Pathologic Complete Response Rates After Neoadjuvant Treatment in Rectal Cancer: An Analysis of the National Cancer Database

Stratification to Neoadjuvant Radiotherapy in Rectal Cancer by Regimen and Transcriptional Signatures

Response to neoadjuvant radiotherapy (RT) in rectal cancer has been associated with immune and stromal features that are captured by transcriptional signatures. However, how such associations perform across different chemoradiotherapy regimens and within individual consensus molecular subtypes (CMS) and how they affect survival remain unclear. In this study, gene expression and clinical data of pretreatment biopsies from nine cohorts of primary rectal tumors were combined (N = 826). Exploratory analyses were done with transcriptomic signatures for the endpoint of pathologic complete response (pCR), considering treatment regimen or CMS subtype. Relevant findings were tested for overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Immune and stromal signatures were strongly associated with pCR and lack of pCR, respectively, in RT and capecitabine (Cap)/5-fluorouracil (5FU)-treated patients (N = 387), in which the radiosensitivity signature (RSS) showed the strongest association. Upon addition of oxaliplatin (Ox; N = 123), stromal signatures switched direction and showed higher chances to achieve pCR than without Ox (p for interaction 0.02). Among Cap/5FU patients, most signatures performed similarly across CMS subtypes, except cytotoxic lymphocytes that were associated with pCR in CMS1 and CMS4 cases compared with other CMS subtypes (p for interaction 0.04). The only variables associated with survival were pCR and RSS. Although the frequency of pCR across different chemoradiation regimens is relatively similar, our data suggest that response rates may differ depending on the biological landscape of rectal cancer. Response to neoadjuvant RT in stroma-rich tumors may potentially be improved by the addition of Ox. RSS in preoperative biopsies provides predictive information for response specifically to neoadjuvant RT with 5FU.

SIGNIFICANCE

Rectal cancers with stromal features may respond better to RT and 5FU/Cap with the addition of Ox. Within patients not treated with Ox, high levels of cytotoxic lymphocytes associate with response only in immune and stromal tumors. Our analyses provide biological insights about the outcome by different radiotherapy regimens in rectal cancer.

A dynamic nomogram for predicting pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

AIM

To explore the clinical factors associated with pathologic complete response (pCR) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and develop a web-based dynamic nomogram.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of patients with examination confirmed LARC from 2011 to 2022. Patients from the Union Hospital of Fujian Medical University were included as the training cohort (n = 1579) and Zhangzhou Hospital of Fujian Medical University as the external validation cohort (n = 246).

RESULTS

In the training cohort, after nCRT, 350 (22.2%) patients achieved pCR. More stomas were avoided in pCR patients (73.9% vs. 69.7%, p = 0.043). After a median follow-up time of 47.7 months (IQR 2-145) shown OS (5-year: 93.7% vs. 81.0%, HR = 0.310, 95%CI: 0.189-0.510, p < 0.001) and DFS (5-year: 91.2% vs. 75.0%, HR = 0.204, 95%CI: 0.216-0.484, p < 0.001) were significantly better among patients with pCR than non-pCR. Multivariable Logistic analysis shown pCR was significantly associated with Pre-CRT CEA (HR = 0.944, 95%CI: 0.921-0.968; p < 0.001), histopathology (HR = 4.608, 95%CI: 2.625-8.089; p < 0.001), Pre-CRT T stage (HR = 0.793, 95%CI: 0.634-0.993; p = 0.043), Pre-CRT N stage (HR = 0.727, 95%CI: 0.606-0.873; p = 0.001), Pre-CRT MRI EMVI (HR = 0.352, 95%CI: 0.262-0.473; p < 0.001), total neoadjuvant therapy (HR = 2.264, 95%CI: 1.280-4.004; p = 0.005). Meanwhile, the online version of the nomogram established in this study was publicized on an open-access website (URL: https://pcrpredict.shinyapps.io/LARC2/). The model predicted accuracy with a C-index of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70-0.75), with an average C-index of 0.73 for the internal cross validation and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.72-0.83) for the external validation cohort, showing excellent model accuracy. Delong test results showed the model has an important gain value for clinical characteristics to predict pCR in rectal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with pCR had a better prognosis, including OS and DFS, and were independently associated with Pre-CRT CEA, histopathology, Pre-CRT T/N stage, Pre-CRT MRI EMVI, and TNT. A web-based dynamic nomogram was successfully established for clinical use at any time.

Prediction of Pathologic Complete Response for Rectal Cancer Based on Pretreatment Factors Using Machine Learning

BACKGROUND

Pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy is an important prognostic indicator for locally advanced rectal cancer and may give insights into which patients might be treated nonoperatively in the future. Existing models for predicting pathologic complete response in the pretreatment setting are limited by small data sets and low accuracy.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to use machine learning to develop a more generalizable predictive model for pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer.

DESIGN

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgical resection were identified in the National Cancer Database from years 2010 to 2019 and were split into training, validation, and test sets. Machine learning techniques included random forest, gradient boosting, and artificial neural network. A logistic regression model was also created. Model performance was assessed using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

SETTINGS

This study used a national, multicenter data set.

PATIENTS

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and proctectomy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Pathologic complete response defined as T0/xN0/x.

RESULTS

The data set included 53,684 patients. Pathologic complete response was experienced by 22.9% of patients. Gradient boosting showed the best performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.777 (95% CI, 0.773-0.781), compared with 0.684 (95% CI, 0.68-0.688) for logistic regression. The strongest predictors of pathologic complete response were no lymphovascular invasion, no perineural invasion, lower CEA, smaller size of tumor, and microsatellite stability. A concise model including the top 5 variables showed preserved performance.

LIMITATIONS

The models were not externally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning techniques can be used to accurately predict pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer in the pretreatment setting. After fine-tuning a data set including patients treated nonoperatively, these models could help clinicians identify the appropriate candidates for a watch-and-wait strategy. See Video Abstract .

EL CNCER DE RECTO BASADA EN FACTORES PREVIOS AL TRATAMIENTO MEDIANTE EL APRENDIZAJE AUTOMTICO

ANTECEDENTES:La respuesta patológica completa después de la terapia neoadyuvante es un indicador pronóstico importante para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado y puede dar información sobre qué pacientes podrían ser tratados de forma no quirúrgica en el futuro. Los modelos existentes para predecir la respuesta patológica completa en el entorno previo al tratamiento están limitados por conjuntos de datos pequeños y baja precisión.OBJETIVO:Intentamos utilizar el aprendizaje automático para desarrollar un modelo predictivo más generalizable para la respuesta patológica completa para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado.DISEÑO:Los pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado que se sometieron a terapia neoadyuvante seguida de resección quirúrgica se identificaron en la Base de Datos Nacional del Cáncer de los años 2010 a 2019 y se dividieron en conjuntos de capacitación, validación y prueba. Las técnicas de aprendizaje automático incluyeron bosque aleatorio, aumento de gradiente y red neuronal artificial. También se creó un modelo de regresión logística. El rendimiento del modelo se evaluó utilizando el área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor.ÁMBITO:Este estudio utilizó un conjunto de datos nacional multicéntrico.PACIENTES:Pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado sometidos a terapia neoadyuvante y proctectomía.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:Respuesta patológica completa definida como T0/xN0/x.RESULTADOS:El conjunto de datos incluyó 53.684 pacientes. El 22,9% de los pacientes experimentaron una respuesta patológica completa. El refuerzo de gradiente mostró el mejor rendimiento con un área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor de 0,777 (IC del 95%: 0,773 - 0,781), en comparación con 0,684 (IC del 95%: 0,68 - 0,688) para la regresión logística. Los predictores más fuertes de respuesta patológica completa fueron la ausencia de invasión linfovascular, la ausencia de invasión perineural, un CEA más bajo, un tamaño más pequeño del tumor y la estabilidad de los microsatélites. Un modelo conciso que incluye las cinco variables principales mostró un rendimiento preservado.LIMITACIONES:Los modelos no fueron validados externamente.CONCLUSIONES:Las técnicas de aprendizaje automático se pueden utilizar para predecir con precisión la respuesta patológica completa para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado en el entorno previo al tratamiento. Después de realizar ajustes en un conjunto de datos que incluye pacientes tratados de forma no quirúrgica, estos modelos podrían ayudar a los médicos a identificar a los candidatos adecuados para una estrategia de observar y esperar. (Traducción-Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Local resection versus radical resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer: a propensity-score matched cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to address the shortage of evidence regarding the safety of the local resection approach by comparing long-term oncological outcomes between patients managed by local resection and those who underwent radical resection.

METHODS

This was a propensity-score matched cohort analysis study that included patients of all ages diagnosed with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) who had received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) at the Fujian Medical University Union Hospital and Fujian Medical University Affiliated Zhangzhou Hospital, China, between Jan 10, 2011, to Dec 28, 2021. Partial patients with a significant downstage of the tumor were offered management with the local resection approach, and most of the rest were offered radical resection if eligible.

FINDINGS

One thousand six hundred ninety-three patients underwent radical resection after nCRT, and another 60 patients performed local resection. The median follow-up times were 44.0 months (interquartile range = 4-107 months). After propensity-core matching (PSM), in the Kaplan-Meier curves, local resection (n = 56) or radical resection (n = 211) was not significantly associated with 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative incidence of overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.103, 95% CI: 0.372 ~ 3.266), disease-free survival (DFS) ((HR = 0.972, 95% CI: 0.401 ~ 2.359), local recurrence (HR = 1.044, 95% CI: 0.225 ~ 4.847), and distant metastasis (HR = 0.818, 95% CI: 0.280 ~ 2.387) (all log-rank P > 0.05). Similarly, multivariate Cox regression analysis indicates that local excision still was not an independent risk factor for OS (HR = 0.863, 95% CI: 0.267 ~ 2.785, P = 0.805) and DFS (HR = 0.885, 95% CI: 0.353 ~ 2.215, p = 0.794).

CONCLUSION

Local resection can be a management option in selected patients with middle-low rectal cancer after nCRT for LARC and without loss of oncological safety at five years.

Radioimmunotherapy in colorectal cancer treatment: present and future

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a deadly form of cancer worldwide. Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer and metastatic CRC have a poor long-term prognosis, and rational and effective treatment remains a major challenge. Common treatments include multi-modal combinations of surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy; however, recurrence and metastasis rates remain high. The combination of radiotherapy and immunotherapy (radioimmunotherapy [RIT]) may offer new solutions to this problem, but its prospects remain uncertain. This review aimed to summarize the current applications of radiotherapy and immunotherapy, elaborate on the underlying mechanisms, and systematically review the preliminary results of RIT-related clinical trials for CRC. Studies have identified several key predictors of RIT efficacy. Summarily, rational RIT regimens can improve the outcomes of some patients with CRC, but current study designs have limitations. Further studies on RIT should focus on including larger sample sizes and optimizing the combination therapy regimen based on underlying influencing factors.

Prevalent Pseudoprogression and Pseudoresidue in Patients With Rectal Cancer Treated With Neoadjuvant Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment in patients with microsatellite instability-high/mismatch repair deficient (MSI-H/dMMR) tumors holds promise in reshaping organ preservation in rectal cancer. However, the benefits are accompanied by distinctive patterns of response, introducing a dilemma in the response evaluation for clinical decision-making.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer with MSI-H/dMMR tumors receiving neoadjuvant ICI (nICI) treatment (n=13) and matched patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT; n=13) were included to compare clinical response and histopathologic features.

RESULTS

Among the 13 patients receiving nICI treatment, in the final radiologic evaluation prior to surgery (at a median of 103 days after initiation of therapy), progressive disease (n=3), stable disease (n=1), partial response (n=7), and complete response (n=2) were observed. However, these patients were later confirmed as having pathologic complete response, resulting in pseudoprogression and pseudoresidue with incidences of 23.1% (n=3) and 76.9% (n=10), respectively, whereas no pseudoprogression was found in the 13 patients receiving nCRT. We further revealed the histopathologic basis underlying the pseudoprogression and pseudoresidue by discovering the distinctive immune-related regression features after nICI treatment, including fibrogenesis, dense lymphocytes, and plasma cell infiltration.

CONCLUSIONS

Pseudoprogression and pseudoresidue were unique and prevalent response patterns in MSI-H/dMMR rectal cancer after nICI treatment. Our findings highlight the importance of developing specific strategies for response evaluation in neoadjuvant immunotherapy to identify patients with a good response in whom sphincter/organ-preserving or watch-and-wait strategies may be considered.

Downregulation of CEMIP enhances radiosensitivity by promoting DNA damage and apoptosis in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third leading malignancy worldwide in both new cases and deaths. Neoadjuvant radiotherapy is the standard preoperative regimens for locally advanced patients. However, approximately 50% of patients develop recurrence and metastasis after radiotherapy, which is largely due to the radiation resistance properties of the tumor, and the internal mechanism has not been elucidated. Here we found that CEMIP expression is up-regulated in a variety of tumor types, particularly in CRC. Public databases and clinical samples revealed that CEMIP expression is significantly higher in tumor tissues than in adjacent normal tissues in patients with locally advanced CRC who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, and it is closely related to the poor prognosis. Functional characterization uncovered that downregulation of CEMIP expression can enhance the radiosensitivity of CRC cells, which is confirmed to be achieved by promoting DNA damage and apoptosis. In vivo studies further verified that CEMIP knockdown can significantly improve the radiosensitivity of subcutaneously implanted colorectal tumors in mice, suggesting that CEMIP may be a radiation-resistant gene in CRC. Mechanistically, EGFR/PI3K/Akt signaling pathway is hypothesized to play a key role in CEMIP mediating radiation resistance. These results provide a potential new strategy targeting CEMIP gene for the comprehensive treatment of locally advanced CRC patients.

Tumor Volume Predicts for Pathologic Complete Response in Rectal Cancer Patients Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation

OBJECTIVES

Nonoperative management (NOM) of locally advanced rectal cancer is an emerging approach allowing patients to preserve their anal sphincter. Identifying clinical factors associated with pathologic complete response (pCR) is essential for physicians and patients considering NOM.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In total, 412 locally advanced rectal cancer patients were included in this retrospective analysis. Tumor volumes were derived from pretreatment MRI. Clinical parameters such as tumor volume, stage, and location were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis, against pCR. A receiver operator characteristic curve was generated to identify a tumor volume cut-off with the highest clinically relevant Youden index for predicting pCR.

RESULTS

Seventy-five of 412 patients (18%) achieved pCR. A tumor volume threshold of 37.3 cm 3 was identified as predictive for pCR. On regression analysis, a tumor volume >37.3 cm 3 was associated with a greater than 78% probability of not achieving pCR. On multivariate analysis, a GTV <37.3 cm 3 [odds ratio (OR)=3.7, P <0.0001] was significantly associated with an increased pCR rate, whereas tumor length > 4.85 cm was associated with pCR on univariate (OR=3.03, P <0.01) but not on multivariate analysis (OR=1.45, P =0.261). Other clinical parameters did not impact pCR rates.

CONCLUSIONS

A tumor volume threshold of 37.3 cm 3 was identified as predictive for pCR in locally advanced rectal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Tumors above this volume threshold corresponded to a greater than 78% probability of not achieving pCR. This information will be helpful at diagnosis for clinicians who are considering potential candidates for NOM.

Predicting Factors of Complete Pathological Response in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Background: Current treatment of choice for locally advanced rectal cancer is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (neo-CRT) followed by surgical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy. Some patients may experience complete pathological response (cPR) after the neoadjuvant treatment. However, the predicting factors are still debated. Methods: In this registry-based retrospective cohort study, 258 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer were included. Patients were categorized into two groups with or without cPR. Logistic regression analysis was recruited to investigate the odds ratio for all independent variables, and those with significant results were included in multivariate regression analysis. Results: Achievement of cPR was 21.3%. The odds ratio of cPR was significantly lower when the tumor distance from the anal verge was>10 centimeters (OR=0.24, P=0.040). Also, the odds of cPR with N1 involvement in comparison with N0 involvement decreased for 0.41 (P=0.043). It was also true for patients with N2 involvement in comparison with N0 involvement (OR=0.31, P=0.031). Higher odds ratio of cPR was observed in patients who underwent surgery in>12 weeks after neo-CRT (OR=2.9, P=0.022). Furthermore, the odds of cPR decreased for 0.9 with increasing in carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (P=0.044). Conclusion: Patients with rectal cancer in clinical stage II or lower, without the involvement of the lymphatic system at diagnosis, and with tumors located in the lower parts of the rectum, with lower levels of CEA, and longer duration between neo-CRT and surgery were more likely to achieve cPR after neo-CRT. With the current knowledge, the "wait and watch policy" is still debated and needs to be defined more precisely by upcoming studies.

Clinical prediction model of pathological response following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

Patients with pathologic complete response (pCR) achievement can consider local excision or "watch and wait" strategy instead of a radical surgery. This study analyzed the predictive factors of pCR in rectal cancer patients who underwent radical operation after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). This study also analyzed the recurrence patterns in patients who achieved pCR and the oncologic outcomes and prognostic factors by ypStage. Between 2000 and 2013, 1,089 consecutive rectal cancer patients who underwent radical resection after nCRT were analyzed. These patients were classified into two groups according to pCR. The clinicopathologic and oncologic outcomes were analyzed and compared between the two groups. Multivariate analysis was conducted on factors related to pCR. The proportion of patients achieving pCR was 18.2% (n = 198). The pCR group demonstrated earlier clinical T and N stages, smaller tumor size, better differentiation, and a lower percentage of circumferential resection margin (CRM) involvement than did the non-pCR group. The prognostic factors associated with poorer disease-free survival were high preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels, non-pCR, poor histology, lymphatic/perineural invasion, and involvement of CRM. Multivariate analysis revealed that clinical node negativity, tumor size < 4 cm, and well differentiation were significant independent clinical predictors for achieving pCR. Patients with pCR displayed better long-term outcomes than those with non-pCR. The pCR-prediction model, based on predictive factors, is potentially useful for prognosis and for prescribing a treatment strategy in patients with advanced rectal cancer who need nCRT.

Predicting stage ypT0–1N0 for nonradical management in patients with middle or low rectal cancer who undergo neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective cohort study

Purpose

It is important to discover predictive factors that can identify rectal cancer patients who will respond well to neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) to develop management strategies, preserve sphincter and avoid over-treatment. This study explored clinical factors that would predict the adequacy of nonradical management after CCRT in patients with middle or low rectal cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated 447 patients with middle or low rectal cancer who were treated with curative surgery after neoadjuvant CCRT between January 2010 and December 2019. The good response group comprised patients with stages ypT0–1N0 on resection after CCRT; the remaining patients were included in the poor response group.

Results

Of 447 patients (mean age, 60.37 ± 11.85 years), 108 (24.2%) had ypT0–1N0 (71.3% with ypT0N0, 4.6% with ypTisN0, and 24.1% with ypT1N0). Overall, 19 patients with cT1–2 (50.0% vs. 21.8% with cT3–4, P < 0.001), 22 with well-differentiated tumors (51.2% vs. 21.3% with moderately/poorly differentiated tumors, P < 0.001), 16 with fungating tumors (47.1% vs. 22.3% with other types, P = 0.001), and 66 with anterior/posterior circumference direction (28.9% vs. 19.2% with lateral/encircling direction, P = 0.016) had stage ypT0–1N0. On multivariable analysis, cT1–2 (P = 0.021) and well-differentiated tumor (P = 0.001) were independent predictors of ypT0–1N0. Fungating tumors were not significantly associated with ypT0–1N0 (P = 0.054).

Conclusion

Stage cT1–2 and well differentiation are predictors of ypT0–1N0, while fungating tumors could be considered clinically meaningful, possibly identifying candidates for nonradical treatment post-CCRT.

Circulating miRNA Signature Predicts Response to Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) are recommended to receive preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) followed by surgery. Response to PCRT varies widely: 60%-70% of patients with LARC do not derive therapeutic benefit from PCRT, whereas 15%-20% of patients achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). We sought to develop a liquid biopsy assay for identifying response to PCRT in patients with LARC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed two genome-wide microRNA (miRNA) expression profiling data sets from tumor tissue samples for in silico discovery (GSE68204) and validation (GSE29298). We prioritized biomarkers in pretreatment plasma specimens from clinical training (n = 41; 15 responders and 26 nonresponders) and validation (n = 65; 29 responders and 36 nonresponders) cohorts of patients with LARC. We developed an integrated miRNA panel and established a risk assessment model, which was combined with the miRNA panel and carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

RESULTS

Our comprehensive discovery effort identified an 8-miRNA panel that robustly predicted response to PCRT, with an excellent accuracy in the discovery (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.95) and validation (AUC = 0.92) cohorts. We successfully established a circulating miRNA panel with remarkable diagnostic accuracy in the clinical training (AUC = 0.82) and validation (AUC = 0.81) cohorts. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of the panel was significantly superior to conventional clinical factors in both cohorts (P < .01) and the risk assessment model was superior (AUC = 0.83). Finally, we applied our model to detect patients with pathologic complete response and showed that it was dramatically superior to currently used pathologic features (AUC = 0.92).

CONCLUSION

Our novel risk assessment signature for predicting response to PCRT has a potential for clinical translation as a liquid biopsy assay in patients with LARC.

Retrospective study of total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

Aim: To compare treatment outcomes of total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) and the standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Materials & methods: Patients with LARC (cT2-4 and/or cN1-2) who were treated with preoperative chemoradiotherapy plus induction and consolidation chemotherapy followed by surgery or the standard treatment were recruited. Pathologic complete response (pCR) rate, overall survival, disease-free survival and the sphincter preservation rate as well as safety were evaluated. Results: 49 cases were treated with TNT and 71 cases received the standard treatment. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that TNT and tumor size were independent risk factors for pCR. Grade 3 chemoradiotherapy toxicity and postoperative complications were similar between the two groups. Conclusion: TNT improved the pCR rate for patients with LARC, with tolerable toxicities.

Concurrent use of statins and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Statins are used primarily in patients with cardiovascular disease. More recently, they have demonstrated benefit in oncology patients. In vitro models have shown decreased rectal tumor cell viability in cells receiving chemoradiation and statin therapy. In vivo models have been less clear. This study aims to elucidate the impact of concurrent use of statins on the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer.

METHODS

Search of Medline, EMBASE, and CENTRAL was performed. Articles were included if they reported complete pathological response (pCR), long-term oncologic outcomes, or chemoradiotherapy-induced toxicity in patients with rectal cancer receiving concurrent statin and neoadjuvant therapy. A pairwise meta-analyses was performed using inverse variance random effects.

RESULTS

From 1564 citations, six studies with 726 patients on statin therapy (24.5% female, age: 63.6 years) and 1863 patients not on statin therapy (35.6% female, age: 60.9 years) were included. There was no significant difference in pCR rate between patients on statin therapy and patients not on statin therapy (RR 1.23, 95%CI 0.98-1.54, p = 0.08). Similarly, no difference existed between groups in long-term oncologic outcomes (5-year overall survival: RR 1.03, 95%CI 0.86-1.24, p = 0.75; 5-year disease-free survival: RR 1.04, 95%CI 0.85-1.26, p = 0.73). Chemoradiotherapy-induced toxicities were similar between groups.

CONCLUSION

The concurrent use of statin and neoadjuvant therapy did not significantly impact short- or long-term oncologic outcomes in patients with rectal cancer. Yet, despite pooling of data, this study remained inadequately powered. Larger, prospective studies are required to further elucidate the impact of statins on patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer.

Survival landscape of different tumor regression grades and pathologic complete response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy based on reconstructed individual patient data

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant therapy can lead to different tumor regression grades (TRG) in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy. The purposes of this study are to investigate the relationships among TRG, pathologic complete response (pCR) and long-term survival, on the basis of reconstructed individual patient data (IPD).

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Ovid and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were searched. The primary endpoint was to evaluate the survival landscape of different TRGs after neoadjuvant therapy and the secondary endpoint was to evaluate the associations between pCR and survival. IPD were reconstructed with Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

The 10-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) were clearly higher in the pCR group than in the non-pCR (npCR) group (80.5% vs. 48.3, 90.1% vs. 69.8%). Furthermore, the OS and DFS increased with improvement in tumor regression after neoadjuvant therapy. According to the IPD, the pCR group had longer OS (HR = 0.240, 95% CI = 0.177-0.325, p < 0.001) and DFS (HR = 0.274, 95% CI = 0.205-0.367, p < 0.001) than the npCR group. Better tumor regression was associated with better survival outcomes (p < 0.005). Direct calculation of published HR values yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate a positive relationship between better tumor regressions and improved survival benefits among the npCR group and patients with rectal cancer achieving pCR had much longer OS and DFS than patients achieving npCR, presenting a survival landscape of different TRGs and pCR in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy.

Predictors of Pathologic Response After Total Neoadjuvant Therapy in Patients With Rectal Adenocarcinoma: A National Cancer Database Analysis

Purpose/objectives

Induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiation and surgical resection in rectal cancer, known as total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT), is associated with improved pathologic complete response (pCR) rates. The National Cancer Database was utilized to identify factors associated with pCR and survival following treatment with TNT compared to standard neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT).

Materials/methods

The National Cancer Database was queried from 2004 to 2015 for patients with locally advanced, non-metastatic rectal cancer. We identified 16,299 patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiation followed by definitive surgical resection. Patients were stratified by treatment received, either TNT (n=350) or nCRT (n=15,949). Multivariate binomial regression analysis and propensity matching were used to evaluate predictors of pCR. Kaplan-Meier and Cox multivariate analysis of survival were performed.

Results

Median follow-up was 38 months vs 53 months in the TNT vs nCRT groups, respectively. There were more patients with T4 or node-positive disease in the TNT group. There was a trend towards improved pCR in the TNT group (p=0.053). Patients achieving pCR had improved 5-year overall survival (OS) of 85.1%. The 5-year OS was not improved for TNT (76.2%) over nCRT (69.9%) (p=0.19). Pelvic nodal pCR was significantly higher in the TNT group (72%). When stratified by clinical stage, patients with cT3 (p=0.038) or cN1 (p=0.049) disease had improved OS with TNT.

Conclusions

Compared to nCRT, TNT is correlated with higher rates of complete pelvic nodal clearance in patients with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma. The use of TNT showed improved survival in patients with cT3 and cN1 disease, indicating a potential benefit for patients with less advanced disease.

Metformin with neoadjuvant chemoradiation to improve pathologic response in rectal cancer: A pilot phase I/II trial

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A prospective pilot phase I/II study on metformin given concurrently with neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) in non-diabetic rectal cancer patients.

•

Three patients had a clinical complete response (cCR) and did not have surgical resection.

•

Of the 12 patients who underwent surgery, there were two pCRs. For the combined pCR/cCR rate of 33% (95% CI 19–47%), a total of 85 patients will be required to yield a 95% CI with a 10% margin of error.

•

These pilot results are encouraging, and will serve to refine the design and conduct of a future phase 2 trial to determine whether adding metformin to CRT improves pCR/cCR rates.

Purpose

Neoadjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy decreases the risk of local recurrence after surgery for rectal cancer. Emerging data suggest that diabetic patients on metformin may have improved cancer outcome after radiotherapy. A single institutional pilot study was performed to determine if metformin given concurrently with long course chemoradiation (CRT) may improve pathologic complete response (pCR) in non-diabetic rectal cancer patients. The study was designed to construct a confidence interval (CI) for the pCR rate to determine the sample size for a phase 2 trial.

Methods

Non-diabetic patients with biopsy confirmed rectal cancer deemed candidates for long course neoadjuvant CRT were invited to participate. Radiation consisted of 50.4 Gy in 28 daily fractions with concurrent daily capecitabine (825 mg/m² twice daily). Participants self-administered metformin (500 mg of twice daily) 2 weeks prior to, during and for 4 weeks after CRT.

Results

A total of 16 patients were accrued. One patient withdrew from the study. Only grade 1 or 2 adverse events were observed. Three patients had a clinical complete response (cCR) and did not undergo surgery. Of the 12 patients who underwent surgery, there were two pCRs. For the combined pCR/cCR rate of 33% (95% CI 19–47%), a total of 85 patients will be required to yield a 95% CI with a 10% margin of error.

Conclusions

Adding metformin to neoadjuvant CRT for rectal cancer does not appear to enhance toxicities. These results will be used to refine the design and conduct of a future phase 2 trial to determine whether adding metformin to CRT improves pCR/cCR rates.

Impact of interval timing to surgery on tumor response after neoadjuvant treatment for gastric cancer

INTRODUCTION

neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) followed by radical surgery is the optimal approach for locally advanced gastric cancer (GC). Interval timing to surgery after NACT in GC is controversial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of NACT interval time on tumor response and overall survival.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

a retrospective analysis from a prospective database was performed at a single referral tertiary hospital, from January 2010 to October 2018. Patients were assigned to three groups according to the surgical interval time after NACT: < 4 weeks, 4-6 weeks and > 6 weeks. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed in order to clarify the impact of NACT on post-neoadjuvant pathological complete response rate (ypCR), downstaging (DS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

of the 60 patients analyzed, 18 patients (30 %) had an interval time to surgery < 4 weeks, 26 (43.3 %) between 4-6 weeks and 16 (26.7 %) > 6 weeks. Two patients (3 %) had achieved ypCR and 37 patients (62 %) had achieved DS. There were no differences in DS rates among the interval time groups (p: 0.66). According to the multivariate analysis, only poorly differentiated carcinoma was significantly related to lower DS rates (p: 0.04). Cox regression analysis showed that the NACT interval time had no impact on OS. According to the multivariate analysis, > 25 lymph node harvested (HR: 0.35) and female sex (HR: 5.67) were OS independent predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

the NACT interval time prior gastrectomy for locally advanced GC is not associated with ypCR or DS and has no impact on overall survival.

Radiomic signature of the FOWARC trial predicts pathological response to neoadjuvant treatment in rectal cancer

Background

We aimed to develop a radiomic model based on pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) in patients with rectal cancer after neoadjuvant treatment and tried to integrate our model with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomic signature.

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of the FOWARC randomized controlled trial. Radiomic features were extracted from pre-treatment portal venous-phase contrast-enhanced CT images of 177 patients with rectal cancer. Patients were randomly allocated to the primary and validation cohort. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to select predictive features to build a radiomic signature for pCR prediction (rad-score). This CT-based rad-score was integrated with clinicopathological variables using gradient boosting machine (GBM) or MRI-based rad-score to construct comprehensive models for pCR prediction. The performance of CT-based model was evaluated and compared by receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The LR (likelihood ratio) test and AIC (Akaike information criterion) were applied to compare CT-based rad-score, MRI-based rad-score and the combined rad-score.

Results

We developed a CT-based rad-score for pCR prediction and a gradient boosting machine (GBM) model was built after clinicopathological variables were incorporated, with improved AUCs of 0.997 [95% CI 0.990–1.000] and 0.822 [95% CI 0.649–0.995] in the primary and validation cohort, respectively. Moreover, we constructed a combined model of CT- and MRI-based radiomic signatures that achieve better AIC (75.49 vs. 81.34 vs.82.39) than CT-based rad-score (P = 0.005) and MRI-based rad-score (P = 0.003) alone did.

Conclusions

The CT-based radiomic models we constructed may provide a useful and reliable tool to predict pCR after neoadjuvant treatment, identify patients that are appropriate for a 'watch and wait' approach, and thus avoid overtreatment. Moreover, the CT-based radiomic signature may add predictive value to the MRI-based models for clinical decision making.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12967-021-02919-x.

Neoadjuvant radiation above NCCN guidelines for rectal cancer is associated with age under 50 and early clinical stage

INTRODUCTION

Recent data suggest patients with early-onset rectal cancer (EORC) receive neoadjuvant radiation above recommended doses without oncologic benefit. The use of excessive radiation may lead to worse outcomes and patient harm. We sought to evaluate predictors of aggressive neoadjuvant radiation (A-XRT) use in EORC patients and compare this to late-onset rectal cancer (LORC) patients.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database from 2004 to 2014 was queried for rectal adenocarcinoma patients undergoing surgical resection. Patients with stage 0 or IV disease, positive margins, and incomplete data were excluded. Standard neoadjuvant radiation (S-XRT) was based upon NCCN guidelines: 25-50.4 Gray for stage II/III patients and none for stage I. Excess radiation was considered A-XRT. Patients diagnosed at age < 50 years were labeled EORC; those ≥ 50 years were LORC. Categorical data were analyzed with chi-square test. Logistic regression was used to analyze clinicodemographic associations with A-XRT.

RESULTS

45,403 patients were included: 7999 (17.6%) EORC and 37,404 (82.4%) LORC. Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that A-XRT use among stage I patient was associated with male gender, age under 50, urban location, mucinous histology, and poor tumor differentiation. Among stage II and III patients, A-XRT use was associated with male gender, age under 50, higher education and income, and urban location. Cox hazards did not demonstrate a significant association of A-XRT use with survival.

CONCLUSION

Our data reaffirm that EORC patients more frequently receive A-XRT and that use is based on demographic features independent of tumor characteristics. Reasons for A-XRT, particularly in EORC patients, should be clarified to promote adherence to guidelines and minimize patient harm.

Andrographolide enhanced radiosensitivity by downregulating glycolysis via the inhibition of the PI3K-Akt-mTOR signaling pathway in HCT116 colorectal cancer cells

Objective

Radiotherapy plays an important role in the treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, some patients benefit minimally from radiotherapy because of radioresistance. This study investigated the effects of andrographolide on radiosensitivity in HCT116 CRC cells and examined its mechanism of action.

Methods

Cell survival, proliferation, apoptosis, and migration were evaluated using MTT, colony formation, flow cytometry, and Transwell cell invasion assays, respectively. Glycolysis-related indicators were measured to examine cell glycolytic activity. The expression of related proteins was detected by western blotting.

Results

After andrographolide treatment, the expression of phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K)-Akt-mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) signaling pathway-related proteins, glycolytic activity, and cell survival and invasion rates were decreased in HCT116 cells. Andrographolide plus irradiation increased apoptosis and decreased survival, invasion, and colony formation compared with the effects of irradiation alone.

Conclusion

Andrographolide enhanced radiosensitivity by downregulating glycolysis via inhibition of the PI3K-Akt-mTOR signaling pathway in HCT116 cells.

Predicting pathological response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review

Introduction: Pathological complete response (pCR) rates of approximately 20% following neoadjuvant long-course chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer have given rise to non-operative or watch-and-wait (W&W) management. To improve outcomes there has been significant research into predictors of response. The goal is to optimize selection for W&W, avoid chemoradiotherapy in those who won't benefit and improve treatment to maximize the clinical complete response (cCR) rate and the number of patients who can be considered for W&W.Areas covered: A systematic review of articles published 2008-2018 and indexed in PubMed, Embase or Medline was performed to identify predictors of pathological response (including pCR and recognized tumor regression grades) to fluoropyrimidine-based chemoradiotherapy in patients who underwent total mesorectal excision for rectal cancer. Evidence for clinical, biomarker and radiological predictors is discussed as well as potential future directions.Expert opinion: Our current ability to predict the response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer is very limited. cCR of 40% has been achieved with total neoadjuvant therapy. If neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer continues to improve it is possible that the treatment for rectal cancer may eventually parallel that of anal squamous cell carcinoma, with surgery reserved for the minority of patients who don't respond to chemoradiotherapy.

Clinical predictors of response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer as an aid to organ preservation

AIM

Clinical predictors of pathological response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer can influence patient management including selection for organ preservation. This study aimed to identify clinical predictors at a tertiary referral hospital.

METHODS

A retrospective review of clinical records was undertaken after identifying all patients with stage 1-3 rectal cancer treated with long course chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal excision from 2013 to 2018. Clinicopathological factors were recorded and multivariate analysis performed to identify predictors of pathological complete response (pCR) and good response (AJCC TRG 0-1).

RESULTS

A total of 470 patients with rectal cancer were identified of which 164 met the inclusion criteria for the study. The pCR rate was 14.6% and good response (TRG 0-1) rate 43.7%. On univariate analysis, lower T stage, older age, node negative status, anterior tumour position and shorter tumour length on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were associated with good response (TRG 0-1). On univariate analysis cN stage, carcinoembryonic antigen <5 and shorter tumour length on MRI were associated with pCR. On binary logistic regression shorter length on MRI and lower clinical nodal stage were predictive of pCR and lower body mass index, anterior tumour position and higher haemoglobin were predictive of good response (TRG 0-1).

CONCLUSION

Anterior tumour position is newly identified as an independent predictor of good response (TRG 0-1) to nCRT for rectal cancer and this should be explored in future studies. Higher haemoglobin and lower body mass index were also independent predictors of good response (TRG 0-1) and optimisation of these factors should be considered when using neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer.

Total Neoadjuvant Therapy vs Standard Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Standard therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer includes concurrent chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (CRT plus A). An alternative strategy known as total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) involves administration of CRT plus neoadjuvant chemotherapy before surgery with the goal of delivering uninterrupted systemic therapy to eradicate micrometastases. A comparison of these 2 approaches has not been systematically reviewed previously.

Objective

To determine the differences in rates of pathologic complete response (PCR), disease-free and overall survival, sphincter-preserving surgery, and ileostomy between patients receiving TNT vs standard CRT plus A.

Data Sources

MEDLINE (via PubMed) and Embase (via OVID) were searched from inception through July 1, 2020, for the following terms: anal/anorectal neoplasms OR anal/anorectal cancer AND total neoadjuvant treatment OR total neoadjuvant therapy. Only studies in English were included.

Study Selection

Randomized clinical trials or prospective/retrospective cohort studies comparing outcomes in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received TNT vs CRT plus A.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Data regarding the first author, publication year, location, sample size, and rates of PCR, sphincter-preserving surgery, ileostomy, and disease-free and overall survival were extracted using Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines and pooled using a random-effects model.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Rates of PCR, sphincter-preserving surgery, ileostomy, and disease-free and overall survival.

Results

After reviewing 2165 reports, 7 unique studies including a total of 2416 unique patients, of whom 1206 received TNT, were selected. The median age for the patients receiving TNT ranged from 57 to 69 years, with 58% to 73% being male. The pooled prevalence of PCR was 29.9% (range, 17.2%-38.5%) in the TNT group and 14.9% (range, 4.2%-21.3%) in the CRT plus A group. Total neoadjuvant therapy was associated with a higher chance of achieving a PCR (odds ratio [OR], 2.44; 95% CI, 1.99-2.98). No statistically significant difference in the proportion of sphincter-preserving surgery (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.73-1.54) or ileostomy (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.76-1.46) between recipients of TNT and CRT plus A was observed. Only 3 studies presented data on disease-free survival, and pooled analysis showed significantly higher odds of improved disease-free survival in patients who received TNT (OR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.20-3.56; I2 = 49%). Data on overall survival were not consistently reported.

Conclusions and Relevance

The findings of this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that TNT is a promising strategy in locally advanced rectal cancer, with superior rates of PCR compared with standard therapy. However, the long-term effect on disease recurrence and overall survival needs to be explored in future studies.

Comprehensive Analysis of DNA Methylation and Prediction of Response to NeoadjuvantTherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

The treatment for locally advanced rectal carcinomas (LARC) is based on neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and surgery, which results in pathological complete response (pCR) in up to 30% of patients. Since epigenetic changes may influence response to therapy, we aimed to identify DNA methylation markers predictive of pCR in LARC patients treated with nCRT. We used high-throughput DNA methylation analysis of 32 treatment-naïve LARC biopsies and five normal rectal tissues to explore the predictive value of differentially methylated (DM) CpGs. External validation was carried out with The Cancer Genome Atlas-Rectal Adenocarcinoma (TCGA-READ 99 cases). A classifier based on three-CpGs DM (linked to OBSL1, GPR1, and INSIG1 genes) was able to discriminate pCR from incomplete responders with high sensitivity and specificity. The methylation levels of the selected CpGs confirmed the predictive value of our classifier in 77 LARCs evaluated by bisulfite pyrosequencing. Evaluation of external datasets (TCGA-READ, GSE81006, GSE75546, and GSE39958) reproduced our results. As the three CpGs were mapped near to regulatory elements, we performed an integrative analysis in regions associated with predicted cis-regulatory elements. A positive and inverse correlation between DNA methylation and gene expression was found in two CpGs. We propose a novel predictive tool based on three CpGs potentially useful for pretreatment screening of LARC patients and guide the selection of treatment modality.

Provider Viewpoints in the Management and Referral of Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Patients with rectal cancer treated at specialized or high-volume hospitals have better outcomes, but a minority of these patients are treated there. Physician recommendations are important considerations for patients with rectal cancer when making treatment decisions, yet little is known about the factors that affect these physician referral patterns.

METHODS

Semistructured telephone interviews were conducted in 2018-2019 with Iowa gastroenterologists (GIs) and general surgeons (GSs) who performed colonoscopies in a community setting. A thematic approach was used to analyze and code qualitative data.

RESULTS

We interviewed 10 GIs and 6 GSs with self-reported averages of 15.5 y in practice, 1100 endoscopic procedures annually, and 6 rectal cancer diagnoses annually. Physicians believed surgeon experience and colorectal specialization were directly related to positive outcomes in rectal cancer resections. Most GSs performed resections on patients they diagnosed and typically only referred patients to colorectal surgeons (CRS) in complex cases. Conversely, GIs generally referred to CRS in all cases. Adhering to existing referral patterns due to the pressure of health care networks was a salient theme for both GIs and GSs.

CONCLUSIONS

While respondents believe that high volume/specialization is related to improved surgical outcomes, referral recommendations are heavily influenced by existing referral networks. Referral practices also differ by diagnosing specialty and suggest rural patients may be less likely to be referred to a CRS because more GSs perform colonoscopies in rural areas and tend to keep patients for resection. System-level interventions that target referral networks may improve rectal cancer outcomes at the population level.

Adding Boost to Standard Neoadjuvant Radiation for Rectal Cancer Improves Likelihood of Complete Response

BACKGROUND

Pathologic tumor response is a prognostic factor for survival in patients with rectal cancer. Standard neoadjuvant radiation (nRT) dosing for locally advanced rectal cancer ranges from 4500 to 5400 centigray (cGy), but it is unknown if tumor regression differs as a consequence adding a boost to the tumor bed.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database (NCDB) 2006-2016 was used to identify patients 18 years of age and older with clinical stage II and III rectal cancer who received pelvic nRT dosed between 4500 and 5400 cGy. Standard nRT dose (no boost, NB) and dose with boost (DWB) were defined respectively as 4500 and 5040-5400 cGy. Complete pathologic response (pCR) was defined as postoperative pathologic stage of zero. A multivariate logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association between radiation dosing and pCR.

RESULTS

The study cohort was 28,841 patients; the majority received DWB 22,701 (78.7%), while 6140 (21.3%) received NB. pCR was achieved in 3135 (14.4%) patients. On multivariate analysis, patients who received NB were significantly less likely to have complete tumor response (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.2-1.66, p < 0.001). Other factors significantly associated with pCR included insurance, facility type, tumor characteristics, clinical stage, and time between radiation and surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first investigation demonstrating that standard dose neoadjuvant radiation for rectal cancer was associated with a lower likelihood of pCR compared with standard dose with boost. Past studies demonstrate that rectal cancer patient survival is strongly correlated with pCR. Prospective trials should focus on examining neoadjuvant radiation dosing to evaluate if DWB improves outcomes.

Transcatheter rectal arterial chemoembolization with oxaliplatin plus S-1 concurrent chemoradiotherapy can improve the pathological remission rate in locally advanced rectal cancer: a comparative study

Background

To explore the efficacy and safety of Transcatheter rectal arterial chemoembolization with oxaliplatin and S-1 concurrent chemoradiotherapy as neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer.

Methods

This s a prospective, monocentric, non-randomized clinical study, a total of 95 patients were enrolled and assigned to two groups: an investigational group (n = 50) receiving transcatheter rectal arterial chemoembolization (TRACE) with oxaliplatin and preoperative radiotherapy plus S-1 concurrent chemotherapy (NATRACE-CRT), followed by surgery, a control group (n = 45) receiving standard fluorouracil-based combined modality treatment, consisting of preoperative radiotherapy plus capecitabine based chemotherapy (NA-CRT), followed by surgery. The primary endpoint was postoperative pathological regression rate which evaluated by tumor regression grade (TRG) according to the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) standard, and the secondary endpoints included objective response rate (ORR) and toxicity, as well as surgical complications, and postoperative tumor downstaging.

Results

Compared with NA-CRT group (17.78% (95% confidence interval (CI): 6.2–29.4)), the TRG0 was 30% (95% CI 16.8–43.2) in the NATRACE-CRT group (P = 0.231). The TRG0 + 1 rate was 60% (95% CI: 45.9–74.1) and 33.33% (95% CI: 19–47.7) in NATRACE-CRT group and NA-CRT group, respectively (P = 0.013). The ORR of the NATRACE-CRT group was 84% and that of the NA-CRT group was 66.67% (p = 0.058). Incidence of preoperative toxic side effects and surgical complications was similar between the two groups.

Conclusion

TRACE with oxaliplatin plus concurrent S-1 chemoradiotherapy as a neoadjuvant therapy provided better pathological remission rate versus standard treatment with a similar safety profile.

Trial registration

NCT03601156.

Randomized controlled trial of 8 weeks' vs 12 weeks' interval between neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer

AIM

The aim was to compare the pathological complete response (pCR) rate at 8 compared to 12 weeks' interval between completion of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and surgery in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHOD

This was a randomized trial which included a total of 330 patients from two institutions. Patients with locally advanced (T3-4N0M0, TxN+M0) rectal cancer were randomized into 8- and 12-week interval groups. All the patients received long-course CRT (45 Gy in 1.8 Gy fractions and concomitant oral capecitabine or 5-fluorouracil infusion). Surgery was performed at either 8 or 12 weeks after CRT. The primary end-point was pCR. Secondary end-points were sphincter preservation, postoperative morbidity and mortality.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and fifty-two patients (n = 125 in the 8-week group, n = 127 in the 12-week group) were included. Demographic and clinical characteristics were similar between groups. The overall pCR rate was 17.9% (n = 45): 12% (n = 15) in the 8-week group and 23.6% (n = 30) in the 12-week group (P = 0.021). Sphincter-preserving surgery was performed in 107 (85.6%) patients which was significantly higher than the 94 (74%) patients in the 12-week group (P = 0.016). Postoperative mortality was seen in three (1.2%) patients overall and was not different between groups (1.6% in 8 weeks vs 0.8% in 12 weeks, P = 0.494). Groups were similar in anastomotic leak (10.8% in 8 weeks vs 4.5% in 12 weeks, P = 0.088) and morbidity (30.4% in 8 weeks and 20.1% in 12 weeks, P = 0.083).

CONCLUSION

Extending the interval between CRT and surgery from 8 to 12 weeks resulted in a 2-fold increase in pCR rate without any difference in mortality and morbidity.

Predicting pathological complete response in rectal cancer after chemoradiotherapy with a random forest using 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography and computed tomography radiomics

Background

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery is the standard treatment for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This study developed a random forest (RF) model to predict pathological complete response (pCR) based on radiomics derived from baseline ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose ([¹⁸F]FDG)-positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT).

Methods

This study included 169 patients with newly diagnosed rectal cancer. All patients received ¹⁸F[FDG]-PET/CT, NCRT, and surgery. In total, 68 radiomic features were extracted from the metabolic tumor volume. The numbers of splits in a decision tree and trees in an RF were determined based on their effects on predictive performance. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to evaluate predictive performance and ascertain the optimal threshold for maximizing prediction accuracy.

Results

After NCRT, 22 patients (13%) achieved pCR, and 42 features that could differentiate tumors with pCR were used to construct the RF model. Six decision trees and seven splits were suitable. Accordingly, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy were 81.8%, 97.3%, 81.8%, 97.3%, and 95.3%, respectively.

Conclusions

By using an RF, we determined that radiomics derived from baseline ¹⁸F[FDG]-PET/CT could accurately predict pCR in patients with rectal cancer. Highly accurate and predictive values can be achieved but should be externally validated.

Disparities in neoadjuvant radiation dosing for treatment of rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Certain patients are less likely to undergo appropriate cancer treatment, worsening their overall cancer survival. The purpose of this investigation was to identify factors associated with inadequate neoadjuvant radiation for rectal cancer.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was queried for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received neoadjuvant radiation 2006-2014. Adequate radiation was considered to be 4,500-5,040 cGy. Demographic, hospital and clinical variables were analyzed for association with inadequate radiation.

RESULTS

The study cohort was 34,391 patients; 1,842(5.4%) received inadequate radiation. On multivariate analysis, female gender, older age, other race, government-provided insurance, lower clinical stage and rural location correlated with inadequate radiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Women were 50% less likely than men to receive correct neoadjuvant radiation dosing. Other factors including age, race, insurance, clinical stage, geographic location and neoadjuvant chemotherapy were significantly associated with radiation dosing. These factors should be evaluated to determine if they can be modified to improve outcomes.

Predictors for complete pathological response for stage II and III rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy - A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There has been an increasing interest in the complete pathological response (pCR) in rectal cancers following neoadjuvant therapy. The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors of pCR in locally advanced rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

The studies identified were appraised with standard selection criteria. The selection criteria included studies on patients with stage II or III rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy.

RESULTS

Patients with pCR are more likely to be older (p = 0.0002), have cancers closer distance to the anal verge (p < 0.00001), smaller tumors (P < 0.0001), no clinical lymph nodes involvement (p=<0.00001) and waited more than eight weeks until definitive surgery (p = 0.002). There was no difference in gender (p = 0.15) and tumor differentiation (p = 0.21).

CONCLUSIONS

The 'Watch and Wait' approach may be appropriate for selected patients. Patients with lower rectal cancers, smaller tumors, and negative clinical lymph node involvement may be more likely to achieve pCR following neoadjuvant therapy.

The Role of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in ypT0N0 Rectal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

In patients who develop a complete pathologic response (ypT0N0) following neoadjuvant chemoradiation, the benefits of postoperative chemotherapy remain uncertain. This study aims to determine whether treatment with adjuvant chemotherapy in ypT0N0 patients affects short- and long-term outcomes.

METHODS

From January 2000 to December 2015, 992 patients at our institution underwent surgery for rectal adenocarcinoma following treatment with neoadjuvant chemoradiation. A complete pathologic response was noted in 96 (9.7%) patients. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 60 (62.5%) patients. We reviewed clinical and pathological records and compared outcomes in ypT0N0 patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy to those who did not.

RESULTS

The mean age of patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy was 55.6 ± 11.5 years, compared to 62.1 ± 11.7 years for those who did not (p = 0.008). Among the two groups, mean follow-up time after surgery was 5.3 ± 4.1 years for the adjuvant group and 8.3 ± 5.5 years for the non-adjuvant cohort (p = 0.003). The 1, 3, and 5-year survival rates were 100.0%, 97.7%, and 92.1% for patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy and 97.2%, 94.1%, and 90.7% for those who did not (p = 0.382). In a subanalysis of patients with available follow-up information, we observed 3/53 (5.7%) disease recurrences in patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy, compared to 2/18 (11.1%) in those who were not treated postoperatively (p = 0.456).

CONCLUSION

In patients with ypT0N0 rectal adenocarcinoma, we found equivalent survival and recurrence outcomes. Further study will be necessary to determine the importance of adjuvant chemotherapy following ypT0N0 resection.

Neoadjuvant radiotherapy for rectal cancer management

Thirty per cent of all colorectal tumours develop in the rectum. The location of the rectum within the bony pelvis and its proximity to vital structures presents significant therapeutic challenges when considering neoadjuvant options and surgical interventions. Most patients with early rectal cancer can be adequately managed by surgery alone. However, a significant proportion of patients with rectal cancer present with locally advanced disease and will potentially benefit from down staging prior to surgery. Neoadjuvant therapy involves a variety of options including radiotherapy, chemotherapy used alone or in combination. Neoadjuvant radiotherapy in rectal cancer has been shown to be effective in reducing tumour burden in advance of curative surgery. The gold standard surgical rectal cancer management aims to achieve surgical removal of the tumour and all draining lymph nodes, within an intact mesorectal package, in order to minimise local recurrence. It is critically important that all rectal cancer cases are discussed at a multidisciplinary meeting represented by all relevant specialties. Pre-operative staging including CT thorax, abdomen, pelvis to assess for distal disease and magnetic resonance imaging to assess local involvement is essential. Staging radiology and MDT discussion are integral in identifying patients who require neoadjuvant radiotherapy. While Neoadjuvant radiotherapy is potentially beneficial it may also result in morbidity and thus should be reserved for those patients who are at a high risk of local failure, which includes patients with nodal involvement, extramural venous invasion and threatened circumferential margin. The aim of this review is to discuss the role of neoadjuvant radiotherapy in the management of rectal cancer.

Adjuvant chemotherapy in rectal cancer patients who achieved a pathological complete response after preoperative chemoradiotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

This study evaluated the prognostic impact of ACT in patients who achieved a pathological complete response (pCR). Articles published from January 1990 to September 2018 were searched in EMBASE, PubMed, Ovid, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of overall survival (OS) were extracted. Thirteen observational studies were included. There were four National Cancer Database studies with overlapping study periods, thus individual pooled analyses of four different datasets were conducted (n = 3,182, 3,330, 3,575, and 4,739 for pooled analysis sets including Dossa et al., Polanco et al., Xu et al., and Shahab et al., respectively). Although a trend toward improved OS with ACT was observed, statistical significance was not proven (P = 0.09, P = 0.03, P = 0.12, and P = 0.10, respectively). When we performed a stratified analysis comparing the results from single institution and multicenter studies, there was no significant prognostic benefit of ACT. Publication bias was not observed. Routine use of ACT in patients with a pCR could not be warranted from the present meta-analysis. Further study of individual patient data from randomized trials is needed to clarify the role of ACT.

Evolving Treatment Options and Future Directions for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Locally advanced rectal cancer can be biologically heterogeneous, but imaging advances have improved clinical assessment of primary tumor and involved lymph nodes in relation to pelvic structures and intended surgical planes. Contemporary treatment for rectal cancer is tailored to the individual patient through multidisciplinary collaboration among diagnosticians, surgeons, medical oncologists, and radiation oncologists to minimize local recurrence and distant metastases. Furthermore, patient preferences and quality of life preservation are becoming more relevant in the decision-making, and upcoming treatment strategies specifically are designed to minimize toxicities and long-term morbidity. Accumulating data have continued to support the use of total neoadjuvant therapy, namely the completion of: (1) multiagent cytotoxic chemotherapy; and (2) pelvic radiation with or without a radiosensitizing agent, before surgery. The total neoadjuvant therapy strategy not only eliminates potentially occult metastases early but also opens up the possibility of nonsurgical management for those who decline or are unfit for surgery. Finally, noncytotoxic agents in combination with established chemotherapy agents along with potentially predictive biomarkers are also being actively investigated to further improve the clinical outcomes of rectal cancer.

Predictors and Risk Factors of Pathologic Complete Response Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Rectal Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis

Background: Patients with rectal cancer who achieve pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) may have a better prognosis and may be eligible for non-operative management. The aim of this research was to identify variables for predicting pCR in rectal cancer patients after nCRT and to define clinical risk factors for poor outcome after pCR to nCRT and radical resection in rectal cancer patients. Methods: A retrospective review was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2013. Non-metastatic rectal cancer patients who received radical resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were included in this study. Multivariate analysis of the association between clinicopathological characteristics and pCR was performed, and a logistic regression model was used to identify independent predictors for pCR. A nomogram based on the multivariate logistics regression was built with decision curve analyses to evaluate the clinical usefulness. Results: A total of 6,555 patients were included in this study. The proportion of patients with pCR was 20.5% (n = 1,342). The nomogram based on multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that clinical T4 and N2 stages were the most significant independent clinical predictors for not achieving pCR, followed by mucinous adenocarcinoma and positive pre-treatment serum CEA results. The 3-year overall survival rate was 92.4% for those with pCR and 88.2% for those without pCR. Among all the pCR patients, mucinous adenocarcinoma patients had the worst survival, with a 3-year overall survival rate of 67.5%, whereas patients with common adenocarcinoma had an overall survival rate of 93.8% (P < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that histology and clinical N2 stage were independent risk factors. Conclusion: Mucinous adenocarcinoma, positive pre-treatment serum CEA results, and clinical T4 and N2 stages may impart difficulty for patients to achieve pCR. Mucinous adenocarcinoma and clinical N2 stage might be indicative of a prognostically unfavorable biological tumor profile with a greater propensity for local or distant recurrence and decreased survival.

The effect of time interval from chemoradiation to surgery on postoperative complications in patients with rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

A prolonged time interval between chemoradiation and total mesorectal excision (TME) may render more rectal cancer patients eligible for organ-sparing approaches but may also cause more pelvic fibrosis and surgical morbidity. We estimated the effect of time interval on postoperative complications and other surgical outcomes in rectal cancer patients.

METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study using data of the Dutch Colorectal Audit. Rectal cancer patients treated with chemoradiation followed by TME after an interval of 3-20 weeks were selected (n = 6,268). Time interval from completion of chemoradiation to TME was categorized into 3-6, 7-8, 9-10, 11-12 and 13-20 weeks. Outcomes included postoperative complication (any, and stratified by medical and surgical complications), reintervention, intraoperative complication, incomplete resection, positive circumferential margin (CRM) and pathological complete response (pCR). The interval of 7-8 weeks was the reference group.

RESULTS

Prolonged time intervals were not associated with a higher risk of a postoperative complication (any, surgical or medical), reintervention, and incomplete resection. Intraoperative complications were however more common after 11-12 weeks than after 7-8 weeks (odds ratio (OR) = 1.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.20-2.69). The interval of 9-10 weeks was associated with less CRM positive resections, and 9-10 and 13-20 weeks with more pCR (relative to 7-8 weeks, OR = 0.74, 95%CI = 0.56-0.98; OR = 1.28, 95%CI = 1.04-1.58; and OR = 1.33, 95%CI = 1.04-1.71, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with 7-8 weeks, longer time intervals up to 13-20 weeks between chemoradiation and TME are not associated with more postoperative complications or more positive resection margins. Accordingly, prolonging the interval aiming for organ-sparing treatment is safe.

Variation in the Thoroughness of Pathologic Assessment and Response Rates of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancers After Chemoradiation

BACKGROUND

Pathologic complete response (pCR) is associated with better prognosis and guides management for patients with advanced rectal cancer. Response rates vary between series for unclear reasons. We examine whether the thoroughness of pathologic assessment explains differences in pCR rates.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed pathology reports from patients with stage II/III rectal cancer who underwent chemoradiation and resection in a prospective, multicenter trial. We utilized a novel measure for the thoroughness of pathologic assessment by dividing residual tumor size by the number of cassettes evaluated (tumor size to cassette ratio, TSCR), and evaluated whether TSCR is associated with pCR. We validated our findings using a separate cohort.

RESULTS

From the trial cohort, 71 of 247 (29%) patients achieved pCR. The pCR rate ranged from 0 to 45% and mean TSCR ranged 0.29 to 0.87 across 12 institutions. Within each institution, a lower TSCR was associated with pCR, demonstrating a higher degree of thoroughness used for tumors that achieved pCR. Moreover, across all samples, low TSCR was independently associated with pCR on multivariable analysis. This finding was corroborated in a separate cohort of 201 tumors evaluated by five pathologists; each pathologist had a lower mean TSCR for pCR calls compared with non-pCR calls. However, the mean TSCR for an institution was not associated with its overall pCR rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Pathologists assess rectal cancers that have responded significantly to neoadjuvant therapy more thoroughly. Thoroughness does not appear to explain differences in pCR rates between institutions. Our results suggest pCR is not a sampling artifact.

How to Achieve a Higher Pathologic Complete Response in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Who Receive Preoperative Chemoradiation Therapy

The current standard of care for treating patients with locally advanced rectal cancer includes preoperative chemoradiation therapy (PCRT) followed by a total mesorectal excision and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. A subset of these patients has achieved a pathologic complete response (pCR) and they have shown improved disease-free and overall survival compared to non-pCR patients. Thus, many efforts have been made to achieve a higher pCR through PCRT. In this review, results from various ongoing and recently completed clinical trials that are being or have been conducted with an aim to improve tumor response by modifying therapy will be discussed.

Nomograms for predicting pathological response to neoadjuvant treatments in patients with rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

In recent decades, neoadjuvant therapy (NT) has been the standardized treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Approximately 8%-35% of patients with LARC who received NT were reported to have achieved a complete pathological response (pCR). If the pathological response (PR) can be accurately predicted, these patients may not need surgery. In addition, no response after NT implies that the tumor is destructive, resistant to both chemotherapy and radiotherapy, and prone to having a high metastatic potential. Therefore, developing accurate models to predict PR has great clinical significance and can help achieve individualized treatment in LARC patients.

AIM

To establish nomograms for predicting PR to different NT regimens based on pretreatment parameters for patients with LARC.

METHODS

Rectal cancer patients were identified from the database of The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from January 2012 to December 2016. Logistic regression and nomograms were developed to predict the probability of pCR and good downstaging to ypT0-2N0M0 (ypTNM 0-I), respectively, based on pretreatment parameters for all LARC patients. Nomograms were also developed for three NT regimens (capecitabine/deGramont-RT, mFOLFOX6, and mFOLFOX6-RT) to predict pCR probability.

RESULTS

Four hundred and three patients were included in this study; 72 (17.9%) had pCR at the final pathology report, and 177 (43.9%) achieved good downstaging to ypT0-2N0M0 (ypTNM 0-I). The nomogram for predicting pCR probability showed that NT regimens, tumor differentiation, mesorectal fascia (MRF) status, and tumor length significantly influenced pCR probability. When predicting the probability of good downstaging, tumor differentiation, MRF status, and clinical T stage were the significant factors. Nomograms were developed based on NT regimens. For the capecitabine/de Gramont-RT group, the multivariate analysis showed that the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was the only significant factor, thus we could not develop a nomogram for this regimen. For the mFOLFOX6-RT group, the analysis showed that the significant factors were tumor length and MRF status; and for the mFOLFOX6 group, the significant factors were tumor length and tumor differentiation.

CONCLUSION

We established accurate nomograms for predicting the PR to preoperative NT regimens based on pretreatment parameters for LARC patients.

Lymphocyte nadir predicts tumor response and survival in locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: Immunologic relevance

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) could reduce tumor infiltrating lymphocytes. We examined absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) nadir during nCRT, pathologic response and prognosis for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

102 patients with LARC (cT3-4N0, or node-positive) treated between 2010 and 2015 with nCRT followed by complete resection were analyzed. The ALC value was obtained prior to, weekly during the treatment, and one month after nCRT. Associations of ALC nadir with immune cells' infiltrations, pathologic response and survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

Twenty-four (23.5%) and 60 (58.9%) patients achieved pathologic complete response and partial response respectively. Response rate was higher in high ALC nadir group than low nadir group (89.7% vs. 67.6%, p = 0.006). Compared to low ALC nadir group, increased tumor infiltrates of CD4+ (4% vs. 17.5%, p < 0.001), CD8+ (8% vs.30%, p < 0.001) T cells and CD68+ macrophages (6% vs. 25%, p < 0.001) were observed in high ALC nadir group. High ALC nadir [OR = 4.32 (95% CI, 1.22-15.26), p = 0.023] and well differentiation [OR = 10.53 (1.87-59.36), p = 0.008] were associated with pathologic response. Patients with high ALC nadir yielded better DFS [HR = 0.36 (0.16-0.81), p = 0.010] and OS [HR = 0.24 (0.08-0.69), p = 0.004].

CONCLUSIONS

Higher ALC nadir during nCRT is associated with a higher rate of pathologic response and better survival for LARC patients, suggesting that ALC may be a potential stratification strategy for LARC patients.

Association Between Hospital and Surgeon Volume and Rectal Cancer Surgery Outcomes in Patients With Rectal Cancer Treated Since 2000: Systematic Literature Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous reviews and meta-analyses, which predominantly focused on patients treated before 2000, have reported conflicting evidence about the association between hospital/surgeon volume and rectal cancer outcomes. Given advances in rectal cancer resection, such as total mesorectal excision, it is essential to determine whether volume plays a role in rectal cancer outcomes among patients treated since 2000.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether there is an association between hospital/surgeon volume and rectal cancer surgery outcomes among patients treated since 2000.

DATA SOURCES

We searched PubMed and EMBASE for articles published between January 2000 and December 29, 2017.

STUDY SELECTION

Articles that analyzed the association between hospital/surgeon volume and rectal cancer outcomes were selected.

INTERVENTION

Rectal cancer resection was the study intervention.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcome measures of this study were surgical morbidity, postoperative mortality, surgical margin positivity, permanent colostomy rates, recurrence, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Although 2845 articles were retrieved and assessed by the search strategy, 21 met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. There was a significant protective association between higher hospital volume and surgical morbidity (OR = 0.80 (95% CI, 0.70-0.93); I = 35%), permanent colostomy (OR = 0.51 (95% CI, 0.29-0.92); I = 34%), and postoperative mortality (OR = 0.62 (95% CI, 0.43-0.88); I = 34%), and overall survival (OR = 0.99 (95% CI, 0.98-1.00); I = 3%). Stratified analysis showed that the magnitude of association between hospital volume and rectal cancer surgery outcomes was stronger in the United States compared with other countries. Surgeon volume was not significantly associated with overall survival. The articles included in this analysis were high quality according to the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Funnel plots suggested that the potential for publication bias was low.

LIMITATIONS

Some articles included rectosigmoid cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients diagnosed since 2000, higher hospital volume has had a significant protective effect on rectal cancer surgery outcomes.

FGF8 induces therapy resistance in neoadjuvantly radiated rectal cancer

Purpose

Therapy response to neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (nRCT) of locally advanced rectal cancer varies widely so that markers predicting response are urgently needed. Fibroblast growth factor (FGF) and FGF receptor (FGFR) signaling is involved in pro-survival signaling and thereby may result in radiation resistance.

Methods

In a cohort of 43 rectal cancer patients, who received nRCT, we analyzed protein levels of FGF 8 and its downstream target Survivin by immunohistochemistry to assess their impact on nRCT response. In vitro resistance models were created by exposing colorectal cancer cell lines to fractionated irradiation and selecting long-term survivors.

Results

Our findings revealed significantly higher FGF8 and Survivin staining scores in pre-treatment biopsies as well as in surgical specimens of non-responsive compared to responsive patients. Functional studies demonstrated dose-dependent induction of FGF8 mRNA expression in mismatch-incompetent DLD1 cells already after one dose of irradiation. Surviving clones after one or two series of radiation were more resistant to an additional radiation fraction than non-irradiated controls and showed a significant increase in expression of the FGF8 receptor FGFR3 and of Survivin on both the RNA and the protein levels.

Conclusion

The results of this study suggest that FGF8 and Survivin contribute to radiation resistance in rectal cancer and may serve as markers to select patients who may not benefit from neoadjuvant radiotherapy.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00432-018-2757-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Does timing of esophagectomy following neoadjuvant chemoradiation affect outcomes? A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The optimal timing of esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiation treatment (nCRT) remains unclear. Here, a meta-analysis was conducted to determine whether prolonged interval between nCRT and surgery can affect the outcomes in esophageal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The databases PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane were systematically searched for studies reporting the outcomes in esophageal cancer according to the length of interval between nCRT and surgery. The primary outcome was rate of pathologic complete response (pCR), and the secondary outcomes included R0 resection rate, incidence of anastomotic leak, postoperative mortality, and two or five-year overall survival (OS). The intervals were classified into dichotomous (≤7-8 weeks and >7-8 weeks) for the pooled analysis, and a combined relative risk (RR) was calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 13 studies involving 15,086 patients were analyzed. The overall results indicated that an interval longer than 7-8 weeks between the end of nCRT and the surgery was significantly associated with an improved pCR rate (RR, 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.21; P = 0.001). However, it was related to a higher 30-day surgical mortality (RR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.19-1.92; P = 0.0006). The subgroup analyses only detected a significant association of the extended interval with pCR and the surgical mortality rate in adenocarcinoma patients. Moreover, an increased time interval resulted in a lower 2-year (RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90-0.98; P = 0.002) and 5-year OS (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.82-0.95; P = 0.0009). No association with R0 resection rate or anastomotic complication resulting from delayed resection was detected.

CONCLUSIONS

Although increasing the time interval from nCRT to esophagectomy was associated with significantly higher pathologic complete response rates in esophageal cancer, delaying the surgery might be disadvantageous for the long-term survival.