Development of a Geriatric Prognostic Scoring System for Predicting Survival After Surgery for Elderly Patients With Gastrointestinal Cancer

Assessing the Risk of Postoperative Delirium Through Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status of Elderly Patients With Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Postoperative delirium is especially common and often problematic among elderly patients undergoing surgery. This study aimed to explore factors that can predict postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery.

METHODS

This cohort study included 255 patients age 75 years or older who underwent gastric cancer surgery between July 2010 and December 2020. All the patients underwent preoperative comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) evaluation by a geriatrician. In addition to the CGA items, this study investigated the association between postoperative delirium and clinicopathologic factors, including Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS).

RESULTS

The most common postoperative complication was delirium, present in 31 patients (12.2%). The group with delirium was significantly more likely to have ECOG-PS ≥ 2, diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease, or cerebral infarction. The CGA showed frailty in the Instrumental Activities of Daily Living scale (IADL), the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), the Vitality Index (VI), and the Geriatric Depression Scale 15 (GDS-15). In the multivariate analysis, the independent risk factors for delirium were ECOG-PS ≥ 2 (P = 0.002) and MMSE-frailty (P < 0.001). Using an MMSE score of ≤ 23 and an ECOG-PS score of ≥ 2 as cutoffs, postoperative delirium was predicted with a sensitivity of 80.7% and a specificity of 74.1%.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative delirium might be more easily predicted based on the combination of MMSE and ECOG-PS for elderly patients with gastric cancer undergoing gastrectomy.

Geriatric Assessment Scale for Optimal Management of Gastric Cancer in Older Adults Who Underwent Gastrectomy: A Systematic Review

INTRODUCTION

Stomach cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer worldwide, especially in the population over 65 years. The survival rate of the elderly is lower in comparison with young people, and they are underrepresented in clinical trials and research in general. The evaluation of Multidimensional Geriatric Assessment (MGA) would be key for assessing the prognosis of these patients and therefore having a more informed decision-making process when considering one of the most vulnerable populations.

METHODS

A search was performed in the OVID, Embase, and PubBMed databases. There was no restriction on publication time, language, or study design. Eligible studies were those that included geriatric patients with a diagnosis of nonmetastatic stomach cancer who receive oncospecific and surgical management, used Multidimensional/Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (MGA), and which outcomes included at least overall survival, morbidity, and mortality.

RESULTS

Four studies were included, and the MGA battery was not implemented, but rather easily measurable scales such as nutritional status, functional status, cognitive and behavioral disorders, comorbidities, and polypharmacy. Some authors proposed that the assessment of overall survival is not explicit among the included studies; patients with gastric cancer and mild, moderate, severe, and total dependence had higher mortality than independent patients (39% [HR 1.39; 95% CI: 1.09-1.7], 68% [95% CI: 1.46-1.93], 187% [HR 2.87 95% CI: 2.47-3.34], and 234% [95% CI: 2.81-3.97]), respectively. The Zhou study showed an association between sarcopenia, assessed by imaging studies, and a longer hospital stay in days (16 [9] vs. 13 [6], p 0.004). The study by Pujara found that polypharmacy (OR 2.36 CI: 1.08-5.17) and weight loss greater than 10% in the past 6 months were associated with greater postoperative morbidity at 90 days (OR 2.36 CI: 1.08-5.17, OR 11.21 CI: 2.16-58.24).

CONCLUSION

MGA was not broadly implemented. Geriatric assessment dependency appears to be a prognostic marker of survival in patients with gastric cancer. Sarcopenia appears to be an important prognostic marker for short- and long-term outcomes. Higher quality studies in this specific population are required to support the systematic use of this assessment for the choice of appropriate therapy according to the patient.

Geriatric prognostic scoring system predicts survival after hepatectomy for elderly patients with liver cancer

Aim

The number of elderly patients with liver cancer is increasing with the aging society. The Geriatric Prognostic Scoring System is useful in predicting the postoperative prognosis for elderly patients with gastrointestinal cancer. The aim of the present study was to assess the predictive ability of the geriatric prognostic scoring system for postoperative survival in elderly patients with liver cancer.

Methods

Eighty-eight patients aged ≥75 years who were treated for primary liver cancer and metastatic liver tumor were retrospectively analyzed. The Geriatric Prognostic Score (GPS) was created by several clinical parameters such as age, sex, type of cancer, stage, performance status, body mass index, and comprehensive geriatric assessment. Each patient was divided into two groups of high-risk to low-risk according to their GPS: ≧30 high-risk group and <30 low-risk. The predictive ability of geriatric prognostic scoring system for postoperative survival was assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Of the 88 patients, 75 were diagnosed as hepatocellular carcinoma and 13 as colorectal liver metastasis. After geriatric prognostic scoring system assessments, 26 patients were diagnosed as high-risk and the remaining 62 as low-risk. The 3-year overall survival rates were 78.5% in the low-risk group and 35.1% in the high-risk group (p < 0.001). The univariate and multivariate analyses of overall survival identified high GPS as an independent significant factor (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

We could conclude that the geriatric prognostic scoring system is useful in predicting patients' prognosis after hepatectomy and it can provide helpful information to surgeons for determining treatment strategies for elderly patients with liver cancer.

Knee Extensor Weakness Potently Predicts Postoperative Outcomes in Older Gastrointestinal Cancer Patients

OBJECTIVES

Muscle weakness, assessed by grip strength, has been shown to predict postoperative mortality in older patients with cancer. Because lower extremity muscle strength well reflects physical performance, we examined whether lower knee extension muscle strength predicts postoperative mortality better than grip strength in older patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

DESIGN

Prospective, observational study in a single institution.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 813 patients (79.0 ± 4.2 years, 66.5% male) aged 65 years or older with gastrointestinal cancer who underwent preoperative evaluation of grip strength and isometric knee extension muscle strength between April 2012 and April 2019 were included.

METHODS

The study participants were prospectively followed up for postoperative mortality. Muscle weakness was defined as the lowest quartile of grip strength or knee extension strength (GS-muscle weakness and KS-muscle weakness, respectively).

RESULTS

Among the study participants, 176 patients died during a median follow-up of 716 days. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, we found that patients with both GS-muscle weakness and KS-muscle weakness had a lower survival rate than those without muscle weakness. As expected, higher clinical stages and abdominal and thoracic surgeries compared with endoscopic surgery were associated with increased all-cause mortality. In addition, we found that KS-muscle weakness, but not GS-muscle weakness, was an independent prognostic factor after adjusting for sex, body mass index, cancer stage, surgical technique, and surgical site in the Cox proportional hazard model.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

In older patients with gastrointestinal cancer, muscle weakness based on knee extension muscle strength can be a better predictor of postoperative prognosis than muscle weakness based on grip strength.

Preoperative Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment Predicts Postoperative Risk in Older Patients with Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative risk assessment is important in older patients because they often have comorbidities and impaired organ function. We performed preoperative comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) for older patients with esophageal cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 217 patients over 75 years old who underwent esophagectomy for thoracic esophageal cancer were analyzed. The CGA was performed preoperatively and included the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Geriatric Depression Score (GDS), vitality index, Barthel index, and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL). We defined the robust group as patients with normal function on every instrument, and the pre-frail and frail groups as those with functional impairment on one instrument or two or more instruments, respectively. We assessed how the CGA correlated with postoperative complications and prognosis.

RESULTS

Of the 217 patients, 86 (39.6%) were in the robust group, 68 (31.3%) in the pre-frail group, and 63 (29.0%) in the frail group. Postoperative pneumonia (P = 0.026) and anastomotic leakage (P = 0.032) were significantly more common in the frail group. The frail group had a significantly longer postoperative hospitalization period (P = 0.016) and significantly lower rate of discharge to home (P = 0.016). Overall survival (OS) was significantly worse in the frail group (5-year overall survival rate, frail group versus others, 37.8% versus 52.0%, P = 0.046), but it was not significant on multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative CGA in older patients with esophageal cancer was associated with risk of postoperative complications.

Bayesian Network Analysis for Prediction of Unplanned Hospital Readmissions of Cancer Patients with Breakthrough Cancer Pain and Complex Care Needs

Background: Unplanned hospital readmissions (HRAs) are very common in cancer patients. These events can potentially impair the patients’ health-related quality of life and increase cancer care costs. In this study, data-driven prediction models were developed for identifying patients at a higher risk for HRA. Methods: A large dataset on cancer pain and additional data from clinical registries were used for conducting a Bayesian network analysis. A cohort of gastrointestinal cancer patients was selected. Logical and clinical relationships were a priori established to define and associate the considered variables including cancer type, body mass index (BMI), bone metastasis, serum albumin, nutritional support, breakthrough cancer pain (BTcP), and radiotherapy. Results: The best model (Bayesian Information Criterion) demonstrated that, in the investigated setting, unplanned HRAs are directly related to nutritional support (p = 0.05) and radiotherapy. On the contrary, BTcP did not significantly affect HRAs. Nevertheless, the correlation between variables showed that when BMI ≥ 25 kg/m², the spontaneous BTcP is more predictive for HRAs. Conclusions: Whilst not without limitations, a Bayesian model, combined with a careful selection of clinical variables, can represent a valid strategy for predicting unexpected HRA events in cancer patients. These findings could be useful for calibrating care interventions and implementing processes of resource allocation.

Risk Factors for Hospitalizations Among Older Adults with Gastrointestinal Cancers

Background

Older adults (≥65 years) with gastrointestinal (GI) cancers who receive chemotherapy are at increased risk of hospitalization caused by treatment-related toxicity. Geriatric assessment (GA) has been previously shown to predict risk of toxicity in older adults undergoing chemotherapy. However, studies incorporating the GA specifically in older adults with GI cancers have been limited. This study sought to identify GA-based risk factors for chemotherapy toxicity–related hospitalization among older adults with GI cancers.

Patients and Methods

We performed a secondary post hoc subgroup analysis of two prospective studies used to develop and validate a GA-based chemotherapy toxicity score. The incidence of unplanned hospitalizations during the course of chemotherapy treatment was determined.

Results

This analysis included 199 patients aged ≥65 years with a diagnosis of GI cancer (85 colorectal, 51 gastric/esophageal, and 63 pancreatic/hepatobiliary). Sixty-five (32.7%) patients had ≥1 hospitalization. Univariate analysis identified sex (female), cardiac comorbidity, stage IV disease, low serum albumin, cancer type (gastric/esophageal), hearing deficits, and polypharmacy as risk factors for hospitalization. Multivariable analyses found that patients who had cardiac comorbidity (OR 2.48, 95% CI 1.13-5.42) were significantly more likely to be hospitalized.

Conclusion

Cardiac comorbidity may be a risk factor for hospitalization in older adults with GI cancers receiving chemotherapy. Further studies with larger sample sizes are warranted to examine the relationship between GA measures and hospitalization in this vulnerable population.

A nationwide web-based survey of oncologic surgeons to clarify the current status of preoperative assessment for elderly cancer surgery patients in Japan

Elderly cancer patients requiring surgical treatment are increasing, and the deterioration of quality of life and shortening of healthy life expectancy due to postoperative complications represent major problems. This study investigated the current status of medical treatment, including perioperative evaluations, for elderly cancer patients requiring surgical treatment at cancer treatment facilities nationwide. A total of 436 cancer care facilities around Japan were invited to participate in this web-based survey regarding management of cancer patients ≥ 65 years old who had undergone surgical treatment in 2018. A total of 919 department heads from 245 facilities agreed to participate. Although most respondents answered that performance status, preoperative examinations, and comorbidities were important when deciding on a treatment plan, age, Geriatric Assessment (GA), and guidelines were "not important" for > 10% of all respondents. GA was familiar to 195 department heads (21%), and awareness of GA was significantly lower among respondents from medical education institutions than the other types of hospitals (18.5% vs 26.3%; P = 0.006). This large survey revealed that the use of GA is not widespread, and its awareness in medical education institutions remains low. We believe that accumulating evidence of geriatric oncology surgery is an urgent issue in Japan.

Survival analyses of elderly gastric cancer patients with or without surgery

PURPOSE

Deciding whether or not surgery should be performed for elderly patients is sometimes difficult. This study examined the prognosis of patients ≥ 80 years old with gastric cancer who underwent surgery or not.

METHODS

The medical records of 111 patients who underwent surgery (surgery group) and 35 who received best supportive care (BSC group) were retrospectively reviewed, excluding those with clinical stage IVB disease, those with a performance status of 4, and those who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection. The overall survival was compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

The patients in the BSC group were significantly older and had worse performance status scores, worse physiological scores, and lower prognostic nutritional indexes than those in the surgery group. The patients in the surgery group showed a significantly better survival than those in the BSC group (median survival time, 38.9 vs. 11.4 months; p = 0.01) even after propensity score matching. In the subgroups of patients ≥ 90 years old and those with a performance status of 3, no marked difference in the survival between the 2 groups was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgery imbued a survival benefit to elderly gastric cancer patients, except for those ≥ 90 years old and those with a performance status of ≥ 3. The surgical indication of patients ≥ 90 years old and those with a performance status of ≥ 3 requires careful deliberation.