Prognostic Impact of Atrial Fibrillation and New Risk Score of Its Onset in Patients at High Risk of Heart Failure - A Report From the CHART-2 Study

Clinical impact of atrial fibrillation progression in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: A report from the CHART-2 Study

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexists with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and clinical outcomes of patients with AF vary depending on its subtype. While AF progression characterized by the transition from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF is sometimes observed, the incidence and clinical impact of AF progression in patients with HFpEF remain to be explored.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled patients with HFpEF and paroxysmal AF from the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study. AF progression was defined as the transition from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF. A total of 718 patients (median age: 72 years, 36% were female) were enrolled. For a median follow-up of 6.0 years (interquartile range: 3.0-10.2 years), AF progression occurred in 105 patients (14.6%), with a cumulative incidence of 16.7% at 10 years. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, previous hospitalization for heart failure [hazard ratio (HR) 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16-2.60; P = 0.007] and left atrial diameter (per 5-mm increase) (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.20-1.55; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with AF progression. Furthermore, AF progression was significantly linked to worsening heart failure (adjusted HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.18-2.40; P = 0.004). Notably, 27 cases (26%) of worsening heart failure occurred within 1 year following AF progression.

CONCLUSION

In patients with HFpEF, AF progression is significantly associated with adverse outcomes, particularly worsening heart failure. An increased risk is observed in the early phases following progression to persistent AF.

REGISTRATION

Clinical Trials.gov Identifier: NCT00418041.

Clinical Significance of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in Pediatric Patients: Insights into Their Utility in the Presence or Absence of Pre-Existing Heart Conditions

The clinical significance of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in pediatric patients remains an area of evolving understanding, particularly regarding their utility in the presence or absence of pre-existing heart conditions. While clear cutoff values and established roles in heart failure are understood in adult patients, pediatric norms vary with age, complicating interpretation. Notably, the emergence of multi-system inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) has highlighted the importance of these markers not only in the detection of acute heart failure but also as a marker of disease severity and even as a differential diagnosis tool. This review summarizes current knowledge on the utility of BNP and NT-proBNP in pediatric patients. Their unique physiology, including circulation and compensation mechanisms, likely influence BNP and NT-proBNP release, potentially even in non-heart failure states. Factors such as dynamic volemic changes accompanying inflammatory diseases in children may contribute. Thus, understanding the nuanced roles of BNP and NT-proBNP in pediatric populations is crucial for the accurate diagnosis, management, and differentiation of cardiac and non-cardiac conditions.

Rationale and design of the NEO-NORMAL-AF study examination of the usefulness of implantable loop recorder for arrhythmia detection including atrial fibrillation in heart failure with non-reduced ejection fraction cases: a pilot study

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of arrhythmia in heart failure with non-reduced ejection fraction (HFnon-rEF) in patients who have a history of hospitalisation is unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate the usefulness of an implantable loop recorder (ILR) for arrhythmia detection including atrial fibrillation (AF) in HFnon-rEF patients after discharge.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a multicentre single arm study to evaluate the usefulness of ILR for detecting arrhythmia. The eligible patients are HFnon-rEF patients (left ventricular ejection fraction ≥40%) aged ≥20 years with a history of hospitalisation. The ILR will be implanted for qualified patients, and ECGs will be monitored and recorded for 1 year to check for arrhythmias. The primary endpoint is new-onset 6 min or more persistent AF detected by ILR. Secondary endpoints are 30 s or more persistent supraventricular tachycardia and ventricular tachycardia, 3 s or more persistent pause, bradycardia with 40 beats per minutes or lower heart rate, AF burden, all-cause death, cardiovascular death, hospital readmission due to exacerbation of HF, acute coronary syndrome, ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke, non-pharmacological therapy such as pacemaker implantation and ablation.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is expected to provide valuable findings regarding arrhythmia in HFnon-rEF patients, and elucidate a potential new therapeutic approach for HFnon-rEF.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

This trial has been registered in the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCT) (Trial Registration: jRCTs052210060).

Risk Factors with 30-Day Readmission and the Impact of Length of Hospital Stay on It in Patients with Heart Failure: A Retrospective Observational Study Using a Japanese National Database

Heart failure is a major disease, and its 30-day readmission (readmission within 30-day after discharge) negatively impacts patients and society. Thus, we need to stratify the risk and prevent readmission. We aimed to investigate risk factors associated with 30-day readmission and examine the impact of length of hospital stay (LOS) on 30-day readmission. Using the Diagnosis-Procedure-Combination database from April 2018 to March 2021, we conducted multiple logistic regression to investigate risk factors with 30-day readmission. Also, we conducted subgroup analysis in the short LOS group. To examine the association between LOS and 30-day readmission, we performed propensity score matching between the short and middle LOS groups. As a result, we categorized 10,283 patients and 169,842 patients into the readmission group and the no-readmission group. We identified the following factors as the risk of readmission: short LOS, female, smoking, older age, lower body mass index, lower barthel index, artificial ventilator, beta-blockers, thiazides, tolvaptan, loop diuretics, carperitides, class Ⅲ antiarrhythmic agents, myocardial infarction, diabetes, renal disease, atrial fibrillation, dilated cardiomyopathy, and discharge to home. As a subgroup analysis in the short LOS group, we revealed that the short LOS group risk factors differed from overall. After propensity score matching in the short LOS group and middle LOS group, 37,199 pairs were matched, and we revealed that shorter LOS increases the risk of readmission. These results demonstrated that shortened LOS increases 30-day readmission, and risk factors are unique to each LOS. We suggest stratifying the readmission risk and being careful with early discharge.

Role of Cardiac Natriuretic Peptides in Heart Structure and Function

Cardiac natriuretic peptides (NPs), atrial NP (ANP) and B-type NP (BNP) are true hormones produced and released by cardiomyocytes, exerting several systemic effects. Together with C-type NP (CNP), mainly expressed by endothelial cells, they also exert several paracrine and autocrine activities on the heart itself, contributing to cardiovascular (CV) health. In addition to their natriuretic, vasorelaxant, metabolic and antiproliferative systemic properties, NPs prevent cardiac hypertrophy, fibrosis, arrhythmias and cardiomyopathies, counteracting the development and progression of heart failure (HF). Moreover, recent studies revealed that a protein structurally similar to NPs mainly produced by skeletal muscles and osteoblasts called musclin/osteocrin is able to interact with the NPs clearance receptor, attenuating cardiac dysfunction and myocardial fibrosis and promoting heart protection during pathological overload. This narrative review is focused on the direct activities of this molecule family on the heart, reporting both experimental and human studies that are clinically relevant for physicians.

Prognostic risk scores for patients with heart failure

Heart failure has many causes. Although new drugs, devices and technologies are available, the survival rate and prognosis of patients with heart failure remain poor, placing a significant burden on individuals and society. Attempts to improve outcomes for patients with heart failure include developing prognostic risk scores. With medical advances, however, previous heart failure risk scores are not fully applicable to current practice, particularly because of the classification as heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction, and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. This article describes the use of risk prediction scores for heart failure patients with different clinical status and discusses their clinical applicability.

Prognostic impact of a history of cancer and atrial fibrillation in antithrombotic therapy for chronic heart failure

AIMS

This study aimed to examine the prognostic significance of a history of cancer and atrial fibrillation (AF) in antithrombotic therapy for patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled consecutive 4876 CHF patients (69 ± 12 years; women, 31.9%) in our multicentre, hospital-based cohort study, the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2), with a median follow-up of 8.7 years. Among them, 14% and 41% had a history of cancer and AF, respectively. AF patients with a history of cancer were older, more frequently men. History of cancer was not statistically associated with higher rate of composite of stroke, systemic thrombosis, and major bleeding defined by International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis [Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard ratio (sHR) accounting for the competing risk of all-cause death, 0.91; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.56-1.48; P = 0.715]. The patients with history of cancer and AF had a heightened risk for the composite of stroke, systemic thrombosis, and major bleeding (sHR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.04-2.60; P = 0.033), especially in those aged >75 years (sHR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.01-4.53; P = 0.046) and those with ischaemic heart disease (IHD; 2.48; 1.30-4.72; P = 0.006). Furthermore, 36% of AF patients with a history of cancer did not receive anticoagulant therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The CHF patients with history of cancer and AF had higher risk for stroke, systemic thrombosis, and major bleeding, especially in the elderly and those with IHD, but considerable number of the patients did not receive anticoagulant therapy, indicating the need for better optimal anticoagulation strategy.

Differences in Prognostic Factors among Patients Hospitalized for Heart Failure According to the Age Category: From the KUNIUMI Registry Acute Cohort

Objective Previous studies have described several prognostic factors for heart failure (HF); however, these results were derived from registries consisting of conventional age groups, which might not represent the increasingly aging society. The present study explored the prognostic factors for all-cause death in hospitalized patients with HF across different age categories using an acute HF registry that included relatively old patients. Methods From a total of 1,971 consecutive patients with HF, 1,136 patients were enrolled. We divided the patients into 4 groups (≤65, 66-75, 76-85, and >85 years old) to evaluate all-cause death and prognostic factors of all-cause death. Results During the mean follow-up period of 1,038 days, 445 patients (39.2%) had all-cause death. A Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significantly higher incidence of all-cause death in the elderly groups than in the younger groups (log-rank p<0.001). A Cox proportional-hazard regression analysis revealed that the presence of atrial fibrillation [hazard ratio (HR): 23.3, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.36-231.1, p=0.007] was a notable predictive factor for all-cause death in the ≤65 years old group, whereas the Clinical Frailty Scale score (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.16-1.52, p<0.001) and hypoalbuminemia (HR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.31-0.78, p=0.003) were predictors in the >85 years old group. Conclusions Atrial fibrillation was a notable predictor of HF in young patients, whereas frailty and low-grade albuminemia were essential predictive factors of HF in elderly patients. With the increasing number of elderly patients with HF, comprehensive multidisciplinary treatment will be necessary.

Cardiac index predicts long-term outcomes in patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

The role of cardiac index (CI) and right atrial pressure (RAP) for predicting long-term outcomes of heart failure has not been well established. The aim of this study was to investigate long-term cardiac outcomes in patients with heart failure having various combinations of CI and RAP.

METHODS

A total of 787 heart failure patients who underwent right-heart catheterization were retrospectively categorized into the following four groups: Preserved CI (≥2.5 L/min/m2) and Low RAP (<8 mmHg) (PRE-CI/L-RAP; n = 285); Preserved CI (≥2.5 L/min/m2) and High RAP (≥8 mmHg) (PRE-CI/H-RAP; n = 242); Reduced CI (<2.5 L/min/m2) and Low RAP (<8 mmHg) (RED-CI/L-RAP; n = 123); and Reduced CI (<2.5 L/min/m2) and High RAP (≥8 mmHg) (RED-CI/H-RAP; n = 137). Survival analysis was applied to investigate which groups were associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

RESULTS

The RED-CI/L-RAP and RED-CI/H-RAP groups were significantly associated with MACE as compared with the PRE-CI/L-RAP and PRE-CI/H-RAP groups after adjustment for confounding factors (RED-CI/L-RAP vs. PRE-CI/L-RAP: HR 2.11 [95% CI 1.33-3.37], p = 0.002; RED-CI/H-RAP vs. PRE-CI/L-RAP: HR 2.18 [95% CI 1.37-3.49], p = 0.001; RED-CI/L-RAP vs. PRE-CI/H-RAP: HR 1.86 [95% CI 1.16-3.00], p = 0.01; RED-CI/H-RAP vs. PRE-CI/H-RAP: HR 1.92 [95% CI 1.26-2.92], p = 0.002), whereas the difference between the RED-CI/H-RAP and RED-CI/L-RAP groups was not significant (HR 1.03 [95% CI 0.64-1.66], p = 0.89).

CONCLUSIONS

The hemodynamic severity categorized by CI and RAP levels provided clear risk stratification in patients with symptomatic heart failure. Low CI was an independent predictor of long-term cardiac outcomes.

Combined pre- and post-capillary pulmonary hypertension: The clinical implications for patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

The prognostic implications of combined pre- and post-capillary pulmonary hypertension (Cpc-PH) in patients with pulmonary hypertension due to left heart disease (PH-LHD) remain controversial. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the new PH-LHD criteria, recommended by the 6th World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension and to determine the prognostic value of Cpc-PH.

METHODS

A total of 701 patients with symptomatic heart failure who had undergone right-heart catheterization were divided into the following four groups: (i) Isolated post-capillary PH (Ipc-PH) group; mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) >20 mmHg, pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) >15 mmHg, and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) <3 Wood units (WU) (ii) Cpc-PH group; mPAP >20 mmHg, PAWP >15 mmHg, and PVR ≥3 WU (iii) borderline-PH group; mPAP >20 mmHg and PAWP ≤15 mmHg (iv) non-PH group; mPAP ≤20 mmHg. Multivariate Cox hazard analysis was used to investigate whether Cpc-PH was associated with cardiac outcomes.

RESULTS

The study subjects were allocated into the Ipc-PH (n = 268), Cpc-PH (n = 54), borderline-PH (n = 112), or non-PH (n = 267) groups. The Cpc-PH group was associated significantly with adverse cardiac events even after adjustment for clinically relevant confounding factors for heart failure prognosis (vs. non-PH group: HR 2.98 [95% CI 1.81-4.90], P <0.001; vs. Ipc-PH group: HR: 1.92 [95% CI 1.19-3.08], P = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

The new definitions of PH-LHD stratified patients into 4 categories. Long-term clinical outcomes were significantly different between the four categories, with Cpc-PH having the worst cardiac outcomes.

Atrial Tissue Pro-Fibrotic M2 Macrophage Marker CD163+, Gene Expression of Procollagen and B-Type Natriuretic Peptide

Background

Atrial tissue fibrosis is linked to inflammatory cells, yet is incompletely understood. A growing body of literature associates peripheral blood levels of the antifibrotic hormone BNP (B‐type natriuretic peptide) with atrial fibrillation (AF). We investigated the relationship between pro‐fibrotic tissue M2 macrophage marker Cluster of Differentiation (CD)163+, atrial procollagen expression, and BNP gene expression in patients with and without AF.

Methods and Results

In a cross‐sectional study design, right atrial tissue was procured from 37 consecutive, consenting, stable patients without heart failure or left ventricular systolic dysfunction, of whom 10 had AF and 27 were non‐AF controls. Samples were analyzed for BNP and fibro‐inflammatory gene expression, as well as fibrosis and CD163+. Primary analyses showed strong correlations (all P<0.008) between M2 macrophage CD163+ staining, procollagen gene expression, and myocardial BNP gene expression across the entire cohort. In secondary analyses without multiplicity adjustments, AF patients had greater left atrial volume index, more valve disease, higher serum BNP, and altered collagen turnover markers versus controls (all P<0.05). AF patients also showed higher atrial tissue M2 macrophage CD163+, collagen volume fraction, gene expression of procollagen 1 and 3, as well as reduced expression of the BNP clearance receptor NPRC (all P<0.05). Atrial procollagen 3 gene expression was correlated with fibrosis and BNP gene expression was correlated with serum BNP.

Conclusions

Elevated atrial tissue pro‐fibrotic M2 macrophage CD163+ is associated with increased myocardial gene expression of procollagen and anti‐fibrotic BNP and is higher in patients with AF. More work on modulation of BNP signaling for treatment and prevention of AF may be warranted.

H2 FPEF score for predicting future heart failure in stable outpatients with cardiovascular risk factors

Aims

The prediction of future heart failure (HF) in stable outpatients is often difficult for general practitioners and cardiologists. Recently, the H₂FPEF score (0–9 points) has been proposed for the discrimination of HF with preserved ejection fraction from non‐cardiac causes of dyspnoea. The six clinical and echocardiographic variables that constitute the H₂FPEF score include the following: (i) obesity (H); (ii) the use of ≥2 antihypertensive drugs (H); (iii) atrial fibrillation (F); (iv) pulmonary hypertension (P); (v) an age > 60 years (E); and (vi) E/e' > 9 (F). We performed an external validation study that investigated whether the H₂FPEF score could predict future HF‐related events in stable outpatients with cardiovascular risk factor(s) in Japan.

Methods and results

In this prospective cohort study, after exclusion of 195 from 551 consecutive, stable Japanese outpatients with at least one cardiovascular risk factor who were enrolled between September 2010 and July 2013, the remaining 356 outpatients (171 men, 185 women, mean age 73.2 years) were eligible for the analysis. We calculated the H₂FPEF score (0–9 points), and followed up the patients for an average of 517 days. In all of the 356 patients, the mean H₂FPEF score was 3.1 ± 1.8, and 15 developed HF‐related events during the follow‐up period, including cardiovascular death (n = 2) and hospitalization for HF decompensation (n = 13). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the H₂FPEF score was an independent predictor of future HF‐related events (P < 0.001 for all three models). Kaplan–Meier survival curves showed a significantly higher probability of HF‐related events in the outpatients with a high H₂FPEF score (P < 0.001). In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the H₂FPEF score was significantly associated with the occurrence of future HF‐related events (P < 0.001). In ROC curve analysis, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive likelihood ratio of a H₂FPEF score of 7 points to predict HF‐related events were 47%, 96%, and 11.4%, respectively.

Conclusions

The H₂FPEF score could provide useful information for future HF‐related events in stable outpatients with cardiovascular risk factor(s) in Japan.

H2FPEF Score as a Prognostic Value in HFpEF Patients

BACKGROUND

The H2FPEF score is recognized as a simple method to diagnose heart failure (HF) with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF). We investigated the value of the H2FPEF score in predicting subsequent cardiovascular events in HFpEF patients.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective, single-center, observational study. We calculated the H2FPEF scores for 404 consecutive HFpEF patients. Subjects were subdivided into low- (0-3), intermediate- (4-6), and high-score (7-9) groups and followed for 50 months. The primary and secondary endpoints were composite cardiovascular/cerebrovascular events (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, hospitalization for HF decompensation, and nonfatal stroke) occurrence and HF-related events (hospitalization for HF decompensation) occurrence at 50 months, respectively.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier analyses demonstrated a significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular/cerebrovascular events among those with a higher H2FPEF score (log-rank test, P = 0.005). The HF-related event rate was higher in proportion to the H2FPEF score (log-rank test, P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox hazard analyses identified the H2FPEF score (per 1 point) as an independent predictor of cardiovascular and HF-related events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.179; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.066-1.305; P = 0.001 and HR, 1.288; 95% CI, 1.134-1.463; P = 0.001, respectively). Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that the H2FPEF significantly predicted cardiovascular events (area under the curve [AUC], 0.626; 95% CI, 0.557-0.693; P < 0.001) and HF-related events (AUC, 0.680; 95% CI, 0.600-0.759; P < 0.001). The cutoff H2FPEF score was 5.5 for the identification of cardiovascular and HF-related events.

CONCLUSION

The H2FPEF score might be a potentially useful marker for the prediction of cardiovascular and HF-related events in HFpEF patients.

CLINICAL TRAILS REGISTRATION

Trail Number UMIN000029600.

Non-Invasive Pulmonary Capillary Wedge Pressure Assessment on Speckle Tracking Echocardiography as a Predictor of New-Onset Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation - Four-Year Prospective Study (NIPAF Study)

BACKGROUND

Although new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) increases with ageing, the prediction of new-onset AF is complicated. We previously reported that pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (ePCWP) estimated by the combination of left atrial volume index (LAVI) and active left atrial emptying function (aLAEF) had a strong relationship with PCWP on catheterization (r=0.92): ePCWP=10.8-12.4×log (aLAEF/minimum LAVI). We sought to determine the usefulness of ePCWP to predict new-onset AF. Methods and Results: We measured LAVI, aLAEF and ePCWP on speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) in 566 consecutive elderly patients (72±6 years) without a history of AF. A total of 63 patients (73±6 years) developed electrocardiographically confirmed AF during a mean follow-up period of 50 months. Baseline aLAEF was significantly lower in patients with than without new-onset AF (17.9±6.5 vs. 28.2±7.5%), whereas ePCWP was significantly higher (14.8±3.7 vs. 10.3±3.1 mmHg). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, ePCWP and aLAEF were strong independent predictors of AF. Using ePCWP >13 mmHg or aLAEF ≤22% on univariate Cox regression analysis, the HR for new-onset AF were 3.53 (95% CI: 1.68-7.44, P<0.001) and 4.06 (95% CI: 1.90-8.65, P<0.001), respectively. By combining these 2 criteria (>13 mmHg and ≤22%), the HR increased to 11.84 (95% CI: 6.85-20.5, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

ePCWP and aLAEF measured on STE are useful predictors of new-onset AF. ePCWP provides added value for risk stratification of new-onset AF.

Clinical, Electrocardiographic, and Echocardiographic Parameter Combination Predicts the Onset of Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The ability to identify risk markers for new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) is critical to the development of preventive strategies, but it remains unknown whether a combination of clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic parameters predicts the onset of AF. In the present study, we evaluated the predictive value of a combined score that includes these parameters. Methods and Results: We retrospectively studied 1,040 patients without AF who underwent both echocardiography and 24-h Holter electrocardiography between May 2005 and December 2010. During a median follow-up period of 68.4 months (IQR, 49.9-93.3 months), we investigated the incidence of new-onset AF. Of the 1,040 patients, 103 (9.9%) developed AF. Patients who developed AF were older than patients who did not. Total heart beats, premature atrial contraction (PAC) count, maximum RR interval, and frequency of sinus pause quantified on 24-h electrocardiography were associated with new-onset AF. LA diameter (LAD) on echocardiography was also associated with the development of AF. On multivariate Cox analysis, age ≥58 years, PAC count ≥80 beats/day, maximum RR interval ≥1.64 s, and LAD ≥4.5 cm were independently associated with the development of AF. The incidence rate of new-onset AF significantly increased as the combined score (i.e., the sum of the risk score determined using hazard ratios) increased.

CONCLUSIONS

A combined score that includes age, PAC count, maximum RR interval, and LAD could help characterize the risk of new-onset AF.

Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) as a Predictor of Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a biomarker of chronic low-grade inflammation and a potent predictor of cardiovascular events. We hypothesized that plasma suPAR levels would predict new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in a large cohort of con-secutively admitted acute medical patients during long-term follow-up. In 14,764 acutely ad-mitted patients without prior or current AF, median suPAR measured upon admission was 2.7 ng/ml (interquartile range (IQR) 1.9-4.0). During a median follow-up of 392 days (IQR 218-577), 349 patients (2.4%) were diagnosed with incident AF. suPAR levels at admission significantly predicted subsequent incident AF (HR per doubling of suPAR: 1.21, 95% CI 1.05-1.41, adjusted for age and sex). After further adjustment for Charlson score, plasma C-reactive protein (CRP), plasma creatinine and blood hemoglobin-levels, the result remained essentially unaltered (HR per doubling of suPAR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.01-1.42). In multivariate ROC curve analysis, combining age, sex, Charlson score, CRP, creatinine, and hemoglobin (AUC 0.77, 95% CI 0.75-0.79), the addition of suPAR did not improve the prediction of incident AF (AUC 0.77, 95% CI 0.75-0.79, P=0.89). Plasma suPAR is independently associated with subsequent new-onset AF in a population of recently hospitalized patients, but the addition of suPAR to baseline risk markers appears not to improve the prediction of AF.

Prognostic Impact of Statin Intensity in Heart Failure Patients With Ischemic Heart Disease: A Report From the CHART-2 (Chronic Heart Failure Registry and Analysis in the Tohoku District 2) Study

Background

The beneficial prognostic impact of statins has been established in patients with ischemic heart disease but not in those with heart failure (HF). In addition, it is still unclear whether patients benefit from statins regardless of low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.

Methods and Results

We examined 2444 consecutive stage C or D HF patients with ischemic heart disease registered in CHART‐2 (Chronic Heart Failure Registry and Analysis in the Tohoku District 2), a multicenter, prospective, observational cohort study in Japan. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the Japanese standard doses of statins and statin‐intensity categories defined by the 2013 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association guidelines: higher (moderate‐high)‐intensity (n=868), lower (low)‐intensity (n=526), and no statin (n=1050). The median follow‐up period was 6.4 years (13929 person‐years). Analysis with the inverse probability of treatment weighted using a propensity score for multiple treatment revealed that both the higher‐intesity group (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.68; P<0.001) and the lower‐intensity group (HR: 0.82; P<0.001) had significantly lower incidence of the primary end point—a composite of all‐cause death and HF admission—compared with the no statin group. The higher‐intensity statin group had significantly lower incidence of the primary end point (HR: 0.82; P<0.001), all‐cause death (HR: 0.83; P<0.001), and HF admission (HR: 0.78; P<0.001) than the lower‐intensity statin group. Moreover, the use of statins, either higher‐ or lower‐intensity, was associated with reduced incidence of the primary end point, regardless of low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.

Conclusions

These results suggest that statin use, particularly the use of higher‐intensity statins, has a beneficial prognostic impact in HF patients with ischemic heart disease, regardless of low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00418041.

Clinical and Echocardiographic Predictors of Arrhythmias Detected With 24-Hour Holter Electrocardiography Among Hypertensive Heart Failure Patients in Nigeria

Background

Hypertensive heart failure (HHF) is the commonest form of heart failure in Nigeria. There is paucity of data in Nigeria on 24-hour Holter electrocardiography (24-HHECG) and important predictors of arrhythmias among HHF patients.

Objectives

To determine the 24-HHECG characteristics among HHF patients. To determine the clinical and echocardiographic predictors of arrhythmias detected using 24-HHECG among HHF patients.

Methods

A total of 100 HHF patients as well as 50 age-matched and sex-matched apparently healthy controls were prospectively recruited over a period of 1 year. They all had baseline laboratory tests, echocardiography, and 24-HHECG.

Results

Hypertensive heart failure patients had significantly higher counts of premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) than the controls (P ≤ .001). Ventricular tachycardia (VT) was recorded in 29% of HHF patients as compared with controls who had no VT on 24-HHECG. The standard deviation of all normal to normal sinus RR intervals over 24 hours (SDNN) was abnormally reduced among HHF patients when compared with controls (P = .046). There was positive correlation between atrial fibrillation (AF) and the following parameters: PVCs (r = .229, P = .015), New York Heart Association (NYHA) (r = .196, P = .033), and VT (r = .223, P = .018). Following multiple linear regression, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (P ≤ .001) and serum urea (P = .037) were predictors of PVCs among HHF patients. Serum creatinine (P ≤ .001), elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) (P = .005), and PVCs (P ≤ .001) were important predictors of VT among HHF patients.

Conclusions

Renal dysfunction and reduced LVEF were important predictors of ventricular arrhythmias. High counts of PVCs and elevated SBP were predictive of the occurrence of VT among HHF patients. The NYHA class and ventricular arrhythmias have a significant positive correlation with AF. The SDNN is reduced in HHF patients.

Pneumonia as a trigger for atrial fibrillation

In a rural mountainous region on a Friday, a 78-year-old man was seen in his physician’s office for leg edema and diagnosed with new onset atrial fibrillation. He was discharged home to start medications for atrial fibrillation and heart failure. He was hospitalized the next day with septic shock due to pneumococcal pneumonia. The new onset of atrial fibrillation requires a trigger acting on a vulnerable substrate. These triggers include acute conditions such as alcohol intoxication, myocardial infarction and pulmonary embolism. Pneumonia may act as a trigger causing the new onset of atrial fibrillation.

DNA methylation dysregulations in valvular atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The epigenetic changes underlying the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) remain incompletely understood. Limited evidence suggests that abnormal DNA methylation might be involved in the pathogenesis of AF. In the present study, we evaluated the methylation status of genomic DNA from myocardial tissue in AF patients and sinus rhythm (SR) patients systematically.

HYPOTHESIS

DNA methylation dysregulations will be associated with valvular AF.

METHODS

Right atrial myocardial tissue was obtained from rheumatic valvular patients who had undergone valve replacement surgery (SR group, n = 10; AF group, n = 10). The global DNA methylation level, the promoter methylation level of the natriuretic peptide receptor-A gene (NPRA), and its correlation with the mRNA expression level of DNA methyltransferase genes were detected.

RESULTS

The global DNA methylation level was significantly higher in the AF group than in the SR group (P < 0.05). The NPRA mRNA expression was decreased and the NPRA gene was hypermethylated in the AF group (P < 0.05). Meanwhile, the NPRA mRNA expression level has a negative correlation with the mean methylation level in the promoter region of the NPRA gene.

CONCLUSIONS

DNA methylation dysregulations may be relevant in the pathogenesis of AF. DNA methyltransferase 3B likely plays an essential role in the DNA methylation dysregulations in AF.