rates have remained steady. Many patients with thyroid cancer have low-risk, nonmetastatic intrathyroidal tumors smaller than 2 cm. Active surveillance has shown benefits in these patients, but the adoption of this approach remains below standard in Latin America. The purpose of this article is to identify ways to improve the incorporation of active surveillance into clinical practice for patients with low-risk thyroid carcinoma in Latin America, taking into consideration cultural and geographic factors. Current recommendations include three steps involving patient participation. The first step, which consists of the initial clinical examination, has eight factors requiring special attention. Anxiety must be managed while considering individual, disease-related, cognitive, and environmental aspects. Terms like "overdiagnosis", "incidentaloma," and "overtreatment" must be explained to the patient. Implementing precise terminology contributes to adequate disease perception, substantially reducing stress and anxiety. Clarifying the nonprogressive nature of thyroid cancer helps dispel myths surrounding the disease. The second step includes advice about procedures and guidelines for patients who choose active surveillance. Flexible monitoring techniques should be implemented, with regular check-ins scheduled based on patient needs. Reasons for adjusting treatment must be clearly communicated to the patient, and changes in preference regarding active surveillance should be considered in advance. The third step includes assistance during follow-up. Patients must be educated about ultrasound results and receive surgical indications from specialized physicians. The effectiveness of active surveillance can be reinforced by explaining to the patients the dynamics of changes in nodule size using clear and concise visual aids.

Is Stimulated Thyroglobulin Before Radioiodine Therapy a Useful Tool in Predicting Response to Initial Therapy in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma?

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is an important tool to evaluate the persistence and recurrence risk in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). We aimed to evaluate the correlation between pre-radioiodine therapy stimulated Tg (pre-RAI Tg) levels and the first response to treatment evaluation, and to establish a cut-off pre-RAI Tg threshold for predicting an initial excellent response. Retrospective cohort study of DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and radioiodine therapy. Response to therapy was evaluated 6 to 24 months after initial therapy, and patients were classified as: excellent response (ER); indeterminate response (IndR) and incomplete response (IncR). Total patients: 166 among which 85.5% female with mean age of 47.6 ± 13 years. The ER had a significantly lower pre-RAI Tg in comparison to IndR (p<0.001) and IncR (p<0.001), and pre-RAI Tg were different between the IndR and IncR (p=0.02). A cut-off pre-RAI Tg value at 7.55ng/ml was obtained by receiver operating characteristics curve for differentiating ER from IndR and IncR. The area under curve was 0.832 (95% CI 0.76-0.91). In multivariate analysis, ATA low-risk (RR 1.61, 95% CI 1.06-2.43, p=0.025) and Tg below 7.55ng/ml (RR 2.17, 95% CI 1.52-3.10, p<0.001) were associated with ER. After a median of 7.4-year follow-up, 124 (74.7%) patients were allocated into ER, 22 (13.2%) into IndR, and 20 (12%) into IncR. In conclusion, pre-RAI Tg predicts first evaluation of treatment response. Pre-RAI Tg cut-off was a key predictor of initial excellent response to therapy and may be an important tool in the follow-up of DTC patients.

Application of ultrasound elastography and radiomic for predicting central cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Objective

This study aims to combine ultrasound (US) elastography (USE) and radiomic to predict central cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

Methods

A total of 204 patients with 204 thyroid nodules who were confirmed with PTMC and treated in our hospital were enrolled and randomly assigned to the training set (n = 142) and the validation set (n = 62). US features, USE (gender, shape, echogenic foci, thyroid imaging reporting and data system (TIRADS) category, and elasticity score), and radiomic signature were employed to build three models. A nomogram was plotted for the combined model, and decision curve analysis was applied for clinical use.

Results

The combined model (USE and radiomic) showed optimal diagnostic performance in both training (AUC = 0.868) and validation sets (AUC = 0.857), outperforming other models.

Conclusion

The combined model based on USE and radiomic showed a superior performance in the prediction of CLNM of patients with PTMC, covering the shortage of low specificity of conventional US in detecting CLNM.

Development and Validation of a Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram for pre-operatively predicting central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and explore the underlying biological basis by using RNA sequencing data.

METHODS

This study trained 452 PTMC patients across two hospitals from January 2012 to December 2020. The sets were randomly divided into the training (n = 339), internal test (n = 86), external test (n = 27) sets. Radiomics features were extracted from primary lesion's pre-operative CT images for each patient. After screening for features, five algorithms such as K-nearest neighbor, logistics regression, linear-support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian SVM, and polynomial SVM were used to establish the radiomics models. The performance of these five algorithms was evaluated and compared directly to radiologist's interpretation (CT-reported lymph node status). The radiomics signature score (Rad-score) was generated using a linear combination of the selected features. By combining the clinical risk factors and Rad score, a radiomics nomogram was established and compared with Rad-score and clinical model. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA). The potential biological basis of nomogram was revealed by performing genetic analysis based on the RNA sequencing data.

RESULTS

A total of 25 radiomic features were ultimately selected to train the machine learning models, and the five machine learning models outperformed the radiologists' interpretation by achieving area under the ROC curves (AUCs) ranging from 0.606 to 0.730 in the internal test set. By incorporating the Rad score and clinical risk factors (sex, age, tumor-diameter, and CT-reported lymph node status), this nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.800 and 0.803 in the internal and external test set, which were higher than that of the Rad-score and clinical model, respectively. Calibration curves and DCA also showed that the nomogram had good performance. As for the biological basis exploration, in patients predicted by nomogram to be PTC patients with CLMN, 109 genes were dysregulated, and some of them were associated with pathways and biological processes such as tumor angiogenesis.

CONCLUSION

This radiomics nomogram successfully identified CLNM on pretreatment imaging across multiple institutions, exceeding the diagnostic ability of radiologists and had the potential to be integrated into clinical decision making as a non-invasive pre-operative tool.

Ultrasound and clinical factors predicting central lymph node metastases in patients with unilateral multifocal papillary thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

This retrospective study involving a large dataset of unilateral multifocal papillary thyroid carcinoma (UM-PTC) sought to identify factors that predict central lymph node metastases (CLNM) in patients.

METHODS

We identified a cohort of 158 patients who underwent cervical ultrasonography followed by UM-PTC diagnosis based on postoperative pathology. The relationship between CLNM and UM-PTC clinical ultrasound features was evaluated using univariate and multivariate analyses. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the ability of total tumor diameter (TTD) to predict CLNM.

RESULTS

Among the 158 UM-PTC patients, the incidence of CLNM was 29.7% (47/158). Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that a number of similarity of sonographic features (NSSF) ≥4 (odds ratio [OR] = 11.335, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.95-32.50, p = 0.000), microcalcifications (OR = 3.54, 95% CI: 1.30-9.70, p = 0.014), a TTD of ≥2 cm (OR = 4.48, 95% CI: 1.62-12.34, p = 0.004), number of nodules ≥3 (OR = 13.17, 95% CI: 3.24-53.52, p = 0.000), and Lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) (OR = 5.57, 95% CI: 1.59-19.48, p = 0.007) were independently associated with CLNM in UM-PTC. ROC curve analysis revealed that the TTD cut-off of 1.795 cm had a sensitivity of 0.723 and a specificity of 0.676 for predicting CLNM.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with UM-PTC are at high risk of CLNM. NSSF ≥4, microcalcifications, TTD of ≥2 cm, LLNM, and a number of nodules ≥3 were independently associated with CLNM. Our data show that ultrasound may guide surgical decisions in the treatment of UM-PTC.

Predictors of recurrence after total thyroidectomy in 1,611 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: postoperative stimulated serum thyroglobulin and ATA initial and dynamic risk assessment

Objective

Despite a favorable prognosis, some patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) develop recurrence. The objective of this study was to examine the impact of the combination of initial American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification with serum level of postoperative stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) in predicting recurrence in patients with PTC and compare the results with an assessment of response to initial therapy (dynamic risk stratification).

Subjects and methods

We retrospectively analyzed 1,611 patients who had undergone total thyroidectomy for PTC, followed in most cases (87.3%) by radioactive iodine (RAI) administration. Clinicopathological features and s-Tg levels obtained 3 months postoperatively were evaluated. The patients were stratified according to ATA risk categories. Nonstimulated thyroglobulin levels and imaging studies obtained during the first year of follow-up were used to restage the patients based on response to initial therapy.

Results

After a mean follow-up of 61.5 months (range 12-246 months), tumor recurrence was diagnosed in 99 (6.1%) patients. According to ATA risk, recurrence was identified in 2.3% of the low-risk, 9% of the intermediate-risk, and 25% of the high-risk patients (p < 0.001). Using a receiver operating characteristic curve approach, a postoperative s-Tg level of 10 ng/mL emerged as the ideal cutoff value, with positive and negative predictive values of 24% and 97.8%, respectively (p < 0.001). Patients with low to intermediate ATA risk with postoperative s-Tg levels < 10 ng/mL and excellent response to treatment had a very low recurrence rate (<0.8%). In contrast, higher recurrence rates were observed in intermediate-riskto high-risk patients with postoperative s-Tg > 10 ng/mL and indeterminate response (25%) and in those with incomplete response regardless of ATA category or postoperative s-Tg value (38.5-87.5%). Using proportion of variance explained (PVE), the predicted recurrence using the ATA initial risk assessment alone was 12.7% and increased to 29.9% when postoperative s-Tg was added to the logistic regression model and 49.1% with dynamic risk stratification.

Conclusion

The combination of ATA staging system and postoperative s-Tg can better predict the risk of PTC recurrence. Initial risk estimates can be refined based ondynamic risk assessment following response to therapy, thus providing a useful guide for follow-up recommendations.

BRAF V600E mutation in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: is it a predictor for the prognosis of patients with intermediate to high recurrence risk?

OBJECTIVE

The BRAFV600E mutation is the universal genetic mutation in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). The present study is to estimate the role of the BRAFV600E mutation in the clinical outcome of PTMC with intermediate to high recurrence risk after radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy, which is considered to be an indolent tumor.

METHODS

We conducted a single-center retrospective study. Between May 2016 and March 2019, PTMC patients with known BRAFV600E status who received RAI therapy were reviewed at the Second Hospital of Shandong University. Treatment and follow-up were defined according to criteria used in the 2015 ATA guidelines. The association between the BRAFV600E mutation and clinicopathological characteristics, response to RAI therapy, and recurrence after a period of follow-up were analyzed. Propensity score matching (PSM) and logistic regression were used to control confounding variables.

RESULTS

Of the 322 patients with intermediate to high recurrence risk in PTMC, the mean age of the patients were 43.7 ± 12.2 years, and 72.1% were women. BRAFV600E mutation was found in 64.9% (209/322). After PSM, 112 pairs of patients were matched, and except for multifocality (P = 0.001), extrathyroidal invasion (P = 0.003) and tumor size (P = 0.03), there was no significant difference in all baseline characteristics between the two groups. An excellent response (ER) to RAI therapy was observed in 273 patients (84.7%). At the end of the study, 17(5.2%) and 6(1.8%) patients showed structural incomplete response (SIR) and biochemical incomplete response (BIR) status. The proportion of patients who achieved ER status in the BRAFV600E mutation positive and negative groups was 86.6% and 81.4%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that the BRAFV600E mutation was not related to lower ER reached time. The median follow-up was 51 months.

CONCLUSIONS

We found the BRAFV600E mutation was associated with multifocality, extrathyroidal invasion, and tumor size in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. However, the BRAFV600E mutation had no significant association with clinical outcomes in patients with intermediate to high recurrence risk after RAI therapy. Furthermore, the extra-thyroid uptake results and distant metastasis had been proven to be independent factor predicting the clinical response.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

ChiCTR2200062911.

ATA risk stratification in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma has low positive predictive value when identifying recurrence

BACKGROUND

Rising incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMC) has raised concerns for overdiagnosis. Utility of the American Thyroid Association Risk Stratification System (ATA-RSS) 2015 in predicting risk of disease recurrence in patients with PTMC was assessed.

METHODS

Electronic health records of patients who underwent total thyroidectomy were queried. ATA-RSS 2015 risk stratification was performed on those with PTMC, and validity for predicting disease recurrence was calculated.

RESULTS

With 10-year median follow up, recurrence was higher in PTMC patients with high/intermediate vs low ATA risk (33 ​% vs 4 ​%, p ​= ​0.002). Sensitivity of ATA-RSS for detecting recurrence was 60 ​%, specificity 90 ​%, PPV 33.3 ​%, NPV 96.6 ​%, and accuracy 88 ​%. When microscopic extrathyroidal extension (ETE) was excluded as an intermediate risk criterion, PPV improved to 50 ​% and accuracy improved to 92.5 ​% CONCLUSIONS: ATA-RSS 2015 predicts recurrence in PTMC with high NPV but low PPV. Exclusion of microscopic ETE improved PPV, which may help prevent overtreatment.

The impact of microscopic extrathyroidal extension on the clinical outcome of classic subtype papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a multicenter study

OBJECTIVES

Despite the presumed overdiagnosis of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) which has resulted in a new trend toward less-extensive surgery and a preference for active surveillance, the impact of microscopic extrathyroidal extension (mETE) on the clinical outcomes of PTMC is still controversial. This study assessed the impact of mETE on the clinical outcomes of patients with classic subtype PTMC.

METHODS

The data of consecutive patients who underwent thyroidectomy and were histopathologically diagnosed as classic subtype PTMC were analyzed. Cox's proportional hazards model was used to assess the impact of contributing variables on persistent/recurrent disease. Disease-free survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

This study included 1013 patients (84% females), with a mean follow-up period of 62.5 ± 35.3 months. Patients with mETE had a significantly higher rate of locoregional persistent/recurrent disease than patients without mETE (9.8% vs 2.1%, p < 0.001). The disease-free survival rate was significantly lower in patients with mETE than in those without (90.2% vs 97%, Log-Rank p < 0.001). Furthermore, mETE and neck lymph node involvement were independent predictors of persistent/recurrent disease in multivariate analysis (HR: 2.43, 95% CI:1.02-5.81, p = 0.043; HR: 4.38, 95% CI: 1.7-11.2, p = 0.002, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with the classic subtype of PTMC, mETE is an independent predictor of persistent/recurrent disease and is associated with a lower DFS rate. However, neck lymph node involvement is the strongest predictor of persistent/recurrent disease. Therefore, PTMCs with mETE and neck lymph node involvement are at a higher risk of persistent/recurrent disease than individuals lacking both characteristics.

Mortality rate and causes of death in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

PURPOSE

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has an excellent prognosis; however, some PTMCs exhibit poor outcomes. Cancer-specific death from PTMC has been rarely reported, so we aimed to evaluate mortality rates and causes of death in patients who died with PTMC.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 8969 PTMC patients treated at Samsung Medical Center from 1994 to 2017. Mortality rate and causes of death in PTMC patients were evaluated and compared with those of 7873 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) > 1 cm. In addition, we reviewed previous publications reporting cancer-specific deaths from PTMC.

RESULTS

Among the 8969 PTMC patients, 107 (1.2%) patients died. Only two (0.02%) patients have died of PTMC, which was less than the cancer-specific deaths from PTC > 1 cm (0.71%). Among the deceased PTMC patients, 63 (58.9%) died of other malignancies, three (2.8%) died of cardiovascular diseases, and five (4.7%) died of other diseases. Compared with PTC > 1 cm, cancer-specific deaths was less (1.9% vs. 15.1%, P < 0.001), and deaths from other malignancies were higher in deceased PTMC patients (58.9% vs. 30.5%, P < 0.001). According to 18 studies, PTMC-specific mortality rates ranged from 0.05% to 14.3%, and 336 cancer-specific deaths (0.43%) occurred among 78,770 PTMC patients.

CONCLUSION

The cancer-specific mortality rate of PTMC patients was extremely low (0.02%). More than half of deceased PTMC patients died of other malignancies, which was significantly more than those with PTC > 1 cm. These results support that active surveillance can be selected as a therapeutic option for PTMC.

Thirty years of active surveillance for low-risk thyroid cancer, lessons learned and future directions

Active Surveillance is a non-invasive strategy designed to identify a minority of patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma who might experience clinical progression and benefit from additional definitive treatments. Global experience suggests that these tumors typically show minimal changes in size during active surveillance, often demonstrating very slow growth or even size reduction. Moreover, the rate of lymph node metastases is low and can be effectively managed through rescue surgery, without impacting cancer-related mortality. However, despite 30 years of experience demonstrating the safety and feasibility of active surveillance for appropriately selected patients, this approach seems to have limited adoption in specific contexts. This limitation can be attributed to various barriers, including disparities in access to accurate information about the indolent nature of this disease and the prevalence of a maximalist mindset among certain patients and medical settings. This review aims to revisit the experience from the last three decades, provide current insights into the clinical outcomes of active surveillance trials, and propose a systematic approach for its implementation. Furthermore, it intends to emphasize the importance of precise patient selection and provides new perspectives in the field.

Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Thyroid Cancers: A Review of Current Practice Guidelines

The indolent nature and favorable outcomes associated with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma have prompted numerous prospective studies on active surveillance (AS) and its adoption as an alternative to immediate surgery in managing low-risk thyroid cancer. This article reviews the current status of AS, as outlined in various international practice guidelines. AS is typically recommended for tumors that measure 1 cm or less in diameter and do not exhibit aggressive subtypes on cytology, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastasis, or distant metastasis. To determine the most appropriate candidates for AS, factors such as tumor size, location, multiplicity, and ultrasound findings are considered, along with patient characteristics like medical condition, age, and family history. Moreover, shared decision-making, which includes patient-reported outcomes such as quality of life and cost-effectiveness, is essential. During AS, patients undergo regular ultrasound examinations to monitor for signs of disease progression, including tumor growth, extrathyroidal extension, or lymph node metastasis. In conclusion, while AS is a feasible and reliable approach for managing lowrisk thyroid cancer, it requires careful patient selection, effective communication for shared decision-making, standardized follow-up protocols, and a clear definition of disease progression.

Surgical outcomes of endoscopic thyroidectomy approaches for thyroid cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Objectives

This network meta-analysis assesses the outcomes of seven endoscopic approaches, offering valuable insights for researchers and practitioners in choosing the best method for thyroid cancer patients.

Methods

A systematic literature search was conducted in the PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases up to March 2023. The analysis included seven endoscopic approaches, with a focus on their respective outcomes through network meta-analysis.

Results

This meta-analysis included 44 studies involving 8,672 patients. The axillo-bilateral breast approach (ABBA) and unilateral axillo-breast approach (UABA) showed advantages in terms of reduced operative time compared to other approaches (MD = 19.66 minutes, 95% CI = -31.66 to 70.98; MD = 30.32 minutes, 95% CI = -1.45 to 62.09, respectively). The UABA and anterior chest approach (ACA) exhibited superiority in controlling intraoperative bleeding (MD = -3.37 mL, 95% CI = -22.58 to 15.85; MD = -13.77 mL, 95% CI = -28.85 1.31, respectively). UABA and ACA also showed advantages in reducing hospital stays (MD = -0.39 days, 95% CI = -1.48 to 0.71; MD = -0.26 days, 95% CI = -1.33 to 0.81, respectively). The transoral approach (OA) yielded results comparable to those of conventional open thyroidectomy (COT) and outperformed other endoscopic surgeries with regards to lymph node retrieval and metastatic lymph node assessment. For the stimulated serum thyroglobulin (TG) levels, no significant difference was observed between bilateral axillo-breast approach (BABA) and OA compared to COT. However, chest-breast approach (CBA) showed significantly lower levels than COT (MD=-0.40 ng/ml, 95% CI =-0.72 to -0.09). Patients in the gasless unilateral transaxillary approach (GUA) group experienced a significant improvement in cosmetic satisfaction (MD=-2.08, 95% CI =-3.35 to -0.82). Importantly, no significant difference was observed in the incidence of surgical complications between endoscopic thyroidectomy and COT.

Conclusion

Endoscopic thyroid surgery is a safe and effective choice for thyroid cancer patients. Different approaches have their advantages, allowing personalized selection based on the patient's needs. ABBA and UABA have shorter operative times, while UABA and ACA excel at controlling bleeding and shortening hospital stays. OA shows promise for lymph node assessment. These findings contribute to the growing evidence supporting endoscopic methods, expanding treatment options for thyroid cancer patients.

Subcentimetric Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Does the Diagnosis Kind Impact Prognosis?

INTRODUCTION

Subcentimetric papillary thyroid carcinoma (SPTC) (papillary thyroid carcinoma with less than 10 mm in size) usually presents an excellent prognosis, with few aggressive reported cases. Given the globally increased incidence of SPTC, physicians are struggling with the need to identify prognostic factors to stratify SPTC. The aim was to compare clinicopathological variables and prognosis between clinically and incidentally diagnosed SPTC. Materials and methodsː This is a retrospective observational study on patients with SPTC who underwent thyroidectomy between 2002 and 2015. Two groups were considered: G1 (n=60 (61.9%)), clinical diagnosis (Bethesda III-VI cytology in the thyroid tumor/in cervical lymphadenopathies) and G2 (n=37 (38.1%)), incidental diagnosis (thyroidectomy for benign thyroid pathology). The histological material was reviewed, and molecular analysis of the BRAF, RAS, and TERT promoter (TERTp) genes was performed. Resultsː Ninety-seven individuals were included, 60 (61.9%) of which were from G1, with a predominance of female sex (n=83 (85.6%)). Individuals of G1 were younger (53.0±14.2 versus 59.3±13.9 years; p=0.035), were more frequently treated with 131-iodine (39.2% versus 13.4%; p=0.007), had the largest diameter (8 (p25-p75: 7-9) versus 5 (p25-p75: 4-6.5) mm; p<0.001), and higher frequency of minimal extracapsular invasion (45% versus 24.3%; p=0.041). Increased tumor size was the only independent predictor of a clinical diagnosis (p<0.001). Conclusionsː Clinically and incidentally diagnosed SPTC showed excellent medium- to long-term prognosis. A larger SPTC was more likely a driver of clinical detection than a marker of tumor aggressiveness, but caution should be taken as contradictory data persists.

The impact of lymph node ratio on disease recurrence in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Lymph node (LN) metastases in papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (microPTCs) are common. The lymph node ratio (LNR) has been proposed as a risk factor for recurrence in papillary thyroid cancer. However, its relevance in microPTC is undetermined.

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection of their microPTC with concomitant LN clearance between 2005 and 2018 were identified. The LNR was calculated as the ratio of positive LNs to the total number of LNs.

RESULTS

Data on 50 patients (36 female [72%]; median age 47 years [range: 19-84]) who underwent LN clearance (28 central [56%] vs 22 central + lateral [44%]) were analysed. Positive LNs were found in over two-thirds of the patients (n = 34; 68%). After a median follow-up of 61 months, 14 patients (28%) had developed recurrence. Positive LNs were not found to impact recurrence-free survival; extranodal extension and an LNR ≥ 0.26 were found to significantly increase the risk of recurrence on unadjusted analyses (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

LN metastases are frequent among patients with microPTC. A higher LNR seems to be associated with recurrence. Additional studies are needed to further clarify these findings and to assess the possible role of LNR in treatment and surveillance.

Predictive nomogram for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma based on pathological and ultrasound features

Background

Central lymph node metastases (CLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are common, but management through prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) remains controversial. In this study, the independent predictors of CLNM in PTMC were retrospectively studied based on ultrasound and pathological data, and we aim to establish the prediction model to predict CLNM in PTMC.

Methods

This study included a total of 1,506 patients who underwent thyroid surgery for PTMC at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from 2015 to 2018. Ultrasound and clinicopathological features were summarized and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors associated with CLNM. The prediction model is established and verified according to the multivariate analysis results. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to evaluate the effect of CLNM on survival.

Results

The CLNM rate was 44.5% (670/1,506). Multivariate analysis showed that men, younger age, smaller diameter, ETE, microcalcification, without Hashimoto's thyroiditis, and multifocal were independent risk predictors of CLNM. Nomogram has a good discriminative ability (C-index: 0.755 in the validation group), and the calibration effect is good. In the DCA curve, the CLNM prediction model performed better net benefit given any high-risk thresholds. The median follow-up time was 30 months (12-59 months), 116 cases were lost, and the follow-up rate was 92.8% (1,506/1,622). Of the 1,506 patients included, 12 (0.8%) experienced recurrence.

Conclusion

The likelihood of CLNM can be objectively quantified before surgery by using this reliable and accurate nomogram that combines preoperative ultrasound with clinicopathological features. Clinicians can use this nomogram to assess central lymph node status in patients with PTMC and consider prophylactic CND in patients with high scores.

School-age outcomes of children after perinatal brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Over 3000 children suffer a perinatal brain injury in England every year according to national surveillance. The childhood outcomes of infants with perinatal brain injury are however unknown.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analyses were undertaken of studies published between 2000 and September 2021 exploring school-aged neurodevelopmental outcomes of children after perinatal brain injury compared with those without perinatal brain injury. The primary outcome was neurodevelopmental impairment, which included cognitive, motor, speech and language, behavioural, hearing or visual impairment after 5 years of age.

RESULTS

This review included 42 studies. Preterm infants with intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) grades 3-4 were found to have a threefold greater risk of moderate-to-severe neurodevelopmental impairment at school age OR 3.69 (95% CI 1.7 to 7.98) compared with preterm infants without IVH. Infants with perinatal stroke had an increased incidence of hemiplegia 61% (95% CI 39.2% to 82.9%) and an increased risk of cognitive impairment (difference in full scale IQ -24.2 (95% CI -30.73 to -17.67) . Perinatal stroke was also associated with poorer academic performance; and lower mean receptive -20.88 (95% CI -36.66 to -5.11) and expressive language scores -20.25 (95% CI -34.36 to -6.13) on the Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals (CELF) assessment. Studies reported an increased risk of persisting neurodevelopmental impairment at school age after neonatal meningitis. Cognitive impairment and special educational needs were highlighted after moderate-to-severe hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy. However, there were limited comparative studies providing school-aged outcome data across neurodevelopmental domains and few provided adjusted data. Findings were further limited by the heterogeneity of studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal population studies exploring childhood outcomes after perinatal brain injury are urgently needed to better enable clinicians to prepare affected families, and to facilitate targeted developmental support to help affected children reach their full potential.

Do Histologically Aggressive Subtypes of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma have Worse Clinical Outcome than Non-Aggressive Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma Subtypes? A Multicenter Cohort Study

Histologically aggressive micropapillary thyroid carcinomas (PTMC) subtypes are thought to be associated with an aggressive clinical course. However, evidence for unfavorable clinical outcomes in patients with aggressive PTMC subtypes is not clear. In this study, we intended to determine the difference in clinical outcomes between patients with aggressive and non-aggressive PTMC subtypes. In this multicenter cohort study, the computer-recorded clinical and histopathological data of patients who underwent thyroid surgery between January 2000 - January 2021 in 9 referral centers and were diagnosed as PTMC were analyzed. A total of 1585 patients [female 1340 (84.5%), male 245 (15.5%), mean age 47.9±11.63 years), with a mean follow-up time of 66.55±37.16 months], were included in the study. Ninety-eight cases were diagnosed as aggressive and 1487 as non-aggressive subtypes. Persistent/recurrent disease was observed in 33 (33.7% )and 41 (2.8%) patients with aggressive and non-aggressive subtypes (p<0.001). Diseases-free survival rates were markedly lower in patients with aggressive than in those with non-aggressive PTMC subtypes (66.3 vs. 94.8%, log-rank p<0.001). Moreover, in multivariate analysis, aggressive histology was an independent predictor of persistent/recurrent disease, after controlling for other contributing factors (HR 5.78, 95% CI 3.32-10, p<0.001). Patients with aggressive PTMC subtypes had higher rates of incomplete biochemical and structural response than patients with non-aggressive subtypes as well (p<0.001). Aggressive PTMC subtypes share many characteristics with histologically identical tumors>1 cm in size. Therefore, the histopathological subtype of PTMC should be taken into consideration to tailor a personalized management plan.

Accuracy of papillary thyroid cancer prognostic nomograms: a systematic review

Objective

Current staging and risk-stratification systems for predicting survival or recurrence of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma may be ineffective at predicting outcomes in individual patients. In recent years, nomograms have been proposed as an alternative to conventional systems for predicting personalized clinical outcomes. We conducted a systematic review to evaluate the predictive performance of available nomograms for thyroid cancer patients.

Design and methods

PROSPERO registration (CRD42022327028). A systematic search was conducted without time and language restrictions. PICOT questions: population, patients with papillary thyroid cancer; comparator prognostic factor, single-arm studies; outcomes, overall survival, disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, recurrence, central lymph node metastases, or lateral lymph node metastases; timing, all periods; setting, hospital setting. Risk of bias was assessed through PROBAST tool.

Results

Eighteen studies with a total of 20 prognostic models were included in the systematic review (90,969 papillary thyroid carcinoma patients). Fourteen models were at high risk of bias and four were at unclear risk of bias. The greatest concerns arose in the analysis domain. The accuracy of nomograms for overall survival was assessed in only one study and appeared limited (0.77, 95% CI: 0.75-0.79). The accuracy of nomograms for disease-free survival ranged from 0.65 (95% CI: 0.55-0.75) to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.91-0.95). The C-index for predicting lateral lymph node metastasis ranged from 0.72 to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.86-0.97). For central lymph node metastasis, the C-index of externally validated studies ranged from 0.706 (95% CI: 0.685-0.727) to 0.923 (95% CI: 0.893-0.946).

Conclusions

Our work highlights the extremely high heterogeneity among nomograms and the critical lack of external validation studies that limit the applicability of nomograms in clinical practice. Further studies ideally using commonly adopted risk factors as the backbone to develop nomograms are required.

Significance statement

Nomograms may be appropriate tools to plan treatments and predict personalized clinical outcomes in patients with papillary thyroid cancer. However, the nomograms developed to date are very heterogeneous, and their results seem to be closely related to the specific samples studied to generate the same nomograms. The lack of rigorous external validation procedures and the use of risk factors that sometimes appear to be far from those commonly used in clinical practice, as well as the great heterogeneity of the risk factors considered, limit the ability of nomograms to predict patient outcomes and thus their current introduction in clinical practice.

Conservative management of low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma: a review of the active surveillance experience

The detection of low-risk thyroid carcinoma has increased in recent decades, although disease-specific mortality remained without changes. The high prevalence of occult carcinomas in autopsy studies, and hence the underlying indolent course of this entity, prompted the emergence of active surveillance as an alternative approach to these tumors. This strategy aims to recognize the minority group of patients who will develop clinical progression and probably benefit from deferred surgery. Experience around the world has shown that during active surveillance these tumors are mostly unchanged in size, with very-slow growth and even a decrease in diameter. Moreover, the rates of lymph node metastases were low and easily handled by rescue surgery, and distant metastases have not been reported. Given the high prevalence of small thyroid carcinomas and the excellent outcomes for observation, active surveillance provides a safe and feasible alternative in properly selected patients with low-risk thyroid cancer.

Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: Insights from a Cohort of 257 Thyroidectomized Patients

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma management evolved, and less aggressive strategies are now considered. Questions, however, remain on these tumors' behavior, particularly on developing countries' real ground healthcare scenarios. Our aim is to gather insights on the natural history of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma on patients treated with thyroidectomy in Brazil. Consecutive patients diagnosed with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma had their clinical characteristics, interventions, and outcomes described. Patients were classified as incidental or nonincidental based on the diagnosis after or before surgery, respectively. A sum of 257 patients were included, 84.0% of which were women, and the mean age was of 48.3±13.5 years. The mean tumor size was of 0.68±0.26 cm, 30.4% were multifocal, 24.5% had cervical metastasis, and 0.4% distant metastasis. The nonincidental and incidental tumors differed in tumor size (0.72±0.24 and 0.60±0.28 cm, respectively, p=0.003) and in presence of cervical metastasis (31.3% and 11.9%, respectively, p<0.001). Male sex, nonincidental diagnosis, and younger age were independent predictors of cervical metastasis. After 5.5 years (P25-75 2.5-9.7) of follow-up, only 3.8% of patients had persistent structural disease (3.4% cervical). Predictors of persistent disease at multivariate analysis included cervical metastasis and multicentricity. In conclusion, incidental and nonincidental papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients of the population studied displayed excellent outcomes. Cervical metastasis and multicentricity were frequent findings and prognostic factors for persistent disease.

Transoral thyroidectomy vestibular approach vs. conventional open thyroidectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The purpose of this study was to compare the intraoperative outcomes and postoperative complications of patients experiencing transoral thyroidectomy vestibular approach (TOTVA) and conventional open thyroidectomy (COT). PUBMED, EMBASE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials in the Cochrane Library, and Web of science expanded between January 2007 and November 2022 comparing TOTVA and COT was exhaustively searched. Fifteen non-randomized controlled studies involving 2955 patients were included. The results of meta-analyses indicated that TOTVA was associated with longer operative time (WMD, 66.86; 95%CI, 47.15-86.56; P < 0.00001), more blood loss (WMD, 2.83; 95%CI, 1.77-3.90; P < 0.00001), higher incidence of wound infection (OR, 5.62; 95%CI, 1.57-20.10, P = 0.008). There was no significant difference in terms of transient recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) palsy and other postoperative outcomes. In conclusion, TOTVA appears to be a feasible and safe approach for the treatment of patients with benign thyroid nodules and selected differential thyroid carcinomas just like the COT.

Deescalating Follow-up After Hemithyroidectomy for Patients With Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Importance

Structural recurrent disease (RD) after surgical treatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (mPTC) is rare. We hypothesized that the RD rate after hemithyroidectomy in low-risk patients with mPTC is low.

Objective

To assess the occurrence of RD in Dutch patients with mPTC who received surgical treatment according to the Dutch guidelines.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This nationwide retrospective cohort study included all patients who had undergone surgery with a diagnosis of cN0/cNx mPTC in the Netherlands between January 2000 and December 2020 were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry database. Patients with preoperative lymph node metastases were excluded. Two groups were defined: group 1 (incidental), mPTC in pathology report after thyroid surgery for another indication; and group 2 (nonincidental), patients with a preoperative highly suspect thyroid nodule (Bethesda 5) or proven mPTC (Bethesda 6). Dutch guidelines state that a hemithyroidectomy is sufficient in patients with unifocal, intrathyroidal mPTC.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The occurrence of RD in patients with low-risk mPTC after hemithyroidectomy.

Results

In total, 1636 patients with mPTC were included. Patients had a median (IQR) follow-up time of 71 (32-118) months. Median (IQR) age at time of diagnosis was 51 (41-61) years and 1292 (79.0%) were women. Overall, RD after initial treatment was seen in 25 patients (1.5%). The median (IQR) time to RD was 8.2 (3.6-16.5) months and 22 of the 25 (88%) patients developed RD within 2 years. Recurrent disease was not significantly different between both groups (group 1, n = 15 [1.3%]; group 2, n = 10 [2.1%]; difference, 0.8%; 95% CI, -0.5% to 2.5%). Of the 484 patients with nonincidental mPTC (group 2), 246 (50.8%) patients were treated with a hemithyroidectomy and follow-up in accordance with Dutch guidelines. Lymph node metastases were found in 1 of 246 (0.4%) patients after hemithyreoidectomy, and new mPTC in the contralateral thyroid was detected in 3 of 246 (1.2%) patients. Median (IQR) follow-up of this patient group was 37 (18-71) months. The 10-year probability of RD was 1.3% for patients without vascular invasion and 24.4% for patients with vascular invasion.

Conclusions and Relevance

This nationwide cohort study found that overall, RD after hemithyroidectomy for patients with low-risk mPTC was rare (<2%). Based on these results, it seems reasonable to deescalate follow-up of patients with low-risk mPTC without vascular invasion after hemithyroidectomy. From a health care perspective, deescalation of follow-up may contribute to increased sustainability and accessibility to health care, both large challenges for the future.

Nomogram for predicting central lymph node metastasis in T1-T2 papillary thyroid cancer with no lateral lymph node metastasis

OBJECTIVE

Whether routine central lymph node dissection (CLND) is necessary for T1-T2 papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients without certain lateral lymph node metastases (LLNM) remains controversial. This study aims to construct a nomogram that predicts central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) for T1-T2 PTC patients without LLNM.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed adult T1-T2 PTC patients with no LLNM retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015. We also collected data from patients treated at the First Hospital of China Medical University between February and April 2021 for external validation. Logistic regression model was used to construct a risk prediction model nomogram. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analyses (DCA) were used for assessing the nomogram.

RESULTS

5,094 patients from the SEER database and 300 patients from our department were finally included in this study. Variables such as age, gender, race, tumor size, multifocality, and minimal extrathyroidal extension (mETE) were found to be associated with CLNM and were subsequently incorporated into our nomogram. The C-index of our constructed model was 0.704, while the internal and external validation C-indexes were 0.693 and 0.745, respectively. The nomogram was then evaluated using calibration and decision curve analyses.

CONCLUSION

A visualized nomogram was successfully developed to predict CLNM in T1-T2 PTC patients without LLNM and assist clinicians in making personalized clinical decisions.

Predictive features of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: Roles of active surveillance in over-treatment

Background

Low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without clinically evident lymph nodes, extrathyroidal expansions, and distant metastases may be candidates for active monitoring.

Objective

The purpose of this research is to identify risk factors for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) metastasis to central cervical lymph nodes (CLNM) and to discuss the viability of an active surveillance strategy to minimize unnecessary therapy for patients.

Methods

This single-center retrospective study was conducted on the data and medical records of the patients who were diagnosed with PTMC and underwent surgery at the Baotou Cancer Hospital, China, between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019. Both lobectomy and complete thyroid resections were performed, and central lymph node dissections (CLND) were used in all patients. Comparisons and analyses were conducted on the preoperative ultrasound (US) characteristics, the post-operation pathological results, and lymph node metastasis.

Results

We analyzed 172 patients with PTMC with average age 48.32 ± 10.59 years old, with 31 males and 142 females. US testing showed 74 (43.0%) patients had suspicious lymph nodes; 31 (41.9%) had capsular invasion and 52 (30.2%) patients were confirmed to have CLNM. Based on logistic regression analysis, central lymph node metastasis was shown to be more common in individuals with PTMC who were older than 45 years old, male, and had tumors that lacked micro-calcification on US imaging. Postoperative pathology assessments suggested that 58 cases (33.7%) were more suitable candidates for active surveillance cohorts.

Conclusions

While active surveillance might benefit many PTMC patients, treatments for the patients should also encompass occult lymph node metastasis, especially in patients with over 45 years old, male, tumor without micro-calcification in the US imaging. Furthermore, the prediction of lymph nodes in the central cervical via the preoperative US and the PTMC risk stratification accuracy need to be improved. Our findings showed about 30% of the patients with PTMC had no active surveillance high-risk factors but required surgical treatment. Fear of cancer in the PTMC patients, although informed of the details, is still the main reason for choosing surgical treatment over active surveillance.

Lateral Involvement in Different Sized Papillary Thyroid Carcinomas Patients with Central Lymph Node Metastasis: A Multi-Center Analysis

Objective: To quantitatively predict the probability of lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) for papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC) patients with central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in order to guide postoperative adjuvant treatment. Methods: Five hundred and three PTC patients with CLNM from three medical centers were retrospectively analyzed. Results: The LLNM rate for all patients was 23.9% (120 in 503), with 15.5% (45 in 291) and 35.4% (75 in 212) for patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and large papillary thyroid carcinoma (LPTC), respectively. Patients with no fewer than five positive central lymph nodes (CLN) exhibited a higher risk of LLNM. For patients with fewer than five positive CLN, a maximum diameter of positive CLN > 0.5 cm and the presence of ipsilateral nodular goiter were identified as independent risk factors of LLNM for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients. The independent risk factors of LLNM for large papillary thyroid carcinoma (LPTC) patients included a tumor located in the upper portion of thyroid, maximum tumor diameter ≥ 2.0 cm, maximum diameter of positive CLN > 0.5 cm, and the presence of thyroid capsular invasion. Predictive nomograms were established based on these risk factors for PTMC and LPTC patients, respectively. The accuracy and validity of our newly built models were verified by C-index and calibration curves. PTMC and LPTC patients with fewer than five positive CLN were each stratified into three subgroups based on their nomogram risk scores, and a detailed risk stratification flow chart was established for a more accurate evaluation of LLNM risk in PTC patients. Conclusions: A detailed stratification flow chart for PTC patients with CLNM to quantitatively assess LLNM risk was established, which may aid in clinical decision-making for those patients.

Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis Differences in Patients with Unilateral or Bilateral Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Multi-Center Analysis

Purposes: To quantitatively predict the risk of neck lymph node metastasis for unilateral and bilateral papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMC) that may guide individual treatment strategies for the neck region. Methods: A total of 717 PTMC patients from three medical centers were enrolled for analysis. Results: Bilateral PTMCs were demonstrated to be more aggressive with a much higher cervical lymph node metastasis rate including for both central (CLNM) and lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) when being compared to unilateral PTMCs. In unilateral PTMC, five (age < 55 years old, male, maximum tumor diameter (MTD) ≥ 0.5 cm, and the presence of thyroid capsular invasion (TCI) and multifocality) and three (maximum diameter of positive CLN (MDCLN) > 0.5 cm, the presence of multifocality and nodular goiter, iNG) factors were identified as independent risk factors for CLNM and LLNM, respectively. In bilateral PTMC, three (age < 55 and presence of TCI and multifocality in at least one side of thyroid lobe) and two (MDCLN > 0.5 cm and presence of nodular goiter (iNG)) factors were identified as independent factors for CLNM and LLNM, respectively. Predictive models of CLNM and LLNM for patients with unilateral disease and of CLNM for patients with the bilateral disease were established based on the described risk factors. Bilateral patients with positive CLNM were also stratified into different subgroups according to the presence and absence of independent risk factors. Conclusion: An evaluation system based on independent factors of CLNM and LLNM for PTMC patients with bilateral and unilateral disease was established. Our newly established evaluation system can efficaciously quantify risks of CLNM and LLNM for PTMC patients with bilateral and unilateral disease and may guide individual treatment strategy including both surgical and postoperative adjuvant treatment of the neck region for these patients.

Risk Factors for Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) typically has an indolent course and excellent prognosis. Nonetheless, a subset of PTMC carries a risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) and local recurrence. PTC from the Middle Eastern population is unique with respect to demographic and clinico-pathological characteristics as compared to other ethnicities of the world. The risk factors of LNM in PTMC patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity have not been fully explored. The present study aims to investigate the influencing factors of LNM in Middle Eastern PTMC patients and its predictive impact on patient’s outcome. A total of 226 confirmed PTMC cases were selected in this retrospective study. The correlation between clinico-pathological, as well as molecular, characteristics and LNM was evaluated. Multivariate analysis was performed by logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models. Among the 226 patients, the rate of LNM was 43.8% (99/226). Bilaterality, multifocality, gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and intermediate-to-high American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk tumors were significantly associated with LNM in PTMC. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that bilaterality and gross ETE were independent predictive factors for LNM in PTMC. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) was shorter in PTMC with LNM compared to those without LNM (p = 0.0051) and was significant on multivariate analysis. In conclusion, our study showed that bilaterality and gross ETE were independent influencing factors of LNM in Saudi patients with PTMC. LNM was also associated with shorter RFS. The identification of risk factors for LNM in patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity could help the individualization of clinical management for PTMC patients.

Analysis of the Clinical Value of Delphian Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Purpose

Delphian lymph node (DLN) is often involved in metastasis of malignant head and neck tumors. This study evaluates the predictive utility of the DLN and the clinicopathological factors related to DLN metastasis in individuals suffering from papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Patients and Methods. A retrospective analysis was made on 969 PTC patients enrolled from 2017 to 2021. Among these patients, 522 PTC patients are DLN positive and 447 are negative. Comparisons of clinicopathological characteristics between the DLN-positive and DLN-negative patients were made.

Results

The DLN was detected in 53.9% (522/969) cases, and DLN metastasis occurred in 20.3% (106/522) cases. The independent predictors of DLN metastasis (DLNM) include tumor size >1 cm, tumor located in the upper third thyroid or isthmus, central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), and lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM). DLN-positive individuals exhibited a higher incidence and the number of CLNM, contralateral CLNM (CCLNM), and LLNM as compared to DLN-negative patients. Whether it is cN0 or cN+, the CLNM incidence was increased among DLN-positive patients as compared to that of DLN-negative patients.

Conclusions

Positive DLN indicated an increased rate and number of metastases in the cervical lymph nodes. Intraoperative rapid freezing is recommended to assess the status of the DLN, and careful assessment of cervical lymph nodes is warranted when the DLN is involved to implement an appropriate surgical approach.

Population-level Outcomes of Early Thyroid Cancers: A Need to Revisit Current Practice

BACKGROUND

Early thyroid cancers have excellent long-term outcomes, yet the word "cancer" draws unnecessary apprehension. This study aimed to define when the recommendations for observation and surveillance may be extended to early thyroid cancers at the population level.

METHODS

Non-metastasized thyroid cancers ≤40 mm diameter were identified from the 1975-2016 Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Causes of death were compared across demographic data. Disease-specific outcomes were compared to the age-adjusted healthy United States (US) population. Survival estimates were computed using Kaplan-Meier and compared using the Cox proportional hazard model. Dynamic benchmarks impacting disease-specific overall survival were determined by decision tree modeling and tested by the Cox model.

RESULTS

Of the 28,728 thyroid cancers included in this study, 98.4% underwent some form of thyroid-specific treatment and were followed for a maximum of 10.9 years. This group had a 4.3% mortality rate at the end of follow-up (10.9 years maximum), with 13 times more deaths attributed to competing risks rather than thyroid cancer (stage T1a versus stage T1b, P=1.000; T1 versus T2, P<0.001). Among the untreated T1a or T1b tumors, the risk of disease-specific death was 21 times lower than death due to other causes. There was no significant difference between T1a and T1b tumors nor across sex. The age-adjusted risk of death for the healthy US population was higher than for the population with thyroid cancer. Dynamic categorization demonstrated worsening outcomes up to 73 years, uninfluenced by sex or tumor size. For patients over 73 years of age, only tumors >26 mm impacted outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Based on the current data, T1a and T1b nodules have similar survival outcomes and are not significantly impacted even when left untreated. Multi-institutional prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings so that current observation and surveillance recommendations can be extended to certain T1 thyroid nodules.

Individualized treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer: The value of surgery in combination with radioiodine imaging and therapy - A German position paper from Surgery and Nuclear Medicine

A consensus statement about indications for post-surgical radioiodine therapy (RIT) in differentiated thyroid cancer patients (DTC) was recently published by the European Thyroid Association (ETA) 1. This publication discusses indications for RIT on the basis of an individual risk assessment. Many of the conclusions of this consensus statement are well founded and accepted across the disciplines involved. However, especially from the perspective of nuclear medicine, as the discipline responsible for indicating and executing RIT, some of the recommendations may require further clarification with regard to their compatibility with established best practice and national standards of care. Assessment of the indications for RIT is strongly dependent on the weighing up of benefits and risks. On the basis of longstanding clinical experience in nuclear medicine, RIT represents a highly specific precision medicine procedure of proven efficacy with a favorable side-effect profile. This distinguishes RIT significantly from other adjuvant oncological therapies and has resulted in the establishment of this procedure as a usually well-tolerated, standard safety measure. With regard to its favorable risk/benefit ratio, this procedure should not be unnecessarily restricted, in the interest of offering reassurance to the patients. Both patients' interests and regional/national differences need to be taken into account. We would therefore like to comment on the recent consensus from the perspective of authors and to provide recommendations based on the respective published data.

Comparison Between Transoral Endoscopic Thyroidectomy Vestibular Approach (TOETVA) and Conventional Open Thyroidectomy for Patients Undergoing Total Thyroidectomy and Central Neck Dissection: A Propensity Score-Matching Analysis

Background

Use of the novel transoral endoscopic thyroidectomy vestibular approach (TOETVA) is increasing worldwide. Although several studies have compared safety and efficacy of TOETVA and other approaches, most focused on comparisons in the context of unilateral thyroidectomy. Therefore, the present study aimed to compare the safety and surgical completeness of TOETVA with conventional open thyroidectomy (COT) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) undergoing total thyroidectomy and central neck dissection.

Methods

The medical records of patients who underwent TOETVA or COT by a single surgeon between June 2017 and October 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. All patients were diagnosed with PTC and underwent total thyroidectomy with central neck dissection. Propensity score-matching (PSM) was used to reduce potential selection bias and to adjust for differences in baseline clinicopathological characteristics.

Results

After PSM, 84 (TOETVA: 28; COT: 56) patients remained in the study population. There were no significant differences in sex, mean age, combined thyroiditis, tumor size, capsule invasion, tumor multifocality in the same lobe, or tumor location between the groups. Operative time was longer (190.54 ± 28.26 vs. 123.93 ± 29.78 min, P<0.001), while postoperative drainage volume (161.07 ± 225.30 vs. 71.16 ± 28.56 ml, P=0.045) was greater, in the TOETVA group than in the COT group. The groups exhibited no significant differences in the mean number of central lymph nodes retrieved (9.39 ± 4.01 vs. 10.71 ± 5.17, P=0.202), mean number of metastatic central lymph nodes (1.36 ± 1.93 vs. 1.77 ± 2.31, P=0.421), postoperative mean thyroglobulin levels (0.08 ± 0.24 vs. 0.10 ± 0.27, P=0.686), rate of transient hypoparathyroidism (TOETVA: 67.9% vs. COT: 66.1%, P=0.870), rate of transient vocal cord palsy (TOETVA: 0% vs. COT: 1.8%, P=1.000), or other complications (TOETVA: 3.6% vs. COT: 0%, P=0.333).

Conclusions

TOETVA is a safe approach in select patients with PTC and exhibits similar efficacy to COT in terms of surgical completeness.

Analysis of risk factors for posterior laryngeal recurrent nerve metastasis in micropapillary thyroid carcinoma

Posterior recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) lymph node dissection remains controversial in the operation of thyroid cancer, especially in cases of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). The present study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for posterior RLN lymph node metastasis in patients with PTMC. Two hundred and thirty-nine patients pathologically diagnosed with PTMC after surgery between June 2016 and June 2017 were included. Risk factors including age, sex, tumor diameter, multiple tumor focus, membrane invasion and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis condition, were analyzed, and their corresponding OR values were calculated. The results indicated that posterior RLN lymph node metastasis was pathologically identified in 27/239 patients. Membrane invasion (p = 0.024), VIa lymph node metastasis (p < 0.01), and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (p < 0.01) were considered to be risk factors for posterior RLN lymph node metastasis. It is concluded that membrane invasion, VIa lymph node metastasis, and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis significantly increased the incidence of posterior RLN lymph node metastasis. Complete dissection of the posterior RLN lymph node was essential for patients with these risk factors.

Risk probability model for residual metastatic lymph node in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma undergoing cervical central lymph node dissection

To establish a risk probability model for residual metastatic lymph nodes in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) after cervical central lymph node dissection (CLND). The clinical data of patients with PTMC treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from 2007 to 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. All patients underwent thyroidectomy with CLND, and at least one lymph node was examined. Based on the distribution characteristics of metastatic lymph nodes from this retrospective cohort, a probabilistic model for the risk of residual metastatic lymph node was established. β-Binomial distribution was used to estimate the probability of residual metastatic lymph node as a function of the number of lymph nodes examined. Among 5399 patients included in the probabilistic model, central lymph node metastases were observed in 1664 cases (30.8%). After model correction, the real lymph node metastasis rate increased from 30.8% to 38.9%. The probability of false negative of central lymph node was estimated to be 31.3% for patients with a single node examined, while decreased to 10.0% and 4.9% when 7 and 12 nodes were examined, respectively. In the sensitivity analysis limited to patients with or without Hashimoto thyroiditis, the performance of probability model was also satisfactory. The established risk probability model in this study quantifies the risk of residual metastatic lymph nodes after CLND in patients with PTMC, which can be used as complementary indicators for the risk of recurrence/persistence disease at postoperative evaluation. The study also provides a new method to evaluate the impact of residual metastatic lymph nodes on the prognosis of tumor patients through retrospective data.

Predictive Factors of Recurrence of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinomas: Analysis of 2,538 Patients

Introduction  The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased, and its treatment remains controversial.

Objective  To identify the clinical and pathological factors predictive of tumor recurrence.

Methods  We retrospectively analyzed 2,538 consecutive patients treated for PTMC, most submitted to total thyroidectomy (98%) followed by radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation (51.7%) at a cancer center from 1996 to 2015. The patients were stratified according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk categories (low, intermediate, or high), and the clinicopathological features were evaluated by multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors for recurrence.

Results  After a mean follow-up of 58 months (range: 3 to 236.5 months), tumor recurrence was diagnosed in 63 (2.5%) patients, mostly in the lymph nodes. Distant metastasis occurred in 2 (0.1%) patients. There were no cancer-related deaths. The multivariate analysis showed that age < 55 years ( p  = 0.049; hazard ratio [HR]: 2.54; 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.95 to 0.99), multifocality ( p  = 0.032; HR: 1.76; 95%CI: 1.05 to 2.96), and the presence of lymph-node metastasis ( p  < 0.001; HR: 3.69; 95%CI: 2.07–6.57) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Recurrence was observed in 29 (1.5%) out of 1,940 low-risk patients, 32 (5.4%) out of 590 intermediate-risk patients, and in 2 (25%) out of 8 high-risk patients.

Conclusions  The prognosis of PTMC is excellent, favoring a conservative treatment for most patients. Age < 55 years, multifocality, and node metastasis at diagnosis, as well the ATA staging system effectively predict the risk of recurrence. The presence of these risk factors can help identify patients who should be considered for more aggressive management and more frequent follow-up.

Long-Term Efficacy of Ultrasound-Guided Laser Ablation for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: Results of a 10-Year Retrospective Study

Background: The aim of this study was to evaluate the 10-year efficacy and safety of laser ablation (LA) for the treatment of solitary papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). Methods: LA was performed on patients with low-risk PTMC (diagnosed using fine-needle aspiration cytology) who refused or were ineligible for surgery between 2008 and 2011. Ultrasonography was performed to evaluate the ablated volumes and potential recurrences on the day after the procedure, as well as at 1 week, 1, 3, and 6 months, and every 6 months thereafter for 10 years. Computed tomography (CT) with contrast enhancement and positron emission tomography/CT was performed to evaluate local recurrences and distant metastases. Results: A total of 90 PTMCs in 90 patients were treated in a single session of LA, and the procedure was well tolerated by the patients. The mean follow-up duration was 112 months. By 3-10 months after the LA, all the ablation areas had disappeared or presented as scars. The disappearance rate was 100% after 12 months. Thyroid hormone and autoantibody levels did not change significantly after the treatment. Three patients experienced transient voice changes, but each recovered within 1 month. Additional PTMC foci were subsequently detected in previously untreated areas in five patients (5.5%) 17-56 months after the treatment. A metastatic lymph node was detected in one patient (1.1%) within two months of the treatment; however, it was determined to be an undetected cancer metastasis, rather than a recurrence. All the patients with recurrence underwent surgery, and there were no instances of recurrence after >5 years. Conclusions: LA is effective and safe for the treatment of low-risk PTMCs. A thorough examination of multifocality and lymph node metastasis status is required before considering LA treatment.

Prognostic factors for incomplete response in thyroid microcarcinoma: an analysis of initial response to therapy in 517 patients

OBJECTIVE

Although thyroid microcarcinoma (TMC) usually has a favorable prognosis, some patients present a higher risk of disease recurrence or persistence. Thus, we aimed at identifying possible risk factors associated with an incomplete response to therapy in TMC.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of 517 patients with TMC treated with total thyroidectomy, with or without radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy, reclassified after 1.1 ± 0.4 years according to the response to treatment into "favourable" (excellent/indeterminate) or "unfavorable" (biochemical/structural incomplete) responses. We evaluated participants' age, sex, tumor size, histological variants, multifocality, presence of vascular/lymphatic/perineural invasion, extrathyroidal extension, metastatic lymph nodes (LN), and distant metastasis. The effect of RAI therapy on the response range was analyzed in a given subgroup.

RESULTS

The mean age observed was 46.4 ± 12.0 years, and 89.7% were female. We noted 97.5% with papillary carcinoma, 27.8% with multifocality and 11.2% with LN metastasis. Although the majority of patients had a low risk of recurrence/persistence (78%), 75% were submitted to RAI therapy. Incomplete response (20.7%) was associated with multifocality (p=0.041; OR=1.619) and metastatic LN (p=0.041; OR=1.868). These variables were strongly correlated (p=0.000; OR=3.283). No cut-off of tumor size was identified as a predictor of incomplete response by the receiver operating curve analysis. RAI treatment did not influence the response of patients with multifocality or LN metastasis.

CONCLUSION

Multifocality and LN metastasis are independent risk factors for incomplete response in TMC patients and are strongly correlated. Additional RAI therapy was not associated with a more favorable response in these subgroups.

Influencing Factors and Cumulative Risk Analysis of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Objective

To explore the influencing factors and cumulative risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients.

Methods

607 patients confirmed PTMC pathologically after thyroidectomy were enrolled in this retrospective study. The rate of LNM was calculated. Different clinicopathological characteristics were compared in PTMC patients with and without LNM and in different subgroups of LNM, respectively. Correlation between clinicopathological characteristics and LNM was analyzed and the cumulative risk of LNM according to different clinicopathological characteristics was calculated.

Results

(1) There were 228 cases (37.56%) of PTMC combined with LNM. Compared with the non-lymph node metastasis group, the proportion of age <55 years, male, multiple foci, bilateral foci, diameter>0.5cm, extracapsular invasion, HT and intermediate-to-high risk stratification for recurrence of the LNM group was significantly increased (all p<0.05);(2) Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age <55years, male, multiple foci, diameter>0.5cm,HT were independently positively correlated with LNM (all p <0.05); (3) Subgroup analysis showed that women aged <55 years combined with HT and aged≥55 years combined with BMI≥25 kg/m² were independently positively associated with LNM; (4) With the increase of the tumor diameter, the cumulative risk of LNM in group of age <55 years, males, and multiple foci increased gradually, and was higher than those of age≥55 years, females and single foci, respectively. (5) Among the 228 cases of LNM, the proportion of lymph nodes (LN) >5 and the positive rate of LN were both higher in male group than that in the female group. The proportion of multiple foci and HT in LLNM group was higher than that in CLNM group (all P<0.05).

Conclusion

Age <55 years, males, multiple foci, diameter >0.5cm and HT were independent risk factors of LNM; HT was an independent risk factor for LNM in female <55 years old, and BMI≥25 kg/m² was an independent risk factor for LNM in female ≥55 years old; The increase of tumor diameter in age <55 years, males, multiple foci, and bilateral foci increased the cumulative risk of LNM, respectively; The number of LNM and the positive rate of LNM were both higher in male, and patients with multiple foci or HT were more likely to develop into LLNM.

Predictive factors for recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma: analysis of 4,085 patients

Objective

The incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) has increased in recent years and its treatment remains controversial. The objective of this study is to identify clinicopathological predictive factors of tumour recurrence.

Methods

We retrospectively analysed 4,085 patients who underwent thyroidectomy for PTC from 1996 to 2015. Patients were stratified according to American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk categories and clinicopathological features were evaluated to identify independent factors for recurrence.

Results

After a mean follow-up of 58.7 (range 3-256.5) months, tumour recurrence was diagnosed in 176 (4.3%) patients, mostly in lymph nodes. Distant metastasis occurred in 18 patients (0.4%). There were 3 (0.1%) cancer-related deaths. Multivariate analysis showed that tumour size >10 mm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and lymph node metastasis (all, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Further, recurrence was identified in 1.6% of the ATA low-risk, 7.4% of the intermediate-risk and 22.7% of the high-risk patients (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

In PTC patients, tumour size >10 mm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and presence of lymph node metastasis as well as the ATA recurrence staging system effectively predict recurrence.

Management of Low-Risk Thyroid Cancers: Is Active Surveillance a Valid Option? A Systematic Review of the Literature

Thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine malignancy, representing 2.9% of all new cancers in the United States. It has an excellent prognosis, with a five-year relative survival rate of 98.3%.Differentiated Thyroid Carcinomas (DTCs) are the most diagnosed thyroid tumors and are characterized by a slow growth rate and indolent course. For years, the only approach to treatment was thyroidectomy. Active surveillance (AS) has recently emerged as an alternative approach; it involves regular observation aimed at recognizing the minority of patients who will clinically progress and would likely benefit from rescue surgery. To better clarify the indications for active surveillance for low-risk thyroid cancers, we reviewed the current management of low-risk DTCs with a systematic search performed according to a PRISMA flowchart in electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and EMBASE) for studies published before May 2021. Fourteen publications were included for final analysis, with a total number of 4830 patients under AS. A total of 451/4830 (9.4%) patients experienced an increase in maximum diameter by >3 mm; 609/4830 (12.6%) patients underwent delayed surgery after AS; metastatic spread to cervical lymph nodes was present in 88/4213 (2.1%) patients; 4/3589 (0.1%) patients had metastatic disease outside of cervical lymph nodes. Finally, no subject had a documented mortality due to thyroid cancer during AS. Currently, the American Thyroid Association guidelines do not support AS as the first-line treatment in patients with PMC; however, they consider AS to be an effective alternative, particularly in patients with high surgical risk or poor life expectancy due to comorbid conditions. Thus, AS could be an alternative to immediate surgery for patients with very-low-risk tumors showing no cytologic evidence of aggressive disease, for high-risk surgical candidates, for those with concurrent comorbidities requiring urgent intervention, and for patients with a relatively short life expectancy.

Active Surveillance for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma in a Population with Restrictive Diagnostic Workup Strategies

Background: The worldwide incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) has increased. Efforts to reduce overtreatment follow two approaches: limiting diagnostic workup of low-risk thyroid nodules and pursuing active surveillance (AS) after diagnosis of microscopic PTC (mPTC). However, most studies on AS have been performed in countries with a relatively high proportion of overdiagnosis and thus incidental mPTC. The role of AS in a population with a restrictive diagnostic workup protocol for imaging and fine-needle aspiration remains unknown. Therefore, the aim of this study was to describe the proportion and characteristics of patients with mPTC in the Netherlands and to describe the potential candidates for AS in a situation with restrictive diagnostic protocols since 2007. Methods: All operated patients with an mPTC in the Netherlands between 2005 and 2015 were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry database. Three groups were defined: (Group 1) mPTC with preoperative distant or lymph node metastases, (Group 2) mPTC in pathology report after thyroid surgery for another indication, and (Group 3) patients with a preoperative high suspicious thyroid nodule or proven mPTC (Bethesda 5 or 6). Only patients in Group 3 were considered potential candidates for AS. Results: A total of 1018 mPTC patients were identified. Group 1 consisted of 152 patients with preoperatively discovered metastases. Group 2 consisted of 667 patients, of whom 16 (2.4%) had lymph node metastases. There were 199 patients in Group 3, of whom 27 (13.6%) had lymph node metastases. After initial treatment in Group 3, 3.5% (7/199) of the patients had recurrence. Conclusions: Restrictive diagnostic workup strategies of patients with small thyroid nodules lead to limited patients eligible for AS and a higher incidence of lymph node metastases. We believe that there is limited additive value for AS in countries with restrictive diagnostic workup guidelines such as in the Netherlands. However, if an mPTC is encountered, AS can be offered on an individual basis.

Position paper from the Japan Thyroid Association task force on the management of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (T1aN0M0) in adults

The incidence of thyroid carcinoma has been increasing worldwide. This is interpreted as an increase in the incidental detection of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs). However, mortality has not changed, suggesting overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Prospective clinical trials of active surveillance for low-risk PTMC (T1aN0M0) have been conducted in two Japanese institutions since the 1990s. Based on the favorable outcomes of these trials, active surveillance has been gradually adopted worldwide. A task force on the management of PTMC in adults organized by the Japan Thyroid Association therefore conducted a systematic review and has produced the present position paper based on the scientific evidence concerning active surveillance. This paper indicates evidence for the increased incidence of PTMC, favorable surgical outcomes for low-risk PTMC, recommended criteria for diagnosis using fine needle aspiration cytology, and evaluation of lymph node metastasis (LNM), extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and distant metastasis. Active surveillance has also been reported with a low incidence of disease progression and no subsequent recurrence or adverse events on survival if conversion surgery was performed at a slightly advanced stage. Active surveillance is a safe and valid strategy for PTMC, because it might preserve physical quality of life and reduce 10-year medical costs. However, some points should be noted when performing active surveillance. Immediate surgery is needed for PTMC showing high-risk features, such as clinical LNM, ETE or distant metastasis. Active surveillance should be performed under an appropriate medical team and should be continued for life.

Investigation and management of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma - a Scottish regional case series and literature review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is defined as papillary thyroid cancer with a diameter of ≤1 cm. Despite its prevalence, there is wide variation in practice in the investigation and management of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma throughout the UK and internationally. The primary aim of this paper is to describe the experience of investigation and management in a Scottish health board over the past 10 years.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Retrospective analysis of thyroidectomy and hemithyroidectomy resection samples from March 2009 to March 2020. 532 specimens were reviewed and 20 patients with PTMC were identified. 12 patients had an incidental finding of PTMC. Median U score- 3, Median Thy score- 2.5 for dominant or radiologically suspicious nodules. 8 specimens demonstrated aggressive histopathological features. 1 patient with positive nodal disease in the neck and 0 patients with positive nodal disease in the thorax on CT Neck and Chest.

CONCLUSION

Here we report the first UK Cohort describing the radiological investigation and management of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. The results of our study are in accordance with a recent meta-analysis which found 4% nodal disease and 0.025% distant metastasis at time of presentation in patients with PTMC.

Nomograms to predict ipsilateral and contralateral central lymph node metastasis in clinically lymph node-negative patients with solitary isthmic classic papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Isthmus-originating papillary thyroid carcinoma has unique clinicopathological characteristics. There are no specific guidelines regarding the extent of surgery for isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma. We aimed to evaluate the characteristics of clinically lymph node-negative patients with solitary isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma and to determine the best surgical protocol for these patients.

METHODS

A total of 904 patients diagnosed with solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma who underwent surgery were retrospectively reviewed. These patients were divided into the isthmic group (246 patients) or lobar group (658 patients). We compared the 2 groups and conducted a multivariate analysis to assess risk factors for ipsilateral and contralateral central lymph node metastasis in isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Nomograms for predicting central lymph node metastasis in isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients were developed and internal calibration was performed for these models.

RESULTS

Isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients have a significantly higher incidence of extrathyroidal extension and central lymph node metastasis than do lobar papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. For isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients, sex, BRAF V600E mutation, chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis, tumor size, margin, and extrathyroidal extension were independent risk factors of ipsilateral central lymph node metastasis. Body mass index, BRAF V600E mutation, tumor size, location, and extrathyroidal extension were independent risk factors of contralateral central lymph node metastasis. All the above factors were incorporated into nomograms, which showed the perfect discriminative ability.

CONCLUSION

Based on the predictive nomograms, we proposed a risk stratification scheme and corresponding individualized surgical treatment based on different nomogram scores. In the debate about prophylactic central neck dissection among clinically lymph node-negative patients with solitary isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma, our nomograms provide the balance to avoid overtreatment and undertreatment through personal risk assessment.

Clinical Analysis of the Short-Term Outcome of Papillary Thyroid Micro Carcinoma After 131I Treatment

Purpose

To explore the factors that influence the short-term clinical outcome after the first ¹³¹I treatment of papillary thyroid micro carcinoma (PTMC).

Patients and Methods

From October 2015 to June 2018, patients who were diagnosed with PTMC with lymph node metastasis were analyzed retrospectively, excluding patients with incomplete clinical data, distant metastasis, positive TGAb, TSH<30 mIU/L. The baseline data of sex, age, time from last surgery to first ¹³¹I treatment, tumor pathology information, and biochemical information were collected before admission. All patients included had radioactive iodine (RAI) with 3.70 GBq. The treatment response of patients was evaluated 6–8 months after discharge. By means of univariate and multivariate analysis, including excellent response (ER) and non-excellent response (NER) groups of clinical data, we assessed the impact of ¹³¹I on patients’ outcome. A nomogram model was established based on the above independent risk factors.

Results

A total of 206 patients (59 males and 147 females, mean age 43.4 ± 10.6 years) were included in the study. The median follow-up time was 169.4 ± 10.5 days, including 139 patients in ER group (67.4%) and 67 patients in NER group (32.5%). Four factors including combining Hashimoto’s thyroiditis, pre-ablative Tg levels, UIE levels, and lateral lymph node numbers were statistically different between ER group and NER group with significance at P < 0.05. Further multivariate analysis showed that Hashimoto’s thyroiditis and Ps-Tg levels could be used as independent factors. The model verification showed that the C-index of the modeling set was 0.822, indicating that the nomogram model had a good predicted accuracy.

Conclusion

Our data suggest that coexisting Hashimoto’s thyroiditis and elevated Ps-Tg levels are predictive factors for short-term outcome of thyroid micro papillary carcinoma after ¹³¹I treatment. Also, the nomogram model had a good predicted accuracy.

Fine needle aspiration and the Bethesda system: Correlation with histopathology in 1,228 surgical patients

BACKGROUND

Fine-needle aspiration combined with the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology is indispensable in the diagnostic evaluation of thyroid nodules. Their increased detection over the last few decades mandates the determination of which thyroid nodules require surgical management for malignancy. This study examines the correlation of fine-needle aspiration to final histopathology of dominant thyroid nodules in a large series of surgical patients undergoing thyroidectomy at a single academic institution.

METHODS

A retrospective review of prospectively collected data of 1,228 patients who underwent fine-needle aspiration for a dominant thyroid nodule and thyroidectomy from a single institution between 2010 and 2019 was performed. The cases were stratified into all 6 Bethesda categories. Fine-needle aspiration results were compared to index thyroid nodule malignancy on final histopathology.

RESULTS

Of 1,228 patients who underwent thyroidectomy, the overall malignancy rate was 53%. When fine-needle aspiration was stratified by the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology, malignancy rate was 29% for nondiagnostic; 11% for benign; 51% for atypia of undetermined significance/follicular lesion of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS); 47% for follicular neoplasm/suspicious for follicular neoplasm (FN/SFN); 84% for suspicious for malignancy (SFM); and 98% for malignant results on final histopathology. There was a false positive rate of 1% and false negative rate ranging from 7 to 11%.

CONCLUSION

Fine-needle aspiration of a dominant thyroid nodule in patients who underwent thyroidectomy had an overall malignancy rate of 53%. False negative and false positive rates are within the reported range in surgical patient populations. The majority of patients with AUS/FLUS, FN/SFN and SFM results with underlying malignancy received the appropriate surgical resection.